March 12, 2025 • 36 mins
March 12, 2025: Host Adam Kaufman (Twitter @adammkaufman) is joined by Dan Watkins (@danwatkinsradio) and guests Prop Bomb (@propbomb) from the Prop Bomb's Props discord and VSiN's Will Hill (@nottheewillhill). Light slate in the NBA on the way Thursday, but day-long action on the college hardwood! Prop Bomb and Hill dive into the schedules with their favorite plays.
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Did someone jerk the People's parlay?
Speaker 2 (00:03):
If someone has to be the jerk, I hope it's
you or the guests. I don't want to be the jerk.
I don't want anyone.
Speaker 3 (00:09):
I pray it to you.
Speaker 2 (00:10):
I would like us all to hit all of our
plays every single night. But if someone's got to be
the jerk, I don't want to be the jerk. I
don't want to be the one that ruins it.
Speaker 3 (00:17):
No one likes being that guy.
Speaker 4 (00:18):
Go with your gut and lock into Boston's only nightly
sports gambling show.
Speaker 3 (00:24):
Message to our listeners the second Adam asks a guest
about their opinion on his leg of the parlay. Take
the opposite.
Speaker 5 (00:30):
Big Gambler with Adam Kaufman returns now.
Speaker 4 (00:34):
On WRKO and the iHeartRadio app.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
We've got profitable prop Bomb here with us from the
prop Bombs Props Discord. Make sure you check it out.
Check them out on Twitter at prop bomb out there
making money for the people up eighty units or whatever
it is. On this NBA season feels like on a
daily base is hitting new benchmarks. Five games in front
of us here on Thursday. The Celtics are not one
(01:05):
of them. We were just mentioning Bucks Lakers, that is
your premiere event. No Lebron James Jannis is going to play,
Dame Lillard is going to play. The Bucks are favorites
at home five and a half, six points, and as
I said, Yiannis coming off by his standards at least
offensively a dud in a loss that was costly for us,
(01:27):
in just an unbelievable way to lose a minus two
and a half. Thank you, Tyrese Haliburton of the Pacers.
But do we expect to bounce back out of Jannis?
Is this a good day to back his points overs Jordan?
Speaker 6 (01:41):
Yeah, so hopefully I should have a better quality audio
right now. But I was just rewatching all of the
shots during this commercial break, and I mean, you got
to give credit to how they were defending Giannis last
night against the Pacers. Three three fast break points allowed,
which led all NBA in terms of like fast breakpoints.
(02:02):
That's obviously how we scores his points, and both him
and Lillard only took three shots in the fourth quarter,
so like they were really obviously going out of their
way to contain him. Now, do I think that's going
to roll over into against the Lakers I don't think
it's I don't think it's a positive another a positive matchup.
I think it's so slightly neutral to poor matchup. Lakers
(02:24):
also do a good job at limiting transition, and you know,
Jared Vanderbilt could kind of hold his weight in terms
of kind of like blocking whenever Giannis tries to drive
the rim. I see the line right now, instead are
twenty nine and a half points.
Speaker 1 (02:40):
Now.
Speaker 6 (02:41):
Another thing too, is you know, without Lebron, maybe this
game could be a blowout, right Like, I'm sure that
the Bucks are furious after losing that and blowing that
lead to the Pacers. It is a home game for them,
So I mean, I don't know how well put this
Lakers offense is without Lebron to really last forty eight
(03:01):
minutes of constant offense. So you know, that's one risk
I would I would kind of have to say, is like, well,
there will be a blowout, And honestly, I don't really
see there could be so much of an edge going
on the over for Giannis's props.
Speaker 1 (03:14):
If that answered your question.
Speaker 3 (03:16):
Jordan, I'm looking at this King's Warriors game, and obviously
Steph Curry here two three pointers away from set from
four thousand in his career. Now his line tomorrow night's
obviously going to be well above that, probably at four
and a half where it's normally been. But I don't know,
Maybe do you look at maybe like a first quarter
steph points line tomorrow? I think you might try to
come out and get this thing early. Looking at some
teammates for assists. I mean, Draymond's been an assist machine
(03:39):
the last few nights. Where are you looking in this game?
Speaker 1 (03:42):
Yeah, that's kind of fun. Actually I didn't even realize that.
Speaker 6 (03:45):
Yeah, I'm looking at the hit rate on the over
six and a half first quarter points right in front
of me right now. He's hit that in five of
his last six games, which is something. And you don't
really want to go off hit ray too much, but
I would want to before betting on this game, is
find out if Jonathan Kaminga is playing this game. Do
(04:05):
we know if he's if he's in or out, because
that kind of changes a little bit of the dynamics.
Now I don't know if he's going to be playing
full minutes, but that changes a couple of things, and
maybe you can get a lower line on it playing Okay,
So yeah, so maybe the game plan for this one
is wait for him to get ruled in and maybe
the books lower the lines on Curry and you can
get a little bit of a better price.
Speaker 2 (04:27):
Yeah, just looking at Curry's recent game log as well,
stick into that three point narrative over his last seven
games five to eleven, four of fifteen, seven of thirteen,
five of nine, three of nine, five of twelve, twelve
of nineteen. So that's only two games that he came
(04:48):
below the expected four and a half prop line. And
you know, but even still three of nine to four
of fifteen, volume is going to be there. So I
don't know what the juice is going to look like
on going over on his points made. But yeah, I
mean I'm I'm comfortable leaning into the narrative, that's for sure.
Speaker 6 (05:04):
I think he can say this too, just to interrupt
real quick, like, I'm looking at the home games in
particular since the trade deadline acquiring Jimmy. Yeah, like the
first quarter points ten points, two points, seven points, eight points.
It's a one hundred hit rate. So that's interesting. I mean,
it's definitely a trend, I think, but I mean for
(05:24):
Sacramento games.
Speaker 2 (05:25):
Yeah, now this is another one that in theory, could
turn into a blowout. That said, on the other side,
how do you feel about Valentiunis in this matchup, just
because obviously you don't have a great big on the
other side.
Speaker 6 (05:38):
Oh, Jonah Salancunas. Okay, So another one too, s bonus
is questionable here, so he may he may plays. Yeah,
that would obviously impact. So I can't really answer that.
But yeah, I mean the Warriors are I mean good
in terms of stopping points in the paint. Joval, maybe
(05:59):
he get played off the court if they do run
small ball, because the Warriors can do that and that
can impact his minutes. He had to play. He played
forty one minutes, which was like a career high for him.
That was because he had to be on the court
against Zubac. The Warriors don't really have a big guy
that's intimidating that needs to keep jove Al on the court.
So if even if the bonus is out, that doesn't
(06:21):
guarantee jove All plays full minutes.
Speaker 3 (06:25):
So the Wizard's Pistons game, we do actually have full
props up there? Anything in that.
Speaker 6 (06:30):
This one could we could talk one yeah, go for it. Yeah,
So Adam you're in the discord and you you can
vouch like this was a prop when the same matchup happened,
and I went two units on this one. And if
you remember, what if.
Speaker 2 (06:45):
The only gave that I remember this play oh so aggravating.
I I don't even want to tell you how much
money I had on that bet. Yeah, yeah, it was awful.
Speaker 6 (06:57):
So and yeah, so it's you know, you've got to
hope that this game stays close because it's a rematch
of last time that they've played. And I'm liking for
this one. Jalen Duran over eleven and a half rebounds. Again,
this was the same exact play I gave the last
time that these two teams played, and it's I mean,
the you know, the Wizards are just awful when it
(07:21):
comes to protecting, protecting the rim and allowing offensive rebounds.
They take poor shots. They're not the best team. And
I'm looking at a hit rate thing right now. You know,
when Jalen Duran plays at least twenty four minutes, he
hits this line in seven of eight games with Tobias
Harris and then you know, also without Jade and Ivy.
(07:41):
So those those are the games I'm more so, looking
at he averages thirteen point six rebounds those games, this
line to me like it's minus one fifteen right now.
I feel like if we wake up in the morning
and we check it out again, it's probably going to
be minus one forty.
Speaker 1 (07:57):
Yeah.
Speaker 6 (07:57):
And the reason why I like the reason why he
had thirteen Now listen, he had thirteen rebounds on twenty
two chances last game and only played three of the
twelve minutes in the fourth quarter because it was a blowout.
Imagine if the game was a little bit closer.
Speaker 2 (08:11):
Right, although this one may not be. I mean, we're
looking at a fifteen point spread here in this.
Speaker 6 (08:14):
Yeah, exactly, Yeah, So I meant, yeah, So that's that's
obviously why that line's low is because it's probably baked
into the fact that could be a blowout.
Speaker 1 (08:22):
Right.
Speaker 2 (08:22):
Yeah, I'm not saying I wouldn't play it. I just
wouldn't make it a two unit play if you are
going to no, no, hell no, get out and it
could be a twenty five point game by the half
bulls nets. This one is tight three point spread here
in this game, and Chicago, of course, is getting a
bit healthier for instance. You know, we'll see Vusvich out there.
Josh Giddy though, is going to miss time and minkle
(08:44):
Spring's going to keep him out quote for a little bit.
What stands out here if anything.
Speaker 6 (08:49):
Yeah, that'll be definitely in good dynamic. I think he
could probably get some edges from that news. Hopefully Giddy's
you know, he recovers back because he was really rolling
for that team down the stretch closed the season. But
I guess certain players that I think could step up
from that. Uh, you can look at Kevin Herder. I
liked as over two and a half assist line. I
think he's gonna see a little bit more playmaking chops
(09:12):
or some more passes made, because I mean that team
is just decimated right now when it comes to their
guard death there without Io Desum, you know, Josh Giddy,
Lonzo balls out. So it really is just like a
few guys in that team that can pass the ball.
And I think he's probably gonna be playing, you know,
at least twenty five to thirty minutes, So two and
a half assists could be good if then make him
(09:34):
want to pass the ball more. Vucevich is interesting. He
came off the bench in his first game back. Billy Donovan.
I think he said that he wants to continue doing that,
so I'm not so sure if I want to target
any of his props in this in the you know
currently and on the other side, you know with the
(09:58):
Brooklyn Nets, they're gonna it looks like with Cam Thomas
and D'Angelo Russell. So that'll be some maybe some unders
on the role players when their lines come out because
they're it may be a little inflated if the team
is now all healthy. That's just the kind of thoughts
that I'm thinking right now.
Speaker 3 (10:13):
We only got about a minute left with you. But
Magic Pelicans, I think is the last game on the
board here that we haven't talked about. No lines anywhere yet,
but anywhere the year thinking about looking, Yeah.
Speaker 6 (10:25):
That's another team I have to wait to see. They're
always like finicky with who's playing and who's not. I
can't really answer that one as of the moment, but
hopefully I gave out enough info I think for the
listeners to see what they could target tomorrow.
Speaker 2 (10:39):
Without a doubt that in mind. Jordan, you know it's
I know it's not typical for you to give out
the overnight prop to discord audience, but that being said,
there are some things that you mentioned, like in terms
of props that are available, is there anything that you
like enough that you would lock in as a show
play And by the way, just so you know, that
would be defined as something that you'd hang up from
(10:59):
us and shoot it over to the discord as well.
Speaker 6 (11:02):
Yeah, yeah, again it goes back to that darn play
I was talking about the I really see. The only
way that play loses is if he gets in foul
trouble or it's a blowout, and that happened when it
was the two unit play last time. He got in
foul trouble. So he just has to stay out of
it and he gets the minutes and it be. It
should be smooth.
Speaker 1 (11:19):
Sailing on that one.
Speaker 6 (11:21):
So yeah, during over eleven and a half rebounds, I
think it's minus one fifteen, really good, really playable honestly
anywhere right now it's fresh in the books.
Speaker 2 (11:30):
All right, Well, we can lock that one in then
and we'll add to jordan prop bomb play to the
card for tomorrow. Well, we're in the process of giving
a bunch out still a people's parlay to be built
a little bit later on as well. But Jordan always
enjoy it, man, I mentioned it earlier. He's making your money.
Join the discord, it's worth it. Prop Bombs Props discord
(11:50):
on Twitter at prop Bomb Jordan. Thanks so much, but
we'll talk.
Speaker 1 (11:53):
Soon that I really appreciate it.
Speaker 6 (11:56):
Thank you so much.
Speaker 2 (11:57):
Absolutely, we'll step aside. Come on back with bankrolls for tomorrow.
Speaker 5 (12:02):
Now back to the Gambler with Adam Kauffman on six
eighty WRKL, streaming live on the iHeartRadio app, or tell
your smart speaker to play WRKO on iHeartRadio. It's time
for your bank roll repair, powered by today's collision.
Speaker 2 (12:21):
Now, thanks once again to Prop Bomb, who, by the way,
if you're listening live, this doesn't help you in the
podcast listening audience, I realized, But if you are listening live,
I have notifications set up in Prop Bomb's discord, and
he just sent one out to the people that he's
(12:42):
putting out a player prop for tomorrow in about ten minutes.
So if you intend to play the over on Jalen
Durham's rebounds eleven and a half, which is right around
minus one point fifteen, pretty widely available at the moment.
I just placed it. I know, Brian just placed it.
I don't know about dan here it did. But get
on it. Yeah, get on it before the line moves,
because it will, and it's you know, we'll be on
(13:02):
in real time. It'll be fun to see how quickly
it moves. I'm gonna make a guess it'll stay at
eleven and a half, because sometimes the entire line moves
like it'll never mind the juice, it'll jump to twelve
and a half, for instance. I don't think that's gonna
happen right away, not this time of night. But I
bet we go from minus one fifteen to I bet
we get to minus one forty minus one fifty pretty quickly.
Speaker 7 (13:25):
It's already moved to one twenty. So just in that
since I bet it five minutes ago.
Speaker 2 (13:30):
To now, head of the game, get in there, place
the thing, all right, bank Row repairs. Let's let's talk
about these a little bit here. I'll tell you how
today's have fared thus far after we reveal what we
have for tomorrow. Damn, what do you got?
Speaker 1 (13:46):
All right?
Speaker 3 (13:47):
So we did a little two leg after the afternoon
delight today, and we're gonna run it right back tomorrow.
I know that song so fort gonna gonna find my
baby and hold her tight. And my babies tomorrow are
UNC and tech to A and M both on the
money line plus one oh three on FANDLE. It's minus
money everywhere else.
Speaker 2 (14:05):
Yeah, I like the little two legger nice early, you know,
as you said it was it was good to have
that one cashed early today. That was fun.
Speaker 1 (14:12):
I'm gonna give you a.
Speaker 2 (14:13):
Four legger here as I did today, one in the NBA,
and that is that heavily favored Detroit Piston's team at
home against Washington just on the money line. And then
if you in college, I am a big believer, as
you probably know from listening to this show. In Saint John's,
they have got Butler back in Saint John's to take
care of business there in the Big East, Creighton against
(14:33):
A Paul, We're gonna take Crayton on the money line.
And the other one, the one that is the at
least in terms of odds, projects to be the sweatiest
of the grouping, that is Utahs State against UNLV Utah
State on the money line. By the way, if anyone
I was invested in UNLV on the money line in
some places today and if anyone paid attention to that game.
(14:55):
UNLV did win it narrowly, but it was sweaty down,
the yeah down going into the midpoint of the second half. Now,
maybe that's a wake up call and they come out
guns blazing tomorrow. Felt a little real, felt like, you know,
there could be a little bit apprehension there. So I'm
gonna go with the uh uh somewhat favored Utah State
(15:19):
again on the money line along with Saint John's and
Creighton plus the Pistons on the money line. Put those together.
That is plus one to five on DraftKings official show
play recap.
Speaker 4 (15:30):
Later, that was your bank roll Repair powered by Today's
Collision with locations in Maldon, Chelsea, Stoneham, and Danvers. Check
them out of Today's Collision dot com.
Speaker 1 (15:43):
Not every bet can be a winner. You gotta have
two things to win. You gotta have brains and you
gotta have balls. Now you got too much of wine
or not enough for the other. But as long as
you come out ahead, green is green. Profit with us.
Speaker 2 (15:57):
Cash it cash the Plus.
Speaker 4 (16:00):
I've been sixty the Gambler with Adam Kaufman bind us
online at WRKO dot com.
Speaker 1 (16:06):
Slash Bat.
Speaker 2 (16:16):
College Hoops full Day to day, not even a complete day.
The people's parlay is up to Dan two survivals by
the hook. We needed five, UCSB got there, needed twelve
out of Villanova landed on the number as well. It's
now up to Georgia eat him, buy three. How are
we feeling down?
Speaker 3 (16:37):
Three?
Speaker 1 (16:41):
How much time left?
Speaker 3 (16:42):
Like five minutes?
Speaker 1 (16:43):
Yeah? Five?
Speaker 3 (16:43):
Six minutes?
Speaker 2 (16:44):
All right, got time to make a run. Let's go Bulldogs.
Let's catch this six to one.
Speaker 1 (16:48):
Man.
Speaker 2 (16:48):
We're gonna build out a people's parlay with our next
guest coming up in a little while. Will Hill, of
course from Fox Sports and Viisen among other outlets, part
of gold Boys that discord that network. He is on
Twitter at not the Will Hill. I extra emphasis on
the because there are two e's not the Will Hill. Will.
(17:09):
How's the day going, man?
Speaker 1 (17:12):
Well, okay, some some live ways during that didn't go
my way. Some overtimes where I wanted to I had
unders and wanted to avoid overtime ad vice versa. But
uh sure, boy. These these conference tournaments, man, these days
are long. You look up and you feel like you
had a full day of basketball. And I remember an
hour or so ago, an hour and a half away,
(17:33):
I was like man, there's still like eleven twelve games
the tip and then you look at the gigs tomorrow
and there's just dozens of games after games. It's almost
like a full Saturday card. So I'm the recovery. I
had Rutgers tonight, and Rutgers I took a flyer on
them two hundred to one to win the tournament. And
that was just an epic, epic meltdown happened in slow motions.
So hopefully brighter days ahead here.
Speaker 2 (17:57):
Hopefully things that go well for us across the board tomorrow,
and Tomorrow will absolutely be a full day because the
action begins with Akron and Bowling Green at eleven am Eastern.
That's right even before noon, So a lot of fun
stuff ahead of us. Let's just talk about the number
one team in the country right now, quickly though, led by,
of course, the future number one overall pick in the
(18:17):
draft and native New Englander Maine, specifically Cooper Flagg and
his Duke Blue Devils against Georgia Tech, laying a big
number twenty two and a half. That said, is the
number even big enough?
Speaker 1 (18:32):
You know, Duke has been good for a lot of
these bigger numbers. You know, these past couple of months
and they've been laying a bunch of them, and there's
a bigger question at play. Does this lack of competition
with night in and night out is that good for
them because they can kind of pace themselves and there's
not miles on the cars, so to speak. Or is
it they're not battle tested? I don't know. We usually
(18:55):
play the results of that stuff. That's a conversation that
applies the other way with the SEC teams. I was
gonna play anything, I would say that I would play
Duke Team total over you just you never know the
motivation for these teams that have everything locked up. It's
a neutral court, you know, A certainly a public team
like Duke that's covered these numbers, that has a guy
(19:16):
like flag, it's going to be shaded towards them. If
I had to take it or late, I would probably
take it, just because man twenty two half is a
lot on a neutral court. Georgia Tech is going to be,
you know, playing out of their minds. Not that it's
realistic that they're going to win this tournament, but they
probably look at it like this is Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Saturday.
Is that acc title gamers Sunday, but I believe it' Saturday.
(19:38):
I think they're three wins away here from a you know,
an NFA tournament. Crazier things have happened, I guess, so
you'll get a max effort from them. I don't know
that you'll get a max effort from Duke, so I
would certainly take it before I would like. As I'm
talking this.
Speaker 3 (19:50):
Album, well as I do a quick scan of Twitter
at different cappers and stuff like that, it seems like
the popular pick for tomorrow, at least in the morning
portion or the early after noon is Oregon minus one
and a half, taken on Indiana and the Big Ten Tournament.
These two teams met a little over a week ago.
The Ducks won at home by nine points spread here
is one and a half. Oregon's won seventh straight going
(20:12):
into this one. Are you also on that side tomorrow?
Speaker 1 (20:16):
I've played it, and yeah, I watched that game. I
think I thought that we didnted about seven souse. I
remember the line was like six and a half in Oregon.
It was like a one point game with a minute
half to go, and Oregon probably scored the last seven
eight points in that game, something like that and it
landed almost on the number, but Oregon covered either by
a point or a bucket something like that. So it's
a little bit of a misleading final score. Altmon's always
(20:38):
been a good tournament coach, good adjustments. I will take
him over Woodson. So if I had to play it,
I would take Oregon just because of the coaching advantage.
But give me Indiana credit. This team was left for
dead and for good reason. And then it just goes
to show you that maybe we don't need expansion because
you have a team like that that's just comfortably in
the tournament. Here. It seems like, you know, they're not
some team that is a threat to winnational championships. It's
(21:01):
not a team that you watch all year in saman
That team it looks like an NCAA tournament team. But
give them credit. They've won, They've responded a little bit
of a house money feel with them. But I do
think there's a coaching advantage here for Oregon.
Speaker 2 (21:13):
Well, we got an emphatic win earlier out of North
Carolina in the ACC. Now going up against wake Forest
with a five and a half point spread unc no
surprise the favorite, and early on you know looking at
the DraftKings splits, which are available, of course on the
VSENT website, you're seeing about ninety percent of the handle
(21:33):
eighty percent of the bets coming in on UNC to
cover in this moment. That's going to move overnight in
advance of the game. Obviously probably won't be quite so
dominating by the time the game rolls around. But how
do you feel about the number?
Speaker 1 (21:49):
Yeah, I feel like North Carolina is maybe just more
of a public team. Maybe the fact that they are
firmly on the bubble I think drives this up. People think, oh,
you know, they're going to win because they have to win,
so I'm going to bet on them. That kind of
thinking is certainly dangerous. I probably take it before I
laid it Wake Forest. They don't shoot a lot of threes.
It's more of a two point offense. But that was
(22:11):
a nice bounce back win against Georgia Tech they had
on Saturday. I could see this being a closer game.
I don't buy this North Carolina resurgence this past couple
of weeks. I think a lot of it has to
do with just they played some lousy teams a software schedule.
They were competitive against Dukes so there's some reasons for
optimism with UNC, but I still think this is a
team with a lot of flaws. So I would take
(22:34):
it before I laid it here with the demon Deakins.
Speaker 3 (22:37):
How about Colorado guys maybe channeling their any inner NC
state from a year ago. As the Buffs have won
back to back games here to start the Big twelve tournament,
will now they take on the big bully in Houston?
This line seventeen and a half. These two teams met
earlier this season. It was just a ten point game
that Houston won. And as I look through Houston's game
(22:57):
long recently, they've been pretty banged up and they haven't
really been able to pull away from anybody lately. They
don't have a win by more than ten points in
nearly a month now.
Speaker 1 (23:08):
Yeah, it's a good point. And as Houston's one of
those teams where pretty firmly with a one seed here,
do they have the motivation? You wonder with their physical style,
does it benefit them to play all these games in
all these days in the conference tournament or to be
ideal for them, not that you're going to tank a game,
but you know they bow out in the semis or
something and they don't add those extra innings to their arms.
(23:30):
Would that be the most ideal way to handle this
from Houston? Just in terms of getting ready for the tournament,
I still think this is a tough team, a rugged team,
a physical team. It's a nice story with Colorado, and
who knows, we saw what happened with NC State last year.
But if I had to play it, I haven't seen
a Colorado team total I probably look at a team
(23:52):
total unders. I just think that despite these last couple
of days, this is a team that really struggles away
from home. I think Houston rested against some tire lags
from Colorado. I do think I like the Houston side
more And if I had to play, instead of laying
the big number, maybe a Colorado team total under and
need to look at it the other way. Okay, Houston
(24:12):
has blown people out, but Calvin Sampson is a tough coach,
a disciplinary and a hard notes coach. I'm sure he's
gonna use this bad film these games where they haven't
closed opponents out in these past couple of weeks, and
it's been a couple of miles State Cincinnati where they've
had a chance to put teams away and haven't stepped
on the throat, and they let teams back in the game.
Maybe there's an emphasis on closing the game out and
(24:32):
closing it out strong. So I like the Houston side
more than the Colorado sudge.
Speaker 2 (24:36):
I've been drilling all over myself talking about Saint John's
and my expectations for this team down the stretch of
the season into the Big Dance. Twelve and a half
point favorites against Butler, lay the number or is this
a take the point situation?
Speaker 1 (24:52):
Well, obviously a home crowd there for Saint John's. I
don't love this Butler team by any stretch. But man,
Saint John's, do they have the offense. They have the shooting,
the three point shooting, the foul shooting to be able
to cover a big number. I think this is a
lot of points. I would take it with Butler before
I would lay. I just I don't trust the Saint
(25:15):
John's offense enough to you to win win by margin here.
That's a lot of points for a team like this
te lane. So I would not that I'm cutting in
line here to take Butler plus the points, but that
would be the direction I would leave.
Speaker 3 (25:27):
So I've been hearing a lot of people the past
couple of weeks talking about how they can't wait to
fade Shaka Smart and Marquette in the Big East Tournament
here Golden Eagles opened up as a two and a
half point favored against Xavier tomorrow down to one and
a half. Now, is this game's getting closer to a pick?
Which way you lean in that matchup?
Speaker 1 (25:44):
That interesting because you think of Marquette as being better
than Xavier by more than a point and in a half.
I think the fact that Marquette safely in the tournament
in Xavier needs the game is probably factoring into this line.
That being said, I like to save your team. I
think they're tough, uged. I watched them a handful of times,
have been impressed by them. I think I get it's dangerous,
(26:08):
it is dangerous to sit here so well. They need
the game, they're gonna win. But I think from a
matchup standpoint, this is a decent matchup for Xavier. I
don't love this Marquette team, and not even not even
because they burned me like a lot of people Saturday
with Saint John's where I got a good number. I
think I laid to lead to got some cheap money
line and they had a really a chance to close
(26:30):
it out and didn't. But I will, I'll go with
Davy here. I just think they need it more and
I think the Xavier team is a little bit underrated. Will.
Speaker 2 (26:37):
We're going to use your favorite play for tomorrow for
our People's parlay, which we will build in the next segment.
But we're gonna get your play before you sign off, obviously,
and we always like to give people the numbers. Your
official show plays here with us are two and four. Sadly,
I don't know if anyone realizes this, we've never hit
a parlay. We are zero and six together on the
(26:57):
People's parlays. Tis the season to change that, my man.
So before Dan and I give our picks in just
a little bit, what is your favorite for tomorrow?
Speaker 1 (27:07):
All right, no time like the present. Let's change that
right now. I will go bowling Green Akron. First half
under seventy and a half, eleven am start. I mean,
you guys will probably still be sleeping. I'm sure Adam
will wake up for another hour, an hour and a
half at that point, Yeah, exactly, So under seventy half.
I just think sleepy start more often not. These early
(27:28):
starts do tend to go under. These gyms are half empty.
There's no energy. These guys for the most part of
night creatures. Anyway, they play at night, they sleep late.
They you know, they wake up late. I think that
very often you see these. If you did blindly play
these really early start times to the first half under,
you would be profitable. I like that angle. I like
that trend. Bowling green acron under seventy half first.
Speaker 2 (27:50):
Half starting us nice and early tomorrow, hopefully carrying over
into a day of successful plays. Will we'll let you
get back to it. You get to relate games to
monitor here as well. But again not the Will Hill
on Vson or on Twitter, pardon me, part of Vson,
part of Fox Sports. Should have met more podcasts he
(28:11):
hosts that. Of course, he does the podcast with our
buddy Bear as well. So always fun, my man.
Speaker 1 (28:18):
Boyce, appreciate you having me, Happy March, good to talk
to you, Thanks for having me.
Speaker 2 (28:24):
Absolutely, we'll do it again soon. In baseball right around
the corner. We always love having Will on for that.
A people's parlay next, all right, fellas, let's build out
a people's parlay courtesy of the one play from Will Hill,
and we'll give ours me and Dan obviously as we
sweat out tonight's people's parlay, which not looking good, looking
(28:49):
like a jerkstroke looking on the board.
Speaker 3 (28:51):
Down six with a minute twenty left.
Speaker 2 (28:53):
Yeah, it's not ideal. We need some overtime to have
a chance to cover in the three in that one, obviously,
but hey, you know what, no time like tomorrow to
get ourselves right if that one fails us, especially when
if you believe in the concept of being due, we
are due with Will oh and six on the People's
parlay his place two and four. As I mentioned before,
(29:16):
he gave us the first play of the day, the
under in the Bowling Green Akron first half seventy point five.
So if he can cash that, you know, before lunch,
it'll be up to us at that point in time, Dan,
what do you have?
Speaker 3 (29:32):
All right, I'm gonna allow this team to hurt me
one more time. YEA Yukon line is only up on DraftKings.
They are favored by two and a half against Villanova.
I thought Villanova let go of the rope a little
bit in the second half against Seaton Hall there as
they might have been looking ahead to this one tonight.
Yukon Hurley March, Madison Square Garden. Gotta go with it.
(29:55):
So give me the Huskies minus two and a half.
It's only up on DraftKings right now.
Speaker 2 (29:59):
Just ahead, sut say, I don't even have them in there.
Speaker 1 (30:01):
I just moved it.
Speaker 7 (30:02):
Yeah they're minus three and a half.
Speaker 3 (30:03):
Oh wow, I got it.
Speaker 1 (30:05):
I don't like it.
Speaker 3 (30:06):
I mean I got it in two and a half. Yeah,
we'll do We'll do three and a half.
Speaker 1 (30:09):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (30:10):
Is it posting the action.
Speaker 3 (30:11):
It's not up on the No, it's not even up
on the app yet.
Speaker 2 (30:13):
It's man and already get in line movements, yep. Dance
ahead of the curve. I might be ahead of the
curve as well. Time will tell I am I'm getting
a little weird. I'm going to the AAC. I'm taking
Temple minus two and a half against Tulsa. The Owls
have one three straight, Golden Hurricane have dropped four of
five h this this will be music to Dan's ears.
(30:37):
Temple's good from the free throw line. Tulsa's not make
your free throws kids. That's important, especially if the game
gets sweaty at the end, and we need some of
those to get us to cover a number. Hopefully it
won't be that sweaty that close, but uh wouldn't be
shocking this time of year obviously. If it is, you
also just have a golden hurricane that is not so
(30:59):
sharp defensively, so shop it around. But I will tell
you ESPN, BET, MGM DraftKings all have minus two and
a half. The reason I say I might be getting
ahead of the line movement also is because we've already
seen some movement elsewhere. Caesar's has three FanDuel has three
and a half. So make sure at least for the
straight We'll see about the People's parlay, but at least
for the straight lock in that two and a half.
(31:21):
Now Brian here has been shopping things around. Looks like
obviously because of what Dan said, with Yukon only being
available on one book, it's DraftKings plus five fifty four
for that first half under in the Akron Bowling Green Game,
and you do have that two and a half available
on Temple, and of course Yukon minus three and a half.
(31:41):
You could let it sit overnight if you want to
just have more books at your disposal, but I'm not
sure you're going to get a better number.
Speaker 3 (31:47):
Yeah, no, I think let's go to three and a half.
Speaker 2 (31:49):
Then I guess all right plus five fifty four on
DraftKings for this People's parlay. And while we have a
quick moment before we break to take a look at
really haven't had time to do this. We've been walled
to the wall where we stand with other show plays.
Need Grand Canyon on the money line, that game is
very early to cash my bank roll repair. Dan's br
(32:12):
is already in, as he mentioned earlier, looking like two
out of three on the straits. As far as the
People's parlay, which of course would mean a dead straight
play for Dan. The dead parlay Chowdrey's choice is in
Miles McBride four plus assists. He's sitting at five in
the third, so a bounce back hit for Sammy. We
need one more shot in the final what twenty five
(32:35):
minutes or so for Nick Schmaltz to cash that plus
one thirty five. He had two in the first period,
but he has been quiet here in the second so far.
Montreal we got him at plus one twenty five on
the money line, down to one in Seattle midway through
that game, and we're looking for an over between Montana
and Noko Northern Colorado over one forty six and a half.
(32:56):
That game is early on, but lots of scoring early,
so keep it up, boys, and hopefully we can have
ourselves a nice green day, maybe pick up a couple
of units. We'll track all that let you know how
it unfolds. But we won't know all of it until
the show is over, obviously, but we'll get everything loaded
into the Action app. As far as the show plays,
we'll come back with maybe a couple more football thoughts
(33:18):
or whatever else strikes our fancy before our time is up.
Cash sch Maltz. During the break, we got the shot.
Great to call there out of Dan and Montreal. Evening
up the games, Let's go Canadians chase another plus money
(33:39):
play if we can get there. Obviously, but tomorrow mentioned earlier,
we had Jason sobolon obviously previewing the Players Championship and
Dan you earlier today gave out a play that you
like on the action app. Your Action app page at
Dan Watkins copied it over to the show page the
Gambler with Ak, where you can find most, if not all,
(34:02):
of our show plays. Make sure you go check that out.
But tell the people what are we looking for tomorrow? Well,
they still have time to invest.
Speaker 3 (34:08):
Yeah, tomorrow and Friday is what we're looking for. Guys.
It's a little builder, a little make the cut builder
at the TPC. Let's go with Sepstraca and Jason Day
both to make the cut plus one twelve on FanDuel.
Elsewhere this is even money on DraftKings. But anyways, Day
has made thirteen straight cuts dating back to last year
and six of six this season, and then Stepstraca has
(34:29):
made seven of eight cuts this year and he's playing
really well lately. Our buddy Jason soble I saw in
his articles looking at him as a first round leader pick,
so he'd probably been making the cut if he's leading
there for the first round. So let's go with those
two together plus one twelve on FanDuel.
Speaker 2 (34:44):
That'd be a hell of a Friday mailtown if that's yeah,
not happened. And Brian, I don't know, do you have
anything you know? Person here? Hit hit the plus two
to sixty on Henley for us last week. What do
you get personally?
Speaker 1 (34:58):
Personally?
Speaker 7 (34:58):
I've played Day top twenty and all on double down there.
I've played Zala Taurus top ten. It's like a long
shot though, plus four fifty. Okay, I'm gonna do a
lot of live betting this tournament, so come maybe come Friday,
seeing where Day is, maybe we can bet them top twenty,
top ten based on where he is on the standings.
Speaker 1 (35:14):
Or jasbody else.
Speaker 7 (35:15):
So come this weekend, I'll have a live.
Speaker 2 (35:17):
Play, definitely something to keep an eye on. And like
I said, stay tuned to the app and all those
plays will be added over the weekend while we are off.
We do have a show tomorrow. There will be plenty
more college basketball talk. There will be plenty of NBA
as well, and check ins obviously on the players championship,
(35:39):
and maybe mix in a little football in our final
three hours of the show week. But want to thank
all of our guests tonight. Doug Kazarian, Will Hill, Jordan
prop Bomb, Jason Sobel, Josh Ingles new to the program.
Always great to expand the roster. We're gonna need a
lot of baseball gusts come those shows in the summertime,
so great to have Josh in the fold. Dan for Brian,
(36:01):
I am Adam. Let's hope all goes well in these
late night college hoops games. Who needs sleep? We'll talk
to you again tomorrow.
Speaker 5 (36:12):
You've been listening to the Gambler with Adam Kaufman on
six point eighty WRKO, Boston's first and only nightly sports
betting show, airing live Monday through Thursday nights now from
nine to midnight.
Speaker 1 (36:27):
Listen on demand.
Speaker 4 (36:28):
Download The Gambler with Adam Kaufman podcast on the iHeartRadio app,
WRKO dot com, slash bet, or wherever you get your
podcast
Did someone jerk the People's parlay?
Speaker 2 (00:03):
If someone has to be the jerk, I hope it's
you or the guests. I don't want to be the jerk.
I don't want anyone.
Speaker 3 (00:09):
I pray it to you.
Speaker 2 (00:10):
I would like us all to hit all of our
plays every single night. But if someone's got to be
the jerk, I don't want to be the jerk. I
don't want to be the one that ruins it.
Speaker 3 (00:17):
No one likes being that guy.
Speaker 4 (00:18):
Go with your gut and lock into Boston's only nightly
sports gambling show.
Speaker 3 (00:24):
Message to our listeners the second Adam asks a guest
about their opinion on his leg of the parlay. Take
the opposite.
Speaker 5 (00:30):
Big Gambler with Adam Kaufman returns now.
Speaker 4 (00:34):
On WRKO and the iHeartRadio app.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
We've got profitable prop Bomb here with us from the
prop Bombs Props Discord. Make sure you check it out.
Check them out on Twitter at prop bomb out there
making money for the people up eighty units or whatever
it is. On this NBA season feels like on a
daily base is hitting new benchmarks. Five games in front
of us here on Thursday. The Celtics are not one
(01:05):
of them. We were just mentioning Bucks Lakers, that is
your premiere event. No Lebron James Jannis is going to play,
Dame Lillard is going to play. The Bucks are favorites
at home five and a half, six points, and as
I said, Yiannis coming off by his standards at least
offensively a dud in a loss that was costly for us,
(01:27):
in just an unbelievable way to lose a minus two
and a half. Thank you, Tyrese Haliburton of the Pacers.
But do we expect to bounce back out of Jannis?
Is this a good day to back his points overs Jordan?
Speaker 6 (01:41):
Yeah, so hopefully I should have a better quality audio
right now. But I was just rewatching all of the
shots during this commercial break, and I mean, you got
to give credit to how they were defending Giannis last
night against the Pacers. Three three fast break points allowed,
which led all NBA in terms of like fast breakpoints.
(02:02):
That's obviously how we scores his points, and both him
and Lillard only took three shots in the fourth quarter,
so like they were really obviously going out of their
way to contain him. Now, do I think that's going
to roll over into against the Lakers I don't think
it's I don't think it's a positive another a positive matchup.
I think it's so slightly neutral to poor matchup. Lakers
(02:24):
also do a good job at limiting transition, and you know,
Jared Vanderbilt could kind of hold his weight in terms
of kind of like blocking whenever Giannis tries to drive
the rim. I see the line right now, instead are
twenty nine and a half points.
Speaker 1 (02:40):
Now.
Speaker 6 (02:41):
Another thing too, is you know, without Lebron, maybe this
game could be a blowout, right Like, I'm sure that
the Bucks are furious after losing that and blowing that
lead to the Pacers. It is a home game for them,
So I mean, I don't know how well put this
Lakers offense is without Lebron to really last forty eight
(03:01):
minutes of constant offense. So you know, that's one risk
I would I would kind of have to say, is like, well,
there will be a blowout, And honestly, I don't really
see there could be so much of an edge going
on the over for Giannis's props.
Speaker 1 (03:14):
If that answered your question.
Speaker 3 (03:16):
Jordan, I'm looking at this King's Warriors game, and obviously
Steph Curry here two three pointers away from set from
four thousand in his career. Now his line tomorrow night's
obviously going to be well above that, probably at four
and a half where it's normally been. But I don't know,
Maybe do you look at maybe like a first quarter
steph points line tomorrow? I think you might try to
come out and get this thing early. Looking at some
teammates for assists. I mean, Draymond's been an assist machine
(03:39):
the last few nights. Where are you looking in this game?
Speaker 1 (03:42):
Yeah, that's kind of fun. Actually I didn't even realize that.
Speaker 6 (03:45):
Yeah, I'm looking at the hit rate on the over
six and a half first quarter points right in front
of me right now. He's hit that in five of
his last six games, which is something. And you don't
really want to go off hit ray too much, but
I would want to before betting on this game, is
find out if Jonathan Kaminga is playing this game. Do
(04:05):
we know if he's if he's in or out, because
that kind of changes a little bit of the dynamics.
Now I don't know if he's going to be playing
full minutes, but that changes a couple of things, and
maybe you can get a lower line on it playing Okay,
So yeah, so maybe the game plan for this one
is wait for him to get ruled in and maybe
the books lower the lines on Curry and you can
get a little bit of a better price.
Speaker 2 (04:27):
Yeah, just looking at Curry's recent game log as well,
stick into that three point narrative over his last seven
games five to eleven, four of fifteen, seven of thirteen,
five of nine, three of nine, five of twelve, twelve
of nineteen. So that's only two games that he came
(04:48):
below the expected four and a half prop line. And
you know, but even still three of nine to four
of fifteen, volume is going to be there. So I
don't know what the juice is going to look like
on going over on his points made. But yeah, I
mean I'm I'm comfortable leaning into the narrative, that's for sure.
Speaker 6 (05:04):
I think he can say this too, just to interrupt
real quick, like, I'm looking at the home games in
particular since the trade deadline acquiring Jimmy. Yeah, like the
first quarter points ten points, two points, seven points, eight points.
It's a one hundred hit rate. So that's interesting. I mean,
it's definitely a trend, I think, but I mean for
(05:24):
Sacramento games.
Speaker 2 (05:25):
Yeah, now this is another one that in theory, could
turn into a blowout. That said, on the other side,
how do you feel about Valentiunis in this matchup, just
because obviously you don't have a great big on the
other side.
Speaker 6 (05:38):
Oh, Jonah Salancunas. Okay, So another one too, s bonus
is questionable here, so he may he may plays. Yeah,
that would obviously impact. So I can't really answer that.
But yeah, I mean the Warriors are I mean good
in terms of stopping points in the paint. Joval, maybe
(05:59):
he get played off the court if they do run
small ball, because the Warriors can do that and that
can impact his minutes. He had to play. He played
forty one minutes, which was like a career high for him.
That was because he had to be on the court
against Zubac. The Warriors don't really have a big guy
that's intimidating that needs to keep jove Al on the court.
So if even if the bonus is out, that doesn't
(06:21):
guarantee jove All plays full minutes.
Speaker 3 (06:25):
So the Wizard's Pistons game, we do actually have full
props up there? Anything in that.
Speaker 6 (06:30):
This one could we could talk one yeah, go for it. Yeah,
So Adam you're in the discord and you you can
vouch like this was a prop when the same matchup happened,
and I went two units on this one. And if
you remember, what if.
Speaker 2 (06:45):
The only gave that I remember this play oh so aggravating.
I I don't even want to tell you how much
money I had on that bet. Yeah, yeah, it was awful.
Speaker 6 (06:57):
So and yeah, so it's you know, you've got to
hope that this game stays close because it's a rematch
of last time that they've played. And I'm liking for
this one. Jalen Duran over eleven and a half rebounds. Again,
this was the same exact play I gave the last
time that these two teams played, and it's I mean,
the you know, the Wizards are just awful when it
(07:21):
comes to protecting, protecting the rim and allowing offensive rebounds.
They take poor shots. They're not the best team. And
I'm looking at a hit rate thing right now. You know,
when Jalen Duran plays at least twenty four minutes, he
hits this line in seven of eight games with Tobias
Harris and then you know, also without Jade and Ivy.
(07:41):
So those those are the games I'm more so, looking
at he averages thirteen point six rebounds those games, this
line to me like it's minus one fifteen right now.
I feel like if we wake up in the morning
and we check it out again, it's probably going to
be minus one forty.
Speaker 1 (07:57):
Yeah.
Speaker 6 (07:57):
And the reason why I like the reason why he
had thirteen Now listen, he had thirteen rebounds on twenty
two chances last game and only played three of the
twelve minutes in the fourth quarter because it was a blowout.
Imagine if the game was a little bit closer.
Speaker 2 (08:11):
Right, although this one may not be. I mean, we're
looking at a fifteen point spread here in this.
Speaker 6 (08:14):
Yeah, exactly, Yeah, So I meant, yeah, So that's that's
obviously why that line's low is because it's probably baked
into the fact that could be a blowout.
Speaker 1 (08:22):
Right.
Speaker 2 (08:22):
Yeah, I'm not saying I wouldn't play it. I just
wouldn't make it a two unit play if you are
going to no, no, hell no, get out and it
could be a twenty five point game by the half
bulls nets. This one is tight three point spread here
in this game, and Chicago, of course, is getting a
bit healthier for instance. You know, we'll see Vusvich out there.
Josh Giddy though, is going to miss time and minkle
(08:44):
Spring's going to keep him out quote for a little bit.
What stands out here if anything.
Speaker 6 (08:49):
Yeah, that'll be definitely in good dynamic. I think he
could probably get some edges from that news. Hopefully Giddy's
you know, he recovers back because he was really rolling
for that team down the stretch closed the season. But
I guess certain players that I think could step up
from that. Uh, you can look at Kevin Herder. I
liked as over two and a half assist line. I
think he's gonna see a little bit more playmaking chops
(09:12):
or some more passes made, because I mean that team
is just decimated right now when it comes to their
guard death there without Io Desum, you know, Josh Giddy,
Lonzo balls out. So it really is just like a
few guys in that team that can pass the ball.
And I think he's probably gonna be playing, you know,
at least twenty five to thirty minutes, So two and
a half assists could be good if then make him
(09:34):
want to pass the ball more. Vucevich is interesting. He
came off the bench in his first game back. Billy Donovan.
I think he said that he wants to continue doing that,
so I'm not so sure if I want to target
any of his props in this in the you know
currently and on the other side, you know with the
(09:58):
Brooklyn Nets, they're gonna it looks like with Cam Thomas
and D'Angelo Russell. So that'll be some maybe some unders
on the role players when their lines come out because
they're it may be a little inflated if the team
is now all healthy. That's just the kind of thoughts
that I'm thinking right now.
Speaker 3 (10:13):
We only got about a minute left with you. But
Magic Pelicans, I think is the last game on the
board here that we haven't talked about. No lines anywhere yet,
but anywhere the year thinking about looking, Yeah.
Speaker 6 (10:25):
That's another team I have to wait to see. They're
always like finicky with who's playing and who's not. I
can't really answer that one as of the moment, but
hopefully I gave out enough info I think for the
listeners to see what they could target tomorrow.
Speaker 2 (10:39):
Without a doubt that in mind. Jordan, you know it's
I know it's not typical for you to give out
the overnight prop to discord audience, but that being said,
there are some things that you mentioned, like in terms
of props that are available, is there anything that you
like enough that you would lock in as a show
play And by the way, just so you know, that
would be defined as something that you'd hang up from
(10:59):
us and shoot it over to the discord as well.
Speaker 6 (11:02):
Yeah, yeah, again it goes back to that darn play
I was talking about the I really see. The only
way that play loses is if he gets in foul
trouble or it's a blowout, and that happened when it
was the two unit play last time. He got in
foul trouble. So he just has to stay out of
it and he gets the minutes and it be. It
should be smooth.
Speaker 1 (11:19):
Sailing on that one.
Speaker 6 (11:21):
So yeah, during over eleven and a half rebounds, I
think it's minus one fifteen, really good, really playable honestly
anywhere right now it's fresh in the books.
Speaker 2 (11:30):
All right, Well, we can lock that one in then
and we'll add to jordan prop bomb play to the
card for tomorrow. Well, we're in the process of giving
a bunch out still a people's parlay to be built
a little bit later on as well. But Jordan always
enjoy it, man, I mentioned it earlier. He's making your money.
Join the discord, it's worth it. Prop Bombs Props discord
(11:50):
on Twitter at prop Bomb Jordan. Thanks so much, but
we'll talk.
Speaker 1 (11:53):
Soon that I really appreciate it.
Speaker 6 (11:56):
Thank you so much.
Speaker 2 (11:57):
Absolutely, we'll step aside. Come on back with bankrolls for tomorrow.
Speaker 5 (12:02):
Now back to the Gambler with Adam Kauffman on six
eighty WRKL, streaming live on the iHeartRadio app, or tell
your smart speaker to play WRKO on iHeartRadio. It's time
for your bank roll repair, powered by today's collision.
Speaker 2 (12:21):
Now, thanks once again to Prop Bomb, who, by the way,
if you're listening live, this doesn't help you in the
podcast listening audience, I realized, But if you are listening live,
I have notifications set up in Prop Bomb's discord, and
he just sent one out to the people that he's
(12:42):
putting out a player prop for tomorrow in about ten minutes.
So if you intend to play the over on Jalen
Durham's rebounds eleven and a half, which is right around
minus one point fifteen, pretty widely available at the moment.
I just placed it. I know, Brian just placed it.
I don't know about dan here it did. But get
on it. Yeah, get on it before the line moves,
because it will, and it's you know, we'll be on
(13:02):
in real time. It'll be fun to see how quickly
it moves. I'm gonna make a guess it'll stay at
eleven and a half, because sometimes the entire line moves
like it'll never mind the juice, it'll jump to twelve
and a half, for instance. I don't think that's gonna
happen right away, not this time of night. But I
bet we go from minus one fifteen to I bet
we get to minus one forty minus one fifty pretty quickly.
Speaker 7 (13:25):
It's already moved to one twenty. So just in that
since I bet it five minutes ago.
Speaker 2 (13:30):
To now, head of the game, get in there, place
the thing, all right, bank Row repairs. Let's let's talk
about these a little bit here. I'll tell you how
today's have fared thus far after we reveal what we
have for tomorrow. Damn, what do you got?
Speaker 1 (13:46):
All right?
Speaker 3 (13:47):
So we did a little two leg after the afternoon
delight today, and we're gonna run it right back tomorrow.
I know that song so fort gonna gonna find my
baby and hold her tight. And my babies tomorrow are
UNC and tech to A and M both on the
money line plus one oh three on FANDLE. It's minus
money everywhere else.
Speaker 2 (14:05):
Yeah, I like the little two legger nice early, you know,
as you said it was it was good to have
that one cashed early today. That was fun.
Speaker 1 (14:12):
I'm gonna give you a.
Speaker 2 (14:13):
Four legger here as I did today, one in the NBA,
and that is that heavily favored Detroit Piston's team at
home against Washington just on the money line. And then
if you in college, I am a big believer, as
you probably know from listening to this show. In Saint John's,
they have got Butler back in Saint John's to take
care of business there in the Big East, Creighton against
(14:33):
A Paul, We're gonna take Crayton on the money line.
And the other one, the one that is the at
least in terms of odds, projects to be the sweatiest
of the grouping, that is Utahs State against UNLV Utah
State on the money line. By the way, if anyone
I was invested in UNLV on the money line in
some places today and if anyone paid attention to that game.
(14:55):
UNLV did win it narrowly, but it was sweaty down,
the yeah down going into the midpoint of the second half. Now,
maybe that's a wake up call and they come out
guns blazing tomorrow. Felt a little real, felt like, you know,
there could be a little bit apprehension there. So I'm
gonna go with the uh uh somewhat favored Utah State
(15:19):
again on the money line along with Saint John's and
Creighton plus the Pistons on the money line. Put those together.
That is plus one to five on DraftKings official show
play recap.
Speaker 4 (15:30):
Later, that was your bank roll Repair powered by Today's
Collision with locations in Maldon, Chelsea, Stoneham, and Danvers. Check
them out of Today's Collision dot com.
Speaker 1 (15:43):
Not every bet can be a winner. You gotta have
two things to win. You gotta have brains and you
gotta have balls. Now you got too much of wine
or not enough for the other. But as long as
you come out ahead, green is green. Profit with us.
Speaker 2 (15:57):
Cash it cash the Plus.
Speaker 4 (16:00):
I've been sixty the Gambler with Adam Kaufman bind us
online at WRKO dot com.
Speaker 1 (16:06):
Slash Bat.
Speaker 2 (16:16):
College Hoops full Day to day, not even a complete day.
The people's parlay is up to Dan two survivals by
the hook. We needed five, UCSB got there, needed twelve
out of Villanova landed on the number as well. It's
now up to Georgia eat him, buy three. How are
we feeling down?
Speaker 3 (16:37):
Three?
Speaker 1 (16:41):
How much time left?
Speaker 3 (16:42):
Like five minutes?
Speaker 1 (16:43):
Yeah? Five?
Speaker 3 (16:43):
Six minutes?
Speaker 2 (16:44):
All right, got time to make a run. Let's go Bulldogs.
Let's catch this six to one.
Speaker 1 (16:48):
Man.
Speaker 2 (16:48):
We're gonna build out a people's parlay with our next
guest coming up in a little while. Will Hill, of
course from Fox Sports and Viisen among other outlets, part
of gold Boys that discord that network. He is on
Twitter at not the Will Hill. I extra emphasis on
the because there are two e's not the Will Hill. Will.
(17:09):
How's the day going, man?
Speaker 1 (17:12):
Well, okay, some some live ways during that didn't go
my way. Some overtimes where I wanted to I had
unders and wanted to avoid overtime ad vice versa. But
uh sure, boy. These these conference tournaments, man, these days
are long. You look up and you feel like you
had a full day of basketball. And I remember an
hour or so ago, an hour and a half away,
(17:33):
I was like man, there's still like eleven twelve games
the tip and then you look at the gigs tomorrow
and there's just dozens of games after games. It's almost
like a full Saturday card. So I'm the recovery. I
had Rutgers tonight, and Rutgers I took a flyer on
them two hundred to one to win the tournament. And
that was just an epic, epic meltdown happened in slow motions.
So hopefully brighter days ahead here.
Speaker 2 (17:57):
Hopefully things that go well for us across the board tomorrow,
and Tomorrow will absolutely be a full day because the
action begins with Akron and Bowling Green at eleven am Eastern.
That's right even before noon, So a lot of fun
stuff ahead of us. Let's just talk about the number
one team in the country right now, quickly though, led by,
of course, the future number one overall pick in the
(18:17):
draft and native New Englander Maine, specifically Cooper Flagg and
his Duke Blue Devils against Georgia Tech, laying a big
number twenty two and a half. That said, is the
number even big enough?
Speaker 1 (18:32):
You know, Duke has been good for a lot of
these bigger numbers. You know, these past couple of months
and they've been laying a bunch of them, and there's
a bigger question at play. Does this lack of competition
with night in and night out is that good for
them because they can kind of pace themselves and there's
not miles on the cars, so to speak. Or is
it they're not battle tested? I don't know. We usually
(18:55):
play the results of that stuff. That's a conversation that
applies the other way with the SEC teams. I was
gonna play anything, I would say that I would play
Duke Team total over you just you never know the
motivation for these teams that have everything locked up. It's
a neutral court, you know, A certainly a public team
like Duke that's covered these numbers, that has a guy
(19:16):
like flag, it's going to be shaded towards them. If
I had to take it or late, I would probably
take it, just because man twenty two half is a
lot on a neutral court. Georgia Tech is going to be,
you know, playing out of their minds. Not that it's
realistic that they're going to win this tournament, but they
probably look at it like this is Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Saturday.
Is that acc title gamers Sunday, but I believe it' Saturday.
(19:38):
I think they're three wins away here from a you know,
an NFA tournament. Crazier things have happened, I guess, so
you'll get a max effort from them. I don't know
that you'll get a max effort from Duke, so I
would certainly take it before I would like. As I'm
talking this.
Speaker 3 (19:50):
Album, well as I do a quick scan of Twitter
at different cappers and stuff like that, it seems like
the popular pick for tomorrow, at least in the morning
portion or the early after noon is Oregon minus one
and a half, taken on Indiana and the Big Ten Tournament.
These two teams met a little over a week ago.
The Ducks won at home by nine points spread here
is one and a half. Oregon's won seventh straight going
(20:12):
into this one. Are you also on that side tomorrow?
Speaker 1 (20:16):
I've played it, and yeah, I watched that game. I
think I thought that we didnted about seven souse. I
remember the line was like six and a half in Oregon.
It was like a one point game with a minute
half to go, and Oregon probably scored the last seven
eight points in that game, something like that and it
landed almost on the number, but Oregon covered either by
a point or a bucket something like that. So it's
a little bit of a misleading final score. Altmon's always
(20:38):
been a good tournament coach, good adjustments. I will take
him over Woodson. So if I had to play it,
I would take Oregon just because of the coaching advantage.
But give me Indiana credit. This team was left for
dead and for good reason. And then it just goes
to show you that maybe we don't need expansion because
you have a team like that that's just comfortably in
the tournament. Here. It seems like, you know, they're not
some team that is a threat to winnational championships. It's
(21:01):
not a team that you watch all year in saman
That team it looks like an NCAA tournament team. But
give them credit. They've won, They've responded a little bit
of a house money feel with them. But I do
think there's a coaching advantage here for Oregon.
Speaker 2 (21:13):
Well, we got an emphatic win earlier out of North
Carolina in the ACC. Now going up against wake Forest
with a five and a half point spread unc no
surprise the favorite, and early on you know looking at
the DraftKings splits, which are available, of course on the
VSENT website, you're seeing about ninety percent of the handle
(21:33):
eighty percent of the bets coming in on UNC to
cover in this moment. That's going to move overnight in
advance of the game. Obviously probably won't be quite so
dominating by the time the game rolls around. But how
do you feel about the number?
Speaker 1 (21:49):
Yeah, I feel like North Carolina is maybe just more
of a public team. Maybe the fact that they are
firmly on the bubble I think drives this up. People think, oh,
you know, they're going to win because they have to win,
so I'm going to bet on them. That kind of
thinking is certainly dangerous. I probably take it before I
laid it Wake Forest. They don't shoot a lot of threes.
It's more of a two point offense. But that was
(22:11):
a nice bounce back win against Georgia Tech they had
on Saturday. I could see this being a closer game.
I don't buy this North Carolina resurgence this past couple
of weeks. I think a lot of it has to
do with just they played some lousy teams a software schedule.
They were competitive against Dukes so there's some reasons for
optimism with UNC, but I still think this is a
team with a lot of flaws. So I would take
(22:34):
it before I laid it here with the demon Deakins.
Speaker 3 (22:37):
How about Colorado guys maybe channeling their any inner NC
state from a year ago. As the Buffs have won
back to back games here to start the Big twelve tournament,
will now they take on the big bully in Houston?
This line seventeen and a half. These two teams met
earlier this season. It was just a ten point game
that Houston won. And as I look through Houston's game
(22:57):
long recently, they've been pretty banged up and they haven't
really been able to pull away from anybody lately. They
don't have a win by more than ten points in
nearly a month now.
Speaker 1 (23:08):
Yeah, it's a good point. And as Houston's one of
those teams where pretty firmly with a one seed here,
do they have the motivation? You wonder with their physical style,
does it benefit them to play all these games in
all these days in the conference tournament or to be
ideal for them, not that you're going to tank a game,
but you know they bow out in the semis or
something and they don't add those extra innings to their arms.
(23:30):
Would that be the most ideal way to handle this
from Houston? Just in terms of getting ready for the tournament,
I still think this is a tough team, a rugged team,
a physical team. It's a nice story with Colorado, and
who knows, we saw what happened with NC State last year.
But if I had to play it, I haven't seen
a Colorado team total I probably look at a team
(23:52):
total unders. I just think that despite these last couple
of days, this is a team that really struggles away
from home. I think Houston rested against some tire lags
from Colorado. I do think I like the Houston side
more And if I had to play, instead of laying
the big number, maybe a Colorado team total under and
need to look at it the other way. Okay, Houston
(24:12):
has blown people out, but Calvin Sampson is a tough coach,
a disciplinary and a hard notes coach. I'm sure he's
gonna use this bad film these games where they haven't
closed opponents out in these past couple of weeks, and
it's been a couple of miles State Cincinnati where they've
had a chance to put teams away and haven't stepped
on the throat, and they let teams back in the game.
Maybe there's an emphasis on closing the game out and
(24:32):
closing it out strong. So I like the Houston side
more than the Colorado sudge.
Speaker 2 (24:36):
I've been drilling all over myself talking about Saint John's
and my expectations for this team down the stretch of
the season into the Big Dance. Twelve and a half
point favorites against Butler, lay the number or is this
a take the point situation?
Speaker 1 (24:52):
Well, obviously a home crowd there for Saint John's. I
don't love this Butler team by any stretch. But man,
Saint John's, do they have the offense. They have the shooting,
the three point shooting, the foul shooting to be able
to cover a big number. I think this is a
lot of points. I would take it with Butler before
I would lay. I just I don't trust the Saint
(25:15):
John's offense enough to you to win win by margin here.
That's a lot of points for a team like this
te lane. So I would not that I'm cutting in
line here to take Butler plus the points, but that
would be the direction I would leave.
Speaker 3 (25:27):
So I've been hearing a lot of people the past
couple of weeks talking about how they can't wait to
fade Shaka Smart and Marquette in the Big East Tournament
here Golden Eagles opened up as a two and a
half point favored against Xavier tomorrow down to one and
a half. Now, is this game's getting closer to a pick?
Which way you lean in that matchup?
Speaker 1 (25:44):
That interesting because you think of Marquette as being better
than Xavier by more than a point and in a half.
I think the fact that Marquette safely in the tournament
in Xavier needs the game is probably factoring into this line.
That being said, I like to save your team. I
think they're tough, uged. I watched them a handful of times,
have been impressed by them. I think I get it's dangerous,
(26:08):
it is dangerous to sit here so well. They need
the game, they're gonna win. But I think from a
matchup standpoint, this is a decent matchup for Xavier. I
don't love this Marquette team, and not even not even
because they burned me like a lot of people Saturday
with Saint John's where I got a good number. I
think I laid to lead to got some cheap money
line and they had a really a chance to close
(26:30):
it out and didn't. But I will, I'll go with
Davy here. I just think they need it more and
I think the Xavier team is a little bit underrated. Will.
Speaker 2 (26:37):
We're going to use your favorite play for tomorrow for
our People's parlay, which we will build in the next segment.
But we're gonna get your play before you sign off, obviously,
and we always like to give people the numbers. Your
official show plays here with us are two and four. Sadly,
I don't know if anyone realizes this, we've never hit
a parlay. We are zero and six together on the
(26:57):
People's parlays. Tis the season to change that, my man.
So before Dan and I give our picks in just
a little bit, what is your favorite for tomorrow?
Speaker 1 (27:07):
All right, no time like the present. Let's change that
right now. I will go bowling Green Akron. First half
under seventy and a half, eleven am start. I mean,
you guys will probably still be sleeping. I'm sure Adam
will wake up for another hour, an hour and a
half at that point, Yeah, exactly, So under seventy half.
I just think sleepy start more often not. These early
(27:28):
starts do tend to go under. These gyms are half empty.
There's no energy. These guys for the most part of
night creatures. Anyway, they play at night, they sleep late.
They you know, they wake up late. I think that
very often you see these. If you did blindly play
these really early start times to the first half under,
you would be profitable. I like that angle. I like
that trend. Bowling green acron under seventy half first.
Speaker 2 (27:50):
Half starting us nice and early tomorrow, hopefully carrying over
into a day of successful plays. Will we'll let you
get back to it. You get to relate games to
monitor here as well. But again not the Will Hill
on Vson or on Twitter, pardon me, part of Vson,
part of Fox Sports. Should have met more podcasts he
(28:11):
hosts that. Of course, he does the podcast with our
buddy Bear as well. So always fun, my man.
Speaker 1 (28:18):
Boyce, appreciate you having me, Happy March, good to talk
to you, Thanks for having me.
Speaker 2 (28:24):
Absolutely, we'll do it again soon. In baseball right around
the corner. We always love having Will on for that.
A people's parlay next, all right, fellas, let's build out
a people's parlay courtesy of the one play from Will Hill,
and we'll give ours me and Dan obviously as we
sweat out tonight's people's parlay, which not looking good, looking
(28:49):
like a jerkstroke looking on the board.
Speaker 3 (28:51):
Down six with a minute twenty left.
Speaker 2 (28:53):
Yeah, it's not ideal. We need some overtime to have
a chance to cover in the three in that one, obviously,
but hey, you know what, no time like tomorrow to
get ourselves right if that one fails us, especially when
if you believe in the concept of being due, we
are due with Will oh and six on the People's
parlay his place two and four. As I mentioned before,
(29:16):
he gave us the first play of the day, the
under in the Bowling Green Akron first half seventy point five.
So if he can cash that, you know, before lunch,
it'll be up to us at that point in time, Dan,
what do you have?
Speaker 3 (29:32):
All right, I'm gonna allow this team to hurt me
one more time. YEA Yukon line is only up on DraftKings.
They are favored by two and a half against Villanova.
I thought Villanova let go of the rope a little
bit in the second half against Seaton Hall there as
they might have been looking ahead to this one tonight.
Yukon Hurley March, Madison Square Garden. Gotta go with it.
(29:55):
So give me the Huskies minus two and a half.
It's only up on DraftKings right now.
Speaker 2 (29:59):
Just ahead, sut say, I don't even have them in there.
Speaker 1 (30:01):
I just moved it.
Speaker 7 (30:02):
Yeah they're minus three and a half.
Speaker 3 (30:03):
Oh wow, I got it.
Speaker 1 (30:05):
I don't like it.
Speaker 3 (30:06):
I mean I got it in two and a half. Yeah,
we'll do We'll do three and a half.
Speaker 1 (30:09):
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (30:10):
Is it posting the action.
Speaker 3 (30:11):
It's not up on the No, it's not even up
on the app yet.
Speaker 2 (30:13):
It's man and already get in line movements, yep. Dance
ahead of the curve. I might be ahead of the
curve as well. Time will tell I am I'm getting
a little weird. I'm going to the AAC. I'm taking
Temple minus two and a half against Tulsa. The Owls
have one three straight, Golden Hurricane have dropped four of
five h this this will be music to Dan's ears.
(30:37):
Temple's good from the free throw line. Tulsa's not make
your free throws kids. That's important, especially if the game
gets sweaty at the end, and we need some of
those to get us to cover a number. Hopefully it
won't be that sweaty that close, but uh wouldn't be
shocking this time of year obviously. If it is, you
also just have a golden hurricane that is not so
(30:59):
sharp defensively, so shop it around. But I will tell
you ESPN, BET, MGM DraftKings all have minus two and
a half. The reason I say I might be getting
ahead of the line movement also is because we've already
seen some movement elsewhere. Caesar's has three FanDuel has three
and a half. So make sure at least for the
straight We'll see about the People's parlay, but at least
for the straight lock in that two and a half.
(31:21):
Now Brian here has been shopping things around. Looks like
obviously because of what Dan said, with Yukon only being
available on one book, it's DraftKings plus five fifty four
for that first half under in the Akron Bowling Green Game,
and you do have that two and a half available
on Temple, and of course Yukon minus three and a half.
(31:41):
You could let it sit overnight if you want to
just have more books at your disposal, but I'm not
sure you're going to get a better number.
Speaker 3 (31:47):
Yeah, no, I think let's go to three and a half.
Speaker 2 (31:49):
Then I guess all right plus five fifty four on
DraftKings for this People's parlay. And while we have a
quick moment before we break to take a look at
really haven't had time to do this. We've been walled
to the wall where we stand with other show plays.
Need Grand Canyon on the money line, that game is
very early to cash my bank roll repair. Dan's br
(32:12):
is already in, as he mentioned earlier, looking like two
out of three on the straits. As far as the
People's parlay, which of course would mean a dead straight
play for Dan. The dead parlay Chowdrey's choice is in
Miles McBride four plus assists. He's sitting at five in
the third, so a bounce back hit for Sammy. We
need one more shot in the final what twenty five
(32:35):
minutes or so for Nick Schmaltz to cash that plus
one thirty five. He had two in the first period,
but he has been quiet here in the second so far.
Montreal we got him at plus one twenty five on
the money line, down to one in Seattle midway through
that game, and we're looking for an over between Montana
and Noko Northern Colorado over one forty six and a half.
(32:56):
That game is early on, but lots of scoring early,
so keep it up, boys, and hopefully we can have
ourselves a nice green day, maybe pick up a couple
of units. We'll track all that let you know how
it unfolds. But we won't know all of it until
the show is over, obviously, but we'll get everything loaded
into the Action app. As far as the show plays,
we'll come back with maybe a couple more football thoughts
(33:18):
or whatever else strikes our fancy before our time is up.
Cash sch Maltz. During the break, we got the shot.
Great to call there out of Dan and Montreal. Evening
up the games, Let's go Canadians chase another plus money
(33:39):
play if we can get there. Obviously, but tomorrow mentioned earlier,
we had Jason sobolon obviously previewing the Players Championship and
Dan you earlier today gave out a play that you
like on the action app. Your Action app page at
Dan Watkins copied it over to the show page the
Gambler with Ak, where you can find most, if not all,
(34:02):
of our show plays. Make sure you go check that out.
But tell the people what are we looking for tomorrow? Well,
they still have time to invest.
Speaker 3 (34:08):
Yeah, tomorrow and Friday is what we're looking for. Guys.
It's a little builder, a little make the cut builder
at the TPC. Let's go with Sepstraca and Jason Day
both to make the cut plus one twelve on FanDuel.
Elsewhere this is even money on DraftKings. But anyways, Day
has made thirteen straight cuts dating back to last year
and six of six this season, and then Stepstraca has
(34:29):
made seven of eight cuts this year and he's playing
really well lately. Our buddy Jason soble I saw in
his articles looking at him as a first round leader pick,
so he'd probably been making the cut if he's leading
there for the first round. So let's go with those
two together plus one twelve on FanDuel.
Speaker 2 (34:44):
That'd be a hell of a Friday mailtown if that's yeah,
not happened. And Brian, I don't know, do you have
anything you know? Person here? Hit hit the plus two
to sixty on Henley for us last week. What do
you get personally?
Speaker 1 (34:58):
Personally?
Speaker 7 (34:58):
I've played Day top twenty and all on double down there.
I've played Zala Taurus top ten. It's like a long
shot though, plus four fifty. Okay, I'm gonna do a
lot of live betting this tournament, so come maybe come Friday,
seeing where Day is, maybe we can bet them top twenty,
top ten based on where he is on the standings.
Speaker 1 (35:14):
Or jasbody else.
Speaker 7 (35:15):
So come this weekend, I'll have a live.
Speaker 2 (35:17):
Play, definitely something to keep an eye on. And like
I said, stay tuned to the app and all those
plays will be added over the weekend while we are off.
We do have a show tomorrow. There will be plenty
more college basketball talk. There will be plenty of NBA
as well, and check ins obviously on the players championship,
(35:39):
and maybe mix in a little football in our final
three hours of the show week. But want to thank
all of our guests tonight. Doug Kazarian, Will Hill, Jordan
prop Bomb, Jason Sobel, Josh Ingles new to the program.
Always great to expand the roster. We're gonna need a
lot of baseball gusts come those shows in the summertime,
so great to have Josh in the fold. Dan for Brian,
(36:01):
I am Adam. Let's hope all goes well in these
late night college hoops games. Who needs sleep? We'll talk
to you again tomorrow.
Speaker 5 (36:12):
You've been listening to the Gambler with Adam Kaufman on
six point eighty WRKO, Boston's first and only nightly sports
betting show, airing live Monday through Thursday nights now from
nine to midnight.
Speaker 1 (36:27):
Listen on demand.
Speaker 4 (36:28):
Download The Gambler with Adam Kaufman podcast on the iHeartRadio app,
WRKO dot com, slash bet, or wherever you get your
podcast
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