Celtics Extend Season, Let's Bet Game 7 & Early Lines Released for Every Patriots Game

May 11, 2023: Host Adam Kaufman (Twitter @adammkaufman) is joined by Dan Watkins (@danwatkinsradio) and guests Jeff Pratt (@byjeffpratt) from DraftKings and VSiN's Will Hill (@nottheewillhill). The crew reacts to a Celtics win to extend their season and examines the early betting lines for a Mother's Day Game 7. Also, in the wake of the NFL's full regular season schedule release, the boys go game-by-game for the Patriots to predict their year, then Hill outlines some of his favorite Week 1 and futures picks. And, yes, another win for the People's Parlay!

Episode Transcript

(00:00):
W r KO Presidents Boston's only nightlysports betting show, The Gambler, with
Adam Kaufman covering spreads, props,parlays and more. The Gambler starts.
Now here's Adam Kaufman. Oh God, Thank the Lord. We're gonna have

(00:31):
a Game seven on Sunday. Sorry, honey, Sorry, Mother's Day is
gonna be a little rough. Yeah, yeah, they're gonna be home.
They're playing again. Celtics won somehow, some way, despite an absolutely horrid

(00:51):
chunk of this game from Jason Tatum. He got into his bag late,
had the fourth quarter that we needed, still wound up with nineteen points,
which ultimately will upset a lot ofpeople based on some of the prop bets
and that sort of thing. Butthe Celtics, they found a way.
They found a way to get thewin. They have won in Philadelphia,

(01:11):
they have forced a Game seven.We could take a look in a few
minutes. I'd be willing to betthat they are now the betting favorites to
win the championship, just by virtueof the fact that it is now three
three, going back home for aGame seven. Ninety five eighty six victory
for the Seas blew a big leadearly, they were up what fourteen,
sixteen points? And then it wasback and forth, back and forth,

(01:34):
back and forth, never a largedeficit. Certainly, plenty of times where
open shots were not falling you startedto worry. A couple of miss free
throws it inopportune times. Certainly,turnovers were an issue, seventeen of them
in this game for Boston. Butthey found a way. And how did
they do it, folks? Howdid they do it? Defense? Defense?

(01:55):
Phenomenal defense out of the Celtics inthis game in limiting the Sixers to
below twenty two points or twenty twoor less anyhow in three quarters, including
just thirteen in the fourth quarter asthey finished plus eleven to steal this victory.
Now, it was not a perfectnight for the bank roll. Admittedly

(02:16):
not a perfect night for the bankroll, because you know there was I
tell people not to do this,and I did it. Anyway, don't
bet with your heart, bets smart. For instance, I put a decent
sum of money pregame, just assumingthat Jason Tatum wasn't going to start off
over six or over eight from thefield again, let alone over freaking eleven

(02:38):
before he finally got himself going myword, who would have seen that coming?
But that the pra A points,rebounds, assist prop was at forty
three and a half forty four anda half. I believe he finished with
nineteen points nine rebounds, didn't evenget to ten. That's a bummer and
six assists, so obviously well wellshort of hitting that. But what I

(03:00):
will say, like I said,there are times to bet with your heart,
not a smart way to bet.Sometimes it works out, but not
a smart way to bet. Andthere are times to bet smart. I
did make a smart bet. Thatwas when Jayson Tatum was so zozozo,
so bad in the first half froma shooting standpoint, because he did a

(03:20):
lot of things well. He wasgreat defensively, He got the bulk of
his rebounds in the opening half,had a couple of block shots, the
steels, he had most of hisassists in the opening half. He just
could not hit a shot he hadthe one. He had three points five
twenty one overall, by the way, so it was not great, but
three points in the opening half.So I thought, you know what,
I wonder what the halftime points overis for Jayson Tatum right now? And

(03:44):
I logged in and I looked andit was thirteen and a half. Hammered
it, absolutely hammered it. Therewas just no way Jason Tatum was going
to stay that cold that long.I only wish I'd put more on it
to try and recoup some of thelosses that inevitably I will take tonight when
I start to look at my betslip a little bit later on which I

(04:05):
am not doing right now, butI will say this. They covered,
They covered comfortably. I even hadthe Celtics had an alternate line. I
think it was minus six and ahalf. Obviously they covered that. The
over which I had been preaching didn'tsniff that, did not sniff that two
hundred fourteen points or so. Itopened up bad, even got back bet

(04:26):
down to I think two eleven orso, finished at what one eighty ish,
So not great, not great,but that's okay. I'm willing to
overlook all of it because the BostonCeltics have won this game, and we
will have a game seven, DanWatkins, Yes we will today. I

(04:46):
hope you didn't have plans. No, no, no plans at all.
But anyways, Adam, I likemy notes right now I'm looking through them.
I was so prepared about fifteen minutesto go to just come in and
just rip this team and ripped thetwo All NBA players, but still do
plenty of it. But with fourminutes left to go, mister first team
All NBA finally showed up. Washis plane delayed? Where had he been?

(05:10):
But finally what he had? Three? Three, four, three pointers
down the stretch. But yeah,big final moments for Jason Tatum. That's
gonna take a lot of the stingwiping, you know, to take a
lot of the bad taste in yourmouth for the first three plus quarters of
this game. But yeah, biggame for Tatum. Hopefully that's gonna get
him going and get him hot forSunday because they're gonna need him again.
But you can't say enough about theCeltics role players in this one. Malcolm

(05:33):
Brogdon, Marcus Smart, Derek White, Al Horford on the glass and Rob
Williams was a huge difference maker inthis one too. I think he had
the best plus minus of the entireteam, but plus twenty Williams of plus
eighteen. He wasn't there though,and obviously in much less minutes twenty eight
yeah he was. He was anX factor in this one, and you're
gonna need all those guys again onSunday. Looking forward to it, I'm

(05:56):
interested to see what the line's gonnabe. I haven't even looked at it
yet. I did just check.Golly, what is it out? Can?
I guess I'm gonna go the number. I'm gonna go five and a
half, seven and a half,seven and a half. So same as
games Game five, Celtics seven anda half point favorites. The over under
has dropped considerably. Really you ohfive and a half? Wow? They
are banking on defense and this one, folks, and you know what,

(06:17):
probably rightfully so. And I'll stilltake the over. Are they banking on
defense or are they banking on theCeltics just carelessly turn turning? The Celtics
is carelessly turning the ball over?U like Jesus, Can we get Jalen
Brown some chalk or something to goon his hands? And by the way,
I there was a promo today.I took it. It was Jalen
Brown twenty points in a plus onehundred. I maxed out the bet at

(06:40):
what it was allowed at and itfailed. He didn't have he didn't have
a single basket in the second half. I thought I was golden cruising to
that. Thank thankfully there was acap on that, because I would have
put even more on it. Therewas a promo that I played. I
didn't max it, but I putenough on it to piss me off,
which was and I hesitated to.I didn't even like it, but I
went, you know what the helllike yolo? It was Jaylen Brown James

(07:03):
Harden to combine for six three pointersin this game. You know what,
they went five, they get five, one for nine, nine, one
for nine. So it did nothit that, you know what did screw
me? So I was talking about, you know, betting smart and hammering
Jason Tatum's over on the points linethirteen and a half, fourteen and a
half whatever it was, which obviouslydid work out. But I got a

(07:25):
little greedy. I got a littlegreedy thinking he was going to get at
it sooner, and I put moneybecause it was it was a It was
a good number. It was likeplus almost three hundred or something, because
remember he only had three points inthe opening half. It was for Jason
Tatum to reach twenty points nineteen yep, he finished it nineteen. What a

(07:45):
bummer. Yeah, I mean sittingthis morning, Adam. If I told
you that the Celtics were going towin this game, in a game that
they had seventeen turnovers and both Brownand Tatum had under twenty points, what
would you have said. I wouldhave said, you're drunk. Yeah,
you start drinking. Did you startdrinking early? Yeah? It's scheduled day,
man, gotta start, gotta getall fired up for NFL schedule release

(08:05):
night. Oh my goodness, gracious. And they shot well overall in spite
of Tatum. They shot forty twoforty three percent. In fact, I
wanted to the quick math just tosee what they shot if you remove Tatum
from the equation, it was doyou want to guess? Uh, they
shot fifty percent if if you removeJason Tatum from this butt. But but

(08:31):
if you remove Jason Tatum from this, well, you don't have that big
fourth quarter, so ebbs and flows. I suppose we've got a big show
coming up, A really big,a fun show. I wish I could
respond to all the stuff going onon Twitter right now, because there's a
lot of great interaction in my feed. At Adam M. Kaufman. You
can get Dan at Dan Watkins Radiotonight, we will have Jeff Pratt,

(08:52):
he is a basketball analyst at DraftKingson with us in a matter of minutes.
He's in the process of kicking peopleout of his house from his view
party. We will talk NBA playoffswith him in a sport especially of course,
a lot about this game over thecourse of the next couple of segments.
He'll join us in about five minutes. We will also talk with Will
Hill, who is a contributor toVison. And of course NFL regular season

(09:15):
schedule is out. In fact,DraftKings did something really really cool and I
started to look it up. Idon't know if you saw. I tweeted
a little bit about it. Idon't know if you saw this, Dan,
but the entire regular season schedule isout on DraftKings. The spreads the
line bet on every single game throughoutthe entire year. So I went through,

(09:35):
and obviously we'll do the schedule releasedstuff in the second hour of the
show, but I went through tolook at how many games the Pats were
actually favored in of the seventeen Andmind you, there are a lot of
close spreads you know where you know, anywhere from one to three points or
something like that. But but howmany games do you think if you didn't
see the tweet, I didn't seeit. Okay, how many games do

(09:56):
you think the Patriots are favored in? So not how many games do you
think the win We'll get to that, but how many games do you think
they are favored in? Six?Four four four? Only four? Yea,
So probably that's of course entering theyear like that's going to change lines
move We all know that. Butright now, schedule release day only came

(10:16):
out a few hours ago. Fourfour. That's actually the amount of primetime
games they got this year too,which I was surprised by, probably two
or three too many. Yeah,and we got another December of three straight
primetime games, two with the Pats, which hopefully this year they're better than
last year because that was just painfullast season. There is so much on
this show we're going to get to. We should also, by the way,

(10:37):
acknowledge the People's Parlay, which today, as we noted last night,
building it with Matt Meisselman from theValue Betting Discord. He had his bet
in the afternoon, which was theover on the what was it? The
Twins and Press Padres. He hadtwins and Padres game, which depending see

(11:01):
this is where it gets a littletricky, depends where you got the line.
You know what book you used.So he got it at eight,
you got it at eight. Igot it at eight and a half.
So there were eight runs. Sofor me that's a loss. H You
know, I can't run around that. But for show purposes, you know,

(11:22):
I'm outnumbered as far as I'm concerned. That's a push that is avoided.
Bet, that's avoided line, butit is still alive exactly. And
your leg was the Tampa bay Raysbeating the Yankees money line, which they
did considerably. You could have takenthe run line. It was what eight
nothing? Yeah, well it wasone nothing for like to like the seventh
inning. Then Tampa just blue doorsat the end. There. So the

(11:43):
only other game that we will bewatching, which we will be watching closely,
and it's off to a heck ofa start, is the Kraken and
Stars took the over. I believeit was five and a half goals at
some books. That's where I gotit. Some headed at six it was
the over. It's already two nothing, Dallas a little more than midway through
the open period, so we willtrack that, Carolina if you have them
on the money line. I didone in overtime. I did not hit

(12:05):
the over. That's a bumber.I had the over there finished at three
to two. The over was fiveand a half. And this Nuggets and
Sons game without DeAndre Ayton, mindyou, is just getting underway. So
we've got a lot to get intoover the course of these couple hours.
But that is just to wet yourbeak, just a little appetizer and of
course maybe if there's time a littlebit later on, we will talk about

(12:26):
the Red Sox getting back to work. They were off today for Red Sox
getting back to work tomorrow. JamesPaxton will be on the Mountains starting about
six years. He will face theSaint Louis sat also roughly so Watkins.
This here EJ Pacheco, our producer. I am Adam Kaufman. It's The
Gambler with Adam Kaufman. Jeff Prattfrom DraftKings. When we come back sick
and tired of old sports talk andwant to get right into the action,

(12:48):
The Gambler with Adam Kaufman. Asyou covered, call us now with six
one, seven, two six sixsix eight six eight. That's six one
seven two six six six eight sixeight. The Gambler with Adam Kaufman will
be right back after this is onWRKO. Celtics a borderline miraculous win in

(13:11):
game six to force a Game seven? Was the win really that miraculous?
No, but it just emotionally itfelt like it. It felt like it
just because so many people would resignedthemselves to the fact that they were done,
they're cooked, They're gonna lose inPhilly. And now, all of
a sudden, because this is theway it works, the Boston Celtics are
betting favorites to win the championship.Let's bring back Jeff Pratt, contributor analyst

(13:33):
over at DraftKings, and Jeff,let me ask you this. Let's do
a little betting exercise, and asa seas fan, I want you to
remove your emotion from the equation,which is this. Think about who,
Think about who I know? Pregnant, pause there and a half. Think
about who or how you would rankthe remaining teams in terms of winning a

(13:58):
champion chip. How would you doit between the Celtics and the Sixers,
And obviously out in the West,the Nuggets, the Lakers, the Warriors,
the Suns. Okay, so interms of likelihood to win the championship
we're talking about right now, ohman, Okay, And you don't need

(14:18):
to list them all. You couldjust do like your top three or something.
Sure, sure, So I thinkthis is this is very interesting.
I think I'm actually going to givethe lean to the Nuggets here my number
one spot. I've really been impressed. I came into the postseason as someone

(14:39):
who did not believe in the Nuggets. I've thought that they had no chance
to win this series entering it,and then when Chris Paul went down,
I thought, Okay, you know, the series is definitely over. Denver's
clearly gonna clean them out. Andlook what happened. You know, the
ball was in Kevin Durant and DevinBooker's hands. More they won two games.
Now we are in a really tightbattle here. Denver's currently up in

(15:00):
that game. But you know,if they win this one, which is
no guarantee, or actually know theydidn't win two games, apologies for that,
but if they do win this one, I think you have to feel
very confident because they've gone through agauntlet to us certain extent, you've been
you know, a Devin Booker whohas been sorry for Jimmy Butler fans out
there, He's been incredible. DevinBooker has been the best postseason performer right

(15:24):
now. I was talking about thiswith a couple of people at work.
Outside of what we saw from KawhiLeonard in Toronto in their championship run,
I'm not sure we've seen a betterplayoff performance in terms of consistency an offensive
exploit than Devin Booker right now.And the Nuggets are, you know,
on the verge of beating them toan extent. So if they can do

(15:45):
that, I think if you feelreally good about Denver, I'm gonna go
with the Celtics that two here,and it's really tight between the Celtics and
the Lakers. And that is assumingthat Anthony Davis is okay in plays,
which is you know, thankfully itsounds like he is all right. Obviously,
very scary incident last night going offmultiple trips in a wheelchair. That

(16:06):
is always extremely concerning with head injuries. And now we have some people clowning
in on social media as always,but that stuff is always very scary,
and I'm glad that it sounds likehe's going to be okay and it will
be ready to play tomorrow. Andassuming he does, I do think that
the Lakers are going to get thisone done and then that's going to be
a fantastic matchup. But the Celticsjust pointing this up for their next game

(16:30):
in Game seven, they're twenty sixand nine in game seven's all time.
I understand that this is a differentteam every year. It's a year by
year basis, but it's still interestingto look at it from a greater scheme
of things. They're twenty one infive at home in game sevens of all
time, and then you look atPhilly, they do not fare so well
in Game seven, specifically Game seven'son the road. They've played in seven

(16:52):
of them, to be exact ina way situations, and they are one
in six in those games. Now. Their loan victory was in Night two
against the Boston Celtics. That beingsaid, coming up, who cares exactly?
I wasn't even close to being bored, ye, Adam. I think
we talked about this on the plate. A little bit of a jarring experience
for you, unfortunately, but Iguess let me turn it around, would

(17:18):
you just very quickly yes or no? On this one? Would you say
that the Sixers, if they beatBoston, would be among your favorites to
win a championship, or would youat that point in time believe that,
all right, well, the title'sgoing to come out of the West.
I think I'd probably slatted them toone. So I asked that for this

(17:41):
very specific reason that was all thelast five minutes was a long winded way
of me getting there, which isthis, Yeah, the Celtics right now
were the championship favorites. The Nuggetsare next, the Lakers are next.
I am seeing the Sixers at plusseven fifty odds to win the title.
Would obviously I wouldn't expect you woulddo it as a Celtics fan. I
couldn't stomach it as a Celtics fan. But if you're removing bias, if

(18:03):
you're just a better out there andyou're looking for an opportunity, would it
make sense to you to put moneyon the Sixers right now to win a
championship? Given that the fact,you know, like they only got to
win the one and then I dobelieve they're a better team than Miami or
New York, you know or youknow, so they they just gotta win
the one at this point in time. That's that's really tough. I might

(18:29):
you could talk to me into puttingmoney on it. I'm not even sure
you're going to a fully unit there, to be completely honest, plus seven
fifty. It's just and it's mostlybecause and I think you could talk to
Phillies fans about this as well.I'm not sure how you look at Philadelphia
and say they're gonna win this gameon Sunday. It's gonna be really difficult,

(18:49):
especially after what Jason Tatum did inthe fourth quarter. Gear he's gonna
come out and drop forty points onSunday, It's easy to talk yourself into
that, but how often did hehave a great second half after a crappy
first half and then the first halfthe next game he stinks again. I'm
still mad I didn't take the underon his first quarter point point total point
total tonight, still mad about it. Just what are we expecting out of

(19:11):
Jason Tatum on Sunday? Do wethink another slow start? It would be
four straight games of slow starts forJason Tatum. Do you do you see
that happening again. No, Idon't, but I would have said the
same thing about three straight slow starts. Right, all right, we got
Jeff back, Jeff, continue on, you got cut off. Yeah,
sorry about that, guys, Butum let's see where we were talking about

(19:32):
it. I Taston Tatum in theunder for his for his first quarter points.
Unfortunate. Uh, we're willing topull this trigger there. But um,
I just think that, yes,Billy has won two games in TD
Garden so far in the series,which is really impressive for them. But
you know what they always say,it's hard to win in a specific environment

(19:52):
three times in a specific series.And just the fact that Philly had this
game in their grasp, they couldtaste it. And you know that these
Sixers fans were already looking They weren'tjust looking at the next round because they're
looking forward to the finals. BecauseI hate to say this about both Miami

(20:14):
Heat and the New York Knicks.There's a reason they're the bottom two teams
in terms of having the odds towin the NBA Championship right now. No
one's really giving them a chance.And I think if it is the Heat,
assuming they do hold off New York, tomorrow and we might get a
well rest to Jimmy Butler, there'sa chance that they make that a competitive
series, whether it's Boston or Philly. But whoever wins this game on Sunday
should be going to the finals,and they should be going in six games

(20:37):
or fewer. So I have tosay, if just from an unbiased perspective,
as unbiased as that can be,if you think there's any chance the
Sixers can win this game, thenyou take them right now plus seven fifty
to win the finals. It makessense you're not going to get a better
number on them. They win thisgame, those rockets are gonna those odds
are going to drop to plus fourfifty US four hundred immediately after that game,

(21:03):
maybe even less depending on what happenswith Denver and Phoenix and the Lakers
in the Western Conference. So toanswer your question, Kaufman, if if
you think there's any chance that theycan win this game, you take that
and they're plus three twenty to winthe East two. By the way,
Yeah, that's that's interesting. Whatoff the Celtics time right now? Minus

(21:26):
sixty? Okay, all right,so looking ahead to Game seven, and
we're not we don't have a starttime for that one. We're not going
to have it apparently until tomorrow night. I only hope for the sake of
my marriage, it's not an afternoongame. Hopefully it's in the evening.
Don't want to see mother's day completelyinterrupted by this thing. But hey,
priorities, right, She's not inyour shot? Is the Celtics are seven

(21:48):
and a half point favorites, guys, Like I said, comfortable favorites on
the money line. You know,it's like minus three hundred and the unders
over unders already the totals being betdown, it's two oh four now it
is two oh five and a halfwhen we first brought this up after the
game ended. How if there areany player props you want to mention,
I know that stuff is still comingout, or just gut feelings you might

(22:10):
have about how you're going to betsomething without a line, or if you
just want to look at some ofthe standard numbers in terms of lines that
I already gave out. Jeff,how do you think right now you're going
to bet this game? So?I think you know obviously as as I've
mentioned, you can probably infer thatI'm taking the Celtics in this one seven
points is it makes me a littlewary just because we've seen the team consistently

(22:33):
it's a lot, and we've seenthis team consistently underperformed in these situations when
they have the opportunity to take advantageof a team that it could be ready
to give up. And I thinkthey're legitimately as a chance here from a
game script perspective that if the Celticscome out and they play you know how
they did in the in the beginningof the first quarters today, and they

(22:55):
jump back to a fifteen plus lead, that could be a lead that liking
Game two we saw, I wasin the garden for that one that Philly
does not recover from and extent becauseI hate to say it, Philly has
been more resilient than I was expectingthis series. But they still have Doc
Rivers as their head coach, whowe all know his track record in the
playoffs, the fact that two thousandand eight championship here in Boston. They

(23:18):
still have James Harden, who isconsidered one of the biggest postseason chokers,
probably currently in the NBA. Ithink he might be number one on that
list. You still have Duell andbeat who has not made a conference finals
yet so far in his career,So I think that there's a chance Philly's
ready to flame out in this one. I would drop that number a little

(23:40):
bit, maybe to minus four anda half, minus maybe even minus five
and a half. Minus four anda half I think is the sweet spot
there. And then from a playerpross perspective, obviously we don't have it
yet. I'm assuming Jason Tatum's numberis gonna come out somewhere around thirty and
a half or thirty one and ahalf. I would probably be more interested
in Jalen's points total, maybe completelyhonest, because I think, like you

(24:04):
guys have been saying, you knowTatum, we can assume he's going to
go out there and drop forty inGame seven, but the fact remains that
he has been horrible in the inthe last three first halfs here. So
someone's going to have to carry thescoring load here. I think that Jalen
Brown could be that guy. Hereally feeds off of the crowded he garden.
And I think also depending where'll weget for Rob Williams rebounds, we

(24:26):
know that Joe Missoula is going togo back to him if it's not broke,
you don't fix it right. Sohe should be starting once again.
He should be playing twenty five plusminutes. And if that happens, he's
going to grab over eight rebounds.I assume his line is going to be
set at seven and a half oreight malfs. So I would I would
say if we're looking at let's justsay building a same game parlay for this
one n drafting the sports, butyou drop that Celtics bread to minus three

(24:49):
and a half, minus four andout. You take an alternate Jalen Brown
line at say twenty and a half, twenty one and a half points,
maybe Tatum if you want to dropit and you're more confident in him,
then you take a Rob Williams reboundsline stay seven and a half. You're
probably looking somewhere in the realm ofplus one seventy five to plus two seventy
five with those odds, just doingthe math in my head, and that

(25:11):
is the play that I would bevery comfortable in after watching this game.
All right, we have to hitthe break. Paprett, let me have
you. I was gonna let yougo, but let me have you stick
around just a little bit more.I want you to help us out with
our people's parley. You brought upparlays, I want you to help us
out build our show parlay. Soyour homework assignment during the break is find
a bet for tomorrow of any kinda line of prop but total, whatever

(25:32):
one bet that you really like fortomorrow. We're all going to build a
parlay together when we come back.I get tired of old sports talk and
want to get right into the action. The Gambler with Adam Kaufman, as
you covered, call us now withsix one seven two six six six eight
six eight. That's six one seventwo six six six eight six eight.

(25:53):
The Gambler with Adam Kaufman will beright back after this on wr KO.
Phoenix Suns can wake the heck upso we could have a game tonight.
That'd be great. Nuggets with fortyfour first quarter points, they lead by
twenty right now, only a minuteand a half into quarter number two.
Kevin Durant's been invisible. Devin Booker'snow done much obviously, Nicolaeokich has been

(26:15):
very very good. But Contavius calledwell, paulp Pope, my god, it's
a KCP game. My god,can you realize it right now? Yeah,
who would have known? So Prattcomes back, Jeff Pratt and DraftKings.
We're going to build out our People'sparlay, and Pratt, I gotta
tell you pressures on upal because wehave been doing this for the entire history

(26:37):
brief history of this show and cominginto tonight. The People's Parlay is four
and two. Individual legs are sixteenand two, and the parlay today that
we built last night for today stilllive. The first leg pushed so avoided,
second leg one, third leg iswell on its way to victory.

(27:00):
If things don't go you know,don't suddenly lock up goaltending Wise in his
Cracking Stars Game four goals, wehad the over and it's still early in
the second period, so we'll see. So pressure Pratt is on you.
Are you ready? I am veryready. I thrive under pressure. Excellent.
Now, there's there are a couplerequirements for you then, So I

(27:21):
hope you're sitting in front of asports book, whichever your sports book of
choice. We'll get him back,all right, we lost him for a
second. Okay, we'll bring himright back. Too excited, too excited,
he was so excited his phone disconnected. He said, I can't do
it. I buckled under the pressure. I'm out. I'm out, guys,
He's back. I'm out right.My phone. My head was off
the phone. I'd like to saythat right now. I don't know what

(27:45):
happened either way. You're back.It's okay. Here are the rules.
Okay, and we only have afew minutes to do this before we hit
the top of the hour and wehave to go on. I don't care
what book you use, I don'tcare how much you invest. You are
required to play. The parlay said, you can sweat it with us.
That is the only role here.So you being the guest, you get
the first leg. What are wedoing? Sounds good. I'm gonna be

(28:08):
very boring with this pick. I'msticking with basketball. I would be really
fun if I just dipped into asport I knew nothing about. But it's
like, I'm very confident and I'mgonna be talking about it when we do
a little ESPN recording tomorrow morning.It is Miami Heat on the money line
minus two ten right now on Draftingsports Book. The Heat have yet to
lose a game in Miami this season. They also have they have yet to

(28:32):
drop back to back games. Iunderstand it is a very limited sample size
as we're only in the second roundof the postseason here, but hey,
I expect both of those trends tocontinue. We talk about playoff experience.
It looks like the Knicks we're readyto give up in the fourth quarter of
last game. They somehow managed tosqueak that game out to fourth Game six.
Here, Jimmy Butler and this MiamiHeat team, they know how important

(28:56):
it is to step on the neckof their opponents. I expect them to
get one day. I'll be honest. I wondered if you'd go with the
points. All right, Dan,what are we doing? All right?
There we go. So this isnot a play I would normally do.
But the Miami Marlins are bringing uptheir twenty twenty year old top prospect,
Juri Perez. I hope I'm sayinghis name right. He's only pitched thirty

(29:18):
innings in double A, a totalof one hundred and eighty innings in professional
baseball. It's a really weird,panicky moved by the Marlins, who are
nineteen and nineteen to bring up atwenty year old here tomorrow. So I'm
gonna take the Cincinnati Reds money lineat plus one twenty with Graham Ashcraft on
the mound, Who's actually been decentfor Cincinnati this year. Besides his last

(29:38):
start where he got rocked by theChicago White Sox, He's been really good
this year. He's two and onewith the three A two R. Marlin's
offense not great. So give methe Reds money line at plus one twenty.
Starting it off with you know,one of the one of the earlier
games too. I like it,six forty Yeah, no day baseball tomorrow,
No day baseball. So looking atbaseball too. But now I wonder

(30:00):
if I should should branch away.Do I need to mix up the sports.
I don't know. I don't thinkthere's any rule there. So I
am between. What I was betweenduring the break was the Orioles money line,
the Astros money line, and Iwas also considering the Dodgers money line.
I think, let's see, wherewhere are the odds that we can

(30:23):
beef up the parlay a little bit. I will go I'll go with the
Astros. I'll go with the Astro'smoney line. That will that'll that'll help
us inflate this number a little bit. Okay, I'm at plum. I'm
comfortable going to minus five and ahalf on the spread for the heat,
just to get this to minus onetag. I didn't realize we were bumping

(30:45):
this saying, oh, Dan,you put me to shame with a plus
money leg. Yeah. I wasn'texpecting the twenty year old to be on
the mount for the Marlins, soI had to pounce on it. Hey,
hey, fair enough. So ifwe want to do minus five and
a half for the heat, I'mperfectly cool with that. You guys can
make the call. No, Ithink it's a discretionary call. Man.
So if if if let's let's youwent heat money line, let's stick with

(31:07):
it, It's okay. We don'tneed to we need to beef it up
entirely. So all right, Sowe have got heat money line, Red's
money line, Astro's money line,so a little boring. No props,
that's okay, we're all guilty ofit, but no totals, no props.
That's we're gonna roll with it.I have north of plus four fifty
where I'm building this thing out rightnow, So that's that's what we're gonna

(31:27):
roll with. Sounds good to me. Excellent Pratt, thank you so much
for hopping on my friend. Thankyou guys so much for having me.
This was a blast. Absolutely,we will do it again for certain Jeff
Pratt, contributor and analyst over atDraftKings. We will talk with Will Hill
in the second hour. We'll getto some NFL. Maybe we'll start to
Dan and I do that a littlebit on the other side. But yeah,

(31:49):
make sure if you missed any anyof our chat with Jeff, especially
the betting stuff that we did inthat second segment, that will be available
to you on the podcast, whichof course will come out shortly after the
show and be available to you inthe morning. And with the game not
until Sunday, you're gonna have plentyof time to think about how you want
to bet, plenty of time offbetween now and then two days for the

(32:09):
Celtics to rest regroup mentally, physically, emotionally, all of it. So
our number two with The Gambler withAdam Kaufman, it's coming up. Another
hour of The Gambler with Adam Kaufmanis coming up on six eighty w r
KO, streaming live on the iHeartRadioapp and on your smart speaker. Just

(32:30):
ask it to play w r KOon iHeartRadio. Gambling problem, Hope is
here, Call one eight hundred andthree to two seven fifty fifty, or
visit gambling helpline MA dot org ournumber two and The Gambler with Adam Kaufman.
The Sun's trying to make this agame. Still down seventeen points,
but at least not going away quiteyet, which is good. That's what

(32:52):
we wants, what we want forprop bets, that's what we want for
entertainment. I want this to beeasy on the Nuggets, to just put
Enix away in their own building,no less, step up, Durant,
It's what we want. If youhad just happened to sprinkle something on Sun's
money line, well that's true.How what was that number looking like when

(33:13):
they were down by twenty in theopening quarter? I just I grabbed it
at seven when they were down seventeenjust a couple of minutes ago. We
were in the break at plus foursixty. So I just just a little
sprinkle, nothing, nothing crazy forthe heck of it. Hey, So
guess what stars lead the crack inthree two midway through the second period,
which means one more goal, onemore goal. Yes, Joe Pavelski,

(33:34):
by the way, a man possessedright now seven goals in this series since
coming back. He didn't play inthe first round. You're doing any any
time goals for him at all.I took his shots prop tonight, which
I couldn't believe was two and ahalf at plus one fifteen, he's already
at two of here. Had isthat two shots here? And you got
him both on the same play.He followed up and got his own rebound
and scored. Plenty of time,So plenty of time, man. People's

(34:00):
parlay running hot. If you pushed, if you followed us and you got
the push on the opening game,we are in great shape to improve to
five and two on the people's parlay. So for people out there to hate
the parlays, say you can't makeany money off of parlays, Yes,
it's not true when you build themwith friends. Yeah. When I build
them alone, sure, right,but build them with people. So we'll

(34:21):
see how it ends up going.If you miss the people's parlay that we
just built. In the previous segmentwith Jeff Pratt for tomorrow's games, uh,
it was he had the heat moneyline, you had the Reds and
I took the Astros. I tookthe Astros. That's that's what we got
going on tomorrow. And it's littlesouth of plus five hundred, so build
it and uh and and best ofluck. Yeah, and the one play,

(34:44):
the one play I really wanted todo tomorrow isn't even up yet.
I'm like refreshing feverishly to see whatthe Saint Louis Cardinals run total is going
to be tomorrow against James Paxton hereat Fenway. I'm expecting he's probably gonna
be around four and a half.And I'll be taking the over on that
because I think Paxson's gonna get litup in his first start back and how

(35:04):
is Obviously that's not the team total, but the overall of the game is
ten, which is a good reminderI should do my my daily Bethy over
in the Red Sox game. BetI'm gonna man ten to ten and a
half, depending on I don't know. Ten and a half. That's a
big number. That's a very bignumbers. It's gonna be eighty though,

(35:28):
ball is gonna be jumping, that'strue, all right, what the heck?
Talk myself into it? Are youtalking me into order the weather gods
or I don't know what, butwe're gonna do some football here, and
we're gonna do plenty of it withWill Hill, who is a vicent contributor
when he joins us in ten minutesor so. But just to get this
party started a little bit with respectto the NFL schedule released day, so

(35:51):
I don't follow along with the wholeyou know, breaking news throughout the day.
We got this game. I don'tcare. I'm I'm a patient enough
adult can wait until the schedule isjust released by the league. I don't
need all the really weeks during theday. I do not care, really,
never cared, really, I lovesending out the tax to people.
And then you know, then likelike five hours later, the weird account

(36:13):
I've been following all day turned outto be wrong. It was like,
oh, it was like earlier thisweek when they were saying, for like
twelve hours it was like basically confirmedthat the Patriots would be playing the Saints
in Germany, right, and thenit ended up being the cults. But
I told like four or five peoplethat they'd be behind the Saints in Germany,
so I had to backtrack that thenext day. Yeah. So what's
great too is so DraftKings has donesomething really awesome here, which is the

(36:37):
entire regular season schedule is out interms of what you can you can bet.
You can bet on a game inDecember right now if you want it
too, with the with the lineto spread whatever. But also of course
because of that you can go overto Vison. We can talk about this
with Will in a little bit andyou can look at already where the money
is going for week one come Septembertenth is the Sunday, but obviously it

(36:58):
starts with the Lions at the Chiefson on September seventh of Thursday game that
opening game. No, not atall, No, not the least been
interested. I'll watch it really secauseI'm a football fan. But uh and
and the Chiefs. You're always gonnawant to watch the Chiefs. I am
not at all compelled to want towatch the Lions really time. Yeah.
Oh, I think the Lions aregonna be fun this year. They were
fun last year. I think they'regonna I think as of right now on

(37:21):
May eleventh, I think they're gonnawin the NFC North Listen for entertainment purposes
Week one. I hope you're right, and you know we can we can
ask Will how he feels about theopening game. It does not draw my
my interest. But what I willsay this is not surprising at all,
but a considerable amount of the moneyis already on the over, the money
the as well as the handle.It's and fifty three and a half.

(37:45):
It's a big total for NFL.Yeah that's yeah, huge, And already
it's it's sitting at north the ninetypercent of the handle and eighty five percent
of the bet is on the over. Plenty of time, months of time
for that to evolve and change.The Patriots will open up with the Eagles
in Fock Spurrow. They are underdogs, as expected, going up against the
reigning NFC champs, four point underdogs. Obviously, the Eagles are already the

(38:08):
betting favorites both with the already movetoo. Yeah yeah, good point three
and a half. So in theI save this for sort of the back
half or tail end of the segmentbecause I don't want to harp. I
don't want to spend a lot oftime on it. But let's let's do
the traditional radio show win loss,win loss with the Patriots level, and
then we can get into some ofthe betting nitty gritty. So I'm just

(38:30):
gonna call it out and we'll seehow many wins you give them and how
many wins I give them. Butbut this is you haven't done this exercise
already right on your own? Ido. I do, So we can
go through a pretty quick no.But have you already done it? Yeah?
I have. I have done myown version of a yeah. Oh
okay, all right, Well thatdoesn't help because what I was going to
ask you is, without even lookingat the schedule or without even mapping up

(38:53):
doing the one by one, howmany games you believe the Patriots will win
this year and then seeing if thatactually matches up with your toe So I
can say this, Uh, it'sdifferent than what I thought going in.
What did you think going in?Eight? Okay? So I would same
ballpark. I have them in thein the seven to nine window, let's

(39:13):
just call it eight, you know, which I think is where most people
are going to have them, barringyou know, Mac Jones having a very
freshman NFL season like return and obviouslyBill O'Brien getting the best out of him
and Juju Smith Schuster, you know, more than replacing Jacoby Myers and the
receivers being good and YadA, YadAYadA. So let's let's go through it.

(39:34):
Pat's at the Eagles winner loss.So it's here, That's that's all.
I'm sorry, Yes, Pat,I see, I'll get this right
over the second. This is inFoxboro on Tom Brady Day, on Tom
Brady Day. That's true. Winnerloss loss. Okay, yeah, me
too. Uh. Pat's against theDolphins in Foxboro Sunday night football win,
Okay, I because I've not I'venot done this deliberately. All Right,

(39:58):
You're gonna give it a win.They're finally they're finally going to get a
win against Toa this year. That'sthat's my big prediction for the Patriots.
They'll finally beat him. They're like, oh and five, all right,
I'm gonna I'm gonna put a loss. Pats at the Jets loss, all
right, I'm giving it a win. Uh. And I know Aaron Rodgers
is there. He's right to besurprised. Pat's at the Cowboys loss.

(40:19):
Yeah, I agree with that.Pats versus the Saints win, agreed.
Pat's at the Raiders, agreed.Pat's versus the Bills win. Okay,
I'm gonna put a loss on that, but I respect it. I do
respect it. Pat's at the Dolphinsthis time, loss, okay, and
I'm gonna reverse it. I'm goingwith a win this time, even in

(40:39):
Miami. Folks. The Tom Bradyyou know, Patriots can't play in Miami
thing. He's not here anymore.Pats at the Commanders, that's a Gillette
Stadium game. But when it's God, you know what's crazy too. I
wrote it down correctly, I'm justreading it wrong. Uh Pat, Pat's
in Foxboro against the Commanders win,okay, me too. Pats against the

(41:00):
Colts in Foxboro win yeah. Also, Pats at the Giants win too.
Pats against the Chargers at home win, Nail and the Chargers I'm gonna say
loss. Really, I think Belichickowns Herbert. I think he's so far
in that kid's head that they're justgonna screw with him. Pats at the
Steelers on a Thursday night, I'mgonna go win. Yeah, me too.

(41:23):
Pats at home against the Chiefs thisis a Monday night the fee uh
well, not the final primetime game, but another primetime game. Lotomatic l
thank you, Eja. What didhe say? He said automatic L And
I agree. I'm also putting itlu final primetime game of the season barring
playoffs, and that is the Patsat the Broncos. Yeah, on Christmas

(41:43):
Eve night. I'm gonna go lossat Mile High. Okay, I'm gonna
say a win. I don't knowwhy, we're all just going with our
gut here. Pats at the Billsloss, Yeah, me too, And
the Pats against the Jets at homewin. I'm gonna do that too.
I'm gonna say they shockingly sweep theJets despite Aaron Rodgers being there. So

(42:04):
that puts, well, you knowyour totals. I'm gonna add mine up
one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight
nine. I have them at tenwins. Same, okay, a little
bit different, but ten apiece.Yeah. No, I was going back
and forth. So basically, I'mthinking they have their home schedule is it's
really tough. It's a great homeschedule if you're a season ticket holder.

(42:25):
But I I want to say they'regoing to knock off either Kansas City,
Philadelphia or Buffalo at home. They'regonna win one of those three games,
and I'm gonna go with they're gonnabeat Buffalo here in Foxborough this year.
I hope you're right. What Idid find interesting. We'll talk more about
this on the other side when WillHill joins us. So they are only

(42:45):
I mentioned this earlier in the show, they are only favored right now as
we sit here on May eleventh,they are only favored in four of their
seventeen games. So I'm I'm guessingprobably at Washington, Okay, so you
have not looked at that, I'mnot I'm just guessing that is correct.
Indianapolis, that is correct. HomeJets Nope, no, uh, Home

(43:09):
Saints, yes, okay. Threeand then Home Jets, I will tell
you is plus one plus one basicallya pick them, but they are not
favored. And then Home Chargers.No, no, that's plus one and
a half though, So you're onthe right track, right. That's what's
the other one at Raiders really bya point and a half. Really,

(43:30):
they are favored by three against theSaints, at the Raiders by a point
and a half, against the Commandersby three and a half, and against
the Colts by five. That isthe biggest number of the year as far
as them being favored and almost thebiggest number of the year involving them in
general. The biggest spread of anyof these games is at the Bills second
to last game of the regular season, when they are dogs by five and

(43:52):
a half points. But what Ifind interesting, not surprising, but interesting,
is everyone pretty much viewed the PAwell, non Patriots fans just automatically
will view them as bad. Butanyone who is impartial will look at the
Patriots and say, this is aperfectly mediocre team, which is why you
know, we had them on anupside at ten wins, but the gut

(44:15):
feeling was at eight wins, youcould certainly have them at seven to nine.
In that range, they are right, crisply in the middle of the
pack where things could go poorly orthings could break right, and maybe,
just maybe they're a wild card team. So does Bill O'Brien buy you exactly?
That's my whole thought on this.But what I what I think is

(44:35):
interesting betting wise, and we cantalk about this with Will as well,
is the betting lines speak to thatexact emotion or that exact sentiment. How
many games of seventeen would you guessthe spread one way or the other is
within three points, not three anda half, within three points eleven nine

(44:57):
nine, So more than half theirgames, yeah, are essentially pick hims
right in. Their win total isseven and a half, so we're both
on the over for that right nowtoo. It's look at they won eight
games with Matt Patricia a defensive coordinatorcalling their offense. I think bringing in
Bill O'Brien to establish some structure tothat offense and get them back on the

(45:19):
right foot at least buys them oneto two wins, even as tough as
the schedule is, and this isthe third toughest schedule in football, I
believe. I think I saw thatstat tonight. It's it's definitely in the
top five. But I just thinkhaving Bill O'Brien back, and all the
reports were already seeing that he's makinga difference, I think it's gonna get
Mac Jones back. It's gonna getthat kid's head back on straight. And

(45:40):
I think they have a decent groupof receivers. They have a great running
back and Roman dry Stevenson, agood, good enough offensive line, and
I think the defense is sneaky,very good, and I'm hoping I'm expecting
big things out of the rookie cornertoo, and Christian Gonzalez. So it's
just it's just the Patriots finally playinglike the toughest division in foot, which

(46:00):
is absurd to say for the firsttime in like twenty years that all four
of these teams are good. Andit wouldn't surprise me if any of the
four of these teams are, youknow, playing in the divisional indivisional weekend
like even wouldn't shock me if someof the Patriots end up there. I
know the nature of the sprinkle isjust not much, but I hope you
didn't sprinkle much. It wasn't much. No, it was it was a

(46:21):
free It was a free it wasactually a free sprinkle. Yeah, okay,
so yeah, it's about a thirtypoint game right now. Nine and
a half time. We're gonna stepaside. More football, plenty, more
football betting talk with Will Hill fromVison. He is going to join us
when we come back. It's theGambler with Adam Kaufman. Any Devendabad bad
bets, You've come to the rightplace, tell us about it. Call

(46:43):
six one seven two six six sixeight six six one seven two six six
six eight six eight or if you'relistening on the iHeartRadio app, use the
talk back button. The Gambler withAdam Kaufman will be right back after this
on WRK Now. Number two ofThe Gambler with Adam Kaufman rolls on here

(47:06):
on WRKO and streaming worldwide. That'swhat we like to tell people because like
everybody else, we're on the internet, so hopefully you are with us wherever
you are listening, and definitely followalong with the podcast available all over the
place, truly, wherever you getyour podcasts. You can find us of
course on Apple, Spotify, Stitchard, Pandora, you name it, we're
there. Please rate, review,subscribe, and continue to bring attention to

(47:29):
this great new show that we arereally really enjoying a lot of good basketball
talk earlier with Jeff Pratt, especiallyon the Celtics, mostly on the Celtics
and looking ahead to a pivotal Gameseven coming up on Sunday. Sorry on
the moms out there, but it'stime to swing more of our attention to
the NFL. A betting preview willfocus on the Patriots to start. We'll
get to the rest of the leaguea little bit later on. We bring

(47:51):
on Will Hill who is a Visacontributor and being that we're new here,
first time member of this show,will thanks for coming on. How are
you? What's going on at Imean, it's it's football season. I
don't I don't know when we turnedthis into sort of a selection Sunday he
know, with the NFL schedule release, but I'm all for it. We

(48:12):
got lines popping up all over theplace, lines moving we got and it's
funny we knew the matchups for solong, like we knew who these teams
were gonna pay. It's just oncewe see the actual dates and how these
games are aligned here, we sortof lose our minds for it. NFL
is king, we know that,oh without a doubt. And one of
my favorite things that you guys doover at Vason are obviously the betting splits.

(48:36):
I love it for every single sport. I don't let it control my
betting per se, but occasionally itwill influence. I'm curious to know where
the money's going, where the handle'sgoing, and uh, you know,
just tracking the line movement with thearrows up and down and all of it.
And so it's so it's just sofun to see the grid with the
NFL teams now for Week one comemid September. It is when we're starting

(48:59):
to see some movement already. It'slike these books, you always hear Vegas
always now as well. I sortof pushed back on that. I think
the market knows. And if youhang a line pick and it moves to
three or four, you know what, Vegas probably hung a number that was
off by a few points. Sobetters will reshape these lines sharper, betters
will reshape these lines. I think, now, look, you got to

(49:22):
tie up your money for a fewmonths here, but you can sort certainly
catch some value here in these earlynumbers. So Dan Watkins is here as
well. And one of the thingsthat we were just talking about before you
came on, Will is that thereally cool thing the DraftKings has right now.
And obviously Draftings and Vson are partof the same umbrella and partnered up.

(49:42):
And one of the great things aboutthe Drafting Sports Book is that all
of the games for the entire regularseason are there. I mean, not
totals, but spreads money line thenumber you could bet on a game December
seventeenth if you wanted to right now, the line is available to you.
So I went through and we werejust discussing this in the previous segment.
The Patriots of seventeen games are onlyfavored in four right now, again,

(50:06):
it's May eleventh. A lot canand will change in the months to come,
even before the season starts, letalone during the season. But right
now, just to begin things,four out of seventeen, does that make
sense to you, Well, itdoes just because they're in the AFC,
And that's that's a rough neighborhood delimentif you're in the ANFC, especially if
you don't have one of these bigtime stud cornerbacks, because you just I

(50:29):
mean so much the game is thequarterback and you look around and it's obviously
Mahomes, who's the called standard ofthe sport, and then the Turber and
Lamar sticking around, and you justgo down the line. Josh Allen Rogers.
Now it comes to the division.Mac Jones had a nice rookie year.
You know, maybe when they doa new offensive coordinator here, I
mean, that was crazy what theydid last year with Patricia and Joe Judge.

(50:49):
It made no sense. Maybe Joneswill play better, but man,
if you don't have one of thesejust lights out blue chip quarterbacks. It's
hard to win games. And youknow what your match up in the AFC
East where you got Alan twice andRogers twice Miami. I looked though two
has trouble stand on the field.But when when he's got all his weapons
and he's on the field, that'sa good team. And they play the
Eagles round week one. It's just, man, it's tough. You're just

(51:14):
you're sort of going into a gunfightwith butterknife when you don't have one of
these great quarterbacks. So I don'tlike betting undrun Belichick teams. It's just
sort of a little rollbo. Ithink you make money betting against Bill Belichick.
That being sad they are, theyare certainly up against it. Here.
Sadly, we are in a worldwhere the Patriots, you know,
it's not the Tom Brady dynasty anymore. The Patriots, you know, they're

(51:34):
plus six thousand on the DCA sportsbook to win the Super Bowl, plus
three thousand to win the AFC.You look at the division firmly fourth at
plus eight hundred, behind the Bills, Jets, Dolphins in that order.
Is there anything to you from abetting perspective as it relates to the Patriots.
That makes any sense as we sithere right now in terms of something
that you would actually throw money at. I don't have it in front of

(51:58):
me. What's there? Yes?No? To make playoffs? That's a
good question. I'll pull that upfor you right now. The yes know
to make the playoffs for the NewEngland Patriots is sitting at to make it?
So? Yes is plus two twentyfive. No is minus two sixty
five. I mean it's expensive,But then are they gonna really get one

(52:20):
of the seven spots when you lookat these star studded teams. I would
probably say no, and I hateto say I would probably lean towards the
end. Again, I just Idon't like betting the round Belichick. I
feel like he gets he does morewith less year and year out. It's
just with an over under seven anda half to get that team to eight
wins. I know they had sometough losses last year with the Raiders and

(52:40):
even the Vikings Thanksgiving Night. Theyhad a bunch of games. Yeah,
the oh that was a terrible loss. That Monday night game the Bills,
the two kickoff return touchdowns. Imean the staple of Belichick. He's always
been special teams being fundamentally sound,and they were so opposite that last year.
So they could be a little better. But the conference is so loaded,

(53:01):
so I probably lean towards the underhere and the under seven and a
half. Lay at plus money,you'd go under seven and a half if
you're talking about I would, Yeah, I mean probably both. I mean,
it's the same thing. Most peopleprobably don't want to lay two sixty
five to miss the playoff. Imean there's a scenario where they go eight
and nine, they go over theirwin total, but they missed the playoffs,

(53:22):
right, That's what I think.Yeah, I mean probably probably.
Look again, it's expensive, butif I had to make a bet,
even with the juice minus two sixtyfive to miss the playoffs, I do
think it's a good bet. It'sgonna be hard for them to get in.
So last thing before we hit thebreak and then we'll talk about the
rest of the league on the otherside. But Dan and I we just
went through the traditional but boring exerciseof looking at the Patriot schedule, going

(53:45):
game by game and win loss,win loss that everybody in the country does.
And maybe we're Homers, or maybewe got the the in Bill we
trust thing going on, or we'rejust expecting a huge bounce back from Mac
Jones with Bill O'Brien here, orsome common nation of all of it.
I don't know, but like yousaid, the overunder is seven and a
half on the DK sports book,and Dan and I both gave them ten

(54:06):
wins. Is it possible? Wow, anything's possible. Belichick's the coach shows
this isn't a bad quarterback. I'dhave to look at the schedule. What
did you I'm curious what did yougive them in the division because that's always
the first place I look, Whatare you gonna go in the division?
To me? I mean Bills,Jets, Dolphins. Are you're gonna Are
you gonna go better than two andfour? There? Did you give them

(54:28):
a split? It's hard to dobetter than a split there. I would
think I gave him three and three. Yeah, I think that's fair,
But I think that's optimistic. Ithink that's really the optimistic decide of the
Bills can come down to earth here. Maybe they missed their window. The
Jets will see how that molds.You always have to add injuries into it.
I mean we can look at theseteams, and that's what we do.
We look at these teams as theycurrently are. All it's like,
you know what after the leagues couldget hurt. I mean we see that

(54:50):
in the NBA playoffs. It's onething. You know, when you're only
healthy, but you miss a coupleof guys, you miss your quarterback,
things change. So look, ifyou go three and three, they're gonna
have a chance they get the tenwinds. Say that. Yeah, that's
what I had him at as well. I don't think we had the exact
same three. In fact, Iknow we didn't because I maybe maybe there's
some anti Aaron Rodgers thing in here, but I actually have them sweeping the
Jets. But I also went threeand three, so we'll see. We

(55:13):
know Bill loves facing the Jets right, hates that team, all right,
Will Hill from veson, We're goingto come back talk more about the rest
of the league and some betting advice, some of his early, very early
reactionary best bets that he has,and see what direction he points us.
In The Gambler with Adam Kaufman rollson, sick and tired of bold sports
talk and want to get right intothe action. The Gambler with Adam Kaufman.

(55:36):
As you covered, call us nowwith six one seven two six six
six eight six eight. That's sixone seven two six six six eight six
eight. The Gambler with Adam Kaufmanwill be right back after this is on
w r K O and this iselimination game the sons. I really hope
we don't. I don't care howbad they're losing. Please don't just sit

(55:58):
all your guys in the fourth quarterlike trying go down with a fight for
the sake of my prop bets andtrying to get some of the money back
that I managed to lose it earlierin the day. Is that so much
to ask? I don't think itshould be. We'll see, we'll see.
Watkins is here, Kaufman and WillHill joins us contributor to Visa and
I'm sure he's got an eye onthe NBA as well. We've got him
here talking football. Will are whatteam do you root for? By the

(56:22):
way, well, before we getto that, I do have some some
breaking news to reporter. Kevin Dayhas requested a trade from the Sun's locker
room at half time right now.He wants to move right on over to
Denver and continue his playoff run.Yeah, yeah, he wants them out.
Yeah. And hey, hey,mister Silver, can I play for
the Nuggets in the comperence final?How did the rules work? I mean

(56:43):
the NBA stuff with some of thisstuff, and damn it, there's antle
car involve with Ray who really Idon't know if you guys heard of this,
but he told the Nats, hey, I don't want bidding war for
me, so I know that willprobably help you get the most for me.
Let's not have a bidding war.I just want to quietly go where
I want to go to one placeI wanted to see, which is it's
crazy sometimes is wild the way there. I just can't believe they're playing like
this in the elimination game. I'mnot surprised the Nuggets are gonna win the

(57:06):
series, but the fact that thisis how it's going to go down,
even without Chris Paul, it blowsmy mind. It truly does. But
let's circle back to NFL because we'vegot you here for another I don't know
eight nine minutes, and obviously thefocus of our conversation the last segment was
on the Patriots. I want usto look around the rest of the league,
though, and I don't. Idon't want to steer this ship too
too much. Will, because you'rethe guy who has been just pining over

(57:30):
all of these numbers all day longsince the schedule, you know, came
out at least, you know,a handful hours ago. What are some
of your best bets right now whereyou think you can capitalize on the market
in mid May? I thought KansasCity, Detroit. They just posted a
total. It was fifty one anda half when I went to Beason today
and I said, that's that overis a little long. I mean mot

(57:52):
Kansas City because I scored thirty thirtyplus gets pretty much anyone that's a bad
Lions de Fantis, he's gonna gettingprobably the high thirties, maybe the forties,
assuming good weather. It's gonna bewarm, you know, it's September
weather. It's usually pretty pretty warmin the Lions golf watching. He gets
decent. Mother, they're gonna putup there, you know, twenty seven
thirty points to me, that fiftyone and a half is way long.

(58:12):
It's fifty three and a half now. I still think there's some meat on
the bone to me, that's likethirty four twenty four type of game,
maybe even higher. So I thinkthat total is really a few points too.
Obviously, I was trying to wrapmy brain to think, what was
the highest total we had in theNFL last year? Was it was there,
chief Spangles. I don't know ifwe had like a fifty six or
fifty six and a half at anypoint. Fifty four fifty five probably as

(58:37):
high as we went. But Icould see a fifty four and by on
make a prediction now fifty four anda half fifty five is where it closes,
because I think this is gonna beone way action to be over.
Both offenses really good, either defensereally gonna happen. Answer. So the
over and chief lines week one isone I like. I thought Bill's Jets

(58:57):
Week one at three was too much. The markets sort of agreed where they
don't want to if. I thinkthere'll be a lot of support for the
Jets, especially at home, andI think, you know, home field
is interesting. It's not one sizefits all. I think in Week one,
where there's a lot of optimism amongfans, home field is even more
prevalent because look, fans are excited, they're Louder. Jets finally feel like

(59:19):
they have a quarterback. So Ithink any sort of any sort of Jets
plus the points is obviously I meanthree is obviously a key number. But
Jets plus the point, I thinkis a good bet against the Bills.
Week one, Vikings minus six againstTampa. I see that's moved to seven.
That looked a little light. Tampato me is one of these teams.
They're gonna take them in the topthree of the draft. I don't
think they're going to have much ofa season, whether it's Baker Mayfield or

(59:43):
Kyle Traff. I mean, saywhat you want about the Vikings. They
were a little fool's gold with theirrecord, but that's still a really good
offense. They're going to bring Floresinto coach the defense. So anything Vikings
touchdown or less I think is agood bet. Just going across your Week
one, you could still get SanFrancisco a pretty cheap money line against Pittsburgh.
Again, you don't know who's reallygonna play quarterback for San Francisco,

(01:00:05):
but it doesn't seem to matter.I mean, that's just that's that's like
an all star team with the offense, the weapons, on offense, the
defense, the pass rushers. Hecan just sort of plug in anybody at
quarterback and do a decent job.So we're at three now at Draft Kings,
but it's minus one forty five onthe money line and open to pick
them. I think that's pretty cheapon the forty nine ers. You know
what last one I'll give you.I think Seattle that'll continue to move.

(01:00:28):
I could see there minus now fiveat Draft Kings against the Rams. See
the Rams sort of in the sameboat as a bus where I think this
is sort of a rebuilding year.I think with Caleb Williams and Drake made
Lurking, I think a lot ofthese teams are going to maybe shut it
down early, sort of like wesee in the NBA. And Seattle had
a good year last year, agood draft that people optimistic about. So
I think Seattle now at five isprobably cheap. I could see that closing

(01:00:52):
around a touchdown. I remember Seattlehas a great home field advantage as well.
It's funny because when you're talking aboutbetting foot all in September, in
you know, on May eleventh,it feels like you're placing future's bets.
You know, you're tying up yourmoney for quite a while, obviously,
But if we're talking about actual futuresbets, if you're looking beyond the season,
what is anything jumping out at youright now? You know, I

(01:01:19):
mean season win Toddler, or towin the Super Bowl, wherever you want
to go. I don't think you'regonna be you can right now get get
the Eagles over ten and a half. You're gonna past some juice by the
time the season starts. Right aroundthe season, I don't think you'll be
able to get the ten and ahalf. I mean, it sounds so
square, But how are the Howare the Eagles not going to win eleven
games? I mean the season theyhad last year, they're in a WEEKENDFC.

(01:01:42):
I know they have a tougher schedulewith the first place schedule, but
I mean, comes the Eagles aren'tgoing to go at least eleven to six.
I think the Eagles over ten ahalf. I know, you gotta
lay like a dollar at forty fivea dollar fifty, I think that closes
eleven. I don't think you'll probablyget to eleven and a half. But
to be the Eagles over ten ahalf waves is a good bet barring some
catastrophic injury or rash of injuries tohearts and other people. They're just too

(01:02:04):
good on both sides of the ball, both offense and defensive lines. To
me, that teams Taylor made towin twelve thirteen plus games. So I
don't usually like playing the over thesehigh, high high number of teams,
but to me it was over tenand a half is a good bet.
Well, what are your thoughts inthe Denver Broncos this season? Bringing in
Sean Payton as the head coach.Hopefully he can get Russell Wilson going.

(01:02:25):
I'm looking at there to make theplayoffs at plus two hundred right now in
the AFC, especially it's tough inthe a C West. I mean,
right off the bat, you gottwo games against the Chiefs, who they
have actually played the Chiefs tough,especially defensively. They seem to know how
to play the Chiefs and pain.You'll give them a huge bump on offense.
Obviously, they are completely under coachlast year at Hackett, who was

(01:02:45):
an abject disaster. Obviously the headcoach wasn't ready to be head coach.
So you could talk me into it. I mean if you're looking for a
real long shot to like win theSuper Bowl. I'm curious what their number
is. They're probably not going togive you, you know, seventy five
hundred to one, but maybe inthe fifty to sixty to one range of
If Russell Wilson has any good footballleft in him, I think Peyton will

(01:03:07):
bring it out of him. That'sa good defense if he can just sort
of revitalize Wilson, which I'm notsure you can because he's looked wash here,
looked wash here for the last year, year and a half or so.
But if if Peyton gets something outof him, now with Theden,
you got a quarterback, you gota coach, you got a defense.
I think the Broncos are worth ashot out high in the Broncos they're forty
to one to win the Super Bowl. Yeah, I like a little more.

(01:03:30):
I mean I like a little morebecause I mean there's still so many
good teams you have to go through. They don't give you any huge,
huge bargains on these long sto numbers. But just directly, I do like
Denver, how about if you're thinkingabout awards, I don't know how much
you enjoy betting Awards in the firstplace. But obviously a lot of people,
you know, they'll they'll do theMVP debates all throughout the year until

(01:03:52):
there's a consensus favorite. So let'slook for an edge early on, way
early on. You know, Mahomesis the favorite on the Dcase four book,
narrowly ahead of Joe Burrow. Youobviously have Josh Allen in that conversation.
The odds get a little longer withHerburton Hurts and Lamar Jackson, even
Trevor Lawrence and so on. Butdo you have a favorite? You know,

(01:04:14):
like, do you think Aaron Rodgerscould come in and just have you
know, sort of a Red Farvlike resurgence when he traded teams and go
off and you know, be inthat conversation again. I mean, I
love that the awards. First off, I mean, Rogers won two out
of the last three MVP, soyou can't count that out. The one
thing about the MVP you know it'sgoing to be a cornerback. I mean,

(01:04:34):
this is one where I think hegets a better long shot and Coach
of the Year on these other markets. I got Gable twenty five thirty to
one pretty late in the year atCoach of the Year. So, uh,
there's definitely some opportunities there. Imean, what it's so boring.
What are mahomes od six fifty sevento one, six fifty It's hard to

(01:04:56):
argue against that. I mean,he's the best player on probably the best
team. I mean, that's oneof the just sort of put in your
pocket. It's not sexy, it'snot one hundred and one just you know,
absolute lottery ticket, but that's oneof you sort of put it in
your pocket. You look up inNovember December and you know they're probably gonna
be twelve and three and instead ofseven to one, he's probably gonna be
two to one, three to one. So you know, I just I
don't think he can go wrong,but he gets Mahomes together. It's just

(01:05:18):
is not a market where you're heatingwell, he was long shot. I
know he's had him in the past, you know it. It's interesting we
had Mahomes when he was in hissecond year. He won this award at
like eighty to one. The nextyear Lamar wanted at seventy five to one.
That's killed this market because they don'twant to give you these long shot
prices on quarterbacks, so they shrinkthe market. All these quarterbacks are ten

(01:05:39):
to one, fifteen to one,twenty one. You don't get good numbers
at the bottom, so you're probablyjust better off playing the top here and
just taking the best player in Mahomes. We've got a whole lot of football
talk on the way in the monthsto come. I don't know about the
immediate weeks to come, but definitelyin the months to come, and then
once we hit the football season,my god, it's all we're gonna be
doing every single night. I thinkit's gonna be incredible and look forward to

(01:06:00):
it, and I hope Will Hillfrom Vison is a big part of it.
Will thank you so much for joiningus. See you boys any time
you need you let me know.It was good to talk to you guys.
Thanks well, we got your number. We'll bug you now. Will
Hill from Vison and it's about timeto put this show to bed. We'll
be back the Gambler with Adam Kaufman. Any event about bad bets, you've
come to the right place, tellus about it. Call six one seven

(01:06:24):
two six six six eight six sixone seven two six six six eight six
eight, or if you're listening onthe iHeartRadio app. Use the talkback button
The Gambler with Adam Kaufman. We'llbe right back after this on WRKO.
You're down to our final five minutes. Not just to this show, but

(01:06:45):
of the week. We come atyou Monday through Thursday, ten to midnight.
This man goes by faster every singlenight. A lot of great stuff
earlier from Jeff Pratt as well asWill Hill most recently talk in NFL,
but of course with a Friday aheadof us, of action in the lot
going on in the playoffs and onthe Diamond, and naturally a huge Game
seven on Sunday helped me out herea voice guy. Now it's time to

(01:07:09):
put this show to bed. It'smy Billow the best night week you have
ever had. One of my billowdot com used the code Gambler, that
is my pillow dot com code Gamblerand Dan we were just chatting a little
bit off their props are up forGame seven, depending on which books you're
looking at. As well, JeffPratt, when he was with us mentioned

(01:07:30):
Tatum's points line might be around thirtyand a half. He he overshot at
just a hair. It's actually twentynine and a half. Do you like
it? No? I don't either. No, I don't. I'd love
to be wrong, but I don'teither. I mean, I'm probably gonna
go Jayalen Brown again. I've beenplaying it pretty much every night this series.
It's been right on the money.He's been right around twenty three and

(01:07:51):
a half every night. Unfortunately,you only got to seventeen tonight, which
kind of crushed me tonight. Butuh yeah, I don't know. I
don't know what to do. Like, this team's just so frustrating to watch,
and that kind of leads me intothis. Adam, did you hear
Have you watched her? Heard anyof the post game here when we've gone
to commercial? Nothing? Okay,So Jalen Brown is calling out Celtics fans

(01:08:15):
ahead of Game seven. So thisis the quote from Brown here post game.
The energy in the garden has beenokay at best Game seven. If
you're there or if you're not there, I need you to be up.
I need you to come with theenergy because we're gonna need every bit of
it. You know what. Idon't blame him. I don't blame him
now. I blame him for attimes their flat play. I mean,

(01:08:39):
I was gonna say, isn't thatthe cause of the okay energy from the
fans because the team has not beengood? Yes, absolutely, without a
doubt, you know, but thereare also times, so I believe,
and I am not alone Edlo JulianEdlo when he was on with us,
he said this as well. Youknow, I've been in that building for
many a big game, whether it'sCeltics or Bruins, and it is a

(01:09:00):
building. It is one of thosebuildings, one of the very rare buildings
I think across the league. Thatis, you know, the fan atmosphere
is at its best when it's cooking. And there were times in that game
five. And I'm not saying Iblame the fans because the team didn't necessarily
warrant it. They were really nevereven in that game, but there were
times that I was sitting there,not there in the building, but on

(01:09:20):
my couch saying, man, Ijust I would love not saying like they
should be, but I would justlove it if the fans could within themselves
find a way to kind of wakeup, and maybe that would wake up
the players a little bit, youknow, like just put a little o,
bring a little something into the buildingjust to to motivate them. And

(01:09:42):
it's really sad that I even haveto say that that, like professional athletes
playing for a championship need that excess, they need that motivation. It's like
they don't remember what it was like, you know, playing in empty arenas
during during the bubble in Florida,or or you know, even when they
came back and couldn't have fans inthe building or had twenty percent of ends
in the building or whatever. It'slike they've completely forgotten what that is like.

(01:10:02):
And I guess that's good. That'sgood you want to be motivated by
the atmosphere. I don't. Idon't have a problem with Jalen Brown saying
that right or wrong in terms ofwhether he should have simply because I think
sometimes the fans do need a littlebit of a reminder to pop off.
Yeah, but I mean the fanswere certainly awake and alert at the end
of at the end of the thirdquarter in Game six, Game five,

(01:10:26):
excuse me, when they boot himoff the court. So that's got to
be in the back of their heads. If the Celtics open up the way
they opened up tonight, that buildingwill be rocking Sunday, no doubt.
They came out with energy tonight,and they got to come out with that
energy again on Sunday, after Sunday, whenever it is afternoon or evening.
I wasn't banking on a sweat,an actual sweat for our people's parlay.

(01:10:46):
But it's still five goals, Iknow, stars and cracking with about ten
minutes to go, should be wewere worried or or well, we're gonna
get an empty net here at somepoint in our future. We're gonna get
an empty net here at some point. Yeah. I mean if it stays
like this, and if it doesn'tstay like this, we win anyway.
Yeah, so, yeah, theempty net is coming. It's just a
matter, you know. It's it'snot easy to hit an empty net.

(01:11:08):
No, it's not. You see, guys miss it all the time.
I can't tell you the number oftimes the Bruins uh screwed me during their
playoff push or late in the regularseason when I would fall, you know,
i'd lose by the hook, I'dfall by a half goal when they
couldn't bury an empty net. Yeah, back when their goalies were good.
I'm gonna manifest to win. Okay, EJ's got us. He's on our

(01:11:29):
side here, He's that's that's athat's a preemptive cheching. Yeah, that
we are ready for I love it. I love it, EJ. And
I hope that we are heading inthat direction very quickly before we go.
How are you gonna bet the Celticson Sunday? Stay away? Yeah?
I mean, look, I thinkI I might just you know, I'm
probably gonna do what I did withthe Bruins in their Game seven and just

(01:11:53):
not touch it. From a teamstandpoint, I'll probably do some props maybe
a first half. I'm interested.So they only have the draft Kings right
now only as Hard and Brown,Tatum and mbiid points props up. But
I'm wondering what Grant Williams is goingto be because you know, we got
that big Game seven from him lastyear in the semifinals, so I'm curious
just to see what his props gonnabe here. Player rebounds. Definitely gonna

(01:12:14):
go for the Horford over six anda half again, as I've played every
single game in this series and it'shit I think four out of six so
far, so that's been good.Do I need to remind you Grant Williams
didn't see the floor tonight. Yeah, no, no, I'm not sure.
I jump on a propan. MaybeI'll live maybe play a little void
to you anyway, right, Yeah, something something to keep an eye on,

(01:12:38):
for sure. I just hope,above all else, regardless of how
our bets go over the next fewdays, and I hope they go well,
but even if they don't, allI I'm really looking for is for
us to have another series to beable to talk about when we come back
on Monday night at ten pm.I really hope that we are sitting there
getting ready to preview another dance withJimmy Butler in the conference finals. That's

(01:13:00):
that's what it's. I'm not amom, but that's what i want for
Mother's Days. The gift I'm lookingfor. My wife is probably looking for
something much much better than that.It's been another fun week. Check out
the podcast. We are available whereveryou get your podcasts again, Apple,
Spotify, Pandora, Stitcher, youname it. We are all over and
this is just it's so much fun. It's so much fun to do this

(01:13:21):
show. I'm looking forward to many, many weeks and months. If we're
lucky years more of doing The Gamblerwith Adam Coffman. Thanks so much to
our producer EJ. Pacheco, ofcourse, Dan Watkins for all that he
does, and our guest tonight JeffPratt and Will Hill. If you missed
any of the show, check outthe podcast and thanks to my Pillow promo
code Gambler. This has been TheGambler with Adam Koffman. Happy Mother's Day

(01:13:42):
of the great weekend Ghost Celtics