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August 23, 2021 • 20 mins

The Homie Liv Moods stobs by to tell us why she's betting Rodgers to win MVP, why the Bucs repeat, and why she's fading the Cowboys HARD. Follow MoneylineMonaco and The Volume on Twitter to stay locked into Monaco's latest picks, tips and content.

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Speaker 1 (00:01):
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All right, Welcome to a special edition episode of the
Sports Gambling with Money Line Monaco podcast. Here live on
the volume, Sports Illustrious, Gorgeous set join bar by our
phenomenals sponsors C four. I'm sipping on a little bomb
cycle and to my right joining me on the podcast,

(04:05):
I'm Alex Montico, by the way, with the one and
only live moods of the volume Sports Live. How are
you Well, I'm excited to be here. This is incredible
and I'm excited to talk some NFL with you. Yeah,
it's right around the corner. Let's talk some NFL Live.
Let's do it all right. So, first question for you
going into the season, a lot of unpack fans are back.

(04:28):
Give me your team that you're looking at that's maybe
a little overvalued, and then a team that you may
feels a little undervalued. Okay, let's start with overvalued. And
I don't want anyone to get upset with me, but
I am actually going to say the Seattle Seahawks. And
I know you might disagree with me, but let me
I know, let me tell you why I think they're
a little bit overvalued. Right now, they are the fifth

(04:50):
favorite to win the NFC Championship at plus one thousand
UM and they're sitting above the Cardinals to win the
NFC West at plus two eighty. Okay, when I'm looking
at the Seahawks team, I'm taking a look at Russell Wilson.
We all know he is an incredible qb Uh. This
Seattle Seahawks team performs best with the past first approach.
But Pete Carroll very Southern commitment to the run game,

(05:11):
so that has definitely hurt the Seahawks in a lot
of situations. But uh there is the new wide receiver
Joyne Scridge that could make a huge difference for this
past first thing for the Seattle Seahawks. But what I
will remind you of is no protection for Russell Wilson.
And it doesn't matter who his wide receiver is. The
past first approach doesn't matter. This Seahawks OH line is

(05:35):
a disaster. In the last three seasons, Russell Wilson has
been sacked a hundred forty six times. That's a league high.
So and it doesn't feel like they really made any
improvements to their defense, which I think was their one downfall.
Uh So, I do think they're a little overvalued this year. Again,
I love Russell Wilson, but if he doesn't have protection,
it doesn't matter how great he is, he can't do
what he needs to do. Well, let me ask you

(05:55):
in in lieu of the Seahawks, because I know you're right. Absolutely, defense,
you could look out of suspect and going into this year.
You know offensive line. You mentioned the sack numbers, But
I do want to throw this out to you because
I love the plus two eight value since this is
a gambling show in the NFCU West. Their third according
to FanDuel, our sponsor, behind first the Rams and then

(06:18):
the Niners. Do you know that since two thousand twelve,
Russell Wilson has won nine games or more every single season.
So I know he doesn't have the backups. I know
he doesn't have the depth. You could say, my boy
Jeff sports here in the building, former NFL alignment, he
knows when it's all about, gets the love the Jeff

(06:39):
right here showing up. He knows what it's like to
take care of your quarterback. I just feel like this
is a little bit of the Tom Brady effect here
where Russ was genuinely upset and showing his emotions little,
you know, hot and bothered, a little wedding crashes breaking,
you know, maybe attention to himself in a negative way.
But he's coming in fired up, So like, is there

(07:01):
a whirl where you feel that friction and a little
honesty between him and Pete Carroll, you know, let's call
it a marriage, a little relationship, head coach, quarterback. They
could maybe shocks and people in the NC West or
at least get to the playoffs. They might. But I
also want to point out that I think the entire
NFC West has gotten better this year. You know, the
Rams have at Stafford, J J. Watt, with the Cardinals.

(07:24):
I mean, every team in this NFC West division has
improved immensely and and build their roster for this upcoming season.
So I think you're right. I think Russell Wilson, you know,
he he is that guy and he could absolutely, like
you said, since two thousand twelve, easily get over nine wins.
But I think he's in one of the toughest divisions
right now, and I think that you know, all right,

(07:45):
So we'll we'll see, We'll see how the Hawks do.
But now I gotta get your undervalued give me who
you're feeling is just you know the people are gonna
hate this one. I think undervalued the Cardinals. I know
that's kind of a lot. Take UM six hundred in
the NFC West, and I just I really am excited
about this team. And again I could be welcome to betting.

(08:08):
Um you think you're right, and you never are, That's
just how it goes. But I think the new high
level edition in J. J. Watt is massive. If Chandler
Jones can get and stay healthy. I think that's a
wicked combo between Jones and Watt on defense, So I
really like that. I think Kyler Murray also has more
weapons on offense. In the receiving end. You know, there's
a lot of excitement and optimism around A. J. Green

(08:30):
obviously DeAndre Hopkins. So Kyler Murray has more help. He's
got better receivers, the talent is better, um and they're
also facing six past defenses that ranked bottom ten last season.
So I don't know. I just feel like the odds
are in their favor. I really like this team this year.
I think J. J. Watt, Chandler Jones, uh, the excitement
around A J. Green obviously, you know, we don't know

(08:52):
what that's gonna look like. But I think there's a
lot of optimism and I'm excited to watch them. I'm
with you there or no one in the NFC West
is on you. It could happen. It could. I really
do think this is one of the toughest divisions this year.
It absolutely is. All Right, We're moving on to m
v P Talk. This arguably is my favorite topic of

(09:14):
today's podcast. I love who you have tied up for me,
but give me a top two that you are looking
at on the fan duel sports book that you see
is just value or straight up I'm going with the
best in the biz. Yeah, So first one plus one
thousand Aaron Rodgers obviously the reason I like him for
m v P. Every tool that he had last year

(09:35):
to get m v P he has again this year
plus more. I think they have definitely um added more
weapons around him, which makes his job that much easier.
But not only that, but he's playing with a chip
on his shoulder. You know all that drama about whether
he was returning to Green Bay. He is returning now
and he's got all these weapons around him. So I
really like him to maybe do it back to back

(09:56):
and get m v P one. But my other option,
of course, plus twelve hundred Tom Brady. I think it's
worth noting that he has almost his entire roster coming
back off of a Super Bowl Championship title. Every starter
is returning. You never see that UM and Tom Brady's
the goat, So him plus his entire roster not having
to rebuild that chemistry, I think that's definitely worth noting

(10:18):
So those are my two, Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady.
I love it. I mean, you know Aaron Rodgers, especially
when it comes to a little extra this is a
contract here. He may say they may go their separate ways.
It's kind of win or go home. You know, they
won the NFC and they couldn't protect home court last year.
So for me, I love I love the Rogers. I

(10:38):
mean forty eight touchdowns last year and Brady had forty.
Your boy Russa at forty two. Though, I'm just saying, oh,
here we go, here we go, all right, So I
would be remiss if I didn't ask. It's just in
lieu of what you just mentioned. All two starters never
happened returning for the Bucks, and then we got the
Chiefs who have been in the Super Bowl two times
in a row. Here, if you were to put your

(11:00):
hard ear and money on a fan duel futures in
terms of one of them coming back, would you rather
back the Bucks? Would you rather back Andy Reid and
and Patty Mahomes with his new lime green sneaker coming out? Uh? Bucks?
For sure? I think then returning with every starter, Tom Brady,
they're coming off of this. You know, Super Bowl Championship title,

(11:21):
the Chiefs down one downfall was their defense, and I
don't know how much improvement they've actually made to their defense. Um,
it's I mean, it's a tough call. I'd love to
know your thoughts, but if I had to pick, I
would say Bucks. It's very hard to repeat. I mean,
Tommy's the last guy that did it, and it was
two thousand three, two thousand four with the Patriots. I
think if there is a guy to do it, it

(11:41):
is Brady leading this squad. I mean, he's like a
mix between Gerald Butler and Russell Crowe and Gladiator and
three D. He's just a true leader of men. So
the fact that he took the discount, he brought everyone back.
I mean, they've done what no one's done. Three road
games and then they won in their own Super Bowl
Super Bowls. Coming to SOFI though and so Cow so
that should be interesting. New stadium, new place to play.

(12:03):
But I think I'm with you. I'd go with the Box,
just out of the sheer continuity that they've been able
to bring back every guys. There's a reason we know
that the NFL also stands for not for long, and
it's very much a business. The fact that he got
everyone back. I just think he got to back that
because again he may be Benjamin Button and aging backwards,

(12:26):
but there there's a world where it's not a bad bet.
So I'm with you on that, all right. So I
know your operation. Fade the Cowboys. Any Cowboys fans here,
anybody in the building now, all right? Like that is
like my brand this year. My brand is all about

(12:46):
fading the Cowboys. It's like a thing and I'm just
making it. It's it's just part of the brand, live moods.
It's fading the Cowboys all season. I love it. We
we got some fans here fired up that are not
on the Cowboys as well. What do you think of
the Hard Knocks series thus far? And is is it?
I've heard the word boring and bland, and I mean
Collins alluded to them kind of growing up a little

(13:08):
bit Seekndac and everyone. Of course that Dak has been
a consummate professional. But seeing a little inside costco sample
glimpse on this squad on TV here, are you buying
them at all? I know you're fading them, but are
you buying like are you seeing them getting nine and eight?
With this new seventeen game schedule and going over I
just am not and I don't know if it's Here's

(13:30):
what I have a hard time with with the Cowboys.
I went to TCU, so I lived in Fort Worth, Texas.
I was very close to Dallas. The fan base for
the Dallas Cowboys are the most obnoxious. I just can't
I just can't get behind. I think the fans have
ruined it for me, To be completely honest with you,
I really believe that. But you know, obviously I have

(13:52):
some reservations with Dak coming back. I think there's a
lot of hype around his return. Um is he a
hundred percent? I don't know, and I kind of worry
about that. He struggled with some injuries and training camp,
so that made me a little nervous. UM. The Cowboys
have always been a public favorite. And what I mean
by that is when it comes to betting, there typically
favored more than they should be. UM And since the

(14:15):
year two thousand, betting the under on their wind total
has a sixty seven percent success rate. So they're always
a little more favorite than they should be. They're a
big public favorite. UM, and I'm all about fading the public.
So I'm just not buying into the hype. Again. If
Dac were coming back and we knew he would be
healthy the entire season, that would be one thing. But
I sold my reservations with his health, so I just

(14:38):
can't back them. And you already fired. I believe you
had your own fan duel boost on taking the box.
I believe, and it was my six and a half
against the Cowboys Week one. You're sticking with that and
and maybe double wing down. Oh I might double down.
I might any other Week one best bet you're looking at, Yeah,
I'm looking at one. I'm not sure how people will

(14:59):
feel about it. But Cardinals plus two and a half
up against the Titans. I know the Titans are playing
at home. It's it's probably a risky bet, but the
Titans had one of the worst defenses in the NFL
last season. They didn't make a ton of improvements. They
did add Bud dupri so they made some, but their
defense was really bad. And I think they have a

(15:20):
stronger qban Kyler Murray Um. Like I said, I'm really
excited about that J. J. Watt edition. I think he's
gonna be great for the Cardinals, So I like the
Cardinals to cover plus two and a half on the road.
That line, my move, my not maybe a little buy
a half point get it to plus three if you can. Yeah,
all right, Well, any other any other week one? Best

(15:40):
jumping out to you? Are you? Are you looking at
any other futures that are sticking out to you? And
I do? I will say. In the NFC West, I
am liking the Rams, um, I really, I really like
the Rams in the NFC West. But other than that, no,
I think with betting it's important, especially in the NFL.
You know, you never know what the roster is gonna

(16:02):
look like, who's healthy, who's not. I think it's important
to take that first week and watch the games and
then you can kind of help. It helps your handicapping
out a little bit for the following weeks. So are
you gonna nibble on the Rams making the playoffs at
minus one seventy eight, I'm kind of blown away. It's
not even over minus two. I might I might take
a look at it, which, by the way, one seven
minus one seventy eight means a hundred seventy eight bucks

(16:23):
down and went a hundred in the gambling world, that
obviously was not built off winners, or we wouldn't be
in the MGM grand right now. It is absolutely correct,
all right. So I got a couple more questions I
kind of want to ask, do you think McCarthy is
on the hot seat already in the World of the

(16:47):
Cowboys second year? Or do you feel like Jerry Jones
is just buying into him, letting him kind of work
his program things of that nature. I don't, oh. I mean,
I think it's hard to make a call off of
last year because I think losing Dak was just no
one obviously, no one expected that, no one knew that

(17:09):
was gonna happen. So I think he's got at least
another year to not be in the hot seat and
just kind of get his you know, feet wet and
figure out this team. So I don't know if he's
in the hot seat yet. But I also can never
figure out what Jerry Jones is thinking or what's on
his mind. I think he's an odd guy, so hard
for me to say, but I think he's last year
was a weird year, so I don't know if it's

(17:31):
really being held against him all that much. Interesting, Interestingly enough,
better year Stafford with McVeigh or the double Down, crazy
amount of caffeine for breakfast, Dan Campbell and Jerry Goff
in Detroit. I gotta go with Stafford because I like
the Rams this year. I really, I really like Stafford.

(17:55):
I think he's going to have a really awesome year.
I mean his style, his style as a QB, I
think is going to fit perfectly with that Rams team.
They've got solid defense, they've got a super healthy roster,
one of the healthiest they've They've had one of the
healthiest rosters for the last three seasons. Um and Staffords
a great QB. So I think he's kind of just
that one missing puzzle piece for this RAMS team. There's

(18:17):
not a whole lot of other work they have to
do outside of kind of getting him acclimated. So I
would say the Rams. I would say Stafford for sure.
All Right, Well, I love it a lot of NFC
West talk. Well, give it up for liv Moods coming
up starting today's show. Let's go awesome alright. Check her
out on Twitter at liv mood She's doing her thing,

(18:40):
making a ton of great picks. Thank you for hopping
on Sports Game with money Line Monica. Thanks for having me.
I might out to tail you on a little uh
little Rogers for m v P. I'm all of that
you tell me an NBA. That's my that's my favorite one.
Had some money for sure. I love it. Thanks Lib

(19:15):
the volume. How do you prepare your kids today to
succeed in tomorrow's world With Juny, the online learning experience
equipping the next generation of students to solve the world's
largest problems. Choose from popular Steam courses like coding, investing,
novel writing and all new robotics, crypto app development, three

(19:37):
D design and more. With all types of learning formats
and project based curriculum, your student will be ready to
take on the real world. Visit j u and I
learning dot com and enter promo code I Heart thirty
at checkout for thirty percent off. Do you suffer from
zoom fatigue? Honor dot ai is here to help use
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