Welcome back to Fat Dog and The Cat, where the data drives and emotion parks the car.
Today’s October 10 card brings two spots where math meets mismatch: one on the diamond, one on the hardwood.
It’s win or go home, and both offenses are swinging like they know it. Detroit just posted nine runs, and Seattle’s already proven it can get to Skubal — twice, in fact, off Jorge Polanco’s bat.
At 5.5, the market’s asleep. This number belongs in April, not October. Short leashes mean bullpens early, and relievers mean volatility. All we need is one splash inning, and we’re towel shopping by the seventh.
Satou Sabally’s concussion takes Phoenix’s best shot-maker off the board, and A’ja Wilson’s been in full cheat-code mode since tipoff — dropping 34 and 14 in Game 3.
Vegas’s half-court efficiency, free-throw edge, and depth all tilt this spread past a single possession late.
When it tightens, execution wins — and that’s the Aces’ entire brand.
That wraps your October 10 board:
Tigers-Mariners Over 5.5
Las Vegas Aces -3
Two sharp reads built on form, data, and market context — because luck fades, but logic travels.
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