August 2, 2022 • 30 mins
Robert Cahaly, pollster and head of the Trafalgar Group and Matt Towery, pollster, attorney and syndicated columnist discussed the important primary races happening around the country today. Michigan, Missouri, Kansas, Arizona and Washington all have important primaries today.
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
All Right News A round up information overload hour eight
(00:02):
hundred nine for one, Shawn our number. If you want
to be a part of the program. It's getting very
interesting in terms of the primary races. It was pretty
funny yesterday Donald Trump says I support Eric for Senate
in Missouri. There are two Eric's running, Grydon's and Schmidt,
and both said Donald Trump just endorsed me. It was
pretty you know, he basically was telling the people of
(00:24):
Missouri that, you know, he's gonna let them decide, and
many people were lobbying to get his indorsement. We're watching tonight.
We'll have returns from Michigan, Missouri, Kansas. Interesting in Kansas,
they have the first referendum vote on abortion in a state,
so we'll watch what We'll watch the results on that
(00:46):
pretty closely. And tonight it's Arizona and Washington State. I
know that for example, out in Arizona, it's going to
be very interesting which way that one comes down and
that one goes I don't know. I don't have a
clue which way it's going to happen. Anyway. The next
(01:09):
week we'll also be getting into the the Liz Cheney
primary battle she's down by over twenty points as we speak.
Fake news CNN of all pit places, actually went forward
and they were asking people in the state of Wyoming
what they think of Liz Cheney. And this is what
they aired. This is not Fox News. This is what's
(01:31):
fake news CNN aired. Are you planning to vote for
Liz Cheney? Cannot cuss? Okay, I'll know. Are you planning
to support Liz Cheney? Absolutely not. What are your thoughts
about Liz Cheney running for her fourth term? Um person?
I think she said for three too many. Keep in mind,
in twenty twenty, Donald Trump won about seventy percent of
the vote in Wyoming, So Liz Cheney's work on the
(01:53):
January sixth investigation isn't playing so well with many Wyoming voters.
She's done as dirty how so God lookwars how she's
done Trump. I'm a Trump fan. I'm sorry. So she
lost your vote because of her role on the January
sixth Committee, in which she's doing about Trump. Yes, she's
(02:14):
supposed to be supporting him. She's a Republican for crown
out loud. I find her work on the January sixth
committee just repulsaid. How do you feel about her work
on the January sixth Committee and her role. It's all
a hoax. It's all propaganda, has nothing to do with anything.
It's a witch hunt. Now, that's pretty interesting. That's for
next week, so I'll watch that anyway. Here to weigh
(02:35):
in on the state of where we are heading into
the midterms. Matt Towery with insider Advantage the Polling Company
syndicated columnist. Also also from the Trapalgar Polling Company poster,
Robert Kahley is with us. I know I should never
bring up five thirty eight and Nate Silver after Obama.
He has a pretty atrocious track record in terms of
(02:58):
his predictions and his polling, in his method anology, et cetera.
But putting all that aside, he gives a slight advantage
Matt Towery to the Democrats as it relates to the
US Senate. Unlike many other people out there, I'm not
going with the conventional wisdom that this is a slam
dunk because I'm looking at the states. They're all Bellweather states.
(03:18):
They're all cross up states, if you will, you know,
for Republicans to get the Senate, they got to win Florida, Georgia,
North Carolina, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Missouri, Nevada, Arizona.
And then of course, you know, on the periphery you
look at Colorado and Washington State, and then you've got
(03:41):
people that you know we're gonna win, like Senator to
Tim Scott is going to win in South Carolina. You
know that Chuck Grassley is gonna win an Iowa, etc.
But I don't think it's a slam dunk in any direction.
Your thoughts, Oh, well, I agree with you, but partially
because these got Pennsylvania and doctor Oz too. You know. Yeah,
these races of personality as much as anything else you
(04:02):
get to these US and races they get, they're far
more complex, and a wave, whether it's a red wave
or a blue wave, doesn't necessarily take hold in these
particular races. You know, were numerous things are taking place
that My general observation is some of these campaigns that
could be in great shape aren't in great shape because
(04:24):
they simply aren't taking it to the candidate they're running
against strong enough. On the Republican side, the Republicans need
to have stronger campaigns. I've said this year after year
after year, and don't wait until September to start launching
your missiles because it's too late at that point. So
this is a critical time period for some of these
races to get going and get going in the right direction.
(04:45):
That said, virschel Walker could easily at least get in
a run off in Georgia. That's what I think we
keep our eye on there, because very hard to win
Georgia straight up these days. I think doctor Oz will
come back in Pennsylvania. I think Arizona. I mean that's
these other states are easily potentially on the map, including Arizona, Nevada.
(05:05):
I think it's a great shot to the Republicans, but
it's going to take a herculean effort because the media
is working very hard to portray that this thing is
stalled out on the Senate side for the Republicans, and
they're doing everything they can to make it look like
the new talking points are abortion and gun control and
not inflation and recession, when in fact, we have a
(05:26):
poll coming out tomorrow. The vast majority of Americans in
our latest poll that will be appearing on Real through
Politics shows that Americans believe they are in a recession.
Whether the Biden administration wants to finess that we're in
a recession. Why are you buying into this new definition
of all people? You know, we are in a recession,
(05:48):
the very definition of a recession. We got the numbers
last week. But you know, Sean, it doesn't matter what
you or I think or even what the definitions are.
If the vast majority of Americans believe they're in a recession,
then we're in a recession. And that's what really matters
an election period. These people feel like they're in a recession,
and that's why recession and inflation are going to be
(06:08):
a bigger issue than issues such as gun control and
the pro choice issue. You know, it's interesting because I've
had this conversation with many people. Robert Kaheley, had the
Dobb's decision overturning Roe v. Wade not happened, probably the
wave that people were anticipating would be bigger. Somehow, this
(06:31):
issue is now being demagogue by Democrats that abortion has
pretty much been outlawed in America and women's right to
choose has been taken away, when none of that is true. Absolutely,
And what's happening in Canadas. As a protect comple they're
presenting this as a vote in this referendum they're having
today on abortion. But what it actually is a vote
(06:52):
that allows the legislature to make the decision and not
have it done by the Supreme Court in the Constitution.
So this is a constitutional amendment to just simply give
the legislature the power. And just like you said, they're
demogoguing itet suggesting this is some kind of a bill
to get rid of abortions. So this is exactly the
ton of stuff that have been playing by the other side,
(07:15):
and it's you know, it's getting old. But Matt's exactly right.
I mean, yes, there's a certain amount of people that
this thing has moved the dob decision. But what Republicans
need to be paying attention to is for every excited
person walking down the road raising Kane holding signs about
we need more abortions, there's a Hispanic voter who's moving
(07:36):
to the Republican Party because that's not the Democrat party
they signed on too. And I think they're going to
lose more Hispanic voters than they're going to gain more
upset people who want more abortions. Do we all agree
that the odds of Republicans taking the Houses extraordinarily high.
I think the Republicans will take the House, Matt Tower,
do you agree? Oh? Absolutely. But I'm even beginning to
(07:59):
see now some of the poem that I just don't
know where it comes out of. And some of the
pundits are beginning to say, oh, the House may be
up for grams as well. I don't see that happening.
I see this. I think there's a general Republican way
of taking place in this country. It's a complete springboard
off Joe Biden and the fact that he meant to
the more liberal, progressive, woke side of his party and
(08:20):
has carried these policies too far and they can't turn around.
So I think the House will definitely go Republican bar
some unexplicable thing taking place. The House is going to
be the sid It's gonna be up for airs. We
talked about in the air, but anything could happened there.
And I think that the Republican consultants and apparatus who
run these campaigns will finally get their act together. Not
(08:44):
in October, but now then. I think the Republicans can
take the Senate as well. Your thoughts on the House first, Robert, Yeah,
I feel like the House is in good shape and
may people forget how close we you know, the Republicans
are right now, so it is like had to be
a huge victor. I mean, you can take the House
ten by ten seats, so there's no question. And I
(09:05):
agree with Matt. What we're seeing is some of these
university less leading university polls and the left leaning media
outlets are creating these fictitious, a generic ballots that show
the Democrats close. That is not reality. And if you'll
notice the kind of poles that are saying that versus
the kind of poles that you know are more accurate,
(09:26):
then you'll see that it's not real. The Senate is
more of a challenge. But today's a perfect example. In Missouri.
They got a choice between Eric's and they pick one
Eric and we're fighting real hard to win Missouri and
the fall they picked the other Eric and it's a
cake walk. You mean they're talking about Gryton's versus Schmidt.
Do you think Schmidt is more electable. I think Schmidt
wins without much of a fight than national Republicans don't
(09:49):
have to spend much money to save it. I think
Bryton's and not only are we fighting to win Missouri.
If Bryton is the nominee, the money that spent their
leaves other campaign needed to go, and everybody, ever Republican
is asked to defend the things Brighten is executed. Stuff.
It's just a it's an anvil we don't need all right,
quick break Moore, the Polsters, Matt TOWERI, Robert Kaheley on
(10:11):
the other side, and then your calls. Eight hundred nine
for one Shaun is a number port authority of New
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away in twenty seventeen from nine to eleven related cancer
that he developed from his search and recovery efforts at
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the number two, the LETTERT dot org for the Tunnels
to Tower Foundation. The radio show, the mainstream media Love State.
(11:45):
This is the Sean Hannity Show. All right, as we
continue our posters or with us, Matt Towery and Robert Kahiley,
It's gonna be interesting to watch. I mean, you've got
this Scoobertorial race. I know President Trump has endorsed Curry
Lake and then you have somebody like Mike Pennce that
(12:06):
has endorsed her opponent, Karen Taylor Robson. So that's going
to be interesting. Why don't we go state by state
on the Senate Florida. I think that's a Marco Rubio hold.
I don't think it's going to be that tougher race.
But what are your thoughts on it? Is that an
easy hold, Matt Well? I think it is. One thing
that we're seeing here in Florida right now is that
(12:27):
the val Demmings has run a commercial portraying herself as
being tough on crime, and it started to move some
opinion Rubio. But I saw the counter ad put out
by Rubio that was a brilliant with all law enforcements
supporting him. I was about to say that he countered
that very quickly. Marco Rubio is a smart campaigner. That
Florida is definitely not fertile ground for Democrats as time,
(12:50):
Charlie Chris is probably gonna get the nomination to run
against the Sanus. The Santus is gonna wax the forward him.
I think Rubio wins Florida. Yes, and you agree, Matt,
I'm telling you agree. Robert I would love to be
running on Descendus's cottails in Florida and all. So we
won't waste time now herschel Walker Warnock, how's that looking?
(13:10):
Robert will start with you. You know what we've seen
is with all the talk that how far down herschel is,
I think Matt Fleastball had him only down by three.
The undecided are not going to break toward the candidate
who votes with Joe Biden, There's no question about that.
And Biden has under thirty percent approval rating in Georgia,
(13:32):
and Warnock has hardly ever come out against anything Biden's for.
And I think he'll pay the price for his voting
record and he can't go back and clean it up
as too late. Do you agree, Matt? I agree, but
I think the gloves need to come off from those
supporting Walker against Warnock. I was in Georgia back home
seeing all my friends and family. They were discouraged because
(13:53):
these ads are just mediocre right now, and Warnock is
sort of tiptoeing to the daisy field. They're gonna have
to hit him harder and then Walker can either win
or being a runoff, which is probably what's going to
happen in Georgia. Is a runoff, all right? So I
think we all agree that Tim Scott wins South Carolina.
We won't waste time on it. Bud in North Carolina.
(14:13):
What do you see Matt Towery? I think he wins.
I agree Robert our last pe hit him up about
three and I don't and I don't see undecided breaking
and gets to him at this point. I think he think, Okay,
Will Hampshire is going to be a toss up. We'll
have to see what happens there, so we won't weigh in.
I think Ron Johnson wins his race by his reelection.
Do you both agree with that? I do. I think
(14:34):
courageously because he's really had to fight very, very hard.
He said, there's a tremendous amount of money in that
state trying to do him in, but so far he's
doing a great job. Yeah. What about JD Vance in Ohio? Robert,
I see J. D Vance winning that one. Ohio has
just moved too far. The legislature is having a different
(14:55):
set of elections because of redistricting. So I think we'll
get another taste of Republican turn out once more before
we get to see the fall election, and you're gonna
see a lot of folks energized. But right now, with
the legislature having not had their elections. The Republicans just
don't have their full team and haven't engaged the way
they will in Pennsylvania. Oz only went up with ads
(15:19):
starting last week, so that has not having impacted the polls.
He's going up against the guy to the left of
Bernie Sanders. His positions are insane. If he gets that
information out, does he win? Robert I say yes. As
a matter of fact, the most fascinating to Hittic I've
seen is the high percent of people who say, I
(15:39):
don't like Republicans, but I do like doctor Oz. This
guy has crossover vote. You can't believe there's Telso Republicans
with four feelings over the primary. But in the end
they come back home, they vote for Oz. The swing
voters vote for Oz and he wins. What about la Saw?
What about Arizona? Last question, Matt Towery LAA has a
(16:00):
great chance. In my opinion, I think he could be
the upset special. And let me say one thing about
Pennsylvania real quickly. I'm keeping my eye on that race.
I'm watching these fantastic so called social media postings from
Fetterman where he says about three words and they're edited
and then something funny shows up. Something's not right in
that race. I think you're right. He's only been seen once.
(16:24):
He had a stroke before the primary, and he's only
been in public one time. There's something going on here,
and I well know by election day for sure. All Right,
Matt Towery and Robert Kaheley, we'll check in off and
as we head into the mid terms. Thank you both
for being with us. Eight hundred and nine for one,
Sea on our number. If you want to be a
part of the program, quick break right back. Holding them accountable.
(16:53):
Sean gets the answers no one else does. America desserts
and know the truth about Congress. All right, twenty five
to the top of the hour. We'll get to your
calls in a second. Eight hundred nine four one. Shawn
so Biden, Remember he kept saying over and over and
we're not going to raise a penny in taxes or
any American that makes under four hundred thousand dollars a year.
(17:16):
Remember he kept saying it. Yeah, not true, because this
latest package, this mansion Biden deal or mansion Schumer deal,
that is a Biden deal as well. Yeah, it'll be
raising sixteen point seven billion dollars for people that make
below two hundred thousand dollars a year. Oh sorry, that's
that's on top of the inflation tax they gave you
(17:38):
in the high gas tax that they gave you. Anyway,
here's Biden repeating this lie to start, no one appreciating it,
no one making under four hundred thousand dollars. We'll see
their federal taxes go up, period, and it will do
all this without raising a single penny in taxes on
(17:59):
people teen under four hundred thousand dollars a year, four
raising their deficits. All these will lower costs to families.
It's under my plan. Nobody. Let me say this again.
Nobody earning less than four hundred thousand dollars a year
will pay an additional penny in new taxes. Not a
single penny, read my lips. No new taxes. Remember the mob,
(18:21):
the media was all over George Herbert Walker Bush when
he gave in and he capitulated to the Democrats. Raised taxes. Now,
Paul Krugman, you know this guy had to write just
what a week and a half ago, an apology to
how wrong he was on inflation. Now he's out there
saying oh, America is not in a recession. This has
to be the dumb, dumbest so called economic columnist in
(18:45):
the country, you know, for the paper quote of record,
the New York Times, and he gets everything wrong. But
here's him saying, oh, no, America is not in a recession.
When it is in a recession. Can we dispense with
the recession debate real quick? Are we in a recession?
And does the term matter? No, we aren't, And no
it doesn't. I mean the one sentence that was it? Huh, yeah,
(19:08):
that was it. It's none of the usual criteria that
real experts us says that we're in a recession right now.
And what does matter? What the state of the economy
is what it is? Um words actually have meaning. Two
consecutive quarters of negative growth is, by its very definition,
(19:29):
a recession. Maybe you should read the other paper in
New York called the New York Post, because they put
the definition on their front cover last week. Anyway, eight
hundred nine for one. Shawn our numbers. Sean in California, Sean,
how are you glad you called? Sir? Hello Sean, thank
you for speaking with me. I appreciate you very much.
I don't usually take any issue with most everything you say,
(19:52):
and I'm in agreement with you about the thousands of
retired military and law enforcement people in this country working
in our schools. I am agreement also with teachers being armed,
however they retired law enforcement officer. My position on it
(20:12):
is that your offer to allow these folks to work
and not ever pay taxes. Again, while I appreciate that
you want to compensate them in some way, we race
literally billions of dollars in this country every year. We
should go ahead and hire these people, have them work
in teams, depending on the side of the size of
(20:32):
the school, and we should arm them and equip them
and pay them what they're worth, because at the end
of the day, if something like what has happened recently
in our schools happens, you're still asking them to run
towards the sound of gunfire and risk their very lives.
So I feel like something other than just not having
(20:52):
to pay taxes. I'm not against your idea. I was
just looking for a creative way that maybe you get
enough people to volunteer X number of days a year
or a week a month, whatever it happens to be,
and if they meet the criteria. Maybe one benefit would
be if if districts are strapped, they shouldn't be strapped
for cash, because we've spend more per capita on education
(21:16):
than any other industrialized country. But if they wore one
good way might be is to take the tax burden, state, local,
federal tax burden off of all of these people and
their families. And it kind of would be, you know,
a nice way to reward them for protecting our kids
in school every day. But I'm not against hiring them
and paying them a full salary that they deserve at all.
(21:39):
I'd be all for it greatly. I really think it's
the solution. They can work in different sized teams. You
can develop intelligence and information, develop good relationships with the
students so that they provide you with information things that
you can investigate. It can be done to dances, sports events,
you know, practices after school, whatever it is. But we
(22:01):
have to have people there. That's the key. I appreciate
the call, Sean. Thank you, m Florida, the Free State
of Florida. What's up, m How are you? I'm just fine.
How are you, mister Hannity? I'm good man. What's going on?
That's good? Um, this is all about something I heard
about yesterday. Actually, the senator of it was bashing herschel Walker.
I don't know if it was the senator. Was that
(22:24):
commentator on remember, I can't remember who it was, But anyways,
the guy's name is Ellie miss stall Um. And by
the way, herschel is going to be on to respond
to it tonight on TV. But I mean what he
said it was disgusting. It was thoroughly disgusting. And like
I said, when I called in, it sounded like the
(22:47):
fellow was describing Joe Biden to a T, not herschel Walker.
He was describing Joe Biden to a T. And if
I heard right on this sound bite, if that's what
is radio talk, that's radio talk, You're doing good? Okay?
That he said something about herschel Walkers can't think for
(23:10):
himself and his Republican handlers, something about his Republican handlers.
Why don't I just play it for you because I
think it's critical. I mean, if you look in this
world of woke PC, etc. The fact that this can
be said on NBC and said with impunity and not
(23:34):
even a controversy speaks volumes about the double standard listen,
Walker has the backing of the Republicans. Now you ask,
why are Republicans backing this man who's so clearly unintelligent,
who so clearly doesn't have independent thoughts. But that's actually
the reason Walker's gonna do Buddy's told, and that's what
(23:54):
Republicans like. That's what Republicans want from there, to do
what they're told. And Walker presents exactly as a person
who lacks independent thoughts, lacks an independent agenda, lacks an
independent of ability to grasp policies, and he's just gonna
go in there and vote like Mitch McConnell tells him
(24:16):
to vote. Now use the N word, the n N
word in that particular conversation. It's just it is so degrading,
so false, so slanderous, so distorted. I know herschel Walker. Now,
it's true. It's true that and I have all kinds
of friends, every color. It doesn't matter to me as
(24:37):
long as they're decent human beings. But for him to
say something like that and them always call a racist
racist racist? Who's racist? Now NBC gets away with saying
some of the most unbelievable that they make, some of
the most racial comment commentary in the country on a
nightly basis. Nobody ever calls him out on it. I mean,
(24:59):
we do not many others though. If I were him,
I would blast that sound bite makes me feel good
to say radio talk. I would blast that sound bite
all over the United States. No, you know what makes
Herschel Herschel and Seana Hannity, Sean Hannity a little different.
He's just a better person than I am. To be
very blunt, and I know him and I know his heart,
(25:20):
and I know he means it is. He said, well,
I'm gonna be praying for them, that was his answer,
And I'm like, you know, meanwhile, I want to, you know,
get in a battle royale with them. And when they
begin to compare and contrast, Rafael Warnock, the reliable Schumer,
the reliable Biden vote versus Herschel Walker, who's gonna fight
(25:42):
for energy independence, the rule of law, lower taxes, secure borders.
I'll go right on down the list. I think the
people of Georgia are gonna make the right choice. Rafael
Warnock is a radical Biden Bernie Sanders Manifesto left leaning
radical leftists, and I don't think you in touch with
the people of Georgia. Now, Georgia politics has been a
(26:05):
little there's been too much intramural fighting. In my view,
it needs to stop and the lead up to this election,
put their differences aside and move on anyway, and I'm
going to roll. Thank you, appreciate a good call. Wendy
in Vegas, kiddon radio. What's going on? How are you,
Wendy Son? Thanks for taking my call? Thank you too quick?
Thank you. I had two quick points and I wanted
(26:25):
your thoughts on I read two very disturbing articles today.
One of them was from the Washington Post and they
were saying how Rupa, Murdoch and Fox was banning Trump
from appealing and total lie. It's a total lie. I
read the piece. I saw it. It was a point,
bring President Trump on soon and I'll prove to you
(26:47):
that it's a total lie. I know that's a lie.
But the second article I read from fake news reported
Jeremy Peters from the almost bankrupt New York Times. He
was discouraging our sweet Tucker, saying how Tucker didn't support
a Trump and what you see on the show is
not how we really feel. And well did he did
he not see that Trump and Tucker were together this
(27:08):
past weekend, m and laughing and having a great time
at bed Minster together. Yes, and that that would be
a lie. Also, that's not true either, But that's so
jesper Sean. I mean, they're really reaching now, and I
can't believe like they don't see what clowns they're making
of themselves in the National lie. Listen. I know a
lot of people are very interested in twenty twenty four.
(27:31):
I want to get through twenty twenty two's election first,
and there's gonna be plenty of time to talk about
twenty twenty four, so in the in the meantime, I'm
gonna try and stay focused on the issues of this
election and the issues of twenty twenty four will handle
themselves as they unfold. Um And I don't speak for anybody,
but but I doubt Tucker would be yucking it up
(27:51):
with Donald Trump at bed Minster if what Jeremy Peters
wrote was true. I've been I have been lying about
by both those newspapers so many times it's just not
worth even reading it for me anymore that it just
says I read it now. I just know it's a lie,
But they do it anyway. The same people that never
(28:11):
retracted what they did on the Russia collusion hoax, the
same New York Times against Nobel prizes for stories that
are false, and they if they had any decency, they
would have returned them. So anyway, I don't pay that
much attention to those people. They're not worth our time.
Good call, though, when they appreciated Dale is in Idaho.
What's up? Dale in Idaho? I see that apparently your
(28:35):
housing market is getting hit harder faster than I think
any other state I read. Is that true? Well, I
haven't kept a real close eye on the housing market.
There's been a lot of people moving into Idaho. So
for a long time that really inflated the prices big
time because people were cashing out instantly. They'd make me
big bucks on their housing in some other state and
(28:57):
came in with a lot of cash, so they were
able to really heat up the housing market. But I think,
you know, as this uh so called whatever you want
to call a recession now begins to recession, I think
that's the recession. I should say, that's gonna that's gonna
really affect it. But the housing market's going to be impacted.
I've been telling everybody what to expect. So what I'm
(29:20):
gonna go. Well, the other issue I called about, and
you know I'm a longtime fan and I appreciate you
taking the call, is there is a movement out here
in the Northwest to on the lower Snake River breach
to breach four of the hydroelectric dams in favor of
hopefully read uh, improving the salmon runs. And these four
(29:44):
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All Right News A round up information overload hour eight
(00:02):
hundred nine for one, Shawn our number. If you want
to be a part of the program. It's getting very
interesting in terms of the primary races. It was pretty
funny yesterday Donald Trump says I support Eric for Senate
in Missouri. There are two Eric's running, Grydon's and Schmidt,
and both said Donald Trump just endorsed me. It was
pretty you know, he basically was telling the people of
(00:24):
Missouri that, you know, he's gonna let them decide, and
many people were lobbying to get his indorsement. We're watching tonight.
We'll have returns from Michigan, Missouri, Kansas. Interesting in Kansas,
they have the first referendum vote on abortion in a state,
so we'll watch what We'll watch the results on that
(00:46):
pretty closely. And tonight it's Arizona and Washington State. I
know that for example, out in Arizona, it's going to
be very interesting which way that one comes down and
that one goes I don't know. I don't have a
clue which way it's going to happen. Anyway. The next
(01:09):
week we'll also be getting into the the Liz Cheney
primary battle she's down by over twenty points as we speak.
Fake news CNN of all pit places, actually went forward
and they were asking people in the state of Wyoming
what they think of Liz Cheney. And this is what
they aired. This is not Fox News. This is what's
(01:31):
fake news CNN aired. Are you planning to vote for
Liz Cheney? Cannot cuss? Okay, I'll know. Are you planning
to support Liz Cheney? Absolutely not. What are your thoughts
about Liz Cheney running for her fourth term? Um person?
I think she said for three too many. Keep in mind,
in twenty twenty, Donald Trump won about seventy percent of
the vote in Wyoming, So Liz Cheney's work on the
(01:53):
January sixth investigation isn't playing so well with many Wyoming voters.
She's done as dirty how so God lookwars how she's
done Trump. I'm a Trump fan. I'm sorry. So she
lost your vote because of her role on the January
sixth Committee, in which she's doing about Trump. Yes, she's
(02:14):
supposed to be supporting him. She's a Republican for crown
out loud. I find her work on the January sixth
committee just repulsaid. How do you feel about her work
on the January sixth Committee and her role. It's all
a hoax. It's all propaganda, has nothing to do with anything.
It's a witch hunt. Now, that's pretty interesting. That's for
next week, so I'll watch that anyway. Here to weigh
(02:35):
in on the state of where we are heading into
the midterms. Matt Towery with insider Advantage the Polling Company
syndicated columnist. Also also from the Trapalgar Polling Company poster,
Robert Kahley is with us. I know I should never
bring up five thirty eight and Nate Silver after Obama.
He has a pretty atrocious track record in terms of
(02:58):
his predictions and his polling, in his method anology, et cetera.
But putting all that aside, he gives a slight advantage
Matt Towery to the Democrats as it relates to the
US Senate. Unlike many other people out there, I'm not
going with the conventional wisdom that this is a slam
dunk because I'm looking at the states. They're all Bellweather states.
(03:18):
They're all cross up states, if you will, you know,
for Republicans to get the Senate, they got to win Florida, Georgia,
North Carolina, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Missouri, Nevada, Arizona.
And then of course, you know, on the periphery you
look at Colorado and Washington State, and then you've got
(03:41):
people that you know we're gonna win, like Senator to
Tim Scott is going to win in South Carolina. You
know that Chuck Grassley is gonna win an Iowa, etc.
But I don't think it's a slam dunk in any direction.
Your thoughts, Oh, well, I agree with you, but partially
because these got Pennsylvania and doctor Oz too. You know. Yeah,
these races of personality as much as anything else you
(04:02):
get to these US and races they get, they're far
more complex, and a wave, whether it's a red wave
or a blue wave, doesn't necessarily take hold in these
particular races. You know, were numerous things are taking place
that My general observation is some of these campaigns that
could be in great shape aren't in great shape because
(04:24):
they simply aren't taking it to the candidate they're running
against strong enough. On the Republican side, the Republicans need
to have stronger campaigns. I've said this year after year
after year, and don't wait until September to start launching
your missiles because it's too late at that point. So
this is a critical time period for some of these
races to get going and get going in the right direction.
(04:45):
That said, virschel Walker could easily at least get in
a run off in Georgia. That's what I think we
keep our eye on there, because very hard to win
Georgia straight up these days. I think doctor Oz will
come back in Pennsylvania. I think Arizona. I mean that's
these other states are easily potentially on the map, including Arizona, Nevada.
(05:05):
I think it's a great shot to the Republicans, but
it's going to take a herculean effort because the media
is working very hard to portray that this thing is
stalled out on the Senate side for the Republicans, and
they're doing everything they can to make it look like
the new talking points are abortion and gun control and
not inflation and recession, when in fact, we have a
(05:26):
poll coming out tomorrow. The vast majority of Americans in
our latest poll that will be appearing on Real through
Politics shows that Americans believe they are in a recession.
Whether the Biden administration wants to finess that we're in
a recession. Why are you buying into this new definition
of all people? You know, we are in a recession,
(05:48):
the very definition of a recession. We got the numbers
last week. But you know, Sean, it doesn't matter what
you or I think or even what the definitions are.
If the vast majority of Americans believe they're in a recession,
then we're in a recession. And that's what really matters
an election period. These people feel like they're in a recession,
and that's why recession and inflation are going to be
(06:08):
a bigger issue than issues such as gun control and
the pro choice issue. You know, it's interesting because I've
had this conversation with many people. Robert Kaheley, had the
Dobb's decision overturning Roe v. Wade not happened, probably the
wave that people were anticipating would be bigger. Somehow, this
(06:31):
issue is now being demagogue by Democrats that abortion has
pretty much been outlawed in America and women's right to
choose has been taken away, when none of that is true. Absolutely,
And what's happening in Canadas. As a protect comple they're
presenting this as a vote in this referendum they're having
today on abortion. But what it actually is a vote
(06:52):
that allows the legislature to make the decision and not
have it done by the Supreme Court in the Constitution.
So this is a constitutional amendment to just simply give
the legislature the power. And just like you said, they're
demogoguing itet suggesting this is some kind of a bill
to get rid of abortions. So this is exactly the
ton of stuff that have been playing by the other side,
(07:15):
and it's you know, it's getting old. But Matt's exactly right.
I mean, yes, there's a certain amount of people that
this thing has moved the dob decision. But what Republicans
need to be paying attention to is for every excited
person walking down the road raising Kane holding signs about
we need more abortions, there's a Hispanic voter who's moving
(07:36):
to the Republican Party because that's not the Democrat party
they signed on too. And I think they're going to
lose more Hispanic voters than they're going to gain more
upset people who want more abortions. Do we all agree
that the odds of Republicans taking the Houses extraordinarily high.
I think the Republicans will take the House, Matt Tower,
do you agree? Oh? Absolutely. But I'm even beginning to
(07:59):
see now some of the poem that I just don't
know where it comes out of. And some of the
pundits are beginning to say, oh, the House may be
up for grams as well. I don't see that happening.
I see this. I think there's a general Republican way
of taking place in this country. It's a complete springboard
off Joe Biden and the fact that he meant to
the more liberal, progressive, woke side of his party and
(08:20):
has carried these policies too far and they can't turn around.
So I think the House will definitely go Republican bar
some unexplicable thing taking place. The House is going to
be the sid It's gonna be up for airs. We
talked about in the air, but anything could happened there.
And I think that the Republican consultants and apparatus who
run these campaigns will finally get their act together. Not
(08:44):
in October, but now then. I think the Republicans can
take the Senate as well. Your thoughts on the House first, Robert, Yeah,
I feel like the House is in good shape and
may people forget how close we you know, the Republicans
are right now, so it is like had to be
a huge victor. I mean, you can take the House
ten by ten seats, so there's no question. And I
(09:05):
agree with Matt. What we're seeing is some of these
university less leading university polls and the left leaning media
outlets are creating these fictitious, a generic ballots that show
the Democrats close. That is not reality. And if you'll
notice the kind of poles that are saying that versus
the kind of poles that you know are more accurate,
(09:26):
then you'll see that it's not real. The Senate is
more of a challenge. But today's a perfect example. In Missouri.
They got a choice between Eric's and they pick one
Eric and we're fighting real hard to win Missouri and
the fall they picked the other Eric and it's a
cake walk. You mean they're talking about Gryton's versus Schmidt.
Do you think Schmidt is more electable. I think Schmidt
wins without much of a fight than national Republicans don't
(09:49):
have to spend much money to save it. I think
Bryton's and not only are we fighting to win Missouri.
If Bryton is the nominee, the money that spent their
leaves other campaign needed to go, and everybody, ever Republican
is asked to defend the things Brighten is executed. Stuff.
It's just a it's an anvil we don't need all right,
quick break Moore, the Polsters, Matt TOWERI, Robert Kaheley on
(10:11):
the other side, and then your calls. Eight hundred nine
for one Shaun is a number port authority of New
York and New Jersey police officer John Connelly. He passed
away in twenty seventeen from nine to eleven related cancer
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(10:34):
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It's been welcomed around the nation, nearly fifty states already.
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letter T, the number two, the LETTERT dot org. And
they're asking all of us to donate eleven bucks a
month so they can continue their great work of providing
these homes for these heroes. Anyway, it's the letter T,
the number two, the LETTERT dot org for the Tunnels
to Tower Foundation. The radio show, the mainstream media Love State.
(11:45):
This is the Sean Hannity Show. All right, as we
continue our posters or with us, Matt Towery and Robert Kahiley,
It's gonna be interesting to watch. I mean, you've got
this Scoobertorial race. I know President Trump has endorsed Curry
Lake and then you have somebody like Mike Pennce that
(12:06):
has endorsed her opponent, Karen Taylor Robson. So that's going
to be interesting. Why don't we go state by state
on the Senate Florida. I think that's a Marco Rubio hold.
I don't think it's going to be that tougher race.
But what are your thoughts on it? Is that an
easy hold, Matt Well? I think it is. One thing
that we're seeing here in Florida right now is that
(12:27):
the val Demmings has run a commercial portraying herself as
being tough on crime, and it started to move some
opinion Rubio. But I saw the counter ad put out
by Rubio that was a brilliant with all law enforcements
supporting him. I was about to say that he countered
that very quickly. Marco Rubio is a smart campaigner. That
Florida is definitely not fertile ground for Democrats as time,
(12:50):
Charlie Chris is probably gonna get the nomination to run
against the Sanus. The Santus is gonna wax the forward him.
I think Rubio wins Florida. Yes, and you agree, Matt,
I'm telling you agree. Robert I would love to be
running on Descendus's cottails in Florida and all. So we
won't waste time now herschel Walker Warnock, how's that looking?
(13:10):
Robert will start with you. You know what we've seen
is with all the talk that how far down herschel is,
I think Matt Fleastball had him only down by three.
The undecided are not going to break toward the candidate
who votes with Joe Biden, There's no question about that.
And Biden has under thirty percent approval rating in Georgia,
(13:32):
and Warnock has hardly ever come out against anything Biden's for.
And I think he'll pay the price for his voting
record and he can't go back and clean it up
as too late. Do you agree, Matt? I agree, but
I think the gloves need to come off from those
supporting Walker against Warnock. I was in Georgia back home
seeing all my friends and family. They were discouraged because
(13:53):
these ads are just mediocre right now, and Warnock is
sort of tiptoeing to the daisy field. They're gonna have
to hit him harder and then Walker can either win
or being a runoff, which is probably what's going to
happen in Georgia. Is a runoff, all right? So I
think we all agree that Tim Scott wins South Carolina.
We won't waste time on it. Bud in North Carolina.
(14:13):
What do you see Matt Towery? I think he wins.
I agree Robert our last pe hit him up about
three and I don't and I don't see undecided breaking
and gets to him at this point. I think he think, Okay,
Will Hampshire is going to be a toss up. We'll
have to see what happens there, so we won't weigh in.
I think Ron Johnson wins his race by his reelection.
Do you both agree with that? I do. I think
(14:34):
courageously because he's really had to fight very, very hard.
He said, there's a tremendous amount of money in that
state trying to do him in, but so far he's
doing a great job. Yeah. What about JD Vance in Ohio? Robert,
I see J. D Vance winning that one. Ohio has
just moved too far. The legislature is having a different
(14:55):
set of elections because of redistricting. So I think we'll
get another taste of Republican turn out once more before
we get to see the fall election, and you're gonna
see a lot of folks energized. But right now, with
the legislature having not had their elections. The Republicans just
don't have their full team and haven't engaged the way
they will in Pennsylvania. Oz only went up with ads
(15:19):
starting last week, so that has not having impacted the polls.
He's going up against the guy to the left of
Bernie Sanders. His positions are insane. If he gets that
information out, does he win? Robert I say yes. As
a matter of fact, the most fascinating to Hittic I've
seen is the high percent of people who say, I
(15:39):
don't like Republicans, but I do like doctor Oz. This
guy has crossover vote. You can't believe there's Telso Republicans
with four feelings over the primary. But in the end
they come back home, they vote for Oz. The swing
voters vote for Oz and he wins. What about la Saw?
What about Arizona? Last question, Matt Towery LAA has a
(16:00):
great chance. In my opinion, I think he could be
the upset special. And let me say one thing about
Pennsylvania real quickly. I'm keeping my eye on that race.
I'm watching these fantastic so called social media postings from
Fetterman where he says about three words and they're edited
and then something funny shows up. Something's not right in
that race. I think you're right. He's only been seen once.
(16:24):
He had a stroke before the primary, and he's only
been in public one time. There's something going on here,
and I well know by election day for sure. All Right,
Matt Towery and Robert Kaheley, we'll check in off and
as we head into the mid terms. Thank you both
for being with us. Eight hundred and nine for one,
Sea on our number. If you want to be a
part of the program, quick break right back. Holding them accountable.
(16:53):
Sean gets the answers no one else does. America desserts
and know the truth about Congress. All right, twenty five
to the top of the hour. We'll get to your
calls in a second. Eight hundred nine four one. Shawn
so Biden, Remember he kept saying over and over and
we're not going to raise a penny in taxes or
any American that makes under four hundred thousand dollars a year.
(17:16):
Remember he kept saying it. Yeah, not true, because this
latest package, this mansion Biden deal or mansion Schumer deal,
that is a Biden deal as well. Yeah, it'll be
raising sixteen point seven billion dollars for people that make
below two hundred thousand dollars a year. Oh sorry, that's
that's on top of the inflation tax they gave you
(17:38):
in the high gas tax that they gave you. Anyway,
here's Biden repeating this lie to start, no one appreciating it,
no one making under four hundred thousand dollars. We'll see
their federal taxes go up, period, and it will do
all this without raising a single penny in taxes on
(17:59):
people teen under four hundred thousand dollars a year, four
raising their deficits. All these will lower costs to families.
It's under my plan. Nobody. Let me say this again.
Nobody earning less than four hundred thousand dollars a year
will pay an additional penny in new taxes. Not a
single penny, read my lips. No new taxes. Remember the mob,
(18:21):
the media was all over George Herbert Walker Bush when
he gave in and he capitulated to the Democrats. Raised taxes. Now,
Paul Krugman, you know this guy had to write just
what a week and a half ago, an apology to
how wrong he was on inflation. Now he's out there
saying oh, America is not in a recession. This has
to be the dumb, dumbest so called economic columnist in
(18:45):
the country, you know, for the paper quote of record,
the New York Times, and he gets everything wrong. But
here's him saying, oh, no, America is not in a recession.
When it is in a recession. Can we dispense with
the recession debate real quick? Are we in a recession?
And does the term matter? No, we aren't, And no
it doesn't. I mean the one sentence that was it? Huh, yeah,
(19:08):
that was it. It's none of the usual criteria that
real experts us says that we're in a recession right now.
And what does matter? What the state of the economy
is what it is? Um words actually have meaning. Two
consecutive quarters of negative growth is, by its very definition,
(19:29):
a recession. Maybe you should read the other paper in
New York called the New York Post, because they put
the definition on their front cover last week. Anyway, eight
hundred nine for one. Shawn our numbers. Sean in California, Sean,
how are you glad you called? Sir? Hello Sean, thank
you for speaking with me. I appreciate you very much.
I don't usually take any issue with most everything you say,
(19:52):
and I'm in agreement with you about the thousands of
retired military and law enforcement people in this country working
in our schools. I am agreement also with teachers being armed,
however they retired law enforcement officer. My position on it
(20:12):
is that your offer to allow these folks to work
and not ever pay taxes. Again, while I appreciate that
you want to compensate them in some way, we race
literally billions of dollars in this country every year. We
should go ahead and hire these people, have them work
in teams, depending on the side of the size of
(20:32):
the school, and we should arm them and equip them
and pay them what they're worth, because at the end
of the day, if something like what has happened recently
in our schools happens, you're still asking them to run
towards the sound of gunfire and risk their very lives.
So I feel like something other than just not having
(20:52):
to pay taxes. I'm not against your idea. I was
just looking for a creative way that maybe you get
enough people to volunteer X number of days a year
or a week a month, whatever it happens to be,
and if they meet the criteria. Maybe one benefit would
be if if districts are strapped, they shouldn't be strapped
for cash, because we've spend more per capita on education
(21:16):
than any other industrialized country. But if they wore one
good way might be is to take the tax burden, state, local,
federal tax burden off of all of these people and
their families. And it kind of would be, you know,
a nice way to reward them for protecting our kids
in school every day. But I'm not against hiring them
and paying them a full salary that they deserve at all.
(21:39):
I'd be all for it greatly. I really think it's
the solution. They can work in different sized teams. You
can develop intelligence and information, develop good relationships with the
students so that they provide you with information things that
you can investigate. It can be done to dances, sports events,
you know, practices after school, whatever it is. But we
(22:01):
have to have people there. That's the key. I appreciate
the call, Sean. Thank you, m Florida, the Free State
of Florida. What's up, m How are you? I'm just fine.
How are you, mister Hannity? I'm good man. What's going on?
That's good? Um, this is all about something I heard
about yesterday. Actually, the senator of it was bashing herschel Walker.
I don't know if it was the senator. Was that
(22:24):
commentator on remember, I can't remember who it was, But anyways,
the guy's name is Ellie miss stall Um. And by
the way, herschel is going to be on to respond
to it tonight on TV. But I mean what he
said it was disgusting. It was thoroughly disgusting. And like
I said, when I called in, it sounded like the
(22:47):
fellow was describing Joe Biden to a T, not herschel Walker.
He was describing Joe Biden to a T. And if
I heard right on this sound bite, if that's what
is radio talk, that's radio talk, You're doing good? Okay?
That he said something about herschel Walkers can't think for
(23:10):
himself and his Republican handlers, something about his Republican handlers.
Why don't I just play it for you because I
think it's critical. I mean, if you look in this
world of woke PC, etc. The fact that this can
be said on NBC and said with impunity and not
(23:34):
even a controversy speaks volumes about the double standard listen,
Walker has the backing of the Republicans. Now you ask,
why are Republicans backing this man who's so clearly unintelligent,
who so clearly doesn't have independent thoughts. But that's actually
the reason Walker's gonna do Buddy's told, and that's what
(23:54):
Republicans like. That's what Republicans want from there, to do
what they're told. And Walker presents exactly as a person
who lacks independent thoughts, lacks an independent agenda, lacks an
independent of ability to grasp policies, and he's just gonna
go in there and vote like Mitch McConnell tells him
(24:16):
to vote. Now use the N word, the n N
word in that particular conversation. It's just it is so degrading,
so false, so slanderous, so distorted. I know herschel Walker. Now,
it's true. It's true that and I have all kinds
of friends, every color. It doesn't matter to me as
(24:37):
long as they're decent human beings. But for him to
say something like that and them always call a racist
racist racist? Who's racist? Now NBC gets away with saying
some of the most unbelievable that they make, some of
the most racial comment commentary in the country on a
nightly basis. Nobody ever calls him out on it. I mean,
(24:59):
we do not many others though. If I were him,
I would blast that sound bite makes me feel good
to say radio talk. I would blast that sound bite
all over the United States. No, you know what makes
Herschel Herschel and Seana Hannity, Sean Hannity a little different.
He's just a better person than I am. To be
very blunt, and I know him and I know his heart,
(25:20):
and I know he means it is. He said, well,
I'm gonna be praying for them, that was his answer,
And I'm like, you know, meanwhile, I want to, you know,
get in a battle royale with them. And when they
begin to compare and contrast, Rafael Warnock, the reliable Schumer,
the reliable Biden vote versus Herschel Walker, who's gonna fight
(25:42):
for energy independence, the rule of law, lower taxes, secure borders.
I'll go right on down the list. I think the
people of Georgia are gonna make the right choice. Rafael
Warnock is a radical Biden Bernie Sanders Manifesto left leaning
radical leftists, and I don't think you in touch with
the people of Georgia. Now, Georgia politics has been a
(26:05):
little there's been too much intramural fighting. In my view,
it needs to stop and the lead up to this election,
put their differences aside and move on anyway, and I'm
going to roll. Thank you, appreciate a good call. Wendy
in Vegas, kiddon radio. What's going on? How are you,
Wendy Son? Thanks for taking my call? Thank you too quick?
Thank you. I had two quick points and I wanted
(26:25):
your thoughts on I read two very disturbing articles today.
One of them was from the Washington Post and they
were saying how Rupa, Murdoch and Fox was banning Trump
from appealing and total lie. It's a total lie. I
read the piece. I saw it. It was a point,
bring President Trump on soon and I'll prove to you
(26:47):
that it's a total lie. I know that's a lie.
But the second article I read from fake news reported
Jeremy Peters from the almost bankrupt New York Times. He
was discouraging our sweet Tucker, saying how Tucker didn't support
a Trump and what you see on the show is
not how we really feel. And well did he did
he not see that Trump and Tucker were together this
(27:08):
past weekend, m and laughing and having a great time
at bed Minster together. Yes, and that that would be
a lie. Also, that's not true either, But that's so
jesper Sean. I mean, they're really reaching now, and I
can't believe like they don't see what clowns they're making
of themselves in the National lie. Listen. I know a
lot of people are very interested in twenty twenty four.
(27:31):
I want to get through twenty twenty two's election first,
and there's gonna be plenty of time to talk about
twenty twenty four, so in the in the meantime, I'm
gonna try and stay focused on the issues of this
election and the issues of twenty twenty four will handle
themselves as they unfold. Um And I don't speak for anybody,
but but I doubt Tucker would be yucking it up
(27:51):
with Donald Trump at bed Minster if what Jeremy Peters
wrote was true. I've been I have been lying about
by both those newspapers so many times it's just not
worth even reading it for me anymore that it just
says I read it now. I just know it's a lie,
But they do it anyway. The same people that never
(28:11):
retracted what they did on the Russia collusion hoax, the
same New York Times against Nobel prizes for stories that
are false, and they if they had any decency, they
would have returned them. So anyway, I don't pay that
much attention to those people. They're not worth our time.
Good call, though, when they appreciated Dale is in Idaho.
What's up? Dale in Idaho? I see that apparently your
(28:35):
housing market is getting hit harder faster than I think
any other state I read. Is that true? Well, I
haven't kept a real close eye on the housing market.
There's been a lot of people moving into Idaho. So
for a long time that really inflated the prices big
time because people were cashing out instantly. They'd make me
big bucks on their housing in some other state and
(28:57):
came in with a lot of cash, so they were
able to really heat up the housing market. But I think,
you know, as this uh so called whatever you want
to call a recession now begins to recession, I think
that's the recession. I should say, that's gonna that's gonna
really affect it. But the housing market's going to be impacted.
I've been telling everybody what to expect. So what I'm
(29:20):
gonna go. Well, the other issue I called about, and
you know I'm a longtime fan and I appreciate you
taking the call, is there is a movement out here
in the Northwest to on the lower Snake River breach
to breach four of the hydroelectric dams in favor of
hopefully read uh, improving the salmon runs. And these four
(29:44):
dams are hydroelectric power, which is carbon free. Hi Larry
Elder here. I never really thought much about how aches
and pains can reduce a person's quality of life until
pain started keeping me from living my best life just
(30:04):
a few years ago. Using the stairs was difficult because
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(30:25):
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