May 10, 2023 • 10 mins
Tera Roberts breaks down the 10 most disappointing picks from the 2023 NFL Draft. Tune in to learn which teams may have made costly errors and find out why these picks could come back to haunt them.
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
What's up everyone. Tara Roberts here with Fantasy Pros and
today we are talking d ten worst picks from the
twenty twenty three NFL Draft. Before we get started, be
sure to like this video and subscribe to Fantasy Pros
across all platforms. Now, let's go ahead and dive right
in number ten, Bijon Robinson, running back, Atlanta Falcons. Let
(00:21):
me preface this with the disclaimer. This is one of
my favorite landing spots. From a fantasy football perspective, Atlanta
has one of the most aggressive run offenses in the NFL.
We witnessed multiple times where the offense had zero business
running the ball and refuse to deviate from the run.
Arthur Smith has a consistent track record and isn't going
(00:41):
to change, and Bijon should be an absolute menace in
that offense. But from a real football perspective, the pick
might have been a huge mistake. Atlanta has been steadily
focused on stacking offensive talent at the top of the
draft year after year with Kyle Pitts, Drake London, and
now bj Robinson. But a running back, even the most
(01:03):
elite running back, is not going to help them make
a leap to be a contender, they probably should have
gone another direction. Number nine, Zach Charboney, running back, Seattle Seahawks.
I love Zach Charbonay as a prospect. He's a three
down back that would have thrived on a team where
he was the featured back. So it's not the player
(01:23):
or even the pick position that I dislike about this pick.
And it's also not that Seattle shouldn't have drafted a
running back. They definitely could afford to add depth behind
Kenneth Walker, but that's the problem Kenneth Walker. Seattle just
invested in Walker in the second round of the twenty
twenty two draft. Walker and Sharbonay actually profile very similarly,
(01:46):
so it's not as if Seattle drafted a complimentary back.
Charbon Ay is an excellent value pick, but I just
don't see where his contribution pushes Seattle to the next
level now or even two years from now. It's clear
to me that Seattle wasn't drafting for current positional needs,
but rather taking the best available talent that was the
highest on their draft board with both this second round
(02:08):
pick and the first round pick with Jackson Smith in Jigba.
And that's a fine strategy, but I would have preferred
to see Seattle go another direction and hold off on
running back with a position being so deep. Number eight
Jaden Reid wide receiver, Green Bay Packers. I'm struggling to
wrap my head around the Packers' choice of Jaden Reid
(02:29):
as the fiftieth overall pick. I can understand what they
see in Reid and how Reid fits into their offense,
likely as a slot receiver, but the pick location is
a huge reach. There were several other higher graded receivers available,
including players that profile specifically as a slot receiver like
Josh Downs. Receiver was definitely a position of need, and
(02:51):
with the Packers drafting Lucas Vaness in the first round,
round two seemed like an absolute lock for wide receiver.
So I'm one hundred percent on board with the Packers'
strategy and positional need, but read in the second is
an undeniable reach and it could come back to haunt
the Packers, who have a history of passing on high
upside receivers. Number seven Jonathan Mingo, wide receiver, Carolina Panthers.
(03:17):
The Packers weren't the only team that made an interesting
value reach a wide receiver. Jonathan Mingo was a peculiar
reach for the Panthers to take at pick thirty nine.
Much like the Packers, the Panthers absolutely needed to draft
a wide receiver, no question about that. The Panthers signed
free agent veterans Adam Thielen and DJ Shark and have
(03:38):
several young receivers on the roster, but they needed to
draft a high upside receiver to grow with their new
quarterback Bryce Young and potentially serve as the wide receiver one.
Mingo is a strong receiver with size at six two
two twenty and he definitely plays to that strength. Perhaps
the Panthers aggressive reach for him was because they specifically
(03:59):
wanted a big body receiver and preferred that fit versus
taking the higher graded options, but I still think that
they could have gotten better value out of that early
second round pick and targeted Mingo later. Number six. Will
McDonald the fourth edge New York Jets. The Jets swapped
first round picks with Green Bay in exchange for Aaron Rodgers,
(04:20):
and that swapped from thirteen to fifteen might have had
a bigger ripple effect than expected. The Jets were mocked
pretty much by every single draft analyst to pick an
offensive lineman their top position of need, but the Pittsburgh
Steelers traded and jumped them to draft Broader Jones, leaving
the Jets in a difficult position where there was no
(04:40):
strong choice at offensive line. The Jets selected Will McDonald,
and while McDonald is extremely talented, the Panthers reached on
a risky pick. McDonald is undersized at the position and
has to bulk up. It's possible that he could, and
it's also possible that he could overcome his size, but
for such a stacked defense, it just seems like an
(05:02):
unnecessary pick. Number five Briton Strange, tight end, Jacksonville Jaguars.
With Brenton Strange, I just can't advocate for picking a
player in a non position of need when he couldn't
possibly be the highest graded player on your draft board
at that time. It's possible the Jags wanted to invest
in a young tight end like Strange, with Evan Ingram
(05:23):
playing on a franchise tag and possibly being too expensive
to sign next year if he has another standout year,
but in round two, at the end of a tight
end run, poor choice. The Jags should have one of
the top offenses heading into the twenty twenty three season
and have ample receiving threats for Trevor Lawrence. Their dramatic
playoff victory showcase that if the Jags want to make
(05:46):
a leap to a true contender, they need to reinforce
their defense. There were viable options on the board and
I just flat out don't like this pick number four,
Luke Schunmaker tight end Dallas Cowboys. When Dallas let Dalton
Schultz exit in free agency, we all knew they were
taking a tight end in the draft. Mini draft analysts
(06:06):
mocked top prospect Michael Mayer to the Cowboys because he
profiles perfectly for their system. With such a deep class
and teams utilizing titands in a wide variety of ways,
the first tight end coming off the board could have
literally been one of several players. Dalton Kinkaid came off
the board first to Buffalo, an excellent fit for their system.
Sam Laporta came off the board second to Detroit, a
(06:29):
surprising pick, but it does fit their system. Michael Mayer
went off the board to Las Vegas, excellent pick. Green
Bay selected Luke Musgrave, and Dallas was left missing the
boat completely on the top prospects, and they selected Luke
Schoenmaker with the fifty eighth overall pick. With an offense
that's been so reliant on the tight end position, you
(06:50):
would think they would have made true to grab one
of the top prospects with a more proven receiving profile. Instead,
they reached at the end of a tight end run
and I just can't get on board with this one.
Number three Jamiir Gibbs, running back, Detroit Lions. This pick
is a tough one for me because I completely understand
both sides. We have seen a positional value shift at
(07:12):
running back, and to see two running backs go in
the top twelve was jarring let alone, one of those
running backs being a size risk that many don't believe
has the capabilities to be a three down back. So
for that reason, Detroit's pick of Jamir Gibbs at number
twelve lands on this list. It's clear what the Lions
have in mind for Gibbs. They view him as a
(07:34):
one for one upgrade from DeAndre Swift. Swift's twenty twenty
two usage was erratic and underwhelming, but in twenty twenty one,
Swift had an excellent start to the season before getting
derailed by injuries. The Lions want a running back as
an explosive receiving threat out of the backfield, and Gibbs
is the perfect fit for that. It was just the
(07:55):
big reach to draft him so early with so much
talent on the board defensively, a big ear of need
for the Lions. The reason why I won't put this
as the worst pick of the draft is because there
was a strong chance that Gibbs would not be available
at pick eighteen for them. Gibbs was viewed as an elite,
top tier prospect and high on several other teams draft boards,
(08:18):
and there is no one for one option to draft later.
If the Lions wanted a player like Gibbs, technically they
had to take him there. And as a side note,
I do love this from a fantasy perspective and Gibbs
is one of my favorite prospects in the entire draft,
but even I could admit this was a reach. Number two.
Jack Campbell, linebacker, Detroit Lions. Let's stick with the Lions,
(08:42):
but jump to defense and talk about the Detroit Lions
eighteenth overall pick. I mentioned that the Lions had to
address defense. Their offense was one of the best in
the league, but their defense struggled to stop anyone. Draft
analysts expected the Lions to address defense in the first
but definitely not with linebacker Jack Campbell. No offense to Campbell,
(09:03):
he's a top prospect at the position, but his grade
was mid to late second round, so the eighteenth overall
pick was just an unquestionable reach. Following up the Gibbs
pick with Campbell was a first round combination that no
one could predict. Gibbs and Campbell are talented and these
picks they could definitely pay off, but compared to the
(09:23):
first round, it's tough to justify the picks. The Lions
really struggled early on in the draft. Number One Jake Moody, kicker,
San Francisco forty nine Ers. This feels like low hanging fruit,
but drafting a kicker in the third round was certainly
a choice. Moody is an excellent prospect, showing great accuracy
in a big leg. With his longest completed field goal
(09:46):
coming from fifty nine yards, what's not to love, and
he should be an immediate favorite to win the starting
position for the forty nine ers. They're a highly competitive
team and typically a lock for the playoffs, and you
can always use a reliable kicker in those high pressure moments.
But kicker is a volatile position and even when drafting
a highly graded prospect, it's very easy to miss and
(10:09):
not extremely predictable. And if a kicker fails as a prospect,
that's it. There's no redemption past that. The third round
is just too aggressive for this pick. Thank you for
listening to the Fantasy Pros Football podcast. Follow us on
Twitter and Instagram at Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our
YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros.
What's up everyone. Tara Roberts here with Fantasy Pros and
today we are talking d ten worst picks from the
twenty twenty three NFL Draft. Before we get started, be
sure to like this video and subscribe to Fantasy Pros
across all platforms. Now, let's go ahead and dive right
in number ten, Bijon Robinson, running back, Atlanta Falcons. Let
(00:21):
me preface this with the disclaimer. This is one of
my favorite landing spots. From a fantasy football perspective, Atlanta
has one of the most aggressive run offenses in the NFL.
We witnessed multiple times where the offense had zero business
running the ball and refuse to deviate from the run.
Arthur Smith has a consistent track record and isn't going
(00:41):
to change, and Bijon should be an absolute menace in
that offense. But from a real football perspective, the pick
might have been a huge mistake. Atlanta has been steadily
focused on stacking offensive talent at the top of the
draft year after year with Kyle Pitts, Drake London, and
now bj Robinson. But a running back, even the most
(01:03):
elite running back, is not going to help them make
a leap to be a contender, they probably should have
gone another direction. Number nine, Zach Charboney, running back, Seattle Seahawks.
I love Zach Charbonay as a prospect. He's a three
down back that would have thrived on a team where
he was the featured back. So it's not the player
(01:23):
or even the pick position that I dislike about this pick.
And it's also not that Seattle shouldn't have drafted a
running back. They definitely could afford to add depth behind
Kenneth Walker, but that's the problem Kenneth Walker. Seattle just
invested in Walker in the second round of the twenty
twenty two draft. Walker and Sharbonay actually profile very similarly,
(01:46):
so it's not as if Seattle drafted a complimentary back.
Charbon Ay is an excellent value pick, but I just
don't see where his contribution pushes Seattle to the next
level now or even two years from now. It's clear
to me that Seattle wasn't drafting for current positional needs,
but rather taking the best available talent that was the
highest on their draft board with both this second round
(02:08):
pick and the first round pick with Jackson Smith in Jigba.
And that's a fine strategy, but I would have preferred
to see Seattle go another direction and hold off on
running back with a position being so deep. Number eight
Jaden Reid wide receiver, Green Bay Packers. I'm struggling to
wrap my head around the Packers' choice of Jaden Reid
(02:29):
as the fiftieth overall pick. I can understand what they
see in Reid and how Reid fits into their offense,
likely as a slot receiver, but the pick location is
a huge reach. There were several other higher graded receivers available,
including players that profile specifically as a slot receiver like
Josh Downs. Receiver was definitely a position of need, and
(02:51):
with the Packers drafting Lucas Vaness in the first round,
round two seemed like an absolute lock for wide receiver.
So I'm one hundred percent on board with the Packers'
strategy and positional need, but read in the second is
an undeniable reach and it could come back to haunt
the Packers, who have a history of passing on high
upside receivers. Number seven Jonathan Mingo, wide receiver, Carolina Panthers.
(03:17):
The Packers weren't the only team that made an interesting
value reach a wide receiver. Jonathan Mingo was a peculiar
reach for the Panthers to take at pick thirty nine.
Much like the Packers, the Panthers absolutely needed to draft
a wide receiver, no question about that. The Panthers signed
free agent veterans Adam Thielen and DJ Shark and have
(03:38):
several young receivers on the roster, but they needed to
draft a high upside receiver to grow with their new
quarterback Bryce Young and potentially serve as the wide receiver one.
Mingo is a strong receiver with size at six two
two twenty and he definitely plays to that strength. Perhaps
the Panthers aggressive reach for him was because they specifically
(03:59):
wanted a big body receiver and preferred that fit versus
taking the higher graded options, but I still think that
they could have gotten better value out of that early
second round pick and targeted Mingo later. Number six. Will
McDonald the fourth edge New York Jets. The Jets swapped
first round picks with Green Bay in exchange for Aaron Rodgers,
(04:20):
and that swapped from thirteen to fifteen might have had
a bigger ripple effect than expected. The Jets were mocked
pretty much by every single draft analyst to pick an
offensive lineman their top position of need, but the Pittsburgh
Steelers traded and jumped them to draft Broader Jones, leaving
the Jets in a difficult position where there was no
(04:40):
strong choice at offensive line. The Jets selected Will McDonald,
and while McDonald is extremely talented, the Panthers reached on
a risky pick. McDonald is undersized at the position and
has to bulk up. It's possible that he could, and
it's also possible that he could overcome his size, but
for such a stacked defense, it just seems like an
(05:02):
unnecessary pick. Number five Briton Strange, tight end, Jacksonville Jaguars.
With Brenton Strange, I just can't advocate for picking a
player in a non position of need when he couldn't
possibly be the highest graded player on your draft board
at that time. It's possible the Jags wanted to invest
in a young tight end like Strange, with Evan Ingram
(05:23):
playing on a franchise tag and possibly being too expensive
to sign next year if he has another standout year,
but in round two, at the end of a tight
end run, poor choice. The Jags should have one of
the top offenses heading into the twenty twenty three season
and have ample receiving threats for Trevor Lawrence. Their dramatic
playoff victory showcase that if the Jags want to make
(05:46):
a leap to a true contender, they need to reinforce
their defense. There were viable options on the board and
I just flat out don't like this pick number four,
Luke Schunmaker tight end Dallas Cowboys. When Dallas let Dalton
Schultz exit in free agency, we all knew they were
taking a tight end in the draft. Mini draft analysts
(06:06):
mocked top prospect Michael Mayer to the Cowboys because he
profiles perfectly for their system. With such a deep class
and teams utilizing titands in a wide variety of ways,
the first tight end coming off the board could have
literally been one of several players. Dalton Kinkaid came off
the board first to Buffalo, an excellent fit for their system.
Sam Laporta came off the board second to Detroit, a
(06:29):
surprising pick, but it does fit their system. Michael Mayer
went off the board to Las Vegas, excellent pick. Green
Bay selected Luke Musgrave, and Dallas was left missing the
boat completely on the top prospects, and they selected Luke
Schoenmaker with the fifty eighth overall pick. With an offense
that's been so reliant on the tight end position, you
(06:50):
would think they would have made true to grab one
of the top prospects with a more proven receiving profile. Instead,
they reached at the end of a tight end run
and I just can't get on board with this one.
Number three Jamiir Gibbs, running back, Detroit Lions. This pick
is a tough one for me because I completely understand
both sides. We have seen a positional value shift at
(07:12):
running back, and to see two running backs go in
the top twelve was jarring let alone, one of those
running backs being a size risk that many don't believe
has the capabilities to be a three down back. So
for that reason, Detroit's pick of Jamir Gibbs at number
twelve lands on this list. It's clear what the Lions
have in mind for Gibbs. They view him as a
(07:34):
one for one upgrade from DeAndre Swift. Swift's twenty twenty
two usage was erratic and underwhelming, but in twenty twenty one,
Swift had an excellent start to the season before getting
derailed by injuries. The Lions want a running back as
an explosive receiving threat out of the backfield, and Gibbs
is the perfect fit for that. It was just the
(07:55):
big reach to draft him so early with so much
talent on the board defensively, a big ear of need
for the Lions. The reason why I won't put this
as the worst pick of the draft is because there
was a strong chance that Gibbs would not be available
at pick eighteen for them. Gibbs was viewed as an elite,
top tier prospect and high on several other teams draft boards,
(08:18):
and there is no one for one option to draft later.
If the Lions wanted a player like Gibbs, technically they
had to take him there. And as a side note,
I do love this from a fantasy perspective and Gibbs
is one of my favorite prospects in the entire draft,
but even I could admit this was a reach. Number two.
Jack Campbell, linebacker, Detroit Lions. Let's stick with the Lions,
(08:42):
but jump to defense and talk about the Detroit Lions
eighteenth overall pick. I mentioned that the Lions had to
address defense. Their offense was one of the best in
the league, but their defense struggled to stop anyone. Draft
analysts expected the Lions to address defense in the first
but definitely not with linebacker Jack Campbell. No offense to Campbell,
(09:03):
he's a top prospect at the position, but his grade
was mid to late second round, so the eighteenth overall
pick was just an unquestionable reach. Following up the Gibbs
pick with Campbell was a first round combination that no
one could predict. Gibbs and Campbell are talented and these
picks they could definitely pay off, but compared to the
(09:23):
first round, it's tough to justify the picks. The Lions
really struggled early on in the draft. Number One Jake Moody, kicker,
San Francisco forty nine Ers. This feels like low hanging fruit,
but drafting a kicker in the third round was certainly
a choice. Moody is an excellent prospect, showing great accuracy
in a big leg. With his longest completed field goal
(09:46):
coming from fifty nine yards, what's not to love, and
he should be an immediate favorite to win the starting
position for the forty nine ers. They're a highly competitive
team and typically a lock for the playoffs, and you
can always use a reliable kicker in those high pressure moments.
But kicker is a volatile position and even when drafting
a highly graded prospect, it's very easy to miss and
(10:09):
not extremely predictable. And if a kicker fails as a prospect,
that's it. There's no redemption past that. The third round
is just too aggressive for this pick. Thank you for
listening to the Fantasy Pros Football podcast. Follow us on
Twitter and Instagram at Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our
YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros.
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