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May 15, 2024 17 mins

In this episode, host Belle Osvath, CFP® welcomes David Marra, Chief Investment Officer at Markin Asset Management, back to discuss the current state of U.S. equity markets and investment strategies in the context of perceived market overvaluation.

David shares insights into the cyclically adjusted PE ratio (CAPE) and its implications for future market returns, highlighting expectations of lower-than-average equity returns over the next decade due to high current valuations.

David also delves into the concept of "American exceptionalism" in financial markets, attributing recent strong performances to efficient capital markets and aggressive federal deficit spending, which he warns may not be sustainable. He stresses the importance of investors adjusting expectations and planning strategies to anticipate potentially lower future returns.

Furthermore, David explores investment opportunities in sectors less dependent on government expenditure, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI) and GLP-1-related healthcare innovations. He emphasizes AI's increasing utility and potential for substantial growth, contrasting it with the dot-com bubble by noting more sustainable current valuations and profitability among leading AI firms.

 

https://markinfunds.com/

https://www.linkedin.com/in/david-marra-8693b44/

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The Smarter Planner Podcast is a product of the Financial Planning Association National Capital Area Chapter (FPA NCA). All information is for educational and informational purposes only. Belle Osvath and the FPA NCA do not endorse or recommend any people, products, or services featured or discussed in this podcast.

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