August 4, 2025 • 6 mins
If illegal aliens were leaving the workforce and hiding, we’d almost certainly see crime rates rise. That crime rates are off double-digit percentages along with the workforce data, suggests relocations outside of the U.S. is the largest driving force behind what’s happening. There’s also every indication that this trend will continue for the foreseeable future.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:02):
You have questions, Brian has answers. It's time for today's
Q and A of the day. This is the Brian
Mud Show. Yeah, today's QNA are illegal aliens hiding or
self deporting. This is brought to you by Melissa and
Ashes check mar collections. Each day I feature a listener
question sent by one of these methods. You may email
me Brian Mudd at iHeartMedia dot com, hit me up
(00:22):
on social at Brian Mud Radio. We would also love
it if you would love us, go into the iHeart app.
Make us your number one preset that Brian mudsh have
podcast your number two pre set. While you're in there,
looks for a little microphone button, see it, tap it.
You may lay down a message right there, maybe for
a future Q and A and just like this one.
Speaker 2 (00:40):
I think the drop in crime not only because of
Donald Trump being president, but because illegals are hiding. If
they're caught in crimes, they'll be taken and deported. So
I think the dropping crimes in big cities, not California,
but in cities Unsanctuary City hasn't dropped because the illegals
(01:02):
are hiding so that they don't get found.
Speaker 1 (01:05):
Look, you got a good point, which is they do
know at this point that if they are detained, ice
is coming from right, they're going to issue detainers. What
about the you know, the hiding aspects versus getting out
of the country just leaving of their own court. Today's
note is in response to my latest research on the
topic of non citizen crime that I brought you last week.
(01:26):
As I presented last Thursday, is and how much less
non citizen crime have we had since January twentieth. Well,
reporting across the state at this point of the year
it's sparse, but where it's available, the results are significant.
In Miami Dade crime is eighteen percent lower year every year.
Ditto in Orlando, eighteen percent less crime. Two. In Tallahassee
(01:47):
crime is approximately forty percent lower year every year. Where
I was hypothesizing that maybe Andrew Gillim left talent, I
don't know if somebody can confirm the whereabouts of Tallahassee's
favorite bisexual coke head. I don't think that was my digma.
(02:11):
It wasn't it.
Speaker 2 (02:12):
That wasn't it. It wasn't coked.
Speaker 1 (02:14):
No recreational sexual criminal. Yeah, there you go, that's it.
You got it. You remember, Yes, Tallahassee's favorite bisexual criminal.
That's exactly That's exactly what I used to refer to
him as when there was a reason I refer to
Andrew gilm So yeah, I mean, maybe he's left. And
maybe because the eighteen percent less crime that's largely explainable
(02:39):
because of quote unquote non citizens not being around anymore.
But the the forty percent decrease, I mean, there's more
to that somewhere right in theory. So in order to
address today's question, let's broaden this out of it. Nationally,
we see the same challenges deriving crime data in the
middle of the year as we did in Florida. You know,
most law enforcement agencies don't provide monthly crime stats, but
(03:02):
some often the largest agencies too. So here's what we
know nationally as of today. I went through across the
country everywhere that there is of to date crime reporting
and just averaged it out since January twentieth. The estimated
US decline in crime through July looks like this. Sexual
(03:24):
assaults down ten percent, property crime down eleven percent, violent
crime is down twelve percent. Homicides are off by twenty percent.
So here again we see double digital clients in all
crime types. And as I mentioned last week and kind
of talking about this, probably not the case to where
(03:48):
you get all of the illegal immigrants, the non citizens,
and they go, you know what, we had a really
good run under Biden. Let's just take this year off
and will not kill people this year, for example, since
that's the biggest decline homicide. I doubt that's what's going on. Right. So,
(04:08):
as I'd illustrated and had discussed numerous times, by the
end of the Biden administration, the non citizen crime rate
had risen by greater than six hundred percent, and non
citizens were committing crimes at a rate that was greater
than nine hundred percent higher than legal citizens. In other words,
the average non citizen read illegal immigrant committing crimes at
(04:30):
a right those greater than nine times you maybe not Joel,
but other illegal citizens. I think we're figuring maybe like
six times, Joel.
Speaker 2 (04:42):
I mean, I'm hardcore man.
Speaker 1 (04:47):
I don't want to know what. It's evident that the
Trump administration's policy reversals have netted immediate impacts in communities
for al Florida and across the country. And this takes
us to the interesting dynamic as to whether illegal millions
are hiding, self deporting, or maybe a mix of both. So,
as I've reported, recent data suggests self deportations have been
(05:07):
running at a rate that is close to ten to
one what the actual deportation rate has been. Now Friday's
jobs report, which I discussed in Today's Top three Takeaways
only further evidence is this as likely being the case.
So it appears the self deportations, as opposed to hiding,
is resulting in the changes in crime that we're seeing.
(05:28):
And due to these three reasons, One, illegal aliens have
been the most likely to commit crimes and the crime
rate is down double digit percentages. There are now one
point two million fewer foreign born workers in the workforce
than in January. And the third, two new studies confirmed
my research that I brought you from over a month
ago that self deportations are running at a rate that
(05:50):
is anywhere from five to ten formal deportations. So if
illegal aliens were leaving the workforce and hiding, what are
you going to see? You're going to see crime rates rise, right,
I mean somewhere along the way they're going to have
to come up with money or some kind of way
to get by. So If they're already more likely to
commit crime a lot more likely, and they're not working
(06:13):
and they're around, crime is going to follow that crime
rates are off double digit percentages. Along with the workforce,
data suggests that relocations outside of the United States happens
to be the largest driving force behind what's happening. There's
also every indication that this trend will continue for the
foreseeable future, so good news there
You have questions, Brian has answers. It's time for today's
Q and A of the day. This is the Brian
Mud Show. Yeah, today's QNA are illegal aliens hiding or
self deporting. This is brought to you by Melissa and
Ashes check mar collections. Each day I feature a listener
question sent by one of these methods. You may email
me Brian Mudd at iHeartMedia dot com, hit me up
(00:22):
on social at Brian Mud Radio. We would also love
it if you would love us, go into the iHeart app.
Make us your number one preset that Brian mudsh have
podcast your number two pre set. While you're in there,
looks for a little microphone button, see it, tap it.
You may lay down a message right there, maybe for
a future Q and A and just like this one.
Speaker 2 (00:40):
I think the drop in crime not only because of
Donald Trump being president, but because illegals are hiding. If
they're caught in crimes, they'll be taken and deported. So
I think the dropping crimes in big cities, not California,
but in cities Unsanctuary City hasn't dropped because the illegals
(01:02):
are hiding so that they don't get found.
Speaker 1 (01:05):
Look, you got a good point, which is they do
know at this point that if they are detained, ice
is coming from right, they're going to issue detainers. What
about the you know, the hiding aspects versus getting out
of the country just leaving of their own court. Today's
note is in response to my latest research on the
topic of non citizen crime that I brought you last week.
(01:26):
As I presented last Thursday, is and how much less
non citizen crime have we had since January twentieth. Well,
reporting across the state at this point of the year
it's sparse, but where it's available, the results are significant.
In Miami Dade crime is eighteen percent lower year every year.
Ditto in Orlando, eighteen percent less crime. Two. In Tallahassee
(01:47):
crime is approximately forty percent lower year every year. Where
I was hypothesizing that maybe Andrew Gillim left talent, I
don't know if somebody can confirm the whereabouts of Tallahassee's
favorite bisexual coke head. I don't think that was my digma.
(02:11):
It wasn't it.
Speaker 2 (02:12):
That wasn't it. It wasn't coked.
Speaker 1 (02:14):
No recreational sexual criminal. Yeah, there you go, that's it.
You got it. You remember, Yes, Tallahassee's favorite bisexual criminal.
That's exactly That's exactly what I used to refer to
him as when there was a reason I refer to
Andrew gilm So yeah, I mean, maybe he's left. And
maybe because the eighteen percent less crime that's largely explainable
(02:39):
because of quote unquote non citizens not being around anymore.
But the the forty percent decrease, I mean, there's more
to that somewhere right in theory. So in order to
address today's question, let's broaden this out of it. Nationally,
we see the same challenges deriving crime data in the
middle of the year as we did in Florida. You know,
most law enforcement agencies don't provide monthly crime stats, but
(03:02):
some often the largest agencies too. So here's what we
know nationally as of today. I went through across the
country everywhere that there is of to date crime reporting
and just averaged it out since January twentieth. The estimated
US decline in crime through July looks like this. Sexual
(03:24):
assaults down ten percent, property crime down eleven percent, violent
crime is down twelve percent. Homicides are off by twenty percent.
So here again we see double digital clients in all
crime types. And as I mentioned last week and kind
of talking about this, probably not the case to where
(03:48):
you get all of the illegal immigrants, the non citizens,
and they go, you know what, we had a really
good run under Biden. Let's just take this year off
and will not kill people this year, for example, since
that's the biggest decline homicide. I doubt that's what's going on. Right. So,
(04:08):
as I'd illustrated and had discussed numerous times, by the
end of the Biden administration, the non citizen crime rate
had risen by greater than six hundred percent, and non
citizens were committing crimes at a rate that was greater
than nine hundred percent higher than legal citizens. In other words,
the average non citizen read illegal immigrant committing crimes at
(04:30):
a right those greater than nine times you maybe not Joel,
but other illegal citizens. I think we're figuring maybe like
six times, Joel.
Speaker 2 (04:42):
I mean, I'm hardcore man.
Speaker 1 (04:47):
I don't want to know what. It's evident that the
Trump administration's policy reversals have netted immediate impacts in communities
for al Florida and across the country. And this takes
us to the interesting dynamic as to whether illegal millions
are hiding, self deporting, or maybe a mix of both. So,
as I've reported, recent data suggests self deportations have been
(05:07):
running at a rate that is close to ten to
one what the actual deportation rate has been. Now Friday's
jobs report, which I discussed in Today's Top three Takeaways
only further evidence is this as likely being the case.
So it appears the self deportations, as opposed to hiding,
is resulting in the changes in crime that we're seeing.
(05:28):
And due to these three reasons, One, illegal aliens have
been the most likely to commit crimes and the crime
rate is down double digit percentages. There are now one
point two million fewer foreign born workers in the workforce
than in January. And the third, two new studies confirmed
my research that I brought you from over a month
ago that self deportations are running at a rate that
(05:50):
is anywhere from five to ten formal deportations. So if
illegal aliens were leaving the workforce and hiding, what are
you going to see? You're going to see crime rates rise, right,
I mean somewhere along the way they're going to have
to come up with money or some kind of way
to get by. So If they're already more likely to
commit crime a lot more likely, and they're not working
(06:13):
and they're around, crime is going to follow that crime
rates are off double digit percentages. Along with the workforce,
data suggests that relocations outside of the United States happens
to be the largest driving force behind what's happening. There's
also every indication that this trend will continue for the
foreseeable future, so good news there
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