Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
A welcome into the opening line report.
Speaker 2 (00:04):
Beautiful Monday morning here after NFL Week one and Teddy
covers and I are going to break down all the
action and of course get into these opening numbers for
NFL Week two.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
Teddy, welcome in. First question I have for you is
how is your morning?
Speaker 2 (00:19):
Oh Dan Alexander showing everybody he's back, just in case
you guys want to know.
Speaker 1 (00:22):
The comment sections are like, where's Dan? Sorry, the guy
went on a honeymoon.
Speaker 2 (00:26):
Everybody relaxed, Toddy, talk to me about NFL Week one
for you. I came out a little unscathed three and
two final there in my super book plays man.
Speaker 1 (00:37):
We'll get into it in a minute. But the Denver
Broncos whoo got killed me in Survivor week one.
Speaker 3 (00:42):
Sure Denver, and they got there. They survived, but.
Speaker 4 (00:47):
Wasn't a pretty performance offensively for Denver. Defensively they were dynamite.
I went two and one yesterday, but I lost the
big one unfortunately. And I spent freaking a month debating
side total side total with the Texans rams, and I
decided on side, and I should have decided on total
the under it was the clear choice in that game,
and many games yesterday, but two and one Sunday. I
can't complain too much when it comes to the NFL.
(01:11):
That being said, I should have played the under instead
of the side on the Texans Rams.
Speaker 2 (01:16):
Let's get into that first really quick. Unders went absolutely
bananas yesterday. They were eleven and one, of course until
Sunday Night football, and then that game ended up being
in the eighties. I went to bed at halftime. I thought,
all right, could win Ravens regular season. Ravens, congrats, Ariel Epstein.
I woke up at three am, like, holy crap, I
missed the second half of an amazing football game. Talk
(01:39):
about these unders. Week one, we talked about divisional unders
here on this program.
Speaker 1 (01:44):
Those cash really well. The loan over in the Morning Slate.
Speaker 2 (01:47):
Of course, I had to fade my dad walking out
of his house yesterday morning. He said, I love the
Steelers under this morning. I look right at Brent and
I said, all right, we got a game to watch
on the way home.
Speaker 1 (01:55):
And it was over in the third quarter.
Speaker 3 (01:58):
It was over in the first quarter.
Speaker 4 (02:00):
Offensive were marching up and down the field. It was
always over in the first quarter. It's as the Eagles
game was, except for that Eagles. Namer never got there. Obviously,
the Steelers game against the Jets very much did. But
unders yesterday eleven and two. For the week, unders twelve
and three. So that's the story of week one. It's
unders in the NFL. Obviously, with all those divisional matchups,
(02:23):
every one of them stayed under the total. For what
it's worth, we also had a kind of a rare
situation yesterday where four or over the weekend, four teams
won but didn't cover. And that doesn't happen that often
in the NFL. I might get one or two of
those a week. In general, it's about eighty three percent,
between eighty and eighty five percent that if you win
(02:44):
the game, you cover the spread. But this past week,
since he didn't get there against the number, they were
lucky to win.
Speaker 3 (02:49):
Philly didn't get there against the number.
Speaker 4 (02:51):
Denver didn't get there against the number, much to your chagrin, Kel,
and of course Pittsburgh. The Steelers ended up winning by
two a game they were favored by three, and so
wasn't an abnormal number of teams winning but not covering
the number. And there were I mean, we look at that.
I mean, Miami, Indy, I graded at pick Green Bay
(03:12):
and Detroit. I graded pick Tampa Bay or the San
Francisco Seattle. You could have graded that at pick. There
were all these pick them games, and it's like, how
did the favorites do well? Am I going to count
the minus ones as favorites for the week? I'll call
it six and five. Favorites covered six out of eleven
in games that were lined at minus two were higher
where there was a clear choice of who the favorite
(03:34):
actually was, But that ended up being six and three
yesterday after the Chargers and the Cowboys covered as underdogs
on Thursday and Friday night.
Speaker 2 (03:43):
Tell you I want to back it up real quick,
because I brought up the Denver survivor. I also laid
eight and a half with the Broncos and teased them down.
That was a really frustrating game for a magnitude reasons too.
Bon Nicks interceptions, a turnover, al Walkee play on special
teams that resulted in a turnover.
Speaker 1 (04:00):
But the end of the game was really perplexing to me.
Sean Payton, I thought had two options kick the long
field goal or punt, and he both throw up this
weird almost hail mary Asque type ball. What was that
all about.
Speaker 4 (04:15):
So Peyton's quote after the game was that he didn't
want to risk the kick. He didn't want to risk
the field goal. He was worried about the field goal.
We can block the longer field goals as a shorter
a trajectory that's not as high. And he's like, the
only one we can lose this game is if we
screw up. So I'm not going to kick the field goal.
So the question now is do we go forward on
(04:36):
fourth down or do we punt and try to pin
him deep? And from where they were, I mean, you
know they were in a position to kick a field goal.
You know he wasn't gonna punt there. So it was like, yeah,
we went forward, we chucked it. If we win it,
we if we complete the pass we ended up, we
take a knee. His explanations were reasonable in this Better's opinion,
And of course, Peyton is a coach who's not worried
(04:57):
at all about the points bread. The NFL coaches aren't
so college just sometimes are. You can see some funny
shenanigans Kentucky kicking the field goal late in the game,
for example, Well, I'm sure that that's something you were
pleased with.
Speaker 3 (05:10):
But in the NFL, they don't give a crap about.
Speaker 4 (05:12):
The pointspread, and you know, Peyton doesn't care about the
points spread one iota, and the attempt there on fourth
down was a mitigating risk. He thought that was the
best option. And then his explanation sounded reasonable.
Speaker 2 (05:26):
Okay, fair enough, because I was certainly playing sideline coach,
going what the hell is he doing? Yeah, I knew,
in no former fashion did I deserve to cover that game?
That wasn't what I was more upset about. I was
very happy to survive. But it just seemed like he
had two options. But maybe we'll see coaches do some
more interesting calls like that in the future. Ready and
(05:47):
talk Monday night football. We've got the Minnesota Vikings taken
on the Chicago Bears.
Speaker 4 (05:52):
Yeah, and really, this line's done a whole lot of
nothing over the course of the last week. You know,
it was one one and a half last week and
still sitting one one and a half right now. There's
been a little bit of under money forty fours last week.
Now it's forty three and a half. But the side
and total this isn't a big move. And again, none
of the basically none of the Week one games were,
(06:12):
and honestly, looking at the Week two card, we're.
Speaker 3 (06:15):
Not seeing a ton of movement just yet either on
that card.
Speaker 4 (06:18):
So whether the odds makers have been and the odds
makers in first betters have been more adept at creating
a points where that is not going to attract further
significant further wise guy attention, or whether it's just a
little bit of your early year randomness where the Lions
haven't moved very much. This is that story of Fortnite
in a fascinating game. For me, I haven't been involved,
(06:40):
you know. I mean, I lean Minnesota here. I'm not
involved yet in the game for the clients, and I'm
not convinced that I will. I think there might well
be some growing pains for Chicago offensively and Minnesota defensively
on paper looks pretty good. So I'm concerned about Caleb
Williams and the Payers have go to execute their first
(07:01):
game with a complex offense against what I consider to
be potentially a top five defensive unit.
Speaker 3 (07:07):
In the league. So Lean, here's Minnesota. But can J J.
McCarthy get it done?
Speaker 4 (07:12):
And that's you know, everything the Vikings have said and
everything we've seen says yes, but obviously it's different the
first first game, first time, and you know, he's.
Speaker 3 (07:22):
Every bit the rookie quarterback that.
Speaker 4 (07:24):
Cam Ward is, you know, for example, even though McCarthy
does have a year of experience under his belt, watching
film and sitting in an NFL room.
Speaker 2 (07:32):
All right, almost twelve hundred of you guys watching live
here on this Monday morning. If you're just joining us,
this is the opening line report. We're gonna break down
all of the NFL Week two action. Do you guys
have a question for Teddy and we have time at
the end of the show, drop it in the chat, Teddy.
Let's go to Thursday night football. Right here, out of
the gate. Commanders had a convincing win over the Giants.
(07:54):
Packers had another convincing divisional win over the Lions. Let's
overreact and give both these teams an entry into the
NFL excuse me, the NFC Championship game. It was pretty
funny to watch some of these fan bases yesterday. I
happened to be watching both games with some fan bases,
and boy, oh boy, were they getting hyped up early.
Speaker 4 (08:15):
Sure, and Week two is NFL overreaction. Week Week three
is even more of an NFL. And there's one game
in particular that has the potential to be in an
enorm I don't know if you're a no reaction or not,
but we'll talk about that game in a minute. Let's
talk about this one, Washington and Green Bay. Like I'm
gonna do every game all year, I'm gonna give you
four sets of numbers right here, the look aheadline. That's
(08:36):
the beedible line on this game from last week. I
used the Westgate super Book numbers. There other numbers out there,
but really, with as many books that are putting out
look headlines now as there are, I use Westgate and
they were way off the market. I used Consensus, so
but I always give the west Gate credit for this.
Speaker 3 (08:55):
But look aheadline. Then I'll give you my powering number.
Speaker 4 (08:58):
I'll give you the opener last night, and then we'll
talk about where the market is right now. Look aheadline here,
green Bay minus two and a half, forty eight and
a half. My powering number had the Packers minus four.
The markets opened last night three minus twenty slash three
and a half.
Speaker 3 (09:16):
We'll call it, you know, three point twenty five.
Speaker 4 (09:18):
There were threes with juice, and there were three and
hands out there total open anywhere between forty seven and
a half and forty nine as we get up Monday
morning right now and looking at the Odds Logic live
o screen, mostly three and a half out there for
Green Bay there is a prominent four leading indicator book
total forty eight slash forty eight and a half.
Speaker 3 (09:39):
And everything these.
Speaker 4 (09:40):
Two teams did yesterday, I mean you can't complain about
either one of them. You know, the Commanders two hundred
and twenty yards on the ground, Deebo Saniels seven catches,
Jayden Daniels sharp throughout. The defense did allow a touchdown
yards per play Washington six point six compared to only
three point seven for the g Men. They had twelve penalties.
That game would have been been a bigger blowout than
(10:01):
it was. I mean, it wasn't a blowt It was
twenty one to six. It was a comfortable Commander's victory,
but certainly the penalties kept them from making that score
worse than it would have been. And Dan Quinn after
the game talking about the defense for Washington shutting down
the gem end quote.
Speaker 3 (10:19):
You heard me talking about identity, the tackling.
Speaker 4 (10:22):
We didn't create takeaways, today, but man seeing some plays
down inside the ten yard line in the red zone.
The guys worked hard at that. So Quinn pleased with
his defense. For the Packers. Another team that was very
pleased with them. I mean, that was the story of
the game was Green Bay's defense. Micah Parsons didn't play
a ton, but he had one of their four sacks.
They had nine tackles for loss, nine quarterback hits. They
(10:44):
held Detroit to three point eight yards per play. You know,
the Packers went one in five versus the NFC North
last year. They had something to improved, and they did.
Jordan Love was sharp. Ten different Packers caught a pass.
Josh Jacobs found the end zone again. But on the
offensive side of the football, there were some concerns. There
only fourteen first downs, only twitter sixt six total yards.
(11:05):
Five point seven yards per play is fine, you know,
that's in the league average range. But it's not like
they marched the ball up and down the field in
that ball game. It was all about the defense. They
did have some defensive injuries that are definitely concerned. Nate
Hobbs didn't play at knee surgery during training camp. Bo
Melton got hurt during the game, thes of linemen another
cornerback THEWS. The lineman Brendan Cox got hurt during the game,
(11:29):
and they also lost a pair of off the linemen
in the second half.
Speaker 3 (11:34):
Forty eight and a half are out there right now.
Speaker 4 (11:36):
I don't know that they're GONN emergency betting alert this,
but I would expect that I'd be more. I would
expect this total to go down before it went up.
If you like Deander, I'd grab a forty eight and
a half sooner rather than later.
Speaker 2 (11:47):
Teddy, I was getting so excited to use my light.
I'll just keep it back down here.
Speaker 1 (11:52):
But there will be some emergency betting alert to you guys.
Speaker 2 (11:54):
Hang out with us here and we are going to
break down the rest of NFL Week two quickly, Teddy,
before you get into the Sunday Slate, talk to me
about partnering up over at wager talk dot com. Right now, Teddy,
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Speaker 3 (12:12):
Yeah, I mean, look, I take this stuff seriously.
Speaker 4 (12:15):
You know you know that it's not a hobby. This
is my job. This is more than my job, is
my life. I expect to make money this football so
you then I expect to make money this week.
Speaker 3 (12:25):
Real simple.
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You want to get on board seven day all access.
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Speaker 3 (12:32):
This for new customers only. I know there's a lot
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Speaker 1 (12:47):
All right, Teddy, you mentioned overreaction.
Speaker 2 (12:49):
I don't know if there's been more of an overreaction
from Miami Dolphins fans. They want to fire Mike McDaniel.
Everybody hates to uh. The world is crumbling Week one
in Miami. The Patriots not doing so great either. After
that loss to the Raiders. I got to watch quite
a bit of that game on the four box and thought,
all right, the Patriots are improved under Vrabel, Yet then
(13:11):
they couldn't get the win.
Speaker 4 (13:15):
I thought the Patriots pretty awful yesterday. NOI Miami got
beat worse. But there's a lot not to like about
New England from that performance. Look ahead line here Miami
minus two and a half. Total forty five and a half.
My powering number Miami minus two and a half, and
I downgraded the Dolphins two points off Yesta's performance, and
I still came up with two and a half. I
(13:36):
wasn't willing to downgrade them more than two points off.
The one game last night opened one and a half,
slash two slash two and a half. All the twos
have been taken out, all the two and a half's
have been taken out. Now we're looking at one and
a half, some oftentimes with's in jews, and there are
some ones out there as well. Total last night opened
(13:57):
anywhere forty three and a half, forty four, forty four
and a half, and we're seeing mostly forty fours in
the market this morning, so they kind of split the difference.
Took out the forty threes and the forty four and
a half. Yeah, these are two teams that both look rough,
and I teased in a minute ago. If Miami loses
this game, the markets are gonna crash on the Dolphins.
(14:18):
The Dolphins are gonna be priced like the Carolina Panthers
moving forward. If Miami wins this game, it'll be a
different story. But this is a potential crash game for Miami.
So if you don't like Miami this week, you may
want to bet against.
Speaker 3 (14:33):
Them next week as well.
Speaker 4 (14:35):
When the lines come up, when the look head lines
come up, because the Dolphins, again this is this is
a prove it or you stink week for Miami. And
again the quotes coming out of it, I mean, there
was nothing alike. They had forty three total yards in
the first half.
Speaker 3 (14:51):
Miami did.
Speaker 4 (14:52):
Indy ran forty three plays in the first half, only
twelve rush attempts, only two of which were scrambles. The
story of the game wasn't even the offense. It was
the defense or lack thereof. And of course the minus
three turnovers didn't force any you know, Mike McDaniel not
amused after the game quote, when you lose the turnover
(15:12):
game minus three, you turn the ball over on downs,
you run into the kicker, you have twelve guys in
the uttel, you only have twenty minutes with the ball
in your possession.
Speaker 3 (15:19):
That's a formula for failure and nothing else.
Speaker 4 (15:21):
We have one direction to go from here, and it's
the opted direction of what this effort produced. TU quote
was very interesting to me, you know, we gotta go ahead.
Let me start. I'm gonna wanna take a minute and
read the long quote. You never want to look at
it as this is just week one when we'll take
our loss and the way we lost. None of the
fans pay for Miami Dolph, for the Miami Dolphin to
(15:43):
put up eight points.
Speaker 3 (15:44):
I watched the other team drop thirty on them.
Speaker 4 (15:46):
We need to look in the mirror. We need to
hold each other accountable. And I would definitely say it
starts with me. I think as a team, this was
something we were trying to avoid. But could this be
good for us?
Speaker 3 (15:57):
I don't know.
Speaker 4 (15:58):
We'll see how we respond next week. We got to
go back and look at the film. But I'm definitely
curious to see again. This is too a talking. I'm
curious to see. I came in on Tuesday and seeing
these guys last week. I want to see if these
same guys are watching them on Tuesday this week. I
want to see how everyone goes about their process. That's
a quote to me that's kind of throwing a little
(16:19):
shade on your teammates. And maybe he's lighting a fire
under their ass. Maybe he isn't. But if Miami again.
Miami can win over New England and everything's fine. A
loss to the Patriots and this is a sinking ship,
but I mean New.
Speaker 3 (16:36):
England was pretty awful too. Doctor Raiders played great, Doctor
Raiders are great.
Speaker 4 (16:41):
And the Patriot I mean, Drake May had fifty dropbacks,
only eighteen rushing attempts for four of which were May scrambles.
Faveon Henderson five carries. You know, Mike Rabel, we have
to be more balanced. You know, they gained less than
five years per play, allowed six point three, allowed nine
completions of twenty or more. I'm telling you either Raiders
(17:01):
in that game, and I couldn't believe how open the
Raiders receivers were all game.
Speaker 3 (17:05):
They shut down the run, they sacked Geno four times,
didn't matter.
Speaker 4 (17:09):
There were open receivers all game and the Raiders were
able to take advantage. That's something in theory Miami might
be able to take advantage of as well.
Speaker 3 (17:17):
So again, this line is it's not gonna flip.
Speaker 4 (17:22):
We're not gonn see New England as favorites in this ball
game unless we get some really bad quotes out of
Miami this week. But it certainly has the potential to
be a statement game for the Dolphins. They're all my
short list for this week as a bet on.
Speaker 1 (17:32):
Team oo fading those narratives.
Speaker 2 (17:36):
Early Teddy covers mentioned it is overreaction week, and that's
what I'm looking for as well. Is Jacksonville gonna be
maybe an overreaction Jacksonville heads to Cincinnati there on Sunday.
I do have the Bengals Teddy on my short list
for survivor the look Ahead.
Speaker 1 (17:55):
Let's talk about.
Speaker 2 (17:56):
This one, and now I don't know, I may have
to them off my list. I'm a little nervous on
what I saw from the Bengals there at the Browns
look aheadline.
Speaker 4 (18:07):
Since the minus six and a half total forty nine
my powering numbers Bengals minus four and a half, the
markets are sitting at three and a half total forty
nine and a half last night that's been bet up.
We're seeing fifties and fifty and a halfs this morning.
Doesn't look necessarily like it's going to go a whole
lot higher than that, And it's interesting to see that
(18:28):
total get popped, you know, considering how bad Cincinnati was
offensively yesterday. You know, Joe Burrow had one hundred and
thirteen passing yards. Chase Brown was twenty one carries for
forty three yards along of six The offense basically didn't work.
In fact, they were Cincinnati with their seven passing seven
total yards in the second half, the lowest total by
(18:51):
winning team since at least nineteen ninety five, with seven
offensive yards after halftime.
Speaker 3 (18:56):
Five of the six possessions after halftime were three and out.
Speaker 4 (19:00):
Sincey first downs Cleveland twenty two since the eleven since
the two point nine yards per play, and yet this
total has been beat up, which tells us that the
markets aren't all that worried about the Bengals offense long term.
Speaker 3 (19:15):
They didn't play well yesterday.
Speaker 4 (19:16):
Miles Garrett kind of wrecked things again and again in
that game, Miles Garrett was really impactful.
Speaker 3 (19:23):
Joe Burrow quote, we found a way to win.
Speaker 4 (19:25):
Like somebody said earlier, we didn't win any of these
games last year. You usually when you can win a
game like this, it's recue for success. It means you're
going to be a good team as you can find
a lot of different ways to win, and we did today.
And yes they won the game. Yes they didn't have
to do anything after halftime. But let's be real, Cleveland
lost that game with their miscues and their inability to
(19:48):
hit short extra points or field goals.
Speaker 3 (19:51):
We'll talk about that in a minute, but the Bengals
were surely in a position to lose.
Speaker 4 (19:54):
They got lucky, and the markets reflecting that with this number,
and of course there's anti there's anti Bengals sentiment in
the markets anyway. You know, for early in the season,
a team that had a lot of defensive question marks,
and those question marks weren't necessarily answer Yesterda even though
(20:15):
Flack go through interceptions, I think both his picks to
AF receivers hands. As for Jacksonville two hundred rushing yards yesterday,
you know, Trevor Lawrence talking about how we loved the
new offense under Liam Cohen.
Speaker 3 (20:29):
They had eleven penalties.
Speaker 4 (20:30):
They went two to five in the red zone, So
it wasn't like the type of a performance that people
are excited about.
Speaker 3 (20:40):
With mistakes. The defense did force three turn overs.
Speaker 4 (20:42):
Again, they only forced nine turn overs of the entire
season in twenty twenty four. Trevor Lawrence quote, it feels
great the direction we're heading. You've got to take it
for what it is. We won in Week one, but
no one takes it for granted how hard it is
in this league. We were already proud of that, but
it's only one game. We've got to keep doing it.
Consistency is what will be the difference. And that's a
(21:03):
positive quote from the Jaggs. They looked good yesterday. The
competition much tougher this week as they traveled to Cincinnati.
Speaker 1 (21:10):
All right, another divisional game.
Speaker 2 (21:11):
We just mentioned those Browns, Teddy and yeah, I tweeted,
Browns did everything they could to lose that game and
subsequently did Now we got the Baltimore Ravens. I mentioned
I went to bed last night at a half time.
I know that's not part of my job description, but
I was tired after the Broncos stressed me out beyond belief.
Speaker 1 (21:30):
Ravens.
Speaker 2 (21:31):
Would you say the Ravens gave away that game or
the Bills won that game and then talk to me
about the Browns Ravens matchup for this week?
Speaker 4 (21:38):
Well, I mean Derek Henry fumbled it away. You know,
Baltimore scored on seven of the first eight possessions and
then the last three possessions when they just needed a
couple first downs. Three and out. Derek Henry fumbled three
and out and I left just enough time for Buffalo
to rally back. So it wasn't good execution with the
game on the line. Here's a fun one look aheadline.
(22:02):
Baltimore minus twelve and a half total forty four and
a half. My powering number Baltimore minus twelve and a half.
The opener last night Baltimore minus twelve and a half
forty five and a half. This morning, Baltimore minus twelve
and a half, forty.
Speaker 3 (22:14):
Five and a half.
Speaker 4 (22:15):
There are a couple of eleven and a half's out
there at twelve out there, but twelve and a half
the prevailing number for the Ravens in this one for Cleveland.
I mean, it was all about the kicker. You know ed,
the rookie Andre Schmidt. He missed an extra point that
was the difference in the game. Then he missed a
thirty six yard field goal to win the game. I
(22:35):
thought Flacco was just fine. Eight different receivers caught a pass,
fived between six and nine cargas balanced.
Speaker 3 (22:41):
There was no running game whatsoever. You know.
Speaker 4 (22:43):
Dylan Sampson in the fourth round, rookie twelve for twenty nine.
He was a leading rusher. The defense was dominant. You know,
Miles Garrett was the best player on the field in
that game. You know, they held the Bengals to eleven
first downs two point nine yards per carry. They won
the yardish battle. Cleveland won the yardist battle by nearly
two hundred. Kevin Stefanski after the game camp be minus
two on turnovers versus a good football team. That's the
story of the football game. We obviously missed a field goal,
(23:05):
miss an extra point. Those are points in these type
of games. You have to come away with points. And yes,
both I iNTS pounced off receivers hands. Jerry Judy had
won Tillman had the other. Neither of those was the
fault of Joe Flacco. As for Baltimore, eight point six
yards per play on offense, two hundred and thirty eight
rushing yards. Dereck Henry was a monster until the fumble.
(23:27):
Lamar averaged eleven yards per pass attempt, but they allowed
five touchdowns and seven red junge chances. The last three
guys were the game on the line three and out
fumble three and out. They became the first team in
NFL history to lose while scoring forty or more points
and rushing for two and thirty five yards or more. Again,
they scored on seven to the first eight and then
fell apart at the end. Lamar Jackson, you just got
(23:48):
to finish the game. It's not over until there is
zero zero zero on the clock. And we found that
out tonight. Another game where the kicker certainly had a
pretty outsized influence, the rookie Tyler Loop. He made two
field goals, but he missed an extra point in the
fourth quarter, and that missed extra point. Well, they lost
by one point. Every point matters, and the Ravens found
(24:10):
that out the hard Waight last night.
Speaker 2 (24:13):
All right, Teddy, more divisional games. We've got the New
York Giants taking on the Dallas Cowboys. Last week when
we did the show, you said, hey, look we're looking
for divisional home underdogs, divisional under super Bowl losers, all
of those which did very well last week.
Speaker 1 (24:29):
Does that carry over in a week two?
Speaker 2 (24:30):
This this whole theory of divisional games going under the
total and looking for not this case, but divisional home underdogs.
Speaker 3 (24:37):
Not necessarily, No, that's a that's a week one angle.
Week two. The angle is look for teams that lost.
Speaker 4 (24:43):
And didn't cover Week one. You know, you want the
teams that didn't look good. The markets overreact every team
that lost. You know, this is the the differ between
oh and one slash one and one. You know, the
dim between one and one and oh and two in
the NFL is is enormous, and there's certainly a sense
of urgency for every zero to one team with hopes,
(25:05):
and just like you see in college football, you know,
you get that first win on some of the teams.
Speaker 3 (25:10):
Go a little exhale. So the long term Week two
angle is look towards the teams that lost and didn't
cover in Week one, especially the better teams in that situation.
You know, the bottom feeders are bottom.
Speaker 4 (25:22):
Feeders, but you know the teams that are capable are
teams that week spector mounts bag.
Speaker 2 (25:32):
All right, let's talk about the New York Giants and
Dallas Cowboys. I do not like to play divisional teams
in my survivor, but the Dallas Cowboys are on my
long list, at least for the five K there at
the Westgate, not circa because I got to save them
for the holidays.
Speaker 1 (25:46):
Possibly, but kind of break down this game. Do you
think the Giants end up starting Jackson Dart or is
it going to be Russell Wilson for the foreseeable future?
Speaker 4 (25:55):
Look aheadline Dallas minus four and a half, forty four
and a half. My powering number, Dallas minus four and
a half. The market's open Dallas four and a half
and forty four and a half. Last night and this morning,
we're seeing mostly fives out there.
Speaker 3 (26:08):
There's still a couple of four and a half, but
mostly five even five and a half available as we speak.
Speaker 4 (26:14):
I'm not sensing that this line is gonna skyrocket. I'm
not sensing this line is going to crash. Let's talk
about overreaction. Monday, they asked Brian the Ball if a
dable if Russell Wilson was going to start next week.
The reporters did and his quote, We're gonna get home
and look at our game. We're talking about every game.
(26:35):
I've got confidence in Russ. We'll go back evaluate the tape.
This game isn't on Russell Williams. Wilson is not on
Russell Wilson. Let me make that clear. I have confidence
in Russ. We have to do a better job all
the way around. That was the quote, and the headline
writers were like oh, Brian Dables, this is Russell Wilson's
not guaranteed to start next week. No, he's not, but
(26:56):
I would expect him to And if he does, I
would expect to see a little bit of Giants money
down from the five back down to you four and
a half. This isn't we gotta rush to the betting window.
It's still an if, but I expect to see the
g men start Russell Wilson this week. They had a
package just for Jackson Dark. Jackson Dart didn't even get
in the game. So maybe Jackson Dart gets a series
(27:20):
or two or comes in for a couple of plays
next week. But and of course Wilson wasn't good. Seventeen
to thirty seven buck sixty eight. He was their leading rusher.
He was terrible under pressure, just two of twelve for
twenty six yards, with two sacks and two scrambles and
sixteen opportunities from pressure. And of course it's a Giants
offense that returns basically all their starters from last year's
offense healthy and then Russell Wilson. That being said, they've
(27:45):
lost their first bat as the Giants yesterday. It was
better than the twenty eight to six loss. They had
the Minnesota Week one last year was better than the
forty to nothing lost. They had a Dallas in twenty
twenty three, so it was their best opening day.
Speaker 3 (27:57):
Performance in the last three years.
Speaker 4 (27:59):
They didn't score a touch downs, the three running backs
fifteen carries for thirty yards. They allowed two undred twenty
rushing yards. They got out yarded three point seven yards
were play to six point six. They went h and
two in the red zone. It was ugly for the
g men playing and simple as for Dallas. They come
out of the game with Philly a little bit, you know,
I think they.
Speaker 3 (28:17):
Gained confidence from that. Ceedee.
Speaker 4 (28:18):
Lamb obviously had the three big drops. Two came in
the fourth quarter, and we still had seven catches for
one hundred and ten yards. And at least he's mature enough.
You know, man, that's terrible. Honestly, I feel like I
can't point no finger at anybody else. You know, there
wasn't not enough preseason that ain't got nothing to do
with what's going on right now. I need to catch
the damn ball. The rest of the team, you know,
(28:41):
Lamb had everything, and the rest of the even fourteen
catches seventy eight yards. You know, Prescott thirty two years old,
He's had two major surgeries on his legs in the
last couple of years. He still moved around pretty well
in that ball game, and five point four yards per
carry against Philadelphia's run defense. They were positive signs for
Dallas in that contest. You know, Brian Schottenheimer quote, I
(29:01):
still think we can win a Super Bowl.
Speaker 3 (29:03):
It's not going to change. We got the right type
of guys. We got good players.
Speaker 4 (29:06):
That being said, shot and higher just joined Tom Landry,
Jimmy Johnson, Dave Campbell, Bill Parcells, Jason Garrett, and Mike McCarthy.
By losing his first game as the Cowboys head coach.
Speaker 2 (29:17):
All right, the LA Rams take on those Tennessee Titans.
We've already kind of touched on it, or at least
maybe I did before the show started. Teddy, I thought
Tennessee did not look great offensively. Defensively, though, I think
we can give them some credit, and they also had
a few plays go their way in Denver.
Speaker 4 (29:33):
Yeah, I'm tempted to emergency betting alert even though I'm
not seeing any signs. You know, there's fives out there,
there's six out there look headline with five and a
half total forty.
Speaker 3 (29:42):
Five and a half. My powery number for the game
is eight.
Speaker 4 (29:45):
All right, last night open four and a half slash five,
there were five and a half, there were sixes.
Speaker 3 (29:50):
All the littler numbers are gone.
Speaker 4 (29:52):
Now it's six, with even six and a half popping
up total forty two and a half last night bet
down to forty two.
Speaker 3 (30:00):
Morning.
Speaker 4 (30:04):
When you talk about the worst coaching decisions yesterday, you
were very curious about what Sean Payton did. Brian Callahan
and the officeporter Nick Holtz, in my mind, win that
award hands down. There were two just nightmare scenarios, and
they're both on the coaching staff and even worse the
(30:24):
coaching staff through the quarterback under.
Speaker 3 (30:26):
The bus, the rookie quarterback.
Speaker 4 (30:28):
So you have a rookie QB, you're up six to three,
the Broncos pin them deep at the seven yard line
forty seconds left before halftime. There's no chance for a
rookie quarterback in that spot, and no need. You have
the lead, denver at two timeouts, you run the ball
three time outs to go to the half of the lead.
Speaker 3 (30:43):
Nope, they passed the.
Speaker 4 (30:45):
Ball three times two incompletes, then a sack, then a punt.
They burned all of ten seconds off the clock. Then
they gave up a TV. That's on the coaching staff,
all right. Fourth quarter play calling was just as bad
Titan's punt down thirteen to twelve. The Broncos muffed the punt.
Tennessee takes over at the Denver twenty four yard line.
They're down by a point. It's the fourth quarter. You
(31:06):
have a rookie quarterback. The one thing you can't do
in that spot is take sacks. So as a play caller,
what you do is you call quick passes or runs
period second down sack, third down sack out of field
goal range. Never threatened to score again, and Callahan after
the game didn't talk about the wrong play calls. Quote,
can't take a sack in those situations. It's a learning
(31:28):
moment for him. This really tough test out of the gate,
his first cauart against the defense in this stadium. There's
plenty of things he's gonna learn. I mean, look, cam
Ward wasn't good. Twelve of twenty eight for one hundred
and twelve yards. You lost sixty yards on six sacks.
That's a net sixty two yards on thirty four dropbacks,
all dinks and dunks. Calin Ridley a non factor. They
had one hundred and thirty one penalty yards, thirteen fo
(31:48):
one hundred and thirty one and one hundred and thirty
three total yards on offense. Those are not good combinations
and they covered the spread. The Titans started five drives
inside the Broncos fifty and came away with three field goals.
They had four takeaways and they managed just six points
off of them.
Speaker 3 (32:03):
You know, cam Ward, the only way is up.
Speaker 4 (32:06):
We were ass honestly, when you get a defense that
get three or our turnovers weren't capitalize it, that's on
us and they were.
Speaker 3 (32:13):
As for the Rams, that defense was impressive yesterday. You know,
Stafford had some early rust. They found some rhythm on
a couple of touchdown drives. That was all they needed.
The defense controlled the flow.
Speaker 4 (32:23):
You know, eight point four yards per past temp Puka
and DeVante Adam. Dante Adams made a couple of great catches.
Changed the game with these catches, tight windows, tough catches
in traffic. Kyron Williams found the end zone on a
fourth down play that looked like he was stuffed a
great run.
Speaker 3 (32:37):
They had seven.
Speaker 4 (32:38):
Yards per play on offense, a lot of only five
yards per play on defense.
Speaker 3 (32:41):
You know that. And of course they scored touchdowns in
the red zone, you know CJ.
Speaker 4 (32:48):
Stroud after the game, Houston's quarter. That's a really good defense,
a really good team. I would not be surprised if
LA takes money over the course of the week. But again,
the look headline here five and a half, we're seeing
six is now My powering number says eight, and I
think the markets are going to look at a Tennessee
(33:09):
might be.
Speaker 3 (33:09):
A little bit better.
Speaker 4 (33:09):
They worry about the early West Coast team traveling east
for an e leash start game and you're laying nearly
a touch in on the road. But they've taken out
all the lesser numbers here minus six as we speak.
Speaker 2 (33:21):
All right, keeping it moving along with Week two. If
you guys are just joining us, almost twenty five hundred
of you were watching live. This is the opening line report.
We're here every single Monday morning. Teddy, I feel bad.
So my Kansas State Wildcats lost. Joe Ranieri's Oklahoma State
Cowboys got the doors blown off, and we were texting
on Saturday and then I said yesterday, and the group
(33:42):
Chata said, hey, Joe, at least you have the Jets,
and he said, don't worry, caw, there's still time.
Speaker 1 (33:49):
And then the Jets do what.
Speaker 2 (33:50):
They do best and they lost that football game. So
I probably should send him an apology text this morning.
Speaker 1 (33:54):
Buffalo.
Speaker 2 (33:55):
On the flip side, I went to bed at halftime.
As I've mentioned, they were down at home, come back,
crazy game, end up winning that one.
Speaker 1 (34:03):
Buffalo Bills on the road to the New York Jets.
Not gonna lie. This one looks a little fishy to me.
Speaker 3 (34:10):
Okay, to explain that to me, you think you should
be higher or lower.
Speaker 2 (34:13):
I think this is a divisional matchup where I want
to back the dog, and I my immediate gut is
like eight, seven and a half, right, So seven seems like,
come on in, come on in, Buffalo, betters, they just
got to win by a touchdown.
Speaker 1 (34:27):
Does that make sense?
Speaker 3 (34:29):
Sure?
Speaker 4 (34:30):
Look at I was eight total forty four. My colleague
numbers Buffalo seven and a half that last night. There
were six and a half, seven, seven and a half,
eight and eight and a half all available in Benny marketplace.
Now they decided seven is the prevaion number. There are
is a prominent six and a half out there. I
would not be surprised to see Jets money here. In fact,
(34:52):
this is scenario where it's even though my number says
seven and a half, will get below seven. Maybe you
know I'm tempted at EBA, but again there's no I
don't know that it's going to get there, and with
the emergency bend alerts, I like to be pretty sure.
So and my parenting numbers saying seven and a half,
I'm not going to get there. Last night total forty
(35:12):
four and a half slast forty five and a half,
and we're seeing forty five and a halfs the prevailing
number this morning.
Speaker 3 (35:18):
You know.
Speaker 4 (35:19):
As for Buffalo, they allowed eight to six yards per
play and forty points and they still won and covered
good quote from the kicker, Matt Prater, who's still in
the league.
Speaker 3 (35:28):
Man Matt Prader has been around forever.
Speaker 4 (35:30):
Quote the biggest thing I saw when we got down
early no one point, So it's hard. The Bills have
played great against the Jets in this venue over the years.
The Jets had thirty nine carries for one hundred and
eighty two yards in the ground against Pittsburgh, thirteen rushing
first downs, the passing game that didn't work all preseason,
Justin Field's nine point nine yards per pass at ten
(35:50):
Kary Wilson had a big game. Not a team that
we expect to score thirty two points very often, and
they scored thirty two points and they lost. You know,
up one late, they forced a Steelers punt three and
out right backs at at Pittsburgh with time to score,
which they did. Aaron Glenn after the game, quote, Man,
we can't have turnovers.
Speaker 3 (36:07):
We can't do it. We have to be a more
disciplined team. That's something will be addressed.
Speaker 4 (36:10):
You will not be on the field with this team
if you're gonna cause us to lose games. That's Aaron Glenn.
Justin Fields is a much more positive quote. I think
we played well. I think we ran the ball well.
Off the line did a great job. I don't think
a lot of people expected us to come out and
play like that. All we do is keep building, keep
getting better, and we'll be good.
Speaker 1 (36:32):
All right.
Speaker 2 (36:33):
Moving right along Chicago after playing on Monday night football tonight,
going to Detroit. We're gonna see how bad the Lions
offense missus Ben Johnson. But let's get through Monday Night
football first before we start to overreact. The Lions fans
are starting to overreact to Eddy.
Speaker 4 (36:52):
So I know it's Monday Night football, and this line's
gonna bounce based on how the Bears look tonight.
Speaker 3 (36:59):
All right.
Speaker 4 (37:00):
The look head line here was the Lion's five and
a half total forty nine. My powering numbers a Lion
six and a half and right now the markets four
and a half last night. Now we're seeing fives this morning,
so it feels like the numbers should go up, and
if Chicago looks bad tonight, it will go up. It's
a scenario where if you like the Vikings tonight, you
(37:22):
bet the Lions for next week right now. If you
don't like the Vikings tonight, don't worry about it. But
if Chicago doesn't look good tonight, this Lion's gonna come
more like six six and a half seven than the
four and a half five that we saw over the
course of the last twenty four hour total open last
night forty seven and a half last forty eight, and
(37:43):
we're looking at forty seven and a half the prevailing
number right now. The Bears obviously played this seating the Lions. Well,
let's overreact to everything. The Lions clearly suck right. Two
coordinator's gone immediate disaster, But there were some concerns.
Speaker 3 (37:58):
In that game.
Speaker 4 (38:00):
The Ausome line didn't open holes for the running game.
David Montgomery, Jamior Gibbs twenty carries forty four yards, Jared
Goff no time, only one completion longer than nineteen yards.
They scored six points from the first three drives in
the red zone. For that touchdown path at Isaac Tesla
made a ridiculous catch with less than a minute left.
They had a pick six to get them back in
the game hoops that was called back by a penalty.
(38:22):
Dan Campbell quoth, they came out and played out standing.
We didn't play good enough. We didn't coach good enough.
I could he meet and we didn't play good enough.
Like I told the team, it's tough to go in
and not certainly play close to your best game. You
hate starting the season off with the loss, and as
bad as it is, it's not as bad as it
appears to be, so Campbell's holding the fort. That being said,
you have questions about a team that loses two elite
(38:43):
coordinators that become head coach in the offseason, and the
Lions answered none of those questions.
Speaker 3 (38:48):
And Yesterday's lost they were really out of the game
start to finish.
Speaker 1 (38:54):
Seattle at Pittsburgh this was neither game.
Speaker 2 (38:58):
Did I really watch all that close? I had a
buddy who was Stackson losing his mind that Seattle lost
that game, or at least the cover there at home.
As I mentioned, Pittsburgh somehow pulled one out at the Jets.
Talk to me about this one, Teddy. Kind of curious
to see were some of these teams where the rubber
meets the road.
Speaker 1 (39:17):
Here early on.
Speaker 4 (39:19):
Look aheadline Pittsburgh minus two and a half total forty
one and a half. Low total my powering number Pittsburgh
minus three, the markets open two and a half, slast
three at two point seventy five last night total forty
and a half forty one and looking at the Otho
logic live on screen right now, pretty much threes there
(39:39):
are two and a half out there total forty forty
and a half. All we've seen is under money before
this ball game, and the quotes from Pittsburgh after, yes
didn't given up thirty two points in the gets from
the defensive quotes were not not pleased with the defensive effort.
To put it mildly, of course, Pittsburgh got the win.
(40:02):
It was a pretty lucky win, all right. They give
up thirty two points, they had no running game, twenty
to fifty three, two point seven yards per carry, long
of nine, all right. The final drive where Aaron Rodgers
was supposed to march him down the field, there was
a catch that pinballed off a defender's head after it
got tipped and then went back into DJ Metcalf's hands
(40:25):
or dk Metcalf's hands for an.
Speaker 3 (40:27):
Eleven yard completion.
Speaker 4 (40:28):
And then Boswell hit a sixty yard you know, they
were fourth and eleven from the forty two, Like, yeah, yeah,
Boswell can make this, and he did. But there's something
to say that that was every bit as lucky as
it was good.
Speaker 3 (40:41):
For Pittsburgh on that final drive.
Speaker 4 (40:44):
First, the Seahawks, I mean, the offense was sluggish Throughoutkenneth
Walker and Zach Sharbon eight twenty two of sixty seven,
long of eight, Jackson Smith the geebug nine of one
hundred and seventeen. The rest of the receivers, including Cooper
Cup seven of twenty six, So everything was to the
one guy, nothing was to anyone else. For Sam Donald,
they only had fourteen first downs compared to twenty four
for San Francisco, minus one hundred and fifty yards. They
(41:08):
were in the game largely because of forty nine ers
mistakes and miskicks. Another game where the kickers can mattered
a lot. Sam Donald quote, for us, it was not
enough today. I felt like we were in a fishing
as we wanted to be on first and second down
and third down.
Speaker 3 (41:20):
We have to be way better as well.
Speaker 4 (41:23):
And of course Donald drove him down the field the
last chance to win at the end, and then he
got stripsacked by Joey Bosa. And this team is supposed
to be grounding and pounding. It ran for only eighty
four yards in the contest. Clint Kubiak said one thing
and then did another.
Speaker 2 (41:43):
Tuddy, let's talk about those New Orleans Saints. We've got
the San Francisco forty nine ers heading there. The last
game on the early slate Sunday you just mentioned. Did
the Niners win that game or did the Seahawks lose it?
Speaker 1 (41:57):
I had a buddy on the gardenal saying, oh God,
I can't believe I just sweat the Saints. I said,
don't worry, you got Spencer Rattler, You're gonna be fine.
Drop pass, drop pass, drop pass. Game was over.
Speaker 3 (42:09):
It was a sweat fine.
Speaker 4 (42:12):
There was a sweat and a half look aheadline for
San Fran New Orleans. San Fran minus seven and a half.
Speaker 3 (42:19):
Total forty four.
Speaker 4 (42:20):
My powering number only six and a half parted the
seven and a half in the markets, and of course
that's what we saw sevens last night. They took out
all the sevens down to six and a half total
forty three slash forty three and a half this morning
yesterday was as high as forty.
Speaker 3 (42:38):
Four and a half.
Speaker 4 (42:38):
So we have seen early money for the home dog Saints.
We have seen early money for the under. And there
was a lot to like about New Orleans yesterday.
Speaker 3 (42:48):
All right.
Speaker 4 (42:49):
They ran the ball well, four point nine yards for rush.
Alvin Kamara found the end zone. He's got something less
than the tank.
Speaker 3 (42:54):
Spencer Ratler. Look, he's not.
Speaker 4 (42:55):
Hopeless, but four point six aers for passing him and
after he drove down on the field in the red zone,
he couldn't punch in the tying TD in the closing second.
Speaker 3 (43:03):
At least he got them there.
Speaker 4 (43:04):
Thirteen penalties for eighty nine yards one to four in
the red zone. Defense didn't creating the turnovers. That's not
how you win games in the NFL. At Ken Moore
talk about all those penalties, quote, we got to play
at a higher standard. It's not something that's come up
the last week. So it's frustrating thing when it shows
up on game day and puts up in bed positions.
You know, Kellen Morris Spence did some good stuff. I
love the way he approached it, the mind that he
(43:25):
played with. He gave us a chance and I agree
with that he did. They had a chance in that
ball game. That's for the four to nine ers. Look,
Jake Moody's a problem again. Moody just twelve of twenty
three since Week ten of last year fifty two percent rate.
He missed a twenty seven yard field goal in a
block thirty six yard field goal at the NFL level
that he's supposed to be automatic, and it almost cost
(43:45):
him the game. He finally hit a thirty two yarder
if they couldn't punch in from first and goal to
the eight to tie the game in the fourth but
injuries galore for San Francisco. George Kittle got hurt in
yesterday's game. He's gonna have to deal with a hamstring injury.
John Jennings left the game holding his left shoulder. They're
already without Brandon Ayak and Denmarcus Robinson and guess what
(44:06):
without all those guys with Deebo Samuel in San Francisco.
The final drive of the game, game on the line,
Brock perty seven of seven. You know, Jake Tongus with
an unbelievable catch that probably should have been an interception,
but we're gonna give Purdy credit for making the throw
and making the play, and of course Joey Bosas saving
the game with the strip sack.
Speaker 3 (44:25):
Quote.
Speaker 4 (44:26):
Robert Sala's the man, he calls it great. Christian McCaffrey quote.
I think we have a really new team. To have
a bunch of new guys come out for the first
time together, play with each other and guttered a gritty
win against a good team in a tough environment. That's
a big deal, positive chemistry for Sandfran. But I continue
to think that the market's a little bit higher on
(44:48):
this team than I And again we've seen Saints money
from the get go. Depending on how that forty nine
ers injury report looks, we could see more Saints money
before kickoff.
Speaker 2 (44:58):
Those sport and any injuries are my fault because they're
on my fantasy team.
Speaker 1 (45:01):
I apologize to you guys for that one.
Speaker 2 (45:04):
Carolina Arizona, Teddy, Arizona's on the top of my list
first survivor this week.
Speaker 1 (45:09):
Tell me, tell me why I should.
Speaker 3 (45:11):
Not be worried because Carolina's pretty bad?
Speaker 1 (45:14):
Okay, good look.
Speaker 4 (45:16):
Ahead line Arizona minus five and a half total forty
six and a half. My powering number, Arizona minus seven
and a half. The markets opened six and a half
and forty five and a half last night, and we're
seeing a split line now. There are some six and
a half, there are some sevens out there. So if
you want Arizona, find a six and a half. If
you want Carolina, take a plus seven. Everyone's blaming Bryce Young,
(45:39):
you know, and Bryce Young was probably one of the
worst quarterbacks yesterday again. Eighteen to thirty five, a buck,
forty four, two interceptions, just four point forty yards for.
Speaker 3 (45:47):
Past at ten.
Speaker 4 (45:48):
But where are the weapons? It's not like this team,
you know, we can as long as this team could
trade away Adam feel and be like, oh, we don't
need him, you know the leading receiver Ted McMillan first
game of his rookie season.
Speaker 3 (46:00):
All right, they scored ten points. They only punted twice
in the game.
Speaker 4 (46:03):
They went eight to fifteen on third downs, but oh
of two on four downs, three turnovers. Four point two
yards are playing on offense. They out on game by
nearly two yards per play. Rice Young quote, Obviously no
one likes to lose, but it's week one. We're gonna
watch the film on Monday. We're gonna wear it. We're
gonna see where we can grow, and after that we're
going to flush it. That's the right comment, that's the
right approach. Arizona wasn't pretty yesterday. Kyle Murray got sacked
(46:26):
five times, only one hundred and thirty ne passing yards,
only four point five yards per play for the game.
Speaker 3 (46:31):
But he was sick as a dog. Quote.
Speaker 4 (46:33):
I woke up with something, but I wasn't gonna miss
the game. I really don't know what sickness could make
you miss the game.
Speaker 3 (46:37):
It's the NFL. It's not easy.
Speaker 4 (46:39):
It never will be easy, no matter who you're playing.
Arizona did run the football fairly well. They didn't turn
the ball over. The defense held this battler to rattler
to four point six yards per pass game. And it's
worth noting Arizona in this point spread range. And last
year they won eight games. Five of the eight wins
came by thirteen points or more. They were capable of
putting their foot down on team on the neck of
(47:01):
opposing teams when they had the opportunity.
Speaker 2 (47:03):
Teddy, you started off the show by talking about teams
that won but didn't cover. You have the Denver Broncos
taken on the Indianapolis Colts, probably the team that looked
the best on Sunday.
Speaker 4 (47:18):
Sure look headline Denver minus three and a half total
forty four and a half. My powering number Denver minus
two and a half. The markets opened two and a
half slash three last night and they took out the threes.
Now it's two and a half across the board, forty
four and a half the total last night. We've seen
a ton of under money already down to forty three
(47:39):
even forty two and a half on.
Speaker 3 (47:41):
The odds Logic Live Odds stream bow.
Speaker 4 (47:44):
Knicks was not sharp. You know, four point four yeards
were passing them two inner steps then the fumble. But
one thing we like, eleven different receivers caught a pass
for Denver. No, that's a quarterback who countered with a
bunch of people. They had one hundred and thirty three
on the ground between Harvey and Dobbins. That being said,
seventy four of them came on the final scoring drive.
Four turnovers one to three in the red zone, and
they still won by eight points. You know, last year,
(48:06):
teams that had four more turnovers, you know, were three
and fifteen straight up, and Denver had four more turnovers
and they were one by eight. You know, obviously we
talked about the late game field goal shenanigans. You know,
Peyton saying I didn't want to kick blocked and returned
Bonnicks quote. It's the best feeling when you got a
great defense. I mean, just over and over they got
us out of a jam. They held Tennessee to two
(48:27):
point four yards per play. Alex Singleton about the Broncos defense,
I think we played how we expect to play.
Speaker 3 (48:33):
I just look around and say this is scary.
Speaker 4 (48:35):
Six sacks, one hundred and thirty three total net yards,
you know, and again the Titans started five drives in
Denver territory.
Speaker 3 (48:42):
It came away with three field goals in that contest.
Speaker 4 (48:45):
As for Andy, look Danny Dimes, nine point four yards
were passing. It only sacked once. They had one hundred
and fifty six rushing yards. Forty carriage had nas Jones
to carry the load. They scored on every possession, the
first team since nineteen seventy seven to accomplish that feat.
Of course, only seven drives in the game, thirty nine
minutes of possession, six point er yards were played, plus
three in turnovers. The new coordinator on the even side
(49:07):
of the football, Lounarumo. You know, it came close to
calling a shutout in Miami got the TV in garbage time.
Speaker 3 (49:14):
But there were certainly a lot of positive signs for
den for Indy.
Speaker 4 (49:17):
That said, after the game, there was a lot of
talk about Robert Ercy and how much this meant to
the You know, Robert Ersky who died this offseason. His
street daughters have taken over and there was extra empasis
on this game for him. A little bit tougher defense
are gonna face this week around Broncos are on my
short list.
Speaker 1 (49:36):
By low possibly here on the.
Speaker 2 (49:38):
Broncos Philadelphia Kansas City super Bowl rematch there at arrowhead.
Speaker 3 (49:44):
Let's get it. Let's get that emergency betting alert going.
Speaker 4 (49:47):
Yay.
Speaker 3 (49:48):
If you want the total?
Speaker 1 (49:49):
Do you yeah? Where's my sound? You agree?
Speaker 3 (49:57):
If you want the over?
Speaker 4 (49:58):
Bett right now? You can still forty six and a
half out there. There's a couple of them. This total
has been as even the forty six out there right now.
This total is on the way up. Opened last night
forty five and a half. Look, headline was forty six
and a half on the total forty sevens popping all
over the place right now.
Speaker 3 (50:16):
So total wise, Eagles.
Speaker 4 (50:17):
Chiefs, we've seen some pretty high scoring games between these
two interim super Bowls, and the markets expecting more of
the same. If you'll like the over, there's urgency. Look
headline here, KC minus one and a half, forty six
and a half. My powering number is pick them. The
markets had Philly minus one one and a half forty
five and a half last night. Philly is still minus one.
There are some pickums out there, even a couple of
(50:39):
spots where KC is favored right now. Some concerns for
Philadelphia I mean Ladi Russia with Jalen Hurts. You know
you don't want that. AJ Brown and Davanta Smith combining
four of twenty four four catch of twenty four yards
long of seven that being said Nick Siriano, AJ Brown
and DeVonta Smith are selfless nine penalty if Philly six
(51:00):
and then gave Dallas a first down first day possessions
off scores and in one red zone fumble, the lightning
of delay and then no points the last twenty four
minutes of that game. Jalen Carter obviously got injected for spitting.
Nick Sirianni quote some we're in circumstances tonight, said Kwan.
Barkley did not have spark three and forty five carries
the regular season last year, another ninety one in the playoffs.
Speaker 3 (51:22):
Just eighteen carries for sixty yards. That might be a
red flag moving forward. As four Kansas City Super Bowl
revenge at home? How much is that worth for home
field advantage? You know what?
Speaker 4 (51:31):
I counted as one and a half points noted from
any other game. The Rahomes seven rushing yards scrambled for
five first downs, the rest of the team eleven for
forty one.
Speaker 3 (51:43):
Patrick Mahomes.
Speaker 4 (51:44):
This will be a big lesson for us after they
got whacked by the Chargers. They definitely came out with
more energy than we did. We've got to get better
for him the start, and of course the next extra
point in the midst two point conversion.
Speaker 3 (51:54):
Ended up being huge in the game. Concerns injury.
Speaker 4 (51:59):
Why for she Rice is still have the six game suspension,
Jalen Royal's out with the knee injuries. If you're worthy
got hurt in that game, was ruled out with a
shoulder injury, you know, so we'll have to be a
little bit concerned about the Chief's receiving corps this week
is something to pay attention to.
Speaker 1 (52:15):
Sunday Night football Atlanta headed to Minnesota.
Speaker 2 (52:18):
Talk about the back to back primetime games.
Speaker 1 (52:22):
Is there something that maybe we need to be keeping
an eye on here?
Speaker 3 (52:25):
Well?
Speaker 4 (52:25):
So if the Vikings look good, they're gonna take money,
and if they look bad, they want I mean, it's
real simple, just like we talked about with Chicago and
Detroit before. If you'll like Minnesota tonight, wouldn't hurt to
make a bet on them for next week. If you'll
like Chicago night, wouldn't hurt to make a better in
Atlanta for next week. Now, you're not likely to be
getting the worst of it in either scenario. That said,
(52:46):
look headline four and a half, forty six and a half,
my powering number four and a half the Marcus there
were fives and five and a halfs out there last night.
It is four to four and a half now, even
a prominent three and a half out there for the Vikings,
total still sitting forty five and a half. So basically,
lookhead was four and a half, powering numbers four and
a half, the markets four and a half, forty five
and a half the total Atlanta found a way to
(53:08):
lose in another kicker scenario, or young Hoku who was
bad last year and got the job again and cost
them a couple games last year, and first Tampa misses
the extra point to give you Atlanta the chance, and
then Atlanta misses the tying field goal.
Speaker 3 (53:22):
You know, defense allowed only four point six hours for play.
It was.
Speaker 4 (53:27):
There were some things to like about what the Falcons
did yesterday. And as for Minnesota, we'll see what they
do tonight.
Speaker 2 (53:33):
Okay, Teddy, before we get into Monday night football, I
know we got a hurry because wager.
Speaker 1 (53:36):
Talk Today is coming up next to you. Guys.
Speaker 2 (53:38):
Just hang out right here on the wager Talk YouTube channel,
and he's already in the comments section. Teddy, let everybody
know what they can get with Teddy sixty nine new
clients only sure.
Speaker 4 (53:47):
I mean, I look, I love early season NFL September
NFL had done very well over the years of Tember NFL.
Speaker 3 (53:52):
And this is a classic overreaction.
Speaker 4 (53:54):
Week seven day all access all right, nothing more to buy,
no nonsense, no bait and switch. Any five persent pick
takes is included every play, every day, every sport. You
get Baseball week, get college football, and of course the NFL.
Just she's from a code Teddy sixty nine, sixty nine bucks,
seven days all access.
Speaker 3 (54:11):
Check it out my homepagewt.
Speaker 4 (54:13):
Dot buzz actual last TC or this is the website
wagertalk dot com.
Speaker 2 (54:18):
Tampa Bay at Houston, you mentioned the Falcons looked better
than the final result. Missed field goal there to give
Tampa Bay the win. Houston did not look great. I
considered using the rams and Survivor and kind of gigging myself.
Speaker 1 (54:33):
That I didn't.
Speaker 3 (54:36):
Look headline Texans two and a half forty six and
a half.
Speaker 4 (54:38):
My paring number Texans one and a half the markets
this was one one and a.
Speaker 3 (54:44):
Half, two two and a half last night.
Speaker 4 (54:46):
I'm seeing mostly threes out there right now. There's still
some two and a half's, but the markets have made
a big move upward. My porinary rating is numbers, so
we're not is lower than that. So I'm not going
to give you an emergency betting alert where I say
the market's gonna there's gonna be resistance at three. For
the Texans, you know, the Baker only five point two
yeards for passing them three touchdowns, no picks, but obviously
(55:07):
missing a couple of whiteouts Jaylem McMillan and Chris Godwin.
Speaker 3 (55:11):
It didn't matter. Baker was a Bucks leading rusher.
Speaker 4 (55:14):
And that's certainly concerned Bucky Irving only two point six
yards per carry. The missed extra point a problem. The
run defense was strong, the offense not as strong as
they would have hoped.
Speaker 3 (55:25):
As for the.
Speaker 4 (55:25):
Texans, you know, they did a lot of things right.
One hundred and fourteen rushing yards at four point two
yards per Kerry Nick Chubb was good. The defense was phenomenal,
but eleven penalties over one in the red zone, two turnovers,
two of nine on third downs, better seven to thirteen
against LA and CJ. Stroud was under constant pressure. At times.
(55:46):
He looked a little bit happy feet, a little bit uncomfortable.
He looked very uncomfortable in the pocket at times. No
receiver caught more than more than thirty two receiving yards
zero second half points for the Texans. Stroud sacked three times,
pressured on more than forty percent of it dropbacks. He
was hit seven times. There were holding calls, there were
false starts that were legal shifts, and oh they suffered
multiple ed Ingram was a late scratch with an abdominal injury,
(56:09):
and then Jake Andrews got hurt. So the tear of
the offs of line was missing two key pieces and
it mattered the quote.
Speaker 3 (56:18):
And of course they lost the game.
Speaker 4 (56:19):
When Daria Oguna bowl Ali lost a fumble deep in
Rams territory late in the ball game, that was only
his second loss fumble in nine NFL seasons. The last
one came in Tampa in twenty nineteen. And yeah, I
had to look it up. I had a big play
on Houston yesterday, and I wanted to know Stroud quote,
(56:40):
we didn't deserve to win that game because we didn't
do the right things. When you come out in the NFL, lollygagging,
going through the motions, that kind of happens.
Speaker 3 (56:45):
I think we'll be all right.
Speaker 4 (56:46):
But it's a good wake up call for us because
asked why it's a wake up call quote. I just
think the way we practiced this week, people can practice better.
Stroud throwing his teammates under the bus a little bit
right there, or maybe trying to light a fire under
their ass.
Speaker 2 (57:00):
Laugh game on the week two slate, here we've got
the Los Angeles Chargers heading to Vegas. Taddy, do you
think that there is a rest factor here? Having played
in Sal Paulo Friday? Don't They don't have to play
again until Monday night?
Speaker 4 (57:14):
Second emergency betting alert. Let's get it going right here
right now. Chargers bet them sooner, not later. There are
still threes with juice out there as we speak. Three
and a half are starting to pop in this ballgame.
My powering number is four. Look at line was only
three and forty four and a half. The Chargers just
(57:34):
beat the Chiefs and they've extra time to repair my numbers.
Speaker 3 (57:38):
Four on the game was three last night with three
hals popping. The three and a half are there.
Speaker 4 (57:43):
Pretty much across the board now, but there are still threes.
You can find one and I would not be surprised
all if this game goes to four or higher. We've
also seen money for the over the look headline forty
four and a half of the total was forty four
and a half last night. Boomi. They have forty sevens
at leading indicator books. So the urgency like the over,
(58:04):
there's urgency if you like the Chargers. Herbert was insanely good.
You know, Quentin Johnson at the drop Seeds last year
you got of gieve the first two years you got
two touchdowns. Led mcconki was good. Keenan Allen was good.
They snapped a seven game skidding as the team that
dominated the AFC Harball quote, it's monumental. September fifth will
go down to some Charger lower in my opinion, it
(58:24):
was a big win. Now they got Monday night football
on National TV extra time. Gino was great, ten point
six yards per pass nipped. That being said, a lot
of it was New England being awful, US awful on
defense at and junt just nineteen to thirty eight long
of nine. They couldn't run, but they still threw the
ball all over the field. Chip Kelly did something right
play calling. They had nine pass plays for twenty more
(58:46):
yards and allowed only four point nine yards per play.
That being said, brock Bowers left in the fourth quarter
with a knee injury. That's something worth paying attention to
when it comes to the Raiders receivers.
Speaker 2 (58:57):
Teddy covers at Teddy Underscore Covers on x WT dot Buzz,
Backslash TC take advantage of teddy sixty nine new clients.
Only you guys can partner up with Teddy for the
NFL season. Teddy any final thoughts before we hand the
reins over to Andy Lang on wager Talk Today.
Speaker 4 (59:15):
We appreciate you guys watching live every week. If you
like this show, please tell your friends. The likes make
all the difference, The comments make all the difference, and
the followers make all the difference. And obviously both Kelly
and I get in the comments. Kelly, they were all
loving you in the comments last week. So I get
in the comments multiple times and answered pretty much everyone
that goes there, So shoot me a note in the
(59:36):
YouTube comments, and thank you so much for watching good
Luck on Monday Night football tonight, good
Speaker 1 (59:41):
Luck this week and the NFL, and we'll see you
guys next Monday morning.