June Hurricane History – 2025

While just 3% of all hurricanes have formed in June, 7% of all landfalls in the US have occurred during the month.

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
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(00:22):
we take all of June's hurricane history and we'll start
with National Hurricane Center head Michael Brennan had this to say.
One of the many changes about forecasting this year.

Speaker 2 (00:33):
The cone is sort of almost imperceptibly smaller this year,
as we add on the airs from twenty twenty four,
drop off the errors from twenty nineteen. We update them
every year, but it's a good reminder that the impacts,
which what we're really trying to talk about, are well
outside the cone almost all the time.

Speaker 1 (00:48):
Yeah, recently we talked about the National Hurricane Center's technological
enhancements they always have some of these days heading into
a hurricane season. In one of the features again this year,
in ever shrinking cone, it's approximately four percent smare than
last year, which is why it's like, you know, you
got to be hard to really tell the difference, but
it will be smaller, and that's because well they with
better technology, continue to become more accurate in forecasting hurricanes,

(01:10):
and as the season is underway, we had preseason hurricane
forecast that called for an above average season this year. Thankfully,
we've seen absolutely no indications of above average activity, or
for that matter, any tropical activity in the early days
of the hurricane season. For just the third time in
eleven years, we've entered hurricane season without having had a

(01:31):
tropical system developed ahead of it. For the fourth straight year,
we've not had a named system entering the hurricane season,
so hopefully that's a good omen for what is ahead.
Entering this year's hurricane season. We've been on quite the
run in Southeast Florida. We've been historically fortunate. The last
storm to rechester hurricane force wins in our area Irma
in twenty seventeen as she made her way through the

(01:53):
Florida Keys and up Florida's Gulf Coast. The last time
we had a direct hurricane landfall and Southeast Florida was
Hurricane Wilma in November of or was the last week
of walk to it for twenty two thousand and five.
Having crossed the state from the Gulf coast first, So
you think about that, if we get to November this
year without an impact Palm Beach County South, that'll be

(02:17):
twenty years really incredible, while the golf coast of the
state just has been beaten up, which only which makes
it I think that much more remarkable. So hopefully we
have another uneventful year in Southeast Florida, but also better news,
much better news for the golf coast of our state.
So after having had the influence of El Nina two
years ago in Latin Ninia impacting our tropical weather pattern

(02:40):
last year, earning neutral pattern this go round. According to Noah,
they're expecting a sixty percent chance for an above active
season thirteen to nineteen name storms, six to ten hurricanes
of three to five of which they think will be majors. Now,
as for what June has historically produced since the onset
of record eating for tropical storms and hurricanes in eighteen

(03:02):
fifty one, get a little drum roll, okay, something like that.
It is sputtering a little bit, but I'll take it.
Five percent of all tropical storms have formed during June,
three percent of all hurricanes, So of course not all
months of hurricane season or anywhere close to being equal.
June is where Jole, in terms of activity, the least active.

(03:26):
That is right, while just three percent of all hurricanes
have formed in June, those that do form are more
likely to make landfall more than twice. It's likely actually
seven percent of all landfalls have occurred because they often
do develop close to shore. But good news, aside from
not having had activity, three percent of the season has
already actually gone before we get there.