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September 30, 2025 50 mins
  • Two thirds of American workers are now living paycheck to paycheck.
    • And job prospects are the lowest in at least 12 years.
  • Kellogg’s has had a long history and the company split into two separate businesses a couple of years ago.
    • Now both of those businesses will be taken over by private companies.
      • Sales for both are very weak.
  • Lennar is one of America’s largest home builders.
    • Its home prices are now down over 20% from peak.
      • And down from pre-COVID.
  • Core inflation in Canada remains elevated.
  • In Financial Ructions:
    • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent pens a particularly scathing article about the US Federal Reserve.
      • And I agree with virtually all of it.
    • Canada’s monetary base exploded higher during COVID and we’re still paying the consequences.
    • Deficits do matter:
      • As Japan is now finding out.
    • Reverse repo is now drained.
      • And will no longer be a source of liquidity for the market.
  • In our book review of Taxes Have Consequences:
    • We see that local and state governments were the worst tax perpetrators during the Great Depression.
    • And the authors expose the myth of the Keynesian multiplier.
      • And how consumers did not benefit from soaring GDP during World War II.


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