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April 13, 2024 89 mins

Greg recaps Friday's MLB results, talks to Seattle Mariners pre and postgame host Curtis Rogers about what he’s noticed the first few weeks of the season, the American League West landscape, & Greg picks & analyzes EVERY Saturday MLB Game!

Spreadsheet link: https://www.vsin.com/betting-resources/greg-petersons-daily-handicapped-mlb-lines/

Podcast Highlights

3:05-Recap of Friday’s MLB results

21:45-Interview with Curtis Rogers

45:34-Start of picks Pirates vs Phillies

48:54-Picks & analysis for Braves vs Marlins

52:09-Picks & analysis for Cardinals vs Diamondbacks

55:15-DK Network Pick Padres vs Dodgers

59:18-Picks & analysis for both Twins vs Tigers games

1:04:56-Picks & analysis for Rangers vs Astros 

1:08:00-Picks & analysis for Angels vs Red Sox 

1:11:22-Picks & analysis for Yankees vs Guardians 

1:17:31-Picks & analysis for Royals vs Mets

1:21:06-Picks & analysis for Reds vs White Sox  

1:24:17-Picks & analysis for Rockies vs Blue Jays 

1:27:55-Picks & analysis for Brewers vs Orioles 

1:31:13-Picks & analysis for Nationals vs Athletics 

1:34:43-Picks & analysis for Giants vs Rays

1:37:43-Picks & analysis for Cubs vs Mariners

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Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game, every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:08):
Hey warmer for the low.

Speaker 3 (00:10):
Welcome to love Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Show
with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the Beson Family Podcasts.
We've got an excellent podcast for you, as you know
to mean segment number two, the one and only Curtis
Rogers who does amazing workover at sebten Seattle Sports. We're
gonna be chatting with him about what we've seen the
Ale West as far this season. We're gonna be diving
in on what he's made the real just explosion of

(00:33):
offense that we've seen early on during the season, and
we'll dive into what we can expect to have the
Seattle Mariners moving forward as well. So you're gonna have
a nice chat with Curtison Segment number two. In the
final segment, gonna get you guys picks and analysis on
every game on the betting board for this Baseball Saturday
as we touch them all. If you do have a
question comment segment idea, what I have you for this podcast?
You do have one of Duway's bow far those in

(00:54):
first one is my Twitter slash x simeline at you
and at unders forty one. Keep in mind learns GM
they mean does on matter so pre usual? Please to
send these into the timeline. By the way, he's finding
an Apple podcast review. If you rate this podcast five starts,
it is very much appreciated. From there here, able fire
and whatever you'd like here on this podcast via that
five star review did not get in any Twitter slash
x questions today. But we had a fun day base

(01:14):
on Friday. Let's dive into it, try to find some
trans and try to get to know these seems a
little bit better.

Speaker 4 (01:19):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about. Here is the
rowdy recap.

Speaker 3 (01:23):
If you had the first five in the Cardinals versus
Diamondbacks game, this was rough. Thees Saint Louis Cardinals were
leading by a kind of six to zero after three innings.
They go into the fifth inning of six to zero
and then the Diamondbacks split up a six spot highlighted
by and U Hinosuez being able to go deep in
this one, as Steven Mats was done in by his

(01:44):
own fielding era along with a error by Mason Win.
But for Soarez, he gets home run number two of
the campaign. As for Matsy, he departs after four and
two thirds. Inks gives up four runs, only one of
which was earned. G Vonny Gagos gave up that home run,
giving up two runs and one on the third innings,
but Bopen would stable eye from there. Andre Kittrick, Jojo Romero,
Ryan Helsley. They all went a squirrel signing as the
Cardinals who get the job done nine to six, Sinks

(02:06):
to a pair of home runs Noo and Ernado his
firsts campaign and Lars newd Bar welcome back. First game
off the ind of lists. They both need go deep
off of Brandon Fatu. He tried to fight in this one,
but it was not great. Six runs surrendered in six innings.
Joe Mantiply, Miguel Castro, they combined for an inning, with
Mantiply giving up a run along the way. Scott McGill
gives up two runs at an enning and Luis Fias

(02:27):
he comes in for a squirrel setting. But here's in
the Diamondbacks. They have been playing quite a few overs
as far this season, as a matter of fact, eight
overs to six hundred, so that cash is in, so
does he Sandalis Cardinals on the money line's been on
a rough govent for the Seattle Manners as far this
season from an offensive same point, one of the best under
teams in all of baseball as of right now, but
they were able to find just enough to be able

(02:48):
to get the job done against the Chicago Cubs, as
they were able to get it done in this one
by count four to two. They are now five overs
eight undersend a push as far this season as for
the Cubs. Jordan Wiz gives up four runs over the
course of four from there, though Keky Thompson Drew Spinley
the bull give you two score as settings a piece.
Matt Bush was the long form of offense really for
the Cubs. Third home round the campaign that comes off

(03:08):
of Ryan Stannick, as he had a berrys Miller Lnder
really good start, one underd round given up in six
and a third innings. He was hurt by quite a
few areas out there in the field to say the least,
but still managed Andres Munnos squirrel as setting Trent Thornton
parafouts out of the bullpen, and Ryan Stannik he comes
in for a nine and gives up that home run,
but Mariners find a way to persevere they get to
six and eight on the season. The Houston Astres they

(03:29):
continue to be one of the biggest disappointments at all Baseball.
They are currently behind the Oakland A's in the AOS
and they lose by kind of twelve to eight. As
for Houston, they were able to get some offense going
in this one as going d for them Kyle Tucker
twice as third and fourth home runs, so the season
goes zep off of Dane Dunning along with Barack and
Roll Burke. As for Dunning, he gives up three runs
over the course of five innings, including a home run

(03:50):
for Burke. Four runs rendered in two thirds of an
ad including home run. You did have Oasee La Clerk
come in for a Squirrel as sending gran Anderson gave
up a run in a third of an enning, but
David Robertson kirbya they both onto Squirrel setting him for
the Texas Rangers. They went eight to fourteen with Bennet
scoring position with Jonah Hine taking JP France for a
ride second home run season. France was one of those
guys that had a field independent that did not match

(04:11):
up with the Zra last season, and regression is hitting
him hard. Eight runs are undered in four innings, including
that home run he had from their four runs given
up in two innings by Joe Cooonho before Brandy b
Lockjosh Shader Ryan Presley are able to lend scoreless settings,
but too a little too late for them. They were
on to Cincinnati the Chicago White Sox, wherein they were
onto losing big time eleven to one. The finalised for

(04:32):
Chris Flexen. He's flexing on his era. Six runs surrendered
in two two thirds innings, including a pair of bombs
Tyler Stevens in second home run season, Elie de la
Cruz in an absolute tank shot for his fourth home
run season. From there, you'd have Jared Schuster hold down
the four gives up one run in three and a
third innings. You did have in this game, mister tim
Ill come into the game. He gave up two runs
at an ending, two runs at an end, and give

(04:53):
it up by Justin Anderson and Davy Garcia. Squirrels setting
and for the White Sox right now, they are dealing
with a myriad of different injuries, with having out of
the full deloy of Menez Lisa Robert, and they didn't
muster too much in this one, as Andre Rabbit gives
up one on and seven innings. Amelia Pegon Buck Farmer
they both lent a squirrel is setting as well. Our
DC Netward Gryde Pick was he over and Mets versus
Royals got six runs in the first five innings and

(05:16):
just one run after that. Unfortunately, the Royals did not
help us out six to one. The Mets are able
to get the job. Known as for Salvador Perez, he's
the loan form of offense. For the Royal third arm
runs season that comes off of Luis seventy no who
he goes five innings, walks four but only gives up
one it and when it flew over the fence. From there,
j peakman Ree Garrett combined for two squirrels settings, and
then Ada Bonovino and ore Lopez they both lent for

(05:38):
a squirrel of setting. Meanwhile, for the Mets, Pete Alonzo
fourth home run season that comes off of Will Smith
who got jiggy with it giving up a run in
an enning. And for Michael Waka, it was more like
Michael waka waka waka WALKA dying pac Man voice says
he gives up five runs at six innings along tennants
in Tonal. Jordan Lyles actually all down the fourth for
a squirrel is setting. But the Mets they've now scored

(05:59):
six plus runs are their last five games, so they're
getting on and aline of braves. They have been hot
with their offense all season one. The main concern for
them is more of the bullpen pitching. But that said,
they get the job done against Miami Marlins eight to
one the final, a Marlins team that has just two
straight up wins and you've only been able to cover
the run line three times as far this season. As
for Atlanta, Max Fred looked very solid six and the

(06:19):
third innings the lost one run. Pierce Johnson paaraboutside the
bullpent aj Minter Aaron Bumber, not a bummer here. They
both aligned a squirrel as setting you had. Ronald Cooney
Junior has been struggling a little bit. Get a pair
of stone bases, and Marcelo Zuna continues to just launch
sixth home run season. That comes off of Matt Andries,
who goes two innings along that solom run Andre Nardi
did not record it out. He gave up two runs.

(06:41):
You did have Burt Schmidz George Soriano combined for two
innings and Soriano allows three runs along the way. And
for Trevor Rodgers, honestly not a bad start. He did
give up eight hits of five innings, but lilimitated two runs.
And then the Miami Marlins, they look that game on fire.
For the Boston Red Sox, not great for them, to
say the least. They lose the Eli angel by kind
of seven to zero, as re Depmors was tremendous six

(07:03):
the third dying scoreless with a c cerro Hunter circlind
both on his squirrels setting, and Luis Garcia gets a
pareabouts out of the bullpen. Well at Taylor, Ward go
deep off of Dan Rouk. It his fourth home run season.
Farrouk seven runs, four of which were earned, surrendered him
five and two third settings. He gave up twelve bits
along the way, but he was also hurt by three
errors out there in the field. From there, Chase Anderson,

(07:23):
who was a candidate to perhaps pitch today, he goes
two scoreless settings, and Brendan Bernardino one and a third
inning scoreless. So that was a big giant issue for
the Red Sox and they've been up and down to
start the season. The Pittsburgh Pirates continue to be solid
ten and four to start this season, and they're able
to get it done against the Philadelphia Phillies despite kind
of five to two is for the Phillies. They are

(07:44):
one of your top hundred teams at all Baseball nine
hunders to five overs, by the way, fair teams that
we just looked at the inlan of brace. They're your
top over team nine overs two hundreds in a push
and the Reds ten overs of three hundreds. So those
have been your top over teams. But that' said with
reguards to Pittsburgh. They did a nice job of having
Bailey Faltered live up to his name. He gives up
one run over the course of five innings. You also
had Josh Fleming give up a run in two thirds

(08:05):
of ning. But Ose Fernandez along with the rold To Sheman,
they both give you a pair of outside the bullpen
and David Bennard Lewis Ortiz, they both lend the scorel
of setting. Meanwhile, for the Pittsburgh Pirates. They did a
solid job beginning to the bullpen of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Christopher sat Chads relatively solid, served two runs, one of
which was earned, given up in six innings. But in
your Martel the marte parte gives up a run and

(08:26):
an ending in Eddy Cardo Pinto gives up two runs
over the course of two innings, So the Pirates continue
to say hi. The Brewers have been a good over
team as well. Eight and four to the over for
the Brewers at nine and three straight up for them.
They land based the Baltimore Oriols by account of eleven
to one, as Freddy Peralta bunches out eleven gives up
one run over the course of six innings. At one

(08:46):
run they saw him run off the bat of Colton Kowser,
his third home run in the last two days and
third home run season. J B. Bucacis scoreless setting and
then you're able to get two scrolls out of mister
Ethigo Vieira. But for the Milwaukee Bers, how about the
hipper that they had William Thomas go zep off of
Ryan Easley for a third home run season. William Catrez'
the third home run the campaign off of Easley and
then Tyler Wells. Did not pitch Wells as they give

(09:09):
up home run number one to Gary Sanchez as a
Milwaukee Brewers for Wells four runs to rendered in four innings,
including that home run, then easily two innings pitched by him,
gives up six runs, including two bombs. They don't take
two squirrel settings.

Speaker 2 (09:21):
Jacob Webb.

Speaker 3 (09:22):
He gives up a run and an ending as well,
but nice win for the Brewers and the Detroit Tigers
have been a little bit cold at the plate, but
they were able to wake up against the Minnesota Twins
by account of eight to two. Bablo Lopez. He gives
up five runs over the course of four innings, including
home run going deep for the Detroit Tigers, he had
Mark Kenna, yes he can to give you your third home
run of the campaign.

Speaker 2 (09:43):
From there he did.

Speaker 3 (09:44):
Michael Tonky give up two runs to two innings. J
Jackson gives up a run in two thirds of nighting
before Cody Funderberg give you a squirrel setting, and Willie
Castro a position player, he was able to give you
the bullpen as well, and for Detroit, relatively solid start
here from mister Tarik's Google. He gives up no runs
over the cour his five innings. Will Vested allowed two
runs in an inning when he was just sewing up

(10:04):
the game, but I was fedo two squirrel settings. Andrew
Chafin a squirrel of setting as well. The Tampa Bay
Raised and the San Francisco Giants played a low scoring slog,
but it was a Raise who got it done by
count of two to one. Jacob waggeeze Pack gets the
second third and he gives up one under and run
over the course of four innings. He was by the
catcher Ben Rotevit giving you a pair of errors. But

(10:25):
past had this race team was very rock solid. Garrett Clevenger,
Film Mayton get Bine for two score settings before the Fairbanks,
Jason Adam Calm Bouchet, they all lent a squirrel of
setting in. For the San Francisco Giants, they go zero
of ten with men in scoring position. As keeping Winn
didn't pitch too bad. He gives up two runs over
the course of five innings. He had from there. Ryan
Walker give you a scrorellles setting, and Lennon Ropp he

(10:45):
was able to come in. He lends two scoreless settings
as well, and then you did see a little bit
later on in the night, the Padres and the Dodgers
play a high scoring affaires. The Dodgers get up in
this game by a count of seven to three and
they can't hold on eight to seven. The Sandy Padres
are able to find a way to get it in
eleven innings. The King Michael King gives up four home
runs of five innings as going deep for the Li Dodgers.

(11:08):
Mookie bets sixth holm run season Max once he is
third to Ask Gernandez his fifth. Joey Otani is fourth
and he was art by a pair of errors out
there in the field as well. But the bullpen of
the Podres from there does their part. Janti Peralta, Tom
Cosgrove combined for two scorels settings Anya de los Santos,
Robert Swarez and extras combined for two scrolls Yuki mat
Suie Stephen Kolik both to give you a scroll a setting.

(11:31):
So that was rox salland and for the Lied Daughters,
Bupen didn't perform too badly as well. You did have
Ryan Brazier give up three runs in an that was
not great as He allows a home run in this
one to Fernando Tatis Junior, his seth Holm run the campaign,
and then Danny Outson allows a home run to Jake
coroninworth is sart of the season. But Yeshinobo Yammi Moto
he gave up a pair of home runs of his own,
man Mitchato his second home run season, Awsome Kim his

(11:54):
second as Yamamoto gives up three runs over the course
of five innings. That's in just a so Holme run
and his ending work before Joe Kelly, Ryan Yarborough, FM Phillips.
They all lend a squirrels setting, but Alex Vesia in
the eleventh then he gives up an under run And
for the Dodgers, they went just one of twelve with
men in scoring position in this one, So the potteris
find way to get it done in don't look now
but the A's. Yes, the Oakland A's have won five

(12:16):
out of their last six. They don't cover the run
line because they're a favorite in this one, but due
to one they take down the Washington Nationals. Good start
here from Jake Irvan, by the way, he gives up
a Solome run over the course of six innings going
deep was Lawrence Butler for home run number one of
the campaign. From there you had a Combie, two squirrel
settings from Robert Garcia, Jordan wams on our RV lens
of squirrels setting and Kyle Finigan gives up the winning

(12:37):
run in the tenth inning as mister Butler came up
again and he was waiting on runs and he was
able to get one in to be able to end
the game as the Washington Nationals oh of ten with
men in scoring position. One form of offense. Jesse Winker
in the ninth inning sol home run his first of
the campaign off of Danny Amenez. He did have Paul
Blackburn London another nice start six and third nine scrolls

(12:58):
wantin Adams t J McFarland, they both giving out out
of the bullpen before Lucas Sersach and Michael Kelly. They
went squirrels signings to be able to get that one
in and this was not coming in for the Toronto
Blue Jayson. For the Blue Jays, this has been a
rough start to the season to say the least. Here
now six and eight straight up and they lose the
Colrader Rockies, this by a count of twelve to four

(13:18):
and Calvin Gosman did not look to be in very
good form. For mister Gosmin, he goes out there for
three and two thirds endings. He gives up six runs,
all of which were earned, and then Pauspino gives up
a pair of hom runs. Four runs surrendered into and
two thirds innings for the Colrad Rockies. Olan Jones, who's
been terrible this year, first armond season, and Ezekiel Tovar
is serred. Ryan Feldner actually halfway decent. Sir gives up

(13:38):
a home run two runs to total over the course
of five innings, going deep for Toronto off of m
tolt farshow first arm round season. Then Isaya can Afalfa
off of Tyler Kinley was able to get his first
um round in the campaign. Kiley gives up two runs
over the course of an ending and Peter Lambert in
long relief three scoreless innings for the Rockies. They were
seven of twenty with men in scoring position and they

(13:58):
were able to tag up Mitchell as well. Two runs
surroundered in two innings. Genesis Cabarra pair of outside of
the bullpen, and you did see a pair of rainouts
on Friday as well, So we're gonna be getting some
bonus baseball on Saturday with a pair of double headers.
And if you're taking a look at what we're getting
trendwise in Major League Baseball, so has been a little
bit of an overwhelming start to the season. Overs are
currently inning out of fifty two points six percent one

(14:20):
or two overs, ninety two unders, and then I believe
we've had about like twelve or so pushes along the
way as well. If you're looking at the road teams,
they have been quite hot straight up as well. Road
teams are winning at a fifty four and a half
percent clip on the money line one ten to ninety two,
a little bit of byproduct of the schedule itself, but
now that's been insane, and favorites hanging out just fifty
six point eight percent on the money line one thirteen

(14:41):
and eighty six. If you've been taking these underdogs, you've
been able to make quite a bit of money. And
if you just take a look at Friday and Friday alone,
favorites they went seven and seven on the money line,
getting plus prices. That is going to net you a
nice little bit of coin. So that's what we're taking
a look at trendwise in baseball right now, and that's
what we all got on Friday. Now, it's Tartning four
or to Saturday talk with our good friend Curtis Rodgers

(15:02):
of subten Seattle Sports, who also does the Seattle Manners
pre and post game hosting. We're gonna talk about the
als to start to the season and so much more
right here on the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson,
now a Parks. They're not.

Speaker 1 (15:16):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 3 (15:25):
Cover bet you love the Las Vegas but the Baseball
Betting Shoe with myself Greig Peterson, now part of the
Beason Family a podcast. It is great to be joined
by this man as Curtis Rodgers. He does absolutely tremendous
work taking a look at this great game of baseballs.
He is a pre and postgame host of the Seattle Mariners.
I know that he is very locked into what we've
all been getting this time of year. What has been
a fascinating baseball season, and on top of that, just

(15:48):
anything out there in the Pacific Northwest. He's got you
covered over there at subten Seattle Sports, whether that be
the Seattle Cracking, whether that be all forms of college basketball.
With a lot of West Coast coaching searches going on
right now. You're a fam on Twitter, slash Instagram over
at a get from Kent altogether and Curtis's good to
have you more.

Speaker 2 (16:05):
Thank you.

Speaker 5 (16:06):
This start of the baseball season has been pretty wild,
considering all the teams last year that were in contention
and looking at the standings across Major League Baseball, some
divisions are pretty topsy turvy from where they were last year.
But yeah, I mean we're what two weeks now, two
and a half weeks into the season. Lots of storylines abound,

(16:26):
some bad shoo Tani and the okland A's, but a
lot of good stuff going on the field as well.

Speaker 3 (16:31):
Oh absolutely, And if you're the interpreter of Choiotani, apparently
you're the worst gambler of all time. And this podcast,
if you've been listening to it, hopefully has not landed
you in quite that.

Speaker 2 (16:42):
Big of a hole. So we're able to hang our
hat on that.

Speaker 3 (16:44):
I've been noticing a lot of funkiness out there in
the aos. Right now, we find the Houston Astros right
there at the bottom of the division after the Oakland
Aids took a series from the Texas Rangers.

Speaker 2 (16:55):
It's been a rough going for them.

Speaker 3 (16:56):
It's been a little bit up and down as well
for the Seattle Manners and Ula Rodriguez and just want
to get your thoughts first things first on the team
that you cover in Seattle, and then we'll go from there.
Just what have you made on their first two or
so weeks of the season.

Speaker 6 (17:08):
Well, the biggest thing has been the offense and how
little offense there has been. They are the last team
in Major League Baseball to surpass five runs in a game.
Luckily that happened in their most recent game, but they
also needed ten innings to get those six runs, and
five of them came in the tenth inning. In fact,
the Mariners have scored more runs in the tenth inning

(17:29):
this year than any inning they have played. They've only
played two ten inning games this season, one against the
Red Sox in which they scored three runs, and then
one against the Blue Jays in which they scored five runs.
The offense has been the biggest issue right now, and
it's been the guys who they've been expected to count on,
Julio Rodriguez, JP Crawford, cal Rawley to name a few.

(17:50):
Mitch Garver too, It's been those guys who have struggled
with the bats right now. Getting those guys going is
going to be the most important thing for the Mariners
into this six game homestand which starts against the Cubs.
If those guys can start producing, I think things are
going to be looking up for the Mariners right now.

Speaker 3 (18:07):
Yep, absolutely, I think that that would be absolutely massive.
As it has been a good year for the pitching
thus far for the Seattle Mayors. But to your point,
the hitting into has not been there, and I feel
like that's the case for a lot of the teams
in the division right now. The Oakland A's have honestly
done a solid job with reguards of their pitching, hitting
not gonna be there, and I don't think that the
team when it's all said and done, is gonna be

(18:29):
there towards the top of the standings. But what have
you made out of an als that for much of
the season the Asters have been the last team in
the division.

Speaker 6 (18:37):
Yeah, the Astros being last is an interesting one, especially
because you look at the top of their lineup. Jose
Al two Bay, yord On Alvarez have hit like we've
expected them to, but it's Kyle Tucker and Alex Bregman.
Was looking at their lineup just the other day and
it was like, Wow, Wow, I do not expect them
to be down for much longer. But yeah, if they
continue to hit the way they have beyond just Al

(19:00):
two Bay and Alvarez, it's gonna be tough sledding. And
then you look at just the amount of injuries that
their starting rotation has had. I don't know any team
can withstand that much loss. We saw what Hunter Brown
get absolutely shellacked against the Royals his last start, giving
up eleven hits in just two thirds of an innings.
I believe that is the most hits allowed in Major
League history of any starting pitcher to not make it

(19:22):
out of the first inning. So they are dealing with
a ton of injuries right now. We've seen the Astros
be able to dig themselves out of early holes in
the past.

Speaker 4 (19:30):
I am not going to discount them.

Speaker 6 (19:32):
I still think they are going to threaten for the
American League West Crown. They're getting healthier Justin Berlander is
already making rehab starts. But yeah, it's been very tough
sledding for them to start this season, looking at you know,
the rest of that offense and the amount of pitching
injuries right now, gonna be hard to make do with
with all that's going on with them, But I still

(19:54):
have confidence that they're gonna be there in the end
in the AL last And.

Speaker 3 (19:58):
We have seen Houston askers get off to slow starts
and how much when it comes to the start of
the season, do you want to make a lot of
the start slash nothing at all, because with Easton Astros,
they are a team that time and time again we
have seen them.

Speaker 2 (20:11):
You gotta to a little bit of slow start.

Speaker 3 (20:12):
Meanwhile, you take a look at a team like the
Pittsburgh Priors, and I don't think it's gonna be like
last year where they were like tops in the National
League at the end of April and then they went
straight down the toilet bowl. But I with a team
like that, I'm gonna take that a little bit more
with a grain of salt.

Speaker 4 (20:26):
Yeah, I think that's a great question.

Speaker 6 (20:28):
That's a lot of conversation that we've had up here
and I kind of look at it like, you can't
win your division in April and you can't win your
division May, but you certainly can lose your division in
April and May, like you can definitely put yourself in
big enough hold where you cannot get out of it.
And I look at teams that have gotten out to
the slow starts, like Houston Seattle for example, they can

(20:51):
absolutely you know, hurt themselves in a big way if
they don't write things soon. But yeah, to your point,
teams like the Pirate's teams that are off to incredible
starts right now, the Royals, for example, in the American
League Central, I don't think they're gonna do anything to
clinch those divisions right away. Will they be more competitive
this season, Absolutely, I think Kansas City's absolutely going to

(21:14):
be a threat in the American League Central, but I
don't think that they are the heavy, heavy favorites the
way that they've played to start this season. But yeah,
this time of year, you can absolutely lose ground on
these races, but you can't do anything to clinch anything.

Speaker 3 (21:28):
Yep.

Speaker 2 (21:29):
Absolutely.

Speaker 3 (21:29):
I think that that's so well said, because when it
comes to this time of the year, you can dig
yourself a hole, but being able to go like twenty
and twelve out of the game, you still have another
one hundred and thirty games of play as well. So
I do think that that's the best way to be
able to.

Speaker 2 (21:43):
Go about it.

Speaker 3 (21:44):
And it is an American League where we have seen
quite a few surprises as far this season because you
do a great job being able to cover all those
teams out there in the AL West, and the La
Angels actually open up about five hundred going into their
series against the Boston Red Sox, the team that your
Seattle managers just played against, the Toronto Blue Jays. They
just do not look good at the plate themselves. And

(22:06):
just what have you made out of the American League
thus far? Because I just take a look around and
I see the AO East and how many teams are
having success out there, and I feel like that division
has just been headed shoulders above the rest to start
off the season.

Speaker 6 (22:19):
Yeah, it really has, and I think that's probably going
to continue to be the case as we get further
and further into the summer months. I think the American
League East, the depth of it is still top notch.
There is no deeper division in baseball I still kind
of think the American League West. If everybody is playing
to their expectations, if you're talking the Rangers, Astros, and Mariners,

(22:41):
you're probably not going to find a better top of
a division in baseball. To me, I think the American
League East, though right now I would not want anything
to do with it if I were any other team
in the American League. They're just so deep. There's talent
from top to bottom. I was actually pretty impressive with
the Red Sox, to be quite honest, when they came
to Seattle at to start the season. Now, obviously you

(23:02):
can't put too much into the first series of a season,
but you can also you can kind of look at
guys and be like, you know what, that guy kind
of surprised me. I wasn't expecting much out of them
this year, But I look at the American League East.
Just got a good look at that Toronto team. Toronto,
like you said, I think underperformed right now. But they
also still have the bats that can punish mistake pitches.

(23:25):
South Lad Guerrero Junior take Logan Gilbert Deep four hundred
and fifty nine feet to left field. They still have
tons of talent on Toronto's roster. Bobashad's still there. They
just are not the Toronto teams of years past. With
the Matt Chapmans around. They've let a lot of talent
go over the last couple of years, I think, trying
to build from within. They also got fleece last year

(23:47):
in the Adulton bar Show trade, letting go of Lordis
Guriel and Gabriel Moreno. The Diamondbacks raping those rewards powered
them to the World Series last year. So yeah, the
American League East right now very hard to kind of
pick who it is that's going to come out of
that mess.

Speaker 4 (24:03):
But it's a good mess. It's an intimidating mess.

Speaker 6 (24:05):
It's a mess that whoever comes out of it is
going to be very battle tested once the postseason rolls
are on.

Speaker 3 (24:11):
Yeah, there's no question about it. Whoever is they able
to pull out that AL East. I do think that
they're going to be putting themselves in a very nice
position and that is a strong division And generalize Curtis
Rodgers have subten Seattle Sports and Seattle Manners print post
game coverage do you knowin I mean right here on
the Baseball Betting Show and met out about it. We've
had a few teams that have come to the forefront.
In terms of teams that will not be very competitive

(24:33):
this year, I'm looking at you, the Chicago White Sox.
I'm looking at you the Buying Me Marlins. But just
in terms of teams that have surprised you, whether that
be to the positive or the negative, is there a
one or two that come to mind. Maybe they'll fade
into the abyss, maybe they'll have a little bit of
staying power. But have there been a few teams in
general that have given you a little bit of.

Speaker 2 (24:50):
A surprise as far this season.

Speaker 6 (24:51):
I mentioned the Royals, and I wasn't expecting them to
come out gamebusters the way that they have, and especially
with that huge win they had on Thursday this week,
beating the Astros the way that they did, getting the
nine runs in the first inning, I thought that was
very impressive. That pickup of Cole Reagan's last season. I
mean that it was one of the shrewdest moves you'll
ever see. That guy is gonna be a really, really

(25:14):
good pitcher when he plays to his fullest potential. I
think the Royals are a team that can make some
noise in that American League Central, because you look at
that division, Greg, there's nobody that really jumps out right
now as a bona fide favorite. You mentioned the White Sox.
They're really the only team that you can kind of
write in sharpie right now and say, yeah, these guys
are not gonna be there by the end of the season.

(25:36):
So I've been impressed with them. What the Royals have
done so far. I think they are a team that
could very much contend in that American League Central just
because of how wide open it is. I mean, if
you win eighty five eighty six games this season in
the Central, you probably have a shot of the division.

Speaker 2 (25:52):
Yep.

Speaker 3 (25:52):
Absolutely, and the Guardians are off to a nice start
as well. Have my question marks with the offense. The
pitching it is certainly has been there, but the offense
that is something that we need to see to believe
though Josh Naylor and bow Nail are going deep on
Siblings Day that was something that we love to see
as well. And something that we love to see is
great matchups as well. And for this weekend, Curtis, you're

(26:15):
going to be able to take a look at a
little NL action as it as the Mariners going up
against the Chicago Cubs. We've got ourselves some relatively nice
pitching matchups are going to be going down. I know
that it looks like Luis Gass you and have your
sad is on tap for Sunday. On Saturday, we are
most likely going to be getting a matchup of Emerson
Hancock and then get the name wrong, but shojat I
Minaga is going to be going for the Cubs. And

(26:37):
just what are you looking for for this series for Seattle,
because I know you were referencing the hitting just not
being there thus far for Seattle. But as we know Seattle,
they do have one of the most picture friendly ballparks
in baseball, and they're going up against the Cubs unit
that has been able to do a nice job but
be able to put up some runs as far this season.
So I think that it's going to be a really
intriguing matchup to see if the Mariners come bus out here. Yeah.

Speaker 6 (26:58):
And the one edging matchup I'm going to watching for
this week and is Louis Castillo and what he does
on Sunday. He's had three pretty subcar starts by Castillo
standards to start this season. He's got an the ara
in youar seven. It's a start contrast from what he
did a year ago, where three of his first four
starts he didn't allow a run, So he was incredible

(27:18):
to start twenty twenty three. Has him in the case
this year to start twenty twenty four, and in fact,
if you go back to the end of twenty twenty three,
Castillo had his struggles in the final couple starts of
the season. His last five starts, all five of them
have not been great. So you kind of wonder what's
going on with Luis Castillo right now. You hope it's
just kind of a little funk that he's in, because

(27:39):
when he is on, when he is absolutely hitting his spots,
he is one of the filthiest pitchers in the American League.
So the Mariners better hope that Sunday they get that
Louis Castillo of old, because if not, then it's going
to be really, really tough to pull off. I think
a series victory without peak Louis Castillo.

Speaker 2 (27:56):
Oh absolutely.

Speaker 3 (27:57):
It's been a little bit of a rough go of
it for Hancock as well. He's been at the big
league blobbo guy that's shown some relatively solid command, but
has not been able to get those swings and misses,
as Curtis Rodgers, who does tremendous work over at some
ten Seattle Sports, is showing me right here on the
Baseball Betting Show, and I do want to get your
take on this as well. Something that we've noticed early
on the season is we've seen teams being very hit

(28:18):
or miss with regards to mats. Because I know it's
something that you've been reference to. Against the Manders, they
have not put up a lot of offense. Meanwhile, across
the board, it does feel like run scoring is up
a little bit this season. It's been very much a
case by case basis, But what have you made on
the overall run scoring in the MLB here in the
first few weeks of the season, because sands a few exceptions,
we have been noticing that laders have been a little

(28:40):
bit further in front of the pitchers than we've seen
in past years.

Speaker 6 (28:43):
It's interesting too, because this time of year, the ball
isn't traveling as well as it does in the middle
of the summer.

Speaker 4 (28:49):
You know, you don't.

Speaker 6 (28:50):
Necessarily see a lot of runs scored in colder weather areas.
I know it's been a little bit warmer than usual
here in Seattle to start the season. I don't know
if that's the key across you know, every thirty you know,
major league stadiums, but I do think that you're starting
to see across Major League base So I think this
has kind of been the case for the last few years,

(29:11):
is that a lot of hitters are selling out for power.
They want to hit the home run ball, and obviously
you get more runs hitting a home run than you
do hitting a single or a double, like, unless you're
able to string the singles and doubles together and load
the bases up with guys. I think baseball players right now,
especially hitters, know that there is a lot of value

(29:32):
in putting runs on the board and hitting home runs.
I think that is a big reason why offense continues
to climb. I do kind of wonder too, we saw
we see the balls every now and then, you know,
either be juiced or dead and depending on, you know,
whatever factor it is that major League Baseball has going on.
I don't know if that's the case this season, but

(29:52):
we've definitely seen it in years past. I think twenty nineteen,
for example, is on the top of my mind of
a year with the juice ball, where guys we're hitting
home runs like crazy. I think the Twins that year
set the major League record for home runs in a season.
I don't know if that's the case of this season.
There's not enough data yet to make that definitive case
that there is a juice ball or anything like that,

(30:13):
but I wouldn't put it out of the realm of possibility,
that's for sure.

Speaker 3 (30:17):
Yeah, it's been interesting to take a look at this season.
Obviously the pitchclock rules that has come to the forefront
as well, with men in that scoring position men on
base the pitchclock being lowered a little bit. I do
think that that has caused for a little bit of
banks for some of these relievers, But we get no anks.
When you're on the show, Curtis, you do an amazing workover
at some TENSI outle sports taking a look at this

(30:39):
great game. Let the good people at home know it's
all on tap for you, and how people are able
to follow on on social media and other platforms.

Speaker 6 (30:45):
Yeah, you can download the latest edition of Extra Innings
are weekly podcast focusing mostly on Marinags baseball, but we
take a look around Major League baseball as well. I
was joined by Wayne Randazzo of Apple TV's Friday Night
Baseball Calls Angels broadcast to talk some al West with him.
Also got the scoop on his all of Alert Pools

(31:06):
seven hundred home run.

Speaker 4 (31:07):
It's a really interesting story. To make sure you're downloading
that wherever.

Speaker 6 (31:09):
Is you get your podcast and Seattlesports dot com is
the place to be and on Twitter and Instagram at
a kid from.

Speaker 3 (31:15):
Ken Absolutely curtis doing such great work taking a look
at this amazing game of baseball that we all know
and love. Every single time he joins the show, he
lends such great insights, so big thanks him for joining
me right here on the Baseball Betting Show now part
of the Vson Family Podcast and coming next It is
that time of the podcast and give you picks and
analysis at every game on the betting board for this
Baseball Saturday as we got them.

Speaker 1 (31:37):
On breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 3 (31:49):
Everybrager, love you Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Shoe
with myself Greg Peterson now part of the Vson Family Podcast.
Always great to be joined by Rob Donalds and he
does great work with the show Slash podcast Rob's Best
Bets Show. Every single time he joins me, he lends
such good insights and it is always a pleasure to
be able to get him aboard. So a big thanks
Soim for joining me in the last segment. Now it

(32:11):
is that time the podcast they give you picks and
analysis on every game on the betting board for this
Baseball Saturday, as we touch them all.

Speaker 6 (32:17):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and the total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 3 (32:23):
Do you know if that has for usual any changes
there made? These plays will be listened up on my
Twitter slash x feed at you and n are scoredy
one and you're going to be going in last exascitation
or this is where we go with the nationally games first,
then the American League games and then inter league games
are going to be at the bottom, except we do
have two games that are going to be doubleheaders. You're
going to have like the Twins versus Tigers and the

(32:43):
Yankees versus Guardians games that we're supposed to be happening
on Thursday and Friday at the bottom just because they
set the order a few days in advance, and when
you have a rainout game, those games just go at
the bottom. And when it does come to those cuble headers,
I will just do both games together because I would
hate to just run through the same exact guys that
are gonna be of impact for both games and separate
it out. So those are gonna be games that are

(33:05):
gonna be just combined. So how about if we get
things started with nine to one nine o two on
the bank board. The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road
the face off against the Philadelphie phil He says, you've
got on the bump for the buck, goes Marco Gonzalez.
Since Spencer Turnbull is going for Philadelphia Philadelphia between a
minus one forty two to a minus one forty favorite
one twenty two plus one twenty two plus one thirty three,

(33:25):
that number on Pittsburgh nine is the total over his
minus one fifteen to minus one twenty the unders any
between even and minus one oh five did something I
total at eight point eight, I'm gonna be taking a
look at this little under his case, wherewith Marco Gonzalez
sees not gonna blow you away with swings and misses
or anything like that. Very much a pitch of contact guy.
But he's been able to do a relatively solid job
thus far this season of being able to hold down

(33:46):
the fort and his ups and downs, to say the
leaves with the Seattle manners. When he's got his good
command going, he's a relatively solid pitcher. We saw that
in twenty twenty when he had strikeout to walk great
was just absolutely astronomical. Last few seasons, the command has
been off, but I've been liking what I've been seeing
from him thus far the season. I think that a
change of scenery and just in general being able to
rest up after he only made a few starts last

(34:08):
season due to injury, that has been helping him out
quite a bit. As as far the season as watsbourn
ninery is right around about one point six, very very
early on, But like what I'm seeing there, and he
is backed up by a bullpen that is pretty rock
solid for the Pittsburgh Pirates, David Bennar. When you have
Ryan Brooki out there, he's currently on the injury list
role as Chapman, these guys are all solid. And then
Hunter Strand has been able to do his part as well.
But for Spencer Turnbull, someone who just has not been

(34:30):
able to get out there on the field the last
few seasons, has dealt with injury after injury after injury.
He has really come out and has looked very strong
this far this season. Two starts, eleven total innings. He
has not given up a single run, just one walk.
This is the Spencer Turnbull that we were all hoping
to see when he had that no hitter many many
years ago. So that has been big for the Philadelphia Phillies.

(34:51):
Who's bullpen always is a little bit lack lesser when
it comes to beginning part of the year, sarrythmingez Lese
al Farrado. These are guys that are currently having some issue.
I've actually really liked what I've seen out of you
and your Marte of the Marte parte, but that said,
you do have to have a few question marks when.

Speaker 2 (35:07):
It comes to them.

Speaker 3 (35:07):
And for the Philadelphia Phillies, a bunch of last year
was eighth in the league in terms of runs per
game and they were sixth posts alsar break there off
to a little bit of a sloganh Shart as well,
Sam's at three to home run game. For Bryce Harper,
he has just has not been able to do anything whatsoever.
You've got a lot of guys at the bottom fold,
like whit Mayorfield, Ewan Ross who's certainly out there for
his glove, along with n Casianos, just not really getting

(35:28):
on base for the team. Like what I've seen out j. T. Reemuto,
He's sitting well above a two six seeds being able
to supply a pair of home runs, but has been
a little bit of a rough govid for the Phillies bats. Meanwhile,
for the Pittsburgh Priors, they've been white out at the plate.
This has been one of your best offenses in the
National League this far. You've got O'Neil Cruz who's got
a good combination of power and the ability to be
able to get on base. So he has been a

(35:48):
little bit inconsistent throughout his career. You'd like to see
that iron out a little bit, but he hasn't had
a lot of a sample size to be able to
show this through. Henry Davis has been a disappointment thus
far this season. But guys like Brian Reynolds, Connor, Joe
Cabrian ayes. These have been guys to be able to
move the line, and I do think that for the
Pittsburgh Priors are gonna be able to remain lively. But
I do like the way the turn balls come out.
I feel like Barco Gonzalz is pitching a little bit

(36:10):
better this year as well. So I'm gonna be looking
at the under semi total that at eight point eight,
and with the Phillies on the money line, I set
them out of minus one forty four. If you're looking
at that run line, you're getting right around about a
plus one thirty five on it. I would even more
like a plus one forty or higher. I'd rather take
a bit of a chalk your money line here with
the Phillies. So we're gonna have the Phillies money line
to go along with the nine under nine oh three,
nine to four on the betting boardly Miami Marlins place

(36:31):
to see Atlanta Braves Chris Saleguu's for the Bravos and
Max Myers on the bump for the Marlins. Marlins find
themselves as pretty sizeable underdogs. You're going to be getting
them any roteen plus one sixty plus one seventy five Meanwhile,
between minus one eighty eight to minus two dollars at
number on Atlanta eight and a half is a total
overs minus one fifteen. The under is minus one oh five,
and with the Atlanta Braves they are on my line

(36:53):
minus one seventy one. Now that we're getting to ride
around up out of plus one seventy plus one seventy five,
that's going to be beginning to be b bypoint on Miami.
Has Max Meyers been honestly probably the best thing that
the mind By Marlins have had going thus far the season,
less because they haven't had a lot going for them
as far this season, but I really like the way

(37:13):
that he's been able to come out this season. He's
got some good swinging miss stuff. I'm not gonna call
it amazing quite yet. He's still a younger guy that
has to go through the progress of just becoming a
major league baseball pitcher in general. But that said, he's
led the team to one out of their two wins.
First win of the season that they got. You pitched
really well against the Saint Louis Cardinals, giving up one
run over the course of six innings. I do think

(37:34):
that he's got quite a bit of upside moving forward
in his command. At the minor league level, it was
solid in for Chris Sale. The swing of miss stuff
is still there from thirteen strikeouts in ten and two
thirds innings. The command has not been too bad either.
He's given up two runs in his first two starts
against the Diamondbacks in the Philadelphia feels perfectly acceptable. Both
been behind him has been a little bit shaky. Tyler
Mansik dealt with injury quite a bit last season. You

(37:56):
can tell that he's not quite one hundred percent. They're
looking to Darius Vines right now for some Mennings. Pierce
Johnson after he was tremendous last season, he's been a
little bit up and down as well. And you do
know that this is going to be an Atlanta Braves
offense that is going to hit. Marcelo's gonna already has
five home runs thus far this season. Really other than
what you've been finding out of for lack better term.
Ronald the Coony Junior entered into the series hitting below

(38:18):
a two thirty five. Like everyone is firing all soldiers
right now, and you know that Ronald Cooney Junior is
going to find it easy. Reigning MVP Award winner Medelson
had fifty plus home runs last season. Guys like Orlando Arcio,
Michael Harris, Ozzi Alby's are all hitting above a three hundred,
and they all hit for power. Meanwhile, for Miami, they
have been probably the most unlucky team in the league.
Have they stunk, Yes, But you take a look at

(38:39):
their expected batting average versus their actual batting average. There
have an expected banning average it's about forty points higher
than their actual batting average. Luise rise and turned into
the series hitting about it two fifty. You've honestly had
Tim Anderson be able to move line, but he just
doesn't give you any power. Jake Berger has been able
to give you few home runs, but you can tell
that missing Gorda Hilaire has been taken out of them.
You have to feel like guys like Vco Garcia, jads

(39:00):
Is Low, Masu Sanchez, they're gonna be able to pick
it up a little bit. And for the Miami Marlins,
this is a bad bullpen, but I do think that
they're going to improve a little bit. I think that
there's been a little bit of culture shock with having
aj Puck now be a starter You've got Tanner Scott,
who's relatively okay out there in the bullpen, mat injuries
has up been terrible. Who's Scarbaro's open last year was
a little bit of a roll the dice, but I
think that's gonna be able to un some good endings

(39:21):
as well. And with the Atlanta Braves, they certainly do
have a little bit of a pitching issue, and I
do think that the Marlins are going to be able
to have some positivity for this offense. I know that
Miami is a very pitcher friendly ballpark, but with the
Atlanta Braves going the way that they are both with
regards to their lack of pitching and they're incredible hitting,
I do think they can get a high scoring games.
That might tell it at eight point six. So I
like the over, and I had a plus one seventy
two or higher going to be looking at the fish

(39:43):
on the money line, nine to five, nine to six
on the bank board. The Saint Louis Cardinals they throw
the facing off against the Ears and the Diamondbacks. Ryan
Nelson is on the boom for Arizona. Kyle Gibson is
on the bum for Saint Louis and Saint Louis between
minus one ten minus one twenty favorites any between even
money and plus one of five, Sekstream minus one of five.
Then Ryan in Arizona nine and a half is a
total over his minds one fifteen. He under his minus

(40:04):
one of five. I did thought the Diamondback says a
favorite of minus one twenty two.

Speaker 2 (40:07):
I'm gonna be willing to roll with them.

Speaker 3 (40:09):
Ryan Nelson had some of the strangest home in road
splits in all baseball last season. Last season, he had
an ERA that was sub three to five on the
road and it was right around eight at home. I
do think that this is going to iron out quite
a bit for Ryan Nelson. Not going to light the
world on fire in terms of strikeouts or anything like that.
He had a little bit of a rough twenty and
twenty three campaign, but I do think that he's going

(40:29):
to be able to pick it up moving forward, and
I do think that we are going to see some
positivity for him. And I do think that for both
of these both pens, both of them are going to
be rather rough in this ordeal, which is why I
did something total that nine point seven. I'm going to
be looking at the over. For the same Lowis Cardinals,
you return Ryan Ellesley was an All Star reliever two
seasons ago, but he is the only guy that returns
from a season ago that had a sub three five. Right,

(40:50):
you do bring in Andrew Kichrich, who I like, but
dressing in guys like Bryan Tapara, Ryan Fernandez, Andre Polanti
that is a little bit of an issue. Meanwhile, for
the San Lewis Cardinals, Andy and Kyle Gibson. He had
a nice season last year in terms of being able
to put up fifteen wins, but he did allow about
one point three home runs for nine nnies. He's had
an advanced age of about thirty six. He doesn't get
a lot of swings and missus okay with regards to

(41:11):
his command. He gave out last year about two point
six walks Bernia and ninnies, but has given up four
home runs in his first two starts of the season,
and two of those home runs came at home against
Miami Marlins. That's not a place where you want to
be right now. And for the same Loss Cardinals, it's
been a little bit of fuddling what we've seen from
them at the plate. Nolan Aernato along with Paul Goldschmith
just have not produced the way that you would expect.
Aeronado has yet to get a home run going into

(41:32):
their game on Friday Night, Paul gold Schmi one home
run ending up Buck eighty two. You know that these
guys are going to be a pick it up, and
then you need the young guys out there in the
outfield to be able to improve as well. Jordan Walker,
Victor Scott both initting below a bucks seventy five entering
in the series. They do get back the Lars newpar
who I feel like that loss was pretty big for
the scene. They had to play Alec Burlson in his place. Meanwhile,
for the Diamondbacks, Gorman Carroll hasn't given you too much

(41:54):
this season, just one home run, hitting about a two
twenty five entering into the series. But you've had Lord
of Scouriel, Tom Marte, Christian Walker. I'll be able to
sply three home runs as far the season. You've had
all three of these guys to a solid job. Will
be able to move the line. Blaze Alexander has come
up as a young guy. He's been able to deliver
as well. Now you do Roll the dice with this
bullpen as well as you've got the likes of Luis

(42:15):
freesk me got the Castro, nothing terrific out there in
the bullpen, but the other Nelson, Kyle Nilson, he's been
pretty solid as well. Scott Magough. He was one of
the more unlucky pitchers in all baseball last season. So
I do think that there's gonna be some positivity for
the Diamondbacks in terms of they're pitching. Ryan Nelson still
not honestly the world's most trustworthy guy, but I do
think that you see quite a bit of offense in
this spot. It feels like Kyle Gibson at his advanced

(42:35):
age starting to wear down a little bit as well.
So I do like the Diamondbacks and one of the
better offenses at all of baseball to be able to
get to him. I did somebody total of nine point seven,
so I'm gonna be taking a look at the over
and in terms of money lines up the Diamondbacks at
of minus one twenty two, so gonna be able to
take that plus price with them. Nine seven, nine to
eight is gonna be that he can work right a pick.
This is the San Diego Potter's on the road basically
off against the LA Dodgers. Devin Stone goes for the Dodgers,

(42:58):
and Matt Waldron is on them. For the Pods and
the Padres, they are between plus one sixty and plus
one seventy underdogs and between minus one eighty minus one
ninety five is that number on the Dodgers. Nine is
the total overs between minus one ten to a minus
one fifteen unders between minus one o five to minus
one ten. And if you are looking at LA a
run and a half with the l Dodgers, that's between
even money and plus one oh five. And I'm gonna

(43:20):
be looking at the Dodgers run line. I was willing
to take a minus one two or better there, as
I needed at least a plus one seventy two to
take a shot on the Padres. Feel a little bit
better about the Dodgers on the run line, mainly because
for the Dodgers, since the beginning of the twenty and
twenty two season, they have one i believe now two
hundred and twenty two regular season games, and all but

(43:42):
thirty five of them have come by multiple runs. But
the actual right appear is going to be on the
over I saw my total at a nine point eight.
You've got a pair of, shall we say, lack luster
starters are out there on the mount. Kevin Stone has
made nine career appearances, actually ten career appearances, but at
nine is significant because to cra nine giving up one

(44:02):
point eight home runs, three point nine walks per nine
and nings. This guy just simply is not ready for
the big leagues.

Speaker 4 (44:07):
Now.

Speaker 3 (44:08):
Has he been a little bit unlucky, Sure he has,
but I mean he just clearly does not look like
a big league pitcher as of right now, going against
someone in Matt Walder and who's had his issues as well.
Four twenty six e ras is getting called up from
the minor league level in twenty twenty three, but a
four ninety five fielding independent, one point eight home runs
surrender per nine and nnings, he has yet to really
do a solid job. I'll be able to hold down

(44:30):
the ford as well. With that regard, he gives up
about two and a half three walks per nine NEC
command isn't too bad, but then you have to face
off against the Dodgers lineup.

Speaker 2 (44:37):
Then.

Speaker 3 (44:37):
Since the beginning of the twenty twenty three season is
averaging one point six home runs per game that is
second out there in the National League this season, they're
averaging five point nine runs per game, and you just
look at the overall fire power that both of these
pitchers have to go up against, and it is pretty daunting.
As for the LA Dodgers, you've had Mookie Betts just
be off to one of the best starts at all
baseball five home runs entering into yesterday, and for that matter,

(44:59):
for the l Dodgers, it is a little bit top
heavy to begin the season, but hitter's one through four
in the line up yesterday all entered hitting at least
a three thirty three Chariotani. Ever since the first few
days of the season, he's really been able to get
his act together. Task Hernandez has been able to give
you four on runs. Would like to see a little
bit more out of Chris Taylor, James Oltman, Gavin Lux.
They've been a little bit rough at the bottom of
the fold. But the ELI Dodgers and the San Diego

(45:20):
Padres for that matter, both of these teams in the
top four in terms of lock strawn on a prepack
basis as well, So God played discipline there. Meanwhile, Manny
Machado after a little bit of a slow start to
the season for the Padre's pairform runs but in just
a two twenty but Fernando Tatis Junior's paying four home runs.
This is a Padres team that entered into the series
epening about five point three runs per game. We recall

(45:40):
what happened in game two of that Soul series when
these two teams did battle. That was a big, giant,
massive over. You rick some profar as moving the line
as well, and then you take a look at these
two Bullpens, not in great fom entering into the series,
of Padres registering in era of about five entering into
the series four to six to one for the li Dodgers,
Dodgers about nineteenth in the league, and Bullpenny right entering
into the series Padres twenty. First down to think that

(46:01):
there might be a little bit of positivity for this
Patres Bullpen. I like to pick up some of Janni
pearl tel and yelled dal Santos. But Johnny Brido, he
has been not great, to say least. Tom Cosgrove after
a great year last year, he seems to be regressing
a little bit. Meanwhile, for the Ellie Dodgers. They did
lose a few pieces from last season. Shelby Miller was
a failure of a starter, but in the bullpen he
was tremendous. You saw, I have a Phillips who had

(46:23):
like Alex VESSI l last three seasons has been inconsistent,
like with Ryan Brazier and Danny Hudson bring to the table,
but I played try and injury has really been hurting them.
Joe Kelly is untrustworthy as well, and I do think
that you're going to get a whole bunch of runs
in this game. I really don't trust in either of
these starters. Both of these bullpens are in relatively rough form.
So DKA, now we're great to pick that is going
to be on the over end with the li Dodgers

(46:44):
want to go up to a bottom minus one oh
one on laying a run and a half. So here
it even money slash a plus one o five. Look
at a layer run and a half with the Dodgers
and them. The rite up is on the over nine
or nine nine ten on the betting board. The minutes
of twins are on the roads facing up against the
Detroit Tigers, and this is going to be a double dip.
In game number one, it is going to be Joe
Ryan going for the Twins. Ken to Maida's on the
bump for Detroit. I'll just do the second game after

(47:05):
I take a look at this first game, and for
the Tigers, you'll find them in game number one, Maeta
between plus one fourteen to a plus one seventeen any
between minus one twenty seven to minus one thirty five
the number one Minnesota. It is a total over end
under any between minus one five to a minus one fifteen.
And with the Twins in this ordeal, I set them
out a minus one o four, so getting north of
a plus one oh five, I'm gonna be taking a

(47:25):
look at the Tigers. Kent To Maida has some familiarity
with the Minnesota Twins, which that could be a positive
and that could be a negative for kent Toa. Maeta,
he just has not looked very sharp this season, but
he had his moments last season. He was a very
streaky pitcher a season ago. It could be a case
where he just needs to get a few starts under
his belt. He just needs to get his work in.

(47:45):
But for kent To Maida certainly has been a little
bit rough and perhaps going up against a Minnesota Twins
team has been one of the worst offenses in all
of baseball. Gonna be able to get him going, because
right now he's got a nine yarra in a nine
to fifty six fielding dependant, giving up just a whole
bunch in general. In nine nine he has given up
nine runs. I believe that he has given up four
home runs and five walks in this time span as well.

(48:05):
Has not been great, to say the least, But I
do think that there's a little bit of positivity coming
when you get to go up against a Minnesota Twins
team that they without Roycelis, just do not have a
lot of offense.

Speaker 2 (48:14):
In general.

Speaker 3 (48:15):
Byron Buckson has not been able to find it this year.
You've got two guys that have seen north of twenty
at bats as far this season. They're inting above a
two thirty seven entering into this series. Abby Carlos care
At Alex Kerlo. Both of these guys done a solid
job being able to move the line and they have
been able to improve their just overall power a little bit.
Edward Julienne as the trio home runs, but he's saying
just a Buck eighty eight. I've had a pair of

(48:36):
home runs from Ryan Jeffers, but he's hitting just a
Buck twenty as well. Now there should be a little
bit of positivity moving forward for this Twins lineup, but
has been rough for them and for the Detroit Tigers.
They leave something to be desired at the plate as well.
They're projected starters. From yesterday, you had just one guy
in that lineup hitting above a two thirty one debug
or Orshella, Spencer Trokolsen has been off to a rough
start this season. Ridley Green Markanev combined five home runs,

(48:57):
but they're really not getting on base as well, so
that's been a a little bit costly for this team.
And then you do take a look at the two bullpens,
and I just believe that the Detroit Tigers have a
little bit more in terms of that bullpen. For the Twins,
Yander on their tremendous closer, he has been out of
the fold. So you still have Oriel College, Jay Jackson,
Cody Funderberg. These guys are Soliday like the Steven Okerk
acquisition in the offseason. But for Detroit, even though you

(49:18):
don't necessarily have that one lockdown closer or anything like that.
The pickup of Shelby Miller has been pretty nice. And
then I think that Jason Foley, Tyler Holton, Andrew Chafin,
will Vest all these guys are gonna be guys that
at the end of the season, are you able to
supply a three to five ERA or better. For the Twins,
I do think that they're gonna have a little bit
of a tough time with Kent to Maida and knowing
a lot of their tendency, so being able to get

(49:39):
a plus number here. I'm going to be taking a
look at the Detroit Tigers and when it comes to
the starter on the flip side and Joe Ryan, he
just has had a relatively tough time when it comes
to starting away from home. You take a look at
his career numbers and he's got an ERA that's more
than a full point higher when he is away from
home rather than when he is at home. And the
biggest thing for mister Ryan is the fact that he
just gives up the de ball away from home. Away

(50:01):
from home, his home runs per nine rate that is
well north of a one point seven. When he's at home,
it's still high, but it's more around about a one
point two five one point twenty six somewhere in that neighborhood,
and his strikeouts per nine rate does drop a little
bit as well. So I actually did something till it
at eight point one, despite the fact that both of
these teams have been scuffling a little bit at the plate,
as I do think that they're going to want to
preserve some bullpen pieces. So here in Ryan versus Maida,

(50:23):
looking at the Tigers at a plus one oh five
or greater and the over on eight and then but
if we go nine thirty one, nine thirty two on
the board, we know that it is going to be
Met Manning who gets a surf for Detroit and for
the Twins right now to be determined. When I was
looking on Fangrass, they're projecting coal sands, and I'm seeing
some places as well that are projecting that this is
going to be Simeon Woods Richardson, And if you get

(50:43):
Woods Richardson or Cole Sands, the handicap is going to
be relatively similar. I'd be setting the Tigers more round
about a minus one forty four minus one forty five
on the money line, and I would need north of
a plus one forty five to be able to take
shot on the run line. Then in terms of the
total in eight or less, I taking a look at
the over in eight and a half or higher, I'd
be diving in on the under. As Wood Richardson, it

(51:05):
appears as though he's probably gonna be getting this start here,
and I do think that this could be a little
bit of a piggyback situation between he and Cole Sants.
Woods Richardson got a few opportunities at the big league
bubble last two seasons. I think they made like two
total appearances, really didn't pan out from and you take
a look at his minor league level numbers last season,
just doesn't have a lot of command. He gave up
nearly five walks er nigh and NY seven halts strikeouts

(51:26):
er nine and Ning said, it's not like he's in
some sort of a ridiculous like Juice Ball League or
anything like that. He's out there in the independent league.
So that's a little bit of a concern. And honestly,
I'd be feeling a little bit better if Cole Sands
was getting the start here. And I do think that
he'll probably be the long guy of note, and if
you do get him out there, I do think that
there's a little bit of upside as he's gotten a
little bit more big league experience, and when Saans has

(51:47):
been out there, he's been able to do a nice
job holding down the four with about nine strikeouts bur
nine and he's does give up quite a few walks,
but about a four sixty eighty or a four ninety
one field independent. But fortunately they do get to go
up against the Detroit Tigers in the spot who is
not necessarily ripping the cover off the ball. When you
take a look at Manning throughout his career when he's
been at home, gives up about one point one home
runs for nine nine. He's not a swinging misguy throughout
his career, about six punch outs for nine ninety's. I

(52:07):
think he's gonna be able to prove that a little
bit this season. But three ninety one homier a four
sixty five era away from home and going against the
Twins team that has just had a rough time being
able put back to ball, this is another game where
in eight or less I'll be taking a look at
the over a half hyer to the under round with
the Tigers would be willing to lay upow minus one
forty seven with them plus one forty nine or higher.
If you do indeed get sans versus Manning in that game,

(52:27):
Number two will be taking a look at the Twins
at a plus one forty nine or higher nine eleven,
nine twelve on the benning board. The Houston Astros he
playoffs to Lee Walker Texas Rangers, Andrewheny goes for the Rangers.
Ronald Leblanco is on the bump for the Astros, and
the Astros do find themselves as a favorite at home,
you're going to be getting them anywhere in the neighborhood
of about a minus one forty five, seeing minus one
thirty seven to one minus one forty eight and between

(52:49):
plus one twenty two to plus one thirty that number
on Texas nine and a half is a total under
his minus one fifteen. The over is minus one out five.
I did set the Astros out of minus one sixty one.
I'm gonna be one to roll with them. I was
very high on Ronald Blanco coming into the season, and
he has been absolutely tremendous as far he throws out
no hitter and then what I think is even more impressive.

Speaker 2 (53:09):
The follow up.

Speaker 3 (53:10):
He then goes on the road to Texas is able
to absolutely shut down the Texas Rangers lineup did walk forward,
but gave up just one in over the course of
six innings. That really spoke to me and for Andrewhiney,
it's been a rough start to this season for him,
to say the least. Last time he faced off against
this very astors lineup, gives up six runs and three
and two thirds innings, and all throughout his career has
given up about a home run and a half bernine nings.

(53:31):
He's had his struggles both at home and on the road.
Always a nice swinging miss guy. His career strike as
er nine rate hovering right and then abra about ten
to ten and a half, but it is a issue
where he does give up a lot of her contact.
And for the Texas Rangers, this is one of the
best lineups that you're gonna find out there in the
big leagues. We've had at Olas Garcia beat that main
power bet. He's already been able to fly four home
runs as far this season. The other guys have not

(53:52):
necessarily been able to belt out the homers, but they're
doing a nice job of be able to find a
way on bass. Corey Seeger or Marcus Simeon, Jared Wall
guys like this. They aren't necessarily having the power numbers
that you'd expect, but they are doing a solid job
being able to find a way to be able to
get on base, just be able to find a way
to give you a little bit of offense in general.
So that's something that you'd like to see. Why at

(54:12):
Langford has been a little bit cold to begin the season,
I think that he's going to be all picked up.
And the Rangers did improve that bullpen in the offseason
as well. You pick up Kirby Yates. You also bring
in David Robertson that helps out. I like what they're
able to get Jacob Blats in the bullpen. I'll say, look,
Clerk could be a little bit of role that Ice
put all in though it's all a pretty solid bullpen.
And for the Houston Astros, the eighth and ninth inex
should be locked down with Josh Hater coupled with the

(54:33):
fact that you have Ryan Presley still in the fold
as well. But hasn't Nessly been so great? You can
tell that they're missing the guys like Ryan sanekin company,
but I do think that they're going to be able
to pick it up a little bit. You've got Rafael
Moteto's honestly looked relatively solid as farthest season. He's been
up and down throughout his career, to say the least.
Brian Brady has been good as well. So I do
think that you're going to see a little bit of
positivity when it comes to Houston Astros bullpen, which is

(54:53):
why I did. Somebody told it at nine point two.
It's been an Astro's lineup that has been a little
bit cold at the plate end. This is perennially a
little bit of slow going team. You've got a guy
in Alex Bragman that you're in in euar out. He
gets off to relatively rough starts. I like what I'm
seeing out of ose L two Vay Jordan overres entered
into the series with seven home runs with Alvarez well
north of a four hundred on base.

Speaker 2 (55:11):
It's the bottom of the fold.

Speaker 3 (55:12):
Guys like Marisio Dubon, Jake Myers, You're able to throw
in their John Singleton, OSEBRAYU. These are the guys that
really do need to pick it up, So gonna be
looking at the under on nine and a halfs that
might toll at nine point two in with the aswers
set them at a minus one sixty on the money line.
I don't want the run line here just because they've
had a little bit of a tough time scoring. But
that said, I'm gonna be taking a look at that
money line and I'm gonna be taking a look at

(55:33):
the total under as well. Nine thirteen, nine fourteen. On
the bending board, it is the La Angels safe. There
are the facing off against the Boston Red Sox. Griffin
Canning is on the bump for the Angels and it
is old to be determined on the bump for Boston.
So this is a game as off the board right now,
I was seeing projected on Fangrafts Chase Anderson. This is
very very much TVD. There have been some places that
have been projecting Tanner Hauke a little bit as well,

(55:56):
but I think that he's gonna be going on Sunday
in this ordeal. I know that they're been rumors of
Cooper Criswell, and if you get Chriswell and or Chase Sanderson,
it's going to be a relatively similar handicap. I said,
the Red Sox more around that minus one ten minus
one eleven number, and with Outka he's pitching on Friday,
so he will not be pitching in this game. But
I said, so if I totally where a nine and
a half for us, gonna be looking at the over

(56:17):
a ten or higher, I'm going to be taking a
look at the under. Griffin Canning has honestly been a
relatively saw a pitcher for the l Angels. He's gotten
a little bit unlucky throughout his baseball career, but he's
got some relatively good swinging miss stuff Throughout his career.
He's been able to give you about nine streakouts per
nine innings. Has had a rough go of it here
to start out the year nine runs surrendered at nine
and two thirds innings, But I do think that he's
going to be able to get his act together a
little bit. Boston is a relatively tough place to play,

(56:39):
but for the Boston Red Sox, this lineup has been
a little bit top heavy as far this season, and
you would like to see a little bit more moving
forward out of Rafael Devers, who had such a great
year last year, but has been a little bit slow
getting out of the gates as far the season as
it's been Tyler O'Neal in his six home runs, I
have really been able to lead the way for Boston.
I don't know where they would be offensively without him.
You've had a few guys to be able to move line.

(57:00):
Jaron Duran has been tremendous being able to hit above
a three hunder for the same Turscassas has been able
to move line as well. But it's all about some
of these other young guys, Bobby Dolbags, Sadine Rafaela, Emmanuel Heldez.
What are you gonna be able to get there? Dervis
Story's back on the injury list, but I honestly don't
think that that's too much of a loss. And for
the La Angels, it's a very top heavy lineup. Taylor Ward,
Mike Trout, these guys have been tremendous. Trout already up

(57:21):
to five plus home runs this season, providing me nearly
a four hundred our Mace. Taylor Ward has may have
bilt out a few homers as well, but Anthony Rendon,
Nate chinal zach Netto, Brandon Drury, aaron X. These guys
are giving you nothing whatsoever. While Logan a hoppy, I
liked him towards the beginning part of the last season
he got injured. He is back in full forth this season.
Love what I'm seeing there, But what I also don't

(57:43):
love is is La Angels bullpen. They're trying a lot
of recoclamation projects. They bring in Hunter stircling that's not
good if had its accre and will be a role
that Ice met more Carlos the seventh and the Nathan
ninth any are not too bad. And when it comes
about the Red Sox, very similar bullpen for them Kenley Jansen,
if you don't put them in a massive, big time spot,
is typically relatively saw. Chris Parton has been able to
give youself two fifty ERA, but then you take a

(58:03):
look at so many other guys in this both in
Isaiah Campbell absolutely ACKed away the game against the Orioles
a few days ago. Brendan Bernardino honestly wasn't too bad
last season. I do like the upside of Justin Slayton,
but guys like Juli Rodriguez a company hard to have
a lot of faith there, and if you do get
Chase Anderson for a start, he was just absolutely tattooed
last season. Now, a lot of that is because he
was pitching out there in Colorado, and when you're pitching

(58:25):
out there in Colorado, things they're not great. When he
was with the Tampa Bay Rays, he was able to
get a little bit of something going, but night and
day difference is there. And if you do get Cooper Criswell,
he was part of that raised organization but has never
really been able to find himself as a starter, I
wouldn't doubt it if you actually have a little bit
of a peeback situation between Anderson and Chriswell. So regardless,
food starts going to be a relatively similar handicap set

(58:46):
the red Sox out of minus one eleven, so we
want to go up to minus one ten there plus
one twelve or higher looking at the Angels, and then
nine and a half or less. I'd like the overten
or higher the under. Now we've got another double dip
nine to fifteen. Nine to sixteen is going to be
inconjecture with nine thirty three nine thirty four on the
betting board. It is the New York Yankees going up
against the Cleveland Guardians. Both of these games are off
the board on two be determined. Now, it was looking

(59:07):
like for the Yankees they were going to be throwing
Luis el in game number one. Right now on ESPN,
I'm seeing Cody Poteet going for them against Tristan McKenzie.
And then you're going to be getting in the earlier game,
which is actually going to be nine thirty three, nine
thirty four, Clerk Schmid going up against Carlos Cookie Carrasco.
Looks like that's going to be a relative constant. So
how about if we actually do start with that earlier game,
which ironically enough is nine thirty three nine thirty four.

(59:29):
Since we do have numbers for when this game was
pulled off the board yesterday because it was supposed to
happen you had a little bit of a rain out,
and when this was pulled off the board, Yankees were
between minus one twenty seven to a minus one thirty
five and between plus one fourteen to plus one twenty two.

Speaker 2 (59:42):
That is your number four.

Speaker 3 (59:43):
The Cleveland Guardians eight a half is a total overs
between minus one ten to two minus one fifteen unders
between minus one of five to eight minus one ten
if we.

Speaker 2 (59:49):
Get similar numbers.

Speaker 3 (59:50):
And when this was pulled off the board, I am
going to be willing to roll with the Yankees. Was
willing to lay up to a minus one forty two
with them, and did something I told to where in ain'
and a half for less I was in on the
over with Carlos Karrasko. He had one of the most
miserable seasons for a pitcher in all baseball last year.
He posted up well north of a sixty ra struggled
at home, struggled down the road. His swinging miss stuff
just is not there compared to where it was at

(01:00:12):
the beginning part of his career. He has always been
a relatively solid command guy that is starting to fail
him a little bit as well. He's about thirty seven
or so years old. Not great to say the least.
And for cork Schmidt, he's just a steady guy. He's
not anything amazing. He's not gonna blow you away with
tremendous swing and miss. All throughout his career he's giving
you about eight and a half strikeouts to three walks

(01:00:32):
per nine. And so if you're looking at the lineup
for lack of better, Turnamy and I Eric quotes here
average pitcher that is Clark Schmidt to a t. Now
you take a look at his last twenty nine overall appearances,
he is allowed north of three earned runs in just
three of them. He has given up a whole bunch
of threes along the way, but he does a nice
job holding down the fort, not lighting the game on fire.

(01:00:53):
And he goes up against a Cleveland Guardians unit that
has a lot of guys are able to move the line.
They're not necessarily gonna give you a whole bunch of
pop though. You did see Josh and bon Naylor be
able to go deep on Siblings Day, which is very nice.
But instead, other than Jose Ramirez, you really don't have
a lot of power rats in this lineup. Stephen Kwan
has been very good at being able to each as
so he's sitting well north with three to eighty thus
far this season. Josh and bon Naylor both have been

(01:01:15):
relatively solved with regards are on base both right now
very much lacking in comparison to Josh. Aaylor is sitting
above a three hundred Cemenez hitting above a three hundred.
This Guardian team, they just find a way to be
able to find holes and they're able to do a
nice job just finding a way to be able to
move line. In general, going up against a Yankee team
that can be a little bit more all or nothing,
but for the Yankees, Anthony Volpe being able to take

(01:01:35):
some massive strides forward has been big in the Yankees
have been able to have the success that they've had
thus far this season, even with Aaron Judge in an
almighty slump. He's currently ending a buck seventy eight has
just swam runs as far this season. It's actually been
the researcher of John Carlos Saton with forum runs that
has been big for them, as well to Corbrera being
in out of the fold that started them a little
bit as outside, Alex Ardugo have some struggles with Juan

(01:01:56):
so he just finds way to be able to get
on base. He has really been able to elevate this
Yankee team, and both of these bullpens are solid. The
Yankees bullpen has been a little bit shaky this season
with Ian Hamilton having his ups and downs. Clay Homes
can always be a little bit of a roll the ice,
but I do think that these guys are going to
be able to figure it out. I think that the
Jonathan the Wise Gut injury is currently hurting them quite
a bit, but I do think that they're going to

(01:02:16):
be able to get a little bit more online and
for the Cleveland Guardians, a subtube Bullpenny Ray to be
able to begin the season even with having James Karen
Jack currently on the injured Lisamanuel class A has just
been absolutely lights out. Hunter gaddis after being a failure
of a starter, He's got a nice second act as
a bullpen piece. Kate Smith is looking relatively saw it
out there in that bullpen as well, So I do
like what I'm seeing out the Guardians from a bullpen perspective.

(01:02:37):
But that said, I do think that the damage by
Carlos Cookie Costco that could be just too much for
this team to be able to claw out of any
sort of hole. So this is a circumstance where if
we do get similar to numbers and the same pitching
matchup that we were supposed to get yesterday, would be
willing to lay up to minus one forty two with
the Yankees, and then in Afterlus looking at the over
nine or higher to the under, and then in the

(01:02:58):
next game, we've got Cody pot Teeth going up against
Tristan McKenzie. This is going to be the nine to
fifteen nine to sixteen games. I'm currently doing this without
any numbers, but if this is indeed the pitching matchup
that we do get, I'd be setting the Guardians at
a minus one thirty one with a total to wear
an eight or less. I'd be looking at the over
eight and a half rier to the under. Now, for
Chris McKenzie, it has been a miserable start to the

(01:03:18):
season for him. He has been lit up in his
first few starts and just could not get out there
on the field last season. But I think that he's
going to be able to refine that form that he
had in twenty twenty two where he was absolutely tremendous.
Posted up a sub three ERA, did a nice job
in terms of his command. He was able to give
you about nine strike ats a two point one walks
per nine, and he did a nice job being able
to keep the ball in the yard two ninety six

(01:03:39):
ERA field independent was about a three fifty nine. And
for Cody potit he has gotten a few cups of
coffee at the big league level mostly with.

Speaker 2 (01:03:46):
The Miami Marlins.

Speaker 3 (01:03:47):
He was able to get a few starts during the
twenty twenty one and twenty two campaigns. Spent all last
year in the Royals minor league system, and he was
tiring to rehab from an injury. To just take a
look at what Kobe Potit has done throughout his base career,
and this is mostly in the minor leagues. He's always
been a relatively solid command guy. He's never really been
someone to give you a whole bunch of swing emits

(01:04:08):
or anything like that. In his first few appearances at
the minor league level with the Yankees, he gave you that.
But that's a very very small sample size. But he
keeps the ball in the already keeps things out in
front of him, And I would have to think that
for the New York Yankees, you're probably looking at trying
to get them four or five relatively solid innings and
then from there turning it over to a few of
the long guys that try to hold down the fork
from there. Victor Gowns also probably see a little bit

(01:04:30):
of an action when not doubt it. If you see
a nice smattering of guys like Nick Birdy Josh Majeski,
I know someone that they might be trying out there
as a little bit of a long guy along with
Luke Weavers, So they do have their options there. But
I do think that Tristan McKenzie, though he's had a
little bit of a rough start to the season, I
think that he's going to be able to find it
in this one. I do think that the Yankees will
do a nice shot just sort of having a poo
poo platter of pitchers outside of Coodie Potite to be

(01:04:52):
able to hold down the fort in one of the
more picture friend of the ballparks out there in all baseball.
So circumstance where in potitu versus McKenzie would be one
to lay up minds one thirty with the guard plus
one thirty two or higher looking at the Yankees, and
then eight or less looking at the over eight and
a half rier, the under nine fifteen, nine eighteen on
the bank board, the kensity Royals around the road, they're
facing up against the New York Mets. Sean Minee goes
for the Mets. ALC marsh is on the bump for

(01:05:12):
the Royals, and the Royals are an underdog of any
between plus one forty and plus one forty seven. Meanwhile,
you're getting between minus one fifty five out minus one
sixty six on the Metropolitans eight and a half. It's
a total over and under both at minus one ten
and at the Metropolitans I set them at a minus
one fifty eight. If you're looking to lay a round
and a half with the Mets, you're going to be
getting that right now, neighbor at about a plus one
twenty five plus one thirty, and I would be willing

(01:05:36):
to take a little bit of a chalkier money line here.
I'm willing to lay up to a minus one fifty seven.
I just can't trust in Alec Marsh, even though he's
looked much better than he did a season ago. His
first few starts at the big league bubble, it was
looking like Alec Marsh was going to be a big
giant flame out. He had some good swing and miss stuff,
but he was just missing his spots so badly that
it wasn't even funny. But first few starts here in

(01:05:58):
two thousand and twenty four look like a different pitcher
has yet to give up a home run in his
first who starts eleven and two thirds seings. He has
reduced him to strike us, but he's done a better
job in terms of command, and that's what you'd like
to see after last year five sixty nine or a
five seventy field league in dependent. Meanwhile, you've got a
pair of bullpens that they were rough last season, to
say the lease, the Mets, they were twenty second in
the league in terms of bullpenning area. The Royals were

(01:06:19):
twenty ninth. Royals try to elevate their bullpen a little bit,
but I have to wonder how much you're gonna be
able to get out of the likes of Chris Stranton
on El z Arapa, James McArthur, Nick Anderson.

Speaker 2 (01:06:28):
It's just not great, to say the least.

Speaker 3 (01:06:30):
Meanwhile, for the New York Mets, getting back Ey when
Diaz is big, but he can only pitch about one
or so and sometimes you can draw them out there
for four hours. But you're gonna need guys like Adam
out of you know, Brooks, ray Lee. They're not great,
They're not terrible to be able to hold down the
four for you against a Kan City Royals unit that
has been one of the better offenses in all Baseball.
They entered into the series top ten in the Big
leagues with regards to runs per game, top five in

(01:06:51):
terms of home runs. On a prep at basis, Salvador
Perez is finding the fountain of youth. He and Bobby
with Junior hitting above a three twenty five with three
plus home runs a piece. Kau guards he has a
trio of home run so he's not really moving the line,
but he've been able to have some nice surprises. Like
Kyle Isabel's looked much better this season. Nelson Alaskaz he
was someone that the Cubs punted on a little bit
too early in my opinion. He has been tremendous as

(01:07:12):
well in them For the Metropolitans, this punch was very
unlucky to begin the season with their offense. They were
putting the ball in play and they were just not
finding the holes. This team has been able to get
their act together. Five plus runs now in each other
last four games and five out of their last six.
I think that this is going to be a streaky
Mets team moving forward in terms of the offense. But
you do have a guy in Peter Lonzo who supplied
three home runs always won the best home run hitters

(01:07:34):
out there in baseball. He sort of knew that guys
like Jeff mcneo, Francisco Lindor Wins stay down forever. And
these guys are still having relatively miserable starts of the season.
You expect a little bit more from them moving forward.
But Tyrone Taylor has done a solid job moving the
line along with Brett Baddy, so has been rock solid
for this Mets team. I do think that they're going
to do a solid job getting to Alec Marsh and
for Shan maneo back half of the season last year
with the Giants Bull Salzer Break, he was hanging up

(01:07:56):
a sub three to three era. He had a very
very bad start to the season with the San Francisco Giants,
and just in general, I feel like when he left
Oakland he had to reinvent himself a little bit as
a pitcher because Oakland is one of the most pitcher
friendly bellparks out there in big leagues, and I feel
like he's been able to do so this wing. He
missed this back ever since the second half of last season,
has been able to record north of ten punchouts per
nine innings. He's been giving up a few walks here recently,

(01:08:18):
but has been close unhittable, and I do think that
he goes out there when's a relatively solid starry. I
do think that this could be a sneaky good pitchers matchup,
especially with New York being a little bit more of
a pitcher's ballpark. I did's on my total at an
eight point fource here at the eight and a half.
We're gonna at the under end with the Mets. I
typically don't like the lay chock your money lines, but
don't really feel good on the run line either. Ray
I'm going to be willing to lay the minus one
fifty five that I'm seeing with them to go along

(01:08:39):
with his under nine nineteen nine twenty on the benning board.

Speaker 2 (01:08:41):
And is he Cincinnati Reds.

Speaker 3 (01:08:43):
Yes, We're on to Cincinnati and they're under the road
to face off against the Chicago White Sox. Garrett Crochet
is on the bump for the White Sox. Nick Lidolo
is on the bump for Cincinnati and the Reds. Between
minus one twenty minus one thirty favorites any routeam plus
one oh five do plus one thirteen that number on
the selfsider A and f is a total under his
minus one fifteen and over is minus one of five
and with the White Sox needed at least all plus

(01:09:04):
one twenty seven to take a shot, Now you're really
rolling the dice with Nick. Lodolo got injured towards like
May June of last year, so this is going to
be his first time on a big league mount in
quite some time. He tried to rehab and come back
last season, just what was unable to do so and
in the work that we've seen here in the offseason
slash at the minor league level, these swing a miss
stuff it's starting to come back from. Did not necessarily

(01:09:25):
look great in his first two appearances with the Louisville
Bats seven and two thirds innings, allowed five runs. But
we have seen guys struggle at the minor league bubble
and these reab appearances all of a sudden be able
to find it when they get up to the big
league level. And I do think that for Nick Lodolo,
the command is something that you're gonna need a question
with him. Even when he was at the big league
bubble last two seasons, was given up about three point
two walks and one a half home runs for nine innings,

(01:09:45):
But I do think that he's gonna be able to
get some swings and misses in this one against a
Chicago White Sox lineup that they've been able to develop
a little bit of offense here, but I don't think
that it's going to be a mainstay, and I do
think that the injuries are really going to be catching
up with them. When you've got with Eli Jomenez along
with Luis Arbera on the fol those are legitimately two
of your top three hitters. Gavin Cheetz has looked relatively

(01:10:06):
solid to begin the season, but still need to see
it to believe it from him. For a little bit
of a long stretch, he's been a little bit hot
and cold. And then when you're banking on guys like
Robbie Grossman, Martin Maldonado, Paul Dey Young Lennon Sosa, this
is not a place where you want to be. Andrew
ben Attendi has been awful this year. They betted Kevin
Polar at the cleanup spot yesterday. Yeah, that's not great.

(01:10:26):
And for the Cincinnati Reads, you've got some inconsistency with
this lineup as well. Will Benson, Christian Incarnacio on strand
you need them to pick it up a little bit.
But Elie de la Cruz hit another tank shot yesterday.
He and Spencer's here both with three plus home runs beast,
both of these guys hitting well north of three twenty five.
Jake Frayley has really come along as a hitter as well.
You've got now back in the fall the catcher and
Tyler Stevenson who's been a little bit banged up to

(01:10:48):
begin the season as well, and flat out the Cincinnati
Reads have the better bullpen. I don't think that Nick
Lodola is going to be giving you much more than
like seventy five eighty or so pitches. But you've got
the likes off Buck Farmer, Lucas Simms, Fernando Cruer. They're
not amazing, but they're okay. And Alexis he Is is
a nice closer. And for Garrett Grochet, he's the better
starter in this one. Garrett Grochet has looked really, really
good in his first few starts. The problem is that

(01:11:10):
schlubs around him are just absolutely terrible. For Grochet, eighteen
innings in his first three starts, twenty one strikeouts to
just one walk. I mean, he has been great but
how much faith do you have when one of your
top relievers is Dominic leone to be able to hold
down the flour like you just take a look around
and maybe got Davy Garcia Jordan Leisure as guys that

(01:11:30):
they're supposed to be banking on to hold perhaps a
little bit of a slim lead. I just don't have
any faith that the White Sox are going to be
able to pull this one out. So I did set
the Cincinnai reads out of minus one twenty seven on
the one and take them on the money line, and
I did something I tell it at eight point three. Well,
the White Sox are full of slubs out there in
the bullpen. I do think the groceet is going to
be able to let the night's start before they light
this game on fire. So looking at the eight and
a half under and one to lafet mice one twenty

(01:11:51):
five on the red signe twenty one nine twenty two
on the bank board that you cut, rad rockets are
on the road. They're facing against each to run to
Blue Jays. Boden Francis is on the bump for the
Jay's Intoko Dudson is on the bump for Colorado. Nine
is a total over and under are both of minus
one ten. Between minus one seventy seven to minus one
ninety five is that number on the Toronto Blue Jays.
Between plus one sixty and plus one seventy is at
number on Colorado. And with Colorado, I did set them

(01:12:13):
to where I need at least a plus one ninety
three to be able to take a shot if you're
looking to lay a run and a half with the
Toronto Blue Jays, and between plus one oh five to
plus one ten, I'm going to be one to lay
that run and a half. Set my number at of
minus one oh eight. Now for Kevin Gosman, he got
absolutely destroyed yesterday, so that was not great, to say
the least. For the Toronto Blue Jays, I do think
that they're going to be able to bounce back a
little bit more here against the Colorado Rocky team that

(01:12:35):
now they're dealing with the elevation changes, and we see
it from them, you're in a year out they consistently
at about forty points better with YOURDS. They're batting average
at home rather than away from home. They were finally
able to get Nolan Jones online for his first home
run season in the game yesterday, but he along with
Brandon Rodgers, Aliarius Monteto, Chris Bryant, all these guys are
having a rough time getting on base. All these guys
a sub to eighty on base, All these guys hitting

(01:12:57):
below the Midel's line of two hundred, Ezekiel Tovar, Ryan
mc mahn, these guys have been tremendous. In McMahon is
sitting darn near a four hundred right now, but as
a very top heavy lineup, and it's a lineup that
in general, I think is really going to struggle away
from home. The question becomes what are the Toronto Blue
Jays going to be able to do out the play?
Because right now, Cavan Vigio and Justin Turner I've been
your constance in terms of being able to get on base.
Flagger or Junior currently hitting below a two point fifteen

(01:13:19):
along George Springer, Aleander Kirk don't call his name and
don't call for singles from him because he has not
been able to get on base. Kevin Kiermeier has been
off to a rough start to the season as well. Now,
the Blue Jays a by far the better bullpen that is,
even despite the fact that they're currently missing Jordan Romano
along with Eric Swanson, You've got a lot of guys
are able to hold down the ford. Here as got Timeza,
who's been able to give you a sub two fifty

(01:13:40):
ERA over the last few seasons. Jack Green can be
a little bit of a roll the dice, but I
like what he's able to ride in the bullpen. And
for the corad Rockies, they were dead last in the
league in terms of bullpenny r A last season and
won their best pitchers in Brent Souter.

Speaker 2 (01:13:51):
He's on the fold.

Speaker 3 (01:13:52):
So you're looking to like stuff Tyler Kinley, Victor Vadnick,
Justin Lawrence to be able to hold down the fort
and I can't think of a single just worthy reliever
in this one for them. And for Dakota Hudson, he's
just a pitcher. I've always been out on Dakota Hudson.
Gives up a lot of walks, he doesn't get a
lot of strikeouts, and he's relying essentially on soft contact
and grounders, and he just doesn't really translate to this

(01:14:14):
day and age in terms of Major League Baseball. Like
last season we was with the Cardinals and nearly a
five RA with a five field of independent getting five
strikeouts at three point eight walks per nine, and he's
that just doesn't fly in this day and age, and
I think that he's gonna have some big, giant struggles,
says giving up six total runs at eleven and third
innings three. We're unearned, but we're gonna suffer with undarned
runs when guys are putting the ball in play much

(01:14:36):
more than when you're able to get a few more strikeouts.
So it is a circumstance where I do think that
the Blue Jays are going to be able to get
a little bit more online than the spot. I'm gonna
be willing to lay the run line with them. I
was willing to go up to a minus one of five.
And I do think that Browden France is gonna be
able to have a nice start here. He was able
to post up a sub two fifty ERA a season
go off to it just an absolutely brutal start this year,

(01:14:56):
and you knew that the regression was going to be
coming for voting Francis. While you did posts up in
the area that was turning or two last season, the
field of independent, it was very, very high three eighty
six field independent compared to a one seventy three era,
and as far as the season, he's got a field
the deependent of it eight thirty nine compared to a ten.

Speaker 2 (01:15:12):
Ninety six era.

Speaker 3 (01:15:13):
I do think that things are going to improve for
him going up against a Garrad Rocky's lineup that erupted yesterday,
but still my question marks with them, so circumstances where
I'm gonna be taking a look at the over, I
did sell my total nine point one. I think that
the Blue Jays get Doddson, and I do think that
Francis has a few struggles here, and I'm gonna be
one to take the run line of the jasninet twenty
three nine twenty four on the pending board, the Milwaukee
Berrs are on the road facing off and see Baltimore Oriols.

(01:15:34):
Dean Kramer goes for Baltimore and D. L. Hull is
on the bump for the Brewers brus between plus one
twenty two to plus one thirty underdogs and between minus
one thirty seven minus one forty eight. That number on
Baltimore nine is the total unders spins one fifteen. The
over is minus one oh five and with the Brewers,
I did set them at a plus one twenty six
plus one twenty seven plus one thirty. That's my bypoint
on them. For Dean Kramer, he had good overall results

(01:15:57):
last season, but I still have my trupidations with him.
Kramer does still give up a lot of hard contact,
not bad with regards to his location and not giving
out a lot of walks last season about two point
nine walks for nine nnings. Improved his swinging mid stuff
to about eight point two strikeouts for nine nnings, but
still gave up about one point four home runs per
nine ninnings four to fifty one. Fielding independent going up
against someone in d'l Hall, who was actually a former

(01:16:19):
first round pick of the Baltimore Oriols and was the
mainor turn for the Milwaukee Brewers and the Corbyn Burns
seal which they got Dall Hall and pretty much a
back of very scream sandwich is not great, to say
the Leaston for the y'all, I just am not necessarily
super bowlish on him. He's made two starts as far
nine and a third innings says gotten six strikeouts to

(01:16:39):
four walks. Was never amazing in the Baltimore Oriols system
was never bad. I don't think he's going to be
terrible or anything like that, but he's a jag, just
a guy in my opinion, and for the Brewers, Fortunately
for them, they do back him up with a really
good bullpen. This Brewers bullpen, as Editor Uribe, who has
been absolutely filthy this season. Even with having Devin Williams out,

(01:17:00):
You've been able to get really good production out of
Elvis Piguerrero, Joe Piamps, jab Bococcus is someone that I
like for a sponge as well.

Speaker 2 (01:17:06):
And then they take a.

Speaker 3 (01:17:06):
Look at what you're getting this lineup, and this lineup
has been quite good for the Milwaukee Birds. I don't
know how much of a mainstad is going to be
these young guys being able to step up. You've got
Jackson Tarrio who's done a nice job over the line.
Blake Perkins is right now hitting like a four hundred,
it's absolutely insane. Salfree look has done a nice job
being able to get on base. Bryce Terrang has had
a reclamation season. And for Christian Yellich, he did leave

(01:17:28):
the game yesterday, but he has been off to a
really nice start at launch with William Cartrez, Reet Hoskins
has giving you a little bit of pop as well.
Everything is working for the Brewers lineup again. I don't
know how long it's going to continue, but it's been great.
And for the Baltimore Oriols, it feels like they just
love getting into deficits because they do all their run
producing Layton games. When they're down, You've got Anthony Santandero
has been able to provide a trio home runs. You've

(01:17:49):
been able to get absolutely massive production out of another
first round pick in Colton Kauser, who's hitting well above
a four hundred at multiple home runs. In that series
against Boston Red Sox, Gunner Anderson came up with a
big end. You've had he Jordan Westburgh, Cedric mullinsterggle a
little bit to begin the season, but I have to
figure that they're going to be able to improve. And
then Jackson all Day, young twenty year olds, he's still
looking to be able to bust through, but I do

(01:18:10):
think that he's going to be able to do so
sooner rather than later. And for the Oriols bullpen, it's
a relatively solid one. Union can always one of the
better relievers that you're going to find in the big
league bubble. Danny columb has been pretty rock solid as well.
Always want to avoid Craig Kimbrol, but I am pretty
bullish on this Oriols bullpen. But being able to get
north of a plus one twenty five Fadan Kramer, that's
something that I'm going to be taking a look.

Speaker 2 (01:18:28):
At with the Bruers.

Speaker 3 (01:18:29):
So looking at that money line and I did something
tell it at eight point nine Baltimore a little bit
more of a picture's ballpark, and I think that the
Birds will inevitably see a little bit of regression with
that lineup and the Orioles, I do feel like they
probably want to be scoring some runs a little bit
earlier in games as well. So looking at the under
and looking at the Birds at a plus one twenty
eight or higher nine twenty five, nine twenty six on
the big board, the Washington Nationals are on the road,

(01:18:50):
facing off against the Oaklin trip Balas. Joe Boyle is
on the bump for the A's and Mackenzie Gore goes
for Washington. Washington minus one twenty three to O minus
one thirty favorite plus one ten plus one fifteen. That
number on Oakland eight to eight and a half is
your total on the eight over spine one fifteen, the
under spines one five on the eight and a half
under his mines one twenty and the over is even.
And with old Joe Boyle needed at least a plus

(01:19:10):
one thirteen to be able to take a shot. Here,
we're seeing as high as a plus one fifteen right now,
I am going to be willing to take that shot
on the Oakland A's. For the Oakland A's, they've done
a really good job in terms of their bullpen pitching.
Joe Boyle had a miserable first start of the season,
but if you watch it start for Joe Boyle, it
honestly wasn't because he pitched bad. There was like a
hundred million billionaires out there in the field, and that's

(01:19:32):
something that you do need to factor in. For the
Oakland A's, they are leading the Legan Airs. They have
been a bunch of knuckle adds out there in the field,
quite honestly. But for Joe Boyle, the big thing for
him just being able to lock in on the walk.
Seven walks in seventy two thirds innings. Once again, he
should have been out of a lot of innings, but
he was still pitching dude to all the fielding airs.
But I said, you take a look at what Mackenzie
Gore has been able to do for the Washington Nationals.

(01:19:53):
Good swinging, miss stuff. He's another one of these guys
as well, though then he misses his spots and when
he misses command, he either a gives out walks or
b he gives out quite a bit of hard contact
for Mackenzie Gored as far the season, just one home
run allowed in eleven innings, but he has given out
four walks and ever since coming over to the Washington Nationals,
he's got a four to forty eight A but a
fort eighty one field independent because he's given up three

(01:20:15):
point seven walks at one point seven home runs for
nine and Ennings a spi kating Temple's punch outs. Bernie
and Nnings said, he's just not backed up by the
same bullpen as you have with the oapen as any
MNAs has been really good before that as bullpen, Mason
Miller should be a starter, But I mean in our
relief spot, he's actually been really good for them. You've
got Lucasar Sedgy reformed infielder has been able to do
a night shop in the back half of that bullpen

(01:20:36):
as well. And then for the Washington Nationals, I like
what Hunter Harvey is able to bring to the table.
But Tanner Rainey after he mess out of last season
due to injury, you could tell that he's uncomfortable out there.
Like the pickup of Derek Law but I really don't
have a lot of faith whatsoever in the likes of
a Kyle Finnegan. And for the Washington Nationals, they tried
to revamp the lineup in the offseason, and they did
bring in a guy, Enjoy Gallo, who's gonna be able
to fly home runs. He's just not gonna be able

(01:20:58):
to give you anything else than those home runs.

Speaker 2 (01:21:00):
CJ. A.

Speaker 3 (01:21:01):
Browns much more of a complete player, steals some bases,
three home runs entering into the series. But the big
thing is the guys that they brought back from a
season to Goo Joey Minesa, Slaine, Thomas Key Better Wieze.
They all entered into this series hitting both limed dose
line of two hundred. Now you've gotten some good production
thus far out of Jesse Winker north of a four
hundred on base that has been tremendous, and when Eddie
Rosario has been out there, he's been a little bit

(01:21:21):
in and out of the full dude to injury, just
as an Nessy produced Meanwhile, for the Oaklan As why
they've got a seriouiz currently at the minor league level,
it's beyond me. Shade Langlaires has four home runs, but
three of those all came in one game. You've got
a still relatively rough a's lineup. It's been a tough
start to the season for when the top hitters from
a season ago and Brett Ruoker, but Jade Davis I
think is going to be able to figure it out.

(01:21:41):
Sackle Off is a nice up and coming player that
provides a little bit of pop and finds a way
to be able to.

Speaker 2 (01:21:45):
Move the line.

Speaker 3 (01:21:46):
I do think that this is going to be a
bit of a lower scoring series. This is still out
there in Oakland, one the more pitcher from the ballparks
in all baseball here at an eight to and eight
and a half. Personally, I would rather have an eight
and a half under rather than an eight over, but
right now we're mostly seeing eight s. I think that
this is probably gonna be a scenario where the more
favorable juice is going to be on the eight as well,
so at current numbers looking at the eight over, but

(01:22:07):
I'm going to try to hold out hope now we
get a little bit more favorability with that eight and
a half. But as of current numbers, who will be
looking at that eight over and in terms of the
money line, I'm willing to take a plus one fourteen
or higher with the eight nine twenty seven, nine, twenty
eight on the big board. The San Francisco Giants that
throw out their facing off against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Ryan Biot is on the bump for the Raisin Logan
web goes for San Francisco. San Francisco is gonna pick

(01:22:27):
him game there Any between minus one of five minus
one ten along with the raise seven a half to
eight is the total on the eight under his minus
one twenty two overs, even on the seven and a
half overs between minus one fifteen to minus one twenty
two undreds, any between even and minus one oh five,
and with the Tampa bay Rays set them at a
minus one twelve, I'm gonna be willing to roll with
them at a minus one of five minus one ten
like we are seeing I do think that the back

(01:22:48):
half of this game it is going to be very
favorable for the Tampa Bay Rays and for Logan web Well.
He is an amazing pitcher. He is someone that has
an ERA about one point two points higher throughout his
career when he's away from home rather than when he
is at home, and his home runs for nine rate
jumps by north of seventy five percent when he is
away from a very pitcher friendly Bell Park in San Francisco.
Has been a little bit of a ro off COVID
for the Tampa Bay Race in terms of run production

(01:23:10):
as far this season as really nobody other than eastoc
Parades has been able to give them a lot of
hard contact. He entered into the series with four homers
home runs, the rest of the team at a combined seven.
But it does feel like a lot of these guys
are starting to get a little bit more online for
the Tampa Bay Race. Hilda Ramirez was absolutely tremendous at
being able to get on base the season ago. He's
starting to show that is he amid Rosario both and

(01:23:30):
the enabled about a two seventy five to two eighty
and I love Jered Calbrail was a really nice pick
Cup in the off season has been ending well above
a three hundred. But the ANDDD has Randy A. Rose Raina.
These guys a sub to eighty five on base without
a lot of power to begin the season. Need to
get a little bit more there. And for the San
Francisco Giants, they tried to revamp their lineup in the
off season, but I mean right now they're top producers
are guys that are leftover from last season.

Speaker 2 (01:23:52):
Michael Conforto, Lamontwaye Junior.

Speaker 3 (01:23:54):
These two guys are earning above a three indred with
a little bit of pop where he Hilaria has been
able to give you a few home runs, but he's
right now providing it's about a two fifteen average.

Speaker 2 (01:24:01):
You've had guys like Terrios.

Speaker 3 (01:24:03):
Troda, Matt Chapman, Mikey Strumsky does not give you a
lot at the plate in general, as it's actually been
Ni kamd who has never really been known for being
a matcher at the plate who's been able to give
you a bit of production. And then you've got Rogers
squared in the bullpen. For the San Francisco Giants, Ryan
Walker is able to give you a little bit of
long relief, but it just doesn't feel like that same
rock solid Giants bullpen that we've seen from past season.

(01:24:25):
So that's going to be acting up a little bit
for the same. Meanwhile, for the Rays he saw at
p Fairbanks, guys like Jason Adam, Colin Pouchet who should
be able to help out a guy, and Ryan Pepiot
who's coming off of I believe, thirteen strikeouts in his
last start. Now, he was quite lucky last season. Why
he was with the ELI Dodgers that are really nice
job but not giving up a lot of walks. But
for Pepiote, in the small sample size they did put

(01:24:46):
out there yet an era that was hovering right around
two fourteen the field independent was more around at four eighteen,
as he was given up about a home run and
a half for nine and he still has his tenant season.
I don't think he's going to duplicate one point one
walks per nin and he's but his swinging his stuff
does look to be a little bit more filthy, and
I do think that he going to be able to
put the Giants who have been scuffling a little bit
at the plate on check. And I do think that
Logan Web also lends a relatively solid start. Between the

(01:25:06):
seven and a half to and eight, I set my
total at some point seven. I'd rather have the eight
hunder rather than the seven a half over, as Tampa
Bay does provide a relatively good pitchers ballpark, and for
the race, I'm gonna be willing to lay up to
a minus one ten with them, and we wrap things
up with nine twenty nine, nine thirty on the bang board.
The Seattle Managers playoffs to the Chicago Cubs. It is
Emerson Hancock who gets to start for Seattle and Showtown.
Imanaguy's on the bump for the Cubs, and Cubs are

(01:25:27):
a favorite of any war between minus one thirty five
dolls minus one forty two plus one eighteen the plus
one twenty five that number on Seattle it is a
total under his minus one fifteen the over his minus
one oh five with the Mariners. I was willing to
take a plus one eighteen or higher with them. Hancock
has not necessarily been able to find it at the
big league level just yet, and he's not too much
of a swing and miss guy, but he is built

(01:25:47):
much like a lot of these young Seattle Mariners prospects,
and a lot of these Seattle Mariners prospects, they very
much value being able to just be able to hit
their spots in terms of just not giving out a
lot of walks. I'm putting guys on cheap. That's exactly
what they do. You even take a look at the
minor league level numbers that you have seen for Emerson Hancock.
Last season, when he was at the minor league level,

(01:26:08):
he was getting about ten strikeouts for nine nnings. But
even though he started out the year giving up a
lot of walks, he was able to work on that command.
And in his big league starts as far, he's made
five to total about two point two walks per nine unnings.
He's got a career seven to forty yar A at
the big league level, which is not great, but five
fifty two field independent, it's not great, to say the least.
But at the same time, we should see a little
bit of positivity for him. And he goes up against

(01:26:29):
the chicag Cubs lineup that has been on a tear
to begin the season, to say the least. As a
matter of fact, they've really been on a tear since
back half of the season last year, and it's just balanced.
You don't not say I have that one guy that's
a complete animal. Cody Bellinger at times can be, but
he's actually been in a little bit of a funk
to begin the season. But Christopher Morell ian apse a Suzuki.
They all entered into yesterday with a two ninety eight
batting average. He had Suzuki and also Christopher morel combined

(01:26:52):
for five home runs. Apps yet to be able to
go deep. But you've got a lot of guys that
at the end of the year they're probably going to
be providing like twenty twenty five home runs. Can have
those thirty plus home run guys, but they do a
fine job being a move line. Nico Horner has been
off to a little bit of offset to the season,
but got to figure that he's going to pick it
up in for the Seattle Manners. You just need those
guys at the top of the fold to get online.
Ode Polanco, Mitch Garver, Cal Rowy, JP Crawford, Julio Rodriguez,

(01:27:17):
Luisio Riaz. All these guys entering into Friday hitting below
the Midelo signe of two hundred. Really not a lot
of pop from any of these guys. It's by Mitch
Haniger who's been really rocks out for the Ceme and
ty France were the only two guys in the starting
lineup yesterday that entered into the game on Friday with
a betting average above two eleven. But with the Mariners,
they've done a nice job being able to keep themselves
lively in a lot of games. With the fact that

(01:27:37):
they still have one of the better bullpens that you're
going to find in the big League, say pluck a
lot of guys out of mediocrity. Taylor Socado, Trent Thornton,
these guys have been really nice fins for them. Cape
Spider has been good now. Mari deal with an injury
to Matt Brash, but he saw Andre's Munoz who was
able to do a nice job of holding down the
fortam for the chicag Cups, they had a decent bullpen
last year. It wasn't great, it wasn't terrible, but he'd
been having quite a few issues out there in the

(01:27:58):
bullpen with needing the trot out there. Ben Brown as
a little bit of a sort of like pseudo starter.
Abarrelsley has been relatively slid in the back endings. But
Jose Quass, who was really good for them towards the
back half of the season last year, he's been rough.
You've got Julian Merriweather now on the injured list, which
means that you're going to see a lot more Danny
Palencia has a little bit more of a long guy.
Luke Little not someone that I trust him too much

(01:28:19):
of in Mianaga came in with a lot of fanfare
when he was over in Japan last season, and he's
been able to do a nice job of having his
game translate to the big league level. He has yet
to give up an earned run, and his ten innings
across two starts twelve strikeouts without a single walk. I
do think that we're going to see a little bit
of regression with them, but no doubt about it. I
do think that he's a little bit of a real
deal pitcher, but to have question marks with the bullpen

(01:28:40):
around him. This is a circumstance where I do think
that both of these offenses are going to be able
to come out, and I do think that Imanaga might
have a little bit of a rough time with the
Seattle manners lineup. I do think that the Mariners are
a little bit of a sleeping giant that is going
to be able to erupt their baseball Savanta numbers indicate
that they've been getting quite a bit unlucky this year,
hitting going into this series about twenty points lower than
what is expected. So I do think that you're going

(01:29:02):
to see a little bit of a optioneer. So I
might tell it at eight point four like the over,
and with the Seattle manners north of plus one twenty,
you're gonna be looking at that money line. And that
wrappings up for the Saturday edition of The Baseball Betting Show,
now part of the Beatson Family and podcasts. If you
do like hearing from this time podcast Baseball Betting Show,
you're hope to subscribe over to your podcast Apple Podcasts, Google, Spotify,
sit You're and Tuna. If you have a question, comment
segment idea, what I have you for this podcast? You

(01:29:22):
have one of two ways bo for those in first
one is my Twitter slash x timeline e genet underscoredy one.
Keep in mind LWDERCM they mean it does not matters,
so as per usual, please just send these into the timeline.
Other ways finding an Apple podcast review. If you rate
this podcast five starts, it has very much appreciated them.
From there, you are ablifyering whatever you'd like to hear
on this podcast via the five star review. And a
big thanks for Curtis Rodgers set cl Sports for joining
me in last segment. Coming at you guys every single

(01:29:42):
day throughout the baseball season, so I'll be back with
you what's going to out? Thank you so much for
tinning it
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