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September 30, 2025 4 mins
An average of about one tropical storm or hurricane makes landfall in the US every three years during the month. The wind is now at our back (pun intended) as we head down the home stretch of this year’s hurricane season. May the wind be with us. 
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Episode Transcript

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Speaker 1 (00:03):
Welcome to the Brian Mud Show.

Speaker 2 (00:05):
It's the info you need to start your day in
the bomb Beaches and the Treasure Coast as we take
a look at October's hurricane history. Hard to believe tomorrow
is October, but it is. And well, the hurricane season
I thought this summed up kind of like how it's
gone so far pretty well.

Speaker 1 (00:22):
This is Fox Weather's Robert Ray.

Speaker 3 (00:25):
It's been a strange hurricane season in the Atlantic in
twenty twenty five, and Amelda is just another chapter in
such days ago. The track in the forecast headed right
toward the Carolinas and Georgia for a direct landfall. Now
the storm is turning hard right out into the Atlantic,
headed for the island of Bermuda.

Speaker 1 (00:48):
Joels Haxton alda Amelda hard right, it is.

Speaker 4 (00:52):
It is pretty dramatic the way I mean he's doing it,
but it would you look at the map and you
know the forecast.

Speaker 2 (00:58):
Yeah, it's true, I mean, like all the leading. The
interesting thing about Emelda is there's never a point where
I know, I mentioned we were never going to have
an issue with this thing, but that the most likely
outcome would be that it would stay away from land
altogether and then you had like two days there where

(01:19):
all of the leading models that's going into the Carolina right,
and then it broke back to the original modeling which
suggested or and really it was just the steering curtains.
I was taking a look gap because the modeling didn't
exist back then. But just this, it's just doing what
the steering currents wanted to do, which has been back
just the way you've seen with.

Speaker 1 (01:35):
Everything else that's come up through the Atlantic.

Speaker 2 (01:36):
So anyway, as we take a look at October's hurricane history,
give you an idea of where we stand compared to
the past couple of years. Two years ago, entering October,
we'd already experienced seventeen named storms. Last year there had
been eleven, including four US landfalls, one of which was

(01:57):
the devastating Hurricane Helene. This year we only had nine
name storms, no significant US impacts.

Speaker 1 (02:04):
Happy day.

Speaker 2 (02:04):
I mean, that's the best in a very long time.
With Umberto and Emelda moving away from the United States
and no additional activity in the tropics, and room for
cautious optimism as we move away from the peak of
the season. Their early months of hurricane season, they work
as a hurricane incubator by gradually hitting up the ocean,
creating favorable conditions for development.

Speaker 1 (02:24):
The gradually coolly cooler.

Speaker 2 (02:26):
Weather that we see as we exit September has the
opposite effect. So about October's hurricane history of these six
months of hurricane season, do you know do you know
where October ranks? I can tell you after many years
of training, Joel has this one down.

Speaker 1 (02:44):
Yeah, the third most active.

Speaker 2 (02:46):
It is the third most active behind September and August.
So obviously we're not off the hook just yet, as
many south Fordians that were here for Wilma can attest
to that was a late October hurricane. And incidentally, when
you talk about twenty years winning streak, so we're getting
ready for twenty one year winning streak.

Speaker 1 (03:03):
Potentially we can get through October.

Speaker 2 (03:05):
Wilma, the last hurricane in May landfall in Palmeach County.

Speaker 1 (03:09):
So about this.

Speaker 2 (03:11):
Since tracking began in eighteen fifty one for the Atlantic
hurricane season, eighty two percent of all tropical storms and
hurricanes identified have happened prior to October. So despite a
third of the season being left on the calendar, the
better news is that we have less than a fifth
of the activity to go if this hurricane season were

(03:32):
to play out the way that the typical hurricane season does.
As for what we usually see during October, you typically
get two named storms, one of which develops into a hurricane,
and on average, about one tropical storm or hurricane makes
landfall somewhere in the US about every three years.

Speaker 1 (03:53):
So the wind is now.

Speaker 2 (03:55):
At our back as we head down the home stretch
of this year's hurricane season.

Speaker 4 (04:00):
Got an election going on a Republican primary for a
special election in state House District Nighty Maria Zach Bill
Reichert a running. The winner will face Delray Beach Vice
Mayor Rob Long the Democrats, and there will be an
NPA candidate as well.

Speaker 1 (04:14):
In December ninth. The polls are open now.

Speaker 4 (04:17):
Florida's minimum wage increasing to fourteen bucks an hour today.
Next year September thirtieth, it'll be at fifteen bucks an hour.
That's due to a constitutional amendment tipped employees ten ninety
eight per hour as of today. And look here the
Dolphins finally in the win column. They took down the
Jets twenty seven to twenty one in Miami last night
Monday Night Football, but they lost Tyreek Hill and just

(04:38):
saw the update Brian lost for the year.

Speaker 1 (04:41):
Oh or one and three. Yes,
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