Morning Bell 12 June

Investors weighed inflation data as the consumer price index rose 0.1% in May from April, less than the 0.2% estimate from economists were expecting. Core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, also increased 0.1%, less than expected. All three major US benchmarks closed lower. The Dow Jones lost 1.1%, the S&P500 lost 0.27%, following a 3- day winning streak, while the Nasdaq closed down 0.5%.European markets were mixed as focus remains on the US - China trade discussions, which occurred this week in London. Germany’s DAX is down 0.16%, France’s CAC down 0.36%, the FTSE100 was in the green, up 0.13%, while the STOXX600 closed 0.27% lower.

Yesterday, the Australian market gained 0.06% by the close, with real estate, energy and materials sectors leading the market’s gains. On the other end, information technology was the biggest mover, declining 1.5%, so keep watch of tech stocks today, with the Nasdaq also lower overnight

What to watch today:

• The SPI futures are suggesting that our local market will open 0.23% higher this morning, however the futures lost earlier gains this morning, following reports that the US are preparing to partially evacuate the Iraq embassy over regional security.
• In economic data, consumer inflation expectations will be out at 11:00am this morning.
• And in commodities:
  • Crude oil has rallied 4.9% trading at US$68.15 per barrel, after President Donald Trump announced a preliminary trade deal with China, raising hopes for stronger energy demand. The agreement includes China supplying rare earth minerals and the US easing restrictions on Chinese students, however final approval is still pending.
  • Gold has gained 1% trading at US$3,363
  • And iron ore is up 0.3% at US$95.78 per tonne.

Trading ideas:

• Bell Potter have maintained their Buy rating on marketing and communications business IVE Group (ASX:IGL) and have increased their price target by 7% to $3.00 as the broker expects a positive trading update and upgrade in FY25 guidance. At the current share price of $2.66 this implies 12.8% share price growth in a year.
• And Trading Central have identified a bullish signal in ResMed (ASX:RMD) indicating that the stock price may rise from the close of $39.02 to the range of $44.50 to $45.75 over 36 days, according to the standard principles of technical analysis.