This is a blogpost version of a talk I gave earlier this year at GDM.
Epistemic status: Vague and handwavy. Nuance is often missing. Some of the claims depend on implicit definitions that may be reasonable to disagree with. But overall I think it's directionally true.
It's often said that mech interp is pre-paradigmatic.
I think it's worth being skeptical of this claim.
In this post I argue that:
Mech interp is not pre-paradigmatic.
Within that paradigm, there have been "waves" (mini paradigms). Two waves so far.
Second-Wave Mech Interp has recently entered a 'crisis' phase.
We may be on the edge of a third wave.
Preamble: Kuhn, paradigms, and paradigm shifts
First, we need to be familiar with the basic definition of a paradigm:
A paradigm is a distinct set of concepts or thought patterns, including theories, research [...]
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Outline:
(00:58) Preamble: Kuhn, paradigms, and paradigm shifts
(03:56) Claim: Mech Interp is Not Pre-paradigmatic
(07:56) First-Wave Mech Interp (ca. 2012 - 2021)
(10:21) The Crisis in First-Wave Mech Interp
(11:21) Second-Wave Mech Interp (ca. 2022 - ??)
(14:23) Anomalies in Second-Wave Mech Interp
(17:10) The Crisis of Second-Wave Mech Interp (ca. 2025 - ??)