All Episodes

November 1, 2024 36 mins

Hour 3 of A&G features...

  • Media panic! If Trump wins it shows the lack of media influence
  • Elon could lose his citizenship
  • Mark Cuban's stupid comment
  • Medically induced comas until after the election

 

Stupid Should Hurt: https://www.armstrongandgetty.com/

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Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Broadcasting live from the Abraham Lincoln Radio Studio, the George
Washington Broadcast Center.

Speaker 2 (00:07):
Jack Armstrong and Joe Getty, I'm strong and Getty and he.

Speaker 1 (00:15):
Armstrong and Yetty.

Speaker 2 (00:24):
Puerto Rico, where I'm in my home state of Delaware.
They're good, decent, honorable people. The only garbage icy float down,
there's your supporters. Now, the White House says that Biden
wasn't talking about Trump's supporters.

Speaker 3 (00:36):
They even released a transcript last night where they inserted
an apostrophe in the word supporters.

Speaker 2 (00:43):
There's an apostrophe there. He's talking about his supporter, I
mean the comedian his comments. The only garbage icy floating down,
there's your supporters.

Speaker 4 (00:50):
Apostrophe S so singular supporter with an apostrophe and an s.
As someone who had a starter growing up, it's very
obvious to me there's an apostrophe at the end of
supporters there.

Speaker 5 (01:00):
He was preferring to be garbage viewed by supporters, not
simply the supporters themselves.

Speaker 2 (01:04):
It's a question, is John's head of an apostrophe? Really
it's a.

Speaker 3 (01:07):
Nothing murder h It's possible that that's true, but you
don't allow that possibility with anything that's Trump said on
the Trump side obviously, even.

Speaker 2 (01:18):
If it's like a fourth rate surrogate.

Speaker 3 (01:21):
Right, And I should have grabbed the clip. Nora O'Donnell
actually said the other night something along the lines of
the Trump campaign pouncing on Biden's gaff showing no grace.
I thought, yeah, for all the grace that's shown by
you and the Biden Harris crowd on if Trump has
a gaff, give me a break. Who do you think

(01:42):
you're fooling with that stuff?

Speaker 1 (01:43):
Which I tell you what, and every time somebody like
her says something like that, another five hundred people say,
you know what, I'm not a fan of Trump, but
I'm not letting you win with that.

Speaker 2 (01:54):
Crab well right, showing no grace. I don't even have
the energy, right, So that.

Speaker 3 (02:00):
Fits in with this thing that I just came across. Oh, first,
let's hear from David Axelrod on why this isn't necessarily
good for the Democrats.

Speaker 4 (02:09):
Instead of her closing speech being the story, half of
it was what Biden said, and it gave an out
to Trump after that horrible rally at Madison Square Garden
with that comedian sliming Porto Rico and Porto Ricans, and
it gave him a chance to pose in a garbage
truck and say, they're accusing my supporters of being garbage.

(02:30):
So it really was an unforced era, but it wasn't hers,
it was his.

Speaker 3 (02:34):
Yeah, it did not help Kamala Harris Ultimately, I don't
think in anyway. I don't agree with a lot of
his characterization there, but I don't think it helped Harris Ultimately.
I love how the comedian was the leaf that fell
in the forest, never mind the tree, right, and they
elevated that into a mighty oak, crashing into Times Square
and killing a hundred tourists. But then this sitting botas.

Speaker 1 (02:56):
Says is what he says, that it's like it's a
big nothing y'aller fools.

Speaker 3 (02:59):
So I didn't read this story on Fox, but it
rings true. TV executive panics that Trump winning means press
has little influence, mainstream media is dead. You'd have to
almost conclude, wouldn't you, Especially there's a decent chance that
Trump is gonna overperform so much in Florida, do so

(03:21):
much better that he's done in California in the past
and Texas, that he is not only going to win
the presidency. He's gonna win the flat out freaking vote.
I mean, he's just playing, gonna have more people vote
for him. Overall, He'll win the electoral College and the
popular vote. I'm not a Marxist, but I do like
tearing down the system of mainstream media, and I would

(03:43):
love to see people's heads explode if that happens, if
Trump wins the electric College and the general election vote.
But see, so you can't he can't just lean on
We've got to do with the electoral colleges Claire blah blah,
blah blah blah.

Speaker 2 (03:56):
No, he just flat out got more votes.

Speaker 3 (03:58):
How would you not include that mainstream media is dead
in its current configuration. It's got to start doing it differently,
which is what Jeff Bezos was saying at the Washington Post.

Speaker 2 (04:09):
We got it.

Speaker 3 (04:10):
We got to start doing things differently, completely differently in
some ways, because they have gone all in, not just
like sixty forty, seventy thirty, even eighty twenty, it's really
practically ninety five to five on on promoting one candidate
over the other. And you still got your asses kicked.

(04:32):
So at that point, how do you feel relevant at all?

Speaker 2 (04:35):
Yeah?

Speaker 1 (04:35):
To, you know, abuse, Thomas Jefferson from time to time,
the tree of liberty must be watered with canceled subscriptions.
I guess you know what's amazing from just from a
human psychology a standpoint. Tell me if I'm wrong, folks,
to be as wildly out of touch as the mainstream

(04:56):
media media is. We've talked about it so many times,
how they're the view they give you of what America
is and what America thinks is like a funhouse mirror.
But to be so wildly out of touch and be
completely unaware of it to the point that you get
the result that Jack's talking about after the election, They're
just they can't even believe that the America they've been

(05:17):
describing to us didn't go the way they wanted. I mean,
it'd be like walking into a big room full of
people in full San Francisco forty nine ers regalia and
just be going on and on about how the Niners
suck in their fans, are stupid and nobody likes them
and blah blah blah, and be unaware.

Speaker 2 (05:38):
Of what you're doing. I mean that is that is
some serious blindness.

Speaker 1 (05:44):
Of course, anybody who studied history knows entire populations can
go in for things that are utterly abominable. You can
convince and bamboozle, bribe and tempt soft headed humans to
do about anything.

Speaker 3 (05:59):
So I'm looking at Joaquin Castro, remember him, representative from
Texas who ran for president same year Kamala did.

Speaker 2 (06:07):
Was he the guy who tried that ham handed Biden
is senile?

Speaker 3 (06:11):
Ploy He lasted about as long as Kamala did that year.
He's up there on CNN it says Hispanic's rallying against
racist terms at Trump rally. So day five of covering
that comedian's jokes.

Speaker 2 (06:31):
The leaf that fell in the forest, day.

Speaker 3 (06:33):
Five, to David Axelrod's point, that's your closing argument, obscuring
anything else, Kamala Harris wants to say, Okay, I can
go ahead. I'm all for it since I want her
to lose.

Speaker 2 (06:45):
So speaking of the media, came across this.

Speaker 1 (06:47):
The fabulous Andrew Styles at the Free Beacon is talking
about this garbage election will be over in four days,
god willing. And he goes through if Kamala Harris wins,
and if Trump wins, and if Tamala wins. His main
point is the mainstream media will congratulate themselves for saving democracy.
For many journalists, it will be the best thing that

(07:08):
will ever happen to them for the rest of their
miserable lives.

Speaker 2 (07:13):
But then he says, and he's.

Speaker 1 (07:14):
Quite right, and we saw this post twenty twenty that
without the great monster to rail against, they will be.
They will hemorrhage money because nobody wants to hear about
how Meanhouse Republicans are a bunch of Nazis for voting
down some obscure Harris Humor Common Sense Solutions Act of

(07:34):
twenty twenty five. There's just no drama in it. So
it'll be terrible for them. If Kamala wins business wise,
which I think is true. But here's the part I
really liked, and this is.

Speaker 2 (07:48):
Well, this is one hundred percent right.

Speaker 1 (07:50):
If Trump wins, millions of college degree holders will suffer
screeching mental breakdowns, will witness a collective tantrum the likes
of which the world has never known.

Speaker 3 (07:59):
I'm going to be It's gonna be as if I'm
dipped in a vat of Schadenfreud on Tuesday Night.

Speaker 2 (08:05):
If it goes the way.

Speaker 3 (08:06):
I think it's gonna go, I mean, it's gonna be
just I'm just gonna lay there in my Shoden Freud, rolling.

Speaker 2 (08:13):
Around, warm and off like Caligula of Old. I know, right, Yeah,
I have been.

Speaker 1 (08:21):
I think it'll be like the two I think, just
two or actual riots I've been present for and both
times I had the same feeling.

Speaker 2 (08:33):
This is awful, what is really interesting.

Speaker 1 (08:37):
This is something a witness and I think that the
mass freak out is going to be a lot like that.

Speaker 2 (08:41):
Michael, did you want to say something?

Speaker 1 (08:42):
Yeah, Jack said that twenty sixteen was one of the
greatest nights.

Speaker 2 (08:47):
It's gonna be better. This could be better than the
greatest night of my life. Yeah.

Speaker 1 (08:51):
Our lives professionally will be slightly more difficult if Trump wins.

Speaker 2 (08:54):
I agree, just because Hey, I'm gonna be honest with you.

Speaker 1 (08:57):
It's it's much easier to rail against the evils of
the sitting administration.

Speaker 2 (09:01):
Sure, I mean, it's just it's effortless.

Speaker 3 (09:04):
Yeah, Rush Limbaugh was at his best when you had
a Democrat in the White House.

Speaker 2 (09:08):
Oh yeah. Yeah.

Speaker 1 (09:10):
And our pledge to you is if Trump wins and
the Trump administration screws up, we're gonna say, hey, they
screwed up.

Speaker 2 (09:15):
It's what we do. So like it or not, that's
what we're gonna do.

Speaker 3 (09:17):
But anyway, my pledge is we're going to talk a
lot less about politics here soon, I hope.

Speaker 1 (09:21):
Oh yeah, amen to that anyway, But back to styles,
because I think this is so good.

Speaker 2 (09:25):
Let's see the collective trauma.

Speaker 1 (09:26):
There will be a bunch of headlines about how America
chose fascism right. A bunch of celebrities will insist they
were serious about leaving the country but never follow through
the unchanging their official residences to some offshore tax haven.
Journalists will anoint themselves again as guardians of democracy, only harder.

Speaker 2 (09:44):
Their behavior will.

Speaker 1 (09:45):
Grow increasingly stupid, perhaps to the point where they start
doing sittings on the White House lawn or reading Constitution.

Speaker 2 (09:51):
And guy Fowkes Masks.

Speaker 1 (09:55):
Are quitting their jobs to go live in a compound
with armed separatists in California. And no one will ever
ask Kamala Harris to run for public office ever again.

Speaker 2 (10:05):
Either way, he should be fun to watch. Oh if
Trump wins.

Speaker 3 (10:08):
How many Democrats don't attend the inauguration? First of all,
before we ever get close to that, how many Democrats
refuse to accept the vote sure.

Speaker 1 (10:17):
Yeah, yeah, what time is it. Yeah, we should probably
take a break. I got all sorts of stuff I
want to get to.

Speaker 3 (10:26):
I want to talk about how Ford is pausing perhaps forever,
the F one fifty lightning electric truck because people just
don't want it, and another big blow to the electric
car industry.

Speaker 2 (10:41):
Hey, I wanted to throw in one more thing.

Speaker 1 (10:43):
I almost forgot about it, speaking of the whole garbage deal,
which was what spawned the whole preceding conversation.

Speaker 2 (10:50):
There are five.

Speaker 1 (10:52):
Very close Senate races, and Fox News reached out to
the five Democrat senators or candidates they're all sitting as senators,
come to think of it, for a comment on Biden's remarks,
and they did not go with the hey he uh
he misspoke and blah blah blah. They all went with

(11:13):
like Tammy Baldwin. Tammy Baldwin does not agree with President Biden.
Her campaign spokeswoman said, Tammy's fighting for all Wisconsin nights,
no matter who they are and who they vote for.

Speaker 3 (11:24):
Well, it's right that handful of governor senator candidates on
the left that have Trump in their ads. I'll work
with Trump. Oh, the fascist dictator who's going to end
the country.

Speaker 2 (11:34):
You're gonna work with him? Huh.

Speaker 3 (11:35):
You must not feel the same way about him as
Kamala Harris apparently.

Speaker 1 (11:41):
Yeah, maybe it's just political practicality, but they're not trying
to explain the remark.

Speaker 2 (11:45):
They're just openly disagreeing with it.

Speaker 3 (11:48):
Much more on the way, Hey, you can Texas any
time you want text line four one five two nine
five KFTC.

Speaker 6 (11:57):
New York Mayor Eric Adam spoke today the YPD recruit
graduation ceremony. It's wild to think that someday one of
those fresh young faces could be the one who finally
takes Adams into custody.

Speaker 2 (12:10):
Hmmm.

Speaker 1 (12:11):
That's a decent enough political joke, I guess, although it
feels like lawfair to me a little bit.

Speaker 3 (12:16):
A couple of Elon things before we move into something
that Elon really played a major role in electric vehicles
and how they ain't quite catching on like people thought
they would. But first Elon this from the Washington Post.
I just thought their take on this was well typical
of left leaning views of government. Elon Musk is enthusiastic

(12:38):
about the potential to bring his slash and burn business
philosophy honed at Twitter and Tesla to dramatically cut the
federal government under Trump, critics see potential conflicts of interest,
So Lee cow his slash and burn philosophy, which you
know are negative terms you use to describe what you

(13:00):
have to do to keep your business prosperous.

Speaker 2 (13:04):
Well trying to describe them as wanton destruction U.

Speaker 3 (13:08):
And that is never allowed in the government where you
are allowed to do the sort of thing where you say,
this doesn't make any sense, why do we still do it?
That would be slash and burn because people lose their jobs.
Conflicts of interest?

Speaker 1 (13:22):
How about the conflict of interest with the taxpayer? That
is the never ending growth of the money squandering, money
barwing colossus, the unstoppable colossus.

Speaker 2 (13:33):
That is the federal government.

Speaker 1 (13:35):
When was the last time you wrote about that conflict
of interest?

Speaker 2 (13:37):
Wappo?

Speaker 1 (13:38):
Actually, they write about the debt fairly frequently, but nobody
seems to care about it or.

Speaker 2 (13:43):
All the reflective interest.

Speaker 1 (13:44):
I'd like to bring the interest on my fist in
conflict with your jaw. Wow, that wasn't a great metaphor,
but the point is, I.

Speaker 3 (13:53):
Feel like that's off the rails, can't take it anymore.
We'll get enough on that because I'm one around out
of time. You had another Elon thing before I move
on to the electric's vehicle. Yeah, listen to this shiznizzl,
will you? This is Wired dot com, which is well
read young techie oriented. Elon Musk could have US citizenship

(14:14):
provoked if he lied on immigration forms. Now they're trying
to cook up that Elon, as a young immigrant to
the US, worked about it, going after an African American.
That's right, targeting an African American that he lied about it,
and therefore his citizenship should be revoked. As that same

(14:36):
side of the aisle, let's send millions of strangers, including
thousands of Venezuelan gang bangers. You want to kick Elon
Musk out of the country, and so you you're the
party of open borders, calling the other side fascist, You're
gonna kick out the world.

Speaker 2 (14:55):
They're just man because you don't like his politics. Right.
The leader in elect cars and space travel.

Speaker 3 (15:01):
Okay, speaking of electric cars from the Wall Street Journal
Ford motor to pause. We'll see if it's paused or
shut down F one fifty lightning production until mid January.
At least I wouldn't be surprised if it just never
comes back. Ford in August said it was scrapping plans
for an electric three rows sport utility vehicle, citing pressure

(15:25):
on battery powered cars as in and nobody wants them.
Automakers have poured billions of dollars into developing and churning
out more electric vehicles, even as their new models continue
to generate steep losses. Ford, which is one of the
very few legacy automakers to separately report results from its
electric vehicle business.

Speaker 2 (15:44):
The other ones don't, so GM and versum if they don't.

Speaker 3 (15:48):
Separate them out, so it's not as obvious to everybody
that this is bleeding is dry. The only way we're
making any money is on our you know, our big
gas powered diesel powered guv's. That's where our money's being made.
So not even separate out, separated out, but Ford does,
and they have been uh as it says here, battery

(16:11):
powered models have been piling up on dealer lots all
across the country. So it just they're just not a demand.

Speaker 1 (16:18):
It's just not practical, and it's not clear at all
that it's environmentally beneficial in its totality. And again I
am completely agnostic on that question. If I became convinced that, yeah,
electric vehicles are clearly better for the planet, I'm all in,
you know, given their limitations and all for whatever situation

(16:38):
where they're appropriate.

Speaker 2 (16:39):
But I'm all in.

Speaker 1 (16:40):
I have no interest in defeating electric vehicles out of
some animus toward them in general. But they haven't made
the factual case, right.

Speaker 2 (16:51):
Yeah, So it's it's rough on all ends.

Speaker 3 (16:55):
People for whatever reason culturally don't want them, and we
don't know how we generate the electricity of which gets
to your not even sure to be better for the planet.

Speaker 1 (17:06):
Anyway, coming up, PayPal knows your pants size and it's
telling everyone.

Speaker 3 (17:11):
And Nate Silver says they're fudging the polling to try
to keep this race close.

Speaker 2 (17:17):
Armstrong and Getty.

Speaker 3 (17:20):
First of all, Joe Getty is a I had the
right word, Oh, analytical genius. Ah, that's a first. As
I just heard Charles Payne on Fox say exactly what
you said earlier, right after the information came out. So
the big economic news of the day is the jobs

(17:43):
report came out, and while they were expecting one hundred
and thirteen thousand jobs to be created, it ended up
being less than that. In that it was about twelve thousand,
thirteen thousand, expected twelve thousand. Actually, but I don't remember
ever hearing expectations being missed by that much on any

(18:05):
big number.

Speaker 1 (18:06):
It's like you're at at a job interview and you
say I'm going to need at least one hundred and
fifty thousand dollars a year, and they say, you know,
we're thinking nine dollars an hour.

Speaker 2 (18:15):
Like when I get on the scale and expect to
be one seventy.

Speaker 3 (18:17):
Five, I have allow that's missing expectations. I have an
old timey scale because I like accurate.

Speaker 2 (18:26):
It's funny.

Speaker 3 (18:26):
I was in a nice hotel room not long ago.
It had your spring scale on it. Those things are worthless.
I don't even know why they sell them. But I
got on it had me at one sixty eight, so
it wasn't even like within twenty pounds of what I.

Speaker 2 (18:39):
I just stolen that scale and brought it home.

Speaker 3 (18:42):
Anyway, I've got like a scale like you have it
used to have at the doctor's office, with the heavy
thing you moved to the right or the left or whatever,
and you can regularly calibrate it to make sure it's accurate.

Speaker 2 (18:51):
AnyWho, I had a point.

Speaker 3 (18:54):
Oh, it'd be like if I said it won seventy
five and clank, you know, it.

Speaker 2 (18:58):
Slammed up to the top. You eight four hundred pounds.

Speaker 3 (19:01):
The expectations were off, so and all the reporting is
because of the jobs came in so much below expectations,
because of the hurricane and the big labor strike. And
Charles Pain and Fox just said exactly the same thing
Joe said, and he said that this is dumb. You

(19:23):
think the people that make these projections never heard about
the hurricane or the labor.

Speaker 2 (19:27):
Strike, Right, that doesn't make any sense. Nice trial.

Speaker 3 (19:32):
That's the weakest explanation ever. This is what they do
for a living. They take in all the different factors
that could possibly contribute to what a number is going
to be and factor them in to their prediction, including
things like biggest hurricanes in the last fifty.

Speaker 1 (19:50):
Years, for instance, and famous strikes everybody's talking about.

Speaker 2 (19:55):
Right, yeah, what a load of crap.

Speaker 3 (19:59):
Now, I still don't know if it helps Trump or
hurts Harris or makes any difference to anybody. That particular
thing doesn't really matter. So yesterday's twenty four hour flap
and I don't know, maybe it'll last longer. Mark Cuban,
the billionaire who's came out and endorsed Kamala earlier this week,
was on the View and was talking about women and

(20:20):
Trump and that sort of thing.

Speaker 5 (20:22):
Donald Trump, you never see him around strong intelligent women ever,
It's just that simple. They're intimidating to him. He doesn't
like to be challenged by them. And you know, Nikki
Hally will call him on his nonsense with reproductive rights
and how he sees and treats and talks about women.
I mean, he just can't have her around. It wouldn't work.

Speaker 2 (20:44):
Boy. There was a lot of crap there.

Speaker 3 (20:47):
Yeah, and so a whole bunch of strong women that
either vote for Trump like Trump or when Trump's orbit
came out, here's some of them.

Speaker 2 (20:54):
I don't know. If you recognize their voices will tell
you who they were later.

Speaker 3 (20:56):
If you are a school teacher, if you are a
US militaryman, and you're a woman and a Trump supporter,
then to Mark Cuban, you are stupid and weak.

Speaker 2 (21:05):
It's a disgrace. And Kamala Harris stays silent.

Speaker 3 (21:09):
Cuban's words are mean, sad and mistogynistic.

Speaker 5 (21:14):
Just a hunch, but I've been on an election day,
strong smart women will remember.

Speaker 1 (21:20):
And I'm proud to join the millions of smart, intelligent
women who will stand with Donald Trump this Tuesday.

Speaker 3 (21:26):
So Sarah Huckabye Sanders there at the end. Governor of
arkansaw Riley Gaines, was in there. Trump's campaign manager, who
is a woman who has said nothing this entire campaign.
Interesting oftentimes in presidential campaigns, the campaign manager is like
the head surgate on all the talk shows. But Trump's
woman has said nothing to anybody till yesterday. And she said, uh, hello, Annie,

(21:49):
who is this mattered anybody? Is this a real flap?
I don't know. Cuban says, I'll stick up for I'm
not sticking up for him. I'll just pass along what
he said.

Speaker 1 (21:59):
Well, I'm not a strong, smart woman, so I hesitate
to say how significant.

Speaker 2 (22:03):
It it is or isn't. Cuban said, I don't feel
the insult. Cuban said, when.

Speaker 3 (22:08):
I said this during the interview, I didn't get it
out exactly the way I thought it did. So I
apologize to anyone who felt slighted or upset by my response.
As I said, it wasn't about Trump voter supporters or employees,
current or former.

Speaker 2 (22:19):
Well, what is it about?

Speaker 3 (22:21):
And I set myself up for the six second sound bite.
No excuses, can't nail every any of you. My skin
is thick enough.

Speaker 2 (22:27):
You know.

Speaker 1 (22:28):
I appreciate that fairly manful statement. Here's here's the problem.
And it has nothing to do with Mark Cuban specifically.
I guess, well, I guess it does. I don't know, probably,
And that is yet another condescening, condescending, judgment based argument
for why you should vote one way or the other.

(22:50):
He offered me nothing, just like Joe Biden saying the
only garbage I say is fascist Jim Crow to a point,
Oh blah blah blahla. It's all condescension and judgment. We're
going to condescend our way to victory. We're going to
shame black men into voting for Kamala Harris. We're gonna

(23:11):
shame white women into voting for Kamala Harris. We're gonna
shame all sorts of people into all. Right, we've had enough,
We've had enough of the judgment.

Speaker 3 (23:20):
Does anybody vote for a particular candidate ever because somebody
told you you're a bad person if you do.

Speaker 2 (23:25):
Maybe, I don't know.

Speaker 1 (23:27):
Your week if you most of the strategy, are you
a Nazi or are you going to vote for Kamala Harris?

Speaker 2 (23:34):
Yeah?

Speaker 3 (23:34):
Okay, Now we know from text and emails that none
of you want to hear a word about any particular poll.
But overall, the art of polling continues to be interesting.
Here's Nate Silver, who was ABC's go to polster for
quite a few years running five thirty eight organization he

(23:55):
started and then he left. That has his own thing
now and he's pretty outspoken about the world of polling
and he's considered one of the best at it.

Speaker 2 (24:03):
Anyway, he was on a podcast. Here's what he had
to say. I kind of trust polsters less this they
all every time a polster, Oh, every state is is
just a plus.

Speaker 3 (24:11):
One every single state.

Speaker 2 (24:13):
It's a tie. No, you're hurting, you're cheating. You're cheating.

Speaker 3 (24:16):
Your numbers aren't.

Speaker 2 (24:17):
All gonna come out at exactly one point leads.

Speaker 3 (24:19):
When you're samp like eight hundred people over dozens of surveys,
you are lying, You're putting a finger on the scale.
I will not name names, but some pultures are really
bad about this. So poling guro Nate Silver lashed out
at other survey junkies in his field for cheating in
the final stretch, accusing them of recycling results to keep
the race between Trump and Kamala Harris close for their audience. Now,

(24:41):
that's either because you think a close race is more
exciting and you get more eyeballs, or because Trump's winning
and that's not good for a lot of your viewers
who that turns them off. The five thirty eight founder
said irresponsible polsters were hurting their numbers or using past
results to affect current ones.

Speaker 2 (24:58):
We talked about this a little earlier in the show
show herding their numbers like you had heard cattle.

Speaker 3 (25:04):
Yeah, I can re explain that because I heard Chris
stirewaldt use that term and talking about this yesterday. I
didn't know this, but I guess in polling, it's really
expensive to do good polling. And if you have a
poll in the field and you're starting to get results
back and they're way out of line with what other
polling is, sometimes you think, oh, we've got our methodology wrong.
We've got to obviously we've got something wrong here. Let's

(25:26):
not waste more money on this. Let's fix our algorithm
and then put the pull back out there well by definition,
either on purpose or just because of what I just described,
you could have poles missing movement, trying to get in
line with past polls.

Speaker 1 (25:43):
All right, so you don't publish an embarrassing quote unquote outlier.

Speaker 2 (25:48):
Yeah, so it could work both ways.

Speaker 3 (25:50):
You could either have like Herd mentality where you're not
on purpose following, but you are. Or you could push
polls that direction because you want to result that's more
in line with the other polls, or because you want
it to be a little closer for one candidate because
that's better for your network.

Speaker 2 (26:07):
There's lots of reasons you right, right.

Speaker 1 (26:11):
I hope I'm not stealing anybody's thunder, but I had
a light bulb go off in my head. And for
what it's worth, I've known people in the polling industry,
and a lot of you are suspicious of them. It's
not that they're biased, it's that they're wrong. I mean,
with the Trump thing, the classically accepted definition of somebody
who probably won't show up at the polls, Millions of

(26:33):
those people showed up and surprised everybody. That's why Trump
overperforms so much. But anyway, having said that, These people
are desperate to be right. They make their living being right.
But it just occurred to me mathematically, and Jack, you
know more about this than me. But it's practically impossible
if you have a margin of error of plus or
minus three percent, that over and over again the results

(26:54):
would be within one percent.

Speaker 3 (26:56):
That's exactly what he's saying. Okay, it's exactly what he's saying.
He says, wouldn't it be a randomized yes spread yes,
sometimes three, many times three low and everywhere it would
be and everywhere in between.

Speaker 2 (27:08):
That's what the margin of air means. So yeah, he said,
they are all.

Speaker 3 (27:12):
Every time a poster says, oh, every state is still
plus one or whatever, the state's a tie, he said.

Speaker 2 (27:16):
No, you're effing hurting. You're cheating. You're cheating.

Speaker 3 (27:19):
Your numbers aren't going to all come out exactly one
point leads when you're sampling eight hundred people over dozens
of surveys with a plus three minus uh wow.

Speaker 2 (27:29):
Margin of air. You're lying.

Speaker 3 (27:30):
You're putting your effing finger on the scales.

Speaker 2 (27:33):
Now, whether that is for partisan reasons or or just you.

Speaker 1 (27:38):
Don't want to, as I said, publish the quote unquote
embarrassing outlier poll.

Speaker 3 (27:43):
Wow and interesting, And in most situations you really don't
want to have the outlier poll that's in favoring Trump.

Speaker 2 (27:51):
You really don't want that.

Speaker 3 (27:53):
Silver's own models put Trump ahead of Harris fifty five
to forty five in terms of likelihood of winning.

Speaker 2 (28:00):
He's just doing a overall odds of winning.

Speaker 3 (28:03):
He has Trump fifty five Heri's forty five, which, of course.

Speaker 5 (28:06):
You know.

Speaker 2 (28:11):
That's a good lead for Trump.

Speaker 3 (28:12):
But obviously if you got a forty five percent chance
of something happening, it could happen quite easily.

Speaker 2 (28:17):
Oh yeah, oh yeah.

Speaker 1 (28:18):
If I had a forty five percent chance of winning
the lottery, I'd be very excited.

Speaker 2 (28:21):
Indeed. Okay, well, that's great.

Speaker 1 (28:23):
I appreciate mister Silver's honesty there and is calling out
the other posters. We need more of that in America.
Less running with the herd and more speaking your mind.
I can't wait to speak my mind on a couple
of crime related sociological media scandals in a moment right
after a quick word from our friends that simply Save
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Speaker 2 (29:31):
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It's Friday, and I don't feel like being angry. It's
just it's not the vibe. Been a long week. I've

(29:54):
actually made the plea to be put in a medically
induced coma until after the election, just to save my sanity.

Speaker 3 (29:59):
I had candy for dinner last night because it was Halloween. Oh,
I would feel so miserable. I did that, I did,
I did. I went two big peanut butter cups. Then
I had a full Snickers bar that was my healthy
food because I had peanuts in it. Then I had
just a classic Hershey's chocolate bar to top her off.

Speaker 2 (30:20):
Yes, Katie, I just want to let you know.

Speaker 6 (30:23):
A listener Joe heard you say that earlier and came
at me on Twitter and said you better light them
up for only candy for dinner, but God forbid a
bag of chips?

Speaker 2 (30:30):
Jack, right right, right right? Yeah? Are you anti? Is that?

Speaker 3 (30:37):
Oh?

Speaker 2 (30:37):
The ultra processed foods? Yeah? I don't. Okay, all right.

Speaker 1 (30:42):
Uh, you just have to learn to live with the enigma,
that is, Jack.

Speaker 3 (30:48):
What we all need to learn to live with, most
of us, some of you are super disciplined, is if
it's around, you're so much more likely to eat it
than if it's not. What if I have eaten peanut
butter cups if they weren't in my home, of course,
was I gonna get in my car and drive to
the store and purchase being a butter cups.

Speaker 2 (31:03):
No, So, do you have a bunch of candy bars
left over? Yes? Uh oh oh boy, and they're the
king size. Yeah.

Speaker 3 (31:10):
Some homeless guy's about to get a pillowcase full of candy.
That's what's gonna happen.

Speaker 2 (31:14):
Wow, Well, good for him. I guess here you go,
Meppy Joe, enjoy your day. So ah, he says, desperately,
trying to move on.

Speaker 1 (31:26):
Sociologically, never mind politically. One more reason we've got to
deny the progressives the seats of power. Muslim illegal immigrant
shoots down a Jew for being a Jew, and nobody
in the media wants to talk about it at all.

Speaker 2 (31:47):
And the mayor won't reference it either. There in Chicago.
More on that. If you haven't heard it, it's quite amazing.
Stay tuned.

Speaker 3 (31:56):
What does your plan we're looking for? Ex doctors, you
still have the drugs around? Yeah, to put us into
medically induced comas until after the election.

Speaker 2 (32:06):
That's correct.

Speaker 1 (32:07):
You were a bad doctor, lasked in your school, your
class at medical school. You lost your license, but you
got some of the drugs around. Yeah, I'd appreciate it.
Just put me out for like the next four days
or so.

Speaker 2 (32:19):
So it's funny.

Speaker 1 (32:21):
I feel so motive, motivating to talk about this, and
yet I'm just I'm not in the right frame of mind.
But there are a couple of notable stories, one in
Chicago and one in the UK of all places, that
both involve Muslim illegal immigrant. In the case of the

(32:41):
Chicago shooting of a Jewish man merely for being Jewish.

Speaker 3 (32:45):
I didn't realize they had nailed down the immigration status
because they kept the name quiet, they kept the religion quiet.
And then there were people saying, how come we haven't
heard anything about the immigration.

Speaker 2 (32:53):
Status, So now it's a.

Speaker 3 (32:56):
He's a Muslim with a Muslim sounding name and illegal
kept all those things quiet.

Speaker 1 (33:02):
Who is twenty two year old Mauritanian muslimman who is
detained then released at the San Diego sector, that's correct, Who.

Speaker 3 (33:08):
Was yelling Allah akbar in a shootout with police after
shooting a Jewish fellow.

Speaker 1 (33:14):
Yeah, which was a detail that some people are denying
or trying to keep out of the story the discussion.
And that's that's the commonality between this abhorrent, religion based
hate crime in Chicago and the stabbings of the little

(33:35):
girls in England, specifically Southport. The guy who did that,
who the authorities in the press denied over and over again,
was any sort of jihadi or Muslim or it's finally
come out that he had Risen and al Qaeda training materials.

Speaker 2 (33:57):
Wow, and only.

Speaker 1 (34:02):
A moron would say wow. Therefore, every Muslim is a
murderer and wants to stab little girls, and virtually nobody
on earth leaps to that idiotic conclusion. This is more example,
if we need it, of the utter condescension of the
left toward anybody who isn't them. They think we're all
cavemen running around grunting brutishly and can't think. But the

(34:26):
absolute dishonesty of any time a white woman looks askance
at a black man. We've all got to talk about
it for two weeks. And racism toward black people is abhorrent.
For the record, it's abhorrent and ugly. But the slightest
hint of it. The President makes a statement from the

(34:47):
Oval Office, the slightest hint yet, Jews get gunned down
by Muslims and we're all told to go about our business.

Speaker 2 (34:53):
There's nothing to see here.

Speaker 1 (34:54):
I don't want those people in power anymore, whether they're
in the media or the government. I don't know what
about them to do about the the eye chais first Amendment,
But by god, I'll fight him till I'm dead.

Speaker 2 (35:05):
That is something. I mean.

Speaker 3 (35:06):
You talk about a double standard, and imagine Remember how
this story would have been covered twenty years ago, twenty
three years ago, shortly after nine to eleven?

Speaker 2 (35:16):
Yeah appropriately, appropriately? Yes? Yeah? Yeah?

Speaker 1 (35:20):
How about the people killed by the And thank god
the Jewish man in Chicago survived barely, although his life
will be changed forever, he will feel terrible and motional on.

Speaker 2 (35:28):
Physical pain until his dying day. It's worth remembering.

Speaker 1 (35:35):
But if our country is going to survive and thrive,
the one thing we must have is the truth. We
can't have the power brokers of information utterly dedicated to
distorting and hiding the truth all the time.

Speaker 2 (35:54):
I won't have it.

Speaker 1 (35:55):
I don't know what to do about it again except
to fight it. But it's utterly unacceptable.

Speaker 3 (36:01):
According to NBC, Chicago police said during a meeting with
the group Monday that the guy did shout ala akbar
while firing at officers. I mean, if that's the case,
it's as clear cut as can be well we had
going on.

Speaker 1 (36:13):
Ever, if you ever miss any chunk of the Armstrong
and Getty Show, you can get it via podcast Armstrong
and Getty on demand, better to subscribe.

Speaker 2 (36:20):
Thank you for being here very much, Armstrong and Getty
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