4/15/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:09):
Or welcome to love you, Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Show with myself, Greg Peterson, now part of the
Beson Family Podcast. We've got an excellent podcast for you
as joined me and segment number two, we are gonna
have one of our good friends, William boor aboard. He
does a tremendous job looking at this great game of
baseball over at Action Network. We're gonna be talking with
him about a little of what we've seen in terms

(00:30):
of the first two and a half weeks of the season,
some of the things that have been a little bit
of a surprise to him when he's made out of
runs scoring here in the early part of the season.
We're gonna be diving in on a lot of Monday's games,
and I know he's gonna take a look at a
few upside guys as well. So we've got ourselves a
night chat coming up with William and segment number two.
In the final segment, gonna get you guys picks in
analysis on every game on the betting board for this

(00:53):
Baseball Monday as we touch them all all thirty teams
at action by the way, a rarity for a Monday.
And if you do have a question, comment been idea,
what have you for this podcast? You do have one
of tways meo for this in first one is my
Twitter slash cks timeline at you and n unders forty one.
Keep in mind Larcium, they meet us on Eder so
as per usual, please send these into the timeline. Other ways,
sign an Apple podcast review. If you rate this podcast

(01:13):
five starts, it is very much appreciated. From there, you're
able to fire in whatever you'd like here on this
podcast by the five star view. Do not get in
any Twitter slash ks questions today, but we in ourselves
a fun day of baseball on Sunday. Let's take a
look back at it, try to find some trends in,
try to get to know these teams a little bit better.

Speaker 3 (01:29):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about.

Speaker 2 (01:32):
Here is the rowdy recap. The Miami Marlins yack away
another game and they don't even cover it on the
run line. They go into the ninth thenning up by
a kind of seven to six, and then they make
like everybody at the bar and they cannot close. Also,
by the way, another over for the Atlanta Braves. As
for the Braves, they are ten over, three hundreds out
a push as far the season, I is clipping all baseball,

(01:53):
and they get this one done by a kind of
nine to seven. And it was all about Marcel Uzuna
in the ninth n three run shot to be able
to give them the win and be able to cover
the run line his seventh of the campaign that comes
off of Tanner Scott with two on and two out
for Scott, and he gave up three runs in that
ending of work and it was not the start that
Asus Sozarda was looking for either five runsurrender or of

(02:16):
course five inning says. He does allow a home run
to Adam Devallis first since coming back to the Atlanta Bays.
He had six Soo Sanchez Andrew Nardi both provide a
Squirrels signing, and Anthony Bender he gives up a run
in an ending. Meanwhile, for the Marlins para home runs
of their own. Brian Dan la Cruz. He goes zepaf
for Charlie Morton his second home run the campaign, and
Nick Flash Gordon goes zepop for Dylan Lee is sort
of the campaign for Lee. He gives up that home

(02:37):
run in a third of an ending for Charlie Morton,
he got just completely cashed in this one. Six runs
surrendered in five to two thirds innings, including that bomb
from there, though Joey menez aj Minter Rossi Iglesias all
able to supply a squirrel as signing to be able
to get that one to the window wild one with
our DK Now we're growed up pick as we took
the plus price with the Cleveland Guardians and they get
the job done by eccontom eight to seven and ten innings.

(03:00):
Guardians get down early, they fight their way back to
be up by a count of five to four going
into the bottom of the ninth ending as a Stefan Florrell,
the former New York Yankee, with a pinch at home
run off of Luke Weaver second home run season prior
to that, and Nestra Cortes give up a pair of
home runs Ose Ramirez his third home run season, and
Gabriel Arias he gets his first. As for cortest another

(03:20):
rough served for him. Four runs surrendered in four innings,
including those two home runs from there. Nick Birdy a
monthly home supply of squirrels setting victor guns also one
at third ning scoreless and Ed Weaver give up that
home run and one in two third sendings before Caleb
Ferguson and the tenth inning gives up three runs, two
of which were earned as he also had some tom
foolery with regards to the fielding for the Yankees and

(03:41):
that as well and Aaron Judge he was able to
get online. He goes z poff with Logan Allen, his
started home run the campaign, and Allen gives one up,
also to Ose Trevigno, his first home run the campaign.
Not what Logan Allen was looking for in this one.
Four runs are rendered in five and two thirds s
innings before Kate Smith's got our little They combined first
squirrel signing hundred dadis one and a third innings as
Emmanuel Classe though he blew the save in the ninth

(04:03):
owning and Tyler Beattie it looked like he blew the game,
giving up two runs, one of which was earned in
the tenth, but they're able to do just enough to
be able to get the job done, and the Guardians
have all of a sudden been an overteam thus far
this season nine overs, five hundreds and a push. Meanwhile,
the Yankees one of your best under teams at all
baseball five overs, ten hundreds and a push. Your next
best under team tied with the New York Yankees for

(04:23):
that top mark. That be the Seattle Mariners says once
again they could not generate any offense on Sunday three
to two. They fall through the Chicago Cubs. As for
the Cubs, a Vier Assad gives up two runs in
five and two thirds innings, including home run Gondy. For Seattle,
it was mister ore Plonko his second Oland campaign. That's
pretty much all the offense that you have for Seattle, though,
Yancey al Monte and out of the bullpen, Mark Layer

(04:44):
Junior Edward Alsley ector naires all spy squirrel Is setting
him Matt Busch fourth straight game with a home run
for him, he goes Zie Pafer Luis Casillo for his
fifth for Castillo gives up three runs, two of which
were earned er probably his own fielding here, so pretty
much three but that's it you had from there. Game
inspire Trent Thornton, Bretday geis I'll be able to supply
a squirrel of setting, but the offense could not help

(05:05):
them out and the same loss. Cardinals offense has also
been in an almighty funk this season as well. Five
over nine hunderds and two pushes for them thus far
this season, five to zero. They get blanked by the
years ended Diamondbacks. Miles michaelis rough start here, five runs
surrendered in four and two third settings. Andre Polante from
there he gives you a squirrel setting and Ryan Fredanzas
supply two and a third ending scoreless. But I mean

(05:26):
it's right now. A miserable season for Paul gold Schmid.
He had a rough series against his former team. He's
out eating a buck ninety three. And for Arizona, Zach
Gallen just absolutely put the stainless Cardinals on lockdown. Seven
punch outs, six scorrel settings, Joe Mann to ply Ben Jarvis.
From there they can mine for three scorel of settings.
Another team has been very good to the under, the
Minnesota Twins, who are just not generating any offense right

(05:47):
now this season. Four to three, the Detroit Tigers take
them down. As for Minnesota, they had a nice start
from Bailey over six scoral of settings and then the
bullpen completely gas Kansas one in the eighth inning. All
four runs that they surrender come in the eighth inning,
and they allowed a home run to have You Bias
won the biggest plays of money in sports, his first
home run the season that comes off of kill. Theobar

(06:08):
gives up three runs at a third of anining. Griffin
Jacks he gets Jacks up giving up a run in
two thirds of an ning, while Brock and Roll Stewart
he provided a scorel of setting. Meanwhile, for the Detroit Tigers,
Jack captain Jack Flaherty does give up three runs and
six and a third innings, including a home run to
one Christian Vesquez his first home run season. But the
bullpen from there does their part. Will best one and
two thirds ends Squirrels and Jason Foley is able to

(06:30):
supply a Squirrels setting of his own. The San Francisco
Giants have been a all over the place team thus
far this season. Ten overs the six hundreds for them
thus far this year, and well, they gave up their
fair share of runs to the Tampa Bay race nine
to four. Tampa Bay is able to get this one done,
as Blake so against his former team. He did not
look great. Seven runs in four innings. He got a
late start due to contract and just agreement in general

(06:54):
sort of talks, and from there you weren't able to
get a ton out of Kwa Tank. He in law
relief gives up two runs over the course of three
and two thirds endings, but both were soul home runs
as he had one part of Rodgers squared in Taylor
Rodgers getting out of the bullpen as well for the race.
Four home runs in this game, as you had Amed
Rosario get his first home run season. Rene Pinto gets
his first and second home runs of the campaign in

(07:16):
easac Parades off a Tank gets his fifth home run
of the year. Tyler Alexander in a both row relatively solid,
gives up two runs over the course of six innings.
Michael Conforto went tipof of for his fourth home run
in the campaign, and then Kevin Kelly gives up a
run in and the opener Sean Armstrong he gives up
one run over the course of two innings. Yeah, the
Mets and the Royals royally not be able to put

(07:36):
up runs. As the Mets they get a two to
one win. They've been better with their offense recently, but
this was a step in the wrong direction for both
of them, as the Mets ran into Cole Reagans, who
won six scoral of settings. But we're gonna see a
lot of this. The Royals bullpen royally screw over our
good friend and Dragan's as john S Treiver scirrels sending
from there, but Chris Dryan he gives up two runs
in an end, giving up four walks in that inning

(07:58):
and long form of offense for the Royal Vinnie Pescantino
he goes zep off of Edwin. He is his second
Holm run of the season. For Diaz gives up that
so home run in his setting of work, but ose
Buto turned out. Jim gives up just two wits, nine
punch outs and six scorrel of sendings. He's an underrated
starter to watch. Adam Montavino brooks Raley from there, they're
able to supply a squirrel of sending. The Blue Jays

(08:18):
supplied a lot of squirrel settings on Sunday as well.
They've been a little bit more of an under team
and they're able to get the win in this one
five to zero against the Kyle rad Rockies, who are
now four and twelve not as pathetic as the White Sucks.
But that said, for Kyle Freeland, he's rocking at thirteen
twenty twenty or right, four runs to underd and five innings,
sadly one of his best starts of the year. Jalen
beaks squirrel setting he had, Victor Vodnik provided a squirrel

(08:39):
setting as well before Anthony Molina gives up a run
and an enning and just Noduice for the sky Rad
Rockies offense ose Badio's seven squirrel settings before Genesis Cabrera
Nate Pearson and they're able to supply a scirrel of setting.
And speaking of those half fourmentioned Chicago White Sucks, they
guess can another game eleven to four. They lose the
Cincinnati read says Graham ash Gret gives up two runs,
one of which was earned him five and two thirds

(09:00):
innings before Lucas Simms gives up two runs in a
third even inning, but Amelia Pagan, Alexis Diz, Justin Wilson,
they all supply a scirrel is setting in for the
Cincinati writes pairform runs in this one. Nick Martinez third
home run season, Christian in Karnacion strain and second. As
for Mike Soroka, his time with the Chicago White Sox
has not been great, to say the least, giving up
five runs off the course of four and two thirds

(09:21):
innings and then Tanner Banks five runs, two of which
were earned, given up in two innings. Before you had
Tim Ill give up an under and run in an
nning and Justin Anderson four outside of the bullpen, scoreless
for him. You saw the Oakwood A's rally to win.
They're now zero and three on the run line as
a favorite this year, but doing one straight up in
these already l seven to six. They take down the
Washington Nationals. Elaine Thomas was able to take Alex Wood

(09:43):
for a ride. That's home run number two of the campaign.
As for Alex would not a great started year. He
gives up four runs in four and a third innings,
including that home run. You did have two runs to
rendered in one and two thirds innings by Mitch Spence
before Danny Amennez, Mason Miller, Lucas Sersage. They're able to
supply a scrorell of Senning and Miller strikes out the
signe on thirteen pitches for the Oakland A's. They go
four of seventh men in scoring position, putting up a

(10:04):
sixth spot in the sixth in a Trevor Williams prior
to that he was holding down the four gives up
three runs and five and a third innings and the
Derek Law well 'tis is the law that he got
lied up four runs surrendered and a third of nning.
Jordan Weams third of an ending with nothing surrendered doing
Flora Matt Barnes both lent the Squirrels setting, but the
A's the triple as they are ahead of the old

(10:24):
Houston Astros right now in the division. As the Astros,
they do get another win to be able to salvage
the series against the Texas Rangers. They are able to
win their last two eight to five. The finalist for
Nathan Valdi. He gets lit up in this game for
five runs over the course of six innings, including a
pair of homers by ozl twofight fourth and fifth home
runs of the season in this one. Three runs surrendered
in a third of an enning by Yerie Rodriguez before

(10:46):
he did have five outs out of the bullpen. Scoreless
from Cole Win in his MLB debut. Meanwhile, for the
Texas Rangers, pair of home runs Evan Carter is second
of the campaign off of Condition Avier and then Seth
Martinez giving up DeMarcus Simeon his second. As for the
Texas Rangers, they had just two runs on the board
prior to the ninth innings, so rough one for them,
as Christian Avier gives up just two runs off the

(11:07):
course of the seven innings, Taylor Scott comes in for
a score of setting Josh Shader gets the final out
of the game after Seth Martinez allows that home run
three runs in total over the course of two thirds
of an inning. But the answers they're able to find
a way to be able to get back to back wins,
so that is big for them. And what else is
pretty big is the Milwaukee Brewers and the amount of
runs that they're putting up. But they were not able

(11:29):
to get the start that they were looking for out
of Colin Ray. And in the return for Corbyn Burns
against the Milwaukee Brewers, Burns and the Orioles get the
job done by account of six to four. For Colin
Ray gives up three runs over the course of five
to two thirds innings, including a pair of home runs
for Baltimore. You et Cedric Mullins get a third arme
run the campaign, and then Ryan O'Hearn his second home
run the campaign before Colton Kowser fourth home run of

(11:51):
the season and fourth home run in the last seven
dies that comes off of Hoby Milner. Miller gives up
that's home run in his enning of Abner Yu Rebe
gives up two runs in an enning as well, and
Brian and He got an out out of the bullpen
for the Birds pair of home runs for them. William
cantres off of Corbyn Burns fourth home round season and
ynier Cano did give one up to Blake Perkins the
second home round on the campaign, gives up just one
run and one and a third ning stent for Corbyn

(12:12):
Burns did allow three runs, just two of which will
earned her probably his own throwing air, so he pretty
much gave up three runs. But Jacob Webb, Craig Kimbrel
they both supply a Squirrels sending and Danny colomb He
was able to get pairabouts out of the bullpen scoreless
for the Pittsburgh Priors. They get a nine to two
win over the Philadelphia Phillises. They were able to get
a trio of home runs in this one, as you
had Andrew mccutch and go deep off of it, Karedo

(12:33):
Opinto for his first home Round season, Zach Wheeland and
dealing Wheeler. He was out Wheeland and he was not
dealing Zach jacksoninisky said, a rest start to the season,
his second home Round season, and then Joey Bart get
his second Home Round. The campaign that comes out with
Sir Anthony Dominguez for Wheeler, five runs surrendered in five innings,
though he did get ten strikeouts. Sir Anthony Dominguez, he
gives up at his home run and his ending of
work you had Orion okare hopefully I said that correctly,

(12:56):
or Kirking he gives up nothing in his ending. I
have no idea how to pronounce that name, by the way,
and Ricardo Pinto, I know how to pronounce that name.
Three run surrendered over the course of two innings. Meanwhile,
for Pittsburgh, Mitch Keller, who's been dealing with a velocity dippy,
still doesn't have a swing and miss stuff back, but
much better in this one. Gives up two runs over
the course of seven innings, just forced ridcouts and didn't

(13:18):
allow home run to trade turn her down for what
first home run in the season. But from there Josh
Fleming along with Ryder Ryan, they were both able to
supply a squirrel of senting. And for the Boston Red
Sox it's been all over the place for them. That's
hard this season, but they find a way to be
able to knock off the l Angels back count of
five to four. As for the Angels, Tyler Anderson finally
gave up in and and run this season, three runs
surrendered in four and a third innings, including a pair

(13:40):
of home runs. Tyler O'Neal right now leads a Major
Leagues seventh home run of the season than Tristan Kassas.
He gets a home run as well off of Anderson
Basataki Yashida. From there go seepoff of Jose Swadez his
first home round season for Sowez. He gives up two
runs to two innings that he's rocking an eight seventy
four euro Jose Ceran squirrel sending Adam Simber parafouts out
the bullpen and the Angels. He did have Brandon Drury

(14:01):
finally be able to bust out. He gets his first
home on season off of Brian Bao Bo gives up
two runs at five and a third innings, and then
the long guy who I really like for the seam
Justin Slayton two and two thirds dings allows one run
before Kenley Jansen closes the door. He gets a squirrel
signing to be able to get the job done out
there on Sunday Night Baseball, the li Dodgers on able
to get the job done as he slammed Diego Padres

(14:22):
are able to get a win by count of six
to three. That's another over for the Dodgers, by the way,
eleven over six hundreds and a push for San Diego. You, Darvish,
didn't necessarily have it in this one three runs or
under it over the course of five innings, but the
bullpen was great. You had Wanni Peralta, a lot of
Roberts forz both give me a squirrel setting and then
and yelled danel Santo's Yuki mat Suey nik By for
two scores and for the Padres Manny Machado goes zepot

(14:44):
for James paxson fourth home run season, who he also
gives up three runs of five innings, but it was
JP fire Eyes and who I thought he was gonna
be selid with the li Dodgers currently has a forty
point five eer give it up three runs and got
just one out Ryan Brazier, Nick Ramirez both supply squirrels
and Alex Bessia five outs out of the bullpen Squirrels,
but that turned out to be the difference for an

(15:05):
l A Dodgers team that seems like they either lose
outright or they win by multiple runs. And if you're
looking at the trends of baseball right now, it has
been an overwhelming season. One earned seventeen overs to one
or nine unders. As far as the season and favorites,
they're not necessarily doing the world's Greatest on the money line,
hitting at fifty eight percent one thirty four and ninety seven.
I mean, fifty eight percent sounds good, but when you
consider the juice that you're laying, not so great road teams,

(15:27):
by the way, one twenty five and one oh nine
on the money line, that has been tremendous. As home
teams did have a nice day on Sunday. They went
ten and five straight up, but also had the favorites
go ten and five straight up, so that helped them
out a little bit. And you did see nine overs
to six unders on Sunday as well, So that's where
we're seeing trendwise in baseball, and that's what we got
on Sunday. Now, coming up next, let's take a look
at Monday's games and just on the early season surprises

(15:50):
that has been noticed by William borb Action Network. We
do that next right here on the Baseball Betting Jokes
by self, Great Juniors and now a mark from the
past thirty un.

Speaker 1 (16:01):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (16:10):
Im a brag youer love you Las Vegas with a
baseball betting shoe with myself, Greg Peterson now part of
the Vison Family podcasts and it is always great to
be joined by this man as William Boorr. He does
great work over at Action Network. He's doing a tremendous
shop taking a look at the great game of baseball.
But over there at Action Network he does a little
bit of everything. I know that he's very much enveloped

(16:30):
in what we're seeing in the NFL Draft is. It's
going to be a very hot button topic next few
weeks and so much more. You're able follow on Twitter
at the letter w is last name, board pr altogether William.
Great to have you a board.

Speaker 3 (16:41):
Thank you, Yeah, of course, nice to be on the
show as always and nice to have baseball every day.
And we've got a full Monday slip, which is awesome.
Not always the case, but looking forward to it.

Speaker 2 (16:50):
Absolutely. It is rare in which we get all thirty
teams in action on Monday, so we'll certainly dive in
on those games. But how about if we go first
things first and take a look at just some general
takeaways that we've had this far this season. We're about
to and a half weeks in, and no doubt about it,
we don't want to be like sounding the alarm and
going into overreaction mode or anything like that. But have

(17:10):
there been any has there been anything that has really
been sending out to you, whether that be a trend
or whether that be a team or two to the
positive or the negative, that has surprised you this far
this season?

Speaker 3 (17:20):
Well, I know they're losing right now as you record,
but I'm pretty sure the Dodgers are going to win
like one hundred and forty five games, it seems like,
but that's not really a shock. We knew they would
be good. I think the two things that are kind
of surprising me right now are the Phillies offense. There's
a lot of names in that lineup that you know
were eventually gonna hit. I'm just not sure like when
they're gonna start doing it. And then the other thing

(17:42):
is the Royals expected them to take a step forward
this year, and they're doing that. I don't know if
they're going to play to a six to twenty five
win percentage all year, but massive run differential right now,
and really like what I'm seeing out of Kansas City.

Speaker 2 (17:54):
Yeah, it's been really interesting to take a look at
Kansas City the Royals. They've been able to really put
a walloping on the ball on the offensive side of things.
And when it comes to their matchup on Monday, they're
gonna be going up against a White Sox team that
I think is the exact opposite. And I thought the
White Sox were gonna sink going into the season, but
you take off, at the very minimum, two of their

(18:15):
top three hitters off out their top two guys and
Ego Amenaz and Luis Robert. I have a feeling that
this could get pretty epic levels of bad this season
for the White Sox.

Speaker 3 (18:24):
Yeah, I mean two and thirteen right now, you've already
got a run differential of minus fifty one. That's so
hard to do by April fourteenth. Like you said, I
don't think anyone, you know, thought the White Sox were
gonna win the American League or be huge contenders this year.
But I also don't think people saw this coming. Like
this is as you said at the beginning, like it's early.

(18:45):
We don't want to make sweeping generalizations, but this is
not good.

Speaker 2 (18:49):
Yeah, this has been absolutely awful for them, to say
the least. And we have had a few teams that
have been total slugs that have gotten out of the
gates relatively slowly, and we are going to be seeing
one in action on Monday as well. In the Miami
Marlins look like they were going to be able to
pull it out on Sunday and then they decided to
give up a three run of homer to both costs
themselves the game and the run line, And now they

(19:09):
have to go up against the San Francisco Giants. With
young up and coming prospect Kyle Harrison getting to start
there against AJ Pacu. I've always liked AJ Puck as
a reliever. He's clearly not cut out to be a
starter in my opinion. But what do you make out
about this game and the Miami Marlins moving forward?

Speaker 3 (19:26):
This game's intriguing regardless of I guess what happens in
this game, and do have a giant's favorite, but mainly
because I'm really high on Kyle Harrison, so i want
to watch him pitch and see what he's done. Obviously
small sample size so far, but he was really highly
touted as a prospect. As you know, I've worked it
and won't be pipeline nice left a lot of good stuff,
so I'm excited to see what he does. As you

(19:49):
mentioned the Marlins slow start, you don't ever want to
be three to thirteen, especially in that division with you know,
the Braves are going to be good, The Phillies are
going to be good, even though they're not hitting right now.
The Mets, I don't know if they're going to necessarily compete,
but they're going to be a solid team. I mean
the Marlins, I think they'll be better than this like,
I think they have too much talent to be a

(20:10):
last place team, but they are digging themselves a hole
that's skinning deep fast.

Speaker 2 (20:15):
Yeah, it certainly is. And they just in the most
desperately possible need to get some of their pitching back
because they've lost three other projective five starters going into
the season and that has been really weighing on them.
And that's a big reason why we've right now got
aj puckin the starting rotation. And you don't want AJ
puckin the starting rotation, as we have found out, as
William bore you know, it's tremendous workover at Action Network.

(20:37):
He has shown to me right here on the Baseball
Bettings Show, And just with regards to the baseball front
as far this season, typically it's a case early on
during the season where the pitchers are a little bit
ahead of hitters, but this year it's been the opposite.
We have been noticing that a lot of the hitters
have been able to touch up these pitchers. We've been
noticing a lot of overs this season. What have been
some of the big things that you've been noticing with

(20:58):
this trend? Because I think that there's a lot to
take away from, like the pitcher injuries, a lot to
take away from bullpens just not being as great in
this day and age. But I want to get your
thoughts here because it has been a really interesting start
of the season in terms of run creation.

Speaker 3 (21:11):
Well, I think the first thing you mentioned is kind
of picture injuries. We've seen some big names go down,
so that means that teams are, you know, without their ace.
So you're putting sorry Ajpuck, You're putting people like Ajpuck
in the rotation, and that back half of every team's rotation,
that four or five guy is probably a guy that
shouldn't be starting, and as a result, they're getting lit up.

(21:33):
I think even the pitchers, you know, the Tyler glass
now is the ones that are throwing well. I feel
like we're seeing a lot of overs cash late with
bullpen and meltdowns, and I think just teams don't have
a ton of depth right now. Whether that's a state
of the game as a whole, whether that's just people
still getting kind of built up and into the swing
of the season, I'm not sure, but it does seem

(21:55):
like the later you go in a game, all of
a sudden, the run scoring environment really ramps up.

Speaker 2 (22:00):
Yeah, no doubt about it. It has been a lot
of late runs in these games, and you're under is
never safe if you take it full game. With the
way that a lot of these bullpens have been performing
so and it's certainly something that I've been taking a
look at and something that I'm going to be taking
a look at for Mondays. A team that has been
a lot of intrigue because their offense has not been

(22:20):
great to say the least. Their pitching has been rock
solid though, and I'm talking about the Minnesota Twins. They
go on the road to face up against Cole Irvin
and the Baltimore Orioles. Orioles about minus one forty five
minus one fifty five favorites total of nine. What do
you make out about this game with Louis Varland going
for the Twins and the Twins overall, because I've loved
their pitching, but I just feel like maybe we underrate

(22:42):
Royce Lewis a little bit because when he's been in
the full for the Twins, it's a formidable offense. But
without him thus far this season, they have been just
awful at the plate.

Speaker 3 (22:50):
If you didn't mention him. I was going to Royce
Lewis as soon as you mentioned the Twins is the
first name that comes to mind. It's weird because he's
so young, and he hasn't played so much because his
career has been so injury marred, so it's hard to
think of him as a huge impact player. Not knocking
his skill set, but just in the way you would
think about, you know, someone who's got five years in

(23:12):
the league and has, like you know, really established himself.
But I think you see it in the limited times
that Royce Lewis plays. Like you said, the Twins are
a much better team. He's electric, he's got power, he's
an up the middle guy, he can do a little
bit of everything, and as soon as you take him
out of that lineup, it's just a big gap. Like
you said, they're solid, they're not playing bad. The pitching's fine,

(23:34):
but just something's missing and it seems like it's Lewis.
And I think they do have a benefit of being
in the Al Central But as I mentioned at the top,
you know, the Royals look like they're taking a step
forward this year, so I think the Twins, I think
it's gonna be tough in that division. No one's out
of it on April fifteen, and if they stay close,
I think I think they probably could, you know, make

(23:55):
a move of the deadline because I don't think they're
gonna be a ton of pieces away and that division
because I don't think anyone's running away with it. But
I think we really are seeing the lack of Royce
Lewis make a bigger impact than probably a lot of
people thought.

Speaker 2 (24:08):
Yeah, I mean Royce Lewis, all the Grand Slams that
he had last season, he was one of the best
hitters in a road environment all year last year. That
has been massive for a Twins team that without him
they just have been a little bit stuck in the mud.
And I feel like we're able to say that about
the teams that they just played against over the weekend
as well. In the Detroit Tigers see pitching has been
tremendous for the Tigers offense, leaving something to be desired,

(24:31):
and now they're slight underdogs at home against the Texas
Rangers with Michael Lorenzen going in his season debut against
Riese Olsen. I want to get your thoughts here on
both the Tigers and this game because personally, I like
ries Olsen. I feel like the Tigers should be a
little bit of a slight favorite, and I think that
this is one of the deeper bullpens right now in
the big leagues, with not necessarily that one lockdown closer,
but a lot of guys in that Tiger's bullpen that

(24:53):
they're just going to give you a rock solid NICs. Yeah,
big Park Day game. I know we talked about overs, but.

Speaker 3 (24:59):
This one kind of has looking the other way. But
also given the trend of April, I'm also just scared
to play under so far this year. This one's interesting
because you mentioned I'm with you on the Tigers bullpen
and not Olsen. Rangers parts intriguing With Therenzic, It's always
interesting with players making their first start. You'll never know
how they're going to kind of come out, especially when
you're like two weeks into the season, when opening Day,

(25:21):
in the first three or four games, everyone's kind of
even playing field, everyone's making their first start. When you've
got someone randomly making their first start a couple weeks later,
it's kind of are they going to be shaky? Are
they presumably they're going to be on some sort of
pitch count. It kind of makes the Rangers a little
bit interesting for me here where you're not really sure
what you're going to get.

Speaker 2 (25:39):
Yeah, absolutely, I do think that makes it a little
bit difficult. But do you like what I've been seeing
out the Detroit Tigers bullpen in terms of're overall pitching
certainly has been a case where the offense it does
need to wake up a little bit as well. And
with regards to the card that we do have for Monday,
anything else that's really standing out to you, whether that
be a pitcher that you're maybe feeling a little bit bullslashout,

(26:00):
or just a bet in general that you might like.

Speaker 3 (26:02):
So I know this is kind of scary because it
involves backing Cal Quantrill and the Rockies, but the Phillies
team total right now is at five and a half.
They have gone over that once in sixteen games this season.
I just don't like what I'm seeing from the Phillies
offense right now. I know they've got a lot of names,
but they've only scored over over six once this year.

(26:23):
I just don't think they're not hitting the ball hard.
They're in the bottom third of the league in expected
batting average, expected slugging. And the other thing that I
like about this bet is they're a massive home favorite,
so they've only got it. Presumably they've only got eight
innings to clear that number.

Speaker 2 (26:38):
Yeap. I do think that it's going to be an
intriguing spot here with a rocky team that has not
been a good form to say the least. But Aaron
Nola has really been a guy that I feel like
deserves a little bit more slander than he's gone. He's
been relatively rough since the beginning part of last season,
and just how have you been looking at this Philadelphia
Phillies team, because it always feels like they're just a
slow starting team in general.

Speaker 3 (26:59):
I totally agree with the Nola thing. I I was
looking into when I first started breaking that game down.
I had to write it up for the Philadelphia Inquirer,
and I was thinking about the total. I was thinking
about maybe Philly's run line, and then all of a sudden,
I started looking at Nola's advanced metrics, and I was like,
wait a minute, when I hear the name of Aaron Nola,
I think one thing. And then when I all of

(27:19):
a sudden look at the Baseball Savant page, I'm like,
wait a minute, these numbers don't match up with the
public perception and what automatically comes to mind. So I
think you're definitely onto something there in terms of saying
he might deserve a little more slander than he's getting.

Speaker 2 (27:33):
Yeah, certainly, And I could see that's getting quite a
few runs in that game with Aaron Nola's been a
little bit less terrific, and Caul Quantrell's probably not going
to be throwing some sort of shut out, especially being
back by that bullpen as well. So I think that
that's going to be a fun game for Monday. And
I know you, William are doing a tremendous job taking
a look at the game of baseball. Really are a
five tool player over there at Action Network. You do

(27:55):
a great job with some of the editing you mentioned it.
You do a great job being able to write some
stuff up for Philadelphia Inquirer. I know that you guys
have a nice partnership over with the New York Posts
well and so much more so. Love to get people
at home know it's all on that for you and
how people can follow on on social media and other platforms.

Speaker 3 (28:11):
Yeah, on Twitter, as you mentioned at w Board, wb
ogr and then otherwise everything. All my bets are logged
in the action app at w board as well, same handle.
That's everything for me from all of our experts, you know,
daily best bets, game guides, everything that you need to
hopefully make some money this baseball season.

Speaker 2 (28:29):
Absolutely, and it is going to be a tremendous baseball season.
I know that William he is locked and loaded taking
a look at a little bit of everything, and every
single time he joins his show he does a great
job lendings insights and thanking us a bit smarter. So
big thanks to William for joining me right here on
the Baseball Betting Show now part of the Vson Family
Podcasts and coming in next. It is that time the
podcast it give you picked in analysis on every game

(28:50):
on the betting board for this Baseball Monday as ge
catch them.

Speaker 1 (28:53):
All breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (29:05):
I have a regular love be Las Vegas with a
baseball betting shoe with myself, Greg Peterson, now part of
the Vison Family Podcasts. Was great to be able to
get William board or a board he does a tremendous job.
Take a look at this great game that we all known.
Love of Baseball or Right Action Network does articles for
many newspapers all across the country. Who was referencing the
fact that he's going to be in the Philadelphia Inquirer

(29:26):
on Monday looking at that game between the Phillies and
the Colrader Rockies. And I know that he has spent
some time at MLB Pipeline, so he knows these guys
that are going to be the stars of tomorrow quite
well as well. So big thanks to William for joining
me in last segment. Nowadays that time the podcast, I
give you picks in analysis what every game game on
the betting board for this Baseball Monday as we touch
them all.

Speaker 3 (29:45):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and a total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (29:51):
Do you know that as per usual, any changes are
maybe these plays will be listened up on my Twitter
slash xs feed at genet underscoredy one. When you're going
to be going in Las Vegas station or this is
where we go to the nationally games first, then the
American League games, any interleague games, those are going to
be at the bottom. That'll keep things all nice, knee
clean and easy. So without further ado, let's I have
been on this first game of nine oh one nine

(30:12):
o two on the card, it is gonna be our DK.
Now we're right to pick as well. The San Francisco
Giants are on the road facing gap against the Miami Marlins.
AJ Puck goes for the Marlins and Kyle Rrison is
on the bump for the Giants. Giants are between minus
one fifteen minus one twenty favorites, in between even money
and plus one to five that number on Miami eight
half of the total unders minus one twenty overs even.
I will take a shot on the over that I

(30:33):
said at an eight point seven with the cards of
Miami Caps. So looking there, But the true rite up
here is actually going to be on the Giants money line.
I felt like they should have been closer. Tobio buying
its one forty five minus one forty six favorite, You've
got a three and thirteen Miami Marlins seam has just
stuck in the mud right now and throwing out a
guy in AJ Puck who has a five ninety one
e RA and a six ninety one fielding independent. His

(30:55):
fielding independent is a full point worse than his ERA,
which is worth a five. That's because he's given up
fourteen walks and Dennet two thirds innings and has not
been great for him, to say the least, buckets yet
to be able to complete five innings and to start
this season. He was a reliever at trade for the
last few seasons and now they need to rely upon
him for starts and the Miami Marlins bullpen entering into Sunday.

(31:18):
This was before they yacked away the game against the
Atlanta Braves. On Sunday, they were posting up a five
sixteen nine ERA, twenty eighth in the big League's. He
really don't have a lot of trustworthy pieces behind him.
George Soriano has been a relatively good long guy throughout
his career, but he's six so Sanchez, Anthony Bender, Bert
Smith all supplying north with a five RA right now.

(31:39):
For Kyle Earrison has been a little bit up and
down from this season. He has for his career giving
up about two point one home runs for nine innings
in ten career starts. He's got in the RA that
hovers right in the neighbor in about a four to
twenty five does give you about nine right cuts to
two and a half walks per ninon innings. But I
really do like his stuff, especially against the Miami Marylands
team that has just not been able to take lefties
all season long. For the Miami Marlins, they have had

(32:00):
two hundred and seventy six at pass against the lefties
as far this season, with four home runs and are
hitting out bucks seventy five. You need to just be
able to get a little bit more power in general.
They let or a Celaire walk in the offseason. Jake
Berger has provided three home runs, as is Nick Gordon.
But you don't have a lot of guys doing a
great job. We'll be able to set them up. For
the Miami Marlands, they have been a little bit unlucky
at the plate this season. Entering into Sunday, they're expecting

(32:23):
a batting average was about thirty five to forty points
higher than their actual batting average. But Luis rises right
now eating about it two fifty two seventy five out
of Tim Anderson. But these guys provide absolutely no power whatsoever.
And then the likes of Lavisio Garcia Nick Fortes ac
Chez hitting blow them into the line of two hundred.
That's rough going up against a Giants unit that has
been much better with their beats away from home rather
than on home two point eight runs per game at home,

(32:45):
more like five point three runs per game away from home.
They can be a little bit touch and go with
regards to the offense, but Lamont Way Junior is sitting
for about a three seventy five or a Celaire Michael
Conforto combined seven home runs. Between these two guys, both
have north of a three thirty five on base maat
Chapman not really producing a lot in terms of being
able to get on basil on they astrada, but both
guys to have three home runs as well. For the Giants,

(33:06):
it's been a bullpen that has been a little bit
of a venture this year as well. They're in the
bottom half of the big leagues with regards Bullpenny Ray,
but Rodgers Squared and Tyler and Taylor Rodgers, these guys
have been very rock solid. I like what Ryan Walker's
able to provide for the Semen line, and Rob has
been a good setup guy for Camellia Devolve, So I
do think that the Giants go out there continue the
misery of the Miami Marlins by DK Newark right to

(33:26):
pick his on the Giants. On the money line, did
somebody toll in an eight point seven so here at
the A and AF also like the over nine oh
three nine to four on the betting board. The Philadelphia
Phillies players to the Colrad Rockies. Cal Quandro goos for
the Rockies and Aaron Nola hopes to be super for
the Philadelphia Phillies. Eight and a half is the total
overs between minus one fifteen two and minus one twenty five.
He enters between minus one o five to a plus
one o five between minus two sixty two minus two

(33:49):
seventy is that number on the Philadelphia Phillies between plus
two fifteen and plus two thirty three your number on
the col Rade Rockies. If you're looking at the run line,
getting about minus one twenty the Phillies run line wouldn't
want to lay much more than a minus one twenty two.
But I'm gonna be one to go with the Philadelphia
Phillies run line. We were talking about it with William Bore.
Aaron Knowl just has not been too great. Recently. I

(34:11):
fully recognize that, but I do think that events a
better start than Cala Quantrill. Cal Quantrill doesn't give you
a lot of swings and miss It's only about six strikeouts,
Berni and Ennings has been giving up about three walks.
Bernie and Ennings, and I do think that the Philadelphia
Philly is gonna wake up out of their slumber at
the plate. As for the Philadelphia Phillies unit, it has
been less than terrific, to say the least for them,
I do not believe that they have broken five runs

(34:33):
in a game since April second, which as the last
two weeks. And for the Philadelphia Phillies, I do think
that they're gonna be able to find a way to
move the line just a little bit better. As Brandon
Marsh has been their top better thus far this season,
hitting above a three in four home runs. You've got
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber both supplied three bombs as well,
but nowither these guys doing an amazing job of being consistent.
Sharbro about a three forty on MEAs with Bryce Herper

(34:54):
ating just a buck ninety SAMs at three home run
game that he had, he has been miserable as far
as the season, but Traitor is getting online in For
the Phillies, they're just a slow starting team in general,
but I do think that the bullpen is gonna start
to come around. Gregory Soto has actually been relatively saw
it in the bullpen. You're able to get something out
of Matt Strom, Jeff Hoffman. Guys like this has been
ose Alvarado, Alon Sar Anthony de Vegas, who have been
some of the bigger disappointments. But even with these guys

(35:17):
a little bit, shall we say, off kilter, it's so
much better than what you're getting out is Colrad Rocky TEAMO,
which is featuring Victor Vodnik in big time spots justin Lawrence,
Anthony Molina, Jake Bird. These guys have been very much
miserable throughout their careers, and for the Colrad Rockies, they've
always got some of the most demonstrative home and road
sports with regards their offense in all of baseball. They
had the twelve spot against the Blue Jays a few

(35:39):
days ago, which was certainly able to help them out,
but fans that they haven't been able to supply ton
of offenses far the season do like what Ryan McMahon
is supplying. He's been able to provide north of a
four to fifty on base pair of home runs three
seventy average. That's terrific. And Nolan Jones is looking a
little bit better right now, but he along with Chris Bryant,
Brendan Rodgers, Elierius Bontedo, all these guys he get two

(36:00):
twenty five or lower with not a lot of power
out of many of these guys. As Yuguo Tovar has
about three ze runs. He's been rock solid, but still
with the sky Rad Rocky team a vastly different team
when their cruise field versus when they're away from moment.
I do think that the Philadelphia Phillies is gonna be
able to get the best of Aaron Nola. He's got
an the ra for his career that's nearly a point
better when he's at home rather than away from home.
And last he starts with being better from only seven

(36:22):
strikeouts in eleven and two thirds sinnings, but it has
only allowed two runs along the way as well. So
I do think that Nola finds way to be able
to get the job done. I think that we get
plenty of run scoring in this game. So I told
it at eight point seven. I like the over and
the Phillies on the run line nine to five, nine
to six on the bank worthy New York Metropolitans playoffs
to the Pittsburgh Priyors. Martie Bedez Goes for the buck
goes and Adrian don't call him Doogie Howser is on

(36:42):
the bump for the Metropolitans and the best very slight
favorites between minus one fifteen to a mice one twenty
two between even money and plus one to five. That
number on Pittsburgh GA and f as. The total unders
minus one fifteen. The over is minus one of five.
Did somebody tell her at eight point four? I do
like the under for the mess It's been a touch
and go offense all season long. Last week they were
pretty solid at the plate. Two weeks ago they were

(37:03):
absolutely awful at the plate. And for the Mets, I
think that that's gonna be a lot of what we
just get out of this team this season. Beat Alonso,
Starlie Marte. These guys have been tremendous, both hitting above
a two seventy Alonso up to six home runs, but
outside of him, you just don't have a lot of
power in general on the team. Francisco Overres has been
able to do a solid job. We'll be able to
move the line and get on base, but Jeff McNeil,
Francisco lind or DJ Stewart hitting a two twenty five

(37:26):
or lower, that's been a little bit of an issue
for this bunch. You've got a Mets team that I
do think it's started to run to to form a
little bit more, but them being in a picture friendly
ball park out there in New York that's gonna hurt
them a little bit as well. And it's a Pirates
lineup that has been a little bit inconsistent throughout the season.
They've been one of your best teams in all baseball
in terms of run creation, but I do have my
fear that it's gonna reverse itself just a little bit.

(37:49):
You've had Cabrian Ace do a nice job being able
to get on base with a four hundred on base,
O'neel Cruz hitting about two fifty, but he's been able
to sply the boom with about three home runs. He's
art another top real power hitter, though runny to last
just has not giving you a whole lot in terms
of power. He's actually been able to do a solid
job getting on base, but Jacks Winsky off a little
bit of a offsetart of the season. You need a
bit more out of Henry Davis as well, so has

(38:09):
been a touch and go Pirates team on that front. Now,
I do like the Pirates bullpen David bennar em in
Laighton games. This is solid and once they get Ryan
Brookie back, as he's you know, with an injury, that's
gonna help them out as well. Was Aernandez is someone
that's been able to supply some four year a the
last few seasons. Hunter Stranton is relatively solid and for
the Mets they were twenty second in the league last
year in terms of Bullpenny Aray, but getting Edwin Diaz back,

(38:31):
I think it's so big as he along with the
setup man and Brooks Raley are really nice one two punch.
Both of these guys were used for about fifteen pitches yesterday,
so that is a little bit of a issue for them.
But I do think that Das could probably close in
this game if absolutely needed. So Drew Smith, along with
Jake Diekman, who had okay seasons last year, I do
think that Jake Deekman probably benefited a little bit from

(38:52):
being in Tampa Bay towards the back half of the
season last year. And while this is a fate of
Martin Perez, Martin Peretz throughout his career it's been very inconsistent.
To say the least. First three starts have been great.
Nineteen innings, giving up just one home run, five walks,
doesn't have too much swinging miss stuff, but I do
fear that the batted balls and player are going to
be hurting him a little bit. He's given up six

(39:13):
pluses and each out of his first three starts. And
for Martin Perez, it was so rough for him last
season with the Texas Rangers that he did get relegated
to the bullpen at a four to forty five YARI
and even higher fielding independent as he wasn't able to
really command throughout the season. He was giving up about
three point two to three point three walks forer nine innings.
And for Adrian Owser really worked on those walks last season.
In previous two seasons have been giving up four plus

(39:34):
walks per nine innings. Last season, he was able to
down that to more like two points six two point
eight somewhere in that neighborhood. And for Houser, as far
as the season has been very much pitching the contact,
Dan innings only four strikeouts along the way. But I
do think that he's going to be able to figure
it out, and I do think that New York is
going to suit him very well. I did set the
Mets at a minus one thirty seven on the money line.
Seems like they've gotten a little bit warmer recently. I

(39:54):
need to expect a young Pirates team to have a
few growing pains along the way, So I'm going to
be taking a look at at this total under I said,
I totally at eight point four along with the Mets
on the money line, nine of seven, nine to eight.
On the banking board, it is the Milwaukee Brewers playing
in the San Diego Padres. Joe Musgrove goes for the Pods.
Joe Ross is on the bump for the brus and
the battles of Joe's. It is the must Grove. Joe's

(40:15):
a favorite of any between minus one twenty to minus
one thirty With burs, you're gonna be getting them between
plus one oh five plus one fifteen in apens the
total overs between minus one ten to a minus twenty
b understanding between even and minus one ten, and with
the crew was willing to take a plus one fourteen
or higher with them, So heart about a plus one
fifteen with seeing plus one twenty out there a little
bit earlier, I'm gonna be willing to ride with Burrs

(40:37):
on the money line. This offense has just been absolutely
spectacular thus far this season. I have no idea where
it's come from, but when they're going up against right
handed starters, this is a legitimately top three team in
the Big leagues with regards their ratting average. Lefties have
really been their kryptonite. But Christian Yalich is looking like
the Christian Yeology of old. He's applied five home runs
hitting above a throw William Caterrerez north of a four

(40:58):
point fifty on mace, He's been able to supply four
him runs and then the guy's like seal free. Look
Bryce ter Rang These younger guys who have really been
able to step up in the Brewers. Though you don't
necessarily love the fact that you've got Joe Ross starting here,
they back him up with a really good bullpen, in
my opinion, a top five bullpen in the big League.
Elvis Piguero, Joe Piums, these are a really good setup
men for evanery Reba, the way that he's able lock

(41:19):
things down. Just imagine what they're going to be when
Devin Williams gets back at the Folds. Meanwhile, for the
San Diego Potters, they were able to get the job
done on Sunday Night Baseball, but that was a game
that wrapped up very late because of rain delay. Now
they have to travel across the country. That's going to
take a lot out of them. And they've made a
bit of a touch and go team with the guards
they are pitching. As a whole. Is the bullpen not
one that I have a lot of faith in, though
I did like the pickups of Ana de del Santos,

(41:41):
Alantwandi Perolta. But Johnny Brito is a big giant fad.
Tom kyles Grove, after being so amazing last season, this
year he has just been flat. Roberts Warez is not
necessarily a lockdown closer, And for Joe Musgrove, he's had
a little bit of rough start to the season. We
saw that from him last year as well. First four
or five starts of the season, he just wasn't too terrific.
Was able to eyes up after that before getting injured

(42:02):
and then being out for the campaign. But I do
think that he's just in general a little bit of
a soul starter, not necessarily giving out a ton of
walks or anything like that, but you know that he's
just missing a little bit of a location. His strikeouts
per nine rate just a hair below nine, and he
has given up four plus runs and now three out
of his last four starts, so I will say one
of those was in the Soul Series out there in
South Korea, So I'm willing to take that with a

(42:23):
little bit more of a grain of sultan for Joe
Ross prior to the season, a sime he had been
out there on a big league mound was in twenty
twenty one. But so far, so good for him. Three
runs too, of which earned in the course of two starts,
ten strikeouts and ten innings. Doesn't need to clean up
the fact that he had five walks in his first
start against the Minnesota Twins, but I think that he's
gonna do a formidable job holding down the fourd and
then get it to a bullpen that is gonna find

(42:44):
a way to be able to get the job done.
Gonna be looking at the over here. I do think
that both of these joes give up some runs before
the Burrs bullpen is able to put this one on ice.
So I'm gonna be taking a look at the eight
and a half over and with the Burs will take
plus one fourteen or higher on the money by nine
nineteen nine twenty on the bank board. The Years and
A Diamondbacks playoffs to chicag Cups. Ben Brown goes for
the Cubs. Marril Kelly is on the bump for Arizona.
Arizona between a minus one thirty six O minus one

(43:06):
forty two favorite and between plus one eighteen to plus
one twenty six. That number on the Cubs eight and
a half is the total the overs minus one twenty
and the under his even And for the Diamondbacks, I've
set them out of minus one fifty six on the
money line. If you're looking to lay a run half
with them, you're able to get a plus one forty five.
And honestly, I'm going to be taking a look at
that Diamondbacks run line just because this has been a

(43:27):
top seven team in the Big leagues in terms of
run creation, and this has been with Corbyn Carroll having
his struggles to begin the season. Once you're able to
get Corbyn Carroll firing all cylinders and you're able to
get him online, this team is going to be all
the more dangerous. But you've got a lot of guys
with between three and four home runs. Christian Walker, Lord
of Scurriel are right at the top of the list.
Both of these guys have also been able to do
a broatobally solid job. I'll be able to get on

(43:49):
base both are hitting. Darney ar three and Catel Marte
of the Marte Parte three bombs about a three to
fifty on base out of him as well. And then
Blaze Alexandra has been able to provide a little bit
of power. He's found away on base all no this
Arizona diamondbacksine has been good on that front. The bullpen,
it does leave a little bit of something to be desired.
Miguel Castro along with Luis Freees are not necessary guys

(44:09):
I trust in too much. Joe Mantiply was very good
a few seasons ago. He's fallen off a little bit.
I like what you're able to get out of someone
like a Kyle Nelson. Ryan Thompson has been relatively okay,
but you do have your rules of the lace out there,
and for the chicag Cups, this bullpen has been rather
suspect though. Ben Brown, he's seen a few starts as
far this season, and I think that he came in

(44:29):
as a bulk guy. In appearance or two, He's actually
impressed me quite a bit. I like what I'm seeing
out of him. Now, the question is what sort of
length are you gonna be able to get. It's most
likely going to be four to five innings. But from
what we've seen out of Ben Brown and his real
bulk appearances, he looks to be relatively slid. Last year
at the minor league level for these Chicago Cubs, was
getting twelve and a half strikecouts for nine ennings, but
its wild five and a half walks per nine innings,

(44:51):
which will knock him out of the game early. It
means that it was a quass is going to be
seeing some innings. Drew Smiley is able to give you
a little bit of length as well, but I do
have some question marks with your at chicag Cubs bullpen,
and I do think that you're gonna be able to
get by far the better start you're out of Meryl Kelly,
and just in terms of length, the better start out
of Merrill Kelly. He's got an era that's a full
point better when he's been at home rather than on

(45:12):
the road throughout his career, has really been able to
work on the swing in this stuff to give up
right around about three bucks per Nina and Ennings. But
I think that he's gonna do a nice job taming
a Chicag Cubs lineup that has seen Cody Bellinger have
his struggles as far this season in just a buck
seventy two. But got a lot of guys that I
balanced in general see Suzuki, Michael Bush, Christopher Morrell of
supplied to at least real home runs as far this season,

(45:33):
and other than Morell, both of these guys, they're running
above a three hundred. And you think that you're gonna
have a lot of guys on this Cup team that
they're not gonna be like amazing, but they'll give you
something like Danzy Swanson did a season ago. Right now,
he's given you a pair of home runs. He's hitting
about it two forty five. I do expect that to improve.
Last season he hit about a two forty four and
supply twenty two home runs, and I do think that
the batting average goes up a little bit. But I

(45:54):
think that you're gonna have a lot of like minded
bats on this team. So it is a circumstance where
I do think that you're going to get some runs,
so I toil at nine point three. I like the
over ind for the Diamondbacks. I'm gonna be willing to
lay the run and halfs. I do think that they
get into the bullpen. I think that Ben Brown lends
a few night settings, but then from there the Diamondbacks
are able to take hold. So looking at that Diamondbacks
run line and the over nine to eleven, nine to
twelve on the betting board, it is the LA Dodgers

(46:16):
playing us to the Washington Nationals. Tyler Glasso is on
the bump for the Dodgers and Mitchell Parker makes his
MLB debut for the Nationals, and the Nationals r sizable
underdogs at a plus two seventy two minus three twenty
is your number on LA. If you're looking to lay
two and a half runs at circa, you have to
lay minus one fifteen in order to do so, plus

(46:37):
two and a half you're getting a minus one oh five.
We do not have any minus one and a half
run lines out there. But if I be able to
get like a plus number that is rather mondo, I
would need probably like a plus one forty five or so,
that'd be something that I'd entertain. And for the Nationals,
I set them as a big underdog, I would need
at least a plus two sixty eight to be able

(46:58):
to take a shot. But on this Circa opener that
I'm seeing, I'd be willing to take a shot. Now,
this is not necessarily the most savory of situations, and
if we do see more of the minus one half
run lines, I'd be willing to go up to a
minus one forty five with the LA Dodgers. But I
just feel like this is a little bit of an
out of black number for a Dodgers team that no
doubt they're the dust star and they're going up against

(47:19):
the Washington Nationals team as throwing Mitchell Parker in this game.
But Parker wasn't terrible when he was at the minor
league bubble again. I'm not gonna say that this guy
was like amazing the Moda list of Ido pitching or
anything like that, but if you look at his minor
league numbers last few seasons, he's been able to give
you about eleven a half stercus for nine innings and
it's one start this season four innings he gave up

(47:39):
one walk. He really did a nice shop holding down
the fort. Last season when he was over at the
Double A level at harrison Burg, he was able to
give you four twenty year then a starry cuts for
four and a half walks for Nan Unnings. Have to
wonder how long he's gonna be able to go in
this game. And the Nationals bullpen, it's not great, but
it's not the worst bullpen in the Lake. Derek Lodge
or Weems thees Our guys, they're able to hold down
the fort like what Hunter Harvey is able to fly

(48:02):
as well. Losing Paulo Haspino in the offseason means that
length is going to be a little bit of an
issue for them. But for the li Dodders, they've had
to burn through quite a few of their bullpen pieces
in recent days as well. And it's not been the
same bullpen and we've seen in past year as they
just picked Nick Ramirez up off the scrap heap. Alex
Vesia has been okay, Danny Hudson has been very good.
But Ryan Brazer, after having an amazing twenty and twenty

(48:24):
three campaign with the Doddreds twenty twenty four is men
Row JP fire Rising completely yacked the game away yesterday
as well. And but the Dodgers are going to need
to be all gas with regards to their lineup, as
you've got Mookie Betts, Joyo Tani hitting above a three
thirty five with the combined ten home run Saskernandez four bombs,
mix monthsly four bombs, Like I mean, the top of
the fold has been great, though I will say keyk Hernandez,

(48:45):
James Allmankevin Looks all ining below the Mindos line of
a two hundred and for the Washington Nationals, they've done
a solid job of moving the line. And I do
expect guys like Lane Thomas, Key Better wei Is, these
guys that were so rock solid he season ago, joy
Manessas to be able to pick it up after they've
started out this season hitting below a two twenty five.
You've got a nice standout from Tennessee from a season ago,

(49:08):
and Trey Lipscomb. I think that he's going to be
able to develop as well. You can tell that he's
perhaps a little bit young to be up at the
big league level. But you were able to add some
power in the offseason. Jesse Winker just one on run,
but a four eighty two on B CJ Abrams. He's
provided three bombs as well, so you've got some formidability.
With regards to Washington National team, they did an okay
job but be able to put back to the ball
in that series against the San Francisco Giants on the road,

(49:30):
and they're coming off of a nice offensive outpers against
the Oakland A's. If I'm able to get something like
I said about a plus one forty eight or higher
of getting a run half with the National sets something
that I would entertain it. This is a total that
I did set out a nine point two nine, unless
I'll be looking at the over nine and a half
higher to the under half to give the respect where
it is. Duo to Tyler Glass now has been just
absolutely nasty. Twenty nine right cuts to twenty four innings.

(49:52):
As far the season with the LA Dodgers had a
little bit of a off COVID out there in Soul,
South Korea. But ever since then, the previous three starts
four total runs surroundered. I do think that he's going
to be able to lock it down in the command
has been relatively good. So seeing the eight and a half,
I'm seeing right now a cirk be looking at the over,
and if we do indeed get Northwich plus two seventy,
I'd be willing to take a shot on the Saschles
plenty line nine thirteen nine fourteen on the betting board

(50:12):
the Boston Red Sox but lo Cleveland Guardians. Savion Curry
is on the bump for the Guardians and it is
Cutter Crawford who goes for Boston Boston as any between
a minus one twenty two to a minus one thirty
favorite between plus one oh five oh plus one fifteen
is that number on Cleveland nine and a half is
a total hundreds nine one twenty two overs. Even seeing
one straight nine out there, that over is minus one

(50:32):
fifteen minus one twenty two. Understanding between minus one on
five doero minus one ten and gonna be one to
roll with Boston sent them as a minus one forty
three favorite. Keep in mind this is an eight ten
am Pacific eleven ten am Eastern time first pitch, just
because I believe that this is the Boston Marathon game
and all that goes on there, So hopefully you are
out there in Boston enjoying this. But that said, I'm

(50:55):
gonna be willing to take the Red Sox into Sordio.
They've actually lost this game quite a bit in recent years.
But with the Cleveland Guardians and to play eighteen innings
on Saturday, they had to play an next runding game yesterday.
And the biggest forte that this Guardian's team has is
having a bullpen that is in the top three in
the big leagues in terms of VRA and all these
arms are now cooked Nick Samlin, Eli Morgan, these guys
are slid and Hunter Gaddis out of the bullpen has

(51:17):
been great. They do a nice job setting up a
manual coss a, but you have to wonder how much
they now have in the tank. Meanwhile, for the Boston
Red Sox, this team is going to be suffering in
terms of the bullpen. Has maybe got a pair of
guys Kenley Jansen along Chris Martin Huo been relatively said,
and I actually really liked what I scene of Justin Slayton.
In a small sample size, he's been given like ten
and a third endings as far, he's only given up

(51:37):
one run. He's a nice upside guy that's able to
fill multiple innings, much like Garret Woodblock was a few
seasons ago. And for the Boston Red Sox, they just
have such an advantage in my opinion, with Cutter Crawford
out there on the mound had some of the craziest
home and roads was that we saw in All Baseball
last year he was posting up a sixty RA at home,
more like a two fifty seventy RA when he was
away from him. I do think that this is going

(51:58):
to iron out a little bit. As for a cut
of Crawford, he does a nice job being able to
give you some swings and misses. Last year about nine
and a half strightcats for nine and has been north
of ten thus far this season. Doesn't hassally give out
a ton of walks, and he goes up against a
starter in Xavion Curry that is a pitchure contact guy.
He's only getting about six to six half straight cuts.
Bernyan Ennis has dealt with a few ailments, was down
at the minor league level to begin the season, and

(52:19):
when he was a starter last season his play really
suffered as coming out of the bullpen he was giving
you a sub three ERA. He was a nice little
bit of a long guy for the seam and then
when he got into a starter's role he was posting
up at the ERA now it was more around a
five to five. And for the Cleveland Guardians, this team
does a nice job but be able to hit the lefties,
righties not so much. It's a Guardians team that has

(52:40):
been able to provide a little bit more power this year.
Josh Snaylor up to four home runs this season, Osay Ramer,
Stephen Quanta combining five home runs between them, and kwant
three eighty six on base He andres and Men is
both providing north of a three eighty on days for
that matter. But he's got the likes of just Will Brandon,
Tyler Freeman, I will throw out their bow. Naylor, who's
been able to hit some home runs but has been

(53:01):
able to move the line. These guys have not been
able to do the world's greatest job on that front, though,
But I'm able to get a little bit of something
out of Brian Roschio, though he's gone a little bit
cold as well. And for Boston, the offense has been
very much up and down. Sands Tyler O'Neal right now
leads the league with four home runs. He has been
absolutely tremendous. But what are you gonna be able to
get out of the younger guys other than Jaron Durham.

(53:21):
He's been able to three hundred. He's been tremendous, But Sadine, Rafaela,
Emmanuel Veldez, they're both taking below the middole's line two hundred,
and it's been a rough season for rafaeled Evers. He's
been able to supply to home runs but has been
a reach base. He's right now deal with a little
bit of a shoulder ailment, was out of the fold
last few days in that series against the La Angels,
saying is very much questionable for this game as well.

(53:42):
And Trevor Story, who's back out of the fold because
he's the only injury as well. So it does make
it a little bit rough for the Boston Red Sox.
But even with their injuries. I do think that they're
gonna find a way to persevere, and I do like
what Cutter Crawford brings to the table. So it is
a circumstance where I'm going to be taking a look
at the Boston Red Sie on the money line, as
I did set them more around about a minus one

(54:03):
forty three, and with regards to the total did set
at a nine point one here at the nine and
a half. Lena at the undergo a long Boston nine
fifteen nine sixteen on the benny board. The Minnesota Twins,
they are going to be on the road facing up
against the Baltimore Orioles core Irvin goes for the Orioles
in Louis, Louis. Varland is on the bump for Minnesota.
Minnesota is an underdog of many beteen plus one thirty

(54:24):
plus one thirty two, minus one forty to minus one
fifty five. That number on the Baltimore Orioles total on
Schame is nine under his minus one twenty eight overs even,
but the Twins was well and take plus twenty eighteen
or higher with them. I'm going to be one to
roll with them. Corvin is just a guy that I
really don't trust in right now. I like really the
rest of this Baltimore Oriols scene. But Corvin has been
rough in his first few starts. He's given up nine

(54:46):
runs over the course of the combined ten innings. He's
walked five guys in this time span, and he has
never been really a high swing and miss guy. It
just feels like in general, he's been missing his targets
a little bit too much. And when you're a pitch
of contact guy and you're missing your tar, that's not
a good thing. Meanwhile, for Louis Varland, he's given up
nine runs over the course of nan Nning said, what's
concerning to me is the three walks that he's given up.

(55:07):
Because Louis Varland last season did a relatively solid job
in terms of his command, he would give up the
hard contact a little bit. But I do think that
he's gonna be able to figure it out. And I
do think that the big question in this game. Can
the Minnesota Twins be able to knock hole Irvan out
of this game early and be able to dive into
that bullpen. The Minnesota Twins lineup has been brutal, to
say the least, Edward Julien has four home runs, but

(55:30):
he's hitting up buck ninety six. You've been able to
get a trio of home runs out of Ryan Jeffers.
He's been able about it to twenty five. And you
just look at the way that this team is not
moving the line. They're hitting below the Mido's line of
a two hundred. Among players that have gotten north of
twenty five at pass as far this season, you have
got two guys are above a dude twenty five and
Carlos Carea lond Allens curl off. And for the Minnesota Twins,

(55:52):
they've got thirteen home runs as far this season. One
was by Royce Lewis, who he is out of the
fold and he's at due Patz as far this season,
so it's not good to say the least. Now for
the Twins, they've done a tremendous job with their pitching
Cody Funderberg, j Jackson. They can be a little bit
up and down in the bullpen, but I like what
they're able to provide. Steven o'kurt was a nice edition
in the offseason. Ian Griffin Jackson really a couple things

(56:14):
together along with Brock Stewart. So even though you've got
you on on out of the fold, these guys are
solid in for the Baltimore Orioles. Leeds are never safe
when you've got Craig Kimberl on your team. Though you've
got a LOTTERI able to get out of you. New
York Canoo has been able to give you a sup
to fifty year a since the beginning of last season.
Dylan Tate, Jacob Webb, these guys are relatively solid as well,
though Danny Cobomba, he's been acting up a little bit

(56:35):
this season. For Baltimore, you don't necessarily have that one
star guy though Anthony Santandre, he's had himself a nice
little power surge with three home runs, hasn't been able
to move line though, only inning about a buck eighty
thus far the season. It's actually been Colton Kowser, who's
got four home runs over the last I believe now
four games, who has really been able to ris up
for the same inning above a four hundred. But you
got a lot of guys then in general, they find

(56:57):
a way to be able to get on base. Ellie Rushman,
Ryan Mouncast, Jordan Westbrook. These guys are only at least
at two sixty five. Westburg has been able to supply
three home runs. It's a team that in general finds
a way to get on base. Cedar Mullins, after a
rustler to the season, he's hit three home runs. He's
been able to give you about a three thirty on base.
I'd like Ryan o'hearon has a little bit of a bolatooning,
situational sort of guy as well. In the Baltimore Oriols

(57:17):
just have a lot of these guys in general that
they've got so much depth that they're able to do
a nice job. I'll be able to match up pitcher
versus hitter, and I do think that that's going to
bode well for them moving forward, which is why I
did set them as a favorite. But that said, I
don't think that they're gonna be able to do the
world's greatest job of getting a nice start here out
of cole Irvan. Now out there in Baltimore, it is

(57:38):
a little bit more of a picture's park, and it's
honestly the world's warmest in the world, though it's a
little bit warmer than what you'd typically see for mid April.
I did something total at eight point eight. I do
think that the Twins being hamstrung on offense is going
to limit the amount of damage that they do to
Cole Irvin. But I do think that they do just
enough to be able to get the job done. Looking
at the nine hunder and looking at the Twins on
the money line nine seventeen ninet eighteen on the baking board,

(57:58):
the Detroit Tigers playoffs to the Tech Rangers. Michael Lorenzen
goes for Texas. Resultsen is on the bump for Detroit.
Detroit is anywheretween a pick him to a plus one
oh five underdog. Meanwhile, between minus one ten to minus
one twenty he's at number on Texas nine is a
total unders mines one twenty ve over Is even made
the Tigers a very slight favorite in this spot, So
you're at even money, gonna be looking at Detroit on

(58:19):
the money line. I just have my question marks with
Michael Lorenzen. He had a rough start to the season
towards back half last year when he was acquired by
the Philadelphia Phillies. That north of a five era has
never been a great swing and miss guy. When he's
been a starter as a bullpen piece. He was getting
more around eight to eight a strike CAUs Berni and Ennings.
But he just really doesn't do anything great for you.

(58:41):
Last season, again, he was posting up six halfs strike
cuts to two point eight walks Bernie and Ennings. He
had a fielding independent that was more around a four
point fifty with a four eighteen era. I think that
he had no hitter last season, either that or a
one hitter, But pass said, I feel like that might
have just been one magical night. And now he has
to go up against a Tigers team that has been
struggling out the plate. They were at a massive disadvantage

(59:02):
with regards to the offense. But I like what I've seen.
Add Ree Solsen was pretty rock solid towards back half
of the season last year when he was given opportunities
coming off of getting Sheldon his last start against the
Pittsburgh Pirates. And the big thing for him is going
to be locking in a little bit more in terms
of the command. He has given up five walks in
ten nings as far this season. Last year he was
giving up more than neighbored about like two point seven
to two point eight walks ber nine nings gives up

(59:24):
a little bit of her contact, but it's not too bad.
He's relatively solid at being able to get some swings
and Missus in this Rangers lineup has been a little
bit of her mess. Adulas Garcia is the only guy
with multiple home runs for the team. I should say
more than three home runs, says, You've got a few
other guys with two. But for Garcia, hitting three twenty
eighty has been incredible at the play. And then you
still have guys moving line Corey seeger Marcus Simeon both

(59:45):
above a two to eighty. But this is a bunch,
and you just start looking for a little bit more
out of someone like Wyat Langford, who got some bad
calls against him over the weekend. But and he's sitting
at two sixty seven. But as he had to go yard,
you're looking for a little bit more there, Jared Walsh
after as he has been fiddling a little bit recently
as well. The second half of that series against the
Houston Astros was not necessarily great for them in general,

(01:00:07):
and then for the Detroit Tigers right now, one of
the biggest waste of money in all baseball is hobby bias.
But He've been able to get a little bit of
production here moving forward on ge Orschelle hitting above a
three air but past year Rochelle and Matt Vierling just
haven't gotten a lot in general. As a matter of fact,
you take a look at this Tigers lineup and among
players have been able to give you at least twenty
five at pass thus far the season. You've got three

(01:00:29):
guys during above a two thirty six now hitting approximately
two thirty six with a three fifty on base and
three on runs. It is right Ley Green, so he's
done a solid job at Marcanne's provided three on runs,
but in just a two hundred you were expecting a
little bit more of the young guys in Spencer Turklsen
along Craig Keith. And for the Tigers, the big thing
is the bullpen. It is going to be one of
the best, in my opinion, in all of baseball. Shelby

(01:00:50):
Miller is able to lock it down, then you've got
the likes of Alex Lang, Andrew Chief and Jason Foley.
All these guys will been able to sply you up
to fifty eri A like will vests in that bullpen
as well. For Texas, They've been able to revamp their
bullpen a little bit, though their deal with an injury
to Johnthan and Dernandez gone good innings out of the
two acquisitions at Kirby, eight's on David Robertson and Oseai l. Clerk.

(01:01:10):
When he's on, he's on. He can be a little
bit of a roll that Ice, so and I do
think that Michael Lorenzen is a bit of a role
that Ice as well. I do think that the Tigers
are going to get to him in his first start
of the season. So did some my total here out
an eight point seven. With the Rangers being a little
bit up and down with regards the lineup, I'm looking
at the under end. Detroit has had their issues as well,
and this is also out there in Detroit in April,
so not the greatest conditions there. But that said with

(01:01:32):
the Tigers made them the favorites, so I'm going to
be willing to take them at a pick and price
are better to go along with a total under nine
nineteen ninet twenty on the bank board, they can have
a Bay Race playoffs see La Angels. Patrick Sandival goes
for the Angels. Zach Geflin hopes to not be flent
awful for the race. The rays are between minus one
fifty to minus one sixty two favorites any between plus
one thirty five plus one forty. The number on the

(01:01:52):
angels eight and a half to eight is the total
on the eight overs between minus one ten too minus
one fifteen hundreds between minus one five to one minus
one ten on the eight and a half under his
minus one twenty five, and the over is plus one
oh five. I sent my total at an eight point two. Personally,
I would rather take a shot on this eight over
rather than the eight and a half under. For Zach Eflin,
he always does a nice job in terms of command.

(01:02:12):
Last year well south of two walks ber Nion and
Ennings more round about one point six to one point
seven walks Bernie and Ennings, and he gives you some
nice swings and misses as well. Was relatively similar when
he was at home rather than away from home. But
he's been in rough form to begin the season this year,
giving up four home runs in seventeen nings, six thirty
five ra and got a guy in Patrick Sandoval's had
a little bit more success when he's been away from

(01:02:34):
home rather than when he has been at home last
few seasons. But I just don't know what he does great.
He gives up a lot of walks. He's honestly the
world's greatest strikeout pitcher. Now, last time he faced off
against the Race, he did get six strikeouts in five innings,
but he also gave up four runs and three walks
along the way, so that was not necessarily a great
stat line. And for Patrick Sandoval, pretty much the only

(01:02:55):
thing he does is not give up home runs. He
does a really good job of being able to mitigate
the hard contact, but gives up a lot of shall
we say, softer contact for one and for two. All
those walks they really do add up, and I do
think that the Race are going to be able to
get online in this one. You've got Eastak Parades, who's
really led the way in terms of a power perspective.
Five home runs, three thirty three on base He has
been tremendous. But I take a look at the rest

(01:03:16):
of the team, and you need some of these guys
to be able to pick it up. In terms of
the power. You've got Yandy Diaz, Randy Rosa Reino with
a good mine three on runs, but Hting he combined
about two hundred. Harrold Ramirez, He's been able to do
a solid job hitting at two seventy six for his average.
One also has a two seventy six on base. And
then if you're at cal Rao, I'm ed Rosario. These
guys been solid at being able to find a way
on But the Tampa Bay Rays have such a better

(01:03:36):
bullpen than what you're gonna be finding. For the La Angels,
I love what you're able to get off of Calm Bouchet,
Pete Fairbanks, Jason Adams, these guys are tremendous. They pick
up Field Mayton in the offseason. I think it's gonna
be a nice piece as well. And then for the
La Angels, you're lying upon a lot of reclamation projects.
Oz C. Sierra No, the Ancient Hunter, Strickland, Adam Simber.

(01:03:57):
This is not a place where you want to be now.
Carl to Seph hasvent more in the eighth and ninth
than I. I've been relatively solid as well, but I
do think that the Tampa Bay Race are going to
be able to get to him. I do think that
a race offense has been very hit or missed them
being able to put up a nice number on Sunday
is going to be able to propel the moving forward.
So I do like the over in this spot. I
set my tolet an eight point two, and with the
Tampa Bay Rays, I made them a favorite of minus

(01:04:20):
one forty eight. Right now we're finding right around about
of minus one forty eight is the best price. Then
I'm finding if you're taking a look at laying a
run and a half, it's sating between minus one thirty
two minus one thirty five. Personally, I'm a little bit
torn as we go. Money lineer run line need at
least a plus one twenty eight to take a look
at the run line, I personally would rather take a
little bit of a chalkier money line rather than the
run line. So at a minus one forty eight or less,

(01:04:41):
looking at that raised money line, but subject to a
little bit of change, and going to be going with
the over as well. At nine twenty one, nine twenty
two on the bill Board, the New York Yankees set
the road there facing off against eat Toronto Blue Jays.
Chris passads yok line and sinker for the J's, and
it is a Luis eel On the bump for the Yankees,
eight is the total over his minus one twenty d
unders even with the Blue jayser between minus one oh

(01:05:02):
eight minus one fifteen favorites. Meanwhile, minus one oh five
to plus one h three is your number on the
New York Yank He's saying, I set the Blue Jays
out of minus one sixteen, I'm gonna be one to
back them on the money line. For Louis el he
does a really good job of getting swings and misses
throughout his MLB career, well north of eleven punchouts for
nine innings. He's also giving up north of five locks

(01:05:23):
per nine innings throughout his MLB career, and thus far
this season he's given up three runs at nine innings.
That's not bad while getting fourteen stright cuts but also
seven walks. That is a big thing for Louis Heal.
If he can lock in the command, he's going to
be a tremendous pitcher. But I need to see it
to believe it. And for Chris pass At last season,
he at home was a much different pitcher than he
was away from him a sub two ninety home era,

(01:05:45):
a four to fifty era on the road, and he's
backed up by a bullpen that has been a little
bit touch and go. You've been able to have Chad
Green be able to do a solid job locking things
down in Yumi Garcia after he was relatively rough last season,
he's been able to do a solid job. But the
likes a Pauloispino, oh, Mitch White, the long guys are
not too terrific. Tim Maza was great for the seam
eight season to go, but as far this season he's

(01:06:06):
been scuffling. And the question for the Blue Jays is
then they take advantage of being able to get some
free passes because they just have not done a great
job of be able to put the ball and play
in general. And you take a look at each of
the top five players in terms of total at pats
for this team, none of their top five players in
terms of at bats really given they are above a
two twenty two whether the guys they're banning average. You

(01:06:27):
do have Lager Junior as one deep three times and
is providing a three or six on base, but these
guys are just not moving the line in general. The
guys who have been best for the team, honestly are
the likes of Isaiah Caner, Falfa, Cavan Biggio, Justin Turner,
especially Turner with a four to eighty on base, but
Cavan Biggio. These guys are commanding hit right around about
a three hundred, and they go up against a unit
in the New York Yankees who finally, if Aaron judge

(01:06:49):
fire and all cylinders, he was able to get a
three run home er in that game against the Guardians yesterday.
That's big because he's been hitting right around about a
two hundred thus far this season. But I got one,
so too, was supplying three bombs north of a four
fifty on base. Anthony Rizzo is finding a way to
be able to move the line as well. Alex Erdugo
has been a little bit rough. The catcher's pot in
general has left something to be desired, but all and
all the Yankees, their approach at the plate has been

(01:07:10):
much better in a Anthony Vope is hitting north of
the three seventy. John Carl Stanton has been able to
give you four him runs and the Yankees have a
leg up in terms of the bullpen. The question is
how fresh are they going to be because they have
to play a double dip on Saturday. On Sunday game
goes to extra innings. You've got ron Man Andocchio back
in the fold, who I really do like. And they
picked up Victor Gunzalez scale Ferguson in the off season.

(01:07:30):
But as we know, it's always a little bit touch
and go with regards to Clay Homes. Nick Birdie is
on someone that I necessarily trust him too much and
rely upon the likes of Luke Weaver, not necessarily a
place where you want to be with ucl I just
have my question marks with him, and I do think
the Chris Passaid do. He's been just a different pitcher
when he's been at home rather than away for a moment,
especially in terms of command. He finds a way to
be able to get the job done. I'm willing to

(01:07:50):
lay up to him. Mikes one fifteen with the Blue
Jays on the money line, and this time I told
her at eight point eight, so when at the Jay's
money line and diving in on this eight and a
half over nine twenty three, nine twenty four on the
but he bore It is the Chicago White Sox playing
us to the Kansaity Royals. As Seth and Lugo gets
the start for the Royals, and Nick nat Sterini is
gonna be on the bump for the White Sox. And
the White Sox do you find themselves as size wonderdogs

(01:08:12):
between plus one sixty and plus one sixty three Anywhere
between minus one eighty to minus one eighty two is
at number on the Kansady Royal sign is a total
over an under both at minus one ten. If you're
looking at a layer run half with the Royals, you're
gonna be laying right around about a minus one fifteen
and plus one sixty three is my minimum by point
on the Chicago White Sox circa has a plus one

(01:08:33):
sixty three. They are getting me to do it again.
I'm gonna take a look at the Chicago White Sox,
knowing how brutal they are, but I do think that
Nick nat Scerini is actually gonna be able to go
out there and give you a good start once again.
Another one these guys that maybe the command is not necessary,
the world's greatest, but he's able to give you some
swings and misses. A young twenty four year old guy
who while he was over at UCLA was a Rick

(01:08:55):
the wild thing Vaughn candidate back in his college days.
No command, but had really good swing miss. That's really
what he is at this point, a little bit of
a project going against the Kansa City Royals unit that
has been all over the place in terms of their offense.
Now Seth Lugo has been to minister three starts as
far the season, eighteen and two thirds innings. He's allowed
two runs, no homers. The last season was very good
in terms of his command, as he had about two

(01:09:16):
bucks per nine and he says he started for the
San Diego Padres. Not a great swinging miss guy, but
a formidable one. And the big question for the Royals
is if they get a lead from mister south Lugo,
then they hold on to it. As John River has
been okay in this bullpen, but Chris rhan Will Smith
not necessarily great acquisitions. Now you're lying upon Jordan Lyles
the bullpen. James and Carthur is someone that I don't

(01:09:36):
really like it. The Chicago White Sox. It is very
very brutal with regards to this team as well. As
you take a look at this bullpen, and I mean
Tanner Banks has a long guys up in banded long.
Jared Schuster, Steven Wilson can give you a few okay innings,
but it is rough and I'm not gonna lie to you.
This is a Chicago White Sox team that has been
absolutely awful at the plate. Because now you've got both

(01:09:57):
Eloy and Menace, along with Luis for Bear currently being
out the full. Kevin Sheets has been a nice fine.
Sheets has been able to provide a pair of home
runs sitting about a two eighty five. But the White
Sox were deadlines in the Big leagues last season in
terms of walks around on a payer back basis, and
has really been ailing them. They don't have a lot
of plate discipline. Called the young pair of home runs,
but it's hitting well below the Middel's line of a
two hundred and among players are actually healthy and are

(01:10:18):
going to be able to play in this game. You
just take a look at things, and for the Chicago
White Sox right now you've got three guys sitting above
a two fifty and four guys there are current lating
above a two twenty two. That is not necessarily where
you want to be in For the Kent City Royals,
I talk about how undisciplined at the plate. The Chicago
White Sox are. They're a bottom team in the Big
leagues in terms of their plate discipline as well. Now

(01:10:39):
it doesn't matter with Bobby Woo Junior because he's sitting
well north of three hundred. He's been able to play
three plus home runs. It's heelving our paris doing a
really good job of being able to find a way
on base, being able to move line as well. But
that said, you've been abling some in or miss sort
of games with mikel. Garcia got off to a really
hot start with three plus home runs, has just not
been able to find a way to be able to
get on base recent I do think that you're going

(01:11:01):
to continue to get some relatively get a pass from
the middle of the fold as well, but I just
can't trust in this bullpen. I do think that we've
gotten a little bit too far. As I did set
my minimum by point out of plus one sixty three,
so going to be looking at the money line of
the White Sox and with the sol I did set
it at eight point nine. Both of these teams, I've
had their ups and downs with their offense, especially the
White Sox. So had the under and the money line

(01:11:22):
of Chicago nine twenty five, nine twenty six on the
bank board. The atline of Braves play on the road
against the Houston Astros. Spencer Araghetti is going to be
on the bump for the Astros and Darius Vines is
on the bump for Atlanta. Right now, the lone book
that has a number up is circum minus one ten
is your number on Atlanta. Even money on Houston nine
and a half is total over his minus one fifteen
and the unders minus one oh five is going to

(01:11:42):
be one to roll with the Alanta Braves in this
battle of two not necessarily prime time starters. To say
the lease, I said the Braves out of minus one seventeen,
So being able to get them out of minus one
ten pretty fair price. I'm gonna be willing to go
to the money line there. As for the inline of Braves,
they do have to travel for this one. But he've
got someone in Arragatty who in his first appearance he

(01:12:03):
just did not look ready for the big leagues. He
got three innings, gave up seven runs, all of which
were earned. He gave up three walks along the way,
and if you take a look at him at the
minor league level last season. He had a four to
forty ERA and his swinging himself wasn't too bad with
about ten ten and a half strikecots for nine innings,
but north of four walks per nine and innings. I
do have my question marks as to whether or not

(01:12:25):
he was promoted a little bit too quickly. And then
he take a look on the flip side for Darius Fines,
he's gotten a cup of coffee at the big league level.
Last season. He was set up to the big leagues
for five total games, two of them where starts wasn't great,
wasn't terrible. He gave you about six strikeouts to three
walks per nine and nnings posted up about a four
Eura Field Independent was a little bit higher. And if

(01:12:45):
you look at what he did at the minor league
level last season, not great swings and misses, but relatively
good command. Gives up a little bit of heart contact,
but it's nothing overly serious. He's someone that's twenty six
years old. He comes in from I believe Kelsey Bakersfield,
and I do think that he's just backed up in
general by the more well rounded overall team Josh Hader
along with Brian Presley in the back half of the

(01:13:06):
bullpen for the Astros and Scients, But so many of
the guys like Hector and Arez, Philmaton, Ryan Stanek that
they've had in past years in the bullpen they're no
longer there. Brian Brady's relatively solid, but pass that they
are looking at a bunch of newer bullpen pieces. So
you're looking at guys like a Miguel Diaz to be
able to hold down the fort Sean Dubin and these
guys are just not the same as they have been

(01:13:27):
in the past. And for the Inlander Braves, it's been
touch and go with regards to this bullpen. But we
saw these guys perform very, very well the last few seasons.
Pierce Johnson last season with a Braves uniform on at
it's up to era. Tiler Mads like aj Minter have
been a little bit off kilter after they had some
injuries last season, but Rossie Iglesias still a really good closer.
And let's call it what it is. The Alanta Braves.
They are the best offense in all baseball with Marcel

(01:13:49):
Jusno right now, it supplying seven home runs in a
three seventy five average. It is absolutely incredible. And then
Austin Riley, Michael Arisey, second, Ozzie Alby's, Matt Olson. All
these guys are hitting at least a two sixty seven.
All these guys and multiple home runs. Ronald Counu Junior
after a rough start to the season, still stuck on
zero home runs but three eighty five on base. Orlando

(01:14:10):
Arciatcher counting like these guys are moving the line. And
for the East and ASTs, the top of the fold
has been great. Ose L Twovey a couple with Jordon Overres.
These guys have been amazing. Won't forget about Kyle Tucker either,
He's up to four home runs, had a really nice
weekend against the Texas Rangers, but all two fa along
with Overres, both giving you north of four to twenty
five on base. Both of these guys have been able
to give you four plus home runs, so that has

(01:14:30):
been solid. But Alex Bragman off to a little bit
of a re rough start and the bottom of the
full with ose Obray who really manning that that's been
a bit of an issue as well. But bringing in
yin the ideas has really been able to forty five
the catcher spot. The Asters are starting to get their
act together on offense, bitching has been a little bit
of an issue, and I think the pitching is going
to be an issue for both of these teams. And
what I think is going to be a high scoring affair.

(01:14:50):
So by till at ten point one. So even if
we reach a ten looking at the over end with
the e brace one to lafto minus one sixteen on
that money line nine twenty seven, nine to twenty eight
on the bank board, the Oakland A's are going to
playing us to Saint Louis Cardinals. Sonny Gray is on
the bump for Saint Louis, Ross Stripling goes for Oakland.
Oakland is a underdog of between plus one forty five
to plus one fifty six. Meanwhile, anywhere between minus one

(01:15:10):
seventy to minus one seventy six is your number. On
Saint Louis. Seven a half to eight is a total
on the eight hundreds minus well twenty two overs even
on the seven and a half over is minus one
twenty and the under that is even. And I was
willing to take a plus one fifty three or higher
with the Oakland A seeing a plus one fifty five
or so, I'm gonna be willing to dive in there.
For Rod Stripling, the biggest issue that he's always had

(01:15:30):
throughout his career is just given up heart contact. You
take a look at what he's doing, and he has
given up for his career right in that neighborhood about
one playing four home runs per nine and Ennings, but
he does a nice job with his command. Last few seasons,
he's only been giving about two to two and a
half walcks Bernin and Enning's not necessarily going to strike
out a lot of guys, but he's in a great
pitchers park in Oakland, especially during the night time when
the Marine layer is out and is able to knock

(01:15:52):
down some of those fly balls. And for Saint Louis,
they just have not been able to ride too much
on offense. And I was expecting this offense to be tremendous.
But Nolan Ernando, he's hitting about seventy three but just
a two ninety on base, has flied just one home run.
Paul Goldschmid hitting up buck ninety three with one home run.
That's an issue, especially when you've got the younger outfielder's
like Jordan Walker Victor Scott hitting below the mido's life

(01:16:15):
two hundred. Mason Winn has actually been very solid thus far,
about a three fifty batting average, a complete turnaround for
what we saw in his recent at the MLB level
last season. And Noan Gorman three home runs but not
really able to get on base. Meanwhile, you take a
look at the Oakland A's and this team is very
much built on their pitching. That's so much they're hitting.
Those Shave Lengelayers did have a three home run game

(01:16:35):
against the Texas Rangers a few days ago. You just
take a look at this bunch and you've right now
got you guys that have given you north of twenty
three at pass that are currently hitting above a two twenty.
That is not necessarily terrific, to say the least. Without
Tyler Nevin has been halfway decent as well on his
small sample size, but JJ blay Day give you about
a three US two to sixty average. You've been able

(01:16:56):
to get some good production as well out of Abraham
Toro with about three fifty five on base, But it
is an a team that is going to have problems
scoring all season long with his ballpark, but they have
been tremendous in terms of their bullpen. Danium Menaz has
been locked down late in games, and though I feel
like he should be a starter, Mason Miller has been
a tremendous closer as well. Lucas Servi said, you had
that pitch yesterday, but he's been great. Austin Adams has

(01:17:18):
yet to give up a run this far this season,
and for the same Los Cardinals. They were a bottom
eight bullpen in terms of VRA a season ago. You've
been able to get good production out of Ryan Ellesley
ever since his All Star campaign in twenty twenty two,
and they did pick up in the offseason Andrew Kittrick,
but guys like Ryan Fernandez, Ryan Tepera, Andre Polante, there
are not guys that you can necessarily have a lot
of faith in. And then Er it's a guy and

(01:17:38):
Sonny Gray that started out the season on the injury list.
First start out five scoreless settings against the Philadelphia Phillies,
but did give up five minutes along the way. He
has given up three runs for fewer in all but
three out of his last three three starts, dating back
to the beginning of the twenty twenty three campaign. So
I do think that this is going to be a
game where the offense is going to be a little
bit more muted here at an eight, which is mostly

(01:17:59):
what I'm I'm gonna be taking a look at the under.
But I think that Oakland gonna do a nice job
of persevering in this one. I'm going to take the
plus one fifty five on them to go along with
the under, and we wrap things up with nine twenty
nine nine thirty on the bending board. The Seattle Mariners
playoffs the Cincinnati Reds. Yes, we are on the Cincinnati
and they're on the Mister Franky Montas getting this sert
for them. George Kirby goes for Seattle, and Seattle I

(01:18:19):
find themselves as a favorite of any between minus one
forty five two minus one fifty five between plus one
twenty four two plus one thirty six is the number
on the red seven a half is a total over
and under anywhere between minus one five doo minus one fifteen.
And for the Mariners, I did set them on the
mighty line at a minus one thirty eight. Right now,
if we can nudge up by about like three or

(01:18:40):
so cents on Cincinnati. I would be willing that they
a shot on that money line. So that's right now
what I'm watching out for either that I'd be taking
a north of plus one forty five run line on
the Seattle Mariners. I need at least a plus one
forty seven scene between plus one forty five to one
plus one fifty So a little bit of waiting cimo there,
but I anticipate being able to get the desired right
around plus one thirty eight plus one forty I need

(01:19:01):
to be able to take the Reds on the money line.
For Frankie Bontas, he was pretty much out of baseball
last season due to injury, and he's been rock solid
thus far this season. He has given up six runs
and sixteen and two thirds ninnings. A few of them
were unearned. He's been hurt by the fielding a little bit,
swinging his stuff not quite what it was prior to
him going on the injured list for a prolonged period
of time. But this has been a nice second Stanza
from in his career after he just completely flamed out

(01:19:23):
in that trade with the New York Yankees and for
George Kirby, you know, what to expect with this guy.
He's not gonna give out a lot of walks. He
had two walks in his first start of the season
against the Red Sox, past had not a single one.
Though in his last two starts, while he's given up
zero walks, he's also given up thirteen runs. And that's
just what happens with George Kirby because he's always gonna
find the zone. He can get that too much easier

(01:19:44):
and he doesn't necessarily have the world's greatest stuff to
make you with. And for the Sincenati Reds, this bunch
has had two guys Ellie da La Cruz, although Spencer's
here really kicking into black turbo thus far this season,
both of these guys and north of two eighty five.
You've got to combine seven home runs between the two
of them. Now it's a hitter miss lineup in that
you've got Johnathan India, Christian in Karnassio and Strand, Jamie

(01:20:04):
or Kendelario all inning below the Mindo's line two hundred.
Though I will say to the credit of India about
a three seventy five on base and for in Karnacio
on Strand, he's now got a pair of home runs
to his credit as well. But you do need some
of these guys to pick it up a little bit.
The Reds at the bottom of the fold, they haven't
necessarily been able to get a ton of production though
Tyler Stevenson coming back. I think it's big for them.
You've got a Reds bullpen that's not great, not terrible.

(01:20:25):
I'd like to pick up a Brent Souiter in the offseason,
as he was very good with Kyrad Rock. He's had
a rough first week of the season, but he's finding
his form, Buck Farmer, Fernando Cruz, Lucas Simms. These are
all good, but not great bullpen pieces, and the Seattle
Manders is gonna have a little bit of a leg
up Interns the bullpen there, they just find. These guys
are able to give them good addings that are really
written off by a lot of other teams. Trent Thornton, Taylor, Socado,

(01:20:47):
Gabe Spier good examples of this. Now they've got Ryan
Stannick in the fold Andres Munos is able to lock
it down and even with Matt brash Out, they are
very rock solid on that front. But for these Seanle Manners.
Where is the offense going to come from? Because if
you look at regulations, so that takes out the fact
that they scored runs and extra innings against the Toronto
Blue Jayson. If you look at only the person innings

(01:21:10):
of a game, they have scored four runs a few
in each other last seven games, and they have just
gotten off to another pendent slow start, third straight year
for them. Of this, Julio Rodriguez, JP Crawford, Ode Polanco,
Mitch Garver, Cal Rowley, Dylan Moore, Luke Rayley, Luis Urias,
all inning below a buck eighty five. Actually, Ore Polank

(01:21:30):
was hitting a buck ninety six, So sorry, Ore Polonko,
you're actually hitting a buck ninety six. But I mean,
the point is, these guys are just not producing at all.
Ty Franz, Mitch Eneger, They've been relatively solid. These guys
are competing in about a two seven years. So Hanneger
a pair of home runs, and Dominic Canzone three home
runs for him, but he's once again a guy that's
not really moving the line very much. I do think
that the Seattle Manners, they do get some relatively good

(01:21:52):
production year out of George Kirby. I do think that
this lineup is going to start to hit a little
bit more. I recognize that Seattle is a little bit
pitcher friendly, but that's I do think that things are
going to warm up a little bit. Frankie Montasa is
having the deception of Ole, but at the same time
too George Kirby. He pretty much puts it out there
to be hit, and I do think that some of
these lesser red spats are going to be able to
pick it up as well. So I did something total

(01:22:12):
at eight point two. I'm looking at the over and
I'm going to be one to take a plus one
thirty eight or higher with the reds on. Now wrap
things up for the Monday edition of The Baseball Betting Show,
now part of VS and Family Podcasts and a Big
Things with William Bohr for joining me in the last segment.
Has great workover at Action Network. If you do like
to your hearing from this time podcast The Baseball Betting Show,
You're able to subscribe wherever your podcast Apple Podcasts, Google Play, Spotify,

(01:22:33):
sit your in tune and if you have a question,
comment segment idea whatever you for this podcast. If one
of two ways we have for this in first one
is my Twitter slash xsiline at you and n unders
forty one. Keep in mind letters them they mean ites s.
I'm Anders, so as per usual, please just send these
into the timeline and the other ways. Lin an Apple
podcast review. If you rate this podcast that starts it
is very much appreciating them. From there, you're able to
fire on whatever you'd like to you on this podcast

(01:22:53):
by the fi start view. I'm coming at you guys
every single day throughout the baseball season, and that means
something will do once you tomorrow. Thank you so much
for shooting in

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