August 18, 2026 • 10 mins
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
From fifty five KRC the talk station.
Speaker 2 (00:04):
A twenty nine Tuesday, regular listeners know what time it is.
It's time for the Daniel Davis Deep Dive. Retired Lieutenant
Colonel Daniel Davis offering some military analysis and he's got
a lot of resources and inside information a lot of
folks don't have. Welcome back to the fifty five KRC
Morning Show, my friend Daniel Davis. Always a pleasure, always
a pleasure to be here. Brian, I don't know what
(00:25):
word I can sum up. I get this sense that
Donald Trump seems to be frustrated a little bit with
the ongoing situation, the back and forth with the Iranians.
Maybe that's too delicate a way of understanding it, but
he came out threatening to bomb Oman yesterday and I
kind of was puzzling over that because it was recently.
(00:46):
I thought that he was sort of encouraging the Iranians
and the Imanis to sort of results and they're come up.
Maybe Oman, as opposed to Pakistan, could act as a
mediary and come up with some sort of workable solution
for us to ultimately play nicely with the Iranians. But
bombing them does not sound like things are going well.
Daniel Davis, can you break this down from my listening
audience please.
Speaker 3 (01:05):
Yeah, it's it's It was an eye opener for everybody
to include me because the situation which Iran has been
talking about quite a bit here lately, so that they say, listen,
what we're doing with Oman is only on establishing paths
through this strait of Oman. They specifically say it is
distinct from saying that the strait will open up or
(01:27):
that there'll be any mechanism to do that.
Speaker 1 (01:29):
That is something that will be done later.
Speaker 3 (01:31):
And they said that has to whether it's open or not,
has to deal with negotiations between Iran and the United States.
Speaker 1 (01:37):
So I was a little puzzled by that.
Speaker 3 (01:39):
I mean, unless President Trump knows something that we don't
know publicly yet, that maybe they're going to change it.
Because even as the news this morning, Iran is saying
that the deal is now basically agreed to, the arrangement
is agreed to between Iran and Oman, and that they
may announce it as soon as today. But I'm sure
that that announcement is way on what's going to happen
(02:01):
with Washington, because there's no doubt in Oman, which is
this tiny little country in the Middle East, there is
utterly powerless in face of the United States. So if
they do something we don't like, it is not out
of the question that Trump could actually bomb them, and
I think that's what's causing the hesitation here. But the
bigger frustration, I think it's got to be between President
Trump and Iran because you know, even this sixty days
(02:24):
of the so called memorandum of understanding has now elapsed.
And so where are we now. I mean we're literally nowhere.
There's no direct negotiations. There's claims, there's back channel stuff.
President Trump himself made that claim, but there are definitely
no public discussions between the two. So right now we're
not even on a path to anywhere. Everybody's just trying
to figure out what's going on. But there are still
(02:45):
two blockades on that strait, and you know, hardly any
oil or anything else is coming out.
Speaker 2 (02:50):
Well, one of the things we observe that the Iranians
woke up to the reality that they can well stop
traffic through the Straight of Horn moves causing massive economic
devastation around the globe and maybe make some money off
of it. It seemed to me that these discussions between
the Iranians and the Monis were to figure out how
they were going to share the slice of the revenue
that they could charge going through the strait, which conflicts
with Trump's demands that reopened the Straight, ignoring bombs and
(03:15):
minds and all that reopened the Straight to international traffic
without having to pay anybody a cent like the way
it used to be. Are the omanis looking for a
slice of the action here, recognizing an opportunity that perhaps
didn't exist before.
Speaker 3 (03:27):
To me, and my understanding is that's that's what they're
considering as well. But I think that the pressure that
we're putting on, and clearly there's a lot, is one
of the reasons why this hasn't happened. That the Iranian
said a week ago that they had had the outlines
of their understanding with ira Oman but had never announced anything.
And I think that's the reason why, because they're trying
(03:49):
to figure out what they're going to end up doing.
The original comment was that in the MoU itself, was
that Iran and Oman would figure out the administrative control
for safety and whatever else through the minefields and everything
else in the Strait. During the sixty days and then
they would negotiate something separate after that, and Iran has
(04:09):
never said anything except for we will retain control the strait,
we will charge a feed going forward.
Speaker 1 (04:15):
They've been unapologetic about that.
Speaker 3 (04:18):
What ira Oman is supposed to do and how they're
going to be responsible for that is unknown. It's just speculation.
So until they come out with a deal, I guess
we just don't know.
Speaker 2 (04:27):
And in the meantime, we continue to keep the Iranian
ports shut correct, That is correct, Yeah, And that's the
economic warfare that seems to be the default strategy at
this point, trying to reap out enough, impose enough hardship
on the Iranian people and the Iranian government that they'll capitulate.
A friend of mine was talking the other day about this,
that whole concept, and apparently the Iranians are a very
(04:50):
calloused people when it comes to dealing with economic hardships.
And he reminded me of how bad things there were,
how bad things were there during the Iran Iraq War.
The people of Iran are kind of used to living
in poor economic conditions, and I think the leadership in
Iran seems to have taken an opinion that listen, we're
used to suffering. We can handle it, and we're going
(05:11):
to live through anything you heap down upon us economically.
Speaker 1 (05:15):
That is a fact.
Speaker 3 (05:16):
I've talked to so many people who had been on
the ground just recently, just yesterday, another Western reporter who
had been on the ground recently in Iran, A couple
of them. Actually, there was a report from Al Jazeera
I saw literally just before coming on here about what
the life is lacking. And when you see videos and things,
it looks like it's normal. It looks like a normal country.
(05:38):
Things are a little more expensive, some things are a
lot more expensive. But as you say, Iran has been
used to doing this for their entire existence, all forty
seven years of it, and especially during that the Iran
Iraq War period, where not only were they having economic privations,
but they were also being bombed relentlessly and they were
suffering hundreds of thousands of casualties and they just never
(06:01):
given in. This is part of their DNA, So this
is nothing new for them. And when we're talking about
who can endure the economic pain the longest, don't get
in a fight with Iran on that one, because we're
not gonna win it. And today we see diesel crack
has risen to a two decade high, which means all
the economic activity is now going to also concurrently start
(06:21):
rising more than it has already. And then you add
a diesel I'm sorry, jet fuel to that problem. All
of this is exacerbated by the Strait the dual blockades
being in place, and so that's hitting the entire global
economy and there's gonna be some real shortages here just
in a matter.
Speaker 1 (06:36):
Of two or three weeks, especially in Europe.
Speaker 3 (06:39):
So if we're trying to get into a chicken fight
or over that one, I don't know that's gonna work
out well for our side well.
Speaker 2 (06:47):
And the Irridians are painfully aware of the political reality
is going on the ground over here in the United States,
with the November elections fast approaching. I think, by what
you have said and by all accounts from everything I've read,
they certainly can withstand any economic hardships through November, and
they believe that it was near to their benefit, not
just because it'll you know, it'll be a slap in
Trump's face if he loses the House and Senate, but
(07:08):
also the potential that if the Democrats take over, they
might vote us out of the war by defunding the
conflict or otherwise passing Warpowers resolution saying it's not authorized. That's possible,
isn't it.
Speaker 3 (07:18):
It is possible, especially if the economic pain gets high enough.
I mean, if it gets high enough, even some Republicans
would probably vote in.
Speaker 2 (07:25):
That override of VETO because the war is so damn unpopular.
That's my thought.
Speaker 1 (07:31):
Yeah, and we'll see what happens afterwards.
Speaker 3 (07:33):
I think that there is some concern in Iran that
the waiting at Deil after the midterms would then actually
free Trump up to go back to combat operations. And
there was a comment this morning by Golly Boff, their
senior negotiator who's also the speaker of their parliament, that
he implied, you know what, if you guys don't make
(07:55):
a deal on this and get this straight back open up,
we may have to take action of our own, which
implies they themselves may return to combat strike.
Speaker 1 (08:04):
So we're not out of the woods yet.
Speaker 3 (08:05):
It's not that they've just said we're going to try
to outlast you, because they're implying they could be taking
military action themselves.
Speaker 1 (08:11):
So this could explode even before November.
Speaker 2 (08:14):
Well and exacerbate the already high price of gasoline and
diesel fuel because they started hitting all the other oil
producing nations ones perhaps with our base in it, then
we've got they know, they got a major economic exacerbating
ability there with some bombs real quick here in pivoting over,
I kind of puzzled over Donald Trump's not praise for
the North Korean leader, but talking about what a decent
(08:35):
guy is the same guy that sent fifty thousand troops
to Ukraine as well as the say to Russia, and
the same North Korean leader who has been supplying at
least from my understanding, drones and equipment to the Iranians.
Yet he started he's very upset with the South Koreans.
I know he articulated because the South Koreans didn't bother
to assist in the conflict with Iran. That's what he
(08:57):
said yesterday. Part of me wanted to think he suspended
these wargames with South Korea because maybe we've talked about
this before. Munitions shortages, we'd have to use a lot
up doing wargames, and maybe we just don't have them
despair and the money that it costs to run wargames.
Your thoughts on that before we part company. Daniel Davis.
Speaker 3 (09:14):
Yeah, you know, I was frankly puzzled by that as well,
because it's one thing, I mean, just making a decision
like that because of our ammunition needs.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
You can say we'll just.
Speaker 3 (09:25):
Do it dry fire we call it where you just
don't use any ammunition, or you can just say administrative.
Speaker 1 (09:30):
For yeah, let's just cut this one back.
Speaker 3 (09:31):
But the fact that he went out publicly and said
he literally took the side of North Korea by saying
that the South Korean military and the US made him mad,
and so he ordered the reduction of the drills. I
honestly don't have a good explanation for why he would
choose to do it.
Speaker 1 (09:48):
In that way. I just don't.
Speaker 2 (09:50):
It's puzzling that you said that makes me feel better,
Daniel Davis, because I couldn't figure it out either. I thought, well,
Daniel's coming on, he'll make some sense out of it. Well,
we find ourselves in an inexplicable period of time in
this particular conflict, and around the world it's going crazy.
We always got Daniel Davis with a deep dive every
Tuesday at eight thirty here in the fifty five carsy
morning show. You can find him throughout the week on
his wherever you find your podcast. Thank you so much
(10:12):
for your time and you're honesty today, Daniel Davis. I
truly appreciate.
Speaker 1 (10:15):
It a pleasure. Man. See you next week.
Speaker 2 (10:18):
You take care of yourself. I'll look forward to it.
Eight forty right now
From fifty five KRC the talk station.
Speaker 2 (00:04):
A twenty nine Tuesday, regular listeners know what time it is.
It's time for the Daniel Davis Deep Dive. Retired Lieutenant
Colonel Daniel Davis offering some military analysis and he's got
a lot of resources and inside information a lot of
folks don't have. Welcome back to the fifty five KRC
Morning Show, my friend Daniel Davis. Always a pleasure, always
a pleasure to be here. Brian, I don't know what
(00:25):
word I can sum up. I get this sense that
Donald Trump seems to be frustrated a little bit with
the ongoing situation, the back and forth with the Iranians.
Maybe that's too delicate a way of understanding it, but
he came out threatening to bomb Oman yesterday and I
kind of was puzzling over that because it was recently.
(00:46):
I thought that he was sort of encouraging the Iranians
and the Imanis to sort of results and they're come up.
Maybe Oman, as opposed to Pakistan, could act as a
mediary and come up with some sort of workable solution
for us to ultimately play nicely with the Iranians. But
bombing them does not sound like things are going well.
Daniel Davis, can you break this down from my listening
audience please.
Speaker 3 (01:05):
Yeah, it's it's It was an eye opener for everybody
to include me because the situation which Iran has been
talking about quite a bit here lately, so that they say, listen,
what we're doing with Oman is only on establishing paths
through this strait of Oman. They specifically say it is
distinct from saying that the strait will open up or
(01:27):
that there'll be any mechanism to do that.
Speaker 1 (01:29):
That is something that will be done later.
Speaker 3 (01:31):
And they said that has to whether it's open or not,
has to deal with negotiations between Iran and the United States.
Speaker 1 (01:37):
So I was a little puzzled by that.
Speaker 3 (01:39):
I mean, unless President Trump knows something that we don't
know publicly yet, that maybe they're going to change it.
Because even as the news this morning, Iran is saying
that the deal is now basically agreed to, the arrangement
is agreed to between Iran and Oman, and that they
may announce it as soon as today. But I'm sure
that that announcement is way on what's going to happen
(02:01):
with Washington, because there's no doubt in Oman, which is
this tiny little country in the Middle East, there is
utterly powerless in face of the United States. So if
they do something we don't like, it is not out
of the question that Trump could actually bomb them, and
I think that's what's causing the hesitation here. But the
bigger frustration, I think it's got to be between President
Trump and Iran because you know, even this sixty days
(02:24):
of the so called memorandum of understanding has now elapsed.
And so where are we now. I mean we're literally nowhere.
There's no direct negotiations. There's claims, there's back channel stuff.
President Trump himself made that claim, but there are definitely
no public discussions between the two. So right now we're
not even on a path to anywhere. Everybody's just trying
to figure out what's going on. But there are still
(02:45):
two blockades on that strait, and you know, hardly any
oil or anything else is coming out.
Speaker 2 (02:50):
Well, one of the things we observe that the Iranians
woke up to the reality that they can well stop
traffic through the Straight of Horn moves causing massive economic
devastation around the globe and maybe make some money off
of it. It seemed to me that these discussions between
the Iranians and the Monis were to figure out how
they were going to share the slice of the revenue
that they could charge going through the strait, which conflicts
with Trump's demands that reopened the Straight, ignoring bombs and
(03:15):
minds and all that reopened the Straight to international traffic
without having to pay anybody a cent like the way
it used to be. Are the omanis looking for a
slice of the action here, recognizing an opportunity that perhaps
didn't exist before.
Speaker 3 (03:27):
To me, and my understanding is that's that's what they're
considering as well. But I think that the pressure that
we're putting on, and clearly there's a lot, is one
of the reasons why this hasn't happened. That the Iranian
said a week ago that they had had the outlines
of their understanding with ira Oman but had never announced anything.
And I think that's the reason why, because they're trying
(03:49):
to figure out what they're going to end up doing.
The original comment was that in the MoU itself, was
that Iran and Oman would figure out the administrative control
for safety and whatever else through the minefields and everything
else in the Strait. During the sixty days and then
they would negotiate something separate after that, and Iran has
(04:09):
never said anything except for we will retain control the strait,
we will charge a feed going forward.
Speaker 1 (04:15):
They've been unapologetic about that.
Speaker 3 (04:18):
What ira Oman is supposed to do and how they're
going to be responsible for that is unknown. It's just speculation.
So until they come out with a deal, I guess
we just don't know.
Speaker 2 (04:27):
And in the meantime, we continue to keep the Iranian
ports shut correct, That is correct, Yeah, And that's the
economic warfare that seems to be the default strategy at
this point, trying to reap out enough, impose enough hardship
on the Iranian people and the Iranian government that they'll capitulate.
A friend of mine was talking the other day about this,
that whole concept, and apparently the Iranians are a very
(04:50):
calloused people when it comes to dealing with economic hardships.
And he reminded me of how bad things there were,
how bad things were there during the Iran Iraq War.
The people of Iran are kind of used to living
in poor economic conditions, and I think the leadership in
Iran seems to have taken an opinion that listen, we're
used to suffering. We can handle it, and we're going
(05:11):
to live through anything you heap down upon us economically.
Speaker 1 (05:15):
That is a fact.
Speaker 3 (05:16):
I've talked to so many people who had been on
the ground just recently, just yesterday, another Western reporter who
had been on the ground recently in Iran, A couple
of them. Actually, there was a report from Al Jazeera
I saw literally just before coming on here about what
the life is lacking. And when you see videos and things,
it looks like it's normal. It looks like a normal country.
(05:38):
Things are a little more expensive, some things are a
lot more expensive. But as you say, Iran has been
used to doing this for their entire existence, all forty
seven years of it, and especially during that the Iran
Iraq War period, where not only were they having economic privations,
but they were also being bombed relentlessly and they were
suffering hundreds of thousands of casualties and they just never
(06:01):
given in. This is part of their DNA, So this
is nothing new for them. And when we're talking about
who can endure the economic pain the longest, don't get
in a fight with Iran on that one, because we're
not gonna win it. And today we see diesel crack
has risen to a two decade high, which means all
the economic activity is now going to also concurrently start
(06:21):
rising more than it has already. And then you add
a diesel I'm sorry, jet fuel to that problem. All
of this is exacerbated by the Strait the dual blockades
being in place, and so that's hitting the entire global
economy and there's gonna be some real shortages here just
in a matter.
Speaker 1 (06:36):
Of two or three weeks, especially in Europe.
Speaker 3 (06:39):
So if we're trying to get into a chicken fight
or over that one, I don't know that's gonna work
out well for our side well.
Speaker 2 (06:47):
And the Irridians are painfully aware of the political reality
is going on the ground over here in the United States,
with the November elections fast approaching. I think, by what
you have said and by all accounts from everything I've read,
they certainly can withstand any economic hardships through November, and
they believe that it was near to their benefit, not
just because it'll you know, it'll be a slap in
Trump's face if he loses the House and Senate, but
(07:08):
also the potential that if the Democrats take over, they
might vote us out of the war by defunding the
conflict or otherwise passing Warpowers resolution saying it's not authorized. That's possible,
isn't it.
Speaker 3 (07:18):
It is possible, especially if the economic pain gets high enough.
I mean, if it gets high enough, even some Republicans
would probably vote in.
Speaker 2 (07:25):
That override of VETO because the war is so damn unpopular.
That's my thought.
Speaker 1 (07:31):
Yeah, and we'll see what happens afterwards.
Speaker 3 (07:33):
I think that there is some concern in Iran that
the waiting at Deil after the midterms would then actually
free Trump up to go back to combat operations. And
there was a comment this morning by Golly Boff, their
senior negotiator who's also the speaker of their parliament, that
he implied, you know what, if you guys don't make
(07:55):
a deal on this and get this straight back open up,
we may have to take action of our own, which
implies they themselves may return to combat strike.
Speaker 1 (08:04):
So we're not out of the woods yet.
Speaker 3 (08:05):
It's not that they've just said we're going to try
to outlast you, because they're implying they could be taking
military action themselves.
Speaker 1 (08:11):
So this could explode even before November.
Speaker 2 (08:14):
Well and exacerbate the already high price of gasoline and
diesel fuel because they started hitting all the other oil
producing nations ones perhaps with our base in it, then
we've got they know, they got a major economic exacerbating
ability there with some bombs real quick here in pivoting over,
I kind of puzzled over Donald Trump's not praise for
the North Korean leader, but talking about what a decent
(08:35):
guy is the same guy that sent fifty thousand troops
to Ukraine as well as the say to Russia, and
the same North Korean leader who has been supplying at
least from my understanding, drones and equipment to the Iranians.
Yet he started he's very upset with the South Koreans.
I know he articulated because the South Koreans didn't bother
to assist in the conflict with Iran. That's what he
(08:57):
said yesterday. Part of me wanted to think he suspended
these wargames with South Korea because maybe we've talked about
this before. Munitions shortages, we'd have to use a lot
up doing wargames, and maybe we just don't have them
despair and the money that it costs to run wargames.
Your thoughts on that before we part company. Daniel Davis.
Speaker 3 (09:14):
Yeah, you know, I was frankly puzzled by that as well,
because it's one thing, I mean, just making a decision
like that because of our ammunition needs.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
You can say we'll just.
Speaker 3 (09:25):
Do it dry fire we call it where you just
don't use any ammunition, or you can just say administrative.
Speaker 1 (09:30):
For yeah, let's just cut this one back.
Speaker 3 (09:31):
But the fact that he went out publicly and said
he literally took the side of North Korea by saying
that the South Korean military and the US made him mad,
and so he ordered the reduction of the drills. I
honestly don't have a good explanation for why he would
choose to do it.
Speaker 1 (09:48):
In that way. I just don't.
Speaker 2 (09:50):
It's puzzling that you said that makes me feel better,
Daniel Davis, because I couldn't figure it out either. I thought, well,
Daniel's coming on, he'll make some sense out of it. Well,
we find ourselves in an inexplicable period of time in
this particular conflict, and around the world it's going crazy.
We always got Daniel Davis with a deep dive every
Tuesday at eight thirty here in the fifty five carsy
morning show. You can find him throughout the week on
his wherever you find your podcast. Thank you so much
(10:12):
for your time and you're honesty today, Daniel Davis. I
truly appreciate.
Speaker 1 (10:15):
It a pleasure. Man. See you next week.
Speaker 2 (10:18):
You take care of yourself. I'll look forward to it.
Eight forty right now
Brian Thomas News
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