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April 17, 2024 87 mins

Greg recaps Tuesday's MLB results, talks to Sean Zerillo of Action Network about what has stood out to him from first few weeks of the season & looks at Wednesday's games, & Greg picks & analyzes EVERY Tuesday MLB Game!

Spreadsheet link: https://www.vsin.com/betting-resources/greg-petersons-daily-handicapped-mlb-lines/

Podcast Highlights

2:51-Recap of Tuesday’s MLB results

20:45-Interview with Sean Zerillo

43:22-Start of picks Pick Giants vs Marlins 

46:43-Picks & analysis for Padres vs Brewers

50:26-Picks & analysis for Pirates vs Mets

53:44-Picks & analysis for Nationals vs Dodgers

57:14-DK Network Pick Cubs vs Diamondbacks

1:00:25-Picks & analysis for Rockies vs Phillies

1:03:55-Picks & analysis for Twins vs Orioles 

1:08:07-Picks & analysis for Rangers vs Tigers

1:11:25-Picks & analysis for both Royals vs White Sox games

1:16:33-Picks & analysis for Yankees vs Blue Jays

1:19:49-Picks & analysis for Angels vs Rays

1:23:06-Picks & analysis for Guardians vs Red Sox 

1:26:17-Picks & analysis for Braves vs Astros

1:29:39-Picks & analysis for Cardinals vs Athletics 

1:33:09-Picks & analysis for Reds vs Mariners

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Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game, every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:08):
Welcome to Live with Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting
Show with myself, Greg Peterson, now part of the Vison
Family Podcasts. We've got an excellent podcast for you as
joining me. In segment number two, we're gonna have Sean's
Rulo Board. He does tremendous workover at Action Network taking
a look at this great game of baseball that we
all know love. We're gonna be diving in with him
as to what he's taking a look at for Wednesday,

(00:30):
some of the takeaways he said for the first few
weeks of the season, and the oversay he's taking a
look at for Wednesdays. He's on quite a few of
them and he's gonna be explaining why. And then in
the final segment, gonna get you guys picks in analysis
and every game on the betting board for this Baseball
Wednesday as we touch them all. If you do have
a question comment segment idea what I'd be for this podcast?
You do have one of two ays po furthest in

(00:50):
first one is my Twitter slash ximeline at you and
at unders forty one. Keep in mind letters em maybe
it does not matter, so it's prett usual. Please send
these into the timeline and the other ways. Find an
Apple podcast. If you rate this podcast five starvice, it
is very much appreciated, and then from there you're able
to fire in whatever you'd like here on this podcast.
Via that five star view did not get in any
Twitter slash XS questions today. But we had a great
day of baseball on Tuesday. Let's dive into it. Try

(01:12):
to find some trends in, try to get to know
these teams a little bit better. Games for yesterday is
Greg buzzing about? Here is the rowdy recap. How about
the hoopla out there in Arizona? Twelve to eleven and
ten innings they take down the Chicago Cubs. Ian app
had a grand slam in this one to make things interesting.
It's first of the campaign that comes off of Kyle Nelson,
who followed up Tommy Andry who did not have it

(01:33):
in this one. Five runsurrendered in four and a third innings,
got to go to give you five outs out of
the bullpen, scoreless and then at least fore us Kyle
Nelson good mind to get two outs. They gave up
six runs with Nelson giving up that grand Slam, but
you got a Castro two and a third inning scoreless
and Kevin kle lens the scoreless setting. Meanwhile, for the
Chicago Cubs, he got an even worse start out of
the Professor and Kyle Hendricks. Seven runs surrendered in four

(01:54):
and a third innings, including a pair of home runs
Jack Peterson first sum run season. And then you had
home run number five for Lord of Scaryel and Caitel Marte.
In the ninth NA with his team down by one,
he had a Marte parte with two outs, he goes
zip off of adbar Alsley that is home run number
four of the campaign. And then from there Arizona with
Rano Gritchick, they were able to walk it off as

(02:15):
the Cubs lose this game despite going seven of eighteen
with men in scoring position and straining just five men
on base. For the Diamondbacks, they went two of thirteen
with men in scoring position, so they cash in and
they were able to get the job done. So a
nice win for the Arizona Diamondbacks and a almighty rough
one for the Chicago Cubs after the LLI Dodgers loss
has a very very Mondo favorite on Monday. On Tuesday,

(02:38):
they were able to restore order. Patrick Corbin continues to
be Patrick Corbin six to two the LLI Dodgers. They
find a way to be able to get the job
done for Washington, Jesse Winker does go deep off of
Ryan Yarboro second Holme round season as Yarborough was utilized
as the bulk guy as you had two score of
settings in this one from the Hurt Locker and Kyle Hurt.
From there, Yarborough gives up that ome run two runs

(02:58):
a total over course at five innings. Joe Kelly, Danny Hudson,
they both provide a score setting from there, and Key
k Ernandez, who's been rough this far this season, takes
Patrick Corbin deep first um run in the campaign. For
Corbin gives up five runs at six out of the
third innings, including that home run. Tanneriny gives up a
run in an ending and the Derek Law to outs
out of the bullpen's scoreless. So they find a way
to be able to get the job done out there.

(03:19):
So ELI Dodgers back on kilter and for the Dodgers,
Since the beginning of the twenty twenty two campaign, this
team has won two hundred and twenty three regular season games.
All but thirty five of them have been by multiple runs.
You saw the Seattle Mariners be able to get a
win over the Cincinnati Reds this by a count of
three to one. Reds have been one of your top
over teams in the league by the way, twelve overs

(03:40):
to five unders. But they just could not generate a
lot of offense. Here. They leave six men on base
and runner green. It was a I mean solid starting
in terms of not allowing runs, but not in terms
of length. He knocks himself early eight strikeouts, three walks
and four innings, giving up one run from their Amelia
Pagan gives up a run in a third ending, Justin
Wilson gives up a run in an ending, and then yeah,
Brent Souter provide two score settings for Nando Cruz. He

(04:02):
was able to give you a pairabouts out the bullpen
scroll ascent for Logan Gilbert. Another really nice start six
and two third. Sennings allows just one run, Andres Munoz
Ryan Santak combined for two Scrores Sennings and Taylor Socado
got the final out of the games to be able
to get the job done. For the Seattle Manners, who
now played eleven hunders, six overs and a push, they
have been one of your top hundred teams in all

(04:22):
of baseball. And for the Mariners, they win this game
despite leaving folve men on basin going one of seventh
men in scoring position. The Atlanta Braves, they have been
one of your top over teams in all of baseball.
Ten overs, five hundred cent a push in they take
down the Houston Asterers by kount of six to two.
The Asters six and thirteen to begin the season as
Orlando Arcia, all, I see you getting your first home
run season off of Hunter Brown, who gave up two

(04:43):
runs at six innings, which that is much better than
what he had done in his previous two starts. Previous
to it starts three and two third sennings, he had
a lot of fourteen runs, so improvement there. Sean Dubin
though he rolled adobe four runs surrendered in two and
a third innings, and Forrest Widley gets a paarabouts out
of the bullpen, scoreless for you, and Kyle Tucker goes
zep off of Aaron bummer fifth home run season, but

(05:03):
I mean for the Houston Astros that was a loan
bright spot in a bummer as Aaron Bummer gives up
those two runs in two thirds finn ending. As we know,
the Lopez looking really good as a starter for the
Inlanta Bury six scorrels settings the other man's Joey Meeniz.
They both are able to supply squirrel setting and then
you get an out out of the bullpen from Rossie
Oglesias to be able to wrap things up. The Oakland
A's are now nine to one on the run line

(05:23):
as in underdog in their last in in games on
three as a favorite in that time span as well,
But I said the Cardinals they win by a count
of three to two. For Lancelyn, not a bad third year.
He gives up two runs, one of which was earned
in seven innings, did allow a home run to Kyle
McKennon his first Ummer on the season. That was pretty
much a low mistake that he made from there. Jojo
Romero Ryan Helsley closed it over with the scoreless eighth

(05:45):
and ninth inning in for Oakland. Not bad pitching here.
Jp Sears gives up one run over the course of
five innings. Danny Amenez does allow two runs in two
thirds of finning, but t J McFarland and out of
the bullpen, and then you got three innings of relief
from Mitch Spence as he was able to turn his scoreless,
was able to get five strikeouts along the way. But
the Oaklands have been very miserable at the plate this

(06:06):
far the season, and that continued in this one. And
the Cardinals are now your top under team in all
of baseball. Five overs, eleven hundreds and two pushes. The
next best under team is a Philadelphia Phillies, say blank
the colrad Rockies five to zero. The final Rockies are
now four and fourteen and not looking great for them,
to say the least. Austin Gomber gets gombered up, giving
up three runs in five and a third innings, giving
up a home run along the way t J. Tri

(06:27):
Muto third home run season. Then Tyler Kinley serves the
one up to a Bryce Harper fourth home run of
the season, just a second game at which Rice Harper
has had a home run in by the way, as
Kinley allows two runs and is ending of work including
that bomb, and Victor Vodnik has actually been very good
in this Rockies bullpen one and two thirds endings scoreless.
But what was better was Rangers sworez complete game. He

(06:47):
gets eight strikeouts, does not allow a run. I believe
that it's like the second or third complete game we've
seen all season long. They become a rarity, but Suarez
pulls it off. The Phillies they're able to get it done.
The Detroit Tigers also able to get it done. They
down the Walker Texas Rangers by account of four to
two as fifty five shades of John Gray not bad
in this one. He gives up two runs, one of
which was earned at six innings, and then Jose Reinainya

(07:09):
is all over the game, gives up a run in
one and two thirds innings, and Jordan Lats He gets
an out out of the bullpen, but a lot of
run along the way. As for Detroit, a very good
showing from the bullpen once again, Andrew chaff and Jason
Fully two scrolls settings between the two of them. Alex
Lang a squirrels saying, and Casey Mice gives up two
runs over the course of six innings. So a Teguers
team that has been playing a lot of unders themselves,

(07:30):
six overs, ten hunders and a push. They do find
a way to be able to get the job done
and they get the win. R DKA over right. A
pick was in Andrea. It was in the Orioles versus
Twins game, and unfortunately Chris Paddock late they'd heard eleven
to three the final in this one. As for Chris
Paddock gives up nine runs and five and the third
innings Why they let him go that long? I have
no idea, but a lot of pair of bombs along
the way. For Baltimore gunner Henderson his fifth home run season.

(07:53):
Jordan Westburg is fourth. As pretty much all these runs
came with two outs, by the way, so that made
it all the more brute. But Ryan O'Hearn a little
bit later on off of Ja Jackson, he gets home
run number four of the campaign himself. For mister j
Jackson gives up two runs in two innings scale theobar,
he gets a pair of outside the bullpen squirrel ascent.
For the Minnesota Twins, they go just two of ten
with men in scoring position. Byron Buckson was able to

(08:15):
generate a ripple, but for Gray Soronrodriguez sixteenth straight starting
which he allows three earned runs or fewer two runs
are undered in six innings. Mike Bauman allows a run
and one and a third innings, and Joan Ramirez one
in two thirds innings. Score is so the Oriels they
get a nice seamless win there, and for the San
Diego Padres, they find a way to be able to
get it done by kind of six to three over
the Brewers. Brewers, by the way, your top overteam twelve

(08:36):
overs of four hunders. Offense has been cooling down a
little bit, three runs approximately in each other last two games,
and Wade Miley was not having a party out there
in Milwaukee. Four runs, three of which were earned, given
up in three innings by him, including a home run
to Hassel Kim, third home run of the campaign for him.
From there, Ebner Uribe, Hobi Wilner, they combined for three
score of settings, and you had Elvis Pigueto enter the

(08:57):
building and give up two runs in the third of
an angel gives you a score of setting, and then
Jerry Coning he was able to come in for five
outside of the bullpen score as Meanwhile, for the patters.
Dylan sees pretty solid start, one run surrendered in six innings.
He did walk five, but he punched out seven, Audrey
and moot A hoone. He gives up a run in
two thirds Venning and Johnny Brido one and a third
innings gives up a run before Yuki Matsui and Wandi

(09:19):
Pearltic in my first squirrel of signing to be able
to stem the tide out there also being able to
stem the tide, the Tampa Bay Rays seven to six
are able to take down the La Angels in thirteen innings.
This game was a wild one, to say the least.
Entering in extra innings it was three to three, so
you were on the fritz with the guys I total anyway,
but ose Soriano walks five, but when he gives up

(09:39):
one run over the course of five innings. From there,
Lewis Garcia, Matt Moore, Hunter Strickland, Carlosis Steves, they'll come
into the game first, three guys and more Strickland and
Garcia all land a squirrel setting b A. Seves gives
up two runs in his ending of work. From there,
ose C Sirroo has to turn two innings gives up
two hundred runs and then Carson Former gives up two runs,
one of which was earned, including the winning go by

(10:00):
Ahmed Rosario. Meanwhile, for the La Angels, they go on
off nine with menning scoring position and they let strands
seven min on base despite the fact that this game
went thirteen innings. Loganna Hoppy went deep, Afaveri and Sevali
as a mickey moniac. Moniac is first of the season
for Olhapi, his second for Savali gives up three runs
over the course of six innings, but he had Chris Stavinski,
Sewan Armstrong, Calm Bouchet, I'll lend a squirrel, setting, Pete Fairbanks,

(10:23):
Jason Adam, they both give up an under run. In
their extra ending of work, Garrek Clevenger gives up an
underrun and then but Phil Maton turns the scoreless one
end for the race, they go four of eighteen with
men in scoring position, but enough to be able to
get the job done. Also being able to get the
job done an extras the Cleveland Guardians ten to seven
in eleven innings against the Boston Red Sox. For the Guardians,

(10:44):
Santa Riby not long for this game, but not bad.
One run surrendered over the course of five innings. I
would say solo shot is going deep off of him.
It was home run number two of the campaign for
Emmanuel Veldes. From there you did have Tyler Beattie give
up a pair of home runs, Connor Wong his second
old run season. Tristan Cossas is fifth as rebading. Not
a great showing here three runs are undered in a

(11:04):
third of editing, including a pair of home runs. And
then you add Kate Smith give up two runs in
two thirds of niting. But Eli Morgan two squirrel of settings.
Hunter gaddis the squirrel of signings. Scott Barlow a squirrel
of signing in a manual Class A gives up an
under run. It is extra ending of work. But you
were able to get home run number two of the
campaign from Tyler Freeman. He's able to go deep off
of Jolie Rodriguez, who gives up three runs too, of

(11:26):
which we're earned in his two innings. Here Woodlock once
again not a bad sarah, but once again not a
lot of length, only goes fifty four pitches, gives up
two runs over the course of four innings. I believe
that he's the on with a little bit of an ailment,
will need a double check on that brought Brandon Bernardino
Chris Martin from there, both on the squirrel is setting,
but Kenley Jansen he gives up a run and is
ending of work, which leads to extra innings. Craig Wiser
gives up an under and run in an nning, and

(11:48):
the Josh Winkowski three runs, two of which were earned,
giving up in the eleven So that's a big giant
issue for the Boston Red Sox and another gut wrenching loss.
Hey the Miami Marlins were able to get a win
those six to three final. By the way, the White
Sox did not lose yesterday. Their game got rained out,
so they did not lose, So celebrate the little things,
White Sox fans. As for the San Francisco Giants, Matt

(12:09):
Jadman had himself a nice game, gives epof of Ryan
Weathers for his fourth home run season, but for Weathers
punches out ten swing of his stuff, way up from
two runs were undered at six innings, including that home run.
Bert Smith from there gives up a run in a
third of n enning, but Calvin Fotcher was able to
give you one and two thirds ending scrolls Tanner Scott
a squirrel is setting as well. And for the Miami Marlins,
they don't get any home runs, but they go four

(12:30):
or fourteen with men and scoring position and they hit
the bullpen rd. As for Jordan Nicks, not a bad
start to hear. Two runs are rendered over the course
of five innings, but Ryan Walker gives up three runs
in two thirds of n ning, and Nick Avola give
up a run in and his ending. As you add
from there, Eric Miller being able to sply a scorel
of setting in and out on the bullpen from Taylor
Rogers to be able to allow the Miami Marlins to
be able to get the job done out there. And

(12:50):
the Blue Jays, it's been up and down for them,
but they get it done by account of five to four.
Really hard to believe that the Blue Jays are ten
and eight with the way that they've looked on the field,
by the way, but Carlos hold On not a great
start year, four walks, three runs surrendered over the course
of four innings. From there, Luke Weaver gives up two
runs and one and two thirds innings Victor Gonzalez a
scroll is setting and then Nick Birdie was able to

(13:10):
give you five outs out of the bullpen. Scoreless for
the Yankees. Not a ton of heart contact in this one.
They were able to get to the bullpen as Trevor
Richards allows two runs. It is hunting work and Jordan Romano,
he fresh off the injured list, gave up a run
in an ending but was slowly to get to save
Emy Garcia a squirrel of setting and Usai Kikuchi just
continues to be tremendous nine punchouts, gives up a one

(13:31):
run over the course of six innings. Since he all
started break last season, he has just been a completely
newly revamped pitcher. And for the Mets, they're looking to
be newly revamped as well. Three to one they take
down the Pittsburgh Pirates, says Luis Hortiz takes the yellow
and this one is he comes out of the bullpen
and he gives up three runs and one and two
thirds innings. This spoils what was a very nice outing
for Jared Jones, gives up just one it no walks

(13:54):
in five innings, punches out seven was don't after fifty
nine pitches, fifty of which were strikes, So that was interesting.
I have to wonder if there was some sort of
injury or something, because man, he was rolling from there right.
Ryan gives you a scrorel of setting, and you were
able to get an out of the bullpen as well
from ose Ornandez, but nothing doing for this Pirates lineup.
For the Mets, you had ose Katana come in not

(14:14):
honestly the world's greatest amount of length, but gives up
one on over the course of five innings. Reid Garrett
punches out six guys and two innings, and you had
Ori Lopez Drew Smith both being able to supply the
team with a squirrel of setting as well. And if
you're looking at the trends of baseball right now, we
have been noticing more overs than unders, but it's starting
to iron out one in twenty nine overs to one
on twenty five hundreds. We've seen quite a few pushes

(14:36):
along the way as well, and we've been seeing quite
a few road teams cash one thirty nine and one
twenty three on the money line for them. Meanwhile, favorites
are eating at about fifty eight point seven percent one
fifty two to one oh seven on the money line.
And if you took a look at what we all
got yesterday in baseball, road teams went just four and ten,
so that was a little bit rough and you saw

(14:58):
seven overs two seve an under. So that's where we're
seeing in baseball right now, and that's what we all
got on Tuesday. Now, let's turning forward to Wednesday's Action
with Shawn's Ruler does a great job breaking down this
fine game over at Action Network. He joins me next
right here on the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson,
now a part of Lisa's Family.

Speaker 1 (15:13):
Podcasts, breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (15:28):
Immer back You'll love you Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson now part of the
Vison Family podcast. Always great to be joined by this
man as Seawan Zulla does tremendous workover at Action Network.
Take you a look at this great game that we
all know and love of baseball. He does a tremendous
job with his model day in and day out. Couple
with that for those are fans of the UFC does
a great job with this UFC model as well. Boy

(15:50):
was that a big weekend for UFC. An absolutely tremendous
card out there, and I feel like we've got a
pretty tremendous card of baseball for this Wednesday as well.
That will break down with Sean and we'll follow on
Twitter's at his first MLAs same Sean's role that l
assume as spells Z E R I LLO altogether and
Sean always great to have you board.

Speaker 3 (16:07):
Thank you, yeah, Greg, thank you for having me. Looking
forward to this slate for Wednesday. Sixteen games on the board,
including a doubleheader, and I should have quite a bit
of bets already, have twelve loked in for this slate.
We have upcomings, so we'll see how many I end
up with by the time these games actually get started
in the afternoon. I tried not to overallocate, considering we
may get a lot of afternoon lineups, but it's also
day before an off day for a lot of teams,

(16:29):
so maybe getting the bullpens fully aired out before we
get that off day. And sometimes these games are more
fun to handicap. There was a number of games on
Tuesday night where everybody's bullpen at Deep Breeze and Angels,
Guardians and Red Sox. So curious to see how these
teams handle their bullpens too, with you know, potentially some
time off coming up.

Speaker 2 (16:45):
Oh absolutely, And I I am so glad that you
brought up the fact that we do have sixteen games
on the board, and I want to start right there.
Just how do you handicap the Chicago White Sox team
that I'm coming into the year. We were all buzzing
that perhaps the Colrad Rockies We're going to be that
worst team in all of baseball. I feel like elevation
and them picking up a few wins might be just
enough to save them from that dubious honor. Because right

(17:07):
now I take a look at the Chicago White Sox,
and especially with having currently Luis Robert a lot I E.
Lawyer men is out the fold, I would rank them
currently as my dead last team in all of baseball.
This has been terrible.

Speaker 3 (17:17):
Oh god, Yeah, their offense is absolutely futrid. And in
terms of handicapping them, I'm basically just like eliminated home
field advantage for them when they're at home, and it's
sort of neutralized, you know, instead of showing an edge
on them for every single game. It's sort of neutralized
to the point where I'm oftentimes not showing an edge
on them, and I kind of align with the game.
So I don't know if that's what books do too,
you know, I'm not sure how how sportsbooks go about

(17:39):
handicapping a team that's this poor and they just like
kind of take out the home field advantage that you
would normally give to any other team. But that's what
I've been doing with the White Sox so far, and
it's brought me a little bit more in line with
the market. Unfortunately, Jonathan Cannon start today was getting a
little bit into range at plus one seventy. I kind
of make this line closer to about plus one forty
for Chicago assuming that same Singer Candon matchup in the

(18:01):
first game of that double hutder Singers actually concerned me
a little bit. His velocity's down relative to previous seasons,
and if he's not able to get the bilo backup
on that slider, I'm not really sure what he is
in terms of a pitcher. But I do like this
Royals team, and I talked about it a bunch today,
So it's worth reiterating here. I do think there's value.
I think you can justify value on the Royals depending
on which projections they're using. They have such a wide

(18:22):
range of outcomes across the projection market. I've seen them
as low as eight percent to make the playoffs, as
low as three percent to win the ALE Central, but
then as high as thirty three percent and twenty percent respectively.
And if you're getting up to those numbers, you can justify,
you know, a five to one division better or a
plus two to sixty make the playoffs bet on Kansas City,
And I like this team. It's a bad division. I
don't see many holes on this team. I'm just a

(18:44):
little bit worried that Cole Reagan's is going to go
down with an injury at some point. But have a
legitimate syde on candidate, legitimate MVP candidate, and it's a
bad division. So I'm kind of interested in taking Royals
from a future's perspective.

Speaker 2 (18:54):
Yeah, with the Kansay Royals, I do think that they're
a very fascinating team out there in an Al Central
where yeah, offenses have not been getting going, but the
bullpens have been rock solid as well, and just how
have you been handicapping a lot of these teams out
there in the AL Central Because I got burned taking
it under with the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday, just because
the Oriols at this point are really awesome with regards
to their offense. But that said, I take a look

(19:16):
at a lot of these ALS Central teams and I
have a feeling I'll be betting just a whole bunch
of unders this season because while the hitting is honestly
good for a lot of these teams, the bullpen pitching
I feel like might be the best of any out
there in terms of a division in all baseball.

Speaker 3 (19:29):
Yeah, the Twins that we even have you on to
roun back yet struggles offensively, is just performing like absolutely
miserably with runners in scoring position. I'm trying to pull
up the number. Obviously with the Royce Lewis, you know,
getting her Carlos Korea being banged up, like that's going
to take a bunch of stings out of their lineup,
But just in general with runners in scoring position, the
Twins this year three which is dead last in Baseball

(19:51):
twenty and obviously that's going to regress at some point.
You know, we kept saying the same thing about the
Podres all last season, as the Padres remained future runners
and scoring positions for the entire year. But the White
Sox are hitting one fifty five with the runners in
scoring position. The Twins are below that, so I definitely
think there should be some positive regression for the Twins
at some point. I really like Edward Julian. There's a

(20:11):
couple other guys in that lineup that I'm into. I
think they flipped the Matt Wahner back to the Miners
and brought up outs thrill Off today, so we'll see
if that lakes them up a little bit. But it's
just like a tough division to really support any of
these offenses. Besides Kansas City. Kansas City was hitting a
lot at the end of last year. They seem to
have carried it over into this year, and they just
shored up their pitching staff, where I don't really know

(20:32):
if any of the other teams in the division fixed
their weaknesses. I mean, I guess the Guardians pitching is
a little bit better than it was last year, but
that's the identity they were always supposed to have, is
pitching a defense. So Kansas City seems like the most
improved team to me amongst those five teams, and they're
also unfortunately not going to get seventeen or nineteen games
against the White Sox. You're only getting thirteen at this point.
But patting their record early and securing these wins against

(20:54):
the White Sox could be hugely important for them ultimately
down the road. But the White Sox losing Robert losing
y On Mancatta Eli always gets hurt at some point.
It's hard to imagine that the Orioles Triple A lineup
is not better than what the White Sox are putting
on the field at this point.

Speaker 2 (21:09):
Yeah, I mean, man, it's just been so sad to
take a look at this White Sox team and it's
gonna be very hard to be able to back them
moving forward along with the Twins lineup. Though the Twins
bullpen pitching it has been very good to begin the
season has showined me on the show we do have
seawn Zilla does great workover Right Action Network right here
on the Baseball Betting Show, and just through the first
three weeks of the season, that certainly is something that

(21:30):
has stood out to me. The Ale Central teams in
the way that they are not producing offense. But what
have been some of the bigger takeaways from you, whether
that be a team, whether that be a pitcher, or
just what you're seeing in the betting market in general.

Speaker 3 (21:42):
I think the ALE playoff picture is pretty interesting to me,
especially with how Houston started out so poorly. You know,
Houston and Texas should have a number of good pitchers,
quality pitchers coming back at some point. But as Houston
dug themselves too big of a hole and had they
moved too far away from analytics and gone too aggressively
towards scouting, I've been waiting for the switch, the flip. Eventually.
They've made six or seven straight alcs at this point.

(22:03):
But I do think the time for Houston was going
to run out eventually. He was going to run out eventually,
no matter what right it was, just how quickly the
end of this run ended up hitting them. But the
AL East and how I rank these teams out, one
of them has to get squeezed out of the playoff picture,
because if the central division in both leagues, but particularly
the American League is a little bit more competitive than

(22:26):
we expected, if a second central team gets in the playoffs,
it just squeezes out the West and squeezes out the East.
And even if the West and the East play up
to expectations and they end up getting all three of
the wild card spots, you still have the Rays and
the J's and the Orioles and the Yankees and the
Astros and the Mariners and the Ragers fighting for five

(22:47):
spots amongst them. And the team that I like least
amongst them is probably the Toronto Blue Jays. And I
know they got Eric Swanson and Jordan Vermatto, they're two
key late ending relievers back today, but both of those
guys are still dealing with our injuries. I could see
either or them going back on the IL again. Kevin
Gouisman's stuff plus and his overall stuff has been down.
His fastball velocity is down significantly, so I think he

(23:08):
may go on the IL at some point. I don't
think they're gonna get anything more from Alec Minoa. He's
continued to struggle in the minor league. Ricky Tiedaman was
a prospect who's really highly ranked and this great stuff,
but he seems to struggle to stay healthy as well.
They brought up Guaryaol Rodriguez who's performing well in the
minor League. I wasn't super impressed with his start against
the Rockies. I thought he had a ton of hanging
breaking balls, and he really kind of projects as like

(23:28):
a mid forest pitcher going forward. So I don't like
Toronto's pitching, and I don't really like their offense either.
They have some significant holes in the back end of
their lineup with ikf and Kermeyer, Alejandra Kirk and their
catchers really just like have dropped off significantly relative to
what they were a couple of years ago. And Vlad
outside of the season that they played in the minor
league park his power numbers have really gone down as well.

(23:50):
So I'm really kind of low on this Blue Jays
team relative to the market. Pakoda still has them at
seventy percent to make the playoffs. Maybe that's you know,
even a little bit higher after they won and fangrause
eight see those projections have them closer to fifty percent.
But I'm trying to time it bet here on the
Jason miss the playoffs, I imagine they will tick up
to plus money on the know after this one. They
were about minus one oh five today, so assuming the adjustment,

(24:13):
they may get plus money on the Jason Miiss the playoff,
and that's probably where I'd consider entering at this point,
going against the projections that are out there. But I
really just do not like this team on paper. I
do not like the team with the way I've watched them,
and I also just do not like the competition they
have them in the American League. Like I said, if
two central teams end up making it, it's just going
to squeeze out another one of those teams in the
East and the West. So yeah, I think the Jays

(24:35):
or I think the Jays are the most in trouble
amongst those teams, even though the Ashers have started out
so poorly.

Speaker 2 (24:41):
Yeah, I'm right there with you with the Toronto Blue Jays.
I feel like maybe we've been overrating the young hitters
in general. Like I still love lager or Junior, I
love Boba shit, but maybe we gave this just line
up in general a little bit too much praise a
little bit too soon, as they've had a tough time
generating offense. And then to your point, Man, it has
been rough to watch Kevin Gallizman, to say the least,

(25:01):
so pres Kan Jormano back that's gonna help out the bullpen,
but oh, I'm very much out on the Toronto Blue
Jays as well. That does lead into an interesting question
with regards to the game that we are going to
be seeing on Wednesday between Yankees and Jays. With this
being close to a pick them the Blue Jays, and
a lot of spots are right round about of minus
one ten with a total between eight and eight and
a half. Because I don't like the form of Goalzman
right now, but Orkis Stroman since the back half the

(25:24):
season last year as well as honestly been too tremendous.
And I take a look at the total of eight
to eight and a half, and even though I don't
like the form of the Blue Jays offense, I do
feel like it might be a little bit too low.

Speaker 3 (25:34):
Yeah, I like the over here. I projected this total
closer to eight point nine. Galisman, as I mentioned, like
the stuff has dropped off significantly. It was really bout
two starts back as fastball climb back up a touch
in his last start, but it's still rated as a
bolo average pitch for stuff. Plus he's really just very
splitter dependent at this point. And if the Yankees can
sit off of that. The Yankees have a very patient offense.

(25:55):
If they can just sit off the splitter and let
him throw it below his own make him throw it
for strikes, I think they should be able to get
a number of walks against him. So may bet under
or may bet over on Gasman's walks, maybe under on
a strikeout total, but I do like the over in
this matchup Strummans. He had a couple of good starts
to begin the year, gave up four runs against the Marlins,
and his velocity is down as toff plus numbers are

(26:16):
down relative to the past couple years. He's going with
more of a cutter slider mix this year, so a
little bit of a different pitch mix that maybe the
pitch modeling metrics aren't fully encapsulating. But I still think
he's overperformed relative to what he is. I still project
his season long ERA at about four point one, not
like the sub four you know, like three point seven
three point six indicators he's posted. So yeah, I think

(26:38):
I'm belower on both of these pitchers relative to the market.
And as I said, I make this total about eight
point nine, so anything eight and a half over minus
one oh five or so would be a bet for
me and absolutely happy to get eight.

Speaker 2 (26:49):
Yep, I'm right there with you as joining me on
the show. We do have Jean Sean Sirollo does great
work over at Action Network joining me right You're on
the Baseball Betting Show. And I do think that this
game is going to be very dressing as well, because
you alluded to it a lot of extra innings for
the Cleveland Guardians and the Boston Red Sox and Red
Sox felt minus one thirty five and minus one forty
favorites with Tanner Rock going up against Ben Lively and

(27:10):
a total of nine. How do you evaluate this matchup?
Because I do think that the Guardians are the team
that's they will bounce back from an extra ending game
a little bit more than the Red Sox just because
they've got more depth in the bullpen. But the big
role of the dice is what deck are we going
to get out of Ben Lively in this.

Speaker 3 (27:24):
I make this total again like nine point nine, so
another over for me. I think there's several overs on
the board that I like. Angels Rais I mentioned like
every single reliever went in that game, and both the Guardians,
Red Sox and Raise Angels also have to play on Thursday,
so keep that in mind. They need innings from their
starting pitchers because they have exhausted bullpens behind them and
they can't leave nothing left at all for Thursday. So

(27:46):
I like the over here. I like the over in Tampa,
all basically having to do with the bullpens just being
completely exhausted. The temperature and the weather isn't great and
Fenway Park, what's going to be in the fifties, but
the wind is pretty neutral. So Tanner Hawk has always
had pretty dramatic lefty righty's, but the Guardians can load
up with lefties against them, which I really like. I
made this line about plus one twenty two, so no
value on a side for me. I'd probably lean to

(28:08):
the Guardians. If I got like plus one thirty maybe
plus one thirty five would actually be a bet for me.
You know Howck' shown really good stuff this year. A
lot of the Red Sox pitchers have shown really good
stuff this year with Andrew Bailey guiding them. They moved
away from the fastball. They're throwing fastballs less often than
like any team in Major League history that we have
tracked They've gone very heavy with the cutters and the
sliders this year, but I do think How's leftie ready

(28:29):
splits is something that's going to continue to trouble him.
So I like the over in this matchup as well.
I don't project Lively as like anything better than like
a four point seven four point five eer type of pitcher.
Nothing particularly special there, but they also need innings from him.
They got their bridge basically wiped out today and they
have late ending relievers, but not a huge middle reliever
group available for them. I could say even less for

(28:51):
the Red Sox, so putting a lot on How's shoulders
not only to get these lefties out but also to
get through the line up multiple times. So yeah, total
closer to ten for me there. Nine point nine definitely
like another over nine and a half up too, about
minus one oh five, and I was able to get
an over nine, which always happy to get the key
number seven. Nine to eleven.

Speaker 2 (29:07):
Yep, I'm right there with you. I took an over
nine in this game myself, so we are in firm
agreement there, and you were alluding to it. You've got
a lot of plays on the board for this Wednesday,
so take me through just anything that we have yet
did and what you're all liking on this pretty expansive
Wednesday card.

Speaker 3 (29:21):
Yeah, I'll just run down. So I like the Mets
of both have two about minus one thirty five. Britt
Baty got hurt today, but they should be bringing up
Mark Fiantos and sounds like ke Bryan Hayes may not
go for the Pirates as well. Luis Savarino his metrics
were kind of back to where they were when he's
a fully healthy pitcher. I really like what I've seen
from him this year, and I think the Mets have
kind of been underrated and the Pirates overrated relative to
the starts that they had Arizona. Brandon Fought. His numbers

(29:45):
are really jumping off the page this year. I show
a pretty big edge on their first five line. I
like that up to about minus one thirty Phillies in
the first five innings as well. You can bet to
minus to twelve. Happy to lay the juice deep. Rockies
are absolutely futuri against left handed pitching. They had a
seventy four WORC plus last year again lefties, which was
like eight points below any other team, twenty six points
below major league average. This year, they rate like a

(30:06):
seventy one, so basically in the same range, and it's
a lot of the same hitters. So Christopher Sanchez in
the first five innings tomorrow to minus two twelve like
that bet as well. I mentioned the overs in LA
or the overs in Tampa, Boston and Toronto. Those are
the three totals on my card aside from I actually
bet the Phillies under the Phillies have a fully rested
bullpen tomorrow, with the fact that Ranger Suarez went all

(30:28):
nine innings tonight. And Ryan Felder's actually been okay this year.
He's showing he's like the one starting pitcher on the
Rockies who's not like an automatic fake candidate for me,
He's shown better metrics this season, a little bit interested in,
you know, Felter happening to keep this total under eight.
It's always a little scary betting a Rockies pitching staff
to suppress the other team's offense. You know, this feels
like it could be a nine nothing Phillies victory. I

(30:49):
kind of wanted to bet the Rockies team total under
three and a half, but I make it about three
point two. And it was used to like minus one
forty on the three and a half, so there's there's
no technical edge there, but definitely like the Phillies in
the first and then also the under eight. We'll see
what else I end up adding to my card. I'm
waiting for the evening games on Wednesday to wrap up.
I need to see who gets to used from the
Diamondbacks bullpen because the Diamondbacks and Cubs have used like

(31:10):
every reliever of the past two days, so that may
potentially be an OVERBT, But mostly I'm really waiting to
see how much of the Dbacks pun gets used because
I make them about minus one thirty for the full game,
minus one thirty eight for the first five innings. That's
my biggest overnight edge at the moment, so definitely gonna
be targeting the Diamondbacks in both.

Speaker 2 (31:25):
Yeah, I'm right there with you and the Cubs. They
were able to hit on Tuesday, but they have not
been the same offense when they've been away from home
rather than when they have been at home. And TI
your point about the Cubs, They've used darn near everyone
in the bullpen, and with Jordan Wick's going is not
want any length at all, fewer than five innings in
each out of its first three starts of the season.
So I'm right there with you on the Ears and
the Diamondbacks, and Sean, I know you're doing an amazing

(31:47):
job taking a look at this great game of baseball.
And I know you're also doing great work on the
UFC front. So let the good people at home know
it's all on tech for you and how people can
fall on on social media and other platforms.

Speaker 3 (31:57):
Yeah, no UFC card. This week's says they had a
week off. You know, so often they've been going non
stops in January. But now thank you for having me, Greg.
You can find all my bets in the Action Network app.
I post everything for free. I post my price targets
in there usually between ten pm and midnight East Coast
time every night. And you can find my opening pitch column,
which is basically writing up my biggest overnight edges in

(32:17):
the early hours of the morning, if not first thing
when you wake up each morning on Monday through Thursday.
So thank you for having me, Greg. Always a pleasure
talking to you, and glad we're in agreement on some plays.

Speaker 2 (32:26):
Absolutely, I was picking up what Sean was putting down.
He is with me on a lot of these plays
and Sean does a tremendous job taking a look at
this great game of baseball, and every single time he
joins me once tremendous insight. So big thanks to Sean's
zerole of Action Network for showing to me on the
Baseball Betting Show now part of the Visa Family podcast
and coming in next. It is that time the podcast
they give you picks and analysis on every game on

(32:47):
the betting board for this Baseball Wednesday as we touch him.

Speaker 1 (32:50):
Up, breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peters.

Speaker 2 (33:02):
Ever Mike your love you Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Shoe with myself Greg Peterson now part of the
Beason Family and podcasts. Always great to be joined by
Sean Zerrilla. It does great workover at Action Network. Every
single time he joins us, I feel like we get
a little bit smarter about this great game that we
all know and love. And he did a tremendous shot
breaking down this card for Wednesday. So big thanks to

(33:23):
him for joining me in the last segment. Now it
is that time the podcast. It give me picks in
analysis on every game on the betting board for this
Baseball Wednesday, as we touch them all.

Speaker 3 (33:31):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and a total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (33:37):
Do you know that as per usual, any changes there
made to these plays will be listed up on my
Twitter slash x feed at Juden unders forty one. And
we're going to be going in loss excitation or this
is where we go to the Nation League games first,
then the American League games, any inter league games as
we're going to be at the bottom. Though we do
have now a double header between the Royals and the
White Sox. The game that was supposed to be taking

(33:57):
place on Tuesday got added to the board on Wednesday
because board had been set beforehand, and well you have
to add a game when you have a game that
gets postponed and then played the next day. So how
about if we start things off with nine to one,
I know two on the bank board. The Miami Marlins
are going to be playing us to the San Francisco Giants,
says Trevor Rodgers gets a start for the Miami Marlins,
and Keaton Win is gonna be on the bump for

(34:19):
the Giants, and the Giants to find themselves as favorites
of anywhere between minus one twenty three to a minus
one thirty eight, between plus one ten zero plus one
fifteen is your number on the Miami Marlins till this
game is eight and a half over and under any
between minus one five to a minus one fifteen, and
I'm gonna be willing to lay the number with the Giants,
set them as a minus one thirty four favorite. Trevor Rodgers,

(34:40):
when he was fully healthy during the twenty twenty two campaign,
was relatively brutal when he was at home. He had
a er at home that was north of five, and
Miami is supposed to be one of the most pitcher
friendly ballparks out there in the Big League, so that's
a little bit rough. But in his first three starts
of the season, Rogers has done a nice job keeping
the ball in the yard, giving up no home runs
in fifteen innings, giving up a lot of general contact.

(35:01):
He's got a whip of a one to eighty seven,
so lots of caution there. Feels like it could be
a little bit worse than what it has been, though,
one of the starts was also against the Atlanta Braves,
and when you go up against the Atlanta Braves, that
is something that you need to take into account as well.
But for Keaton win like what I've seen out of
him thus far this season. The five oh sixty ra
in my opinion, doesn't speak to you the way that
he's been able to develop as a pitcher. Six plus

(35:23):
punch outs in two out of his restarts thus far
this season, and just overall, if he can lock in
a little bit more in terms of command, I think
that he's gonna be able to do a nice job.
Seven walks in sixteen innings thus far this season, and
he did give up three walks in his life start
against the Tampa Bay Rays, but still film five innings,
gave up just two runs, does an okay job. I'll
be able to keep the ball in the art and
he's backed up by a bullpen that I'm not gonna

(35:43):
call it amazing for the Giants, but it's okay. Tyler
and Taylor Rogers, both of these guys are able to
give you some good endings. Along Land and rob these
guys have been in the bottom half of the big
leagues with regards to Bullpenny ra that's far this season.
But I think that there's more upside with this bullpen
rather than that of the Miami Marlins, where George Shoorano,
he was so good last year, has been awful. Six
of Sanchez has not been good in this bullpenber Smith

(36:05):
is giving up runs of plenty and right now you're
lying pink guys like Gooz Carbards Open and Brian Hoying,
which that's not a place where you want to be.
A couple that with the fact that the Miami Marlands
have been theo with a little bit of ailment slash
illness to Jake Berger's really their top home run hitter
he last year at twenty five plus home runs. So
now you're lying pin guys like Brian, David Cruz and
Josh Bell to be hear me power bats. You've had

(36:26):
Louise Rice be able to get online. He's now eating
once again in the north of two ninety and a
three seventy on baso. That has been encouraging. But Acu Sanchez,
Fidel Bujon, Emmanuel Rivera and Nick Fortes, guys like this
at the bottom of fold have an absolutely brutal and
for the Giants haven't gotten a ton of Matchapman just
he had in terms of moving the blind, but had
a multi hight game yesterday. Perhaps that's gonna be able
to bust him out a little bit. And the guys,

(36:48):
like they comment Michael Conforto, they've found a way to
be able to get on base, Comforto having himself a
really nice year heat a long chairman, both have been
able to supply for him runs or a Hilaire not
giving you a line in terms of average, but he's
been able for power as well. And he's facing up
against his former team in the Miami Marlins. I do
think the Keton win going to be able to go
out there when the relative we saw it starting, and
I do think the trvot Rogers after he gave up

(37:08):
a bunch of bits in his last start against the
Atlanta Breys, he's going to be a little bit more
bulletprof here against a Giant team that has been averaging
about five point one five point two runs per game
away from mom But still have some question marks with
that lineup, and certainly have my question marks with the
Miami Marlins, both with the lineup and the bullpen. So
going to be one to lay with the Giants at
them as a minus one thirty four favorite, and Sei
I told at eight point three here at the U and
alf also diving in on the under nine of three

(37:30):
nine to four on the betting board. Is the San
Diego Potres. They throw other facing up against the Milwaukee Brewers.
For the Brewers, I was seeing on ESPN Freddy Peralta.
As of right now it is to be determinant. Michael
King hopes to be the king for the San Diego Padres.
So Michell see what is going to be happening with
the Milwaukee Brewers. Because when it was supposed to be
Peralta versus Michael King, I set the Brewers where I

(37:51):
was willing to lay a minus one thirty five on them,
and then in eight or less I was taking a
look at the over and after hire I was going
to be diving in on the under. But with the Brewers,
if they don't throw Freddy Pearlton in this game, and
from what I'm seeing, there's a chance he still goes,
but there's a chance he doesn't go. If this is
indeed a bullpen game, you're probably looking at a lot
of Bryce Wilson ere You're probably going to be looking

(38:12):
at some of these other guys coming in. Perhaps this
is going to be a spot where you're going to
be lending multiple innings, and someone like Joe Pioms, who
has won multiple innings throughout his career. Thigo Vieira might
be a candidate to see some innings as well, so
it's probably going to be a poopoo plighter of pitchers.
I'd probably be setting the Padres more around about a
minus one oh five minus one ten somewhere in that neighborhood,
depending pond. If the Brewers call someone up so Padres

(38:34):
has a very slight favorite, then this would bump up
the total to wear an a and a half for us.
I'd be looking at the over a nine or higher.
I'd be looking at the under. I do think that
the Burrs are going to start to regress a little
bit with their offense, and we've seen it the last
two nights. Last two nights against the San Diego Padres,
three runs a piece for a Burgers team that entered
into the series number one in the Big Leagues with
regards to runs per game. And I think that it's
fair to say that this Brewers team is going to

(38:56):
be better with their bets then we thought coming into
the season. Christian Yalich has been looking like the Christian
Yelich of old when he's been out there with five
plus home runs. But he moves to the ten day
injured list. That's absolutely brutal for the scene. But so
if Jackson Trarrio, Reese Hoskins, William Damas, William Catreras, I'll
give you between three and four home runs. All these
guys really SAMs Hoskins have been able to do a
solid job of hitting for a relatively solid average as

(39:19):
Adamis along with William Catraz, they're both ending above a
three hundred right now. So like what I've seen there,
but I do think that there's gonna be a bit
of a fall. If you look on Baseball Savon, the
Brewers entered into Tuesday hitting about thirty five points higher
with their average than their expected betting average. Meanwhile, for
the San Diego Padres, Jackson Merrill has been off to
a tremendous start to the season, doing a nice job
with the four hundred on base, not supplying a ton

(39:40):
of power, but finding way to be able to get
on base. And that's all you need when you've got
Manny Machado Fernando Tatis Junior supplying a combined nine home runs.
Both of these guys have been able to do a
nice job moving the line, with Tatis being able to
give you about a three hundred batting average and on
base percent north of Ay three seventy five. Jay Coronerworth
isn't necessarily amazing, but he's had a much better start
to this season then a season go three home runs

(40:01):
three thirty three on base He'll take that. The one
place where the potteris are seriously outgone though, that would
be in the bullpen they pick up in the offseason
Wandy Perlta and Ya Danel Santos. That helps out a
little bit. But Tom Costgrove has been terrible this season
after last year he had a unreal year. Johnny Brito,
he is a big giant faith in this bullpen. Doesn't
have a lot of faith in Roberts Warez and for
the brewers if they're able to just tobble up like

(40:22):
four or five half way decent innings. Got Hoby Milner,
Elvis Piguero, Joe Piamps, all guys that had a sub
three era. He sees to goo. Brian Hudson has been
relatively solid in this bullpen as well, so interesting spot.
If the Birds who throw Freddy perlt I'd be willing
to lay up to a minus one thirty five with them.
If the Potters are not facing out against Freddy Perlta,
I make Michael King the favorite because with the Gang

(40:43):
he did have a rough start where he gave up
the seven runs against the ELI Dodgers, but all in all,
since he became a starter towards back half the season
last year with the New York Yankees of Sub three
Era has really good swinging mis stuff. As the startered,
he's still being able to get about ten punchouts. Bernie
and Ennings command has been a little bit all over
the place. The thirteen walks in nineteen and a third
innings been a bit of an issue, but had said
would be willing to place King as more round about

(41:03):
a minus one five to one minus one ten favorite
if they're not facing Pearlton with peralta eight or loss.
Looking at the over eight and a half or I or
the under. If there's no Pearlta a and a half
or luss the over nine or higher, the under nine
to five, nine to six on the betting board. The
New York Mets are going to be playing us to
the Pittsburgh Priates. Bailey Falter hopes and not live up
to his name for the Pirates and Luis seventy you
know is on the bump for the Mets and the

(41:24):
Mets to find themselves as any between minus one thirty
two to minus one forty five favorites, any between plus
one twenty plus one twenty eight set number on Pittsburgh
eight to eight and a half and the total on
the eight over his minus one fifteen. The under is
minus one of five on the eight and a half
unders between minus one fifteen oh minus one twenty five
overs between minus one oh five to a plus one
oh five. And for Severino and the Mets, I can

(41:44):
only make them a minus one awaight favorite. I'm gonna
be willing to take the plus price here with Pittsburgh Priors.
Bailey Felter is not necessarily lighting the world on fire,
is not necessarily that amazing pitcher. But what he does
is he reduces the walks and he doesn't beat himself.
As far this season, he has looked like a different
four of himself as well, only getting three and half
strikeouts for nine innings. But you know what, in three

(42:04):
starts he has given up seven runs for walks. In
this time span, he's been able to do a nice
job of just simply holding down the four den he
goes up against someone in the least A Reno's but
off to a better start this year than he had
a season goo He season ago he was just getting
banged around like a pinata. He had an er last
season that was a six sixty five. This season has
allowed just five earned runs in fifteen innings, but has

(42:26):
been on the hook for four hundred runs as well
as fielding dependents starting or point higher than his eras
He's still give it up right around about three and
a half boks per nine innings he faces at Pittsburgh. Pirates
lineup that the best word doing to describe them is inconsistent.
As the last few nights they just have not been
able to provide a lot of offense. Three runs are
fewer in three other last four games, and if you
want to date it back a little bit further, in

(42:48):
now five out of their last seven. But you've got
connor Jo who's able to make things go. He's been
able to give you about a three to ninety on
base after like the fact that O'Neill Kruz has been
able to stay healthy thus far this season with three
home runs, but he needs a move the line a
little bit more. He Henry Davis, Jacks Winisky hitting it
two twenty or lower. That's a big issue for the
seam and Michael ay Taylor after at start to the season,
has cooled off a little bit. But I do like

(43:09):
this Pirates bullpen as well. David Benner a rold As
Chaman is a really good one two punch at the
back half of a game. You've got Colin Holderman, who
he's a former Met that isn't a great reliever, but
he's not too bad. He can give you formidable endings
ose Rnandez and for the Mets, Edwin Diaz is absolutely
tremendous at being able to close out games, but they've
had to use him quite a bit in these last
few days. Jake Deekman has been a up and down

(43:30):
guy throughout his career. Great with the Rays last year,
terrible with the Chicago White Sox prior to that. And
this is not the Rays organization I can tell you
that Brooks, Railey, Drew Smith, they do a formidable job.
And for the Mets, they're incredibly inconsistent with their offense
as well. They very much rely upon Pete Alonzo in
his power six home runs as far as the season, well,
providing about a three fifty on bas Sarley Martinez done
a solid job to be able to move the line

(43:51):
a lot with Brett Baddy, but Baddy is dealing with
a little bit of an injury as well, so I
want to be checking in on that front, because if
you don't have him in the fold, that means that
he had to take out the guys I just mentioned.
You got one other player that has seen north of
fifty fasts as far this season that's sitting above a
two forty, So you don't assly have a ton around
these guys. Francisco Lindor has been miserable at the plate
thus far this season, And I do think that for

(44:13):
the Pittsburgh Pirates, they're going to be able to get
a okay start out of Bailey Falter. Not amazing, but
I do think maybe he does enough to be able
to get the job done here. I'm gonna be looking
at the Pirates on the money line, and I do
think that they can get to Luis Severino. I did
something I told out an eight point seven, so riding
with the buckos and with regards to total, I'm gonna
be taking a look at the eight to eight and
a half over nine seven, nine to eight on the
bank board. It is he watching the Nationals there other

(44:34):
phrasing cop against the La Dodgers. For the Nationals it
is going to be Jake Irvin and for the Dodgers
it is old to be determined. We were thinking that
it was going to be Yashi Nobu Yamamoto, but it
looks like it's gonna be Landon Kannak who's going to
be getting to start. This will be as mob debut
with it being neck versus Irvin. I personally made my
handicapped where I'm all in the lay up to a

(44:55):
minus one thirty on the Dodgers run line. I set
them on the money line at a minus two thirty six,
and then with regards to total, I said it at
a nine point seven, so nine and a half or less.
Looking at the overten or ire to the underhand would
need at least eight plus two thirty seven. That's take
a shot on the Nationals. Jake Irvin has shown some
signs of being relatively okay. Swinging himself is up a
little bit from a season ago. Last year he was

(45:15):
getting less than six halves strikeouts for nine innings. Really
wasn't able to put guys away. But fourteen strikeouts in
seventeen innings that sign stuff being able to move in
the right direction. Five walks in seventeen innings not amazing,
but it looks like he's going to be a hold
down the four pitcher. Meanwhile, for Neck in his MLB debut,
he was actually a second round pickout of Etsu a
few seasons ago. That's East endz State University, and he's

(45:36):
been solid at the minor league level. He has made
quite a few starts for Oklahoma City, which is out
there in a juice ball PCL, and has been able
to hold his own with a sub three seventy five
ERA at the Triple A level and the PCL is
actually really good, not necessarily blowaway strikeouts stuff. At the
minor league level, he's always for his career been right
around about ten punchouts for nine nings. Last few seasons

(45:57):
has been closer to nine strikeouts for nine, but does
a nice job not giving out a ton of walks.
Has really been able to mitigate our contact. So I
do like his upside here, and he's got a lineup
that all he needs to do is pretty much present
like five innings and three runs, and they'll have his
back because Mookie Betts, Saskar and de Shoi, your tany,
Max Munsey all four plus home runs entering into the
game yesterday, and all these guys have really done a

(46:20):
nice job moving the line. All these guys, I've been
able to give you at least a three forty on base,
everyone except for Munsey hitting at least a two to
eighty five. Shoyotani has really been able to get his
back together as well. You've got Freddy Freeman who's not
hitting for a ton of power right now, but still
giving you downe air four hunner on base. Will Smith
has given you Darney air four nunner on base. The
Buttom the Fold guys like Gavin Luz Chris Taylor, they
need to pick it up. But for the Washington Nationals,

(46:41):
do you have to have your interrepidations with this lineup
as well? Joey Gallas right now, your main power guy,
and he's hitting a buck forty better than myself. That's
not where you want to be, though. Jesse Winker has
been amazing, nearly a five hundred on base Forum. He's
supplied a home run yesterday, really the main form of
offense for them yesterday. And c j Airbrums three plus
home runs. He's able to give you three sixty five
on Acy's able to swipe a few bags. But what

(47:02):
are you gonna be able to get out some of
these guys like Eddie Rosario, nick Son Zell the catcher
spot in general with Kei Berruizl and Drew Millis. These
guys have not necessarily stepped up, And for the La Dodgers,
this bullpen has not nessly been the same that it
has been in past seasons. They'd let go of Shelby
Miller in the out season, Cabin ferguson guys like this,
and Ryan Brazier is not quite as effective as he

(47:22):
was a season ago. But Evian Phillips he's been able
to do a nice job in the closers role. You've
got Danny Hudson who's very reliable as well. For the
Washington Nationals. I do like what they've been able to
get out of more of these guys like Jordan Weems.
Kyle fin again is a guy that I really don't
trust at the closer spot, but Derek Low has been
very solid for the seam as well, so it's a
very interesting spot. I do think that the Washington Nationals

(47:42):
are gonna have a little bit of a rough time
yere after Patrick Rbin did not get necessarily give the
start that they were desiring on Tuesday, Shock Jock surprize surprise.
So we want to go to a nine and a
half for less on the over ten or hire to
the under end for the Dodgers on to life till
minus one thirty on that run line. At least I'll
plus two thirty seven to take a shot on the
Nationals money line. Nine oh nine nine ten on the
betting board is going to be the de Can Network

(48:04):
right to pick the Arizona Diamondbacks players his Chicago Cubs,
as Jordan Wicks goes for the Cub's and is Brandon
Fought who gets to start for Arizona. Arizona and between
a minus one ten to a minus one twenty favorite
any between plus one oh five seeing some even money
and minus one of five is your number on the Cubs.
Nine to nine and a half is your total on
the nine overs minus one thirty. The under is plus

(48:24):
one ten. On the nine and a half over is
anywhere between even money and minus one ten. The unders
any between minus one ten to a minus one twenty.
Right up here, we were talking about it with John Zerrilla.
I'm gonna be taking the Diamondbacks on the money line.
I did set this number at a minus one thirty eight.
Brandon Fought does enter, having struggled in his life two
starts against the Saint Louis Cardinals, a couple with at
the start against the Atlanta Braves, but prior to that,

(48:45):
in nineteen total appearances since getting recalled from the minor
leagues essentially for a second time, it was supposing up
about a three eighty eighty ra a with two bucks
per nine ns and Ease, in my opinion, much more
of a candidate to lend what length than Jordan Wix.
Both of these bullpens have been used quite a bit,
and for Wicks, he has made three starts as far
this season and he has yet to make it out
of a full five and any of them, and that's

(49:06):
because he's just very wild. Thirteen half stright cuts per
Nin and Ennings is tremendous. But five sixty eighty ra
with five point seven walks per Ni and Ennings, and
this Cub's bullpen twenty first in the Big leagues in
terms of era with a four to seventy five. The
Diamondbacks they've got a three eighty three bowpenning al right
at the very Leasty's two teams did have that going
into the night on Tuesday. But I do have a
little bit more faith in this Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen despite

(49:28):
the fact that you don't necessarily have that one like
rock solid closer or anything like that. But you've been
able to get some pretty formidable innings out of guys
like a H. Kyle Nelson. I like what you've been
able to get out of Ryan Thompson as well. Coming
inkle has not necessarily been too bad. And for the
chicag Cubs, they had to use up a lot there
trustworthy guys last few nights. Mark later Junior, someone that's
been tremendous. I had to use him up yesterday along

(49:49):
Luke Little was a quass out of the bullpen has
been absolutely terrible for the seamen. For the Chicago Cubs,
it's been very inter missed with the offense going into yesterday,
everything he does four point one runs for contest when
they've been away from home. At home, everything more like
seven point three runs per game. And for the Cubs
going into yesterday, they actually had the league's worst batting
average in the National League in terms of just their

(50:10):
overall road performance going against the Diamondbacks team that at
home is averaging more than five point eight runs per game.
The Diamon Vack seam has not as he've even gotten
a lot out of Corbyn Carroll, who was sitting for
just about a two thirty five. Not a lot of power,
but we've got Lords Gurrayel, Christian Walker, kettl Marte Goball
been able to give you at least three home runs.
All these guys are rating at least at two subby
with at least a three thirty three on base as well.
Blase Alexander has been able to give you some pop.

(50:32):
He's done a really good job of being able for
over a three hundred as well. And for Cody Bellinger,
it's been a struggle for him all season long. He's
sitting just a bluck eighty two with a two eighty
six on base. You've got a lot of guys so
that they are able to get on base. Miguelemaiyam at Bush,
along with Nico Horner have all been able to do
a solid job with at least a three to sixty
on base and for Ian Apkints his first home run
in the season yesterday. Michael Bush had a streak of

(50:55):
five straight games with a home run gets snapped yesterday.
So they've been able to get a lot of pop there.
But that said, I just don't have a lot of
faith in Jordan Wicks along with this bullp and I
do think that the Diamondbacks find a way to be
able to get the Wicks. I did set my total
at a nine point seven. I like the over am I
right a pick here that's on the Diamondbacks money line,
willing to go up to a minus one thirty eight
nine eleven, nine twelve on the big board. The field off.
The Phillies playoffs to the Colrad Rockies. Ryan Feldner goes

(51:17):
for the Rockies. It is the first and Chez is
on the bump for the Phillies. And the Phillies find
themselves as sizeable favorites, you're going to be finding them
and between minus two twelve to minus two thirty five. Meanwhile,
with the old Colorrad Rockies, you're going to be getting
them between plus one eighty five plus two dollars eight
is the total unders. Any between minus one fifteen to
a minus one twenty five overs between minus one and
five doo plus one of five, and you're looking to

(51:38):
lay a run a half. With the Phillies, any were
between minus one of five to minus one ten, and
I'm willing to lay that run and a half. I
did set the Phillies out of minus one fifteen on
the run line, and I do like this little over.
I set my toll at an eight point eight for
the Corad Rockies. They are always a miserable team on
offense when they are away from home. You saw it
last season, about three point sixty five runs per game
away from home, more like five point three five runs

(51:59):
per game at home home. The elevation changes are just rampant,
and the Colrad Rocky's yesterday scored as many runs as myself.
But that said, you still have someone in Ryan McMahon,
who's done a really good job moving line, whether that
be at home or away from them. He and Elias
Sis both they'll be able at north of a three twenty.
And then Brandon Doyle has been a nice line for
the team as well. He along with Ezekiel Tovar both

(52:19):
then he above a two to eighty. With Doyle, he's
been able to ride a three to zero home runs.
You've been able to get a little bit of power
out of Tovar as well. But oh on, when you
do have these guys like Nolan Jones, Chris Bryant, Miguel Toglia,
it does make it very rough to be able to
get anything going on offense. And for the Philadelphia Phillies,
Bryce Harper finally was able to get a home run
first time since that three home run game a few
weeks ago. He's been stucking the mud a little bit

(52:41):
three hunder, round base two to fifteen banning average. Other
than that three home run game, it has been tough,
but you've got guys that are it feels like starting
to bust out a little bit, as Trey Turner has
been able above a three inner Bryce and stop Brandon
Marshy's guys been able to get on consistently. GTV Mutto
has three home runs for the Philadelphia Phillies after the
bullpen struggled the first few weeks of the season. It
feels like you're getting more out of JOSEL. Varado along

(53:03):
with Sir Anthony Dominguez and really have loved you and
your mrte just overall in general, Jeff Hoffman mats around.
These guys are able to do a nice job of
locking it down. And for the Colrad Rockies last year
they were dead last in the big leagues with regards
to both Penny Orra and well, they might not be
dead last this season. They're gonna be rough once again.
Anthony and Molina has been just absolutely terrible for the
same Victor Vodnik is someone that actually really do like,

(53:24):
but Jake Bird has been giving you the bird whenever
they use him. You've met Jalen Beeks actually be halfway
okay for the team, but you've got Anthony Molina and
it's nearly twenty five era that makes things relatively rough
on you as well. And for Ryan Feltner, he honestly
hasn't been bad this far this season. He's got a
sub three fifty era he took that comeback or a
season ago, so very good story on him being able

(53:45):
to just get back into the big league level in general,
but has never really been too much of a swing
and miss guy. The command is somewhat questionable, to say
the leaves throughout Feldner's career right around about four walks
for nine and an He's as far this season, he's
got a fielding independent as about point six points high
than his RA, though overall for his career he's got
a feeling independent that's more than a point lower than
his RA, so perhaps he's getting a little bit of

(54:07):
payback there. But that said, with Ryan Felder, I do
think that he's going to begin to regress a little bit.
And for Christopher Sanchez, after he gave up just two
walks for nine ennings a season ago, he has been
a little bit more wild, so that's something to be
mindful of. But with Christopher Sanchez last year he was
able to get right around about eight to eight and
a half straightouns ber nine and nnings. I think going
up against this colrad Rocky is a lineup he's going
to be able to excel. He's been able to do

(54:29):
a nice job of just being able to keep the
ball in the yard as well as he had to
give up a home run. As far as the season
after last year, he didn't give a quite a bit
of hard contact. So with that said, I'm going to
be taking a look at the Philadelphia Phillis on the
run line. I set them out of minus one fifteen
and with my total set it at at eight point eight.
So honestly do like this total over nine thirteen, nine
to fourteen. On the bank board, it is the Minnesota
Twins they throw. They're facing out against the Baltimore Orioles.

(54:50):
Bablo Lopez is on the bump for the Minnesota Twins,
and it was looking like Tyler Wells was going to
be on the bump for the Baltimore Orioles. As of
right now, this is old undecided, and when this game
was pulled off the board, you're finding this as a
pickup any between minus one o five to minus one
ten with the total edit eighth the over at minus
one fifteen, the under is minus one out five. I

(55:12):
have to figure that once a starter gets announced for
the Orioles. As listening to the postgame press conference for
the manager of the Orioles and mister high he Ed
said that it's completely TBD. I'm assuming that this is
probably gonna be a bull playing game for the Orioles.
So I would need at least a plus one twenty
two to take a shot on the Orioles minus one
twenty or less. I'm siding with the Twins. And then
Sebi I told to wear an eight or less, I'll

(55:34):
be taking a look at the over. Actually a eight
and a half or less, gonna be looking at the
over nine or higher. I'm going to be taking a
look at the under. For Pablo Lopez, he's pitched better
than what the er would indicate really throughout his time
with the Minunesota Twins. Now he got rocked enrolled in
his last start against the Detroit Tigers. He gives up
home run, last just four innings, gives up five runs
on six hits. But it feels like it's really been

(55:55):
just a pubblo Lopez experience here this season. For Lopez,
he's been able to get about ten strikeouts per nine
innings ever since he's come over to the Minnesota Twins,
and you just take a look at these numbers, he's
got a fielding dependent of a three thirty five three
seventy six are ten and a half strikeouts, two point
two walks Perny and Ennings, while a longing about one
point one home runs per n I and Innings as
a member of the Minnesota Twins. So has been a

(56:16):
little bit baffling. In for the Oriols. You have to
think that they're going to try to call someone up
from the minor league level. But I'm thinking that you're
going to be getting a lot of Mike Bowman in
this game. Keegan Aiken is someone that used to be
a starter. Joan Ramirez disable to fill multiple innings. That
you probably don't want Joan Ramirez pitching, But if you're
able to fill five innings for the team, I've got
a lot of guys that are able to hold down
the fort. Jacob Webb has been rock solid in the bullpen.

(56:37):
Craig Kimberl thus far as I'm been mad, though I
never have any faith in him whatsoever. You need your canoe,
Danny Klump. This is one of the better bullpens that
you're gonna find in the big leagues. End for the
Minnesota Twins, early the top three team in terms of
bullpen era as well. This is by the fact that
yawned it On has been out of the fold and
has not been able to give the Sea anything whatsoever.
But Steven Okirk, Cody Funderberg, Jay Jackson, Brox Stewart, these

(56:57):
guys have all been good. But what is absolutely all
for the Minnesota Twins is currently this line up. They
muster up three runs yesterday, but you take a look
at the Minnesota Twins and games have not what taxa
innings because that game against the Tigers where they generate
the eleven they needed I believe eleven innings in that one,
but mein Sanzak game, that is the only time this
month that the Twins have been able to break four runs. Now,

(57:20):
there should be some positivity coming for this Minnesota Twins lineup.
I'm not saying it's gonna be great Betty Search of
the imagination, But you take a look at Baseball savon,
they've been one of the more unlucky teams in terms
of batting average in the league, hitting up buck ninety
four entering into the day yesterday. They are expected to
be hitting about thirty points higher Byron Bucks and was
able to triple yesterday. That helps out the team a
little bit. You've got Alex kurlof, Ryan Jeffers, both of

(57:42):
these guys rating in that talking about it two eighty
five to two ninety five. Carlos Carey being hurt though,
that really does kill this team. And if you do
have Carlos Kret indeed the Folds, you have to be
thinking that the team as three guys are healthy that
are able to above a two to fifty and the
guy that's hitting a two fifty is Trevor Laarnin who's
one for four as far this season. Edward Julian and
Ryan Jeffers have seven of the team's fifteen home runs

(58:05):
as far as the season. But if you think that
a bullpen game of the Baltimore Orioles should be able
to vide them a little bit of run scoring. Meanwhile,
for the Orioles, Gunner Anderson has been tremendous five home
runs as far as the season, but it's not just him.
Ryan Oharn, Colton Kowser, Cedric Mollins, Jordan Westburg all I
have four home runs as far as the season. Everyone
except for Moons hitting at least a three to fifteen
in that pocket Anthony San Dondero has been a little

(58:26):
bit rough at the play in terms of being able
to get on baseball. Ryan Mountcastle hitting above a three hundred.
These guys are just absolutely ripping the cover off the ball,
so I had to set my toe a little bit
higher in this one. It's a true battle of one
really really good offense and one really really bad offense.
But you do have some solid pitching on the flip
side for the Minnesota Twins, so I'm gonna be one
to lay up to a minus one twenty with the

(58:47):
Twins in this spot. If it is indeed a Bullpenn
game pl twenty two or higher, win at the Orioles,
and then in after less, I like the overt nine
or higher the under nine to fifteen nine sixteen on
the bank board. The Walker Texas Rangers hit the red
their facing off against the Detroit Tigers, says it's Tarik
Skuble is going to be on the bump for the
old Tigers and Dane Dunning. Let's get her Dunning for Texas,
and Texas is back to being an underdog. You're going

(59:08):
to be getting up any between plus one twenty two too,
plus one twenty eight anywhere between minus one thirty eight
to minus one forty eighth at number one the Tigers,
and your total is seven a half on the seven
half the unders minus one twenty and the over is
even did sell my total at some point eight. I
think we've got a little bit too low on this total.
I'm gonna be looking at the over now. For Tarik Scooble,
he had an ERA that was touching right around two

(59:29):
when he was at home a season ago, got a
little bit lit up against the Oakland A's to begin
the season this year, but all in all, when he
has been at home, he has been very, very dominant.
But I do take a look at this ordeo. I
think we've gotten a little bit too far downward because
I do think that the Texas Rangers are going to
be able to get to him. Texas Rangers have been
a little bit spotty in terms of offense recently. As
a matter of fact, they have scored two runs for

(59:49):
fewer and now three out of the last four games
and in four out of their last six games. But
you know that these guys are able to produce at
the place. You've got a Olas Garcia who's made at
a three hundred with four home runs as far this season,
Marcus Imien has found a way to be able to
give you about a three to sixty on base as
as Corey Seeker White Langford has he had to hit
the deep ball, but he's been able to find a
way to be able to get on base as well.
And I do think that as a matter of time

(01:00:11):
before the Rangers do get that home run ball going.
Although I will say for the Rangers, they were just
fine on offense last season despite the fact that pretty
much all their home runs were coming at home. Meanwhile,
for the Detroit Tigers, the offense has been a little
bit miserable this year. Not gonna lie. You just take
a look at these guys and there are top four
players in terms of total at pass and five out
of their top six players are leading a two to

(01:00:32):
twenty two or lower. That's not what you want to find.
Chew Rochelle has really been the long guy that has
been able to move the line among their consistent starters,
so Manfield and Kerry Carpenter, both of these guys hitting
right around about a three hundred as well. But you've
right now got Riley Green. Markane has been able to
ride three home runs a piece, but just twelve home
runs in seventeen games for the team. As far as
the season, they need to be improving that a little bit.
But the Tiger's bullpen is one of the best in

(01:00:53):
the big league's top three team with the girards of
Bullpenny Orray. It's just everyone that is rock solid. Alex Lang,
Jason Foley, Andrew che and Wolves, you name it. Just
everyone in this bullpen is good. And for the Texas Rangers,
Kirby Yates along with David Robertson, these were a nice edition.
So I like what ose Loclerk is able to bring
to the table. Can be a little bit of a
roll that ice from time to time, but I do
think that he's gonna be able to do a rock

(01:01:14):
solid job in this ordeal. And You've also got a
few guys are able to come in just hold down
the four four an ending like and Jacob Lantz as well. Meanwhile,
for Dane Donning, throughout his career with the Texas Rangers,
always has been a better pitcher when he has been
at home rather than away from home. As a matter
of fact, away from home, his era rises by Tarney
our full point, though he was better on the road
a season go in for Dane Dunning not necessarily going

(01:01:36):
to be able to give you a ton of strikeouts
or anything like that. Last year about seven point three
punchouts Berni and Ennings, but he's been able to reduce
the walks recently. Last year he gave out about three
walks per nine Ennings and he only gave up about
one home run for nine and Ennings, though we've seen
him be a little bit shaky thus far this season,
so it is an interesting circumstance. I do think that
the offense is gonna be able to erupt a little

(01:01:56):
bit more for Texas here, but I absolutely love the
way that treeks Google is just rolling as well. So
I set my line at a minus one thirty three.
Getting what we're getting right now, I'd be willing to
take the plus one thirty four I currently see with
the Texas Rangers on the money line and here to
seven and a half looking at the over, nine seventeen
ninety eighteen is going to be in conjecture with nine
thirty one nine thirty two on the card. This is
our double dep between the Kancity Royals and the Chicago

(01:02:18):
White Sox. In game number one, it is going to
be Brady Singer who's on the bump for the Royals.
In Jonathan Cannon is on the bump for the White Sox. Meanwhile,
game number two seas Eric Fetti Wop going for the
White Sox, Michael Waka and he hopes to not be
the dying pac Man voice of Michael Walk. I'll walk on,
walk on, walka walk. He's going to be going for
the Kansas City Royals. And when the game was pulled

(01:02:38):
off the board yesterday with the Royals, you're finding them
as right around about minus one eighty five minus one
ninety five favorites. About plus one sixty five to plus
one seventy five was your number with the Chicago White Sox,
with eight being the total over and under pretty much
at minus one ten on both sides. And if we
get a similar number here, it would be a spot
where I'd be willing to entertain the Royals online laying

(01:03:00):
a run and a half with them. You were laying
about minus one ten to a minus one fifteen. I'd
be willing to lay up to about a minus one
twenty five in this ordeo with Brady Singer. I don't
think that he's gonna be thrown off by the fact
that we had a little bit of rain yesterday. And
for Brady Singer, he was legitimately one of the most
unlucky pitchers in all baseball last season. I field independent
more than a half a point lower than his actual ERI.
I think that he comes in and is able to

(01:03:21):
do a tremendous job of holding down a Chicago White
Sox team that has one of the most brutal lineups
I've ever seen in my life, with Luis Orbert Eloya
Menez being the fold. I mean, they just have absolutely
no options whatsoever to be able to give them production.
Kevin Sheets has been halfway okay at being able to
move line two them runs with a two to seventy average,
But I mean, man, you just take a look at

(01:03:42):
it and you're begging for anyone to be able to
give you some sort of production as you've got David
fletcherho's been able to about it two fifty five hasn't
necessarily been completely awful there, And I mean those are
the terms I having to use, not completely awful. Yol
Moncata when he's out there, he's been able to give
you a little bit of production as well. But among
players I've seen at least twenty five at bats as

(01:04:02):
far as this season, you've currently got four guys are
hanging above a two seventeen. Oh my goodness. It is
just not great to say the least. And the power
numbers they certainly are not there as well. Eight home
runs as far the season. Meanwhile, for the Royals, even
though you're not getting any average out of them, mikel
Garcia has been able to provide you with three home
runs as far this season. Salvador Pariz is sitting above
three und He's been able to provide some bombs. Bobby

(01:04:24):
with junr has been really the concept for the Seam
as he's had a little bit of inconsistency with the Seam,
but he and Nelson Alaskaz three plus home runs, really
doing a nice job of being able to give the
Seam some nice production at the play. Now for the
Kansay Royals, their bullpen is not great to say the least.
James McArthur is a guy that I have absolutely no
faith in whatsoever. Chris Ranton along with Will Smith, they
get jiggy with it. Coming over from the Rangers not good.
But Joey Leisure is right now who you're lying upon

(01:04:47):
for the Chicago White Access well, who hasn't been terrible.
Michael Kopek has looked a little bit better out there
in the bullpen as well. But that said, I do
take a look at this circumstance and I do think
that the Royals should be Amanto favorite. So I'd be
willing to lay up to about a minus one twenty
five or so on that run line. And in terms
of the Jonathan Gannon and Brady Singers start, I'd be
looking at an eight or less to the over, eight

(01:05:07):
and a half hre to the under. With Jonathan Gannon,
former third round pick out of Georgia. This is gonna
be his MLB debut. When he was at the minor
league bubble wasn't bad, really didn't impress you at all,
though he would get about like eight to nine strikeouts
for nine and Nnings just in watching tape from this
stuff is good. It's not great. He was giving up
about three walks Bernie and Ennings. I mean for the

(01:05:28):
Chicago White Sox, it will take average at this point
because they are well blow it. So this is the
spot where at a eight or less looking at the
over eight and a half ire to the under one
layfdow minus one twenty five on that Royals run line,
then nine thirty one, nine thirty two with walka versus fetti.
Right now, Cirka is an opener of minus one fifty
one on the Royals, plus one thirty eight on the
White Sox, and then a total of eight and a
half overs minus one twenty two underreceiven did set my

(01:05:48):
toe out a nine point three. I'm gonna be looking
at the over. I do think that Michael Waka is
doing for a little bit more regression last few seasons
at the big league bubble. He entered into his last
start twenty six and six, he was posting up a
sub three three EER, but a fielding dependant more than
a half a point higher. He has been quite lucky
on balls and play. But for Eric Fetty, I think
that he can actually go out there and lend a

(01:06:09):
relatively gets start in the Chicago White Socks. They need
every bit of length that they can get out of
Eric Fetty. This far this season, in his three starts,
he has given up five home runs in fourteen to
two thirds secnds. The deep ball has been a big
issue from always has been was an issue for him
when he was with Watchington Nationals before going to the
KBO and absolutely dominating out there. But he's been able
to do a better job and be able to get
swings and missus. How he's getting about eight and half

(01:06:30):
straightcus for nine ending, so he's got a feeling independent
of a seven eighteen. That's just because of the small
sample size and the home runs. I do think that
he's going to be able to do a little bit
of a better job here, But he has to go
up against the Kansay Royal team that I was alluding to.
They've done a nice job with be able to put back
to ball. You do have a few guys towards a
bottle full, like Adam Frazier Hunter renfro there, leaving a
little bit of something to be desired. But all in all,
I do take a look at the spot and I

(01:06:51):
do think that with both of these bullpens probably being
used quite a bit in this game, I do think
that you're going to be able to get a high
run total. So I'd be looking at the over on
that eight and a half. I set my total nine
point three, and once again with the Royals, set them
as a minus one eighty one on the money line.
I'd be willing to go up to about a minus
one twenty four on that run line. Right now, you're
getting that at circut plus one o four. So don't
have the run line on the Royals on both games.

(01:07:13):
If it is indeed an eight total in Cigare versus
Cannon would be looking at the overend. We'll be looking
at the over on an eight and a half Infetti
versus walking nine nineteen nine twenty on the bank board,
the Toronto Blue Jays, they are playing out to the
New York Yankees. Marcus Roman is on the bump for
the Yankees and Kevin Goalsman goes for the Toronto Blue Jays.
Blue Jays are anywhere between plus one oh two two.

(01:07:33):
I'm seeing as bad as a minus one ten. Meanwhile,
with the New York Yankees, you're finding them anywhere between
even money and minus one twelve. Total of this game
is any between eight and eight and a half on
the eight, the overs minus one fifteen, the unders minus
one five on the eight and a half over, and
under any between minus one of five zero minus one fifteen,
and I did set the total out an eight point nine.
I'm in Firman Grayman. With Shawn's rule, I'm gonna be

(01:07:54):
taking a look at the over for Kevin Gosman. He's
just sounding good for him right now. Got completely lit
up in his last start against the Colrad Rockies, and
it's just not even worth mentioning it's twenty twenty three
numbers because this is clearly not the same guy that
we saw in twenty twenty three. He was dealing with
arm fatigue when it came to spring training. I know
that he has been just dealing with issues in general.
He's gotten ten strikeouts in nine and two thirds zennings

(01:08:16):
and it's still not walking guys. But when you don't
necessarily have your normal stuff and you're not walking guys,
that puts the ball right in the middle of the plate. Meanwhile,
for Marcus Strowman, had a miserable start against Miami Marlins,
giving up four runs over the course of five innings.
First two starts, we're half way decent, though he has
been tagged with three undarned runs as far this season.
Last time he faced off against the Blue Jays, this
was at home. He was able to pitch six scoreless

(01:08:36):
innings before the shrubs in the bullpen completely gave that
game away. But just don't really like the form of
Marcus Throwman right now. He last season when he had
his sub three ERA going into the All Star Break,
was getting very lucky on balls and playing he's backed
up by a Yankees bullpen. That they get back Ron
man on Acchio, which I really like that edition, Cale Ferguson,
Victor guns Alad Caesar. Guys that aren't great aren't terrible.
Ian Hamilton last season was pretty solid for this Yankee Sea.

(01:09:00):
But when you're lyingupon like Luke Weaver for long relief,
that's not great. And for the Blue Jays, they get
back Jordan Romano. They did have to use him yesterday.
But Leviy Garcia, after he had a rough season last year,
he's looking much better. Though Tim Besa he was tremendous
for the team last season. He has seen quite a
bit of fault. But now you also get Eric Swanson back,
who lante seasons he's been registering at sub three EI.

(01:09:20):
I do think that for the Blue Jays they should
see a little bit of positivity. Booming forward entered into
yesterdayting at two twenty nine as collective, with Justin Turner
just carrying the team, hitting for about a four to
fifty on base, has provided just one home run, but
he has found a way on. Meanwhile, you've got Vliger
Junior has given you three home runs, but he George Springer,
Darton var Show Boba schet Oleander Kirk, don't call his name,

(01:09:40):
Kevin Kiermeier. All these guys are hitting right now a
two twenty one or lower. With Guerrero and George Bringer
also give you about a three fifty on base, but
so you need to see that go northward. Meanwhile, for
the New York Yankees, Aaron Judge has been off to
a little bit of rough start to begin the season.
He had that nice home run against the Cleveland Guardians
a few days ago, but he's hitting a buck eighty
two with a three thirty seven on base. You need

(01:10:01):
a little bit more there. It's swim monsoon on Anthony
Vope both gave me north of a four to thirty
on base. That has really been supplying for the seam.
John carlosin He's been able to give you some nice
power thus far this season as well. Four plus home runs,
not necessary getting on base. He's become an all or
nothing guy, but bottom of the fold with catcher spot
labor Torres. This has been a little bit rough for
the Yankees as well, and I do think that's for
the Blue Jays. Devin Gosman still the with some arm fatigue,

(01:10:23):
whatever you but I think I'll look a little bit
better in the start, and I do think that you're
gonna get plenty of runs from both of these starters surrendered.
So I did set the Blue Jays out of minus
one thirty eight. I've liked them on the money line
and somebody told at eight point nine. So also looking
at the over nine twenty one, nine twenty two on
the bank board, the La Angels sit through it to
face off against the Tampa Bay Rays. Zach Little hopes
to come up big for the Rays, and Reed Detmers
is on the bump for the Halos. Angels are in

(01:10:45):
between plus one ten plus one eighteen hunderdogs and between
minus one twenty eight to minus one thirty set number
on the race eight is a total hundreds between minus
one ten too misl twenty two overs between even and
minus one ten and with the race I did set
them out of minus one thirty nine. I'm gonna be
willing to roll with them on the money line. Zach
Little became a starter, He's been able to do a
really nice job here for the Tampa Bay Race. He

(01:11:05):
just does not give up walks at all. Since he
became a starter in the back half of the twenty
twenty three campaign, his walks per nine right is sub too,
so that has been really impressive to see it. You
just take a look at what Zach Little has done
throughout his career as a starter. I think that he
got a few opening opportunities very early on during his career.
But that said, never really became a big league starter

(01:11:25):
up until last season. But his stuff as a starter
about a three ninety era. He's done a nice job
mitigating her contact, only giving up about one point zero
five home runs pern I and innings. Meanwhile, he has
to go up against someone in Red Detmers who's getting
a lot of swings in this His last year, he
was able to give you about ten and a half
punch outs pern I and innings for Deptmers. It felt
like he got really unlucky as he's backed up by

(01:11:47):
some fielding that is a little bit less in tremendous.
He currently has a fielding independent this year of a
buck forty four last year for forty eighty four thirteen
fielding independent, and in his first restarts of the season
he has been like twenty six punch outs in seven
teen and a third innings, giving up just two runs.
But it does feel like the Tampa Bay Rays starting
to find it a little bit more in terms of
their offense. We have seen some runs scored in this series,

(01:12:09):
and I do think that Randio Rose Arena Yandy Ds
it has to start with them. Both of these guys
entered in the series hitting below two twenty five nine
as to give you while like a lot of power,
so that's been a big issue. Meanwhile, it's been an
Angels team has been very very top heavy, like Mike
Trout Taylor Ward. These guys are amazing thirteen home runs
as far this season, both of these guys hitting out

(01:12:29):
a relatively solid average at about a two eighty to
a two ninety piece. But inside these two guys, I
believe that you've got a total of six home runs
for the rest of the team combined, You've had Logan
a Hoppy provide about a four to thirty on base,
but the likes of nat Chinal zach Netto along with Aaronix,
these are guys that are not moving the line. To
the credit of Anthony Rendon over the last week and

(01:12:51):
a half, he's hitting above a three hundred, so we'll
give a little bit of credit where credited the Zoo
and for the Tampa Bay Rays, the guy's not named
Randio Roseraina and Yandy Ds may been able to do
a solid job and be able to reach base. Here
at cal Breo saying about it two eighty amit Rosario
is sitting above a three hound though he's been a
little bit and then out of the full. Richie Palatios
has been able to give you some good at Pats
and for the race. They actually entered the series dead
last in the big leagues. Turns a bullpenny array. You

(01:13:13):
know that's going to turn around. You've got so many
rock solid guys like Jason Adam Calm Bouchet, Pete Fairbanks
has been a tremendous closerround for the l Angels, they're
going with reclamation projects. Hunter Strickland is someone that's still
somehow someone in the League Lewis, course, he has not
provided you anything whatsoever. Adam simber Ose ci Cierno, these
are guys I don't have faith in. Now get to Corlos,
the Seven's Matt Moore in the eighth and ninth n

(01:13:34):
Now we're talking. But that's said. I think that Little
is going to do a nice job of just not
coming up little, coming up big. And I think that
Reed Detmers gives a good start, but I think that
the bullpen and the shlubs behind him not going to
be able to do their part, did something toil it.
At eight point three for Detmers, he gets a little
bit more figure out here. So looking at the over
and I do like the Tampa Bay Race on the
money line well in the lay Uto minus one thirty
eight nine twenty three, nine twenty four on the bank board,

(01:13:55):
the Boss Red Sox play also the Cleveland Guardians. Ben
Lively is on the bump for Cleveland and Tanner Oucius
on the bm for Boston. Boston is a favorite of
about minus one thirty five minus one forty two. Seeing
a straight minus one thirty two out there as well,
and between plus twentyeen plus one twenty five is your
number on Cleveland nine is a total over his minus
one twenty and the under it is even. And I
did some I lined where I'm willing to lay up

(01:14:16):
till minus one thirty two on the money line with
the Boston Red Sox. We are just there, but I'm
going to be willing to lay with Tanner Elk. He
has been relatively unlucky throughout his career. He gives up
a little bit of our contact with about one point
two home runs per nin and innings. But I had
a field independent more than a half a point better
than his era a season a goo after he was
given up the three and a half walks forer nine
unnings sode out, but has always been solid with getting

(01:14:38):
about nine strike cuts perni and innings. I think that
he's going to be all bounced back after in his
last start he got tattooed by the Ali Angels, giving
up seven runs, four of which were earning five to
two thirds s heenings, but first two starts of the
season twelve scoreless settings with seventeen strike cuts. Loved what
I saw there, And for Ben Lively season ago, he
was getting about eight strike cuts to two and a
half walks perni and innings. But he started out really
strong and then he just tapered off. He came over

(01:15:00):
from the KBO after he was pitching for the Samsulm
Lions for a few seasons and for lively the biggest
issue with him giving up our contact. Gave up about
two runs per nine endings a season ago. And Boston,
as we know, is very much Aitters Ballpark, even though
it is still a little bit colder out there. I
do think that he's going to be taken deep a
little bit in this one. Trists and Cossas Tyler O'Neill.
Between the two of them, they've already got twelve home runs.

(01:15:21):
That's far this season. Raphael Devers, Trevor Sory being on
the injur list hurts, and you need the young guys
to be able to step up for the Boston Red Sox,
Emanuel Veldez, Pablo Reyes will in a bray you Olama
with Sadine Rafaela. While these guys a running below the
Medusa line of a two hundred Masataka Yushida, I think
just a two to fifteen with no power. That's not terrific,
to say the least. Meanwhile, for the Cleveland Guardians, they've

(01:15:44):
hit left handed pitching much better than right hand and pitching,
so to be alert of that. But yeah, a lot
of guys are finding way on base. Josh Jaydlers, Stephen Kwan,
Andre Semenez. They're all ending at least a three hundred
kb reel Arias in a limited amount of aft Bets
is also hitting above three hundred and for Josh and Bone,
they've been able to supply the boomcmine six some runs
between these two guys. For the Guardians, they're still not

(01:16:05):
necessarily a super powerful lineup, but after they were by
far dead last in the Big leagues with regards to
home runs, this has been a nice fine for them
them just being able to generate a little bit more
power in this Guardian's bullpen is one of the most
lead out there in the big leagues as well. Emmanuel
Classe just absolutely closes the door as a reliever. Meanwhile,
if you got the blakes of Kate Smith, Nick Sandlin,

(01:16:25):
Hunter Gaddis, Tim Aaron, all these guys are providing a
sub to twenty five yerea thus far this season, though
they did after burn through quite a bit of a
pen yesterday after these two teams play eleven innings, and
that means that Kenlee Jansen, Chris Byrne, they were both
used up yesterday by the Boston Red Sox. Justin Slayton
has been tremendous. He's actually got a sub one e
r A. I like what I've seen of him. But
and uh dfa Isaiah Campbell after he was absolutely terrible.

(01:16:48):
Brendan Burne, you know, someone they'd like, but they used
him for a lot of pitches as well. So I
do think that it's gonna be a bit dicey for
this Red Sox bullpen, but I do think that they're
gonna be able to get to lively in this final.
I do think that you're gonna see runs put up
on the board. Somebody told nine point two here at
the nine, looking at the over end with the Red
Sox one, the lay up to a minus one thirty
two on that money line. Nine twenty five, nine twenty
six on the big board. The Atlanta Braves hit the
road to face off against the Easton Asters. JP France

(01:17:09):
is on the bump for these Stroves and Max Freed
is on the bump for Atlanta. Atlanta is a favorite
of any between minus one forty two to a minus
one fifty five, between plus one twenty four to plus
one thirty eight. Your number on Houston nine is a
total overs minus fell twenty and the under his even
with Houston, needed at least a plus one forty five
to be able to take a shot on them. If
you're looking at the run line of the Atlanta Braves,

(01:17:30):
find that just a plus one oh five doll plus
one ten right now, seeing that minus one forty two
out there on the Braves money line at CIRCA, that's
where I'm going to be landing on this one. It's
a little bit two dicey to lay the run line,
only getting about a plus one oh five doll plus
one ten in this ordeal, especially with Max Free being
a bit all over the place last start. He looked
relatively good, but he could hardly get out there on

(01:17:51):
the field last year, and when he was out there
on the field he was a relative just touch and
go a pitcher in general. Thus far the season four
Max Freed eight seventy four years all right, but there's
signs of positivity A four twenty fielding independent. The command
has been a little bit off, though typically Max Fred
really good in terms of not issuing a lot of
walks for his career, about two point three to two
point four walks Berni and Ennings. Never has been a

(01:18:12):
superrie strikeout guy with about nine punchouts Berni and Ennings.
But he's being able to do a nice job being
able to mitigate her contact this year, giving up lets
an home run Berni and Ennings. So I do think
that things are going to be ticking up for him
and for JP France. Last season he had an ERA
that was well north of four at home and you
just saw the warning signs that he was going to
regress three eighty three ERA last season, but a four
to sixty six fielding independent getting just six point seven strikeouts,

(01:18:34):
north of three walks Bernian Ennings. He's pitching very similarly
this year and he's just getting absolutely tattooed. And that
has to go up against an Anlina Braves seeing that, well,
this is really your league's best offense. Marcelo Zuna is
on an absolute tear seven home run sitting well above
a three point fifty right now. But I mean it's
everyone for this team. Michael Aris, Austin Riley medals and

(01:18:54):
Ozzy Alby's. All these guys have multiple home runs. All
these guys are hitting at least a two eighty. Ronald
Counu Junior has been out of the gates and yet
this team is still doing a rock solid job. He's
now giving you a four hundred on base but as
yet to have omrun thus far this season. You know
that that's going to be coming. Jerry Kelnick and his
limited sample size has been very good for the Euston answers.
The top of the lineup is very good. Your Don Alvarez,
Jose l Twova, both of these guys have been great.

(01:19:17):
Both have been able to give you four or five
home runs, both of these guys supplying you with at
least a three eighty five on basin. Now you've got
five bombs out of Kyle Tucker's providing about a three
seventy on base year at me. Penya is hitting a
three fifty b chance McCormick, Jose Rayue, both of these
guys hading below a to twenty has been a little
bit of an issue. You were hoping for parts a
little bit more of Jonathan Singleton, though he's starting to
be able to move the line as well. But for

(01:19:38):
the Euston Astros, this Mopon is just not what it
once was. Losing guys like Ryan Stanek Philmaton Ekornis has
been rough. You saw Brian Rayu from those past championship teams.
But that said, you're gonna need to just get Josh
Hater online a little bit more. As Josh Hater has
been not good this far this season. A nine to
thirty nine y Arra just as not look sharp. And
for Ryan Presley he's very up and down as well.

(01:20:00):
For the Atlanta Brays, it's a boot ben that is
about lake average right now. I do think that's gonna
be going northward. As I absolutely love rossi Oglesias as
a closer. The other man's that coming off of injury
has been a little bit rough, but love what I've
seen out of aj Minter, Joey Menez. Guys like this,
I think are gonna be able to hold down the fourth.
So you're at a minus one forty two, I'm one
to take that money. Vine of the Braves, We'll want
to go up to a minus one forty five and

(01:20:20):
get some My total at nine point six. I think
that these offenses continue to walp so looking at the
over end the money line of the Atlanta Braves nine
twenty seven, nine twenty eight on the bank board the
same lows Cardinals. They throwad face off against the Oakland
A's Paul Blackburn goes for the A's Steven mass is
out of them for same lou at Saint Louis is
a favorite of any between minus one forty five one
minus one fifty five, any between plus one thirty eight
plus one thirty five. Your number on Oakland eight is

(01:20:42):
a total unders between minus one ten to on a
minus one twenty dwo overs between even a minus one
ten said Oakland at a plus one twenty eight, so
plus one thirty or higher, gonna be willing to dive
in on the Oakland A's Paul Blackburn has given up
about three point three to three point four walks per
nine and since the beginning's part of the twenty twenty
three season, but he's really been a able to just
get more swings and misses. He updated his pitch mix

(01:21:04):
a little bit over the last twenty four so months
and it's working out for him. You take a look
at him since the beginning of the twenty twenty three campaign,
three seventy three ERA and a three seventy four field
in dependent getting about eight nin strikecouts for nine and
Ennis does a great job keeping the ball in the
yard as well, zero point eight home runs pern I
and Ennings said, you go back to the twenty twenty
three campaign for Paul Blackburn, he was really able to

(01:21:25):
pitch his best when he was at home. At home,
he was able to give the team about a three
fifty seventy RA and at home he mitigated the deep ball,
giving up only about zero point seven home runs per
nine and Nings on the flip side, Steven Mats ever
since his emotion to the bullpen during the middle of
the twenty twenty three season, a sub three to five URA.
Now Steven Mats he's always a little bit of a
rolld at Ice because you never know, and he's just
gonna go out there and give you a big giant

(01:21:45):
turd and he's good for about one a month. But
had said through three starts as far as the season,
britty darn good only eight strikeouts in fifteen innings, but
he's also only given up three walks. He's been pitching
the contact and it's been working out well. From that's
he's backed up by a seeing those Cardinals Bowl that
has been won. The lesser bullpens in the Big League
since it started in the twenty twenty three season. Bottom
ten terms of VRA love Ryan Elslie, a ul star reliever,

(01:22:08):
and Andrew Kittrick, who they picked up from the Tampa
Bay Rays relatively solid. But these guys like I Fevanne
Guy Goes, Jojo Romero, Ryan Fernandez not necessarily trustworthy end
for the Oaklin A's. This bunch as a top ten
bullpen in terms of VRA if you got a lot
of guys that have been able to really accel. Lucas Hursag,
a cast off of the Brewers as a third baseman,
has been a tremendous reliever. Austin Adams, Danny Amenez, Michael Kelly,

(01:22:30):
all these guys have a sub three three ERA. I
feel like Mason Miller should be a starter, but he
has been great in the closer spot. And that's gonna
be big for the Oakland A's because right now their
offense is just not putting back to ball. For this
team has scored two runs or fewer and now six
out of their last seven games, and yet as an underdog.
They have covered everyone these run lines just because their
pitching has been that good. You take a look at

(01:22:51):
the lineup and right now you're not getting production from anyone.
You've had JJ blaid A be able to hit about
a two fifty and he is the only the top
seven players in terms of just total at bats as
far this season hitting above a two eighteen. And you
don't have any of these guys with north of a
three hundred on base shay Langeliras has four home runs,
three of those came in one game. But I mean,
this Oakland A team is just not hitting to say

(01:23:13):
the least. But the Cardinals have not really been tremendous
on offense as well. They're a bottom ten team in
the Big leagues with reguards to runs per game. You
have not been able to get a lot of production
out of Paul gold Schmith, Nolan Aernatauto and combind two
home runs from these two guys. Aeron Outos getting on base.
He's hitting about three hundred with a three twelve on basebook.
Paul gold Smith hitting about ninety right now, Victor Scott
Jordan Walker, both of these guys hitting below the nose

(01:23:33):
line of a two hundred, and then Brandon Donovan has
some of the most admonsittive home and roads let's that
you're gonna find of a big league hitter. So it's
a circumstance where at a puss one twenty nine or higher.
I do like the a's on the money line, and
I think that you get a low scoring bleeder, I said.
I told at some point too, if though the Marine
layers out out here, because it's a daytime game, I
do think that both of these pitchers excel against offenses
are scuffling. So I like the under and I like

(01:23:54):
the ace on the money line. And where I have
things up one nine twenty nine, nine thirty on the
bank board, it is the Seattle Mariner is playing. Use
that he said today reds Yes, we are onto Cincinnati
and they're on the Andrew Ebit King. They starting in
Bryce Miller goes for Seattle. Seattle has any between minus
one twenty six two minus one thirty five favorites and
between plus one fourteen plus one eighteen is at number
on Cincinnati is total unders mins twenty over is even

(01:24:15):
a with the Seattle Mariners. Nothing about a minus one
twenty seven seeing minus one twenty seven minus one twenty six.
I'm willing to lay that money line, but it's a max.
I'm gonna be one to lay with Andrew Abbott. He
has seen his numbers just drop off a little bit
when he's been away from home, about a three forty
eight RA at home since getting called up to the
big league level, closer to three to eight when he's

(01:24:35):
away from home, which is a little bit strange. Has
Cincinnati very much a hitter's ballpark, But for Bryce Miller,
he does a great job with his command for his
career about one point nine walks for nine innings and
has been a dad I'm lucky. Taking it back to
last season, he's got a four h three ERA but
a field independent of a three to ninety five, but
has looked very good. That's far this season, eighteen and
third innings in his three starts, just four earned runs allowed.

(01:24:55):
Swinging me that stuff has been solid, not great, about
eight point two eight point three strikeouts nine nineings, but
he's backed up by one of the best bullpens that
you're gonna find in the big league's The Seattle Manners
have picked up guys like Trent Thornton, Taylor, Socado, Gabe
Spyer that were real cast offs of other teams that
have been able to make it work. Andres Munos has
been tremendous as well. And even though you have had
the injury currently to Matt Brash, this has been a

(01:25:18):
bullpen that has been tremendous as far as the season
going up against it. Since I read seem that is
young and is a little bit up and down to
say the least, Guys like Tyler Stevenson, Luke Melee, Santiago Spenal,
Jonathan India Christian and Carnassio and Strand only get two
twenty five awards. That's been an issue. But Ellie, David
Cruz given you about a three sixty on base three
plus home runs out of him, Jake Failey Spencer's here

(01:25:38):
north of a four to thirty on base for both
of these guys in seer four plus home runs as
far this season for Seattle, they just haven't generated a
lot of offense and games have wrapped up in regulation.
They have broken the five run plateau, I believe, just
twice in their last twelve games. Lulio Rodriguez continues to
be cold. As he won a Polanco, Mitch Garver, caw Rawley,
Luke Rayley, JP Crawford all hitting a two ten or lower,

(01:25:59):
so that's been rough. But Mitch Haniger hitting about a
three hundred with a three eighty two on base He
was the legit only guy in the starting lineup with
at least twenty at bats as far this season sans Joshua.
Joshuas also has been hitting relatively solid, hitting above a
two fifty though, so that's something that's very concerning. Ty
Frans Cat pretty much a day off yesterday. He's been
able to supply a little bit of offense for the

(01:26:21):
team as well. But I do think that's a really
interesting ordeal with the Reds bullpen that it's not great,
it's not terrible, Buck Farmer, Lucas Sims, guys like this,
or it would get the ball to Alexis Cis, who's
won the better closers out there in the big leagues.
But I do think that both of these erters present
a relatively good start. It is a day time game
out there in Seattle, so it's not going to be
as pitcher friendly as it typically is. But I do

(01:26:42):
think that with the way that the Mariners are pitching
really well and not necessarily ripping the cover off the
ball on offense, that you're going to get a lower
scoring game here at the eight, I'm going to be
looking at the under and with Seattle one to laf
Do Mines one twenty seven on that money line and
that right things up for the Wednesdy edition of The
Baseball Betting Show now part of thes and Family Podcasts,
and a big thing is to Shawn's role to network
for joining me in the last segment. If you'd like

(01:27:02):
hearing from this fine podcast, The Baseball Betting Show, you're
up to subscribe wherever you your podcasts, Apple podcast, Google,
bl Spotify, Citter and tune in. If you have a
question comment segment idea of what I would be for
this podcast. If one of two ways we have fur
those in. First one is my Twitter slash textiline at
ten urn forty one. Keep in mind learn ZM they mean,
does I'm anders so as per usual, please to send
these into the timeline. Other ways find an Apple podcast review.
If you rate this podcast right starts, it is very

(01:27:23):
much appreciated. From there, you are able firing whatever you'd
like to hear on this podcast via that five star review.
Coming at you guys every single day throughout the baseball season,
and that means I'm coming at you once to get
them out. Thank you so much for tuning in.
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