Are you using popular migration reports to guide your multifamily investments? You might be relying on the wrong signals. In this episode, Jeannette Friedrich breaks down why the U-Haul data, while eye-catching, can be dangerously misleading if taken at face value. She reveals the common pitfalls investors fall into when interpreting these trends, and how to analyse migration data in a way that supports sound multifamily investment decisions.
Key Takeaways:
- Why high inbound moves do not guarantee population growth: The U-Haul report shows where people are moving to, but not who is moving out. This is a critical gap in understanding net migration.
- The frequency vs. volume trap: Seeing states like California mentioned often does not mean they are losing large populations. The report lacks the necessary context investors need.
- Correlation does not equal causation: A spike in moves from New York to Miami does not automatically mean rents in Miami will rise. Additional factors like job growth, wage trends, and housing supply must be considered.
- The overlooked macro trend: New immigration and deportation policies could result in negative net migration in the US for the first time in 50 years. This may impact labour markets, GDP, and housing demand.
- How to use migration data responsibly: Jeannette shares best practices for cross-referencing sources, analysing both inbound and outbound flows, and drilling into local submarket details.
This episode is essential listening for investors who want to move beyond hype and headlines. Learn how to extract meaningful insights from migration data and avoid making costly mistakes based on incomplete information.ย
View U-Haulโs 2025 Midyear Report: https://www.uhaul.com/Articles/About/U-Haul-2025-Midyear-Migration-Trends-35212/ย
Timestamps
00:00 Introduction to U-Haul's 2025 Migration Trends Report
01:16 Misleading Aspects of the Report
01:37 Common Mistakes in Interpreting Migration Data
03:23 Critical Macro Factors to Consider
04:20 Best Practices for Conducting Due Diligence
05:54 Conclusion and Final Thoughts
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Credits
Producer: Blue Lake Capital
Strategist: Syed Mahmood
Editor: Emma Walker
Opening music: Pomplamoose
*๐๐ญ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐ฑ๐ช๐ต๐ข๐ญ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ท๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ต๐ช๐ฆ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ข๐ค๐ค๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ๐ช๐ต๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ท๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฐ๐ณ๐ด ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ญ๐บ. ๐๐ฉ๐ช๐ด ๐ช๐ด ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ง๐ง๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ ๐ข ๐ด๐ฆ๐ค๐ถ๐ณ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ข ๐ด๐ฐ๐ญ๐ช๐ค๐ช๐ต๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ ๐ข ๐ด๐ฆ๐ค๐ถ๐ณ๐ช๐ต๐บ. ๐๐ญ๐ฆ๐ข๐ด๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ถ๐ญ๐ต ๐ธ๐ช๐ต๐ฉ ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ณ ๐๐๐, ๐ข๐ต๐ต๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐บ, ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ/๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ง๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ ๐ง๐ช๐ฏ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ช๐ข๐ญ ๐ข๐ฅ๐ท๐ช๐ด๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐จ๐ข๐ณ๐ฅ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ถ๐ช๐ต๐ข๐ฃ๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ข๐ฏ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ท๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต ๐ฃ๐บ ๐บ๐ฐ๐ถ.
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