January 7, 2026 • 13 mins
It’s very simple really. If those who showed up to vote for Trump in 2024 show up to vote for Republican candidates in support of Trump’s agenda, he wins. If not, history repeats.
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:04):
Welcome to the Brian Mudd Show, and thank you for listening.
It's time for today's Top three takeaways. Helpful, useful, repeatable. Ah, Yes,
Happy Wednesday. You know the midterms are coming. The question
is will history repeat? Will history repeat? My top takeaway
is that history is set to repeat. About that President
(00:27):
Trump the Republican Party retreat at the Trump Kennedy Center yesterday,
that the name of it not the way.
Speaker 2 (00:38):
It's been reported.
Speaker 3 (00:40):
Interestingly, in any report I came across yesterday then mentioned
anything about the specifical location of where this transpired.
Speaker 4 (00:55):
Oh, I saw was the Kennedy Center. I guess just
because it says something on the outside of the building,
you know.
Speaker 3 (01:01):
I guess just because it's the name, yeah, doesn't mean
you actually refer to it. It's still the Kennedy I mean,
TDS knows no bounds. But anyway, the President had this
to say at that retreat to Republicans as they get
(01:23):
ready for the mid term election cycles, they get ready
for their twenty twenty six legislative agenda.
Speaker 5 (01:29):
So together, we had twelve months of unprecedented success in
twenty twenty five, and now we're going to make history
and break records. With the epic midterm victory that we're
going to pull off.
Speaker 2 (01:40):
Yeah, it's interesting the choice of words there.
Speaker 3 (01:42):
He knows he said unprecedented success.
Speaker 2 (01:46):
What did I say.
Speaker 3 (01:49):
On Monday, which actually I ended up mentioning on Friday
as well, when I was filling in for Claim Buck
and for Markle event, we are set for un precedented
success because there was unprecedented success that took place last year,
just so much of it that hasn't necessarily been felt yet.
(02:11):
So about this the legislative agenda here in the early
part of the year, in January, specifically, it's going to
be dominated by healthcare debates following the end of the
covid Era ACA subsidies and general federal funding in advance
of a January thirtieth deadline, which, if nothing else is
(02:33):
in place by them, would prompt another partial government shutdown.
President Trump addressed both the current state of the slim
GOP majority, which has shrunk from four to now only
two votes following the resignation of Marjorie Taylor Green and
yesterday's untimely death of California Representative Doug LaMalfa. As Trump said,
(02:59):
you can't be tough when you have a majority of
three and now sadly a little bit less than that.
It's an interesting statement he made. You can't be tough
when you have a majority of three and now a
little bit less than that. Well, read into that what
you want, but it sure appears that Trump would like
(03:21):
to see a willingness for compromise with some of the
hardliners in the gup and recognition of that razor thin majority.
The President also said this about this year's midterm election reality.
He said, you can win the presidency by a lot,
but they say that when you win the presidency, you
(03:43):
lose the midterms. He followed that up by saying that
if Democrats do win the midterms, what will they do?
Speaker 5 (03:54):
You got to win the midterms, because if we don't
win the midterms, it's just going to be I mean,
they'll find a reason to impeach me.
Speaker 3 (04:03):
Impeach my favorite word, tarraff, their favorite ward, impeach.
Speaker 2 (04:13):
Okay, is he wrong?
Speaker 3 (04:16):
If Democrats took control, what's going to happen for two years?
History would be set to repeat? All right, no doubt
about this. Now here's the thing. All of the political
pundents and political experts will tell you that it's likely
to talking about the outcome of the midterms this year.
(04:38):
You see, since the advent of the two party system,
the incumbent president's party has only netted additional congressional seats in.
Speaker 2 (04:48):
How many elections?
Speaker 4 (04:50):
Oh I know this, Brian, I bet you do now,
since you reminded me an hour ago. Yeah, three three
three out of forty one midterm election cycles.
Speaker 2 (05:04):
That's it.
Speaker 3 (05:05):
Seeah, history and pundits are going to suggest we're in
for a repeat of twenty to eighteen when Republicans are
voted out and Democrats are granted congressional control. My second
takeaway today is but history does not have to repeat
here like that. Elections are It's not like there's some
kind of inertia that just forces a pinchulm swing, doesn't.
Speaker 2 (05:27):
Elections are up to you.
Speaker 3 (05:28):
It's up to voters, not complicated, and people who voted
for Trump just get out there and vote for Republicans.
Speaker 2 (05:35):
They'll win.
Speaker 5 (05:37):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (05:37):
But yeah, but I don't I like Trump. I didn't
like the Republicans. But that is that makes no sense.
It really doesn't, because if you like Trump, what do
you need to give Trump people that will at least
consider passing through his agenda? Now people will complain about
rhinos or whatever else.
Speaker 2 (05:55):
All day long.
Speaker 3 (05:56):
Fine, I always agree, try to find the best candidates
than the primaries where you do that. Try to find
the best candidates. But every election has consequences. I've talked
about it for a long time here in the Palm Beaches.
For most of my local voting life, the majority of
the candidates I voted on are not people I feel
(06:18):
good about voting for.
Speaker 2 (06:20):
It's a process of elimination.
Speaker 3 (06:22):
It's often I disagree with this one the least, but
you got to vote because it's better to have something
that is more closely aligned to you than something that
is absolutely not aligned with your values and your interest.
Is it better to have a rhino, for example, if
(06:44):
you're a Trump supporter, that more often than not, Trump
is able to pull to vote for what he needs,
like the one big beautiful Bill, act as agenda, that
kind of thing, or a Marxist who's going to impeach them.
Speaker 2 (06:57):
It just it makes no sense. What's whoever the people
are like?
Speaker 3 (07:01):
With Trump's name sign on the ballot, your brain isn't
necessarily functioning in full capacity. You can think better than this,
you can, I promise you.
Speaker 2 (07:12):
So about that.
Speaker 3 (07:15):
Consider that on the state in twenty eighteen, President Trump's
real clear politics average approval rating was only forty percent.
It's also close to where it was when we hit
the midterm elections in twenty eighteen. What happened Republicans are waxed.
Democrats have spent the remainder of his term and peaching
him and trying to screw Trump in this country over. However,
(07:38):
what happened the policy impact of what Trump had achieved
through his first two years in office that was felt
in a really big way by the third year. It's
too late by them for the midterms, but by twenty nineteen,
you remember that man this country kicking bud taking names.
Things are going great. Trump's approval writing eventually, and again
(07:59):
this is the average approval writing across all polls rose
by seven points from where it was previously before all
the pandemic nonsense that you might remember. Things are going
so well that even the last was pretty much like, Yeah,
Trump's gonna win reelection. Now consider this as we enter
(08:20):
this critical midterm election year. President Trump and his incredible
accomplishments from his first eleven postponts still woefully underappreciated.
Speaker 2 (08:29):
By the average person at this point.
Speaker 3 (08:31):
And a lot of that's because so much of it,
like the first time around, it's not going to be
felt until a little bit later on this year into
next year. It's going to be like that time release
pill where it just keeps getting better and you get
more relief and things are improving. The key is not
to let this election cycle get away from you. In
(08:52):
the meeting time on Monday, I shared Trump's twenty twenty
five receipts with you. I'm not going to go through
that whole ball of wax again. You can go check
out the Brian Munshow podcast for Monday, and go check
out the Brian Munshow vlog where I have but just
a quick refresher on the unprecedented success that Trump talked about.
(09:15):
The Size of the federal bureaucracy has shrunk by about
ten percent since Trump took office. The NCAA changed its
official policy stance ending men waking up and pretending to
be women from competing like their women and includes of athletics.
You have had the Trump administration win or receive favorable
(09:39):
opinions from the Supreme Court on over ninety percent of
the cases that have made it that far, total illegal
border crossings including got aways, the lowest level in recorded history.
A record breaking two and a half million plus deportations
took place over the past year, which, yes, is a
(10:00):
great thing. To the washouts that we're protesting in front
of sitting hell on a Lakeworth beach, it's very simple.
They are people. All they need to do is follow
the lawn and you don't have problems. Net of inflation,
the average American finally getting ahead again by about one
percent since Trump took office, the economy surging the first
(10:21):
two full quarters under Trump, the economy has grown at
a greater than four percent rate. Total domestic energy production
has reached record levels. Sixty percent of manufacturing companies have
increased business in the United States, creating over two hundred
and forty four thousand jobs. How about the tax cuts
(10:43):
the promises made? The promise is kept. Average employee earning
tips saving two thousand dollars annuling federal taxes, those who
work over time saving an average of fourteen hundred dollars
annulin federal taxes. Ninety percent of Social Security recipients will
never again pay taxes on their Social Security saving approximately
(11:03):
fifteen hundred dollars per person per year. And again, all
those tax benefits, nobody's really filtered yet because people didn't
change are withholding. So all that's going to begin to
hit when taxes are filed. Crime overall violent crimes eleven
percent lower, property crimes twelve percent lower. Trump caught cut
six hundred and forty six regulations reducing the expense on
(11:26):
you this year by six hundred dollars per household annually.
If you just bought the same stuff all other things
being equal, this year, you're going to pay six hundred
dollars last fourth this year. And Trump secured nine point
six trillion dollars of new investment.
Speaker 2 (11:41):
Over the past year.
Speaker 3 (11:42):
That's forty four years worth of foreign investments into the
United States previously. It's unreal. People just underappreciate. Even Trump
supporters underappreciate this, let alone anything else.
Speaker 2 (11:57):
So the question is will we appreciate it?
Speaker 5 (12:02):
You know, at some point they should say, you know,
you did a great job, thank you, congratulations.
Speaker 2 (12:07):
Wouldn't it be good? I would say that if they
did a good job.
Speaker 5 (12:10):
The philosophies are so different, But if they did a
good job, I'd be happy for the country.
Speaker 3 (12:15):
So will this be a repeat of twenty eighteen, or
if people actually do the smart thing get out there
and vote and vote for the politician that most closely
aligns to the president that has been making all of
this happen.
Speaker 2 (12:28):
Now here's the next piece of this.
Speaker 3 (12:30):
On the analytics, there's improved news about this not having
to be a repeat of twenty eighteen. While not great,
President Trump's average approval writing is three points higher on
this date than it was in twenty eighteen. Here's something
that's pretty big as it pertains to the midterms. On
the generic ballot, Republicans are nine points better off today
(12:53):
than they were on this state back then, nine points
better off. Democrats still have an edge, but Republicans nine
points better off, and a lot of that has to
do with Democrats maintaining record low favorability right now. So
despite the many predictions of a Democrat wave this year,
the numbers currently tell a different story. Another interesting nugget
on this note, consider this, As of the most recently
(13:16):
published data, Democrats lost ground in every single state that
attracts partisan registration information in twenty twenty five. The Democrats
relative to Republicans on voter registration had their worst year
over year net performance that they've had since nineteen ninety eight.
So yeah, a lot of the historic norms favored the
(13:37):
party opposite the president mentorm elections. It doesn't have to
be that way this year. The conditions are a lot
better than they've been previously for Trump and for Republicans.
The question is if we will do our part to
get out there and vote for what's in our best interest.
Welcome to the Brian Mudd Show, and thank you for listening.
It's time for today's Top three takeaways. Helpful, useful, repeatable. Ah, Yes,
Happy Wednesday. You know the midterms are coming. The question
is will history repeat? Will history repeat? My top takeaway
is that history is set to repeat. About that President
(00:27):
Trump the Republican Party retreat at the Trump Kennedy Center yesterday,
that the name of it not the way.
Speaker 2 (00:38):
It's been reported.
Speaker 3 (00:40):
Interestingly, in any report I came across yesterday then mentioned
anything about the specifical location of where this transpired.
Speaker 4 (00:55):
Oh, I saw was the Kennedy Center. I guess just
because it says something on the outside of the building,
you know.
Speaker 3 (01:01):
I guess just because it's the name, yeah, doesn't mean
you actually refer to it. It's still the Kennedy I mean,
TDS knows no bounds. But anyway, the President had this
to say at that retreat to Republicans as they get
(01:23):
ready for the mid term election cycles, they get ready
for their twenty twenty six legislative agenda.
Speaker 5 (01:29):
So together, we had twelve months of unprecedented success in
twenty twenty five, and now we're going to make history
and break records. With the epic midterm victory that we're
going to pull off.
Speaker 2 (01:40):
Yeah, it's interesting the choice of words there.
Speaker 3 (01:42):
He knows he said unprecedented success.
Speaker 2 (01:46):
What did I say.
Speaker 3 (01:49):
On Monday, which actually I ended up mentioning on Friday
as well, when I was filling in for Claim Buck
and for Markle event, we are set for un precedented
success because there was unprecedented success that took place last year,
just so much of it that hasn't necessarily been felt yet.
(02:11):
So about this the legislative agenda here in the early
part of the year, in January, specifically, it's going to
be dominated by healthcare debates following the end of the
covid Era ACA subsidies and general federal funding in advance
of a January thirtieth deadline, which, if nothing else is
(02:33):
in place by them, would prompt another partial government shutdown.
President Trump addressed both the current state of the slim
GOP majority, which has shrunk from four to now only
two votes following the resignation of Marjorie Taylor Green and
yesterday's untimely death of California Representative Doug LaMalfa. As Trump said,
(02:59):
you can't be tough when you have a majority of
three and now sadly a little bit less than that.
It's an interesting statement he made. You can't be tough
when you have a majority of three and now a
little bit less than that. Well, read into that what
you want, but it sure appears that Trump would like
(03:21):
to see a willingness for compromise with some of the
hardliners in the gup and recognition of that razor thin majority.
The President also said this about this year's midterm election reality.
He said, you can win the presidency by a lot,
but they say that when you win the presidency, you
(03:43):
lose the midterms. He followed that up by saying that
if Democrats do win the midterms, what will they do?
Speaker 5 (03:54):
You got to win the midterms, because if we don't
win the midterms, it's just going to be I mean,
they'll find a reason to impeach me.
Speaker 3 (04:03):
Impeach my favorite word, tarraff, their favorite ward, impeach.
Speaker 2 (04:13):
Okay, is he wrong?
Speaker 3 (04:16):
If Democrats took control, what's going to happen for two years?
History would be set to repeat? All right, no doubt
about this. Now here's the thing. All of the political
pundents and political experts will tell you that it's likely
to talking about the outcome of the midterms this year.
(04:38):
You see, since the advent of the two party system,
the incumbent president's party has only netted additional congressional seats in.
Speaker 2 (04:48):
How many elections?
Speaker 4 (04:50):
Oh I know this, Brian, I bet you do now,
since you reminded me an hour ago. Yeah, three three
three out of forty one midterm election cycles.
Speaker 2 (05:04):
That's it.
Speaker 3 (05:05):
Seeah, history and pundits are going to suggest we're in
for a repeat of twenty to eighteen when Republicans are
voted out and Democrats are granted congressional control. My second
takeaway today is but history does not have to repeat
here like that. Elections are It's not like there's some
kind of inertia that just forces a pinchulm swing, doesn't.
Speaker 2 (05:27):
Elections are up to you.
Speaker 3 (05:28):
It's up to voters, not complicated, and people who voted
for Trump just get out there and vote for Republicans.
Speaker 2 (05:35):
They'll win.
Speaker 5 (05:37):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (05:37):
But yeah, but I don't I like Trump. I didn't
like the Republicans. But that is that makes no sense.
It really doesn't, because if you like Trump, what do
you need to give Trump people that will at least
consider passing through his agenda? Now people will complain about
rhinos or whatever else.
Speaker 2 (05:55):
All day long.
Speaker 3 (05:56):
Fine, I always agree, try to find the best candidates
than the primaries where you do that. Try to find
the best candidates. But every election has consequences. I've talked
about it for a long time here in the Palm Beaches.
For most of my local voting life, the majority of
the candidates I voted on are not people I feel
(06:18):
good about voting for.
Speaker 2 (06:20):
It's a process of elimination.
Speaker 3 (06:22):
It's often I disagree with this one the least, but
you got to vote because it's better to have something
that is more closely aligned to you than something that
is absolutely not aligned with your values and your interest.
Is it better to have a rhino, for example, if
(06:44):
you're a Trump supporter, that more often than not, Trump
is able to pull to vote for what he needs,
like the one big beautiful Bill, act as agenda, that
kind of thing, or a Marxist who's going to impeach them.
Speaker 2 (06:57):
It just it makes no sense. What's whoever the people
are like?
Speaker 3 (07:01):
With Trump's name sign on the ballot, your brain isn't
necessarily functioning in full capacity. You can think better than this,
you can, I promise you.
Speaker 2 (07:12):
So about that.
Speaker 3 (07:15):
Consider that on the state in twenty eighteen, President Trump's
real clear politics average approval rating was only forty percent.
It's also close to where it was when we hit
the midterm elections in twenty eighteen. What happened Republicans are waxed.
Democrats have spent the remainder of his term and peaching
him and trying to screw Trump in this country over. However,
(07:38):
what happened the policy impact of what Trump had achieved
through his first two years in office that was felt
in a really big way by the third year. It's
too late by them for the midterms, but by twenty nineteen,
you remember that man this country kicking bud taking names.
Things are going great. Trump's approval writing eventually, and again
(07:59):
this is the average approval writing across all polls rose
by seven points from where it was previously before all
the pandemic nonsense that you might remember. Things are going
so well that even the last was pretty much like, Yeah,
Trump's gonna win reelection. Now consider this as we enter
(08:20):
this critical midterm election year. President Trump and his incredible
accomplishments from his first eleven postponts still woefully underappreciated.
Speaker 2 (08:29):
By the average person at this point.
Speaker 3 (08:31):
And a lot of that's because so much of it,
like the first time around, it's not going to be
felt until a little bit later on this year into
next year. It's going to be like that time release
pill where it just keeps getting better and you get
more relief and things are improving. The key is not
to let this election cycle get away from you. In
(08:52):
the meeting time on Monday, I shared Trump's twenty twenty
five receipts with you. I'm not going to go through
that whole ball of wax again. You can go check
out the Brian Munshow podcast for Monday, and go check
out the Brian Munshow vlog where I have but just
a quick refresher on the unprecedented success that Trump talked about.
(09:15):
The Size of the federal bureaucracy has shrunk by about
ten percent since Trump took office. The NCAA changed its
official policy stance ending men waking up and pretending to
be women from competing like their women and includes of athletics.
You have had the Trump administration win or receive favorable
(09:39):
opinions from the Supreme Court on over ninety percent of
the cases that have made it that far, total illegal
border crossings including got aways, the lowest level in recorded history.
A record breaking two and a half million plus deportations
took place over the past year, which, yes, is a
(10:00):
great thing. To the washouts that we're protesting in front
of sitting hell on a Lakeworth beach, it's very simple.
They are people. All they need to do is follow
the lawn and you don't have problems. Net of inflation,
the average American finally getting ahead again by about one
percent since Trump took office, the economy surging the first
(10:21):
two full quarters under Trump, the economy has grown at
a greater than four percent rate. Total domestic energy production
has reached record levels. Sixty percent of manufacturing companies have
increased business in the United States, creating over two hundred
and forty four thousand jobs. How about the tax cuts
(10:43):
the promises made? The promise is kept. Average employee earning
tips saving two thousand dollars annuling federal taxes, those who
work over time saving an average of fourteen hundred dollars
annulin federal taxes. Ninety percent of Social Security recipients will
never again pay taxes on their Social Security saving approximately
(11:03):
fifteen hundred dollars per person per year. And again, all
those tax benefits, nobody's really filtered yet because people didn't
change are withholding. So all that's going to begin to
hit when taxes are filed. Crime overall violent crimes eleven
percent lower, property crimes twelve percent lower. Trump caught cut
six hundred and forty six regulations reducing the expense on
(11:26):
you this year by six hundred dollars per household annually.
If you just bought the same stuff all other things
being equal, this year, you're going to pay six hundred
dollars last fourth this year. And Trump secured nine point
six trillion dollars of new investment.
Speaker 2 (11:41):
Over the past year.
Speaker 3 (11:42):
That's forty four years worth of foreign investments into the
United States previously. It's unreal. People just underappreciate. Even Trump
supporters underappreciate this, let alone anything else.
Speaker 2 (11:57):
So the question is will we appreciate it?
Speaker 5 (12:02):
You know, at some point they should say, you know,
you did a great job, thank you, congratulations.
Speaker 2 (12:07):
Wouldn't it be good? I would say that if they
did a good job.
Speaker 5 (12:10):
The philosophies are so different, But if they did a
good job, I'd be happy for the country.
Speaker 3 (12:15):
So will this be a repeat of twenty eighteen, or
if people actually do the smart thing get out there
and vote and vote for the politician that most closely
aligns to the president that has been making all of
this happen.
Speaker 2 (12:28):
Now here's the next piece of this.
Speaker 3 (12:30):
On the analytics, there's improved news about this not having
to be a repeat of twenty eighteen. While not great,
President Trump's average approval writing is three points higher on
this date than it was in twenty eighteen. Here's something
that's pretty big as it pertains to the midterms. On
the generic ballot, Republicans are nine points better off today
(12:53):
than they were on this state back then, nine points
better off. Democrats still have an edge, but Republicans nine
points better off, and a lot of that has to
do with Democrats maintaining record low favorability right now. So
despite the many predictions of a Democrat wave this year,
the numbers currently tell a different story. Another interesting nugget
on this note, consider this, As of the most recently
(13:16):
published data, Democrats lost ground in every single state that
attracts partisan registration information in twenty twenty five. The Democrats
relative to Republicans on voter registration had their worst year
over year net performance that they've had since nineteen ninety eight.
So yeah, a lot of the historic norms favored the
(13:37):
party opposite the president mentorm elections. It doesn't have to
be that way this year. The conditions are a lot
better than they've been previously for Trump and for Republicans.
The question is if we will do our part to
get out there and vote for what's in our best interest.
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