December 12, 2019 • 50 mins
On today's edition of The FreeKick, we break down how a struggling Manchester City can bounce back against an even more struggling Arsenal squad. We have the latest news to help you make the top wagers in football all over the world!
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
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Enjoy the show, and thanks so much for listening. Hello everybody,
(00:26):
and welcome to the Free Kick. I'm your host Martino Puccio.
Alongside me is Gio Cosalino. We're gonna be breaking down
some of the top five league matchups around Europe and
we're gonna get into Barcelona Real Socia Dad. Geo. Leo
Messi again coming off his six fall on Door absolutely
killed it this weekend. I don't know if you've caught
(00:46):
the game. He was just absolutely unbelievable. He was creating,
he was scoring goals. Um, he's gonna be well rested
for this one against Socio Dad, because as we found
out this morning, that Barcelona isn't gonna be bringing a
lot of their guys against the match up against Intern
the Champions League UH this week. And you know what,
I I just find that very scary from rial associate
(01:07):
Dad fan because you don't find Leo Messi rested that
well and this week when you face him and and
just the way he's been playing. We we have noted
that Barcelona as a whole haven't been playing that great.
But Suarez and Griesman had two really nice classic goals
on the weekend as well. But this is all about
Leo Messi, one of the best players in La Liga. Again,
(01:29):
five games less than every one of the top scores
in La Liga, and who's at the top Leo Messi Geo. First,
I just want to talk about the greatness of Leo
and what he's been able to do just you know,
not only throughout his career, but just this recent stretch
of just literally carrying Barcelona that we've never seen him
do before. I mean, what what can you take away
(01:50):
from it? Yeah, I mean Messi is one of the
greatest of all time and he's gonna go down as
one of the greatest, if not the greatest, according to
ever you know you talk to you all have your
own opinions, uh and biases and one, but Messi is
an all time great. I mean, he's putting on a
classic this season when he's healthy and as long as
he remains healthy, it's gonna be a problem for the
rest of the league. Obviously, it's probably gonna come down
to Barcelona around Madrid. So the l classic goes this
(02:12):
year are gonna be amazing, especially with the Messy in
this form, and you mentioned it as well, Uh, Suarez
and Grease Mon scoring some goals. So if they get
into back into the swick swing of things and and
they're looking good and back to their old selves, it's
gonna be a really dangerous team. But Messi has done
a lot for this team over the years. Uh. This
season and maybe the end of last season it seemed
more so because of how lacking Barcelona was. It wasn't
(02:34):
the same kind of side. And even right now, I mean,
I think they're getting better as we go on, but
they weren't the you know, the scary Barcelona that we know,
and and that's still you know, it'll take time, especially
with new players new faces, yes, and Chobbies aren't around anymore,
and you know that's a that's a slow development or
a progress that's happening over time. But Messi, you can't
say anything about him. You mentioned are already twelve goals,
(02:56):
you know, one more than than anyone else and he
has five less games, so that's box to his talent
level and might not you know, see anything like this
ever again as a generational talent. But I definitely like
Barcelona in the syby. We could talk about the odds,
but yeah, it's gonna be yeah. I mean, look, I
mean we'll throw them up there on the screen right now.
Barcelona minus one forty associate Dad plus three thirty on
(03:17):
the money line. I mean, I I think I would
take Barcelona in this. I feel pretty confident saying that
simply because of the rest that they're going to be getting.
So if you see those odds now, they might change
by the time this episode comes out. But if you
can get Barsad minus one forty, I think that's an
easy choice there. Um, look a spread, you know the
numbers at one. I kind of find it interesting. Barcelona's
(03:40):
defense again, they don't impress me that much overall and
in general, um, simply for the fact that you know
they have guys back there. It's their biggest weakness and
we addressed it all the time. I know you and
I talk about it all the time. Although they play
fantastic over the weekend, they're still allowing in two goals
like that, And when you have Martin Ordergard playing the
way he's playing, this starlet that is finally looks like
(04:01):
he's going to achieve, you know, somewhat of the potential
that he has um it could be a difficult match.
I do see Socia Dad, you know, kind of keeping
it relatively close, because sometimes the score doesn't always indicate
how well a team can dominate. Teams can dominate and
only win by one. I think that's a possibility in
this case. And when you see Barcelona plus one nineties,
(04:22):
I mean for for minus one, do you do you
like that? Do you see them winning by multiple I
don't know if I like this spread at at plus
I mean minus one for Barcelona. I think I think
you're right when in terms of their defense, and there's
if they're lying goals to the likes of ma Yorka
and things like that, it's a it's kind of scary
to think, you know, okay, we can keep a clean
sheet or win. You know, they might win by more
than one. I'm not saying that's impossible. And plus one
(04:44):
ninety you obviously get some decent money for a good
Barcelona side, but I'd rather, just like you, probably go
for a money line for Barcelona. Ordi guard has really
been good. I think has three goals for us just
so far. Really like you said, getting up to this potential,
maybe we haven't seen the full extent of it yet.
I like William Jose's well for Brazilian forward for them.
He in the past, you know he has that quality,
hasn't really shown it, but this year has seven goals already,
(05:06):
so he's playing well and I think, you know, maybe
they can catch a goal, especially because Socio that is home.
Obviously we have to mention that as well, so I
can see that happening. I would personally stay away from
the spread um and you know, even under the over
under his minus two for two and a half, so
they say they think there's goals in this match, So
I would probably stay away from the spread, just lean
towards the money line for Barcelona. I think that's probably
(05:26):
the smarter bet U in this match at least. Yeah,
I think I'm more confident with the over of two
and a half goals simply because I know that they
haven't played that great defensively, but they're still getting the
scoring output. Antoine Griesman looks like he's a little bit
more comfortable in law Lega, at least because he's more
familiar in that competition. I don't think there's as much
pressure as there is in the Champions League, which is
(05:47):
pretty much what they brought him for because they need
to get over that hump. But they're playing really well
in Ladlega. I like the over two and a half.
I'm gonna keep Barcelona money line, the spread. I don't know.
It's just a little too sketchy for me, um, but
if you're really confident in Barcelona plus one ninety is
a pretty solid number to get after. But we're gonna
go over to Everton Manchester United. Man do we get
(06:08):
these two wrong? Lesson? Because I did not see this coming.
This is why this is such a great sport, because
the unpredictability of it all. Everton sacking their manager midmal
of the week, uh, Manchester United all of a sudden
beating Spurs. They dominated City. It's not even that they
just got a win out of it. They literally dominated them.
It doesn't matter if some calls went their way. United
(06:29):
deserved the three points there. Now, this makes for a
very interesting match we're gonna get into the numbers right away.
Moneyline United's at minus one forty Everton plus three nine
kind of high considering after they beat Chelsea like that.
The spread again is at one plus two hundred Manchester
United plus one fifteen Everton and plus one. Who are
you leaning towards? Who do you really like this? I
(06:52):
think I like man you I think they were very impressive.
Don't forget they also beat Onham, so they had two
good wins. Uh and and like you mean you didn't
match and that, but over City was very impressive. And
Rashford is looking really good so far, ten goals already
matching season total from last year. So he's on fire.
And that's what they need because they need the likes
of their young guys Rashford and marcial To to really
(07:12):
produce because they don't have the you know, their old
names and really consistent strikers up there. But Rashford is
kind of turning into, you know, the man of consistency
at least over the past few games, so we'll see
if that keeps going. And Everton, I understand they were
playing hot against Chelsea also and there against the new manager,
and that's kind of an effect you see not all
the time, but you they did get it. At least
they went out firing three one win. But I just
(07:32):
like Manchester United, and even the spread here at plus
two hundred for minus one man United, if they can
keep formed, this is probably one of their little, you know,
bursts of form where they keep some games. I mean,
they win some games in a row three four games.
They've won two so far, so we'll see how that goes.
But even that minus one plus two hundred, I'm kind
of looking at that UM and even the money line,
if you want to go safer, minus one forty isn't
(07:54):
too bad. They're not huge, huge favorites, you know, it's
not you know, minus two hundred number or anything like that, UM.
But the spread is an interesting to me. I don't
know about you, but they're battling for a fourth spot.
They're they're already up to fifth with four points. It's
close in that range, UM, but they can get up
there and Everton is still have fourteen, so they'll go
out there and you know, try to win the game.
But I like man United in this game for sure. Yeah,
(08:15):
I don't know if I really trust Everton in this
because again with Chelsea they did sit Georgino. I mean
that's a massive piece. We talk about it all the
time on how people really underappreciate him. But I think
if I'm gonna lean towards the money line pick, I'd
go towards man United win here. I'm not fully confident
in Everton repeating that. I think you could just ride
high off of you know, firing your coach. We've seen
(08:37):
it happen multitudes of times Manchester United last year. Um,
even even the same with Chelsea as well, they do
it all the time. Um. But again to me, I
think I'd rather stay safe with Manchester United here. The spread,
I'm gonna stick stick away from it because I'm not
that confident. And that's so what are you officially gonna
go with before we head on out? Yeah, I mean
the safe pick is just man United. I was wrong,
(08:59):
they beat up said pretty handily. Sells wrong there. But
the brave pick, if you want to go out there,
I think they can go nail the spread minus one. Yeah,
I think I'm gonna keep with Manchester United their money line.
But when we come back, we're gonna be talking to
our friends from ACTE scores, Stay tuned. NFL season is
(09:20):
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are made. Hello everybody, and welcome back to the Free Kick.
We got our friends from Aki score this segment breaking
(10:03):
down a few matchups. Our first one is going to
be Frankfort ver Shalka. We saw Frankfort going to Arsenal's
Emirates Stadium pick out a win there. They played pretty well.
Shalka is a tougher opponent though in the Bundesliga has
been very tight this whole season. Do you envision a
scenario in which Frankfort is able to pull out the
three points against shalk We know how dangerous both of
(10:25):
these sides can be Sharaka indeed is a clear favorite
this time vote from the prediction point of us LAS
based on odds, but the year agoing the same matchup
boss and other way around us frankfort was the favorite
and they won the game to zero actually to one um.
When we check accuracy of accu score predictions during the
(10:49):
last five games in this matchup, and accu score has
been predicting that there's a home value in three of
those games and then two has been correct. So if
there there has been side value in home team and
you have bet on that, and that's a way to
make a few bucks. Yeah, Frankfort's win over Arsenal was
(11:11):
a surprise, although it tells more of a story of
how bad Arsenal was at the time with Nayama's final
games at charge Um. Since then, frankfort has lost two
minds on the road in Bundesliga and also drew at
home against her Berlin, and neither of those games were
very good displays from Frankfort Um. In europe League, they
(11:34):
still have a chance to qualify their second in their group.
They're gonna play on Thursday against Guimaras at home, so
it might still weigh heavy on them on Sunday come
the time to meet the chalkin Bundesliga UM Chalk. On
the other hand, they last round they lost to Leverkusen
two to one in a game that was very, very
(11:55):
even matched and actually quite interesting matchup. UM. They are
still four in the league, so they're in good possession
and like you said, they are a quality team and
have the chance to to actually beat Frankfort quite easily
in this game. UM. In the simulations, Shalke is winning
with probability the draw is one and then the remaining
(12:19):
is left for Frankfurt. So we think that shall Care
will take the whole victory on this one. It's going
to be interesting to see if Frankfort can pull out
a victory there. But we know Bundesliga historically has a
ton of goals in a bunch of different matchups. These
two teams have the capability of scoring a lot of goals.
Do you see a scenario in which this one hits
(12:40):
the over easily or is there a scenario that you
do prefer the under, Because again we know a lot
of matches against teams like this that are so close
in the standings, they like to keep matches tight and
they don't really hit the over in totals of three
and a half or even two and a half. Is
there a scenario in which it does go over? Though?
What do we think about total market them? The total
(13:01):
line in previous games have been fluctuating between two point
twenty five two three point five, and the last two
games there has been some side value to bet under
one was correct, one was pushed, and right now it
looks like the total line will be two point seventy five.
(13:22):
So how do you see, Tommy, Is this a good
place to bet over as there has been quite a
bit goal scored in these last games? Or shall we
wait if the line is moving a little bit further up,
maybe three or even three point twenty five, and then
decide to bet the total mark? Yeah, I believe everyone
(13:44):
would like to go for the for the over in
this case. Again, but let's take a look at the
numbers a little bit. Chalk is only nine if we
only count the home games in Bundesliga, and Frankfurt would
be the dead last if only the road games would count.
So that's something to take into consideration here. Um SH
(14:04):
is able to adapt their game very much. If they
play against a tough opponent, they can play very defensively
look for the counter attack. Um are. On the other hand,
they can also attack pretty much all in mentality and
that's probably something they're gonna start with against Frankfort and
then we might see a goal or two to start
the game with um. That being said, in simulations, Shall
(14:28):
scores two point twenty six goals on average, while Frankfort
manages one point thirty one UM so the total average
in simulations is about three point five and depending on
the line of course, then it's fifty fifty if it
goes over under. Yeah, Frankfort and Schalk is going to
be an interesting matchup, so we'll see if that total
(14:50):
will go over in that. But Villa Reale Savilla Villa Real,
coming off a nice result against Athletic go over the weekend.
But again, this one is going to be a real
tough match up. Do you see either of these sides
covering the spread. Indeed, VRL played a very smart game
against Atletico and got the nil nil draw at home
(15:12):
to uh the show for that, but they were able
to keep Athletico away from scoring opportunities for most of
the game. Athletico has had a lot of problems in scoring,
so it's a show that vir L was able to
exploit their opponent's weakness in there. On the other hand,
the home team did not produce either. They had a
(15:34):
lot of the possession, but they squandered it with taking
a lot of improbable shots from outside the box and
just basically losing the ball in the offensive end. UM
Sevia is a better team than vir L for sure.
Sevia is now third while Via rel is a thirteen
than There is twelve points between them. UM. If you
(15:56):
compare Sevia to Athletico Madrid, I think BA might at
the moment be even better than Athletic or even if
they do have the similar sort of scoring issues, which
is a bit surprising considering the players they have at
their disposal. Um Via has only scored twenty times in
(16:16):
sixteen games. That's eight less than vir L. UM. Also
in the simulation, v I is about forty favorite, but
the draw is very likely result here it's altogether UM
I fully agree that draw is very very good. Playing
(16:39):
this matchup between Severe and UM there are a few
points that is backing up this opinion. Last three games
that these teams have played and have been draws zero
zero to two zero zero in the last three seasons.
And also mac score has predicted them out of fire
(17:00):
last games three to have some side value by betting draw,
and out of those three, two has been correct, so
by betting tener box each you would end up having
almost ninety dollars in your pocket at the end. Overall
accuracy has been also a reasonably good. Out of five
(17:20):
last games between these teams, we have been correcting three
soul or more than doubling your money basically with those
few draw pickups there. Yeah, let's see if Villa A
L can keep the momentum going in there. But I
want to switch over to Severe now. They've been in
a little bit of good form as of late. But
(17:41):
do you see them potentially reaching their team total in
this I know we'd like to stick to overs and
unders total for the whole game, but Severe, to me
is an interesting one. How do you see this one
playing out? Total? Market in the past have been somewhere
between two point seventy five and three team and that's
how it looks like right now to be. So if
(18:04):
it's a three, how do you see it? To him?
Is this clear under um, as it has been in
last game with zero zero draw or how do you
see the total? Yes, Ceva is very likely to play
another solid game here. They haven't been clicking on the
(18:26):
offense at all, so they've taken a little bit different
approach than usual, playing quite defensively to make sure they're
not leaking goals either. UM. Actually taking a look at
the numbers, there's only been twenty six goals altogether scored
in Sevillas games. And then if we take a look
at VRL, there's been fifty two goals in the same
(18:48):
amount of games, so it means there's been double the
amount of goals in vr l's games then in Sevillas. UM,
it's hard to say which way it's gonna go this time.
I think the home team is likely to take control
and it would mean quite a low scoring game. According
to a score simulations, Sevilla scores on average one point
(19:10):
twenty six goals uh and VRL is left with zero
point seventy So the smart money would probably go to
the under in this case. Alright, also going to be
a lot of fun with all these matchups this weekend.
Thank you guys so much. From ACTI score Dot com.
Everyone checked them out at ati score on Twitter and
(19:31):
check out their website as well. They have so many
great information points that you could use to win some
money on the weekends. But when we come back, we're
gonna be discussing some more top matchups throughout the europe
top five leagues. Daily Rhodo dot com learn from the
(19:53):
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(20:36):
Hello everybody, welcome back to the Free Kick Arsenal. Manchester
City getting kicked off in the Premier League in England,
I mean, look, we were stunned by what happened in
Manchester City over the weekend. We don't know how much
longer that's really going to carry over. They're looking fine
in their Champions League spot, so they can rest a
few players and get back into it over the weekend,
(20:57):
because we know they are struggling big time in the
Premier League Geo Arsenal struggling even more. This is probably
the worst Arsenal that we have seen in our lifetimes.
It's just simply a disaster over there. We didn't see
the trend of firing a manager and a team stepping
up to play well with Arsenal after Uni Emery left.
There's a whole bunch of issues at Arsenal, and I
(21:19):
do not want any part of them in terms of
betting unless I'm going against him. At this point, I
understand cities struggling, but what do you really make of
these two situations. I think I blame more city situations
on the unfortunate injuries to some of their players. In defense, Um,
you know, it didn't seem like they're able to get
off on a hot start here, but they've done what
(21:41):
they needed to do so far, top four in the
Premier League, top of their group in the Champions League.
But Arsenal Man, I mean, I think that's the story
that we're going to have to look at. Arsenal has
been a complete disaster all season long. You mentioned, and
that's why in our previous segment I mentioned before not
all teams get off to that You know, oh new manage,
or let's win a game start like Everton did and
(22:02):
and Arsenal failed to do that. They lost a Brighton
at home after the manager was sacked. So it's not
like you know, Emory leaving was it was the big problem.
And obviously that's the case with everything because it's it's
not always on the manager. It's kind of you know,
it goes both ways, so the players have to step up.
It's not new manager automatic wins. So they lost a
bright and you know, it takes more than a new
manager to get things done. Uh. And they're facing man
(22:22):
City side who scores a lot of goals. They have
the most goals in the Premier League, even though they're
you know, fourteen points behind Liverpool, which is insane for
me to think of at this point, but you're probably
right in terms of Man City, they're looking good for
top four and they'll probably secure that. I don't see
them falling that for you know, that much down in
the ladder because that would that would be even more
insane than just being so far behind Liverpool at this point.
(22:46):
So they should finish top four. And I'm also on
board with you know, I like to disagree with you,
but I can't because Arsenal is uh not looking good
at all. And I can't see Pep really, you know,
putting out another poor performance, you know, getting his guys
to play bad again. That very shocking to me. Um.
I think man City, even though away in this match,
probably has enough to take care of it. Even with
the injuries, and you mentioned it also, the defense has
(23:07):
really been the problem for them. Like I said, they
still score goals, they just can't defend. They're letting in
one or two goals every match. That's the big problem.
You know. There was a draw to Newcastle a while back, uh,
and then like like we said before, they lost in
Man United, which is a big loss. Um. But you,
I don't think you can go against man City in
this game. No, I don't have an easy time going
against man City here. I think I think I'd rather
(23:28):
stick with them. I mean, look, Arsenal, we talked about
that poor defensives. I mean that is simply because City
has had injuries. Arsenals, because they have no idea what
they're doing. Playing David Louise at the center back position
is just one of the dumbest things that I have
possibly seen from a club, and it just didn't make sense.
It didn't seem like they had a contingency plan over
the summer. They spend eighty million pounds on Nicholas Pepe,
(23:51):
and then what do they do. They go and get
David Louise, who, apparently, by some reporters was their fifth
or sixth choice at center back. I don't know how
you allow that to happen. I don't even know how
David He's even gets on the list of some of
the center backs that you want. But nonetheless, here we
are goals over under three and a half, over his
minus one oh six, under his minus one sixteen. I'm
hitting over on this. I think it's a very safe choice,
(24:13):
simply for the fact that I understand some of these
like players on both sides are struggling a little bit
to score, but they're both facing terrible defenses like gazette
A Boumier. You know, if they play Aguero, Bernardo Silvan,
There Sterling, Gabriela, jay Zeus. I mean, there's so many
guys that could put the ball on the back of
the net that I would have a hard time going
(24:33):
against this going under three and a half, Right, yeah,
I think so. Too over three three and a half
is probably you know, it's never safe because four goals
is a lot. But look at the two teams that
are playing. They're they're they're you know, really playing bad defensively,
like we've already mentioned a couple of times. Um, and
I think City has something to prove. I don't think
they want to win a game one nothing to nothing.
I really think they gotta go out there and batter
(24:55):
a team at this point, especially with the way they've
been playing. Uh, and you mentioned it before Champions. It
gets kind of secured. While it is secured, so they
don't really have anything to worry about in terms of that.
So they could wrest some guys and have a full
lineup going into this game. Uh, even though it's away.
I just can't see a result where you don't get
at least two a piece from each side or you know,
my three one Man City when and whatnot. But I
(25:16):
do like Man City and the spread also a minus
one for Man Cities only plus one thirty. Um. If
if it was a little higher, I think it would
have went for it. I don't know, I might back
away from the spread just because I don't want to
risk it because even Arsenal at plus one is plus
one sixty five and I could see a situation where
they do lose by more than one. So you know,
you can go either way with the spread, But I
think I like better with what you said. Over three
(25:38):
and a half in man City, Arsenal have a one
game in the Premier League since October. I mean, that's
a massive problem for Arsenal, and this could be the
match They're like, you know, we need to get it
turned around, turned the corner. I just don't see it.
I there's too much quality in man City and not
much quality in an Arsenal defense. I mean, they have names,
but they just haven't produced Davy Louis Socrates. They just
(25:59):
haven't Man. Yeah, I mean their names, they're not They're
not even good players. I don't even remember the last time.
I mean, look, Marino and and Couente made him look good.
I mean, if you're a bad defensive player under those
two guys, then I mean, I mean, let's face it.
But again, look, I think to finally wrap up on
this game, I think the spread. If I'm gonna go
pick one, I think it's safer to go with Manchester
(26:20):
City simply for the fact that they have more firepower.
I'd rather trust their defense a little bit more. I
think the goalkeeping in this isn't bad for either team,
But when you're a goalkeeper under fire all the time,
when your midfield playing poorly, when your defense is not
marking well, I think that just spells doom for them.
I think over a three one scenario is something I
(26:41):
see more likely in the outcome to two would kind
of surprise me a little bit simply because Arsenal produced
that much, not because City lead into goals. So I
think it's definitely safer to go with the over three
and a half. But if you if you do find
that Arsenal is just not a good team like we do,
I think it would be safer to go with City
(27:02):
with the minus one there at plus money, So I
think that's easy to go with there. But we're gonna
be moving over to Italy now. Milan Saswallow Melon has
run into some pretty good form as of late, Saswallow
being their inconsistent self over the past few games. We
saw that draw against Juventus and then they just didn't
play that great over the weekend again. But for Milan
(27:22):
is a story here. Three goals over the weekend. They
did allow to on an own goal and a penalty,
so you know, judge that as you will. But three
goals again too from open play. This is a little
bit more of a creative Milan and they're finally starting
to put away some of the chances here. We're gonna
toss up the odds right now. Melon money line minus
one eighty at the Sun Sero as Uh, we didn't
(27:44):
mention yet, plus four fifty for Saswallow money line. Uh,
the spreads that minus one. We'll get into that in
a little bit. But in terms of just pulling out
a victory, this could potentially be Milan's third straight. Do
you see that happening because Saswallow obviously you don't like
very much for a victory, Yeah, they're not favorite at all.
And plus far fifty. Actually it's pretty big for me.
I know they're you know, a little bit uh deep
(28:06):
in the table right now, but they're scoring a lot
of goals this season. And uh, they came off a
two to draw against Kyati, who's right now you know,
in that top four conversation, So that's a little bit surprising.
But I also do agree with you. Melon the favorite
for a reason. This game, they were pretty good against Bologna.
Piontech got on the scoresheet as well, so good for
his confidence to see because you know, are they gonna
(28:26):
start layout Piontech. That's something that we can discuss as well.
I would like for me personally to see pion Tech star.
I think once you get a goal, you try to
keep him rolling. We've seen him do it in the past,
and he hasn't done it so far this season, so
I kind of I think you kind of want to
ride that wave. If it's a small wave and he
crashes this next game, then whatever, you can try a
layout or subpleman or whatnot. But I think you want
to start with Pionteck at least me personally. Um, but
(28:48):
I do like Milan in this. In this game, I
think home they want to go on a little bit
of a role. They could catch you know, Gnopoly, who knows,
especially if Anopoly doesn't play well. They're all very close
that range that these two teams are are right now,
the eighth, seventh, eighth, ninth spot. They're all within a
couple of points, so you know, one win could make
you jump over several teams. Um, but I do like
(29:08):
I do like Milan. The defense has been a somewhat better. Obviously,
the own goal and the fenalty might kind of, uh,
you know, scatter that idea and it might not correlate
what I'm saying, but you know, I don't think that
that's the biggest deal in this match. I think that
Melan is probably a favorite for a reason. I think
they can go out there and we'll talk about the
spread too, but I think they should do it comfortably.
I think they should should be able to handle this. Well. Yeah,
(29:31):
I think if they were to win, it's not going
to be a comfortable to nothing three nothing game because
they simply just don't have that quality over the ninety
minutes in which you trust it. Because again we talked
about why they struggle so much to pick up points
is because there's so many individual errors, so many individual mistakes,
and we saw two more again this weekend. So I mean,
(29:51):
in terms of spread, you could see so swallow getting
that back when we know Milan have struggled against them.
So I'm gonna go. Berardi absolutely dominates Milan, even the
Melan pumps too. It seems that inter has done better
obviously because they're just so good these days. But again,
Birardi has the opportunity at times that he could just
put goals galore on the score sheet during stretches. He
(30:12):
started off hot again this year, seems to have called
off just to dad. Maybe they're getting him at the
right time. But for me, when you look at the
spread again, I'm gonna stick away from that. For me,
over under two and a half goals. I like under
two and a half for this match simply because again
Milan is scoring goals. But some of the goals that
they scored, like the Bone Bonavent goal was such a fantastic,
(30:34):
classy goal from him. Individual skill, he can't rely on
that too much. But the Suso goal to Tayo Hernandez
is something that we're gonna be seeing. And it seemed
like Milan also changed the formation for a four two
three one, so they provided all these attacking midfielders behind
peon tech. It created more chances in general. So do
you think they're going to be able to take advantage
(30:55):
of that where they can do that? Because it was
a five goal performance that was the most they've scored
this season, and do you see that happening again where
it can get over that because that's a minus one.
I mean I could see the over, and I mean
I did say I think Milan would comfortably and what
I meant was I kind of see a two zero
win for for Milan in this situation. I do agree,
though you think about you kind of want to stay
(31:16):
away from the spread because I mentioned before I saw
scoring goals, so you know, all they need to do
is pull thee back and it's to one, and you
know your spreads kind of finished there at minus one,
so you can I think I would stay away from
that as well. But I don't know. I'm just convinced
that Milan is in this kind of run a form
right now and they're making the most of what they have.
That formation changes they look good for them, so I
you know, maybe they'll they should use it more going
(31:37):
forward obviously, um and I do see them winning here,
so and I do like the over because I like
you mentioned also but idea as a history of scoring
against Milan, so the over, I think the over hits.
I stay away from the spread, but I like I
like a Milan win regardless. I think that you know,
to one even two zero win can happen, But for
the over, I think it's more something like to one.
But accurate scores are always hard to predict. Yeah, I would.
(32:00):
I would agree with that as well, simply because again,
individual errors are happening at a consistent right for Milan
and that could spell goals for the other team. So
I I think you should look out for what formation
is going to be played. If it's a four two
three one, again for Milan, I think you would have
to go with the over, But again you never really know.
If Milan comes out with a more defensive lineup, then
(32:21):
you can see that happening. But when we come back,
we're gonna be discussing some more of the top matchups
throughout Europe. Stay tuned. Daily Rhodo dot Com learned from
the game's best DFS players. We don't just give you
premier advice. We play every day, all major sports, all
(32:42):
year round. We never stopped industry leading DFS tools and
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Learned from the game's best DFS players joined Daily Rhodo
dot Com MHM, Hello, everybody, Welcome back to the free
(33:19):
kick on the Sports Grade TV network. Valencia Real Madrid.
These two teams have been pretty impressive so far this season.
Real Madrid, obviously, we've been on top of them. They've
been so hot as of late. Valencia has been impressive.
They have one of the more entertaining games of the
season in the Champions League Chelsea against Chelsea. If you
guys didn't check that out, I mean, that was one
(33:39):
of one of the great games of the season so far.
But Valencia is a pretty damn good team and I
think a lot of people kind of underrate them, and
I know we've been on Real Madrid. They're really hitting
their formats of late. I think a lot, a lot
lega teams outside of Athletico have been playing well. But
we're gonna look at some of the numbers here. Money
line Valencia plus two twenty, Real Madrid plus one oh
(34:01):
five again the spread another one there minus one fifty
Valencia at plus one plus two eighty for Real Madrid
at minus one. So obviously the bookmakers are thinking this
one's gonna be a really close match. I do envision
that as well. But Real Madrid again plus money with
one oh five for money line. For me, if I'm
(34:21):
gonna lean towards one of the two that we've had
discussed so far, I would lean towards Real Madrid. Money line,
what are you thinking? I'm also thinking the same thing,
but I could see a draw happening. You mentioned Valencia
has been great. Champions League games have been amazing as
well from them, nothing short of you know, entertaining, scaring
a lot of goals left and right. But I like
some of their players by a hoo is really good. Uh.
They have you know, the likes of it other you're
(34:42):
going whatnot? So they have the players that can do it.
They are home also on this match, so that's why
they're kind of getting some love there. Um. And Real
Madrid isn't favored by you know, three thousand because some
some games you really have Real Madrid uh feature favored
by a lot, but plus one on FIBE you can
get plus some money. I would still probably lead towards them.
You know, they kind of have to keep the pace
with Barcelona if they want to win the title. And
(35:04):
we've mentioned in prior episodes that we really are in
Real Madrid and we try to back them to win
the Law League title of the season. But Valencia will
probably keep this close as well. Although the spread really
is enticing though, because minus one from Real Madrid, you know,
plus two eighties, so all you kind of need is
two zero three one. It is very hard to to
you know, to think that. But Real Madrid at plus
(35:25):
to eight is something you know, people might not be
able to back away from. Um. But I think I
lean towards the money line from Real Madrid here at
plus one o five you can still get plus money
there on the road. I understand that. But Valencia has
been a solid team the eighth place, score a lot
of goals also, so and you know, Real Madrid's defense
isn't always you know, the most convincing thing in the
world is kind of yeah, and it's kind of almost
(35:46):
like a Barcelona thing where they you know, they have
the players, but letting goals with you know, viron back
there in Ramo's But I like Roalndrid. It's it's tough
for me to go against Real Madrid. Yeah, I don't know.
I think again, money line, I think I would lean
towards Real Madrid just because every time it might be
a trap. Maybe not, but plus money Real Madrid. I
don't care if it's on the road or home. I
(36:06):
really like them considering the form that they're playing in
UM in terms of the spread, I think I'm doing
this just stay away from this one because Valencia, again
you talked about how well they play against some of
the top teams. They lost to Barcelona, but still, but
the way they're playing in the Champions League, they're at
home against Real Madrid. We talk about all the time
some of the trends that you see in Europe when
when these teams that are pretty good clubs like Valencia
(36:29):
play against teams like Real Madrid and you know, Manchester United,
of the man cities of the world, the top clubs,
they play up to their level, and so I think
that's something I'm going to be looking forward to and seeing.
I don't really see Real Madrid dominating this where it's
a three nothing or a three one game. I think
if it's to nothing, it's a late goal towards the end.
But but you know, I wouldn't rule out to nothing.
(36:51):
I do see that happening, but again I see it
more of like a to one kind of matchup. So
for me, I'm a little scared of touching the spread there.
I do understand when you look at it as plus money,
we're gonna put it up again. Um, I just I
just don't know. I think I would be more comfortable
with Valencia covering that, and I think I would lean
towards their direction. For me, Real Madrid isn't gonna absolutely
(37:13):
dominate if they win this matchup, but I think they
win it handily. It's not going to be one of
those where they're getting so many shots on goals. There's
so many shots, um you know. I think Marcello is
going to have a nice game, pushing up and creating
a little bit. But again, you you mentioned it. They're
susceptible to errors all the time. As great as Sergio
Ramos is, how many times do we see him getting
a yellow card or a red card for something so
(37:35):
stupid that he shouldn't be doing. And I think you
could potentially see that. And the way Valencia plays at home,
they play everybody tough. I think I would lean towards
Valencia covering and and Real Madrid pulling out a win.
I wouldn't be scared of a draw, though I think
it's a draw could be in play here as well. Yeah, absolutely.
And Valencia has only lost ones in our last eight
games overall, and we've mentioned the Champs League performances, and
(37:58):
they've drawn against the likes of, you know, the top
teams in the league right now, Athletic Coast, Sa Villa.
They've beaten bill Bao, who's uh, who's always a solid
team and hard to play against. But the only big
team they've lost we mentioned it is Barcelona, and that's
kind of a thing where a lot of teams lose
to Barcelona, so it's not a huge shock. But I
think you're right though, Valencia will probably keep this close.
I I mentioned spread before just to mention it to
(38:18):
you guys, but I would also stay away with it, uh,
stay away from Itzara. I don't think that uh plus
Twadi is very you know, enticing and kind of christ
lure you in there and try to put it in.
But Valencia, I think, really does play teams home. I
wouldn't even be scared of the under I think in
this mansion under two and a half. Uh, it's probably
gonna be decent for me. I think it's gonna be close.
It could be a draw in the end or a
(38:40):
shutout win for around Madrid. I think it will be
very very close. It might be a scrappy game defensively
from both sides, but I think, uh, money line, I'm
still leading towards Around Madrid. But I also I do
agree you kind of. I think you stay away from
the spread play it's safe. Yeah, yeah, I again, if
I'm going to be leaning towards anyone in terms of spread,
it's gonna be Valencia. I I just don't like Real
(39:01):
Madrid to just dominate like that, but again, there is
we've seen in the sport a week to week. I mean,
who knows Real Madrid can coming here absolutely dominating. You'll
be like, where was that Valencia that we've been talking
about that plays up to teams? I mean, that could
very well happen. But if I'm gonna lean towards anything,
I'd be more inclined to lean towards Valencia covering. And
(39:24):
if I have to pick a winner, because I always
like to pick winners, probably be Real Madrid. I wouldn't
be completely stunned though, if Valencia does pull off a win.
I'm just saying because they do play that well, and
two twenties a pretty good number if you wanted to
jump out and get that. But we're gonna be moving
on now. Fiorentina. Inter Inter again two more points ahead
(39:45):
of Juventus. I know it's a little bit early in
the season and we know, Hugh, we have dominated for
so long, but they finally slipped up. Inter took advantage
of it. They had a tough draw against Roma over
the weekend. Fiorentina, I mean, this is borderline disaster right now.
We really don't know how many days Vincenzo Montella has
left at this club, and and simply it seems like
(40:06):
he is is on his way out, potentially to Enter.
We don't know yet. We'll see what happens in January,
even come June um but as of right now, Enters
just on the much better form ifor Entina one of
the worst forms. And at the moment, I mean, where
are you leaning here? I think this is an easy interwin,
but how easy It might not be easy just for
the fact that Montilla's job is on the on. You know,
(40:29):
he's hanging right there. He might be falling off a
cliff soon. That's he might be let go very soon.
I mean, some very very bad, bad losses to hellas
Veda cha you can't lose against those teams. I think
the Licha loss was at home. You can't lose at
home to to the likes of those teams that are
battling for, you know, staying live out of the relegation zone.
So I think that's very tough. This this game also
(40:50):
is in Florence. It's gonna be a Fionatina home game.
But Intad is is that team now with it's a
different animal. They have to stay ahead of event. Do
they have to take advantage of this? I mean even
think about it. They they could have slipped up by
drawing Roma and and Uva beating Latso. I was completely
wrong about that in our last episode. Um but Latso
b Juventus, so that point, it was another point for
(41:12):
you for intending. You mentioned now they're two points clear.
You never know where this goes on from here. Uh
Uva hasn't looked that great recently. Uh that has been amazing.
I think the likes of laft Auto and Lucaco, but
we've we've talked about them many times. But Latato for
me is really Latato. Martinez has really surprised me. I
didn't see this coming. I believe he has ten goals
or something like that, so he's he's up there. Um,
(41:34):
obviously no one's near Mobila, but that's fine, that doesn't
matter in this situation. I think you need to win
here and you can get plus money plus t one
on five for a first place team against one of
the worst teams in the league. Um, and Fiordina is
only a plus two fifties. So it's hard for me
to even think about taking Fildentina in this game, just
because I would want a way high like plus four
(41:56):
hundreds something like that, with the way they've been playing,
so I think their respect them a little bit too
much for me personally, I think he did plus one
of five is where you go. Yeah, I know that
that That's what I'm thinking too. I I think this
one is pretty easy, even the spread minus one Inter
plus two nineties give me that as well, because I
feel more confident in this game than anything, simply for
the fact that I think the oddsmakers are thinking, Okay,
(42:19):
Inter has this game against Barcelona this week. There there
is a chance that that might be a little bit fatigued.
But we know Antonio Conte. He is going to play
his guys as much as he can until they absolutely
burn out. Whether or not that's smart, that's for a
different debate, but this is exactly what he does and
defense you could play it in every single match, right,
defense doesn't really get worn out. We know how prolific
(42:41):
the attack has been. They played well against Roma, they
could have had two to three goals against them and
eched out a win there. But their defense is just
so damn solid, and I don't understand how fiar Rentina
is supposed to be able to break that attack. We
saw them in free fall at the end of last
season where they almost got relegated. They didn't get a
win in their last thirteen matches. They haven't gotten a
win in their past four matches, So what makes us
(43:03):
think that they're all of a sudden going to be
able to turn the corner against Inter somehow get a
point for them. I just don't see a scenario in
which that happens. And I think they're just favoring Fiorentina
too much. And then when you go to the over under,
now look under two and a half goals at plus
one oh two. I I don't see a scenario in
which Inter actually only gets two goals in this only
(43:24):
because their attack is so potent, and Lucaco really steps
up against these more mid table clubs. He we know
he has a history of struggling against the better teams
in leagues, but this is a match where I think
he can dominate. He can actually bag two goals, and
whether it's Martinez getting a third or something like that.
I don't see a scenario in which Fiorentina scores. I
(43:44):
really don't. I think Inter defense is that good and
Doanovitch has been on fire, and for me, I think
I'm gonna hammer the over the spread for Inter and
the money line. I just don't see a scenario in
which Fiorentina shows up. I could be dead wrong and
look like an idiot after saying all of this, but
for me, my money is on into Yeah for me too,
But I think the only thing you really area you
(44:05):
have to worry about for him that I think we
haven't mentioned. Yes in midfield, but you know the sense
he's still about Ella's out, so that hurts them a
little bit. We've seen them have to depend on the
likes of Borda, Valletto and the Sino. You know, it's
been pretty good for them actually, so I don't want to,
you know, put anything on his name that I shouldn't
be talking about. But Borda Valletto is not you know,
he's not the Valletto old that was with Fionntina, who
was a decent player. He's getting up there. Um, so
(44:28):
the midfield is a little bit to be worried about.
But okay, if you gets by their midfield, do they
get by the defense? Probably not. You know you we
keep mentioning, but if you have the likes of Golden
on the bench, you don't even have to use him.
Imagine starting him with the likes of Senior and Davie.
I mean, it's how is your score one goal? Let alone?
Let alone one or two to get a win. You know,
(44:49):
maybe they can scratch one. But I also agree with
the over it's it's at minus one. It's not that
bad actually, uh minus for a matchup like this. I
also think you're correct here are kind of favoring in
the midweek and Champions League thinking, you know that obviously
need to get a win. But it's not like they're
facing someone big and then coming into the city on
(45:10):
playing you know you enters. They're playing Fianandina. So it's
a very different situation. Um I I think you have
to nail all three of them as well. I mean,
I'm trying to find a way to disagree with you,
to give you guys some something to look at it.
And that's different, but it's it's hard. And you get
plus two ninety from minus are you kidding me? That's
plus three hundred. That's almost triple. That's insane. You gotta
(45:30):
jump all over that when you can. And I think
you're right. Lucaca can easily bag a hat trick of
his own here. Whether it happens or not, we can't
control that outcome, but he has a favorable matchup. Uh.
Scores like if if we if you, if you want
to find a goal scorer, Lukak has got to be
the way to go. They've been scoring all the goals
for this team throughout the season. So I would be
confident in picking one of them if you guys can
get some decent odds on there. Uh, And you know,
(45:52):
I think you haven't also places Roma next if I'm
not mistaken, So Montella could be on his way out.
It's hard for them to be any of these two teams. Yeah,
and know and and for me to the thing that
I don't understand is that somehow Fiorentina is supposed to
rally around him. He's not a guy that has a
lot of high character and emotion just like Antonio Conte does. Right,
Because this is why I love intern Conte, because the
(46:15):
odds makers are thinking, hey, Inter is not really going
to step up this week. They're gonna take their foot
off the gas a little bit. No, no, no, that's
the exact opposite of what Conte does. And that's why
I'm expecting a big dominant match from Inter into this.
So I'm liking all three of those, including the over
two and a half. This is inters game to dominate.
I think they're going to dominate. So just really quick
(46:37):
to clarify, you are going all three of those? Yeah,
I'll go with all three. I have no problem picking
all three. And I really like minus one. I mean,
that's it's a lot of money you guys can make
off just a two goal differential for for anything, you
gotta go with it. Yeah, And that's something that you're
gonna have to look out with Inter in these coming games.
But when we come back, we're gonna be discussing Inters
(46:57):
odds for the Scudetto NFL season is now upon us,
so you can become the eighth person awayen one million
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(47:18):
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(47:38):
are made. Welcome back to our final segment. Martino Puccio,
Gio Cosalina. We were just talking about Intern, how dominant
they've been, but we're talking again about their odds. I
(48:00):
know Hube has been dominant, they win the league seemingly
every single season this past decade, but Inter now very interesting.
They have a two point lead so far for the
Scudetto race. We just talked about how we should expect
them to dominate against Fiorentina. Huve is slipping. They're not
playing that great, but still only one loss on the season.
I just wanted to talk about the odds for the
(48:20):
scudetto Wild. Toss him up now, Inter plus two hundred,
hub A minus one nine d. Now, if you love
Inter to win the Scudetto Gio, is now the best
time to jump on them before the odds change. Yeah? Absolutely,
and that plus two hundred, you think about it. If
they keep getting one or two points at a time. Also,
it's not like they need to go by ten. The
more they start winning, the more the paint uh distance
(48:43):
that they get from Juventus, these odds are gonna start
shooting down because they're gonna start becoming the favorite. We're
almost halfway through the season, you know, we're a couple
of weeks away from the winner, champion, winner crown where
we're halfway mark. So I think you want to go
for Inter plus two hundred. Now, if you really think
they're gonna win it, you go for it. Um and
you way is at minus one ninety. Think about it.
If he goes up a little bit, you can get
(49:03):
even higher odds for them. But minus one ninety compared
to prior years where Juventus has been winning nonstopping pretty handily,
you know, not he's gotten up there a couple of
times not you know, failed towards the end of the
year to really put pressure on them. Besides maybe one
season out of the past probably the lowest there odds. Yeah,
since that game where scored the goal exact where they
where they thought it might have been over with. But again, yeah,
(49:25):
I mean, but what about even sticking with Hua at
this at minus one ninety, because that isn't the worst
thing in the world either, right, because you're banking on
Huvea to just win the league again. And I still
like them at at minus one ninety, and I still
think that they have time to turn around. I mean,
it's Juventus and Ronaldo has been playing like like crap.
Let's just be honest. He's been paying very bad and
someone of his his level is not gonna want to,
(49:47):
you know, put that on his name, whether he wants
to leave or no. You don't know what's going on exactly.
You don't want he doesn't want to do that, And
I feel like this is the time for him to
turn things around and get Juventus back on track and
Debaa and him can team up and get this done.
You know, it's a two point distance, guys, It's not
like they're you know, tend behind. So even if you
you know, you're confident in that hey you went this,
(50:08):
is youvent this, they're gonna take it again, you probably
take them in mind as one ninety now while you
can get a decent number on it. Yeah, and even
if you love enter same thing to play Devil's advocate,
if you love entering this now, it is probably the
best time to jump on it, because again, if they
do go up by another three points five is a
decisible gap, those odds will change by a decent amount.
So inter plus two hundred if you want to jump
(50:28):
on that, Hugh right minus one. Guys, thanks so much
for watching. Next time we'll be back on the sportscrad
TV network.
Hey, thanks for downloading the podcast. If you want to
listen live, all you have to do is download the
I Heart Radio app and search for Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Also,
if you want to catch this show on video, for
sure to check out zoo TV channel seven nineteen and
that's where you can find Sports Grids Fantasy Sports Network.
Enjoy the show, and thanks so much for listening. Hello everybody,
(00:26):
and welcome to the Free Kick. I'm your host Martino Puccio.
Alongside me is Gio Cosalino. We're gonna be breaking down
some of the top five league matchups around Europe and
we're gonna get into Barcelona Real Socia Dad. Geo. Leo
Messi again coming off his six fall on Door absolutely
killed it this weekend. I don't know if you've caught
(00:46):
the game. He was just absolutely unbelievable. He was creating,
he was scoring goals. Um, he's gonna be well rested
for this one against Socio Dad, because as we found
out this morning, that Barcelona isn't gonna be bringing a
lot of their guys against the match up against Intern
the Champions League UH this week. And you know what,
I I just find that very scary from rial associate
(01:07):
Dad fan because you don't find Leo Messi rested that
well and this week when you face him and and
just the way he's been playing. We we have noted
that Barcelona as a whole haven't been playing that great.
But Suarez and Griesman had two really nice classic goals
on the weekend as well. But this is all about
Leo Messi, one of the best players in La Liga. Again,
(01:29):
five games less than every one of the top scores
in La Liga, and who's at the top Leo Messi Geo. First,
I just want to talk about the greatness of Leo
and what he's been able to do just you know,
not only throughout his career, but just this recent stretch
of just literally carrying Barcelona that we've never seen him
do before. I mean, what what can you take away
(01:50):
from it? Yeah, I mean Messi is one of the
greatest of all time and he's gonna go down as
one of the greatest, if not the greatest, according to
ever you know you talk to you all have your
own opinions, uh and biases and one, but Messi is
an all time great. I mean, he's putting on a
classic this season when he's healthy and as long as
he remains healthy, it's gonna be a problem for the
rest of the league. Obviously, it's probably gonna come down
to Barcelona around Madrid. So the l classic goes this
(02:12):
year are gonna be amazing, especially with the Messy in
this form, and you mentioned it as well, Uh, Suarez
and Grease Mon scoring some goals. So if they get
into back into the swick swing of things and and
they're looking good and back to their old selves, it's
gonna be a really dangerous team. But Messi has done
a lot for this team over the years. Uh. This
season and maybe the end of last season it seemed
more so because of how lacking Barcelona was. It wasn't
(02:34):
the same kind of side. And even right now, I mean,
I think they're getting better as we go on, but
they weren't the you know, the scary Barcelona that we know,
and and that's still you know, it'll take time, especially
with new players new faces, yes, and Chobbies aren't around anymore,
and you know that's a that's a slow development or
a progress that's happening over time. But Messi, you can't
say anything about him. You mentioned are already twelve goals,
(02:56):
you know, one more than than anyone else and he
has five less games, so that's box to his talent
level and might not you know, see anything like this
ever again as a generational talent. But I definitely like
Barcelona in the syby. We could talk about the odds,
but yeah, it's gonna be yeah. I mean, look, I
mean we'll throw them up there on the screen right now.
Barcelona minus one forty associate Dad plus three thirty on
(03:17):
the money line. I mean, I I think I would
take Barcelona in this. I feel pretty confident saying that
simply because of the rest that they're going to be getting.
So if you see those odds now, they might change
by the time this episode comes out. But if you
can get Barsad minus one forty, I think that's an
easy choice there. Um, look a spread, you know the
numbers at one. I kind of find it interesting. Barcelona's
(03:40):
defense again, they don't impress me that much overall and
in general, um, simply for the fact that you know
they have guys back there. It's their biggest weakness and
we addressed it all the time. I know you and
I talk about it all the time. Although they play
fantastic over the weekend, they're still allowing in two goals
like that, And when you have Martin Ordergard playing the
way he's playing, this starlet that is finally looks like
(04:01):
he's going to achieve, you know, somewhat of the potential
that he has um it could be a difficult match.
I do see Socia Dad, you know, kind of keeping
it relatively close, because sometimes the score doesn't always indicate
how well a team can dominate. Teams can dominate and
only win by one. I think that's a possibility in
this case. And when you see Barcelona plus one nineties,
(04:22):
I mean for for minus one, do you do you
like that? Do you see them winning by multiple I
don't know if I like this spread at at plus
I mean minus one for Barcelona. I think I think
you're right when in terms of their defense, and there's
if they're lying goals to the likes of ma Yorka
and things like that, it's a it's kind of scary
to think, you know, okay, we can keep a clean
sheet or win. You know, they might win by more
than one. I'm not saying that's impossible. And plus one
(04:44):
ninety you obviously get some decent money for a good
Barcelona side, but I'd rather, just like you, probably go
for a money line for Barcelona. Ordi guard has really
been good. I think has three goals for us just
so far. Really like you said, getting up to this potential,
maybe we haven't seen the full extent of it yet.
I like William Jose's well for Brazilian forward for them.
He in the past, you know he has that quality,
hasn't really shown it, but this year has seven goals already,
(05:06):
so he's playing well and I think, you know, maybe
they can catch a goal, especially because Socio that is home.
Obviously we have to mention that as well, so I
can see that happening. I would personally stay away from
the spread um and you know, even under the over
under his minus two for two and a half, so
they say they think there's goals in this match, So
I would probably stay away from the spread, just lean
towards the money line for Barcelona. I think that's probably
(05:26):
the smarter bet U in this match at least. Yeah,
I think I'm more confident with the over of two
and a half goals simply because I know that they
haven't played that great defensively, but they're still getting the
scoring output. Antoine Griesman looks like he's a little bit
more comfortable in law Lega, at least because he's more
familiar in that competition. I don't think there's as much
pressure as there is in the Champions League, which is
(05:47):
pretty much what they brought him for because they need
to get over that hump. But they're playing really well
in Ladlega. I like the over two and a half.
I'm gonna keep Barcelona money line, the spread. I don't know.
It's just a little too sketchy for me, um, but
if you're really confident in Barcelona plus one ninety is
a pretty solid number to get after. But we're gonna
go over to Everton Manchester United. Man do we get
(06:08):
these two wrong? Lesson? Because I did not see this coming.
This is why this is such a great sport, because
the unpredictability of it all. Everton sacking their manager midmal
of the week, uh, Manchester United all of a sudden
beating Spurs. They dominated City. It's not even that they
just got a win out of it. They literally dominated them.
It doesn't matter if some calls went their way. United
(06:29):
deserved the three points there. Now, this makes for a
very interesting match we're gonna get into the numbers right away.
Moneyline United's at minus one forty Everton plus three nine
kind of high considering after they beat Chelsea like that.
The spread again is at one plus two hundred Manchester
United plus one fifteen Everton and plus one. Who are
you leaning towards? Who do you really like this? I
(06:52):
think I like man you I think they were very impressive.
Don't forget they also beat Onham, so they had two
good wins. Uh and and like you mean you didn't
match and that, but over City was very impressive. And
Rashford is looking really good so far, ten goals already
matching season total from last year. So he's on fire.
And that's what they need because they need the likes
of their young guys Rashford and marcial To to really
(07:12):
produce because they don't have the you know, their old
names and really consistent strikers up there. But Rashford is
kind of turning into, you know, the man of consistency
at least over the past few games, so we'll see
if that keeps going. And Everton, I understand they were
playing hot against Chelsea also and there against the new manager,
and that's kind of an effect you see not all
the time, but you they did get it. At least
they went out firing three one win. But I just
(07:32):
like Manchester United, and even the spread here at plus
two hundred for minus one man United, if they can
keep formed, this is probably one of their little, you know,
bursts of form where they keep some games. I mean,
they win some games in a row three four games.
They've won two so far, so we'll see how that goes.
But even that minus one plus two hundred, I'm kind
of looking at that UM and even the money line,
if you want to go safer, minus one forty isn't
(07:54):
too bad. They're not huge, huge favorites, you know, it's
not you know, minus two hundred number or anything like that, UM.
But the spread is an interesting to me. I don't
know about you, but they're battling for a fourth spot.
They're they're already up to fifth with four points. It's
close in that range, UM, but they can get up
there and Everton is still have fourteen, so they'll go
out there and you know, try to win the game.
But I like man United in this game for sure. Yeah,
(08:15):
I don't know if I really trust Everton in this
because again with Chelsea they did sit Georgino. I mean
that's a massive piece. We talk about it all the
time on how people really underappreciate him. But I think
if I'm gonna lean towards the money line pick, I'd
go towards man United win here. I'm not fully confident
in Everton repeating that. I think you could just ride
high off of you know, firing your coach. We've seen
(08:37):
it happen multitudes of times Manchester United last year. Um,
even even the same with Chelsea as well, they do
it all the time. Um. But again to me, I
think I'd rather stay safe with Manchester United here. The spread,
I'm gonna stick stick away from it because I'm not
that confident. And that's so what are you officially gonna
go with before we head on out? Yeah, I mean
the safe pick is just man United. I was wrong,
(08:59):
they beat up said pretty handily. Sells wrong there. But
the brave pick, if you want to go out there,
I think they can go nail the spread minus one. Yeah,
I think I'm gonna keep with Manchester United their money line.
But when we come back, we're gonna be talking to
our friends from ACTE scores, Stay tuned. NFL season is
(09:20):
now upon us and you can become the eighth person
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(09:41):
for a ten percent discount. That's promo code action for
as ten percent discount dailor Order dot Com where millionaires
are made. Hello everybody, and welcome back to the Free Kick.
We got our friends from Aki score this segment breaking
(10:03):
down a few matchups. Our first one is going to
be Frankfort ver Shalka. We saw Frankfort going to Arsenal's
Emirates Stadium pick out a win there. They played pretty well.
Shalka is a tougher opponent though in the Bundesliga has
been very tight this whole season. Do you envision a
scenario in which Frankfort is able to pull out the
three points against shalk We know how dangerous both of
(10:25):
these sides can be Sharaka indeed is a clear favorite
this time vote from the prediction point of us LAS
based on odds, but the year agoing the same matchup
boss and other way around us frankfort was the favorite
and they won the game to zero actually to one um.
When we check accuracy of accu score predictions during the
(10:49):
last five games in this matchup, and accu score has
been predicting that there's a home value in three of
those games and then two has been correct. So if
there there has been side value in home team and
you have bet on that, and that's a way to
make a few bucks. Yeah, Frankfort's win over Arsenal was
(11:11):
a surprise, although it tells more of a story of
how bad Arsenal was at the time with Nayama's final
games at charge Um. Since then, frankfort has lost two
minds on the road in Bundesliga and also drew at
home against her Berlin, and neither of those games were
very good displays from Frankfort Um. In europe League, they
(11:34):
still have a chance to qualify their second in their group.
They're gonna play on Thursday against Guimaras at home, so
it might still weigh heavy on them on Sunday come
the time to meet the chalkin Bundesliga UM Chalk. On
the other hand, they last round they lost to Leverkusen
two to one in a game that was very, very
(11:55):
even matched and actually quite interesting matchup. UM. They are
still four in the league, so they're in good possession
and like you said, they are a quality team and
have the chance to to actually beat Frankfort quite easily
in this game. UM. In the simulations, Shalke is winning
with probability the draw is one and then the remaining
(12:19):
is left for Frankfurt. So we think that shall Care
will take the whole victory on this one. It's going
to be interesting to see if Frankfort can pull out
a victory there. But we know Bundesliga historically has a
ton of goals in a bunch of different matchups. These
two teams have the capability of scoring a lot of goals.
Do you see a scenario in which this one hits
(12:40):
the over easily or is there a scenario that you
do prefer the under, Because again we know a lot
of matches against teams like this that are so close
in the standings, they like to keep matches tight and
they don't really hit the over in totals of three
and a half or even two and a half. Is
there a scenario in which it does go over? Though?
What do we think about total market them? The total
(13:01):
line in previous games have been fluctuating between two point
twenty five two three point five, and the last two
games there has been some side value to bet under
one was correct, one was pushed, and right now it
looks like the total line will be two point seventy five.
(13:22):
So how do you see, Tommy, Is this a good
place to bet over as there has been quite a
bit goal scored in these last games? Or shall we
wait if the line is moving a little bit further up,
maybe three or even three point twenty five, and then
decide to bet the total mark? Yeah, I believe everyone
(13:44):
would like to go for the for the over in
this case. Again, but let's take a look at the
numbers a little bit. Chalk is only nine if we
only count the home games in Bundesliga, and Frankfurt would
be the dead last if only the road games would count.
So that's something to take into consideration here. Um SH
(14:04):
is able to adapt their game very much. If they
play against a tough opponent, they can play very defensively
look for the counter attack. Um are. On the other hand,
they can also attack pretty much all in mentality and
that's probably something they're gonna start with against Frankfort and
then we might see a goal or two to start
the game with um. That being said, in simulations, Shall
(14:28):
scores two point twenty six goals on average, while Frankfort
manages one point thirty one UM so the total average
in simulations is about three point five and depending on
the line of course, then it's fifty fifty if it
goes over under. Yeah, Frankfort and Schalk is going to
be an interesting matchup, so we'll see if that total
(14:50):
will go over in that. But Villa Reale Savilla Villa Real,
coming off a nice result against Athletic go over the weekend.
But again, this one is going to be a real
tough match up. Do you see either of these sides
covering the spread. Indeed, VRL played a very smart game
against Atletico and got the nil nil draw at home
(15:12):
to uh the show for that, but they were able
to keep Athletico away from scoring opportunities for most of
the game. Athletico has had a lot of problems in scoring,
so it's a show that vir L was able to
exploit their opponent's weakness in there. On the other hand,
the home team did not produce either. They had a
(15:34):
lot of the possession, but they squandered it with taking
a lot of improbable shots from outside the box and
just basically losing the ball in the offensive end. UM
Sevia is a better team than vir L for sure.
Sevia is now third while Via rel is a thirteen
than There is twelve points between them. UM. If you
(15:56):
compare Sevia to Athletico Madrid, I think BA might at
the moment be even better than Athletic or even if
they do have the similar sort of scoring issues, which
is a bit surprising considering the players they have at
their disposal. Um Via has only scored twenty times in
(16:16):
sixteen games. That's eight less than vir L. UM. Also
in the simulation, v I is about forty favorite, but
the draw is very likely result here it's altogether UM
I fully agree that draw is very very good. Playing
(16:39):
this matchup between Severe and UM there are a few
points that is backing up this opinion. Last three games
that these teams have played and have been draws zero
zero to two zero zero in the last three seasons.
And also mac score has predicted them out of fire
(17:00):
last games three to have some side value by betting draw,
and out of those three, two has been correct, so
by betting tener box each you would end up having
almost ninety dollars in your pocket at the end. Overall
accuracy has been also a reasonably good. Out of five
(17:20):
last games between these teams, we have been correcting three
soul or more than doubling your money basically with those
few draw pickups there. Yeah, let's see if Villa A
L can keep the momentum going in there. But I
want to switch over to Severe now. They've been in
a little bit of good form as of late. But
(17:41):
do you see them potentially reaching their team total in
this I know we'd like to stick to overs and
unders total for the whole game, but Severe, to me
is an interesting one. How do you see this one
playing out? Total? Market in the past have been somewhere
between two point seventy five and three team and that's
how it looks like right now to be. So if
(18:04):
it's a three, how do you see it? To him?
Is this clear under um, as it has been in
last game with zero zero draw or how do you
see the total? Yes, Ceva is very likely to play
another solid game here. They haven't been clicking on the
(18:26):
offense at all, so they've taken a little bit different
approach than usual, playing quite defensively to make sure they're
not leaking goals either. UM. Actually taking a look at
the numbers, there's only been twenty six goals altogether scored
in Sevillas games. And then if we take a look
at VRL, there's been fifty two goals in the same
(18:48):
amount of games, so it means there's been double the
amount of goals in vr l's games then in Sevillas. UM,
it's hard to say which way it's gonna go this time.
I think the home team is likely to take control
and it would mean quite a low scoring game. According
to a score simulations, Sevilla scores on average one point
(19:10):
twenty six goals uh and VRL is left with zero
point seventy So the smart money would probably go to
the under in this case. Alright, also going to be
a lot of fun with all these matchups this weekend.
Thank you guys so much. From ACTI score Dot com.
Everyone checked them out at ati score on Twitter and
(19:31):
check out their website as well. They have so many
great information points that you could use to win some
money on the weekends. But when we come back, we're
gonna be discussing some more top matchups throughout the europe
top five leagues. Daily Rhodo dot com learn from the
(19:53):
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(20:14):
from the game's best DFS players joined Daily Rodo dot com.
(20:36):
Hello everybody, welcome back to the Free Kick Arsenal. Manchester
City getting kicked off in the Premier League in England,
I mean, look, we were stunned by what happened in
Manchester City over the weekend. We don't know how much
longer that's really going to carry over. They're looking fine
in their Champions League spot, so they can rest a
few players and get back into it over the weekend,
(20:57):
because we know they are struggling big time in the
Premier League Geo Arsenal struggling even more. This is probably
the worst Arsenal that we have seen in our lifetimes.
It's just simply a disaster over there. We didn't see
the trend of firing a manager and a team stepping
up to play well with Arsenal after Uni Emery left.
There's a whole bunch of issues at Arsenal, and I
(21:19):
do not want any part of them in terms of
betting unless I'm going against him. At this point, I
understand cities struggling, but what do you really make of
these two situations. I think I blame more city situations
on the unfortunate injuries to some of their players. In defense, Um,
you know, it didn't seem like they're able to get
off on a hot start here, but they've done what
(21:41):
they needed to do so far, top four in the
Premier League, top of their group in the Champions League.
But Arsenal Man, I mean, I think that's the story
that we're going to have to look at. Arsenal has
been a complete disaster all season long. You mentioned, and
that's why in our previous segment I mentioned before not
all teams get off to that You know, oh new manage,
or let's win a game start like Everton did and
(22:02):
and Arsenal failed to do that. They lost a Brighton
at home after the manager was sacked. So it's not
like you know, Emory leaving was it was the big problem.
And obviously that's the case with everything because it's it's
not always on the manager. It's kind of you know,
it goes both ways, so the players have to step up.
It's not new manager automatic wins. So they lost a
bright and you know, it takes more than a new
manager to get things done. Uh. And they're facing man
(22:22):
City side who scores a lot of goals. They have
the most goals in the Premier League, even though they're
you know, fourteen points behind Liverpool, which is insane for
me to think of at this point, but you're probably
right in terms of Man City, they're looking good for
top four and they'll probably secure that. I don't see
them falling that for you know, that much down in
the ladder because that would that would be even more
insane than just being so far behind Liverpool at this point.
(22:46):
So they should finish top four. And I'm also on
board with you know, I like to disagree with you,
but I can't because Arsenal is uh not looking good
at all. And I can't see Pep really, you know,
putting out another poor performance, you know, getting his guys
to play bad again. That very shocking to me. Um.
I think man City, even though away in this match,
probably has enough to take care of it. Even with
the injuries, and you mentioned it also, the defense has
(23:07):
really been the problem for them. Like I said, they
still score goals, they just can't defend. They're letting in
one or two goals every match. That's the big problem.
You know. There was a draw to Newcastle a while back, uh,
and then like like we said before, they lost in
Man United, which is a big loss. Um. But you,
I don't think you can go against man City in
this game. No, I don't have an easy time going
against man City here. I think I think I'd rather
(23:28):
stick with them. I mean, look, Arsenal, we talked about
that poor defensives. I mean that is simply because City
has had injuries. Arsenals, because they have no idea what
they're doing. Playing David Louise at the center back position
is just one of the dumbest things that I have
possibly seen from a club, and it just didn't make sense.
It didn't seem like they had a contingency plan over
the summer. They spend eighty million pounds on Nicholas Pepe,
(23:51):
and then what do they do. They go and get
David Louise, who, apparently, by some reporters was their fifth
or sixth choice at center back. I don't know how
you allow that to happen. I don't even know how
David He's even gets on the list of some of
the center backs that you want. But nonetheless, here we
are goals over under three and a half, over his
minus one oh six, under his minus one sixteen. I'm
hitting over on this. I think it's a very safe choice,
(24:13):
simply for the fact that I understand some of these
like players on both sides are struggling a little bit
to score, but they're both facing terrible defenses like gazette
A Boumier. You know, if they play Aguero, Bernardo Silvan,
There Sterling, Gabriela, jay Zeus. I mean, there's so many
guys that could put the ball on the back of
the net that I would have a hard time going
(24:33):
against this going under three and a half, Right, yeah,
I think so. Too over three three and a half
is probably you know, it's never safe because four goals
is a lot. But look at the two teams that
are playing. They're they're they're you know, really playing bad defensively,
like we've already mentioned a couple of times. Um, and
I think City has something to prove. I don't think
they want to win a game one nothing to nothing.
I really think they gotta go out there and batter
(24:55):
a team at this point, especially with the way they've
been playing. Uh, and you mentioned it before Champions. It
gets kind of secured. While it is secured, so they
don't really have anything to worry about in terms of that.
So they could wrest some guys and have a full
lineup going into this game. Uh, even though it's away.
I just can't see a result where you don't get
at least two a piece from each side or you know,
my three one Man City when and whatnot. But I
(25:16):
do like Man City and the spread also a minus
one for Man Cities only plus one thirty. Um. If
if it was a little higher, I think it would
have went for it. I don't know, I might back
away from the spread just because I don't want to
risk it because even Arsenal at plus one is plus
one sixty five and I could see a situation where
they do lose by more than one. So you know,
you can go either way with the spread, But I
think I like better with what you said. Over three
(25:38):
and a half in man City, Arsenal have a one
game in the Premier League since October. I mean, that's
a massive problem for Arsenal, and this could be the
match They're like, you know, we need to get it
turned around, turned the corner. I just don't see it.
I there's too much quality in man City and not
much quality in an Arsenal defense. I mean, they have names,
but they just haven't produced Davy Louis Socrates. They just
(25:59):
haven't Man. Yeah, I mean their names, they're not They're
not even good players. I don't even remember the last time.
I mean, look, Marino and and Couente made him look good.
I mean, if you're a bad defensive player under those
two guys, then I mean, I mean, let's face it.
But again, look, I think to finally wrap up on
this game, I think the spread. If I'm gonna go
pick one, I think it's safer to go with Manchester
(26:20):
City simply for the fact that they have more firepower.
I'd rather trust their defense a little bit more. I
think the goalkeeping in this isn't bad for either team,
But when you're a goalkeeper under fire all the time,
when your midfield playing poorly, when your defense is not
marking well, I think that just spells doom for them.
I think over a three one scenario is something I
(26:41):
see more likely in the outcome to two would kind
of surprise me a little bit simply because Arsenal produced
that much, not because City lead into goals. So I
think it's definitely safer to go with the over three
and a half. But if you if you do find
that Arsenal is just not a good team like we do,
I think it would be safer to go with City
(27:02):
with the minus one there at plus money, So I
think that's easy to go with there. But we're gonna
be moving over to Italy now. Milan Saswallow Melon has
run into some pretty good form as of late, Saswallow
being their inconsistent self over the past few games. We
saw that draw against Juventus and then they just didn't
play that great over the weekend again. But for Milan
(27:22):
is a story here. Three goals over the weekend. They
did allow to on an own goal and a penalty,
so you know, judge that as you will. But three
goals again too from open play. This is a little
bit more of a creative Milan and they're finally starting
to put away some of the chances here. We're gonna
toss up the odds right now. Melon money line minus
one eighty at the Sun Sero as Uh, we didn't
(27:44):
mention yet, plus four fifty for Saswallow money line. Uh,
the spreads that minus one. We'll get into that in
a little bit. But in terms of just pulling out
a victory, this could potentially be Milan's third straight. Do
you see that happening because Saswallow obviously you don't like
very much for a victory, Yeah, they're not favorite at all.
And plus far fifty. Actually it's pretty big for me.
I know they're you know, a little bit uh deep
(28:06):
in the table right now, but they're scoring a lot
of goals this season. And uh, they came off a
two to draw against Kyati, who's right now you know,
in that top four conversation, So that's a little bit surprising.
But I also do agree with you. Melon the favorite
for a reason. This game, they were pretty good against Bologna.
Piontech got on the scoresheet as well, so good for
his confidence to see because you know, are they gonna
(28:26):
start layout Piontech. That's something that we can discuss as well.
I would like for me personally to see pion Tech star.
I think once you get a goal, you try to
keep him rolling. We've seen him do it in the past,
and he hasn't done it so far this season, so
I kind of I think you kind of want to
ride that wave. If it's a small wave and he
crashes this next game, then whatever, you can try a
layout or subpleman or whatnot. But I think you want
to start with Pionteck at least me personally. Um, but
(28:48):
I do like Milan in this. In this game, I
think home they want to go on a little bit
of a role. They could catch you know, Gnopoly, who knows,
especially if Anopoly doesn't play well. They're all very close
that range that these two teams are are right now,
the eighth, seventh, eighth, ninth spot. They're all within a
couple of points, so you know, one win could make
you jump over several teams. Um, but I do like
(29:08):
I do like Milan. The defense has been a somewhat better. Obviously,
the own goal and the fenalty might kind of, uh,
you know, scatter that idea and it might not correlate
what I'm saying, but you know, I don't think that
that's the biggest deal in this match. I think that
Melan is probably a favorite for a reason. I think
they can go out there and we'll talk about the
spread too, but I think they should do it comfortably.
I think they should should be able to handle this. Well. Yeah,
(29:31):
I think if they were to win, it's not going
to be a comfortable to nothing three nothing game because
they simply just don't have that quality over the ninety
minutes in which you trust it. Because again we talked
about why they struggle so much to pick up points
is because there's so many individual errors, so many individual mistakes,
and we saw two more again this weekend. So I mean,
(29:51):
in terms of spread, you could see so swallow getting
that back when we know Milan have struggled against them.
So I'm gonna go. Berardi absolutely dominates Milan, even the
Melan pumps too. It seems that inter has done better
obviously because they're just so good these days. But again,
Birardi has the opportunity at times that he could just
put goals galore on the score sheet during stretches. He
(30:12):
started off hot again this year, seems to have called
off just to dad. Maybe they're getting him at the
right time. But for me, when you look at the
spread again, I'm gonna stick away from that. For me,
over under two and a half goals. I like under
two and a half for this match simply because again
Milan is scoring goals. But some of the goals that
they scored, like the Bone Bonavent goal was such a fantastic,
(30:34):
classy goal from him. Individual skill, he can't rely on
that too much. But the Suso goal to Tayo Hernandez
is something that we're gonna be seeing. And it seemed
like Milan also changed the formation for a four two
three one, so they provided all these attacking midfielders behind
peon tech. It created more chances in general. So do
you think they're going to be able to take advantage
(30:55):
of that where they can do that? Because it was
a five goal performance that was the most they've scored
this season, and do you see that happening again where
it can get over that because that's a minus one.
I mean I could see the over, and I mean
I did say I think Milan would comfortably and what
I meant was I kind of see a two zero
win for for Milan in this situation. I do agree,
though you think about you kind of want to stay
(31:16):
away from the spread because I mentioned before I saw
scoring goals, so you know, all they need to do
is pull thee back and it's to one, and you
know your spreads kind of finished there at minus one,
so you can I think I would stay away from
that as well. But I don't know. I'm just convinced
that Milan is in this kind of run a form
right now and they're making the most of what they have.
That formation changes they look good for them, so I
you know, maybe they'll they should use it more going
(31:37):
forward obviously, um and I do see them winning here,
so and I do like the over because I like
you mentioned also but idea as a history of scoring
against Milan, so the over, I think the over hits.
I stay away from the spread, but I like I
like a Milan win regardless. I think that you know,
to one even two zero win can happen, But for
the over, I think it's more something like to one.
But accurate scores are always hard to predict. Yeah, I would.
(32:00):
I would agree with that as well, simply because again,
individual errors are happening at a consistent right for Milan
and that could spell goals for the other team. So
I I think you should look out for what formation
is going to be played. If it's a four two
three one, again for Milan, I think you would have
to go with the over, But again you never really know.
If Milan comes out with a more defensive lineup, then
(32:21):
you can see that happening. But when we come back,
we're gonna be discussing some more of the top matchups
throughout Europe. Stay tuned. Daily Rhodo dot Com learned from
the game's best DFS players. We don't just give you
premier advice. We play every day, all major sports, all
(32:42):
year round. We never stopped industry leading DFS tools and
custom projections, and now Daily Rhodo dot Com optimize that
in minutes, building optimized line up for cash games and turneys.
Learned from the game's best DFS players joined Daily Rhodo
dot Com MHM, Hello, everybody, Welcome back to the free
(33:19):
kick on the Sports Grade TV network. Valencia Real Madrid.
These two teams have been pretty impressive so far this season.
Real Madrid, obviously, we've been on top of them. They've
been so hot as of late. Valencia has been impressive.
They have one of the more entertaining games of the
season in the Champions League Chelsea against Chelsea. If you
guys didn't check that out, I mean, that was one
(33:39):
of one of the great games of the season so far.
But Valencia is a pretty damn good team and I
think a lot of people kind of underrate them, and
I know we've been on Real Madrid. They're really hitting
their formats of late. I think a lot, a lot
lega teams outside of Athletico have been playing well. But
we're gonna look at some of the numbers here. Money
line Valencia plus two twenty, Real Madrid plus one oh
(34:01):
five again the spread another one there minus one fifty
Valencia at plus one plus two eighty for Real Madrid
at minus one. So obviously the bookmakers are thinking this
one's gonna be a really close match. I do envision
that as well. But Real Madrid again plus money with
one oh five for money line. For me, if I'm
(34:21):
gonna lean towards one of the two that we've had
discussed so far, I would lean towards Real Madrid. Money line,
what are you thinking? I'm also thinking the same thing,
but I could see a draw happening. You mentioned Valencia
has been great. Champions League games have been amazing as
well from them, nothing short of you know, entertaining, scaring
a lot of goals left and right. But I like
some of their players by a hoo is really good. Uh.
They have you know, the likes of it other you're
(34:42):
going whatnot? So they have the players that can do it.
They are home also on this match, so that's why
they're kind of getting some love there. Um. And Real
Madrid isn't favored by you know, three thousand because some
some games you really have Real Madrid uh feature favored
by a lot, but plus one on FIBE you can
get plus some money. I would still probably lead towards them.
You know, they kind of have to keep the pace
with Barcelona if they want to win the title. And
(35:04):
we've mentioned in prior episodes that we really are in
Real Madrid and we try to back them to win
the Law League title of the season. But Valencia will
probably keep this close as well. Although the spread really
is enticing though, because minus one from Real Madrid, you know,
plus two eighties, so all you kind of need is
two zero three one. It is very hard to to
you know, to think that. But Real Madrid at plus
(35:25):
to eight is something you know, people might not be
able to back away from. Um. But I think I
lean towards the money line from Real Madrid here at
plus one o five you can still get plus money
there on the road. I understand that. But Valencia has
been a solid team the eighth place, score a lot
of goals also, so and you know, Real Madrid's defense
isn't always you know, the most convincing thing in the
world is kind of yeah, and it's kind of almost
(35:46):
like a Barcelona thing where they you know, they have
the players, but letting goals with you know, viron back
there in Ramo's But I like Roalndrid. It's it's tough
for me to go against Real Madrid. Yeah, I don't know.
I think again, money line, I think I would lean
towards Real Madrid just because every time it might be
a trap. Maybe not, but plus money Real Madrid. I
don't care if it's on the road or home. I
(36:06):
really like them considering the form that they're playing in
UM in terms of the spread, I think I'm doing
this just stay away from this one because Valencia, again
you talked about how well they play against some of
the top teams. They lost to Barcelona, but still, but
the way they're playing in the Champions League, they're at
home against Real Madrid. We talk about all the time
some of the trends that you see in Europe when
when these teams that are pretty good clubs like Valencia
(36:29):
play against teams like Real Madrid and you know, Manchester United,
of the man cities of the world, the top clubs,
they play up to their level, and so I think
that's something I'm going to be looking forward to and seeing.
I don't really see Real Madrid dominating this where it's
a three nothing or a three one game. I think
if it's to nothing, it's a late goal towards the end.
But but you know, I wouldn't rule out to nothing.
(36:51):
I do see that happening, but again I see it
more of like a to one kind of matchup. So
for me, I'm a little scared of touching the spread there.
I do understand when you look at it as plus money,
we're gonna put it up again. Um, I just I
just don't know. I think I would be more comfortable
with Valencia covering that, and I think I would lean
towards their direction. For me, Real Madrid isn't gonna absolutely
(37:13):
dominate if they win this matchup, but I think they
win it handily. It's not going to be one of
those where they're getting so many shots on goals. There's
so many shots, um you know. I think Marcello is
going to have a nice game, pushing up and creating
a little bit. But again, you you mentioned it. They're
susceptible to errors all the time. As great as Sergio
Ramos is, how many times do we see him getting
a yellow card or a red card for something so
(37:35):
stupid that he shouldn't be doing. And I think you
could potentially see that. And the way Valencia plays at home,
they play everybody tough. I think I would lean towards
Valencia covering and and Real Madrid pulling out a win.
I wouldn't be scared of a draw, though I think
it's a draw could be in play here as well. Yeah, absolutely.
And Valencia has only lost ones in our last eight
games overall, and we've mentioned the Champs League performances, and
(37:58):
they've drawn against the likes of, you know, the top
teams in the league right now, Athletic Coast, Sa Villa.
They've beaten bill Bao, who's uh, who's always a solid
team and hard to play against. But the only big
team they've lost we mentioned it is Barcelona, and that's
kind of a thing where a lot of teams lose
to Barcelona, so it's not a huge shock. But I
think you're right though, Valencia will probably keep this close.
I I mentioned spread before just to mention it to
(38:18):
you guys, but I would also stay away with it, uh,
stay away from Itzara. I don't think that uh plus
Twadi is very you know, enticing and kind of christ
lure you in there and try to put it in.
But Valencia, I think, really does play teams home. I
wouldn't even be scared of the under I think in
this mansion under two and a half. Uh, it's probably
gonna be decent for me. I think it's gonna be close.
It could be a draw in the end or a
(38:40):
shutout win for around Madrid. I think it will be
very very close. It might be a scrappy game defensively
from both sides, but I think, uh, money line, I'm
still leading towards Around Madrid. But I also I do
agree you kind of. I think you stay away from
the spread play it's safe. Yeah, yeah, I again, if
I'm going to be leaning towards anyone in terms of spread,
it's gonna be Valencia. I I just don't like Real
(39:01):
Madrid to just dominate like that, but again, there is
we've seen in the sport a week to week. I mean,
who knows Real Madrid can coming here absolutely dominating. You'll
be like, where was that Valencia that we've been talking
about that plays up to teams? I mean, that could
very well happen. But if I'm gonna lean towards anything,
I'd be more inclined to lean towards Valencia covering. And
(39:24):
if I have to pick a winner, because I always
like to pick winners, probably be Real Madrid. I wouldn't
be completely stunned though, if Valencia does pull off a win.
I'm just saying because they do play that well, and
two twenties a pretty good number if you wanted to
jump out and get that. But we're gonna be moving
on now. Fiorentina. Inter Inter again two more points ahead
(39:45):
of Juventus. I know it's a little bit early in
the season and we know, Hugh, we have dominated for
so long, but they finally slipped up. Inter took advantage
of it. They had a tough draw against Roma over
the weekend. Fiorentina, I mean, this is borderline disaster right now.
We really don't know how many days Vincenzo Montella has
left at this club, and and simply it seems like
(40:06):
he is is on his way out, potentially to Enter.
We don't know yet. We'll see what happens in January,
even come June um but as of right now, Enters
just on the much better form ifor Entina one of
the worst forms. And at the moment, I mean, where
are you leaning here? I think this is an easy interwin,
but how easy It might not be easy just for
the fact that Montilla's job is on the on. You know,
(40:29):
he's hanging right there. He might be falling off a
cliff soon. That's he might be let go very soon.
I mean, some very very bad, bad losses to hellas
Veda cha you can't lose against those teams. I think
the Licha loss was at home. You can't lose at
home to to the likes of those teams that are
battling for, you know, staying live out of the relegation zone.
So I think that's very tough. This this game also
(40:50):
is in Florence. It's gonna be a Fionatina home game.
But Intad is is that team now with it's a
different animal. They have to stay ahead of event. Do
they have to take advantage of this? I mean even
think about it. They they could have slipped up by
drawing Roma and and Uva beating Latso. I was completely
wrong about that in our last episode. Um but Latso
b Juventus, so that point, it was another point for
(41:12):
you for intending. You mentioned now they're two points clear.
You never know where this goes on from here. Uh
Uva hasn't looked that great recently. Uh that has been amazing.
I think the likes of laft Auto and Lucaco, but
we've we've talked about them many times. But Latato for
me is really Latato. Martinez has really surprised me. I
didn't see this coming. I believe he has ten goals
or something like that, so he's he's up there. Um,
(41:34):
obviously no one's near Mobila, but that's fine, that doesn't
matter in this situation. I think you need to win
here and you can get plus money plus t one
on five for a first place team against one of
the worst teams in the league. Um, and Fiordina is
only a plus two fifties. So it's hard for me
to even think about taking Fildentina in this game, just
because I would want a way high like plus four
(41:56):
hundreds something like that, with the way they've been playing,
so I think their respect them a little bit too
much for me personally, I think he did plus one
of five is where you go. Yeah, I know that
that That's what I'm thinking too. I I think this
one is pretty easy, even the spread minus one Inter
plus two nineties give me that as well, because I
feel more confident in this game than anything, simply for
the fact that I think the oddsmakers are thinking, Okay,
(42:19):
Inter has this game against Barcelona this week. There there
is a chance that that might be a little bit fatigued.
But we know Antonio Conte. He is going to play
his guys as much as he can until they absolutely
burn out. Whether or not that's smart, that's for a
different debate, but this is exactly what he does and
defense you could play it in every single match, right,
defense doesn't really get worn out. We know how prolific
(42:41):
the attack has been. They played well against Roma, they
could have had two to three goals against them and
eched out a win there. But their defense is just
so damn solid, and I don't understand how fiar Rentina
is supposed to be able to break that attack. We
saw them in free fall at the end of last
season where they almost got relegated. They didn't get a
win in their last thirteen matches. They haven't gotten a
win in their past four matches, So what makes us
(43:03):
think that they're all of a sudden going to be
able to turn the corner against Inter somehow get a
point for them. I just don't see a scenario in
which that happens. And I think they're just favoring Fiorentina
too much. And then when you go to the over under,
now look under two and a half goals at plus
one oh two. I I don't see a scenario in
which Inter actually only gets two goals in this only
(43:24):
because their attack is so potent, and Lucaco really steps
up against these more mid table clubs. He we know
he has a history of struggling against the better teams
in leagues, but this is a match where I think
he can dominate. He can actually bag two goals, and
whether it's Martinez getting a third or something like that.
I don't see a scenario in which Fiorentina scores. I
(43:44):
really don't. I think Inter defense is that good and
Doanovitch has been on fire, and for me, I think
I'm gonna hammer the over the spread for Inter and
the money line. I just don't see a scenario in
which Fiorentina shows up. I could be dead wrong and
look like an idiot after saying all of this, but
for me, my money is on into Yeah for me too,
But I think the only thing you really area you
(44:05):
have to worry about for him that I think we
haven't mentioned. Yes in midfield, but you know the sense
he's still about Ella's out, so that hurts them a
little bit. We've seen them have to depend on the
likes of Borda, Valletto and the Sino. You know, it's
been pretty good for them actually, so I don't want to,
you know, put anything on his name that I shouldn't
be talking about. But Borda Valletto is not you know,
he's not the Valletto old that was with Fionntina, who
was a decent player. He's getting up there. Um, so
(44:28):
the midfield is a little bit to be worried about.
But okay, if you gets by their midfield, do they
get by the defense? Probably not. You know you we
keep mentioning, but if you have the likes of Golden
on the bench, you don't even have to use him.
Imagine starting him with the likes of Senior and Davie.
I mean, it's how is your score one goal? Let alone?
Let alone one or two to get a win. You know,
(44:49):
maybe they can scratch one. But I also agree with
the over it's it's at minus one. It's not that
bad actually, uh minus for a matchup like this. I
also think you're correct here are kind of favoring in
the midweek and Champions League thinking, you know that obviously
need to get a win. But it's not like they're
facing someone big and then coming into the city on
(45:10):
playing you know you enters. They're playing Fianandina. So it's
a very different situation. Um I I think you have
to nail all three of them as well. I mean,
I'm trying to find a way to disagree with you,
to give you guys some something to look at it.
And that's different, but it's it's hard. And you get
plus two ninety from minus are you kidding me? That's
plus three hundred. That's almost triple. That's insane. You gotta
(45:30):
jump all over that when you can. And I think
you're right. Lucaca can easily bag a hat trick of
his own here. Whether it happens or not, we can't
control that outcome, but he has a favorable matchup. Uh.
Scores like if if we if you, if you want
to find a goal scorer, Lukak has got to be
the way to go. They've been scoring all the goals
for this team throughout the season. So I would be
confident in picking one of them if you guys can
get some decent odds on there. Uh, And you know,
(45:52):
I think you haven't also places Roma next if I'm
not mistaken, So Montella could be on his way out.
It's hard for them to be any of these two teams. Yeah,
and know and and for me to the thing that
I don't understand is that somehow Fiorentina is supposed to
rally around him. He's not a guy that has a
lot of high character and emotion just like Antonio Conte does. Right,
Because this is why I love intern Conte, because the
(46:15):
odds makers are thinking, hey, Inter is not really going
to step up this week. They're gonna take their foot
off the gas a little bit. No, no, no, that's
the exact opposite of what Conte does. And that's why
I'm expecting a big dominant match from Inter into this.
So I'm liking all three of those, including the over
two and a half. This is inters game to dominate.
I think they're going to dominate. So just really quick
(46:37):
to clarify, you are going all three of those? Yeah,
I'll go with all three. I have no problem picking
all three. And I really like minus one. I mean,
that's it's a lot of money you guys can make
off just a two goal differential for for anything, you
gotta go with it. Yeah, And that's something that you're
gonna have to look out with Inter in these coming games.
But when we come back, we're gonna be discussing Inters
(46:57):
odds for the Scudetto NFL season is now upon us,
so you can become the eighth person awayen one million
dollars in a Fandula Draft Kings tournament. My sator lineups
(47:18):
using the Daily Order dot Com DFS line of optimizer.
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(47:38):
are made. Welcome back to our final segment. Martino Puccio,
Gio Cosalina. We were just talking about Intern, how dominant
they've been, but we're talking again about their odds. I
(48:00):
know Hube has been dominant, they win the league seemingly
every single season this past decade, but Inter now very interesting.
They have a two point lead so far for the
Scudetto race. We just talked about how we should expect
them to dominate against Fiorentina. Huve is slipping. They're not
playing that great, but still only one loss on the season.
I just wanted to talk about the odds for the
(48:20):
scudetto Wild. Toss him up now, Inter plus two hundred,
hub A minus one nine d. Now, if you love
Inter to win the Scudetto Gio, is now the best
time to jump on them before the odds change. Yeah? Absolutely,
and that plus two hundred, you think about it. If
they keep getting one or two points at a time. Also,
it's not like they need to go by ten. The
more they start winning, the more the paint uh distance
(48:43):
that they get from Juventus, these odds are gonna start
shooting down because they're gonna start becoming the favorite. We're
almost halfway through the season, you know, we're a couple
of weeks away from the winner, champion, winner crown where
we're halfway mark. So I think you want to go
for Inter plus two hundred. Now, if you really think
they're gonna win it, you go for it. Um and
you way is at minus one ninety. Think about it.
If he goes up a little bit, you can get
(49:03):
even higher odds for them. But minus one ninety compared
to prior years where Juventus has been winning nonstopping pretty handily,
you know, not he's gotten up there a couple of
times not you know, failed towards the end of the
year to really put pressure on them. Besides maybe one
season out of the past probably the lowest there odds. Yeah,
since that game where scored the goal exact where they
where they thought it might have been over with. But again, yeah,
(49:25):
I mean, but what about even sticking with Hua at
this at minus one ninety, because that isn't the worst
thing in the world either, right, because you're banking on
Huvea to just win the league again. And I still
like them at at minus one ninety, and I still
think that they have time to turn around. I mean,
it's Juventus and Ronaldo has been playing like like crap.
Let's just be honest. He's been paying very bad and
someone of his his level is not gonna want to,
(49:47):
you know, put that on his name, whether he wants
to leave or no. You don't know what's going on exactly.
You don't want he doesn't want to do that, And
I feel like this is the time for him to
turn things around and get Juventus back on track and
Debaa and him can team up and get this done.
You know, it's a two point distance, guys, It's not
like they're you know, tend behind. So even if you
you know, you're confident in that hey you went this,
(50:08):
is youvent this, they're gonna take it again, you probably
take them in mind as one ninety now while you
can get a decent number on it. Yeah, and even
if you love enter same thing to play Devil's advocate,
if you love entering this now, it is probably the
best time to jump on it, because again, if they
do go up by another three points five is a
decisible gap, those odds will change by a decent amount.
So inter plus two hundred if you want to jump
(50:28):
on that, Hugh right minus one. Guys, thanks so much
for watching. Next time we'll be back on the sportscrad
TV network.
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