September 13, 2024 • 11 mins
Tony and Austin preview the weekend and get LOTW from Mo!
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
All right, Reds Twins Tonight, Bearcats Miami tomorrow at noon,
hell is Real Tomorrow night, Bengals Chief Sunday at four
to twenty five. By the way, if you want to
come and uh and hang out with me on Sunday
watch the Bengals game, I'm gonna be a park grill
and bar right off the Austin Landing in Miamisburg or Miami. Yeah, Miamisburg.
Phenomenal place to eat, drink, watch the game, and right
(00:23):
upstairs is Kaboom Brothers. So we're gonna do some some
some breaks. We're gonna rip some cards during the game
as well. So if you don't have any plans yet
for the game, you're in that area, or you want
to make the trip up, come see me Park Grill
and Bar for twenty five on Sunday. We'll watch the
Bengals game there and uh hopefully bring home a win
as well. With that being said, we've got a lot
of locks to get to. Let's get to the Locks
(00:45):
of the Weekend with moagar.
Speaker 2 (00:48):
Hey Degenerates. It's time for Locks Up the Weekend presented
by Cincy Shirts. Visit the stores in Hyde Park, Loveland
or on Dixie and Highway in Fort Mitchell and always
online at sinceyshirts dot com.
Speaker 3 (01:00):
Now let's make you some money, gentlemen.
Speaker 4 (01:04):
Thank you, thank you for letting me be a part
of Friday football foibles on ESPN fifteen thirty. It's time
for locks of the weekend. From my side of the table,
thanks to our friends at sin SA Shirts. Last week
in college football, we gave you seven games. We won
five of them. I'm no math whiz, I'm no whiz
on anything, but that's what a seventy one, seventy two
(01:24):
percent hit rate. That dog will hunt.
Speaker 3 (01:27):
I don't think I've ever used the phrase that dog
will hunt.
Speaker 4 (01:30):
Let's start with the game that's gonna kick off at
eleven a m tomorrow, Trap Game, Trap game, Illinois laying
twenty against Central Michigan. So last week there were two
cool uniform games in college football. UC Pit that was
the only good thing about that game and Illinois Kansas
awesome crowd, Illinois Light the Bengals wearing all orange, except
unlike the Bengals, they won and rackus atmosphere. Next week
(01:53):
they go to Lincoln in between an eleven am kickoff
against a MAC team that last week had a minus
six turnover differential in a blowout loss to FIU. Illinois
enjoyed great turnover luck against Kansas. My guess is the
fighting a line. I come out a little bit sleepy
eleven o'clock at home trap game. I'm gonna go ahead
(02:13):
and take the twenty points. I want to get laughed
at by your buddies. I'm an expert on getting laughed at.
Tell them you're taking Wyoming, and then they're gonna tell you,
wait a minute. Wyoming got destroyed by Arizona State, who's terrible,
and they lost at home to an SCS team. You're
taking the Cowboys. The answer is yes, b Yu. I'm
not sold on them. Without their top two running backs quarterbacks,
(02:36):
no good. I get eleven and a half points. Yes,
they're on the road. This is gonna be an ugly game.
But ugly money is the same as pretty money. I
don't know if that's an actual phrase, but we're gonna
go ahead and take Wyoming. Speaking of ugly, it's kind
of getting ugly for Luke, Fickle and Madison.
Speaker 3 (02:53):
They don't like him up there.
Speaker 4 (02:54):
They're gonna like him even last after they watched his
offense against Alabama Crimson Tide on the road lane sixteen
and a half. We will do that comfortably. I'm taking
ten with Purdue. It's not an overreaction to what Notre
Dame did last week because we told you to take
Northern Illinois. Now we told you to take the twenty
nine and a half points. We didn't tell you they
were gonna win on the money line. I think Purdue
(03:16):
can keep this close ish. The game is in West Lafayette.
Boiler Makers have a fun air raid offense, big bounce
back spot for Marcus Freeman. My guess is his team wins.
But I'll take the ten. Remember last year or eighteen
months ago, whenever it was when we found out, hey,
the Big Ten's expanding, and Big ten fans.
Speaker 3 (03:33):
Were like, yay, oh, it's gonna be great.
Speaker 4 (03:36):
When we get to the Big ten commercial and they
show the map of the country and now it spans
from LA to New Jersey, and my take was, yeah,
what's gonna happen when in primetime on free television on NBC,
the showcase game is Indiana versus UCLA.
Speaker 3 (03:55):
Guess what we get tomorrow in NBC.
Speaker 4 (03:58):
That's right at the rosebu Indiana versus UCLA boy, I know,
I can't wait.
Speaker 3 (04:04):
I use laying three. I'll lay three. Kentucky disaster last week.
Not sure that there was.
Speaker 4 (04:09):
A more disappointing, more disappointing performance in college football than
the Wildcats against the game Cocks. And by the way,
Lexington would have had college game Day had that game
not gone the way it did. Now they get Georgia
Bulldogs are laying twenty four and a half. My guess
is my guess is they have something cooked up for
Brock Vandergriff who has a cool name, but he's not
(04:31):
going to cover. Taking the Bulldogs. Last week, I proved
for the four millionth time that I am not a homer.
There are fans and there are homers.
Speaker 3 (04:40):
I'm a fan. I'm not a homer.
Speaker 4 (04:41):
Why do I say this because on this segment I
said the play is Pittsburgh plus two and a half.
I don't do that myself as a general rule, I
don't bet against the teams I root for. But looking
at it objectively, I thought the play was on pit
and let's be honest, for most of the afternoon I
looked like a buffoon because Cincinnati was drum I'll playing them.
And then well, we know what happened. Pittsburgh wins. They
(05:04):
don't just cover, they cover on the money line. And
if you followed my advice, well maybe it's softened the
blow if you're a Bearcat fan who did.
Speaker 3 (05:14):
So, what's gonna happen this week?
Speaker 4 (05:15):
Everybody's down on the Bearcats and that's that's what comes
with the territory Scott Sadderfield is too inten at you
see against FBS opponents, and let's be honest, most of
those ten losses aren't against great teams. Last year they
lost to a Miami team that had a great season.
I don't know that I want to use last year's
game as a guide, because the Bearcats did move the
(05:38):
ball really, really really well against Miami.
Speaker 3 (05:40):
They just struggled in the red zone.
Speaker 4 (05:42):
Now you're being fair if you worry about this team
finishing drives, but I don't really worry that much about
them moving the football, and if they do, it stands
the reason at some point they're going to cash in
for touchdowns.
Speaker 3 (05:52):
They also had a.
Speaker 4 (05:53):
Missfield goal that I do worry about that, But this
is one of those games where it sort of highlights
the importance of paying attention to opening lines and then
line movement. Because this game opened at most books with
Cincinnati a point and a half favorite. Then it sat
at like two to two and a half, and this
morning there are a lot of books that have it
(06:13):
at three and a half or four. I do not
feel comfortable laying four points. I don't feel that comfortable
laying three and a half. But a point and a half, yes,
Look for forty minutes, U see played really well against Pittsburgh,
really well, and then things fell a part of it
the last twenty minutes. Do we worried about a lack
of emotional bounce back a little bit, But in terms
(06:36):
of the game itself, the overwhelming amount of time on
Saturday last week was spent with the Bearcats playing well
enough to win and well enough to win tomorrow.
Speaker 3 (06:48):
Now Miami, there's a little extra punch to.
Speaker 4 (06:51):
This rivalry because Miami won last year and because the
rivalry is about to end and the game is at
Jager Stadium for the first time since two thousy seventeen.
Brett Gabbert has been in college since I was in college,
and I don't know, I don't know that I trust
him in this Miami offense. For all of UC's defensive issues.
(07:14):
To take advantage of those issues, they tried four running
backs against Northwestern. They scored a grand total of six points. Now, defensively, yes,
they held the Wildcats to thirteen points. Northwestern is not
very good. They did not record a sack, they did
not record an interception. I only have to lay a
point and a half. I'm gonna go ahead and do that.
(07:35):
I will admit that I do it with some trepidation.
That trepidation is based on emotion. But this is not
an emotional segment. If it's three and a half, stay
away from it. If it's four, stay away from it.
If it plummets back to less than a field goal,
go ahead. In the NFL last night, we got off
to a great start. We said take Buffalo, grabbed the
(07:56):
two and a half. Didn't need the two and a half.
You need something to a tang of Iloa needs someone
in his life to say, buddy's let's move on to
whatever's next, because this isn't good. I'm rooting for that
kid to make the right decision because he just can't
keep getting concussed. I am very happy to announce I've
(08:18):
been writing football columns, betting columns for Forbes, and typically
what they do is ask me to do a game
or two a week and look at it solely from
a gambling perspective. For years, I've wanted to be the
guy that writes about every game against the spread, and
starting this week, that's what I'm doing. So here's what
i want you to do. I want you to go
to Forbes Betting, find the piece. I've put it out
(08:41):
there on social media, and something we don't do on
locks of the weekend, I go through all sixteen games.
I'm not going to go through all sixteen games here,
but I'll give you two. We have two teams in
Dallas that lit it up offensively combine for eighty points.
I'm gonna give you a nugget since two twenty twelve
teams that scored thirty plus points in Week one and
(09:04):
are either favorites of six points or less or underdogs
are only nineteen and thirty five against the spread. I'm
reading that for my piece, which you should go read.
This Saints offense that exploited a bad Carolina defense last week,
I'm gonna guess it regresses. I've got a lay six
and a half with Dallas. I will go ahead and
do that.
Speaker 3 (09:23):
Now. Am I gonna make you go to Forbes for
the Bengals game?
Speaker 4 (09:27):
No?
Speaker 3 (09:28):
So, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes have played against each.
Speaker 4 (09:30):
Other four times. In each of those four games, the
game has been decided by three points. Lou Anrumo's defense
last week was sorely disappointing. Lou Anarumo has a track
record against Patrick Mahomes that is quite good. Now, at
some point, Mahomes is gonna test that secondary with the
young dudes in it, and I hope they're up to
the task. The Bengals cannot offensively play any worse than
(09:52):
they did last week. My guess is Joe is at
least a little bit better. My guess is the offense
is a little bit better. I'm getting six points here.
I don't think the Bengals are gonna win the football game,
and I think next week we're gonna talk about how
they're zero to two. But if I get six and
Joe and a track record, and lou and a Kansas
(10:14):
City team that has a spotty track record when it
comes to covering big numbers, although frankly a spottier track
record with that number is boosted to seven.
Speaker 3 (10:24):
I'm gonna take the seven points with the Bengals.
Speaker 4 (10:27):
We're gonna be watching the game on Sunday, zero dollars
ad mission, and no county commissioners will try to stop this.
We're gonna be at Dickman's Sunday games at four to
twenty five Fort Wright. I'm gonna get there at halftime
at the one o'clock games. Plenty of beer, lots of food, giveaways,
lots of fun. We hope to see you there, guys.
(10:49):
Have a great weekend. Those the best, Those just the best.
Go see Austin at a Hollywood on Sunday. Come see
me at Park Gyland Bar, go see Mo whichever you
want to do on three different states this weekend.
Speaker 3 (11:01):
That's good. We've got the Tri state covered. You got
the Tri State covered. Very simple for me.
Speaker 1 (11:05):
I love love, love love UC and I like Alabama
on Saturday. I like the Jets a lot on Sunday,
and I like the Baltimore Ravens even more.
Speaker 3 (11:16):
And unfortunately I like the Kansas City Chiefs minus the
five And wow, wow, what a week.
Speaker 1 (11:22):
We'll try to top it and do it all again
starting Monday.
Speaker 3 (11:25):
That's the Monday midday quarterback.
Speaker 1 (11:27):
Until then, it's the Friday Football Frenzy. Thank you so
much for listening. Enjoy your weekend thanks to our callers, listeners, sponsors, talkbackers,
All of our guests prohibited by
All right, Reds Twins Tonight, Bearcats Miami tomorrow at noon,
hell is Real Tomorrow night, Bengals Chief Sunday at four
to twenty five. By the way, if you want to
come and uh and hang out with me on Sunday
watch the Bengals game, I'm gonna be a park grill
and bar right off the Austin Landing in Miamisburg or Miami. Yeah, Miamisburg.
Phenomenal place to eat, drink, watch the game, and right
(00:23):
upstairs is Kaboom Brothers. So we're gonna do some some
some breaks. We're gonna rip some cards during the game
as well. So if you don't have any plans yet
for the game, you're in that area, or you want
to make the trip up, come see me Park Grill
and Bar for twenty five on Sunday. We'll watch the
Bengals game there and uh hopefully bring home a win
as well. With that being said, we've got a lot
of locks to get to. Let's get to the Locks
(00:45):
of the Weekend with moagar.
Speaker 2 (00:48):
Hey Degenerates. It's time for Locks Up the Weekend presented
by Cincy Shirts. Visit the stores in Hyde Park, Loveland
or on Dixie and Highway in Fort Mitchell and always
online at sinceyshirts dot com.
Speaker 3 (01:00):
Now let's make you some money, gentlemen.
Speaker 4 (01:04):
Thank you, thank you for letting me be a part
of Friday football foibles on ESPN fifteen thirty. It's time
for locks of the weekend. From my side of the table,
thanks to our friends at sin SA Shirts. Last week
in college football, we gave you seven games. We won
five of them. I'm no math whiz, I'm no whiz
on anything, but that's what a seventy one, seventy two
(01:24):
percent hit rate. That dog will hunt.
Speaker 3 (01:27):
I don't think I've ever used the phrase that dog
will hunt.
Speaker 4 (01:30):
Let's start with the game that's gonna kick off at
eleven a m tomorrow, Trap Game, Trap game, Illinois laying
twenty against Central Michigan. So last week there were two
cool uniform games in college football. UC Pit that was
the only good thing about that game and Illinois Kansas
awesome crowd, Illinois Light the Bengals wearing all orange, except
unlike the Bengals, they won and rackus atmosphere. Next week
(01:53):
they go to Lincoln in between an eleven am kickoff
against a MAC team that last week had a minus
six turnover differential in a blowout loss to FIU. Illinois
enjoyed great turnover luck against Kansas. My guess is the
fighting a line. I come out a little bit sleepy
eleven o'clock at home trap game. I'm gonna go ahead
(02:13):
and take the twenty points. I want to get laughed
at by your buddies. I'm an expert on getting laughed at.
Tell them you're taking Wyoming, and then they're gonna tell you,
wait a minute. Wyoming got destroyed by Arizona State, who's terrible,
and they lost at home to an SCS team. You're
taking the Cowboys. The answer is yes, b Yu. I'm
not sold on them. Without their top two running backs quarterbacks,
(02:36):
no good. I get eleven and a half points. Yes,
they're on the road. This is gonna be an ugly game.
But ugly money is the same as pretty money. I
don't know if that's an actual phrase, but we're gonna
go ahead and take Wyoming. Speaking of ugly, it's kind
of getting ugly for Luke, Fickle and Madison.
Speaker 3 (02:53):
They don't like him up there.
Speaker 4 (02:54):
They're gonna like him even last after they watched his
offense against Alabama Crimson Tide on the road lane sixteen
and a half. We will do that comfortably. I'm taking
ten with Purdue. It's not an overreaction to what Notre
Dame did last week because we told you to take
Northern Illinois. Now we told you to take the twenty
nine and a half points. We didn't tell you they
were gonna win on the money line. I think Purdue
(03:16):
can keep this close ish. The game is in West Lafayette.
Boiler Makers have a fun air raid offense, big bounce
back spot for Marcus Freeman. My guess is his team wins.
But I'll take the ten. Remember last year or eighteen
months ago, whenever it was when we found out, hey,
the Big Ten's expanding, and Big ten fans.
Speaker 3 (03:33):
Were like, yay, oh, it's gonna be great.
Speaker 4 (03:36):
When we get to the Big ten commercial and they
show the map of the country and now it spans
from LA to New Jersey, and my take was, yeah,
what's gonna happen when in primetime on free television on NBC,
the showcase game is Indiana versus UCLA.
Speaker 3 (03:55):
Guess what we get tomorrow in NBC.
Speaker 4 (03:58):
That's right at the rosebu Indiana versus UCLA boy, I know,
I can't wait.
Speaker 3 (04:04):
I use laying three. I'll lay three. Kentucky disaster last week.
Not sure that there was.
Speaker 4 (04:09):
A more disappointing, more disappointing performance in college football than
the Wildcats against the game Cocks. And by the way,
Lexington would have had college game Day had that game
not gone the way it did. Now they get Georgia
Bulldogs are laying twenty four and a half. My guess
is my guess is they have something cooked up for
Brock Vandergriff who has a cool name, but he's not
(04:31):
going to cover. Taking the Bulldogs. Last week, I proved
for the four millionth time that I am not a homer.
There are fans and there are homers.
Speaker 3 (04:40):
I'm a fan. I'm not a homer.
Speaker 4 (04:41):
Why do I say this because on this segment I
said the play is Pittsburgh plus two and a half.
I don't do that myself as a general rule, I
don't bet against the teams I root for. But looking
at it objectively, I thought the play was on pit
and let's be honest, for most of the afternoon I
looked like a buffoon because Cincinnati was drum I'll playing them.
And then well, we know what happened. Pittsburgh wins. They
(05:04):
don't just cover, they cover on the money line. And
if you followed my advice, well maybe it's softened the
blow if you're a Bearcat fan who did.
Speaker 3 (05:14):
So, what's gonna happen this week?
Speaker 4 (05:15):
Everybody's down on the Bearcats and that's that's what comes
with the territory Scott Sadderfield is too inten at you
see against FBS opponents, and let's be honest, most of
those ten losses aren't against great teams. Last year they
lost to a Miami team that had a great season.
I don't know that I want to use last year's
game as a guide, because the Bearcats did move the
(05:38):
ball really, really really well against Miami.
Speaker 3 (05:40):
They just struggled in the red zone.
Speaker 4 (05:42):
Now you're being fair if you worry about this team
finishing drives, but I don't really worry that much about
them moving the football, and if they do, it stands
the reason at some point they're going to cash in
for touchdowns.
Speaker 3 (05:52):
They also had a.
Speaker 4 (05:53):
Missfield goal that I do worry about that, But this
is one of those games where it sort of highlights
the importance of paying attention to opening lines and then
line movement. Because this game opened at most books with
Cincinnati a point and a half favorite. Then it sat
at like two to two and a half, and this
morning there are a lot of books that have it
(06:13):
at three and a half or four. I do not
feel comfortable laying four points. I don't feel that comfortable
laying three and a half. But a point and a half, yes,
Look for forty minutes, U see played really well against Pittsburgh,
really well, and then things fell a part of it
the last twenty minutes. Do we worried about a lack
of emotional bounce back a little bit, But in terms
(06:36):
of the game itself, the overwhelming amount of time on
Saturday last week was spent with the Bearcats playing well
enough to win and well enough to win tomorrow.
Speaker 3 (06:48):
Now Miami, there's a little extra punch to.
Speaker 4 (06:51):
This rivalry because Miami won last year and because the
rivalry is about to end and the game is at
Jager Stadium for the first time since two thousy seventeen.
Brett Gabbert has been in college since I was in college,
and I don't know, I don't know that I trust
him in this Miami offense. For all of UC's defensive issues.
(07:14):
To take advantage of those issues, they tried four running
backs against Northwestern. They scored a grand total of six points. Now, defensively, yes,
they held the Wildcats to thirteen points. Northwestern is not
very good. They did not record a sack, they did
not record an interception. I only have to lay a
point and a half. I'm gonna go ahead and do that.
(07:35):
I will admit that I do it with some trepidation.
That trepidation is based on emotion. But this is not
an emotional segment. If it's three and a half, stay
away from it. If it's four, stay away from it.
If it plummets back to less than a field goal,
go ahead. In the NFL last night, we got off
to a great start. We said take Buffalo, grabbed the
(07:56):
two and a half. Didn't need the two and a half.
You need something to a tang of Iloa needs someone
in his life to say, buddy's let's move on to
whatever's next, because this isn't good. I'm rooting for that
kid to make the right decision because he just can't
keep getting concussed. I am very happy to announce I've
(08:18):
been writing football columns, betting columns for Forbes, and typically
what they do is ask me to do a game
or two a week and look at it solely from
a gambling perspective. For years, I've wanted to be the
guy that writes about every game against the spread, and
starting this week, that's what I'm doing. So here's what
i want you to do. I want you to go
to Forbes Betting, find the piece. I've put it out
(08:41):
there on social media, and something we don't do on
locks of the weekend, I go through all sixteen games.
I'm not going to go through all sixteen games here,
but I'll give you two. We have two teams in
Dallas that lit it up offensively combine for eighty points.
I'm gonna give you a nugget since two twenty twelve
teams that scored thirty plus points in Week one and
(09:04):
are either favorites of six points or less or underdogs
are only nineteen and thirty five against the spread. I'm
reading that for my piece, which you should go read.
This Saints offense that exploited a bad Carolina defense last week,
I'm gonna guess it regresses. I've got a lay six
and a half with Dallas. I will go ahead and
do that.
Speaker 3 (09:23):
Now. Am I gonna make you go to Forbes for
the Bengals game?
Speaker 4 (09:27):
No?
Speaker 3 (09:28):
So, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes have played against each.
Speaker 4 (09:30):
Other four times. In each of those four games, the
game has been decided by three points. Lou Anrumo's defense
last week was sorely disappointing. Lou Anarumo has a track
record against Patrick Mahomes that is quite good. Now, at
some point, Mahomes is gonna test that secondary with the
young dudes in it, and I hope they're up to
the task. The Bengals cannot offensively play any worse than
(09:52):
they did last week. My guess is Joe is at
least a little bit better. My guess is the offense
is a little bit better. I'm getting six points here.
I don't think the Bengals are gonna win the football game,
and I think next week we're gonna talk about how
they're zero to two. But if I get six and
Joe and a track record, and lou and a Kansas
(10:14):
City team that has a spotty track record when it
comes to covering big numbers, although frankly a spottier track
record with that number is boosted to seven.
Speaker 3 (10:24):
I'm gonna take the seven points with the Bengals.
Speaker 4 (10:27):
We're gonna be watching the game on Sunday, zero dollars
ad mission, and no county commissioners will try to stop this.
We're gonna be at Dickman's Sunday games at four to
twenty five Fort Wright. I'm gonna get there at halftime
at the one o'clock games. Plenty of beer, lots of food, giveaways,
lots of fun. We hope to see you there, guys.
(10:49):
Have a great weekend. Those the best, Those just the best.
Go see Austin at a Hollywood on Sunday. Come see
me at Park Gyland Bar, go see Mo whichever you
want to do on three different states this weekend.
Speaker 3 (11:01):
That's good. We've got the Tri state covered. You got
the Tri State covered. Very simple for me.
Speaker 1 (11:05):
I love love, love love UC and I like Alabama
on Saturday. I like the Jets a lot on Sunday,
and I like the Baltimore Ravens even more.
Speaker 3 (11:16):
And unfortunately I like the Kansas City Chiefs minus the
five And wow, wow, what a week.
Speaker 1 (11:22):
We'll try to top it and do it all again
starting Monday.
Speaker 3 (11:25):
That's the Monday midday quarterback.
Speaker 1 (11:27):
Until then, it's the Friday Football Frenzy. Thank you so
much for listening. Enjoy your weekend thanks to our callers, listeners, sponsors, talkbackers,
All of our guests prohibited by
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