5-1-24 - Mo Egger with Dick Jerardi

We talk Kentucky Derby with Dick Jerardi

Episode Transcript

(00:00):
From six o'clock. This is ESPNfifteen thirty on Oeger. The one hundred
and fiftieth Kentucky Derby is rapidly approaching. Obviously so is the Kentucky Oaks on
Friday. We have done this nowfor a few years before any of the
Triple Crown races, and obviously withlittle added emphasis on the Kentucky Derby.

(00:20):
We're always joined by Dick Girardi,legendary horse racing reporter and columnists spend decades
with the Philadelphia Daily News. Thissummer he will be inducted into the Joe
Hirsh Media Role of Honor at theNational Museum of Racing in Saratoga Springs,
New York. Later on this summer, he is with us courtesy of our
friends at bed online, where youcan go for the most up to date

(00:43):
odds and props of the one hundredand fiftieth running of the Kentucky Derby.
It's always good to have you,Dick. How are you. I'm doing
great? Can't wait for Derby onefifty on Saturday. I mean really one
fifty, yes, fifty years.There's the longest running continuous sporting event in

(01:03):
North America. Yeah, it trulyis all right, But before we get
into odds or the specific horses orpicks, give me one or two of
the storylines that will dominate the comingdays. Yeah. I think the biggest
storyline is Micropoli, who owns Fierceness. There's going to be the post time
favorite. But it looks like,I mean, he certainly the morning line

(01:26):
favorite. I don't know why itwouldn't be his favorite. This is really
kind of a bizarre circumstance. He'shad the morning line favorite twice, including
the last year, and neither horsemanhate into the starting game. Remember,
Forte was scratched by the Vets themorning of the race because they just didn't
like something they saw. And UncleMoe, who was his two year old

(01:46):
champion back a little more than adecade ago, Will also had some kind
of an issue that week. Ibelieve he was scratched on Thursday. So
I think Mike has had a lotof success in the game, basically one
every big race there is except theDerby his first open, and Fierceness can
get to the gate and then obviouslyget out of there and see if you
can win him this first herve Allright, as we look at the field,

(02:07):
give me, give me one ortwo that I should at least think
about making a wager on. Soseventeen Fierceness for sure. I mean I
think he's the most likely winner.He's also going to go favored. You
know, maybe he's five to two. If this was say, like an
eight horse field, he'd probably besix to five, four to five even
money. But because there's twenty horses, you're going to get a better price

(02:29):
on what's clearly the best horse inthe race. A long shot for me
is the seven. Honor Marie kindof still a little under the radar.
He ran second in Louisiana Derby toCatching Freedom. Catching Free, I'm probably
going to be like six to onewhere Adam Marie is going to be twenty
to one. That was only alength difference, and a lot of that

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is just trainer Brad Cox trades CatchingFreedom. He's very well known. He's
on his right of the Hall ofFame, where with Beckman, who is
a young guy, first time inthe big on the big stage. But
Anna Marie I think is undervalued attwenty to one. Is there a Kentucky
Derby prop that interests you? Myfavorite prop with that online, and there's

(03:10):
a ton of them, and makesure, as you were saying, make
sure you get onto the site andcheck them all out. But my favorite
one is the winning margin, likehow much will the wading horse win by?
And the overall dur and it's astraight even money bet is a length
and a half. I am hugein favor of the over Hey. I
like fierceness, and he's one ofthree races combined by thirty lengths. That's

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an average of ten. He's onlyused to win by a little over a
length and a half here. Andthe other good news is, for somehow,
somehow Fierceness does not win. Youhave the other nineteen horses. Any
one of them wins by more thana length and a half, you also
cash or that prop. So Ido like that one. One of the
other ones, that kind of afun one is will there be a post

(03:58):
race inquiry? Hope not. Wehave got one back five years ago with
maxim security. Nobody will forget thatthat's plus two hundred. If there's gonna
be one minus two fifty, no, I'm not a big fan of minus
two fifty, but it's really notthat likely we're going to see an inquiry.
So I think that if you're willingto lay something there minus two fifty

(04:19):
is the right player on the noinquiry after the Kentucky Dirty Very Saturday,
which goes up a little before seveno'clock. No doubt. I you can
talk me out of this if youwant, or you could say, look
go ahead and do it. Somy name being Mo. There's a horse,
grand Mo the first. Now theodds I'm looking at it right now
sixty six to one. But Ican get I can get decent value in

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betting on this horse to finish last, and that would be my luck.
So should I do it? Absolutely? You beat me, You beat me
to it. I was going tosay, don't bet the source will win.
Bet them at seven to one atthat online to face lest he's got
a real shot at it because hehas a little bit of speed. I
want. You want horses that haveearly speed to finish the last because they'll

(05:03):
get tired. You don't want theones that are going to pass a munch
of other tire horses. So Grandmotherfirst, I think I think you're all
over. Unfortunately, that's that's asgood as I could do. Dick Garady
is with his bet online most upto date odds and props for the one
hundred and fiftieth running of the KentuckyDerby. Now every year on Oaks Day,

(05:24):
I take the show off and Igo over here to Belterra Park and
hang out on Oaks Day. TheOaks Race itself steer me in the right
direction. Really good race, muchmore competitive than the Derby. In fact,
i'd say there's half a dozen horsesif you're comfortable saying they could win.
Now, Raising means is the mostsouthed horse in a race, the

(05:46):
eleven If you can get five toone, I mean, if you can
get that, that's an incredible price. The question about her is she's only
had one race this year. Theygot her a little late to the races,
and it's back on March thirty.If she's up to her form from
Saratoga last summer, I think she'sthe winner. But man, a really
really good race. Just yi,the two year old Philly Champ is back.

(06:10):
She went pretty well on her firststart of the year. Lesbi's Rose
won the Ashland Dana Keenlin at JustWhy I was seconds a strong race.
But yeah, I would recommend theeleven ways and memes with for Chad Brown
with Tyler Kathleen all Right. Longlist of odds and props. Bet online
for the one hundred and fiftieth runningof the Kentucky Derby as well as the
Oaks on Friday. Always awesome tohave you, Dick, Thank you so

(06:32):
much. You got it. Thankyou. That's the legendary horse racing reporter
slash columnist Dick Girardi. There youguys got a bet online. Yeah,
there's a horse Grandmo, the firstGrandmo. The first is going to finish
and last. You could buy thatat seven to one. We'll go ahead
and do that. Reds and Padreseven up at two apiece. We'll keep

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you up to date on that.We have lots to go two between now
and six. ESPN fifteen thirty,Cincinnati Sports Station,