How Low Can Stocks & Crypto Go? May 19th, 2025

The market’s historical run over the past month hasn’t only recovered all the losses, in what appears to have been the shortest bear market for stocks in American history, stocks are now higher on the year as well.

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
The Brian Mudshow podcast is driven by Brayman Motor Cars.
My family is a Brayman Motor Cars family. Your family
should be to visit Braymanmotorcars dot com. Faith Freedom in Florida.
This is the Brian Mud Show. Yeah, sure enough is hello,

(00:21):
ken stocks and cryptocurrencies go. My first role money is
never let your money and emotions crosspath. And before taking
a look at where we are starting, let's see where
we ended last.

Speaker 2 (00:31):
Week, stocks ending higher for the day and week, even
as a preliminary reading in May of consumer sentiment declined
for a fifth consecutive month as the potential impact of
tariffs weighs heavily on American households.

Speaker 1 (00:43):
Fox is Hilary Barski there, so yes, the greatest wealth
creation machine in the history of the world is your
United States stock market. I want you to be able
to take advantage of it. But to do that, you
can't make mistakes all the time. And over ninety percent
of the time the investors jump into now they try
to time investments markets, they do worse than if they
just left their money alone wherever they put in the

(01:04):
first place. Don't be that person. That's what we guard
against around here if we take a look at the
first the big three indexes, what happened last week gains
anywhere one to three percent as the rally continued, and
now year to date, year to date, the Dow is
higher by one percent s and P five hundred is
two percent higher. We're not far from all time highs again,

(01:24):
and the Nazak is less than one percent lower. You
go back about a month ago, we were in bear
market territory declines of over twenty percent. That's how quickly
things can change and why it's important to keep your
head screwed on straight and take advantage of opportunities during
bull market or bear markets. And then you take a
look at what really kicked things off last week. You

(01:46):
had that kind of trade deal. Trump's incredible week with
unprecedented levels of success in the Middle East bringing in
over two trillion dollars of investment, but also with the
potential to add two to three million jobs in coming years.
And we take a look at what earnings ended up doing,
which for earning season, they were about twice as good

(02:08):
as they were expected to be. So you had a
lot of boxes checked in a short window of time,
which is why we are back to the levels we're
seen right now. As for cryptos, the bitcoin rally took
a pause after crossing that one hundred thousand dollars mark
the previous week. But if Bitcoin can base above one
hundred thousand, I mean, that would be a great place
for it to be. We continue to see Bitcoin performing

(02:28):
far better than other cryptos. Ether, for example, was off
seven percent last week, Bitcoin ten percent higher for the year,
either off twenty five percent. Specific story for sure. Okay,
can't provide any value analysis for cryptos. Can for stocks
using the S and P five hundred as the benchmarkt
if only fundamentals and nothing else mattered, your maximum downside
risk is forty five percent from here. That is more

(02:51):
risk than last week because stock prices improved while fundamentals
were actually a little bit weaker on the week. Nevertheless,
do I think if we got selling again, we're going
to get a forty five percent so off? No, But
if it happened, it wouldn't negatively impact your daily life. Okay, cool,
you're in good shape. If not, you need a new plan.