WagerTalk Today | Football Friday! Free Sports Picks | NFL Week 11 Predictions | CFB Week 12 Bets

IT'S FOOTBALL FRIDAY! On Friday's LOADED edition of WagerTalk Today, Teddy Covers talks Sunday's Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks matchup and gives a best bet in Oklahoma vs Alabama in CFB action.  Marco D'Angelo shares how he's betting the Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos game and give his favorite play for Notre Dame vs Pitt in Week 12 College Football action. Andy Lang provides props, survivor picks and gives daily betting advice & Gianni the Greek shares the latest in Vegas action and steam – don't miss out!

Intro 00:00
Gianni the Greek 1:00
Steam Report 1:14
Teddy Covers 15:35
OKC Thunder: Deepest team in the NBA? 15:45
Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Chargers 17:59
Oklahoma Sooners vs Alabama Crimson Tide 21:20
Sell Me: Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants 25:00
Womens CBB Rigged??? 31:00
Marco D'Angelo 31:40
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos 32:00
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Pitt Panthers 36:30
Marco's Wing Sauce of the Week 44:00
Andy Lang's All Around the World Free Picks (NBA, UFC & NFL Props) 47:51
Dan & Andy's NFL Pick 5 49:44

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:01):
Welcome to Wager You talked today, the gold standard of
sports betting shows, where we talked the talk and walk
the walk. Football Friday, boys and girls. We got an
incredible lineup to get you ready for the weekend. Janni
the Greek leads us off with the Steam Report, Teddy Covers,
gonna cover Oklahoma and Alabama and Seahawks and the Rams,
and we're gonna do of course, sell me. Marco's gonna
break down Chiefs versus Broncos, Notre Dame Pitt and he's

(00:24):
gonna bring us his wings Sauce of the week. Dan
and I are gonna wrap things up with our Pick
five Super Contest segment, and we got some free plays
for everybody. Like I told Dan, nothing gets the weekend
started like a Brooklyn Nets player.

Speaker 2 (00:36):
Prop.

Speaker 1 (00:36):
Don't worry, I got you covered, all right. Hit that
like button and let's bring in Yanni, Yanni. It's Friday
every sport. Basically, it's going to baseball. Let's get started.
It's football Friday. Let's start with some college football. Let's
start with college foot.

Speaker 3 (00:54):
Coming off a nice little winning day will always take that.
Of course, good two good football games. I mean one's
a really Chalky one. But still we're seeing good action.
Let me pull up the latest.

Speaker 4 (01:07):
That we have.

Speaker 2 (01:10):
In this one.

Speaker 3 (01:10):
Hold on all right, Louisville, Clemson under money.

Speaker 4 (01:16):
The Actually it looks if you look.

Speaker 3 (01:17):
At like those percentage sites that tell you where the
action is, it's going to show you that over is
where the public money is. I bet you it's going
to show you six out of ten seventy percent on
the over. Here's what I can tell you looking right
now in the back end of a book that has
a lot of recreational players, they're getting under money from

(01:40):
the recreational betters. They got under money from the sharp
betters at fifty one and a half. Also, so you
have a situation where you have the public and the
sharps on the under. That's why you're looking at fifty
at some of these Sharper books, remember.

Speaker 4 (01:55):
Fifty to fifty one.

Speaker 3 (01:56):
Those are some key totals and for the book to
come down that rest assured. You're getting a lot of
pressure from both sides. Because if this was two way
action where you had so much over money from the public,
sharps come in take the under fifty one and a half.
That would help balance it out. That's not what you're seeing.
You're seeing pressure on that under. So I think that's

(02:18):
public and Sharps on the same side. And then Louisville
also Louisville getting the money from the recreational betters. And
when you look at Louisville right now, they're ranked like
in the top twenty, all right, they're barely in my
top thirty power rating wise.

Speaker 4 (02:35):
Why because they've had.

Speaker 3 (02:36):
The sixty eighth toughest almost the seventieth toughest schedule and
all of college football. So Louisville's had a very easy
strength of schedule, and I think that's why you're seeing
that three getting picked off.

Speaker 4 (02:49):
Like whenever it's gone to three, it opened three.

Speaker 3 (02:51):
And a half, Sharps took the three and a half
went to three, Piggybackers took the three that pushed it
to two and a half. But you're getting two and
a half from the public on Louisville. Anytime a book
is going to three, that's getting picked off. So on
the on the side, you have a difference of opinion
between the sharps and the public. Sharp's on the dog,
public on the favor, but both are on the under.

(03:13):
Oregon Minnesota. Now, this is the difference of opinion on
the total. Sharps went under when this line opened up.
Public is going over obviously low total.

Speaker 4 (03:23):
Oregon.

Speaker 3 (03:24):
They're gonna bet it over even though they haven't been,
you know, that over team they have been historically. Also,
line has moved up in favor of Oregon. We saw
some TakeBack at twenty six. You're gonna see that a
lot when the line moves significantly. We'll talk about that
in college basketball. Don't let that really scare you. With

(03:44):
that said again, Oregon's gonna get the money. They're not
attracting any Minnesota action, except, like I said, from the
Sharps when it got as high as twenty six. But yeah,
Sin it's one of those games that, you know, not
not a sexy game, high spread, load total, you know,
nothing to get excited about. But yeah, that's what That's
what we got in the college football today.

Speaker 1 (04:07):
All Right, Anything interesting going on with NFL that we
need to be aware.

Speaker 3 (04:11):
Of, uh, the little because it's all about Saturday college
football so far, you know, other than Purdy now saying
he's starting in San Francisco and that three now got juice,
It already got bet the look ahead was one that
got bet up now got the three. Also, there was

(04:32):
a ton of public money already fading Arizona and bet
in San Francisco. So it'll be interesting to see how
long it takes before they get the three and a half,
because it's gonna be it's the later afternoon game also,
so it's gonna be a ton of one sided action.
And here's what I wanted to talk about real quickly
in the NFL since you brought it up. These these

(04:53):
lines that moved like that, the Chargers line, the San
Francisco line, they all went from like pit minus one
or even plus one look ahead to minus three key
number of three, all because of what happened on Sunday.
That's a lot of recency bias factored into those threes
that you're seeing on the NFL board for Sunday. Doesn't

(05:14):
mean the dog's gonna cover, but you are now paying
a premium to back those favorites.

Speaker 4 (05:19):
So if you're gonna lay that three, have.

Speaker 3 (05:21):
Some conviction because that look ahead was they were the
dog or at a pick them. And again the adjustment
may be warranted, but it's a little significant when.

Speaker 4 (05:31):
You get up to that key number of three.

Speaker 1 (05:34):
All right, we'll talk a little NBA. We have a
ton of NBA games tonight, So where's the money coming in?
On NBA?

Speaker 3 (05:41):
I narrated it down the three sides that are legit
five oh four, Knicks minus four and a half and
five five ten, Minnesota minus eleven and five twelve, New
Orleans plus ten and a half and plus ten. I'm
trying because again there's so all the lines move. Every
single game, the line's gonna move. My goal with the

(06:01):
morning segment is to share those games that I think
are are going to track the most betting action, to
kind of let the betters know what's going on in
those games or those that are either getting resistance so
I could share that or not getting resistance like this
one continues to get bet And the goal is that

(06:22):
you should already have your leans and if you agree
on it, they need to get some confirmation. If you disagree,
you know, take a step back and look again. But
next Minnesota, New Orleans. Real quickly, college basketball, here's what
you got to look at in college basketball, guys, lines
are going to move in both directions this early on
because of the fact they just not efficient. You talked

(06:44):
to all bookmakers are going to tell you this is
a very difficult month for them to book, and nothing
reflects that more than the line movements. When you get
line movements like you're seeing in college basketball, it's usually
because players are out. Weather related like those are big
factors that moved the lines. In this case, this early
on in college basketball, it's the case of the wise

(07:06):
guys saying no, no, no, your numbers off. It's not even
information base, it's just that a difference of opinion in
power ratings. So when the line moves significantly, don't be
surprised to see two way action because that's all we're
getting in the month over November. And here let me explain.
Start off eight forty two.

Speaker 2 (07:24):
Duke.

Speaker 3 (07:25):
Now you know, Duke's gonna get money from the public, right,
they're gonna get bed on later in the day, what
did the wise guys do. They come out and they
lay thirty two and a half.

Speaker 4 (07:32):
That was the look ahead.

Speaker 3 (07:33):
Within minutes it got the thirty six. That didn't matter.
They lay thirty six, thirty seven. Then all the piggybackers
dive on top and it got the highest thirty nine.
That's when you saw take back on Indiana State. So
now they're laying Duke and taking back Indiana State. At
thirty nine, you need to decide was Duke a dummy
because those limits on overnights, those limits early before the

(07:58):
off screens open up, those are low. For a couple
nickel betts, you could get that Duke line from thirty
two up to thirty nine. So if it's gonna cost
me a couple of dimes to get it up to
thirty nine, and now I could put ten x that
at plus thirty nine, that may be my my real
sign that I like, there's a lot of that going on.

Speaker 4 (08:17):
And that's the beauty of monitoring line movements because.

Speaker 3 (08:19):
We saw it with I'll be quick eight forty four
Kentucky from thirty four all the way up to minus
thirty seven.

Speaker 4 (08:25):
But at thirty nine, Eastern Illinois.

Speaker 3 (08:27):
Got bet same thing, Michigan minus six, seven, seven and
a half eight. The piggybackers laid the eight, not the
betting syndicates, and then at nine and a half they
came in and took TCU. They came in and took
TCU at plus nine y because they got minus six
over here, minus seven over here, plus nine and a
half over here with olmost very little risk or smaller

(08:49):
bet here, bigger bet there. Like there's a lot going
on that we have to try to decipher. Eight seventy
six Saint Mary same thing from eleven and a half
up to fourteen and a half when North Texas took
money at plus sixteen eight eight three, Gonzaga from minus
eleven to minus thirteen and a half, Arizona State took
money at plus fifteen plus fourteen and a half. But
there are two signs where we didn't see any resistance,

(09:11):
and that's eight sixty two to Pole plus six plus
five and a half and eight eighty eight Hawaii minus
fourteen and fifteen. So no resistance on the Pole, on
Hawaiian resistance on Duke Kentucky, Michigan, Saint Mary's and Gonzaga.
And what are those five teams have in common. They
all are gonna attract public money at the window tonight

(09:31):
because they are all high profile, elite programs that are
heavily favored. That's that's gonna happen every single day during
the month of November, a little lesson in December, little
less in January, almost none in February, and then we
get the march madness.

Speaker 1 (09:47):
They're doing the same thing with Carlos protest. I'm literally
watching it happen all morning, like money comes in on Edward.
Someone asked me about it. I said, just wait, they're
just trying to get the best of Carlos exactly. Sure enough,
money just start coming in on protests.

Speaker 4 (10:01):
You see it every day. Andy, you watched this enough,
It's like, you know what's gonna happen.

Speaker 1 (10:07):
Yes, yes, so you mentioned there's a little bit of hockey.

Speaker 3 (10:11):
Yeah, yeah, we swept the board. Sharp swept the board yesterday.
Subscribers went to and oh here's what we got today.
All totals, all totals, and I like them. They're opposite
the public on all of these. Again not heavy public action,
but the few bets I did see are opposite. Twenty
four Vancouver Carolina over six and a half even money,
Philly Saint Louis under five and a half even money,

(10:34):
and then Islanders and Washington over six and a half
even money. So all of these they want to even
money or plus, thinking it's a coin flip at worst,
over six and a half, Vancouver, Carolina under five and
a half, Philly Saint Louis over six and a half
Islanders in Washington. Dang, we bring a lot of information
for these guys in a very short time.

Speaker 1 (10:54):
Great stuff. I did not sweep the board in NHL.
I lost my player prop. I had a goalie over saves.
It's fly it over, It's great. He leaves that the
second period ends and then he just takes himself out
of the game.

Speaker 4 (11:08):
That's the worst.

Speaker 1 (11:10):
What are you doing? Get out there, make a few
more saves.

Speaker 5 (11:14):
Well.

Speaker 1 (11:16):
Yeah, in UFC, I don't know if anything's changed here.
Darry USh did misweight, so now I'm gonna probably be
on Saint Denis in some form or fashion. I see
a ton of money coming in on Malcolm well Maker
over his new opponent, and a ton of money coming
in on Cline over Angie Hill. Anything change for you?

Speaker 3 (11:34):
No, And I like them both. I mean again, the
line's just gotten way out of hand. But I don't
see any value in either of those dogs. But one
favorite that did get my attention, and I agree with you.
I'm on Darry Uche.

Speaker 4 (11:46):
It's no secret I.

Speaker 3 (11:47):
Gave it out even on bet on It the USC
show I did like a week and a half ago.
I got good line value, a little bit of closing
line value, but the way they match up when I
saw them stand next to each other, Denise just she's
just too big for dary USh, I think, just too
much power. We'll see how that happens. But the one
favorite that caught my attention and got my money yesterday
was Bo Nickel in his.

Speaker 4 (12:10):
Fight with Vieira. And here's the reason for that.

Speaker 3 (12:12):
Andy, had he not looked the way he did against
the Ridder, who we now know is legit, had he
not lost to Brendan Allen, he'd be fighting for a title.
Now we know obviously that was an ugly look quitting
against Brendan Allen, but still that loss isn't as bad.

Speaker 6 (12:29):
Now.

Speaker 3 (12:30):
With that said, had Bo Nickel not fought the Ridder,
what would this line be. Had he not lost the
decision even against the Ridder controversial, what would this line
be Anything other than that result, this line would be
much different. I think this line is a big reaction
to that one single result. I don't think it's warranted

(12:53):
because it's a they fought for less than ten minutes,
Like anything can happen in a ten minute fight. I
think there's a lot of randomness. Not saying Nickel would
beat the ridder now, but just saying that that big
line movement, the adjustment. Let's not forget he was like
a minus thousand favorite in that fight, eight hundred whatever
he was.

Speaker 1 (13:12):
He lost, But now.

Speaker 3 (13:13):
You're getting him at a huge discount against an older
Vieira who's coming off a win against Gore.

Speaker 4 (13:19):
And that's the only reason this price is this low.
His best years are behind them. I like Nickel there, love.

Speaker 1 (13:24):
It, love it. It's a jim packed weekend. I can
only imagine what you have. But wager talk, let us
know what you got.

Speaker 3 (13:30):
UFC packages up there, eight bets in there already with
a five percent, so with that package is good sitting there.
College football won ten of twelve weeks. I'm coming off
a losing week, but already four and oho in college football.
This week we're gonna progress towards our mean of being
number one in profit. I'm gonna have a kick ass

(13:51):
Saturday card that's already up there. Sunday NFL as well,
that card's up there, pair of four percent, and of
course our Steamer on Sunday, we'll go live heading into
that final hour. I'll be back on last Cole Saturday
and Sunday.

Speaker 5 (14:06):
Best the luck.

Speaker 3 (14:07):
If you're betting college football on NFL, you're already on board.
So let's just do some damage this weekend. And good
luck to you in the UFC as well.

Speaker 1 (14:14):
Brother, Yeah, let's have a big weekend. What a betible
card in UFC. UFC three twenty two. Janni the Greek,
thank you so much, great stuff this week getting us
ready for the weekend. All right, what do we have
up at wager talk here? I did not have a
great night last night, full disclosure, lost in NBA, lost
that NHL play. We did hit our NFL prop so
that was awesome. Just barely gets over. But we have

(14:36):
our Sunday pack that is up for NFL. Don't get that.
We have a special on my page WT dot bus
last al gets you Sunday and Monday Monday night football
props that we have up. So I'm looking to build
off of last night's when NBA props are up for tonight.
We got a couple of them in there. I'm gonna
give out one on all around the world. And we're
debuting boxing. We've been paper trading boxing for a while.

(14:59):
We put on our first bet officially to clients last
week it hit, and folks at wager talk are gracious
enough to let us do half price to try and
build this thing up. I want to show you what
we can build bankrolls with boxing. So it's only seven
dollars and fifty cents for our boxing best bet, and
of course we got our five percent UFC best bet.
Absolute ton going on over at wager talk here, you
can get there on my on my page at wt

(15:21):
dot buzz slash al up thirty units in November, so
really humming along. Speaking of humming along, Teddy Covers coming
off a nice, nice weekend last weekend in NFL, we
got football to talk about, Teddy, but I sent you
a message earlier. I want to get your thoughts on
the Thunder. I'm trying to not overreact to this being

(15:43):
one of the best teams I've ever seen. It might
be the deepest team I've ever seen in the NBA.
This team can sit guys and they got plenty. I've
never seen an NBA team It's like they got too
many guys on their team. What's your take on the Thunder.
I know it's early, I know I'm overreacting, but I'm
lown away by this team.

Speaker 7 (16:01):
So I had a great NFL Sunday last Sunday, swept
the board, and then this week I decided to step
in front of the Oklahoma City.

Speaker 2 (16:07):
Thunder a couple of times.

Speaker 7 (16:11):
I stepped in front twice, and neither one was competitive.
You know, the Warriors got annihilated. The Lakers got annihilated,
I mean annihilated. Games were over by halftime. We know,
let's went out the fourth quarter.

Speaker 8 (16:24):
The quote from the opposing coaches and the opposing players
after the games, we're speaking up Oklahoma City pretty good.
In my power ratings, I've had the Thunder at least
three and a half points better than the number two
team in the league all year. And the fact that

(16:45):
my number said I could step in front of OKAC
twice this week tells me I don't have them high enough.

Speaker 2 (16:49):
So maybe they're five points.

Speaker 7 (16:51):
I mean, I've got Houston as a number two team
right now, a Cleveland Denver all in the mix. But
Cleveland's got a bunch of injuries as we speak. But okay,
A may well be five, five and a half six
points better than the number two team in the league
right now. And again after you're getting my teeth kicked
in betting against them twice this week. I'm not in
any rush to bet against them again. Surely not U

(17:14):
for the the next couple of days. They are as
deep as any team I've ever seen andy at the
NBA level, and they're really really good.

Speaker 2 (17:21):
Obviously they were fair again.

Speaker 7 (17:24):
This is a team that was favored in every playoff
game last year, all right, you know, home road, and
if the playoffs started today, they'd be favored in every
playoff game again this year.

Speaker 1 (17:35):
Yeah, incredible to watch. They just they just stumbling this.
A j guy was just like, oh, I can start
on any team. It's just where did these guys come from? Anyway,
thunder are are are amazing. But let's talk about some
Let's start with the NFL. Chiefs brought Seahawks Rams. I
want to get your thoughts on Seahawks Rams. I think

(17:56):
this is the game of the week. I think this
is just the two the two best teams in the NFC.
I made the case that this is the best one
to two in any division, the Seahawks and the Rams.
And the Rams are laying minus three over under forty
eight and a half. NFL Game of the week in
my opinion, what's your breakdown on this game?

Speaker 7 (18:15):
So what does Seattle have to you to get some
respect for the betting marketplace, because it hasn't happened this season.
You know, they're seven to won their last Day game.
They lost an Opening Day to San Francisco in a
fluky game, and since that time, again, they haven't just
been good, they've been dominant.

Speaker 2 (18:29):
Six of their seven wins have come by more than
a touchdown.

Speaker 7 (18:32):
The only loss since Opening Day for Seattle that came
thirty eight to thirty.

Speaker 2 (18:36):
Five for the Bucks.

Speaker 7 (18:38):
The Seahawks led that game by a touchdown with like
a minute to play and then there was a little
bit of late game insanity end up losing that Donald
threw a pick turnumber on the final drive instead of
the game winning field goal.

Speaker 2 (18:49):
For the Bucks. But Seattle has been in every single.

Speaker 7 (18:52):
Game, and again the only loss is Opening Day came
by three points. But why aren't they getting respect in
the betting markets? Real simple, Sam Donald versus good defense,
that's what the betting markets are concerned about. Just like
we saw on the Bucks game where Donald threw the
key interception that cost him the game. And when you
have Sam Donald versus Matthew Stafford. Stafford's going to get

(19:15):
to love and Stafford has been as good as any
quarterback in the league all right. Twenty touchdowns, zero interceptions
over the last six weeks. That is a veteran quarterback
who was locked in. You can say he's playing the
best football of his entire career right now. Oh, by
the way, the Seahawks minus four turnover margin, and of course,

(19:35):
la from a points bread perspective, they've been dominant, all right.
They've only lost twice this year against the spread, and
one of those two losses came in arguably the worst
bad beat of the season, when the Rams were going
to kick the game when he field goal and instead
had it blocked and returned for a touchdown in Philadelphia.
So they've been a points spread machine basically, and they've
been a pointsrat machine against Seattle, eight and one against

(19:58):
the spread the last nine versus the Sea Bags.

Speaker 2 (20:00):
They covered both meetings last year.

Speaker 7 (20:04):
That being said, Seattle's won ten straight road games. I mean,
this team's been a monster on the highway, better at home,
better on the highway than on the road.

Speaker 2 (20:13):
And of course it's a Seattle team.

Speaker 7 (20:17):
That five and Oho in their last five tries division
road dog under McDonald's he's been very, very good in
this role.

Speaker 2 (20:23):
Meanwhile, the Sea of the Rams just one.

Speaker 7 (20:26):
In six against the spread their last seven as divisional
home shalk.

Speaker 2 (20:33):
I'm making cases for both these teams. I am.

Speaker 7 (20:35):
This is not one of my stronger opinions. Slight lean
towards Seattle here. I'm not in any rush to step
in front of La. All the sharp money has come
for the Rams early in the week, driving the two
and a half to three at plus three and a half.
At three and a half, I look at the Seahawks
at three. I think this game is priced appropriately. Maybe
we're looking at under between two teams.

Speaker 1 (20:54):
Good the football, Yeah, probably a game better to just
watch and enjoy as a fan as opposed to trying
to put your money on it. There's just a lot
better spots here. Let's talk Oklahoma and Alabama. Then we're
gonna do sell me. We got was it number four
versus number eleven? Really good matchup here? How do you
break down Oklahoma and Alabama?

Speaker 9 (21:16):
Sure?

Speaker 2 (21:17):
Let me look at the odds logic live out screen.

Speaker 7 (21:19):
And by the way, guys, if you haven't gotten your
free trial gets your a free seven day all access
for odds Logic dot Com. It's a cool product to
play around with, you know what I mean. I encourage
you to try it because A I use it every
day and be it's good, all right, So check it
out again. Odds Logic dot Com backslash tad. He gets
you a free seven day trial all access for the

(21:40):
Odds Logic Live Odds screen. But looking at that Live
odd Logic Live our screen right now, I'm seeing Alabama
minus six the prevailing number. There's a couple of five
and a halfs out there, total sitting forty six slash
forty six and a half, And in this one got
a stronger opinion than the first team we broke down.

Speaker 2 (22:01):
You know, Alabama lost.

Speaker 7 (22:03):
They got blown out by Oklahoma last year was twenty
four to three in Norman.

Speaker 2 (22:09):
It was a pretty bad loss.

Speaker 7 (22:11):
And one thing we've seen this year from Kailen to
Bor in this squad, they'd be pretty good in these
revenge and these revenge spots for a year ago about
eight and one ats in their last nine tries in
this role. They've been beating up on good teams. They've
been beating up on good teams at home, and the
number looks short, you know again, since they lost on

(22:32):
opening day and that was a poor performance, and opening
the day eight straight wins for Alabama, winning most of
them by margin. They're in revenge, they're at home, and
they're laying less than a touchdown. You know that to
me feels a little bit cheap for the home team. Now,

(22:52):
certainly from a situational standpoint. They have Oklahoma coming off
that fun win at Tennessee in which, yeah, they played
fairly well, but Tennessee made a lot of mistakes in
that ballgame. Tennessee turned the ball over again and again
and gave the ball to Oklahoma in advantageous field position
as soon as by blacash In. John Mattier, the quarterback

(23:14):
who again has shown signs this year of playing well,
but when he steps up in class, he's had issues.
John Mitteer in nineteen to twenty nine, one hundred and
fifty nine passing yards in that game, five point five
yards for past them, no touchdowns, one pick, and that
was against Tennessee's defense. Meanwhile, Joey Aguilar against against this

(23:39):
the defense for defense for Oklahoma three or ninety three
passing yards, eight point seven yards per passing, the three touchdowns,
they ran the ball effectively, they won the turnover battle.
I'm not convinced they can do either one in this matchup.
Alabama to me a little bit of a one way

(24:00):
team right now. I think that that opening day loss
got the focus and got the line value that everyone
was looking for. That Crimpton tied have been bet on
ever since. I don't think that changes here. The number
short the wise guys like this sooner the Wise, you
like the shooters, they like this a Sooner's defense. I
do not trust Matier against this level of defense. I

(24:20):
think Alaba Alabama finds a way to pull away. Crimson
Tider pass for this better.

Speaker 1 (24:26):
All right, Teddy, we're gonna do sell me the first, Teleroom,
what do you have out coming up? A beautiful, beautiful
sweep in NFL. Let's do it again. I'm sure you
got some plays up Teleroom. What's up on your page
at wager talking?

Speaker 9 (24:37):
Sure?

Speaker 7 (24:37):
Sure we went three to zero in the NFL last
Sunday and looking to do it again this week.

Speaker 2 (24:41):
Right now?

Speaker 7 (24:41):
All I got the NBA posted as soon as I'm
finished with this segment. What we got a couple of
free play videos to do, and then we're putting up
my plays for NBA and college football this weekend. So
check back WT Dot Buzz, Backslash TC to get on board.
NBA already posted again, NFL and college to follow in
the not too distant future.

Speaker 1 (25:03):
All right, it's time for the segment you all don't
want the segment you all need. Let's bring in Dan.
Dan randomly picks a NFL game. He then assigns myself
and Teddy aside, and we have to make the case
impromptu on the spot as to why said team will
cover the spread. Where are we going this week? Dan?

Speaker 5 (25:26):
Well, guys, the comments section is always.

Speaker 6 (25:28):
Like Dan, you never give Andy any good teams. Like
last week, I let Andy break down the Jets. I
let Andy break down the Jets, but I never give
him any good teams. So, okay, we're gonna dispel that narrative,
because gentlemen, what we're looking at here.

Speaker 5 (25:42):
We're looking at the Green Bay Packers.

Speaker 6 (25:44):
Taking on the New York Football Giants, and they're always Dan,
you make Andy break down the team, that's you know,
dog crap.

Speaker 5 (25:53):
Whatever. Well, hey, guys, what you get the breakdown a favorite?

Speaker 1 (25:55):
Here?

Speaker 5 (25:55):
Andy?

Speaker 6 (25:56):
They're a touchdown favorite on the road follow going back
to back losses. That is the Green Bay Packers and Teddy.
You'll let us know about the New York Football Giants,
But first make the case coaches, fired Andy, this should
be a slam dunk spot here for you and the
Green Bay Packers.

Speaker 5 (26:13):
What say you sell me on that NFL side.

Speaker 6 (26:16):
I typically don't like laying seven on the road, so
you better have quite the case.

Speaker 1 (26:22):
Give Andy the good team, you know, the one that's
dropped to in a row at home to Carolina and
you just put up seven points. Yeah, yeah, thanks for
giving me the good team there, Dan. Okay, can you
interest me in a team that has not done well
at home and is now on the road. Yeah, that's
the Green Bay Packers. Their last two road games they won.

(26:45):
They beat the Steelers by ten points. And this is
just a fade of the Giants. Yeah, fired head coach.
Their stark running back is out now, their star quarterback
is out with what is it, six trips to the
blue tent with concussion protocol. Enter famous Jamis. There's a
reason why he hasn't been playing all year on this
team or any other team. It's because he throws a

(27:07):
lot of passes to the other team. And not only that,
their rush defense is truly horrific. They've given up over
two hundred yards rushing average in the last three games.
This is a perfect spot for Green Bay to get
back to basics. Let's run the ball with Josh Jacobs.
Let's take advantage of this really bad rush rushing defense.

(27:29):
And where's the motivation for the Giants? I mean, I mean,
come on, all the wind has been taken out of
their sales. This is an impossible job for an infant
coach to come in and try and fire up the troops.
They're down neighbors, They're down scattered both their Jackson Dart
They're basically playing a backup team. Great get right spot
for Green Bay. I have no problem laying the touchdown
here on the Packers on the road.

Speaker 6 (27:50):
No problem laying the touchdown for Mike Kofka's new audition
for potentially a head coaching job. And Taddy let Jamis Cook.
Jameis wins did, not Russell Wilson will be playing quarterback
sell me on the New York Football Giants.

Speaker 7 (28:05):
Well, let's start with this. It's Jameis Winston, a quarterback,
not Russell Wilson. But the uh and the clear issue here,
well there's two. First, you have the new coach bump,
and I know that Tennessee didn't react well to the
new coach bump when they faced New England. That said,

(28:26):
historically in the NFL, you like a team that first
we get for the coach got fired. And this is
that for the g men motivation. Everyone's playing for their jobs.

Speaker 2 (28:37):
Man, you know it's the NFL. They're not the thing.

Speaker 10 (28:40):
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, Well we'll worry about it next time.
You know, you guys are playing from millions of dollars
personally every week. I'm not expecting anything but an effort,
a concurdered effort from the Giants on Sunday.

Speaker 8 (28:53):
But the bigger issue of issue issue here is Greenback.
We've seen this package and we just get all the
numbers right here. Lay more than a field goal this
year the.

Speaker 7 (29:02):
Late seven and a half to Cleveland, and lost the
late six and a half to Dallas and tied they
late fifteen to Cincinnati. I was with Green Bay in
that game. Never sniffed the points break cover. Really lucky
to win that game by nine. They could have lost
straight up against Arizona Land seven. They barely won that game,
ended up winning by four thirteen and a half against
Carolina lose straight up, so that my friends won two, three, four.

(29:25):
Five times this year they've been favored by more than
a field goal, five times they've lost against the spread.
That is an emerging trend. Worth right, give me the
GeV points for.

Speaker 5 (29:35):
What it's worth.

Speaker 6 (29:36):
Twenty and fourteen is that trend? Teddy when at following
the coach being fired? That since twenty ten, twenty and
fourteen against the spread record and you're flipping a coin
on the money line at seventeen and seventeen, So.

Speaker 5 (29:49):
If you like, if you like riding that, and then
that could be something.

Speaker 6 (29:53):
Sorry, Andy, I maybe let out the bag which I
have in my circa plays, but comment below and let
us know which side you were sold on, Packers and
Giants to comment below what game maybe you want to
hear for next week. But as always, guys, I love
this segment and I look forward to it every single
week as I do hearing about the.

Speaker 5 (30:14):
Wing sauce with Marco coming up here. Well done both
of you, gentlemen.

Speaker 6 (30:17):
But Andy, I gave you a side again that I
probably already didn't want I'm sorry, I'm sorry.

Speaker 1 (30:24):
Great, this is great, Teddy, thank you so much. Let's
get another sweep in NFL. Thank you so much for
joining us. Have a great weekend.

Speaker 7 (30:31):
Thank you Andy, And of course be sure to tune
in right here on the Way to Talk YouTube channel
for end Zone Live on Sunday and of course for
the Way to Talk Opening Line Report next Monday.

Speaker 1 (30:41):
Cheers all right, yeah, Opening Line Report Mondays at eleven.
I watched the show while I'm getting ready for WAJER
talk today. So great comment the comment section, fat Sean,
can we investigate the women's college basketball from last night
in Hawaii? They were minus forty one and a half
favorites over a detail, the team total of seventy three

(31:02):
and a half and they scored a total of forty
six points after ot. Yes, fat Sean, no investigation needed.
They were one of twenty six from threes and the
cat was out of the bag with this team. They
struggled against Portland State in their first game. There was
no reason to be betting anything on Hawaii women's basketball.
They are a fade when they're that big of favorites.

(31:22):
Someone asked about the Gray Cup. I will go with
the rough Riders. They've been the best team all year.
This is a three and a half point spread. I
have no problem playing the money line or laying the
minus three and a half. All right, bet you guys
didn't expect me to come with the heat on the
Hawaii women's basketball program. All right, let's bring on Marco
and let's talk some more football. Marco, were you on

(31:43):
Hawaii over Saint Mary's?

Speaker 2 (31:46):
No? I was not.

Speaker 1 (31:50):
Okay, well neither was I. I just looked that up.
All right, we got some big games here, we got
our sauce of the week. Let's jump right into it.
Chiefs and Broncos probably second best game on the card.
I think the Seahawks and Rams might be best. But man,
this one's a doozy. I have this in my super
contest plays. I hope we're on the same side. We

(32:11):
got the Chiefs minus four over under forty four and
a half. What's your breakdown on this one?

Speaker 11 (32:17):
Well, let's just call this what it is. It's the
public perception game of the week. It might be the
public perception game of the year because you've got the
Denver Broncos coming in here as a favorite against the
eight and two. Denver Broncos are getting no respect. And
all you're going to hear this week is Andy Reid

(32:38):
coming off a bye. He's had two weeks to prepare
for this game. And we know Andy Reid in his
head coaching career off of a bye is twenty two
and four straight up. He was thirteen and one with
the Eagles, now nine and three with the Kansas City Chiefs.
The public is going to bet Kansas City. We've talked

(32:59):
to numerous book makers around town, various radio shows. I
do when I talk to them, I joke with them.
I says, you know, you guys have the Kansas City
Chiefs as the favorite still in the future book to
win the Super Bowl. And do you know if the
season ended right now before this Sunday's games right now,

(33:19):
they wouldn't even be in the playoffs. That's how much
the public believes in Kansas City. And we're looking at
a line of four. I can't get to the window
in lay four in this game. And everybody's going to
point out last Thursday Night's game, the ugly performance by
Denver against the Raiders.

Speaker 4 (33:40):
Well, when we did bet on it.

Speaker 11 (33:41):
I said, this is a game that the Broncos have
one goal. They want to get in and they get out.
I used the under on bet on It, and I
used the Raiders for my clients, and that's exactly what
Denver did. It was it was Vanillova performances you could have.
They were playing their third game in eleven days, and

(34:02):
so just totally throw that game out. You're gonna end.
They've had like a mini buy because they come on
off the Thursday. So even though Kansas City has the
full bye week, they're getting ten days of themselves to
prepare for this game. And I think they started to
prepare for it the week they were playing the Raiders
because they really didn't need to do much to beat
the Raiders. I'm taking the inflated number. I just cannot

(34:25):
see Kansas City is a four point favorite. Denver does
have a good defense. The only time this defense really
got shredded was that game against the Giants. But if
you remember the situation going into that game, Denver was
returning from London. Not only did they play in London
the week before, they played on the East Coast the

(34:48):
week before that, and then come home without the bye
week and played in the altitude fatigue definitely was a
factor in that game for them, and they gave up
a ton of points but found a way to win
it at the end. I'm gonna go ahead and take
Denver plus the points.

Speaker 2 (35:05):
Here.

Speaker 11 (35:05):
What would be perfect for the NFL and for the
Las Vegas books is to see this game land with
Kansas City winning by three, keeping them alive in the playoffs,
because if they lose this game to Denver, they're three
and a half games back in the division and they're
gonna have no shot of winning the division. So let's

(35:26):
call it Denver plus four, and I see it as
a field goal either way. But I'm gonna go ahead
and take the field goal with Denver winning twenty three
to twenty.

Speaker 1 (35:35):
Oh, I love it. Twenty three to twenty all right,
if the if the final score is twenty three to twenty,
Marco's buying everybody dinner. I'm just I just decided that,
just decided that's a rule. Car Carman asked them, please
please stop texting him pictures of the dessert you're having
every night. Come on, Marco, what are you doing here?

Speaker 5 (35:53):
Making him?

Speaker 1 (35:53):
Making him food jealous? I am I am going again
against you, Marco. I'm gonna be the square dog and
lay it with the Chiefs. I just don't trust a
Broncos team whose wins include Tennessee both the New York
teams Cincinnati, Vegas, Houston with Davis Bill. So, but we

(36:14):
can both be we can both do well on this game.
Let's talk Notre Dame and Pit. Interesting matchup here. Notre
Dame seven wins in a row, Pit five wins in
a row. But bookmakers know who's the better team here.
The question is is Notre Dame gonna cover this twelve
and a half or do you like the over under
fifty five?

Speaker 11 (36:35):
Well, looking at this game, you know it's a big
week in Pittsburgh. Obviously, College game Day is coming to Pittsburgh.
That doesn't happen very often. Notre Dame has National Playoffs
in their site, and if they win out, they're in.
Even though they have two losses, I think they're slam
dunk to get in because the two losses came at

(36:55):
the first two games to the season. They came by
a grand total of four points and game to two
top twenty five teams, actually two top ten teams in
Miami and Texas A and M So no shame there
during Notre dame seven game winning streak, the only one
team top twenty four points against them. In fact, they've

(37:15):
held five of the seven opponents during this winning streak
to thirteen points or less. The Notre Dame defense, if
you remove the Navy game, which we know Navy does
one thing. They run the ball at gazillion times, so
they're gonna get yardage. If you take that game out
and look at the other eight games this season, Notre
Dame is holding their opponents defensively to two point eight

(37:38):
two yards per rush in just eighty nine yards per game.
That's going to make Pit one dimensional. And if you
make Pit one dimensional, Notre Dame is gonna be able
to turn that pass rush loose and they're gonna create turnovers.
If you look at Pitt's last game against Stanford, they
had four turnovers in that game. In my opinion, Notre

(38:00):
Dame is too physical for Pitt. Pitt comes out of
the ACC, and to me, the ACC over the last
five years has become the Big Twelve. All it is
is offense, no defense. And I think that physicality of
Notre Dame is gonna wear on Pit.

Speaker 5 (38:19):
And put another.

Speaker 11 (38:20):
Factor in I don't like to do this a lot,
but I'm gonna throw it out there. I said they
should be in no problem with two losses, but because
they don't have a conference affiliation, you may have creep
into the back of their minds that we might need
some style points. And given it, Pitt is a top
twenty five team, you're gonna look at. Notre Dame is

(38:43):
not gonna take their foot off the gas with the lead.
So that's another reason for me to go ahead and
look and lay the points with Notre Dame. But here's
the final reason. Okay, I've been doing this for I
don't know how long. Okay, for four and a half decades,
forty six the big exact years of doing this business.

(39:03):
I have never in my life seen a head coach
answer a question and a press conference like Pitt's head
coach Pat Ardoozy did this week.

Speaker 5 (39:14):
He was asked.

Speaker 11 (39:17):
How big is this game for the pit program. He answered,
that's a great question. I'm glad you asked it. This
is not an ACC game. I would gladly lose this
game one hundred and three or one hundred and ten
to ten, as long as we win the next two
ACC games and play for the conference championship. This game meet,

(39:42):
you know, has no bearing on our season. You've got
to be absolutely kidding me to make a statement like
that in a press conference. And what I read it
as he's given his team a build in, a build
in excuse for losing this game. If they lose, I'm

(40:03):
gonna lay it with Notre Dame, and I think they're
not gonna take their foot off the gas. I think
that Notre Dame's gonna put up a lot of points
in this game. I got Notre Dame winning forty one
to twenty three.

Speaker 1 (40:15):
That's a wild Tommet. That's Oh, I didn't see that.
That is wild? Is Marco? Is that a landline ringing that?

Speaker 9 (40:24):
That was a the lion line that never gets a
phone call except today. So it definitely was a scammer
trying to sell me, probably solar.

Speaker 1 (40:35):
Uh cash the over half a landline for Marco.

Speaker 6 (40:45):
It was probably Nardoozy call and saying, hey, don't tell
people about what I said.

Speaker 5 (40:49):
The next day. I was talking about how you know we.

Speaker 4 (40:52):
Can play them in a parking lot.

Speaker 5 (40:53):
We'll be ready to go.

Speaker 6 (40:54):
That was that was That was Nardoozy saying, come on, Marco.
Come on, you're supposed to be a guy.

Speaker 1 (41:00):
That's hilarious. Joe says, Uh, it's time for lemon pepper cupcakes. Uh, Marco,
I actually looked this up to see if this is
a real thing, and not only is it a real thing,
they look incredible.

Speaker 11 (41:12):
Uh.

Speaker 1 (41:13):
Someone even fills them with guava filling. So now I
may have a I may have something to try this afternoon,
try and make lemon pepper cupcakes.

Speaker 3 (41:22):
Uh.

Speaker 5 (41:23):
So I can just see you making cupcakes.

Speaker 1 (41:27):
Well, my my, my wife is a fantastic baker, like
like she's she's fantastic, and so I bet you, I
bet I could talk her to help me. I may
do that next week. We'll bring some lemon pepper cupcakes
next Friday. So Marco.

Speaker 12 (41:43):
Too, I all take pictures and text him harm Yes, yes, Margot,
we always do Sauce of the week Before we do that,
tell her what you have up.

Speaker 1 (41:55):
It's a huge weekend. We got Weekend Warrior. Every sport
is pretty much going, what do you have up for everyone?

Speaker 4 (42:01):
Well, we also have this week.

Speaker 11 (42:03):
If everybody is the Weekend Warrior's been fantastic. Everybody loves that.
You want to make that even better. We've got a
ten day package for ninety nine dollars right now, ten days,
ninety nine dollars. That's everything, not just the college and
pro football. You'll get every sport that's going on. So
you can jump on board that. But yours truly has
another special going this week, and I want to thank

(42:25):
everybody for all of the birthday wishes. Last week we
had that big birthday bash. We delivered another five percent
winner with Nebraska now thirty six and sixteen on those
five percent plays. We've put together a deal through the
rest of the football season, right through the Super Bowl.
You'll get every play, and not every play just in football,

(42:46):
you'll get every play I have in every sport. Guys,
we're on a twenty three to nine run the last
fifteen days that's resulted in a profit of thirty four
hundred and ninety seven dollars. You can pick this package up.
Normally ninety nine dollars per week. There's thirteen weeks from
now to the Super Bowl. That would cost you almost

(43:07):
thirteen hundred dollars. We're giving it to you for seven
hundred and forty nine dollars. Take advantage of that package.
Over at wager Talk. You can go directly to my
homepage at wt dot buzz backslash MD And guys, yes,
we are gonna have another five percent sometime this weekend,
so get on board.

Speaker 4 (43:27):
Over at wager Talk.

Speaker 1 (43:31):
All right, it's time Sauce of the Week. Marco gives
his wing Sauce of the Week. Compares it to a team,
a player, a coach. Who you got this week?

Speaker 4 (43:41):
Well, we're gonna go with the player.

Speaker 11 (43:43):
And the last few weeks, I've been kind of a
dick with some of the people that I've called out.

Speaker 4 (43:49):
This week, I'm gonna be a nice.

Speaker 11 (43:50):
Guy and we're gonna go to the Indiana quarterback Fernando
heis Mendoza. Uh, I see what you did there, Mendoza
last week, guys, and I know Penn State has had
a rough year, but Dan can tell you there's nothing

(44:14):
like that crowd, you know, that fan base in Penn State.
To take over two minutes left in the game, actually
one fifty one left on the clock, starting at your
own twenty yard line, no timeouts, and on the first
play your sacked for seven yard loss, so you're back
to your thirteen yard line. Clock is running, You've got

(44:37):
no timeouts. He then proceeds to connect on a twenty
two yard pass, a twelve yard pass, a twenty nine
yard pass, a seventeen yard pass, and then on third
in goal from the seven yard line just thirty six
seconds left, he hit the game winner on probably the
catch of the season by Omar Cooper Junior to win.

(45:01):
That was an absolute clinic on running the two minute
drill with no timeouts. And if you notice the passes
that he completed that I said, every one of those
passes were over ten yards. Why is that significant, Because
when you have no timeouts, you need to stop the
clock somehow. You either have to have a pass play
that goes out of bounds or you get the first

(45:23):
down where you get the chance to reset while they're
resetting the chains. That was an absolute magnificent drive in
hostile environment. And for you, mister Mendoza, you get the
sweet chili sauce because that drive was absolutely sweet and
you were chill, had ice running through your veins, my man,

(45:46):
and I think you did lock up the Heisman Trophy
unless you absolutely would have to shit the bed the
last couple games of the season.

Speaker 5 (45:53):
That is your Heisman Trophy winner.

Speaker 1 (45:56):
I mean, heis Mendoza is just how is that not bad?
I mean, you just coined it Mount Marco, so you
know this thing's gonna take off. The production team's gonna
clip this and send it out and all of a sudden,
tag Heisman so funny. It was sweet. I was trying
to think of a better college catch off the top

(46:18):
of my head. I couldn't really. I mean, there's there's
gotta be some out there, but that catch was just
It means.

Speaker 11 (46:26):
The combination not only of the catch, Andy, but the
circumstances of the catch. I mean, we've had some spectacular catches,
but how many of them were for game winners like that.
That's that's what puts it over the top. No timeouts,
third and goal. That was you know the call. The

(46:47):
call was insane. It's just I had to like literally
replay that call. I kept hitting rewind because I couldn't
understand what the hell he was saying.

Speaker 5 (46:57):
Could you want to on the first.

Speaker 1 (47:00):
I was too busy yelling and screaming.

Speaker 5 (47:05):
Oh my god, oh my god.

Speaker 1 (47:07):
I'm texting friends and we all graduated from IU. So uh,
Artie says Chris Carter made an amazing catch back in
the day. Okay, I'll look that one up. But yeah,
circumstances absolutely incredible. Sweet chili saw I was sweet sweet ones.
All right, all right, Marco, next week I'm gonna try
these lemon pepper cupcakes. Maybe I'll send us out bring

(47:29):
them money here. We got to see them, right, that's
a done deal. That's a done deal, Marco. Everybody always
bringing the heat, great breakdowns and grab a Weekend Warrior
Pass for him all of his football plays in that
long term special. We always recommend when you get plays great,
get a package, the multi day package. So Dan, let's
do all around the world and then let's talk about

(47:49):
our picks in the super contest here. Like I said,
we got a lot of emails saying would you would
you start giving out some Brooklyn Nets player? Absolutely yes,
I will igort demit. That's false. We did not get
one email about that. Igor Demon over one and a
half made threes. Listen, this is a client play. He

(48:10):
went over the first two games of the season, then
a slump, but he settled back in. Cam Thomas is
out of the lineup. Last three games without cam Thomas,
he's gone over. His minutes are up. He's averaging five
point seven to three point attempts in those games, shooting
forty six point seven percent from threes, and the Magic
are bottom ten defending threes to guards. This is a
really good play going too. UFC Kyle Daucas inside the distance.

(48:32):
This is a theme this weekend, fading the old fighters.
Gerald Mierschard has fifty seven career fights and father time
has not only caught up with him, it looks like
he's passed him. He was truly awful and slow in
his last fight. Doccas is getting his second run in UFC.
He comes back in the UFC and Nuke's's opponent within
the first minute of the fight. Doucas can wrestle and

(48:55):
that's Gerald Mierschard's path the victory's try and gets on
the ground. Thucas isn't gonna let that happen. Look for
Dawcas to get the win in a violent fashion and
then forty nine ers Cardinals. This is a client play
as well. I think that the books are asleep on
this one. Michael Wilson over forty six and a half
receiving Marvin Harrison's out. Zay Jones is out, So your
pass catchers are McBride, Dortch, and Michael Wilson, and even

(49:18):
with Harrison and Jones in the line up paid three
plus catches the last four games and the forty nine
ers last three games, they've given up two hundred and
fifty fifty seven yards passing Jacoby Brissett's been over two
hundred and fifty yards and his fourth starts. This line
is entirely too low. I put this out as a
client play. I expect this to go past fifty. So

(49:39):
lock this thing in. Michael Wilson over his receiving all right,
time to bring in Dan.

Speaker 2 (49:46):
Dan.

Speaker 1 (49:46):
We're going over our super contest picks. Just a reminder
to everybody, Dan is recording the show and his official breakdowns.
Much more detail will be up low yesterday.

Speaker 5 (49:58):
So thirty minutes of detail. Thirty minutes of detail to me.
All right, it's posted right now. You can search it.
Let's make millions.

Speaker 6 (50:07):
If you just search Circle Wager Talk millions, you can
find the show. But me and Adam Rosenberg make it
every weekend, and it's up now now.

Speaker 1 (50:14):
Oh, it's already up, perfect, perfect, all right, I'll share
my picks here. I struggled. I can't say I'm super
confident about you know, a lot of these, but I'll
start with this Bengals and Steelers. I don't think the
Steelers team is very good. They've lost three out of four.
They lost outright to this Bengals team. They talk about

(50:38):
not making adjustments. They let Jamar Chase do whatever he
wanted and that win against the cold six turnovers. How
is that gonna continue? They looked really bad. And I
think this Bengals team, while their defense is really bad,
damn their own players called them out. I've never seen
that where they're the offensive players is like, hey, defense,

(51:00):
you mind doing something? At some point, pride becomes a
part of These guys are professional athletes that they're fighting
for jobs. So I like the Bengals to not wing
but cover this one. Chargers, this is just a fatee
of Trevor Lawrence. Trevor Lawrence bit you pretty bad last week.
I believed Dan. Did you see this stat? Davis Mills
has six career NFL wins. Three of them are head

(51:23):
to head against Trevor Lawrence's.

Speaker 6 (51:25):
Trevor Lawrence's father, Trevor Lawrence's fire That one hurt. I
had the jag last week against Houston. We were feeling
really really good. Actually, I left and I texted my buddy.
I was like, oh, man, you know, we lost the
Bucks game, but hey, you know what, at least we
went three in one and we were both feeling good.
The next time I get back to my phone, I
have like ten texts from Berg and he's like, dude,

(51:47):
we're about to lose.

Speaker 5 (51:48):
We're going to lose.

Speaker 6 (51:49):
We lost, and I was like, we had a nineteen
point lead in the fourth quarter.

Speaker 2 (51:54):
Against Davis Mill lost. Yeah.

Speaker 1 (51:58):
I'm this Jags Tea is just so fatable and this
Chargers team. Their offensive line isn't very good, but Gadson
is back, and I think you can make the case
this might be the best wide receiving corps in the league.
Jacks can't stop the pass Herbert. I have Herbert on
my fantasy team and I am just salivating at what
he's gonna do to this team. So Bucks plus five
and a half at the Bills. The Bills, listen, their

(52:23):
regular season super Bowl is a home game to the Chiefs.
We know that, but how good have they been at home?
Lost to the Patriots. You beat the Saints, beat the Dolphins,
should have lost to the Ravens. This Bucks team has
got a pretty good rush defense. Their achilles heel is
the pass defense. And this Bills team cannot stretch the field.
I think you can slow down this Bills offense. That's

(52:45):
too many points for the Bucks at the Bills Ravens.
So the Ravens and chief I just have in the
same category of we cannot screw around. The Ravens and
Chiefs have to be winning these games. They cannot screw around.
This is a Browns team just really can't muster up
a whole lot. They lost to the Jets, they got
blown out to the Patriots, and this Ravens team, you know,

(53:08):
they took care of business. They won by more than
seven points. So I just think this is Lamar and
the Ravens to the moon and then the Chiefs, like
I said, minus fourth the Broncos. There's a sneaky there's
a sneaky injury that I don't think people are taking
into account. JK. Dobbins is not playing. He's not great, okay,
but he is a veteran so now and he's.

Speaker 5 (53:28):
Been a huge part of that team too.

Speaker 1 (53:30):
Now you're depending on rookie RJ. Harvey, who has not
looked like a great rusher of the ball.

Speaker 5 (53:38):
Not a great rusher.

Speaker 1 (53:39):
Yeah, pass protection, I got some questions about that. And
bo Nicks. They put up ten points against the Las
Vegas Raiders. They also put up eighteen points against against Houston.
I think they're a little bit fraudulent. So I'll take
the Chiefs to lay the wood. So Begos, Chargers, Bucks, Ravens, Chiefs.

(54:00):
I know two of them. We're going straight head to head.
What are those?

Speaker 5 (54:03):
Yes, we are straight head to head.

Speaker 6 (54:05):
These are the picks for the water and wah Wah
entry in the circum million contest. I believe out of
the ten weeks we've been picking Andy, we have uh
what what you don't like the wooter in Wahwah jackson No, Jacksonville,
Oh yeah, yeah, that is see. I thought I thought
you were laughing about the joke of ai content we

(54:27):
have there. But you're laughing that I'm going back to
the wall. We're gluttons for punishment here, Jacksonville.

Speaker 5 (54:33):
That's that.

Speaker 6 (54:34):
You didn't think that was gonna be the one we
were head to head on, did you. It's it's buffalo.
We're laying it with Buffalo. It's a circle the wagons
game for the Buffalo Bills, and nobody circles the wagons
like the Buffalo Bills. Injuries I think are just starting
to mount. No Bucky Irving, no Chris Godwin. And I
also think not on the injury report, I don't think
Baker Mayfield looks right. I thought, you know, after the

(54:55):
bye he would maybe recover a little bit nicer. I
think there's a shoulder injury going on that's now being
reported with Baker Mayfield. But Andy, the one that I
know you want the thoughts on here, how the hell
did we end up on Jacksonville. Before Jacksonville lost to Seattle,
they have been one of the best teams at home.

Speaker 5 (55:13):
They as a matter of fact, beat the Chiefs at home.

Speaker 6 (55:15):
If people remember back on that Monday night football game
before that Seattle game, won and covered all three of
their home games.

Speaker 5 (55:21):
They've been a really nice home team.

Speaker 6 (55:23):
And then you're gonna argue, well, you know, they just
blew that game against the Texans and Davis Mills. Sure,
but the Texans are a terrific home team, and I
feel like, is there a potential for the hangover heading
into this game the way that they lost? Sure, but
there's also a potential that this team is not going
to allow themselves to keep that back door swinging open.

(55:45):
And this is a Chargers team who's heading into the buy.
And this team, just year over year, is a team
that heading into the buy. Sometimes it's a bet on,
sometimes it's a bet against two eight and one.

Speaker 5 (55:57):
The game before the bye week is the Charge.

Speaker 6 (56:00):
So I think this is a team who, also Andy
has traveled back and forth, back and forth, back and
forth their East Coast trips. They haven't covered one of
their East Coast trips yet They've won them, but they
haven't covered a single game on the East Coast. And
this is now that I believe the fourth time that
they're traveling east. So just more travel stuff, more spot
stuff than it being a true handicap. And I think

(56:23):
the real thing that put me over on allowing Berg
to talk me into Jacksonville that I said we're never
betting out and again is I'm just not so sure
that this Chargers defense that gets Ballyhood is all that
much better than this Jacksonville defense, who is one of
the sneakier better defenses in the league, especially against the run.
So that's the thoughts for me there on Jacksonville. The

(56:45):
well laying it with that Atlanta. My favorite pick of
the week is Minnesota. I'm not a believer in this
Bears team. This Bears team is not going to get
to push the ball up and down the field on
the Giants and the Bengals, which is why the market
is so high on them Flores versus young quarterbacks. I'm
gonna take that match up every time, especially under the
key number there. So those's the pick for me, Andy

(57:07):
and I let the cat out of the bag. Why
I like the Giants disgusting pick on the board, But
I think Mike Kafka is going to be a head
coach in the NFL, whether he wins this job for
the Giants or he gets hired elsewhere. Mike Kaffka is
an extremely terrific head coach candidate who was already being interviewed.
You asked, you know, where's the motivation there? Mike Kafka

(57:27):
is auditioning for a job, and I think they have
at least enough talent defensively to hang around with an
offense that's not looked too great in Green Bay.

Speaker 1 (57:37):
Well, I will tell you, I was like, why didn't
I land on them? I have three at bet online,
so you have you have the better number? Yeah? Yeah,
so they.

Speaker 5 (57:46):
Three on the Giants.

Speaker 1 (57:48):
No, no, no, I'm sorry Vikings.

Speaker 5 (57:50):
Oh okay, okay, yeah yeah, the King at one thing.
I was like, holy shit. I was like, I'm picking
Green Bay then, and.

Speaker 1 (58:00):
No, I'm sorry the Viking. I was like, how did
I not land on the Vikings over the Bears? That's why?
Because they how.

Speaker 5 (58:05):
Does yours get graded?

Speaker 6 (58:06):
Because I was I was looking into how they do
the circum million contests because that's seven. I was like, uh,
I could see it being around seven. I learned that
it's not a loss like it would be in Survivor.
If you push your play, you end up actually getting
a half point, so at least would count towards our total. Okay, yeah,
so I don't I don't worry as much about, you know,

(58:28):
being on a half, being off a half, because you
can get a half win.

Speaker 2 (58:32):
Yeah.

Speaker 1 (58:32):
Yeah, I've fallen behind a little bit, so I basically
can't have a losing.

Speaker 5 (58:36):
This is the West. You're at least going three and two,
you're at least coming three and two.

Speaker 1 (58:40):
God, they just need to see one go in. All right, Well,
good luck to us. We're going ahead to the head,
so maybe we'll go one in, one split one away.

Speaker 5 (58:49):
I know I wish that, you know, we have all
these fun things that we do with the chat.

Speaker 6 (58:52):
It's like I want to I want an all access
you know, Andy pass for three days if I win, Andy,
and I'll have to think of something.

Speaker 5 (58:59):
But we no, this is.

Speaker 1 (59:02):
This is easy. It's Jacksonville and Chargers. Let's go ahead
to head Jack and.

Speaker 6 (59:08):
Comment below what you think the punishment should be. I'll
take the jag. I can't believe the first bet we're
doing on the show. I have to have the jags.
Masterful gambit by you.

Speaker 2 (59:17):
Andy.

Speaker 6 (59:18):
Comment below, what does the loser have to do. I'll
take the plus three, you take the minus three? Uh,
and that and that's what we'll great that. If it's
a push, who knows, well.

Speaker 5 (59:27):
We'll figure something out. Maybe we'll both dress like idiots.

Speaker 6 (59:30):
But comment below and let us know what does loser
do and and who do you agree with?

Speaker 5 (59:34):
I have a feeling if it's.

Speaker 1 (59:35):
A push, Marco has to do the punishment.

Speaker 5 (59:37):
Yeah. Yeah, if it's a push, Marco has to do it.

Speaker 1 (59:39):
Deal for you for no reason? So all right, great
week of shows. Thank you so much for the chat.
Thank you so much to Dan Again. Sunday, NFL Props
pack is up five percent. UFC pack is up, unleashing
our first official boxing play. We had our well it's
our second one. We officially had our first one up.
We didn't didn't didn't release it to the public, but

(01:00:02):
we're one to zer in those so boxing play is
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We're up thirty units in November. Let's build those bank
rolls this weekend, guys, let's have a big one Titans.
Check your email if they haven't sent it to you already,
email into customer Sport and you get your free three

(01:00:23):
day pass for beating me on our bet last weekend.
No no, I'm just gonna say no.

Speaker 5 (01:00:31):
No shaving, No shave it. We're both on air for
a living.

Speaker 4 (01:00:39):
We're just gonna walk around with one eye.

Speaker 5 (01:00:41):
Come on.

Speaker 1 (01:00:45):
Any legs a prop kang. Thank you very much. Yes,
Prop's been a really really good source of revenue and
profits for us over the last couple of years, so
all props are up, NBA props back is up as
well for tonight. All right, thanks very much. Hit the
like button, leave a comment below. What's the punishment for
myself and Dan? We're going head to head on the
Chargers and the Jaguars. Good luck this weekend. We're gonna

(01:01:05):
be back on Monday. Break down how the weekend went,
and go over how we're gonna make money next week.
Thanks for joining everyone. Good luck on your bets. Take
care