Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Freedom is here to stay. Time for Brian Mudd's Top
three Weeks. Boys Center from Florida, America's comeback starts right now.
I Hey there, hey, doing.
Speaker 2 (00:16):
We get going again on this uh raw day after
what's been some kind of a couple of days.
Speaker 1 (00:23):
Huh another one of those weeks.
Speaker 2 (00:27):
It is Friday, by the way, you're sitting there right
now and your minus power and going, man, this things
kind of hear you had power when Joe and I
wrapped up coverage yesterday at five, got home, won't be
four six and there's power and woke up this morning
(00:49):
there's not power.
Speaker 1 (00:50):
Let me let me make sure I have this right,
because you had no power. Yes, then you had power, Yes,
then you had no power. That's right. Then you had power, yeah,
and now you have no power again.
Speaker 2 (01:01):
Yeah?
Speaker 1 (01:01):
Is that? Am I counting those correctly?
Speaker 2 (01:03):
It's all accurate? Okay, And I mean I'm not people
have bigger issues than me. But it's even hard to
get out off of my property without power, just gate
and having to manually do things in the dark. And yeah, yeah,
I mean it's been been an interesting but so anyway,
I mean, if you're without power, that is many I
(01:23):
hear you, and you know, just hopefully things get back
on track. We'll go through all the power out just
and everything here in just a few So take a
look at the takeaways. You always put these hurricanes into
the categories of wind, water and exposure. And I've started
to work on my Milton scorecard here for this event.
As you know, a lot of it's coming into focus.
(01:43):
Some of it's still fluid, you know. For example, one
of the really sad things we have seen through the
overnight is a rising death toll associated with Milton, and
you know, I really hate to see this wor up
to sixteen deaths associated with it. When we left the
air yesterday at five o'clock, we had coverage.
Speaker 1 (02:00):
With you until midnight.
Speaker 2 (02:01):
We joined our partners from around the state at five,
but it was five and the five were, sadly, the
five in the senior community Imports Saint Lucy that were
hit by a tornado. But we have seen as on
going efforts are continuing the death toll rise now to sixteen.
Speaker 1 (02:19):
Hopefully it stops there.
Speaker 2 (02:20):
But I want to walk you just coming through some
of these scenarios, and you know, if you listen to
me on the front end, of these hurricanes and you're like,
why do you do this wind, water and exposure thing.
It's because I always want to put in front of
you all the potential risk and my top takeaway and
it's the one I always begin with is win.
Speaker 1 (02:39):
And that's for two reasons. It's the human nature factor.
Because the human nature.
Speaker 2 (02:43):
Factor with every hurricane, I don't care how many you've
been through or how where you are at the risk
of other elements in it. It's always the wind, right,
And that was so true as Milton ended up blowing
up into this one hundred and eighty mile an hour
fireball in the golf before making an impact, and then
you know category three hurricanes still at the point of
impact at CS to Key.
Speaker 1 (03:07):
But the other part of the wind, that's a story.
Speaker 2 (03:10):
I always talked about this on the front end that
we've got to be aware of, and man, was it
ever the story on the east coast of Florida. The
other part of the wind story, which are tornadoes. Those
tornadoes can be much stronger than the impact of wind
associated with the sustained winds from a hurricane. So as
I always offer up, if you get hit directly by
(03:32):
the hurricane, you get those hurricane force winds. If you don't,
the greatest wind risk is generally going to be tornadoes.
They are most likely to happen fifty to two hundred
and fifty miles from the eye of the storm. And
we saw something potentially unprecedented and certainly up there with
some of the historical considerations as far as tornatic activity
(03:54):
and a hurricane associated with Milton. So there had been
a little bit of a question marked about. Okay, so
how many tour NATO warnings actually were issued during this thing.
The last number as we had one that was lower
with one Weather Service in station and another that was higher.
One twenty six is the consensus this morning. We'll see
(04:15):
where that all shakes out the nether National Weather Service,
but it's like one hundred and twenty six tornado warnings
were issued in by the National Weather Service, And to
give you an idea the total number of confirmed tornadoes,
by the way, we are going to take additional time.
The lightest I was seeing is thirty eight appear to
be confirmed. But again, in some of these cases, you've
got National Weather Service stations that are all part across
(04:37):
the state, and you know, some of the tornadoes that
traveled from one weather monitored station to another might have
been picked up multiple times in those kinds of things.
Speaker 1 (04:46):
That's why there's some discrepancy.
Speaker 2 (04:48):
But anyway, the the all time record holder for tornadoes
in a hurricane is iven at one seventeen and that
was in two thousand and four, part of that four
five cycle. And I've talked a lot over the past
couple of days. The only one I can remember anywhere
near the kind of tornadic activity of what we saw
a couple of days ago associated with Milton. And it
(05:09):
just also puts into focus the amount of uniqueness you
get in these systems. Hurricane Helene, as devastating as it was,
it produced six they were all in North Carolina and
South Carolina. We didn't have a single tornado produced in
the state of Florida, the state where there was landfall
from Helene. And in six on in here you have
one hundred and twenty six tornado warnings spawn by Milton.
Speaker 1 (05:31):
And so the other thing.
Speaker 2 (05:33):
That came into play, you know, as I always talked about, Hey,
that's what you got to be mindful of for tornadoes.
If you're fifty to two hundred and fifty miles from
the eye of the storm where we saw that tornadic
activity one fifty to two hundred. One fifty to two
hundred was where they clustered, as it was one hundred
and fifty miles to two hundred miles away from locations.
(05:53):
Those are where the cells really just fired up and
brought all this tornadic activity on the approach couple days ago. Now,
one of the things I mentioned is usually wind does
not account for most of the debts. It's going to
account for a disproportionate number because of how unusual the
tornadic activity was and recorded US history, only five percent
(06:14):
of debts are associated with the sustained winds from a hurricane,
only three percent from tornadoes. However, as of now, a
minimum of five of the sixteen debts associated with Milton
are the result of a tornado again in Saint Lucie County.
And we get into water, which is the second threat.
And this I mean in the grand scheme of things,
(06:36):
at the point of impact, you had some significant storm surge,
you had some significant flooding, and there is some property
damage that type of thing, But we did avoid the
catastrophic issue here. And if you take a look historically
twenty seven percent of all debts come from flooding, forty
nine percent from storm surge. You know, we had the
fears of fifteen foot storm surge if it had gone
(06:56):
directly through Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1 (06:57):
Did not.
Speaker 2 (06:57):
It looks like the peak storm searge about five feet,
and that was worse than a normal five foot storm
search in part because somebody of those communities over there
are still not in a good place from Helene. But
we avoided the catastrophic storm searche scenarios. And I'm not
sure what the number of deaths associated of the sixteen
(07:18):
one that being with water, but it actually looks like
it may not.
Speaker 1 (07:21):
Be a leading cause in this particular one.
Speaker 2 (07:23):
So this is going to be the one of those
ally of hurricanes, one more like an Andrew kind of
effect in terms of a loss of life impact, where
it's more of a wind event than a water event.
So again, really unusual hurricane and exposure is my third takeaway.
It's the third one I always put a focus on,
and it's the one that we need to be mindful of.
Speaker 1 (07:42):
I can't emphasize this enough.
Speaker 2 (07:46):
I mentioned all in wind eight percent of the loss
of life occurs because of wind exposure. Sixteen percent, you
are twice as likely to meet the worst case outcome
from what happens after the hurricane has passed than you
are during the impact of the hurricane, including the tornadoes
(08:06):
that can be associated with it, twice as likely.
Speaker 1 (08:09):
Of those sixteen dats.
Speaker 2 (08:10):
And again, where you know, I was taking a look
at trying to figure out, Okay, how did these come about?
It looks like most of them at this point might
be exposure related. Already, people who survived the storm and
ended up getting themselves in trouble. And this included some
people getting in cars and going and get themselves in
a bad way. And this is one of the things,
you know, with a lot of people still without power
in this area, you need be careful of those down
(08:30):
power lines and mindful of it. And also that yeah,
you can get out there, especially if you're in a
hard hit area where a tornado went through. You can
get in a car and get yourself in trouble that
way still too, So remaining patient, being careful as you
get out and about, and just being smart about the
whole thing is really important because again, nobody will take
a look at, you know, a major hurricane making landfall,
all those tornadoes that respond and think, you know, I'm
(08:53):
twice at risk right now, that's calm out there than
I was all that was going on, but again statistically
you are and it looks like now we might have
the most house of life associated with Milton after it dissipated,
didn't even exist as a system. So anyway, I know,
patience is easier said than done, but that is definitely
(09:15):
the order of the day.