April 30, 2024 • 10 mins
Matt Youmans and Wes Reynolds run through Tuesday's betting card and preview the NBA and NHL Playoff games and give their best bets for Tuesday.
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
This is Veison's daily morning Bets. Here's your host, Matt
Humans and West Reynolds.
Speaker 2 (00:06):
All right, Wes final c Joel embiid play another game
this season. I'm okay with that. I think a lot
of people are tired of his act. How about the
New York fans going to Philly in taking over the town?
Mm hmm, Nick, go back home to the garden. There
are four point favorites over the Sixers total of two
to oh two. Do the Knicks and Jaln Brunson get
it done here?
Speaker 3 (00:28):
You know, certainly a lot of the the media projections
are like, Okay, this is over. I don't know about
that yet, even though the Knicks do look like they
very much have momentum in this series. But look, I
wonder this has been met up actually early on on
the total and then inst then.
Speaker 1 (00:47):
Got bought back down.
Speaker 3 (00:49):
Actually, I'm still seeing a couple of rogue two o
fours out there, but I'm seeing his lowest two two.
Speaker 1 (00:53):
So somebody has.
Speaker 3 (00:54):
Hit this under and that is the way I would
I would have looked. But I think probably the way
I would look here is maybe Philadelphia first half plus
two kind of it kind of makes sense to me,
you know, we'll see.
Speaker 1 (01:07):
If Robinson is going to be back.
Speaker 3 (01:09):
We know Bogdanovich, they can't play him off the bench
New York because he's got he's gonna have wrist surgery
off the off season.
Speaker 1 (01:15):
The ankle injury.
Speaker 3 (01:16):
Only played I think like a minute and a half
on Sunday, So if Robinson is out, they're gonna have
to play a lot more at Chua. But og Ananobi
did a really good job on Jola and being in
the fourth quarter, so maybe they'll feel comfortable doing that,
and it's going to be up to the seventy six
ers to be able and nurse to adjust to that.
So Sixers first half I think makes a little bit
(01:39):
of sense to me.
Speaker 2 (01:41):
Yeah, I'm not convinced the next you're going to close
it out tomorrow night, but uh, probably no play on
this game for me. New York minus four total two
to oh two the DraftKings numbers. How about the Pacers, Boy,
they closed ten and a half point favorites in Game
four West and they won by eleven. Now they go
on the road, there's four point favorites against the Bucks
and it's obviously a Bucks team without its two big stars.
(02:03):
Do the Pacers get it done on the road.
Speaker 3 (02:06):
I don't know. And in terms of the side one
thing I am going to play here.
Speaker 2 (02:11):
No Dame, no freak, how do the Bucks get it done?
Speaker 3 (02:14):
Even though this did burn me in the last game
because he got ejected, I'm going to go with the
over points on Bobby Portis and you're paying the tax.
But you know, if no Dame and no Giannis, the
usage rate just goes up for Bobby Portis because the Pacers,
as poor as they can be defensively at times, they
can at least concentrate on trap in Middleton and look,
(02:36):
he has not gone over in any of the games
this series, Bobby Portis, yet this is his highest total.
That's telling you what's probably going to happen is that
he's going to have the volume and he's going to
have more plays. You know, ran for him. Middleton sees
the double teams and the traps. So Portos is going
to get his shots. Here is just can he go
ahead and knock him down and maybe not get his
(02:57):
behind thrown out like he did early in the first
quarter when his team was really down, you know, with
Johannis without Lillard knowing a couple of technicals that already
been called in the game.
Speaker 1 (03:07):
So just a knucklehead move.
Speaker 3 (03:09):
I think he probably rebounds big though he's been hearing
it obviously.
Speaker 2 (03:13):
Chris Middleton with twenty five points, ten rebounds, and then
a game in Indianapolis on Sunday night. I don't know that.
Do the Bucks have enough firepower without Dame in the freak?
Speaker 1 (03:28):
No, they don't. And and yet saw.
Speaker 2 (03:30):
If they win Game five, you gotta think the Pacers
is going to be a great bet in Game six. Yeah,
PACER's going to win this series.
Speaker 3 (03:37):
I believe so, whether it's going to be Game five
or Game six, I think the Pacers are going to
be moving on.
Speaker 2 (03:44):
I don't think I'm going to play game Game five
on Tuesday. I hate to pass on everything, but I
don't love these NBA games. On Tuesday, we basically got
the same number on all four favorites, and the Calves
four and a half point home favorites total one ninety
nine and a half of the Calves are off two
hideous performances on the road in Orlando.
Speaker 3 (04:02):
Yeah, how about that, Orlando, who had two hideous performances
of their own on the road in Cleveland. Offensively it's
going to be a home court and they found it.
I think it probably is going to be total is
still one ninety nine, very very low total here and
with the anemic performances. Look, Orlando couldn't shoot the ball
at all in Cleveland, So I don't know what to do.
(04:25):
This has been there's been this series which has been
the schizophrenic series in the East. Orlando Cleveland and then
LA Clippers in Dallas have been the schizophrenic series in
the West. So not sure what I'm doing with this
one as of yet, but I don't really love either
of these teams, to be honest with you.
Speaker 2 (04:45):
Still waiting actually for a Nuggets t Wolve series price
to pop up. Have you seen one? We can catch
up on that when we look ahead to later NBA
action West. Let's go to a hockey Stanley Cup playoffs,
and we saw the Golden Knights and Stars each win
two on the other's ice, and home iice advantage has
not been a big advantage in the hockey playoffs so far.
(05:07):
Let's go ahead to look at Tuesday night. We're going
to start actually with Toronto and Boston, and you would
think the Bruins are going to get it done at
home there minus one sixty five total five and a
half against the Maple Leaves.
Speaker 3 (05:18):
I want to make a case for the Leafs here.
They let down on Saturday. Though in Austin Matthews did
leave in the third period. He still listed as questionable
and that's why you're seeing the Bees as high as about.
Speaker 1 (05:29):
One seventy favorite.
Speaker 3 (05:30):
Take back one forty five on the Leafs if you're
watching this game. The cameras caught a little bit of
an argument between the star players for the Leafs, between
Austin Matthews and the returning William Nylander, who is out
with the concussion, and also Mitch Marner. So boy, it
seems like there's dysfunction with the Leafs. Like here we
go again. They just cannot get by the Boston Bruins
in the playoffs. So you know, would lean a little
(05:54):
bit to the over five and a half minus a
dollar twenty. I want to make a case for the
Leafs here, but I need to see if Matthews is
going to go.
Speaker 2 (06:03):
Yeah, that would be pretty important here. I think I
would make a strong case for the Bruins if he's
not going to go. Yeah, all right, So you got
one more hockey game that's on your radar on Tuesday.
Speaker 3 (06:13):
Yeah, and it is. It is Nashville and Vancouver. Boy,
how about this. Nashville had Vancouver down three to one,
they were going to tie the series up at two.
On Sunday, Vancouver had nothing going brock Boat Boser gets
two goals in the final three minutes and ties it
up and then they score a minute into overtime and
beat Nashville four to three. Vancouver, we know if that
(06:34):
Tri Demko might be out for the rest of the playoffs,
their main goaltender, and uh, you know Casey Casey de
Smith was their backup goalie and he and he's like okay.
Speaker 1 (06:45):
But the young kid for Vancouver is.
Speaker 3 (06:48):
The one that that really I think kept him in
the game on on on Sunday, Matt and you know
they they just they looked lifeless really, but defensively and
the goaltending, Vancouver really hung in there, I think, and
I think that they might go with this kid again
our tour Syllovs from Latvia. They may go with him again.
And I think that they should absolutely stick with him
(07:10):
in what is an elimination game for this team.
Speaker 1 (07:14):
Smalling in over five and a half.
Speaker 3 (07:16):
I know in elimination games the tendency has to kind
of bet the unders, but actually you could look overs,
because that's when you get the empty netters, you know,
And you saw that tonight. By the way, this was
a very good example with Florida and Tampa Bay. It
was three to one, like like six seven minutes left
to go in the third period, and the total is six.
Speaker 1 (07:38):
Florida gets another goal.
Speaker 3 (07:39):
They got two empty netters in the final about three
to three and a half minutes, because Stampa Bay obviously
has to do something desperate to survive, and Florida gets
a couple. So those are ones you got to be
careful betting unders.
Speaker 1 (07:52):
I know, they make sense.
Speaker 3 (07:53):
If you're going to do unders, maybe do under first
periods in these series, in these elimination games. But then
the goals pick up later on in these games.
Speaker 2 (08:02):
Oh, he saw an empty net goal tonight that went
over the total in the Stars Knights game.
Speaker 3 (08:06):
Yes, yes, And especially in elimination games, it happens earlier.
Speaker 1 (08:11):
If it's a one goal game.
Speaker 3 (08:12):
Even in the playoffs, you might not see the goal
tender get pulled until like two minutes left. In something
like Tampa and Florida. You're going to see it with
four or five minutes left in an elimination game.
Speaker 2 (08:23):
All right, Wes, We've got time to do one baseball
game here. Let's do this one in Baltimore, San Francisco Giants,
excuse me, in Boston Giants and Red Sox at Finway.
Logan Webb is going to get to start for the Giants.
They opened minus one thirty five at DraftKings. Now. Webb
is a pitcher I've been looking to bet at home.
He's been really good at home over the last season
(08:45):
and a half and this season overall, he's three and one,
a two thirty three ERA, and a one to eleven WHIP.
One of his worst starts his worst start by far
actually this season on the road against the Dodgers, when
he went three and two thirds and gave up five
earned runs. I don't try rust him as much on
the road here, but he's a favorite against the Red
Sox minus one thirty five. I would probably I'm going
(09:07):
to pass on this one, but I'll say this, Logan
web is a bet on pitcher when he's at home.
Speaker 1 (09:11):
Yeah, I think so too.
Speaker 3 (09:12):
Cooper Chriswell, by the way, going to go for Boston
is only he's had two starts, has only gone nine
innings total. So guy, that might be on a pitch count.
But Hiss pitched very solidly one to oh just a
two era a four thirty three on the x FIP.
Speaker 1 (09:25):
So maybe some regression coming there.
Speaker 3 (09:27):
And you mentioned like Logan Web not being as good
on the road, maybe you want to maybe you want
to look over here and it's juice to the under
eight and a half, or it's juice or bright at
minus one ten for eight obviously lay eight if you
can on the over.
Speaker 2 (09:43):
Red hots Chicago White Sox. Do you bet on him?
Speaker 3 (09:45):
Now?
Speaker 1 (09:46):
Oh? Man?
Speaker 3 (09:47):
Now I don't think so at this point. So maybe
looking at a pitcher prop in that game. That's not
a team I've been betting many of their games this season.
Speaker 2 (09:56):
All Right, That wraps up our look at the top
games and the best bets on the Tuesday card.
This is Veison's daily morning Bets. Here's your host, Matt
Humans and West Reynolds.
Speaker 2 (00:06):
All right, Wes final c Joel embiid play another game
this season. I'm okay with that. I think a lot
of people are tired of his act. How about the
New York fans going to Philly in taking over the town?
Mm hmm, Nick, go back home to the garden. There
are four point favorites over the Sixers total of two
to oh two. Do the Knicks and Jaln Brunson get
it done here?
Speaker 3 (00:28):
You know, certainly a lot of the the media projections
are like, Okay, this is over. I don't know about
that yet, even though the Knicks do look like they
very much have momentum in this series. But look, I
wonder this has been met up actually early on on
the total and then inst then.
Speaker 1 (00:47):
Got bought back down.
Speaker 3 (00:49):
Actually, I'm still seeing a couple of rogue two o
fours out there, but I'm seeing his lowest two two.
Speaker 1 (00:53):
So somebody has.
Speaker 3 (00:54):
Hit this under and that is the way I would
I would have looked. But I think probably the way
I would look here is maybe Philadelphia first half plus
two kind of it kind of makes sense to me,
you know, we'll see.
Speaker 1 (01:07):
If Robinson is going to be back.
Speaker 3 (01:09):
We know Bogdanovich, they can't play him off the bench
New York because he's got he's gonna have wrist surgery
off the off season.
Speaker 1 (01:15):
The ankle injury.
Speaker 3 (01:16):
Only played I think like a minute and a half
on Sunday, So if Robinson is out, they're gonna have
to play a lot more at Chua. But og Ananobi
did a really good job on Jola and being in
the fourth quarter, so maybe they'll feel comfortable doing that,
and it's going to be up to the seventy six
ers to be able and nurse to adjust to that.
So Sixers first half I think makes a little bit
(01:39):
of sense to me.
Speaker 2 (01:41):
Yeah, I'm not convinced the next you're going to close
it out tomorrow night, but uh, probably no play on
this game for me. New York minus four total two
to oh two the DraftKings numbers. How about the Pacers, Boy,
they closed ten and a half point favorites in Game
four West and they won by eleven. Now they go
on the road, there's four point favorites against the Bucks
and it's obviously a Bucks team without its two big stars.
(02:03):
Do the Pacers get it done on the road.
Speaker 3 (02:06):
I don't know. And in terms of the side one
thing I am going to play here.
Speaker 2 (02:11):
No Dame, no freak, how do the Bucks get it done?
Speaker 3 (02:14):
Even though this did burn me in the last game
because he got ejected, I'm going to go with the
over points on Bobby Portis and you're paying the tax.
But you know, if no Dame and no Giannis, the
usage rate just goes up for Bobby Portis because the Pacers,
as poor as they can be defensively at times, they
can at least concentrate on trap in Middleton and look,
(02:36):
he has not gone over in any of the games
this series, Bobby Portis, yet this is his highest total.
That's telling you what's probably going to happen is that
he's going to have the volume and he's going to
have more plays. You know, ran for him. Middleton sees
the double teams and the traps. So Portos is going
to get his shots. Here is just can he go
ahead and knock him down and maybe not get his
(02:57):
behind thrown out like he did early in the first
quarter when his team was really down, you know, with
Johannis without Lillard knowing a couple of technicals that already
been called in the game.
Speaker 1 (03:07):
So just a knucklehead move.
Speaker 3 (03:09):
I think he probably rebounds big though he's been hearing
it obviously.
Speaker 2 (03:13):
Chris Middleton with twenty five points, ten rebounds, and then
a game in Indianapolis on Sunday night. I don't know that.
Do the Bucks have enough firepower without Dame in the freak?
Speaker 1 (03:28):
No, they don't. And and yet saw.
Speaker 2 (03:30):
If they win Game five, you gotta think the Pacers
is going to be a great bet in Game six. Yeah,
PACER's going to win this series.
Speaker 3 (03:37):
I believe so, whether it's going to be Game five
or Game six, I think the Pacers are going to
be moving on.
Speaker 2 (03:44):
I don't think I'm going to play game Game five
on Tuesday. I hate to pass on everything, but I
don't love these NBA games. On Tuesday, we basically got
the same number on all four favorites, and the Calves
four and a half point home favorites total one ninety
nine and a half of the Calves are off two
hideous performances on the road in Orlando.
Speaker 3 (04:02):
Yeah, how about that, Orlando, who had two hideous performances
of their own on the road in Cleveland. Offensively it's
going to be a home court and they found it.
I think it probably is going to be total is
still one ninety nine, very very low total here and
with the anemic performances. Look, Orlando couldn't shoot the ball
at all in Cleveland, So I don't know what to do.
(04:25):
This has been there's been this series which has been
the schizophrenic series in the East. Orlando Cleveland and then
LA Clippers in Dallas have been the schizophrenic series in
the West. So not sure what I'm doing with this
one as of yet, but I don't really love either
of these teams, to be honest with you.
Speaker 2 (04:45):
Still waiting actually for a Nuggets t Wolve series price
to pop up. Have you seen one? We can catch
up on that when we look ahead to later NBA
action West. Let's go to a hockey Stanley Cup playoffs,
and we saw the Golden Knights and Stars each win
two on the other's ice, and home iice advantage has
not been a big advantage in the hockey playoffs so far.
(05:07):
Let's go ahead to look at Tuesday night. We're going
to start actually with Toronto and Boston, and you would
think the Bruins are going to get it done at
home there minus one sixty five total five and a
half against the Maple Leaves.
Speaker 3 (05:18):
I want to make a case for the Leafs here.
They let down on Saturday. Though in Austin Matthews did
leave in the third period. He still listed as questionable
and that's why you're seeing the Bees as high as about.
Speaker 1 (05:29):
One seventy favorite.
Speaker 3 (05:30):
Take back one forty five on the Leafs if you're
watching this game. The cameras caught a little bit of
an argument between the star players for the Leafs, between
Austin Matthews and the returning William Nylander, who is out
with the concussion, and also Mitch Marner. So boy, it
seems like there's dysfunction with the Leafs. Like here we
go again. They just cannot get by the Boston Bruins
in the playoffs. So you know, would lean a little
(05:54):
bit to the over five and a half minus a
dollar twenty. I want to make a case for the
Leafs here, but I need to see if Matthews is
going to go.
Speaker 2 (06:03):
Yeah, that would be pretty important here. I think I
would make a strong case for the Bruins if he's
not going to go. Yeah, all right, So you got
one more hockey game that's on your radar on Tuesday.
Speaker 3 (06:13):
Yeah, and it is. It is Nashville and Vancouver. Boy,
how about this. Nashville had Vancouver down three to one,
they were going to tie the series up at two.
On Sunday, Vancouver had nothing going brock Boat Boser gets
two goals in the final three minutes and ties it
up and then they score a minute into overtime and
beat Nashville four to three. Vancouver, we know if that
(06:34):
Tri Demko might be out for the rest of the playoffs,
their main goaltender, and uh, you know Casey Casey de
Smith was their backup goalie and he and he's like okay.
Speaker 1 (06:45):
But the young kid for Vancouver is.
Speaker 3 (06:48):
The one that that really I think kept him in
the game on on on Sunday, Matt and you know
they they just they looked lifeless really, but defensively and
the goaltending, Vancouver really hung in there, I think, and
I think that they might go with this kid again
our tour Syllovs from Latvia. They may go with him again.
And I think that they should absolutely stick with him
(07:10):
in what is an elimination game for this team.
Speaker 1 (07:14):
Smalling in over five and a half.
Speaker 3 (07:16):
I know in elimination games the tendency has to kind
of bet the unders, but actually you could look overs,
because that's when you get the empty netters, you know,
And you saw that tonight. By the way, this was
a very good example with Florida and Tampa Bay. It
was three to one, like like six seven minutes left
to go in the third period, and the total is six.
Speaker 1 (07:38):
Florida gets another goal.
Speaker 3 (07:39):
They got two empty netters in the final about three
to three and a half minutes, because Stampa Bay obviously
has to do something desperate to survive, and Florida gets
a couple. So those are ones you got to be
careful betting unders.
Speaker 1 (07:52):
I know, they make sense.
Speaker 3 (07:53):
If you're going to do unders, maybe do under first
periods in these series, in these elimination games. But then
the goals pick up later on in these games.
Speaker 2 (08:02):
Oh, he saw an empty net goal tonight that went
over the total in the Stars Knights game.
Speaker 3 (08:06):
Yes, yes, And especially in elimination games, it happens earlier.
Speaker 1 (08:11):
If it's a one goal game.
Speaker 3 (08:12):
Even in the playoffs, you might not see the goal
tender get pulled until like two minutes left. In something
like Tampa and Florida. You're going to see it with
four or five minutes left in an elimination game.
Speaker 2 (08:23):
All right, Wes, We've got time to do one baseball
game here. Let's do this one in Baltimore, San Francisco Giants,
excuse me, in Boston Giants and Red Sox at Finway.
Logan Webb is going to get to start for the Giants.
They opened minus one thirty five at DraftKings. Now. Webb
is a pitcher I've been looking to bet at home.
He's been really good at home over the last season
(08:45):
and a half and this season overall, he's three and one,
a two thirty three ERA, and a one to eleven WHIP.
One of his worst starts his worst start by far
actually this season on the road against the Dodgers, when
he went three and two thirds and gave up five
earned runs. I don't try rust him as much on
the road here, but he's a favorite against the Red
Sox minus one thirty five. I would probably I'm going
(09:07):
to pass on this one, but I'll say this, Logan
web is a bet on pitcher when he's at home.
Speaker 1 (09:11):
Yeah, I think so too.
Speaker 3 (09:12):
Cooper Chriswell, by the way, going to go for Boston
is only he's had two starts, has only gone nine
innings total. So guy, that might be on a pitch count.
But Hiss pitched very solidly one to oh just a
two era a four thirty three on the x FIP.
Speaker 1 (09:25):
So maybe some regression coming there.
Speaker 3 (09:27):
And you mentioned like Logan Web not being as good
on the road, maybe you want to maybe you want
to look over here and it's juice to the under
eight and a half, or it's juice or bright at
minus one ten for eight obviously lay eight if you
can on the over.
Speaker 2 (09:43):
Red hots Chicago White Sox. Do you bet on him?
Speaker 3 (09:45):
Now?
Speaker 1 (09:46):
Oh? Man?
Speaker 3 (09:47):
Now I don't think so at this point. So maybe
looking at a pitcher prop in that game. That's not
a team I've been betting many of their games this season.
Speaker 2 (09:56):
All Right, That wraps up our look at the top
games and the best bets on the Tuesday card.
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