Colin Cowherd Podcast Prime Cuts - Dodgers Win The World Series, Did Jets Save Their Season? Betting NFL Week 9 - The Colin Cowherd Podcast

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
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Time today. What time is it? Game Time? Congratulations to
the Dodgers winning their eighth World Series title. I think
I'm very clever headline Walker Buehler's two days Off Ferris

(01:08):
Bueller Walker Anyway, I love Dave robbers who deals Because
of the Dodgers' payroll and their commitment to Betts and
Freeman and Otani, it's like an all star team. There's
a lot of pressure on Dave Roberts, and you know,
here's a guy with the Red Sox. Here's a guy

(01:29):
you know, wins a World Series and then Dodgers as
a manager, and I just think he's a classy guy
who's taken a lot of shit and he did a
great job, a masterful job of not only managing the team,
but managing his resources. Now, I felt very strongly tonight

(01:49):
that it was going to go back to La and
the Dodgers were going to pitch, at least I thought
this in the eighth inning. They were gonna pitch Yamamoto
and Walker Buehler, their two best pitchers at home, whereas
the Yankees just expanded Garrett Cole so he's done for
the series and they go on the road. But I
really thought as much as the Dodgers won tonight, I
thought the Yankees and I thought they were the inferior team.

(02:12):
I thought they gave the game away and the fifth
innings of the craziest thing I've ever seen. Over the
course of ten minutes, Aaron Judge, with a five to
nothing lead, drops a routine fly ball. It was the
kind of ball that you if you're playing catch with
a friend. He drops a routine flyball. Then vulpay it

(02:32):
short short hops a throw to third, and then Garrett Cole,
who had a masterful one hundred and eight pitching performance,
doesn't cover first space. It would be a you would
think that was a bad spring training performance. You'd get
chewed out after a spring training game. To be in
a World Series game and have three miscues one after

(02:54):
the other is just insane. And then the game is tied,
and then I felt like the Dodgers were play saying
loose and with house money. I mean, at that point,
I mean, you get down five nothing, You're like, okay,
we're going back to La. We got Yamamoto Yamamoto, We've
got Walker Bueller. This will be it for Garrett Cole.
We have a pitching advantage, hitting advantage, home field advantage.

(03:15):
They're not going to win four straight against us. That's
what it felt like to me. And it's so all
bets are off. But God and Max Munsey, who was
just great in the NLCS had a rough World series,
Otani didn't hit, and Dave Roberts, you know, I mean,
there are a lot of people that didn't want Max
Munsey coming up, you know that final time. So you

(03:35):
got Munsey's struggling, Otani's struggling. And remember Jack Flaherty, who
the Dodgers got. There was a story last week, I
think it was in the La Times where his velocity
had come down. So you know, he he didn't look like,
you know, he had his best stuff. So after the
bullpen lost yesterday, Flarerty struggling today, you're thinking, you know,

(03:57):
to me, it was just like, okay, you're going home,
Yama Moto Walker, Buller's stuff is nasty. You're in great shape.
I've been taking notes for four hours. I got so
many notes. And then you know again the Yankees in
the top of the eighth, you got back to back
singles by Keith Hernandez and Tommy Edmond and then Will

(04:19):
Smith walks you have no no outs in the bases loaded,
and so you get and then there's a catcher's interference
against the Yankees. So god, it's like the fifth and
the eighth. It was just time after time the Yankees,
you know. And you know, as I said before, I
don't watch a ton of baseball in the regular season.
I mean, it's on in my house with the Dodgers.

(04:40):
When I lived I worked at ESPN back East, I
always had the Yankees of the Red Sox on. It
was the Yes networker Nessen, I watch my local team, right.
I kind of keep track because I used to work
for the Podres, so I kind of keep track of
the Padres a little bit. But this was a game
in which the Yankees just kept giving the Dodgers every
break in the fifth inning and the eighth inning, and

(05:01):
catchers interference and airs and free passes, and the Dodgers eventually,
you know, took advantage of it. So, you know, it's interesting.
Years and years ago, there's a coach, the late lout
Olsen coach at Arizona. He had great teams in the
tournament and he just could not win a championship. And
there was a lot of years they went in as

(05:22):
a heavy favorite, lost in the first round, and then
eventually they got this team with Miles Simon and a
bunch of freshmen and a bunch of kids, and they
won the national championship. And it's just so interesting. So
many times with Dave Roberts and the Dodgers, you've got
into the playoffs and you felt really strongly about them,
and they just they kind of unravel and they have
a bad pitching performance this year. I mean, think about it.

(05:43):
In this World Series, Otani dried up. Max Munsey, who
was brilliant in the NLCS, dried up all of a
sudden going into the World Series, flared these velocity dips.
You've already used forty pitchers. You're going into a World Series,
coming out of a NASH League divisional series, in a
championship series where you had to have bullpen games. You're

(06:04):
just managing resources of all the years to win it.
If you'd written down this script and said, yeah, oh Tony,
it will just be brutal in a series, Max Munsey
will dry up. I mean you'll have basically two starting pitchers.
And Walker Bulder was kind of crossing your fingers because
he's been hurt for a year and a half, two years.
So God, that fifth inning, I think all five of

(06:26):
those runs the Dodger scored, I think all five were unearned.
Has that ever happened in a World Series game? Five
hundred runs. Well, it's just it's just crazy, and you know,
it's you just never known these championships where they come from.
And I thought it was interesting that the World Series
came down to Garrett Cole being pulled, not singularly came

(06:49):
down to but Garrett Cole being pulled in Game one,
got a lot of heat, and then Garrett Cole not
covering first kept that fifth inning going for the Dodgers.
So Garrett Cole, who was you know, they're the best
pitcher in the series for either team I think ended
up being so crucial. Probably pulled a little early at
eighty eight pitches and the Dodgers, you know, had to

(07:12):
go to their bullpen, and good luck against the Dodgers
at Dodgers Stadium with your bullpen. And then in this
fifth inning, you know, he was, he was brilliant tonight,
one hundred and eight pitches, but he didn't cover first base.
I mean that just crazy to me. A guy that
zoned in doesn't cover first base. So I mean, the
Dodgers aren't going anywhere. I mean, it's just so many,

(07:33):
so many things went wrong physically for the Dodgers. I mean,
Otani's shoulders collarbone. I mean, what are the chances of
that on a slide to second base. You're looking at
any you're thinking there's no collision. All of a sudden
he grabs his shoulder and you're like, you gotta be
kidding me. The timing's terrible. Ends up. They didn't need him,
So it's easy. I find it's easy to root for

(07:56):
the Dodgers. I think it's a really classy organization from
research and developed. They don't miss on trades. You know,
when they call guys up, they deliver. It's just it's just,
you know, Kershaw to Otani to Betts, to Freddie Freeman's story,
to Dave Roberts, to the late Vince Scully and now

(08:18):
Joe Davis. You're just it's class personified as an organization.
And you can blame Aaron Boone and you can blame
the defense in the fifth inning, But I mean, if
you really looked at what was happening, if the Dodgers
would have not come back in the fifth inning, you
were going to la to face the Dodgers best to pitchers,
and at some point Otani was going to get a

(08:40):
big hit. I mean, Aaron Judge, finally, Aaron Judge tonight
roared back, I mean really roared back tonight, and despite
what happened in the World Series, the Dodgers three years
ago set their sights on Otani and what a signific
an upgrade for him personally, because you know, when you

(09:04):
get these star players, it always reminds me to a
lesser version of like Joe Mauer with the Twins or
a Joey Vado with a Cincinnati Reds, where you just
can't you pay him and you can't surround him with
elite players, and the Angels couldn't really do that. But
with the Dodgers, you can have him cleanup, you can
beat him third fourth, You're gonna have Mooky Betts and
Freddie Freeman and Max Muncy, you know, and tremendous players

(09:25):
all around him. He's gonna usually get better pictures. And
it's just I mean, for him to be as as
classy as he was. I mean, this season started with
that you know, gambling story, which could have derailed the franchise,
derailed his career, and he was just poised, under control,

(09:46):
beloved in the locker room, fit right in and it
feels like they're just certain players. I mean, it's like
Aaron Judge needs to be a Yankee, right, like Otani
really needs to be a Dodger. It's nothing against the Angels,
but you know, they're just the Dodgers have more resources
and the Yankees have more resources, and there's just a
handful of teams that can surround these great players with

(10:09):
better players so they get better pitches. And I just
I just thought think of how the season started pretty
bumpy for Otani and it ended pretty bumpy. But let's
not forget what he produced. For a majority ninety five
percent of this season. He was the best player by
a lot, and that's saying something. On a team with
Bets and Freeman and Aaron Judge and Bryce Harper and

(10:32):
the amazing players in Major League Baseball, Otani, by a
long shot fifty to fifty club was the best player
in baseball. I like how it ends for him and
the Dodgers. So great players eventually have their moment on
a stage like this. The congratulations to the Los Angeles
Dodgers in what was one of the weirdest, most bizarro

(10:53):
World Series games I've ever seen, and a pretty quick
series where a stack roster despite all the injuries, one
Hi everybody and welcome in. In about ten minutes, we'll
have Chad Millman, which we do sharper square where I
give him about seven or eight of my picks and
he chews him up and spits him out. And I'm

(11:15):
taking more and more favorites these days, as I think,
you do get to a point in the season where
the better teams separate, the better coaches separate. Everybody gets
banged up. It's a war of attrition at this point.
You see all these players dropping. Sometimes DeVante Adams, the
player goes out, comes back in. He did had a touchdown.
So the Jets beat the Texans twenty one to thirteen
on Hallowing. The Jets dressed up as a pretty good

(11:36):
football team. Aaron Rodgers I thought played especially, you know,
in the second half. I thought he played pretty well.
I've seen that so many times this year where a
quarterback brought purtty against the Cowboys Russell Wilson a couple
of times Aaron Rodgers tonight, where it just they just
can't get it right in the first half and then
they just they get warmed up. And I thought Aaron

(11:57):
played a really good second half. You know, when you
have Bresol. When you have Devonte Adams, when you have
Garrett Wilson, you know, those are real weapons, you know,
if you can get decent protection. Aaron had a nice
run tonight. It got called back because of a holding
on the rookie from Penn State, but that was a
really nice run. He had two hundred and eleven yards,
twenty two to thirty two, three tds, no picks. I

(12:19):
like the Jets tonight. It was one of my stronger plays.
It would have been my first or second strongest play
if it was on Sunday. And I think the you
know the reality of this game. It was a really
bad spot for a beat up Texans team that can't
protect CJ. Stroud. So the Jets had eight sacks tonight,
which is about double what teams have beginning against Houston.
But they're you know, they're down to Tank Dell and

(12:40):
a bunch of third and fourth level receivers. So it
was a good spot for the Jets. And what's interesting
for the Jets and this is why this win matters.
So yeah, two of their wins a short week at
home Patriots and Texans. But now think about this, it's
an advantage because the Jets are not going to win
a division. We know the Bills are going to win
the division. The Ravens will eventually win their division, The

(13:02):
Chiefs will win their division, Colts, Texans will go back
and forth. But this is key the teams. The Jets
only hope to get into the playoffs is as a
wild card team, and right now, unless they go on
a losing streak, Pittsburgh looks like it will be one
of those wild card teams. But there's two other wild
card spots. And the good news is the Jags could

(13:22):
be one of those teams the Jets play them. The
Colts could be one of those teams. Jets host them
in a couple of weeks. The Texans could be one
of those teams. The Jets just beat them. So it
looks like to me, the three playoff teams in the
AFC we know are Bills, Ravens will make it. They're
just too good unless Lamar got hurt, and the Chiefs,

(13:42):
and then you're going to be battling the Colts, the Jags,
the Texans, the Chargers, the Steelers for three wildcard spots.
And you've already got a w over the Texans and
you get the Colts at home. You also get the
advantage when you play on Thursday night, you get four
days extra rest against your next opponent, that's Arizona. So

(14:03):
they'll have to travel out to the desert in Arizona,
but you got extra rest. Arizona plays a very physical
Chicago Bears team, a really good defense for the Chicago
Bears off a humiliating loss, so I'm sure the Bears,
you know, that's gonna be a physical game against Arizona.
You're going to be more rested, more prepared. With a
veteran quarterback and Aaron Rodgers coming off a very good outing.

(14:26):
The more he plays with the Vonte Adams, the vetter,
it's gonna work. So they've got the pieces. I don't
think they're a brilliantly coached team, but I've said this before.
There's three really good teams in the AFC. Then you
know it's pretty mushy in the wild card race. Miami's
not as good as we thought. Chargers just they have
very limited firepower unless they make a trade at the deadline,

(14:48):
the Chargers are going to be in a bunch of
close games. If they played the Jets tomorrow, it would
be a close game. I mean, the Chargers just can't.
They can't beat anybody badly. They don't have any playmakers.
Lad McConkie, the rookie is like a two. He's twitchy
and clever, but he's not a burner. He's not an
over the top guy. Doesn't have huge separation in the NFL. So,

(15:09):
I mean, it's what do I think about the Jets? Well,
they ran for about one hundred yards tonight, Aaron was comfortable,
Aaron had time to throw, and the schedule works out
extra rest for Arizona, Colt Seattle at home, Rams later
at home. I mean, only one team the Jets played
the rest of the way right now has a winning record,
the Buffalo Bills, and they're not one of the divisions,

(15:31):
so they don't have to worry about Buffalo. So it's
all right in front of you. Listen. I like CJ. Stroud,
but he's down to second and third tier receivers. They
can't protect him. Joe Mixon's a hell of a player.
That was his number one weapon tonight, But Jets went
twenty one to thirteen. And you know I was thinking
about this. I was talking to Jmack on the phone tonight.
He was out with his kids doing Halloween. So I

(15:51):
live in a place without a lot of kids coming up.
So I went out for a walk and saw the
kids in the neighborhood out having a good time. But
when I came back, I was talking to Jmac and
you know, New York has just had a really rough
stretch for a decade in sports. I mean, the Yankees,
it really wasn't competitive against the Dodgers. It really wasn't
They won a single game. Both the Padres and the
Mets matched up better against the Dodgers than the Yankees did.

(16:14):
The Yankees won one game, and it was a bullpen
game by the Dodgers. They went zero two in the
games in which Garrett Cole pitched. They're just they're just
you know again, they beat they can beat the Guardians,
but the Yankees, they just don't match up to the Dodgers,
and the Dodgers were beat up. They'll be a significantly
better and healthier team next year. The Giants and the Jets,

(16:35):
at least one of them has Aaron Rodgers and quinnin Williams.
You know, the Knicks for a nice story, but I
don't think they're in the class of the Celtics. So
it's it's been rough. I mean, it's it's you know,
the Mets have a rich owner and Francisco li Indoor
is a remarkable player, but they have good players and
one great player, So I mean they people. You know,
you think to yourself, God, why does anybody care about

(16:56):
the Jets if you're in New York. I mean because
of the Vonte Adams and Garrett Wilson and Aaron Rodgers.
You know, they have their moments and like in the
second half tonight, they have their moments where they look competitive.
So you know, here's the good news for New York Colts, Jags, Texans,
all these teams that they can make up ground and

(17:21):
if they beat him head to head in the wild
card race and the AFC, I don't think they're going
to get there. I'll still stand by my prediction. I
think they're an eight or nine win team. But I
do think DeVante Adams like tonight in that second half,
and you can see the more he and Aaron play together.
And what I really liked about Aaron tonight is he
was really into it. He was really into it. He
had good energy in the second half. He was pumping

(17:43):
his fist. He was fired up. And that's what you
worry about with Aaron. He can be a very moody guy.
And I've said he I had an NFL coach tell
him a pretty famous NFL coach once say he's just
Jay Cuttler with talent, is that he's kind of a moody, prickly,
difficult guy. The difference Aaron can really when he has
time to throw, really can spin it. And tonight he

(18:04):
was in a groove. He had great energy, He played
inspired and it was fun to watch. The first ALB
wasn't fun, but twenty one to thirteen Jets win, and
it's something. Eight sacks ran the ball effectively. Aaron had
a good night. Now you have extra prep time against
the Arizona Cardinals. I love this time in the NFL
season because it does feel like the games get a

(18:26):
little bit easier to predict, just because it's statistically defenses
get hurt more than offenses, and you know, so you
get a separation. Now you get some finger pointing in
the bad locker rooms. The quarterbacks and the best coaches
feel like they separate. I don't think the Jets have
one of the better coach teams. But I do think offensively,

(18:49):
and that's what this lead. Nobody's stopping anybody defensively. I
still think the Jets miss Robert Saw on that end.
But offensively, you got to be able to score. And
you start looking at the Jets pieces. If Aaron's healthy,
it's something. It's not that it's better than the Giants.
I mean, there's there are a lot of teams in
worse shape than Aaron Rodgers, Breese Hall, a decent backup,

(19:12):
Alan the kid from Wisconsin, Garrett Wilson, and Davonte Adams.
There are a lot of teams in much worse shape
than that. And and this point forward the offenses winning
this league. I mean, you go look at January and
February the last three or four years. It's the offenses
that separate. Nobody's stopping anybody late. Everybody's all thanked up

(19:34):
on that side of the ball. Listen, don't bail on CJ. Stroud.
His last three games, he has a seventy six passer rating.
You're dealing with second tier wide receivers and there's no protection.
And this is like it's like Sam Donald. You look
at him with the Jets and you're like he's terrible,
and then you're like, oh, he goes to Minnesota and
he has a good coach, and he has good protection,

(19:55):
and he has weapons and got sam Donald's pretty good.
It's amazing how it looks. You go watch broad without
Christian McCaffrey, Deebo, Samuel's banged up, and you're like, ah,
what is he? Well, you know, all of a sudden
second half last week, he's moving. You know, you watch
Brock pretty now as Jennings gets healthy and McCaffrey comes back,

(20:15):
you're gonna look at him and go, oh, he's pretty Folks.
There's like one or two guys in this league. Lamar Jackson,
Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes are about it where it doesn't
really matter who's healthy and who's not. That's about it. CJ. Stroud.
He hasn't reached his peak yet. He'll probably reaches his
he'll go into his prime after next season. This is

(20:37):
year two, next year, year three, year four to year
nine to ten, six years prime, won't have many surgeries
at that point. Still fresh now knows the game, knows
the coverages. He hadn't even reached this prime yet. So
you got like second and third tier receivers, terrible protection,
and it's a defensive head coach, so you know he's

(21:00):
got a coordinator. But if that coordinator leaves, that's not ideal.
Bobby Slowick. So you know, I just there's three guys
in the world that it doesn't really matter. They're just
going to be wildly productive. Mahomes al Lamar. For guys
like c J. Stroud, he's closer to a Sam Donald.
I think he's a better thrower with the football than
Sam Darnold, and he's a better athlete and a bigger,

(21:20):
stronger version of rock Perty. But in the end, there's
the three greats and then a lot of these guys.
It's just circumstantial, and he'll be fine when they get
Nico Collins back. Nico Collins is uncoverable and they get
their offensive line straightened out. But don't sell any stock.
We've seen this kid when he has support and he's

(21:42):
really good. Everybody in this league. You know, Baker Mayfield
has Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. He's pretty good, and
they get hurt. He's not as good. He just lost
to Atlanta. That's the way it works. For ninety percent
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Speaker 1 (23:17):
Former NFL scout. He hosts three and Out podcast Hardest
working guy in this business and totally tied into the
San Francisco forty nine ers who hold on to beat
Dallas thirty to twenty four. I didn't. I didn't think
it would be that close. You know, we'll spend fifteen
twenty minutes on this Listen their things. San Francisco does well.

(23:39):
They run the ball. They had, you know, two hundred
yards rushing. Dallas doesn't run the ball. We knew that
going into the season. They had just I thought they
adjusted really well at halftime tonight they were really struggling
stopping Dallas in the first half. Dallas was getting a
push and then they kind of exploded in the third quarter.
I do not trust this Niner pass rusher team Laighton games.

(24:02):
They've been burned late in games. I thought brought pretty
really struggled low off target early. I thought later in
the second half to gain confidence, he used his legs
a little bit, started moving, kind of gain confidence, hit
on some nice throws. Kittle had a great night. You know,
I think there's a difference between Dallas and San Francisco.

(24:24):
I think San Francisco is a good team that is
just physically like the Rams in the first month, just
beat up. They just don't have enough good players. I
think Dallas is a bad team that actually played pretty
well tonight. They got to break when the couple of
Niners banged into each other and Ceedee Lamb got a
you know, wide open touchdown. And I've been saying this
for a while. Dallas almost if you're a cowboy fant

(24:46):
and I You're like, wow, we made it competitive at
the end. I think they got to take a swing. John.
I think they have to do something in the offseason.
I think they have to sell some pieces, get two
high draft picks. I don't see the way out for Dallas.
Dak is ordinary. They're paying him a fortune, They're locked
into him. If Ceedee Lamb twisted his ankle. They don't

(25:07):
have a guy on this offensive roster that you would
be forced to roll coverage over. I think it's despite
the score tonight. I think it's grimmer for Dallas than
people think, especially with Washington now like looking like the
next decade they're gonna be locked in with Jade Daniels.

Speaker 3 (25:26):
Yeah, you know, this is not a game. I guess
you need to worry about most people box score scouting
because everyone watches it. But that score, I mean, they
scored two touchdowns in the last five or six minutes
of the game. One of the drives was a seventy
second drive. Yeah, which you know is pretty unheard of
in the NFL. Obviously the Niners the first touchdown drive
playing way off you don't hit me tonight is the

(25:47):
forty nine Ers have beat these guys now four times
in a row, twice in the playoffs. They molly wopped
him last year on Sunday Night Football, and they were
up in this game twenty seven to ten, missing a
lot of guys. This matchup, which is one of the
biggest matchups of my life in terms of brands in
the history is currently Kyle Shanahan, who's you know for

(26:08):
a young guy who's been coaching in the NFL for
twenty years and his dad is one of the most
famous offensive coaches of all time, so he's been around
football's whole life. And John Lynch, who currently last year
or two years ago just went into the Hall of Fame.
That's the forty nine ers brass building this team against
an eighty plus year old Jerry Jones. It just it
was like, this is not really a fair fight because

(26:29):
it's not like they both hit on some high end
players Micah cd nick Bosa, Right, I mean they've both
hit on trade for Trent Williams paying a bunch of money.
But the forty nine Ers team is littered with guys
in the fourth, fifth, sixth round. That Isaac Garrendo is
a fourth round rookie running back and boom, plug and play.
What's the whole thing?

Speaker 1 (26:49):
Cowboys?

Speaker 3 (26:50):
No running back? They're playing Zeke can't run away from
me or you who's tough, physical guy but can't move?
They draft Isaac, well, guess what, I think he went
a couple picks right after the pick that they traded
for Trey Lance, who is their third string quarterback. Right,
and listen, I admire Jerry's clearly from a business standpoint,

(27:12):
He's been incredible for thirty plus years. I mean, hell,
they sell practice facility tours to make a little ext income.
But that he tried to strike oil on that one,
and sometimes he does that, and you're not gonna strike
oil Jerry, like you're gonna take Kyle who are you
bidding against?

Speaker 1 (27:28):
On that one?

Speaker 3 (27:30):
And the other quarterbacks in his draft class who are
way better went for like six and seventh round picks Fields,
Mac Jones, Zach Wilson. So that's kind of a microcosm
of Kyle Shanahan, John Lynch. But you could just go
less need Sean McVay, Dan Brad Holmes, Dan Campbell, Guda
Kin's lafor how is Jerry compete the NFC even you

(27:52):
know the Eagles, Sirianni's under question, but no one questions
Howie's intelligence. So from a football standpoint in that conference
doesn't have the high end quarterbacks of the Mahomes, Alan Lamar,
Burrow Herbert, but it does have very very high level
front office and football guys, coach and GM combos that

(28:13):
I would say and have built very very good teams.
Because you watch the Cowboys, they got injuries. Like you said,
how many guys are on the sideline for the Niners. Hell,
halfway through the game, Deebo's got a seventeenth injury of
the season and he's in the blue ten. Didn't even
matter to me that score, Like, don't get me wrong,
I mean it was you're on the edge of your
seat those last couple of minutes not really indicative what

(28:35):
we witnessed when the Niners really put a pedal to
the medal there and when the game mattered.

Speaker 1 (28:39):
Yeah, I mean what's discouraging is for a long time
Niners were fifty percent on third down with a lot
of time to play. They had four hundred and fifty yards.

Speaker 3 (28:47):
They didn't party. Was, like you said, atrocious in the
first half, Miss Carrolls.

Speaker 1 (28:52):
Yeah, underneath stuff like layups and beat up. I mean,
they have like seven starters out. It's just it's this
is almost encouraging for Dallas because they were competitive.

Speaker 3 (29:04):
I off a bye though, you know, with Jerry talking
a bunch of crap, they were kind of motivating. I
don't know. I thought they threw the kitchen sink and
they ran out of juice.

Speaker 1 (29:13):
That's what I think. I mean. Mike McCarthy, actually he's
not Andy Reid, but he's top five or six coach
in the league off a bye, so and they had
a very solid first half and then and then again
you can only tweak, you know. I mean it's just
interesting to watch, Like Ricky Pearsall, he got a little run.
I mean, they're using cowling on punts. They're they're getting

(29:35):
a lot of different guys involved, you know, and it's
funny in the NFL you're allowed to whiff. I mean
John Lynch is whiffed on some guys. I mean, you know,
he's taken swings and missed on guys. That wide receiver
from fm U, he was a second or third round pick,
Gray Terrible. Yeah, yeah, yeah, so yeah. I mean less
Snead and McVeigh missed on Logan Brouss, the second round guard,

(30:00):
who's just a perennial backup second round guard to two
at well, you know he'll be gone here soon. So
I mean, it's okay to miss people miss all the time.
Pete Carroll had hits, he had misses. I mean, he
had Rashad Penny in the first round as a running
back that never panned out really so, but it's just
I just feel San Francisco also the advantage that San

(30:20):
Francisco has they're they're better at drafting, but they also
have a coach that has a certain style, so stylistically,
there are things you can draft that almost always work
with Shanahan, like running backs, slot receivers. It's they almost
always work because you know, it's like they're like with

(30:41):
Andy Reid. I mean, they've missed on some wide receivers,
which by the way, is the hardest position to draft
in the first round in the NFL, because I mean,
for a lot of reasons. A lot of times you
get a mature quarterback. He's just not patient. He just
doesn't want to wait for some kid to figure out
the routes. They don't trust him. That was Brady in
New England.

Speaker 3 (30:57):
He just did historic Historically, it was one of the
bigger busting positions to the last six or seven years
when the college football changed.

Speaker 1 (31:04):
Washington beats the Bears eighteen to fifteen on a Hail Mary.
Let me just start with this. Washington was the better team.
They were the better coached team. I thought Chicago's offensive
coaching at the end of the game was egregiously horrible
late in the game, and I give let me just

(31:26):
say Caleb and his movement and his side arming stuff.
You can see the Mahomes comps. He's running around the
old lines getting overwhelmed. I mean, first of all, it
was nine to nothing at half. Chicago had thirty three
yards passing in the first half. I thought the game
was over. But Chicago, you know, their defense, you know,
kind of kept him in the game. And then Washington's

(31:48):
offense stalled. But I got us John the third and
goal where the Bears did the fridge perry. The following
drive on a third down to win the game, they
did a draw, essentially putting in the hands. The whole
game came down one play, Thank god, Keenan Allen. It
was past interference. I didn't get that. I mean, they

(32:10):
made no attempt. It felt like the third down was
just setting up fourth down and they had to have
a touchdown to take a lead. So I just couldn't
stand Chicago's offensive coaching. And I know it to Hail Mary,
but my take was Washington was a better team.

Speaker 3 (32:29):
Could not agree more. There was a stat that popped up,
I think in the second half that said he was
four of thirteen for thirty six yards. That being Caleb.
I thought on this drive can't be the game, and
I had a double check it was the game. Their
offense was horrendous, their defense was outstanding. I wrote down,
I mean even when it was nine to nothing, it
felt I mean twenty eight to nothing.

Speaker 1 (32:51):
Yeah, complete control.

Speaker 3 (32:53):
Jaden didn't just look like the best player in the game,
he looked like one of the best players in the league.
The thing I wrote down is if you could picked
these two coaching staffs, Ibra flus Waldron and dan Quinn
Cliff Kingsbury, the gap is like going from a star
starting quarterback to some random backup. You're like, it's not
even close. That's why when they take the lead, I'm like, listen,

(33:14):
it's sports. Crazy things happen. But there haven't been many
games this season where a team would have came away
with a victory that was like, oh you didn't. You
didn't even come close to call the play to a
backup offensive lineman. On like I was one years old
with the refrigerator Perry plays, but he did it a
lot right. It was part of their arsenal. They weren't

(33:36):
a good obviously Walter Payton, but they weren't some dynamic
offense you got, you drafted the receiver nine. You got
Keenan Allen, you got DJ Moore. Your running backs are
the reason you're in the game. Yes, I mean if
it wasn't for Swifts whatever, huge run, oh hugely, it
wouldn't even have been close. It was like that gave
them life because they had none none, They had none

(33:57):
to give them that play, even they ended up taking
the lead with twenty seconds left. That's I think that
has to go down as the most egregious play call
of the season. Second would probably be that remember that
fake play the Bills ran, I think against the Ravens
when they were storing that. But that was way worse
to get backup offensive lineman. I mean, it's not even
you can't even blame him. Belichick would say, it's not

(34:19):
on the player, it's on the coach. Yeah, you can't
call you can't put that guy in that position.

Speaker 1 (34:24):
So here's a prime example of coaching. One team has
Joe Burrow, Jamar Chase, elite pass rusher. One team has
bon Nicks, Courtland Sutton and no elite pass rushers. Now
Patrick's certain Patrick Sartan I wrote this down today. He
may be a top ten defensive player in the league.
He is just absolutely phenomenal good. This is what coaching

(34:48):
does with Sean Payton bone Nicks today who in his
last game. I text Sean, I said, man, his mechanics
are off. Sewan's like, hey, the kid's great. We're gonna
get a cleaned up three touchdowns, no picks, two hundred
eighty yards, nine different white receiver's tight end targets, only
one penalty. When I was watching the game. There may
have been more, but when I wrote it down, only
one penalty. They were tremendous on third down. Nor Carolina,

(35:08):
I get it. Denver was picked to went five games
by Vegas. They're at five and three halfway through the season.
They are coaching the you know what out of this team, John,
This is the same defensive personnel. Remember, because of Russell Wilson,
they didn't have any draft picks. They got the LS
kid out of Utah. I think third round. They got
Franklin the wide receiver who dropped the ball right through

(35:30):
his hands today a deep ball. And I don't even
think bon Nix would be this good, and he struggled
in the first month, but I watched him today. Backfoot
confidence this If you think we're being hard On Zach Taylor.
Denver is squeezing every ounce of juice. You tell me
how they're generating this pass rush. You tell me how

(35:51):
bo Nix is thrown for three hundred yards behind kind
of an okay offensive line. I watched Denver and I
think that is coaching. That is That's what I see.

Speaker 3 (36:01):
Yeah, I mean I totally agree. I mean I don't
think Denver's roster is very good. I also think I
think vance Joseph last year when they scored what Miami
scored seventy on him, Yeah, and Sean Payton stuck with him,
and by the end of the season they were playing
good defense. Their defense, Like you said, beside the corner,
you have to google some of the guys on the team. Yeah,

(36:22):
this is not Neil Smith and Bill Romanowski that you're like, oh,
these I don't even know who these guys are, and
now we're gonna find out a lot more about him.
On Thursday night playing that New Orleans team a week ago,
I mean, that was kind of a joke squad. And
I didn't even think bo Nickx was that good in
that game. The Ravens and the Chiefs coming up, but hell,
they don't have to win those games. If you get
to nine to eight with this roster and a rookie quarterback,

(36:43):
what a great building spot. Now, this is the thing
with hiring good coaches, Like look at Lafloor. He's six
and two of his starting quarterback in and out of
the lineup, completely unfaced. You're gonna look up, I don't
know how many games Jordan Love who knows how long
he's out. They're gonna be an eleven twelve win team
no matter what. The power of that position in this

(37:04):
sport flies by everything else. Is it Aaron Boone's fault
that Aaron Judge has no clue what's coming out of
the pitcher's hands. There's nothing he can do where in
coaching you watch in college last night, Texas A and
M has been one of the biggest jokes in college
football the last couple of years, and you watch him
now you're like, holy hell, this looks like Alabama or something.

(37:25):
It's because it's not even just about the play calling.
It's about the messaging. It's about the structure, it's about
the discipline. It's about basic things like you know, how
you practice the first ten minutes of warm ups? What
is okay, and what is not okay? If you come
out with the wrong stuff, do I make you go
back in and change or do I let it slide?

(37:45):
And I think you just see the separating. You see,
the Jets are a good example. They got no clue
what they're doing. It's one of the worst coaching staffs
in the league, is the staff. And then you look.
I think Denver and the Chargers are very very good examples.
Have no business. You could say the Chargers a little
bit because they do have a good quarterback, you know,
an experienced quarterback to win ten games with their roster.

(38:08):
If I give half the coaches in the NFL, those teams,
they don't sniff ten wins, right, But I give Jim
Harbaugh and Sean Payton, and what do they make a
combined thirty five million dollars? They make it for a
reason because you're gonna feel pretty good about them winning
double digit games every year going forward. And the other
thing that we don't talk a lot about with coaches,
who do you hire your staff? It's one of the

(38:30):
Harbaugh families great attributes. I would say Sean Payton, for
the most part, has always had good coaching staffs.

Speaker 1 (38:36):
Yes, Dan Campbell was assistant.

Speaker 3 (38:38):
Dennis Hound's not a good head coach, but he's an
excellent defensive coordinator, so he had a staff. And now, listen,
I was skeptical of Vance Joseph. You gotta give them
a lot of credit. Like their defense is flying around.
So that's your job is more than just calling plays
or the draft like it encompasses a lot.

Speaker 1 (38:53):
Yeah, and they're the other thing. This is one of
the things Sean mcvaye does so well. You are you're
often asking yourself, how did Cooper cup and Kuka Nakua
get so open? Well that scheme. I mean, it's like
in the Super Bowl and Andy Reid has sky More
in the red zone wide open. You're like, there's only
so much space. How is sky More not covered at

(39:14):
the twelve? I'm watching Denver and there were multiple times
today You're like, now again, it's Carolina. But I'm seeing
this time and time again when they beat the Jets,
we thought it was a fluke. No, Denver is better
with Bonnicks. They're a better football team than the Jets
with Aaron Rodgers, and the Jets have significantly better players overall. Nope,

(39:37):
not even close. And so I'm just watching Denver today
and I'm like, this is like and I text Peyton
a couple of times, like this is what a well
coached team looks like. They should have beaten Carolina badly.
They did. They should have beaten New Orleans badly. They did,
But they're also winning this. That Jets game you look
at and you think, God, it was terrible. Weather had

(40:00):
no There's no reason in the world bo Nicks goes
and plays cross country if I recall their travel was bad,
and beats Aaron Rodgers in a like a semi tropical storm.
Peyton won't get Coach of the Year, but he should
be honorable mention because I think what he's doing with
this roster is incredible. Time for an end edition of

(40:31):
Sharper Square with Chad Millman, the co host of the Favorites.
All odds provided by Draft Kings. I felt pretty good
about my picks, I said in week six or seven,
I start to just go with quarterbacks. I think defenses
get statistically more beat up, more injured. Quarterbacks are even
more important. Teams and locker rooms move off players more
finger pointing. The better cultures win, the better coaches win,

(40:53):
the better quarterbacks win. So there's a couple of big favorites.
I like this weekend, and I don't normally do that.
Let's go to the underdogs though, Dolphins plus six at
the Bills. I like Miami. Okay, so this has been
a series dominated by Buffalo, no question, but they've played
very good. They're really feeling themselves. They travel cross country.

(41:14):
Now it's back Miami. Two is the first game back
off of concussion. They actually controlled that game, led by
ten and the fourth Usually quarterbacks off concussions don't play
great in the first week, second week, third week, fourth week.
You see improvement division rival game. Really like Miami plus
the point sharper square.

Speaker 4 (41:35):
Look, it's flipped. It opened at six, moved up to
six and a half. The wise guys liked Buffalo at
six and a half, and there's been a lot of
wise guy money moving this back down to six. It
might even get down to five and a half before kickoff.
So wise guys are on your side here. They like Miami.
They like two where they want to fade the Bills

(41:57):
because they've been playing so well. I will tell you,
I'll give you the other side of that argument, because
I've bet Buffalo at minus six, I will be against
the wise guys. I might be against you two. I
want to give everybody the opportunity to hear both sides.
Tua is terrible against teams that are good that are
on the road, okay, two and ten straight up, three

(42:20):
eight to one against the spread, away from home versus
winning teams in his NFL career with the Dolphins. Also,
the Bills offense has been top three in the league
across the majority of metrics, superficial, advanced metrics, whatever you
want to do. When it comes to rushing the ball,
the Dolphins are a terrible tackling team. So from a

(42:43):
matchup perspective and a history perspective, I think the Bills
have an advantage. But the wise guys, they like what
they saw. They feel like Tua the second game back
after the concussion, he's going to be better. They feel
like this Buffalo team it's a little bit too high
because of how well the Bills had been playing. So

(43:03):
why guys are with you, Colin? But I'm not okay?

Speaker 1 (43:07):
So I like Arizona minus one and a half at home.
First of all, Matt Eberflus is the worst road coach
in the league terrible. Secondly, Arizona is better. Their personnel
offensively is the best kept secret in the league. I
love Connor the back, McBride, the tight end. Harrison now

(43:27):
is getting more consistent. He's a dog. Kyler Murray in
the second half was outstanding. And I never trust this
team's consistency and maturity. But I like the staff. I
like their fight Chicago. If you start looking at Chicago,
they unraveled last week. They really did. They were lucky

(43:49):
to be in a position to lose by Hail Mary.
Arizona's a good home team. Eber Flu's awful on the road.
Arizona minus one and a half. Sharper square.

Speaker 4 (44:00):
Yeah, it's sharp ish, Like if the wise guys are
playing anything here, they're playing Arizona, but it's not primary
in the games they're betting. A lot of wise guys
I talked to, they kind of want to pass on
this game. In a perfect world, in a vacuum, they
bet on the Bears. The Bears are more talented offensively.

(44:20):
They're a really good defensive team, and they're really good
at rushing the passer, and they're really good in coverage. Now,
the challenge for the Bears Is Montes Sweat didn't practice
on Wednesday. Has an injured shin. We don't know what
his status will be. They're ten and five with Montes
Sweat since he joined the team. Okay, Number one, that's
really good for pass rush. Number two Braxton Jones, they're

(44:43):
left tackle. He probably isn't going to play. Did not
practice this week. They were terrible when he left the
game last week. Caleb was running for his life and
then they got worse when Braxton Jones backup came in.
And Braxton Jones backup is not going to be playing
this week. So they're scraping the bottom of the barrel there.
But here's what's interesting about Kyler. Kyler is great in
the chaos and what the Bears would create and what

(45:06):
their strength is is creating chaos for quarterbacks because they
are so good at rushing the pasture and so good
in coverage. So kyler strengths actually plays to the Bear strength,
which is another reason why the wise guys aren't quite
looking to rush to bet this game. And like you,
eberflus Man, and I can't imagine you don't have a

(45:28):
theory on this, but as a Bears fan, why draft
Caleb Williams and then keep a coach who's a defensive
coach who if he doesn't do well this year, you
know you're going to get rid of. Then you're going
to bring in a new coach, and you've basically wasted
a year and created bad habits for Caleb Williams. Right,
So now all of a sudden, Eberflus is basically throwing
his team under the bus, saying, we practiced this play

(45:48):
the Hail Mary every single week. I don't know why
the guys didn't do it right. That hasn't sat well,
So people don't know what they're going to get with
the Bears this week.

Speaker 1 (45:57):
Okay, you know I love the magic number four, four
and a half and five. I take the favorites. Washington
thoroughly outplayed Chicago, and Chicago's a pretty decent team. The Giants, now,
as we talked about No Andrew Thomas, Daniel Jones visibly
frustrated during the week two point conversion against the Steelers.
They're off him. Everybody in the building knows that it

(46:18):
just feels like a horrible environment. The owner has supported
the GM and the coach and not the quarterback. I
think Washington's a really good team. I think they're for real.
I think now Jaden Daniels is healthier. I didn't feel
he was at one hundred percent last weekend. I would
take Washington minus four. I know it's a division rivalry game.
Sharper Square.

Speaker 4 (46:37):
No, the wise guys are with you. They're they're betting
on Washington and it's a normally they wouldn't right a
division game. Right you're getting a home dog at more
than a field goal, you want to bet the home dog.
And we've got other games in which that is a
scenario this week, but right now, like three and a
half for a team that has lost its left tackle.

(46:59):
He was the only reason that you ever felt comfortable
betting on this team because he was so good at
stabilizing that line. And now Tyrone Tracy, who has really
been an offensive weapon out of the backfield for them,
the running back out of Purdue, he had a concussion.
Not likely to play. You're right about Daniel Jones. I
think it's only a matter of time before they give
him the hook because they owe him, you know, twenty

(47:20):
three million dollars if he gets injured next season. So
I think pretty soon this experiment with Danny Dimes is
going to end.

Speaker 1 (47:30):
Okay. I think the Rams are really a good football
team when healthy. In fact, if you go back to
last year when Stafford, Kyron Williams, Pooka, and Cooper Cup
play their seven and three in their losses at Detroit
and overtime at Baltimore in overtime, offensive coach and Matt
Stafford played on Thursday extra time to prepare. They only

(47:52):
have to give up one at Seattle. This is a
coach and a quarterback mismatch. They are now healthier and
like the Packers offensively, the Rams defensively are crazy young
young teams grow. They become better and better every few weeks.
The Packers offense just getting better every two games. This

(48:15):
Rams defense is high draft picks, hungry, no stars, fast, young,
and collectively very good. I think the Rams put away
the Seahawks or Sharper Square.

Speaker 4 (48:27):
Colin, You and I right now are going into the
Foxholt on the Los Angeles Rams. The wise guys hate
this bet. The Rams opened it as one and a
half point underdogs. They are now almost two and a
half point favorites. The wise guys they love Seattle at
two and a half. I'm with you and Simon Hunter

(48:50):
and my co host, he's with you, like we feel
like we are alone in the foxhol betting this game,
and we don't see what other people are seeing in Seattle.
You've said this before, Sean McVay. For all the bells
and whistles, all the motion on this team, he likes
to run the ball. And Kyen Williams has been a

(49:10):
top five running back in the NFL the past season
in the half and he has been amazing since this
season began, especially against team like Seattle, which are bottom
third in all the rushing stats that matter. They're total
rushing yards, yards per carry EPA per rush like, they
are not a very good rush defense. They're still a

(49:32):
team that's developing its talent. Hookah's back. He's a great
run blocker. You saw that last week. He's just so
freaking big. Cooper cup back Stafford is great in these situations.
He's a quarterback. At the end of the day, Like
you've said, there are quarterbacks that you just don't want
to bet against. And sometimes I make my decisions about
who I want to bet on based on how uncomfortable

(49:54):
am I going to be If I am betting the
other side, and this quarterback has the ball in the
last two minutes. Matthew Stafford's top five on that list.
So you and I brother, if it's in the blazon,
you're going to be in a foxhill. I'm going to
be in the foxhole. Will be in it together.

Speaker 1 (50:13):
There's a couple of games that are fascinating to me.
First of all, I don't know if it's a stay
away game. I think I would take the Vikings at
home minus five against the Colts because they're making a
quarterback change. Also, I think the Vikings, I think the
Rams on the road and the Lions, those offenses and

(50:34):
those coaching staffs can make teams look very bad. And
I think Minnesota's defense, if you go back three weeks,
we thought it was pretty good. I think they need
to redeem themselves before they get into division play. I
think this is a good spot for them. I think
they have a quarterback advantage. I think both coaches are
really good, but in this spot with a quarterback change,

(50:57):
I think Minnesota has to get right. There's real urgency
here before they get to the Green Bays, the Detroit's,
the Chicago's in their schedule. I would take the Vikings
minus five Sharper square.

Speaker 4 (51:09):
Yeah, the wise guys have been betting the Colts. They
bet them at six, they bet them at five and
a half. If it's down to five, it means they
bet them again. The Coult situation is incredibly confusing. Shane
Stike and kind of intimated that this was coming from ownership, right,
Like you look at Anthony Richardson, Completion percentage is not

(51:33):
a very good way to judge developing quarterback. And there's
been a lot of great analysis this week about if
you analyze each one of his throws, he's making the
choices that are the lower percentage throw but the higher
ROI if they're completed versus eight yard outs that won't
get you the first down, or twenty yard outs that
will get you the first down, And so there's decisions

(51:55):
being made there. And Shane Stiken, I'm a huge fan
as a coach. The wise guys are on this game
because when it became Flacco, they sort of felt a
little bit more comfortable that he can manage the Brian
Flores defense and anything this guy throws at him. And
don't forget the Colts have an elite rushing game. And
we talked about this last week. It's why I like
the Colts against the Texans last week. If you have

(52:16):
a really good coach who's a good play caller, and
you have an elite unit, and you're a decent sized underdog,
I'm going to make that play. And that game played
out exactly as we expected it to play out with
the Colts. They dominated on the ground right and they
had so that Jonathan Taylor had more than one hundred
yards rushing in his first game back. They ran six

(52:37):
point two yards per carry. Like they will rely on
the running game. They'll find ways to potentially keep this
game close. So feels a little bit trappy to beout
the Vikings. It's not going to be a game that
I'm invested in it all.

Speaker 1 (52:57):
Okay, here's a game that I would never bet. You know,
I take the big number off the board. People try
to talk to me in the Lions Titans should have
won't do it. Ravens at home minus nine and a half. Now,
Lamar has taken a couple practices off the Ravens by
adding another receiver. Are telling you, listen, we don't have
Kansas City's defense or Buffalo's. We're going to win by scoring.

(53:20):
They want to ramp up this offense. Their weakness is
the back end, over the top. You can beat them
and Mahomes and Josh Allen might, Herbert might. Bo Nicks isn't.
That's not how they're built. He's not a big deep
ball thrower. He's more agile, mobile underneath. Ravens weakness is

(53:42):
not going to be exploited by Denver. This is a
tough spot. Ravens off a loss again. Baltimore on most
Sundays the last two years has been the knockout artist
in this league, blasting teams at home, not beating them,
blasting Niners Miami like Detroit. This is a number, all

(54:04):
swallow Ravens nine and a half. I know I am
as square as a lego.

Speaker 4 (54:09):
Right, Not this week, brother, not this week. Like last week.
I tried to get you on the Lions. I love
the Lions, and like that was a no brainer from
the get go. It didn't matter what the number was
going to be. We were betting the Lions the Ravens.
The wise guys are coming in on the Ravens, and
it's a little bit tricky because Denver's defense is feers right,

(54:33):
get great pass rush, great pass rush, great against the run,
like their front four is phenomenal. But you can also
look at it and say they've played not very good teams.
They've had a relatively easy schedule, weaker quarterbacks, weaker quarterbacks. Right,
you can look at you can look at the Ravens
and say, okay, they should be dominating, but they laid

(54:56):
every they let every team back into it. And look
at what Jamis did last week. Look at what Jaden Daniels.
The Ravens were up by ten, they spread with seven
and a half. The Commanders lost that game by seven
because the Ravens let Jaden Daniels get back into it.
We've seen it week after week after week. The Ravens
give up seventeen point three points per game in the

(55:18):
second half this year. That is the worst in the NFL.
Only the Titans are at thirty one. It's like those
two and last week they were tied, and so the
Ravens number got worse this week, and the Titans number,
after giving fifty two points got better. That's how bad
the Ravens back end has been. If you watched that
game last week. Ross Talker, who's a great broadcaster and

(55:40):
really good podcaster. He talked about like you look on
film and every single week this Ravens defense the back end,
they look confused and they're communicating and trying to get
it right while the play is being called and while
the ball is being snapped. So it's a huge gamble
literally to take the Ravens at this big and number.
You gotta believe that Bonnicks won't be able to go

(56:03):
over the top in the same way. And you know
Sean Payton is going to have him sling it like
he's he's playing him like he's a fourth year pro.
So it's risky, but the wise guys are on it.
If you want to be on it, I can't walk
you off.

Speaker 1 (56:15):
It, Okay. So the game that's most interesting to me
every game. Every week I pick a game and I
want you to convince me. So my natural feeling is
even off of bye, Dallas just doesn't deliver much to
the field off a by against the San Francisco defense
without Dray green Law not really playing particularly well, some

(56:37):
top starters out they couldn't generate much offense and they
were dominated once you went off script in the third
quarter and adjusted by the Niners. So I just don't
like Dallas. Every part of my being loves Atlanta minus
two and a half three, every part. But Atlanta is
off a very very competitive divisional game, highly emotional game,

(56:59):
and I can see that coming back down the earth.
I can see Dallas. Remember, Atlanta offers no pressure. Guys
like Dak and Gino Smith with time to throw are
usually really effective. So my gut feeling is Atlanta's the side.
I picked Atlanta to be the number one seed in
the NFC with twelve to thirteen wins. I love them,

(57:19):
but something tells me Dallas is the side here.

Speaker 4 (57:23):
Dallas is where the wise guys are. And this number
gets to three, it gets bet down to two and
a half, it gets beat back up to three, goes
down to two and a half. The wise guys definitely
like the Cowboys here. It's a little strange, you know.
The Falcons. Kirk Cousins is basically run up his numbers
thrown against the Buccaneers and the Panthers. Yeah, that's how

(57:46):
he's made had such a good year, and like he's played,
honest to guy, He's throwing like eight touchdowns and thrown
for eight hundred yards against the Buccaneers, and so you
look at those numbers, you're like, oh my god, he's
maybe he finally Kyle Pitts look like what everyone has
been drooling about from a fantasy point of view for
the past three or four years. But against regular teams,

(58:09):
they're generally mediocre, and so the question becomes, especially against
teams that can cover and they can rush the passer.
So the question you have to ask yourself is is
Micah Parsons gonna play? Because without Micah Parsons, the Cowboys
can't rush the passer. That is, you know, part of
the phrase and Achilles heel for Kirk Cousins. He's not
very good against coverage right now. Is Deron Bland going

(58:32):
to play? He practiced this week the Cowboys cornerback. If so,
the Cowboys are much much better in coverage. Dak Prescott
is basically a mal Santa at this point. Like he
does not move inside the pocket, right he just sits
for four hours. The guy's just sitting there giving away
gift to Cede Lamb. If he is able to do

(58:53):
that against a team like the Falcons that can't get
any pressure, then yeah, he's gonna slice him up. Have
no running game. They can't stop their run. It is
so ugly, it will be so uncomfortable. Everything about these
teams says fraud. So you're really just deciding I'm betting
on the underdog as a fraud.

Speaker 1 (59:13):
Okay, there's always a game or two I missed. I
have a feeling Chargers Browns could be one of them.
I would be prone to bet against Cleveland after a win.
That would be my gut feeling. Is that one of
the games I missed?

Speaker 4 (59:26):
Well, certainly, it's a game that a lot of wise
guys are talking about and they have been betting on Cleveland.
This number has moved down. I think it was a
two and a half and no, down to two, now
down to one and a half. I'm with you, man,
I don't get it. And this is what makes betting
so interesting, right because you have to decide when are

(59:47):
you selling. It's like the market. Are you selling? Are
you going to hold on for one week too long?
Are you going to lose ten to twenty percent of
your value? Or are you getting out at the peak.
Let's break down the Ravens and the Chargers as competition
for Jamis. Let's break down Jamis as he played the
Ravens last week. He was great, sliced him up. Also

(01:00:10):
had a fumble at the end of the first half
that put the Ravens in position to score the goal
ahead touchdown. Instead of being down six three, they're up
ten to six. The play before he threw that dime
to Cedric Tilman to win the game for the Ravens,
he threw a gimme interception to Kyle Hamilton. The Kyle
Hamilton dropped and there were three of those in that game, right,

(01:00:30):
So now you go look at the Chargers. The Chargers
have an elite run defense, they have a great playmaker
and Justin Herbert, who doesn't turn the ball over, you
know they are going to run the ball. Is Jamis
Winston going to get away with the same mistakes. That
is my concern in betting on the Browns. The wise

(01:00:52):
guys are betting that Jamis will continue to find a
way to be Jamis, and that because this offensive line
is getting healthier, because this defense is getting healthier, because
the game is in Cleveland, there's an upswing, there's still momentum.
I'm not buying it. So if you want to pass
on it, I get it. If you want to take
the Chargers. I get it. The Charger's number is getting lower.

(01:01:13):
It's a little trappy to take sort of the road
dog and the road favorite in this spot. So it's
not a huge play for me, but I will bet
the Chargers.

Speaker 1 (01:01:21):
Anything else I missed?

Speaker 4 (01:01:23):
Yeah, how did we not talk about the Lions and
the Packers?

Speaker 1 (01:01:27):
Well, because I don't know if Jordan Love's going.

Speaker 4 (01:01:30):
To play, doesn't matter. Don't care. As Jay Cutler says
in the Urinal in Chicago, when someone tells them they
went to Vanderbilt, don't care. I don't care. I'm betting
the Packers at plus three and a half. And by
the way, if Jordan Love isn't playing and it's Malik Willison,
the number goes up to four four and a half.
I'm still playing the Packers. Matt Lafleur is an elite,

(01:01:54):
elite schemer. He has been amazing this season, att with
fluor seventy percent against the spread when he is an underdog,
and by the way, when he's an underdog of three
or more points eighteen and four. You got Jared Goff
who has a bocky ankle. You've got Jared Goff playing outdoors.

(01:02:16):
You've got the Lions at peak value. Right now, You've
got the Lions going against a Packers offensive line that
is a fantastic past blocking unit. And this will be
the first time we really see the impact of not
having Aiden Hutchinson to rush the passer. And by the way,

(01:02:36):
lake willis what has he done badly to not give
us confidence? He Matt with floor understands what he is
getting into with that quarterback. This is a smash the
smash spot for the Packers. I love the Packers here.

Speaker 1 (01:02:51):
Well, that's why you're a professional gambler and I'm a radioshmuck.

Speaker 4 (01:02:55):
By the way, By the way, nobody knows nothing until
the game is over.

Speaker 1 (01:02:59):
But I am definitely my toughest loss of the year
I took. You know, I love the number four. I
took green Bay against Jacksonville and they kneel before rushing in.

Speaker 4 (01:03:12):
That was rough, right, that was rough. I think I
told you to take Jacksonville at three and a half.

Speaker 1 (01:03:18):
I know, but I honestly green Bay led. I feel
I felt like I was in the wrong. I felt
like I was on the right side. But the way
I lost, I remember last year I lost a dooint
on the Saints. They like hit the crossbar maybe twice
in that game. I felt like about once a year.
I laugh. I don't get angry. I feel like, you
got to be kidding me. They led by I think ten.

(01:03:40):
At one point in the second half, they're going in
running for the touchdown and the guy doesn't dive at
the two, and I thought, well, okay, the experts, that's right.

Speaker 4 (01:03:49):
Yeah, that's that's how it works out. By the way,
that Jacksonville game was a joke. I was joking on
the podcast this week. I hated the Jacksonville bet. I
didn't want to make. I thought it was a bad idea.
I hate that team. I'm not impressed with them. Everything
that we needed to go right in that game went right.
It was a lucky, lucky win. But then you got

(01:04:12):
to look at the Colts against the Texans and either
I got lucky, we got we got either we got
really lucky with the Colts because the Texans were going
to the very least kick a field goal late in
the game. If Joe Mixon and C. J. Shroud don't
botch the snap, don't botch the handoff, and the Colts
recover and then you know they can go down and

(01:04:32):
do their thing, or the game ends at three. It
wasn't going to go like that, but everything that lead
led up to that made it feel like a great handicap.
Everything with Jacksonville felt like a bad handicap, and we
just got lucky in the end. But you sort of
have to say to yourself, did I get lucky in
both games? Or were both games a great handicap? So
I'm going with they were genius ideas and I am

(01:04:53):
hoping the same thing happens with the Packers.

Speaker 1 (01:04:58):
Sharper Square Chad Millman, co host of The Favorites. All
odds provided by DraftKings.

Speaker 4 (01:05:02):
Thanks Buddy, see you, Buddy, Joy Halloween.

Speaker 1 (01:05:06):
Thanks.

Speaker 3 (01:05:10):
The volume.

Speaker 1 (01:05:13):
Thanks so much for listening. If you've enjoyed the podcast,
take a moment, rate and review,

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Colin Cowherd Podcast Prime Cuts - Dodgers Win The World Series, Did Jets Save Their Season? Betting NFL Week 9

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.css-14f5ked{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:2;overflow:hidden;}Colin Cowherd Podcast Prime Cuts - Dodgers Win The World Series, Did Jets Save Their Season? Betting NFL Week 9