December 16, 2022 • 48 mins
Ben Maller and Danny G. have a special broadcast for you, as the popular BENNY VS. THE PENNY takes over the Friday podcast for yet another week! What's the head-to-head record for the season so far? Who'll get more football picks right in NFL Week 15... Ben, after hours of research, or an inanimate object? Every game is picked against the spread, with Maller-style analysis!
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a
week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of
the Old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats
crackheads in the ghetto Cutter the same as the rich
pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot Takes
break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben
(00:24):
Maller starts right now in the air everywhere and back
at it on a Friday. It's a football Fiesta on
the Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny g Radio
in the podcast do Jo and Danny yet again repping
(00:48):
the voice of the Penny right over there. And I'm
extra hype for NFL football this weekend because Sunday morning,
check Hot Baby, fly out of Long Beach and we
are gonna land in Las Vegas lost wages as you
call it, it's right. I'm gonna go to the Raiders game.
(01:09):
Oh congratulations, that's great that you've you've been to the stadium, right,
I remember you talked about you took a tour, but
you've not actually been to a game, right, So this
would be the first experience. I told my girl. I
was like, man, I can't wait for us to watch
a game inside this place and sneaking that in here
in the fourth quarter of the season. Now you're flying
(01:32):
in and flying out the same day. You're spending the
night like, what's the plan here? What's the plan of
attack here? That's like, that's actually it's not a great game.
But you see the Patriots Bill Belichick, you know that's
not There are worst games to see your first Raider
game exactly. Mentor versus student with Josh McDaniels taken on
his old coach. There, that'll be fun time. We will
(01:55):
have a full report, detailed minute by minute travel log
Danny g travelog thakas Baby on next week's edition of
The Fifth Hour. So this is the Benny Versus the
Penny edition, and so we're gonna get right into it
right now. Let's strike up the band, let's go. Welcome players,
(02:16):
You're welcome. It's time now Betty versus the Penny. Alright,
So before we get to the games on Sunday, actually Saturday,
we got games coming up tomorrow, Sunday and Monday this weekend.
No more bye weeks in the NFL. But we must
(02:39):
look back to last week and what happened in week fourteen.
Before we look ahead, you gotta go in the hot
tub time machine. So now I should point out in
week thirteen. So let's go all the way back to
week thirteen. I had my worst week all season. I
was waiting for the bottom to fall out. I was
six and nine in week thirteen. The penny was also
(03:00):
under five at seven and eight. But that was my
worst week of the year. Four winning percentage in week thirteen.
So how did I do last week? You asked? In
week fourteen, Well, we were thirteen games on the card,
and how many do you think we got? Right, Danny,
And now you're representing the penny. What did the penny
(03:20):
first and then me? Would you like would you be
more comfortable with that? Let's go with the good guy first.
I'm gonna say the penny got eight corrects. Well, Danny
Survey says that is absolutely right. The penny went eight
and five, So a winning week for the penny that
had too many winning weeks this year. You got off
(03:42):
to a good start, but as Nott had too many
winning weeks. But eight and five, so a six fifteen
winning percentage last week for the penny. Now the gas bag,
the evil Empire. I'm gonna say you got nine corrects, Danny,
that is incorrect. I went hen in three again. That
(04:02):
is my top record as far as winning percentage is
concerned in the NFL. And I believe that is now
my sixth week out of fourteen where I've gotten ten
of the picks right on the card. So let me
take a victory lap here, which means I will go
terrible this week, but no, I'm I'm very happy with that.
So overall, now we crunch, Hey, how there you? I
(04:26):
had a big meal. So overall on the season total,
and this is documented by Roscoe the Parent and David
in winter Park, Florida and Robin Vegas and other a
holes that keep track of all these picks to make
sure I'm not lying and everything's recorded for posterity sake
on the podcast. So overall, hundred and twenty two wins,
(04:46):
eight one losses, and five ties on the year. That's
a six oh one winning percentage of the penny night
one oh seven and three of four seventy eight winning percentage.
So for this to be an amazing, crazy full season football,
we somehow have to find a way to get to
the penny to go to five. The pennies nine games
(05:08):
under five. Right now, in theory, you flip the penny
up enough, it should be fifty fifty. It's nine under,
so that would mean the penny is gonna finish the
season the last month or so very strong. So we'll
see how that goes. But let's get to the games.
Are you ready? Let's do it. So if you're just
new to this, the home team is heads, the road
(05:29):
team is tails, and you travel on your behind planes, trains,
and automobiles. So that's how we do it. The whole
bit is man versus an animate object, and I I'm
a loser. I crunch all the numbers, look at all
the trends, and then the penny just flips it up
and we see who does better. So start with the
games coming up on Saturday, Saturday, Saturday, So we got
(05:50):
football tomorrow, triple header on a Saturday, will start out
at First Energy Stadium in the Land Baltimore nine and four,
Cleveland five and A. If you look at the graphics
on the screen there, you can see, well, actually aren't
no graphics. This ain't TV, Danny, this is just radio
on the NFL network. Rich Eisen former premier Networks. I
(06:12):
Heart Guy and Kurt Warner have the call. Brown's open
at three point favorite. They were favored by three at
this point. The money's pretty even. There's a forecast of
light snow, some light flurries, temperatures in the low thirties
at kickoff in afternoon game in northern Ohio. We are
(06:35):
gonna take the Ravens in this game. You look at
the trends and not a huge trends Guy Baltimore without
Lamar Jackson, it hasn't really mattered when Jackson's been out.
They've still been able to hold their own there. And
this is more of a bet against Cleveland. Kevin Stefanski
and the Brownies with him as coach, nine and seventeen
(06:56):
against the spread as a favorite. So they have not
lived up the expectations that Deshaun Watts and the creepy
quarterback has been absolutely lousy since he came back. It's
only been a couple of games here and now he
goes against a blood thirsty Ravens defense and they're like piranha.
They smell blood in the water here. I love that mismatch.
That's the top unit Ravens over the last month at
(07:18):
the NFL's eighth ranked defense. The Poets, they're not the
dead Poets right now. Now Now on offense, they might be dead.
As backup quarterback Tyler Huntley cleared the concussion protocol earlier
this week, so he is going to start. He's expected
to start. Cleveland's the defense is not that good. Not
that Baltimore is gonna but trickate the ball up and
(07:38):
down the field. But we are taking the Ravens twenty
three and the Brownies seventeen the final, and the penny
is going with Deshaun Watson and the Browns gonna rub
you the right way. Ye get you down to that
baby yoga post as you get all right. Next up
(08:00):
Indianapolis four eight and one at Minnesota ten and three.
It's on the NFL Network with Noah Eagle and Nate
Burleson and knows the voice of the Clippers. Probably not
for long. This guy is gonna he's gonna be doing
network games every week. Before I son, yes, yes, I
(08:21):
met him, and it was very it was it was
cool to meet he was a good guy. But he
was right out of Syracuse and he walked right off
of the Syracuse campus and an NBA play by play
job was insane. But he's good. I mean the guys
really good. He's he's he's a doppel ganger of his daddy.
And some of these guys that follow in their father's
(08:42):
footsteps are not good. But this guy's got the the chops,
he's got the the verbosity, if that's even a thing.
All right. So Indianapolis and Minnesota the Vikings a four
point favorite in this game. They opened it five and
a half. Most of the money the handle is on
Minnesota US Bank Stadium, a dome. So those of us
(09:04):
who are have friends in Minnesota, and it's gonna be
the twenties. But you don't have the way you're gonna don't.
It's the weather be good inside. Minnesota. Their last five
games as a favorite, their four oh and one against
the spread, three and oh against the spread their last
three games as a home favorite. But Indianapolis, they have
(09:24):
been sneaky good over the years, coming off the by
with different coaches. There ten games over five over the
last uh, you know, last decade or so. We we
are going to go. We went kind of back and
forth on this, but we're gonna take the Indianapolis Colts
in this game and This is one of those games
(09:45):
where we you know, crunched the numbers, kind of went
back and forth on it. The Colts is the pick here,
Minnesota ten and three. They have a negative point differential,
so that means they've been eating for breakfast, lucky charms.
Based on the advance statistics that the nerds love so much,
these teams are very similar in terms of statistical profile.
(10:09):
Now I realized that I'm putting my faith in Matt Ryan,
and I do believe he's washed up, and that scares me.
Matt Ryan by himself can give a game of way.
We saw that against the Cowboys. But this is an
opportunity to get that bad taste out of the Colts mouth.
They're not going to the playoffs. They actually still have
a chance mathematically to go to the playoffs because of
the division they're in. But we'll take the Vikings seven
(10:30):
Colts twenty four. But we love that four point line
in favor of Indianapolis, so we'll take the points. But
Minnesota wins the game and the Penny pecks. Penny says,
you're crazy. The Vikings are gonna crunch Indie. No, Yeah,
the Penny's a dope. The Penny should go to bed,
(10:52):
all right. Next up Miami eight and five at Buffalo.
Here we go Buffalo at ten and three, also state
sponsored NFL Network. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez, the Fox
team have the call on state sponsored NFL Network. The
Bills opened up a seven and a half point favorite,
(11:14):
and they are favored by seven. The handle is insane.
A ninety percent of the money and the numbers that
we have here in favor of Buffalo is the public
hounding the Buffalo Bills. The forecast this is gonna be
great snow game. Snow game temperatures in the twenties that
(11:38):
kick off with the weather conditions, they're snowing throughout the
game at high Mark Stadium and Orchard Park, New York. Now,
if you look at the numbers on this, you'd say, no, no, no,
you gotta run away from Miami. They will freeze. There
took us off in this game. And since the Dolphin
franchise has played seven games in temperatures forty degrees and below,
(12:04):
they are oh and seven against the spread. In those
games they've lost by an average margin of twenty one
points per game, so they haven't even been closed. They
were just getting smoked in these games. The trends all indicate,
don't take Miami. Don't take Miami. Josh Allen six two
(12:24):
and three against the spread at home in his career
as a seven point favorite or better. I did find
one positive trend if you're into such things, for Miami
to a tongue of Ilo three oh and one as
an underdog of at least six points in his career.
So we're getting down to the home stretch here. This
(12:47):
is a massively important game for the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo.
I'm gonna take the Dolphins in this game. I'm going
against the public who is convinced that this is a
broken a t M machine. Danny, they're handing out cash
in a snow game. Are you kidding me? Warm weather
soft team from Miami, no chance, no chance that Dolphins
(13:11):
can compete. I did like that Mike McDaniel used the
Jedi mind trick this week when dealing with the the
weather conditions in Buffalo. But here's the reason I liked.
The Dolphins made the great equalizer injuries. The Bills have
three offensive lineman who are either gonna miss this game
or play and be dinged up one one is definitely out.
(13:35):
They've got four defensive starters that are also mangled. And
as good as the Bills have been this year, you
gotta look at how they've done recently the last month.
That number two overall offenses twenty in the NFL. You're
not supposed to say that out loud, but we just did.
So that knock on the door. Here is opportunity for
(13:56):
Tyreek Hill, who was dinged up himself, but he's gonna
play and to a tongue of baloa. To stop the bleeding.
After back to back losses on the West coast, you
go to the East coast, go back to the east,
get the winds, saddle up, get or done. Dolphins twenty
three and the Bills twenty the final and the third
(14:20):
straight heads here on the table, the Penny says, the
Dolphins looked just like the Seahawks. Alright, so that I
was waiting for that Geno Smith to show up at
the All right, let's get to the early games on Sunday,
as we continue Benny versus the Penny. Wearing many hats,
here the mad Hatter of sports Chatter Atlanta five and
(14:45):
eight at Orleans four and nine. It's on Fox Adam
Amen and marsh lay Rick have the call. Won't spend
a lot of time in this game. The Saints of
four point favor They opened it three and a half
at the super Dome in the Bayou Atlanta. One in
six their last seven games against the spread owen four
their last four games as a dog, and oh and
(15:09):
three in their last three road games. So things have
really gone sideways here for the Falcons, who gambling wise,
got off to a very good start in New Orleans
has covered three straight games at home, one of those
a shutout of your Raiders. Danny g not to to
bring an old wound back, but I'm gonna take the
Falcons in this game. Now. I don't have been punished
(15:32):
ever since. Well, yeah, being a Saints fan is a
punishment experience outside of Drew Brees for a couple of years.
So we are We're gonna go with the Atlanta Falcons,
hoping for beginner's luck here. As Desmond Ritter comes off
the bench, the rookie, and we're counting on him not
pooping the bed in this game. He doesn't have to
(15:53):
be great. The Saints defense is devoid of a consistent
pass rush, which usually means, based on my years of
watching football, if you don't get to the quarterback. The quarterback,
no matter whether they're young, old, and the middle doesn't matter,
we'll be able to make plays there. There's gonna be
opportunities for Ritter, assuming he does not have flop sweat
(16:13):
uh and which we are making the assumption he will not.
New Orleans is also weak against the run, and that's
a key variable here because Atlanta they don't throw the
ball that much anyway. They're gonna focus on the ground
game and that's promising for the Dirty Birds. These teams
are very close usually if you look at the history
(16:36):
of the matchup, there nail biting last second games Atlanta
New Orleans. Whether one of them is much better than
the other, these are pretty even teams, as we said
this year, so I love getting over a field goal.
Most games are a field goal or less. Falcons the
underdog with a rookie quarterback, get or done Falcons twenties st.
(16:56):
Seventeen the final and finally an agreement that Penny also
going with the Falcons. Al Right, we agree on that
we move on Detroit six and seven, the New York
Jets at seven and six on CBS with Iron Eagle
and Charles Davis, a friend of the podcast. We had
(17:18):
Charles on leading up to the NFL season. Great to
have him on. I'll have him on again, I'm sure
at some point down the line one of the voices
of Madden Football. So the Jets opened a three point favorite.
Apparently the wise guys got that number wrong, because the
Jets are a one and a half point favorite. This
game was actually a pick him at one point this week.
(17:39):
The handle over eight percent of the action on the
j e t s sucks, sucks, suck. Recently sucks sucks
suck at MetLife Stadium, Sonny in the Tri State area,
temperatures in the thirties that kick off New York. The
other New York team five and all against the spread
after a Law loss. But how about the Detroit Lions.
(18:03):
Here's the mother of all trends on this game. The
Lions have covered six straight games. That is the longest
active streak in the NFL. Hello the Lions. The Lions
are the top team for gambles. Now. That tells you
what has happened, not what's going to happen. But we
love us some some Dan Campbell, Dan Campbell twenty and
(18:24):
ten against the spread. The Lions are with him as
the coach, second best record in the entire league since
the start of last season. And we're gonna ride that pony.
We're gonna because they got rid of those pony rides
in l A at Griffith Park. We're gonna ride the
pony here. We're gonna take the Detroit Lions, and we're
(18:44):
gonna piggyback on Jared Golf and the Motor City kiddies.
They have been wonderful, wonderful and offense, much better on
offense and comparable on defense. If you look at the
side by side taste test Jets and Lions. Now, Mike
White dinged up and he's been on thin ice the
(19:04):
last two weeks against the Vikings and the Buffalo Bills.
We expect more up and down play from the Jets offense.
Here is Aiden Hutchinson. I say that name every week
because he's that good. He deserves top billing. Here on defense,
the playmaker, they're the one that is the disruptor for Detroit.
And then you've got on offense, Amon ross A, Brown,
(19:26):
DeAndre Swift and company. So we're gonna ride that out set.
It will be the seventh win. The Lions will be
back to five hundred on the season after fourteen games.
Lions in a nail biter, twenty six, Jets twenty three
the final, and the Penny says, not so fast, Mallard,
(19:48):
Mike White and his sore ribs are gonna beat the Lions. Yeah,
he'll be eating barbecue ribs after the game, is what
he'll be doing, all right. That we will stay focused
on the prize as we spin around to Houston, Texas,
where cairnsa City ten and three at Houston one eleven
and one one one one ones everywhere on CBS, Kevin
(20:11):
Harland and Shrank Green have the call the line on
this game. The Chiefs opened up a fourteen point favorite.
The line has stayed the same. Now the premise on
Benny versus the Penny. We pick every game, even the
bad ones, and this is a bad one. At NRG
Stadium in Houston, it is a dome, and you look
at some of the trends here. Double digit home underdogs
(20:33):
are eight and ten outright over the last two seasons,
thirteen and five against the spreads, so they've done very
well here. Your home underdogs of double digit nature. That's
one of the reasons we always always, almost always take
home dogs when you get them. Very rarely do you
get a double digit home underdog. Home underdogs of thirteen
points or higher are eight and one against the spread
(20:59):
over the last couple of years here, So that bodes
well for Houston and this is something that Texans are
used to, Danny, this will be the game. The morbid
Texans have been a double digit underdog since the start
of last season. That is six more than any other
team in professional football in Houston, four and one against
(21:22):
the spread the last five as a double digit underdog.
We're gonna continue that. We go with the Texas here.
I just simply don't trust the Chiefs as a massive favorite.
With their offense this year is as good as they've
been at times. You saw last week against Denver. They
had a twenty seven nothing lead in that game, failed
to cover as eight and a half point favorites loud
(21:44):
le Broncos to get back in the game. And if
it wasn't for a Russell Wilson injury, you play the
KULDO would have shouldar Denver might have actually won that game.
The Texans, i imagine, will be flat to start this game.
They gagged away a winnable game against the Cowboys last week.
They've lost Damian Pierce to start running back, several key
(22:05):
players out with injury. It doesn't matter like the backups
are much worse than the starters. When you're getting fourteen points,
you always have that backdoor cover as we've we've seen
here and Davis Mills, who's under center, make a couple
of plays here and they're all you need is a
couple of touchdown drives. Most likely that'll be enough to
cover the spread. And I believe the Texans get that
(22:26):
done here. We're going with Houston plus the points. Chiefs
will win the game, Texans will win the money, Chiefs
thirty one, Texans twenty the final and the penny says
you're crazy, Chief spit all right? Well, back to back
to the jungle we go here and the football picking jungle.
(22:48):
We'll go to Chicago. How about that? Philadelphia twelve and
one at Chicago three and ten. It's on Fox with
Joe Davis and Darryl Johnson's they come together for this broadcast.
The Eagles opened a nine point favorite, and they're still
favored by nine and most everyone thinking again, this is
free money. Just line up, bet on the Eagles, and
(23:10):
you're guaranteed to make a profit. And they haven't been
wrong very often this year. At Soldier Field, temperatures in
the twenties, but no snow in the forecast at least
at kickoff. Chicago all in four against the spread their
last four games, Philadelphia three and oh against the number
of their last three. Justin fields terrible as a home
(23:33):
underdog in his brief career two and six as he
tries to spin the Bears out of the grave, which
they've been in much of the season. In much of
the last several years, Chicago has not been an eight
point home underdog since way back in I barely remember that.
That's so long ago. We're gonna take the Bears in
(23:55):
this game, Why, well, we're probably idiots, but we're gonna
do it any way. The Bears, everyone's expecting them to
be roasted. And I always love to go on the
other side of the public. When the public is going
one direction, I want to go the other direction. It's
kind of like being stuck in gridlocked traffic. If you
could go the other way and get out of traffic,
(24:17):
wouldn't you do it, of course you would, all right,
So I'm gonna take Chicago over Philly. Philly has been
in an absolute wagon here. I can give you all
kinds of numbers. Jalen Hurst looks like Conan the Barbarian
here and an unorthodox Birds offense has been working. But
you're looking for weaknesses. My roots are to take underdogs.
The value was on the side of Chicago getting over
(24:37):
a touchdown. Mentioned the stat earlier on home underdogs. How
good home dogs have been very profitable for those of
us like to wager on these games. And Philadelphia, the
one week spot they appear to have is their run
defense on the road. This year their twenty second in
the league in run defense. And what's the one thing
the Bears can do? That's right, they can run the
(24:59):
ball with justin fields and the helter skelter approach. So
all he needs a couple of plays here and there
we'll get that. Eagles win the game, Bears win the bat,
Eagles thirty Bears twenty three, the final and the penny
cheating off your paper here. Going with Chicago. There's no
(25:20):
question the deep dish pizza of Chicago. Love that deep
dish pizza. I'm piste off. I didn't eat that when
I was younger. It's so good, but your stomach is
so full afterwards. That's all right, at least I didn't
want I told it so far. I didn't want it
when I was a kid because it had the tomato
sauce on top. I said, who would eat that? But
then I realized I was like, wait a minute, they
(25:40):
just reversed, So big deal, all right? Now? Next up
Pittsburgh at Carolina on CBS with Greg Gumbel and Adam Marceletta.
Now this is quite the line change. The Steelers opened
up a three point favorite the Panthers. Carolina currently favored
by three, so the whole team favorite by three. The
(26:01):
money is pretty even on this at Bank of America
Stadium in Charlotte and Carolina. They have lost the eight
straight games outright as a favorite. That is one shy
of the longest streak in the Super Bowl era. So
this has not been going well for them. You gotta
go all the way back to nineteen seventy nine the
(26:21):
Seattle Seahawks, who were in the NFC at the time.
The last time a team lost eight nine straight, nine
straight as a favorite, Carolina. They have covered four straight
games here of late. Both of these teams actually have
done very well against teams that have a losing record.
They have the same record at five and eight. We've
(26:43):
we've gone back and forth. This is not one of
those games that's a fifty fifty game for us, So
it's really more for the penny than us. But we're
we're locked in on the Pittsburgh steers. Now again, we
originally like Carolina. I'll tell you why I'm going with
Pittsburgh here. This line movement. The Panthers played very well
in Seattle, it played well lately, but we like that
Pittsburgh defense to slow down the running game, which is
(27:06):
really the secret ingredient for Carolina and on offense. With Pittsburgh,
it's a bit of a crapshoot because Kenny pick it
likely out. If he cannot go, it's either gonna be
Mitch Drabinsky or Mason Rudolf. Did you see Deonte Johnson
this week? The white out in Pittsburgh said I want
Mason Rudolph. That's not exactly a vote of confidence for
(27:29):
Mr Robinsky. But either way, this could be an ugly game,
not a lot of points a lot of punts, turnovers, penalties,
that kind of matchup. Steelers find a way for Mike
Tomlin to keep the dream alive of not finishing under five.
They cannot lose another game this season. The Steelers are otherwise,
(27:50):
They're guaranteed to finish under five hundred. Pittsburgh seventeen, Carolina
thirteen the final and the penny says you're tripping. The
Panthers are gonna claw their way to a victory. No,
not gonna happen, all right. Next up, the last game
(28:11):
in the early television window, Dallas ten and three at
Jacksonville five and eight. It's on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt
and Greg Olsen the A team as they get her
done in the broadcast booth. The Cowboys opened up a
six point favorite. They are currently favorite by four in
Jacksonville a t i A A bank Field NICs Corporately
(28:35):
named Stadium, and the temperatures will be mild in Jacksonville, Florida,
but sunny at kickoff. The money is pretty even on
this game. Jacksonville three and oh outright at home as
a underdog this season, but Dallas six and one against
the spread as a road favorite. Since the start of
(28:57):
last season. We have the mother of all trends on
this game. Jacksonville oh in ten against the spread their
last ten against NFC teams. They're two and eighteen against
the spread their last twenty games against out of conference
NFC opponents. And so that that does not but well,
the ten game losing streak the longest against the NFC
(29:19):
by any team since the merger in nineteen seventies. So
that's over fifty years of of football. We say that
ends here onwards and upwards. You're gonna go with Jacksonville.
We're going with Jacksonville. The Jacks have been a bit
like the Chargers of the East Coast. When you expect
(29:39):
them to do well, they let you down. When you
think they won't get or done, they rise up. Last
week they were given a gift, as the Tennessee Titans said,
fumba uh, and they gave the ball away multiple times,
helping Jacksonville end up winning that game. But we are
advocates all of a sudden, Trevor Lawrence. He's the better
quarterback in this game. The last month. Trevor Lawrence ten touchdowns,
(30:02):
no interceptions. The key here for Jacksonville, though, as with
everyone that plays the Cowboys. This is not brain surgery,
this is not programming the internet. It's run defense, keep
it simple, stupid, the kiss method and Jacksonville there ranked
(30:23):
Danny in the NFL against the run. They've been better
on the road than they have at home, so that
is a factor here. But if you can just merely
trip up that great running game with Pollard and Elliott
and forced Dak Prescott to make plays, that does not
vote well for the Cowboys getting over a field goal
(30:44):
with a home dog against a shaky Cowboy team. I'm
comfortable with taking Jacksonville despite their recent problems against the
spread against the NFC. I say Jacksonville wins this game
out right. Jags thirty three and the Cowboys thirty. The
fine all and the penny says, nope, you're a prisoner
(31:07):
of the moment going with the Cowboys. I love when
the Cowboys lose and then Jerry Jones has his State
of the Cowboys address after the games on Sunday. It's
so good, it's so it's so I admit it's just
lazy radio because it's just Jerry freaking out. Everyone's freaking
out around the Cowboys. It's wonderful. Let's get to the
late TV windows. We continue on Benny versus the Penny
(31:29):
of Late Television Window Arizona four and nine at Denver
three in tenants on Fox. Our friend Chris Myers, part
of the FSR Alumni Association, and Robert Smith the Old
Viking have the call. Broncos opened a one point favorite.
They are currently favored by three and I don't quite
get this at all. And empower field that mile high,
(31:53):
temperatures in the thirties, Denver, oh and four this season
as a favorite. Cliff King's are in the Cardinals. They've
been great as a road underdog. The numbers are ridiculous,
sixteen five and one against the spread as a road
dog nine and one since the start of last season.
We're taking the Cardinals in This game should be played
(32:13):
in a looney ben. You've got dysfunction junction, what's your function?
A lot of bitterness on both sides here, and you've
got the Broncos who are running in circles with Nathaniel Hackett.
You've got the Cardinals who are falling apart there without
Kyler Murray the rest of the year and then next year.
(32:35):
And it appears the Broncos will likely be without Russell
Wilson at the time we are talking here, Danny g
Russ in the concussion protocol, it's still up in the
air whether or not he's going to play or not.
If he is going to play, how good will he be?
And if he's not gonna play, You've got Brett Rippon
a tomato can as the backup. I'd rather have his dad,
(32:58):
who's really old at this point, Mark RiPP and then Bret.
His dad is is with his uncle, uncle, his uncle.
But to anyway, listen, Arizona Colt McCoy not good, but
he's the better quarterback in this game. Denver also may
end up having five starters, five starters out of the
all twenty two out with injury. The Cardinals are the
(33:20):
healthier team even with Kyler Murray being out. We'll take
Arizona twenty and the Broncos sixteen. And the penny just
landed in a little puddle on the table here. I
think that means it just wants to stay out of
this game. But it landed on heads. That means the Broncos. Alright, Broncos,
(33:46):
it is so we disagree on that game, and the
next up we move on to Los Angeles or in
the hood up to No Good and Inglewood. It's So
five Stadium, Tennessee seven and six the Chargers All seven
and six on CBS with Andrew Catalan and James Lofton.
Chargers opened up a one and a half point favorite.
(34:07):
They are favored by three in this game l A
oh and three against the spread. Their last three is
a home favorite, and since they moved from San Diego
to l A, the Chargers are eleven games under five
hundred as a home favorite. Justin Herbert, who's been so
good statistically, he's been terrible, seems to be caught completely
(34:32):
unaware when the Chargers are favored by three or more points.
So we're gonna take the Tennessee Titans in this game.
Last week was an absolute boondoggle for Tennessee. This is
a chance to save their season. They gave the game
away against Jacksonville, as we mentioned earlier, and they had
butter fingers in that game. We assume Mike Rabel's not
gonna take stupid pills here like the Dolphins did last
(34:54):
week where they went away from the running game. The
Chargers blow at stopping the run. Their over all against
the run. I'm pretty sure Danny g could average about
six yards per carry against this defense. Uh And and overall,
the NFL teams against the Chargers are getting five point
four yards per carrey. That's the worst per carry run
(35:17):
defense in the NFL. We're taking the Titans. Remember the
Titans bounced back game here with Mike Rabol has been
so good as an underdog. Titans twenty six, Chargers twenty three.
And the Penny agrees with you on this one. Going
with the Titans al right. Next up Cincinnati nine and
(35:38):
four at Tampa Bay six and sevens on CBS. This
is big game for CBS, Jim Nance and Tony Romo.
The Bengals opened up a two an a half point favorite,
their favorite by three and a half at Raymond James Stadium.
Most everyone and their mother betting on the Bengals eight
six percent Cincinnati, why not? There? Ten and one against
(36:00):
the spread the last eleven That is the number one
record in the NFL. Over the last eleven weeks, Cincinnati
has covered five straight games, one more cover If they
cover the spread this week, that will be the longest
stretch for the Bengals going all the way back to
nineteen three. Holy crap, uh, that's a long time ago.
(36:24):
So that's that's how long we have to go back.
Tampa Bay has been dreadful. Their one nine and one
against the spread in their last eleven games. That is
the worst record in the NFL. Holy Tom Brady in
that span, we're taking the Bengals. Call us a sucker.
I don't care. I realized Joe Burrow has a tender elbow,
(36:44):
and there's several receivers that are either in gonna miss
this game or play and not be But Tampa Bay
is so bad they are not worth a penny. They're
not They're not even worth a penny the way they
played here. And you look at Burrow in the Bengals,
and then if you'd imagine in your head that cartoon
bubble in your head, Cincinnati on offense is like a flamethrower.
(37:09):
The Buccaneers are like a cigarette lighter that's running out
of fuel. It's a huge mismatch, and I'm a little
concerned because I'm on the side of the public, and
you never want to be on the side of the public,
cause I've said many times, but I've looked at the numbers.
I've looked at everything, and I outside of Burrow throwing
(37:29):
three interceptions or running back fumbling and a key injury,
I just don't see a scenario where this game is
even close in the fourth quarter. Bengals thirty six bucks
seventeen the final penny. Agreeing with you again, going with
(37:50):
the Bengals, al right. Next up, we've got New England
seven and six at Las Vegas five and eight. It's
on Fox. Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma have the call Friends. Uh.
Kenny Albert is a friend of the the radio show
The Raiders. Your Raiders, Danny opened up a two point favorite.
They're favored by one and a half at Allegiance Stadium.
(38:12):
Be sunny fifty degrees, Danny, so make sure you bring
a sweater fifty degrees there in Vegas at kickoff. Most
people betting on the Raiders in this game. Some of
the numbers leading into this New England has covered four
straight games as a favorite. The Raiders have covered three
straight games as an underdog. But remember the Raiders are
(38:32):
favorite in this game. It's a small line. New England
four and one against the spread their last five on
the road. We are going to take the Patriots in
this game, Sorry, Danny new England staying out west. They
were in Tucson after they beat the Cardinals on the
Monday night game. Now they go against the Raiders, who
had the game in their back pocket till they shipped
(38:54):
the bed Danny against the Rams there they decided to
gargle with Bleach in the late stage of that game.
What is your opinion of that past that Derek Carr threw?
You want to give your opinion on that, the woggling past.
It's pretty bad when Brock Purdy is throwing dimes and
meanwhile Derek Carr in Vegas is falling on his face. Yeah,
(39:18):
Brock Purty, is this this can't last? I mean, this
is like Kurt Warner type stuff, Tom Brady like stuff.
This is insane what he's been doing here is But anyway,
and this is about the Raider game. So I'm taking
the Patriots. As I said, one of the main elements
I looked at is okay, Bill Belichick's defensive mind against
(39:40):
Derek Carr. Derek Carr gets confused about when he plays
mediocre defenses. The Patriots have a top notch defense, that's
the top unit on this field on Sunday, and in
his career, Cars played Belichick three times oh and three.
In his career, his passer rating is below eighty one
(40:01):
against Patriot defenses. Now we should also mention that Josh
McDaniels knows where all the bodies are buried in New England.
He's he's the secret keeper for Bill Belichick. He knows
all of the weak spots for Mac Jones. The question
is whether or not the Raiders are good enough on
defense to execute the game plan. And you also wonder
(40:26):
the mental aspect of this because that lost too the
Rams for all intensive purposes, slam the door shut on
any realistic bid for the playoffs for the Raiders. So
do they come back here completely flat? I'm gonna take
the Patriots twenty eight and the Raiders sixteen the final
(40:50):
and the penny also going with the cheat triots. It's
all right, Ben, Raider fans are used to it, Raider
Nation versus the world. All right now, Dan, I've got
a homework assignment before you remember when you go to
the Raider game. I need documentation, cell phone photos. I
want to know the price of a hot dog, a beer, nachos, merchandise.
(41:13):
I want all of the information. Okay, so just who
we're on the same wavelength. I just want to know.
I want to give you if and I've never been
to Allegiance Stadium. I've driven by it every time you
go to Vegas. You drive right by it on your
way to the strip when you come from l A.
So I want to I want to hear every detail.
I want to hear how that you know they have
good toilet paper in the bathrooms. Is it like Costco
(41:34):
toilet papers? It crappy toilet paper. I wanna hear everything.
Start with the alcohol and work my way down exactly
the trickle down. In fact, all right, we got two
games left. Let's get to it. Sunday night football, the
Giants at seven five and one and the Washington football
team at seven five and one on and Be you
(41:58):
see the Peacock well not actually Peacock streaming service, the
real Big NBC. Mike Tariko and Chris Collinsworth have the call.
The Commanders opened up a four point favorite. They are
favored by four and a half. Sunny temperatures actually not
sunny because this is a night game, so I don't
think it'll be sunny at kickoff. But Tempers in the
(42:19):
twenties at FedEx Field in the Greater Washington, d C. Area.
In land Over, Maryland, Washington six one and one against
the spread their last eight games. Nine of Washington's last
eleven games have gone under the expected total, so they've
usually played plenty low scoring games over the last couple
(42:39):
of months. We're gonna take the Giants in this game.
We're betting a trend. It's been a roller coaster ride
for both of these teams of Washington historically, going back
for over a decade fifteen years, Washington thirteen twenty eight
and two against the spread in prime time games. They've
(43:00):
actually done better this year. This game flexed It was
supposed to be a day game. It was flexed out.
The Raiders Patriots game was supposed to be the game.
This was supposed to be the prime time here, but
instead Giants and Washington that East Coast bias. Washington had
been on the come, as they say in poker. But
again the game against the Giants, they that was the
(43:21):
last game they play. It's very odd a quirk in
the schedule. These teams played, had a bye week, and
now they're back at it playing each other again. Washington
would tend nothing leading that game the gym in taking
advantage of a Taylor Heineke Ill advised pass. Now. In theory,
this should be an easy game for Washington. They can
run the ball with Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson, run right,
(43:41):
left and center. They can gut absolutely gut that Giants
defense like a fish. Uh And and they did that
in week thirteen, they still ended up in a tie.
I'm going the other way though, I'm gonna take the
Giants here. And not that I love Danny Dimes, I
don't the guys. He's a bombom. The guys a bombom,
(44:01):
as Joean Rhode Island would say. But divisional game. These
teams just play. They know each other both. Coming off
a by, Giants should be able to move the ball
on the ground with their running game. Commanders twenty seven,
Giants twenty four. The final within that four and a
half point cushion, the penny go in the other direction.
(44:24):
Commandos are going to be in the wind column here alright.
Next up, the last game on the card. We save
this turn for the very in Monday night football. Yeah,
all I am as I honor past summer All four
and nine, green Bay five and eight. It is on
EESPN with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman, the sellout broadcasters
(44:48):
over there to ESPN. Good for them. Packers opened up
a nine and a half point favorite, green Bay favorite
by seven at lambo Field and old a forecast. It
is going to be no snow, but the forecast calls
for a high of nine degrees that kick off, it'll
(45:09):
feel like minus five. I might have to text my
brother say, hey, how's that heater working. My brother lives
about thirty miles away from lambeau Field and Appleton, Wisconsin.
So yikes, yikes, yikes, sikes. He likes it. I guess
he lived there for several years. Uh So, I'm gonna
take the Rams in this game. And here's my my logic. Mind,
(45:31):
I'm not confident that Baker Mayfield is gonna play well.
Here's the rub on this. And you saw this Danny
last week. Baker didn't play well for about eighty five
nine of that game against the Raiders. He was zonked
most of the game and it wasn't until that late
fourth quarter storybook finish that turned everything around. It's like
(45:52):
not how you started telling you finished right and that
whole thing. But he was bad most of the game.
He should be better here because he's actually had some
practice time. You would assume the Rams have started to
show a little bit of a pulse. They've come out
of the coma they've been in. And the main thinking,
you know, the main point on this game is that
(46:12):
these teams are pretty similar. They're they're both mediocre. Uh,
Aaron Rodgers is not the same Aaron Rodgers. They don't
have the playmakers they have and this is way too
many points. The package should not be favored by seven.
I get the whole frozen tundra nonsense and all that.
And I have seen plenty of RAM teams over the
(46:34):
years turned into icicles when they go to cold weather.
It's one of the nightmares of being a fan of
a West Coast team. They just can't handle the cold weather.
I'm like, what's the big deal. I got to a
cold wed I put an extra sweater on. It's no
big deal. These a holes going the cold weather and
they freeze their ass off. So Packers twenty Rams sixteen
the final and the penny going with your Rams. Okay,
(47:01):
So we agree on that, and that is the full
Monty no days off in the NFL, no buys this week,
so we had a full card and enjoy, enjoy all
the games coming up tomorrow on Saturday and then again
on Sunday. And if you're listening to this podcast on Sunday,
just fast forward. I probably should have said this earlier,
(47:22):
but just fast you probably should have already fast forward
through the games that already we're playing. Yes, it works easy, peasy,
I think peasy japanesey. No, I can't say that. And
when that's offensive, you could. You could have said that
up until about seven years ago. I don't. Hey, by
the way, on the Saturday podcast, it's gonna be a
(47:45):
Ben Maller exclusive, is that right? I don't know how much.
Al right, Wow, a Mallard podcast exclusive. You'll only hear
that content here. We don't even know what it is.
I have a great rest of your Friday, and and
don't forget all weekend long. We got your cover right
here in the podcast. Do Joe will catch you next
(48:06):
time later. Skater population
Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a
week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of
the Old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats
crackheads in the ghetto Cutter the same as the rich
pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot Takes
break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben
(00:24):
Maller starts right now in the air everywhere and back
at it on a Friday. It's a football Fiesta on
the Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny g Radio
in the podcast do Jo and Danny yet again repping
(00:48):
the voice of the Penny right over there. And I'm
extra hype for NFL football this weekend because Sunday morning,
check Hot Baby, fly out of Long Beach and we
are gonna land in Las Vegas lost wages as you
call it, it's right. I'm gonna go to the Raiders game.
(01:09):
Oh congratulations, that's great that you've you've been to the stadium, right,
I remember you talked about you took a tour, but
you've not actually been to a game, right, So this
would be the first experience. I told my girl. I
was like, man, I can't wait for us to watch
a game inside this place and sneaking that in here
in the fourth quarter of the season. Now you're flying
(01:32):
in and flying out the same day. You're spending the
night like, what's the plan here? What's the plan of
attack here? That's like, that's actually it's not a great game.
But you see the Patriots Bill Belichick, you know that's
not There are worst games to see your first Raider
game exactly. Mentor versus student with Josh McDaniels taken on
his old coach. There, that'll be fun time. We will
(01:55):
have a full report, detailed minute by minute travel log
Danny g travelog thakas Baby on next week's edition of
The Fifth Hour. So this is the Benny Versus the
Penny edition, and so we're gonna get right into it
right now. Let's strike up the band, let's go. Welcome players,
(02:16):
You're welcome. It's time now Betty versus the Penny. Alright,
So before we get to the games on Sunday, actually Saturday,
we got games coming up tomorrow, Sunday and Monday this weekend.
No more bye weeks in the NFL. But we must
(02:39):
look back to last week and what happened in week fourteen.
Before we look ahead, you gotta go in the hot
tub time machine. So now I should point out in
week thirteen. So let's go all the way back to
week thirteen. I had my worst week all season. I
was waiting for the bottom to fall out. I was
six and nine in week thirteen. The penny was also
(03:00):
under five at seven and eight. But that was my
worst week of the year. Four winning percentage in week thirteen.
So how did I do last week? You asked? In
week fourteen, Well, we were thirteen games on the card,
and how many do you think we got? Right, Danny,
And now you're representing the penny. What did the penny
(03:20):
first and then me? Would you like would you be
more comfortable with that? Let's go with the good guy first.
I'm gonna say the penny got eight corrects. Well, Danny
Survey says that is absolutely right. The penny went eight
and five, So a winning week for the penny that
had too many winning weeks this year. You got off
(03:42):
to a good start, but as Nott had too many
winning weeks. But eight and five, so a six fifteen
winning percentage last week for the penny. Now the gas bag,
the evil Empire. I'm gonna say you got nine corrects, Danny,
that is incorrect. I went hen in three again. That
(04:02):
is my top record as far as winning percentage is
concerned in the NFL. And I believe that is now
my sixth week out of fourteen where I've gotten ten
of the picks right on the card. So let me
take a victory lap here, which means I will go
terrible this week, but no, I'm I'm very happy with that.
So overall, now we crunch, Hey, how there you? I
(04:26):
had a big meal. So overall on the season total,
and this is documented by Roscoe the Parent and David
in winter Park, Florida and Robin Vegas and other a
holes that keep track of all these picks to make
sure I'm not lying and everything's recorded for posterity sake
on the podcast. So overall, hundred and twenty two wins,
(04:46):
eight one losses, and five ties on the year. That's
a six oh one winning percentage of the penny night
one oh seven and three of four seventy eight winning percentage.
So for this to be an amazing, crazy full season football,
we somehow have to find a way to get to
the penny to go to five. The pennies nine games
(05:08):
under five. Right now, in theory, you flip the penny
up enough, it should be fifty fifty. It's nine under,
so that would mean the penny is gonna finish the
season the last month or so very strong. So we'll
see how that goes. But let's get to the games.
Are you ready? Let's do it. So if you're just
new to this, the home team is heads, the road
(05:29):
team is tails, and you travel on your behind planes, trains,
and automobiles. So that's how we do it. The whole
bit is man versus an animate object, and I I'm
a loser. I crunch all the numbers, look at all
the trends, and then the penny just flips it up
and we see who does better. So start with the
games coming up on Saturday, Saturday, Saturday, So we got
(05:50):
football tomorrow, triple header on a Saturday, will start out
at First Energy Stadium in the Land Baltimore nine and four,
Cleveland five and A. If you look at the graphics
on the screen there, you can see, well, actually aren't
no graphics. This ain't TV, Danny, this is just radio
on the NFL network. Rich Eisen former premier Networks. I
(06:12):
Heart Guy and Kurt Warner have the call. Brown's open
at three point favorite. They were favored by three at
this point. The money's pretty even. There's a forecast of
light snow, some light flurries, temperatures in the low thirties
at kickoff in afternoon game in northern Ohio. We are
(06:35):
gonna take the Ravens in this game. You look at
the trends and not a huge trends Guy Baltimore without
Lamar Jackson, it hasn't really mattered when Jackson's been out.
They've still been able to hold their own there. And
this is more of a bet against Cleveland. Kevin Stefanski
and the Brownies with him as coach, nine and seventeen
(06:56):
against the spread as a favorite. So they have not
lived up the expectations that Deshaun Watts and the creepy
quarterback has been absolutely lousy since he came back. It's
only been a couple of games here and now he
goes against a blood thirsty Ravens defense and they're like piranha.
They smell blood in the water here. I love that mismatch.
That's the top unit Ravens over the last month at
(07:18):
the NFL's eighth ranked defense. The Poets, they're not the
dead Poets right now. Now Now on offense, they might be dead.
As backup quarterback Tyler Huntley cleared the concussion protocol earlier
this week, so he is going to start. He's expected
to start. Cleveland's the defense is not that good. Not
that Baltimore is gonna but trickate the ball up and
(07:38):
down the field. But we are taking the Ravens twenty
three and the Brownies seventeen the final, and the penny
is going with Deshaun Watson and the Browns gonna rub
you the right way. Ye get you down to that
baby yoga post as you get all right. Next up
(08:00):
Indianapolis four eight and one at Minnesota ten and three.
It's on the NFL Network with Noah Eagle and Nate
Burleson and knows the voice of the Clippers. Probably not
for long. This guy is gonna he's gonna be doing
network games every week. Before I son, yes, yes, I
(08:21):
met him, and it was very it was it was
cool to meet he was a good guy. But he
was right out of Syracuse and he walked right off
of the Syracuse campus and an NBA play by play
job was insane. But he's good. I mean the guys
really good. He's he's he's a doppel ganger of his daddy.
And some of these guys that follow in their father's
(08:42):
footsteps are not good. But this guy's got the the chops,
he's got the the verbosity, if that's even a thing.
All right. So Indianapolis and Minnesota the Vikings a four
point favorite in this game. They opened it five and
a half. Most of the money the handle is on
Minnesota US Bank Stadium, a dome. So those of us
(09:04):
who are have friends in Minnesota, and it's gonna be
the twenties. But you don't have the way you're gonna don't.
It's the weather be good inside. Minnesota. Their last five
games as a favorite, their four oh and one against
the spread, three and oh against the spread their last
three games as a home favorite. But Indianapolis, they have
(09:24):
been sneaky good over the years, coming off the by
with different coaches. There ten games over five over the
last uh, you know, last decade or so. We we
are going to go. We went kind of back and
forth on this, but we're gonna take the Indianapolis Colts
in this game and This is one of those games
(09:45):
where we you know, crunched the numbers, kind of went
back and forth on it. The Colts is the pick here,
Minnesota ten and three. They have a negative point differential,
so that means they've been eating for breakfast, lucky charms.
Based on the advance statistics that the nerds love so much,
these teams are very similar in terms of statistical profile.
(10:09):
Now I realized that I'm putting my faith in Matt Ryan,
and I do believe he's washed up, and that scares me.
Matt Ryan by himself can give a game of way.
We saw that against the Cowboys. But this is an
opportunity to get that bad taste out of the Colts mouth.
They're not going to the playoffs. They actually still have
a chance mathematically to go to the playoffs because of
the division they're in. But we'll take the Vikings seven
(10:30):
Colts twenty four. But we love that four point line
in favor of Indianapolis, so we'll take the points. But
Minnesota wins the game and the Penny pecks. Penny says,
you're crazy. The Vikings are gonna crunch Indie. No, Yeah,
the Penny's a dope. The Penny should go to bed,
(10:52):
all right. Next up Miami eight and five at Buffalo.
Here we go Buffalo at ten and three, also state
sponsored NFL Network. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez, the Fox
team have the call on state sponsored NFL Network. The
Bills opened up a seven and a half point favorite,
(11:14):
and they are favored by seven. The handle is insane.
A ninety percent of the money and the numbers that
we have here in favor of Buffalo is the public
hounding the Buffalo Bills. The forecast this is gonna be
great snow game. Snow game temperatures in the twenties that
(11:38):
kick off with the weather conditions, they're snowing throughout the
game at high Mark Stadium and Orchard Park, New York. Now,
if you look at the numbers on this, you'd say, no, no, no,
you gotta run away from Miami. They will freeze. There
took us off in this game. And since the Dolphin
franchise has played seven games in temperatures forty degrees and below,
(12:04):
they are oh and seven against the spread. In those
games they've lost by an average margin of twenty one
points per game, so they haven't even been closed. They
were just getting smoked in these games. The trends all indicate,
don't take Miami. Don't take Miami. Josh Allen six two
(12:24):
and three against the spread at home in his career
as a seven point favorite or better. I did find
one positive trend if you're into such things, for Miami
to a tongue of Ilo three oh and one as
an underdog of at least six points in his career.
So we're getting down to the home stretch here. This
(12:47):
is a massively important game for the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo.
I'm gonna take the Dolphins in this game. I'm going
against the public who is convinced that this is a
broken a t M machine. Danny, they're handing out cash
in a snow game. Are you kidding me? Warm weather
soft team from Miami, no chance, no chance that Dolphins
(13:11):
can compete. I did like that Mike McDaniel used the
Jedi mind trick this week when dealing with the the
weather conditions in Buffalo. But here's the reason I liked.
The Dolphins made the great equalizer injuries. The Bills have
three offensive lineman who are either gonna miss this game
or play and be dinged up one one is definitely out.
(13:35):
They've got four defensive starters that are also mangled. And
as good as the Bills have been this year, you
gotta look at how they've done recently the last month.
That number two overall offenses twenty in the NFL. You're
not supposed to say that out loud, but we just did.
So that knock on the door. Here is opportunity for
(13:56):
Tyreek Hill, who was dinged up himself, but he's gonna
play and to a tongue of baloa. To stop the bleeding.
After back to back losses on the West coast, you
go to the East coast, go back to the east,
get the winds, saddle up, get or done. Dolphins twenty
three and the Bills twenty the final and the third
(14:20):
straight heads here on the table, the Penny says, the
Dolphins looked just like the Seahawks. Alright, so that I
was waiting for that Geno Smith to show up at
the All right, let's get to the early games on Sunday,
as we continue Benny versus the Penny. Wearing many hats,
here the mad Hatter of sports Chatter Atlanta five and
(14:45):
eight at Orleans four and nine. It's on Fox Adam
Amen and marsh lay Rick have the call. Won't spend
a lot of time in this game. The Saints of
four point favor They opened it three and a half
at the super Dome in the Bayou Atlanta. One in
six their last seven games against the spread owen four
their last four games as a dog, and oh and
(15:09):
three in their last three road games. So things have
really gone sideways here for the Falcons, who gambling wise,
got off to a very good start in New Orleans
has covered three straight games at home, one of those
a shutout of your Raiders. Danny g not to to
bring an old wound back, but I'm gonna take the
Falcons in this game. Now. I don't have been punished
(15:32):
ever since. Well, yeah, being a Saints fan is a
punishment experience outside of Drew Brees for a couple of years.
So we are We're gonna go with the Atlanta Falcons,
hoping for beginner's luck here. As Desmond Ritter comes off
the bench, the rookie, and we're counting on him not
pooping the bed in this game. He doesn't have to
(15:53):
be great. The Saints defense is devoid of a consistent
pass rush, which usually means, based on my years of
watching football, if you don't get to the quarterback. The quarterback,
no matter whether they're young, old, and the middle doesn't matter,
we'll be able to make plays there. There's gonna be
opportunities for Ritter, assuming he does not have flop sweat
(16:13):
uh and which we are making the assumption he will not.
New Orleans is also weak against the run, and that's
a key variable here because Atlanta they don't throw the
ball that much anyway. They're gonna focus on the ground
game and that's promising for the Dirty Birds. These teams
are very close usually if you look at the history
(16:36):
of the matchup, there nail biting last second games Atlanta
New Orleans. Whether one of them is much better than
the other, these are pretty even teams, as we said
this year, so I love getting over a field goal.
Most games are a field goal or less. Falcons the
underdog with a rookie quarterback, get or done Falcons twenties st.
(16:56):
Seventeen the final and finally an agreement that Penny also
going with the Falcons. Al Right, we agree on that
we move on Detroit six and seven, the New York
Jets at seven and six on CBS with Iron Eagle
and Charles Davis, a friend of the podcast. We had
(17:18):
Charles on leading up to the NFL season. Great to
have him on. I'll have him on again, I'm sure
at some point down the line one of the voices
of Madden Football. So the Jets opened a three point favorite.
Apparently the wise guys got that number wrong, because the
Jets are a one and a half point favorite. This
game was actually a pick him at one point this week.
(17:39):
The handle over eight percent of the action on the
j e t s sucks, sucks, suck. Recently sucks sucks
suck at MetLife Stadium, Sonny in the Tri State area,
temperatures in the thirties that kick off New York. The
other New York team five and all against the spread
after a Law loss. But how about the Detroit Lions.
(18:03):
Here's the mother of all trends on this game. The
Lions have covered six straight games. That is the longest
active streak in the NFL. Hello the Lions. The Lions
are the top team for gambles. Now. That tells you
what has happened, not what's going to happen. But we
love us some some Dan Campbell, Dan Campbell twenty and
(18:24):
ten against the spread. The Lions are with him as
the coach, second best record in the entire league since
the start of last season. And we're gonna ride that pony.
We're gonna because they got rid of those pony rides
in l A at Griffith Park. We're gonna ride the
pony here. We're gonna take the Detroit Lions, and we're
(18:44):
gonna piggyback on Jared Golf and the Motor City kiddies.
They have been wonderful, wonderful and offense, much better on
offense and comparable on defense. If you look at the
side by side taste test Jets and Lions. Now, Mike
White dinged up and he's been on thin ice the
(19:04):
last two weeks against the Vikings and the Buffalo Bills.
We expect more up and down play from the Jets offense.
Here is Aiden Hutchinson. I say that name every week
because he's that good. He deserves top billing. Here on defense,
the playmaker, they're the one that is the disruptor for Detroit.
And then you've got on offense, Amon ross A, Brown,
(19:26):
DeAndre Swift and company. So we're gonna ride that out set.
It will be the seventh win. The Lions will be
back to five hundred on the season after fourteen games.
Lions in a nail biter, twenty six, Jets twenty three
the final, and the Penny says, not so fast, Mallard,
(19:48):
Mike White and his sore ribs are gonna beat the Lions. Yeah,
he'll be eating barbecue ribs after the game, is what
he'll be doing, all right. That we will stay focused
on the prize as we spin around to Houston, Texas,
where cairnsa City ten and three at Houston one eleven
and one one one one ones everywhere on CBS, Kevin
(20:11):
Harland and Shrank Green have the call the line on
this game. The Chiefs opened up a fourteen point favorite.
The line has stayed the same. Now the premise on
Benny versus the Penny. We pick every game, even the
bad ones, and this is a bad one. At NRG
Stadium in Houston, it is a dome, and you look
at some of the trends here. Double digit home underdogs
(20:33):
are eight and ten outright over the last two seasons,
thirteen and five against the spreads, so they've done very
well here. Your home underdogs of double digit nature. That's
one of the reasons we always always, almost always take
home dogs when you get them. Very rarely do you
get a double digit home underdog. Home underdogs of thirteen
points or higher are eight and one against the spread
(20:59):
over the last couple of years here, So that bodes
well for Houston and this is something that Texans are
used to, Danny, this will be the game. The morbid
Texans have been a double digit underdog since the start
of last season. That is six more than any other
team in professional football in Houston, four and one against
(21:22):
the spread the last five as a double digit underdog.
We're gonna continue that. We go with the Texas here.
I just simply don't trust the Chiefs as a massive favorite.
With their offense this year is as good as they've
been at times. You saw last week against Denver. They
had a twenty seven nothing lead in that game, failed
to cover as eight and a half point favorites loud
(21:44):
le Broncos to get back in the game. And if
it wasn't for a Russell Wilson injury, you play the
KULDO would have shouldar Denver might have actually won that game.
The Texans, i imagine, will be flat to start this game.
They gagged away a winnable game against the Cowboys last week.
They've lost Damian Pierce to start running back, several key
(22:05):
players out with injury. It doesn't matter like the backups
are much worse than the starters. When you're getting fourteen points,
you always have that backdoor cover as we've we've seen
here and Davis Mills, who's under center, make a couple
of plays here and they're all you need is a
couple of touchdown drives. Most likely that'll be enough to
cover the spread. And I believe the Texans get that
(22:26):
done here. We're going with Houston plus the points. Chiefs
will win the game, Texans will win the money, Chiefs
thirty one, Texans twenty the final and the penny says
you're crazy, Chief spit all right? Well, back to back
to the jungle we go here and the football picking jungle.
(22:48):
We'll go to Chicago. How about that? Philadelphia twelve and
one at Chicago three and ten. It's on Fox with
Joe Davis and Darryl Johnson's they come together for this broadcast.
The Eagles opened a nine point favorite, and they're still
favored by nine and most everyone thinking again, this is
free money. Just line up, bet on the Eagles, and
(23:10):
you're guaranteed to make a profit. And they haven't been
wrong very often this year. At Soldier Field, temperatures in
the twenties, but no snow in the forecast at least
at kickoff. Chicago all in four against the spread their
last four games, Philadelphia three and oh against the number
of their last three. Justin fields terrible as a home
(23:33):
underdog in his brief career two and six as he
tries to spin the Bears out of the grave, which
they've been in much of the season. In much of
the last several years, Chicago has not been an eight
point home underdog since way back in I barely remember that.
That's so long ago. We're gonna take the Bears in
(23:55):
this game, Why, well, we're probably idiots, but we're gonna
do it any way. The Bears, everyone's expecting them to
be roasted. And I always love to go on the
other side of the public. When the public is going
one direction, I want to go the other direction. It's
kind of like being stuck in gridlocked traffic. If you
could go the other way and get out of traffic,
(24:17):
wouldn't you do it, of course you would, all right,
So I'm gonna take Chicago over Philly. Philly has been
in an absolute wagon here. I can give you all
kinds of numbers. Jalen Hurst looks like Conan the Barbarian
here and an unorthodox Birds offense has been working. But
you're looking for weaknesses. My roots are to take underdogs.
The value was on the side of Chicago getting over
(24:37):
a touchdown. Mentioned the stat earlier on home underdogs. How
good home dogs have been very profitable for those of
us like to wager on these games. And Philadelphia, the
one week spot they appear to have is their run
defense on the road. This year their twenty second in
the league in run defense. And what's the one thing
the Bears can do? That's right, they can run the
(24:59):
ball with justin fields and the helter skelter approach. So
all he needs a couple of plays here and there
we'll get that. Eagles win the game, Bears win the bat,
Eagles thirty Bears twenty three, the final and the penny
cheating off your paper here. Going with Chicago. There's no
(25:20):
question the deep dish pizza of Chicago. Love that deep
dish pizza. I'm piste off. I didn't eat that when
I was younger. It's so good, but your stomach is
so full afterwards. That's all right, at least I didn't
want I told it so far. I didn't want it
when I was a kid because it had the tomato
sauce on top. I said, who would eat that? But
then I realized I was like, wait a minute, they
(25:40):
just reversed, So big deal, all right? Now? Next up
Pittsburgh at Carolina on CBS with Greg Gumbel and Adam Marceletta.
Now this is quite the line change. The Steelers opened
up a three point favorite the Panthers. Carolina currently favored
by three, so the whole team favorite by three. The
(26:01):
money is pretty even on this at Bank of America
Stadium in Charlotte and Carolina. They have lost the eight
straight games outright as a favorite. That is one shy
of the longest streak in the Super Bowl era. So
this has not been going well for them. You gotta
go all the way back to nineteen seventy nine the
(26:21):
Seattle Seahawks, who were in the NFC at the time.
The last time a team lost eight nine straight, nine
straight as a favorite, Carolina. They have covered four straight
games here of late. Both of these teams actually have
done very well against teams that have a losing record.
They have the same record at five and eight. We've
(26:43):
we've gone back and forth. This is not one of
those games that's a fifty fifty game for us, So
it's really more for the penny than us. But we're
we're locked in on the Pittsburgh steers. Now again, we
originally like Carolina. I'll tell you why I'm going with
Pittsburgh here. This line movement. The Panthers played very well
in Seattle, it played well lately, but we like that
Pittsburgh defense to slow down the running game, which is
(27:06):
really the secret ingredient for Carolina and on offense. With Pittsburgh,
it's a bit of a crapshoot because Kenny pick it
likely out. If he cannot go, it's either gonna be
Mitch Drabinsky or Mason Rudolf. Did you see Deonte Johnson
this week? The white out in Pittsburgh said I want
Mason Rudolph. That's not exactly a vote of confidence for
(27:29):
Mr Robinsky. But either way, this could be an ugly game,
not a lot of points a lot of punts, turnovers, penalties,
that kind of matchup. Steelers find a way for Mike
Tomlin to keep the dream alive of not finishing under five.
They cannot lose another game this season. The Steelers are otherwise,
(27:50):
They're guaranteed to finish under five hundred. Pittsburgh seventeen, Carolina
thirteen the final and the penny says you're tripping. The
Panthers are gonna claw their way to a victory. No,
not gonna happen, all right. Next up, the last game
(28:11):
in the early television window, Dallas ten and three at
Jacksonville five and eight. It's on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt
and Greg Olsen the A team as they get her
done in the broadcast booth. The Cowboys opened up a
six point favorite. They are currently favorite by four in
Jacksonville a t i A A bank Field NICs Corporately
(28:35):
named Stadium, and the temperatures will be mild in Jacksonville, Florida,
but sunny at kickoff. The money is pretty even on
this game. Jacksonville three and oh outright at home as
a underdog this season, but Dallas six and one against
the spread as a road favorite. Since the start of
(28:57):
last season. We have the mother of all trends on
this game. Jacksonville oh in ten against the spread their
last ten against NFC teams. They're two and eighteen against
the spread their last twenty games against out of conference
NFC opponents. And so that that does not but well,
the ten game losing streak the longest against the NFC
(29:19):
by any team since the merger in nineteen seventies. So
that's over fifty years of of football. We say that
ends here onwards and upwards. You're gonna go with Jacksonville.
We're going with Jacksonville. The Jacks have been a bit
like the Chargers of the East Coast. When you expect
(29:39):
them to do well, they let you down. When you
think they won't get or done, they rise up. Last
week they were given a gift, as the Tennessee Titans said,
fumba uh, and they gave the ball away multiple times,
helping Jacksonville end up winning that game. But we are
advocates all of a sudden, Trevor Lawrence. He's the better
quarterback in this game. The last month. Trevor Lawrence ten touchdowns,
(30:02):
no interceptions. The key here for Jacksonville, though, as with
everyone that plays the Cowboys. This is not brain surgery,
this is not programming the internet. It's run defense, keep
it simple, stupid, the kiss method and Jacksonville there ranked
(30:23):
Danny in the NFL against the run. They've been better
on the road than they have at home, so that
is a factor here. But if you can just merely
trip up that great running game with Pollard and Elliott
and forced Dak Prescott to make plays, that does not
vote well for the Cowboys getting over a field goal
(30:44):
with a home dog against a shaky Cowboy team. I'm
comfortable with taking Jacksonville despite their recent problems against the
spread against the NFC. I say Jacksonville wins this game
out right. Jags thirty three and the Cowboys thirty. The
fine all and the penny says, nope, you're a prisoner
(31:07):
of the moment going with the Cowboys. I love when
the Cowboys lose and then Jerry Jones has his State
of the Cowboys address after the games on Sunday. It's
so good, it's so it's so I admit it's just
lazy radio because it's just Jerry freaking out. Everyone's freaking
out around the Cowboys. It's wonderful. Let's get to the
late TV windows. We continue on Benny versus the Penny
(31:29):
of Late Television Window Arizona four and nine at Denver
three in tenants on Fox. Our friend Chris Myers, part
of the FSR Alumni Association, and Robert Smith the Old
Viking have the call. Broncos opened a one point favorite.
They are currently favored by three and I don't quite
get this at all. And empower field that mile high,
(31:53):
temperatures in the thirties, Denver, oh and four this season
as a favorite. Cliff King's are in the Cardinals. They've
been great as a road underdog. The numbers are ridiculous,
sixteen five and one against the spread as a road
dog nine and one since the start of last season.
We're taking the Cardinals in This game should be played
(32:13):
in a looney ben. You've got dysfunction junction, what's your function?
A lot of bitterness on both sides here, and you've
got the Broncos who are running in circles with Nathaniel Hackett.
You've got the Cardinals who are falling apart there without
Kyler Murray the rest of the year and then next year.
(32:35):
And it appears the Broncos will likely be without Russell
Wilson at the time we are talking here, Danny g
Russ in the concussion protocol, it's still up in the
air whether or not he's going to play or not.
If he is going to play, how good will he be?
And if he's not gonna play, You've got Brett Rippon
a tomato can as the backup. I'd rather have his dad,
(32:58):
who's really old at this point, Mark RiPP and then Bret.
His dad is is with his uncle, uncle, his uncle.
But to anyway, listen, Arizona Colt McCoy not good, but
he's the better quarterback in this game. Denver also may
end up having five starters, five starters out of the
all twenty two out with injury. The Cardinals are the
(33:20):
healthier team even with Kyler Murray being out. We'll take
Arizona twenty and the Broncos sixteen. And the penny just
landed in a little puddle on the table here. I
think that means it just wants to stay out of
this game. But it landed on heads. That means the Broncos. Alright, Broncos,
(33:46):
it is so we disagree on that game, and the
next up we move on to Los Angeles or in
the hood up to No Good and Inglewood. It's So
five Stadium, Tennessee seven and six the Chargers All seven
and six on CBS with Andrew Catalan and James Lofton.
Chargers opened up a one and a half point favorite.
(34:07):
They are favored by three in this game l A
oh and three against the spread. Their last three is
a home favorite, and since they moved from San Diego
to l A, the Chargers are eleven games under five
hundred as a home favorite. Justin Herbert, who's been so
good statistically, he's been terrible, seems to be caught completely
(34:32):
unaware when the Chargers are favored by three or more points.
So we're gonna take the Tennessee Titans in this game.
Last week was an absolute boondoggle for Tennessee. This is
a chance to save their season. They gave the game
away against Jacksonville, as we mentioned earlier, and they had
butter fingers in that game. We assume Mike Rabel's not
gonna take stupid pills here like the Dolphins did last
(34:54):
week where they went away from the running game. The
Chargers blow at stopping the run. Their over all against
the run. I'm pretty sure Danny g could average about
six yards per carry against this defense. Uh And and overall,
the NFL teams against the Chargers are getting five point
four yards per carrey. That's the worst per carry run
(35:17):
defense in the NFL. We're taking the Titans. Remember the
Titans bounced back game here with Mike Rabol has been
so good as an underdog. Titans twenty six, Chargers twenty three.
And the Penny agrees with you on this one. Going
with the Titans al right. Next up Cincinnati nine and
(35:38):
four at Tampa Bay six and sevens on CBS. This
is big game for CBS, Jim Nance and Tony Romo.
The Bengals opened up a two an a half point favorite,
their favorite by three and a half at Raymond James Stadium.
Most everyone and their mother betting on the Bengals eight
six percent Cincinnati, why not? There? Ten and one against
(36:00):
the spread the last eleven That is the number one
record in the NFL. Over the last eleven weeks, Cincinnati
has covered five straight games, one more cover If they
cover the spread this week, that will be the longest
stretch for the Bengals going all the way back to
nineteen three. Holy crap, uh, that's a long time ago.
(36:24):
So that's that's how long we have to go back.
Tampa Bay has been dreadful. Their one nine and one
against the spread in their last eleven games. That is
the worst record in the NFL. Holy Tom Brady in
that span, we're taking the Bengals. Call us a sucker.
I don't care. I realized Joe Burrow has a tender elbow,
(36:44):
and there's several receivers that are either in gonna miss
this game or play and not be But Tampa Bay
is so bad they are not worth a penny. They're
not They're not even worth a penny the way they
played here. And you look at Burrow in the Bengals,
and then if you'd imagine in your head that cartoon
bubble in your head, Cincinnati on offense is like a flamethrower.
(37:09):
The Buccaneers are like a cigarette lighter that's running out
of fuel. It's a huge mismatch, and I'm a little
concerned because I'm on the side of the public, and
you never want to be on the side of the public,
cause I've said many times, but I've looked at the numbers.
I've looked at everything, and I outside of Burrow throwing
(37:29):
three interceptions or running back fumbling and a key injury,
I just don't see a scenario where this game is
even close in the fourth quarter. Bengals thirty six bucks
seventeen the final penny. Agreeing with you again, going with
(37:50):
the Bengals, al right. Next up, we've got New England
seven and six at Las Vegas five and eight. It's
on Fox. Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma have the call Friends. Uh.
Kenny Albert is a friend of the the radio show
The Raiders. Your Raiders, Danny opened up a two point favorite.
They're favored by one and a half at Allegiance Stadium.
(38:12):
Be sunny fifty degrees, Danny, so make sure you bring
a sweater fifty degrees there in Vegas at kickoff. Most
people betting on the Raiders in this game. Some of
the numbers leading into this New England has covered four
straight games as a favorite. The Raiders have covered three
straight games as an underdog. But remember the Raiders are
(38:32):
favorite in this game. It's a small line. New England
four and one against the spread their last five on
the road. We are going to take the Patriots in
this game, Sorry, Danny new England staying out west. They
were in Tucson after they beat the Cardinals on the
Monday night game. Now they go against the Raiders, who
had the game in their back pocket till they shipped
(38:54):
the bed Danny against the Rams there they decided to
gargle with Bleach in the late stage of that game.
What is your opinion of that past that Derek Carr threw?
You want to give your opinion on that, the woggling past.
It's pretty bad when Brock Purdy is throwing dimes and
meanwhile Derek Carr in Vegas is falling on his face. Yeah,
(39:18):
Brock Purty, is this this can't last? I mean, this
is like Kurt Warner type stuff, Tom Brady like stuff.
This is insane what he's been doing here is But anyway,
and this is about the Raider game. So I'm taking
the Patriots. As I said, one of the main elements
I looked at is okay, Bill Belichick's defensive mind against
(39:40):
Derek Carr. Derek Carr gets confused about when he plays
mediocre defenses. The Patriots have a top notch defense, that's
the top unit on this field on Sunday, and in
his career, Cars played Belichick three times oh and three.
In his career, his passer rating is below eighty one
(40:01):
against Patriot defenses. Now we should also mention that Josh
McDaniels knows where all the bodies are buried in New England.
He's he's the secret keeper for Bill Belichick. He knows
all of the weak spots for Mac Jones. The question
is whether or not the Raiders are good enough on
defense to execute the game plan. And you also wonder
(40:26):
the mental aspect of this because that lost too the
Rams for all intensive purposes, slam the door shut on
any realistic bid for the playoffs for the Raiders. So
do they come back here completely flat? I'm gonna take
the Patriots twenty eight and the Raiders sixteen the final
(40:50):
and the penny also going with the cheat triots. It's
all right, Ben, Raider fans are used to it, Raider
Nation versus the world. All right now, Dan, I've got
a homework assignment before you remember when you go to
the Raider game. I need documentation, cell phone photos. I
want to know the price of a hot dog, a beer, nachos, merchandise.
(41:13):
I want all of the information. Okay, so just who
we're on the same wavelength. I just want to know.
I want to give you if and I've never been
to Allegiance Stadium. I've driven by it every time you
go to Vegas. You drive right by it on your
way to the strip when you come from l A.
So I want to I want to hear every detail.
I want to hear how that you know they have
good toilet paper in the bathrooms. Is it like Costco
(41:34):
toilet papers? It crappy toilet paper. I wanna hear everything.
Start with the alcohol and work my way down exactly
the trickle down. In fact, all right, we got two
games left. Let's get to it. Sunday night football, the
Giants at seven five and one and the Washington football
team at seven five and one on and Be you
(41:58):
see the Peacock well not actually Peacock streaming service, the
real Big NBC. Mike Tariko and Chris Collinsworth have the call.
The Commanders opened up a four point favorite. They are
favored by four and a half. Sunny temperatures actually not
sunny because this is a night game, so I don't
think it'll be sunny at kickoff. But Tempers in the
(42:19):
twenties at FedEx Field in the Greater Washington, d C. Area.
In land Over, Maryland, Washington six one and one against
the spread their last eight games. Nine of Washington's last
eleven games have gone under the expected total, so they've
usually played plenty low scoring games over the last couple
(42:39):
of months. We're gonna take the Giants in this game.
We're betting a trend. It's been a roller coaster ride
for both of these teams of Washington historically, going back
for over a decade fifteen years, Washington thirteen twenty eight
and two against the spread in prime time games. They've
(43:00):
actually done better this year. This game flexed It was
supposed to be a day game. It was flexed out.
The Raiders Patriots game was supposed to be the game.
This was supposed to be the prime time here, but
instead Giants and Washington that East Coast bias. Washington had
been on the come, as they say in poker. But
again the game against the Giants, they that was the
(43:21):
last game they play. It's very odd a quirk in
the schedule. These teams played, had a bye week, and
now they're back at it playing each other again. Washington
would tend nothing leading that game the gym in taking
advantage of a Taylor Heineke Ill advised pass. Now. In theory,
this should be an easy game for Washington. They can
run the ball with Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson, run right,
(43:41):
left and center. They can gut absolutely gut that Giants
defense like a fish. Uh And and they did that
in week thirteen, they still ended up in a tie.
I'm going the other way though, I'm gonna take the
Giants here. And not that I love Danny Dimes, I
don't the guys. He's a bombom. The guys a bombom,
(44:01):
as Joean Rhode Island would say. But divisional game. These
teams just play. They know each other both. Coming off
a by, Giants should be able to move the ball
on the ground with their running game. Commanders twenty seven,
Giants twenty four. The final within that four and a
half point cushion, the penny go in the other direction.
(44:24):
Commandos are going to be in the wind column here alright.
Next up, the last game on the card. We save
this turn for the very in Monday night football. Yeah,
all I am as I honor past summer All four
and nine, green Bay five and eight. It is on
EESPN with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman, the sellout broadcasters
(44:48):
over there to ESPN. Good for them. Packers opened up
a nine and a half point favorite, green Bay favorite
by seven at lambo Field and old a forecast. It
is going to be no snow, but the forecast calls
for a high of nine degrees that kick off, it'll
(45:09):
feel like minus five. I might have to text my
brother say, hey, how's that heater working. My brother lives
about thirty miles away from lambeau Field and Appleton, Wisconsin.
So yikes, yikes, yikes, sikes. He likes it. I guess
he lived there for several years. Uh So, I'm gonna
take the Rams in this game. And here's my my logic. Mind,
(45:31):
I'm not confident that Baker Mayfield is gonna play well.
Here's the rub on this. And you saw this Danny
last week. Baker didn't play well for about eighty five
nine of that game against the Raiders. He was zonked
most of the game and it wasn't until that late
fourth quarter storybook finish that turned everything around. It's like
(45:52):
not how you started telling you finished right and that
whole thing. But he was bad most of the game.
He should be better here because he's actually had some
practice time. You would assume the Rams have started to
show a little bit of a pulse. They've come out
of the coma they've been in. And the main thinking,
you know, the main point on this game is that
(46:12):
these teams are pretty similar. They're they're both mediocre. Uh,
Aaron Rodgers is not the same Aaron Rodgers. They don't
have the playmakers they have and this is way too
many points. The package should not be favored by seven.
I get the whole frozen tundra nonsense and all that.
And I have seen plenty of RAM teams over the
(46:34):
years turned into icicles when they go to cold weather.
It's one of the nightmares of being a fan of
a West Coast team. They just can't handle the cold weather.
I'm like, what's the big deal. I got to a
cold wed I put an extra sweater on. It's no
big deal. These a holes going the cold weather and
they freeze their ass off. So Packers twenty Rams sixteen
the final and the penny going with your Rams. Okay,
(47:01):
So we agree on that, and that is the full
Monty no days off in the NFL, no buys this week,
so we had a full card and enjoy, enjoy all
the games coming up tomorrow on Saturday and then again
on Sunday. And if you're listening to this podcast on Sunday,
just fast forward. I probably should have said this earlier,
(47:22):
but just fast you probably should have already fast forward
through the games that already we're playing. Yes, it works easy, peasy,
I think peasy japanesey. No, I can't say that. And
when that's offensive, you could. You could have said that
up until about seven years ago. I don't. Hey, by
the way, on the Saturday podcast, it's gonna be a
(47:45):
Ben Maller exclusive, is that right? I don't know how much.
Al right, Wow, a Mallard podcast exclusive. You'll only hear
that content here. We don't even know what it is.
I have a great rest of your Friday, and and
don't forget all weekend long. We got your cover right
here in the podcast. Do Joe will catch you next
(48:06):
time later. Skater population
Host
Ben Maller
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