Best Bets for Celtics-Heat East Finals Game 2, Where to Wager at Preakness Stakes

May 18, 2023: Host Adam Kaufman (Twitter @adammkaufman) is joined by Dan Watkins (@danwatkinsradio) and guests Dave Loughran (@loughy_d) from Stokastic and Raynham Park owner Chris Carney. Loughran offers his favorite prop bets for Game 2 of the East Finals between the Celtics and Heat, and outlines where to find value in the series. Carney gives a full breakdown of the upcoming Preakness Stakes, where his favorite isn't the favorite. The group also builds The People's Parlay!

Episode Transcript

(00:00):
Now WRKO presents Boston's only nightly sportsbetting show, The Gambler with Adam Kaufman,
covering spreads, props, parleys andmore. The Gambler starts now Here's
Adam Kaufman, final show of theweek. Can you believe it? That's

(00:20):
what happens when we come at youMonday through Thursday, ten to midnight here
on WRKO. This is The Gamblerwith Adam Kaufman. I am Adam Kaufman.
Dan Watkins is here, our producere J. Pacheco, and we
have got a fun filled, verybusy couple hours show to take you through
for one all throughout or at leastfor the next I don't know hour and
change. We're going to be sweatingwhat is happening in Game two of the

(00:44):
NBA's Western Conference Finals. The Lakersare leading by seven in Denver right now,
trying to avoid a No. Twodepisode going back to Los Angeles.
Who would have thought that Ruey Hachimurawasn't just playing with Lebron James. Turns
out he is Ron James. Heis seven for seven from the field in
fourteen minutes off the bench. Heis leading LA for that matter, practically

(01:07):
leading the whole game and scoring ifnot for a guy maybe you've heard of.
He's won a couple of MVPs.His name is Nicola Yokich, who's
just four assists away from a tripledouble already only a few minutes into the
third quarter of this game. Idon't know if you guys are into live
betting or if you just like tomake your bets and then track him and
see what winds up happening. Imean, and everybody's different. I like

(01:30):
to get into the live betting.And at halftime, as Lebron and Yokich
were both flirting with triple doubles.Lebron, who I really would like to
get to twenty five points tonight,he is sitting at a dozen plus six
rebound, seven assists, whereas Yokichhas twenty one points, ten rebounds,
six assists right now. I madea bet for both of them to have
triple doubles in this game, andI want to say it was like plus

(01:52):
four sixty odds at that point intime. So here's hoping that comes to
fruition. Also did a separate onewith Lebron to get a triple double and
La to win so we will see. Also another that was Lebron triple double
and Hatchu Murray to reach twenty points. He was at fifteenth the time.
He's at seventeen right now with acouple of free throws. So again,
there are some things in progress.And naturally we're always paying attention to the

(02:15):
People's parlay, which is a bigdeal and it's it's gonna be a legitimate
sweat for the next little while.Dan his leg that we gave out last
night when we were joined by MikeRandall, which was the over in the
Dodgers Cardinals game, Well that hasabsolutely smashed. The Cardinals have done that
by themselves. The run line orthe total was nine runs. It's nine

(02:37):
to eight in that game in theseventh inning. And thank goodness because I
have the Dodgers on the run line. They are on the money line.
Pardon me, they are down bya run right now. But Freddie Freeman
with a grand slam in this gameto give my bet some life. But
congrats to Dan, he has hithis leg. But you're doing your part,
man. But Lebron, he needsto get to what was it the

(02:58):
over twenty five and a half fiveand a half yeah, he was at
eight a half time. He hita couple of quick baskets here to start
the third quarter, so he's attwelve. So we're not dead there,
but it's not looking great. Weneed some aggressiveness out of Lebron. He's
getting more so he's five out often. He's taking some more shots.
I mean, you have Anthony Daviswho has been almost a complete non factor

(03:19):
in this game. But that's okay, depending on what props you might have
straight or as part of parlays.And I'm sure I'm I'm talking on both
sides of my mouth, because thereare certain situations where I would like him
to do very well tonight. Butfor the purposes of the people's parlay,
we need another fourteen points out ofLebron James. And also, also,
and this is cautious optimism, thankyou Florida Panthers for making this a game

(03:45):
Carolina and Florida. So it's tiedat two. The other part of the
parlay, the other leg was theover in this game of five and a
half goals again two two, sothere's four total if you didn't feel like
doing that math, and still sixteenminutes to go in regulation. Of this
game. So this is I waswhen I last looked at it. I'm
just seeing now that it's too too. When I last looked at it,

(04:05):
Florida scored a couple of times tomake it two one. What I was
going to say is already hopefully comeinto fruition. I said, we need
Carolina to tie the game. Yeah, they just got powerplay and power play
goal about about a minute ago,right as you were talking, as you
were professing your love basically for royHashima. And so yeah, we needed
that to happen to bring us tofour. And now, now whichever team

(04:28):
goes up. And I don't thinkI bet either one on the money line
tonight. I don't believe I did. But whichever team goes up, then
then you're if that happens relatively soon. Obviously, it puts a little extra,
you know, pressure on the otherteam to tie it or maybe you
to get an insurance goal. Itopens up the possibility of an empty netter.
What we really don't want, obviously, is for this thing to stay

(04:51):
too too and hit overtime. Now, miss, we're tilting right now too.
Carolina's getting some great looks at themoment, so keep it up,
keep it up. Thank you Carolina, thank you Florida for doing your part.
And you know, there were alot of people that were on Sebastianajo's
shot prop over and that was twoand a half. He's only at one
right now, so he is notdoing his But I didn't play that anyway,

(05:13):
but I know that that has comeup on this show. But anyway,
over the course the next couple hours, we naturally will get into Game
two of the Celtics Heat Series,which is taking place tomorrow. Right around
this time, we will be inthe third quarter of that game. We
wanted a show, so wherever youare, you know you'll be sweating your
bets or just watching and passionately rootingon Boston. I hope if you're a

(05:34):
listener the show, odds are you'rea Celtics fan, then that is what
you will be doing with your Fridaynight. But we will look ahead to
that one, give out some ofour favorite bets. We'll look at some
prop bets. We will be joinedby Dave Lochran, who is heavily involved
in a great personality and on airall the time over its stochastic and odd
shopper. He works with Aton who'sbeen on this show with us, and

(05:58):
Linquist who's been on the show withus, among others. Great group of
people over there, and one ofmany that I've wanted to get on here
in the early stages first few weeksof this program. So he will join
us in about I don't know seveneight minutes and be part of the first
hour, and we'll build out tomorrow'speople Parlay, People's Parlay with him,
and then the second hour race andtime's time Top Ponies again. Chris Carney

(06:19):
owner Raynham Park is going to joinus and look ahead of the Preakness Stakes,
which has taken place of course,on Saturday in Baltimore over at Pimlico,
So we will talk with him,and this one's going to be a
much more dan narrowly focused because onlyeight, yes, yes, one yeah,
only eight. It's a small field, and Maize is the only horse

(06:41):
from the Derby. He's the Derbychamp that's running in this one. But
it's also the grand return of BobBaffert to the Triple Crown. He has
not been allowed add a Triple Crownrace since the twenty twenty one Preakness,
so he makes his return this weekend. I think his horse right now is
like the the third favorite in thefield. So can't waits get Chris's thoughts
on him and all that, andjust so happens he has one at the
Preakness seven times. Yeah, sothe guy knows a thing or two going

(07:04):
for the record, I believe Ithink he's tied for most all times.
Correct, Yeah, that is correct. So good stuff. Yeah, a
lot of good things that we willbe getting into, like I said,
over the course of these two hours, and once again we'll be not only
talking about this Lakers Nuggets game withLothy when he's on with us, we

(07:24):
will also be just sort of,you know, exploring, you know,
are there any other lives worthy ofus taking advantage of? But if you
have been watching this thing again,it's it's not a quiet night out of
Lebron. He's had a very goodnight. It's just sort of a quiet
scoring night for him. He's beenvery efficient. He's up to seven assists
now, Anthony Davis, He's he'shit everything at the free throw line.
He's seven out of seven, butjust two for eight from the field for

(07:46):
eleven points. Reeves and you knowhe and Hatchamer obviously, but Austin Reeves
continues to have a very good game. You just never really know when he's
gonna go by his standards nuclear andit seems like this is one of those
nights. He's taken a team hightwelve shots, seven from three. He's
a plus twenty two, which isthe best in this game so far,

(08:07):
and he's up to fourteen points.Eleven point lead now for LA They've opened
up and Yokich is not getting muchhelp. Gordon has been efficient but only
has eight points. Murray has hada terrible night three out of fifteen,
two for nine from three, hasjust a dozen points. Yokich is really
he's the only reason the Nuggets areeven within now single digits of this game.

(08:31):
Gotta give a shout out though,to Mike Randall. Last night he
absolutely nailed the Hotchimura points rebound prop. Yeah, absolutely nailed it. He
Hotchimura broke went over in the firsthalf, right, his line was fifteen
and a half he had nineteen.He hasn't done anything in the second half
yet, but still huge first halffor him. Yeah is uh I only
hope for daily fantasy purposes because I'veyou know, I heeded that advice.

(08:54):
I've got him in lineups tonight andsuch a hot start, I don't want
him to go quiet, right,he keep doing. I wish he was
the people's parlay peck instead of sweatingout this Lebron, this Lebron Lake.
Here, he's up to fourteen fourteenwith five and okay, so we got
we got well over fifteen minutes leftto basketball and this one's close. So
when the Lakers have shown up tonight, which we were all expecting, I'm

(09:16):
loving that. I took him fiveand a half. Loving that a lot.
So some numbers have come out,as you've probably seen. People out
there maybe have seen as they listen. By all means, be part of
the show. We'd love to hearfrom you. Six one seven two six
six six eight sixty eight. That'ssix one seven two six six six eight
sixty eight. Some just unfortunate statisticsrelating to the Boston Celtics. So last

(09:41):
night's loss, I had to pausefor a second. That was last night,
right, all these days blurred together? Last Have you slept at him?
Not well? And you know whatI'm going tomorrow night? Are you
really? Yeah? I had noplans to and then you know fortuitously,
just a couple hours ago, oh, I received a text with an opportunity.

(10:01):
Opportunity came knocking, and I said, I'm gonna go and I'm gonna
do my part. So let's let'slet's try and bring a dub to tie
this thing up and go to Miami. I won't be on the floor,
I won't be taking any sort ofhalf court shot, but I from the
stands, I will be doing mypart. I'm gonna be lucky. I'm
gonna just dress up in the full, the all the all the green,

(10:22):
head to toe, and I won'tbe doing the flips on the court,
off the trampoline. Though Celtics losingas favorites last night, it was the
twenty sixth loss as a favorite thisseason for Boston, most in the NBA,
twentieth loss as a favorite of fivepoints or more, most in a
single season since two thousand and five, according to the bet Labs database,

(10:43):
which is where these numbers come from. And what's weird about that? So
obviously those are terrible statistics, Butwhat's strange is this? You know it
wasn't. We all watched it,we all talked about it last night.
It's it wasn't like it was oneof those games games where I felt like
a man Celtics choked. Man,what a what a what a terrible game?

(11:07):
You you totally just you know,you defecated all over yourselves and you
blew it. It was a blownopportunity. It was a missed opportunity,
no doubt. But it wasn't achoke so much as I really feel like
Miami took it. Miami took thatgame. Jimmy Butler and company took that
game because and I'm not giving credenceto what Joe Missoula said. I think

(11:31):
it was an asinine thing to sayfour times in a postgame press conference,
but it's true. If we're justacknowledging stats, it's true. They won
three out of four quarters. Theyhad one horrendous quarter. Wasn't a bad
quarter, but a horrendous quarter,and that was their death. You know,
they came back in the fourth,they got close, and then any

(11:52):
opportunity they had to cut the deficitto one possession or take a lead,
that was when if like that evenmore so honestly than the third quarter,
in my mind, Dan, ifyou were to call it a choke,
was the choke when you're you're you'regetting stops on the other end or forcing
missus on the other end. Andyou have Tatum and Brown repeatedly turning the

(12:13):
ball. Yeah, when you're instriking distance, that was you just dropping
the bag, fumbling the bag.Yeah. Well, I mean we went
over the numbers late last night inthe show. Jalen Brown six turnovers on
his own. It was the mostthe second most he's had in a game
this season, the most he's hadsince the beginning of January. I mean,
I think I said this last weekduring one of the Sixers game,

(12:33):
can we get can we get thisguy some chalk? Please to hang onto
the basketball because it's it's ridiculous.I've never seen like a star player turned
the ball over as much as hedoes. And I mean Jason Tatum had
four four turnovers of his own twoso you just can't have that. Jimmy
Butler had six steals on his own, and you have your two stars have
ten turnovers combined, and that thatreally was the game. There, they're

(12:56):
on they're one stud vastly outplay ortwo. Chris Forresburg had tweeted, and
I don't remember if we read thislast night, but I know I sent
it to you guys this morning whenthe Celtics were within five with four fifty
to go in that game. Thisis what I'm talking about. When they
were getting all those stops. JaylenBrown missed the three Al Horford turnover,
Jason Tatum turnover, Malcolm Brogdon oneout of two free throws, Tatum turnover,

(13:20):
Tatum turnover that can't happen. JasonTatum did not even attempt I didn't
realize this when we were talking lastnight. You know, you're watching the
game out of the corner of youreye. You can't pay as as close
a detail. He didn't take ashot in the fourth quarter. That is
impossible to Yeah, no, it'sit's it's it's terrible, I mean.

(13:43):
And then another thing too, Wegot like the full Marcus Smart cycle experience
in this one. We got greatA plus Marcus like the best you will
see of Marcus Smart. We gotin the first half last night where he
is just getting everybody involved eleven assists, and then the third quarter during that
run, it was just like Marcusjust he just does this thing where he

(14:03):
just decides, Okay, I gottastep up it's my time, it's Marcus's
time to shine. Here we go, and he just missed three pointer after
three pointer. I think he wenttwo for five total from the floor there
in the third quarter. But it'sjust Marcus Smart is not the guy I
want taking shots when you need tocalm things down. All right, We'll
keep tracking this game, talk moreabout tomorrow's game, and continue to track

(14:24):
the people's parlay as well. LebronJames still at fourteen points. Panthers Hurricanes
still at four goals, ten minutesto go in regulation of that one.
When we come back, Dave LockerRoom will join us break down some NBA
even deeper than we just went withyou. It's the Gambler with Adam Kaufman.

(14:45):
This Panthers Hurricanes game is going togive me a coronary, my god.
Get a goal, Get a goal. Seven and a half minutes to
go in regulations. Still too too, Let's get back into it here on
the Gambler with Adam Kaufman. DaveLockran's here fantasy betting host an analyst over
its stochastic and odd Shopper, aplace I am quite fond of, have
done some work over there and lovehaving their people on. He is also,

(15:07):
if you were to read his Twitterbio, a Philly sports pessimist,
so you can only imagine how he'sfeeling even days later coming out of the
Celtic six Ers Serie series. LAFFI, how are you, Bud. We're
gonna need to pot him up.EJ. There we go, Laffy,
you got us, Yeah, Igot you. Huh no, no,

(15:31):
no, no, I'm guys justlooking to rub it in. Huh if
if if that were my purpose,I would have brought you on the day
after. I wouldn't have waited.I would have had you live during Game
seven. Yeah. Yeah, congratson the new show. By the way,
man, thank you. Listen.You know, I say I'm a

(15:52):
Philly sports pessimist, but you knowI've probably changed that to being a Philly
sports realist. I just you knowhow it is. I mean Philadelphia sports.
We had plenty of rivalries with Bostonteams generally don't go our way.
But you know, last time Iwant twenty eighteen Super Bowl against the Page,
that's the last time we got you. But it's more Philadelphia fans that
I love them the death right.You know, there's a brotherhood around here.

(16:15):
But there's just this this overwhelming senseof no, we got this.
We'll beat the Houston Astro's no problem, we got no. I mean,
they're just a better pace. TheCeltics are a better The Celtics almost beat
themselves. Let's be completely honest.But the real Elston in the room was
Joel Embiad. I mean, listenwatching Nikola Jokes tonight and in Game one

(16:37):
and in that the series prior tothis. Nikola Yokes is a markedly better
player than Joel Embiad, and hedoesn't give up in big spots. It's
just the way it is. Itreally this, I mean, this is
a much larger conversation that we don'thave time for, but that I would
love to have with you at somepoint because I'm fascinated by it. But
I you know, obviously docks outHarden maybe on his way out. You've
had Simmons go through Theirs didn't workout there. You know, Jimmy Butler

(17:02):
was there in the whole Tobias Harristhing, and you could talk about all
these different people that have come throughduring the Embiad era at a certain point
in time, and he's an eliteplayer he's the MVP, but you do
have to wonder if Embiid might bethe problem. There's there's certainly a question
that I don't think he's he's theproblem, but I'll put it to you
this way. At him, II don't think he can win a finals

(17:23):
with as an actual he's not atraditional center, but you know at seven
foot big man that doesn't you know, shoot well, perform well from beyond
the arc. He's a great defender, but we know where he lives,
we know where he likes to scorefrom. Story can get to the best
unless he's facing Al Horford one onone. But uh, it's it's it's

(17:44):
really tough, you know, whenyou have a team built like your Boston
Celtics. As much as it painsme to say it that they can spread
the floor and they've got shooters fromeverywhere and they have depth. Uh,
it's it's a different, It's it'sdifferent. We've seen the Warriors for how
long they just Warriors, say listen, when they were winning all those champions
they said, we'll give you twopoints as many as you want, and
we'll just destroy you from beyond thearts. Philly can't do that, especially

(18:08):
not when Harden's struggling as he is. But yeah, maybe it's embat I
don't know. I couldn't tell youat this point. So what you're describing
is part of how the Celtics lostGame one to the Heat. They were
just outclassed from three point range inyou know, obviously by Miami. So
as we look ahead and think aboutthis all from a betting perspective in game
two. We were talking about thisa little bit last night, Mike Randall

(18:30):
was on with us from FTN Network. I found it fascinating to see the
Celtics lose the game the way thatthey did, and yet the betting line
comes out for Game two tomorrow nightand they're even bigger favorites than they were
going into Game one. What doyou make of the nine points spread,
the fact that you know, avast majority of the handle and the bets
are going toward the over in thatgame, and obviously there's no value in

(18:52):
Boston in the money line. Whatis your perspective about their attempt to avoid
going down O two. Yeah,they should be you know, eight and
a half nine point favorites. They'rebetter. How about this? We saw
the sixers, we saw the sixerstaken the seven games, right, and
the Boston Celtics, regardless of venue, were favorites in every one of those

(19:14):
games. They were two and ahalf three point favorites in every road game
against Philly, right, and thenthey were what was it seven, seven
and a half eight point favorites athome against Shilly regardless. And that's the
way it is. Sure Philly hadhad at one point, Philly was like
minus one eighty to win the serieswhen they went up three two. But
Boston still in every game, wasthe favorite to win. So they should

(19:37):
be significant favorites going up against Miami. They are a better team. They're
a better team, They're a deeperteam. Jimmy Butler's fantastic, And I
don't think there's there are enough superlativesto describe how good he's been in this
postseason. Forget about the regular season, you know, forget about previous years.
Jimmy Butler has been a one manwrecking crew in many instances, in

(19:59):
a lot of the game throughout thispostseason. But no, I mean,
listen, do I like the ninepoints? You know? Do I want
to lay the nine points? No? If anything, I'd probably I'd probably
take the points with Miami. Butit doesn't mean that I all sink Boston
wins this series. There's still minustwo ten to win the series. It's
one game. It was a badgame, and when they do shoot poorly

(20:19):
from three and they make late gamemistakes. You said game one against Miami.
Let's not forget about Game one againstPhilly, right without joelmb They shot
themselves in the foot late in thatgame, and I think it was game
was a game five. Game fiveagainst Philly. They also just went completely
cold from beyond the arc. It'sgonna happen. Three points. Shooting is
very volatile. But yeah, Boston'sthe better team and I'm not laying minus

(20:45):
two ten on them to win,but I think it's a decent number to
be honest with you. So thenin mind, where would you find value
in this series or with Boston rightnow? Like would it be trying to
estimate what you think the correct scorethe series is going to be? Like
there'll be another one one of thosegames, So the Celtics win the series
four two something like that? Areyou you know, would you be looking
at Tatum to win Conference finals?MVP? Where you know, where could

(21:07):
people place an intelligent bet that actuallywould make them a little bit of money
right now. Yeah, I meanthe Tatum MVT makes the most sense.
Well, and we saw against Billywhat a terrible Game six he had up
until the final what was it threeminutes at him? Yeah, ballpark right
like. I don't know specifically,but it was what three or four or

(21:27):
five minutes left in the game,yep. Up. Up until then he
was horrid, and then in Gameseven he was dominant, and Jason Tatum
reminded you, y, it soundsinsane, but you know, a guy
like Joel and Pete in that situationjust isn't gonna isn't gonna get you there.
I think that the MVT spot here, let me see what it is

(21:49):
right now. So what's the what'sdo you have the odds on the MVT
for for Jason Tatum right now?Yeah, let me pull up, let's
see, I'll take a look.And and Dan, I don't know if
you're seeing it as well. Iwant to find might not they must have
it up right now, but yes, series leaders in total series leader in
total points. Tatum's at minus onetwenty right now. I mean, obviously

(22:12):
it's Jimmy Butler at minus one ten. It's gonna it's gonna cause some trouble
with that one. I got it. We got Eastern Conference Finals MVP.
Jason Tatum at minus one thirty Butlerplus one eighty. Yeah, I mean
I would. I would take Tatumat minus one thirty over the Celtics at
minus two ten, wouldn't you?For sure? Who else is it gonna

(22:36):
be? H? I mean,Jalen Brown's the only other guy plus six
fifty unless Marcus Smart has the mostheroic six games you've ever seen defensively and
continues to rack up double digit assists, which we know is not going to
happen. I mean, phenomenal linefor him. You know at thirteen eleven
double double. I believe it waslast game. But um, it's it's

(22:56):
Jason Tatum, Who's look at itthis? If they win this series,
Jason Tatum's gonna have to be great. So yeah, Jason Tatum's a spot
there. The winning in six,though, Adam, is difficult because if
you have them winning in six,that means you have them winning in Miami,
right. Yeah, But I believethey can. I mean they you

(23:19):
know they did last year. Notthat it wasn't where the series ended,
but they did win in Miami.Oh yeah, yeah. I also think
this is a different Miami team thanthan what we've seen, you know.
But but I mean that's that's thatcan be debated. I don't know.
I think ultimately i'd probably just looktowards the Tatum number there. You you

(23:41):
could say, I don't know ifif they take them seven, man,
I don't know if this goes seven. But I guess at the same time,
right, if you were to lookat it this way, Boston wins
game two, you go back toMiami, because that's that Miami wins.
It's stealing home court advantage from fromBoston is massive. If you go back

(24:02):
to Miami and Miami takes a game, I think at some point we have
to start taking them remotely seriously,right. I mean, they took out
Milwaukee in five. Understandably, Yannismissed three of those games, but that's
still a Buck team that was savoredin every one of those games without Jannis,
and then they won when Jannis cameback, and then they handled business
against the Knicks. They took gameone in Boston. Maybe you could make

(24:26):
the argument that Boston played six gamesagainst Atlanta that they had to play seven
against Philly's five, but Miami camein and had a pretty convincing win.
So I think Miami probably gets agame at home and then you swap home
games for the rest of the series. My blood pressure is already climbing.
Loffi's gonna hang out with us moreon this series. We're gonna take a
look at some good prop bets peoplecould target for tomorrow night, see what's

(24:49):
going on obviously in the Lakers Nuggetsgame as well, so we'll be back
with you. It's The Gambler withAdam Kaffman on w RKO. Need a
vent about bad bets, Come tothe right place, tell us about it.
Call six one seven two six sixsix eight six at six one seven
two six six six eight six eight, or if you're listening on the iHeartRadio

(25:12):
app, use the tuck back button. The Gambler with Adam Kaufman will be
right back after this on WRKO.Well, the People's Parlay is Dead.
Might lose by two legs, butdefinitely one because the Panthers and Hurricanes are
going overtime, which means under fiveand a half goals. Ulric was right,

(25:33):
give it up for Moose. Hewent against the public, he went
against the sharps. He was right. I was wrong to week, But
tough week for the parlay. Gamblinggods are not happy. No, they
are not. They are not happy. We got cocky last two weeks things
were going great. Well, maybeLaffi can help us right the ship.
Dave Lochran here from Stocastic an OddShopper. Laffi, I'm gonna be a

(25:55):
jerk. I'm gonna say this toyou on the air as opposed to off
because it makes it tougher for youto say no. We want you to
help us build out the People's parlay, and I might, in the interest
of time and getting the most outof you and this other stuff, I
might just ask you to stick aroundfor a few extra minutes but still have
you out before the top of thehour so we can do that together.
Yeah, no problem, and yougot it. So here's the way we

(26:15):
do it. Just so that youknow, so that you can do your
homework during the break and you're usedto this. You guys do something very
similar over at odd Shopper. We'regoing to build a three leg parlay.
You Dan me We're each going tooffer one leg. The only requirements you
have to play the parlay. Idon't care what you put on it.
That's up to you. I don'tcare what book you use. Still your
business. But you got to playit so that we can sweat it together

(26:37):
tomorrow. So that's the plan,and we will do that in the next
segment. But while we have youright now, let's talk a little bit
more about the Celtics and the heattomorrow game too. We've talked about just
kind of where to find value withBoston. What bets you like overall surrounding
you know, the greater lines,specifically which you take, the points go
against the points. You know allof that, But how do you feel

(26:59):
about specific props. Did you seeanything in game one either side that was
an indicator for you that, yeah, I'm going back to the well on
that. Yeah, I'll give youone. I'm honestly still surprised that Jimmy
Butler's steals prop is still sitting atone and a half. I mean,
you're gonna pay a little extra onthe over U for sure. I can
actually I can pull up our Oddshoppertool to see if there's good value on

(27:22):
it somewhere else. But the bestI was seeing is minus one forty one
forty five on the over to toone and a half props or one and
a half steals. Look, I'mnot somebody that typically game log watches in
this sense, but eight of elevengames in the postseason, actually, if
you go back to if you ifyou go back to the playing games,

(27:42):
I think it's ten of what wouldthat be ten of thirteen or sorry,
yeah, ten of fourteen fourteen year. This guy, he is, he
has hit on. He has goneover one and a half steals in almost
every single one of them. Hecame away with six swipes last game.
That's one game. Boston made someyou know, critical errors, and I

(28:03):
don't anticipate that being in the caseevery single time, But simply looking at
this one, I guess they Iguess they have to put it one a
half because it's two and a half. Nobody's gonna take the over. You're
gonna have to juice the under,you know, through the roof. Right,
it's gonna be two and a half, and it's gonna be the O.
There's gonna be minus two fifty orwhatever at one and a half.

(28:25):
Though, minus one forty. Itwas on draftings when I looked just before
I came on with you. That'ssomething that I'll get through any day of
the week. You're getting absolutely massiveminutes from Jimmy Butler. You have to
he played forty three minutes in regulationlast game. Over one and a half
and might I'd be great for youguys there, But I think over one
and a half steals right now isa spot that I'll certainly be targeting thief

(28:48):
in the night that Jimmy Butler hasit. Wait, we were joking to
last night Laffy about you know,like, obviously you can't get odds on
this, but what what the oddswould have been or must have been,
if if you were to come upwith six plus steals in a game?
Because the highest you ever see itwhere you can actually bet on it is
what three plus and that's usually youknow, plus five hundred depending on who

(29:10):
the guy is. Six steals ina game is just absurd. Yeah,
that, I mean six steals wouldhave been God, I don't know,
I don't want to say it's probablynot one hundred to one, but I
mean it's got to be. It'sgot to be plus what three thirty to

(29:30):
one. But I mean, theproblem is when it comes to those type
of things is the books aren't givingyou a no on that, so it's
all arbitrary. You don't really know, you don't really know what the true
odds. You don't know the trueodds on something like that, so they
can guess it. They could justgive you a number you go out.
That's pretty good when really you actuallyhave no idea. So yeah, I

(29:52):
still like that though on Jimmy andI think it's a nice spot. So
let's say, all right, fourplus steals on FanDuel is plus five fifty
right now, Oh he'd better notdo that. What about if if you're
looking on the Celtics side of things, and I don't want to say,
you know, a bounce back fromTatum, like Tatum had a very good
game. He just you know,wasn't What perplexed me, I guess,

(30:17):
and I lost money on this wasyou know, I'm thinking, if he's
going to get to thirty points,just the way he plays his game,
he's gonna have three four three pointers. He only attempted three threes and connected
on one, and like you said, three point shooting is volatile Celtics did
not shoot well from three in Gameone, just ten out of twenty nine.
But in terms of a bounce backthere, like, do you think

(30:38):
Tatum gets to three threes? Doyou think to Jaylen Brown gets to multiple
three pointers? Because you know thefact that it was Brockden and White and
Smart that were the ones hitting thethree pointers for Boston just turn it makes
your cross side remarkable when you thinkabout it. The starting lineup hit five
threes on the night. I thinkI think the starting one of five total

(31:03):
threes I could best. Yeah,Brown had one, Tatum Horford and then
two for Smart. Amazing, right, And yeah, I don't know if
you fellow prize picks, you hadthey what they do in the one million
to every day for somebody and andthe guy that had the shot at winning
at this time had six plus threesfor combined threes for for Jason Tatum and
Jaylen Brown and they finished with two. But you're right, the lack of

(31:27):
volume on Jason Tatum is the mostalarming thing to me. But the truth
is, Adam, and I'm withyou. I think this is where you
were going with this. It doesn'tmean anything, you know, it doesn't.
It doesn't mean anything. In Miamiwas actually not a team that defended
the three point field goals that well, and they gave up a decent amount
of three points volume in the seasonas well. So yeah, but but

(31:51):
but again here, here's what itcomes down to. The books aren't factoring
this, then you might have youryour casual better go mat Jason Tatum shot
one for three from thick. Hishis three point prop is over you know,
three and a half right Game two. It's yeah, I'd be overs
plus one twenty, So you're gettingit at plus money. I don't hate
that though at all. I don'thate plus money on three and a half

(32:14):
threes. We know when he getshot, he's just absolutely gonna start knocking
them down. Man, I wouldtake that over like Al Horford's one and
a half threes, but minus onethirty. Give me Tatum over three and
a half threes, probably over anyof these other three point props. If
I'm getting it at plus money tomorrow, all right, Loffi's gonna hang with
us because I forced him to onthe air basically, and in real time,

(32:37):
son, we're he's too nice tosay no, Well, I know
you want to go to bed.You've got young kids, but he's gonna
hang with us here. People dothe People's part lay when we come back,
and you know me, Dan Loffie, we'll all do our homework.
We'll come back and I we're gonnado better at making your money like we
did the first two weeks of thisshow. Before you know, week three

(32:57):
went cold on a stick around TheGambler with Adhaimfman. Sick and tired of
old sports talk and want to getright into the action. The Gambler with
Adam Kaufman. As you covered,call us now with six one seven two
six six six eight six eight.That's six one seven two six six six
eight six eight. The Gambler withAdam Kaufman will be right back after this

(33:20):
on WRKO. Time to build outthe People's part lay. Let's see if
we can get a winner. Whilethe Nuggets have just gone nuclear on LA
here in the fourth quarter, allof a sudden, they have turned a
whatever point deficit, I don't remember, but LA was up enough for sure.
Jamal Murray has caught fire. Allof a sudden, He's hitting threes
like you read about. They're upby nine. They've got the ball and

(33:44):
there's about six minutes left here inthis one, but Loffie, Dave Lochran
is here. Dan Watkins, Iam Adam Kaufman. Hi, thanks for
being with us. What do wethink as we build out the People's part,
lay? Dan? Should we justpick a Nolan Ronado anytime? Home
run? My goodness, he ishomered in six of his last seven.
I just tweeted this out. He'shis RBI streak is up to eight games
in a row. He is justabsolutely on fire right now. The Cardinals

(34:07):
I think hit like seven home runsby tonight. By the way, How's
odd Shopper felt about him there?Loffy, Yeah, I don't know.
I'll tell you what I think recently. A lot of the you know,
with odd Shopper, it's market based, particularly with our tool, so you're
looking for just discrepancies in the market. I haven't seen anything pop up on
him. But sometimes when you've gotsomething going like that, you just have

(34:30):
to ride the wave until it crashes. The problem is when it comes with
something like Dolan Arronado, you know, and we see hot streaks in baseball
all the time, you can't exactlyquantify it, so you don't know when
it's gonna start and you don't knowwhen it's gonna end. So either you're
jumping on too early or you're jumpingon too late. Tell you what you
hit him in a run like this, Even if you're just blindly putting in

(34:50):
five bucks a day on an anytimehome run, you'd be way ahead,
way ahead. Just do it everyevery day of the season. It's yeah,
all right. So, like Isaid, people's parlay any book up
to you, any any amount ofmoney you want to wager on it.
Again, your business. But we'reall gonna build this together. You're forced
to play it. Not that Iactually even gonna check your bet slip,

(35:12):
but I'm gonna hold you to it. Honor system, loffy, start us
off, give us a line aleg for tomorrow, all right, So
you know what, We're gonna goback to our conversation from earlier, and
I'm gonna go with Jimmy Butler.I knew you were going to do I
knew it. You gotta do it, you gotta do it. Draft Kings
are getting minus one fifty. That'sminus one sixty on fandel I was looking

(35:35):
during the break. It's it's worseodes shorter odes everywhere else. So it
did actually move on fandels since welast spoke. But give me the best
odds we can get on Jimmy Butler'ssteels minus one fifty over one and a
half steals on draft. I was, you know, it's a funny out
m during the break, I waslooking for unders on Kevin Love because I
just don't think this is one ofthose mass ups where you can play Kevin
Love consistent minutes at all, andyou know he had an outlier game last

(36:00):
time. I would I'd say keepan eye out for that, but there
aren't. There's a single proper listif for Kevin Love right now? All
right, So Butler two plus deals? What do you got Dan? All
right? So we're gonna go baseballagain. We're gonna go Arizona Diamondbacks run
line. It's a plus one hundred. They're in Pittsburgh taking on the Pirates
tomorrow night. Zach Allen is onthe mound. He's just been lights out

(36:20):
this season. Arizona's seven in twoin his nine starts, and all seven
of those wins have come by twoor more runs. And Pittsburgh has Johanno
Vado on the Mound who has justbeen getting crushed this year. So give
me the snakes. Tell you what, there are some run line bets I
really do love for tomorrow, whetherit's it's the Yankees, the Rangers,
maybe the Braves, certainly the Astrosagainst the A's. I was not expecting

(36:43):
you to go with a plus moneybet there in the Diamondbacks. So good
for you. Good for you.Keep it interesting. Here's what I'm gonna
stay baseball too. And I'm takinga little bit of a leap of faith.
I am. You know, likeLoffee City doesn't like to go game
log watching, I'm kind of doingthat here. But it's a plus money
bet where I'm seeing it, I'mgonna go Cal Quantrill under three and a

(37:04):
half ks. Okay, so CalQuantrill over with Cleveland there, which which
means it's gonna lose. By theway, because the Mets, I thought
we banned Mets games. I knowthe Mets have a way. I bet
on the Mets. They screw me. I bet against the Mets. They
screwed me. The Mets should bebanned. But damn it, I'm intrigued
by this prop. So Quantrill atunder three and a half ks. I'm

(37:24):
seeing it at even money. Hehas started let's see five eight games so
far this year, and he hasgone over and the over being four only
twice, and in both cases hehad shutouts in those games. So I'm
banking on the Mets getting some runstomorrow, making him work a little bit.

(37:45):
Maybe he doesn't go more than sixinnings. Let's keep the case even
if he gets to three, juststay under three and a half. That's
what we're looking for from cal Quantrill. And you put those together again.
Butler two plus steals Arizona Diamondbacks minusone and a half on the run line
and Cal Quantrill under three three anda half kas puts meet right around plus
five sixty. So I like it, good, Parlay, I like yeah,

(38:07):
I like it too. Plus,you know the Mets are not a
team that this strike out of aparticularly high clip against right he's either,
So I like that a lot.Plus, you know, nobody ever wants
to bet under props on strikeouts,but over the course of the season,
they're gonna do you a whole lotbetter than betting it just blindly over props
on over bets on strikeouts. SoI'm with it, man, No one

(38:27):
wants to bet an under three anda half at him, but you know
what, it's probably an even moneythe right bet. See that. Let's
live a little all together. Laffy, thanks so much for hopping on.
Man. I'll bug you again,for sure. Heys, for sure,
Man, talk to you guys soon, all right. Dave Lochran from Stochastic
and odd Shopper a lot of greatstuff. Wow, I can't believe Denvers
turned this around. Is up byten and we have a final in the

(38:49):
hockey game too, Florida one threeto two. No, it's getting reviewed,
but under oh good good. Meanwhile, Lebron with four minutes left in
this game is only at eighteen points, and I know he's he's going to
screw up my parlays by by nothitting a three pointer. I can't even
complain that he hasn't tried. He'sover six. But oh my god,
well he's at twenty. Now isthe mile high air getting to the to

(39:14):
King James? There we go,all right, there's a basket for him.
Lay up. He hasn't looked himself. He will disrespect my king,
and I kind of I expected thatin in game one, you know,
we talked about it. How howhe can be passive in those series openers,
right, Usually we get the response, and we got the team response
for the first three quarters, butDenver's just turned it on. Yeah,

(39:35):
this is this is you know ithas it doesn't buy any means mirror last
night's game, but just in thesense that you see, like Denver,
you know the home team coming outand you know twenty three twelve right now
in the fourth quarter with about fourminutes to go. Anyway, more on
this when we come back, we'llreview the people's parlay for you so you
can build it. Of course,preak this pony Tuck coming up in the
next hour here on The Gambler withAdam Kaufman. Another hour of a Gambler

(40:00):
with Adam Kaufman is coming up onsix eighty w r KO, streaming live
on the iHeartRadio app and on yoursmart speaker. Just ask get to play
WRKO on iHeartRadio. Gambling problem hopeis here. Call one eight hundred and
three to two seven fifty fifty orvisit gambling helpline MA dot org. So

(40:23):
the Nuggets stormed back to beat theLakers by five, a two o series
lead for Denver in the West Finalsgoing back to La going back to Hollywood,
And meanwhile the Panthers and Hurricanes playon. They will play until the
wee hours of the morning, ifthat's what it takes six minutes to go
in overtime. It is still atwo two game Panthers and Canes in Carolina,

(40:45):
Game one of the East Finals.There, and of course all the
baseball is done for the day.Nothing on the West Coast earlier day games
today, and the Dodgers and Cardinalswrapped up a little while ago, and
that's that. So in the nextcouple of segments and about I don't know
a half hour, we'll have theopportunity to look ahead to tomorrow and see
what's going on. But here I'mvery interested in looking ahead to the weekend,

(41:07):
giving you a nice long preview overthe next couple of segments the next
little while here on the Gambler withAdam Kaufman of the Preakness Stakes, which
of course will be in Baltimore onSaturday. And there's there's a lot on
my mind coming out of the KentuckyDerby as it relates to this race,
and I am pleased to welcome backto this program Chris Carney, owner at

(41:29):
Rainham Park. Chris, how areyou hey, Adam? How are you
guys for coming back with us?Well, I will't. Hasn't been the
greatest betting day, Chris, sonot. Everything's not going great. Well,
you can't worry about losing with theBruins. They're already gone up,
so we're safe there. Dale.Last night up by eleven and went down

(41:49):
the toilet. Ye are you gonnago tomorrow? I'm gonna go tomorrow.
I'm gonna give it hell. Tryto go and see if they can even
up the series. I see,I'm gonna be there. Maybe we should
meet up, say hello, allright, I'd love to I'll be there
tomorrow night. I was sitting behindthe bench last night and I felt that
it was better with the Miami.They turned it around flicks after halftime and

(42:10):
somebody Jason Tatum's travels. I thinkit was the end of the night.
Dan. I think Chris is goingto have better seats than me. Yeah,
just a little bit, Chris.Can you go sit behind the heat
bench tomorrow? I was there lastnight. You know, I didn't realize
that a ball spot and tall.All my friends took pitches and like that's
really nice, Thank you. Iappreciate that. Let's chat about the freak

(42:34):
disting. Yeah, God, don'tdon't, don't don't listen to them say
you wish you were sitting in theseseats. Yeah, yeah, absolutely.
How's everything going? Getting ready forthe briefness? I'm satday. It's gonna
be good, It'll be fun.Yeah. So, just to give people
a little bit of background out atPimlico, obviously second leg at the Triple
Crown. We all know that Majortook the Kentucky Derby, was a fifteen
to one favorite at that point intime, just the fourth career start favorite,

(42:59):
this time on the one and threesixteen smiles on dirt track here chasing
the one and a half million dollarspurse. But what is really fascinating is
there are only eight horses, andas Dan was talking about earlier, Mage
the only returnee from the Kentucky Derby. Of course, with the Triple Crown
at stake, and I sense thatis the only reason we're going to see

(43:20):
Mage participating in this race. Howconcerning is the quick turnaround? Do you
think with racing just two weeks ago, it's very difficult nowadays I just I
wouldn't be all for it. Youprobably would have had the favorite that was
scratched out the last race in thisone. But when you get them scratched
flight that they can't run them backfor fifteen days, well that's kind of

(43:44):
what held him out right there.You know, I know that there was
a big I knew it was.There was problem. They said the knees
were a little bit bad. Andthen when they got to the they got
to the day off Ripoli, theguy that used to own vit him in
the Wada He and touch again intoa nice beef about the horse, about
running, and the vets came inand scratched him. So it was a

(44:06):
Gonzol for that day with only eighthorses. Does post position matter at all?
Not in this race right here.I mean, you're gonna have some
speed early. You're probably gonna havethe eight first mission. Who's going to
be right out there. You're gonnahave coffee with Chris. She'll be right
out there too, a little bitin the inside National Treasure. It will
be really really up towards the frontof the line. But I don't see

(44:28):
much of the problem for this raceright here. I don't know what the
weather is going to be like theysaid there might be spotty showers in the
area. So you mentioned First Missionand this is the fourth career start for
that horse won the Grade three LexingtonStakes last month mid April. Some have
suggested some of the stuff that Iwas reading, this horse is, you
know, obviously not the literal favorite, but kind of the favorite in the

(44:52):
sense that you know, very littlewear and tear, hasn't raced in a
little while, lightly raced and lookinggood. When when First Mission has been
out there, do you feel thatway? I mean to sort of skip
ahead to to your pick your favorite. Would it be first Mission? Yeah?
First Mission is my horse. Ilike Brad Coxey really does realte well,
you know, on the track.Luis Saya is a great jockey.

(45:13):
You know. I think First Missionis your winner right there. I think
it's gonna be tough. You know. It's funny. After the race,
I was texting with Havia Castellano andI said, hey, Haavea, hopefully
you got two more in the tank. Let's go get him kid. He
said, yeah, God do withme. I said, I'm with you
the whole way. I hope so, but I think First Mission National Treasure
finished third in the Breeders' Cup.Juvenile has one win in five starts.

(45:37):
But of course the real story isn'tabout National Treasure. It's that that horse
is trained by Bob Baffert, whohas you know, won the Preakness of
record time seven times. Is gonnabe back. It's the triumphant return.
What are we expecting? I don'tlike a horse coming from the Senator Jeremy
coming east with this one. Right? He did all right, I mean

(45:58):
finished fourth by two and a halflengths. The lest Cole sources don't really
do good here, you know.I mean he didn't even want good in
the Sham with Santa Anita. Hehad an average race at Killing before that.
The BC Juvenile back in November,his first race, he one out,
but he only won by a lengthand a half. Eighty thousand,
baby special, he said, Johnnyv up at a great jockey though with

(46:23):
I guess just just the eight.You know, you do have some serious
long shots, you know, whetherit's uh, you know, you could
look at perform or coffee with ChrisChase. The chaos is the longest of
the long shots. Is there onethat appeals to you or are you more
inclined And you said, do youthink First Mission is gonna win? But
are you more inclined to just sortof ride the favorites when you're you're starting

(46:45):
to think about, uh, youknow, win play show or or you
know how you're going to box thisthing? You know what? What from
a betting approach, what are youthinking? I like First Mission on top
as far as coffee with Chris.There's a guy who Anthony to Jeruso he
comes to the track of Raining.I guess they only paid two thousand dollars

(47:05):
for the horse. I know theentry fee they hit to put up thirties
hours and to get the horse inthe race. I mean, it's nice
to always remember that you had ahorse in the Preakness, but I don't
think the horse is good enough togo to the end. If I had
to pick a horse for a littlebit of a price, I'd go Red
Route one. Basically joo Zario.Steve Asmusson does really really good at this
track, so I wouldn't telling himabout But you know, it's really a

(47:30):
light light field. You know.Who have a say Maine wins the race,
she'll go to the Belmont Okay noproblem. But now you have three
weeks off, but you're coming againsthorses that are huge closes in a mile
on light, So then the wholefield changes again. I think it's a
really light field idea. I thinkfirst mission in a romp. You know,

(47:51):
if you remember back, I saidthat basically, I like a horse
that does really well in the Flowerto Derby, figuring the favor written the
favorite scratched out, while the horseto finish second the Flower to Derby was
Maine. And then she comes onto win the Kentucky Derby. So I
think she did really well and it'sloving can get by the most bumps in

(48:12):
Kentucky goes to the next race.I think this race right here is just
a little bit tougher for her becauseyou know, the horstazoncrapy bang, and
you might have a straight straight outfavorite come out like first mission. I
think she might be. If sheisn't first choice, she'd be second choice.
And the only reason why they're gonnabet Maine. She want the Kentucky
Derby. Chris, So, whenwhen we're looking at such a small field

(48:37):
like this, what's your strategy bettingwise? Are you just keying in on
one horse and then just kind ofgoing that route, or are you gonna
maybe doing exact to here or evena trifecta if you're really feeling lucky.
I'm not really a big trifector person. I do love Exactus. I would
like to play cold Exactus. Iwould probably go back with a cold EXACTA

(48:58):
eight five. You're gonna throw themange in there, but what are you
gonna get. You're probably gonna bea twelve dollars executive if you go back
there, so it's really not worthit. I wish the field was twelve
or fifteen because it would spread itout a little. You get some better,
better rods. I don't like NationalTreasure at all. I don't like
busters are coming from California. Youknow, coffee with Chris. Like I
said, they pay two thousand dollarsfor the horse. Don't get me wrong.

(49:20):
You can have a great horse rowcheap Manta money. You know,
you have basically performed. She's reallyin a Tampa. She won a great
race of Tampa. But I've donenothing really a thirty seventh thousand Maiden Special.
She came back out and closed reallyhard. I mean, could you
get her in the mix right there. Absolutely mcgah. He's a really good
trainer too. I don't really knowthat the jockey at all, so I

(49:45):
mean it's wide open. But thenkyou get blazing seven. You have I
read Aunties and Chad Brown. Ihaven't talked that she had yet about this
horse. But he doesn't put horsesin there to go to show up just
for the day off. You know, when Chad runs a horse, he
runs up a real irads ran alot of horses for me. When he's
in he's trying like hell he's doing. He does better in a shot a

(50:06):
field because he has more room tomovie either inside or outside. It looks
like this fourth places to come frombehind. You know, ran against fourte
be four and at Gulf Stream whenhe ran for the derby down there,
he ran with Joel on the horsebut finished eight. So I mean didn't
really show much that day in theFlorida Derby. Chris Haying, well us,

(50:27):
we'll talk more about the preak mistakeswhen we come back. Well if
Chris for another segment. Chris Carney, owner at Rainham Parks, The Gambler
with Adam Kaufman, Sick and tiredof old sports talk and want to get
right into the action. The Gamblerwith Adam Kaufman, as you covered,
call us now in six one seventwo six six six eight six eight.
That's six one seven two six sixsix eight six eight. The Gambler with

(50:52):
Adam Kaufman will be right back afterthis on w r KO coughing back with
you. Watkins is here and mostimportantly so is Chris Carney, who is
the owner at Rainham Park talking aboutthe preak mistakes on Saturday in Baltimore.
And Chris and will recap some ofthis as we go on with this segment.

(51:14):
You you know, we've we'll getthrough some of your your favorites and
your approaches again to just betting thisthing sort of and before we wrap up.
But I'm curious sort of what Andyou dove into this a little bit
when you were with us talking aboutthe Kentucky Derby, But I know that
you know day of and even inthe day leading up so tomorrow and then

(51:36):
obviously Saturday because the races until seveno'clock at night. Roughly, what are
you looking for informationally when you're textingaround talking to trainers and owners and contacts
that that you have obviously around thesport related to these horses. What kind
of information are are you seeking tohelp you place your bets? I asked

(51:59):
Facebook how the track is, youknow, if it's speed, if it's
rail, if the horses are closing, basically some of those things like I'll
call up actress Ward make a Fellcone, dutch Row, Chad, I'll find
him at text, Hey, how'sit going. What do you like today?
You know, like, single meyour best, give me a top
two or three, and let's seewhat they like. You know, I'll

(52:22):
try to get to some of thejockeys if I'm on track and say,
hey, look at you, likeanybody really good? Because they know they
work out the horses every morning.The only way you get in the Mounts
if you work the horse out priorto whatever race it is. So there's
a lot that goes into it.My favorite time is Saratoga because the guys
are more accessible. It's kind oflike okay weekend at Bernie's and the guys
go out downtown. They have dinner, you see a trainer, you see

(52:44):
a jockey. They're out with theirwife and kids. I got anything this
week? Chad famous for that.He always goes to Novay. He always
sits in the back and I'll say, Chad, give me one of your
best this week, and He'll say, whatever. The horses. The problem
is, he probably gave it atown of the guys, you know,
and um, that really helps outa lot, you know what I'm saying.
I just I just like to havethe inside information. I like to

(53:06):
talk to the trainers. That's reallygood. But the jockeys is even better
because they do they do more ofit. What's the best way to kind
of diversify your portfolio, you know, Let's say I've you know, I'm
not a big horse better. Ionly want to throw twenty five bucks on
the race or fifty bucks on therace, whatever it is. And I
want to know how to divide thatup because I'm not just going to throw

(53:29):
it all on all on one outrightpick to win the thing. What would
your advice be to a novice betterwho's listening. I like to bet the
pick threees. You know, yousee in three different races, you take
three different horses and three different races, and all of a sudden pay a
pila. More like that, youtake a little bit of what you like
and then all of a sudden,you can go a little long a shot.

(53:51):
I'm a huge pick five player,you know, I'll bullet horses.
Bulleting mean the horse that I like, I take, whether it's my own
or I get somebody's information, andthen I do walls in the other races,
and I just sit back and hopethey run in long shots. That's
kind of what I like to do. You know. It's like the Superfector
in Kentucky at the derby. Imean, you get in eighteen twenty horses

(54:12):
in the field and all of asudden, you know you're playing eight ten
horse boxes. You're only trying toget four in the money, but you
got to pick one and then justbasically wheel them around it. You play
the horse for a second, third, and fourth, and you hope that
you just get a huge price.I mean, I've seen him and had
him. They'll pay one hundred thousanddollars for a superfector just because you're getting
bombs in there. Is your confidencein first mission high enough to just you

(54:37):
know, focus purely on the windor would you have some some side bets
or some money on first mission toplace or to show? So what I'm
gonna do is I'm gonna look atmy book, I'm going to talk to
as many people as I can onon Saturday, and I'm gonna pull at
first mission and to pick five andknowing that I'll play an all in the
last race. There's only nine horsesin that race. The field on overly

(55:00):
huge, and some of the races, I mean, the racing for that
nine horses, you know, Ilike them on the tens and dwalls.
The eleventh races ten horses, sowhich is good. The tenth race,
you know, is a thirteen horses, whether they scratch out or not,
spins in the weather and the tracksurface. But I'd rather see a big
field and know the horse that Ireally like, sing them out, and

(55:22):
then you're going to get a betterreturning an investment. We mentioned, Yeah,
well that makes sense we mentioned earlier. Kind of grazed over it a
little bit obviously. The return ofBob Baffort with National Treasure is this,
Uh, you know, how biga story is this? I feel like
this is a dumb question, buthow big a story is this in the
racing community or is it? Youknow, has Bob just annoyed enough people

(55:45):
over the years that people aren't aren'tkid putting a lot of attention on it.
I don't think they really put thatmuch attention on it right now.
The attentions on Staffy Joseph. Youknow, he had some problems in Kentucky.
You know, he's had some otherproblems different places. You're going to
see the racing come crack down onsome of these guys that have had problems.

(56:06):
I mean, Daffod's one of them. You know what I'm saying.
Plush has had a great, greatrun. It's amazing that a trainer can
go into the Hall of Fame wallbefore he even finishes up. You know.
It's not like a guy finishes apreyer then he goes in the Hall
of Fame. If you guys inthe Hall of Fame, they have more
problems when they're in racing. Theythey're out of racing. It's it's an
unusual situation. But let's see whathappens on Saturday. I don't think Daffos

(56:30):
to Us does much good luck tohim. You know, I see him
around the track all the time.I know he wants to climb back in
it. I think if he's hopingthat if he has good luck yet that
he can maybe get his license backin New York, but I think it
might be a ways away. Chris, I want to bring it back to
mage here just for a second beforewe wrap up. Obviously the favorite going

(56:51):
into this race after winning the Derby. How do we have a legit triple
threat or triple crown threat here inthis horse or do you think that the
the winning is going to come toan end here at the breakness? Well,
let me put this race. Ithink if he wins this race,
r idea and you get him intoa longer race, which he likes.
He likes to come from behind forthe most side. I mean, don't
get me wrong. He won hisfirst race now you know an eight thousand

(57:15):
made h special at seven Proloms,so that's kind of a bullet race computer
a mile on an eighth. Youknow, the last race he sat up
sixteenth by thirteen lengths stack. Therace be four he was twelve by an
eighth length stack. So you knowhe does come from dack. You know
you'll you'll see Saias was on himat one point. Then Castellano's got a
back on him. Now Sayas ison a first mission and he's already been

(57:37):
on him, so he knows thehorse. You know, Magliodoro is a
good horse. He's out of thatin street sense, three senses. Also,
I have a horse running in Churchillthe eleventh race, a horse called
Bay Street Money. He's running fora two hundred and twenty five thousand all
of purse. So there's good readinghim. That good Dolphin has got great
horses. You know, that's FirstMission's horse. They're the owners of the

(58:00):
horse. They really really big init. Hey, if Maje gets fine,
yeah, I'd give him a greatshot in the Belmont because it's going
along. I don't know what they'llthrow at him. They'll probably only throw
ten horses at the Belmont, soit's getting small again. That's not a
big a mile on an eighth andyou get a fine horses that will go
that long. So with with FirstMission being your favorite to win this thing,

(58:23):
are who's the runner up? Ifyou're looking at, you know,
betting an exacta for instance, I'dgo Red Route one, the five horse.
I think he's decent, you knowwhat I'm saying. He's run out
for one and sixty thousand. Heask you since good Rosario will always give
you a good ride. That wouldbe my number two pick. I you

(58:45):
know, I think Maine can getbeat. I think Mangel might be off
the ticket as a first, second, and third. But you never can
tell. What's what the horses gotin the tank? Hap favorite people who
thinking trifecta? Yeah, I mean, uh, I think six is a
four is a throw out. Umtwo is to throw out. I'd say

(59:07):
blazing blazing sevens. You know Ireads pretty good, you know, so
i'd go eight to seven. Youknow, probably five eighty five seven eight
seven five something like that. Stuffto consider you have to make make our
notes. Will regroup on Saturday,Christie, what kind of information is coming

(59:28):
in? And uh and and andchase some money. Yeah, we'll be
pretty good. I think I gaveyou two out of three on Saturday on
the side, Yeah, you knowso, which wasn't too bad. You
know what. It's a day ofrace decision from what the people sending the
information. I mean, right now, I think for us mission for today,
for Saturday, for that. Butwhen you check back with me Saturday
and you can maybe make a tweet, I'll give you some other horses.

(59:50):
But I think I like sure,and all from my other hotness and go
from there, say reward the listeners. It sounds great. Chris Garney from
Rain and Park owner over there andhopefully bringing more luck to the Celtics tomorrow
night. And Chris, maybe I'llsee you over there. I'll shoot your
text. I have a great day, see you guys and joy and knight.
Thanks Chris, Chris Carney once again. Uh and obviously you know,

(01:00:10):
well we'll have him back in acouple of weeks when we're looking ahead to
the Belmont's. He's great, heis, He is great guest. He's
just so knowledgeable. He's just recitingthings that no one's coming to me for
horse expertise. So the fact thatI can have somebody on the show with
us, that, uh, thatmakes it worth listening to. Yeah.

(01:00:31):
No, I mean a lot ofthe horse guy. You know, I
grew up close to Saratoga and there'sjust so many horse guy. He just
reminds me of so many people thatI know from growing up. This just
just once they know, you know, they can just go off for hours
on horses. You can tell Chriscould just keep going. Oh yeah,
if we had the time walking aroundthe little like you know what people used
to call like the black books ora little porter sized notebooks or the you

(01:00:54):
know the tiny like mini golf pencilright peeking into stalls, you know,
our stalls that is, and uh, you know, just getting all that
information their day of Definitely that wasawesome. That was great. So yeah,
now we'll just wait a couple ofdays and see if any of what
he just gave to us over thelast half hour evolves changes at all.

(01:01:14):
We will see, but we'll stepaside. Uh you know, I will
actually tell you real quick before wedo that that the hockey game, Uh
god, has it not ended yet? It's going double overtime? Yeah,
don't. They're just about to dropthe post Yeah I was. I was
just about to you know, revealthe winner because I I should change the
channel on my TV. It's onLakers Nuggets post game, because I can't

(01:01:35):
be more depressed about how how allof that, all of that went.
EJ has gone silent with it.I appreciate that. All right, when
we come back, it'll be timeto put the show to bed, which
means looking ahead to what we areon too early on for tomorrow, So
stay with us. The Gambler withAdam Kaufman. Need a vent about bad
bets, you come to the rightplace tell us about it. Call six

(01:01:59):
one seven two six six six eightsix at six one seven two six six
six eight six eight, Or ifyou're listening on the iHeartRadio app, use
the tuckback button. The Gambler withAdam Kaufman will be right back after this
on WRKO. Now it's time toput this show to bed with my pillow

(01:02:28):
bitter. He is very unhappy andprobably some betters out there as well with
Lebron's fumbled dunk attempt. YEP.Now, I would be more triggered if
that was the difference between him reachingtwenty five or twenty six points, but
it would have put him at twentyfour, which just was not nearly as
meaningful for me. Right fair enoughon that point. But it's a stupid

(01:02:52):
look though. I mean, yougot a show boat on a like just
put the ball in the basket,man, don't get fancy. It kind
of looked like he lost the handle. I guess you know what burned me.
I'm just looking through I had andI didn't have this all over the
place or anything, but I hadit in a couple of spots, just

(01:03:13):
as I was getting a little mygiggles multi leg parlays where I was getting
a little goofy, I had DenisShrewder at two assists or two plus assists
and he had zero, which Iwas going to blame on him getting pulled
out of the starting lineup replaced byVanderbilt. But honestly, that's no excuse

(01:03:35):
because he played thirty minutes. Yeah, he played thirty minutes and didn't have
a single assist. I would beI'd be curious to look back in his
game lug at some point and seethe last time that happened. I bet
it has been a long time.I feel like we had Shrewder problems a
couple of weeks ago. I think, in like a people's parlay, I
feel like, uh, maybe Iremember we've taken him for under three and

(01:04:00):
a half as Yeah, unless itwas, you know, maybe one of
those days that he went over orsomething like that, but whatever the case.
Uh, you know, the wholepoint of this, my pillow putting
the show to bed segment is thatwe we uh we we we rinse off
right, we we we put thiswe cleanse ourselves of this day, for

(01:04:20):
better or worse, and certainly forbetter in this case, because it was
not a great day. And welook ahead to Friday, which most importantly
above I'm sorry you may not agreeout there, but above all, betting
needs just emotionally, mentally, physically, all of it. Need the Celtics
to win this game. Need theCeltics to win this game. So uh.

(01:04:42):
But that being said, as faras bets go, and I'll put
some parleys together because I can't helpmyself. Again, they're not they're not
smart bets. I just I enjoyit. What what the heck? Uh?
They're not high stakes. I'm I'minclined to agree with lochran LOFFI when
he was on earlier with us.If I were going to bet the points,

(01:05:02):
and I'm not. If I weregoing to, I would probably do
the heat plus nine. But Ido like the over. I do like
the over two fifteen and a half. And that is where a considerable amount
of the handle and the money islike more than an eighty twenty split right
now, and I don't think that'sgoing to change all that much between now
and tip off in about what twentyone hours from now? Money line again

(01:05:25):
one it's a fifty fifty split.I think a part of that is because
there's just no value betting Boston andpeople are trying to find some so hey,
what the heck plus three whatever onMiami. But that's sort of how
I'm failing about the Celtics right now. Non prop wise, I was even
looking at the first half line andI don't even like that at five and

(01:05:45):
a half, I don't even likethat. No, I was hoping it
to be like right around like threeand a half or four. Yeah,
I don't like five and a half. I just don't like And I know
they were. They would have coveredit. Yeah, they would have covered
in game one and it was fourand a half. I want to say
in game one because I was kindof thinking about it as far as the
hockey game goes, not to goback to the well, but inevitably I
will bet the over. Oh yeah, that's my old Knights. I did

(01:06:09):
not take that for our people's parlaybecause I thought you were going to.
But that is like my other favoriteplay on the board. I can't wait
for this game. There's just somany juicy storylines too. On top of
it, I wish you had Iconsidered it, but I didn't want to
be repetitive. Yeah, well,I thought for sure you were going towards
it, but then so I didn't. But maybe next week if this stays
at five and a half in thisseries, and we'll find out. But

(01:06:30):
yeah, there's just the Pete deborgoing against his old team. Obviously,
everything Bruce Cassidy does is going tobe under a microscope here as people are
watching. And then the other playI'm really liking in this one is Joe
Pavelski, anytime goal scorer at plustwo hundred. He had eight goals in
seven games against Seattle. He scoredin five of the seven, So I'm
liking that might be might be aprop for me tomorrow night in this one.

(01:06:53):
But yeah, I'm expecting a lotof offense in Vegas as far as
baseball goes, and I just wantto refresh because you know, the the
early money line movement obviously, youknow, as as games have finalized throughout
the day here. But yeah,I am drawn to and again I always
say this, I won't make thebets until tomorrow. I like to sort

(01:07:15):
of see where things start to settle. But I'm certainly drawn to the Yankees
run line. Definitely drawn to themoney line they are in Cincinnati, the
Diamondbacks on the run line, andmaybe even the money line, although I
don't love the number there. Thatis intriguing. Overs that are appealing right
now. Cubs and Phillies are beingbet up. That's over eight and a
half at the moment, and it'sit's rising as far as the handle goes

(01:07:40):
over seven and a half. Diamondbacksand Pirates, that is intriguing. Might
do that all on their own.Yeah, very true. Some later games.
Braves money line and run line,Rangers, money line and run line,
all the money lines, you know, minus two whatever. So that's
not a great number, but therun line, certainly against Colorado, that

(01:08:00):
is a huge advantage toward Texas.At the moment, Colorado is throwing a
Cofman out on the mountain tomorrow night. I'll bet it gets him, and
I think he's got a double Fin his name, Say probably doesn't spell
it the same way. Astro's runline is another one. Wins money line
is a good one. Marlin's Giantsover seven and a half. So those

(01:08:23):
are just some of my early thoughts. But what about you, So the
one game I'm really looking to isnot on the board right now, and
that's Tampa Bay Milwaukee, and Ican't figure out why both starters have been
announced Shane McClanahan for Tampa. Maybethey're just figuring that Milwaukee's just going to
pack it in so they can't makethis line big enough. With McClanahan on
the mount, who's seven and ohthis year, he's just been absolutely nasty,

(01:08:45):
but he's pitching for Tampa their home, so I'm definitely looking towards that.
In Tampa's offense has been unbelievable athome, so I might just do
like a team over for Tampa wherewhatever that is. If it's probably it's
probably gonna be right around five runs, I bet with hows around the mountain.
But then the Red Sox tomorrow nightis low to me at eight and
a half, so I'm probably gonnatake the over as they're out in San
Diego auto play. Yeah, andthey're going against Blake Snell, who has

(01:09:08):
not been great this year at all, and James Paxton's on the mount,
so we'll see what what version ofJames Paxton we get tomorrow night, too,
could be the version that's striking outguys like Crazy could could, but
I mean St. Louis Scott,Saint Louis got some hits on him.
I think they got more to thebullpens too. But we might see newly
newfound reliever Nick Pavetta tomorrow night,which could be interesting. Yeah, he'll

(01:09:29):
be really happy about it too,he says, he is. Some of
the I'm just you know, becausewe had Loffy on with us and he's
over with Stochastic an odd shopper.I'm pulling up ob shopper just to look
at some of the bets that theylike going into tomorrow. And this evolves
because as he said, it's it'smarket based, so you know it.
Do they like Eronado? You know, ten ten minutes from now, right,

(01:09:50):
ten minutes from now is lines change, you know, the the bets
change, you know, obviously interms of what they like or don't like.
But some popular plays right now now, Derek White over eight and a
half points at plus money is apopular one. You Michael Kopeck, I
don't really like this one, butunder five and a half k's that's at

(01:10:12):
plus one twenty over on the DraftKing Sports book. Some let's see the
overrun total between the Oriols and BlueJays is a popular pick Jaylen Brown,
and I just I don't know thatI would bet this one, but Jaylen
Brown at under thirty thirty four anda half p r A is a popular
pick as well some under four anda half strikeouts Kyle Gibson for Baltimore.

(01:10:36):
So those are just some of thethings that are out there going into tomorrow
to think about. But hey,guys, another week in the books.
Huh. Three down. We needto go back and we need to absorb
our losses and check out the Wegotta update the stats with the people's parlay.
We don't want to be disingenuous withthe public. Gotta update our stats.
We gotta update the legs. Seewho's We'll have an internal competition for

(01:11:00):
as he was doing the best betweenthe three of us, that being me,
you and guest X and maybe wecan compile those and see how it
goes. But thank you everyone forbeing with us. Another week on the
Gambler with Adam Kaufman. Find thepodcast wherever you get your podcast, be
it Apple or Spotify or Pandora orSprinaker or obviously on the iHeartMedia website.
Rate review, subscribe it. Itgoes a long way. Check it out.

(01:11:23):
We greatly appreciate it. If anythingmissed anything during this show, help
you get set up betting tomorrow night'sCeltics heat game, and obviously you've got
a nice little runway setting you upfor the Preakness on Saturday, Dan EJ.
Thank you both very much. Iam Adam. Everybody. Have a
great night. Go sees. Forthe best night sleep you've ever had,

(01:11:43):
go to Mike Pillow dot com anduse the code Gambler. You've been listening
to The Gambler with Adam Kaufman onsix eighty w r KO, Boston's first
and only nightly sports betting show,airing live Monday through Thursday nights from ten midnight.