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June 17, 2025 31 mins

Will IBM’s Starling Quantum Computer really deliver 20,000 × today’s computing power by 2029?

IBM Quantum CTO Oliver Dial joins Mark & Jeremy to Think On Paper about Starling, the first quantum chip built for real-time error correction and the milestone that could turn quantum hype into quantum reality.

  • Fault tolerance, decoded. Forget raw qubit counts; Starling aims for a 1 : 1 000 logical-to-physical ratio, trading 10 000 noisy qubits for 200 “perfect” ones.

  • $30 billion on the line. IBM’s biggest R & D bet shifts the race from bigger to better—and faster.

  • Why it matters. From drug discovery to risk modeling, a self-healing quantum computer could crack problems no supercomputer can touch.


Please enjoy the show. And if the episode blows your mind, share it with a friend who loves thinking on paper.

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Links and resources:

IBM Quantum: ⁠https://quantum.ibm.com/⁠

Starling press release: ⁠https://newsroom.ibm.com/2025-06-10-I...⁠

Blog: ⁠https://www.ibm.com/quantum/blog/larg...⁠

IBM Roadmap updates: ⁠   • 2025 IBM Quantum Roadmap update  ⁠


Follow Thinking On Paper:

Thinking On Paper: ⁠https://www.thinkingonpaper.xyz/⁠


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Chapters

(00:00) IBM's Quantum Investment

(02:11) The IBM Roadmap to Quantum Advantage

(05:00) Error Mitigation vs. Fault Tolerance

(07:47) The Hybrid Quantum-Classical Approach

(10:18) Physical vs. Logical Qubits

(12:45) Magic States and Universal Quantum Computing

(15:15) Loon, Kookaburra & Future IBM Developments and Milestones

(17:12) The Future of IBM Quantum Computing

(19:11) A Day in the Life of an IBM Quantum CTO

(21:25) Building a Quantum Workforce

(23:37) The Intersection of AI and Quantum

(25:40) Practical Applications of Quantum Technology

(28:02) Why Quantum Matters to Humanity



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