November 5, 2024 • 29 mins
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
It's that time, time, time, time, luck and load. So
Michael Arry Show is on the air. What will we
(00:35):
do with this moment? How will we be remembered?
Speaker 2 (00:42):
Look at the opportunities before us.
Speaker 3 (00:48):
We need to remember above and beyond that we must
love our neighbors, That we must treat.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
Other people as we hope to be treated.
Speaker 2 (00:58):
The people this current and it's the people who are
making America great again.
Speaker 4 (01:16):
Together.
Speaker 5 (01:17):
They crossed the oceans, settled the continent, came the wilderness,
laid down the railroad's, raised up those mighty skyscrapers, built
the highways, one two world wars, defeated fascism and communism,
and launched American astronauts to the moon. It was hard
(01:38):
working patriots like you who built this country, and now
it's hard working patriots like you who are going to
save our country.
Speaker 6 (01:51):
When people ask me, why aren't the polls more accurate, Well,
first of all, remember this, folks.
Speaker 3 (02:11):
You've been fed poles by different people for months. Some
of those people wanted you to believe that Trump couldn't win,
because if Trump couldn't win, then you would abandon him,
was the strategy.
Speaker 1 (02:29):
So they would push.
Speaker 3 (02:31):
His polling down and the idea was you'll go over
to Nicki Haley or you'll stay home. Another reason for
that is is truly Trump always overperforms. He's doing it
today the polls because a lot of people are going
(02:52):
to vote for Trump but will not tell a pollster
that they're going to vote for Trump.
Speaker 1 (02:59):
Many of you are that way.
Speaker 3 (03:01):
And another thing that factors into this, have you personally
been polled? And if and I don't mean it's not
Tim Wall's question, but you're not going to answer the poll.
I'm not going to answer a poll. All right, You're
not going to reach me, and you're not going to
reach people like me. We're busy when I have time
to deal with that. Alex Castianos was on Fox and
(03:23):
he's talking about, uh, this is about registration. Actually, no,
let me come back to that. Let me come back
to that.
Speaker 1 (03:33):
This is from the New York Times.
Speaker 3 (03:38):
They admit in their final poll that quote, white Democrats
were sixteen percent likelier to respond than white Republicans, adding
that quote, that's a larger disparity than our earlier polls
this year, and it's not much better than our final
(04:00):
polls in twenty twenty.
Speaker 1 (04:03):
So what's happening.
Speaker 3 (04:05):
White Democrats because this is their cult, it is their religion.
When they're called by upholster, they want to make sure
their vote is counting, whereas white Republicans go, no, I
don't trust you creeps New York Times, No, you people
are liars, you're fake news.
Speaker 1 (04:26):
They note four.
Speaker 3 (04:27):
Years ago, the polls were thought to underestimate mister Trump
because of non response bias, in which his supporters were
less likely to take surveys than demographically similar Biden supporters.
It's hard to measure non response bias, after all, we
couldn't reach these demographically similar voters.
Speaker 1 (04:48):
But one measure I track.
Speaker 3 (04:49):
From time to time is the proportion of Democrats or
Republicans who respond to a survey after considering other factors
across these final polls, and then that's where you get
the number. We don't respond to fake news. We don't
want to participate. You twist and contort. And by the way, folks,
let me tell you what's going to happen in the
(05:10):
coming days. There is going to be a reckoning for
these media outlets. Watch mark my words. CNN is going
to run out and try to grab some maga folks
to put on the air. Because CNN is in a
free fall. They desperately wanted to win this election, and
(05:30):
now now that it's over, their ratings are going to plumb.
Speaker 2 (05:34):
It.
Speaker 3 (05:34):
They're already down MSNBC, CNN. They're going to struggle and
they're going to try to win you back because nobody's
actually watching them on our side for anything resembling news
or commentary.
Speaker 1 (05:50):
It's a grudge watch. Let's see what these idiots are
up to. All right, So.
Speaker 3 (05:56):
Alex Castianos on Fox talking about how pole bolsters are
getting it wrong. Because remember when you take a poll,
if you if you interview one thousand people, you poll
a thousand people, you're supposed to poll them parallel equivalent
to what that demographic is in the registered population likely
(06:20):
to vote. So if you know that sixty eight percent
of voters in a particular state are going to vote
or expected to vote that are white male Republicans, then
you would you would need to pull that many people.
But when they don't pull, when the sample is not accurate,
the result is not accurate.
Speaker 1 (06:40):
Here's what he said. We're talking about the Iowa Pole.
Speaker 7 (06:42):
This is Des Moines Register and this poll had Harris
up Alex three points and there you see Robert F.
Speaker 1 (06:50):
Kennedy Junior at three points.
Speaker 7 (06:52):
And Emerson Pole came out with Trump up ten just
about a half an hour before that. Polling in the
last few days for an election, what's your thoughts on.
Speaker 4 (07:02):
I'm ready to say, let's fill all the pollsters instead
of the lawyers, except my friend Mark Penn. I like
Mark Penn, I think the pollsters are getting this wrong.
We're all missing something because they're giving us the same
poll over and over again. There isn't even statistical variation.
You know, ninety five percent confidence level means that five
(07:23):
percent of the time you're going to get a crappy poll.
We hardly ever see that. It's like they're telling us
we're watching a basketball game, where ever he plays a
jump ball. Somebody is missing something. What I think they're
missing is a massive shift in voter registration underneath all
of this. Thirty one states have voter registration by party.
Thirty of them in the past four years have seen
(07:44):
movement toward Republicans. Miami Dade County is now voting more Republican.
Iowa was plus one Republican, it's now plus ten. And
yet we're getting these surveys that I think are off base.
Somewhere somebody is missing. I think there's I'm not going
to call it a wave, but I think there's a
wave lick out there of Republican enthusiasm and registration. If
(08:08):
I registered about Republican, whether I'm switching or new.
Speaker 1 (08:14):
Ramon said, have you tried to ask? We both laughed
so hard, like a very show. It's kind of embarrassing. Actually,
he's an idiot.
Speaker 8 (08:35):
Inflation has wiped out the life savings of our citizens
and forced the middle class into a state of depression
and despair.
Speaker 2 (08:43):
That's what it is. It's despair and depression. We cannot
and will not let this continue. Less than four years ago,
we were a great nation, and we will soon be
a great nation again. We're going to be a great
nation again to our citizens. On day one, we will
drive down prices and make America affordable again.
Speaker 1 (09:04):
We have to make it affordable. It's not affordable. People
can't live like this.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
Under my plan, income as will skyrocket, inflation will vanish completely,
jobs will come roaring back, and the middle class will
prosper like never ever before. And we're going to do
it very rapidly. I will bring back the American dream.
Speaker 1 (09:26):
That's what we're going to do.
Speaker 2 (09:27):
You don't even hear about the American dream anymore.
Speaker 1 (09:33):
With great humility, I.
Speaker 2 (09:35):
Am asking you to be excited about the future of
our country.
Speaker 1 (09:39):
Be excited, Be excited.
Speaker 3 (10:21):
So uh, starting life as a lawyer, loving the art
of the jury trial and I have to go to
law school to have watched a lot of movies and
you know the dramatic trial and the closing argument. Well,
I was a debater growing up, and your closing statement
(10:45):
is where you're going to win or lose.
Speaker 1 (10:48):
You're going to win or lose the case.
Speaker 3 (10:51):
And I will say this, and Trump supporters don't like
me to say anything other than Trump is great. This
is a compliment. I want to be clear on that.
We're going to miss Donald Trump the candidate. But I
will tell you when I look at Donald Trump the
candidate starting June sixteenth, when he came down that escalator
(11:12):
in twenty fifteen, and I look at the twenty sixteen
race and a twenty twenty race, and now this race,
he has grown a great deal in certain aspects where
I don't think he was as strong as he is
in other aspects of the campaign. Or of being a campaigner.
(11:33):
He has grown in his ability to give a succinct
closing statement before. I think one of the things that
has made Donald Trump so popular is this very conversational
and very raw, authentic delivery. What I think people are
(11:59):
showing up for is the idea. I think most Americans
are of the opinion. Look, I don't care what he says.
I know what he'll do, and I think he cares
about me, and I think he loves this country and
it's a sad state of affairs that today was about.
We want our country back, and we're not ashamed to
(12:21):
say it anymore. But we went back. We were looking
at ways to kind of close out the show today
and Donald Trump's closing statement at the end of his
debate with Kamala Harris, let's go back to that. It
seemed like a good way to end the campaign on
election day because as of tomorrow, you won't want to
(12:42):
hear this stuff.
Speaker 1 (12:43):
But it's really, really, really well done.
Speaker 3 (12:47):
So this was the ABC debate, Remember the David Muir
and all those they gained up on him. What was
lost in all that was at the very end, he
delivered a wonderful closing statement and I wanted to give
that a little more like life today.
Speaker 2 (13:01):
So she just started by saying she's going to do this,
She's going to do that, She's going to do all
these wonderful things. Why hasn't she done it. She's been
there for three and a half years. They've had three
and a half years to fix the border, they've had
three and a half years to create jobs and all
the things we talked about. Why hasn't she done it?
(13:22):
She should leave right now, go down to that beautiful
White House, go to the Capitol, get everyone together, and
do the things you want to do. But you haven't
done it, and you won't do it because you believe
in things that the American people don't believe in. You
believe in things like we're not going to frack, we're
not going to take fossil fuel, we're not going to
do things that are going to make this country strong,
(13:44):
whether you like it or not. Germany tried that and
within one year they were back to building normal energy plants.
We're not ready for it. We can't sacrifice our country
for the sake of bad vision. But I just ask
one simple que why didn't she do it? We're a
failing nation. We're a nation that's in serious decline. We're
(14:08):
being laughed at all over the world.
Speaker 1 (14:10):
All over the.
Speaker 2 (14:10):
World, they laugh. I know the leaders very well. They're
coming to see me, they call me. We're laughed at
all over the world. They don't understand what happened to
us as a nation. We're not a leader. We don't
have any idea what's going on. We have wars going
on in the Middle East, we have wars going on
with Russia and Ukraine.
Speaker 1 (14:29):
We're going to end up.
Speaker 2 (14:30):
In a third World War, and it'll be a war
like no other because of nuclear weapons, the power of weaponry.
Speaker 1 (14:37):
I rebuilt our entire military.
Speaker 2 (14:40):
She gave a lot of it away to the Taliban,
she gave it to Afghanistan. What these people have done
to our country, and maybe toughest of.
Speaker 1 (14:49):
All is allowing millions of.
Speaker 2 (14:51):
People to come into our country. Many of them are criminals,
and they're destroying our country. The worst president, the worst
vice president.
Speaker 1 (15:00):
In the history of our runners. Today of everyone's thinking
they can actually live the American tream the Michael Berry Show.
Speaker 3 (15:08):
You know, I look at elections and camp sorry campaigns.
The election is the conclusion of a campaign the elections,
where the rubber hits the road, that's that's where you
take stock. You know, you've been working up this recipe
for a while and you bring it out of the
oven and Mom says, all right, guys, taste this from me.
Speaker 1 (15:28):
What do y'all think?
Speaker 3 (15:30):
Well, that's good right when I look at this campaign
and how fluid campaigns are, you know, because most talk
radio listeners have very defined value systems. They're very consistent.
(15:52):
You've known who your candidate was all along, and you've
seen that. The crazy Democrats have known own that whoever
they were told to support, they would if it was
the old demented guy who pooped his pants, they would,
if it was this woman that's never won to vote
for president, she's never had one vote for president, not one,
(16:14):
not as a candidate. Then they would vote for whoever
they were told to and all the while claiming to
preserve democracy when their candidate was handpicked. I mean, it's
it's really grotesque if you think about it. It's really
distinctly un American. It is everything they claim, but that's
that's usual, right. But what tends to get lost is
(16:37):
there's just it's a bell curve. The people in the
middle who are now breaking for Trump across every demographic
group in massive numbers.
Speaker 1 (16:50):
Today.
Speaker 3 (16:51):
These people are watching and they what they saw told
them I like the direction of him. And I'm going
to tell you when we go back and do the
post mortem on this thing, we really look deeply at
where the voters have broken and we're seeing this. I
(17:13):
think in Pennsylvania one of the major issues was the
lack of Josh Shapiro on the ticket. I think Josh
Shapiro on the ticket or Kamala Harris could have made
this a very different election, very different election. But I
think we're going to see a lot of people who
weren't traditionally Republicans who have voted for Trump and their
(17:34):
other Republicans who voted for reasons like Trump coming out
and saying I'm going to put Elon Musk well Trump
bringing a musk stepping into the void and saying I
want to help Donald Trump. And you know when he
did it, when Trump was shot, that was the moment
(17:56):
that Elon said I'm supporting him. And I remember at
the time thinking, wow, that's pretty bold, because I'll bet
you eighty five percent of Tesla owners maybe not that high,
are Democrats, and they're not only Democrats.
Speaker 1 (18:15):
They're going to be angry at him.
Speaker 3 (18:18):
Over supporting Trump, and they're going to be angry at
him to the point that they're going to want to
burn his place down. They're going to be angry at him,
and they're going to want to do harm to him.
And you're seeing that they're calling for him to be deported.
I mean, it's a they're very nasty, mean, vicious people.
When Elon came out, that cleared the way for Rogan
(18:43):
to get.
Speaker 1 (18:44):
Friendlier with him.
Speaker 3 (18:45):
I mean, let's not forget Rogan was talking fondly about
Bernie Sanders.
Speaker 1 (18:51):
And then Rogan, do you how many.
Speaker 3 (18:54):
People remember your polls are closed now so I can
say this, how many people remember that? Trump got mad
at Rogan because he thought Rogan was endorsing another candidate
that was just a few months ago. And then last
night Rogan comes out and endorses Trump.
Speaker 1 (19:10):
That was a big deal.
Speaker 3 (19:12):
That may not seem like a big deal to you
because it doesn't move you, but that will move a
lot of people that are hard to get to vote
for a Republican, people that are maybe MMA bros, you know,
wrestling bros, boxing match bros.
Speaker 1 (19:34):
Those people are heard.
Speaker 3 (19:36):
It tends to be young white male disinterested in politics
who kind of vaguely buy into the well Republicans are
all racist and my parents are racist. Now Rogan comes
out and gives them, he makes it okay for them
to vote for Trump. I think Elon's involvement had a
(19:59):
lot to do with that, a lot to do with that.
Speaker 1 (20:02):
So anyway, here's.
Speaker 3 (20:04):
Trump talking about not just Elon's support, but bringing Elon
into the administration.
Speaker 2 (20:12):
That the suggestion of Elon Musk, who has given me
his complete and total endorsement.
Speaker 1 (20:18):
That's nice.
Speaker 2 (20:19):
Smart guy. He knows what he's doing. He knows what
he's doing. That's very much appreciated. I will create a
Government Efficiency Commission, task with conducting a complete financial and
performance audit of the entire federal government and making recommendations
for drastic reforms we need to do. It can't go.
Speaker 1 (20:41):
On the way we are now.
Speaker 2 (20:48):
And Elon, because he's not very busy, has agreed to
head that task force. Interesting, if he has the time,
have a good one to do it.
Speaker 1 (20:59):
I love it. I love it.
Speaker 3 (21:02):
Not to mention when we're talking about this, what about
RFK Junior, don't underestimate how many people really like rfk
jor some of them are Republicans, some of whom are Democrats.
It was always a debate. I spent a lot of
(21:24):
time thinking about this, reading about it. Which one was
he pulling more from. But it's fascinating to me that
this guy has the pedigree, this is the most blue
blood Democrat in the country, and his make America Healthy
Again campaign, I think that resonates with a lot of people,
(21:47):
a lot of mommies especially. They're tired of junk being
fed to their kids, poison being fed to their kids,
poison being injected into their kids. And it kind of
part and parcel of healthy families, healthy children, healthy future.
This has come together nicely, and I think tonight, I
think through the course of this this night, and by
tomorrow morning, we're going to like where we are.
Speaker 1 (22:09):
What do you think that top country, Michael Berry? We
think sweets tea.
Speaker 8 (22:14):
We don't you think socialist?
Speaker 3 (22:19):
You know, by tomorrow we're going to know not just well,
let me say this. I'm going to spend a lot
of time learning why people cast their vote, particularly based
on geographic areas.
Speaker 1 (22:36):
But when I already know that Trump's success.
Speaker 3 (22:41):
Is related to a unifying message, a very aspirational, uplifting,
soaring bit of of of language. And I'm going to
tell you, I think I'm going to go back to
the Madison Square Garden rally. The Democrats told you that
that hurt Trump. That's how you know they were scared
(23:02):
of it. That rally showcased a lot of talent around Trump,
and I think that's important. He talked about and he
has talked more and more openly about his relationship to
God and his personal faith. And I believe that getting
shot in the head had a lot to.
Speaker 1 (23:20):
Do with that.
Speaker 2 (23:21):
After all we have been through together, we stand on
the verge of the four greatest years.
Speaker 8 (23:27):
In the history of the USA. With your help, from
now until election Day, we will restore America's promise. We
will put America first and we will take back the
nation that we all love.
Speaker 1 (23:44):
We believe the same blood, we share the same.
Speaker 2 (23:48):
Home, and we salute the same great American flag. We
are one people, one family, and one oation under God.
Speaker 1 (24:02):
We will never give in. We will never give up, we.
Speaker 2 (24:04):
Will never ever back down, and we will never ever
ever ever surrender.
Speaker 8 (24:15):
Together, we will fight, fight, fight.
Speaker 1 (24:17):
And we will win. Win, win. We're gonna win, win, win.
Speaker 3 (24:22):
One of the things I've always found annoying is how
in sports, when a team wins or loses, Super Bowl,
World Series, whatever it is, before the game is even over,
fans start talking about what kind of team are we
gonna have next year?
Speaker 1 (24:39):
And my point is, enjoy this moment for a moment, but.
Speaker 3 (24:44):
This will immediately begin for the people for whom politics
is sport, and they will immediately begin the discussion about
who our candidates should be and who the leaders should be.
And there will always be an outsized discussion of who's
already there, because that's the table that's been set.
Speaker 1 (25:01):
There will be a lot to talk about jd Vance.
Speaker 3 (25:03):
Obviously, there'll be a lot to talk about Nicki Hailary
because the Hillary of the Republican Party, which is why
we call her Nicki Hailary, is out there and because
she ran before. But there will be other candidates who
will arise, much as jd Vance did once tapped by
Donald Trump. But what we will learn from this campaign
(25:25):
how Republicans can win, How Republicans can win voters who
don't see themselves as Republicans, whether they be independent or
full blown Democrats. As happened is you've got to you've
got to connect with people in a way that is inclusive. Ramon,
This is going to be clip number five oh three.
(25:47):
This is also from the Madison Square Garden rally, because
I want it to be understood what Trump did and
why this is important. So Jews and.
Speaker 2 (25:57):
Muslims, and Catholics and Evangelicals, Mormons, and they're all joining
our course and large numbers larger than anyone has ever
seen in this country before, larger than they've ever seen
in any country. And the Republican Party has really become
the party of inclusion.
Speaker 1 (26:16):
And that's something very nice about that.
Speaker 3 (26:18):
Now, what is interesting is one of the unifying issues
in this election.
Speaker 1 (26:23):
Believe it or not.
Speaker 3 (26:24):
The Democrats will tell you that this is divisive and mean,
but it's not. Blacks and whites and Hispanics alike understand
that there is a mass invasion into this country that
is killing our people and that we cannot afford. And
Trump is a man that stays on message.
Speaker 1 (26:43):
Today, I make you this promise.
Speaker 8 (26:45):
I will liberate Wisconsin, in our entire nation from this
mass migration invasion of murders, child predators, drug dealers, gang members.
Speaker 5 (26:55):
And thugs are going to be liberated to deliberate.
Speaker 3 (27:00):
And we closed the show with a message of hope
by our leader. And we chose this one last because
I think this has been a positive campaign and a
positive direction for our country, and I'm proud to have
supported it alongside you, good folks.
Speaker 2 (27:21):
I'm here today with a message.
Speaker 1 (27:23):
Of hope for all Americans.
Speaker 8 (27:25):
With your vote in this election, I will end inflation,
I will stop the invasion, and I will bring back
the American dream. Our country is being crippled and destroyed
by Kamala.
Speaker 2 (27:42):
Harris Kamala.
Speaker 1 (27:44):
How the hell did that ever? How did that ever happen?
Speaker 8 (27:49):
The guy had fourteen million votes.
Speaker 2 (27:51):
I'm no fan of his, by the way, but he
had fourteen million votes.
Speaker 1 (27:55):
He had none.
Speaker 8 (27:55):
She was the first to lose twenty two people. She
was the first out.
Speaker 2 (27:59):
She never made it to the great state of Iowa,
never made it.
Speaker 8 (28:03):
And well, you know, they talk about it.
Speaker 2 (28:06):
She is a threat to democracy, Hoby, that's trelier.
Speaker 8 (28:09):
She's a threat to a lot of things. But that's
the way it has to be. Because we're winning by
a lot, We're leading by a lot, We're leading in.
Speaker 2 (28:17):
The polls, every single state looks like we're going you.
Speaker 8 (28:24):
And with your supporter, of November fifth, America will be bigger, better, bolder, richer, safer,
and stronger than ever before. This election is a choice
between whether we will have a four I think of
this four more years.
Speaker 1 (28:41):
Could you stand it? Four more years of incompetence and
stupidity and fail.
Speaker 8 (28:50):
You're in disaster, Or whether we will begin the four
greatest years.
Speaker 1 (28:54):
In the history of our country. I think we have
a real chair
It's that time, time, time, time, luck and load. So
Michael Arry Show is on the air. What will we
(00:35):
do with this moment? How will we be remembered?
Speaker 2 (00:42):
Look at the opportunities before us.
Speaker 3 (00:48):
We need to remember above and beyond that we must
love our neighbors, That we must treat.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
Other people as we hope to be treated.
Speaker 2 (00:58):
The people this current and it's the people who are
making America great again.
Speaker 4 (01:16):
Together.
Speaker 5 (01:17):
They crossed the oceans, settled the continent, came the wilderness,
laid down the railroad's, raised up those mighty skyscrapers, built
the highways, one two world wars, defeated fascism and communism,
and launched American astronauts to the moon. It was hard
(01:38):
working patriots like you who built this country, and now
it's hard working patriots like you who are going to
save our country.
Speaker 6 (01:51):
When people ask me, why aren't the polls more accurate, Well,
first of all, remember this, folks.
Speaker 3 (02:11):
You've been fed poles by different people for months. Some
of those people wanted you to believe that Trump couldn't win,
because if Trump couldn't win, then you would abandon him,
was the strategy.
Speaker 1 (02:29):
So they would push.
Speaker 3 (02:31):
His polling down and the idea was you'll go over
to Nicki Haley or you'll stay home. Another reason for
that is is truly Trump always overperforms. He's doing it
today the polls because a lot of people are going
(02:52):
to vote for Trump but will not tell a pollster
that they're going to vote for Trump.
Speaker 1 (02:59):
Many of you are that way.
Speaker 3 (03:01):
And another thing that factors into this, have you personally
been polled? And if and I don't mean it's not
Tim Wall's question, but you're not going to answer the poll.
I'm not going to answer a poll. All right, You're
not going to reach me, and you're not going to
reach people like me. We're busy when I have time
to deal with that. Alex Castianos was on Fox and
(03:23):
he's talking about, uh, this is about registration. Actually, no,
let me come back to that. Let me come back
to that.
Speaker 1 (03:33):
This is from the New York Times.
Speaker 3 (03:38):
They admit in their final poll that quote, white Democrats
were sixteen percent likelier to respond than white Republicans, adding
that quote, that's a larger disparity than our earlier polls
this year, and it's not much better than our final
(04:00):
polls in twenty twenty.
Speaker 1 (04:03):
So what's happening.
Speaker 3 (04:05):
White Democrats because this is their cult, it is their religion.
When they're called by upholster, they want to make sure
their vote is counting, whereas white Republicans go, no, I
don't trust you creeps New York Times, No, you people
are liars, you're fake news.
Speaker 1 (04:26):
They note four.
Speaker 3 (04:27):
Years ago, the polls were thought to underestimate mister Trump
because of non response bias, in which his supporters were
less likely to take surveys than demographically similar Biden supporters.
It's hard to measure non response bias, after all, we
couldn't reach these demographically similar voters.
Speaker 1 (04:48):
But one measure I track.
Speaker 3 (04:49):
From time to time is the proportion of Democrats or
Republicans who respond to a survey after considering other factors
across these final polls, and then that's where you get
the number. We don't respond to fake news. We don't
want to participate. You twist and contort. And by the way, folks,
let me tell you what's going to happen in the
(05:10):
coming days. There is going to be a reckoning for
these media outlets. Watch mark my words. CNN is going
to run out and try to grab some maga folks
to put on the air. Because CNN is in a
free fall. They desperately wanted to win this election, and
(05:30):
now now that it's over, their ratings are going to plumb.
Speaker 2 (05:34):
It.
Speaker 3 (05:34):
They're already down MSNBC, CNN. They're going to struggle and
they're going to try to win you back because nobody's
actually watching them on our side for anything resembling news
or commentary.
Speaker 1 (05:50):
It's a grudge watch. Let's see what these idiots are
up to. All right, So.
Speaker 3 (05:56):
Alex Castianos on Fox talking about how pole bolsters are
getting it wrong. Because remember when you take a poll,
if you if you interview one thousand people, you poll
a thousand people, you're supposed to poll them parallel equivalent
to what that demographic is in the registered population likely
(06:20):
to vote. So if you know that sixty eight percent
of voters in a particular state are going to vote
or expected to vote that are white male Republicans, then
you would you would need to pull that many people.
But when they don't pull, when the sample is not accurate,
the result is not accurate.
Speaker 1 (06:40):
Here's what he said. We're talking about the Iowa Pole.
Speaker 7 (06:42):
This is Des Moines Register and this poll had Harris
up Alex three points and there you see Robert F.
Speaker 1 (06:50):
Kennedy Junior at three points.
Speaker 7 (06:52):
And Emerson Pole came out with Trump up ten just
about a half an hour before that. Polling in the
last few days for an election, what's your thoughts on.
Speaker 4 (07:02):
I'm ready to say, let's fill all the pollsters instead
of the lawyers, except my friend Mark Penn. I like
Mark Penn, I think the pollsters are getting this wrong.
We're all missing something because they're giving us the same
poll over and over again. There isn't even statistical variation.
You know, ninety five percent confidence level means that five
(07:23):
percent of the time you're going to get a crappy poll.
We hardly ever see that. It's like they're telling us
we're watching a basketball game, where ever he plays a
jump ball. Somebody is missing something. What I think they're
missing is a massive shift in voter registration underneath all
of this. Thirty one states have voter registration by party.
Thirty of them in the past four years have seen
(07:44):
movement toward Republicans. Miami Dade County is now voting more Republican.
Iowa was plus one Republican, it's now plus ten. And
yet we're getting these surveys that I think are off base.
Somewhere somebody is missing. I think there's I'm not going
to call it a wave, but I think there's a
wave lick out there of Republican enthusiasm and registration. If
(08:08):
I registered about Republican, whether I'm switching or new.
Speaker 1 (08:14):
Ramon said, have you tried to ask? We both laughed
so hard, like a very show. It's kind of embarrassing. Actually,
he's an idiot.
Speaker 8 (08:35):
Inflation has wiped out the life savings of our citizens
and forced the middle class into a state of depression
and despair.
Speaker 2 (08:43):
That's what it is. It's despair and depression. We cannot
and will not let this continue. Less than four years ago,
we were a great nation, and we will soon be
a great nation again. We're going to be a great
nation again to our citizens. On day one, we will
drive down prices and make America affordable again.
Speaker 1 (09:04):
We have to make it affordable. It's not affordable. People
can't live like this.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
Under my plan, income as will skyrocket, inflation will vanish completely,
jobs will come roaring back, and the middle class will
prosper like never ever before. And we're going to do
it very rapidly. I will bring back the American dream.
Speaker 1 (09:26):
That's what we're going to do.
Speaker 2 (09:27):
You don't even hear about the American dream anymore.
Speaker 1 (09:33):
With great humility, I.
Speaker 2 (09:35):
Am asking you to be excited about the future of
our country.
Speaker 1 (09:39):
Be excited, Be excited.
Speaker 3 (10:21):
So uh, starting life as a lawyer, loving the art
of the jury trial and I have to go to
law school to have watched a lot of movies and
you know the dramatic trial and the closing argument. Well,
I was a debater growing up, and your closing statement
(10:45):
is where you're going to win or lose.
Speaker 1 (10:48):
You're going to win or lose the case.
Speaker 3 (10:51):
And I will say this, and Trump supporters don't like
me to say anything other than Trump is great. This
is a compliment. I want to be clear on that.
We're going to miss Donald Trump the candidate. But I
will tell you when I look at Donald Trump the
candidate starting June sixteenth, when he came down that escalator
(11:12):
in twenty fifteen, and I look at the twenty sixteen
race and a twenty twenty race, and now this race,
he has grown a great deal in certain aspects where
I don't think he was as strong as he is
in other aspects of the campaign. Or of being a campaigner.
(11:33):
He has grown in his ability to give a succinct
closing statement before. I think one of the things that
has made Donald Trump so popular is this very conversational
and very raw, authentic delivery. What I think people are
(11:59):
showing up for is the idea. I think most Americans
are of the opinion. Look, I don't care what he says.
I know what he'll do, and I think he cares
about me, and I think he loves this country and
it's a sad state of affairs that today was about.
We want our country back, and we're not ashamed to
(12:21):
say it anymore. But we went back. We were looking
at ways to kind of close out the show today
and Donald Trump's closing statement at the end of his
debate with Kamala Harris, let's go back to that. It
seemed like a good way to end the campaign on
election day because as of tomorrow, you won't want to
(12:42):
hear this stuff.
Speaker 1 (12:43):
But it's really, really, really well done.
Speaker 3 (12:47):
So this was the ABC debate, Remember the David Muir
and all those they gained up on him. What was
lost in all that was at the very end, he
delivered a wonderful closing statement and I wanted to give
that a little more like life today.
Speaker 2 (13:01):
So she just started by saying she's going to do this,
She's going to do that, She's going to do all
these wonderful things. Why hasn't she done it. She's been
there for three and a half years. They've had three
and a half years to fix the border, they've had
three and a half years to create jobs and all
the things we talked about. Why hasn't she done it?
(13:22):
She should leave right now, go down to that beautiful
White House, go to the Capitol, get everyone together, and
do the things you want to do. But you haven't
done it, and you won't do it because you believe
in things that the American people don't believe in. You
believe in things like we're not going to frack, we're
not going to take fossil fuel, we're not going to
do things that are going to make this country strong,
(13:44):
whether you like it or not. Germany tried that and
within one year they were back to building normal energy plants.
We're not ready for it. We can't sacrifice our country
for the sake of bad vision. But I just ask
one simple que why didn't she do it? We're a
failing nation. We're a nation that's in serious decline. We're
(14:08):
being laughed at all over the world.
Speaker 1 (14:10):
All over the.
Speaker 2 (14:10):
World, they laugh. I know the leaders very well. They're
coming to see me, they call me. We're laughed at
all over the world. They don't understand what happened to
us as a nation. We're not a leader. We don't
have any idea what's going on. We have wars going
on in the Middle East, we have wars going on
with Russia and Ukraine.
Speaker 1 (14:29):
We're going to end up.
Speaker 2 (14:30):
In a third World War, and it'll be a war
like no other because of nuclear weapons, the power of weaponry.
Speaker 1 (14:37):
I rebuilt our entire military.
Speaker 2 (14:40):
She gave a lot of it away to the Taliban,
she gave it to Afghanistan. What these people have done
to our country, and maybe toughest of.
Speaker 1 (14:49):
All is allowing millions of.
Speaker 2 (14:51):
People to come into our country. Many of them are criminals,
and they're destroying our country. The worst president, the worst
vice president.
Speaker 1 (15:00):
In the history of our runners. Today of everyone's thinking
they can actually live the American tream the Michael Berry Show.
Speaker 3 (15:08):
You know, I look at elections and camp sorry campaigns.
The election is the conclusion of a campaign the elections,
where the rubber hits the road, that's that's where you
take stock. You know, you've been working up this recipe
for a while and you bring it out of the
oven and Mom says, all right, guys, taste this from me.
Speaker 1 (15:28):
What do y'all think?
Speaker 3 (15:30):
Well, that's good right when I look at this campaign
and how fluid campaigns are, you know, because most talk
radio listeners have very defined value systems. They're very consistent.
(15:52):
You've known who your candidate was all along, and you've
seen that. The crazy Democrats have known own that whoever
they were told to support, they would if it was
the old demented guy who pooped his pants, they would,
if it was this woman that's never won to vote
for president, she's never had one vote for president, not one,
(16:14):
not as a candidate. Then they would vote for whoever
they were told to and all the while claiming to
preserve democracy when their candidate was handpicked. I mean, it's
it's really grotesque if you think about it. It's really
distinctly un American. It is everything they claim, but that's
that's usual, right. But what tends to get lost is
(16:37):
there's just it's a bell curve. The people in the
middle who are now breaking for Trump across every demographic
group in massive numbers.
Speaker 1 (16:50):
Today.
Speaker 3 (16:51):
These people are watching and they what they saw told
them I like the direction of him. And I'm going
to tell you when we go back and do the
post mortem on this thing, we really look deeply at
where the voters have broken and we're seeing this. I
(17:13):
think in Pennsylvania one of the major issues was the
lack of Josh Shapiro on the ticket. I think Josh
Shapiro on the ticket or Kamala Harris could have made
this a very different election, very different election. But I
think we're going to see a lot of people who
weren't traditionally Republicans who have voted for Trump and their
(17:34):
other Republicans who voted for reasons like Trump coming out
and saying I'm going to put Elon Musk well Trump
bringing a musk stepping into the void and saying I
want to help Donald Trump. And you know when he
did it, when Trump was shot, that was the moment
(17:56):
that Elon said I'm supporting him. And I remember at
the time thinking, wow, that's pretty bold, because I'll bet
you eighty five percent of Tesla owners maybe not that high,
are Democrats, and they're not only Democrats.
Speaker 1 (18:15):
They're going to be angry at him.
Speaker 3 (18:18):
Over supporting Trump, and they're going to be angry at
him to the point that they're going to want to
burn his place down. They're going to be angry at him,
and they're going to want to do harm to him.
And you're seeing that they're calling for him to be deported.
I mean, it's a they're very nasty, mean, vicious people.
When Elon came out, that cleared the way for Rogan
(18:43):
to get.
Speaker 1 (18:44):
Friendlier with him.
Speaker 3 (18:45):
I mean, let's not forget Rogan was talking fondly about
Bernie Sanders.
Speaker 1 (18:51):
And then Rogan, do you how many.
Speaker 3 (18:54):
People remember your polls are closed now so I can
say this, how many people remember that? Trump got mad
at Rogan because he thought Rogan was endorsing another candidate
that was just a few months ago. And then last
night Rogan comes out and endorses Trump.
Speaker 1 (19:10):
That was a big deal.
Speaker 3 (19:12):
That may not seem like a big deal to you
because it doesn't move you, but that will move a
lot of people that are hard to get to vote
for a Republican, people that are maybe MMA bros, you know,
wrestling bros, boxing match bros.
Speaker 1 (19:34):
Those people are heard.
Speaker 3 (19:36):
It tends to be young white male disinterested in politics
who kind of vaguely buy into the well Republicans are
all racist and my parents are racist. Now Rogan comes
out and gives them, he makes it okay for them
to vote for Trump. I think Elon's involvement had a
(19:59):
lot to do with that, a lot to do with that.
Speaker 1 (20:02):
So anyway, here's.
Speaker 3 (20:04):
Trump talking about not just Elon's support, but bringing Elon
into the administration.
Speaker 2 (20:12):
That the suggestion of Elon Musk, who has given me
his complete and total endorsement.
Speaker 1 (20:18):
That's nice.
Speaker 2 (20:19):
Smart guy. He knows what he's doing. He knows what
he's doing. That's very much appreciated. I will create a
Government Efficiency Commission, task with conducting a complete financial and
performance audit of the entire federal government and making recommendations
for drastic reforms we need to do. It can't go.
Speaker 1 (20:41):
On the way we are now.
Speaker 2 (20:48):
And Elon, because he's not very busy, has agreed to
head that task force. Interesting, if he has the time,
have a good one to do it.
Speaker 1 (20:59):
I love it. I love it.
Speaker 3 (21:02):
Not to mention when we're talking about this, what about
RFK Junior, don't underestimate how many people really like rfk
jor some of them are Republicans, some of whom are Democrats.
It was always a debate. I spent a lot of
(21:24):
time thinking about this, reading about it. Which one was
he pulling more from. But it's fascinating to me that
this guy has the pedigree, this is the most blue
blood Democrat in the country, and his make America Healthy
Again campaign, I think that resonates with a lot of people,
(21:47):
a lot of mommies especially. They're tired of junk being
fed to their kids, poison being fed to their kids,
poison being injected into their kids. And it kind of
part and parcel of healthy families, healthy children, healthy future.
This has come together nicely, and I think tonight, I
think through the course of this this night, and by
tomorrow morning, we're going to like where we are.
Speaker 1 (22:09):
What do you think that top country, Michael Berry? We
think sweets tea.
Speaker 8 (22:14):
We don't you think socialist?
Speaker 3 (22:19):
You know, by tomorrow we're going to know not just well,
let me say this. I'm going to spend a lot
of time learning why people cast their vote, particularly based
on geographic areas.
Speaker 1 (22:36):
But when I already know that Trump's success.
Speaker 3 (22:41):
Is related to a unifying message, a very aspirational, uplifting,
soaring bit of of of language. And I'm going to
tell you, I think I'm going to go back to
the Madison Square Garden rally. The Democrats told you that
that hurt Trump. That's how you know they were scared
(23:02):
of it. That rally showcased a lot of talent around Trump,
and I think that's important. He talked about and he
has talked more and more openly about his relationship to
God and his personal faith. And I believe that getting
shot in the head had a lot to.
Speaker 1 (23:20):
Do with that.
Speaker 2 (23:21):
After all we have been through together, we stand on
the verge of the four greatest years.
Speaker 8 (23:27):
In the history of the USA. With your help, from
now until election Day, we will restore America's promise. We
will put America first and we will take back the
nation that we all love.
Speaker 1 (23:44):
We believe the same blood, we share the same.
Speaker 2 (23:48):
Home, and we salute the same great American flag. We
are one people, one family, and one oation under God.
Speaker 1 (24:02):
We will never give in. We will never give up, we.
Speaker 2 (24:04):
Will never ever back down, and we will never ever
ever ever surrender.
Speaker 8 (24:15):
Together, we will fight, fight, fight.
Speaker 1 (24:17):
And we will win. Win, win. We're gonna win, win, win.
Speaker 3 (24:22):
One of the things I've always found annoying is how
in sports, when a team wins or loses, Super Bowl,
World Series, whatever it is, before the game is even over,
fans start talking about what kind of team are we
gonna have next year?
Speaker 1 (24:39):
And my point is, enjoy this moment for a moment, but.
Speaker 3 (24:44):
This will immediately begin for the people for whom politics
is sport, and they will immediately begin the discussion about
who our candidates should be and who the leaders should be.
And there will always be an outsized discussion of who's
already there, because that's the table that's been set.
Speaker 1 (25:01):
There will be a lot to talk about jd Vance.
Speaker 3 (25:03):
Obviously, there'll be a lot to talk about Nicki Hailary
because the Hillary of the Republican Party, which is why
we call her Nicki Hailary, is out there and because
she ran before. But there will be other candidates who
will arise, much as jd Vance did once tapped by
Donald Trump. But what we will learn from this campaign
(25:25):
how Republicans can win, How Republicans can win voters who
don't see themselves as Republicans, whether they be independent or
full blown Democrats. As happened is you've got to you've
got to connect with people in a way that is inclusive. Ramon,
This is going to be clip number five oh three.
(25:47):
This is also from the Madison Square Garden rally, because
I want it to be understood what Trump did and
why this is important. So Jews and.
Speaker 2 (25:57):
Muslims, and Catholics and Evangelicals, Mormons, and they're all joining
our course and large numbers larger than anyone has ever
seen in this country before, larger than they've ever seen
in any country. And the Republican Party has really become
the party of inclusion.
Speaker 1 (26:16):
And that's something very nice about that.
Speaker 3 (26:18):
Now, what is interesting is one of the unifying issues
in this election.
Speaker 1 (26:23):
Believe it or not.
Speaker 3 (26:24):
The Democrats will tell you that this is divisive and mean,
but it's not. Blacks and whites and Hispanics alike understand
that there is a mass invasion into this country that
is killing our people and that we cannot afford. And
Trump is a man that stays on message.
Speaker 1 (26:43):
Today, I make you this promise.
Speaker 8 (26:45):
I will liberate Wisconsin, in our entire nation from this
mass migration invasion of murders, child predators, drug dealers, gang members.
Speaker 5 (26:55):
And thugs are going to be liberated to deliberate.
Speaker 3 (27:00):
And we closed the show with a message of hope
by our leader. And we chose this one last because
I think this has been a positive campaign and a
positive direction for our country, and I'm proud to have
supported it alongside you, good folks.
Speaker 2 (27:21):
I'm here today with a message.
Speaker 1 (27:23):
Of hope for all Americans.
Speaker 8 (27:25):
With your vote in this election, I will end inflation,
I will stop the invasion, and I will bring back
the American dream. Our country is being crippled and destroyed
by Kamala.
Speaker 2 (27:42):
Harris Kamala.
Speaker 1 (27:44):
How the hell did that ever? How did that ever happen?
Speaker 8 (27:49):
The guy had fourteen million votes.
Speaker 2 (27:51):
I'm no fan of his, by the way, but he
had fourteen million votes.
Speaker 1 (27:55):
He had none.
Speaker 8 (27:55):
She was the first to lose twenty two people. She
was the first out.
Speaker 2 (27:59):
She never made it to the great state of Iowa,
never made it.
Speaker 8 (28:03):
And well, you know, they talk about it.
Speaker 2 (28:06):
She is a threat to democracy, Hoby, that's trelier.
Speaker 8 (28:09):
She's a threat to a lot of things. But that's
the way it has to be. Because we're winning by
a lot, We're leading by a lot, We're leading in.
Speaker 2 (28:17):
The polls, every single state looks like we're going you.
Speaker 8 (28:24):
And with your supporter, of November fifth, America will be bigger, better, bolder, richer, safer,
and stronger than ever before. This election is a choice
between whether we will have a four I think of
this four more years.
Speaker 1 (28:41):
Could you stand it? Four more years of incompetence and
stupidity and fail.
Speaker 8 (28:50):
You're in disaster, Or whether we will begin the four
greatest years.
Speaker 1 (28:54):
In the history of our country. I think we have
a real chair
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