May 2, 2024 • 9 mins
Matt Youmans and Wes Reynolds run through Thursday's betting card and preview NBA and NHL Playoff games along with MLB games as well.
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
This is Vison's Daily Morning Bets. Here's your host, Matt
Humans and West Reynolds.
Speaker 2 (00:07):
All right, well, we'll see if we can find a
winner in the NBA Knicks and Sixers Philly a three
point favorite total of one ninety eight and a half.
And I've said that I don't think the Knicks is
going to lose three in a row. Here, I'm not
sure what to do with this. I really think a
team is strong character would bounce back and win in
a situation like this after you blow a six point
lead in the final thirty seconds, but the Knicks did
(00:30):
in Game five. But catching three not really enough to
get me on the Knicks here. I might live bet it,
but I'll tell you this, if the Knicks lose, I
will definitely be betting the Knicks. This would be a
best bet for me Knicks money line in game seven
if we get to that. How are you going to
approach Game six between the Knicks and the Sixers?
Speaker 1 (00:48):
Yeah, look, probably I'm looking under here, and I think
that's where that's where the market's going. One ninety nine
the best number you can get out there. It might
be a nine to nine and a half if you
really shop around, but forretty much one ninety nine because look,
this game did go over because of overtime in game
number five, so probably you know, so, I think betters
(01:11):
are going against that because they know that this played
is an under game and they know that this played
is a defensive game. Especially the Knicks. They really run
their starters pretty damn hard, and Tom Thibodeau did that
in Chicago for many years. So yeah, you're going to
see forty forty forty five minutes out of Brunson, out
of Annonobie, and out of Josh Hart. I think there
(01:33):
was a game in this series Josh Hart never came
out of the game play all forty eight. So that's
what you're going to see here. And this this strikes
me as you know, hey, if it's even on and overpaced,
that this is going to slow down in the fourth
You're going to start to see him really you shot
clock and you know, shoot at the end of the
clock to try to you know, get the best quality
shot possible and burn a little bit, and that's what
(01:55):
happens in these type of games. I think three is
about right for Philadelphia. So nothing on the side as
of yet for me.
Speaker 2 (02:03):
I agree with you there, I would lean under and
I'm not sure I'm going to play it, but I
agree with you. Under one ninety nine I think would
be my play on the total. In a situation like
this where you feel like the coach is going to
take the air out of the ball and every possession
is going to be played with a lot of intensity, right,
the defense really gets cranked up in situations like this,
(02:25):
becomes more of a half court game.
Speaker 1 (02:27):
Sure, you definitely.
Speaker 2 (02:28):
Don't get the breakouts and the fast breaks, it's you're
not going to get the loose style of basketball that
you get in some other games in the series. When
you get the game six in Game seven really kind
of crank it, crank it up on the defensive end.
How about Milwaukee and Indiana Pacers eight point favorites totally
two twelve and a half. Are we going to see
Damian Lillard in this game? Is he going to return
(02:50):
to the floor for the Bucks? I don't trust the
Pacers here laying this number.
Speaker 1 (02:54):
I don't either, and look this was what nine last
night and even some nine and a half. I think
the mark I don't think that they know if Damian
Lillard is going to be back. But I think that
they were just trying to grab a number, and look,
the Pacers look so putrid and in game number five,
even though they had an eight point lead after the
first quarter and just absolutely died what they had thirty
(03:16):
one points and ended up scoring like ninety four in
the game. So one thing I am gonna play, I'm
gonna play Bobby Portis over the points again like I
did last game he had twenty nine. I'm going to
play over twenty one and a half here because look,
somebody's got a score and it can't just be Chris Middleton.
And that's why I liked Portas last game over points,
(03:38):
So it was Portis and then even Patrick Beverley had
thirteen and also had twelve assists. I think you're getting
unlike the Knick Sixers game, You're probably gonna get a
faster pace here. And certainly, if you think the Pacers
are going to win, you might want out wint away
the eight points, but certainly, almost a three to fifty
money line, you would anticipate that they would be able
to close this out at home. So if they're going
to do that, that is going to be a faster
(04:01):
pace game, and it's going to have to be because
I thought the Pacers kind of got bogged down a
little bit, and the Bucks have to do that because
because they're shorthanded, offense was just inefficient. They turned it
over too much in Game number five, didn't get any
second chance points. So now you go back at home
where they're the best in offensive turnover rate for least
turnovers in the postseason, just got to convert their threes
(04:24):
a little bit more, only converted on thirty four percent
game number five. So I think this is going over.
I know the market has betted to the under at
least early, but I'd lean over here to twelve and
a half and then definitely the Bobby Portos prop.
Speaker 2 (04:39):
Oh, those hoosiers like you. The emotion is going to
be off the hook in that arena tomorrow night.
Speaker 1 (04:43):
It is.
Speaker 2 (04:44):
I was surprised that actually the Bucks in Game four
really hung with the Pacers for a long time in
a situation where you felt like the Pacers probably should
have won that going away, and they didn't pull away
until late. It was sixty seven sixty four at a halftime,
even without your two big guns, Willard and the Freak,
they were down three and a half and of course,
(05:04):
the Bucks bounce back and they win Game five. Well,
I think you said last night was the first time
an NBA playoff history that the team was without its
top two scorers and won a playoff game.
Speaker 1 (05:16):
Yes, yeah, And there was a researcher at ESPN, I know,
Malik Andrews retweeted that out. I think his name is
Matt Williams stats Williams on Twitter for ESPN that put
that out. So, yeah, look, the Bucks and you kind
of knew they were going to play well in Game
five because they got pride and there's still remnants of
that championship team from a few years ago, so he
(05:38):
didn't want to go out like suckers.
Speaker 2 (05:39):
And the Pacers were still a team a little bit.
Speaker 1 (05:41):
Short on, very very young, and then trying.
Speaker 2 (05:43):
To close out a series on the road like that. Yes, yeah,
they were fragile favorites in Game five. All right, let's
go to Stanley Cup Playoffs Thursday night. We got Boston
and Toronto and Maple Leaves got an underdog win to
keep this series live without Austin Matthews. Now Toronto minus
one fifteen, that's DraftKings number. Boston still leads the series
(06:07):
three to Maple Leafs minus one fifteen at home in Toronto.
Speaker 1 (06:10):
Yeah, we'll see if Matthews is going to be able
to go here. For the Leafs really has been a
defensive series and been an under series. I don't know
if I'm going to do it the side yet. It's
pretty much minus one ten for the most part on
both sides in the market. I lean over five and
a half. At minus one fifteen, I think an elimination games,
which this is certainly for the Leafs. People are wont
(06:34):
to bet the under, but I think that this goes
over here. I could see an empty net or late.
You know, if the Leafs or even the Bruins are
down with the goaltender, especially if it's the Leafs, they're
going to pull that goaltender off like five minutes left
to go in the game. Boston might wait a little longer,
knowing that they still have one more game in hand.
But over five and a half for me is my
(06:54):
first look here.
Speaker 2 (06:55):
All right, let's go to baseball, and we got a
thin card to work with. On Thursday, we got two
really bad teams going head to head in Miami and
the Marlins minus one seventy over the Rockies Cabrera against
Lambert's the pitching matchup total of seven and a half.
I do see an eight out there. Do you have
a play on the side or of the total?
Speaker 1 (07:13):
Lean some eate on the under here with the Colorado Rockies,
would also lean them a little bit on the money line,
just the bullpen being a little bit more rested here.
I think Tanner Scott, the Marlins closer. I believe he has
gone three days in a row, so he's not likely
to be available. Marlins had that extra exhausted their pen
in the extra innans game on Tuesday. Colorado ad a
(07:36):
little bit more rested so Lean Peter Lamber here. Peter Lamber,
by the way, going to be an opener. He's going
to go once through the order and then he'll turn
it over to the bullpen, which is well rested. So
Lean Rockies an under here, all right?
Speaker 2 (07:51):
How about the Cubs and the Mets at City Field,
and it's a brown and howser and the Mets minus
one twelve total of eight and a half. I also
see eight out there. But DraftKings got eight in a
half minus one eighteen to the under, and these teams
played a one zero game the Cubs won on Wednesday.
Speaker 1 (08:08):
Yeah, look sums up. With Adrian Hauser. I think sixteen
walks and fourteen strikeouts and twenty three and two thirds
innings bitch six oh four on the x FIP, so
you know, just and the velocity. He was still effective
last year even though the velocity was down. If I'm
going to play the Cubs here, I would play them
(08:29):
first five, you know, and attack Adrian Hauser because I
think the Mets have the edge in the bullpen, despite
the fact that Diaz blew one the other night. So
with Lena and the Mets are favored by the way
for the game, Cubs are favorite for the first five,
and that'd be where I'd go.
Speaker 2 (08:43):
Cubs are nineteen and twelve, one of the pleasant surprises
in MLB so far. Let's wrap it up here on
VS and Daily Morning Bets. Seamus Power one of the
long shots I played in the Biron Nelson and Dallas
at sixty to one, your plays on the Future Sport.
Speaker 1 (08:56):
Bennyon and Tom Kim at about thirty to one, Adam
Shank and Keith Mitchell in the forty to one range,
Mark Hubbard and Shamus Power sixty to one in the
long chat Peter Quest, which I have at one hundred
and one, but that's been hit. It's probably eighty to
one market wide right now.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
All Right. Golf tournament begins on Thursday morning in Dallas
This is Vison's Daily Morning Bets. Here's your host, Matt
Humans and West Reynolds.
Speaker 2 (00:07):
All right, well, we'll see if we can find a
winner in the NBA Knicks and Sixers Philly a three
point favorite total of one ninety eight and a half.
And I've said that I don't think the Knicks is
going to lose three in a row. Here, I'm not
sure what to do with this. I really think a
team is strong character would bounce back and win in
a situation like this after you blow a six point
lead in the final thirty seconds, but the Knicks did
(00:30):
in Game five. But catching three not really enough to
get me on the Knicks here. I might live bet it,
but I'll tell you this, if the Knicks lose, I
will definitely be betting the Knicks. This would be a
best bet for me Knicks money line in game seven
if we get to that. How are you going to
approach Game six between the Knicks and the Sixers?
Speaker 1 (00:48):
Yeah, look, probably I'm looking under here, and I think
that's where that's where the market's going. One ninety nine
the best number you can get out there. It might
be a nine to nine and a half if you
really shop around, but forretty much one ninety nine because look,
this game did go over because of overtime in game
number five, so probably you know, so, I think betters
(01:11):
are going against that because they know that this played
is an under game and they know that this played
is a defensive game. Especially the Knicks. They really run
their starters pretty damn hard, and Tom Thibodeau did that
in Chicago for many years. So yeah, you're going to
see forty forty forty five minutes out of Brunson, out
of Annonobie, and out of Josh Hart. I think there
(01:33):
was a game in this series Josh Hart never came
out of the game play all forty eight. So that's
what you're going to see here. And this this strikes
me as you know, hey, if it's even on and overpaced,
that this is going to slow down in the fourth
You're going to start to see him really you shot
clock and you know, shoot at the end of the
clock to try to you know, get the best quality
shot possible and burn a little bit, and that's what
(01:55):
happens in these type of games. I think three is
about right for Philadelphia. So nothing on the side as
of yet for me.
Speaker 2 (02:03):
I agree with you there, I would lean under and
I'm not sure I'm going to play it, but I
agree with you. Under one ninety nine I think would
be my play on the total. In a situation like
this where you feel like the coach is going to
take the air out of the ball and every possession
is going to be played with a lot of intensity, right,
the defense really gets cranked up in situations like this,
(02:25):
becomes more of a half court game.
Speaker 1 (02:27):
Sure, you definitely.
Speaker 2 (02:28):
Don't get the breakouts and the fast breaks, it's you're
not going to get the loose style of basketball that
you get in some other games in the series. When
you get the game six in Game seven really kind
of crank it, crank it up on the defensive end.
How about Milwaukee and Indiana Pacers eight point favorites totally
two twelve and a half. Are we going to see
Damian Lillard in this game? Is he going to return
(02:50):
to the floor for the Bucks? I don't trust the
Pacers here laying this number.
Speaker 1 (02:54):
I don't either, and look this was what nine last
night and even some nine and a half. I think
the mark I don't think that they know if Damian
Lillard is going to be back. But I think that
they were just trying to grab a number, and look,
the Pacers look so putrid and in game number five,
even though they had an eight point lead after the
first quarter and just absolutely died what they had thirty
(03:16):
one points and ended up scoring like ninety four in
the game. So one thing I am gonna play, I'm
gonna play Bobby Portis over the points again like I
did last game he had twenty nine. I'm going to
play over twenty one and a half here because look,
somebody's got a score and it can't just be Chris Middleton.
And that's why I liked Portas last game over points,
(03:38):
So it was Portis and then even Patrick Beverley had
thirteen and also had twelve assists. I think you're getting
unlike the Knick Sixers game, You're probably gonna get a
faster pace here. And certainly, if you think the Pacers
are going to win, you might want out wint away
the eight points, but certainly, almost a three to fifty
money line, you would anticipate that they would be able
to close this out at home. So if they're going
to do that, that is going to be a faster
(04:01):
pace game, and it's going to have to be because
I thought the Pacers kind of got bogged down a
little bit, and the Bucks have to do that because
because they're shorthanded, offense was just inefficient. They turned it
over too much in Game number five, didn't get any
second chance points. So now you go back at home
where they're the best in offensive turnover rate for least
turnovers in the postseason, just got to convert their threes
(04:24):
a little bit more, only converted on thirty four percent
game number five. So I think this is going over.
I know the market has betted to the under at
least early, but I'd lean over here to twelve and
a half and then definitely the Bobby Portos prop.
Speaker 2 (04:39):
Oh, those hoosiers like you. The emotion is going to
be off the hook in that arena tomorrow night.
Speaker 1 (04:43):
It is.
Speaker 2 (04:44):
I was surprised that actually the Bucks in Game four
really hung with the Pacers for a long time in
a situation where you felt like the Pacers probably should
have won that going away, and they didn't pull away
until late. It was sixty seven sixty four at a halftime,
even without your two big guns, Willard and the Freak,
they were down three and a half and of course,
(05:04):
the Bucks bounce back and they win Game five. Well,
I think you said last night was the first time
an NBA playoff history that the team was without its
top two scorers and won a playoff game.
Speaker 1 (05:16):
Yes, yeah, And there was a researcher at ESPN, I know,
Malik Andrews retweeted that out. I think his name is
Matt Williams stats Williams on Twitter for ESPN that put
that out. So, yeah, look, the Bucks and you kind
of knew they were going to play well in Game
five because they got pride and there's still remnants of
that championship team from a few years ago, so he
(05:38):
didn't want to go out like suckers.
Speaker 2 (05:39):
And the Pacers were still a team a little bit.
Speaker 1 (05:41):
Short on, very very young, and then trying.
Speaker 2 (05:43):
To close out a series on the road like that. Yes, yeah,
they were fragile favorites in Game five. All right, let's
go to Stanley Cup Playoffs Thursday night. We got Boston
and Toronto and Maple Leaves got an underdog win to
keep this series live without Austin Matthews. Now Toronto minus
one fifteen, that's DraftKings number. Boston still leads the series
(06:07):
three to Maple Leafs minus one fifteen at home in Toronto.
Speaker 1 (06:10):
Yeah, we'll see if Matthews is going to be able
to go here. For the Leafs really has been a
defensive series and been an under series. I don't know
if I'm going to do it the side yet. It's
pretty much minus one ten for the most part on
both sides in the market. I lean over five and
a half. At minus one fifteen, I think an elimination games,
which this is certainly for the Leafs. People are wont
(06:34):
to bet the under, but I think that this goes
over here. I could see an empty net or late.
You know, if the Leafs or even the Bruins are
down with the goaltender, especially if it's the Leafs, they're
going to pull that goaltender off like five minutes left
to go in the game. Boston might wait a little longer,
knowing that they still have one more game in hand.
But over five and a half for me is my
(06:54):
first look here.
Speaker 2 (06:55):
All right, let's go to baseball, and we got a
thin card to work with. On Thursday, we got two
really bad teams going head to head in Miami and
the Marlins minus one seventy over the Rockies Cabrera against
Lambert's the pitching matchup total of seven and a half.
I do see an eight out there. Do you have
a play on the side or of the total?
Speaker 1 (07:13):
Lean some eate on the under here with the Colorado Rockies,
would also lean them a little bit on the money line,
just the bullpen being a little bit more rested here.
I think Tanner Scott, the Marlins closer. I believe he has
gone three days in a row, so he's not likely
to be available. Marlins had that extra exhausted their pen
in the extra innans game on Tuesday. Colorado ad a
(07:36):
little bit more rested so Lean Peter Lamber here. Peter Lamber,
by the way, going to be an opener. He's going
to go once through the order and then he'll turn
it over to the bullpen, which is well rested. So
Lean Rockies an under here, all right?
Speaker 2 (07:51):
How about the Cubs and the Mets at City Field,
and it's a brown and howser and the Mets minus
one twelve total of eight and a half. I also
see eight out there. But DraftKings got eight in a
half minus one eighteen to the under, and these teams
played a one zero game the Cubs won on Wednesday.
Speaker 1 (08:08):
Yeah, look sums up. With Adrian Hauser. I think sixteen
walks and fourteen strikeouts and twenty three and two thirds
innings bitch six oh four on the x FIP, so
you know, just and the velocity. He was still effective
last year even though the velocity was down. If I'm
going to play the Cubs here, I would play them
(08:29):
first five, you know, and attack Adrian Hauser because I
think the Mets have the edge in the bullpen, despite
the fact that Diaz blew one the other night. So
with Lena and the Mets are favored by the way
for the game, Cubs are favorite for the first five,
and that'd be where I'd go.
Speaker 2 (08:43):
Cubs are nineteen and twelve, one of the pleasant surprises
in MLB so far. Let's wrap it up here on
VS and Daily Morning Bets. Seamus Power one of the
long shots I played in the Biron Nelson and Dallas
at sixty to one, your plays on the Future Sport.
Speaker 1 (08:56):
Bennyon and Tom Kim at about thirty to one, Adam
Shank and Keith Mitchell in the forty to one range,
Mark Hubbard and Shamus Power sixty to one in the
long chat Peter Quest, which I have at one hundred
and one, but that's been hit. It's probably eighty to
one market wide right now.
Speaker 2 (09:09):
All Right. Golf tournament begins on Thursday morning in Dallas
Popular Podcasts
Dateline NBC
Current and classic episodes, featuring compelling true-crime mysteries, powerful documentaries and in-depth investigations.
Stuff You Should Know
If you've ever wanted to know about champagne, satanism, the Stonewall Uprising, chaos theory, LSD, El Nino, true crime and Rosa Parks, then look no further. Josh and Chuck have you covered.
The Nikki Glaser Podcast
Every week comedian and infamous roaster Nikki Glaser provides a fun, fast-paced, and brutally honest look into current pop-culture and her own personal life.