September 15, 2022 • 30 mins
John McLaughlin, co - founder of McLaughlin and Associates, and Matt Towery, pollster, attorney and syndicated columnist are here to discuss the latest polls.
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
All right, news, round up, information, overload our eight hundred
ninefold one Shawn our number if you want to be
a part of the program. We're following every race around
the country. It's that simple, and that includes in New York,
where I believe Kathy Hulkell, who took over for Andrew Cuomo,
can be beaten. It. Well, here's Lee Zeldon's late as
(00:20):
that there's no question of the spear crime is real.
Without warning, he turned to violent. You're looking at actual
violent crimes caught on camera in Kathy Hulks New York.
It is getting much worse on Kathy Hukel's watch your
Criminal Zember a vote what your life depends on it.
(00:41):
It just might Fleezeldon for governor because it's time our
families feel safe again. And by the way, all Hulk
is running our ads about abortion and about Trump and
January sixth, well everything I tell you that they're going
to do, I mean, it's gotten so bad. I mean
(01:02):
it was the greatest political jiu jitsu move. And Republican
governors are involved sending these illegal immigrants to DC to
New York. Now Martha's Vineyard by Rhonda Santis. I just
love all of it, and it's working. As we look
at all of these races, I'm not going to make
(01:22):
the mistake I made last year and not pay enough
attention to a state like New York, even though the
odds are it's a long shot. Police Eldon, He's certainly
in the game according to the polls we have. Matt
Towery is with us. Matt, I've been focused mostly on
the Senate races. Where do you see the state of
the race now fifty four days out of election day? Well,
(01:45):
contrary to that, a lot of the national media right
now and the national posters who are saying, oh, the
Democrats have got this new win behind them and Biden's
approval rating is coming back with a roar. I'm not
finding that in the states that I pull for, example
of the Fox of the Waves I pull for in
these battleground states, I'm finding that the President's approval ratings
(02:06):
are very anemic, much worse for him in the battleground stage.
I think we'll just outright being lied to by the
media mob as they lied to us in twenty sixteen
and told us that Trump colluded with Russia, as they
lied about Hunter's laptop in twenty twenty. I just assume
they're all lying. It's a momentum play, and they all
(02:28):
talk to each other and it becomes a big giant,
you know, echo chamber, and so in their minds things
are turning around. I think we're going to see and
this is just I'm beginning to see this happen. Sean.
You remember in twenty twenty, about three or four of
us the posters who were pretty much dead on, and
I think even Nate Silver, who doesn't like to hand
(02:49):
out any awards, to me that five of us really
had the lowest error in the country and they couldn't
figure out why. It's because we couldn't get voters. We
were able to, but the other posters with not or
could not get the voters who wanted to support Donald Trump,
and they weren't captured in their polls. I really believe
this time we're having the same thing take place. And
that said, even with our polls, it's becoming increasingly difficult
(03:13):
to get people to tell you how they're going to vote.
Certainly in this time period in which it looks like
people who are conservative or certainly if they support Trump
are going to be persecuted, are going to be singled
out or going to be trampled on. People don't want
to tell you that they're voting Republican. And the error
level last time was about two point five to three
(03:35):
percent nationally on average. If you were to take two
to three percent from each of these Senate races, added
to the Republican and take it from the Democrat in
almost every one of these states, not only do you
have a dead even race, in most instances the Republican
would be ahead. So I feel like I thought this
thing was lost, as you well know, we talked about
it ourselves many times. But forty five days ago, thirty
(03:58):
days ago, I thought this thing's going down to two
the Republicans, and I thought the Democrats were going to
prevail it yet. But there was a big ship that
took place. It started with the decision to you forgive
a certain amount of tuition loans that they were owed
by folks forgiveness program exactly. And then and then it
(04:18):
was exacerbated by that very dark speech that Biden gave
about almost going on two weeks ago that the average
person couldn't figure out what and why he was talking
about it. And I think since that time period with
the economic news we have and just the general spillage
of Buyingly, we're getting to beginning to see some of
the issues like the borders, spill over to areas where
(04:38):
it has to be covered in other states and the
media has to cover it. I get a sense that
this thing is drifting in it just as a whole
more towards the Republicans than any of the polsterers are
picking up right now. Well, that's getting interesting, Jim McLaughlin,
I know you and your brother have been polling in
New York, for example. Is it a stretch to think
(04:59):
Lee Zelda and can have a huge upset and win
the governorship in New York? You know, the interesting part
about it is shown is I don't think it's going
to be that big of an upset because the truth
of the matter is, you look at the legitimate polls
in New York and this fits into what you and
Matt were just talking about. They're showing it's a single
digit race. And by the way, Kathy Hokel, who is
(05:21):
even though she wasn't the elected incumbent, she's the pseudo
incumbent in this rate, She's under fifty percent of the
vote already all these undecided voters, they know who she is.
And when you look at the undecided, they overwhelmingly think
Joe Biden is doing a horrible job. They overwhelmingly think
that Kathy Hokel's doing a bad job, and they overwhelmingly
(05:42):
say the country and the state are off on the
wrong track and things are horrible when it comes to
cost a living, to inflation to crime. They're looking for
the Lee's Eldon's of the world to get things back,
and we're seeing it not just in Lee's Elden's race,
but we're also in these congressional races. I know you
talked with Mike Waller yesterday, who was actually beating Sean
(06:06):
Patrick Maloney, who was basically Nancy Pelosi's campaign manager. He's
up by four points in the suburbs up in the
Hudson Valley right now. And just what Matt was talking about,
We've been through these wave elections in the past. You know,
you go back to nineteen ninety four, you go back
to twenty ten, twenty fourteen, they Matt and I were
(06:28):
together at ninety four. He was working what was your
title back then, Matt I was a new Gingrich's campaign chairman, okay,
And I was the MC of the event that the
night the new became speaker. So I was a lowly
talk show host screaming out victory after victory, which was
a lot of fun. Actually, it was a fun night. Yeah.
But I don't want to get people's hopes up too high, Jim.
(06:52):
I honestly, I never get Pollyannish on this. I always
tell people, just assume you're ten points behind, no question,
and you're exactly right about that. Remember it this time.
People thought it was crazy back in ninety four that
the Republicans would actually pick up the house. They picked
up sixty plus seats. Now is the most important part
(07:12):
of the campaign. We've got what about fifty four days
left in this campaign. Not that I'm counting the day,
but this is when the focus really comes into play,
and we've got to set the contrast on the issues
that people care about most. Well. This is why I
like and some people don't like it that I'm saying
good things about Kevin McCarthy, and they might have issues
with Kevin. Put your criticism of him aside for a second.
(07:36):
The idea of commitments to America. This has not been
done since the Contract of ninety four. That's twenty eight years,
and that's laying out in writing exactly what you are
going to do if you're given the opportunity to lead.
I want every single candidate signing that document and then
following through on that document and being held accountable for
(07:58):
whether or not they do keep their promises. I like
that idea. Well now, yeah, I said, well, and I
think New Engrish likes it as well. And of course
he was the hero of nineteen ninety four with the
Contrary with America. I know he likes it. He's been
telling me on TV and radio that he likes it
absolutely so. So I want to make one note though,
and you talk about you're very cautious, I want to
(08:20):
be cautious as well. One of the things that we're
not used to now is this got you, and I
mean really got you, not coming from the media, but
coming from our own government. And we never know what
the new gotcha is going to be, the new crisis,
the new attack, because it appears that at least from
(08:42):
the Democratic side, they've decided to manage this thing with
a new cycle that goes beyond any issues that they
have to debate or answer. It has to be about
Trump being indited. It has to be about MAGA supporters
threatening people. In other words, look over here, don't look
the real problems. The question is will the public be
(09:03):
diverted to these other issues? Will that be used as
a way to get Democrats to turn out in massive numbers?
Or are people going to be looking at inflation? Are
they going to be looking at the cost of their groceries,
of their life, looking at electric vehicles where they're told
they need to buy, looking at Biden's failures. You see,
they can't run on one positive thing. And I've been
(09:24):
identifying three things they're going to run on January six,
slash Trump and number two they're going to be running
on demagoguing abortion because of the Dobb's decision, and misleading
and lying to American women. And the third thing they'll
run on is the usual playbook. Republicans are racist, sexist, etc.
And they want dirty air and water. Besides that, I
(09:46):
think they have nothing else, Matt. I think when it
comes down to abortion, we haven't really talked about this.
I think that is baked in the cake. The turnout
level probably can't be accelerated any it can't be held back.
That is what it is. So now it's the other
things they're out there talking about. And I don't know, Sean.
(10:07):
I mean, I'm just a polster. I don't know if
it's in the end the Republican momentum which was sort
of lost, like I said about thirty days ago, and
I see it picking back up, if that's going to
carry forward, and that's just going to spill over. But
I know one thing, there is a silent respondent to
these polls out there. There are people who are literally
afraid to talk to a poster or anyone else because
(10:30):
of the climate that we have today, exacerbated in the
last few weeks. So it's going to a good luck
to polsters because it may now be impossible for them
to pick this wave up. In other words, you might
be people have picked up on the question of are
you or have you ever been a supporter of Donald Trump,
and they don't want to identify themselves as anything, and
(10:51):
they're like, they don't want to talk to any polster. Right.
I can understand that environment, and I think there's a
lot of truth to that. So maybe it becomes impossible
to pull Let me ask you bold, Jim. I'll start
with you what Senate races are you most concerned about
for the Republicans. Look, I think the Senate map is
much better for the Republicans than they're being given credit
(11:12):
for right now, because again it goes back to what
you and Matt were talking about. They're trying to suppress
money to these Senate races. They're trying to suppress support
to these races. And when you look at it, they
talk about, how say you know in Nevada that the
Democrats ahead, or Raphael Warnock and Georgia, all these candidates,
(11:32):
whether it's Nevada, Arizona, New Hampshire, Georgia, all these battleground
Senate races, all the Democratic incumbents are under fifty percent
of the vote. And this is what we were talking
about before. The vast majority of those undecided they have
one hundred percent. They might do with those voters. Those
vast majority of undecideds are going to vote against the
(11:54):
Democrats because they don't like the record inflation, they don't
like the skyrocket and crime, they don't like the rising
interest rates, the open borders and all that other kind
of good stuff. Right now, they're in trouble right now.
The Democrats when it comes to these Senate races, even
though the map is not great for us, and the
other thing that's gone on in these races, the Democrats
(12:14):
have significantly outspent the Republicans over the last couple months
after Labor Day. That money advantage that they have, it's
not going to be as big as it was before.
They're literally that's one of their big tactics. They're trying
to buy these races, and at the end of Soday,
I don't think they're going to be able to do it.
Quick break Moore. The polsters Jim McLaughlin and Matt Towery
(12:35):
on the other side, eight hundred and nine four one,
Shawn our number. If you want to be a part
of the program, get back to our polsters, Jim McLaughlin
and Matt Towery. If you look at a lot of
these races, and Matt, we've been following this in every
Senate race, it seems to be the same m I mean,
it's happening in Ohio with JD. Vans, it's happening with
Ron Johnson, it's happening with doctor Oz, it's happening with
(12:55):
herschel Walker, it's happening with Ted budd Is that They're
spending tens and tens of millions of dollars in negative
ads on these candidates. The Democratic candidates themselves, they don't
want to debate. The Republicans. Fetterman doesn't want to debate
Odz until what a week before election day? Well, at
that point, half the vote is going to be in,
(13:18):
you know, the same thing. Raphael Warnock doesn't want to
debate Herschel Walker Man, Della Barnes doesn't want to debate
Ron Johnson. They're hiding, and they're they're hoping that the
Biden hiding the basement strategy and bombard people with false
negative ads is going to work. Is that going to
work for them? Matt, I don't think so. What I
(13:38):
found interesting is they were all sort of rope a
doping on whether to debate and trying to skip it.
And then the last week several of these candidates is, oh, okay,
I will debate. Not admittedly they've got all kinds of
you know, but they say they're going to debate at
the end of October. At that point and a lot
of these states half the vote is in. Well, I think,
(13:58):
is this they didn't even want a debate at all,
and now I think they're beginning to realize they've got
to do something. You know, the Democrats allow on early
vote Seohn, you know that they now. I think in
North Carolina there is a substantial lead in the number
of ballots for early voting for Democrats. But that as
and D but that's really nothing because Republicans love to
vote on election day, and I think what they're concerned
(14:19):
about is is that they can't stay in the basement
in this instance. Because I promise you this, I don't
care what the national media say. I have seen every
one of these Senate races that I've been pulling begin
to narrow in the last ten to fifteen days, and
can name all of them. Georgia has now Herschels on
the lead. It's within the margin of Vera. In Pennsylvania,
(14:41):
Ron Johnson has taken a slight lead. I see JD.
Van's pulling away. Laxalt is up in Nevada. I'd like
to see Blake Masters do a little better out in
Arizona than he's doing now, but I have no doubt
he'll do better. Budd has this three point lead in
North Carolina. I don't know about New Ham. I'm sure,
yet we got to pay attention and then we could
(15:02):
maybe look even at Colorado in the state of Washington.
But anyway, Matt Towery, thank you, Jim McLaughlin, thank you.
Eight hundred nine four one. Shan is on numbers. If
you want to be a part of the program, we'll
get to your calls, holding them accountable. Sean gets the answers.
No one else does. America desserts and know the truth
(15:24):
about Congress all right, twenty five nowns to the top
of the hour. Eight hundred nine four one, Sean, if
you want to join us, this is pretty interesting. The
Hill reports more than thirty Russian municipal deputies have now
signed a petition calling for Russian President Vladimir Putin to resign.
We the Municipal Deputies of Russia, believe that the actions
(15:49):
of President Vladimir Putin harm the future of Russia and
its citizens. Its translation of the petition reads, we demand
the resignation of Vladimir Putin from the post the President
of the Russian Federation. His petition comes as the Ukrainian
military has been pursuing a very successful counter offensive, quickly
(16:09):
reclaiming a lot of territory and pushing Russian troops back
to the northeastern border in many, many incidences, and the
petition was signed primarily by municipal deputies serving in Moscow
on Saint Petersburg, although the people that were signing this
include officials from other cities. Now, there has been a
(16:31):
series of about five or six quote associates of Vladimir
Putin that just so happened to die in recent weeks.
So I don't know. I would imagine that this is
a pretty gutsy thing for these people to do. But
we'll find out in the days and weeks and months
to come. Our trust fund, Baby Bratton a hoodie, John
Fetterman his campaign. So they agreed to a debate. They
(16:55):
want this debate to take place on October the twenty fifth. Okay,
election day is on November the eighth. Early voting starts
what Monday in Pennsylvanias this Monday, right, you live in Pennsylvania,
Linda Eve. In other words, mail in voting. So okay,
if you talk October twenty fifth, you're looking at all right,
(17:18):
thirty one days in October, all right, so now you've
you've got six days and then eight days. So he
got fourteen days. That's all. That's all you're gonna have
to determine half a Pennsylvania could have voted by that.
Every debate needs to start taking place before the as
(17:38):
single vote is cast. That is not difficult to accomplish.
He doesn't want to debate before votes are cast. He
wants to hide in the basement even more than Joe
Biden did. He is literally spoken less than an hour
since the campaign has begun. The general election campaign. He
(18:01):
didn't want anything to do when Joe Biden showed up
in Pennsylvania on four separate occasions. And on top of that,
he's asking for concessions, and the concessions that a moderator
must explain to the audience that Fetterman is using a
closed captioning system. By the way, I feel sorry for
the guy. He had a debate and you know, the
(18:21):
OZ people said, all right, we'll agree to that, but
that's going to take a lot more time instead of
sixty minutes to get any substance, and we're gonna need
a little more time. We wanted to be extended to
ninety minutes. That makes perfect sense to me. But the
real question is why are they waiting until fourteen days
out of the election. That's unfair to the people Pennsylvania.
He has not answered one single question from the media
(18:45):
mob about his medical condition. He's never answered a question
about why he supports sanctuary cities, the decriminalization of hard
drugs like heroin, mathcrack, etc. Why you want safe shooting
zones for drug goddox. He has yet to explain where
he got the money to pay for these eight houses
that he apparently had that he never told anybody about
(19:07):
that he was supposed to report on his financial disclosure reports.
He also apparently has now tax issues. He likes to
come off as the workingman with the tattoos and the hoodie,
but it turns out he's never had a real job
in his life that you Federman's a guy in a
hoodie that's a trust fund brat. It's all an image thing.
And then he has the stroke. He can't speak very well.
(19:29):
He's not articulating anything. He's not explaining why he wants
a moratorium on energy production in the US that will
destroy Pennsylvania's economy, or why he doesn't want any restrictions
on abortion. You know, these are really important questions. Why
he wants to defund the police, dismantle the police. And
he's not answered a single question and the meet he's
given him a pass him only fifty four days until
(19:51):
the midterms and people start voting Monday. This is insanity.
This is no way to run an election and have
integrity in the system. And then the people will vote
the just you know, vote, party line vote, not know
anything about Fetterman's radical positions because the media has given
him a pass, just like the media helped in twenty
sixteen spread the Trump Rusher collusion lie, just like the
(20:14):
media lied about Hunter Biden's laptop three weeks before the
twenty twenty election. The same old crap, but the same
thing's happening everywhere. You know, You've got this Mandela Barnes
with the most radical record. We've gone over his record.
He doesn't want anything to do. He doesn't want to
debate Ron Johnson. He wants to hide. It's getting all
this money pouring in from outside of Wisconsin, all this
(20:36):
money pouring into Pennsylvania from outside of Pennsylvania, all this
money pouring into Ohio in supportive real radical Tim Johnson
to attack JD Vance. The same things happening in North
Carolina with Ted Budd. Same thing's happening in South Carolina
with Senator Tim Scott. Same thing is happening in Georgia
(20:57):
with herschel Walker. Same thing's happening to Mark Rubio. Same
thing's happening to every Republican candidate, Eric Schmidt in Missouri
and Adam laxalt Out in Nevada. Same things happening to
Blake Masters in Arizona. It's happening all over the country,
and you see what's at stake here. They don't want
(21:19):
a debate because they can't defend their radical positions. They
have picked the most radical left wing candidates imaginable, so
now they're stuck with them. So their advice is just
hide and don't debate. If you have to debate, make
it as close to the election day as possible so
you won't get hurt by the debate. I don't know why.
I mean doctor Roz's campaign. They don't need to agree
(21:41):
to these changes, which I've never heard of a debate
where they have closed caption before. And if they're going
to do that, that's gonna eat up a lot of
the one hour. It's only an hour, and it's only
fourteen days before election day. Betterman's going to be on delay.
It's unfair to viewers, it's unfair to the people of Pennsylvania.
The questions apparently he's being run by next Star. They're
(22:03):
they're doing that debate, you know, during the practice sessions
for Feederman bears zero resemblance to the actual questions. Anyway,
they're letting Fetterman practice the closed caption system. But now
with Fetterman practicing his answers ahead of time, I mean,
this is insanity. Doctor Oz wants seven debates. This guy
(22:23):
can't talk. He's struggling. The few times he's been out
to speak for three or four minutes, it is a
massive struggle. So he's not disclosing to the people of
Pennsylvania the real condition. And it's happening in every state.
This is this is the battle we're up against here,
all right? Eight hundred nine for one. Shan are number
if you want to be a part of the program.
(22:44):
Is it Lee in South Carolina? Are you Hi'm good Sean.
Nice to talk to you. Nice to talk to you.
So I'm worried for our country, you know, everything that's
go going on, you know, and he's having a party.
You know, celebrating, and I feel like he's only celebrating
(23:08):
because people aren't opening their eyes to what is going
on here. Well, I mean, I think everybody's feeling it.
You know. I went through earlier in the program today
a series of what what Biden's life is doing for
average American families, and it's devastating them. People can't make
ends meet. If I had time, I go over it again.
(23:31):
They're not going to be able to go out to dinner.
They can't take the same vacation they thought they'd be
able to get a new car. They thought they might
be able to move to a different neighborhood and get
a different home, and you know, basically move up with
their lives. They can't do any of that. And it's
only going to get worse. I don't see it getting better.
(23:51):
Prime is out of control everywhere, you know, and you know,
the educational system's a mess, every aspect of our economy.
I think it's gonna be far worse than people are predicting.
That's my take on it. I'm preparing for the worst.
The only the only good news that I can say
to people. And I don't give financial advice like I
(24:12):
don't give medical advice. But I think you get treasuries
now at what four percent for a year, pretty close
to that. I mean, at least you can park your
money and get something back. You know in recent years
you're not being able to get anything back. Well, it's
far worse than that, you know. I mean, how are
people going to heat their houses if there's not oil?
You know what I do for a living, I drive
(24:35):
people from all over the country, And I've spoken to
the farmers, and I've spoken to Cuban people that have
said to me flat out, we came here because it
was free. Where do we go from here? They've lived
eat free communism, and where do they go from here?
(24:57):
It flawed me when when these two people said this
to me. You know, I've been hearing the exact same
thing when I do go down to Florida occasionally. I
hear it everywhere. I hear it from so many different people.
And I'll tell you, the greatest indicator we've had on
this program is this great audience farmers calling this program
(25:21):
warning us gone back a year now about how bad
things are going to get and how price is going
to remain high regardless of what the consumer Price Index
is and truckers that are telling us the real state
of the economy, the real state of supply chain. And
so the people that do make this country great, they
(25:41):
have been they've they've been out there sounding the alarm
played poor Revere. Trouble is coming, Trouble is coming. Thank goodness,
at least we've been able to warn all of you
in this audience and offer the best counsel we can
give you. I got criticized for this. I said to people, look,
in times like this, is only two things that you
can do to sort of get through rough economic times.
(26:05):
One is decreased you're spending. Two is you got to
find other ways to bring in more income. And when
I said that, people got angry. Hannity's telling poor people
to work more, and I'm I throw my hands up,
like these people are so stupid. Well, I was one
of those poor people, and that's what I did. So
that's how I made more money. I would work longer hours,
(26:28):
more jobs, seven days a week, and I wouldn't stops.
That's how I got out of a position that I
didn't like being in, which was living paycheck to paycheck.
I worked out of it. I worked harder and I'd
see only that from my youth. That's all I've ever known.
(26:50):
And I don't know these people. I don't know why
that would be something to criticize. Well, lieve me, I
sympathize with working men and women because that's, you know,
decades of my life. And everyone thinks, oh, you just
work four hours a day, Hannity, I'm like, you have
no idea what I do. This is an all consuming,
twenty four seven job, and I want to do the
(27:14):
best at it, so I work hard at it. But
I don't want to see Americans suffer, and I want
you know, we would just do energy independence and energy dominance,
just that one thing, and control our border another thing.
If we do those simple things, we will lower inflation dramatically,
and we can help create high paying jobs, and we
(27:36):
could become If we got back to energy independence and
then advanced to energy dominance, we would be the richest
country on Earth, and we wouldn't have to tax people
so much. We wouldn't have to rely on government, We
wouldn't we wouldn't be advising our military to go on
food stamps. How disgustingly humiliating and repulsive is is our
(28:00):
treatment of our military. The people that preserve our freedoms
will give money to you know, rich brats that go
to Ivy League schools, But we're not going to We're
not going to take care of our military members and
give them a wage that they can afford to put
food on the table. May I say something? Yes? When
are the American people are going to wake up? When
are they going to wake up to the simple fact
(28:22):
that the only thing that Biden is doing is spending
more and he's trying to buy people for his party.
And on top of that, he is turning around and
he's threatening us like he's Dark Data in Star Wars
with I have you have guns, but I have that fifteen?
(28:45):
When are they going to wake up and realize that
we're supposed to be united? As a quoting starts in
some states this coming Monday, like Pennsylvania. I hope they
wake up now. I hope they wake up right now.
And I hope they're not sucked into a Democratic Party,
a complicit media that only want to talk about Trump
(29:07):
January sixth, abortion and how evil Republicans are because they
can't run on their record. I hope the American people
are sick and tired of this, and they're going to
come out and mass and they're going to send a clear,
unambiguous message that they want their freedom back, that they
(29:28):
want their government back, that they're not putting up with
this failure any longer, and that we deserve better. It's
up to you. All I can do is give you
the information. Anyway, appreciate the call eight hundred and nine
four one sewn if you want to be a part
of the program. All Right, that's gonna wrap things up
with today. Hannity loaded up tonight Sarah Carter yep. We
(29:48):
have another massive crisis, this time in al Paso in Texas,
and she's there with the thousands of illegal immigrants that
are there. Adam Laxalt's doing very well in Nevada with
will join us. Kevin McCarthy will outline give us a
little sneak peek into his commitments to America that he
is going to have every Republican run on. John Solomon
(30:10):
will update us on his two big breaking stories from
earlier in the week. We have Greg Jarrett, Alina Habba,
President Trump's attorney, Peter Schweitzer, Larry Elder Leo two point
o'torell Ninetiestern Hannity, Fox News will see you tonight. Back
here tomorrow. Thank you for making the show possible.
All right, news, round up, information, overload our eight hundred
ninefold one Shawn our number if you want to be
a part of the program. We're following every race around
the country. It's that simple, and that includes in New York,
where I believe Kathy Hulkell, who took over for Andrew Cuomo,
can be beaten. It. Well, here's Lee Zeldon's late as
(00:20):
that there's no question of the spear crime is real.
Without warning, he turned to violent. You're looking at actual
violent crimes caught on camera in Kathy Hulks New York.
It is getting much worse on Kathy Hukel's watch your
Criminal Zember a vote what your life depends on it.
(00:41):
It just might Fleezeldon for governor because it's time our
families feel safe again. And by the way, all Hulk
is running our ads about abortion and about Trump and
January sixth, well everything I tell you that they're going
to do, I mean, it's gotten so bad. I mean
(01:02):
it was the greatest political jiu jitsu move. And Republican
governors are involved sending these illegal immigrants to DC to
New York. Now Martha's Vineyard by Rhonda Santis. I just
love all of it, and it's working. As we look
at all of these races, I'm not going to make
(01:22):
the mistake I made last year and not pay enough
attention to a state like New York, even though the
odds are it's a long shot. Police Eldon, He's certainly
in the game according to the polls we have. Matt
Towery is with us. Matt, I've been focused mostly on
the Senate races. Where do you see the state of
the race now fifty four days out of election day? Well,
(01:45):
contrary to that, a lot of the national media right
now and the national posters who are saying, oh, the
Democrats have got this new win behind them and Biden's
approval rating is coming back with a roar. I'm not
finding that in the states that I pull for, example
of the Fox of the Waves I pull for in
these battleground states, I'm finding that the President's approval ratings
(02:06):
are very anemic, much worse for him in the battleground stage.
I think we'll just outright being lied to by the
media mob as they lied to us in twenty sixteen
and told us that Trump colluded with Russia, as they
lied about Hunter's laptop in twenty twenty. I just assume
they're all lying. It's a momentum play, and they all
(02:28):
talk to each other and it becomes a big giant,
you know, echo chamber, and so in their minds things
are turning around. I think we're going to see and
this is just I'm beginning to see this happen. Sean.
You remember in twenty twenty, about three or four of
us the posters who were pretty much dead on, and
I think even Nate Silver, who doesn't like to hand
(02:49):
out any awards, to me that five of us really
had the lowest error in the country and they couldn't
figure out why. It's because we couldn't get voters. We
were able to, but the other posters with not or
could not get the voters who wanted to support Donald Trump,
and they weren't captured in their polls. I really believe
this time we're having the same thing take place. And
that said, even with our polls, it's becoming increasingly difficult
(03:13):
to get people to tell you how they're going to vote.
Certainly in this time period in which it looks like
people who are conservative or certainly if they support Trump
are going to be persecuted, are going to be singled
out or going to be trampled on. People don't want
to tell you that they're voting Republican. And the error
level last time was about two point five to three
(03:35):
percent nationally on average. If you were to take two
to three percent from each of these Senate races, added
to the Republican and take it from the Democrat in
almost every one of these states, not only do you
have a dead even race, in most instances the Republican
would be ahead. So I feel like I thought this
thing was lost, as you well know, we talked about
it ourselves many times. But forty five days ago, thirty
(03:58):
days ago, I thought this thing's going down to two
the Republicans, and I thought the Democrats were going to
prevail it yet. But there was a big ship that
took place. It started with the decision to you forgive
a certain amount of tuition loans that they were owed
by folks forgiveness program exactly. And then and then it
(04:18):
was exacerbated by that very dark speech that Biden gave
about almost going on two weeks ago that the average
person couldn't figure out what and why he was talking
about it. And I think since that time period with
the economic news we have and just the general spillage
of Buyingly, we're getting to beginning to see some of
the issues like the borders, spill over to areas where
(04:38):
it has to be covered in other states and the
media has to cover it. I get a sense that
this thing is drifting in it just as a whole
more towards the Republicans than any of the polsterers are
picking up right now. Well, that's getting interesting, Jim McLaughlin,
I know you and your brother have been polling in
New York, for example. Is it a stretch to think
(04:59):
Lee Zelda and can have a huge upset and win
the governorship in New York? You know, the interesting part
about it is shown is I don't think it's going
to be that big of an upset because the truth
of the matter is, you look at the legitimate polls
in New York and this fits into what you and
Matt were just talking about. They're showing it's a single
digit race. And by the way, Kathy Hokel, who is
(05:21):
even though she wasn't the elected incumbent, she's the pseudo
incumbent in this rate, She's under fifty percent of the
vote already all these undecided voters, they know who she is.
And when you look at the undecided, they overwhelmingly think
Joe Biden is doing a horrible job. They overwhelmingly think
that Kathy Hokel's doing a bad job, and they overwhelmingly
(05:42):
say the country and the state are off on the
wrong track and things are horrible when it comes to
cost a living, to inflation to crime. They're looking for
the Lee's Eldon's of the world to get things back,
and we're seeing it not just in Lee's Elden's race,
but we're also in these congressional races. I know you
talked with Mike Waller yesterday, who was actually beating Sean
(06:06):
Patrick Maloney, who was basically Nancy Pelosi's campaign manager. He's
up by four points in the suburbs up in the
Hudson Valley right now. And just what Matt was talking about,
We've been through these wave elections in the past. You know,
you go back to nineteen ninety four, you go back
to twenty ten, twenty fourteen, they Matt and I were
(06:28):
together at ninety four. He was working what was your
title back then, Matt I was a new Gingrich's campaign chairman, okay,
And I was the MC of the event that the
night the new became speaker. So I was a lowly
talk show host screaming out victory after victory, which was
a lot of fun. Actually, it was a fun night. Yeah.
But I don't want to get people's hopes up too high, Jim.
(06:52):
I honestly, I never get Pollyannish on this. I always
tell people, just assume you're ten points behind, no question,
and you're exactly right about that. Remember it this time.
People thought it was crazy back in ninety four that
the Republicans would actually pick up the house. They picked
up sixty plus seats. Now is the most important part
(07:12):
of the campaign. We've got what about fifty four days
left in this campaign. Not that I'm counting the day,
but this is when the focus really comes into play,
and we've got to set the contrast on the issues
that people care about most. Well. This is why I
like and some people don't like it that I'm saying
good things about Kevin McCarthy, and they might have issues
with Kevin. Put your criticism of him aside for a second.
(07:36):
The idea of commitments to America. This has not been
done since the Contract of ninety four. That's twenty eight years,
and that's laying out in writing exactly what you are
going to do if you're given the opportunity to lead.
I want every single candidate signing that document and then
following through on that document and being held accountable for
(07:58):
whether or not they do keep their promises. I like
that idea. Well now, yeah, I said, well, and I
think New Engrish likes it as well. And of course
he was the hero of nineteen ninety four with the
Contrary with America. I know he likes it. He's been
telling me on TV and radio that he likes it
absolutely so. So I want to make one note though,
and you talk about you're very cautious, I want to
(08:20):
be cautious as well. One of the things that we're
not used to now is this got you, and I
mean really got you, not coming from the media, but
coming from our own government. And we never know what
the new gotcha is going to be, the new crisis,
the new attack, because it appears that at least from
(08:42):
the Democratic side, they've decided to manage this thing with
a new cycle that goes beyond any issues that they
have to debate or answer. It has to be about
Trump being indited. It has to be about MAGA supporters
threatening people. In other words, look over here, don't look
the real problems. The question is will the public be
(09:03):
diverted to these other issues? Will that be used as
a way to get Democrats to turn out in massive numbers?
Or are people going to be looking at inflation? Are
they going to be looking at the cost of their groceries,
of their life, looking at electric vehicles where they're told
they need to buy, looking at Biden's failures. You see,
they can't run on one positive thing. And I've been
(09:24):
identifying three things they're going to run on January six,
slash Trump and number two they're going to be running
on demagoguing abortion because of the Dobb's decision, and misleading
and lying to American women. And the third thing they'll
run on is the usual playbook. Republicans are racist, sexist, etc.
And they want dirty air and water. Besides that, I
(09:46):
think they have nothing else, Matt. I think when it
comes down to abortion, we haven't really talked about this.
I think that is baked in the cake. The turnout
level probably can't be accelerated any it can't be held back.
That is what it is. So now it's the other
things they're out there talking about. And I don't know, Sean.
(10:07):
I mean, I'm just a polster. I don't know if
it's in the end the Republican momentum which was sort
of lost, like I said about thirty days ago, and
I see it picking back up, if that's going to
carry forward, and that's just going to spill over. But
I know one thing, there is a silent respondent to
these polls out there. There are people who are literally
afraid to talk to a poster or anyone else because
(10:30):
of the climate that we have today, exacerbated in the
last few weeks. So it's going to a good luck
to polsters because it may now be impossible for them
to pick this wave up. In other words, you might
be people have picked up on the question of are
you or have you ever been a supporter of Donald Trump,
and they don't want to identify themselves as anything, and
(10:51):
they're like, they don't want to talk to any polster. Right.
I can understand that environment, and I think there's a
lot of truth to that. So maybe it becomes impossible
to pull Let me ask you bold, Jim. I'll start
with you what Senate races are you most concerned about
for the Republicans. Look, I think the Senate map is
much better for the Republicans than they're being given credit
(11:12):
for right now, because again it goes back to what
you and Matt were talking about. They're trying to suppress
money to these Senate races. They're trying to suppress support
to these races. And when you look at it, they
talk about, how say you know in Nevada that the
Democrats ahead, or Raphael Warnock and Georgia, all these candidates,
(11:32):
whether it's Nevada, Arizona, New Hampshire, Georgia, all these battleground
Senate races, all the Democratic incumbents are under fifty percent
of the vote. And this is what we were talking
about before. The vast majority of those undecided they have
one hundred percent. They might do with those voters. Those
vast majority of undecideds are going to vote against the
(11:54):
Democrats because they don't like the record inflation, they don't
like the skyrocket and crime, they don't like the rising
interest rates, the open borders and all that other kind
of good stuff. Right now, they're in trouble right now.
The Democrats when it comes to these Senate races, even
though the map is not great for us, and the
other thing that's gone on in these races, the Democrats
(12:14):
have significantly outspent the Republicans over the last couple months
after Labor Day. That money advantage that they have, it's
not going to be as big as it was before.
They're literally that's one of their big tactics. They're trying
to buy these races, and at the end of Soday,
I don't think they're going to be able to do it.
Quick break Moore. The polsters Jim McLaughlin and Matt Towery
(12:35):
on the other side, eight hundred and nine four one,
Shawn our number. If you want to be a part
of the program, get back to our polsters, Jim McLaughlin
and Matt Towery. If you look at a lot of
these races, and Matt, we've been following this in every
Senate race, it seems to be the same m I mean,
it's happening in Ohio with JD. Vans, it's happening with
Ron Johnson, it's happening with doctor Oz, it's happening with
(12:55):
herschel Walker, it's happening with Ted budd Is that They're
spending tens and tens of millions of dollars in negative
ads on these candidates. The Democratic candidates themselves, they don't
want to debate. The Republicans. Fetterman doesn't want to debate
Odz until what a week before election day? Well, at
that point, half the vote is going to be in,
(13:18):
you know, the same thing. Raphael Warnock doesn't want to
debate Herschel Walker Man, Della Barnes doesn't want to debate
Ron Johnson. They're hiding, and they're they're hoping that the
Biden hiding the basement strategy and bombard people with false
negative ads is going to work. Is that going to
work for them? Matt, I don't think so. What I
(13:38):
found interesting is they were all sort of rope a
doping on whether to debate and trying to skip it.
And then the last week several of these candidates is, oh, okay,
I will debate. Not admittedly they've got all kinds of
you know, but they say they're going to debate at
the end of October. At that point and a lot
of these states half the vote is in. Well, I think,
(13:58):
is this they didn't even want a debate at all,
and now I think they're beginning to realize they've got
to do something. You know, the Democrats allow on early
vote Seohn, you know that they now. I think in
North Carolina there is a substantial lead in the number
of ballots for early voting for Democrats. But that as
and D but that's really nothing because Republicans love to
vote on election day, and I think what they're concerned
(14:19):
about is is that they can't stay in the basement
in this instance. Because I promise you this, I don't
care what the national media say. I have seen every
one of these Senate races that I've been pulling begin
to narrow in the last ten to fifteen days, and
can name all of them. Georgia has now Herschels on
the lead. It's within the margin of Vera. In Pennsylvania,
(14:41):
Ron Johnson has taken a slight lead. I see JD.
Van's pulling away. Laxalt is up in Nevada. I'd like
to see Blake Masters do a little better out in
Arizona than he's doing now, but I have no doubt
he'll do better. Budd has this three point lead in
North Carolina. I don't know about New Ham. I'm sure,
yet we got to pay attention and then we could
(15:02):
maybe look even at Colorado in the state of Washington.
But anyway, Matt Towery, thank you, Jim McLaughlin, thank you.
Eight hundred nine four one. Shan is on numbers. If
you want to be a part of the program, we'll
get to your calls, holding them accountable. Sean gets the answers.
No one else does. America desserts and know the truth
(15:24):
about Congress all right, twenty five nowns to the top
of the hour. Eight hundred nine four one, Sean, if
you want to join us, this is pretty interesting. The
Hill reports more than thirty Russian municipal deputies have now
signed a petition calling for Russian President Vladimir Putin to resign.
We the Municipal Deputies of Russia, believe that the actions
(15:49):
of President Vladimir Putin harm the future of Russia and
its citizens. Its translation of the petition reads, we demand
the resignation of Vladimir Putin from the post the President
of the Russian Federation. His petition comes as the Ukrainian
military has been pursuing a very successful counter offensive, quickly
(16:09):
reclaiming a lot of territory and pushing Russian troops back
to the northeastern border in many, many incidences, and the
petition was signed primarily by municipal deputies serving in Moscow
on Saint Petersburg, although the people that were signing this
include officials from other cities. Now, there has been a
(16:31):
series of about five or six quote associates of Vladimir
Putin that just so happened to die in recent weeks.
So I don't know. I would imagine that this is
a pretty gutsy thing for these people to do. But
we'll find out in the days and weeks and months
to come. Our trust fund, Baby Bratton a hoodie, John
Fetterman his campaign. So they agreed to a debate. They
(16:55):
want this debate to take place on October the twenty fifth. Okay,
election day is on November the eighth. Early voting starts
what Monday in Pennsylvanias this Monday, right, you live in Pennsylvania,
Linda Eve. In other words, mail in voting. So okay,
if you talk October twenty fifth, you're looking at all right,
(17:18):
thirty one days in October, all right, so now you've
you've got six days and then eight days. So he
got fourteen days. That's all. That's all you're gonna have
to determine half a Pennsylvania could have voted by that.
Every debate needs to start taking place before the as
(17:38):
single vote is cast. That is not difficult to accomplish.
He doesn't want to debate before votes are cast. He
wants to hide in the basement even more than Joe
Biden did. He is literally spoken less than an hour
since the campaign has begun. The general election campaign. He
(18:01):
didn't want anything to do when Joe Biden showed up
in Pennsylvania on four separate occasions. And on top of that,
he's asking for concessions, and the concessions that a moderator
must explain to the audience that Fetterman is using a
closed captioning system. By the way, I feel sorry for
the guy. He had a debate and you know, the
(18:21):
OZ people said, all right, we'll agree to that, but
that's going to take a lot more time instead of
sixty minutes to get any substance, and we're gonna need
a little more time. We wanted to be extended to
ninety minutes. That makes perfect sense to me. But the
real question is why are they waiting until fourteen days
out of the election. That's unfair to the people Pennsylvania.
He has not answered one single question from the media
(18:45):
mob about his medical condition. He's never answered a question
about why he supports sanctuary cities, the decriminalization of hard
drugs like heroin, mathcrack, etc. Why you want safe shooting
zones for drug goddox. He has yet to explain where
he got the money to pay for these eight houses
that he apparently had that he never told anybody about
(19:07):
that he was supposed to report on his financial disclosure reports.
He also apparently has now tax issues. He likes to
come off as the workingman with the tattoos and the hoodie,
but it turns out he's never had a real job
in his life that you Federman's a guy in a
hoodie that's a trust fund brat. It's all an image thing.
And then he has the stroke. He can't speak very well.
(19:29):
He's not articulating anything. He's not explaining why he wants
a moratorium on energy production in the US that will
destroy Pennsylvania's economy, or why he doesn't want any restrictions
on abortion. You know, these are really important questions. Why
he wants to defund the police, dismantle the police. And
he's not answered a single question and the meet he's
given him a pass him only fifty four days until
(19:51):
the midterms and people start voting Monday. This is insanity.
This is no way to run an election and have
integrity in the system. And then the people will vote
the just you know, vote, party line vote, not know
anything about Fetterman's radical positions because the media has given
him a pass, just like the media helped in twenty
sixteen spread the Trump Rusher collusion lie, just like the
(20:14):
media lied about Hunter Biden's laptop three weeks before the
twenty twenty election. The same old crap, but the same
thing's happening everywhere. You know, You've got this Mandela Barnes
with the most radical record. We've gone over his record.
He doesn't want anything to do. He doesn't want to
debate Ron Johnson. He wants to hide. It's getting all
this money pouring in from outside of Wisconsin, all this
(20:36):
money pouring into Pennsylvania from outside of Pennsylvania, all this
money pouring into Ohio in supportive real radical Tim Johnson
to attack JD Vance. The same things happening in North
Carolina with Ted Budd. Same thing's happening in South Carolina
with Senator Tim Scott. Same thing is happening in Georgia
(20:57):
with herschel Walker. Same thing's happening to Mark Rubio. Same
thing's happening to every Republican candidate, Eric Schmidt in Missouri
and Adam laxalt Out in Nevada. Same things happening to
Blake Masters in Arizona. It's happening all over the country,
and you see what's at stake here. They don't want
(21:19):
a debate because they can't defend their radical positions. They
have picked the most radical left wing candidates imaginable, so
now they're stuck with them. So their advice is just
hide and don't debate. If you have to debate, make
it as close to the election day as possible so
you won't get hurt by the debate. I don't know why.
I mean doctor Roz's campaign. They don't need to agree
(21:41):
to these changes, which I've never heard of a debate
where they have closed caption before. And if they're going
to do that, that's gonna eat up a lot of
the one hour. It's only an hour, and it's only
fourteen days before election day. Betterman's going to be on delay.
It's unfair to viewers, it's unfair to the people of Pennsylvania.
The questions apparently he's being run by next Star. They're
(22:03):
they're doing that debate, you know, during the practice sessions
for Feederman bears zero resemblance to the actual questions. Anyway,
they're letting Fetterman practice the closed caption system. But now
with Fetterman practicing his answers ahead of time, I mean,
this is insanity. Doctor Oz wants seven debates. This guy
(22:23):
can't talk. He's struggling. The few times he's been out
to speak for three or four minutes, it is a
massive struggle. So he's not disclosing to the people of
Pennsylvania the real condition. And it's happening in every state.
This is this is the battle we're up against here,
all right? Eight hundred nine for one. Shan are number
if you want to be a part of the program.
(22:44):
Is it Lee in South Carolina? Are you Hi'm good Sean.
Nice to talk to you. Nice to talk to you.
So I'm worried for our country, you know, everything that's
go going on, you know, and he's having a party.
You know, celebrating, and I feel like he's only celebrating
(23:08):
because people aren't opening their eyes to what is going
on here. Well, I mean, I think everybody's feeling it.
You know. I went through earlier in the program today
a series of what what Biden's life is doing for
average American families, and it's devastating them. People can't make
ends meet. If I had time, I go over it again.
(23:31):
They're not going to be able to go out to dinner.
They can't take the same vacation they thought they'd be
able to get a new car. They thought they might
be able to move to a different neighborhood and get
a different home, and you know, basically move up with
their lives. They can't do any of that. And it's
only going to get worse. I don't see it getting better.
(23:51):
Prime is out of control everywhere, you know, and you know,
the educational system's a mess, every aspect of our economy.
I think it's gonna be far worse than people are predicting.
That's my take on it. I'm preparing for the worst.
The only the only good news that I can say
to people. And I don't give financial advice like I
(24:12):
don't give medical advice. But I think you get treasuries
now at what four percent for a year, pretty close
to that. I mean, at least you can park your
money and get something back. You know in recent years
you're not being able to get anything back. Well, it's
far worse than that, you know. I mean, how are
people going to heat their houses if there's not oil?
You know what I do for a living, I drive
(24:35):
people from all over the country, And I've spoken to
the farmers, and I've spoken to Cuban people that have
said to me flat out, we came here because it
was free. Where do we go from here? They've lived
eat free communism, and where do they go from here?
(24:57):
It flawed me when when these two people said this
to me. You know, I've been hearing the exact same
thing when I do go down to Florida occasionally. I
hear it everywhere. I hear it from so many different people.
And I'll tell you, the greatest indicator we've had on
this program is this great audience farmers calling this program
(25:21):
warning us gone back a year now about how bad
things are going to get and how price is going
to remain high regardless of what the consumer Price Index
is and truckers that are telling us the real state
of the economy, the real state of supply chain. And
so the people that do make this country great, they
(25:41):
have been they've they've been out there sounding the alarm
played poor Revere. Trouble is coming, Trouble is coming. Thank goodness,
at least we've been able to warn all of you
in this audience and offer the best counsel we can
give you. I got criticized for this. I said to people, look,
in times like this, is only two things that you
can do to sort of get through rough economic times.
(26:05):
One is decreased you're spending. Two is you got to
find other ways to bring in more income. And when
I said that, people got angry. Hannity's telling poor people
to work more, and I'm I throw my hands up,
like these people are so stupid. Well, I was one
of those poor people, and that's what I did. So
that's how I made more money. I would work longer hours,
(26:28):
more jobs, seven days a week, and I wouldn't stops.
That's how I got out of a position that I
didn't like being in, which was living paycheck to paycheck.
I worked out of it. I worked harder and I'd
see only that from my youth. That's all I've ever known.
(26:50):
And I don't know these people. I don't know why
that would be something to criticize. Well, lieve me, I
sympathize with working men and women because that's, you know,
decades of my life. And everyone thinks, oh, you just
work four hours a day, Hannity, I'm like, you have
no idea what I do. This is an all consuming,
twenty four seven job, and I want to do the
(27:14):
best at it, so I work hard at it. But
I don't want to see Americans suffer, and I want
you know, we would just do energy independence and energy dominance,
just that one thing, and control our border another thing.
If we do those simple things, we will lower inflation dramatically,
and we can help create high paying jobs, and we
(27:36):
could become If we got back to energy independence and
then advanced to energy dominance, we would be the richest
country on Earth, and we wouldn't have to tax people
so much. We wouldn't have to rely on government, We
wouldn't we wouldn't be advising our military to go on
food stamps. How disgustingly humiliating and repulsive is is our
(28:00):
treatment of our military. The people that preserve our freedoms
will give money to you know, rich brats that go
to Ivy League schools, But we're not going to We're
not going to take care of our military members and
give them a wage that they can afford to put
food on the table. May I say something? Yes? When
are the American people are going to wake up? When
are they going to wake up to the simple fact
(28:22):
that the only thing that Biden is doing is spending
more and he's trying to buy people for his party.
And on top of that, he is turning around and
he's threatening us like he's Dark Data in Star Wars
with I have you have guns, but I have that fifteen?
(28:45):
When are they going to wake up and realize that
we're supposed to be united? As a quoting starts in
some states this coming Monday, like Pennsylvania. I hope they
wake up now. I hope they wake up right now.
And I hope they're not sucked into a Democratic Party,
a complicit media that only want to talk about Trump
(29:07):
January sixth, abortion and how evil Republicans are because they
can't run on their record. I hope the American people
are sick and tired of this, and they're going to
come out and mass and they're going to send a clear,
unambiguous message that they want their freedom back, that they
(29:28):
want their government back, that they're not putting up with
this failure any longer, and that we deserve better. It's
up to you. All I can do is give you
the information. Anyway, appreciate the call eight hundred and nine
four one sewn if you want to be a part
of the program. All Right, that's gonna wrap things up
with today. Hannity loaded up tonight Sarah Carter yep. We
(29:48):
have another massive crisis, this time in al Paso in Texas,
and she's there with the thousands of illegal immigrants that
are there. Adam Laxalt's doing very well in Nevada with
will join us. Kevin McCarthy will outline give us a
little sneak peek into his commitments to America that he
is going to have every Republican run on. John Solomon
(30:10):
will update us on his two big breaking stories from
earlier in the week. We have Greg Jarrett, Alina Habba,
President Trump's attorney, Peter Schweitzer, Larry Elder Leo two point
o'torell Ninetiestern Hannity, Fox News will see you tonight. Back
here tomorrow. Thank you for making the show possible.
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Sean Hannity
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