Craig Hemke, Founder & Editor TF Metals Report, joins us for his weekly editorial to break down the latest moves in the U.S. Dollar, the precious metals sector, and positioning in the silver market.
Key Themes Covered:
- U.S. Dollar Breakdown: With the DXY falling below 98, approaching multi-year lows, Craig discusses how this weakness acts as a tailwind for precious metals and broader commodities. He outlines the inverse tick-for-tick trading patterns between the dollar and gold, especially during key Fed events.
- Silver COT Warning Signs: Despite silver pushing above $36, Craig flags caution based on the CoT (Commitment of Traders) report positioning. Speculative interest may be topping out, creating the potential for a pullback tied to July contract expirations and positioning rollovers.
- Gold/Silver Ratio Outlook: While some traders use the gold-silver ratio to toggle exposure, Craig remains focused on fundamental and technical price action. He wouldn't be surprised to see the ratio revisit 100 before silver regains momentum.
- Silver Stocks Divergence: We analyze the recent disconnect between silver prices and the underperformance of silver equities like SIL and SILJ, even amid record volume. Craig discusses how shallow market depth and investor skepticism may still be suppressing upside despite stronger silver pricing.
- Gold’s Long-Term Drivers: With central banks continuing to add to gold reserves and global debt exploding (e.g., $116,000/second added to U.S. debt in May alone), Craig emphasizes that fiat devaluation remains the core bullish case for gold in the years ahead.
Visit https://www.tfmetalsreport.com for more of Craig’s insights Drop your questions in the comments and subscribe for future updates.
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