Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome to Way Did You Talk?
Speaker 2 (00:02):
Today, the gold standard of sports betting shows where we
talk the talk and walk the walk. Lineup is loaded today.
Yannie's going to join us, drop the steam report. Joeann
Airy's going to join us preview Jets Patriots on Thursday
Night Football, along with the preview of the Raptors and Cavaliers.
He's on fire in NBA, and then we'll close out
with the same game parlay on Thursday Night Football. Course,
(00:23):
we got some free plays for you in all around
the world. Don't forget the Blitz is coming up right
after this show. Brian Power and the Gang are going
to get you ready for the college football weekend.
Speaker 1 (00:35):
Let's get started.
Speaker 2 (00:37):
Everyone in the chat, please hit like button algorithm boost time. Hey,
let's bring in Yanni and we will start talking about
what we've seen some line move sharp moves in this
Thursday night game.
Speaker 1 (00:47):
Happy Thursday, Yannie, How.
Speaker 3 (00:48):
Are you never better? Brother?
Speaker 4 (00:50):
Coming off another two and oh sweep in college football?
Now four and oh in college football four week twelve.
To John, I'm coming off of losing week last week.
Tell you when I win, tell you when I lose.
Ten of twelve weeks I've won in college football. Last
week was one of the losing weeks. We always bounce back,
and that's exactly what's happened in Perfect four and zero
so far in college football. I was going to five
(01:10):
percent it because I like Saturday's board that much, and
I found two plays that qualify. If I say, you
know what, keep it at twenty nine bucks, give them
all the four percents, just all the strongest plays in
there all together. So excited about that. I don't have
anything in tonight's college football. Here's what I can tell you,
gun the head. I have to bet this game. I'm
(01:31):
on old dominion and I'm laying double digits. I think
they blow Troy out of the water, and I like
the game over as well. Problem is, line's moving against
me in both directions, and I really don't have the
conviction to fade it. I don't have any real reason
to fade that move that I'm seeing. My power ratings suggests.
(01:52):
You know, these teams are barely in the top ninety.
They're very comparable. Even though they're at six and three
real week strength of schedule. Choy's got like the one
hundred and fifteenth toughest strength of schedule Old Dominion's got
like the eightieth toughest strength of schedule, so obviously give
the edge to Old Dominion there. I also like that
they're a little more balanced, both edge and offense, both
(02:16):
edge in defense with the tougher schedule, so they have
a better efficiency offensively, better efficiency defensively. And they've had
the tougher strength of schedule. They're obviously the much better
team factor in home field advantage, and I think they
get the job done.
Speaker 3 (02:30):
Problem is linees a little bit.
Speaker 4 (02:31):
Too high at about ten and a half. I was
hoping to get it under that number.
Speaker 3 (02:36):
Under ten I.
Speaker 4 (02:37):
Probably would have got involved. But where it sits now,
I'll have to sit it out. Jets and New England,
let's get to the NFL. Have a package up there
as well. A couple plays already release. I like New England.
The problem is it's too late. Like now, it's either
Jets or pass. And here's why, because I could have
got down at ten and a half, could have got
(02:57):
down at eleven, eleven and a half, twelve, twelve and
a half.
Speaker 3 (02:59):
Well, what was I waiting for Yley thirteen? Today?
Speaker 4 (03:02):
I'm obviously not getting the best of it right, I'm
not going to get a ton of closing line value
and this one closes above fourteen, which I doubt is
going to happen.
Speaker 3 (03:11):
So I have one choice, do I like the Jets
or nothing at all?
Speaker 4 (03:15):
And when I look at the Jets, not all that
much to like in this matchup power rating wise. They're
at the bottom three or four teams in my power ratings.
They've had an easy strength of schedule. In fact, only
four teams had an easier strength of schedule than the Jets,
and yet they are in the bottom five offensively and
the bottom five defensively as far as efficiency goes. I
(03:40):
look at New England. The reason whyse guys haven't been
steaming New England during this nice hot streak obvious strength
of schedule. They've had the easiest schedule in all of
the NFL, and yet they haven't even cracked the top fifteen. Offensively,
they're right there about fifteenth or sixteenth spot. Defensively right
(04:00):
there about fifteenth spot. So they're an average team with
the easiest schedule. But somehow they keep winning football games.
Why because they have a quarterback with a passing success
rate that's pretty much top five in the league and
continues to get it done somehow. This New England team
keeps winning again. Their box score isn't impressive. That's why
(04:20):
you're not seeing wise guys riding them throughout this run.
But rest is short. They got out ahead on this
game and that's why. Now it's a Jets or pass.
So for me, it's a pass because I like the
New England side as far as the total goes. Another
situation where if you like the under, it's too late.
Could have got forty four, could have got forty three
and a half, could have got forty three. Now you're
(04:42):
taking the absolute worst of it. So you have two options.
Do I go jets and over or do I leave
it alone? Personally I say leave it alone. I do
lean over because I think this total has been over adjusted.
But based on the recency bias both teams coming in
having scored points, trend just isn't there. So for me,
when I don't feel that I have big.
Speaker 3 (05:04):
Edges, just sit back.
Speaker 4 (05:06):
We have nothing but a board to pick against. We
have NBA college basketball, NHL football tomorrow, football the next day,
football the next day. You see where I'm going with this,
Wait the place, good bets and if the line's gotten
away from you. It probably isn't a good bet. So
it's a pass for me in the NFL. It's a
pass for me in college football. And we move on
(05:26):
to Friday, Saturday and Sunday football action where there is
plenty of value on the board.
Speaker 2 (05:33):
Yeah, we need a name for when there was a
really obvious bet on the board and like, somehow I
got too cute and talk myself out of it, and
then it just ends up being the most obvious play.
Speaker 1 (05:45):
And what was it? What was I thinking?
Speaker 2 (05:48):
I'm referring to Northern Illinois against UMass last night.
Speaker 1 (05:52):
What I sat there and.
Speaker 2 (05:55):
Stared at that game, called like, hey, should we do anything?
That we were going to Northern Ilinoid spread, Northern Delinoid
team total over, you masked team total under. And then
what did we play nothing?
Speaker 4 (06:10):
Because it's like it's worse than losing because you're like,
I didn't even fire. It's almost seriously because at least
then you're like, my opinion was wrong.
Speaker 3 (06:18):
I paid the price for it.
Speaker 4 (06:19):
But here in your life there was money on the
ground and I was just too lazy to bend over
and pick it up.
Speaker 3 (06:25):
And that at the next day is an awful feeling.
Believe me, been there, done that.
Speaker 5 (06:30):
Just got to let it go and look at the
bright side.
Speaker 3 (06:32):
You were on the right.
Speaker 5 (06:33):
Side, That's how you got it.
Speaker 3 (06:35):
Take it because that scared me.
Speaker 4 (06:37):
I was on the same side and I only gave
it as a three percent play when I wanted to
upgrade it.
Speaker 3 (06:41):
But the line move scared.
Speaker 5 (06:43):
Me a little bit.
Speaker 4 (06:44):
The volume coming it was just one of those that
turned me off as well. And I've learned one lesson
in my life out here in Las Vegas that the
the times that I'm running up to the window ready
to look on the ground for an extra dollar to
bet on the game, those usually are the toughest to cash.
The ones that I'm afraid to get to the window,
(07:06):
that I'm trying to talk myself out of it, those
usually end up winning the easiest. Like you know, it's
like your your your intuition's telling you do this, but
you're afraid to do it, And the scary bets end
up cashing the easiest more times than not.
Speaker 1 (07:21):
Yeah, I didn't even bet as small nothing, not one thing.
Speaker 2 (07:26):
On the worst college football team, Ralph Michael said, this
is the worst college.
Speaker 1 (07:30):
Football team he has power rated is in his life.
Speaker 2 (07:33):
Yeah, and we're just sitting there with an obvious line
and play it all. Right, Let's let's talk about some
things that we can play. So we got some movement
in basketball and hockey tonight.
Speaker 4 (07:42):
Indeed, I'll go quickly because we got two NBA games
that got hit Cleveland Cleveland side and total Cleveland mine
is six, six and a half and seven. So they
like the Cleveland side and the under two forty and
then Indiana Phoenix going against the public which is betting
this game under. Actually they went oh over two thirty
all the way to two thirty two Indiana Phoenix. So
(08:03):
it's Cleveland and the under and then over in the
Indiana Phoenix game.
Speaker 6 (08:08):
Real quickly.
Speaker 5 (08:08):
College basketball not.
Speaker 4 (08:09):
A lot yet, but here's what we did get down
on seven forty six West Virginia five and a half
and six. I bet that as well. San Jose State
seven forty seven at plus twenty five and a half,
twenty five and twenty four and a half. That first
got dummied up on the Michigan State side, and then
once limits opened up and the off screens opened up,
(08:30):
that's when you saw the San Jose State money come in.
That's a three percent for me to my subscribers, didygo
free premium play there on San Jose State. Don't want
that line move to scare you win or lose. We
are on the sharp side. And then Purdue Alabama over
one seventy two to one seventy four and a half.
And finally Saint Thomas minus twelve thirteen and under one
(08:51):
fifty four and a half. For you extra game or
extra board fans, Grambling flip the favorite from plus one
to minus one.
Speaker 3 (08:57):
They laid both.
Speaker 4 (08:58):
And in the NHL LA Kings minus one twenty five
and thirty Montreal minus one ten and Calgary minus one
fifty five. So that's the Kings, Canadians and the Flames
in the NHL.
Speaker 3 (09:11):
So we got action everywhere today.
Speaker 1 (09:14):
I love it, man, I love it. Props.
Speaker 2 (09:17):
Keep hitting in NBA props, keep hitting in NHL props,
keep hitting hitting all.
Speaker 1 (09:21):
Over the place.
Speaker 2 (09:21):
We'll talk about some more props. Joanny want to let's
let's talk a litoutle UFC. We won't have time to
do that tomorrow, sir uh. We have a potential staff
infection for Chepe. I saw that floating around. He looks
ripped and shredded, but then he's got this gigantic soar
on his wrist.
Speaker 1 (09:39):
It's like, oh know, here we go.
Speaker 2 (09:41):
Any any interesting line move, I mean, susir KaiA now
minus over one thousand. Nothing you can do with there,
any of the line moves that kind of have your interest.
Speaker 4 (09:48):
I'm on Sabatini. I bet Sabatini. Do I feel a
little better seeing that with Chepe? Yeah, Chepe is a tough.
Speaker 3 (09:55):
Matchup for him.
Speaker 4 (09:56):
He is, But if Sabatin he's able to do sabat
any things, he's got that clear path to victory.
Speaker 3 (10:03):
The problem is every round starts.
Speaker 4 (10:05):
Standing, and if chet as able to start picking them apart,
the takedown gets harder and harder, and him implementing his
game gets harder and harder. I would have liked him
at the plus money opener, but I understand why he's
the favorite. I think he's the rightful favorite strength of
schedule wise and experience wise. I think he does win
(10:27):
this fight six out of ten times, so I do
think it's priced about right.
Speaker 3 (10:32):
But yeah, it worries.
Speaker 4 (10:33):
Me because Chete is just a tough matchup for him.
Real quickly, who else, Oh dari USh, I wanted your
opinion here because BSD is now all of a sudden
changed that style. He's telling us he's not going to
be reckless anymore. He's going in with with caution. He's
(10:53):
still going to be that action fighters, he's saying, but
he's not going to be reckless. He's coming off the
biggest winning his career, at least market wise, beating the
fighting nerd of more Mauricio Hoofi or roughly to US Americans,
who had been perfect since the Contender series two out
of three fights, got performance bonuses, ready to make that
(11:16):
next step, and.
Speaker 3 (11:18):
Gets the loss to BSD.
Speaker 4 (11:19):
I think he's a little bit overvalued here, coming in
against at Dary Hush, who I thought his career was done.
Like he beat Gamrat which was so impressive, but then
he loses to Olivera.
Speaker 6 (11:29):
He loses to.
Speaker 4 (11:30):
Seruki in by knockout, first round. Knockouts back to back,
You're like, Okay, it's finally here. The age is there.
Darry Hush has looked old since his first fight in
the UFC. He's just that guy who looks like he's
fifty when he was fifteen years old.
Speaker 3 (11:42):
And he's awkward. He always looks uncoordinated. It's just his style.
Speaker 4 (11:47):
But I just think he's this is like closer to
a coin flip than BSD now being that that favorite,
because let's not forget he was a huge, huge dog
in the fight that he just came off his biggest win.
Now that flips and he's now in the favorites role
against dangerous Dariuge again. If there's anything left in the tank,
(12:09):
I think it's Dolger pass. What do you think of
that fight?
Speaker 2 (12:12):
So st Deny came out and a couple of fights
ago and said he really didn't even have a coach
or like a schedule. He was just kind of winging it,
and he's gotten back on track now that he has
some organization. I don't put I don't put anything in
that win against Moano. McConnell's shoulder is bad. He needs surgery.
Speaker 1 (12:33):
He's open.
Speaker 2 (12:33):
He's just taking fights to cash money until he goes
and gets that shoulder surgery because he's going to be
out for a.
Speaker 1 (12:38):
Very very long time. I hate this line move.
Speaker 2 (12:41):
I'm not laying minus one eighty on it because Satany
can always gas, but it would be Satany or nothing.
But but you missed it. You missed the best number.
You're not playing it now at that minus one knee, the.
Speaker 3 (12:51):
All the one because I don't want to let you.
Speaker 4 (12:52):
I got to hear your your opinion Edwards product because
I saw a line move to the Edwards side yesterday
as I was doing my UFC podcast, I saw the
line get hit at two spots that I pay attention to,
and I was like, am I just reading this way off? I?
Actually it feel like I'm on I'm on the square
side because I like protests. I just think Edward's best
(13:12):
years are behind him, and I think he's going to
turn in the wrestler here against Protest is going to
be forced to with that reach advantage, in that power,
and eventually, once you get past the first round, the
takedown gets harder and harder. And if Edwards don't get
him out of there, I think it's going to be
the opposite Prodest gets him added there.
Speaker 3 (13:28):
But am I reading it wrong?
Speaker 2 (13:30):
I One of my favorite angles is fading the older
fighters that reach their apex and have come down. And
Edwards reached his apex and he started to come down.
When do you watch his fights, His corner literally has
to yell at him, wake up, wake up, you're fighting
for your life, wake up like we need to finish,
and like he does, he doesn't look too interested. It's
a lot of miles in this body, and you can
(13:52):
poke real holes in his wins. It's Protest, and I
wouldn't be surprised if this is some line manipulation and
Protest gets hit hard and he's going to close it
over minus two hundred. I don't see a world in
which Edwards comes out motivated enough to get to get Protest.
Speaker 1 (14:07):
Out of there.
Speaker 2 (14:08):
Protests does have some takedown defense. It's not like a
lock that he's.
Speaker 5 (14:11):
Terearing what I said.
Speaker 3 (14:12):
I thought that loss was actually good.
Speaker 4 (14:14):
He went three rounds for if it wasn't for the
smoking and the partying, Like who knows what? I thought
the Machada loss was actually a benefit to him. Had
to go three hard rounds against a guy that didn't
want to fight, you know what I mean, and was
like using his game plan perfectly. Gary did what he
was supposed to do.
Speaker 6 (14:32):
But yeah, I.
Speaker 3 (14:33):
Bet him yesterday, I'll tell you now. I sent him
out to subscribers too.
Speaker 4 (14:35):
When I saw that line move drop lower, I'm like,
I'm betting him now, wise guy, schmiz Guys I'm fading
the steam.
Speaker 2 (14:42):
He's he's the only fighter in UFC that celebrates a
win with a cigarette right after the fight.
Speaker 1 (14:47):
Hilarious. It's it's it's so and it's it's not phony.
Speaker 3 (14:50):
That's what I like.
Speaker 4 (14:51):
Actually, first thought, it's a gimmick, like trying to look
cooler than you are, but it's not.
Speaker 3 (14:55):
That's just who the dude is.
Speaker 1 (14:57):
Packa day, professional UFC fighter, pack a day. Unbelievable. Speaking
of packs, what pack do you have up at wage?
You talk? How's that for a segue?
Speaker 6 (15:05):
I love it.
Speaker 3 (15:06):
We are professionals. We're ready to go.
Speaker 4 (15:08):
There's a big NBA board, and I've been doing really
good in the NBA, being selected five and two the
last seven place seventy one percent, and I isolated the
strongest bet on the NBA board where I saw multiple
groups on the same side, and I already had that
one circle, so I'm not even hunting deeper. One big
bet in the NBA at a four percent, And then
we got volume in college basketball, not a ton, but
(15:30):
five plays in college basketball, so or fourth plays. So
I put a little five pack together with NBA and
college basketball. But for those that want that one big
bet the NBA is a solo by itself as well. Standalone,
I also have my college basketball, college football forgive me
package up four Saturday's Action loaded with four percents, already
UFC with a five percent loaded, already Sunday NFL loaded
(15:54):
with a couple four percent. Big, big weekend, jump on board,
and let's do some damage. I'm excited, as you can tell.
Cash weekend cash bets at the window. It's that kind
of weekend. So whether you follow or fade, I hope
you do some damage.
Speaker 3 (16:07):
A and M. No, No, A and M.
Speaker 4 (16:09):
Listen, bro, I keep it real. I have to address this.
Please give me a second. I just tell you what
my power ratings reflect. I have no bias at all.
I don't care about the teams. I look at the numbers,
cover the names for all I care. Slowly but surely,
I have had to improve the power rating of Texas
A and M. But they're still overvalued. They're still over ranked.
(16:31):
They're now in my top ten. They just cracked my
top ten, but they are not the number two, three
four team in the country that much. I promise you will.
That happened by between now and the end of the season.
Speaker 6 (16:41):
I don't know.
Speaker 4 (16:42):
The math will tell us, but as of right now,
they are still overvalued. They're still ranked higher than they
should be, and they're still on the fade list if overpriced,
that's just the bottom line. So far, the power ratings
have proven to be on the right side more than
the wrong side, but not gonna be one hundred percent.
Time's gonna tell I still think they're.
Speaker 1 (17:03):
Over valued, all right? Anl one. Not a fraud.
Speaker 2 (17:08):
Come on, not a fraud, all right, Yanni, can't wait
to see it tomorrow For Football Friday, We're gonna get
everybody red and ready to go for the huge weekend
of sports. We got a lot of things that are
up nice. Two in one night in the NBA last
night for myself and for clients. We got NBA and
NHL pack that is up right now. We've got a
one play in each. We're seventeen units in the in
(17:29):
the profit in the month of November, so go grab that.
We also have our five percent UFC best bet that's up.
We're off of four straight UFC winners. And we've got
our NFL Week eleven props pack.
Speaker 1 (17:40):
That is up.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
That's on the page. WT Dot Buzz Slash al. We
are in play tonight seven and two on Thursday night games.
So we've been seeing the Thursday night card. We'll good,
we're gonna have one play in that.
Speaker 1 (17:50):
So lot going on.
Speaker 2 (17:51):
NBA and NHL props that are up. We've got a
five percent UFC best bet that is up, and we
have our NFL Week eleven props that are up.
Speaker 1 (18:00):
Let's bring in Joe Vernieri.
Speaker 2 (18:03):
Joe, you got some games to break down, but I
have to get our LSU update.
Speaker 1 (18:09):
I see, I see.
Speaker 2 (18:11):
They're now arguing over whether or not Brian Kelly was
actually fired.
Speaker 1 (18:16):
It's just it's it's the gift that keeps on giving.
What's what's the update?
Speaker 6 (18:21):
Now?
Speaker 2 (18:21):
They're arguing about the buy out. They're arguing about a
miss deadline from Brian Kelly.
Speaker 7 (18:26):
They're trying to weasel their way out of Ashley paying
them the you know, the the fifty million dollars that
they owe them. You know, he didn't want to be fired.
I mean, it wasn't like he was trying to get
himself out of there. It was it was just a
terrible deal all the way around. But it wasn't you know,
it wasn't any worse than than Jimbo Fisher's deal, which
(18:47):
was absolutely horrific as well.
Speaker 6 (18:49):
So, uh, you know it's in writing. You gotta pay him.
They're trying to come up.
Speaker 7 (18:53):
With reasons to fire him for cause they offered him
to Why if Brian Kelly would you.
Speaker 6 (18:58):
Take less money?
Speaker 7 (18:59):
And exactly like, because you're gonna all right, I know
you guys wanted to get rid of me, So I'll
take thirty million instead of fifty meal.
Speaker 6 (19:06):
Like what the hell are you talking about?
Speaker 7 (19:08):
Like pay the guy you fired him, paying what's in
the contract and move on. It's not the last bad
contract in college football we're gonna see. And this is
what happens when you allow governors to get involved in
what happens with football programs at state schools.
Speaker 2 (19:24):
I when I, well, we're fired with cause?
Speaker 6 (19:29):
What cause?
Speaker 2 (19:30):
What did he lost a few games? What was the
cause that he didn't go for it on fourth down?
I don't think that'll hold up.
Speaker 7 (19:40):
The only worse than that, Andy is the NCAA stepping
in and vacating fourteen wins from Michigan State.
Speaker 6 (19:49):
As if wow, I mean nothing, says who.
Speaker 7 (19:55):
I hope Michigan State can recover from the fourteen wins
that apparently never happened the last four years. Like what,
NCAA should just go away, They should just all go away.
Speaker 6 (20:05):
Never say you've.
Speaker 7 (20:06):
Got a backup right tackle making six figures in nil
money and you're vacating wins as if because somebody bought
a hotel room four years ago, Like, what are you doing?
Speaker 6 (20:19):
It's just totally over the top.
Speaker 2 (20:22):
Really, that was what That was one of the most
laughable stories I saw, just out of nowhere, We're gonna
vacate Michigan stands.
Speaker 1 (20:28):
I got a national champion, not a big scandal.
Speaker 2 (20:31):
Just I saw, like what that coach now has zero
wins officially?
Speaker 7 (20:36):
Jonathan's fath like, I mean he comes in after which
mel Tucker would have been the ultimate you know, ninety
five million dollars, except he couldn't keep it in his
pants apparently, and that was the end of that and
he just.
Speaker 6 (20:49):
Wiped away ninety five million.
Speaker 7 (20:50):
Otherwise they'd be paying mel Tucker until the year twenty
three hundred. Uh. It's absolutely out of control what happens
in college football.
Speaker 6 (20:59):
Absolutely, it's crazy.
Speaker 2 (21:01):
So funny all right, Well, speaking speaking of funny, the
Jets are playing tonight, the Jets on the pats. We
talked about last week the jetsiest thing ever would be
for them to trade their picks and then immediately win
a game to ruin.
Speaker 1 (21:14):
Their draft position.
Speaker 2 (21:15):
So we got the books aren't playing around. Neither is
the betting markets here New England open ten and a half.
Speaker 1 (21:21):
This thing's up to.
Speaker 2 (21:22):
Thirteen over under forty three, short week for both teams.
I looked at whether it's gonna a little nippy, but
there's no rain, snow, no wind, so looks like left
fine conditions.
Speaker 1 (21:34):
What's your take on this game?
Speaker 7 (21:36):
Well, let's start with this because I just did the show,
the best betting show ever with art and collectively we
can't figure out who the quarterback is tonight for the Jets.
Speaker 6 (21:46):
Does anybody have any idea? Because Aaron Glenn is playing.
Speaker 7 (21:49):
Like Pinka bo right now, Like, oh, don't want to
give away any secrets, Like what the hell difference does
to make if it's Tyrod Taylor or if it's justin Field?
Speaker 6 (21:58):
They both suck? Andy. Can you even get a prop
on a Jet quarterback right now? Are you seeing any anywhere?
Speaker 2 (22:05):
Yes, you can take the under and you're gonna laugh
at this. I have never seen the number of this
level under one hundred and thirty three yards passing for
justin fields.
Speaker 1 (22:15):
That's the whole game.
Speaker 2 (22:16):
That's not first half, that's the full game. One hundred
and thirty three yards.
Speaker 1 (22:21):
And guess what, I'm not taking the over. No, no way.
Speaker 7 (22:25):
So no, that's that's.
Speaker 6 (22:28):
A little bit.
Speaker 7 (22:28):
Sorry, No, that's It's so bad on so many different
levels it's not even funny.
Speaker 6 (22:33):
But I do think there is one angle here tonight.
I can't tell you.
Speaker 7 (22:37):
I mean, I don't know if there's special special teams
to score a touchdown. Yes, I guess, because where the
hell else are the points coming from. The Jets are
bad on so many different levels, but the Patriots are
very good on one level. And I hate this line
because this is exactly the kind of game Andy where
the entire worlds like, oh they almost used the OL word.
(23:00):
Oh it's a lock, and there's no way, there's absolutely
no way. The Patriots don't blo out.
Speaker 6 (23:06):
Guess what you know.
Speaker 7 (23:06):
They said the same crap about Buffalo last week and
in Miami, and look at how well that worked out.
Speaker 6 (23:12):
This to me is.
Speaker 7 (23:15):
So the only way I would look at this in
a division rivally on a short week, which I think
levels the playing field more than its advantage for New England.
But New England right now is the number one team
in the NFL and he covering the first half line,
And it makes total sense to me because you've got
one of the best OC's with Drake May there when
(23:39):
the scripted portion of the game is underway. Nobody is
better right now. And they are absolutely boat racing teams.
They are the only team, I believe in the NFL
andy that has actually led into halftime in every game.
So I think that line is still seven to seven.
Speaker 6 (23:59):
And a half.
Speaker 7 (24:00):
I'm wearing that ballpark there, listen. I could we see
fourteen to three at the break. Absolutely. The only way
I would look at this is back to Patriots. You know,
the worst team against the number in the first half
the New York Jets. So when you have that kind
of dichotomy between these two teams, I believe the Patriots
(24:21):
will have a lead, probably by double digits at the break.
So I would only look to back them in the
first half because good luck trying to figure out what
you're going to get in the second half of this one.
Speaker 1 (24:32):
Yeah, we're lockstep.
Speaker 2 (24:33):
I'm doing the same game parlay at the end of
the show, and I have a Patriots first half propers well,
so we're yeah, we're locked loaded on that one.
Speaker 1 (24:43):
All right. We have the Raptors and the Calves. Calves
coming off of back to.
Speaker 2 (24:47):
Back really nice win last night for Cleveland Raptors. I
really haven't followed too much, but this Cleveland team's been
pretty open about resting guys and not playing you know,
their players, because they went too hard in the regular
season last year, and they got a win with resting
their guys. Now all their guys are gonna be back.
It's where you're seeing this minus seven and a half
(25:08):
over under two thirty eight. How do you break down
Raptors in Cavs tonight?
Speaker 7 (25:11):
Well, I watched balt of these. I mean, this is
the third game in four nights here for the Cavs.
They just played two here in Miami against the Heat.
That game the other night and overtime might have been
the one of the best basketball games I watched in
a very very long time. With a zero point four
second alley oop win by the Miami Heat in overtime,
they might have scored three hundred points in that game. Andy,
(25:33):
if they actually went to a second overtime. It was hilarious.
So what did they do last night? While they sit
Donovan Mitchell, they sit Evan Mobley, they sit Darius Garland,
and while they end up winning and dropping another one
hundred and thirty points in that game last night. So
now they're gonna take on a Raptors team that has
been This is not an easy out for any buddy.
(25:56):
You know, Toronto has been very, very good. They started
off there a little shaky, but Brandon Ingram has been
a absolute monster for them here. This is a team
that is not going to go quietly into the night.
Not to mention, they already played an NBA Cup game
against one another and the Raptors won that game.
Speaker 6 (26:15):
They're the first goal round.
Speaker 7 (26:17):
It feels like this is gonna be a nice back
and forth.
Speaker 6 (26:21):
I know theice.
Speaker 7 (26:22):
This line opened up before the Miami Heat game last
night with Cleveland at five five and a half. Woke
up this morning it was seven and a half, and
that's kind of where it sits right now. And I
get it. Mitchell's gonna play, Mobley's gonna play. Garland may
or may not play, But I still think seven and
a half is a lot of points for a team
(26:44):
that's really starting to come into their own here in Toronto.
And again, third game and four nights. Not's ideal here
for the Calves. I like the Raptors plus the points
if I was gonna go anywhere in this one. But
they're dropping one hundred and thirty points a game like
it's nobody's business.
Speaker 6 (27:00):
This this Caves team.
Speaker 7 (27:02):
I don't know how sustainable that is when you play
against a good defensive team, which they're going to be
going up against in the Raptors here tonight.
Speaker 1 (27:11):
I really like this Caves team. I've watched them.
Speaker 8 (27:14):
We have it.
Speaker 2 (27:14):
We have it over on their season win total, which
I'm a touch concerned about. I still think we got
a great number. But their bench is really good. I
got Lonzo Ball. Lonso Ball is all of a sudden playing.
Speaker 6 (27:25):
Really last night. Yep, he was good.
Speaker 2 (27:27):
That Sam Merrill is really good for behind the three.
So it's a really good Caves team. I like him
a let.
Speaker 1 (27:33):
You've got a great start to the NBA season. Congratulations
to you on that teleroom. What you have up at
WAJA talk.
Speaker 7 (27:39):
Number one NBA and college basketball crushing into college basketball
as well here, I think combined I'm already up NBA
and college basketball over sixty three units to start the season,
so things.
Speaker 6 (27:52):
Are going well.
Speaker 7 (27:53):
Got a locked and loaded on a couple of college
basketball games here tonight.
Speaker 6 (27:59):
It's a light or slate.
Speaker 7 (28:01):
Uh and uh, I think I'm gonna pass on the
NBA tonight, but we are locked inloaded in college football.
And uh, I've already got one game that is circled
and ready to roll in the NFL. So you can
grab all it at over at wager talk dot com.
Speaker 2 (28:19):
All Right, Jovenary, awesome job. I can't wait for our
weekly LSU update. It's the story that won't go away.
It's a it's a gift that keeps on giving. Jovenary
awesome job, juvenile. He's got crushing it in college and
pro basketball. You can get all this plays over at
wager talk dot com.
Speaker 1 (28:36):
All right, Dan is with us. It did.
Speaker 2 (28:38):
Dan's producing another show on Wednesday, so we don't We
didn't get to come back to this movie situation that
we talked about on Tuesday was naming a movie that's
bad but that we just absolutely love. And I said
that that's the Philadelphia Eagles. They're not very good, and
yet I can't help but watch them. And so we
landed on Tango and Cash. Yeah, so we landed on
(29:00):
Tango and Cash because you can call him the Philadelphia
Tango and.
Speaker 1 (29:03):
Cashes, which just covers covers everything.
Speaker 2 (29:08):
So here this is the official Philadelphia Tango and Crashes,
complete with logo.
Speaker 1 (29:16):
It's not bad, it's it's not badly.
Speaker 5 (29:21):
That looks that looks like me. What about like seven
and two?
Speaker 8 (29:24):
I would rate that movie, you know, seven out of ten,
two points maybe.
Speaker 6 (29:29):
Off a little bit. That's it's a good looking.
Speaker 8 (29:31):
It is funny having stone though there is Siriani that
feels very sick.
Speaker 5 (29:36):
I feel like still.
Speaker 8 (29:36):
Feel like when there is eventually a movie made about
the Eagle stallone would be a good one to tap
for for Nick Seria.
Speaker 1 (29:43):
The owner.
Speaker 2 (29:43):
Maybe yeah, something just very very Philadelphi. And what's funny
is he he did play the straight edged like guy
in that movie.
Speaker 1 (29:52):
It does kind of fit that he would be the
head propos. I mean, Kurt Russell as your as your quarterback.
It seems like you could do worse, You could do worse.
Speaker 8 (30:04):
All I want to know is can they arrest in Batulo?
Can they arrest the offensive coordinator?
Speaker 5 (30:09):
And then move on with our lot.
Speaker 8 (30:10):
That would that would be ideal, that would be the
best way to do it, all.
Speaker 2 (30:15):
Right, Philadelphia Tango and cash is all right, let's do
all around the world.
Speaker 1 (30:20):
Let's give out some free plays.
Speaker 6 (30:22):
Here.
Speaker 2 (30:22):
We've got a college football play, We've got NHL, and
we've got NBA and this is this first place is
not available on all the books, but it's available on BETMGM,
bet online, so you can take use of Nurkic under
basically did not make a three. It's under zero point
five made threes. I think I talked about this one.
He's gone under an eight out of eleven games, and
(30:44):
he's now shooting ten point five percent from threes. And
finally last game he didn't attempt any I think they
finally got in his ear and there was like, stop shooting,
you're shooting. You're hitting ten percent of your three point shots.
Stop shooting the ball. You're a center. Repeat, you're a center.
Stop shooting the ball from three. And we're still getting
this prop at a really good number. So I'm taking
(31:05):
your nurkicche not to make a three, going to the
NHL Red Wings and Ducks to take a goalie prop.
John Gibson over twenty three and a half saves. He's
gone over in two out of three games. But here's
the thing.
Speaker 1 (31:15):
He's facing the Ducks, who fire the.
Speaker 2 (31:18):
Puck a lot thirty point five shot attempts per game,
and he played the Ducks earlier this season he had
twenty seven. This line feels a little bit off going
up against the Ducks, who are one of the best
teams at firing the puck on goal, and when he
cleared this number by four. So let's take the John
Gibson today to go over his saves, and then on
(31:39):
the free picks page over at wager Talk, James Madison
Appellation State. Drew Martin likes James Madison to absolutely drop
the hammer. James Madison wins a home by an average
of twenty eight points this season, and Appalachian State fallen
off immensely. They've dropped three straight. They haven't beaten a
team with more than two wins. James Madison looking for
a Sun Belt Conference title, looking for style points as well.
Speaker 1 (32:02):
Smells like a blowout. So those are your free picks?
Speaker 2 (32:06):
Mary, do you think they whispered it would know? My
guess is it was pretty more direct. It is more like,
what are you doing. You're seven feet tall, get under
the basket and rebound. Stop shooting the ball, you shoot
it one more time, your ass is coming out.
Speaker 1 (32:25):
Of the game.
Speaker 2 (32:26):
I think that's more of a little bit of what's.
Speaker 1 (32:28):
Going on with it. So let's do a same game
parlay here.
Speaker 2 (32:33):
We got a same game parlay in the Jets in
the Patriots, and we're going Drake May under zero point
five interceptions, so Drake may not have an interception. Crazy
stat how many interceptions do the Jets have this season?
Speaker 1 (32:48):
The answer is zero.
Speaker 2 (32:50):
They still don't have an inter They still don't have
an interception. Only team to not have an interception. This
has been a fantastic prop the quarterback playing against the Jets.
Speaker 1 (33:00):
That has been money to not have an interception.
Speaker 2 (33:02):
So we're gonna take Drake May under zero point five interceptions.
And Joe talked about this with Patriots first to fifteen points.
The Jets score eight points average in the first half,
and that includes two defensive special teams touchdowns last week,
so they're pretty much blows seven points. I like, the
Patriots gets fifteen points and then to Mario Douglas two
plus receptions, that gets us to plus one sixty two
(33:25):
without Kishan Boudi. He had two last week and he
has gone over this in five out of the last
six weeks. So there's your same game parlay. We're not
swinging for the fences on this game. Just try and
try and snag a nice plus one sixty two on
the same game parlay. All right, guys, thank you so
much for joining us again. NA NHL pack is up.
We're up seventeen units just on props in November. This
(33:47):
is how we build bankrolls. We've added seventeen percent to
clients bank rolls. We still have that seven day special.
You want to partner up with us, it's the best
way to do it. You get seven days of NBA
and NHL props, all of them, and we've got two
of them going tonight. We've got our NFL best bet
that goes off tonight. It's a prop and he went
that it's fifteen bucks. Don't do that though. Add four
(34:08):
dollars and you get the rest of the week included.
So it's over at the specials page. WT do Buzz,
slash al and huge UFC card. We have a five
percent best bet that's going on and we have not one,
but two more plays added on to that. So that's
a three pack now capped off with a five percent
best bet. Looking forward to a huge, huge weekend. Thank
you very much guys for joining us tomorrow.
Speaker 1 (34:28):
It's Football Friday. Buckle up. We got a huge, huge
show plan for everybody.
Speaker 2 (34:32):
Marco is going to be joining us, Teddy's gonna be
joining us, Yanni's gonna be joining us, and Dan and
I are going to be giving out our super contest picks.
And Dan, I'm guessing no play in Tonight's game. I
want nothing to do with Tonight's game. Not going to
make the card.
Speaker 5 (34:47):
It's terrible, it's even hard, and I'm glad you know
that stat.
Speaker 8 (34:52):
I'll probably go with that that Drake may interception prop
because even like all of the good props tonight have
even like started to get bet one that I'm I
and Andy that I'll play tonight just because it's such
great plus money, it's like nine to one something like that.
Jack west Over the full back for the for the Patriots.
(35:13):
He's a guy who at least is on the field
that they actually utilize a full back, and there will
be a point this season where he scores a touchdown,
and every week his odds to score a touchdown have
dropped down lower, drop down lower. So if you want
to do a tinfoil hat, he was twenty five hundred
last week. Andy, he's nine hundred this week. So I'm
going Jack westover anytime touchdown it's nine to one, why not,
(35:36):
you know, as.
Speaker 1 (35:37):
You're getting ninety to money.
Speaker 2 (35:39):
As long as you're getting nine to one, that's good
to play for the rest of the season. You just
need one, Yeah, then you're you know, you get one tonight.
Speaker 1 (35:45):
You're getting down with it.
Speaker 5 (35:46):
And they will use him at some point. And what's
a good time to use him.
Speaker 8 (35:49):
Maybe a time that there's been, you know, banged up
players up front, there's been This is kind of a
game where they just want to get the win and
get out, you know what I mean. A lot of
people are say, oh, it's a trap game. It's trap game.
If the Bengals next week. This isn't a trap game,
you know what I mean. It's a divisional game. And
the Patriots haven't had to play anyone good outside of
the Bills in the Bucks so far anyways, So there
(36:11):
isn't a trap game for this team. If they had
the Ravens next week, sure we could talk me into
a trap, but but yeah, I think this is a
get a win, get out of here. Why not use
some guys that maybe you haven't been using. You're not
gonna have Ramandre Stevenson is. He's kind of the more
power back to the shake and sizzle that Traveon Henderson has.
Speaker 5 (36:30):
So Jack westover nine to one anytime touchdown.
Speaker 2 (36:33):
Andy, I keep forgetting how bad the Patriots' schedule is,
Like like every time you every time you're playing a
bad team, it's like next week they're playing a worse team.
Speaker 8 (36:41):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (36:41):
Yeah, So for it to be a trap game, there
has to be an actual trap.
Speaker 6 (36:44):
There has to be an actual trap.
Speaker 8 (36:46):
They have to actually play a good team, and they
finally did last week.
Speaker 5 (36:49):
Congrats they got the job done. You know, good to them.
Speaker 8 (36:52):
But you heard Yanni say it at the top, like
they're an average team that has the easiest schedule in
the league.
Speaker 6 (36:57):
That's what the Patriots are.
Speaker 8 (36:59):
The Patriots are one of the only teams since DVOA
has been tracked, Andy, they are one of two teams
who has a negative DVOA with such a good record,
an eight and two record a negative DVA. The other
was the twenty twenty two Vikings. They lost in the
first round of the playoffs to the New York Football Giants,
their lone playoff win since all those Super Bowl runs.
(37:19):
This Patriots team, the Chickens, will come to roost. Bobby Bouche,
It's not this week against the Jets, but that's that's
something to track come playoff time.
Speaker 5 (37:27):
It's a fade team for me.
Speaker 2 (37:29):
The schedule is incredible. So they get Jets, the best schedule,
long week to play the Bengals, then the Giants, and
yes they have to play Buffalo after that, but there's
a bye week.
Speaker 1 (37:41):
In between there to get ready, and then they.
Speaker 2 (37:43):
Get at at Baltimore and then they finish up with
at Jets and Miami at home.
Speaker 5 (37:48):
Miamis schedule. They might be the number one seed and
they'll lose. That's their first playoff game.
Speaker 6 (37:56):
Book it.
Speaker 1 (37:57):
They might be the number one seed and only like
one and a half point favorites at home or something.
Speaker 8 (38:03):
In the second round of playoffs. They won't be favorite
at home. I guarantee you. If they get a bye
and they get to be the home team, they won't
be favorite at home.
Speaker 5 (38:10):
I don't care who they're.
Speaker 1 (38:10):
Playing, Oh wild wild times. All right, well we're gonna
talk with the quest o nine to one Jack West to.
Speaker 2 (38:17):
Score a touchdown. All right, there you go. You heard
it here first. Thank you so much for joining us again.
Hit the like button, leave us comment in the comments section,
and make sure you're subscribed to the wage you Talk
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All right, take a little break, go grab some lunch,
go grab some coffee, and then come right back here.
(38:39):
The Blitz comes on at one o'clock. Brian Power and
the boys are going to be talking about college football.
It's live, so get your questions in about any of
the games or some real betable spots this weekend, So
make sure you pick those guys's brains.
Speaker 1 (38:52):
Thank you so much.
Speaker 2 (38:53):
We'll see you when tomorrow. Buckle up, it's football Friday.
Good look on your bets tonight.
Speaker 1 (38:56):
Take care