November 1, 2024 • 29 mins
Polls heading into the final weekend before election day
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Hi, It's Michael. Your morning show could be heard live
weekday mornings five to eight am, six to nine am
Eastern and great cities like Tampa, Florida, Youngstown, Ohio, and
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. We'd love to join you on the
drive to work live, but we're glad you're here now.
Speaker 2 (00:14):
Enjoyed the podcast on two three starting your morning off right.
Speaker 3 (00:20):
A new way of talk, a new way of understanding
because we're in this together.
Speaker 2 (00:27):
This is your morning show with Michael O'Dell John from
the top of my cup of coffee. So you're a
pot that is brewing. Good morning, gerdy bird gets the worm.
You know this is going to feel like an hour
later come Monday. Oh okay, I'm good with it. You
know we fall back. That means we get an extra
hour sleep. Yeah, you and I we should be off
(00:49):
of Chipper. I am chipper about it? Pretty Chipper for
now seven minutes after the hour, on the air and
streaming live on your iHeartRadio app. This is your morning
show and I'm Michael del Journal. Jeffrey Lion has the
controls and Welcome to November. No sooner would I say,
are you kidding me? It just seems like we were. We
were talking last Friday, a moment ago. And now the
(01:10):
final full week before the presidential election is coming to
a close. And what a week it's been. From Joe
Biden and garbage to Donald Trump and a garbage truck
to Mark Cuban insulting women. I mean, as one person
wrote me, it's as if they're trying to lose. How
do you like my garbage truck? I liked it a lot,
I really did. The Attorney general in Pennsylvania's responding to
(01:34):
allegations of voter registration fraud in two counties. A key
inflation gauge is showing positive signs, but the American people
still paying far too much for groceries and essentials. And
today the monthly jobs report is due out early this morning.
We'll probably get that broken by Rory before we get
too far into this morning show. And yes, the clocks
(01:55):
go back an hour. I guess it really doesn't matter
when you do it unless you have, well, you want
to do it. You want to do it Saturday night
before you go to bed. Yeah, what you'd be early
for church if you don't. Well, that just brings about
a true confession, doesn't it. Look I love the Lord,
that God with all my heart, all my soul, and
all my mind. I love my pastor scary how much
(02:17):
I love him. If this guy said, hey, look we're
all going to Maine, I'd have my sandals on and
follow him. What just you know? I mean, I just
love him. I believe in him. Uh. You know modern worship. Yeah,
you just pick a song, repeat it over and over
(02:38):
at different tempos, just to try to, you know, get
people emotional. We call those seven eleven seven same seven
words eleven times? Is that what it is? Eleven? All right?
So you know, I'll be honest with you. I realize
it's all worship, whether it's that the reading of the word,
the giving of the ties. I get all that. I
(02:59):
like to up a song or too late, oh do you? Yeah? Yeah,
spare me, I'm going to miss the band. Spare me
the up and down or when I get really like,
you know, this is getting to be too much with
the whole band aloud, fraud every He's kind of microphone right.
I'm one of these old school guys. I think worship
should behind you where you can't see all these people,
and then maybe you would focus on God. But I
(03:19):
get to I just start. I just watched the drummer.
We have the best drummer in the world, so I
just watch him. And but if you don't turn your
clock back, Sarah, you're gonna miss more than just a
few songs. You're gonna especially for the Baptist. They'll are
to be a breakfast. You don't want to be too late. Yeah,
so I always do it like Saturday. I think we
do it like in the middle of the day Saturday,
and once you know, things have wound down, because who
really cares change all the clocks. But yeah, we fall
(03:43):
back and we spring forward, so the clocks go back
this Sunday night promises first, who does it for you anymore?
I mean, well, yeah, you kind of wake up and
it's which is my alarm clock? You don't You don't
have a real alarm alarm clock, do you know? It's
all everything's on the phone now and I have the loudest,
most obnoxious alarm. You gotta have it, and it interrupts
(04:04):
because we get up so early that you know, you
when you normally sleep, even with a reasonable business hour,
you're done dreaming before you wake up. Mine are just
right in the middle of a sentence and a dream
and I'm up next thing, you know. And when you
do this kind of work, there's no gradual getting up.
You just you're up and straight in at a percent.
(04:25):
So but it'll be nice to get the extra hour sleep.
Don't squander it. Clocks go back on Sunday night. All right,
our goals for today, we do want to look as
we head into the final weekend at some of this
early voting. There was a Washington Post story today and
of course this is like ABC, A couple are really biased.
They don't even give you a lot of the information
you need to try to assess the accuracy of the polling.
(04:47):
And of course, as you know, Republicans don't like to
respond to poles, so you're talking just to early voters
and just probably heavily weighted Democrat, and they're trying to
make the case that the early voting is leading heavily
Kamala Harris's way, though they will concede to you, nothing
like what mail in voting was in twenty twenty, Nothing
(05:08):
like what early voting was in twenty twenty. So you know,
we have said that the twenty twenty election was the
COVID election, weaponize it, change election laws, mail in votes decided.
They said, in their own words, it was a shadow
campaign to save democracy. We cheated Farren Square because we
(05:30):
had you to save democracy. That's in essence with the
shadow campaign was all about this one. There's gonna be
a lot to talk about the early voting because they acknowledge.
Even the Washington Post Republicans didn't just sit around. In fact,
they actually used this one expert who said it the way,
exactly the way I said it, and seat of Donald
Trump for five months griping about mail in voting, griping
about early voting. They engaged in it. They waged war
(05:55):
in it, and nearly met them in the vote in
the mail in and have passed them for the most
part in early voting. Now we don't know what that
leaves for election day or the ability to work the
ground game and get out. But ground game. Write that
in big letters, ground game improvement, mail in voting improvement,
(06:19):
early voting improvement. They don't seem to have the campus dominance.
Bright sent me one little mock election they had in
Maine at a university, and of course Donald Trump won
is shocked everybody, but anybody with eighteen to twenty four
year old kids. No, it feels different this time around.
(06:43):
We can document the Hispanic losses, the black losses, primarily
black mail vote losses. The unions aren't in their back
pocket as usual. There's some division. We saw in the
big labor union vote. Donald Trump won even though they
didn't give Donald Trump the endorsement pull Today with veterans
(07:04):
Donald Trump dominating. So we could talk about the economy stupid,
We can talk about the border crisis, security prosperity, but
some key voting blocks are just not there for the
Democrats like they've ever been in the past. And then
(07:24):
we're going to go with David Snatti into the Senate races,
which are pretty rosy looking. House not so much. It's
the real possibility Donald Trump could be president. Republicans control
the Senate and the Democrats control the House. But in
these Senate races, it's not just that in Ohio and
Brown is a powerhouse political name. The notion that Marino
(07:47):
is inside one percent heading into the final weekend, that
the Senate seat in Ohio is a near toss up
is astounding. But the other thing you have to look for.
We always claim we can't see breaks anymore, well, I
think I see them. In June, Brown was up five
and a half. In July, Brown was up four. In August,
(08:09):
Brown was up five. In September, Brown was up only
three point three. Today he's only well October he's up one.
I wonder what he is today. More importantly, where it
will be on Tuesday. Look at the trend five four
three one? What do you think is next? And that's
how all of these senate races are breaking. But remember
(08:33):
we're not supposed to believe poles. Where are things heading?
And while you can't necessarily see, you know, a huge
break like we used to and trust it like we
used to, come on, it's not that discerning or nuanced
to feel around and see the trend. And then you
(08:56):
have the Republicans not just out playing them or engaging
in playing with them, and mail and voting and early voting,
but not playing them with media. Donald Trump's sit down
with Joe Rogan is now up to forty two million,
could be fifty million by election day. Who knows what
(09:18):
I love is? There's already five hundred and eleven thousand comments.
That's more than what most of these people are reaching
with primetime addresses that's just the comments section, but embracing
podcasting and the premiere podcast versus still focusing on good
(09:40):
old fashioned smear commercials on ABC NBC or haunting people
during the World Series or football. We usually always talk
about the Republicans are always a step behind, sometimes two
election cycles behind. Not this time. They addressed mail in
voting immediately, early voting immediately. They have made the transition,
(10:05):
probably even better than the one who did it best,
Barack Obama, from traditional media to social media and now
from mainstream media to podcasting. And the problems within the
voting blocks. Well, when I put my my map together,
I don't want to reveal too much because we don't
know that John Decker doesn't listen to the show in
(10:26):
between his little hits, right, we don't want to give
him any tips. But John Decker and I, with very
high stakes today, will do our final maps and prediction
for the upcoming presidential election. By the way, real quick,
do you think Decker's going to have Kamala winning? You know,
he's very sensible to read exactly, I think it's gonna be.
(10:47):
I think he's gonna have Donald Trump either with the
narrowest of wins or I think he may make the
big mistake in Go Kamala. Oh. I don't know, Michael,
but watch him go crazy over mine because I am
well over three hundred on my man. Okay, you don't
think he's listening to you. No, I don't want to
blow a trip to Washington. No, because he's doing all
(11:07):
the other affiliates and stuff. Yeah, let's hope. So anyway,
so we'll have that. And of course, you know, from
the garbage truck to now our Cuban and the insult
to women, all Donald Trump's got to be in rare form.
We'll find out Friday with forty five Today d Z
inside the Senate and House Races, Aaron Rayal, Rory O'Neil,
who let the latest on that jobs report as soon
(11:28):
as it breaks. It's a big, big show. Missilibyill miss
a lot and miss a lot and guess what we'll
miss you. This is your Morning Show with Michael del Trono.
Speaker 1 (11:47):
Hey, it's me Michael. Your Morning Show can be heard
live five to eight am Central, six to nine Eastern
and great cities like Jackson, Mississippi, Akron, Ohio, or Columbus, Georgia.
We'd love to be a part of your morning routine,
and we're grateful you're here.
Speaker 2 (12:00):
Now enjoy the podcast.
Speaker 3 (12:02):
This is John from Youngstown, Ohio, and I'm sorry, Michael,
you got it all wrong.
Speaker 1 (12:07):
Brother.
Speaker 3 (12:08):
You're not going to church to worship time to watch
the drummer or check out the lead singer's outfit, or
to look around. You are at worship to worship your
Savior and Lord Jesus Christ. You should focus only on
him and what he's done for you, and not your
coffee and not the drummer.
Speaker 2 (12:29):
Well, I would consider myself rebuked. Only you only completely
missed my point. When I think of my greatest worship
experiences of my life, one of them was in a car.
It's a good thing I'm alive. Most of them are
in my home alone. And then I went through the
walk to a Maus program. It was the most life
changing event of my life. And our worship was always
(12:50):
behind us. What I'm addressing is the distraction I can
worship God. Fine, if you take six people that aren't
trying to draw attention to themselves out of my view,
so you know I'm actually insulting modern church worship that
hinders the actual worship of God. Oh, I'm there for
the right reasons. Just the distractions get irritating. But we
(13:14):
were really just having fun and we don't want to
be contentious, not on a Friday morning before an election.
The bottom line is, you know, we've got a lot
going on and a lot to understand and jd Vance.
By the way, that's up to seven million in hours.
(13:37):
Jd Vance on Joe Rogan, Donald Trump on Joe Rogan.
The influence. Isn't this funny? Think about this compared to
when Hillary Clinton ran against Donald Trump. That's not that
long ago. Where was Megan Kelly? Then? Where was Tucker Carlson? Then?
Now they no longer work for Fox and they are
(13:58):
reaching far more people in the world of podcasting. It's
where the Democrats are. And if this is so unlike
what it normally is usually it's the Democrats doing what
is smartest today and Republicans doing what was smartest twelve
years ago. It's as if the Democrats are going to
beat at their own game like they've forgotten. I mean,
(14:21):
who is Kamala Harris to be negotiating with Joe Rogan.
You got a chance to meet to reach fifty million people.
Remember when it was, what was it? Forty million read
I think when we did the numbers, and if two
percent were influenced that we're watching, that would be almost
(14:42):
a million votes. What an insane thing to miss. Do
you know what really turned the Vietnam War more than anything?
Walter Cronkite, wanting broadcast live a week from Vietnam and
(15:02):
America convinced we were kicking their butts saw, Oh my gosh,
we're getting we're getting blank slapped, and that's where the
sentiment of the war completely changed. You can't do that
on CBS today. Oh my gosh, I don't even know
who is the CBS nightly news anchor. I couldn't even
(15:23):
tell you. I don't know you're right, I couldn't tell
you what the NBC is. And I only know that
weird looking, spooky young guy Mirr or whatever his name
is at ABC because of the campaign. Hey, let me
tell you something. You want to reach America today, you
better be on Joe Rogan, you better be on Megan Kelly.
You gotter be on Tucker Carlson, not ABCNBCCBSC and NMSNBC
(15:48):
or Fox somewhere along the line. And it hasn't happened yet,
so we can't do it, but we better not forget.
In real time instead of gripe about mail in voting
and early voting, the Republicans not only embraced it, but
competed and perhaps even defeated on that field. The youth dominance,
(16:16):
the campus dominance, has been addressed. You may have Charlie
Kirk to thank. You may have Donald Trump to think.
I don't know who the heck you have to thank.
You may have to thank Almighty God when you're not
staring at the worship team. Because I'm telling you, Aaron
Rayel and I are the only two that have ever
said it out loud. There is something about this next generation,
this gen Z. I don't know who these kids are,
(16:38):
but they have been raised up to meet some kind
of challenging time. Is there a shift on our campus?
Is there a shift among early voters? When I say early,
I mean just turning eighteen, nineteen twenty. The documented and
this has been happening over two decades, the chipping away
(17:00):
of Hispanic voting blocks, Black voting blocks, Union voting blocks.
We were talking about these Senate races, and I don't
know why it is this way when you do these
Senate races, it kind of does it to me. I
have no problem. I looked everybody in the I in
twenty sixteen and I said Donald Trump was gonna beat
(17:22):
Hillary Clinton, and he did. I looked everybody in the
I in twenty twenty and I said, they're stealing the
election with this COVID. We were doing it in real time,
getting our jobs threatened to I might add, but you
know they're they're weaponizing COVID. What are our state legislators doing,
allowing all these law changes and mail in voting and
not and not going through the legislature. I was doing
(17:44):
all that in real time. Now, when you start talking
about like Brown losing the Senate race in Ohio, that'd
be like a Nixon losing in California exitsent. I mean,
a good analogy is I have a hard time believing
that's possible. But you know, for most they have a
(18:07):
hard time, you know, feeling confident that Trump's gonna win,
Like it's an impossible thing to believe. And the numbers
are all there when you peel them back, the odds
are all there. We just heard Big John from our
Your morning show sportsbook Donald Trump is now minus one
sixty six. Kamala Harris is plus one sixty two. Now
(18:30):
let me turn to you and say, how do you
feel about the Titans winning this this weekend?
Speaker 4 (18:35):
Oh?
Speaker 2 (18:35):
They're terrible. Well that's about how things are sitting. Donald
Trump is the Patriots at Kamala Harris is the Titans. Oh,
I think the Patriots will win? All right, then, why
aren't you saying I think Donald Trump will win? Are
you protecting yourself from failure? I'm just saying what the
(18:55):
numbers are showing. That doesn't mean the Titans won't win Sunday,
doesn't mean Kamala Harris won't win Tuesday. Just means if
you're looking at everything and all the indicators and you're
making a prognostication, it clearly comes up Trump. But look
at these Senate races and the inside story to the
story we did brown. Brown in June was up five
and a half and October's up only one. Where might
(19:18):
he fall on Tuesday? Wisconsin? Baldwin was up seven in July, six,
in August three, in September only zero point eight. Now
could the Republicans as Donald Trump takes Wisconsin as he
did in twenty sixteen, take a Senate seat along with it.
(19:43):
Remember I said the United States Senate would be Republican
plus three. I said Donald Trump's going to win the
presidency by over three hundred. My concern is control of
the House, and there'll be some serious circus music there.
Montana's over, Tester's gone. I'm not even do that number.
How about Pennsylvania that I think is gonna go Trump?
(20:06):
McCormick is now what two and a half behind Casey?
Casey was up seven. Wait, I gotta go back to
in July. Casey was up seven point seven, then it
was five point four. Now in October it's two point six.
(20:26):
Could that close? Michigan? I think is a stretch, but
it's close now. But within three Slockin was leading by
six and a half. Then it was five to one,
then it was four to four, then it was three
to one. I think he still comes up short there,
(20:48):
but these are close. Rosen in Nevada is the best example.
Rosen was up ten point seven in August, then it
fell to eight point five in September, then it fell
in half to four point two in October? Could Brown
close the cap in Nevada? We're gonna go inside these
(21:11):
Senate races with David Sinati Moore. We're also gonna look
at the House. The House is much more different to
try to figure out and monitor. In general, I don't
feel good about the House. I feel great about the Senate,
and I got a news for you. I might be shocked.
I feel great about Donald Trump. But we'll go inside
those numbers. And speaking of Trump, we'll have Friday with
forty five two straight ahead, and we did have JD.
(21:31):
Vance on. I have to take a break and monitor
this because Red doesn't monitor for language, and not that
JD has a potty mouth, but I've caught three S
words already, so I want to make sure he had dirty.
But yeah, this clip is great. There are a lot
of That's not the point he's making. What he's making
(21:52):
is not every person that is gay is into all
of this political hijacked you know, nonsense. I just want
to be left alone, is the point he's making. But
there's a lot of them which has gone viral. I mean,
wouldn't it be funny if the tie breaking votes were
the gay votes that broke from Democrats because JD. Vance's
(22:12):
eyes and he's cute, which By the way, my daughter
is a huge crush on jd Vance. He looks like
Mike Davis, my eighth grade basketball coach. But jd Vance
was on with Joe Rogan, it would be very interesting.
It's not fair to do because it's only like eight hours.
It's been ten out one. No, it's probably twelve hours
now that it's been released. I thought Donald Trump did great.
(22:35):
I han't had a chance to see the entire jd
Vance but someone that thinks just like me has seen
both and said jd Vance was even better, which wouldn't
shock me. But Donald Trump was really good with Joe Rogan.
But apparently there was some real magic with Joe Rogan
and jd Vance. Will play a one clip when we
come back. Hi. I'm Dennis from People of Mississippi and
(22:58):
my morning show is your Morning show with Michael del Jorno.
I want to preface this by saying podcasts are different.
Why did we put up or you know, with old models,
because that was all we had. You're not just picking
whatever's on the radio right now. You might be listening
to me in the podcast days later or in a
(23:21):
different time zone. Commercial free, let alone live podcasts are
different and they're not rushed, and they're not staged, and
they're not agendized. People are themselves. People go to them
when they want to on demand, and they're not rushed,
and it makes everybody different. Now. Jdvance is great even
(23:42):
when he's thrown on CNN. But I can't emphasize enough
how different Donald Trump and JD. Vance are in long
form just having a conversation because they know it's not
some network enemy that's trying to hurt them. And that's
what makes podcasts so different, so today and so powerful.
(24:04):
But this was one of those quick conversations and on
the dump button. But I think we're safe. We're JD
Vance and Joe Rogan are talking about gays and the
gay vote. Yeah, and it's it's very interesting.
Speaker 4 (24:15):
I actually met earlier with a friend who lives in
Austin who's like a you know, kind of a gay
Reagan Democrat, and he's he's a very very interesting guy.
Is a fascinating guy. He's one of the smartest political philosophers.
I think, how do you be a gay Reagan Democrat?
You know, I don't know, it's just kind of democrat. Well,
I mean he's he's basically like now what you'd call
(24:36):
the Trump Republican, but he's a political philosopher and he
writes about economics.
Speaker 2 (24:39):
Right, That's sort of how I got connected to him.
Speaker 4 (24:41):
I had no idea was gay when I first met him,
but you know, I'll never forget. He sent me something
like six or so years ago, and it was Elizabeth
Warren when she was running for president, and she was like,
we stand for all non binary two spirit and all
of the all of the like LGBTI plus. She was
(25:02):
talking about all the plus and she was kind of
flying it. And he sent me this this text message
with this Elizabeth Warren tweet, and he's like, I don't
know what the hell too spirit is.
Speaker 2 (25:10):
We just wanted to be left the hell alone.
Speaker 4 (25:13):
And I think that, frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if
me and Trump won just the normal gay guy vote,
because again, they just wanted to be left the hell alone.
And now you have all this crazy stuff on top
of it that they're like.
Speaker 2 (25:26):
We, no, we didn't, we wouldn't.
Speaker 4 (25:28):
We didn't want to give pharmaceutical products to nine year
olds who are transitioning their genders.
Speaker 2 (25:32):
We just wanted to be left the hell alone.
Speaker 5 (25:34):
Well, a lot of gay guys feel like the whole
movement is homophobic, which is ironic because they think they
think that there's people think there's something wrong with being gay,
so which you really are as a girl, yes, And
they think that a lot of this is being given,
these thoughts are being given to gay kids. These kids
would just grow up to be gay men, and instead
you're getting them to convert.
Speaker 2 (25:54):
The Again, it's pharmaceutical conversion therapy and it's profitable, which
is terrified the fact. And it's very incorporation, rushed because
it's a podcast. They're not rushing into a commercial break.
Nobody has an agenda. It's a conversation something Kamala Harris
wasn't interested in doing something Donald Trump was. He's now
reached over forty two million, and jd Vance now has
(26:17):
reached over well, that was at seven point one million
after six hours. The role that I think it's far
more important to be on Joe Rogan, Megan Kelly, Tucker Carlson,
look got different. This is from twenty sixteen. Tucker Carlson
and Megan Kelly are reaching far millions more than they
(26:37):
ever did on any night on Fox News and Joe
Rogan's in a world of his own, and the Republicans
are there and the Democrats are not. The role that
will play, quite frankly, the role TikTok will play. I
can tell you I have daughters that are turning twenty
(26:57):
this weekend and seeing the election through their eyes by
way of reels and TikTok. Social media is where your
focus should be, not ABCNBCCBS, Fox, CNN or MSNBC. The
Trump campaign gets that. Apparently the Harris doesn't. Maybe that's
(27:20):
why they won't get the results come Tuesday. All right,
what is a head for interest rates when the Fed
meets next week? Aaron ray Ali is here. Aaron, good morning.
I'm sorry it took some of our time. That's okay.
Speaker 6 (27:30):
I'm a huge show Rogan fan, have been for years.
I hope to listen to that later in the day.
It was interesting to hear Trump on him as well.
And actually it was a.
Speaker 2 (27:39):
Very different Donald Trump, wasn't it. I thought maybe you
didn't know.
Speaker 6 (27:44):
I thought that was Donald Trump through and through to
the core.
Speaker 2 (27:47):
Oh really, even when he was getting very very specific
and telling stories and.
Speaker 6 (27:53):
No, I thought it was one thousand percent Donald Trump.
Oh so in every conceivable way. So I've interviewed Donald
Trump many times before to like before he was running
for president in New York and the sea Like, No,
I think that was that's him. I don't think he's
changed one iota. Then that's for better or for worse.
Speaker 2 (28:08):
For people who loved well, maybe the time they had
that they were able to dust it out better. But
he struck me strikingly different. But that's all right, to
each his own, all right. Head for interest rates in
one minute.
Speaker 6 (28:20):
Yeah, So what we're seeing is that the American public,
this is fascinating. There was a poll recently done by
while it Hubs seventy four percent of American to think
that the Fed is cutting interest rates for political reasons.
A head for interest rates, we're likely going to see
a quarter basis point, but going into the next FED
policy meeting. But what's interesting is today at eight thirty
(28:42):
am Eastern time, we're going to get BLS numbers. The
Bureau of Libor Statistics puts out the jobs numbers the
first Friday of every month. Michael, I think the seventy
four percent of Americans who think that the FED is
cutting interest rates for political reasons is fascinating because the
FED is not cutting interest rates for political reasons. If
they were and they wanted to help the bidaynistration, they
would have done it back in July r I did not.
They are a private institution that serves a public need.
(29:05):
They are agnostic to who sits in the administration, and
they often get carried over from one to the one
administration of the next, much like Jerome Powell. So the
idea that you know they're doing this and that more
than almost all of the American public things, that they're
politically motivated, is fascinating and shows how misunderstood this private
institution is.
Speaker 2 (29:25):
We're all in this together. This is your Morning Show
with Michael Entheld Show and Now
Hi, It's Michael. Your morning show could be heard live
weekday mornings five to eight am, six to nine am
Eastern and great cities like Tampa, Florida, Youngstown, Ohio, and
Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. We'd love to join you on the
drive to work live, but we're glad you're here now.
Speaker 2 (00:14):
Enjoyed the podcast on two three starting your morning off right.
Speaker 3 (00:20):
A new way of talk, a new way of understanding
because we're in this together.
Speaker 2 (00:27):
This is your morning show with Michael O'Dell John from
the top of my cup of coffee. So you're a
pot that is brewing. Good morning, gerdy bird gets the worm.
You know this is going to feel like an hour
later come Monday. Oh okay, I'm good with it. You
know we fall back. That means we get an extra
hour sleep. Yeah, you and I we should be off
(00:49):
of Chipper. I am chipper about it? Pretty Chipper for
now seven minutes after the hour, on the air and
streaming live on your iHeartRadio app. This is your morning
show and I'm Michael del Journal. Jeffrey Lion has the
controls and Welcome to November. No sooner would I say,
are you kidding me? It just seems like we were. We
were talking last Friday, a moment ago. And now the
(01:10):
final full week before the presidential election is coming to
a close. And what a week it's been. From Joe
Biden and garbage to Donald Trump and a garbage truck
to Mark Cuban insulting women. I mean, as one person
wrote me, it's as if they're trying to lose. How
do you like my garbage truck? I liked it a lot,
I really did. The Attorney general in Pennsylvania's responding to
(01:34):
allegations of voter registration fraud in two counties. A key
inflation gauge is showing positive signs, but the American people
still paying far too much for groceries and essentials. And
today the monthly jobs report is due out early this morning.
We'll probably get that broken by Rory before we get
too far into this morning show. And yes, the clocks
(01:55):
go back an hour. I guess it really doesn't matter
when you do it unless you have, well, you want
to do it. You want to do it Saturday night
before you go to bed. Yeah, what you'd be early
for church if you don't. Well, that just brings about
a true confession, doesn't it. Look I love the Lord,
that God with all my heart, all my soul, and
all my mind. I love my pastor scary how much
(02:17):
I love him. If this guy said, hey, look we're
all going to Maine, I'd have my sandals on and
follow him. What just you know? I mean, I just
love him. I believe in him. Uh. You know modern worship. Yeah,
you just pick a song, repeat it over and over
(02:38):
at different tempos, just to try to, you know, get
people emotional. We call those seven eleven seven same seven
words eleven times? Is that what it is? Eleven? All right?
So you know, I'll be honest with you. I realize
it's all worship, whether it's that the reading of the word,
the giving of the ties. I get all that. I
(02:59):
like to up a song or too late, oh do you? Yeah? Yeah,
spare me, I'm going to miss the band. Spare me
the up and down or when I get really like,
you know, this is getting to be too much with
the whole band aloud, fraud every He's kind of microphone right.
I'm one of these old school guys. I think worship
should behind you where you can't see all these people,
and then maybe you would focus on God. But I
(03:19):
get to I just start. I just watched the drummer.
We have the best drummer in the world, so I
just watch him. And but if you don't turn your
clock back, Sarah, you're gonna miss more than just a
few songs. You're gonna especially for the Baptist. They'll are
to be a breakfast. You don't want to be too late. Yeah,
so I always do it like Saturday. I think we
do it like in the middle of the day Saturday,
and once you know, things have wound down, because who
really cares change all the clocks. But yeah, we fall
(03:43):
back and we spring forward, so the clocks go back
this Sunday night promises first, who does it for you anymore?
I mean, well, yeah, you kind of wake up and
it's which is my alarm clock? You don't You don't
have a real alarm alarm clock, do you know? It's
all everything's on the phone now and I have the loudest,
most obnoxious alarm. You gotta have it, and it interrupts
(04:04):
because we get up so early that you know, you
when you normally sleep, even with a reasonable business hour,
you're done dreaming before you wake up. Mine are just
right in the middle of a sentence and a dream
and I'm up next thing, you know. And when you
do this kind of work, there's no gradual getting up.
You just you're up and straight in at a percent.
(04:25):
So but it'll be nice to get the extra hour sleep.
Don't squander it. Clocks go back on Sunday night. All right,
our goals for today, we do want to look as
we head into the final weekend at some of this
early voting. There was a Washington Post story today and
of course this is like ABC, A couple are really biased.
They don't even give you a lot of the information
you need to try to assess the accuracy of the polling.
(04:47):
And of course, as you know, Republicans don't like to
respond to poles, so you're talking just to early voters
and just probably heavily weighted Democrat, and they're trying to
make the case that the early voting is leading heavily
Kamala Harris's way, though they will concede to you, nothing
like what mail in voting was in twenty twenty, Nothing
(05:08):
like what early voting was in twenty twenty. So you know,
we have said that the twenty twenty election was the
COVID election, weaponize it, change election laws, mail in votes decided.
They said, in their own words, it was a shadow
campaign to save democracy. We cheated Farren Square because we
(05:30):
had you to save democracy. That's in essence with the
shadow campaign was all about this one. There's gonna be
a lot to talk about the early voting because they acknowledge.
Even the Washington Post Republicans didn't just sit around. In fact,
they actually used this one expert who said it the way,
exactly the way I said it, and seat of Donald
Trump for five months griping about mail in voting, griping
about early voting. They engaged in it. They waged war
(05:55):
in it, and nearly met them in the vote in
the mail in and have passed them for the most
part in early voting. Now we don't know what that
leaves for election day or the ability to work the
ground game and get out. But ground game. Write that
in big letters, ground game improvement, mail in voting improvement,
(06:19):
early voting improvement. They don't seem to have the campus dominance.
Bright sent me one little mock election they had in
Maine at a university, and of course Donald Trump won
is shocked everybody, but anybody with eighteen to twenty four
year old kids. No, it feels different this time around.
(06:43):
We can document the Hispanic losses, the black losses, primarily
black mail vote losses. The unions aren't in their back
pocket as usual. There's some division. We saw in the
big labor union vote. Donald Trump won even though they
didn't give Donald Trump the endorsement pull Today with veterans
(07:04):
Donald Trump dominating. So we could talk about the economy stupid,
We can talk about the border crisis, security prosperity, but
some key voting blocks are just not there for the
Democrats like they've ever been in the past. And then
(07:24):
we're going to go with David Snatti into the Senate races,
which are pretty rosy looking. House not so much. It's
the real possibility Donald Trump could be president. Republicans control
the Senate and the Democrats control the House. But in
these Senate races, it's not just that in Ohio and
Brown is a powerhouse political name. The notion that Marino
(07:47):
is inside one percent heading into the final weekend, that
the Senate seat in Ohio is a near toss up
is astounding. But the other thing you have to look for.
We always claim we can't see breaks anymore, well, I
think I see them. In June, Brown was up five
and a half. In July, Brown was up four. In August,
(08:09):
Brown was up five. In September, Brown was up only
three point three. Today he's only well October he's up one.
I wonder what he is today. More importantly, where it
will be on Tuesday. Look at the trend five four
three one? What do you think is next? And that's
how all of these senate races are breaking. But remember
(08:33):
we're not supposed to believe poles. Where are things heading?
And while you can't necessarily see, you know, a huge
break like we used to and trust it like we
used to, come on, it's not that discerning or nuanced
to feel around and see the trend. And then you
(08:56):
have the Republicans not just out playing them or engaging
in playing with them, and mail and voting and early voting,
but not playing them with media. Donald Trump's sit down
with Joe Rogan is now up to forty two million,
could be fifty million by election day. Who knows what
(09:18):
I love is? There's already five hundred and eleven thousand comments.
That's more than what most of these people are reaching
with primetime addresses that's just the comments section, but embracing
podcasting and the premiere podcast versus still focusing on good
(09:40):
old fashioned smear commercials on ABC NBC or haunting people
during the World Series or football. We usually always talk
about the Republicans are always a step behind, sometimes two
election cycles behind. Not this time. They addressed mail in
voting immediately, early voting immediately. They have made the transition,
(10:05):
probably even better than the one who did it best,
Barack Obama, from traditional media to social media and now
from mainstream media to podcasting. And the problems within the
voting blocks. Well, when I put my my map together,
I don't want to reveal too much because we don't
know that John Decker doesn't listen to the show in
(10:26):
between his little hits, right, we don't want to give
him any tips. But John Decker and I, with very
high stakes today, will do our final maps and prediction
for the upcoming presidential election. By the way, real quick,
do you think Decker's going to have Kamala winning? You know,
he's very sensible to read exactly, I think it's gonna be.
(10:47):
I think he's gonna have Donald Trump either with the
narrowest of wins or I think he may make the
big mistake in Go Kamala. Oh. I don't know, Michael,
but watch him go crazy over mine because I am
well over three hundred on my man. Okay, you don't
think he's listening to you. No, I don't want to
blow a trip to Washington. No, because he's doing all
(11:07):
the other affiliates and stuff. Yeah, let's hope. So anyway,
so we'll have that. And of course, you know, from
the garbage truck to now our Cuban and the insult
to women, all Donald Trump's got to be in rare form.
We'll find out Friday with forty five Today d Z
inside the Senate and House Races, Aaron Rayal, Rory O'Neil,
who let the latest on that jobs report as soon
(11:28):
as it breaks. It's a big, big show. Missilibyill miss
a lot and miss a lot and guess what we'll
miss you. This is your Morning Show with Michael del Trono.
Speaker 1 (11:47):
Hey, it's me Michael. Your Morning Show can be heard
live five to eight am Central, six to nine Eastern
and great cities like Jackson, Mississippi, Akron, Ohio, or Columbus, Georgia.
We'd love to be a part of your morning routine,
and we're grateful you're here.
Speaker 2 (12:00):
Now enjoy the podcast.
Speaker 3 (12:02):
This is John from Youngstown, Ohio, and I'm sorry, Michael,
you got it all wrong.
Speaker 1 (12:07):
Brother.
Speaker 3 (12:08):
You're not going to church to worship time to watch
the drummer or check out the lead singer's outfit, or
to look around. You are at worship to worship your
Savior and Lord Jesus Christ. You should focus only on
him and what he's done for you, and not your
coffee and not the drummer.
Speaker 2 (12:29):
Well, I would consider myself rebuked. Only you only completely
missed my point. When I think of my greatest worship
experiences of my life, one of them was in a car.
It's a good thing I'm alive. Most of them are
in my home alone. And then I went through the
walk to a Maus program. It was the most life
changing event of my life. And our worship was always
(12:50):
behind us. What I'm addressing is the distraction I can
worship God. Fine, if you take six people that aren't
trying to draw attention to themselves out of my view,
so you know I'm actually insulting modern church worship that
hinders the actual worship of God. Oh, I'm there for
the right reasons. Just the distractions get irritating. But we
(13:14):
were really just having fun and we don't want to
be contentious, not on a Friday morning before an election.
The bottom line is, you know, we've got a lot
going on and a lot to understand and jd Vance.
By the way, that's up to seven million in hours.
(13:37):
Jd Vance on Joe Rogan, Donald Trump on Joe Rogan.
The influence. Isn't this funny? Think about this compared to
when Hillary Clinton ran against Donald Trump. That's not that
long ago. Where was Megan Kelly? Then? Where was Tucker Carlson? Then?
Now they no longer work for Fox and they are
(13:58):
reaching far more people in the world of podcasting. It's
where the Democrats are. And if this is so unlike
what it normally is usually it's the Democrats doing what
is smartest today and Republicans doing what was smartest twelve
years ago. It's as if the Democrats are going to
beat at their own game like they've forgotten. I mean,
(14:21):
who is Kamala Harris to be negotiating with Joe Rogan.
You got a chance to meet to reach fifty million people.
Remember when it was, what was it? Forty million read
I think when we did the numbers, and if two
percent were influenced that we're watching, that would be almost
(14:42):
a million votes. What an insane thing to miss. Do
you know what really turned the Vietnam War more than anything?
Walter Cronkite, wanting broadcast live a week from Vietnam and
(15:02):
America convinced we were kicking their butts saw, Oh my gosh,
we're getting we're getting blank slapped, and that's where the
sentiment of the war completely changed. You can't do that
on CBS today. Oh my gosh, I don't even know
who is the CBS nightly news anchor. I couldn't even
(15:23):
tell you. I don't know you're right, I couldn't tell
you what the NBC is. And I only know that
weird looking, spooky young guy Mirr or whatever his name
is at ABC because of the campaign. Hey, let me
tell you something. You want to reach America today, you
better be on Joe Rogan, you better be on Megan Kelly.
You gotter be on Tucker Carlson, not ABCNBCCBSC and NMSNBC
(15:48):
or Fox somewhere along the line. And it hasn't happened yet,
so we can't do it, but we better not forget.
In real time instead of gripe about mail in voting
and early voting, the Republicans not only embraced it, but
competed and perhaps even defeated on that field. The youth dominance,
(16:16):
the campus dominance, has been addressed. You may have Charlie
Kirk to thank. You may have Donald Trump to think.
I don't know who the heck you have to thank.
You may have to thank Almighty God when you're not
staring at the worship team. Because I'm telling you, Aaron
Rayel and I are the only two that have ever
said it out loud. There is something about this next generation,
this gen Z. I don't know who these kids are,
(16:38):
but they have been raised up to meet some kind
of challenging time. Is there a shift on our campus?
Is there a shift among early voters? When I say early,
I mean just turning eighteen, nineteen twenty. The documented and
this has been happening over two decades, the chipping away
(17:00):
of Hispanic voting blocks, Black voting blocks, Union voting blocks.
We were talking about these Senate races, and I don't
know why it is this way when you do these
Senate races, it kind of does it to me. I
have no problem. I looked everybody in the I in
twenty sixteen and I said Donald Trump was gonna beat
(17:22):
Hillary Clinton, and he did. I looked everybody in the
I in twenty twenty and I said, they're stealing the
election with this COVID. We were doing it in real time,
getting our jobs threatened to I might add, but you
know they're they're weaponizing COVID. What are our state legislators doing,
allowing all these law changes and mail in voting and
not and not going through the legislature. I was doing
(17:44):
all that in real time. Now, when you start talking
about like Brown losing the Senate race in Ohio, that'd
be like a Nixon losing in California exitsent. I mean,
a good analogy is I have a hard time believing
that's possible. But you know, for most they have a
(18:07):
hard time, you know, feeling confident that Trump's gonna win,
Like it's an impossible thing to believe. And the numbers
are all there when you peel them back, the odds
are all there. We just heard Big John from our
Your morning show sportsbook Donald Trump is now minus one
sixty six. Kamala Harris is plus one sixty two. Now
(18:30):
let me turn to you and say, how do you
feel about the Titans winning this this weekend?
Speaker 4 (18:35):
Oh?
Speaker 2 (18:35):
They're terrible. Well that's about how things are sitting. Donald
Trump is the Patriots at Kamala Harris is the Titans. Oh,
I think the Patriots will win? All right, then, why
aren't you saying I think Donald Trump will win? Are
you protecting yourself from failure? I'm just saying what the
(18:55):
numbers are showing. That doesn't mean the Titans won't win Sunday,
doesn't mean Kamala Harris won't win Tuesday. Just means if
you're looking at everything and all the indicators and you're
making a prognostication, it clearly comes up Trump. But look
at these Senate races and the inside story to the
story we did brown. Brown in June was up five
and a half and October's up only one. Where might
(19:18):
he fall on Tuesday? Wisconsin? Baldwin was up seven in July, six,
in August three, in September only zero point eight. Now
could the Republicans as Donald Trump takes Wisconsin as he
did in twenty sixteen, take a Senate seat along with it.
(19:43):
Remember I said the United States Senate would be Republican
plus three. I said Donald Trump's going to win the
presidency by over three hundred. My concern is control of
the House, and there'll be some serious circus music there.
Montana's over, Tester's gone. I'm not even do that number.
How about Pennsylvania that I think is gonna go Trump?
(20:06):
McCormick is now what two and a half behind Casey?
Casey was up seven. Wait, I gotta go back to
in July. Casey was up seven point seven, then it
was five point four. Now in October it's two point six.
(20:26):
Could that close? Michigan? I think is a stretch, but
it's close now. But within three Slockin was leading by
six and a half. Then it was five to one,
then it was four to four, then it was three
to one. I think he still comes up short there,
(20:48):
but these are close. Rosen in Nevada is the best example.
Rosen was up ten point seven in August, then it
fell to eight point five in September, then it fell
in half to four point two in October? Could Brown
close the cap in Nevada? We're gonna go inside these
(21:11):
Senate races with David Sinati Moore. We're also gonna look
at the House. The House is much more different to
try to figure out and monitor. In general, I don't
feel good about the House. I feel great about the Senate,
and I got a news for you. I might be shocked.
I feel great about Donald Trump. But we'll go inside
those numbers. And speaking of Trump, we'll have Friday with
forty five two straight ahead, and we did have JD.
(21:31):
Vance on. I have to take a break and monitor
this because Red doesn't monitor for language, and not that
JD has a potty mouth, but I've caught three S
words already, so I want to make sure he had dirty.
But yeah, this clip is great. There are a lot
of That's not the point he's making. What he's making
(21:52):
is not every person that is gay is into all
of this political hijacked you know, nonsense. I just want
to be left alone, is the point he's making. But
there's a lot of them which has gone viral. I mean,
wouldn't it be funny if the tie breaking votes were
the gay votes that broke from Democrats because JD. Vance's
(22:12):
eyes and he's cute, which By the way, my daughter
is a huge crush on jd Vance. He looks like
Mike Davis, my eighth grade basketball coach. But jd Vance
was on with Joe Rogan, it would be very interesting.
It's not fair to do because it's only like eight hours.
It's been ten out one. No, it's probably twelve hours
now that it's been released. I thought Donald Trump did great.
(22:35):
I han't had a chance to see the entire jd
Vance but someone that thinks just like me has seen
both and said jd Vance was even better, which wouldn't
shock me. But Donald Trump was really good with Joe Rogan.
But apparently there was some real magic with Joe Rogan
and jd Vance. Will play a one clip when we
come back. Hi. I'm Dennis from People of Mississippi and
(22:58):
my morning show is your Morning show with Michael del Jorno.
I want to preface this by saying podcasts are different.
Why did we put up or you know, with old models,
because that was all we had. You're not just picking
whatever's on the radio right now. You might be listening
to me in the podcast days later or in a
(23:21):
different time zone. Commercial free, let alone live podcasts are
different and they're not rushed, and they're not staged, and
they're not agendized. People are themselves. People go to them
when they want to on demand, and they're not rushed,
and it makes everybody different. Now. Jdvance is great even
(23:42):
when he's thrown on CNN. But I can't emphasize enough
how different Donald Trump and JD. Vance are in long
form just having a conversation because they know it's not
some network enemy that's trying to hurt them. And that's
what makes podcasts so different, so today and so powerful.
(24:04):
But this was one of those quick conversations and on
the dump button. But I think we're safe. We're JD
Vance and Joe Rogan are talking about gays and the
gay vote. Yeah, and it's it's very interesting.
Speaker 4 (24:15):
I actually met earlier with a friend who lives in
Austin who's like a you know, kind of a gay
Reagan Democrat, and he's he's a very very interesting guy.
Is a fascinating guy. He's one of the smartest political philosophers.
I think, how do you be a gay Reagan Democrat?
You know, I don't know, it's just kind of democrat. Well,
I mean he's he's basically like now what you'd call
(24:36):
the Trump Republican, but he's a political philosopher and he
writes about economics.
Speaker 2 (24:39):
Right, That's sort of how I got connected to him.
Speaker 4 (24:41):
I had no idea was gay when I first met him,
but you know, I'll never forget. He sent me something
like six or so years ago, and it was Elizabeth
Warren when she was running for president, and she was like,
we stand for all non binary two spirit and all
of the all of the like LGBTI plus. She was
(25:02):
talking about all the plus and she was kind of
flying it. And he sent me this this text message
with this Elizabeth Warren tweet, and he's like, I don't
know what the hell too spirit is.
Speaker 2 (25:10):
We just wanted to be left the hell alone.
Speaker 4 (25:13):
And I think that, frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if
me and Trump won just the normal gay guy vote,
because again, they just wanted to be left the hell alone.
And now you have all this crazy stuff on top
of it that they're like.
Speaker 2 (25:26):
We, no, we didn't, we wouldn't.
Speaker 4 (25:28):
We didn't want to give pharmaceutical products to nine year
olds who are transitioning their genders.
Speaker 2 (25:32):
We just wanted to be left the hell alone.
Speaker 5 (25:34):
Well, a lot of gay guys feel like the whole
movement is homophobic, which is ironic because they think they
think that there's people think there's something wrong with being gay,
so which you really are as a girl, yes, And
they think that a lot of this is being given,
these thoughts are being given to gay kids. These kids
would just grow up to be gay men, and instead
you're getting them to convert.
Speaker 2 (25:54):
The Again, it's pharmaceutical conversion therapy and it's profitable, which
is terrified the fact. And it's very incorporation, rushed because
it's a podcast. They're not rushing into a commercial break.
Nobody has an agenda. It's a conversation something Kamala Harris
wasn't interested in doing something Donald Trump was. He's now
reached over forty two million, and jd Vance now has
(26:17):
reached over well, that was at seven point one million
after six hours. The role that I think it's far
more important to be on Joe Rogan, Megan Kelly, Tucker Carlson,
look got different. This is from twenty sixteen. Tucker Carlson
and Megan Kelly are reaching far millions more than they
(26:37):
ever did on any night on Fox News and Joe
Rogan's in a world of his own, and the Republicans
are there and the Democrats are not. The role that
will play, quite frankly, the role TikTok will play. I
can tell you I have daughters that are turning twenty
(26:57):
this weekend and seeing the election through their eyes by
way of reels and TikTok. Social media is where your
focus should be, not ABCNBCCBS, Fox, CNN or MSNBC. The
Trump campaign gets that. Apparently the Harris doesn't. Maybe that's
(27:20):
why they won't get the results come Tuesday. All right,
what is a head for interest rates when the Fed
meets next week? Aaron ray Ali is here. Aaron, good morning.
I'm sorry it took some of our time. That's okay.
Speaker 6 (27:30):
I'm a huge show Rogan fan, have been for years.
I hope to listen to that later in the day.
It was interesting to hear Trump on him as well.
And actually it was a.
Speaker 2 (27:39):
Very different Donald Trump, wasn't it. I thought maybe you
didn't know.
Speaker 6 (27:44):
I thought that was Donald Trump through and through to
the core.
Speaker 2 (27:47):
Oh really, even when he was getting very very specific
and telling stories and.
Speaker 6 (27:53):
No, I thought it was one thousand percent Donald Trump.
Oh so in every conceivable way. So I've interviewed Donald
Trump many times before to like before he was running
for president in New York and the sea Like, No,
I think that was that's him. I don't think he's
changed one iota. Then that's for better or for worse.
Speaker 2 (28:08):
For people who loved well, maybe the time they had
that they were able to dust it out better. But
he struck me strikingly different. But that's all right, to
each his own, all right. Head for interest rates in
one minute.
Speaker 6 (28:20):
Yeah, So what we're seeing is that the American public,
this is fascinating. There was a poll recently done by
while it Hubs seventy four percent of American to think
that the Fed is cutting interest rates for political reasons.
A head for interest rates, we're likely going to see
a quarter basis point, but going into the next FED
policy meeting. But what's interesting is today at eight thirty
(28:42):
am Eastern time, we're going to get BLS numbers. The
Bureau of Libor Statistics puts out the jobs numbers the
first Friday of every month. Michael, I think the seventy
four percent of Americans who think that the FED is
cutting interest rates for political reasons is fascinating because the
FED is not cutting interest rates for political reasons. If
they were and they wanted to help the bidaynistration, they
would have done it back in July r I did not.
They are a private institution that serves a public need.
(29:05):
They are agnostic to who sits in the administration, and
they often get carried over from one to the one
administration of the next, much like Jerome Powell. So the
idea that you know they're doing this and that more
than almost all of the American public things, that they're
politically motivated, is fascinating and shows how misunderstood this private
institution is.
Speaker 2 (29:25):
We're all in this together. This is your Morning Show
with Michael Entheld Show and Now
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