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November 10, 2025 41 mins
  • Manufacturing in the US has been contracting for most of the last three years.
  • Chipotle has a younger customer base that is struggling economically and thus eating at home more often.
    • Its share price is down 47% this year.
  • Starbucks comparable sales finally turn positive – just.
  • Introducing the PM Loser Index.
  • McDonald’s sales tick down a bit but still in positive territory.
    • Traffic from low-income consumers was down almost 10%.
      • Inflation pressuring margins but profitability still rose.
  • Clorox sales are down.
    • And consumers across all income groups are trading down to lower cost/better value items.
  • Diamonds are a man’s best friend?
  • Kimberly-Clark sales ticks down but still in positive territory – just.
    • And they announce the acquisition of Kenvue (the consumer health company that Johnson & Johnson spun-off).
      • My thoughts on why they bought it.
  • Tyson Food’s beef division is steadily increasing beef prices, but continues to lose a considerable amount of money.
    • Consumers seem to be switching from beef to chicken.
    • And a look back.
  • In Financial Ructions:
    • We look at a WSJ article from February of 2008 by the late Martin Feldstein.
      • And how he saw well before others that the US was in recession.
        • And why the downturn would be more severe and last longer than previous recessions.
    • And some similarities to today’s situation.
  • Book Review
    • We continue Chapter 10 of Where Keynes Went Wrong by Hunter Lewis.
      • We find that Keynes believes that interest rates should be driven to near zero and kept there.
        • HL and I explain why this is really bad for the economy.


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