April 27, 2024 • 7 mins
Matt Youmans and Will Hill run through any bets they have for Saturday's NBA and NHL Playoff slate along with a look at a prop bet for Mr. Irrelevant for the last pick of the 2024 NFL Draft.
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
This is Fison's daily morning best.
Speaker 2 (00:06):
Well, Hill, let's start in the Association and we're going
to go with the Nuggets and the Lakers game first,
take the game at the bottom of the rotation and
put it at the top. Is it's so easy here
to just lay the three three and a half with
the Nuggets to say the Lakers are going to pack
it in, they're done, They don't want to go back
to Denver. The Nuggets are the far superior team, and
they've shown it through three games. Are you going to
(00:27):
play the favorite?
Speaker 1 (00:29):
That's certainly I would lean. I like the Nuggets here,
it's I don't love getting involved in these series three
or three o because sometimes the team that's up three
nothing feels like they have it won and they kind
of take the game off and I say, you know what,
we'll finish in five, we'll go home. So game four
when the series three zero can be tricky, but you
got to figure the Lakers are just fried mentally. They've
blown double digit leads, and I think all of these
games they've had chances to win and call them back.
(00:50):
Two years now, Denver, I think finished it. Denver gonna
be motivated that maybe now that I think about it.
With Minnesota on the verge of a sweep, Denver says,
all right, we got to get this done. Want Minnesota
have an arrest advantage on us, So I would expect
Denver to win this game.
Speaker 2 (01:04):
Yeah, I'm debating here lay the three three and a
half or d LA the one sixty on the money line.
But uh, it looks a little too easy. I'm probably
gonna play the Nuggets here. I just don't believe the
Lakers are going to come out and Hey, if you're
gonna if you're gonna show anything, you're gonna show it
in Game three, not in Game four and you're down
three to zero and the series is over. So Nuggets
are going to be a play for me. How about
(01:25):
we go to the Calves Magic game in Orlando. Magic
two point favorites off a thirty eight point win, will
anything for you in this one?
Speaker 1 (01:34):
I'll go under early start ten am Pacific. These guys
are night creatures. They play late, they stay up late,
sleep late, lake up late. This is an early start
and these are two kind of ugly teams offensive. We
Caves are okay on offense, but the Calves good on defense.
Magic are you know aside from the other night, are
bad on offense, good on defense, so to me, you know,
Games one and two were dead nut unders. Game three
(01:57):
snuck over just because it was garbage time, and things
go a little wonky late. I think we'll look at
it under too. Something to keep in mind as the
series goes on. Usually late in the series five, six, seven,
these games get even more physical, more intense, and you
see a lot of unders late in the series. Not
quite there yet, but I will still go under on
this game.
Speaker 2 (02:14):
All right. How about OKAC in New Orleans? Right now,
most books, including DraftKings thunder one point road favorites total
of two toh eight and a half.
Speaker 1 (02:21):
I think the I think the Pelicans get one. I
don't know that OKC. I mean they're good, but is
still a young team going on the road. I don't
know if they have that maturity to go in kill
her instinct and win on the road and sweep New Orleans.
It feels like New Orleans gets the game. Game one
was close, Game two is a blowout. I'll give New
Orleans a game. I do think okay Se gets the
split in wins in five, but I'll give New Orleans
this one.
Speaker 2 (02:41):
All right, I think JVT might have tuked me into
a play on the total here on the Celtics Heat
game now. Obviously, in Game two in Boston, the Miami
Heat shot the lights out twenty three three pointers. I
think you're going to see some shooting regression from the
Heat from three in this game, but you also should
be seeing a strong bounce back effort from the Boston Celtics.
(03:01):
It feels like the total is bottomed out in the
market at two oh one and a half. I might
look to play the over here. I'm not sure if
I'm going to do anything with the side Celtics laying
nine on the road, series tied at one, how about
you will?
Speaker 1 (03:15):
I feel like the Celtics bounce back, and it's not
my nature to like lay double digits on the road.
If I wanted to play at Boston, you know, Boston
Pro Boston angle, I probably just look at Miami team
total under figure in the regression will come from three
point range in Boston. Maybe defend the three point line
once in a while. It's not all luck with Miami
shooting lights out, because Miami seems to have a lot
of good shooting. Look against Boston defend the three point line.
(03:37):
They don't have anything else, they can't get to the basket,
so I think they'll stifle down. I think they'll play
a good defensive game. I'll go Miami Heat team total
under here.
Speaker 2 (03:45):
All right, hockey talk, and this is going to be quick.
We're going to break the ice here with Dallas Stars,
Vegas Golden Knights, the top seed in the West down
two to Oho coming to Vegas for a Saturday night game.
And will the Golden Knights right now minus one on
eighteen of DraftKings, you might end up seeing a higher
price Saturday night before the puck drops here in Vegas
(04:06):
with action on the home side. I think this is
where you got to play the top seed in the
West down two games. If they're going to show up,
the starter's got to do it in game three, So
I might look to play the dog in this one.
Any thought quick thought for you here or no?
Speaker 1 (04:18):
Yeah, I think it's a good handicap. I'll play Dallas
with you. And you know you mentioned you get a
better number when you're fading Vegas, when you're in Vegas,
and maybe I'll hop on a plane and get the
better number in Vegas.
Speaker 2 (04:27):
May he just called me. Maybe I'll put it in
for you. All right, let's go to baseball for a
minute and we'll hit on one game. We like to talk
about the Yankees, So let's go ahead and talk about
the Yankees game pitching matchup rodn and Ross and Milwaukee
Yankees and DraftKings minus one thirty total of eight and
(04:47):
a half. Will anything for you in that matchup?
Speaker 1 (04:51):
It be a lean towards the Yankees. I don't know that.
I'll bet it. Rodd's actually pitch pretty well. He hasn't
gotten a ton of swing and Missus hasn't been overpowering Bud.
He's cut down on the walks. He's been good, not great,
but good. Yankees have the better lineup. I think this
is a reasonable price here for the Yankees on the road.
Speaker 2 (05:06):
All right now, we're going to end this with a
We're going to call it an entertainment prop. This is
up at DraftKings for the NFL Draft. He got rounds
four through seven on Saturday. The last pick in the
draft is owned by your New York Jets Will Hill,
and the prop up at DraftKings, mister irrelevant. The position
of the last player drafted in the seventh round. That
(05:29):
would be pick number two, fifty seven overall. I was
talking about this with our producer Dan Moneyline Miller, and
he says, it's got to be an offensive player, right. Well,
I went back and looked. Three of the last four years,
it's been a defensive player. In twenty twenty it was
a linebacker, twenty twenty one, a linebacker twenty twenty two.
We all know Brock perty quarterback from Iowa State to
the San Francisco forty nine ers. Last year it was
(05:52):
it was a defensive end edge rusher. Will the prop
at DraftKings, Let's take a shot and see if we
can get this right. Quarterback is a favorite at three
to one. Defensive line EDGs rusher at five to one,
the second choice offensive lineman also five to one. Wide
receiver plus six fifty, cornerback plus six fifty linebacker eight
(06:13):
to one, running back ten to one, safety eleven and
tight end thirteen to one. Also kicker, punter, long snapper
grouped in at sixteen to one. You want to take
a guess on a mister of irrelevant and a position
on this DraftKings prop.
Speaker 1 (06:30):
Yeah, that's when these books they always leave it up.
I don't know if there's betting interest in for it,
but like when they pull some of these markets, that
one always stays up for whatever reason. I'll go with
the longer rides. I don't know why quarterbacks, the short shot.
I will go with the kicker, punter, long snapper. Oh wow, sixteen.
Speaker 2 (06:43):
To one, you're taking the longest shot on the board
for the Jets. And they might trade to pick, but
right now the Jets have picked number two fifty seven,
and then they would have mister irrelevant. I'll tell you what,
I'm going to go with wide receiver. Why not plus
six to fifty. I'm gonna go middle of the odds
board here, wide receiver. Jets get some sort of target
(07:04):
for Aaron Rodgers with the last pick of the draft.
Speaker 1 (07:08):
Well, that's your hope, that's your hope for filling the position.
I mean the last pick of the draft. I mean
they did get the kid from Western Kentucky. But I
mean it's hard to handicap this stuf because we don't
know what they're going to do. It's yeah, it's who
they have out valued on their board and he's left over.
Speaker 2 (07:22):
Who knows. That's why I said it's an entertainment prop.
If you want about that, you're just guessing. You really
have no information nothing, You're just taking a shot on
something because you want to for the hell of it.
But DraftKings put that prop up, and that's all I
see up for the rest of the NFL Draft. Mister irrelevant,
This is Fison's daily morning best.
Speaker 2 (00:06):
Well, Hill, let's start in the Association and we're going
to go with the Nuggets and the Lakers game first,
take the game at the bottom of the rotation and
put it at the top. Is it's so easy here
to just lay the three three and a half with
the Nuggets to say the Lakers are going to pack
it in, they're done, They don't want to go back
to Denver. The Nuggets are the far superior team, and
they've shown it through three games. Are you going to
(00:27):
play the favorite?
Speaker 1 (00:29):
That's certainly I would lean. I like the Nuggets here,
it's I don't love getting involved in these series three
or three o because sometimes the team that's up three
nothing feels like they have it won and they kind
of take the game off and I say, you know what,
we'll finish in five, we'll go home. So game four
when the series three zero can be tricky, but you
got to figure the Lakers are just fried mentally. They've
blown double digit leads, and I think all of these
games they've had chances to win and call them back.
(00:50):
Two years now, Denver, I think finished it. Denver gonna
be motivated that maybe now that I think about it.
With Minnesota on the verge of a sweep, Denver says,
all right, we got to get this done. Want Minnesota
have an arrest advantage on us, So I would expect
Denver to win this game.
Speaker 2 (01:04):
Yeah, I'm debating here lay the three three and a
half or d LA the one sixty on the money line.
But uh, it looks a little too easy. I'm probably
gonna play the Nuggets here. I just don't believe the
Lakers are going to come out and Hey, if you're
gonna if you're gonna show anything, you're gonna show it
in Game three, not in Game four and you're down
three to zero and the series is over. So Nuggets
are going to be a play for me. How about
(01:25):
we go to the Calves Magic game in Orlando. Magic
two point favorites off a thirty eight point win, will
anything for you in this one?
Speaker 1 (01:34):
I'll go under early start ten am Pacific. These guys
are night creatures. They play late, they stay up late,
sleep late, lake up late. This is an early start
and these are two kind of ugly teams offensive. We
Caves are okay on offense, but the Calves good on defense.
Magic are you know aside from the other night, are
bad on offense, good on defense, so to me, you know,
Games one and two were dead nut unders. Game three
(01:57):
snuck over just because it was garbage time, and things
go a little wonky late. I think we'll look at
it under too. Something to keep in mind as the
series goes on. Usually late in the series five, six, seven,
these games get even more physical, more intense, and you
see a lot of unders late in the series. Not
quite there yet, but I will still go under on
this game.
Speaker 2 (02:14):
All right. How about OKAC in New Orleans? Right now,
most books, including DraftKings thunder one point road favorites total
of two toh eight and a half.
Speaker 1 (02:21):
I think the I think the Pelicans get one. I
don't know that OKC. I mean they're good, but is
still a young team going on the road. I don't
know if they have that maturity to go in kill
her instinct and win on the road and sweep New Orleans.
It feels like New Orleans gets the game. Game one
was close, Game two is a blowout. I'll give New
Orleans a game. I do think okay Se gets the
split in wins in five, but I'll give New Orleans
this one.
Speaker 2 (02:41):
All right, I think JVT might have tuked me into
a play on the total here on the Celtics Heat
game now. Obviously, in Game two in Boston, the Miami
Heat shot the lights out twenty three three pointers. I
think you're going to see some shooting regression from the
Heat from three in this game, but you also should
be seeing a strong bounce back effort from the Boston Celtics.
(03:01):
It feels like the total is bottomed out in the
market at two oh one and a half. I might
look to play the over here. I'm not sure if
I'm going to do anything with the side Celtics laying
nine on the road, series tied at one, how about
you will?
Speaker 1 (03:15):
I feel like the Celtics bounce back, and it's not
my nature to like lay double digits on the road.
If I wanted to play at Boston, you know, Boston
Pro Boston angle, I probably just look at Miami team
total under figure in the regression will come from three
point range in Boston. Maybe defend the three point line
once in a while. It's not all luck with Miami
shooting lights out, because Miami seems to have a lot
of good shooting. Look against Boston defend the three point line.
(03:37):
They don't have anything else, they can't get to the basket,
so I think they'll stifle down. I think they'll play
a good defensive game. I'll go Miami Heat team total
under here.
Speaker 2 (03:45):
All right, hockey talk, and this is going to be quick.
We're going to break the ice here with Dallas Stars,
Vegas Golden Knights, the top seed in the West down
two to Oho coming to Vegas for a Saturday night game.
And will the Golden Knights right now minus one on
eighteen of DraftKings, you might end up seeing a higher
price Saturday night before the puck drops here in Vegas
(04:06):
with action on the home side. I think this is
where you got to play the top seed in the
West down two games. If they're going to show up,
the starter's got to do it in game three, So
I might look to play the dog in this one.
Any thought quick thought for you here or no?
Speaker 1 (04:18):
Yeah, I think it's a good handicap. I'll play Dallas
with you. And you know you mentioned you get a
better number when you're fading Vegas, when you're in Vegas,
and maybe I'll hop on a plane and get the
better number in Vegas.
Speaker 2 (04:27):
May he just called me. Maybe I'll put it in
for you. All right, let's go to baseball for a
minute and we'll hit on one game. We like to talk
about the Yankees, So let's go ahead and talk about
the Yankees game pitching matchup rodn and Ross and Milwaukee
Yankees and DraftKings minus one thirty total of eight and
(04:47):
a half. Will anything for you in that matchup?
Speaker 1 (04:51):
It be a lean towards the Yankees. I don't know that.
I'll bet it. Rodd's actually pitch pretty well. He hasn't
gotten a ton of swing and Missus hasn't been overpowering Bud.
He's cut down on the walks. He's been good, not great,
but good. Yankees have the better lineup. I think this
is a reasonable price here for the Yankees on the road.
Speaker 2 (05:06):
All right now, we're going to end this with a
We're going to call it an entertainment prop. This is
up at DraftKings for the NFL Draft. He got rounds
four through seven on Saturday. The last pick in the
draft is owned by your New York Jets Will Hill,
and the prop up at DraftKings, mister irrelevant. The position
of the last player drafted in the seventh round. That
(05:29):
would be pick number two, fifty seven overall. I was
talking about this with our producer Dan Moneyline Miller, and
he says, it's got to be an offensive player, right. Well,
I went back and looked. Three of the last four years,
it's been a defensive player. In twenty twenty it was
a linebacker, twenty twenty one, a linebacker twenty twenty two.
We all know Brock perty quarterback from Iowa State to
the San Francisco forty nine ers. Last year it was
(05:52):
it was a defensive end edge rusher. Will the prop
at DraftKings, Let's take a shot and see if we
can get this right. Quarterback is a favorite at three
to one. Defensive line EDGs rusher at five to one,
the second choice offensive lineman also five to one. Wide
receiver plus six fifty, cornerback plus six fifty linebacker eight
(06:13):
to one, running back ten to one, safety eleven and
tight end thirteen to one. Also kicker, punter, long snapper
grouped in at sixteen to one. You want to take
a guess on a mister of irrelevant and a position
on this DraftKings prop.
Speaker 1 (06:30):
Yeah, that's when these books they always leave it up.
I don't know if there's betting interest in for it,
but like when they pull some of these markets, that
one always stays up for whatever reason. I'll go with
the longer rides. I don't know why quarterbacks, the short shot.
I will go with the kicker, punter, long snapper. Oh wow, sixteen.
Speaker 2 (06:43):
To one, you're taking the longest shot on the board
for the Jets. And they might trade to pick, but
right now the Jets have picked number two fifty seven,
and then they would have mister irrelevant. I'll tell you what,
I'm going to go with wide receiver. Why not plus
six to fifty. I'm gonna go middle of the odds
board here, wide receiver. Jets get some sort of target
(07:04):
for Aaron Rodgers with the last pick of the draft.
Speaker 1 (07:08):
Well, that's your hope, that's your hope for filling the position.
I mean the last pick of the draft. I mean
they did get the kid from Western Kentucky. But I
mean it's hard to handicap this stuf because we don't
know what they're going to do. It's yeah, it's who
they have out valued on their board and he's left over.
Speaker 2 (07:22):
Who knows. That's why I said it's an entertainment prop.
If you want about that, you're just guessing. You really
have no information nothing, You're just taking a shot on
something because you want to for the hell of it.
But DraftKings put that prop up, and that's all I
see up for the rest of the NFL Draft. Mister irrelevant,
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