4/20/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:09):
If we're we're pro they low welcome. I love you,
Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg
Peterson now part of the Decent Family Podcast. We've got
an excellent podcast for you as joining me. In segment
number two, you're gonna have on one of our good
friends and Rob Donaldson. He does such a great job
taking a look at this amazing game of baseball. We're
gonna be chatting with him about just how he's deciphering

(00:29):
the Saturday card. Things have been standing out to him
towards the beginning part of the season. We'll also talk
about how weather affects a handicap on some of these games,
especially the totals, as well some of the player props
that he plays. So we're gonna be having a great
time with him and segment number two. In the final segment,
I'm gonna get you guys fixing analysis and every game
on the betting board for this Baseball Saturday as we
touch them all. If you do have a question comment

(00:51):
segment idea. What have you for this podcast? You have
one of two ways, bo farthought in first one is
my Twitter slash x timeline at you and at unders
forty one. Keep in mind letters GM they mean to
as matters, so as for usual, please to send these
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If you rate this podcast five stars, it is very
much appreciating them. From there, you're able fire in whatever
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star review to not get in any Twitter slash teks

(01:13):
questions today. But we had an amazing day of baseball
on Friday. Let's take a look back at it, try
to find some trends in, try to get to know
these seems a little bit better.

Speaker 3 (01:21):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about. Here is the
rowdy recap.

Speaker 2 (01:25):
It was a game of Leaster between the Saint Louis
Cardinals and the Milwaukee Brewers. And Brewers have been one
of your top over teams all season long. This was
very much an under though, as the Burrs now twelve
overs is six hunders. Meanwhile the Cardinals six silvers, twelve
unders and two pushes, so two opposite teams two to
won the final in this one is for the Brewers.
Freddy Peralta was dealing six scirrels settings from there out

(01:47):
of this piano a squirrels setting, but yeah, Trevor McGill
tried to get a two ending safe. It allows that
run in the ninth inning, which means Joe Piomps has
to get it outut of the bullpen and then Hoby
Milder a scoreless tenth inning. As for the Brewers, that
go just two of eleventh men and scoring position as
Kyle Gibson at it going on four walks but allows
just one run in six innings. From there, javanne Geigo's

(02:07):
parabox at the bullpen, Matthew liberatory squirrels setting, Ryan Fernandez
one and a third endings squirrels, but Ryan Elslie gives
up an undern run the tenth as the ghost runner
was able to come through via William Cantreras and his
game winning singles. So a good knight for the Brewers
who may not find themselves at the top of the
NL Central at twelve and six, but the Cubs are
giving them chase. The Chicago Cubs take down the Miami

(02:29):
Marlands by a count of eight to three. As for
the Miami Marlins. This has been a miserable and sad
start to the season for them as they are six
and fourteen on the run line. That is the worst
market in all baseball. And for Miami A J. Puck well,
he probably should get the buck off the mound as
a starter. See what I did there? Seven runs surrendered
in three innings, three walks along the way. Why they

(02:50):
continue to give them starts? I have no idea from there.
The bullpen was honestly fine. Bert Schmid two squirrels settings,
Andrewnardi a squirrels setting the Klon cronin two nings he
allows the run. And for the Miami Rolins they did
have a Brian Day. La Cruz get a home run
off of James to ti on fourth home run season
for ty On gives up a one run off the
course of five innings and name one with the under
Colton Brewer toasted this one. Two runs, one of which

(03:11):
was earned, surrendered in his two innings of work. But
Keagan Thompson in long relief ultiply solid as well, two
scoreless inttings out of him for the Cincinnati Reds. They
were onto getting a win by account of seven to one.
By the way, Cubs are now fourteen to five on
the run line this year. Both has a favorite as
an underdog. That is the best mark in all of baseball.
But for the Reds they're now ten to nine above
five hundreds. They get to the bullpen as Tyler Anderson

(03:33):
good start ere two runs, one of which was earned,
given up in seven innings. Officially took the loss, but
not on him. He gives up home run to Tyler
Stevenson second home run season, but then Ellie daya Cruz
three run bomb off of Oz Sezono, sixth home run
season for season. No, he gives up that home run.
He inherited men on base, so he only gives up
one run in two thirds of Nannie and him Simbers
stuck with giving up four runs in a third of inning,

(03:54):
and for the La Angels, nothing doing as Nick Lidolo
kept it on the lo low six right out six
and a third innings, so lost just one run to
give up seven nights along the way. But Fernando Cruiz
peer aboutside the bullpen Lucas Simms Buck Farmer. They're both
able to supply a squirrel a setting seventeen to one.
The Arizona Diamondbacks completely toppled the San Francisco Giants. Wakes

(04:15):
now right now in awful form. Five runs surrendered in
four and two thirds innings the Laws nine. It's clearly
not getting into camp was expected to be an issue,
and it's been an even bigger issue than expected. But
the guys on the bullpended even worse. Landon Rop he
gives up four runs, three which will earning one to
two thirds indings. Kay White Haang he comes in for
an inning and he allows five runs. Nicavla he gives

(04:37):
up a run in two thirds been had and then
he had mister Fitzgerald Tyler Fitzgerald, the backup short stop,
come in for an inning. He gave up two runs.
As for the San Francisco Giants, he tied the Airs
under Diamondbacks in amount of home runs in this game one.
As Ares Hilaire, he was able to go deep for
his fourth arm round season that off of Jordan Montgomery.
He looks like a man that's very much in mid

(04:58):
season four gave up just one run in six innings
at solhom Run Scott McGough, Justin Martinez combined for three
scorels setting and then did have Blaze Alexander god for
a third arme run season. As for the Arizona Diamondbacks
to go ten of twenty three with Bennetts scoring position Yeah,
the New York Mets top of the LA Dodgers. This
is by count of nine to fourst for the Metropolitans.
Had Sham and AA give a relatively okay started her

(05:19):
two runs were rendered over the course of five innings
against this lineup that sawid Ree Garrett does come in
and allows two runs, both of which were under and
runs Omar and Neer bias at catcher interference at Joey
Wendall had a pair of ARUs out there in the field,
so defense was not helping. But Adam on of Vino Brooks.
Really they were two squirrel settings at Jake Deakman squirrel
setting of his own. As for the Mets, they get
a pair of home runs. DJ turned it up Stewart

(05:40):
off of Yomanashi Yamamoto, he gets a start home run
campaign and for Francisco to Indoor he gets his second
home run of the campaign. As Yoshi Nobo Yamamoto, he
gives up four runs, three which will earned over the
course of six innings. I think I set his name
incorrectly the first time, so I apologize to mister Yamamoto. Meanwhile,
you had mister Dane Hudson come in. He gives up two,
one of which was earned, including one of those bombs.

(06:02):
Kelly gives up two runs at an ending. Ryan Brazier
gives up a run in an enning and for the
Li Dodgers three of twelve men in scoring position. So hey,
glorious win for the Mets, who are now nine to
two in their last eleven games. And for the Blue Jays,
offense has not been great this year, but they have
found a way to be able to pick up wins
five to one. They're able to take down these slam
Diego Padres as it has been very much an underseason

(06:23):
thus far for the Toronto Blue Jays, as they played
eleven hundreds to just sign overs. And for Toronto, you
had a pretty solid start here from Yardie Rodriguez. He
gives up one run over of course, at four innings.
He did allow his solm run to Fernanite at Tattoos
junior sixth home run the campaign, but every one at
his back, as he had Voden Francis give up nothing
in his two innings for worst to Romano, Yimi Garcia,

(06:44):
tim mesa all supply squirrel setting and justin turn it
down for what gets the second um run season, not
off of met Waldron, who had himself a rough night.
Five runs are under in four and two thirds sayings
both been from there save you on the under logan
Gilespie Audrey and mode hoone thank you bye for two
squirrel sayings. Colak paarabouts out of the bullpen and Tom
Cosgrove one and two thirds hangs scrolls out of him

(07:04):
as well. We did not see anything in Rockies versus
Mariners because that game got snowed out. I did not misspeak.
It literally snowed out there, So that's not great. What
else was not great? Arty knewer great a pick went
into the abyss because he saw the Cleveland Guardians put
up a ten spot ten to two. They take down
the Oakland A's as Tyler Freeman in a home run
that would have only been a home run in Cleveland,

(07:26):
and that's when you know that things are not going
well for you. As Joe Boyle gives up seven runs
up five it's over the course of six angs giving
up that home run to mister Freeman a third home
run the campaign, and then Josh Naylor goes deep off
of Kyle Mueller his fifth home run the campaign. For
Mueller gives up three runs, one of which was earned
over the course of two hunting shirt by an air
out there in the field. And for the Oakland ac

(07:47):
he didn't get a pair of home runs of their own.
That's the only way that they got runs. Brent Rookers
solo run off Scott brotho third home run the campaign,
and Tristan McKenzie he gives one up to Abraham Toros
second home run the campaign. As for McKenzie gives up
that sold run over the course of five innings. Barlow,
so I'm running his ending work, Tim Herron squirrels setting
and Tyler Beatty two squirrel setting. So Guardians do stay
very very hot in Cleveland. Has actually been a little

(08:09):
bit of an over team as far this season, as
they played twelve over, seven hundreds and a push. Your
top over team in all baseball though, that would be
the Baltimore Orioles twelve overs, five hundreds and two pushes.
They fall, so they can't say Royals. So on Friday,
by account of nine to four for Dean Kramer. He
gives up three runs over the course of five and
two thirds innings, including home run. Not a great starting
on a terrible start as taking him deep. You had

(08:30):
home run number four of the campaign for Vinie Pascantino
and then don't take gives one up to m Jam Molendez.
Also his fourth home run on the campaign for dat
he gives up three runs, but this over the course
of one ending and Keegan Akan you got one out
of the bullpen he a lot three runs before Mike Bowman.
He comes in first squirrel setting and you did see
Elie Rushman go deep for his second home run. The
campaign that of the Grand Slam variety is that comes

(08:52):
off of Will Smith who certainly got jiggy with it.
Gave up all four runs in this game over the
course of his setting of work as elk Marsh was
rock solid five and two thirds ending squirrels John Driver
and not out of the bullpen, and then he had
Nick Anderson supply squirrel setting in same for Matt Seller,
so they're not seller on a win there. The Inliner
rays they say hot with their bats as well. Eight
to three they're able to take down the Walker Texas

(09:13):
Rangers Braves by the way, eleven overs, six hundreds and
a push for them. That's far this season. As for Texas,
Andrewhiney not the world's worst star. Three runs surrounded in
five innings did allow a pair of home runs going
deep four Atlanta Travis Starno not once, not twice, but
three times for his first three home runs of the season,
two of which came off of Eni and then Jordan
Lats gives up the other one at Michael Harris was

(09:34):
able to take out and prew it deep and his
home run number three of the campaign for him prewe
gives up this home run and his heenning work. That's
gives up the home run. Four runs a total in
two thirds of night and he did get four outside
the bullpen squirrels out of coal win, but he gets
a lead off home run fourth of the campaign off
of Chris Sale and for sale. He does give up
three runs over the course of seven innings, but more

(09:54):
than enough to be able to get the job done here.
As Pierce Johnson, they're mads like they're both able to supply.
A squirrel is setting as well well. The Detroit Tigers
have been very much an under team this year along
with the Minnesota Twins, but on this day they scored
enough for and over and it was the Twins who
fell to the Tigers by a count of five or four.
For Detroit, captain Jack Flaherty ten punch outs, gives up
four runs, but only two of which were earned over

(10:15):
the course of six innings. He was hurt by an
air out there in the field, so that was a
little bit less than terrific. New right fielder went seal
To Perez had an air and he didn't give up
a home run along the way going deeper. Minnesota Trevor
Larnich for his first arm on the campaign that said,
he was pretty rock solid as Joe Ryan was not.
Four runs surrendered over the course of five and a
third innings, but both bullpens were solid for the Twins

(10:36):
did have kill Theobar give up a run in the
ninth inning. It was via a single by mister Perez
who committed the air, so thanks payback to air Brox
Stewart Griffin jacksposed to fly a squirrel setting at Cody
Funderberg gets a pair of bout out of the bullpen.
Squirrels ingbut for Detroit, Andrew chaf and Wolfest thank you
by him for two squirrel settings in Jason fully closes
the door for a squirrel, assigning to be able to

(10:56):
get that one to the window, also being able to
get to the window they usedon asked, haven't been able
to say that too much this season, but five to
three they're able to take down the Washington Nationals, says Houston.
They played eight overs, eleven unders, suggest two pushes and
for Justin Verlander, first start back pretty solid, two runs
runnered over the course of six innings, only four strikeouts.
He seems to be just a little bit down in

(11:16):
general with his swinging miss stuff as Riley Adams got
a second um run in the campaign, but bothen from
there at his back. Did have Josh Aader give up
a run in an A and he's rocking an eight
thirty eight e r A right now. But Ryan Presley
Prian Bray, they both supply a squirrel setting and for
the Washington Nationals, you get a show, he said. Not
so great start out of Mackenzie Gore only gives up
three runs over the course of four innings, but only

(11:36):
went four innings. From there, you did have to have
Matt Barnes come into the game, he gives up a
run in an ning. Dylan Floro, Tan Rainey, they both
give you a squirrel setting. Derek Law along with Robert Garcia,
they combined for two innings. They allow one run along
the way as well. He saw the Chicago White Sox
continue to be that you said, Chicago White Sox and
lose another one. This is by a count of seven
to zero. For the White Sox, six overs, twelve hunders

(11:58):
and a push. They are tied with the Mariners and
the San Louis Cardinals for highest under rate in all
baseball and for the White Sox absolutely nothing doing in
this one. Spencer Turnabule goes out there for seven squirrel signings,
gave up one and mats John Oriyan kare king. Hopefully
I said that correctly, both give you a squirrel setting
in for the Phillies, they had a trio of home
runs while the White Sox had two total ds. Alec

(12:19):
Bohum goes e twice for his second and third home
runs of the campaign off of Garrett Crochet and Garrett
Crochet gives one up to what Mayorfield is first time
run the campaign for Corochet, after a nice start to
the season, gives up those three home runs seven runs
in total over the course of three innings. Chris Flexen
though fourth Squirrel signings out of the bullpen, and Tim
Ill was able to supply his scroll of setting as
well for the Pittsburgh Priors and did not get what

(12:41):
they were looking for out of Quinn Pryster. The Red
Sox who have been banged up, but they get the
job done by account of eight to one. As for
the Red Sox, a trio home runs in this one.
Preiser gives one up to Rob revs Center's versus the
campaign Tristic Cossas is sixth and then had our own
see Cantres giving up to Sadine Rafaela's first time on
the campaign, and then I got to mention Bryser also
gave up another one to wyler A Bray You is

(13:04):
first arm on the campaign. For Pryser gives up five runs,
four of which were earned over the course of four
and a third innings. Gotredez from there gives up the
other home run three runs in total over the course
of two innings. Josh Fleming, though out the bullpen Squirrels
Wonderstrand was able to give you a two scroll of
settings as well. Before the Buckos they go oh of
ten with men in scoring position as Bryan Bayo was tremendous,

(13:24):
gives up just one end and six scorrel of settings.
You had the Boozer and mister gam Boozer make his
MLB debut at age thirty one, gave up a run
in an inning. Jase Anderson two score of settings. So
Boston finds a way to the window, and so does
the New York Yankees. Five to three, they're able to
take down the Tampa bay Rays for the race. Tabler
Alexander actually a very good start. Five and a third

(13:45):
innings doesn't allow anything. But something I've been learning you
of is that this bullpen of the Tampa bay Rays
right now, struggling Chris Davinski gives up five runs in
his enning of work. Now they were all under and runs.
There were a pair of riders out there in the
field that absolutely just ready to them as Yandy d
has had an air Curtis mead at in air. So
that was rough to say the least. But for the

(14:06):
New York Yankees, they made them pay. As Juan Soto
was able to utilize those errors and cranked his fifth
home run of the season off with de Vinski and
for cork Schmid, he was very good in this one
solo run, surrendered over the course of five and a
third nineings, going deep for Richie Palasios his second home
run of the campaign. You did see Ian Hamilton give
up two runs and niting, but Dennis Santana five outside
of the bullpen scorel Is Clay Holmes was able to

(14:27):
sply squirrels saying, and then he did see Sean Armstrong
for the race, give you a pair of outside the
bullpen scoreless and you were able to get eight squirrels
setting as well out of j Kbpez. So very interesting
day of baseball on Friday. And if you're taking a
look at the full season betting trends that we've got
right now, road teams still doing very well, hitting fifty
two and a half percent on the money line one one. Meanwhile,

(14:48):
favors they're not hinting an about fifty nine point two
percent with the juice. It makes it a little bit rough,
but they've been playing much better recently and we've still
got a lead with regards to overs on the totals
winner and forty six overs one and forty two unders.
And if you're looking at the last seven days in
Major League Baseball, it has been very much an underwhelming
stretch fifty unders of just forty four overs. Meanwhile, favors

(15:10):
hitting at a sixty four point two percent clip sixty
one and thirty four on the money line. So that's
what we all saw in Major League Baseball on Friday,
and that's where we're getting trend wise and coming next
about if we do take a look at a little
bit more at these Saturday games and how weather should
be changing our perspective on some of these games. We're
gonna be doing so with Rob Donaldson, the Rob's Best
Bests Show right here on the Baseball Betting Shows myself

(15:31):
Greg Peterson now apart the Dson.

Speaker 1 (15:33):
Family Podcast, breaking down every game every day in Major
League Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is
your host, Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (15:47):
Comberbang You Love You Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting
Show with myself Greg Peterson now part of the Beason
Family Podcast. It is always great to be joined by
this man. As we got Rob Donaldson aboard. He does
great work with the show Slash podcast Robs Bett Show
over on YouTube dot com Slash Rob Donaldson. I know
that he does an amazing job taking a look at
this great game of baseball that we all know him love.

(16:08):
He is very hard at work. Whether it be player props, sides, totals,
you name it, he does it. He also does a
great job on the college basketball front end. Here will
fall on Twitter, side checks at Rob d FB altogether
and Rob ohways, a pleasure my friend, Thank you.

Speaker 3 (16:22):
Yeah, always a pleasure to hop on Greg. And Yeah,
it's already been a fun baseball season. We're getting some
really nice weather in the early portion of the season
as well, even though we did have a game that
basically was a snow out, so I guess there are
some parts of the country that are getting a little
bit of chillier temperatures. But it's baseball season full swing.
It's been a good time.

Speaker 2 (16:41):
Hey. Having done college broadcasts for Uwash Gosh and their
college baseball team, I have been snowed out on occasion,
so I am actually very used to it. To say last.
You don't find it very often, but hey, I remember
being out there in the great state of Wisconsin April fifteenth,
text day. One year we got a inches of snow.
So it does happen from time to time. But that said,

(17:04):
how much does weather play a factor when it comes
to taking a look at some of these games? You guys,
as we know, Wrigley Field has been having some very
windy conditions, and no out about it, that's the most
prevalent out of these ballparks that has affected totals with
regards to the weather. But how much do you dive
in on that? Because I think that this part of
this time of year, just what you're getting weather wise,

(17:26):
it probably plays as big of an impact as you're
gonna find all season long.

Speaker 3 (17:29):
Absolutely, And with those kind of windy environments or windy
venues or ballparks, those are more so the unpredictable factors
where you're just kind of hoping that the gusts stay
consistent the entire way through and that the balls just
don't fly out of the ballpark after you know they
should have been a pop fly. And so sometimes predicting
the Wrigley conditions are different than you know, just kind

(17:50):
of standard weather looking into for your research side of things,
And yeah, the weather you're kind of looking for is
just don't be super windy, don't be super chilly, and
even when you kind of get into the deep part summer,
you know, not even having those really hot, hot games,
because fatigue hits these players in those hot games kind
of like you know, after a long stretch of just
consistent ballgame after ballgame.

Speaker 4 (18:12):
And so yeah, weather.

Speaker 3 (18:13):
Definitely plays a massive factor in this sport, probably more
so than any other sport in the world.

Speaker 2 (18:18):
Oh absolutely. And sometimes you'll find that in football with
some of these teams that they're not used to the
heat of Miami during like September October, and then no
doubt about it, teams coming up from the southern part
of the country having to play in lambou Field in December,
that's certainly going to take a little bit on them
as well. But to your point as well, with Wrigley Field,
the wind blowing in fifteen miles an hour versus blowing

(18:40):
out fifteen miles an hour, I want to talk about
an impact that is a very very massive impact. And
just how are you going to be taking a look
at this double dip between the Miami Roland Sandy chicag
Cubs Because we don't have any numbers up on really
either of these games. But I do take a look
at this double dip and it's one that very much
does intrigue me. As it looks like in game number

(19:00):
two for the Miami Marlins, they're going to be throwing
out there a guy who at the Triple A level
as a north of ten e er right now, mister Munos,
which that's a tremendous to say the lease. And I
think that the way that we take a look at
game one between Aso Cizzarro and Avi or a Salad
versus Roderi Munjos and Joto Imanaga, it's probably going to be.

Speaker 4 (19:17):
Very very different, Yes, very very different.

Speaker 3 (19:20):
And I do think there's going to be a pride
factor here with the Marlins coming up at some point
in time, because this is a team that made the
playoffs last year and kept most of their core outside
of really Jorge Hilaire and Miguel Rojas. And so when
you're kind of looking at this team and looking at,
you know, even the starting pitching that they're going to
have throughout the season, I do think that they're going

(19:40):
to have some stretches a pretty good ball put in place,
you know, whether or not that's going to be in
this weekend's matchups.

Speaker 4 (19:47):
Who knows, But I do.

Speaker 3 (19:48):
Think the four and sixteen record is what's catching a
lot of people's eyes. And I think there's a lot
of inherent value because.

Speaker 2 (19:53):
Of that, absolutely, And I do think that it's going
to be really intriguing to see what we do get
up on the board because the wind condition, they're going
to be moving around all throughout the day and just
looking at the band that is going to be pitching
a game number one or Darry Munoz, he's currently at
the minor league the level getting fearless strikeouts for nine
innings in north of ten walks for nine innings. That
just doesn't look good, to say the least. For the

(20:14):
Miami Marlinson game number two is joining me on the show.
This always looks good. We've got Rob Donaldson. He does
great work with the show Slash podcast, Rod's Best Bets,
and he's going to be right here on the Baseball
Betting Show. And then I do want to touch upon
this because with the ELI Dodgers right now, it's to
be determined as to who they're going to be. Starting
a little bit earlier on I was seeing on ESPN,
perhaps Gavin Stone. And if a guy like a Gavin

(20:37):
Stone gets to start here, how would you be gauging
this game? Because I honestly think we might get a
little bit of a bet on spot for the New
York Mets with Ose Buto going on the mountain, because
when we talk about young starting pitchers that are really
rising up, I don't hear Buto's name at all. As
as a matter of fact, I don't hear really anyone
buzzing about him. But every time I've looked at one

(20:57):
of his starts, I've honestly been really impressed.

Speaker 4 (21:00):
Absolutely.

Speaker 3 (21:01):
And you know we talk about, you know, baseball being
one a two factor sport and a sport that kind
of goes in waves.

Speaker 4 (21:07):
Well, look at the New York Mets, who have.

Speaker 3 (21:09):
Already experienced some insane turbulence to their season. They started
off zero to five. Everything looked like a disaster. Their
bullpen was blowing saves, they couldn't score runs, and even
though they were tagging the ball, it didn't really matter
because it was with two outs and nobody on base.
Well now everything that just kind of cumulated over those
games that they lost are turning into wins and They're

(21:30):
eight and two over their last ten and have a
winning record of ten and eight. When you are looking
at this team, I think there's still a lot of
inherent value because of the perception of how the Mets started,
and obviously the other side of the coin being that
the Dodgers are some super team that they're being billed as,
and you know that's largely going to be the case.
But when you have a guy like Gavin Stone potentially
going on the bump for the Dodgers, that's their achilles heel,

(21:52):
that fourth and fifth starter in the rotation because they
haven't really found consistency there, and I think that's the
spot to fade.

Speaker 2 (21:59):
Yeah, absolutely, And I do think that with this La
Dodgers team, they're going to be able to continue to hit.
But we saw them a few days ago against Washington
Nationals gets shut up by Jake Irvin, and sometimes that's
just baseball. The best offenses sometimes they get shut down,
and sometimes worse offenses they just find a way to
be able to get a bloop in a blast to
be able to pull off some of these games. So

(22:19):
I do think that that is always something to be
mindful of, and as of right now don't have any
numbers up on that game, but we do have numbers
for this one as I do think that an intriguing
spot for this weekend is taking a look at this
Orioles versus Royals series, just because it feels like the
Royals are trying to be like what we see on
the Baltimore Orioles the last few years, a team that
came up from being absolutely awful losing one hundred plus

(22:41):
games a year to now being able to take that
step forward. And if they're going to do so, they're
probably gonna be Cole Wagan's who's going to be starting
on Saturday to be that acent. He's going up against
Corbyn Burns and the Orioles are about minus one thirty
favorites total of eight. How do you evaluate this matchup
with an Orioles team that's been towards the top of
the league in terms of so many of these offenses categories.
But we've also got a battle of vases in this

(23:02):
game as well.

Speaker 3 (23:03):
Yeah, absolutely, And I think you nail it with your
analysis as well as well about the Royals just trying
to emulate what the Orioles have done the past two
seasons and I think they actually even have a higher
starting point than what the Orioles kind of coming up
teams had, because their starting pitching talent is far superior
to some of those Orioles teams that were only had
really two to three guys that were some sort of

(23:24):
reliable for a game by game start. And with the Royals,
I think they have multiple guys in this rotation that
could really blossom into something more than what they even
are right now. And it really just kind of comes
down to how is that bullpen really going to finish.

Speaker 4 (23:37):
Out games for him? And so when you are looking
at that kind of dynamic, I.

Speaker 3 (23:41):
Do think that a Baltimore Ools team total under is
certainly a play there, maybe through the first five and
also just a full game under with Corbyn Burns on
the bump, I think it's going to be a game
where the pitching is really just going to neutralize both offenses.

Speaker 2 (23:54):
And I do think that this is going to be
one of the better games that we're going to be
getting all weekend long, and could be a little bit
of a for the cy Young between those two as well.
If you're looking at the early oddzo, it is very
very early to be taking a look on that front,
but it's not too early to be taking a look
at what we might be getting in the NLS. Certainly
there's are that top team out there, but I said

(24:14):
the Arizona Diamondbacks to San Francisco Giants. They're looking to
rise up, and Zach Gallen does find himself as a
minus one twenty five favorite in the spot with a
total date. But I want to get your thoughts on
how you evaluate this because I personally have head to
a handicap Zach Gallen very differently when he's away from
home rather than when he's at home. Because if this
were a spot where you'd be laying you're a typical

(24:35):
juice when you flip it for home field, I'd be
willing to back Zach Gallen in the spot. I always
have my trepidations with him on the road though.

Speaker 3 (24:43):
Yeah, absolutely, I'm in the same boat with you. And
when you look at Zach Gallen, something that's been prevalent
throughout his career so far, and it is still a
very relatively young career at that he's flirted with these
hard hit percentages. I've sort of underlined his numbers. They
will come back to bite him. A certain spots. We've
already kind of seen him, you know, go to Colorado
to your point and give up eight hits through five

(25:03):
innings and three earned runs, but he kind of mitigated.

Speaker 4 (25:06):
Some of that damage.

Speaker 3 (25:07):
And this is kind of what he always does because
he has that strikeout ability in his bag. So there's
definitely a lot of different factors that are at play
with Zach Gallen, but something that I think is a
tried and true high upside play anytime he's on the
bump is taking the over in the game, especially if
you don't like the other pitcher on the other side,
and Kyle Harrison I'm not really too big of a
fan of. So when you see this total sitting at

(25:29):
seven and a half eight runs, I think that we
could get that potentially by the six or seventh inning
and be really happy with it.

Speaker 4 (25:34):
I think so as well.

Speaker 2 (25:35):
And I do think that when it comes to that
NL West, obviously you've got the Dodgers as that number
one team, but the teams that are pretty much two
through four, sorry Colrad Rockies, they're all going to be
very competitive looking for that number two spot. So I
think that that's going to be valuable to dive in
on as joining me on the show. We do have
Rob Donaldson and showed to me right here on the
Baseball Betting Show. And then I do have to really

(25:57):
highlight this game as well, because going into the on Thursday,
the team that was dead last in terms of bullpenny
You're able was the Tampa Bay Rays. Now they go
on the road, they face off against the guy and
Nesser Cortez that I was talking about home ed Roadsplutz
with Zach Allen Well. Leser Cortez certainly has his as
the Yankees are about minus one thirty minus one thirty five.
How do you dive in on this match up with

(26:18):
the raised bullpen that traditionally is good, but this year
is stunk and a guy in Nasser Cortez who was
very much got his home at Roadsplitz.

Speaker 3 (26:25):
Absolutely, yeah, you kind of nailed it with this raised
bullpen has always been a consistent piece. Over the last
few years, Pete Fairbanks struggling and a few other guys
in that bullpen struggling and even losing at injured Kittridge
in the offseason, they've really hit a sharp decline and
this is what happens with bullpen's it's one of the
most unreliable portions of your team year by year, and

(26:46):
so you've got to constantly be just kind of feeding
into it and bringing in new life. Well, they did it,
and I think they're going to pay for it up
until the trade deadline, or even you know, maybe they
kind of jump the gun and make a trade way
before the trade deadline to acquire an arm, but I
think until then that's going to be a constant issue.
So I kind of like again the over here of
eight and a half eight runs, and I would even

(27:07):
kind of look at Nestor Cortez and the Yankees just
on the money line or the run line.

Speaker 2 (27:11):
Absolutely. And then in terms of the way that you've
been playing some props this yere as well, because I
know that you've been doing a great job on that front.
I know you've been able to catch quite a few
home run props here in last Sundays, So good on
you for that. But what are some of the things
that you might be taking a look at for Saturday,
because it's a little bit of an intriguing spot and
I'm sure that you've picked up on this munch like
myself going into Friday. Now we don't know how the

(27:33):
games for Friday went, but over the last seven days
or so after things were very overwhelming to begin the season.
Does feel like we've gotten a few more unders, and
it does feel like the offenses have come down a
little bit.

Speaker 3 (27:43):
Yeah, and I do think part of that is just
because of the drops and temperature. I mean, even two
weeks back we had seventies across the board throughout the Midwest,
and obviously you have teams that play with a rough
over them as well, and so you have controlled weather environments. Well,
you know, this past week has been kind of a
little bit of a cold front where you're getting forties
and fifties type of mall games and a lot of precipitations.
So again, you know, we're talking about weather because it's

(28:06):
really relevant when you're talking about this sport. And I
think that the overs and the unders kind of come
and go this time of year and waves because of
that factor, and so that's that's definitely something to monitor
when you're moving forward here, yep.

Speaker 2 (28:17):
And you'll find a day in and day out as well,
because when you've got a lot of the number one's going,
you get lower scoring games. And then when you've got
the old bullpen games, it's a little bit more difficult
to be able to get those overs, a little bit
more difficult to get those unders to come through for
you as well. So certainly always something to be mindful of.
And Rob, is there any games that we have yet

(28:39):
to take a look at that are really catching your
attention for Saturday, whether it be something that you're going
to be betting on, or maybe it's not even something
that you're betting, but something that you just want to
watch and you're a treat by.

Speaker 3 (28:50):
Yeah, I'm taking a look at that Brewers Cardinals game.
And I will preface this by saying, yes, I am
a Cardinals fan, and I know you're a Brewers fan,
so we might be on the flip side of the
fandom coin here. But at the same time, DL Hall
is a guy that hasn't getting tagged a little bit
in his last two outings, and as a lefty, there's
a lot of righties in this Cardinals lineup who are
hitting the baseball extremely hard right now. I think that

(29:13):
spell is kind of a disaster for that start, at
least through the first five innings. So that's kind of
how I want to sharpen this coin is, you know,
take the team total over for the Cardinals, take them
through the first five, maybe laying that half run, and
I think you're going to end up extracting a lot
of value for an offense that has underperformed. But I
think is going to start stepping up a little bit here.

Speaker 2 (29:33):
Yeah, before that offense, it has been a case where
they just have not been able to get online for
the same lost Cardinals, and that Brewers offense has been
one of the biggest surprises in all baseball. Cooled off
though in that series against the San Diego Potteries, but
going up against Miles Michael as, I do think that
we could be seeing ourselves quite a few runs in
this one on both sides. And a man that is
always on some great runs and a man that always

(29:55):
does a great job taking a look at this game.

Speaker 4 (29:57):
That'd be you, Rob.

Speaker 2 (29:58):
You do amazing workover on your YouTube feed YouTube dot
com slash Rob Donaldson. I know that you do just
a little bit of everything, and I know that you're
getting prepared for some football as well. So we'll let
you get people to them know it's all on tap
for you, and now people are able to fall on
on social media at other platforms.

Speaker 4 (30:11):
And I always appreciate you having me on.

Speaker 2 (30:13):
Greg.

Speaker 3 (30:13):
It's it's fun to talk ball with somebody who really
kind of appreciate the attention to detail because this is
a sport that requires a lot of it.

Speaker 4 (30:20):
So I always appreciate you having me on.

Speaker 3 (30:22):
And for those who are wanting to follow my bets,
you can do so at my YouTube or my Twitter
or x at rob DFB or on YouTube. Just my
name Rob Donaldson. And as I was, Greg really appreciate
me on.

Speaker 2 (30:33):
Always great to be able to get Rob aboard. His
insights on baseball are really second and on always does
a great job breaking down the card with me and
did so once again today. So big thanks for Rob
for joining me right here on the Baseball Betting Show
now part of the Visa Family Podcast, and up next
it is that time of the podcast and give you
picks and analysis on every game on the betting board
for this Baseball Saturday, as we tomorrow.

Speaker 1 (30:58):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (31:06):
Every Breg He'll love you Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson now part of the
Recent family and podcasts. It is always great to get
Rob Donaldson a board. He does amazing workover at YouTube
dot com slash Rob Donaldson taking a look at this
great game that we all know and love and doing
a great job on both a player prop front along
with being able to take a look at these full

(31:26):
games and every single time he joins his show on
such good insights. So big thanks for Rob for joining
me right here on the Baseball Betting Show. And now
it is that time the podcast. I give you picks
and analysis on every game on the betting board for
this Baseball Saturday as we touch them all.

Speaker 3 (31:41):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and the total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (31:46):
Do you know if that has per usual? Any changes
are maybe these plays we'll be listed up on my
Twitter slash ks feed at you and at underscore eighty one,
and you're going to be going in last excitation order.
This is where we go with the Nashley games first
in time order than the American League games of time order,
and any interleague games those are going to be at
the bottom. That'll keep things all nice, kneek, clean and easy.
So without further ado, let's dive in and start out

(32:09):
with my DK network right up. This is nine fifty one,
nine to fifty two on the card. It is a
Milwaukee Brewers sitting the road. They're facing up against the
Saint Louis Cardinals. Miles Michaelis goes for Saint Louis.

Speaker 3 (32:18):
D L.

Speaker 2 (32:19):
Hull is on the bump for the brew Crew. Brewers
are between plus one o five to plus one ten
underdogs any between minus one eighteen and minus one twenty five,
then i'ron Saint Louis eight is a total over is
minus one twenty five and the under it is plus
one oh five. Was torn on this one because I've
got the Brewers as a favorite, so I like them
on the money line, but ended up riding up the
over in this one. Both of these starting pitchers have

(32:42):
not been great, to say least.

Speaker 4 (32:43):
D L.

Speaker 2 (32:43):
Hall he's got an ERA of a seven to eleven,
so he's always open to giving up runs and he's
got a seven thirty eight fielding independent, giving up three
and a half walks and getting just seven strikeouts per
nine and Nnies Miles micheless about six strikeouts, the three
walks for nine and NNI's well north of a five
five ERA. So both of these guys have been less
and tremendous to say the least. But what else has

(33:03):
been less than Sellar the Saint Louis Cardinals line up.
They're epening about three point seven runs per contest entering
into the series. That is twenty fourth in all of baseball.
You know that these guys are gonna be able to
hit sooner rather than later. But when is a free
fall going to stop? For some of these guys. You've
got Noan Gorman, Jordan Walker, Victor Scott, Paul Goldschmidt, all
entering into the series hitting below the Medeo's line two

(33:26):
hundred and for Goldmit just one home run out of him. Really, frankly,
the only guy that's given you consistent power is than
Gorman with three home runs at sixty eight at pads.
I see these guys have been relatively rough, though, I
will say for we'll see Duris Nolan, Aernauto, both of
these guys hitting right around three hundred. But you haven't
been able to get Aeronaudo to draw a lot of
walks as well, and for this Burds lineup. They were
held down a little bit in that series against the

(33:47):
San Diego Padres, but entering into the series, efening north
of seven runs per game away from home, that is
number one of the big leagues in despite the fact
that Christian Yelich is currently banged up, You've got a
lot of guys are finding way on base for this team.
Out these young guys like Blake Perkins, Sell Freelick, Bryce
Terrang all inning above a three hundred entering into the series,
William Contreras the other Contreras four home runs with a

(34:10):
north of four hundred on base. You've got also William
Domas looking quite a bit better in terms of being
able to move the line in that perspective as well.
And the Brewers, in my opinion, have a little bit
of a better bullpen despite the fact that both of
these teams relatively while entering into the series with regards
to their bullpenny alright, with the San Loos Cardinals ninth
in the leg about a three to twenty seventy ra
birs right around about a three forty eleventh in the

(34:31):
league with that regard, But for the Cardinals, the only
guy that returned from last season that had a sub
but three point fifty ERA on the roster was Ryan Elslie.
I do think that we're gonna see regression from the
likes of Andre Polanti, Ryan Tapara, Brian Fernandez, these guys,
and for the Milwaukee Brewers, I really love the fact
that last year Hoby Milner, Joel Pioms, Elvis Pierro, all
these guys had a sub three five ERA. After Yuribe

(34:54):
is able to throw a hundred plus. He's very good
in lockdown in the back half of starts in for
DL Hub, you got lot of upside here. He's a young,
twenty five year old, former first round pick and was
the main trade piece with regards to that. Corybn Merns
trade with the Burs certainly got fleets on to say
the least. But I said, I do think that he's
going to be able to do a solid job against
a Saint Louis Cardinals lineup that just really hasn't been

(35:15):
too tremendous as far as the season.

Speaker 4 (35:17):
For the Burs.

Speaker 2 (35:17):
They do a tremendous job of hitting righty's, they have
had all sorts of problems against the lefties, and for
the Saint Louis Cardinals with Michael michaelis not being a lefty.
I think that that's going to cause for doomsday. So
my right up pick is going to be on the over.
Was torn on this one as I also made the
Burrs the favorite. So looking at that Brewers money line
at a plus number and by right up is the over.
Now we had our double dip. This is nine fifty three,

(35:38):
nine fifty four, nine one nine eighty two. We'll do
these both together as it is Miami Marlins on the
road facing up against the Chicago Cubs and game number
one as of Sizzardo goes for the Miami Merlins and
Aviada assad is on the bump for the Cubs. No
numbers up on either of these games, by the way,
and then game two is going to be Roderi Munos
is going for the Miami Marlins and shouta Imanagaa going
for the Cubs, and he'll start with the lizard over

(36:00):
is a sod game first, and in this one, I'm
going to lay uptown minus one fifty nine with the
Cubs plus one sixty one higher. Looking at the Marlins,
I said my number out of minus one sixty and
I think of a plus one twenty or higher, I'd
be laying a run and a half with the Cubs,
and then somebody told at some point nine, so seven
and a half for leus looking at the over eight
or higher, I'm gonna be taking a look at the under.
The win conditions are going to be very interesting with

(36:21):
regards to these games, because it does feel like the
wind is going to be pretty strong towards the daytime,
gonna die down a little bit more towards the night time,
but obviously it gets a little bit cooler towards the
night time as well, so you have to play many
aspects there. But I do think that Aavierrasad gonna be
able to continue to go out there just for lack
of a better term, throw strikes for this punch. For
Favier Asad, he is not some sort of a strikeout artist,

(36:43):
and I do think that there might be a little
bit of regression coming from sooner rather than later. Since
he became a starter, he's been able to post up
a sub three three ERA. Last season with the Cups,
he had a four to twenty nine fielding independent to
just a three h five RA, and thus far this season,
three sixty eight fielding dependent a sub two twenty five era,
getting just six hits per nine inning, So he's done
a good job on balls and play. He has given

(37:03):
up above two point seven two point eight walks, has
been a little bit better on that front thus far
this season. And he gets to go up against the
Miami Marlins lineup that has been deal with injuries that
Jake Berger is really their top power beat and they
do have guys that are able to move line for
the team. You've been able to have Luisa rise after
a really rough start to the season last two weeks.
He's back dating about a three hundred plus.

Speaker 3 (37:23):
There.

Speaker 2 (37:23):
You've got Tim Anderson who entered into the series sitting
about a two seventy five himself, but who's going to
be able to provide that thump. You've got Brian dal
Lacruz who's been able to give you four home runs.
He's providing about a two eighty five average, but also
two ninety four on base as well. And then a
Sus Sanchez, Nick Gordon, Emanuel Rivera, and Nate Fortez Josh Bell.
These are all guys during a two to twenty or lower.

(37:44):
Vedel de Brujon is completely useless with a bat. And
for the Chicago Cubs, Matt Bush, how good has this
guy been? He had a string of five straight games
with a home run. You've got a lot of guys
in general that I think at the end of the
year they're gonna be hitting right around about a two
seventy five with like twenty or so home runs. Chris
Moral has been struggling to be able to reach base,
but he ian app Dancy Swanson. They're all sort of
cup from the same cloth. Cody Bellinger back to back

(38:06):
multi yit games, looks like he's returning to form as well.
Miguel Amaya has been rock solid. And this is a
Cubs unit that is right now supplying north of seven
runs per game at home. I think that that's going
to be dying down a little bit. I do think
that we're going to see some regression on that front.
But I do think that they're going to get to
a guy in Asus Sosado who last year posted up
in the era that was about one point seventy five
points higher when he was away from home versus when

(38:27):
he was at home. He clearly has pitched so much
better throughout his career when he has been in Miami.
He's able to give you about ten strikeouts for nine
and he's saying command has gotten a little bit better.
But this bullpen has been absolutely awful for the Miami Marlins,
and they had to use up quite a bit of
it yesterday because our good friend AJ Puck just continues
to not be starter quality. So as a result, you've
got a lot of guys that have been used up

(38:49):
in recent days. And George Shoriano has been completely useless
for the seam Tanner Scott has been awful. And then
for these Chicago Cubs, they do a good job of
being able to mix a match as well. Fab Or
say can't give you a lot of laying you know what,
you do have a few long guys out there that
are able to hold down the Fort Colton Brewers able
to give you multiple innings. Ad Barrelsley has been used
more as a closer, but I traded you as a
starter just a few short years ago as well. Actor

(39:10):
Nars has been able to do a solid job for
a ninety or two. Yancy A. Montes a little bit
up and down, but I think the Cubs have a
lot of edges here, so I'm gonna be one to
lay up to minus one fifty nine on this money
line at plus one twenty or higher will be laying
a run a half with the Cubs, and then seven
and a half for Less. Looking at the over eight
or higher to the under, Weld need at least a
plus one sixty one with Lezardo to take a shot there,
and then in nine eighty one, nine eighty two. This

(39:31):
is just rough. I set the Miami Marlins where I
need at least all plus two thirty seven to take
a shot on that money line. I'm on to lay
up to about of minus one twenty five when it
comes to the Cubs on the run line, and I
made them a money line favorite of minus two thirty six.
And then this is a total where I sent it
to wear an eight and a half for Less. I'm
looking at the over nine or higher to the under.
I do think that the conditions are going to be
a little bit better in game number two rather than

(39:52):
game number one. And for Immanaga, his first few starts
for the Cubs have been absolutely pristine. Fifteen in the
third innings as give up two walks, one unurned run,
sixteen strikeouts. He has been the real deal and a
half for this team going up against a guy and
Roderi Munos who I have absolutely no faith in whatsoever.

(40:13):
This is a guy that I believe that he came
over from overseas, from the Dominican Republic. He spent some
time in the Braves farm system here at Jacksonville the season.
I recognize that it's a small sample size of three appearances,
but at the Triple A level this far this season,
a ten ninety seventy RA giving up ten point one
walks and getting five point nine strikeouts per nine NX,

(40:33):
that's not great. That's not great at all. And you
just take a look at his Triple A career numbers
at six fifty seventy RA with less than nine strikeouts,
at six point eight walks per nine ennings Like, I
don't know what we're doing here with the Miami Marlins.
They have no idea how to pick out starters at
this point. He's not backed up by a very good offense.
He's backed up by a terrible ble pen Like, I

(40:55):
just don't see any path forward for the Cubs in
this one. I do think that im and Aga is
gonna be seeing a little bit of a should don't.
Like I said, I do think that condition is going
to be a little bit better for raighting. So in
after loss, looking at the over nine or higher to
the underround with the Cubs, I'd be willing to lay
apt a minus one twenty five with that run line.
I would need at least a plus two thirty seven
to take a shot on the Marlins on the money
line nine fifty five, nine fifty six. On the bag board,
it is a New York Mets, say throw at their

(41:16):
facing off against the LA Dodgers. Ose Butto is going
to be going for the Metropolitans as of right now.
It is to be determined on the betting board for
the LA Dodgers, So this is a game that is
presently off the board. When I was checking ESPN, initially
it was looking like Gavin Stone, and if we do
get mister Stone against Jose Butto, I'd be saying the
Dodgers out of minus one fifty seven. So we need
at least plus one fifty eight to take a shot

(41:36):
on the Mets, and I'd most likely book Dodgers run
line or Mets money line, and I would need at
least a plus one fifteen to lay a run and
a half with the Dodgers. Reason why I say that,
For the Dodgers, since the beginning of the twenty twenty
two campaign, they have won all but thirty five of
their regular season wins by multiple runs. And in that
time span, they have won two hundred and twenty four

(41:56):
regular season games. So they're either winning by multiple runs
or they're lose outright. But also, did somethingdy tell that
a nine point four to nine and let's looking at
the over nine and a half riar to the under
Gavin Stone actually coming off of a really nice start
against the San Diego Potres. Prior to that start against
the Potters, and that was a game that had a
two hour rain delay in there to be able to
help him out and get those bats tired, he had
a career nine ERA. He just doesn't look too cut

(42:19):
out for the major leagues at this point. He's given
up three bucks per nine and ning's to his credit,
he's been able to keep the ball in the yard
thus farthest season after last year he had a little
bit of issue there. But I just feel like Gavin Stone,
he might be a good starter down the line, but
I just don't think that he's quite there yet. You
might be looking at guys like a Kyle Hurt to
be able to give you some long relief, but it's
an only Doctors bullpen that has had their struggles as
far this season in the Pottom half of the big leagues.

(42:41):
With regards to Bullpenny Ray Alex BESSI has been a
little bit up and down. Love what Evan Phillips has
been able to provide for the team, but after Ryan
Brazier was so great a season ago, we've seen some
progression there and then you got a Mets bullpen that
does have Edwin Diaz out there now other than Edwin
did As. It could be a little bit of a
role that Ice. But I've always liked Brooks ray Ley
and sort of that Bridge Rollie does a solid job
on that. You've been able to get a few solid

(43:01):
ddings out of Adam on a Vino when he's been
out there, but I know that he's been in and
out as well. But I do like what I'm seeing
out of Jose Buto. We were talking about with Rob
Donaldson one run surrendered in twelve innings as far this season,
and when he got his opportunities as a starter last year,
he was pretty good as well. He gets swings and misses,
sometimes gives up a couple too many walks. In his
first sert of the season, did have those three walks

(43:21):
against the Detroit Tigers. But all in all, I actually
really like what I've seen out of Jose. Buto question
is what form of the Mets are you gonna get?
Because the Mets, sorry, they're gonna give you like seven
runs or they're gonna give you one. They're not gonna
be anywhere in between Pete Alonzo six home runs as
far this season, and Starling Marte and the Marte Parte
both in in between about a two sixty two, two seventy.
But then you've got Francisco lindor DJ Stewart along with

(43:43):
Jeff mcdeal hitting below two twenty five. You expect these
guys to be able to pick it up a little bit.
Francisco Overres has been inconsistent, but he's been able to
move line a little bit more of this season. And
you know that this is a Dodgers lineup that is
pretty much a death star at this point. Mookie Betts
being able to slug six home runs going into yesterday
hitting north of three sixty, Shoyo Tany eating at three
sixty with four bombs, task Gernandez five home runs, He's

(44:04):
moving the line mine. It's incredible. But I will say
this about the La Dodgers, very top heavy lineup. First
five hitters are about as few or so as it gets.
And then you've got Key k Rnandez, Chris Taylor, James Outman,
Kevin Lux, all evening below the Midele's line of two hundred.
So that's been a little bit of an issue. But
the Dodgers, while he's one of the best teams that
being able to draw walks in all baseball as well.

(44:24):
But I do think that for the Mets, they're gonna
be able to remain relatively lively here. So if I
can get about a plus one fifty eight or higher,
I'd be looking at the Mets minus one fifty six
or less on the money line, plus one fifteen or
higher on the run line, looking at the Dodgers, and
then nine or less. I'd like the over nine and
a half riar the under nine fifty seven, nine to
fifty eight on the bank board. The arsen A diamondbacksit
throwad face off against the San Francisco Giants, says, you've
got Kyl Rison on the bump for the Giants. Zach

(44:46):
Allen goes for the Diamondbacks. Diamondbacks to find themselves as
road favorites, and between minus one twenty two minus one
twenty five ze number there and between plus one oh
five plus one ten is that number on San Francisco
seven a half to eight is a total on the
eight hundred his minus one twenty and the overs even
on the seven and a half, the overs between the
minus one fifteen to minus one twenty and the unders
any between even and minus one oh five. And with

(45:07):
the San Francisco Giants, I made them the very very
slim minus one oh one favorites. I'm gonna be taking
a look at them on the money line. It's exactly
what we were talking about with our good friend Rob Donaldson.
With Zach Gallen, this is a guy that I always
want to be backing at home. He does a very
rock solid job when he's in Arizona. It's as if,
for lack of a better term, he loses his superpowers

(45:29):
when he hits the road. Though. You take a look
at his twenty twenty three numbers just because I believe
he's only got one road start thus far this season,
had a two forty seven home ERA, had a four
to forty two ERA on the road. On the road
gave up about one point two five home runs pern
I and Nnings. At home gave up just under a
zero point six y five home runs per n and Nings.
So just a night and day difference with Zach Gallen

(45:51):
and his Hilosopy's been a little bit down this season
after he had a massive workload a season ago. Meanwhile,
you've got Kyle Harrison who's a little bit inconsistent, and
we've seen him be up and down. But I mean
he's been able down the four with three runs a
fierce surrendered in three out of his first fourth starts.
He's able to get some swings and misses as far
the season, only about eight raycusber nine andyes, but has
also only issued four walks in twenty three innings as well.

(46:12):
I do like his overall upside. Now, what I don't
like for the San Francisco Giants is that this has
been a bottom ten team terms of bullpen area thus
far this season. But Taylor and Tyler Rodgers are relatively
solid you've got Camillia de Ball, one of the better
closers that you're fined in the big leagues. The big
question is ton these guys that are a little bit,
shall we say, further down the line, like Eric Miller,
k Wait Tang, guys like this be able to hold

(46:33):
down the fourth. Meanwhile, you've got a Diamondbacks bullpen that
it's been relatively league average as far this season. There
without Louis Frees, which is not a bad thing for them.
Miguel Castro has been rough, but Justin Martinez is a
young gun who's right around twenty two years old who
should be able to give this team a little bit
of help. I like what I've seen out of Kyle
Nelson and Ryan Thompson this far this season and for
the years in the Diamondbacks. They've done a really nice
shot but be able to put back to ball to

(46:54):
begin the season, especially Kettle Marte and Love with the
Lord ofs Guriel. Both of these guys have supplied five
plus homer runs that's far this season. You've got Christian
Walker's inconsistent but three home runs about a three ninety
one on base When he's hot, he's hot when he's cold.
He's cold, and you do have to expect Corby and Carrol.
It's got just one home run and a two twenty
five average entering into the series to be able to
pick it up a little bit. I Meanwhile, for the
San Francisco Giants, you've had some very good production with

(47:18):
regards to the home run power of Matt Chapman at
Orace Hilaria. There are two big offseason acquisitions like nine
seven home runs. You've got Chaman though providing a two
to fifty six on base. Ori Hilire he's probably about
three forty five on as he's coming along for the ride,
but you need a little bit more in terms of
just being able to find a way on Basil Montway.
Junior has been tremendous with this front four seventy four
on base, but it's just been a little bit sporadic

(47:39):
for the San Francisco Giants have like where I've seen
out of Michael Conforto though he's been able to fly
four home runs, and as we know with the San
Francisco Giants, they always score fewer runs when they're at
home rather than away from him. It's not because they
forget how to hit one there at home. It's just
because it's one of the most Pittro friendly ballparks that
you're going to be finding in the big League, which
is why I didn't not much to all it some
point seven, mostly seeing eights, and personally I had rather

(48:00):
have an eight under rather than a seven a half over,
because even though Zach Callen does have his inconsistencies when
he's away from him, I still do think that he's
gonna be able to deliver in okay start. But I
do think that Kyle Harrison say, we'll put it together
and get the job done for the San Francisco Giants.
So looking at at any sort of plus price I
can get with the Giants on the money line, and
gonna be taking a look at this eight under, nine
to fifty nine, nine to sixty on the big board.

(48:21):
The New York Yankees are going to be playing on
Sea Tampa Bay Rays. Zach Kefflin hopes to not b
Efflin awful for the Rays, and you've got Neester Qrtez
on the bump for the Yankees. Yankees between minus one
thirty to minus one thirty five favors between plus one
fourteen to plus one twenty is at number one Tampa Bay.
Eight to eight and a half is a total on
the eight and a half, the unders minus one twenty
to minus one twenty five, overs between even a plus

(48:41):
one five on the eight over and under, or any
between minus one oh eight to minus one twelve, and
I will be looking at the over. I did some
of my total at an eight point six. Something I
alluded to with Rob is that this Rai's bullpen has
been just absolutely atrocious thus far this season. Enter into
this series in the bottom two in the big in
terms of bullpenny array. Now I do think that they

(49:02):
are going to be able to pick it up a
little bit because we've got Jason ad Home, p Fairbanks,
Comb Bouchet. These guys have had a little bit of
a rough start to the season, but they've got a
track record of success. But at the same time, it's
very hard to be backing that and they go up
against a guy in Nester Cortezu. I was mentioning it
with Rob as well, the fact that he's got some
very dramatic Homan roads. What's over the last two seasons,

(49:23):
since the beginning of the twenty twenty three campaign has
been posting up in the array and as darn near
two points lower when he's at home rather than away
from moment. If you just take a look at his
overall career splits at home three thirty ARRA, three forty
five RARA. When he's away from home, his home runs
per nine rate increases by well over thirty percent when
he's away from moment as well. So well, that's of

(49:44):
red flags there. Going up against a Tampa Bay Ray's
unit then just has had a little bit of a
tough time putting back to ball at the top. Randy A.
Rose Arena, Yandy Diaz. These are guys you expect to
give you a little bit of power, find a way
to be able to move the line. Both are giving
less than a two to eighty five on base. Neither
of these guys have been able to give you more
than two home runs a piece as well. He s
Tak Paradis has been great. He's been able to give
you five home runs. He's find a way to be

(50:05):
able to get on bas and I'm ed Rosario Ben
road Fit. These guys surprisingly have found a way on based.
Jered Calbray has been afitely okay, But some of these
guys starts bottom and the fold do you just have
not gotten a lot out of like Curtis Meat and Company. Meanwhile,
for the New York Yankees, it's a little bit intermised
for this bunch as well. And Aaron Judge, we've seen
some flashes from him the last week or so. That
home run against the Cleveland Guardians about a week or

(50:26):
so ago that was nice, but silling below the mendosign
two hundred. It's been Jan Soto Anthony Volpe having to
carry this seam both Gary Vino a four hundred plus
on base. Sodo hasn't necessary hit a ton of home runs,
but in just the fact that he's a will to
be a constant for this team is big. Unique labor
tour has to be able to pick it up a
little bit. But with the way that the raised bullpen
is struggling right now, I have to put that into question.

Speaker 4 (50:47):
As we know the.

Speaker 2 (50:48):
Yankee Stadium it's not the world's worst pictures mark, but
with that George Porch you do give up quite a
few home runs. And for the Yankees, it is a
bullpen that last season was one of the best in
the Big leagues. In this year it's been a little
bit touch and go. I like what you're able to
get of Ian Hamilton and John thought the wise go,
but you got John Sill, the wise guy on the
injured list. That's been a little bit rough getting back around. Medanacchio,
I think is gonna be relatively solid for the seam

(51:09):
moving forward, and then Dennis Satan has been half way
decent for the team as well. I do think that
the New York Yankees should be pretty good sized favorites
in this one, even though Zach Gughlin has proven that
away from home he said relatively solid pitcher his home
in Rhodeswlitz. He had darn near the same era a
season ago, but he was away from home versus when
he was at home. Man for Zach Efflin, he does
just a really nice job of locating in general since

(51:30):
coming over to the Tampa Bay Rays about one point
one walks per nine and nnings and in a Ray's
uniform both home splits and road splitts three sixty three
ra just a three thirteen fielding independent. But I do
think that the Yankees are gonna be able to get
to him, and even if you get like six good
endings out of Zach Cufflin. This bullpen just not in
good form, to say the least. I did set the
Yankees out of minus one forty two on the money line,
so gonna be a looking there, and I did some

(51:51):
much al at eight point six, so I do like
the over in this spot. I do like that Yankees
money line nine sixty one, nine to sixty two on
the bank board. The Detroit Tigers are on the road.
They're facing up against even the Twins as yet, Ries
Olsen on the bump for Detroit and Bailey ober is
gonna be going for the Twins. The Twins are between
minus one twenty eight to minus one thirty five favorites
between plus one fourteen to plus one twenty That number
on Detroit eight is a total unders minus one fifteen.

(52:12):
The over is minus one of five. I did some
my total at some point eight. I'm gonna be looking
at the under. You've got two teams that have been
absolutely incredible in the bullpen. The Tigers enter into the
series number one in the big leagues in terms of
Bullpenny Ray. You've had a Minnesota Twins team that need
to take it on the chin a little bit against
the Baltimoreals. That's simply because he Baltimore Orials have been
absolutely slugging the crowd out of the ball as far

(52:33):
this season. But even with that, they're number five in
the Lake in terms of a bullpenny ari. This is
even with you ond on currently being out of the fold.
Rox Stewart has been good, Cody Funderberg has been able
down the four kill of Theobar has been in and
out of the fold as well, But hold on, all
these guys have done a pretty presentable job. Jay Jackson,
I think he's gonna be able pick it up moving forward.
And then for the Detroit Tigers, you don't havesually have
that one like superstar guy in that bullpen or anything

(52:56):
like that, but love with Jason Foley, Andrew Chafin, wolve Vet.
All of these guys just as a collective are providing
and both of these offenses have been rough. Both of
these teams in the bottom six in the Big leagues.
With the guards are runs per game, and for Detroit
you've been able to have Kerry Carpenter, Chie Orchell both
be able to do a great job hitting about a
three hundred entering into this series. But don't have a

(53:17):
lot to pop out of Darne or any of these guys.
Mark cann has been able to give you three on
runs and his amise percent just a three eighty two
betting AVERAGEO is about a two thirty. You've gotten nothing
whatsoever at Spencer Turkelsen as far this season. From a
power perspective, Zach McKinstry, Carson Kelly, some of these guys
at the bottom of the fold are just dead bats.
And for the Minnesota Twins, you want to talk about
dead bats in the starting lineup. Yesterday you had two

(53:39):
guys hitting up above two hundred, Ryan Jeffers along with
Alex cirrel Off. They were the only two guys in
the starting line up hitting above two hundred. They've gotten
not a lot of power. Edward Julien has been able
to give you four home runs as far this season,
but I mean mad it is really rough to say
the least. And for Bailey Over, he does have his
tendencies to give up the deep beat over the last
few seasons has been giving up about a home run

(53:59):
and a half per nine and nning. So that does
cause you to have a little bit of trepidation here
with them. And if you are taking a look at
the money line, I would need about two cents more
to be able to take a shot on the Detroit Tigers.
I'm only willing to go up to Mis one twenty
two on Minnesota. I do think that when it comes
to the timelines coming out, I do think that that
would put me on the Detroit Tigers in the spot
because with Bailey Ober, even though he is going, he

(54:21):
gets the Tigers line up that's powerless. Honestly, I do
like this Tiger's line up just a little bit more
right now than the Minnesota Twins. And for Over, even
though he doesn't walk a lot of guys, he does
give you a lot of opportunities for our contact and
to his credit, has been able to give you about
nine strikecouts for nine ennings. Meanwhile, forese Olsen, he's a
young gun that has been in my opinion, just a
little bit unlucky at the big league level three ninety

(54:41):
eighty ra in his two seasons at the big league level.
But at three eighty six be able the compendit gets
about nine strike cuts to two point nine walks per
nine and n he does a relatively solid job, I'll
be able to mitigate our contact. So I do think
that for Olsen, he's going to be able to go
out there have himself a nice start against a Minnesota
Twins team that they are just not finding a way
to get on base in general. Now if you look
at the Baseball Savon numbers, so positive he should be

(55:02):
coming through. But Felsen he's actually had a lower ERA
when he's been on the road rather than when he's
been at home as well. So gonna be in Waitton,
c MO. But I think I should be able to
get a plus one twenty two year on the Tigers.
That's what I'm going to be targeting there. And with
regards to total subminn at some point eight, so you
got the eight. Gonna be looking at the under nine
sixty three, nine to sixty four on the betting board.
It is the Oakland A's and they throw the facing
off against the Cleveland Guardian says it is Logan Allen

(55:25):
who's going to be going for the Guardians and Alex
Wood is on the bump for the A's. A's for
finding themselves. That's pretty sizable underdogs. You're going to be
getting them in between a plus one thirty six to
oelve plus one forty five. Meanwhile, between minus one fifty
five to minus one sixty five, that is your number
on the Cleveland Guardians. Eight is a total over and
under any wetween minus one of five to a minus
one fifteen. Entering into yesterday, the Oakland A's were very

(55:46):
hot on the run line as an underdog and came
a little bit to a head yesterday, but still bullished
on the pitching of the Oakland A's massive questionmarks with
regards hitting, So as a result, I did set the
Guardians minus one seventy eight on the money line, and
pretty much with will take even money or better with
regards are laying a run and a half right now
when we are seeing only a few openers on the
run line, but right now seeing about plus one twenty
five plus one thirty, I would be willing to lay

(56:08):
that run and a half Alex would. I do have
my trepidations with him. He had a rough go of
at the last few seasons in a San Francisco ballpark
in which very very much does play the pitchers, and
with him now going to Cleveland, it is a little
bit more of a pitcher's ballpark for him as well.
But the Guardians are just doing a really good job
of moving the line in general, and they've had great
success against lefties. For the Cleveland Guardians, they've done a

(56:29):
tremendous job with having Stephen Kwan being a play at
about a three to fifty thus far this season, and
they've got a little bit more power than a season go.
It's not like this team is where they were in
a season to go, where they were dead stink and
last in the big leagues with regards to total home runs,
but as a collective against left handed pitching going into
yesterday two ninety batting average, three fifty six on base
not necessarily generating a bunch of power once again, just

(56:49):
three home runs about one hundred and fifty five at bats,
but have a lot of guys that are finding a
way to be able to move the line. Jose Ramirez
has been a little bit up and down this far
the season, but the like so if Josh Naylor, Andre Semenez,
Gabrielle Reis, they've been able to find a way to
be able to get on in. Naylor Square has been
able to provide quite a bit of power meanwhile for
the Oakland A's, but has been very beneficial for them
has been the bullpen. The bullpen has been absolutely lights

(57:11):
out for this team, a top five team with regards
at Bullpenny Ara. And even though Joe Boyle gave up
seven runs yesterday, he managed to be able to fill
seven innings, So you're still not in a bad spot
for this as bullpen. The likes of Danium Menez, Mason
Miller should still be a starter. By the way, Austin Adams,
all these guys, they've done a nice job providing a
sub three era. Michael Kelly has been a nice Nation story.
And for the Cleveland Guardians, this team is in the

(57:32):
top three with reguards of Bullpenny ra as well. Both
of these teams have been rocks a lot because they
got such a big lead, they pretty much sure out
there are less than trustworthy guy in Tyler be d yesterday.
So this means that so many of these guys like
Emmanuel class A, Nick Sandlin, Peter strez Aluki when he
gets out there, Hunter dadis all these guys are going
to be relatively good to go. And for the A's
it's just a case where can we find anyone that's

(57:54):
able to move the line and get on base. This
is a team that has collective is any blow a
two fifteen, You've got a lot of struggle bets out there.
Even though shave Langoliras had that three home run game
a few weeks ago, he Brent Rooker, Lawrence Butler all
hitting below a two hundred as of right now. Abraham
Dora was able to have a nice lead off home
run yesterday, but Sackloff has not been able to duplicate
some of these success they had a season ago as well.

(58:16):
So I do think that the pitching is going to
be relatively rock solid here. But still, like I said,
to have my trepidations with Alex Wood and for Logan Allen,
he has been having a few struggles. So I do
think that the Oakland A's might be able to get
a little bit more rolling with reguards to the offense here.
For Logan Allen, last time out gives up four runs
in five to two thirds ends against the New York Yankees,
and it's given up four home runs at twenty one

(58:36):
and a third innings. As far as the season, the
walks have never been great, They've never been terrible with
him for his career, about three point one three point
two walks per nine innings, gets about eight strikeouts per
nine as well, So I do think that the Oakland
A's going to be able to get a little bit
more going on offense than they did yesterday. So I
did something total here at an eight point three. Now
that we've gone down to an eight, I'm going to
be looking at the over because I do think that
both of these starters do surrender quite a few runs here,

(58:59):
but the bullpens are able to hold it down from there.
And I do think that the Guardians do a much
better job, you know, put back to ball against the
lefty and Alex would so going to be taking a
look at the Guardians run line, and I do like
this little over as well. Nine sixty five, nine sixty
six On the bank board, the Kansaity Rails players still
Baltimore Orioles, Corbyn Burns is on the bump for the
Orioles and Cole Reagans is going to be on the
bump for Kansas City. Kansas City finds themselves as an

(59:19):
underdog between plus one ten to a plus one fifteen,
between minus one twenty five to minus one thirty, that
is your number on the Baltimore Oriols totals game it
is eight under his minus one fifteen the over his
minus one of five did set my total at an
eight point two. I'm going to be taking a look
at the over very interesting spot with just two absolutely
tremendous ass on the bump. But at the same time,

(59:40):
a Baltimore Orioles team that entered into this series with
thirty home runs in their first eighteen games of the season,
this team has just found a way to be able
to hit with two outs with such consistency as well,
I need to just take a look up and down
the boulevard for the team. Even with Anthony sound Tander
hitting just at the Mindo's line of two hundred, he
was the only out there top seven guys in the

(01:00:01):
order that entered into yesterday hitting below a two point
eighty other than Cedric Mullins as well. Mullins was hitting
more round about it two sixty or so. But I mean,
all these guys are finding way to be able to
move line gunner. Anderson has been the main gunner for
this team with six home runs, but Santan Dere Jordan Wesberg,
you're able to throw in their Colton Kolzer, Ryan O'Hearn,
Cedric Mullins all between four and five home runs entering
into yesterday, And because this team has so much depth,

(01:00:22):
they're able to platun with righty's versus lefties as well.
For the Kansaity Royals, though you've been having a little
bit of inconsistency with the offense. But Vinny Pascantino, after
a rough first two weeks of the season, he's starting
to find that form that he had when he was
really rock solid towards the middle part of the season
last year before going down with an injury. He's up
to four home runs. He's given you a north of
a three fifty on base. Salvadar Perez has been able

(01:00:44):
to give you some nice pop. He and Bobby with
Junior both hitting above three hour. Both of these guys
three plus home runs. Now with Keligarci has been able
to give you three plus bombs, but he hasn't really
moved the line, and you do need the guys like
Hunter Renfro Kyle Isabelle at the bottom of the fold
to give you a little bit more. And for the
Kansaity Royals, I'm still not necessarily super bullish on this bullpen.
James MacArthur is the guy them having a tough time
buying in too. But if you look at the raw numbers,

(01:01:05):
a three sixty ARRA on the bullpen entering into the
series at number twelve in the big leagues, they do
have a guy that like in John Schreiber. Chris Harean
is a guy that's been a little bit up and
down along Nick Anderson, but anel Zertapa as a long
reliever has actually been halfway decent. And Cole Wagan's just
flat out deal since getting over to Kansas City towards
the bacaff of the twenty twenty three campaign is providing
a sub to fifty ar A, a sub three fielding

(01:01:27):
dependent thus far the season, twenty nine strikeouts in twenty
three and the third Dings allowing just one home run
in his first four starts of the season. Now a
lot of it has come for not because the team
has provided him with four runs, are fewer of support
in every one of his starts, but he has done
his job every sinking time. And you've got a guy
in Corbyn Burns said when he was with the Milwaukee
Brewers for the final three seasons he was there, he

(01:01:48):
posted up in era about a half a point better
when he was away from home rather than what he
was at home. Orioles actually have a very comparable bullpen
to the Royals in terms of VRA though I do
have a little bit more faith in this Orioles bullpen.
I've had Craig Kimberill actually look halfway decent thus far
the season. I don't know how long lasting that's gonna be,
but so far, so good there. Nier can know you
know what you're gonna be able to get out of him,
Danny columb these guys have been relatively consistent, and for

(01:02:11):
kirnber Burns, I do think that he's gonna be able
to go out there and have himself a relatively nice
start as all right, face off against the Kanseite Royals
once this season, gave up two runs at five to
two thirds, sayings, I do think that he's gonna have
something similar, but did only get three strikeouts there. I
do think that the Royals are gonna be able to
find a way to generate some offense, and I do
think that the Oriols do as well. I can only
set the Oriols as a minus one sixteen favorite, because
I do think that Reagan's at home lends a relatively

(01:02:32):
solid started in. I do think that the Royals gonna
be able to hit a little bit better at home
rather than away from home. So here at the eight,
gonna be looking at the overset. I tot it at
eight point two and with the Royals at a plus
one sixteen or better. Right now, I'm starting to see
a plus one eighteen come onto the board. That's my
bypoint on their money line, to go along with the
over nine sixty seven nine to sixty eight on the
bank board. The Boston Red Sox at the road to
face off against the Pittsburgh Priors. Mitch thunder Killer is

(01:02:54):
on the bump for Pittsburgh and Cutter Crawford goes for Boston.
Boston is an underdog. If any were team plus one
o five dough plus one two, and any were between
minus one twenty two minus one twenty five setstream minus
tent eighteen, that's your number on Pittsburgh. Eight is the
total hundreds between minus one fifteen minus one twenty. If
you overs between even and minus one five, it's not
the Pirates out of minus one twenty eight. I'm gonna
be willing to roll with them on the money line.

(01:03:14):
I actually really like what I've seen out of Cutter Crawford.
He was so much better on the road rather than
at home last season as well. For Cutter Crawford, he
had an ERA when he was at home of a
six last year. It was a two fifty six when
he was away from home. So certainly some big giant
splits there. But I do think that for Crawford he's
going to be able to give a relatively presentable start
against the Pittsburgh Pirates. But the big thing for Mitch

(01:03:36):
Keller is that the velocity that was dipped during the
spring training months when he was out there for his
first start or two, it looks like it's coming back
to him. Last two starts looked so much better. Gave
up and combine four runs at thirteen nings against the
Tigers in the Phillies. Now granted, not the Monsters of
the Midway or anything like that, but they get thirteen
strikeouts in those two starts as well, So I do

(01:03:56):
feel like things are starting to come back to him
and for the Pittsburgh Priors, even though they got absolutely
club yesterday. It was a case where because they were
getting so badly destroyed, they didn't have to throw out
there too many of their trustworthy relievers. They are currently
dealing with an injury to Brian Baroki. That are's then
a little bit and or Old Chaman should be out
in the fold for this game as well due to suspension.
But that said, David Bennar, he's a really good guy

(01:04:17):
late in games. Colin Holderman, he's able to give you
some relatively good endings as well. Ryder Ryan, he's a
little bit in her miss, but oh no, it's a
relatively saw Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen, and for the Boston Red Sox,
it's a bullpen that is not great, it's not terrible.
You've got so many of these guys that are gonna
come out there. They're gonna do their job. Brandon Bernardino,
the opener from a few days ago, has actually been
very solid for the team. Greg weiserd is a little

(01:04:38):
bit of a roll the ice, but he can be
pretty good and if you need multiple endings, Justin Slayton
has posted up at sell one era. I really like
what I'm seeing out a film couple with Chris Martin
ken Lee Jansen. Now the question for the Balliston Red
Sox is can they duplicate the offense that they got yesterday?
As you all of a sudden, we're able to get
Rob Redsider along with Wiler a beret you to be
able to pop off and have themselves a nice performance.
But he saw some of the young guys like Bobby Don't,

(01:05:00):
Sadine Rafael, Emmanuel Valdez hitting well below the Mendoe's line two.
Uner Masataka Yoshida just has not been the guy that
they were hoping for. But Tristan Cossas certainly has been
six home runs three thirty five on basin. Jaron Durham
has done a nice job moving line, and after a
nice start to the season, the Pittsburgh Priors have been
taking a little bit of a drop off in terms
of their offense as well. You've got Jacksonnisky, Andrew McCutcheon,

(01:05:20):
Henry Davis just not finding way to be able to
move the line. These guys hitting below the Mendoe's line two.
Uner On'el Cruz He's got great power, but he's only
give you about a two to sixty in terms of
his zombies Kabrian a Is Brian Reynolds. Both of these
guys about a three seventy in terms of their on base,
but not necessating for a lot of average, not necessating
for a ton of power. But I do think that
for the Pittsburgh Priors, they do find a way here.
And I do think that both of these starters do

(01:05:41):
len a relatively solid start. But I do have trepidations
in terms of both of these bullpens as well. But
I do think that ben are gonna be the difference
here for the Pittsburgh Priors. And I do like the
fact that Mitch Keller he has seeing that for velocity
come back to him. And I do think that for
both of these teams, they've been a little bit up
and down with their offense. I do think that they
find a little bit more here. So I did something
told at eight point three, you're at the eight, I'm
going to be taking a look at the over and

(01:06:02):
with the Pirates wanting to lay up to a minus
one twenty seven with that money line nine sixty nine,
nine seventy on the bank board, the Euston asteris at
the road. They're facing off against the Washington Nationals and
the Nationals are throwing out their Trevor Williams we know,
while Ronando Leblanco is on the bump. For the Astros,
Asters find themselves as favorites of any between minus one
sixty five minus one seventy five and between plus one

(01:06:22):
forty three to plus one fifty three. As your number
on Washington A and a half to nine is a
total on the nine, the unders but tween minus one
fifteen to minus one twenty the overs. Any between even
minus one five on the A and a half over
is minus one twenty five the under that is plus
one oh five. And for the Asters, I set them
at the money line at a minus one sixty one.
If you're looking to lay a run and a half
right now, we are find that anywhere between about a

(01:06:45):
minus one oh five do minus one ten, and if
we're able to get a minus one oh five or better,
I would be willing to lay the run a half.
I set their money line more around a minus one
sixty one. So right now we're quite out of range
for the Washington Nationals unless we do see quite a
bit of steam come in. So looking at the Astros
run line with Rono Blanco, he has gone out there
and has been absolutely tremendous for the Houston Asters. As

(01:07:05):
far this season, do you expect a little bit of
regression out of him as this is his first year
really putting it together quite like this. Last season he
was giving up north for four walks pern I and Ennings,
and this season he's been able to work on that
quite a bit as he's been quite fortunate on Balston Plape.
I'm not gonna lie to you, he has given up
six hits and twenty one innings. Well, his strikeouts set
sixteen punch outs in twenty one innings. You do expect

(01:07:27):
the contact to be coming back and hurting him just
a little bit, But on all I think that this
has been a very impressive sort of turn for ronou Blanco. Meanwhile,
got a guy in Trevor Williams that he is very
much a pitcher contact guy. Last year he was getting
less than six halves strikeouts per Nin and Nnings was
posting up in the area that was in the neighbor
about five fifty five. Both they field independent turn near sixes.
He gave up two home runs per nin and Ennings.

(01:07:49):
That's far the season he has given up about three
and a half walks pern and Nnings says led the
team to victory in two out of his three starts
as far so has been something positive, but hopefull I
do have just a little bit of a stuck down
start of approach on Trevor Williams, since I do think
that the Astros top lineup is going to be able
to get to him. You've got Kyle Tucker, Yordanovrez Osel
two v three guys that entered in this series, all

(01:08:10):
being able to supply five home runs, all give you
at least a three seventy on base. Alex Bragman has
yet to hit a home run, but he's started to
come around in Jersey average, while Jeremy Panya getting well
above a three twenty for this bunch as well. Really,
other than Jose Bray, who has been a big fat
disappointment ever since joining the Easton Astros, this team has
been pretty rock solid. In for the Washington Nationals. They
did have a little bit of power in the offseason,

(01:08:31):
bringing in Joey Gallow, Jesse Winker along with Eddie Rosario.
Only one of these guys that is panning out right
now is Jesse Winker gala as three home bruns, but
sitting a pandit buck thirty six with more home runs
and singles. That's what you always expect out of our
good friend Joey Gallo. But for Winker about a forty
five on base He has been absolutely incredible. But Cee
j Abrams, he's able to steal some bags. He's given

(01:08:51):
you three fifty five on base, five home runs. He's
been able to really step it up. But some of
the guys that were so rock solid he season ago,
the really entirety of the catcher spot for the seam
Joy Minez Selene Thomas. These are guys hitting a two
hundred or lower. That's been rough for the team, though
Lewis Garcia has found a way to be able to
move the line. For the Washington Nationals, it's not a
great bullpen, it's not a terrible bullpen. They pick up
doll and floor off this crap heap that should be

(01:09:11):
able to help them out a little bit. Derek Law
has been a bit up and down, but Jordan Weems
is actually a very underrated reliever for this bunch. Kyle
Finigan has always a little bit of a role that ice,
but on all I do think that they're gonna be
able to a fine job against Houston Astro's team. That
the bullpen pitching it is quite diminished, like they used
to have guys like Ector and Nerris, Ryan Stannik, guys
that could hold down the four for an ending or two.

(01:09:32):
And even though you've got Josh Hater Alon Ryan Presley,
you just don't have as much depth anymore. Brian Ray
is able to give you some good endings, but he's
been a little bit up and down this season, though
Roughie and Montreedro has actually been very very good for
the Houston Astros as far as the season. But I
do think that for Blanco, even though he's gonna start
to experience a little bit of regression, I still like
him quite a bit more in this spot rather than
Truvor Williams. That I do think that Williams is gonna

(01:09:53):
have a tough time against the top of the fold
for the Houston Astros team, which is why I did
some my total at a nine point three here in
an eight and a half four nine, I'm gonna be
willing to take a look at the over and for
the Astros at a minus one oh five or better,
wan a layer run and a half nine seventy one,
nine to seventy two on the baking board. The Philadelphi
Phillies playoffs to the Chicago White Sox. Mike Soroka is
on the bump for the White Sox, Zach Wheelan and
Delan Wheeler is on the bump for the Phillies, and

(01:10:13):
the Phillies Mondo favorites here. You're gonna be getting them
any between minus two seventy five two minus two ninety
an he were between up plus two thirty five. Does
seeing his high as a plus two forty eight year
number on the White Sox, seven and a half is
your total over is minus one twenty five. The under
is plus one o five. Singing eight out there as
well with the eight under his minus one ten and
the over is minus one ten. I needed at least
a plus two sixty eight to take a shot on

(01:10:35):
the White Sox. If you're looking to lay a run
and a half with the Philadelphia Phillies, are gonna be
laying about a minus one thirty two minus one thirty five.
Wouldn't want to go past a minus one thirty five,
but I'm willing to lay it this Chicago White Sox
offense is a skid mark on the underpants of baseball.
For the White Sox, two runs are fewer in each
other their last four games, and they have broken two

(01:10:56):
runs once in their last seven. Oy, this is just
not good, to say the least. Like you just take
a look up and down the boulevard right now for
the White Sox. Good news is Eloyamenez his bag in
the fold for them. And you've got Paul de Young
who's being able in at two sixty two with three
home runs. Yippy do there? But I mean past this,
you just have absolutely nothing going right for this team.

(01:11:16):
I don't know what happened to Andrew ben attendee, but
he has absolutely forgotten how to hit. I guess that's
what happens when you put on a White Sox uniform.
As you had two guys that sawn at bat yesterday
and you saw e loving guys in total go up
to the play for the Chicago White Sox if you
include pinch hitters, two guys in total hitting above a
two twenty for this team, three guys in total hitting
above a two hundred, Like, there's absolutely no power to

(01:11:37):
speak of. Andrew Vaughn as regressed. You've got Nicky Lopez,
Martin Maldonado at the bottom of the fold. They are
absolute automatic outs. I mean, this is not great. Meanwhile,
you've got a Philadelphia Philly seemed that maybe been a
little bit up and down themselves, but Alec Bohm got
himself going yesterday with a pair of home runs. It's six, Harbi,
that's absolutely incredible. Three sixty four on base. Bryce Harper
is sewing a little bit of a funk to twenty
five average if you take out that three home run

(01:11:58):
game that he had a few weeks ago. I said,
he hasn't done anything though. Trey Turner's moving line not
a ton of power thus far, about north of before
armed base hitting above a threer. You'd like to see that.
Amando Sosa has found a way to be able to
move the line as well. And for the Philadelphia Phelies,
their bullpen seems to be getting a little bit back
on kilter as well. It's been a rough year for
saying Anthony demingis thus far, you've had a few question
marks out there in the bullpen. But Gregory Sota, he

(01:12:20):
was looking good up until when he saw that Colrad
Rocky's fiasco a few days ago, but I do think
that he's going to be able to pick it up
like what I've seen out of you and your Marte
and for the White Sox, this has actually not been
a terrible bullpen. There have been about league average as
far this season. I do think that we're going to
see some regression with some of these older guys like
Steven Wilson, Dominique Leone and Kelbany, But I mean, honestly,
the pitching has not been absolutely awful. This is just

(01:12:43):
a lineup though that they're just putting back to ball. Meanwhile,
you've got a guy in Zach Wheeler, who has been
a guy that throughout his career has always struggled a
little bit in April as far as this season, posting
up about a three. Era always pitches a little bit
better when he's at home rather than away from home.
Has given up just two home runs in twenty four
n thirty strikeouts. Fielding and Dependant is right around whereas
Era is. He's actually been very very good. And you've

(01:13:04):
got a guy in Mike Soroka he just has happened
himself since the injuries he has made four starts, he's
given up four home runs his walks for nine right
as well above five. He's actually got more walks and
strikeouts twelve walks to ten strikeouts, thus far, posting up
nearly a seventy ra. I think that gets absolutely lit
up by the Philadelphie Phillies. And I think that the
Philadelphie Phillies are able to hit this total almost by themselves.
I set my total at eight point three, not counting

(01:13:25):
on much more than two runs from the White Sox,
but I think the Phillies supplied the boom. I'm going
to lay up to a minus one thirty five on
the Phillies run line, and looking at the seven and
a half over semi total that at eight point three,
nine seventy three and nine to seventy four on the
baking board. The Cincinnati Reds, yes, we're on a Cincinnati
and they're on the playing goes to the La Angels
as Patrick Sandoval is on the bump for the Angels
and got Graham Ashcraft who's on the bump for the Reds,
and the Reds zo find themselves as a favorite of

(01:13:46):
minus one twenty on the initial opener of that I'm
se plus one eleven is that number on the havevels.
Eight nine and a half is a total on the
nine a half over his minus one fifteen. The under
is minus one of five in I did set the
Reds out of minus one thirty nine. I'm gonna be
willing to dive in on the money line for you
to to say. He writes, it's been a little bit
of a topsy turvy season for them, and Ashcraft is
very much a pitcher contact guy. Throughout his career, He's

(01:14:07):
gotten less than seven strikeouts per nine and nings. The
walks could sometimes be a little bit of an issue
from but it feels like he's done a better job
of commanding ever since. It is just really really rough
May slash early June last season for the campaign that's
far this season, the swinging Mith stuff has been up.
It's a small sample size of three starts, but he
in those three starts has been able to give you
nineteen strike cuts, which you do like to see. In

(01:14:28):
the walks are down to about two bucks. Bernie Ennings
four fifteen three to ninety five Field the Independent and
for Patrick Sandoval, he's just a very awkward pitcher in general,
his swinging mis stuff has been a little bit better
this year. He's gotten eighteen punchouts and seventeen and a
third innings, But his whole game is trying to just
mitigate our contact. He's always good and not giving up
the deep all you're in a year out, he's going
to give up about zero point five zero point six

(01:14:49):
home runs Perni and Ennings, but he's going to issue
a lot of walks. Last season, gave out four point
six walks per nin and Ennis four points seven walks
per nine innings thus far this season, And for Patrick Sandival,
he does find a way to just be able. We
get some of these like cheaper outs as well. I
noticed that he's got a really good pickoff move, so
he does a good job of being relatively crafty in general.
But I do think that just all the contact that

(01:15:09):
he does give up in general might be a little
bit rough. Out of here in Cincinnati, where it's pretty
much a hitter's paradise. You've got Ellie da la Cruz,
who's done a nice job moving line this far this season.
Six home runs. He's hitting a two ninety can sometimes
be a little bit inconsistent, but when this guy is on.

Speaker 4 (01:15:22):
This guy is on.

Speaker 2 (01:15:23):
You do need some of these guys that are a
little bit younger to be able to step it up
as well, Christian and Carnassio and Strand He's not a
younger guy, but Jamie or Ken Malario, Jonathan India, Will Benson.
These are all guys that he get two hundred or lower,
but have been able to get great production out of
Spencer's year North with a four hour base with three
home runs. And for the Reds it's not a great bullpen,
it's not a terrible bullpen. They enter into this series
right around about twentieth in the leg. In terms of

(01:15:44):
Bullpenny Ray, I'd like what you're able to get out
of Lucas Simms, d j Antonino. Unfortunately Fears has hurt
once again, but Brent Suter has been able to do
a nice job holding down the four buck farmer. Nothing great,
nothing terrible. And Fernando Cruz two seasons ago had a
sub two era. He's been able to get back into
that for him this season. Meanwhile, for the Angels, Boo
bet hasn't been terrible. You've got met more cardless to sevens.
We've been able to do a nice show, but they've

(01:16:05):
got a lot of older guys that they could poop
the bed at any time. Ose c Zerho, Hunters, Strickland
and Amzimber. These are guys that are along in the
two and you cannot be feeling too great about them.
And for the Angels, they pretty much have three hitters
at this point. Mike Trout along Taylor Ward has been amazing.
Trout is right now only hanging about it two fifty five,
but eight home runs at a three forty on base.
Taylor Ward is sitting down near three hundred. He's been

(01:16:26):
able to buy six home runs and Logan o Oppi
has moved the line. He's sitting about a three hundred
and three eighty five on base. Not a ton of power,
but I M being able to get on bass big
because you've got the like stuff Randon Drury, Zach neetto
Aaron Nix nationanal Mickey moniac, all hitting a two to
ten or lower. Meanwhile, you've been able to get some
relatively solid production recently. Have Anthony Rendon as well. Shot
out the year a big giant over for the most part,

(01:16:48):
and ever since then he's been They will pick it
up just a little bit. But that said, I do
think that the Cincinnati Rights are gonna be able to
do a nice job holding down the foard against an
Angel team that, like I was mentioning, they're just a
little bit top heavy. I did something told a nine
point three the stand of ball's able to keep the
ball in the yard, but I do think that he
gives up plenty of contact. I do think that the
Red's capitalized. I do like the Reds on the money line,
and here at nine and a half, I like the
under nine seventy five, nine to seventy six on the

(01:17:09):
big board. The walker Texas Rangers could throw the facing
off against the Atlanta Brave, says Charlie Morton is on
the bump for the Bravos and Nathan Avaldi is on
the bump for Texas, and Texas is back to being
an underdog of anywhere between plus one thirty five plus
one forty two. Meanwhile, between minus one fifty to minus
one sixty two, then Lebron Alanta nine and a half
is a total hundreds between minus por ten to a
minus one fifteen. The overs between minus one o five

(01:17:30):
do minus one ten with the Bravos, I did set
them as a favorite in this ord deal of a
minus one thirty eight. So now that we're getting right
around about a plus one thirty nine plus one forty one,
I'm seeing out there as well, I'm gonna be willing
to take shot on the Texas Rangers on the money line.
For Nathan Evaldi does have a few home in roads blitz,
but he just does a great job in terms of
his command, like each of the last five seasons less

(01:17:51):
than two point three walks per nine and any stands
when he was dealing with that injury towards the back
half of the season last year, and it's just gone
out there and has done a solid job of pitching.
He gave up three home runs in his last two
starts against the A's and the Houston Astros. In that
Astra start was a little bit unslightly given up five
runs at six innings. But Nold has done a nice
job holding down the force. Now Atlanta is going to
be able to get there. This is an offense as

(01:18:13):
high powered as any in the Big Leagus one through nine.
You do not have a guy that is like some
sort of an automatic out or anything like that. You've
got Ronald the Cooney Junior is starting to find it
once again. Has only provided one home run, but he's
doing an amazing job giving you north of a four
hundred on base. And then you've got to fly to Rcia,
Marcel Ozuna, Jered Kelnick when he's been out there. All
these guys inting at least a three twenty five, and
in the case of Azuna entered into the series with

(01:18:35):
eight home runs. Matt Olsen has been able to provide
three bombs after he led the league in this aspect
last season. He Azielbi's have both been able to give
you north of a three fifty on base as well.
And then on the flip side for the Texas Rangers,
the offense has been a little bit more touching go
this season and that they're still doing a great job
getting on base. Corey seeger A, Dolas Carcia, Marcus Amian
all inning north of a two ninety. All these guys

(01:18:56):
have been able to do a solid job finding away
on base as well, and then you've got White. Lang
has yet to be able to crank out the deep ball,
but he has been provide about a three thirty on base.
Josh Smith has been solid, but they dealt with a
few injuries. You've had Ezekiel during a long layote Serverius
be a little bit inconsistent towards the bottom of the fold.
You tell that Josh Young being out of the fold,
and we saw that from the team last season as

(01:19:16):
well when Young was hurt. They do suffer a little
bit from that with the Rangers, not a great bullpen,
not a terrible bullpen. I like the fact that they
brought in David Robertson Kirby Yates in the off season,
but they have to deal with a few injuries on
that front as well. Jacob Latz is some of them
bullish on Oseebla clerk though, give me a little bit
of a roll of the Knights. When he's on, he's on.
When he's off, he's off. And for the Atlanta Breys,
this team is a slightly above average team ager As

(01:19:37):
a bullpenny, arey, I do think that once you get
Tyler Madzick back and fire and out cylinders after he
missed all of last season, pretty much that's gonna be
able to help out this bullpen. Rossie Oglesias so a
very nasty reliever and then got the likes of Dylan Lee,
Joe Amenez, guys are a little bit unsung heroes holding
down the fourth. I do think that for Charlie Mortin,
you gotta have your trepidations with the amount of just

(01:19:57):
overall heart contact that gives up he either gets it's
a strike cut where he gives up some sort of rocket.
It doesn't feel like there's too much in between with
Charlie Morton, and it's not like he's ever been the
world's greatest pitcher with regards to his command as well.
He is getting up there in years. He's darn near
forty years old as well. And for Charlie Morton, I
do think that the little bit of fortunate that he's
had on balls in play that's going to be coming
to an end sooner rather than later. Last year I

(01:20:19):
had a fielding dependent that was much above his ra
this year's actually been just a touch unluckier to begin
the season and at seventeen innings pitch he's got a
five to twenty nine ERA, but a fielding dependent more
around a four to twenty, getting about nine and a
half that cuts for nine innings, but again the walks
are still there. Last year about four and a half
Flokx forer nine ENnies. He's at four point two walks
per nine ennings as far the season, So I do
think that the Rangers gonna be able to get something

(01:20:40):
going on offense. I do think that with Athan val
that he gives up his But all in all, both
of these teams have been a little bit touch and
go with reguards to deep ball. It's just home runs
in general have been a little bit down the season.
So I did see my toll at a nine point two.
Here at the nine and a half, I'm gonna be
looking at the under and with the Rangers being able
to get plus one three nine or higher, I'm looking
at that money line nine seventy seven, nine to seventy
eight on the bank board. The Seattle Manners are on
the road for you against Cotrad Rockies. For the Seattle

(01:21:02):
Mariners it will be Luis Castillo. Meanwhile for the Rockies
it is currently undecided. Was supposed to be Kyle Freeland
at first. Right now I'm seeing on MLB dot com
the projective matchup is Luis Cassio going up against the
Coda Hudson And when it was supposed to be up
against Kyle Freeland. I had this money line more rout
of minus one eighty four as well, to go up
to about a minus one twenty eight with that Mariners

(01:21:22):
run line. I'd be willing to go to more like
a minus one ninety two money line with the Mariners,
and would be willing to lay up to a minus
one thirty with that run line and either Hudson or
Kyle Freeland, where the total will be the same eleven
or less. I'd like the over eleven R fire. I'm
going to be taking a look at the under end.
When this was pulled off the board, we did not
have any run line, so not able to give you
a whole flat there. But that said, if I am

(01:21:42):
able to get a minus one thirty or less, I'm
going to be willing to roll with it. For Luis
Cassio has been a pretty miserable start to the season.
Even towards the back half of last year he was struggling.
But I do think that he's going to be able
to pick it up. It's not as if Louis Casio
is not getting swings and misses. It's not like he
has really been reverting to what he was when he
was with the Cincinnati Reads. When he was with the Rids,
he was always very good at being able to get strikeouts,

(01:22:03):
but was just una able to locate. He would give
up a lot of walks. As far the season has
only given up one point seven walks for nine ennises.
He's getting eleven point two punchouts per nine and ennings,
and he's been probably the most unlucky pitcher in the
big leagues five eighty two ERA A three h six
fielding independent. I think it's our Rockies bunch at well.
They always hit much better at home rather than on
the road. They my season were able to put up
five point three five runs per game at home or

(01:22:24):
like three point six five runs per game when they
were away from moment, with this coy Rider Rockies, he
united about forty points better with their batting average at
home rather than away from home. But with there being
a snow out yesterday, the conditions aren't necessarily the world's
greatest for it, and currently out there in Colorado it's
a little bit chilly. You've been able to have Ryan
McMahon absolutely ripped the cover off the ball he's been
It was spied the team with pair of home runs
hitting at three to sixty that's been good. And Elias

(01:22:46):
Seas he's finding a way to be able to move line.
Not necessarily a ton of power with him again, but
about a three fifty on base matter of fact, for
the Rockies, just sixteen home runs in their first nineteen
games of the season. But you got a lot of
guys like Brendan Rodgers, Nolan Jones that they need to
pick it up a little bit. Chris Brian has been
deal with an injury and when he's been out there,
he's been just down right offline. This is a Rockies
bullpen that once again is in the bottom five in
the Big leagues. Urns their a bullpenny Ray. Viktor Vadnik

(01:23:08):
has actually been relatively solid for the team. Waiting for
him to regress, but he's actually been able to do
a halfway decent job, and Jake Byrd has been okay,
but like save Anthony and Malina, Justin Lawrence Alon Tyler Kinley,
providing north of a sixty RA has been less than savory.
And for the Seattle Manners, this is a top six
team in the Big Leagues in terms of bullpenny Ray
and this is with dealing with the injury to Matt Brash.
Brettay Geis is the latest guy that they picked up.

(01:23:28):
They just find these veteran guys and they're able to
pretty much reacclimate them, sort of like a West Coast
version of the race. Taylor Socado, Trent Thornton, Gatespier, He's
all been very rock solid pieces for the Seam. Ryan Stanik,
he comes over from the Astros, He's been good. Andre's Munios,
He's able to do a nice job of cools in
the door. And then for the Seattle Manners, it's just
all about getting the bets to be able to come
online because the team is hitting as a collective of

(01:23:50):
a two thirteen. If you look at the Baseball Savatat numbers,
it should be probably about twenty points. Hire Mitch Niger
has really been that long guy that has been consistent
for this team, as he's got thirteen RBI three seven
base bad time. France be able to move the line
as well, ainying about a two seventy eight. But when
he comes to Are Polanco, JB. Crawford, Cal Rowley, Mitch Garver,
Dylan Moore, all these guys hitting a two ten or lower.
That's been an issue in Julio Rodriguez currently has as

(01:24:12):
many home runs as myself at a two seventy on
base I do think that the Mariners are going to
be able to pick it up, especially if it is
up against the goat outs very much a pitch of
contact guy and putting a pitch of contact guy out
there in Cours that's not necessarily too tremendous for Hudson.
He gives up a lot of walks while being a
pitch of contact guy as well, so that makes it
all the words that knocks himself out of starts early.
That leads to a lot of bullpen pitching. Like you

(01:24:33):
take a look at him with the same Louis Cardinals
last season he had five strikeouts of three point eight
walks bernine ennis. All that he's trying to do is
not give up home runs, and I feel like this
could be disastrous. So eleven or less, I'd like the
over eleven half riar the under, And if you do
get this pitching matchup with it being Hudson versus Cassio,
I'd be will to life to do a minus one
thirty with that Mariners run line a nine northilt plus
one ninety to take a shot on the Rockies money

(01:24:53):
line and wrap things uple tine twenty nine, nine thirty
on the bending board. The Toronto Blue Jays, they threw
their facing off against the old slam Diego Padres. It's ose,
but is on the bump for the Jays. Fangrass is
telling us that Johnny Burrito is going to be getting
the start for the Potters, which that pretty much signals
to me bullpen game. So this is one that is
off the board and pretty much with a pseudo bullpen
game for the Patters. I did make the Blue Jays

(01:25:14):
minus one thirty four on the money line, and I'd
be willing to take the run line if I'm able
to get up plus one thirty three or better, and
then eight point six is what I set the total
at eight and a half or less. Looking at the
over nine or higher the under ose. Berrios has actually
been a very good at four starts as far as
this season three runs allowed in twenty five to two
thirds innings. The yut numbers aren't necessarily like massive or
anything like that. He's getting about seven and a half

(01:25:35):
to eight punch outs for nine innings, but over the
last twelve months Ose Berrios, who has always really struggled
down the road. He's been much better on the road.
He still has a little bit of a split, but
it's nothing unreasonable, and I do think that he's going
to be able to go out there and do his job,
though I do have a little bit of trepidation when
it comes to Blue Jays bullpen. The good news for
them Eric Swanson, a lot, Jordan Romano. These are guys
that are back and fold. The bad news is you've

(01:25:56):
had a few guys like Trevor Richards, Zimi Garcia been
inc really dating back the last twelve months. In general,
it is a Blue Jays bullpend that overall for the season,
you'll find them clocking and inters their era. The neighbor
of about twenty seven, so that has been far less
than terrific, and the Sanielo Patres are about nineteen, so
if you do have to throw out their burrito for
a start. Honestly, he's a little bit more comfortable as

(01:26:18):
a starter rather than a reliever. But he just has
not been good ever since getting called on up to
the big league bubble. For his career, he's been posting
up in the era that is just a tick below four,
not getting a lot of his things and misses gives
up about three bucks. Bernie and Ennings has been a
little bit better since a brutal start to the season,
but you're gonna be relying upon a lot of these guys.
Hold down the fourth. They've got Logan Gillspie who comes
in from the Baltimore Oriols. He's able to lend a

(01:26:40):
little bit of laying Audre and mortal Hoone. He's someone
that began his career as a starter as well. I
wouldn't be surprised if you have like more a hone
along Johnny Burrito piggyback off of one another. So if
you get morehone as a starter, really wouldn't affect my
handicap too much here. And then you've got the likes
of Roberts Forres and Yel Dela Santos, Wandi Perralta. These
are more of your trustworthy guys. And for the Potters,
you've got two guys in the middle of the lineup

(01:27:00):
that Silluble Thump and Fernandra Tatis Junior alot of Manny Machado.
Tatis Junior and Machado about three plus home runs with
Machado finding way to be able to hit about a
two six years so tatis about a three seventy five
on base entering into the series. But you just need
a little bit more out of likes Xander Bogart's hause
on Kim. Both of these guys entered into the series,
they get two thirty or lower, and for Bogarts, he's
been a pretty big way of money as far the
week's camp you Suna at the cutcher spot though he's

(01:27:22):
been able to find a way on and for the
Blue Jays it has been an almighty struggle for this lineup.
They had three guys in the starting line up yesterday
hitting above a two twenty five entering and one of
those guys is just In Turner down for one who
went tpsterday providing Northol four on base. He has been
tremendous the flander that we give to the Blue Jays,
he deserves none of that. David Schneider has been okay,
being able to find a way on base as well

(01:27:43):
on Cavan Bigio has been able to turn it around
as well. But Fliger, Junior Boba, Shed, Aleander Kerr, Kevin Keermeyer,
these are guys he get tea twenty five or lower.
George Springer has been in and out of the fold
and he's been inconsistent as well. So it's a very
interesting spot because I do think that the blue Jays
are going to start to rupt a little bit more
at the plate, and I do think the videos gives
a relatively get start as well. But I also like

(01:28:03):
the potteries and what they've been able to do here
with regards to the lineup as well, So and after less,
I like the over nine or higher to the under
end with the blue Jays boning lay up to a
minus one thirty three on that money line plus one
thirty five hour looking at the potteris and got to
wrap things up for the Saturday edition of The Baseball
Betting Show, now part of vas of Family and Podcasts.
Big thanks to Rob Donaldson of YouTube dot com slash
Rob Donaldson for joining me in the last segment. If
you do like hearing from the time podcast Baseball Betting Show,

(01:28:25):
you're able to subscribe wherever your podcast Apple Podcasts, Google,
by Spotify, sit you're in tune in. If you have
a question, come at segment IDEA, what I have you
for this podcast? You do have one of two bays
veil for listen. First one is my Twitter slash xiline
i GTT under scorty one. Keep in mind lyricium the
mean does that matter, so, as per usual, please send
these into the timeline and the other ways finding an
Apple podcast review. If you're ate this podcast five starts,
it is very much appreciated. From there you are able

(01:28:46):
to fire in whatever you'd like to here on this
podcast via that five star people coming at you guys
every single day throughout the baseball season. That means up
coming at you once to get him out. Thanks so
much for doing in

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