November 4, 2024 • 34 mins
On the Early Edition with Ryan Bridge Full Show Podcast for Tuesday 5th of November, it's Election Eve in the United States, so what's happening in the critical swing states, and has a new poll put Iowa back in play? Herald Deputy Political Editor Thomas Coughlan joined live from the swing state of North Carolina.
New government maths tutoring is on the way for students falling behind – how will it work and are schools expecting to see positive results? Remuera Intermediate School Principal Kyle Brewerton gives his thoughts.
Kiwis are open to alternative paths to home ownership, according to a new Kiwibank report. Sam Stubbs talks through the options.
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
The issues, the interviews and the inside. Ryan Bridge new
for twenty twenty four on the early edition with Smith City,
New Zealand's furniture vans and a playing store.
Speaker 2 (00:14):
News Talk sa'd be good morning, New Zealand. It is
six half to five year old. News Talk said b
coming up this morning. Right now, Donald Trump is speaking
at a rally in North Carolina and Thomas Coglan is there.
He's with us just before six donnod de Mayo on
who's going to win the Melbourne Cup. Today we will
look at the catch up classes supposedly going to fix
our students' maths results. Will they Plus do you need
(00:37):
a house to get ahead? In New Zealand? We've got
the survey results for you too.
Speaker 1 (00:43):
The agenda.
Speaker 2 (00:44):
It is Tuesday, the fifth of November. Welcome to the show.
Ten people have died in our volcanic eruption. This is
in eastern Indonesia. They're watching in Australia the airspace closely
to see if any flights might be affected. Rocks and
lava hit a village full killing me is away from
the crater. Indonesia's Disaster Release Agency says it's possible that
(01:06):
flash flooding and cold lava flows in the days ahead
are possible. A fifty eight day state of emergency has
been declared in Spain. They just can't catch a break.
Fifty flights have been diverted from Barcelona following a red
alert where they're warning just days after severe flooding in Valencia.
Speaker 3 (01:22):
Red alert has been issued by the Meteorological Office and
there is torrential rain right now. This has affected Barcelona
Airport with flights being diverted. It's affecting rail travel with
several rail lines down at the moment. Is also affecting roads.
Speaker 2 (01:41):
Here's what to watch today. The Aussies are expecting a
Reserve Bank decision on the OCR It's likely to hold.
Banks are predicting it won't be large to twenty twenty five.
Currently they're at four point three five percent. Inflation is
still a problem here. Tomorrow, our quarter three labor market
data is out. You'll probably see another rise in unemployment
from four point six per cent in quarter two to
around the five percent mark for quarter three. That would mean,
(02:04):
if you listen to the economists, probably a fifty basis
point cut to the interest rate here on November twenty
seven to get that seventy five basis point cut that
everyone wants. You'd have to see employment head around five
and a half percent. Also tomorrow, I'll be hosting The
Herald's live election coverage from four pm. You can go
to the Herald homepage. You'll see a TV screen live
(02:25):
streaming at the top of the page and you can
watch it. Then. We are not going We're running.
Speaker 4 (02:32):
Against something far bigger than Joe or Kama.
Speaker 5 (02:36):
They are indeed the enemy from within.
Speaker 2 (02:38):
You'll see analysis from Thomas cognan on the ground, Mitch McCann,
ex trade negotiator, Charles Finny, political experts Trishus and Jose
mcganney will be at the US ambassador's party, plus all
the numbers in any action via our partner broadcasters out
of the States. News Talk ZB of course has live
coverage throughout the day too. Heather, We'll be on here
as usual during drive tomorrow. Now TOIA, they have banned
(03:01):
the importation of private petrol powered vehicles in part due
to soaring petrol prices. You're only now allowed to buy evs.
Speaker 4 (03:11):
To avoid environmental pollution, a zulus for their country's economic benefits.
The Electric Cause Policy is signed to me, it isntly
what an electric cup and the continue me thoughts on
electric CAUs have changed for the better.
Speaker 2 (03:24):
Only problem with that Ethiopia has serious issues providing consistent
power supply to its capital city and spare ev parts
are hard to get.
Speaker 1 (03:35):
The news you need this morning and the in depth
analysis early edition with Ryan Bridge and Swift City, New
Zealand's furniture beds and applying store news talks it'd.
Speaker 2 (03:45):
Be in the United States this morning, the dollar is
down point six of a percent, not a huge drop.
It's the lowest level in two weeks, but it tells
the story, and it tells the story of the strength
of the dollar in the US. So Donald Trump, obvious,
people think he well, people have thought he was sort
of a chewing to get into the White House, not
necessarily a chowin, but that it was more likely than
(04:08):
not that he would get into the White House. And obviously,
with his trade policies Trump trade as they call it,
Republican policies would push up inflation in the United States
and that would force the Federal Reserve to hike interest
rates again, which have been higher returns on US assets,
which would then make the dollar more attractive right now
(04:28):
because the Poles have started to some Poles have started
to turn a little bit in Harris's favor, with the
Poles shifting slightly towards Harris. That strength in the news
in the American dollar is coming off a bit. So
it's down point six overnight last night. That's the news
that's hiten just now. Also, what I find interesting about
the whole US election thing is this polster herding issue.
(04:53):
Have listened to Alex Costellonis. He is a respected pole strategist.
He campaigned for Bush and for rom but he set
up a bipartisan comms firm. This is what he says
about the fact that all the Poles seem to show
kind of the same thing.
Speaker 6 (05:08):
We're all missing something because they're giving us the same
poll over and over again. There isn't even statistical variation.
You know, ninety five percent confidence level means that five
percent of the time you're going to get a crappy poll.
We hardly ever see that. It's like they're telling us
we're watching a basketball game. Wherever he plays a jump ball,
(05:28):
somebody is missing something.
Speaker 2 (05:30):
Now, did we see that in Iowa yesterday? This an
outlier of a poll was that a rogue pole? Well,
I guess we'll have to wait and see. Not long now. However,
what is interesting is and what this will come down to,
is how much these Republicans and Democrats can get their
base out to vote versus where those independents are going.
(05:51):
Who are they breaking for? Is it for Harris or
is it for Trump? We'll ask Thomas Coglan about that.
He's on the show just before six, which.
Speaker 3 (06:01):
Nothing of you and looking.
Speaker 2 (06:05):
Sounds like a good idea giving students who aren't performing
in maths and extratuition. Is it going to work? We'll
look at that. Next News Talk, zaid B. It is
twelve after five.
Speaker 7 (06:16):
Gotta green, run into my body.
Speaker 2 (06:19):
Got a hord.
Speaker 1 (06:22):
Get ahead of the headlines, Ryan Bridge, you for twenty
twenty four on early edition with Smith City, New Zealand's
furniture beds and a playing store.
Speaker 2 (06:31):
News Talk sied B just gone fourteen after five year
on news Talk said, be a text from one of
our listeners this morning, Ryan, all the wailing from the
wet left over when he attending the Melbourne Cup. At
least he's not wandering across the stage at the World
of Wearable Arts he's there doing other stuff too. He's
meeting with the Australia has Australian counterparts, but also he's
(06:51):
meeting with his Indian counterparts, his peers from the Indian
government who were there as well. I'm probably all going
to the Melbourne Cup and I met. But I mean
that's part of the job, isn't it. A quarter past five,
The government's playing catch up on student maths failures, trialing
a targeted math program to help intermediate students. From term
(07:12):
one next year two thousand, year seven and eight students
will be part of an intensive program to get them
up to speed with the required curriculum level. The kids
will get thirty minutes extra online tuition for up to
four times a week. Kyle Brewerton is the Remuerra Intermediate
School principal. He's with us this morning, Kyl, Good morning,
Good morning, Ryan, Thanks for being with me. Will this
(07:34):
make a difference.
Speaker 8 (07:37):
Well, that's what we'll find out. That's while we're doing
the trial. The approach has some merit. Using those online
tools they're very efficient generally at finding out where potentially
those gaps are. But having the human element as well
connected with it, I think, you know, the combination of
the two should certainly go some ways to help those
kids who we've found to be lacking.
Speaker 2 (07:59):
How many of your kids are lacking?
Speaker 8 (08:02):
They're not many. We're pretty pretty lucky where we are,
but certainly nationally we know that there's a substantial number
of kids who definitely need some extra help at the moment.
Speaker 2 (08:11):
What does it what makes the difference for your kids?
Is it the fact they're getting a reinforced at home.
Speaker 8 (08:19):
There's a host of different factors. We certainly, I mean
in our own school, we know that the gains that
they make when they're with us are pretty spectacular. We
know we have some great programs, we have some great teachers.
We also use some of those online tools. It's just
a combination of things.
Speaker 5 (08:36):
Really.
Speaker 2 (08:36):
Is it a real teacher doing a lesson in this
half hour online or is it like a multi choice
of questions and stuff.
Speaker 8 (08:45):
Yes, again, it's a combination of the two.
Speaker 5 (08:48):
Really.
Speaker 8 (08:48):
So the software atself, as I said, is pretty good
at finding out where those gaps are and then giving
some sort of tuition, some guidance, some examples, but then
having also a teacher, or at least the trains teacher
ade alongside them helping them to understand that makes sense
of what it is that perhaps those gaps that they
(09:09):
might have to explain some of those concepts because maths
can be a little bit ambiguous at times, a little
bit abstract. So the human element combined with those software,
particularly the ones that do, as I say, find those gaps,
it's a powerful combination.
Speaker 2 (09:26):
The testing that goes on. How often are you testing
at the moment your intermediate students for maths?
Speaker 8 (09:35):
Yeah, so there's two parts, and I mean we tend
to sort of focus on the assessment piece, but the
testing is used largely to look at those big trends.
So we'll do that twice a year to see how
overall how our kids are tracking, how particular groups are
tracking over the two years with us. But then we
also as we move through the different parts of maths,
(09:56):
we'll do some little assessments. We're also obviously watching and
sitting alongside them the whole time, just seeing who's understanding
and who's not, and what sort of extra support might
be needed as we go.
Speaker 2 (10:07):
Do you do that more than other schools? Because the
government's make from next year it'll be at least two
assessments per year for math. Are others not doing that?
Speaker 8 (10:18):
Well, that's what we've been told, but I certainly can't
speak for other schools, certainly the schools around me and
people I talk to. It's a pretty standard approach because
you know, you want to do it a couple of
times a year just to see as I see those trends,
that movement, that progress, and also make sure you're catching
those ones who aren't keeping up.
Speaker 2 (10:37):
Thanks so much for your time, Kyle. Great to have
you on the show. Kyl Bruce and the Auckland Primary Sorry,
who is the Remuer Intermediate School Principal? It is eighteen
after five. You're on News Talk, said B on.
Speaker 1 (10:49):
Your radio and online on iHeartRadio Early edition with Ryan
Bridge and SMIT City, New Zealand's Furniture Beds and a
Playing Store News Talk Zaid B.
Speaker 2 (10:59):
Simons numbers out as well. This is about the swing states.
So for Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin for early voting, they
don't break it down by party affiliation, but they do
for others. In Arizona, for example, they can tell you
that of the early votes that have been cast, the
Democrats have got seven hundred and thirty six thousand odd
Republicans nine hundred and twenty four odd thousand, so Republicans
(11:21):
more Republicans getting out early. In Arizona, Nevada, the same thing,
Republicans four hundred and seven thousand, the Dems three hundred
and sixty four. North Carolina, it's neck and neck about
one point four million each and interestingly unaffiliated. That's your independence.
Who are they voting for? There's one point four million
of them and votes still to be counted. In Pennsylvania
(11:43):
obviously the king of the swings the early votes so far,
the Dems are ahead there nine hundred and ninety thousand
to the Republicans five hundred and eighty three. It is
twenty two after five.
Speaker 1 (11:55):
Bryan Bridge.
Speaker 2 (11:56):
We've had some insight into home ownership, a new report
from Kiwibank revealing eight five percent of us think that
owning a home is important, and two out of three
of us think it's essential to getting ahead. In New Zealand,
two thirds of non homeowners feel lockdown of the market
and almost half are open to exploring other ways to
get onto it. Sam Stubbs is these simplicity founderies with
(12:17):
us this morning. Sam, Good morning, Good morning, Ryan. Big
issue here is obviously saving for a deposit cost a
living crisis makes that very hard. How do you get
over that barrier? I mean, do we just have to
wait until wages go up again? Yeah?
Speaker 5 (12:33):
Look, it's super hard, isn't it. I Mean, an awful
lot of people are now using kiwisaver as they're effectively
their first home deposit vehicle, right and it's pretty well
pretty well sorted for that because you put some money in,
your employer put some money in, and you can't otherwise
touch it really until then. So that's that's working out
to be useful. But the problem is, as you say,
(12:55):
even deposits are a very large sum of money, so
it takes a long time to be saved that So yeah,
I mean, you're absolutely right. Either wages have to go
up or taxes have to go down, or effectively we
have to spend less on living and save more via
a Kiwi saver. It's probably going to be a combination
of all those three things over the years, but it's
absolutely tough. You're right. You know. The really interesting number
(13:17):
for me, Ryan is that back in nineteen eighty about
eighty two percent of New Zealand. New Zealand has owned
their own home. Now it's about sixty two percent. So
since nineteen eighty we've had about twenty percent of New
Zealanders that basically had had to rent because they couldn't
have to buy their home. So owning your own home
is the Kiwi dream is just becoming harder.
Speaker 2 (13:38):
I thought the interesting thing here was sixty six percent
of us say yes, you do need to own a
home in New Zealand in order to get ahead, which means,
I mean there's still a good chunk who don't think that,
that believe you can get ahead through other means.
Speaker 5 (13:52):
Oh. Absolutely. You know, you've got the share market, you've
got Kiwi Saver, you've got investing in your own business.
There's a whole lot of other ways to make money.
And of course, you know, if you look at countries
like Germany, right, you know, more than fifty percent of
the population rent, and they rent because they can rent
very long term. I met a family in Berlin years
ago who's I think up to their fifth generation of
(14:13):
renting in the same home, and because they had rights
as renters, they could live there as of right. You know,
they basically couldn't be kicked out the apartment, couldn't be
sold from underneath them. They thought renting was perfectly reasonable
and they'd use the extra money to invest in other stuff.
So it's certainly not the only option, and I think
too of course, remember Ian is you've got a whole
lot of younger people who are moving around a lot
(14:34):
more right now. They don't necessarily buy into the dream
of buying a home and living in the same city
or town. You've got a whole lot of older people
too who say, you know what, I'd rather actually sell
the house, free up the money rent so I can
spend it on other stuff that I want in my
elder years, as long as I have housing security. So
that's the issue. Once you provide people with security, they
(14:57):
know they can stay there as long as they want.
Find a whole lot of people saying I don't really
mind whether I own own or rent. The other thing too,
of course, is that we've lived in the last thirty
years right in the world where house prices have kept
on going up. So there's this is some and we've
had we've had a tax system which is incentivized people
to buy houses because those gains are tax free, whereas
(15:19):
if you know, in theory, if you're stuck it in
the share market as a trader, or here we save it,
you pay taxes. Now is that going to carry on?
You know? I mean houses have become so unaffordable, there
has to be a point at which the house prices
stop rising as fast as they have in the past,
So maybe it won't be quite as good an investment
as it used to be.
Speaker 2 (15:39):
Yeah, I agree with you there, Sam, I just I mean,
and you look at those reports from Treasury and the
like that say, well and the Tax Working Group that
adding a capital gains tax isn't necessarily going to bring
those prices down. But I take your point. Sam. Thank
you very much for coming on the show. Always appreciate it.
Sam Stubbs, Simplicity Founder. It's twenty six after five News
Talk said Big the early.
Speaker 1 (15:59):
Edition Fullso podcast on iHeartRadio, Power It by News.
Speaker 2 (16:03):
Talks v It is twenty eight after five year on
News Talk Zaib. The youth Court is a good idea
in theory because it tries to steer kids away from
an adult prison and the life of crime. But when
it fails, it fails spectacularly and we all paid the
price for its leniency. Take the teenager at Dante Eden.
For example, when he was sixteen, he bashed a seventy
(16:24):
eight year old man nearly to death while the old
guy slept in his bed. The judge gave him a
warning and told him to keep out of trouble. If
that's not lenient, I don't know what it is. Did
he say, out of trouble? No stuff? Reports? Three months
later he robbed a bloke in Wellington, stole from a
petrol station and resisted arrest by the cops. Now he's eighteen,
he'll be dealt with by the same judge, but in
a district court, not a youth court. I'm all for
(16:46):
second chances and the youth court in some cases, but
surely if you beat nearly to death an old man
in his bed in such a brutal fashion, there's nothing
particularly youthful about your actions. You're not acting like a
youth who's made a wee mistake and need to hand
turning things around. You acted like a thug and more
should be done to stop another crime from being committed.
This guy was seen running from the old man's house
(17:07):
with a crowbar, for goodness sakes, so the judge in
these new charges has given him home detention for the
second round offending. So you can beat an old man,
mug another, rip off a gas station and fight with
the cops and never see the inside of a cell.
Keeping him out of jail might be better for him
(17:28):
in the long term, we're told, but is it better
for us the public walking down the street or god forbid,
sleeping in our own beds? At night?
Speaker 1 (17:41):
News and Views you trust to start your day, It's
early edition with Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's
furniture Beds and a flying store.
Speaker 2 (17:49):
News Talk saidy, good morning, New Zealand. It is twenty
four to six. Welcome to your Tuesday, I for you're
just joining us. Dono demayo out of Australia in just
a few moments time. Melbourne cup on today obviously the
umpire that dressed up as though Sama bin Laden. Thomas
(18:10):
Coglin is in North Carolina, the swing state for us.
This morning, we'll get all the latest on the campaign
China watching that campaign too, and then analysts watching China
watching the American campaign, and we're expecting big things. They
were expecting a bazooka stimulus announcement out of China. This
is because they anticipated that Beijing was moving its announcement
(18:33):
about a stimulus till after the election, waiting to see
who got in and how big the stimulus might need
to be because obviously they've got an economic downturn, which
affects all of us because we trade so much with them.
Sarah was saying, oh, licking their lips, going well, then
waiting till the election's over, and then they're going to
announce the stimulus. And if Trump gets and it's going
to be a giant stimulus. Apparently it's a one moment.
They just moved the announcement because of DeLay's scheduling delays
(18:57):
with some legislative meetings that are going on. So that's boring.
It has just gone twenty three minutes away from six
year on news talks here'd be legendary music producer Quincy
Jones has passed away at the age of ninety one.
Have listened to how he talks about the job he loved.
Speaker 1 (19:15):
I like to think about the studio as a place
that's real sacred, you know, where magical things happen. Hopefully, No,
that's what great breakfasts are supposed to be about.
Speaker 2 (19:23):
And they did. Michael Jackson, Frank Sinatra, you name it.
He produced the thriller album. He took fly Me to
the Moon from a waltz to a swing, which is
obviously instrumental in making it successful. Ninety one years old
died peacefully at home, Ryan Bridge. It's time to go
to our reporters around the country and we start in
Dunedin this morning. Good morning to Culum. Have we got
(19:50):
Colum on the line? I don't believe we do. We
will get to Cullum in just a second. Colum's going
to talk to us about the save our Southern Hospital campaign.
It's apparently heading north. Culumn, you're there morning, you got
me there? Good morning, I've got you just find so
how far north are we going with this campaign?
Speaker 9 (20:07):
Well, it's this campaign hits the capital tomorrow. Cliff the
protest Ambulance is en route to Wellington to deliver this
petition calling on the government to reverse its cuts to
the city's hospitals.
Speaker 2 (20:20):
To drive up.
Speaker 9 (20:21):
To the steps of Parliament about twelve thirty tomorrow along
with the delegation including all of our local mayors here
and a member of the New Zealand Nurses organization. This
protest ambulance has already driven around the South gaining support
for the protest. Me Jill's Radick says, there's been a
lot of interest even from people outside of the Southern
region who care about this government's decision. How's your weather, cloudy,
(20:44):
chance of an afternoon or evening shower southerly is developing
and seventeen today, no.
Speaker 2 (20:48):
One, thank you, Clise Sherewards and Christy, it's this morning clear.
The Garden City is cementing its position as the events
capital of New Zealand. Now is that just propaganda from you?
No way, Ryan, you.
Speaker 10 (20:58):
Bet And it's nice to have a positive store glory
for once. We've got more than one hundred thousand people
expected in christ Church this month across one hundred and
fifty three events. That's at a range of different venues.
It's certainly a different story from those early post quake days.
We've got around forty three thousand people to set foot
at Wolfbrook Arena in November. That's seven events, ranging from
(21:20):
the Crowded House Tour to Hosier Of course. Venus Auto
Tahi Chief executive Caroline Harvey Tear is very excited about it.
She says they're going to see a strong demand for
events in the city for a long time from now.
She says, it's a great platform for what's to come,
and we've got plenty of new infrastructure.
Speaker 2 (21:36):
On the way as well.
Speaker 10 (21:37):
Of course the new stadium Takaha not far off.
Speaker 2 (21:39):
Yeah, I'm looking forward to that opening. How's your weather clear?
Speaker 10 (21:42):
Scattered rain about this morning, will ease though to one
or two showers north of east turning southerly and the
high as eighteen.
Speaker 2 (21:49):
Thank you, Max Tolsan Wellington. The fate of these two
cats in that vet fire? Max? What do we know?
Speaker 11 (21:54):
Yeah, so there was a fire in Kilberni at the
two story cave That's clinic early Sunday morning. Two cats
have been found, two are missing. Four apparently seemed to
escape at the time of the fire. All the other
animals were able to be rescued, but these four cats
ran away, it seems. Owner Nick Cooper says he still
(22:16):
doesn't know exactly if one or two may have died
in the fire, but they are looking for the two
that are missing. Some humane cat traps have been set
up around the clinic to catch them. What's new is
we may know the cause of the fire, and it's
quite sad. A tenant above their building. Had seemed to
be smoking on their deck through their cigarette but over
the railing and into some foliage.
Speaker 2 (22:37):
And that's it.
Speaker 11 (22:38):
That's the end of the vets.
Speaker 2 (22:39):
Gosh, wow, what do you do? I guess it. How's
your wither? Hopefully raining?
Speaker 11 (22:46):
Well it is overcast with periods of rain around midday,
strong northerly seventeen in the city.
Speaker 2 (22:52):
Thank you Neivas and Augland this morning and Neva, good morning.
Speaker 12 (22:55):
Good morning. Let's go on and oh well tell you.
They going to have their say fung on what public
transport options that they would like to coincide with this
new highway. So we know that the pen Link it's
going to be seven kilometers highway is due in late
twenty twenty six and it's going to apparently create a
quicker route between the peninsula and into the central city.
(23:17):
So Auckland Transports consulting on three options. One that would
see the current bus and ferries services run more often,
there's what they're saying. The other two options and see
additional services created. But what eight is going to do.
For now, They're going to hold five drop in sessions.
This is over the month of November this month, and
then'll give people a chance to, you know, talk to
the project team one on one and give their views.
Speaker 2 (23:39):
Did they say which mode of transport will give the
quicker route?
Speaker 7 (23:43):
No, they didn't.
Speaker 2 (23:44):
Because I'm assuming they'd be like one of those bus
lanes that you know happen.
Speaker 12 (23:48):
Ye, I think, because wouldn't be one of the fairies.
What it's going to be a busy week. You're going
to be busy lot. We've got Guy Fawkes tonight we
do Melbourne Cut the UI selection and you are going
to be doing the Hero.
Speaker 2 (24:04):
Herald coverage tomorrow at four pm. Yes, which would be good.
People can tune in on the Herald website lovely.
Speaker 12 (24:10):
But you're right, well you have a pillow and blanket
because then you're going to be on your show on
early edition the next morning.
Speaker 2 (24:15):
It depends how late we go with that Herald live coverage.
I don't know at this point with it.
Speaker 12 (24:21):
I think you might go late because it's going to
be so close.
Speaker 2 (24:23):
Yeah, we'll be close and things. It may take days,
it may take weeks till we find out a result.
So the live stream could go on a very long time.
Speaker 12 (24:30):
Because Tuesday morning we're coming in an hour earlier because
we're going to be doing live bulletins for four aears.
I'll be here. I might be here before you, or
if I am and you're sleeping under your disk, I
can wake you up.
Speaker 2 (24:42):
I can wake you up at three. How's the weather today?
Speaker 12 (24:44):
Partly clouding?
Speaker 2 (24:44):
Nineteen it's the high brilliant neither thank you seventeen to
six News Talk ZB We're live to North Carolina in
just a few moments. Plus Donald May out.
Speaker 1 (24:52):
Of Australia International correspondence with ends and eye insurance, peace
of mind for New Zealand business.
Speaker 2 (25:00):
Fourteen to sex News Talk said, be Dona Jamayo is
our Australia correspondent, Dona the Melbourne Cup? Who should we well?
Who do we want in our sweepsteak at the office here?
Speaker 13 (25:09):
Oh?
Speaker 7 (25:10):
Oh, such a good question. I did my research. There's
three New Zealand horses. One of them has my lucky
number twenty four. So there's trusting you. There's positivity and
sharp and smart if you want to back a New
Zealand horse. But as you know, do you know how
much the prize money is for if you win the
Melbourne Cup?
Speaker 2 (25:28):
I don't. What is that?
Speaker 7 (25:29):
It's nearly five million dollars, So that's that's not that's
a pretty penny, right. It's going to be run for
the one hundred and sixty fourth time this year. There
are four women trying to join Michelle Payne, who nine
years ago became the first female jockey to ever win
the Melbourne Cup. So we have Jamie Carr, we have
(25:50):
Rachel King, Wenona Costa and Holly Doyle. So you could
possibly want to back a female jockey for a change,
a quirky reason to you know, find a back there
or someone tore back there. And then we've got a
little bit of celebrity at the track today. We have
Liz Hurley coming to Flemington to check out the races.
(26:10):
We also have Nicky Hilton and Sir Bob Geldoff is
a late addition.
Speaker 2 (26:16):
And they couldn't get Paris Hilton. They just stuck with
Nicky instead of the B team, isn't it. But I
tell you what, Liz Hurley always looks great, doesn't she.
Speaker 7 (26:26):
Oh look, everyone's going to be looking at what everyone's wearing,
but particularly Liz Hurley. I do agree. And the person
that's singing the national anthem, I thought this was a
lovely touch. The granddaughter of Sir Donald Bradman will be
singing the Australian National anthem at Flemington just before the
big race, which I thought was a lovely touch.
Speaker 2 (26:42):
Hey very quickly. The leading football umpire that's been forced
to apologize for wearing a controversial fancy dress costume. What
was the costume? Oh gosh?
Speaker 7 (26:52):
The theme for this end of season gathering was characters
from the two thousands? How many people could he chosen from?
What does he do? He dressed up as a sam
I've bin laden? Oh my goodness me. The costume has
been deemed inappropriate, offensive and in portaste and the afl
umpire has been forced to well. He has apologized. He
(27:15):
says it was an error of judgment and never intended
to offend. He has been subsequently suspended for a short period.
Speaker 2 (27:22):
When will they learn? Thank you so much for that?
Donna Donald to Moore Australia corresponded twelve away from six Bridge. Right,
it's election day tomorrow. Everyone is excited? Well is everyone excited?
I suppose people are highly anticipating the result of the election.
That's a fair way to put it. Thomas Cognan is
the New Zealand Herald, deputy political editor. He is in Pennsylvania,
(27:43):
Pennsylvania as the king of the swings, So what's his
pick for what is going to happen. We'll go to
IM Live now. Hey Thomas, Hey Lauren Ryan, good to
have you on the show. What are you feeling? What's
the vibe?
Speaker 13 (27:56):
The vibe changes wherever I go. I've been asking myself
question since I got here. I was in North Carolina
a couple of days ago and it was feeling very
kind of trumpy. I'm in downtown Philadelphia at the moment,
that's that's always going to be pretty hars so, and
it does feel like that. And then I was in
the suburbs of Philadelphia a couple of days before that,
and that was feeling a.
Speaker 5 (28:15):
Bit of a mix.
Speaker 13 (28:16):
And all the poles are saying it's incredibly close, and
it honestly feels that way here. It feels like there
is no convincing lead right as side.
Speaker 2 (28:25):
What about this idea of polster herding? Is there any
truth in this idea where the posters are all waiting
their outcomes to be roughly the same, because it does
seem odd that every pole pretty much, I mean, you
have that Iowa won the outliner the other day. But
every pole pretty much has the neck and neck. Shouldn't
we have more rows?
Speaker 13 (28:42):
So you mentioned that Iowa way, Yeah, yeah, you mentioned that.
I think they are Trump by three points. And it's
a new like, it's a very it's not just any poles.
That's one that's been very young. The money for presidents
there is got it wrong. The last three elections, two
(29:04):
presidential elections and then the last mini elections are quite wrong.
They have been looking at the methodologies to improve them,
and in doing so there is a convincing em to
be made that they might be overdating Donald Trump's argument
on chances. We won't know the answers of that until
the results are counted, but that actually does seem like
(29:26):
a very kind of potential potential out kind of what's
going on here, just because it is really quite weird
that all these poles are clustering, and they had hundreds
of poles over here, Ryan, not like every day.
Speaker 2 (29:39):
We have the well we pretty much have till bought
mills and the Taxpayers Union doing us proud exactly. Hey,
what about the Houses of Congress? So who's going to
get the Senate? Who's going to get the because there
was talk that Republicans will definitely keep the Senate. Do
you think that'll happen?
Speaker 13 (30:00):
It looks like a toss up at the moment. So
there are half a dozen races. I mean, in Pennsylvania
at the moment, they've got quite a contenditive centate race.
So it honestly, they could be they could be split.
They could all go one way, they could all the
other way. Again, I'm not sure. Again, it's too close
to all.
Speaker 2 (30:20):
How much of this do you think will come down
to the you know, the Democrats and the Republicans getting
their base out versus those independents breaking one way or
the other? Sorry, I see how much of this will
come down to the Democrats and the Republicans getting their
(30:40):
base out versus the independence breaking for Harris or Trump
one way or the other.
Speaker 13 (30:48):
It actually it's I mean, it does seem like a
bit of both. I think the Democrats are focusing on
on on trying to do a bit of both. I'm
definitely doing it that turnout game, but also trying to
break independence that way. It seems like the Republicans are
just simply focusing and the Republicans have always been quite
(31:10):
skeptical of early voting, but this election they are very
very keen to get early voting, to get early voting across,
to encourage the voters to early vote, because they don't want,
you know, if there's a massive blizzard tomorrow or a
rain storm or something that keeps people away from the polls.
They want to make sure that there as many of
their voters of voters possible so that a free givent
that that doesn't doesn't them their chances.
Speaker 2 (31:32):
Thomas, thank you very much. We'll let you get back
to the campaign. Thomas Coglan, Herald, Deputy Political editor with
US in Pennsylvania. It is eight minutes away from six
News TALKSB.
Speaker 1 (31:42):
Bryan Bridge, new for twenty twenty four on early edition
with Smith City, New Zealand's furniture Beds and a playing store.
Speaker 2 (31:50):
News Talk ZIBB every Tuesday, everybody six to six. This
new study, a Canterbury University study surveyed four hundred social
media users eighteen to forty four years old. So not
quite you might, good morning to you. So they looked
at Facebook and Instagram use average of two and a
half hours a day on the platforms. Signs of addiction
that's one month of your life every year. But look
(32:11):
at the younger ones and it's even worse. Seven or
eight hours per day.
Speaker 14 (32:16):
Yet again, Good morning, Ryan morning, Yet again, another reason
why academics shouldn't be allowed to do studies because look
at what the headline says. The headline says, we spend
more time on social media than we do.
Speaker 2 (32:28):
Eating, eating, and eating social So there's your clickbait.
Speaker 14 (32:31):
But think about it. Certain activities in life take time,
whereas eating doesn't have to. You have a sandwich at work,
it's five minutes long. You don't, doesn't mean anything. You
wouldn't want people eating all day.
Speaker 2 (32:43):
They'd be I.
Speaker 14 (32:44):
Spent five hours to day eating.
Speaker 2 (32:45):
They think you're mental. So you've been about to talk.
Speaker 14 (32:48):
Of course you're going to be scrolling. It depends, and
surely it depends on what you're scrolling through.
Speaker 2 (32:53):
But I think this is the journalist doing this angle
at the top. But the journal is seven hours a
day for young people on a phone. I mean that's well,
it depends. Well.
Speaker 14 (33:03):
I mean when you say a phone so little media,
I reckon I would read six hours a.
Speaker 2 (33:08):
Day, yeah, but not social media, not social tok.
Speaker 14 (33:11):
No, no no. But it's all it's all tied up,
isn't if you're reading and your learning. I mean, if
you're just literally doom scrolling. I suppose you know you.
Speaker 2 (33:19):
Do learn on TikTok. It's not all bad. What's on
the show today got Boris Johnson. Not bad, not bad.
Speaker 14 (33:26):
And there's a story this morning floating about these these
military academies. Do you see the POSTCAB conference yesterday? He
who likes to spoke pretty eloquently and almost emotionally, I
thought about those and he's been to visit them and
looked at some of the young people in there. Anyway,
the story this morning is the Greens have got hold
of some official information and stuff. They haven't passed the
legislation yet as to how they're going to run them properly,
(33:49):
so it's just a trick.
Speaker 2 (33:50):
Yeah.
Speaker 14 (33:50):
But what they're suggesting is that there's a there's a
can you use force? Yeah question around it, and if
you can use force, are you then going down the
whole treating people badly in care? So we'll talk to
the Prime minister about that.
Speaker 2 (34:03):
Brilliant Boris Johnson and the Prime Minister on with Mike.
Did they have a great day of run Sea tomorrow.
Speaker 1 (34:13):
For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, Listen live
to news talks it'd be from five am weekdays, or
follow the podcast on iHeartRadio
The issues, the interviews and the inside. Ryan Bridge new
for twenty twenty four on the early edition with Smith City,
New Zealand's furniture vans and a playing store.
Speaker 2 (00:14):
News Talk sa'd be good morning, New Zealand. It is
six half to five year old. News Talk said b
coming up this morning. Right now, Donald Trump is speaking
at a rally in North Carolina and Thomas Coglan is there.
He's with us just before six donnod de Mayo on
who's going to win the Melbourne Cup. Today we will
look at the catch up classes supposedly going to fix
our students' maths results. Will they Plus do you need
(00:37):
a house to get ahead? In New Zealand? We've got
the survey results for you too.
Speaker 1 (00:43):
The agenda.
Speaker 2 (00:44):
It is Tuesday, the fifth of November. Welcome to the show.
Ten people have died in our volcanic eruption. This is
in eastern Indonesia. They're watching in Australia the airspace closely
to see if any flights might be affected. Rocks and
lava hit a village full killing me is away from
the crater. Indonesia's Disaster Release Agency says it's possible that
(01:06):
flash flooding and cold lava flows in the days ahead
are possible. A fifty eight day state of emergency has
been declared in Spain. They just can't catch a break.
Fifty flights have been diverted from Barcelona following a red
alert where they're warning just days after severe flooding in Valencia.
Speaker 3 (01:22):
Red alert has been issued by the Meteorological Office and
there is torrential rain right now. This has affected Barcelona
Airport with flights being diverted. It's affecting rail travel with
several rail lines down at the moment. Is also affecting roads.
Speaker 2 (01:41):
Here's what to watch today. The Aussies are expecting a
Reserve Bank decision on the OCR It's likely to hold.
Banks are predicting it won't be large to twenty twenty five.
Currently they're at four point three five percent. Inflation is
still a problem here. Tomorrow, our quarter three labor market
data is out. You'll probably see another rise in unemployment
from four point six per cent in quarter two to
around the five percent mark for quarter three. That would mean,
(02:04):
if you listen to the economists, probably a fifty basis
point cut to the interest rate here on November twenty
seven to get that seventy five basis point cut that
everyone wants. You'd have to see employment head around five
and a half percent. Also tomorrow, I'll be hosting The
Herald's live election coverage from four pm. You can go
to the Herald homepage. You'll see a TV screen live
(02:25):
streaming at the top of the page and you can
watch it. Then. We are not going We're running.
Speaker 4 (02:32):
Against something far bigger than Joe or Kama.
Speaker 5 (02:36):
They are indeed the enemy from within.
Speaker 2 (02:38):
You'll see analysis from Thomas cognan on the ground, Mitch McCann,
ex trade negotiator, Charles Finny, political experts Trishus and Jose
mcganney will be at the US ambassador's party, plus all
the numbers in any action via our partner broadcasters out
of the States. News Talk ZB of course has live
coverage throughout the day too. Heather, We'll be on here
as usual during drive tomorrow. Now TOIA, they have banned
(03:01):
the importation of private petrol powered vehicles in part due
to soaring petrol prices. You're only now allowed to buy evs.
Speaker 4 (03:11):
To avoid environmental pollution, a zulus for their country's economic benefits.
The Electric Cause Policy is signed to me, it isntly
what an electric cup and the continue me thoughts on
electric CAUs have changed for the better.
Speaker 2 (03:24):
Only problem with that Ethiopia has serious issues providing consistent
power supply to its capital city and spare ev parts
are hard to get.
Speaker 1 (03:35):
The news you need this morning and the in depth
analysis early edition with Ryan Bridge and Swift City, New
Zealand's furniture beds and applying store news talks it'd.
Speaker 2 (03:45):
Be in the United States this morning, the dollar is
down point six of a percent, not a huge drop.
It's the lowest level in two weeks, but it tells
the story, and it tells the story of the strength
of the dollar in the US. So Donald Trump, obvious,
people think he well, people have thought he was sort
of a chewing to get into the White House, not
necessarily a chowin, but that it was more likely than
(04:08):
not that he would get into the White House. And obviously,
with his trade policies Trump trade as they call it,
Republican policies would push up inflation in the United States
and that would force the Federal Reserve to hike interest
rates again, which have been higher returns on US assets,
which would then make the dollar more attractive right now
(04:28):
because the Poles have started to some Poles have started
to turn a little bit in Harris's favor, with the
Poles shifting slightly towards Harris. That strength in the news
in the American dollar is coming off a bit. So
it's down point six overnight last night. That's the news
that's hiten just now. Also, what I find interesting about
the whole US election thing is this polster herding issue.
(04:53):
Have listened to Alex Costellonis. He is a respected pole strategist.
He campaigned for Bush and for rom but he set
up a bipartisan comms firm. This is what he says
about the fact that all the Poles seem to show
kind of the same thing.
Speaker 6 (05:08):
We're all missing something because they're giving us the same
poll over and over again. There isn't even statistical variation.
You know, ninety five percent confidence level means that five
percent of the time you're going to get a crappy poll.
We hardly ever see that. It's like they're telling us
we're watching a basketball game. Wherever he plays a jump ball,
(05:28):
somebody is missing something.
Speaker 2 (05:30):
Now, did we see that in Iowa yesterday? This an
outlier of a poll was that a rogue pole? Well,
I guess we'll have to wait and see. Not long now. However,
what is interesting is and what this will come down to,
is how much these Republicans and Democrats can get their
base out to vote versus where those independents are going.
(05:51):
Who are they breaking for? Is it for Harris or
is it for Trump? We'll ask Thomas Coglan about that.
He's on the show just before six, which.
Speaker 3 (06:01):
Nothing of you and looking.
Speaker 2 (06:05):
Sounds like a good idea giving students who aren't performing
in maths and extratuition. Is it going to work? We'll
look at that. Next News Talk, zaid B. It is
twelve after five.
Speaker 7 (06:16):
Gotta green, run into my body.
Speaker 2 (06:19):
Got a hord.
Speaker 1 (06:22):
Get ahead of the headlines, Ryan Bridge, you for twenty
twenty four on early edition with Smith City, New Zealand's
furniture beds and a playing store.
Speaker 2 (06:31):
News Talk sied B just gone fourteen after five year
on news Talk said, be a text from one of
our listeners this morning, Ryan, all the wailing from the
wet left over when he attending the Melbourne Cup. At
least he's not wandering across the stage at the World
of Wearable Arts he's there doing other stuff too. He's
meeting with the Australia has Australian counterparts, but also he's
(06:51):
meeting with his Indian counterparts, his peers from the Indian
government who were there as well. I'm probably all going
to the Melbourne Cup and I met. But I mean
that's part of the job, isn't it. A quarter past five,
The government's playing catch up on student maths failures, trialing
a targeted math program to help intermediate students. From term
(07:12):
one next year two thousand, year seven and eight students
will be part of an intensive program to get them
up to speed with the required curriculum level. The kids
will get thirty minutes extra online tuition for up to
four times a week. Kyle Brewerton is the Remuerra Intermediate
School principal. He's with us this morning, Kyl, Good morning,
Good morning, Ryan, Thanks for being with me. Will this
(07:34):
make a difference.
Speaker 8 (07:37):
Well, that's what we'll find out. That's while we're doing
the trial. The approach has some merit. Using those online
tools they're very efficient generally at finding out where potentially
those gaps are. But having the human element as well
connected with it, I think, you know, the combination of
the two should certainly go some ways to help those
kids who we've found to be lacking.
Speaker 2 (07:59):
How many of your kids are lacking?
Speaker 8 (08:02):
They're not many. We're pretty pretty lucky where we are,
but certainly nationally we know that there's a substantial number
of kids who definitely need some extra help at the moment.
Speaker 2 (08:11):
What does it what makes the difference for your kids?
Is it the fact they're getting a reinforced at home.
Speaker 8 (08:19):
There's a host of different factors. We certainly, I mean
in our own school, we know that the gains that
they make when they're with us are pretty spectacular. We
know we have some great programs, we have some great teachers.
We also use some of those online tools. It's just
a combination of things.
Speaker 5 (08:36):
Really.
Speaker 2 (08:36):
Is it a real teacher doing a lesson in this
half hour online or is it like a multi choice
of questions and stuff.
Speaker 8 (08:45):
Yes, again, it's a combination of the two.
Speaker 5 (08:48):
Really.
Speaker 8 (08:48):
So the software atself, as I said, is pretty good
at finding out where those gaps are and then giving
some sort of tuition, some guidance, some examples, but then
having also a teacher, or at least the trains teacher
ade alongside them helping them to understand that makes sense
of what it is that perhaps those gaps that they
(09:09):
might have to explain some of those concepts because maths
can be a little bit ambiguous at times, a little
bit abstract. So the human element combined with those software,
particularly the ones that do, as I say, find those gaps,
it's a powerful combination.
Speaker 2 (09:26):
The testing that goes on. How often are you testing
at the moment your intermediate students for maths?
Speaker 8 (09:35):
Yeah, so there's two parts, and I mean we tend
to sort of focus on the assessment piece, but the
testing is used largely to look at those big trends.
So we'll do that twice a year to see how
overall how our kids are tracking, how particular groups are
tracking over the two years with us. But then we
also as we move through the different parts of maths,
(09:56):
we'll do some little assessments. We're also obviously watching and
sitting alongside them the whole time, just seeing who's understanding
and who's not, and what sort of extra support might
be needed as we go.
Speaker 2 (10:07):
Do you do that more than other schools? Because the
government's make from next year it'll be at least two
assessments per year for math. Are others not doing that?
Speaker 8 (10:18):
Well, that's what we've been told, but I certainly can't
speak for other schools, certainly the schools around me and
people I talk to. It's a pretty standard approach because
you know, you want to do it a couple of
times a year just to see as I see those trends,
that movement, that progress, and also make sure you're catching
those ones who aren't keeping up.
Speaker 2 (10:37):
Thanks so much for your time, Kyle. Great to have
you on the show. Kyl Bruce and the Auckland Primary Sorry,
who is the Remuer Intermediate School Principal? It is eighteen
after five. You're on News Talk, said B on.
Speaker 1 (10:49):
Your radio and online on iHeartRadio Early edition with Ryan
Bridge and SMIT City, New Zealand's Furniture Beds and a
Playing Store News Talk Zaid B.
Speaker 2 (10:59):
Simons numbers out as well. This is about the swing states.
So for Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin for early voting, they
don't break it down by party affiliation, but they do
for others. In Arizona, for example, they can tell you
that of the early votes that have been cast, the
Democrats have got seven hundred and thirty six thousand odd
Republicans nine hundred and twenty four odd thousand, so Republicans
(11:21):
more Republicans getting out early. In Arizona, Nevada, the same thing,
Republicans four hundred and seven thousand, the Dems three hundred
and sixty four. North Carolina, it's neck and neck about
one point four million each and interestingly unaffiliated. That's your independence.
Who are they voting for? There's one point four million
of them and votes still to be counted. In Pennsylvania
(11:43):
obviously the king of the swings the early votes so far,
the Dems are ahead there nine hundred and ninety thousand
to the Republicans five hundred and eighty three. It is
twenty two after five.
Speaker 1 (11:55):
Bryan Bridge.
Speaker 2 (11:56):
We've had some insight into home ownership, a new report
from Kiwibank revealing eight five percent of us think that
owning a home is important, and two out of three
of us think it's essential to getting ahead. In New Zealand,
two thirds of non homeowners feel lockdown of the market
and almost half are open to exploring other ways to
get onto it. Sam Stubbs is these simplicity founderies with
(12:17):
us this morning. Sam, Good morning, Good morning, Ryan. Big
issue here is obviously saving for a deposit cost a
living crisis makes that very hard. How do you get
over that barrier? I mean, do we just have to
wait until wages go up again? Yeah?
Speaker 5 (12:33):
Look, it's super hard, isn't it. I Mean, an awful
lot of people are now using kiwisaver as they're effectively
their first home deposit vehicle, right and it's pretty well
pretty well sorted for that because you put some money in,
your employer put some money in, and you can't otherwise
touch it really until then. So that's that's working out
to be useful. But the problem is, as you say,
(12:55):
even deposits are a very large sum of money, so
it takes a long time to be saved that So yeah,
I mean, you're absolutely right. Either wages have to go
up or taxes have to go down, or effectively we
have to spend less on living and save more via
a Kiwi saver. It's probably going to be a combination
of all those three things over the years, but it's
absolutely tough. You're right. You know. The really interesting number
(13:17):
for me, Ryan is that back in nineteen eighty about
eighty two percent of New Zealand. New Zealand has owned
their own home. Now it's about sixty two percent. So
since nineteen eighty we've had about twenty percent of New
Zealanders that basically had had to rent because they couldn't
have to buy their home. So owning your own home
is the Kiwi dream is just becoming harder.
Speaker 2 (13:38):
I thought the interesting thing here was sixty six percent
of us say yes, you do need to own a
home in New Zealand in order to get ahead, which means,
I mean there's still a good chunk who don't think that,
that believe you can get ahead through other means.
Speaker 5 (13:52):
Oh. Absolutely. You know, you've got the share market, you've
got Kiwi Saver, you've got investing in your own business.
There's a whole lot of other ways to make money.
And of course, you know, if you look at countries
like Germany, right, you know, more than fifty percent of
the population rent, and they rent because they can rent
very long term. I met a family in Berlin years
ago who's I think up to their fifth generation of
(14:13):
renting in the same home, and because they had rights
as renters, they could live there as of right. You know,
they basically couldn't be kicked out the apartment, couldn't be
sold from underneath them. They thought renting was perfectly reasonable
and they'd use the extra money to invest in other stuff.
So it's certainly not the only option, and I think
too of course, remember Ian is you've got a whole
lot of younger people who are moving around a lot
(14:34):
more right now. They don't necessarily buy into the dream
of buying a home and living in the same city
or town. You've got a whole lot of older people
too who say, you know what, I'd rather actually sell
the house, free up the money rent so I can
spend it on other stuff that I want in my
elder years, as long as I have housing security. So
that's the issue. Once you provide people with security, they
(14:57):
know they can stay there as long as they want.
Find a whole lot of people saying I don't really
mind whether I own own or rent. The other thing too,
of course, is that we've lived in the last thirty
years right in the world where house prices have kept
on going up. So there's this is some and we've
had we've had a tax system which is incentivized people
to buy houses because those gains are tax free, whereas
(15:19):
if you know, in theory, if you're stuck it in
the share market as a trader, or here we save it,
you pay taxes. Now is that going to carry on?
You know? I mean houses have become so unaffordable, there
has to be a point at which the house prices
stop rising as fast as they have in the past,
So maybe it won't be quite as good an investment
as it used to be.
Speaker 2 (15:39):
Yeah, I agree with you there, Sam, I just I mean,
and you look at those reports from Treasury and the
like that say, well and the Tax Working Group that
adding a capital gains tax isn't necessarily going to bring
those prices down. But I take your point. Sam. Thank
you very much for coming on the show. Always appreciate it.
Sam Stubbs, Simplicity Founder. It's twenty six after five News
Talk said Big the early.
Speaker 1 (15:59):
Edition Fullso podcast on iHeartRadio, Power It by News.
Speaker 2 (16:03):
Talks v It is twenty eight after five year on
News Talk Zaib. The youth Court is a good idea
in theory because it tries to steer kids away from
an adult prison and the life of crime. But when
it fails, it fails spectacularly and we all paid the
price for its leniency. Take the teenager at Dante Eden.
For example, when he was sixteen, he bashed a seventy
(16:24):
eight year old man nearly to death while the old
guy slept in his bed. The judge gave him a
warning and told him to keep out of trouble. If
that's not lenient, I don't know what it is. Did
he say, out of trouble? No stuff? Reports? Three months
later he robbed a bloke in Wellington, stole from a
petrol station and resisted arrest by the cops. Now he's eighteen,
he'll be dealt with by the same judge, but in
a district court, not a youth court. I'm all for
(16:46):
second chances and the youth court in some cases, but
surely if you beat nearly to death an old man
in his bed in such a brutal fashion, there's nothing
particularly youthful about your actions. You're not acting like a
youth who's made a wee mistake and need to hand
turning things around. You acted like a thug and more
should be done to stop another crime from being committed.
This guy was seen running from the old man's house
(17:07):
with a crowbar, for goodness sakes, so the judge in
these new charges has given him home detention for the
second round offending. So you can beat an old man,
mug another, rip off a gas station and fight with
the cops and never see the inside of a cell.
Keeping him out of jail might be better for him
(17:28):
in the long term, we're told, but is it better
for us the public walking down the street or god forbid,
sleeping in our own beds? At night?
Speaker 1 (17:41):
News and Views you trust to start your day, It's
early edition with Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's
furniture Beds and a flying store.
Speaker 2 (17:49):
News Talk saidy, good morning, New Zealand. It is twenty
four to six. Welcome to your Tuesday, I for you're
just joining us. Dono demayo out of Australia in just
a few moments time. Melbourne cup on today obviously the
umpire that dressed up as though Sama bin Laden. Thomas
(18:10):
Coglin is in North Carolina, the swing state for us.
This morning, we'll get all the latest on the campaign
China watching that campaign too, and then analysts watching China
watching the American campaign, and we're expecting big things. They
were expecting a bazooka stimulus announcement out of China. This
is because they anticipated that Beijing was moving its announcement
(18:33):
about a stimulus till after the election, waiting to see
who got in and how big the stimulus might need
to be because obviously they've got an economic downturn, which
affects all of us because we trade so much with them.
Sarah was saying, oh, licking their lips, going well, then
waiting till the election's over, and then they're going to
announce the stimulus. And if Trump gets and it's going
to be a giant stimulus. Apparently it's a one moment.
They just moved the announcement because of DeLay's scheduling delays
(18:57):
with some legislative meetings that are going on. So that's boring.
It has just gone twenty three minutes away from six
year on news talks here'd be legendary music producer Quincy
Jones has passed away at the age of ninety one.
Have listened to how he talks about the job he loved.
Speaker 1 (19:15):
I like to think about the studio as a place
that's real sacred, you know, where magical things happen. Hopefully, No,
that's what great breakfasts are supposed to be about.
Speaker 2 (19:23):
And they did. Michael Jackson, Frank Sinatra, you name it.
He produced the thriller album. He took fly Me to
the Moon from a waltz to a swing, which is
obviously instrumental in making it successful. Ninety one years old
died peacefully at home, Ryan Bridge. It's time to go
to our reporters around the country and we start in
Dunedin this morning. Good morning to Culum. Have we got
(19:50):
Colum on the line? I don't believe we do. We
will get to Cullum in just a second. Colum's going
to talk to us about the save our Southern Hospital campaign.
It's apparently heading north. Culumn, you're there morning, you got
me there? Good morning, I've got you just find so
how far north are we going with this campaign?
Speaker 9 (20:07):
Well, it's this campaign hits the capital tomorrow. Cliff the
protest Ambulance is en route to Wellington to deliver this
petition calling on the government to reverse its cuts to
the city's hospitals.
Speaker 2 (20:20):
To drive up.
Speaker 9 (20:21):
To the steps of Parliament about twelve thirty tomorrow along
with the delegation including all of our local mayors here
and a member of the New Zealand Nurses organization. This
protest ambulance has already driven around the South gaining support
for the protest. Me Jill's Radick says, there's been a
lot of interest even from people outside of the Southern
region who care about this government's decision. How's your weather, cloudy,
(20:44):
chance of an afternoon or evening shower southerly is developing
and seventeen today, no.
Speaker 2 (20:48):
One, thank you, Clise Sherewards and Christy, it's this morning clear.
The Garden City is cementing its position as the events
capital of New Zealand. Now is that just propaganda from you?
No way, Ryan, you.
Speaker 10 (20:58):
Bet And it's nice to have a positive store glory
for once. We've got more than one hundred thousand people
expected in christ Church this month across one hundred and
fifty three events. That's at a range of different venues.
It's certainly a different story from those early post quake days.
We've got around forty three thousand people to set foot
at Wolfbrook Arena in November. That's seven events, ranging from
(21:20):
the Crowded House Tour to Hosier Of course. Venus Auto
Tahi Chief executive Caroline Harvey Tear is very excited about it.
She says they're going to see a strong demand for
events in the city for a long time from now.
She says, it's a great platform for what's to come,
and we've got plenty of new infrastructure.
Speaker 2 (21:36):
On the way as well.
Speaker 10 (21:37):
Of course the new stadium Takaha not far off.
Speaker 2 (21:39):
Yeah, I'm looking forward to that opening. How's your weather clear?
Speaker 10 (21:42):
Scattered rain about this morning, will ease though to one
or two showers north of east turning southerly and the
high as eighteen.
Speaker 2 (21:49):
Thank you, Max Tolsan Wellington. The fate of these two
cats in that vet fire? Max? What do we know?
Speaker 11 (21:54):
Yeah, so there was a fire in Kilberni at the
two story cave That's clinic early Sunday morning. Two cats
have been found, two are missing. Four apparently seemed to
escape at the time of the fire. All the other
animals were able to be rescued, but these four cats
ran away, it seems. Owner Nick Cooper says he still
(22:16):
doesn't know exactly if one or two may have died
in the fire, but they are looking for the two
that are missing. Some humane cat traps have been set
up around the clinic to catch them. What's new is
we may know the cause of the fire, and it's
quite sad. A tenant above their building. Had seemed to
be smoking on their deck through their cigarette but over
the railing and into some foliage.
Speaker 2 (22:37):
And that's it.
Speaker 11 (22:38):
That's the end of the vets.
Speaker 2 (22:39):
Gosh, wow, what do you do? I guess it. How's
your wither? Hopefully raining?
Speaker 11 (22:46):
Well it is overcast with periods of rain around midday,
strong northerly seventeen in the city.
Speaker 2 (22:52):
Thank you Neivas and Augland this morning and Neva, good morning.
Speaker 12 (22:55):
Good morning. Let's go on and oh well tell you.
They going to have their say fung on what public
transport options that they would like to coincide with this
new highway. So we know that the pen Link it's
going to be seven kilometers highway is due in late
twenty twenty six and it's going to apparently create a
quicker route between the peninsula and into the central city.
(23:17):
So Auckland Transports consulting on three options. One that would
see the current bus and ferries services run more often,
there's what they're saying. The other two options and see
additional services created. But what eight is going to do.
For now, They're going to hold five drop in sessions.
This is over the month of November this month, and
then'll give people a chance to, you know, talk to
the project team one on one and give their views.
Speaker 2 (23:39):
Did they say which mode of transport will give the
quicker route?
Speaker 7 (23:43):
No, they didn't.
Speaker 2 (23:44):
Because I'm assuming they'd be like one of those bus
lanes that you know happen.
Speaker 12 (23:48):
Ye, I think, because wouldn't be one of the fairies.
What it's going to be a busy week. You're going
to be busy lot. We've got Guy Fawkes tonight we
do Melbourne Cut the UI selection and you are going
to be doing the Hero.
Speaker 2 (24:04):
Herald coverage tomorrow at four pm. Yes, which would be good.
People can tune in on the Herald website lovely.
Speaker 12 (24:10):
But you're right, well you have a pillow and blanket
because then you're going to be on your show on
early edition the next morning.
Speaker 2 (24:15):
It depends how late we go with that Herald live coverage.
I don't know at this point with it.
Speaker 12 (24:21):
I think you might go late because it's going to
be so close.
Speaker 2 (24:23):
Yeah, we'll be close and things. It may take days,
it may take weeks till we find out a result.
So the live stream could go on a very long time.
Speaker 12 (24:30):
Because Tuesday morning we're coming in an hour earlier because
we're going to be doing live bulletins for four aears.
I'll be here. I might be here before you, or
if I am and you're sleeping under your disk, I
can wake you up.
Speaker 2 (24:42):
I can wake you up at three. How's the weather today?
Speaker 12 (24:44):
Partly clouding?
Speaker 2 (24:44):
Nineteen it's the high brilliant neither thank you seventeen to
six News Talk ZB We're live to North Carolina in
just a few moments. Plus Donald May out.
Speaker 1 (24:52):
Of Australia International correspondence with ends and eye insurance, peace
of mind for New Zealand business.
Speaker 2 (25:00):
Fourteen to sex News Talk said, be Dona Jamayo is
our Australia correspondent, Dona the Melbourne Cup? Who should we well?
Who do we want in our sweepsteak at the office here?
Speaker 13 (25:09):
Oh?
Speaker 7 (25:10):
Oh, such a good question. I did my research. There's
three New Zealand horses. One of them has my lucky
number twenty four. So there's trusting you. There's positivity and
sharp and smart if you want to back a New
Zealand horse. But as you know, do you know how
much the prize money is for if you win the
Melbourne Cup?
Speaker 2 (25:28):
I don't. What is that?
Speaker 7 (25:29):
It's nearly five million dollars, So that's that's not that's
a pretty penny, right. It's going to be run for
the one hundred and sixty fourth time this year. There
are four women trying to join Michelle Payne, who nine
years ago became the first female jockey to ever win
the Melbourne Cup. So we have Jamie Carr, we have
(25:50):
Rachel King, Wenona Costa and Holly Doyle. So you could
possibly want to back a female jockey for a change,
a quirky reason to you know, find a back there
or someone tore back there. And then we've got a
little bit of celebrity at the track today. We have
Liz Hurley coming to Flemington to check out the races.
(26:10):
We also have Nicky Hilton and Sir Bob Geldoff is
a late addition.
Speaker 2 (26:16):
And they couldn't get Paris Hilton. They just stuck with
Nicky instead of the B team, isn't it. But I
tell you what, Liz Hurley always looks great, doesn't she.
Speaker 7 (26:26):
Oh look, everyone's going to be looking at what everyone's wearing,
but particularly Liz Hurley. I do agree. And the person
that's singing the national anthem, I thought this was a
lovely touch. The granddaughter of Sir Donald Bradman will be
singing the Australian National anthem at Flemington just before the
big race, which I thought was a lovely touch.
Speaker 2 (26:42):
Hey very quickly. The leading football umpire that's been forced
to apologize for wearing a controversial fancy dress costume. What
was the costume? Oh gosh?
Speaker 7 (26:52):
The theme for this end of season gathering was characters
from the two thousands? How many people could he chosen from?
What does he do? He dressed up as a sam
I've bin laden? Oh my goodness me. The costume has
been deemed inappropriate, offensive and in portaste and the afl
umpire has been forced to well. He has apologized. He
(27:15):
says it was an error of judgment and never intended
to offend. He has been subsequently suspended for a short period.
Speaker 2 (27:22):
When will they learn? Thank you so much for that?
Donna Donald to Moore Australia corresponded twelve away from six Bridge. Right,
it's election day tomorrow. Everyone is excited? Well is everyone excited?
I suppose people are highly anticipating the result of the election.
That's a fair way to put it. Thomas Cognan is
the New Zealand Herald, deputy political editor. He is in Pennsylvania,
(27:43):
Pennsylvania as the king of the swings, So what's his
pick for what is going to happen. We'll go to
IM Live now. Hey Thomas, Hey Lauren Ryan, good to
have you on the show. What are you feeling? What's
the vibe?
Speaker 13 (27:56):
The vibe changes wherever I go. I've been asking myself
question since I got here. I was in North Carolina
a couple of days ago and it was feeling very
kind of trumpy. I'm in downtown Philadelphia at the moment,
that's that's always going to be pretty hars so, and
it does feel like that. And then I was in
the suburbs of Philadelphia a couple of days before that,
and that was feeling a.
Speaker 5 (28:15):
Bit of a mix.
Speaker 13 (28:16):
And all the poles are saying it's incredibly close, and
it honestly feels that way here. It feels like there
is no convincing lead right as side.
Speaker 2 (28:25):
What about this idea of polster herding? Is there any
truth in this idea where the posters are all waiting
their outcomes to be roughly the same, because it does
seem odd that every pole pretty much, I mean, you
have that Iowa won the outliner the other day. But
every pole pretty much has the neck and neck. Shouldn't
we have more rows?
Speaker 13 (28:42):
So you mentioned that Iowa way, Yeah, yeah, you mentioned that.
I think they are Trump by three points. And it's
a new like, it's a very it's not just any poles.
That's one that's been very young. The money for presidents
there is got it wrong. The last three elections, two
(29:04):
presidential elections and then the last mini elections are quite wrong.
They have been looking at the methodologies to improve them,
and in doing so there is a convincing em to
be made that they might be overdating Donald Trump's argument
on chances. We won't know the answers of that until
the results are counted, but that actually does seem like
(29:26):
a very kind of potential potential out kind of what's
going on here, just because it is really quite weird
that all these poles are clustering, and they had hundreds
of poles over here, Ryan, not like every day.
Speaker 2 (29:39):
We have the well we pretty much have till bought
mills and the Taxpayers Union doing us proud exactly. Hey,
what about the Houses of Congress? So who's going to
get the Senate? Who's going to get the because there
was talk that Republicans will definitely keep the Senate. Do
you think that'll happen?
Speaker 13 (30:00):
It looks like a toss up at the moment. So
there are half a dozen races. I mean, in Pennsylvania
at the moment, they've got quite a contenditive centate race.
So it honestly, they could be they could be split.
They could all go one way, they could all the
other way. Again, I'm not sure. Again, it's too close
to all.
Speaker 2 (30:20):
How much of this do you think will come down
to the you know, the Democrats and the Republicans getting
their base out versus those independents breaking one way or
the other? Sorry, I see how much of this will
come down to the Democrats and the Republicans getting their
(30:40):
base out versus the independence breaking for Harris or Trump
one way or the other.
Speaker 13 (30:48):
It actually it's I mean, it does seem like a
bit of both. I think the Democrats are focusing on
on on trying to do a bit of both. I'm
definitely doing it that turnout game, but also trying to
break independence that way. It seems like the Republicans are
just simply focusing and the Republicans have always been quite
(31:10):
skeptical of early voting, but this election they are very
very keen to get early voting, to get early voting across,
to encourage the voters to early vote, because they don't want,
you know, if there's a massive blizzard tomorrow or a
rain storm or something that keeps people away from the polls.
They want to make sure that there as many of
their voters of voters possible so that a free givent
that that doesn't doesn't them their chances.
Speaker 2 (31:32):
Thomas, thank you very much. We'll let you get back
to the campaign. Thomas Coglan, Herald, Deputy Political editor with
US in Pennsylvania. It is eight minutes away from six
News TALKSB.
Speaker 1 (31:42):
Bryan Bridge, new for twenty twenty four on early edition
with Smith City, New Zealand's furniture Beds and a playing store.
Speaker 2 (31:50):
News Talk ZIBB every Tuesday, everybody six to six. This
new study, a Canterbury University study surveyed four hundred social
media users eighteen to forty four years old. So not
quite you might, good morning to you. So they looked
at Facebook and Instagram use average of two and a
half hours a day on the platforms. Signs of addiction
that's one month of your life every year. But look
(32:11):
at the younger ones and it's even worse. Seven or
eight hours per day.
Speaker 14 (32:16):
Yet again, Good morning, Ryan morning, Yet again, another reason
why academics shouldn't be allowed to do studies because look
at what the headline says. The headline says, we spend
more time on social media than we do.
Speaker 2 (32:28):
Eating, eating, and eating social So there's your clickbait.
Speaker 14 (32:31):
But think about it. Certain activities in life take time,
whereas eating doesn't have to. You have a sandwich at work,
it's five minutes long. You don't, doesn't mean anything. You
wouldn't want people eating all day.
Speaker 2 (32:43):
They'd be I.
Speaker 14 (32:44):
Spent five hours to day eating.
Speaker 2 (32:45):
They think you're mental. So you've been about to talk.
Speaker 14 (32:48):
Of course you're going to be scrolling. It depends, and
surely it depends on what you're scrolling through.
Speaker 2 (32:53):
But I think this is the journalist doing this angle
at the top. But the journal is seven hours a
day for young people on a phone. I mean that's well,
it depends. Well.
Speaker 14 (33:03):
I mean when you say a phone so little media,
I reckon I would read six hours a.
Speaker 2 (33:08):
Day, yeah, but not social media, not social tok.
Speaker 14 (33:11):
No, no no. But it's all it's all tied up,
isn't if you're reading and your learning. I mean, if
you're just literally doom scrolling. I suppose you know you.
Speaker 2 (33:19):
Do learn on TikTok. It's not all bad. What's on
the show today got Boris Johnson. Not bad, not bad.
Speaker 14 (33:26):
And there's a story this morning floating about these these
military academies. Do you see the POSTCAB conference yesterday? He
who likes to spoke pretty eloquently and almost emotionally, I
thought about those and he's been to visit them and
looked at some of the young people in there. Anyway,
the story this morning is the Greens have got hold
of some official information and stuff. They haven't passed the
legislation yet as to how they're going to run them properly,
(33:49):
so it's just a trick.
Speaker 2 (33:50):
Yeah.
Speaker 14 (33:50):
But what they're suggesting is that there's a there's a
can you use force? Yeah question around it, and if
you can use force, are you then going down the
whole treating people badly in care? So we'll talk to
the Prime minister about that.
Speaker 2 (34:03):
Brilliant Boris Johnson and the Prime Minister on with Mike.
Did they have a great day of run Sea tomorrow.
Speaker 1 (34:13):
For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, Listen live
to news talks it'd be from five am weekdays, or
follow the podcast on iHeartRadio
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