Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Okay, so you know how
frustrating the housing market
is right now.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
Oh.
Speaker 1 (00:03):
It's like you can't
catch a break.
Right, we're going to dive deeptoday into the US housing
shortage.
Speaker 2 (00:10):
Okay.
Speaker 1 (00:11):
To figure out.
You know why it's so hard tofind a decent place to live.
Sounds good, we've got somegreat research.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
Oh, okay.
Speaker 1 (00:18):
Like expert analysis
market data, even some
historical context.
Speaker 2 (00:22):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (00:22):
So we can connect all
the dots Right and we'll
uncover some interesting factslike how much the US has
actually underbuilt in recentyears Right and the role of, you
know, those big time investors.
Speaker 2 (00:35):
Those institutional
investors.
Speaker 1 (00:36):
Exactly, it's a big
issue, it really is.
Speaker 2 (00:39):
What I think is so
interesting about all this is
that it's not just prices goingup.
Yeah, you know, we're actuallydealing with like a genuine
scarcity of homes.
Speaker 1 (00:47):
It's like trying to
find a parking spot at a concert
that's sold out.
I like that, you know therejust aren't enough places for
everybody.
Nope, and the US is facing thispersistent housing shortage,
yes, which means there's justaren't enough homes to meet the
demand.
Speaker 2 (01:03):
Exactly Supply and
demand issue.
Speaker 1 (01:05):
Exactly.
Speaker 2 (01:06):
At its core.
Speaker 1 (01:06):
And get this.
We've underbuilt by anestimated 3.8 million homes in
the past decade.
Speaker 2 (01:12):
Wow.
Speaker 1 (01:14):
That's a lot of homes
.
Speaker 2 (01:15):
It's huge.
That's like trying to put theentire population of Los Angeles
into like nowhere Right yeah.
Speaker 1 (01:22):
Crazy.
Speaker 2 (01:23):
And on top of that
you have, like, the crazy cost
of materials and labor.
Speaker 1 (01:28):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (01:29):
You've got those
really strict zoning laws, and
then, of course, you know thehigh mortgage rates we keep
hearing about.
Speaker 1 (01:34):
It never ends.
Speaker 2 (01:35):
It feels like it's
this like perfect storm in the
housing market.
Speaker 1 (01:39):
A perfect storm.
Speaker 2 (01:40):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (01:40):
So let's unpack this
underbuilding enigma.
Speaker 2 (01:43):
Sure.
Speaker 1 (01:43):
I like how you put
that.
What happened after that 2008housing crash?
Speaker 2 (01:47):
Well, a lot of home
builders.
They got burned really badly.
A lot of them went bankrupt andthe entire industry just got
really risk averse.
Speaker 1 (01:56):
It makes sense.
Nobody wants to go through thatagain.
Speaker 2 (01:58):
No, you don't want to
be on that financial roller
coaster, and so they're hesitantto like ramp up construction
again.
Makes sense Because they'reafraid of another crash.
Speaker 1 (02:07):
I see so, but
wouldn't building more homes
help?
Speaker 2 (02:10):
In theory, yes, but
then you have things like those
interest rate hikes.
Speaker 1 (02:14):
Right.
Speaker 2 (02:15):
Which makes borrowing
more expensive for everybody.
Speaker 1 (02:17):
For the builders and
the buyers.
Speaker 2 (02:18):
Exactly.
It's like trying to solve thispuzzle, but the pieces keep
changing.
Speaker 1 (02:23):
Right.
Speaker 2 (02:23):
It's tough.
Speaker 1 (02:24):
It's like a moving
target.
Yeah, speaking of navigatingthis tricky real estate market.
Yeah, we've talked before aboutFlowers and Associates.
Speaker 2 (02:33):
Oh yeah, they're
great.
Speaker 1 (02:34):
They specialize in
special needs housing and
property investment.
Speaker 2 (02:38):
Good people.
Speaker 1 (02:38):
If you're looking to
make your money work for you in
real estate, give them a call at901-445-8148.
Speaker 2 (02:46):
Good advice.
Speaker 1 (02:48):
But back to those
rising costs.
Speaker 2 (02:49):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (02:50):
Like I remember when
lumber prices went crazy during
the pandemic.
Oh man it was like if youwanted to build a tree house,
you were spending a fortune.
Speaker 2 (02:58):
I know the pandemic
really messed things up with the
global supply chains and youknow construction materials
really took a hit.
Speaker 1 (03:05):
He did.
Speaker 2 (03:06):
I mean we saw lumber
prices increase by like over 100
percent in some cases.
Speaker 1 (03:11):
Seriously.
Speaker 2 (03:12):
Yeah, and it wasn't
just lumber.
Yeah, it was steel, concrete,like everything got so expensive
.
Speaker 1 (03:17):
Like someone hit the
increase price button.
Speaker 2 (03:20):
Yeah, on everything I
know it was wild.
Speaker 1 (03:22):
Yeah, and then, on
top of that, we had the labor
shortage.
Speaker 2 (03:24):
Yes.
Speaker 1 (03:25):
Which I'm sure didn't
help.
Speaker 2 (03:26):
No, not at all.
The construction industry hasbeen dealing with a labor
shortage for years, and thepandemic just made it worse.
Of course you know, with fewerworkers, wages go up, which
drives up construction costs.
Speaker 1 (03:40):
It's amazing how
interconnected all of this is.
Speaker 2 (03:42):
I know it's like a
domino effect.
Speaker 1 (03:44):
Yeah, it makes you
wonder if there's any way to
break the cycle.
Right, but before we get tothat, let's talk about zoning
laws, yeah, which I think don'tget enough attention.
Speaker 2 (03:53):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (03:53):
They play a big role
in the housing shortage, don't
they?
Speaker 2 (03:56):
Oh, absolutely.
Zoning laws, you know.
They dictate how land can beused.
Right can be used and theyoften have unintended
consequences when it comes tothe housing supply.
So in a lot of cities, zoningfavors single family homes and
it limits denser housing options.
Speaker 1 (04:14):
So like apartments.
Speaker 2 (04:15):
Yeah, apartments,
townhouses, things like that
Interesting.
So it's not just whetherdevelopers want to build more,
it's that sometimes they'rerestricted.
Speaker 1 (04:25):
By these regulations.
Speaker 2 (04:26):
Exactly.
Speaker 1 (04:27):
It's like trying to
solve a traffic jam by making
the roads narrower.
Speaker 2 (04:30):
I like that.
That's a great analogy.
Yeah, it really is, and youknow, it impacts affordability
too.
Speaker 1 (04:35):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (04:36):
Restrictive zoning
laws lead to higher housing
costs, right, and they limit theoptions for people who are
looking for more affordableplaces to live.
Speaker 1 (04:44):
Especially in areas
with high demand.
Speaker 2 (04:46):
Exactly.
Speaker 1 (04:47):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (04:47):
It's a tough
situation all around.
Speaker 1 (04:49):
It really is.
Speaker 2 (04:50):
Yeah yeah, it's a
classic supply and demand issue,
but the regulations just addthis whole other layer of
complexity.
Speaker 1 (04:56):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (04:57):
And then, on top of
all that, you have those
institutional investors.
Have you ever wondered who'sbuying up all those houses?
Speaker 1 (05:04):
I have.
Speaker 2 (05:05):
Often paying cash.
Speaker 1 (05:06):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (05:06):
Driving prices even
higher.
Speaker 1 (05:08):
It feels like regular
people can't compete.
Speaker 2 (05:11):
Right, it's tough out
there.
Speaker 1 (05:12):
So are we talking
about those big investment firms
?
Speaker 2 (05:14):
Exactly.
Speaker 1 (05:15):
Hedge funds and all
that.
Speaker 2 (05:16):
Yeah, hedge funds,
private equity firms, even
pension funds.
Wow, all these big players aregetting into residential real
estate.
Speaker 1 (05:24):
Why are they so
interested in houses?
Speaker 2 (05:26):
Well.
Speaker 1 (05:26):
Is it just about
making a quick buck?
Speaker 2 (05:29):
Profit is definitely
a factor, yeah, but it's not
just that.
So first you have rental income, and as homeownership becomes
less attainable for a lot ofpeople, the demand for rentals
goes up.
Speaker 1 (05:45):
Makes sense, which
makes it a reliable income
stream for these investors, sothey're capitalizing on the very
problem we're talking about.
Speaker 2 (05:49):
In a way yeah.
Speaker 1 (05:50):
Wow.
Speaker 2 (05:51):
And second, real
estate is often seen as a hedge
against inflation.
Speaker 1 (05:55):
Okay, how so?
Speaker 2 (05:56):
As the cost of goods
and services rises, property
values and rents tend to risetoo.
Speaker 1 (06:02):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (06:03):
And that helps
protect their investments from
losing value.
Speaker 1 (06:07):
So it's like a safety
net for them, exactly when
times are uncertain.
Speaker 2 (06:10):
Yeah, and lastly,
real estate is generally
considered a more stableinvestment Compared to Compared
to, like the stock market.
Speaker 1 (06:18):
Okay, that makes
sense.
Speaker 2 (06:19):
Especially during
times of economic volatility.
Speaker 1 (06:22):
So it makes sense for
them.
Speaker 2 (06:23):
Right.
Speaker 1 (06:24):
What about the rest
of us?
Doesn't seem fair.
Speaker 2 (06:28):
It's a valid concern.
Speaker 1 (06:29):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (06:30):
These large scale
purchases by institutional
investors.
Speaker 1 (06:34):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (06:35):
They can definitely
drive up prices Right.
It makes it harder for firsttime buyers.
Speaker 1 (06:41):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (06:41):
And people with
limited resources to compete.
Speaker 1 (06:44):
It's like trying to
play Monopoly.
When one person starts with allthe properties, that's a good
way to put it.
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (06:49):
And there's another
issue too what's that?
When these companies turnsingle family homes into rentals
, it shrinks the pool of homesfor people who want to buy.
Speaker 1 (06:59):
Oh wow.
So not only are they driving upprices, they're limiting our
options too.
Speaker 2 (07:04):
It's a double whammy.
Speaker 1 (07:05):
It feels like we're
in a maze with no way out.
Speaker 2 (07:08):
Well, I wouldn't say
there's no way out.
There are potential solutions,but they require a multifaceted
approach.
And I think the first step isincreasing the housing supply.
Speaker 1 (07:20):
Okay, more houses for
everyone.
Speaker 2 (07:22):
Exactly.
Speaker 1 (07:22):
But how do we do that
?
Speaker 2 (07:24):
Well, one way is to
ease those zoning restrictions,
you know, to allow for moremultifamily housing.
Speaker 1 (07:31):
So like townhouses.
Speaker 2 (07:33):
Townhouses, apartment
complexes, even co-living
spaces.
Speaker 1 (07:37):
I've heard of those.
Speaker 2 (07:38):
Those are becoming
more popular.
Speaker 1 (07:39):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (07:40):
So we need to move
away from those sprawling
suburbs.
Speaker 1 (07:44):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (07:45):
With just single
family homes.
Speaker 1 (07:46):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (07:47):
And embrace more
diverse more diverse and denser
housing options.
Speaker 1 (07:51):
I'm all for that.
Speaker 2 (07:52):
But wouldn't that
make some neighborhoods feel
overcrowded?
Speaker 1 (07:55):
Yeah, that's a good
point.
Speaker 2 (07:56):
It's a valid concern,
but it's all about smart urban
planning, you know, and creatinga mix of housing types that fit
the neighborhood.
That makes sense.
Speaker 1 (08:05):
Yeah, and we also
need to streamline the permit
approval process.
Speaker 2 (08:10):
Oh yeah, I bet that
takes forever.
Speaker 1 (08:11):
It can take forever,
yeah, so if we can speed up
construction, Right, becausetime is money.
Exactly.
Speaker 2 (08:18):
Especially with
construction.
Speaker 1 (08:19):
Yes.
Speaker 2 (08:20):
So are there other
ways to incentivize developers
to build more homes?
Speaker 1 (08:25):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (08:26):
Especially affordable
ones, absolutely Okay.
Speaker 1 (08:28):
So some cities offer
tax breaks Okay or density
bonuses to encourage developersto build affordable units Okay.
Others are exploring innovativefinancing models Okay To make
it easier for developers to getthe money they need Right For
these types of projects.
Speaker 2 (08:43):
That's good.
Speaker 1 (08:43):
Yeah, so there's a
lot of creativity happening.
Speaker 2 (08:46):
That's encouraging.
Yeah so there's a lot ofcreativity happening.
That's encouraging, yeah.
Speaker 1 (08:49):
But what about the
labor shortage?
Speaker 2 (08:50):
Oh, for real.
If we don't have enough skilledworkers, how are we going to
build all these houses?
Speaker 1 (08:54):
That's a great point.
Yeah, we definitely need toaddress that labor shortage.
Speaker 2 (08:58):
So we could invest in
vocational training programs to
give people the skills theyneed to succeed in these jobs
Exactly, and they're good payingjobs.
Speaker 1 (09:08):
That's awesome.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
Yeah, we could also
explore options for skilled
immigration.
Speaker 1 (09:13):
To bring in workers
from other countries.
Speaker 2 (09:15):
Yeah, exactly.
Speaker 1 (09:16):
Okay, so it's about
making the industry more
appealing to a wider range ofpeople.
Speaker 2 (09:21):
Exactly and creating
a pipeline of skilled workers.
Speaker 1 (09:25):
So what about those
institutional investors?
Speaker 2 (09:27):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (09:28):
Is there any way to
kind of regulate their impact?
Speaker 2 (09:30):
It's tricky but, some
cities and states are
considering taxes orrestrictions on corporate home
ownership to prevent them frombuying up too much.
Speaker 1 (09:41):
That seems reasonable
.
Speaker 2 (09:42):
Yeah, the goal is not
to ban them entirely, but to
make sure there's a levelplaying field.
Speaker 1 (09:45):
Right.
Speaker 2 (09:46):
For everyone Exactly
To have a chance.
Yeah, the goal is not to banthem entirely, right, but to
make sure there's a levelplaying field Right For everyone
.
Exactly.
Speaker 1 (09:51):
To have a chance.
Speaker 2 (09:51):
Yeah, and another
idea is to incentivize selling
to owner occupants rather thaninvestors.
Speaker 1 (09:59):
OK, so like giving
tax breaks.
Speaker 2 (10:00):
Yeah, exactly Like
tax breaks for people who are
buying a home to live in.
Speaker 1 (10:04):
Makes sense.
Yeah, it feels like there'sfinally some light at the end of
this tunnel.
Speaker 2 (10:08):
Yeah, it's a step in
the right direction.
Good, but finding the rightbalance is crucial.
You know we need a healthy andequitable housing market.
It's not just about buildingmore homes, yeah, it's about
building the right kinds ofhomes in the right places.
Speaker 1 (10:26):
Okay.
Speaker 2 (10:26):
And making sure
everybody has a fair chance.
I like that To access them.
Speaker 1 (10:31):
That's really good.
So, this is a complex issue.
Speaker 2 (10:34):
It is.
Speaker 1 (10:35):
But it's really
exciting to see so many
solutions.
I agree being explored.
Speaker 2 (10:40):
It feels like we have
an opportunity to create a more
inclusive and sustainablehousing market for the future.
Speaker 1 (10:49):
Absolutely, and the
more we understand this stuff,
the better equipped we are tomake a change.
Speaker 2 (10:55):
Exactly.
Speaker 1 (10:55):
And advocate for
things.
Speaker 2 (10:57):
Advocate for change.
Yeah, in our own communities,exactly.
Speaker 1 (11:00):
Yeah, it really shows
how this affects everything.
Speaker 2 (11:03):
It does.
It's not just about finding aplace to live Right.
It impacts the whole economy,our communities.
Speaker 1 (11:08):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (11:09):
Even things like
social mobility.
Speaker 1 (11:11):
So it's about having
a good quality of life, yeah,
and like the freedom to go afteryour dreams.
Speaker 2 (11:15):
Exactly when housing
costs are high.
It just puts a strain oneverybody's budget.
Speaker 1 (11:20):
Makes sense.
Speaker 2 (11:21):
And that means less
money for other things you need
like health care or education,or just enjoying life.
Exactly, and it can stop peoplefrom moving to places with
better jobs.
Speaker 1 (11:33):
Or better schools.
Speaker 2 (11:34):
Exactly.
Speaker 1 (11:35):
It's like you're
stuck, even if you want
something better.
Speaker 2 (11:38):
And when there's not
enough affordable housing, it
really hurts lower incomefamilies and individuals.
Speaker 1 (11:45):
Makes it harder to
get ahead.
Yeah, it does, it's likehousing should be a basic need.
Speaker 2 (11:50):
It should be.
Speaker 1 (11:51):
Not just something
you buy and sell.
Speaker 2 (11:52):
I agree.
Speaker 1 (11:53):
So what role do you
think technology will play in
the future of housing?
Speaker 2 (11:57):
Well, we're already
seeing technology change the
real estate industry.
Like those online platformsconnecting buyers and sellers.
Virtual tours.
Speaker 1 (12:07):
I love those.
Speaker 2 (12:07):
Yeah, you can view
properties from anywhere.
Speaker 1 (12:10):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (12:10):
And even AI powered
tools Right, helping us figure
out property values.
Speaker 1 (12:15):
I even heard about 3D
printed houses.
Speaker 2 (12:17):
That's right.
Speaker 1 (12:19):
Is that for real?
It is.
Speaker 2 (12:20):
That's crazy, and who
knows what's next.
Speaker 1 (12:22):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (12:23):
Things like modular
construction could totally
change how we build.
What's that?
That's where you build thehomes off site in a factory.
Oh and then you put themtogether on location.
Speaker 1 (12:34):
That's interesting.
Speaker 2 (12:34):
Yeah, it could be, a
game changer.
Speaker 1 (12:36):
So it sounds like
we're on the edge of a housing
revolution.
Speaker 2 (12:38):
It does feel that way
.
Speaker 1 (12:40):
But how do we make
sure this technology helps
everyone helps everyone.
That's the big question.
Speaker 2 (12:49):
Yeah, technology can
be used for good or bad.
We have to be careful andsupport policies that make sure
everyone benefits.
Speaker 1 (12:53):
So it's not just
about having the technology,
it's about using it the rightway.
Speaker 2 (12:57):
Exactly For the right
reasons.
It's about empowering people.
Speaker 1 (13:01):
Yeah.
Speaker 2 (13:01):
Not leaving them
behind.
Speaker 1 (13:03):
We've talked about a
lot today.
Speaker 2 (13:05):
We have.
Speaker 1 (13:05):
From the history of
the housing shortage to all the
factors causing it.
Speaker 2 (13:10):
Yes.
Speaker 1 (13:11):
And some really cool
solutions.
Speaker 2 (13:12):
There are some
promising ideas out there.
Speaker 1 (13:14):
It's not a simple
issue.
Speaker 2 (13:16):
No, it's not.
Speaker 1 (13:16):
But I think we
understand it a lot better now.
Speaker 2 (13:19):
I agree.
Speaker 1 (13:20):
And I hope our
listeners feel like they can do
something to make a difference,it's important to be informed.
Yeah, the more we know, thebetter we can navigate this
market and advocate for a systemthat works for everybody.
Speaker 2 (13:33):
That's the goal.
Speaker 1 (13:34):
And don't forget,
there are resources out there to
help Right If you're lookingfor specialized housing,
especially for special needs, orif you're interested in
property investment.
Our friends at FlowersAssociates are the experts.
Speaker 2 (13:48):
They are.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
You can give them a
call at 901-445-8148.
Great people, and for those ofyou who want to stay out of the
curve and learn about howtechnology is shaping real
estate, robert Flowers has a newbook out.
Speaker 2 (14:03):
I heard good things
about that.
Speaker 1 (14:05):
It's called AI
Strategies for Real Estate
Entrepreneurs.
Speaker 2 (14:08):
Catchy title.
Speaker 1 (14:09):
And it's available on
Amazon.
Check it out.
It's a great resource.
Speaker 2 (14:12):
It is.
Speaker 1 (14:12):
Well, this has been a
fascinating deep dive it has
Into the world of housing.
Definitely I hope you learnedsomething new today.
Speaker 2 (14:18):
Me too.
Speaker 1 (14:19):
And feel ready to
join the conversation.
Speaker 2 (14:21):
It's an important one
.