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April 30, 2024 12 mins

Kelley Bydlon and Wes Reynolds preview a pair of non-PGA Tour events this week. The DP World Tour is in China for the Volvo China Open. LIV Golf is in Singapore. Wes gives the course breakdowns and stats that matter. Also, best bets for the China Open and LIV Singapore.

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Episode Transcript

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Speaker 1 (00:02):
This is long Shots. Here's Wes Reynolds.

Speaker 2 (00:08):
Welcome to long Shots. He's Wes Reynolds. I'm Kelly Bidlin
and guess what. It's around the world with Wes Reynolds. Wes,
how do you doing, Bunny?

Speaker 1 (00:16):
I'm well, Kelly, how are you doing?

Speaker 2 (00:17):
Okay? Doing okay? Haven't seen him like a whole week.
It's kind of weird. I wasn't on the pod last week.
It's weird to not see you for a week. I'm
realizing now that's how close you, you, Matt and myself
have gotten on this podcast.

Speaker 1 (00:30):
Yes, yeah, I want to hopefully we get us close
to some winners this week.

Speaker 2 (00:34):
Yeah, that would be nice. That would be nice. All right,
a couple of tournaments going on around the world this week.
We're going to talk Volvo the Volvo China Open, and
we're gonna go to Live Singapore. We're gonna start things
off with Live Singapore. Got odds in front of me
right now. West looks like John Ram and depending on
where you shop, John Ram and Jackie Neman's the favorite
in this tournament. Braising a Shambo about ten to one,

(00:56):
Cameron Smith fourteen to one, Tyrold Hatton Brooks Kopka all
following him. What are we looking at this week? This
week in Singapore. Reminder for everybody out there, this tournament
will begin if you're state side kind of Wednesday night.
That's why we're starting with this one.

Speaker 1 (01:12):
Yeah. The last week's winner, by the way and Live
Adelaide down in Australia was Brendan Steele, who I believe
I saw at a price at one hundred and ten
to one, who had not won on the PGA Tour
really anywhere in golf since October twenty seventeen. He wins
by one over Louis Us Tazan. That's Louis Us Staysan's
third second place finish, two on the Live Tour and
then one on the international series that they're doing on

(01:34):
the Asian Tour, So he might be near a win
this week or at least soon. Yeah, I didn't play him.
I might regret it though, because he was like my
last leave off. But where we are this week. We
are in Singapore at the Sentosa Golf Club, which is
rated pretty high in all the Golf Digest rankings. Very scenic,
very beautiful course, regarded as one of the best in Asia.

(01:58):
It hosted the Singapore Open on the Asian Tour every
year since twenty five. Par seventy one, seventy four oh six.
Got to be a little bit long off the tee,
but mainly a ball striker type of course. Uh, plenty
of hazards on the course, but this these are going
to be pretty pristine conditions. Bermuda grass, greens, perfect greens.
Probably some of the best greens that these guys or

(02:20):
any players are going to ever really put on.

Speaker 2 (02:22):
So uh uh.

Speaker 1 (02:23):
The stretch of holes actually from three to seven is
known as the Dragon's tail Man. We got all these names,
the bear, the bear trap. Uh, they did the Dragon's
tail here in holes three through seven. This event, by
the way, second year they've had this. They had this
last year Taylor Gouch actually won in a playoff over

(02:46):
Sergio Garcia. That's when Gouch won two in a row,
won in Adelaide and then one in Singapore the very
following week. So you know, yeah, yeah, yeah, So very
small field obviously, as we usually get with the live
events this week, so I usually don't have too many,
but did come up with three this week. I mentioned

(03:06):
Louis Us Staysen was my last leave off. It was
between him and this guy who I'm going to go
back to again, even though he kind of disappointed on Sunday,
won the team championship but did not win the individual.
And that's Cameron Smith, who is first in putting. He
gets a put on these near perfect greens this week
at Sentosa Golf Club, did win the team championship, finished

(03:28):
sixth here last year, so I think he could play well.
So of the shorter guys, he was the guy at
felt at least had some value. And then the guy
already mentioned, I'm going to go Sergio Garcia at thirty
to one, who's actually won on this course before. In
twenty eighteen one the Singapore opened by five shots. Lost
in the playoff last year to Taylor Gooch. He's lost
a lot of playoffs. He's actually lost two already this

(03:50):
year at Maya COVID with Jalkee Neeman and then at
Doral and Miami to Dean Burmaster, so you know, two
runner up finishes. He still drives it great off the tee.
Can be a shaky putter, but these Bermuda grass I
think are a little bit more of his preferred putting surface.
And then Paul Casey thirty three to one, runner up

(04:10):
here at the Singapore opened in twenty nineteen. He was
t five in Las Vegas, tied for second in Hong Kong,
and actually has already played in Singapore, albeit on a
different course. He was sixth in the DP World Tour
event last month. Sixty three in the final round is
what Paul Casey shot for this event last year. So
those kind of middle guys. So we're gonna go Smith

(04:32):
fourteen to one, Garcia thirty to one, and Paul Casey
thirty three to one.

Speaker 2 (04:37):
Right, I like it. I like it, just outrights in
the account so far.

Speaker 1 (04:40):
Yeah, Yeah, nothing that I've done yet with any with
any matchups because because the field is so small, I
basically have been playing three every week. So probably at
least gonna stick to that. But I'll see if there's
placement markets because usually, at least out here in Las Vegas,
most stores with a couple notable exceptions, don't get this

(05:02):
out until Wednesday.

Speaker 2 (05:03):
Yeah, we were, Yeah, we were talking about that a
little before the podcast. So is that mainly liver you
just betting outrights on as probably guess is a conversation
we should have more on around the world of exactly
how you're attacking some of these turns. Yeah, different than
the PA Tour.

Speaker 1 (05:16):
It is, and and I'm just betting three guys and
and I bet them smaller because you know, this has
been kind of unpredictable because you get you get sometimes
you get breaks during the season. It's very rare. They
go back to back weeks and then you know they'll
have a back to back week and then I won't
play for a month, So you know that's what you're
going to see. I think, uh uh after the after

(05:38):
the PGA, I believe they don't have an event for
like a month until a couple of weeks before the
US Open. So yeah, it's really tough to find forman
and you've had some aside from Walkee Neeman, who's been
a consistent winner so far this year, winning two of
the first six events, you really don't have much consistency
that John rom finishes in the top ten every single

(05:59):
time has not won as of yet. But you've had
kind of a wide variety of winners this year other
than the two if Nieman, Abraham Answer one in Hong Kong,
DJ one in Las Vegas, and he has not been
that good this year Burmaster in Miami and then Brendan
Steele last week in Australia.

Speaker 2 (06:17):
Yeah, unfortunately, it does feel like, you know, I think
a lot of the concerns that some of us had
when when Live even started and how we would attack
it from from a betting standpoint, I mean it was
a little bit. Yeah, I mean we rely so heavily
on stats for PGA Tour as you guys regularly here
on long shots. But besides even that way, so it's
just the like the motivation questions, right, we always had

(06:38):
about these guys, and I don't want to say that,
you know, a couple of years later later where like
those questions are as big, but like I don't know
how much less they are because you are, you are
giving these guys guaranteed money up one and then it's
kind of I mean, especially guys like I mean, yeah,
you're talking about Rum's finished top ten every event so far,
but especially guys like him that already got so much

(06:59):
in the bank, and I know they're focused mainly on
the majors, you know, really, what's the motivation week in
week out? It's tough. I think that's tough because especially
I don't think we really have a solid answer to that,
you know, you know, even even now, what two years
later after we've started it, started to play on the
tour and.

Speaker 1 (07:15):
You're flying blind here because it's not like you have
decades and years and years of data necessarily, so in
all the time.

Speaker 2 (07:25):
Off in between events, like, that's gotta hurt too.

Speaker 1 (07:27):
You're right, like you're going on hunches a lot here.

Speaker 2 (07:30):
Yeah, that's a lot of gut feel. All right, Well,
there's Live for the week, Live Singapore. Check it out.
Catch the action, catch the thunder. I don't know what
the what the catchphrases are on the live golf.

Speaker 1 (07:42):
Yes, golf, But louder I think is they're catching yeah there, yeah,
there you go golf.

Speaker 2 (07:46):
Louder I like that. Actually, all right, Right to China,
the Volvo China Open West. What are we looking at here?
The odds board, Tom McGibbon at the top fourteen to one,
Sebastian Soderberg's are teaming to one, Jordan Smith eighteen one,
Yan Paul twenty two to one, everybody else twenty five
to one or longer. Tell us about the Volva China Open.

(08:07):
What you landed on this week?

Speaker 1 (08:08):
Yeah, and had a runner up on the DP World
Tour last week with Sebastian Soderberg. Uto Katsuragawa one with
a round of sixty three and got himself full time
status on the DP World Tour. Has been primarily playing
on the Japan Golf Tour, so nice win for him.
Valvo China Open actually has not been on the DP

(08:29):
World Tour since twenty nineteen because the twenty twenty and
twenty twenty one events did not get sanctioned by the
tour because of the COVID nineteen pandemic, and then in
twenty twenty two there were restrictions, more restrictions in China
and ultimately not played. The event got canceled, and then
in twenty twenty three it came back to the Asian

(08:51):
Tour schedule, but now returns to the DP World Tour.
It's been rotated. This event's been actually in existence since
nineteen ninety five around numerous courses in China, but now
is at the Hidden Grace Golf Club, which used to
be known as the Genzone Golf Club, which not only
hosted this event, but hosted the Shengin International, which used

(09:13):
to be on the DP World Tour seventy one, forty
seven par seventy two, four pretty middle length par fives,
three sub four hundred yard par fours, so longer hitters
I think should fare very well here on this event.
It's paspalum t through green here, so you know, just

(09:34):
looking at this event and you know went with some
guys maybe with some experience in the past, but one
guy that I did play was at the top of
the board. I played Tom mckibbon sixteen to one T
seven last week in Japan. He also got the chance
to watch his fellow member of the Hollywood Club in
Northern Ireland, where he is from, and that fellow member
being Rory McElroy went in New Orleans with Shane Lowry

(09:56):
last week at the Zurich Classic. Seven top twenty fives
and eight art so far this year, fourth and strokes
againing off the tee. I think he rips this course
with the driver Burn Weisberger twenty two to one, who
actually won here at the shen Jen International back in
twenty seventeen on this very golf course. Led the field
in gir last week twelve on approach, even though he
finished T twenty four. Multiple time winner in Asia. I

(10:17):
think he'll be back at home on this course. Another
guy it should be at home on this course is
a two time winner of this event, including on this
course in twenty fourteen. Alexander Levie, who's forty to one,
actually lost his DP World Tour card at the end
of the year. But if you look, he's been playing
some of the lower tours and he's shown promise. He
had two consecutive finishes his seventh and fourth on the

(10:39):
Professional Golf Tour of India last month, runner up two
weeks ago on the Challenge Tour at Abu Dhabi, was
ninth last week in the UAE and the Amirates on
the Challenge Tour. So guy that can hit it really
long off the tee and I think lenked off the
t is definitely going to matter on this course. Curradek
Affy barn Rat forty to one, who also won on
this course back in twenty fifteen at the Shenjen International.

(11:01):
Remember he lost in the playoffs six weeks ago at
the Singapore Classic to Jessper Spenson thirtieth. Last week he
finished in Japan, but he was second in the field
for strokes, getting tee to green and then a couple
of little longer shots here Johannes Bierman sixty to one,
first event in a month after he finished runner up
at the Hero Indian Open, thirteenth on the tour for
GR twenty first for putting, think he can go well

(11:22):
this week. And then another guy that was on the
leaderboard actually finished T three last week, a Spaniard Avon
Contero Gutierrez at ninety to one six in South Africa
last month and then at T three in Japan. So
two top six finishes in his last three events. Led
the field for off the tee and was fourth te
to green last week in the Japan event, tenth on

(11:43):
the DP World Tour for driving distance, leads the tour
in eagles, So I think he should be able to
take advantage of these shortish part fives on this track.

Speaker 2 (11:51):
All right, I like it. I like it. Man. It's
sad when you scroll down this odds board and see
some names that you forgot were still around doing their thing,
like a Dylan for Telly.

Speaker 1 (11:59):
Oh yeah, oh yeah, one.

Speaker 2 (12:01):
Hundred and thirty to one. He's coming in out at
this tournament, all right, all right, Wes, So we'll run
through everything real quick again, just the bets you got
for live and then the China Open.

Speaker 1 (12:10):
Yeah, the three for Live Cameron Smith fourteen to one,
Sergio Garcia thirty to one, Paul Casey thirty three to one,
and then go into the DP World Tour event of
Alvo China Open. Tom mckibb in sixty to one, Burn
Visberger twenty two to one, Alexander Levie forty to one,
Cia Decaffrey barn Rat forty to one, Johannes Ermann sixty

(12:31):
to one, Avon Contero Gutierrez ninety to one.

Speaker 2 (12:34):
All right, I like it, all right, that's everything for
around the World this week. Wes and I will be
back joined by Matt Brown tomorrow morning. We'll be discussing CJ.
Cupp Byron Nelson, all the bets we've got over there
for what should be a birdie fest. Until then, it's
Kelly in Wes Doculator
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