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April 21, 2024 89 mins

Greg recaps Saturday's MLB results, talks to Tanner Kern about how big the gap is between the good and bad teams in the league this season & previews Sunday’s games & Greg picks & analyzes EVERY Sunday MLB Game!

Spreadsheet link: https://www.vsin.com/betting-resources/greg-petersons-daily-handicapped-mlb-lines/

Podcast Highlights

3:44-Recap of Saturday’s MLB results

24:48-Interview with Tanner Kern

45:14-Start of Picks Brewers vs Cardinals

48:58-DK Network Pick Marlins vs Cubs 

52:50-Picks & analysis for Diamondbacks vs Giants 

56:40-Picks & analysis for Mets vs Dodgers

1:00:36-Picks & analysis for Rays vs Yankees

1:04:33-Picks & analysis for Athletics vs Guardians 

1:08:29-Picks & analysis for Orioles vs Royals

1:12:15-Picks & analysis for Tigers vs Twins

1:16:10-Picks & analysis for White Sox vs Phillies 

1:20:10-Picks & analysis for Red Sox vs Pirates

1:23:43-Picks & analysis for Astros vs Nationals

1:27:25-Picks & analysis for Angels vs Reds

1:31:36-Picks & analysis for both Mariners vs Rockies games

1:37:12-Picks & analysis for Blue Jays vs Padres

1:40:36-Picks & analysis for Rangers vs Braves

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game, every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:09):
Hey warmer BLI welcome to Loving Las Vegas for the
Baseball Betting Shoe with myself Greg Peterson, now part of
some family and podcasts. We've got an excellent podcast for
you as joining me. In segment number two, we're gonna
have Tanner Kernerboard. He does great workover our DraftKings. We're
gonna be chatting with him about what he's all noticed
from the first few weeks of the season, some of
the things that have been good, bad, and indifferent. Then

(00:30):
we're gonna be taking a look at what we've all
got on this Sunday as well. And I know that
he's got some thoughts with regards to some of the
shall we say, bottom teams out there in all of baseball.
I do as well. And then in the final segment,
gonna get you guys picking analysis on every game on
the betting board for this Baseball Sunday as we touch
them all. If you do have a question comment segment idea,
what have you for this podcast? You have one of

(00:51):
two ways. We have furthos. In first one, is my
Twitter slash x timeline at you in under forty one.
Keep in mind literacymnman does I'm advercized per usual. Please
send these into the timeline and the other ways. Find
an Apple podcast review. If you rate this podcast five stars,
it is very much appreciated. From there, you're able to
fire in whatever you'd like to here on this podcast.
I that five star view did not get in any
Twitter slash x questions today. But we had a fun

(01:13):
day of baseball on Saturday. Let's take a look back
at it. Tried to find some trends end try to
get to know these teams a little bit better. Games
yesterday is Greg buzzing about. Here is the rowdy recap,
the top over team and all baseball just keeps on
itting the Baltimore Orioles. Then you get the job done
against the kant See Royals by account of nine to
seven for the Oriols by the way, thirteen overs, five
hunderds and just two pushes as far as the season.

(01:35):
As for Kansas City, to their credit, they did a
nice show. But'll be able to get to Corbyn Burns
stand the bullpen. Burns does give up three runs in
five and two thirds innings including ome run going deep
Salvador re Perez. He was able to get home run
number six of the campaign as he had five RBI
in this one. From there, you did have Danny Clum
give up a run in two outside the bullpen. He
had Joan Ramirez give up two runs while getting just

(01:56):
a third of anang. You near Cano gives up a
run in a third of an hang. But from their
Keegan Akim mc bauman piecemeal together as squirrel is setting.
Craig kimberls Man has actually looked halfway decent thus far
this season. He gets a squirrels setting that gets him
a save. And for the Orioles, they go seven of
sixteen with men in scoring position, Noel runs. They just
kept moving the line as Cole wragans he gets five outs,

(02:17):
he gives up seven runs, all of which were earned.
This for a guy that was towards the top of
the oddsbourg coming into the season for the Cy Young
Award on al Zerpa Nick Anderson, Chris Strane. There aliable
and a squirrel ass setting. You did have John Driver
give up a run and an enning, and then you
had Anthony Veneziano hopefully I said that correctly. He gave
up an under run in his ending work, though to

(02:38):
the credit amount Matt sour two and a third ending
scoreless out of him, but damage was already done by
the Orioles. And for the Oakland As second straight game
as an underdog in which they did not cover the
run line, this after they were on a ten to
one surge on covering the run line as an underdog
six to three. The Cleveland Guardians are able to get
to the Oakland A's and more specific Cley Alex Wood

(03:00):
as Wood gives up four runs over the course of
five innings, cling a home run going deep. Josh Naylor
is having himself a season sixth home run of the campaign.
I know that on social media people want him extended
very very badly. Austin Adams gives up two runs in
two thirds of a night, did have Michael Kelly, t
J McFarland both lend a squirrel Senning and Dannymniz gets
it out at the bullpen. And for the Oclan A's

(03:21):
he did have any pair of home runs in this one.
Ryan Noda home run number one in the campaign. Max
Showman was able to get home run number one in
the season as well. Those both come off of Logan Allen,
who gives up three runs and five and a third innings,
But from there Scott Barlow, Hunter Gaddis, Emmanuel Colasse now
lend a squirrel setting and Nick Samlin is able to
give you a pair of bouts out of the bullpen
scoreless as well for the Cubs and Marlins, they split

(03:42):
their double edder. For the Marlins get the job done
in game number one by account of three to two.
As he had Asuszardo give you a relatively solid start,
he gives up two runs over the course of six innings.
Calvin Fouchet was able to jip in their two squirrels,
and then Tanner Scott gets a squirrel of ninth. The
Marlins do leave ten men on base, but Brian Daale
he was able to get it going. In the ninth
inning he takes adbar als Lady for home run number

(04:05):
five of the season, and that turns out to be
the difference, as the Cubs didn't get great length out
of Avierrasa, but he gives up one run in four
and two third settings from their Yancey Almonte Mark Lighter
Junior combined for two scorel settings. Luke Little gives you
a squirrel setting as well, but Ad bur Elsley tried
to come in for a four out save but instead
gives up that home run to Brian Da La Cruz,
and that turned out to be the backbreaker in game

(04:27):
number two, though the Cubs are able to get their
redemption five to three, they're able to get the job
done and this one. As for the Chicago Cubs, this
team has been very much one of the best at
being able to generate runs at home all season long,
worth of six runs per game when they are in
Rigliaz showeda Imanaga he was trying to become the first
starter I believe in MLB history too have each of
his first four appearances be scoreless, but does give up

(04:49):
three runs, two of which will earned over the course
of six settings, including home run Glen Deep for Miami.
Josh bell third on run the campaign, and then actually
had a surprisingly good start out of Roderi Munos, the
young gun. He comes in gives up two sol runs
over the course of five innings as goin Deepafaim was
Cody Bellinger home run number four of the campaign and
then the first for Alexander Kenny Arrow. But from there

(05:11):
the bullpen of the Miami Marlins continues to be the
bullpen of the Miami Marlins. Anthony Bender gives up three
runs to two thirds of fin Enning. Brian Hoyn gives
you four outs out of the bullpen squals and six
of Sanchez squirrel of setting. But when the Miami Marlins
they went one of one with men in scoring position,
but they could not get to the bullpen. Hectornais a
squirrel of setting and Ben Brown was able to supply
two scoreless to his own. Also, they're in the NL Central.

(05:33):
The Cincinnati Reds are able to keep up and they
get a seven to five win over the l Angels.
Patrick Sandoval did not have it in this one. Gives
up five walks, seven runs, and four innings including home
run going deep for Cincinnati. How about Tyler Stevenson his
third home run the campaign that was of the Grand
Slam variety with two outs, so I was a backbreaker
for Los Angeles. From there, the bullpen actually did their part.

(05:55):
Jose Frez under Strickland, they comminbed for three squirrels settings
with the Scarcia squirrels setting and Beginning's No don't you
know he's on got a home run for the ll Angels,
takes gram Ashcraft deep first first arm of the campaign,
and Frashcraft. This was not a piece of work. This
was a piece of ashcraft. He gives up five runs
over the course of five innings, but Nick Martinez three innings,

(06:15):
scoreless and long relief before Alexis he has closes the
door squirreless outning in the ninth inning. And then you
add the Milwaukee Brewers and are dk now where greed
to pick was on the over? This cash is in
the top of the fourth inning and the Brewers get
it done twelve to five. Was very torn between money
line and the over. I should have taken the over
because I would have gotten a little bit of positive juice.
But hey, you take the winners however you can get them,

(06:37):
and for the Brewers, they were winners with Reese Hoskins
and Jackson Cherio both taking Miles Michaelis deep. Both of
them had the home run number four of the season
on Bryce ran his second home run season that also
off of Michael List who gives up five runs and
four and two thirds innings. And as bad as that was,
the bullpen was even worse. Jevanny Giagos gives up a
run while going just two thirds and ending out the bullpen.

(06:58):
Zach Thompson three runs rendered in two thirds finning, Andre
Polonte three runs, two of which were earned in three innings,
and for the San Louis Cardinals, he did have ball
Goldspek give you an RBI and a hit in this one,
which he has really been struggling, as d'l hall has
been as well for the crew. He gives up four
runs and three and two thirds innings, but bullpen from
there with lights out about Hoby Milner, Edner Yuribe combined

(07:18):
for three squirrel settings. Price Wilson was able to give
you foughts out of the bullpen squirreless, and then Tygo
Vieira he was able to get the final innings scoreless
as well, So good win for the Brewers and good
win for the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays have really
been struggling out there in the bullpen, but they were
able to hold the Yankees scoreless two to zero. They
win in ten innings for the Yankees, thirteen unders, seven

(07:39):
overs and a push, so they have been your best
under team in all baseball as far this season along
with the Seattle Manners, who they're sitting with six overs,
thirteen unders and a push. But that's hid. For the
Tampa Bay Race, he had Zach Kaflan be pretty offen
good six scoral settings and then Phil Ayton, Colum Bouchet,
Jason Adam, Garrett Clevenger all in a squirrels setting as
the Yankees go zero five with men in scoring position

(08:01):
and they squandered what was a very good outing from
National cortest seven squirrel of settings. From there, Luke Weaver,
Clay Holmes, they both found a squirrel of setting, but
Caleb Ferguson he allows two under and runs out there
in the tenth inning, one of which was actually earned.
But that said, for the Tampa Bay Race, they get
some runs up on the board by being able to
have a few RBI singles. Jerck Calbreo at a double

(08:22):
as well, so the race they do find a way
to be able to get the job done. And then
in terms of that top under team in all baseball,
the Seattle Manners another under for them. On Saturday, they
take down the Colbrade Rockies seven to zero, as the
Rockies have now scored zero or one runs in four
other last five games, just absolutely nothing doing for them.
And for to go to Hudson, he allows four runs

(08:43):
and four innings incluing home going deep for Seattle cow
rally fourth home run of the season. From there, you
did have three runs surrendered in an ending by Victor Vadnek,
who has actually been a relative. We saw it in
the ballpen and he's got it now a two oh
three are a. Next two guys that came in have
one north of an eleven Tyler Kinley a squirrel is
setting in Anthony Molina three squirrel of settings, but for
the Rockies, absolutely nothing doing off of Luis Caso. He

(09:06):
gives up two wits in seven squirrel of settings. From there,
Tyson Miller, Bretta Geis, they both are able to supply
a squirrel of setting. So nice easy winner there for
Seattle and for the Colorado Rockies they now fall to
a whopping four and sixteen. Still better though than the
Chicago White Sox. And for the White Sox, yay verily
that they put up some runs in the ninth end.

(09:27):
This was a very interesting game as a Phillies and
Zach Wheeler took a no hitter into the seventh inning.
You would not get any run scoring for the White
Sox until the ninth. But they put up a five
s fun the ninth inning, and they loathed the bases
to try to tie it, but nothing doing. The Phillies
get the job done by account of nine to five.
For the White Sox. They were aftering two runs per
game coming into this one, so marked improvement there, but

(09:48):
Mike Soroka continues to be banged around like a pinata.
Five runs are undered in four and two thirds seenings,
including a home run to Brandon marsh fifth home round
the campaign. From there, ye had Dominique Leone give up
two runs in an Enny Tanner Banks he got two outs,
gave up two runs. Davy Garcia, though comes in he
gets a pairabounts out of the bullpen scroll as simili
scroreless setting. And for Philadelphia Zach Wheeler he was wheeling

(10:08):
a deal and gives up just oneted seven and a
third ning scroreless. Sir Anthony Mingus pairabouts out of the
bullpen scoreless. But it was the Cardo Pinto who gives
up five runs and two thirds of an niting to
the White Sox that's as bad of an outing as
it gets. Jose Alvarado has put out the fire. From
there gets a final out of the game to be
able to get a safe And for the Houston Astros,
they're looking to save themselves from a really bad start,

(10:31):
but we're unable to do so. On Saturday five to four,
they fall to the Washington Nationals. Says for Houston, Ronald
Blumco continues to be solved for them. He gives up
two runs over the course at six innings, did allow
home run to c J Abrams sixth home run season,
and then from there he had ralfail Montedo Brian Rayue
both on his scurore As setting, but Ryan Presley he
slips up in the ninth. Then he gives up two runs,

(10:51):
one of which was earned, and then Seth Martinez in
the tenth. Then it gives up the under and run
that eventually toasts the game. As for the Houston Astros,
they were un able to get to the Washington Nationals
bullpen late in this one. Tann Rainy, Kyle Finnegan poth
the ply a squirrel setting in for Trevor Williams actually
a really nice Startier gives up one on over course
of six innings, though we get to Robert Garcia did

(11:12):
not get a single out, gave up two runs along
the way on our RV though a squirrel setting, and
Jordan Wims gives up a run in his ending of
work the Boston Red Sox they were able to put
in that work against the Pittsburgh Pirates four to two.
Boston is able to get it. John as Cutter Crawford
lights out in this one, gives up one run over
the course at six innings, did a law seven inns,
but for the Pirates unable to do a whole lot

(11:32):
with men and scoring position, going just one to seven there,
and Mitch Keller has had a rough start to the season.
Four runs surrendered over the course of six innings, including
home run Windy for Boston Masatake Yoshida his second home
run the campaign. From there, the Pirates get Luis Ortiz
to come in the game for two squirrel settings, Connor
Holderman a squirrel setting as well, and then you did
see Joli Rodriguez give up ace home run in his
two thirds of ben ending for the Pirates. Going deep

(11:54):
off of him was Connor Joe you made it go
home run number two of the season, but everyone else
pretty spotless as Kelly Jansen Chris Martin they both supply
a squirrel of sending and Greg Weiser is able to
give you out at the bullpen scroreless as well. Yelli Dodgers,
all of his son have lost four out of their
last five games. The Mets take them down by account
of six to four. For the Old Metropolitans, this was

(12:16):
a relatively solid start, but not a lot of length
from Hosebuto gives up two runs in four and a
third innings did walk five though, although you did punch
out six from there. Michael Tonkin he gives up two
runs in an enning of work, but the back half
the bullpen was able to do their part. Edwin Diaz
does walk apair but gets a pairabouts out of the
bullpen squirrels, Drew Smith or a Lopez combined for two
squirrels Satings and then Ree Garrett was able to give

(12:38):
you a squirrel of setting as well as for Sterling Marte.
It was a parte for marte fourth home run of
the season, three runs shot off of Ryan Brazier, which
turned out to be the difference for Gavin Stone he
only lost two runs and three and a third innings
problem was he walked five along the way. Michael Grove
was able to come in for a pair of outside
the bullpen Squirrells, Ryan Yarbrough, Ryan Brasier. They combined four

(12:59):
and ning and Brasher eventually gives up that home run,
but he was only tagged with one run. The other
two went to Ryan Yardborough, Joe Kelly, Alex Vesia combined
for a squirrel setting. Evan Phillips gives up an under
and run in his setting work. Nick Ramirez gives up
nothing in his sending work. But for the li Dodgers,
two of twelve men in scoring positions, stranding thirteen men
on base, so the offense wasn't able to come up

(13:20):
clutch when they needed to. But being able to come
up clutch the Atlanta Raves pitching, they take down the
walker Texas Rangers this by count of five to two.
Braves have been one of your top over teams in
all baseball thus far this season, but they didn't necessarily
give up a whole flat in this one to be
able to applige for the over as. SHIRLEYE. Morton pretty
rock solid two runs surrendered over the course of six innings,
aj Minter Rossi, Aglisias, Joe Menniz. They are able to

(13:43):
supply a squirrel. Setting up for the Texas Rangers, Nathan
Valdi gives up six walks, which that tells me something's wrong.
He's typically a great command pitcher. Gives up three runs
to total over the course of five and a third innings,
fifty five shades if John Gray was in the bullpen
and he gave you five outs out of the bullpen.
Scuorales Austin pro though gives up two runs at an enning,
including a home run to Travis Darnaut home run number

(14:04):
four of the season and home run number four of
the week. So they find a way to be able
to get it done. And the Toronto Blue Jays they
haven't nessarly been producing a lot of runs as far
this season, but they've been able to do just enough
to be able to get wins. Five to two, they
take down the Padress. They're now twelve and nine and
he's Jose Badios be tremendous. Six squirrel of setings. Genesis
Cabrera gives up a run while getting justin out of

(14:25):
the bullpen. Eric Swanson goes an ning. He gives up
a run as well, but Imy Garcia papouts out the
bullpen squirrels. Jordan Romano was able to give you a
squirrel setting as well, and dol varshow provide the boom
off of a one and Nevasquez his fifth home run
of the campaign. For Vasquez gives up four runs, but
only one of which was earned over the course of
his five innings of work, including that home run. What

(14:46):
costa m was that there was an air early on
in the field by Graham Polly, which is why there
are many undered runs. Johnny Brito from there three squirrel
settings in Yuki mat Suey. He was able to hold
down the four. He supplied a squirrel of setting as well,
also being able to provide I had a lot of
squirrel settings. The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins four to three.
The Twins were able to find a way to get
this one done. As for Pittsburgh, he had Reees Olsen

(15:09):
not having in this one, but it was hurt by
the fielding hobby bias and an air spencer turkle centand
an air So though Olsen gave up four runs and
five innings, two of those were unearned. He had from there.
Joey Wentz Alex Lang both combined for three squirrel of settings.
And for the Minnesota Twins, Bailey Ober very good startier,
six punch outs and six innings, the lost this one run.
Steven Okurt and Cody Funderberg, they combined for an ending.

(15:30):
They both gave up a run a piece, but col Sands,
Michael Bauman, they combined for a squirrel setting and Griffin
Jacks get Jacks up for the fact that he was
able to give you a squirrel of setting. He was
able to get that save and this thing to the window.
And if you are taking a look at Major League
Baseball right now, it has been relatively even steven with
regards to the totals. After we saw a big, giant
binge of overs to begin the season, things have become

(15:52):
a little bit underwhelming since then. Forty five overs of
forty seven unders over the last seven days, so a
little bit profitable on the underside of things. And we
have been noticing that favorites have been just absolutely dominant
fifty nine and thirty five on the money line over
the last seven days overall for the season favorite hitting
at fifty nine and one twenty seven of the road
teams one sixty four and one nine. That has really

(16:13):
been more than dominance has been. And the overs sall
have a lead on unders one of fifty three overs
to one and fifty underds. So that's what we're seeing
right now Major League Baseball. And that's what we all
got on Saturday. Non cern it forward to Sunday and
get some early season takeaways from one of our good friends,
Santa Curon over at DraftKings. That's up next right here
on the Baseball Beating Show with myself, Greig Peter said,
now a part of the Bson Family.

Speaker 1 (16:32):
Vodcasts, breaking down every game, every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson, Imberbank.

Speaker 2 (16:46):
You're lovely Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Show with myself,
Greg Peterson, now part of the Vson Family podcasts. And
it is always great to be drying by this man
as Kenner. Gern does absolutely tremendous workover at DraftKings. Take
you to look at some eight different things. He is
locked in on what we're getting on the NBA front.
I know that he is getting psyched up for the
NFL Draft, does a little bit on the hockey front

(17:06):
as well, but he, much like myself, absolutely loves this
great game of baseball. I know that you know so.
He's one half of the Ride of the Line podcast
and are will fall on Twitter sidecks at his first
and last name, Tanner current last name as both K E.
R N and then an undersquare for that and Tanner.
Always great to have you Bard, thank you.

Speaker 3 (17:23):
Thanks for having Greg always love joined the show.

Speaker 2 (17:25):
I always love having you a board, Tanner. And as
we're doing this, we're about three and a half weeks
through the season thus far, and just what have been
some of your biggest takeaways from this MLB season, because
it has been one that has seen its top seed
turvness to say the least. But I feel like one
of the biggest takeaways I've had is that the bad
teams in the league, it feels like they're about as

(17:46):
bad as I ever have been. I don't think that
there's ever been quite the divide between the halves and
the have nots in the league like we've been seeing
this season.

Speaker 3 (17:53):
I totally agree with that, Greg. I think we're really
seeing the big market teams take over and take all
these star players, and then we're seeing these small market
teams unable to compete. You know, the Athletics have been
great on the run line, but over the course of
the season, they're just going to get beat up and
beat up. And like even the Boston Red Sox, they're
putting a team out there that is not a major
league lineup, which is a massive issue one for me

(18:13):
as a Boston Red Sox fan, but just for the
game of baseball, right we're seeing teams that want to
spend win and we're seeing teams that don't fall apart.
But my biggest takeaway overall has to be the Cleveland Guardians.
They've really surprised me. They've played really well so far
this season. One of the best records in baseball right now.
They're hitting two fifty two as a team with a
three twenty OVP. And this is a team that really
doesn't hit a lot of home runs. They put the

(18:33):
ball in play, they play the game the right way,
and it's really paid off so far this season.

Speaker 2 (18:37):
And I think that that's a nice takeaway. And I'm
glad that you mentioned the fact that the Guardians are
not too much of a home run team because I
just feel like home runs have been a little bit
down around the league this far. This season, it's been
a case where I feel like small ball is being
rewarded more so than ever before. And personally I'm a
fan of that myself. But is that something that you've
been noticing as well, or do you have a little
bit of a different view on what we've done here

(18:59):
in the beginning?

Speaker 3 (18:59):
Pard the seat, Well, the Red Sox are one of
the best home run hitting teams in baseball, and it
really hasn't converted to wins consistently because they don't play
good defense.

Speaker 2 (19:06):
Right.

Speaker 3 (19:06):
I think we're seeing that as a general theme of
the league. Right, defense has not really been appreciated over
the past five six years. I would say, right, we
care about home run hitting power. If you can hit
home runs and you can hit for power, you're gonna
be in good shape and you're gonna work your way
through the miners. But the bottom line is defense still
does win games. If you're a team offensively that puts
the ball in play and plays really good defense, you're

(19:28):
gonna win.

Speaker 2 (19:29):
And we're not seeing that a lot.

Speaker 3 (19:30):
We're seeing star players that can hit but not necessarily
play defense, and that's kind of been a theme throughout
the league, right I think the same thing is big
market teams are taking over and small market teams are
kind of falling to the wayside.

Speaker 2 (19:41):
Yeah, but it certainly has been a case where some
of these teams have just stop been great to say
lais And exhibit A is the Chicago White Sox, a
bunch that just put out there a pittable for performance
over last few days. In general, I just take a
look at this team, and as we know, in sports betting,
you're betting numbers, you're not betting teams. And is there
going to be a buy point on the White Sox. Sure,

(20:01):
But I take a look at a spot like we've
got for Sunday with Nick nas Strini being about a
plus two to thirty plus two to thirty five underdog
against Aaron Nola, and typically I am a sucker for
taking these big plus money underdogs, did so when the
Nationals were taking on the LA Dodgers earlier in the week.
This is one that I don't want any part of whatsoever, though,
because I don't know if that Chicago White Sox can

(20:23):
put up, I forget multiple runs a run to be
able to give him any support whatsoever.

Speaker 3 (20:28):
Yeah, And it's sad too with the White Sox because
over the past few years they've had talented rosters, but
this is probably the biggest underperforming group of stars we've
ever seen. I mean not ever seen, but seen recently. Right,
this team's loaded with some potential. They just don't have it.
And now injuries are coming in and now they don't
want to spend money and it's a big issue. But
looking at this game on Sunday, Nick nest Strini's been great,

(20:48):
as you were saying, three six ERA one point zero FIO,
but he is zero to one on the season in
his five innings pitch and that's just because the White
Sox don't score a lot of runs. That in one
ninety as a team thirty eight runs going into FI
allis have scored seventy nine runs. You could have the
best pitcher in the world on the mound. If your
team can't score rounds, you go down one nothing like
you feel like you're in a massive hole. And that's
what we've seen with the White Sox. They're also one

(21:10):
seven on the road. They will be one in eight
on the road after they lose this game. So not
a spot I want to about the White Sox.

Speaker 2 (21:16):
Yeah, been for the Chicago White Sox first nineteen games
of season, so that's entering into Saturday, they had scored
thirty eight runs, getting outscored by an average of three
point two runs per game. So they're getting outscored by
one point two runs per game more than they are
actually scoring in games. And that's not taken into a
county Saturday butt kicking that we got as well. So mad,

(21:39):
I mean, it is just absolutely rough what we're seeing
on that front. As we are being joined by Tanner Kerr,
who does tremendous workover bight DraftKings. He has showed to
be right here on the Baseball Betting Show, And Tanner,
I know that you're out there in the great state
of Massachusetts and you do have a little bit of
fandom running through you with regards to Boston Red Sox.
And this is a little bit of tricky spot because
this game is off the board, but Josh Wunkowski is

(22:00):
going to be getting to start for the Boston Red
Sox up against Martin Perez of the Pittsburgh Prior it's
obviously a little bit early to know what we're gonna
be betting on. We need to get a line set,
what have you. But how do you take a look
at this spot for the Boston Red Sox and when
Kowski in general, because he came up through the minor
leagues as starter, got a few starts early on with
the Red Sox, but then was really relegated to a
long reliever. Now it's getting another shot as a starter. Greg.

Speaker 3 (22:23):
Honestly, with the Red Sox, I can't think about betting
them in any way whatsoever because they don't really play
good defense, and you never know what you're gonna get
from them, and they really don't have a talented roster
right now. Offensively, they're dealing with some injury, so it's
hard to bet them in any capacity. I know they've
won two straight games, but the pitching matchup isn't here
with joshun Kowski, even if he goes a couple of

(22:43):
innings and we give it to the bullpen, I don't
have confidence. I don't have confidence in the closing situation
with Kenlee Jansen.

Speaker 2 (22:50):
This is like me speaking.

Speaker 3 (22:51):
Unbiasedly from a fandom perspective. This is from a betting
perspective totally. I'm not saying I would take the Pittsburgh
Pirates here because the Red Sox have had their number
over the past couple of days. But I really don't
want to bet Joshua Kowski and I don't know what
he's going to do as a starter. Martin Perez has
been decent in his twenty four innings on the mound
this season. In the Pittsburgh Pirates, we know they can
score some runs. They are on a cold streak right now.

(23:11):
They got swept by the Mets and potentially going to
get swept by the Red Sox here, So not to
sign I would want to take no matter what the
line is either way.

Speaker 2 (23:17):
And familiarity in this one as well as Martin Perez
spent quite a few years with the Boston Red Sox
as well, So those are always intriguing spots. And how
do you take a look at some of those spots
where you do have a picture going up against a
former team. Because I take a look at a spot
like Martin Perez going up against the Boston Red Sox,
and typically what I've decay for it is when you
do have a picture going up against their former team

(23:37):
it either seems to go really really well for the
pitcher or really badly. You don't see a lot of
like six innings giving up two to three runs a
whole harm average starter or anything like that. Feels like
they either get destroyed or they're absolutely incredible.

Speaker 3 (23:51):
I totally agree with that, and I usually lean towards
them being more better than worse, just because when you
look at a picture, they have a lot of time
to watch games, right they see how or as they
see how batters are. If they're paying attention, they see
how their players or their teammates play, so now they
get the chance to face them. I think they have
this slight advantage over the hitter or the position player
watching the pitcher once a week and getting a few

(24:12):
at bats obviously in spring training off them. But I
usually tend to say it goes better than worse. It
doesn't really impact how I bet. I kind of bet
it the same way I look at, Okay, how does
Martin Perez matchup against the Red Sox? How do the
Red Sox hit left handers like that? That goes through
my head more than the fact that you know, we
have a former player who's going against his old team, no.

Speaker 2 (24:31):
Doubt about it. And I do think that those can
be a little bit of tricky spots and you never
know which way it's going to go, because sometimes when
you make out it one way, it goes the complete opposite.
But I do think that this is one where I
feel like we're starting to get a little bit of
a feel for this team. And it's not been great.
The Miami Marlins a worryable win game one of that
double letter against these Chicago Cubs yesterday, so credit where

(24:52):
credit is due. But now they've got Edward Carbrera on bound, who,
if you take a look at his first start of
the season against the San Francisco Giants, was looking relatively
solid there. But they're on the road facing up against
the Cubs, against the guy and Kyle Hendricks, who has
been absolutely awful this far this season. But I look
at Kyle Hendricks, he's always pitched better at home rather
than away from him. Big bugaboo for him has been
the home run ball going against the Miami Marlins team

(25:13):
that they don't supply a lot of home runs. Wind
is going to be blowing in in Chicago on Sunday
and being able to get the Cubs out of minus
one twenty to minus one twenty five number. I feel
like it's a relatively good spotier. Yeah, I agree with
that too.

Speaker 3 (25:26):
You have to take the risk of betting on Kyle Hendricks,
and there's always risk associated with that, even with the
wind blowing in it. Gregly, this is a guy. If
he misses his spots, he's gonna get sheld. Obviously with
the twelve seven ERA and the two to two four
whip thirty one hits a loud in seventeen innings, Craig,
I think last time I was on your show, we
were talking about I forget what the pitcher was, but
it was a lot of walks. Kyle Hendricks the equivalent
of that. AYJ Puck AJ p Yeah, AJ puck and

(25:48):
that game ended up getting rained out obviously, but they
played the next day. But Kyle Hendricks just he is
that equivalent when it comes to giving up hits. This
is a spot though, where the Cubs offense is that
much better and their bullpen is better. They're just a
better overall team team ERA of afore one nine compared
to the Marlins at A five. And then when you
look at the batting stats here the Hubs have scored

(26:08):
about thirty more thirty five more runs than them this season,
So even the pitching matchups aside, and I think Kyle
Hendrick's a good get right spot for him, in a
good spot to take the Cubs for a fair price.

Speaker 2 (26:18):
Yeah, I'm right there with you. And I do take
a look at the board that we do have for Sunday,
and it's a pretty intriguing one. We've got ourselves some
nice matchups out there. We've got ourselves. Obviously, a few
teams have been struggling, as we were alluding to as well.
But are there a few games in particular that you
take a look at and maybe you're going to be
placing a few bets there, or maybe you're not going
to be placing a few bets, but you just want

(26:38):
to gauge a pitcher, You want to gauge a team
a little bit more in general, because they've been a
little bit harder to decay for this far this season.

Speaker 3 (26:44):
Yeah, So one game that I'm really looking at for
just a watching perspective here, Chris Bassett versus Joe Musgrove
with the Blue Jays versus the Padres. Neither pitcher has
really had command this season, and we know both these
guys have capability to be good, we just haven't necessarily
seen it. I'm really looking at Musgrove too, because in
his twenty four innings this season one seven to seven,
whip walked eleven batters in twenty four innings, given up

(27:04):
three home runs, just really hasn't had a lot of
control here. I think this is a good spot to
take the Padres because of their offense and their firepower.
But still that's one game that I'm just watching to
watch there, and then another one that I'm looking at
as well, potentially the Dimbacks and the Giants game. I mean,
Merril Kelly and Jordan Hicks have both been really good

(27:24):
on the mound. The total of seven and a half
is definitely appealing here, just because when you have two
good pictures, it doesn't matter how good the offenses are.
I mean, the game tends to stay under Looking at
this one here, Kelly's had a two p one nine era,
Jordan Hicks has a one five to seven era. Both
guys have whips under one right now. They don't walk
a lot of batters, they don't give up a ton
of home runs. Probably looking at the under seven and

(27:46):
a half.

Speaker 2 (27:46):
Yeah, I think that that's a relatively good look as well.
In seven and a half is a little bit of
a role that I used to go under on, but
I do think that with the pictures that you've got
just enough there and a little bit of a picture
friendly ballpark to be able to keep that one under
as well. And I know that you're doing such great
work taking a look at this tremendous game that we
all know and love of baseball. But I love that
you're looking at a little bit of everything getting psyched

(28:08):
up for the NFL Draft, getting everything all prepared for
the NHL and NBA playoffs as well. So love to
get people at home know it's all on to that
for you. And how people can follow on on Socipeedi
and other platforms.

Speaker 3 (28:19):
Yeah, a ton of content coming out for all sports
right now. We're in a great time with MBA and
the NHL playoffs going on. So you can follow me
on Twitter at Tanner Current Underscore. My biggest following and
where I do most of my content is on TikTok
with the short form video, so it's just at Tanner
Current and then you can find me on the Draftking, Sportsbook,
Instagram and TikTok every day doing.

Speaker 2 (28:37):
Videos absolutely and Tanner does a great job on that front.
Every single time he joins his show, lends great insights
and makes us just a little bit smarter. So big
thanks to Tanner for joining me on The Baseball Betting
Show now part of the vs of Family podcasts and
coming in next to it is that time the podcast
to give you picks and analysis on every game on
the betting board for this Baseball Sunday as B touch them.

Speaker 1 (28:56):
Up, breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (29:09):
Time I rad I love you Las Vegas for the
Baseball betting Shoe with myself Greg Peterson now part of
the Pason Family podcast. Always great to be able to
get Tanner kerniboard. He does tremendous workover had DraftKings, covering
a little bit of everything. Does a great job on
the baseball front. He loves the sport much like I do,
but I know he's all psyched up for the NHL
NBA playoffs, doing a great job on the NFL draft
as well, So always appreciate his time big thanks him

(29:32):
for joining me in the last segment. Now it is
that time of the podcast. I give you picked and
analysis on every game on the betting board for this
Baseball Sunday as we touch them all. If a game
is listed on the betting board, Greg has a side
and a total on it, so it is time to
touch them all. You know that, as per usual, any
changes are made to these plays will be listened up
on my Twitter slashacks feed at GENA underscore eighty one.

(29:53):
And we are going to be going in Las Vegas
rotation art. This is where we go with the games
in the National League first, then the American League games.
League games, those are going to be at the bottom,
though we do have one edition at the bottom. Since
we are going to be having a double header with
the Mariners and the Colrad Rocky's that is just going
to be combined. I'll do both games at the same
time for that double header. So how about if we

(30:13):
get things started with nine to one nine o two
on the betting board. It is the Milwaukee Brewers on
the road facing up against the Saint Louis Cardinals. Colin
Ray's a Zipipper Ray to another start for the Brewers
and Sonny Gray is on the bump for the Cardinals.
Cardinals between minus one fifty six minus one sixty six
favorites anywhere between plus one forty plus one forty seven.
That number on the Brewers eight is a total over

(30:34):
and under both at minus one ten. So we won't
take a plus one forty five or higher here with
the Brewers barely within that number, but we have gone
to a plus one forty five in a lot of spots.
I'm going to be willing to take that shot. Colin Ray,
since joining the Milwaukee Brewers, does have about a half
a point lower on his ERA when he's away from
home rather than when he is at home, just because
Milwaukee is a ballpark that allows quite a few homers

(30:55):
and he's able to keep the ball in the yard
a little bit easier when he is away from homents
given up three runs a fear in each out of
his three starts as far the season. Not gonna get
a bunch of strikeouts or anything like that. Wasn't a
strikeout pitcher last year. Eleven punchouts here in sixteen to
two thirds endings as far the season, but has located
really well, just three walks and three starts in for
Sonny Gray. He date it back to last season. This

(31:16):
guy has just been very very good at holding down
the four. He has given up three earned runs or
fear and all but three out of his last thirty
four starts here to begin the season. Since he got
back into the fold after he was on the injury
list to begin the campaign, two starts eleven innings. Says
he had to give up a run. One of those
starts was on the road against an Oakland, a team
that can't get anything going on offense. But still he

(31:38):
has been very impressive with that regard. Good but not
great swinging. This guy love strakecots. You're eleven innings as
far this season, you can expect a lot of that.
Sometimes it gets a little bit loose with the walks.
But among qualifying American League pitchers last season, as he
was with the Minnesota Twins, gave up the few sum
runs per nine innings of those that qualify. But nights
to goop against, we're seeing as everything more than seven
arns per game away from home. Christian Yelich being to

(32:00):
bul steed up out his gus a little bit, But
you have so many guys like William Damas selfree like
Bryce Terrang, these young guys who are hitting above a
three hundred. At Damas has been so much better at
moving the line this year. William Catres four bombs, four
forty four on base, Blake Perkins is hitting above a
three hundred. You've been able to get just production up
and down the boulevard for the Burs, relatively solid power,

(32:22):
very good ways of finding a way on, whether that
be through batting average, whether that be through drawing walks. Meanwhile,
for the Cardinals, they worry about bust out a little
bit yesterday, but this has been a rough start of
the season for Paul gold Spin and Nolan Gordman, both
of these guys hitting below a buck eighty. Gorman has
been able to give the team three home runs. But
you're just expecting a little bit more to some of
these guys in the middle of the fold. The young

(32:42):
guys like Victor Scott, Jordan Walker in the outfield have
done a big giant nothing Berger Brandon Donovan is in
a big giant funk. Typically it's quite well at home,
it's not been the case as far. It's really been
Mason Wyin and Nolan Arenauto the loan two guys that
see consistent at pass daring above three, and Wilson Terras
has been relatively solid as well. I know he along
with the young catcher Navon Harreria, have been swapping at

(33:04):
beats at the catcher spot. In for the Cardinals, the
bullpen has been relatively solid, entered into yesterday in the
top ten in the league. With the Guards Bullpenny Aarra
fell off a little bit yesterday because they had to
be used a lot since Miles Michaels can't give you
any sort of length. But Ryan Elsie it was an
all star a few seas ago, but really the lone
guy that returns from last year's bullpen that had a
sub three five YARI I like you pick up of

(33:25):
Andrew Kittchrich, but Ryan Fernandez, Andre Polante, you guys like
this have been rough and for the burs a top
five bullpen in terms of v a season ago. I've
been pretty rock solid thus far this season. Joe Pioms,
Elvis Piguero, Hoby Milner on a sub three three ERA
a season ago. After Uribay can be all over the place,
but he has really good stuff and like what I've
seen out of Brian Hudson as well. He's got a
sub oney ra. So I do think that the Burs

(33:46):
have what it takes to be able to get the
job done here. And I do think that the Brus
are gonna be able to get into this bullpen and
get to Sonny Gray a little bit. So did something
I told it any to play three, I'd like the
over and had a plus one threty five ire. I
like the Brewers on the money line. Now you might
be can't recry to pick nine to three, nine to
four on the being boarded is he chicaut Cubs playing
goes to the Miami Marlins. Edward Cabrera is on the
bump for Miami and the professor of Kyle Hendricks is

(34:07):
on the bump for the Cubs. Cubs are between minus
one twenty to minus one twenty five favorites between plus
one oh five to plus one ten that number on Miami.
No total upon this game. It's a regular field game,
so most books are going to be posting that up
in the am. But did tell my total at eight
point one eight or less. I'm going to be taking
a look at the over eight and a half hire
to the under. Not going to be doing a rite
up on a total that is completely unknown, so I

(34:29):
have no fear there. But my ride up is going
to be on the Cubs money line. I'm willing to
lay up to a minus one forty eight. If you
look at the wing conditions that we are expecting in
Wrigley Field on Sunday, looks like the wind is going
to be blowing in, looks like it's going to be
a little bit of a cooler day. So that very
much plays the advantage of Kyle Hendricks, who throughout his
career has always been a different pitcher when he's been
at home rather than when he's been away from home.

(34:49):
He gives up lesson home run per nine innings when
he's at home, or like one point one home runs
per nine innings when he is away from home, and
for his era it's about a three twenty three at
home throughout his career three ninety six. When he's away
from home. He does a better job of not giving
up as many walks as well. And the big thing
that has been killing Kyle Hendricks as far the season
at twelve seventy one e RA seven home runs allowed

(35:10):
in four starts seventeen total innings. Is the fact that
three out these four starts have come away from him.
I think getting back in front of the home crowd
at Wrigley Field, along with that wind blowing in is
going to do him so good. And he goes up
against someone at Edward Carbrero. In his first start of
the season, he was tremendous strikes out ten gives up
a one run in six innings against the San Francisco Giants.

(35:30):
Problem is is bullpen made like everybody at the bar
and could not close the Marlins bullpen entering into yesterday
twenty ninth of the big leagues with an ERA of
a five to sixty two and to play a double
dip yesterday, so that bullpen got used up quite a bit.
And for Edward Corbrero, he's got really good stuff last
season ten point seven strike cuts for nine innings. He
has applied about a four to twenty five yarra. But

(35:51):
he was giving up six walks for nine innings, which
means that a bullpen that is alright tacks probably gonna
need to be sent out there quite a bit more.
I think that his first start of the season was
very encouraging against the Giants, but he can't make too
much out of one start. And for the Miami Marlins,
they're just not really putting back to ball. Going into
game two of their double dip yesterday, everything about three
point sixty five runs per contest as far this season,

(36:12):
Brian day la Cruz has been awesome. He's been able
to give you five home runs, but he was the
only player in that double dip game number two that
entered into the game with more than two home runs.
If had Jim Anderson only at about a two fifty
Lease Rice has been able to do an okay job
of moving the line, but these guys like a vco
guards see Emmanuel Rivera Josh Bell hitting a two twenty
five or lower without a lot of pop. That's absolutely

(36:33):
killing the team. Meanwhile, for the chicag Cubs, going into
game two of the double header yesterday, they were averaging
the worth of six a half runs per game. At home.
You've been able to get some good production out of
Garret cooper ading right around about a three hundred day.
Just have a lot of guys in general that are
able to move the line. Nick Madrigal and Nico Horner
they find a way on. It's been a little bit
of rough start to the season for Cody Bellinger Christopher
Murrell three home runs a piece entering into game two

(36:54):
of that double header, but it seems like Bellinger over
the last week or so has been able to get
back to that form that was so good for him
a season. Goo. Yeah. Michael Bush provide a home run
in five straight games last week, so he's really been
able to do a nice job for the Cubs eighteenth
of the league. Terms of bullpenny are not saying it's amazing,
but it's a whole like a lot better than what
the Marlins are providing as of right now. You've got

(37:14):
long guys are able to hold down the fort like
Drew Smile League Keeking Thompson. They are able to fill
multiple innings. Ed Barlsley has been relatively saw it in
the closer spot in for the Miami Marlins. They should
have left aj Puck in the bullpen. They could really
use him right about now, as Brian Hoyne has probably
been your best bullpen piece. He's likes like Andrew Scott
Tanner and already have just forgotten how to pitch. As
far as the season. The Clon Cronin at this point

(37:36):
is your long guy, and he already got used in
the series. So it's a rough state of affairs for
the fiyy Marlands team. And I do think that the
device it continues, my ride a pick is going to
be on the Cubs money line and did something I
told the way eighty or less. I'm gonna be taking
a look at you over a fryar the under nine
of five nine to six on the big board of
the San Francisco Giants playoffs the years under Diamondbacks. Meryl
Kelly is on the bump for the Saints, Jord Knicks

(37:56):
is on the bump for San Francisco, and San Francisco
is a minus a way to a minus one fifteen
favorite between even money and minus one o five. The
i'mbro on Arizona seven half is a total overs minus
one fifteen the unders minus one to five. I mean
the Giants a minus one twelve favorite. So he heard
about a minus one o eight minus one ten. I'm
gonna be willing to side with them on the money line.
Have actually been really impressed by what Jordan Nicks has

(38:18):
been able to provide as a starter. I think that
the Establis Cardinals tried once before to make him a
starter that was a little bit of a failure. But
whatever the Giants have clicked, it has worked thus far
for Jordan Next. He has made four starts and he
has been absolutely incredible, giving up only two point three
bucks per nine ennis. He's cpt the ball in the yard,
giving up one home run across twenty three innings, lending

(38:38):
quite a bit of length for a guy that was
in the bullpen just a season ago. And even though
the strikeout numbers are down for his career, or around
about nine point two nine point three strikeouts per nine
NYC has been gained just seven strikeouts per nine ennings
this season. His location has been very good and he
gets to go up against a bunch of the years
and a Diamondbacks said have been a top eight lineup
in the big leagues in turns run score. But it

(38:59):
does diminish quite a bit when they're away from home
rather than when they are at home. When you take
out the course field numbers, just because things always get
a little bit of air brain and course. Now I
will say you've got Lord Escuriel Kittel Marte, both of
these guys four plus home runs, both of these guys
providing north of a three fifty five base with Christian Walker,
he's been able to give you about a three ninety
on base as well. For this Arizon Diamondbacks team, he's
been able to fly three home runs. But you have

(39:20):
a few guys that they need to pick it up
a little bit. Corby carrol'sill only give you one home
run with about a three twenty five on baselace. Alexander
has actually been a really nice five for the Seam.
But whenever they have at the bottom of the fold,
whether that be mister Jase Peterson, Kevin Newman, guys like
this have not necessarily been able to pride a whole
lot in for the Giants. That's been a little bit
inter missed in terms of lineup as well. But even

(39:41):
though you haven't necessary gotten the world's greatest zombise from
the like savories Silaria match have and these guys have
been able to supply the boom with three plus home
runs a piece. Jungle Lee, it feels like it's really
starting to figure it out, not drying a lot of walks,
but it's not hinting at two ninety. He went depsterday,
while Patrick Bailey went four to four yesterday and he's
been able to absolutely errupt well. The Moontway Junior has
been the main consonant in terms of being able to

(40:02):
move the line hitting above three fifty. For the Giants,
bullpen has been much more rough than it has been
in past years. They've had to have quite a bit
of usage, especially in the Blake Sales sports starts unfortunately,
but Taylor and Tyler Rodgers so relatively trustworthy in the bullpen,
and you know that if you could get to Camellia Devall,
you're staring at a good chance to be able to
close that came out. It's all about what are you
going to be able to get out of some of

(40:22):
these younger guys like Eric Miller and company. Meanwhile, for
the years in the Diamondbacks, it's been about a league
average bullpen. They're currently deal with an injury to Luis Frias,
but it's honestly too much of a loss. I like
what I've seen out of Ryan Thompson along Kyle Nelson
over the last few seasons. So Scott mgough has been
a little bit touch and go, and Joe mantiply just
does not appear to be himself. For Merrill Kelly, he's

(40:43):
always had some pretty demonstrative home in the roadsploits, so
last year he was able to pitch so much better
on the road than he had been throughout his entire career,
and he's off to a relatively solid start. That's far
the season as well, not getting as many strikeouts as
he did a season go, but as far through four
starts he has allowed three on runs of twenty four
and two thirds out but just six walks. After miss
he had more strikeouts, but he was also walking a

(41:04):
few more guys. I do think that for the years
in the Diamondbacks they're going to be able to do
relatively solid job of holding down the four. But I'm
very bullish on what Jorn Nicks has been a prey
provide for this team. It is going to be a
day game in San Francisco, so help South editors a
little bit more than the nighttime. But as we know,
San Francisco is very much a pitcher's ballpark, which is
why you're seeing such a low total in this one.
I think that we've gone just a little bit too

(41:26):
far with it, though, This is a total that I
did have more in the neighborhood of an eight point two.
So I'm going to be looking at the over as
the Diamondbacks have done a solid job and being able
to put back to ball on both of these bullpens
are a little bit rough. But with the Giants want
to lay up to a minus one eleven with that
money line to go along with the over ninus of
ANNO eight on the bag board. The New York Mets
that throat the facing off against the Elliott Dodgers, Tyler
GLASSO is going to be on the bump for the

(41:47):
Dodgers and Adrian don't call him Doogie howsers on the
bump for the Mets. This was supposed to be James Packson,
and when we saw Packson on the board, it was
a total of nine and a half shaded down to
the under. The Dodgers were laying between minus one seventy
two to minus one eighty about plus one fifty to
plus one fifty eight. That number on the New York Mets.
You have yet to see a number get reposted with
it now being Tyler glass now, but I'd be willing

(42:08):
to lay up too a bottom minus one twenty. With
that Dodgers run line, I would need at least a
plus two fourteen to take shot on the Mets, and
somebody told to wear an eight and a half for us,
I'm going to be taking a look at the over
a nine or higher to the under. As for the
LA Dodgers, has been a relatively rough state of affairs
for them the last few games. They have now lost
four out their last five. I do think that this
is a nice bounce back spot for the LA Dodgers,

(42:28):
and the Dodgers have the propensity to really win these
games by multiple runs. Over the last three seasons. Since
it started the twenty twenty two campaign, they have won
a grand total of two twenty one hundred and twenty
three games during the regular season, and all but thirty
five of them have been by multiple runs. So I
do think that that it's something to be so mindful of.
And for the LA Dodgers, you still have a lineup

(42:49):
that is doing a tremendous job of moving line getting
on base. So it is a little bit of top
heavy lineup. Gavin Lox, Chris Taylor, You're able to throw
in there guys like a James outman Andy Ages. He'ser
guys and you blow them. No sign of two hundred.
But you take a look at the top of the fold.
Mookie Betts, Joiotani, Taskernans all at least three home runs.
In the case of Bets and Taskernans, it combined eleven

(43:11):
home runs between the two of them, Bets and Otani,
north of a four to fifteen on base Freddie Freeman
has not ass he given you a ton of power
this season, but he's been able to provide nearly a
foreigner on base as well. But the Mets are starting
to find their offense as well as beat Alonso has
six home runs. He had a rough start to the
season for Francisco LINDERTI still I think just a buck
eighty one, but he's starting to be able to move

(43:31):
the line. They get back prep Baddie after Hughes deal
with a little bit of an injury, Harrison Bader, Joey
Wendel riding above a threird. So it's coming around for
the Bets. So I do think that's gonna be touch
and go all season long. And the big thing for
the Mets is they have to try to get to
Edwin Diaz because the relievers outside of Edwin Is it
can be a little bit less of trustworthy Adam and
of Vino Brooks Raley. They're not great, they're not terrible,

(43:51):
but likes the free Garrett or a Lopez that's rough.
But the ELI Dodgers they're about league averages, slightly below
average terms of their bullpen as well. They did let
a few guys like Caleb Ferguson in the offseason walk,
so that does leave them a little bit hamstrung there.
Alex Vessio and someone that's been able to do a
relatively solid job in the bullpen, but have absolutely no
faith whatsoever in Joe Kelly, and they've got a good
closure in their own and Evan Phillips and for tygler Glass.

(44:15):
So last start out against the Washington Nationals got completely
banged around, but this guy is still one of the
best pitchers that you're gonna find at the big bags.
He as far the season has given up four home
runs at twenty nine innings, but he's been able to
do a nice job providing ten and a half straightcuts
per nine nings. Outside that started against the Washington Nationals,
his previous three starts has been pretty rock solid, and
I just take a look at Adrian Awiser and it's

(44:36):
just a tough guy to be able to back. In general.
He was able to cut down on the walks last
season with the Milwaukee Brewers and did look better during
that twenty twenty three campaign, but has just been a
little bit all over the boulevard right now. About a
four seven year a compared to about a four thirty
eight fielding dependent, not getting any swings and misses as
of right now, but he's not giving up a lot
of hard contact as well. For Adrian Owser, for a squreer,

(44:57):
he's done a solid job of that, and too out
of the last three years, has given up zero point
eight home runs per nine nine ings or less. But
when you're getting more walks surrendered rather than strikeouts, which
he has right now, has given out ten walks and
he's gotten just nine strikeouts across the three starts. As
far as this season, having to go up against the
Dodgers lineup, I do think that that makes it rather difficult.
So would be willing to lay up to a minus

(45:18):
one twenty with regards to the Dodgers run line and
with regards to total. I did something total out at
eight point nine. I do think that things are going
to be tamed down a little bit more, and I
do think that the Dodgers come into form with reguards
of their bullpen. So and that for us gonna be
looking at the over nine or higher to the under end,
we need at least plus two fourteen to take shot
on the bets one to lay up to a minus
one twenty with that Dodgers run line nine nine, nine
to ten on the betting board. The Tampa bay Rays

(45:39):
they throw the phrasing up against the New York Yankees.
Luis eel is on the bump for the Yankees and
Aaron saval He goes for the Tampa bay Rays. Total
opens up at nine. Now we're seeing at an eight
and a half over and under any between minus one
oh five to minus one fifteen. With the Yankees, they're
between minus one three to minus one thirty five favorites
between plus one fourteen to plus one twenty that number
on the Tampa Bay Rays, and Wadita least a plus

(46:00):
one twenty four to be able to take shot here
on the Tampa bay Rays. If you're looking at laying
a run and a half with the Yankees, you're getting
between about plus one fifty to plus one fifty five.
Plus one fifty five would be my bypoint if I
absolutely had to bet this right now. But I'm gonna
be gauging to see if we do get a little
bit of line movement here as the Yankees open up
more around of minus one thirty five, if I even

(46:21):
bet down to about a minus one thirty because with
Louis Eel just not willing to lay too much of
a big number with him, and I do think that
IT starts are going to be involving a little bit
more volatility because Eel is just a strikeout artist. You
take a look at what he's done through his first
three starts of the season. He's gotten twenty strikeouts in
fourteen innings. The problem is in fourteen innings he's also
given out fourteen walks. He's a pretty unhittable guy, but

(46:44):
he just puts on so many guys that even one
it that's a little bit constantly from he has given
up three hits or fewer, and all three of IT
starts as far this season, but he's given up as
many hits as runs because three plus walks in each
of these three starts that knocks him out of games
relatively early as yet to fill north of five innings. Meanwhile,
you've got someone in Aaron Saval. He's been pretty rock
solid this far this season. He's up to about ten

(47:05):
straightcoufs per nine and Ennis now he does give up
the deep ball. He's pretty much the opposite of Luis
Eel giving up four walks in twenty three innings. But
he's given up five home runs in his twenty three
innings and at least one home run in each out
of his four SERTs as far this season. And guy
has to go to Yankee Stadium, where as we know
that short porch that does a lot for a lot
of cheap home runs. Yankees got shut out yesterday. I
don't think that we can make on that once again,

(47:27):
as you've got one soda John Carlos sain but was
supplying five home runs. Sandon has become a little bit
of all or nothing guy with just a two to
eighty A bas mean Minesota is providing about a four
seventy as he has been tremendous with that regard. But
Anthony Volpe, though he's cooled down a little bit sillyting
above a three hundred as of right now. The guys
that you need to be able to get online though,
labor tourist Aaron Judge both of these guys hitting below

(47:47):
two hundred, So that's been a little bit raw. Full
of guys like Asweldo Cabrera have been able to hold
down the four for the Yankees. And this is a
Yankees bullpen that last season was in the top three
in the Big leagues with regards to their era in
the bullpen solid they have fallen outside the top five.
But I did like the fact that they picked up
Caleb Ferguson in the offseason. They get back Ron Menanacchio.
He's been relatively solid for them. Dana Santana, he can

(48:09):
be a little bit up and down, but I do
like what he's able to provide for the team and
for the Tampa Bay Rays. They actually entered in the
weekend dead last in the big leagues in terms of
bullpenny Ray. You know that this is gonna be a
reversing course sooner rather than later. It is a little
bit diminished in my opinion, but you got the likes
of Jason Adam Garrett Clevenger. Guys like this, you know
that they're gonna be relatively stable thus far the season

(48:29):
film Aton Pete Fairbanks, they're posting up north with seventy
or a. I do think that they're gonna be able
to get back in line. The big thing that I
have concerned with for the Tampa Bay Rays is the
top of the fold. Are you going to be able
to get Randyo Rosarina and Yandy Diaz to start to
hit once again? Both of these guys providing a sub
to eighty on base He did get multiple so yesterday
out of Yandy ds. I'm at Rosaria it's not a

(48:50):
nice job and be able to get on a three
forty three batting average off just a three fifty two
on base side generating a lot of box but he
Jarrick Calbreo, both of these guys find a way on.
But the entire catcher spot for the Seas has been
a little bit rough though Ben road fit and a
very small sample size has been looking solid, but the
race not generating a lot of power as of right now,
so it makes it a little bit of a tricky
spot here. At an a and a half, I'm going

(49:10):
to be taking a look at the overs. I do
think that Luisio just not going to be too long
for this game, and the race are really struggling with
their bullpend. But at a plus one twenty four or higher,
I'd be willing to take a shot on the race.
If we can get the Yankees sound to about a
minus one twenty three or so, we'll be signing with them.
If I, like I said, absolutely had to better right now,
I'd be taking a look at that Yankees run line,
but trying to see which way I'm gonna be going
on the bunny line as of right now. To go

(49:32):
along with that over nine eleven night twelve on the
baking board, the Oakland a's that road the face to
goup against the Cleveland Guardians. Danner Biby on the bump
for Cleveland and Ross Tripling goes for Oakland. Seven and
a half is a total over is minus one fifteen.
The under is minus one of five. With Oakland, you're
going to be getting them between plus one sixty h
plus one seventy anywhere between a minus one eighty two
to a minus one ninety two. That is your number
on Cleveland and for the Guardians need at least a

(49:54):
plus one seventy four to take a shot. They open
up initially at a plus one sixty, so we're gonna
be checking our prospects there. If you're looking to lay
a run and a half with the Cleveland Guardians, you're
actually getting that at a plus one twenty. And I
recognize that the Oakland A's at that really nice run
of being able to cover run lines. I do think
that it's gonna start to regrets to the point of
Tanner current. As of right now, I'm looking at the

(50:15):
Cleveland Guardians getting a plus one twenty on that run line,
just because I do think that the bullpen is good
enough to be able to preserve it at home. If
they're able to get any sort of a lead, they're
gonna be able to do a nice job locking it down.
Guardians entered into the series number two in the Big leagues.
With regards to the Bullpenny Ray I just had so
much depth out there. Nick Anley was a little bit
up and down last season, but he and Tim Aaron
have looked tremendous beginning the season. Really, other than Tyler Beattie,

(50:37):
Jarney or everyone has been said in this bullpen and
manual Class A has been just a lights out closer
for the seam and you've got an Oakland A's team
that they entered into the series number three in the
big leagues with regards to Bullpenny Ray. They've taken a
little bit of a drop off, but on all you
take a look at some of these guys like Danny Amenez,
Lucas r. Said, you're able to throw in their Awesoin
Adams guys like this, they're providing a sub three era

(50:58):
and they've been tremendous to beginning the season. The problem
that you've got for the Oakland As is that this
team is just simply not hitting there in the bottom
three in the big leagues with regards to runs per game,
as Sterry Ruiz at the top of the fold. I
have no idea why he was sent down to the
minor league level, but it has been absolutely messful for
this evening. Well above a three hundred was towards the
top of the league with regards to the own bases
last season, and Tyler Nevan has been at about a

(51:19):
three hundred as well. Past set. Though, the guys like
Brent Rooker, zach Alah, Ryan, Noah Shaye Langelairs. They were
relatively solid a season ago. They just have provided a big,
giant nothing burger for you. Meanwhile, for the Cleveland Guardians,
they're improved from what they were a season ago at
the plate. As last season they were dead last in
the big leagues with regards to home runs. They were
able to do a solid job I'll be able to

(51:40):
just make contact, but they weren't really driving the ball.
I'll Beard, you've been able to get a little bit
more of that with Josh and bow Taylor being able
to combuy him for six home runs entering into the
game yesterday. You got Josh Haylor by himself now actually
up to six home runs. So that has been massive
for this bunch. But you did go look past that
and they're still just really good at finding a way
to be able to move the line doing Fry Stephen,
I'm both ending above A three twenty five has been

(52:02):
huge and it's not even like Jse Rabiers is having
the biggest season for the seam a sub at two
fifty batting average as of right now, with limited power,
you've had ramand Loriano give you a big, giant nothing berger.
But these guys like Gabriel Arias in company, I've been
able to do a relatively solid job and for ross stripling.
When he's away from a very very good pitchers wallpark,
he does tend to struggle as he's very much a

(52:22):
pitcher contact guy. He has only been able to give
you about six after seven strikeouts per nine ennings since
the beginning part of the twenty twenty three campaign. Pretty
good with regards to command as farthest season seven walks
in twenty three and two thirds innings, but he does
leave himself prone to giving up just a lot of
runs in general, three plus runs surroundered in three out
of his four starts. As far as this season, good
news is he is pitching out there in Cleveland, but

(52:43):
I do think that he's gonna be outdualed by a
guy in Tanner BAYBU. He's been a little bit up
and down this thus far the season. The walks have
been the big issue ten walks in eighteen to two
thirds innings. But I do think that he's going to
be able to go out there lend a little bit
more lengthen what he was able to do in his
first few starts of the season last year. He was
more around about a three walks per nine any guy,
and for Tanner Biby, he was able to post up
an era more than a full point better when he

(53:05):
was at home rather than away from home eight seasons ago.
This year we've seen a little bit of verse Biles,
but it's because he's only thrown four and a third
innings at home this far this season. But to think
that he's going to be able to get online here,
So did set the Guardians where I'm willing to take
that plus one twenty laying a run and half, set
them more in a round a minus one seventy four
on the money line, and did some by total an
eight point two. I think that we've got a little
bit too low with this total. I do think that's

(53:25):
tire point leaves himself prone to giving up runs. So
good at the over and Cleveland on the run line
nine thirteen, nine fourteen on the bank board, the Baltimore
Orioles are on the road the facing off against the
Kansaity Royals. Seth Lugo goes for the Royals, and courb
And is on the bump for Baltimore. Baltimore is an
underdog atyourteen plus one oh five plus one ten between
minus what twenty you do minus on twenty five is
at number on Kansas City nine is a total unders

(53:46):
between minus pontendo minus on twenty b overs any between
even a minus one ten And for the Baltimoreals, I
made them the slightest of slight favorite, so I'm gonna
be willing to take a plus number on them set
this line and a minus one oh two on the
Baltimore Oriols now for it has been a very very
rough start of the season and they're so denying it.
The Kansiity Royals, they have a very clear pitching advantage

(54:07):
with regards to starting pitching. But I do think that
the Baltimorials are going to be able to make up
for it on the back half of things. Even with
them having Feenix Fatisa the fold, this has still been
one of the better bullpens out there in the big leagues.
He still have a lot of guys like Danny Columbho.
I really like they get back Dylan Tate after he
was missing for the entirety of the season last year
as well. Craig Kimberl has actually been half weaid decent

(54:28):
for the team, so that's been relatively rock solid as well.
And for Cole Orbn, I think the biggest thing for
him is just being able to calm down the walks
a little bit, because he is very much a pitch
of contact guy, always has been for his career. He's
found about six point seventy six point eight right cause
for nine ninety's ran on kilter with that as well,
but still's been a little bit unlucky on balls and
play as well. Six seventy five ERA, but a four
to fifty fielding dependent. I do think that that positivity

(54:50):
is going to be coming through. And for Seth Lugo,
he has been tremendous here for the Kansaity Royals. He
made the jump from being in the bullpen to being
a starter a season go, and he has just taken
in a run thus far this season, one of five
eras yet to give up a home run and his
four starts filling twenty five and two thirds, saying sow
Field the independent is more round at three. He's not
getting any swings to missus whatsoever about four point six

(55:12):
right CAUs Bernie and Ennings. So I do think that
that is going to lead to a Baltimore Orioles offense
that is right now in the top six in the
Big League with regards to run scored, and I believe
that they are number one in terms of total home
runs to being able to have some success. We saw
what they were able to do yesterday against Cole Wagan's
and I mean it's just up and down the boulevard.
You don't necessarily have that one superstar guy. You just
have everyone as a collective finding a way to be

(55:33):
able to move the line. Get on basis you've got
right now, Ryan Uncastle, Allie Rushman, Jordan Westburg, Colton Kowser,
all Ding above a three hundred gunner. Anderson has provided
five plus home runs. They're doing this with Anthony Santander
are not even doing a great job moving line though
he's been able to supply the team with four home runs.
Says for Henderson, Santander, Kwser, Ryan O'Hearn, Cedric Mullens, Westburg,

(55:54):
they've all got four plus home runs as far this season.
They got so much depth that they're able to platoon
for righties and lefties, so they don't have any real
weak points there. And for the Royals, this has been
a relatively solid offense for them as well. Call Garcy
after a good start to the season, he's cooled off
quite a bit at twot sixteen on base, but he
provides a little bit of pop with his bad I
like what Vinnie Pascantino has made do recently as well,

(56:15):
at a rough first week or sell of the season,
but he along Salva our Paiz, Bobby with Junior have
all been able to supply four plus arm runs. All
these guys have been able to give you a nice
average of at least a two to seventy or greater
in Paris goes zpsday, but the bottom of the fold.
For the Royals, it is a little bit of concerned.
The guys like Adam Frazier, Kylosbell Hunter Renfro hitting both
the Mendoz line of a two hundred, that's an issue,
and for the Royals the bullpen Era has been relatively

(56:38):
leaking average at this point. I don't know if this
is going to be long lasting on Alzera, but has
honestly been a relatively good long guy. Matt Sewer is
someone that I am not sowering on but likes if
James MacArthur, Nick Anderson will Smith. These are very unreliable pieces.
And even though I do think that Seth Lugo is
going to turn a good start, I do think that
he's up against it against a Baltimore Orioles team that's

(56:58):
just doing a great job in general being able to
put at the ball. And I do think that Cole
Whorman is going to be able to find a way
to come down and hold down the fort. I did something,
I told that a nine point three. The Royals team
has just been slugging in general, and this is a
Royals ballpark that does allow quite a few runs. So
I do like the over, and with Baltimore being able
to get any sort out plus number, I'm gonna be
on them on the money line nine fifteen, nine to
sixteen on the bank board. The Minnesota Twins, they play

(57:19):
us the Detroit Tigers. Casey Mice is on the bump
for the Tigers and Louis Varlin. Louis Louis is on
the bump for Minnesota. Pretty much a pick them game.
Minnesota is any between minus one of four to minus
one twelve. Meanwhile, with Detroit you're going to be getting
them any between minus one oh three to a minus
one ten to Don's game is eight. The overs minus
one fifteen. Under is minus one of five set the
Twins out of minus one thirteen. So at this pick

(57:40):
up number, I'd be willing to take them on the
money line. For Minnesota, the offense has been very, very rough,
to say the least dead laves in the Big league's
entering into the series in terms of their batting average
sands Chicago White Sox, which everything needs to be prefaced
with sandsy Chicago White Sox at this point for offense, IBI,
my goodness, gracious that it's not been good, but that's
I do think that we should be seeing a little

(58:02):
bit of positivity with them. If you take a look
at the Baseball Savant numbers, the Minnesota Twins entered into
Saturday with a buck ninety one batting average, but unexpected
bagging average more around at two sixteen is a great no,
but it indicates that they've been getting a little bit unlucky,
and you've been able to get a little bit of
pop in the bats of Ryan Jeffers Edward Julian. These
two guys have been able to combine for seven home
runs as far this season. It's very clear that not

(58:24):
having Royce Lewis in the fold that has been hurting them.
But elsecirlof bees mad about a two seventy five for
this unit. You've been able to get a little bit
in the outfield as well, with Austin Martin being able
to find a way to be able to get on base.
Could use a little bit more consistency of the likes
of manuelmart going company, and so have the likes of
Woy Castro, Kyle Farmer, Carlos Stana, Julian who I mentioned before.
All these guys hitting well below the midows line of

(58:45):
two hundred. But it is not as if this Detroit
Tigers team is doing a great job rip on the
cover off the ball as well, darrying about it two
twenty three. As a collective, it's been another slow start
to the season from a power perspective, with Prince Ller
Trocolsen on a three twenty five on base but as
many home runs as myself got, Kry Carpenter, Rightley Green,
Marcana who'll be able to supply three home runs apiece,
but a grand total fourteen home runs as far as

(59:06):
the season for the Tigers, that is not terrific. Dur
Orchelle along with Kerry Carpenter. They're both hitting north of
a two to eighty and man fieldlink if they have
moved the line as well. But and these are like
the only three guys on the roster they're hitting above
a two thirty five. You have been able to have
this team draw a few walks, but pat said has
been very non existent on offense, and both of these
teams have been very rock solid with their bullpen. Both
of these teams top six in the big leagues. With

(59:27):
that regard for the Detroit Tigers, it's just everyone. You
don't necessarily have that one lockdown guy. Though Jason Folly
has really taken over the Reins as a closer, but
he out slaying Andrew Chafin, Wolves, Shelby Miller. All these
guys give you good endings. All these guys giving you
a sub three three RM for the Minnesota Twins, even
with Johan Donan currently being out the full You've had
somebody guys like Cody Funderberg, Brock Stewart, Steven o'kurt. These

(59:50):
guys are all giving you relatively solid endings. But it
comes down to what you're gonna be able to get
on the starters and for Casey Meies, is he overall
the better pitcher, Yes, but keep in mind that he
is coming off of pretty much not pitching last season.
I do think that him is mixing up his pitch
mix is going to be good for him moving forward.
But you can tell that he's just trying to be
able to get back into sort of pitching shape. It's

(01:00:12):
been a little bit unlucky this season for eleven or a,
but a three twenty seven fielding independent swinging my stuff
has up been masterful, only about seven punchhouts for nine hunnings,
but he's doing a good job of locating, giving up
less than two walks er nin and hunnings. Meanwhile, you've
got Louis Varlind Duo's been able to do a nice
job but just being able to hold down the fort.
He does give up a little bit of heart contact,
but he doesn't do a bad job of locating. Throughout
his career about two point three walks per nine hunnings.

(01:00:34):
Now he has given up three point two home runs
per nine on he's he's made three starts, he has
thus far given up five home runs. I don't think
that that's going to be as much of an issue
in this spot, and especially pitching out there in Minnesota
where it's a little bit harder to drive out the ball.
It's honestly too warm. I do think that for Minnesota
they are going to be able to have a little
bit of success here. And I do think that Varlin
and the way that he's been locating, it's going to

(01:00:54):
be just enough for Minnesota to be able to get
the job done at home. And I do think that
there's some upside here with this lineup. So did something
I total at eight point two here at the eight
I'm looking at the over as I do think that
both of these earners are going to be surrendering some runs,
and all these bullpens I think are doing for a
little bit of regression as well. So I like the
over and the twins on the money line nine seventeen,
nine eighteen on the bank board, the Chicago White Sox
to throw the free seagup against the Philadelphia Phillies. Aaron

(01:01:16):
Nola looks at me, super for the Phills and Nick
DASTRAINI is on the bump for the White Sox. The
White Sox or anywhere between plus two forty now plus
two fifty two hunderducks and between minus two to eighty
to minus sereal five. CE number on the Phillies. Seven
half is to total of the overs between minus one
fifteen to minus one twenty the underds any between even
the minus one oh five, and if you're looking to
lay a run half with the Philadelphia Phillies, you're getting

(01:01:38):
any work between minus one thirty five to minus one forty.
I was seeing a minus one thirty out there a
little bit before, and I was willing to dive in
on the minus one thirty. I personally will not be
willing to go much further than a minus one thirty five.
I do think that we're gonna get to a little
bit of a point of no return, and if we
were to get pass out plus two sixty, I'd be

(01:02:00):
willing to take shot. On the White Sox money line.
I set them at a plus two fifty eight for
the White Sox. This is a sad, embarrassing team. There's
no fans or butts about it. But I also think
that Aaron Nole is quite a bit overrated, and he
says the beginning part of the last season he has
been posting up in the area north of four giving
up nearly a home run and a half per nine,
and he says look better in his last three starts
to combined three runs surrendered against the Cardinals, the Colrad

(01:02:22):
Rockies in the Washington Nationals. But perhaps we finally saw
a little bit of a spark from the Chicago White Sox.
In their first nineteen games of the season, they scored
thirty eight runs. They were on the verge of getting
no hit yesterday, and then they put up a five
spot in the ninth benning and had the bases loaded
and actually just grounded out if they had a grand
slam there. They tied up nine to nine, So perhaps
that'll get something going. But this is still a sad,

(01:02:44):
pathetic team, as you had in the lineup yesterday three
guys that are rating above A two twenty two, and
you had more guys come to the play yesterday hitting
below a Buck seventy five than hitting up Bobba Bucks
seventy five. Eloi Amenez was able to have a multi game,
but he's been embarrassing to begin the season. Andrew Vaughan
has been terrible. Paul DeJong has actually been your nice
upside guy thus far. He's been able to fly the

(01:03:05):
team with three home runs, but now he's injured a
little bit as well. So I mean it's just not great,
to say the least with the Chicago White Sox team. Meanwhile,
for the Philadelphia Phillies, you've had Tray turn her down
for what really give you something? He's right now providing
north of four armed base He's been on fire recently,
and Bryce Rper seems to be starting to pick it
up a little bit. Heading an RBI yesterday stays that
three home run game. He hasn't necessarily done a ton,

(01:03:26):
but you know what, it's starting to come around from.
We shall see if Nick Cassianus is able to piggyback
off a three eight game yesterday as well. But the
Phillies are typically a little bit of a slow starting team,
and the Phillies to certainly have some bullpen issues that
was on full of display yesterday's transwer to Beingaso s Alvarado.
These guys have been a little bit less than tremendous.
Gregory Soto sands the blown opportunity that he had against

(01:03:46):
the Colrad Rockies a few days ago. He's been relatively solid,
but that is something to be mindful of and This
is a White Sox team that entered into the game
yesterday right around about league average in terms of their bullpenny.
Right now, I think that it's gonna be far worse
when it's all said and done, because you just take
a look at some of the guys are excelling right now,
the likes of a Steven Wilson, Michael Kopek, guys like this,

(01:04:06):
I just don't have a lot of faith in them.
With Joey Leisure, I actually do think it is going
to be quite solid moving forward. But for Nick Nastrini,
relatively good for Starty. He was a riley highly thought
of prospect out there in the LA Dodgers organization, and
I do think that he's going to be able to
give you some swing of miss. I think that he's
going to be a suitable pitcher for the seam with
suitable for the Chicago White Sox is like amazing for them.

(01:04:28):
But I would need at least a plus two sixty
to be able to take Shattier on the Chicago White Sox. Personally,
I already took the run line. I do think that
this is going to be getting up to a point
of no return, Like if you could get up to
like a plus one forty or so getting a run
half with the White Sox, which I don't think is
necessarily blasphemous. As I do this podcast, I'm seeing his
eyes a plus one twenty five out there, and there's

(01:04:48):
gonna be nobody that's going to take a shot on
the White Sox that might not be the world's worst. Look.
I did something till it at eight point three. I
think that the White Sox are gonna have a little
bit of positivity moving forward with regards their offense. And
I'm just honestly super bullish on Aaron Ola, But man,
do I not want to take the Chicago White Sox here.
So I personally laid the run line a little bit
earlier with the Philadelphia feel. He said, you're at the

(01:05:09):
seven a half. I'm looking at the over nine nineteen
ninet twenty on the baky board. The Boston Red Sox
they throw their facing off against the Pittsburgh Prior. He says,
Marti Barez is on the bump for the buck Goes
and Josh Unkowski is going for Boston. Boston is a
plus one twenty two underdog at CIRCA. Currently the only
book that has a number up on this game minus
one forty a number on Pittsburgh and total is a NAF.
The overs mins one fifteen under is minus one of
five plus one twenty two was pretty much my minimum

(01:05:31):
bypoint on the Boston Red Sox. I'm gonna be one
to take a shot here as long as this is
pretty much a market wide number. Now we do get
for joshuaen Kewski not necessarily the world's greatest starter in
the world. He began his Boston Red Sox career as
a starter, got relegated to the bullpen, but and whatever
he's been in long relief, he's been able to do
a relatively solid job. I'll be able to hold down
the Fortnite. Would not be surprised if the Boston Red

(01:05:53):
Sox only have him go about three four innings and
then they throw out there like a poopoo platter of
pitchers after that. Since Slayton has been a guy that
has been filling multiple innings for the team, I think
that he's going to be good to go. Brandon Bernardino
has turned into a nice multi ending guy for this
team and for the Boston Red Sox. I'm not saying
that this bullpen has been necessarily amazing or anything like that.
But you know when it's not bad, Chris Martin, Kelly Jansen,

(01:06:14):
these are suitable guys as long as the moment isn't
like super duper big Kenley Janson typically does get the
job done for you. And it's a Boston Red Sox
bullpen that's about thirteenth of the big leagues in terms
of bullpenny ray. Meanwhile, for the Pittsburgh Priorce, how do
I expectations for this bullpen coming into the season. The
fact that they have been dealing with the injuries to
Ryan Brooki and the suspension d Roll this Chapman, who's
gonna be good to go in this one? That shurts

(01:06:35):
them a little bit righter. Ryan has been a little
bit up and down. I like what David Bennar pervised,
but sometimes gonna be a little bit over the place himself.
And for Martin Perez, he's had a nice start to
the season, but to have to wonder if regression is
going to be ending him rather hard. He's once again
giving you less than seven a half strikeouts for nine
and nnings. He has been allowing the ball to be
put in play quite a bit end thus far. That's
not a good job with the Waks seven walks in

(01:06:56):
twenty four and two thirds innings. Now it takes a
You'll turn very very quickly on our team Perez mar
team Perez has a propensity to give you like four
good starts and then just lay a big giant turt
and go down the toilet bowl from there. For the
Pittsburgh Priors, after a nice start to the season at
the plate, they have been struggling a little bit recently.
Onell Cruz has been incredibly inconsistent. He Alon Jacksoniniski, Henry Davis,

(01:07:18):
a former number one overall pick, Roddy Tillez. Guys like this,
he get two twenty five or lower. Not giving you
a lot of on base has been a bit of
an issue on for the Pittsburgh Pirates. They're on the
bottom five in the big leagues with regards to home
runs Honnie per game basis one. Cruz has been able
to fly three at all of aras, but at al
of Aireus has not nearly been getting consistent at bats.
I'm not quite sure why. Meanwhile, you've got a bustive

(01:07:38):
Red Sox team has been deal with the injuries of
their own. Rafael Devers has been deal with a little
bit of an injury, and I feel like the biggest
thing for the spots of Red Sox team is getting
the young guys online. You've got the likes of Emanuel Valdez,
Pablo Reyes, Bobby Dollbacks, Adine Rafaela laying at buck seventy
or lower. And for Bobby doll Back, I remember this
guy was awesome like three years ago and he's currently

(01:07:59):
ending as zero thirty eight with a one oh seven
on base. I mean, these are pretty much the statistics
a Outer Space Martian could put up, So that's not
too great. But what has been solid has been trist
and causes being able to give you three forty four
armies five plus home runs. Tyler O'Neill was carrying the team,
but currently he's on the concussion injured list. But I
do think that you're still gonna be able to get

(01:08:19):
a relatively solid effort year from the Boston Red Sox.
I do think that with win Kowski is gonna be
able to come down and hold down the fort against
the Pittsburgh Pirates lineup. I did some I toilet at
eight point seven eight and a half is a maximill
in to take over, but we'n't take it over. Both
of these offenses have their issues, but also both of
the starting pitchers do as well. And I do think
that Bartie Perez he's going to be going downward sooner
rather than later. So looking at the red Sox at

(01:08:42):
a plus one twenty two or higher along with the
over nine twenty one nine twenty two on the bank board,
Gaston answers hit the road face off against the Washington
national says Christian Avied is on the bump for Houston
and it is young Mitchell Berker is on the bump
for the Nationals. Nasheles, do you find themselves as a
plus one fifty five to a plus one sixty five underdog?
Meanwhile in between min one somebody minus twenty eighty five
That is your number on Houston. Nine is the totally

(01:09:03):
the overs minus one fifteen. The under is minus one
o five in with the asters. It's not the minus
one ninety eight on the money line. If you're looking
to lay a run a half, say between minus one
fifteen to minus one eighteen, I'd be willing to go
up to a minus one twenty seven with Christian Avier.
He is back and he is back in full force.
Last season, in the back half of the campaign, that
was not the Christian Avier that we all know him love.

(01:09:24):
He was not getting strikeouts, he was not locating. It
was just rough end the strikeout numbers. They still aren't
necessarily great, and I do fear a little bit of
regression here because he has given up eleven walks in
twenty three and the third innings. You're just gonna get
that with Christian Avier. Throughout his career as well, he's
given up north to three walks per nine nineties. But
he's done a good job of being able to induce
softer contact, even though the swinging miss stuff has not

(01:09:45):
been there. And you've got to watch it a national
team that they don't necessarily strike out a ton, but
they don't do the world's greatest job, but be able
to put his thing on the ball. I like what
I've seen on CJ. Abrams. He's made able to splay
six home runs as far as the season he's hitting
at three hundred. But some of these guys that were
so solid for them eight season ago ss I know
that keibert Ruiz has been sort of in and out
of the full but he Layne Thomas, You're able to

(01:10:05):
go down the list of guys currently at a two
twenty five or lower that's been less than tremendous. They
bring Joey Gallo and Curly is adding a buck forty three.
It's the old Joey Gallows special. He either gives you
a home run, a double, or he gives you a strikeout.
You don't get any singles out of him whatsoever, but
that's aid. Eddie Rossario has been a big giant turret
as well. Buck fifty four on base with one home run.
That has been a little bit less than tremendous. But

(01:10:26):
Jesse Winker providing north with four to fifty five on bees,
that's been solid. In the Washington Nationals bullpen, they've been okay,
they haven't been great, they have been terrible. Jordan Weems
is some lay like he's been able to supply a
sub to fifty era. You've been able to get some
good endings as well out of Hunter Harvey Finn again
is always a little bit of roll that ice in
the bullpen, but not too shabby. And for the Asters,
I do think that they are paying for losing some

(01:10:47):
of that depth that they've had in the bullpen. In
past year's guys like Ryan Stanek ectorn Airs weren't household names,
but they were able to do a nice job holding
down the four. Now you've got Josh Hater and Ryan Presley,
and both of these guys have really struggled to begin
the season. But backing them up are the likes of
guys like Taylor Scott Sean Dubin in company and they're
just not the same guys. But what I will say
for the what the Astros is that the lineup itself,

(01:11:08):
especially at the top, it has been very rocks Oid,
Jose l two Va, Kyle Tucker, Jordan Elvrez. All these
guys were able to apply five plus home runs. They
will give you North with a three seventy five on base,
So you've been able to get great production there. Alex
Bregman having an Alex Bregman start, He's got as many
home runs as myself. With Jeremy Penya thinking about a
three fifty five, it has been tremendous and really other
than Jose Bray, who has just been a big giant

(01:11:29):
waste of money for the Houston Astros. All these guys
were able to do a relatively solid job. I do
think that they're gonna be able to get to young
Mitchell Parker. He at the minor league level, wasn't great,
wasn't terrible, goes out in its first start, and he
was the first Washington Nashal to get a win in
his debut. And and this is the pitcher being credited
with win, not just the team one in generals, but

(01:11:50):
he actually got a win in regards to a decision,
said Steven Strasburg. So it had been quite a while.
He went out there, he threw a relatively solid game.
He's on this really some sort of a strikeout artist
or anything like that. Early on in his career. Last
season at the minor league, Leble was kidding about ten
strikeouts for nine ennings, but it's a little bit all
over the place. He was giving out about four and
a half flockx Bernina and inings. I do think that

(01:12:11):
having to go up against the Easton Astros after he
was able to tame the Dodders last time around, I
don't think that's going to be as successful for him.
So I do like the Astros on the run line
welling to lay up to about of minus one twenty
five there, and it's on my total at a nine
point four. So here at the nine, I'd like the
over to go along that run line nine twenty three,
nine twenty four on the bank board, he Cincinnai rids, yes,
we are into Cincinnati. They play outs. The La Angel says,

(01:12:31):
you've got Ose Sodiano on the bump for the Angels,
and Fananki Montas is on the bump for Cincinnati. Cincinnati
between minus one twenty eight to minus one thirty five
favorites between plus one fourteen plus one twenty one is
that number on the Angels sign and a half is
a total over and under both at minus one ten
and I set the Reds out of minus one fifty one.
I'm gonna be willing to roll with them on the
money line. Was a little bit of a perplexing decision

(01:12:53):
for the La Angels to side on Ose Soriano to
become a server for them. Really wasn't even giving them
a lot and starts when he was over at the
My league level. Now, coming off of a nice outing
last time out against the Tampa Bay Race, gives up
one run in five innings, but that came with five
walks as well, so I do have a little bit
of question mark there. For Soriano, this wing of his
stuff is very good throughout his career at the MLB level.

(01:13:15):
This is going back to last year seventy one punchouts
at fifty seven innings, but he's also giving up North
for five walks per nine innings, so you have to
wonder how long he's going to be able to go
in a game. And for the La Angels, they just
got a lot of old bullpen pieces in general that
I don't think are going to pan out. Like they're
looking to kick the Tigers right now on Carson Follmer,
ose c Serrao Hunter Strickland, Adam Simber. They might as

(01:13:36):
well open up the AAP cards for them. It's not
been great, to say the least, and more long cardlos
se Semis in the eighth and ninth ning are sold,
but getting the ball to them has a big giant
question mark. And the La Angels have a very very
top heavy lineup. You've got Taylor Ward and Mike Trout
who have been amazing. Trod has eight bombs, He's only
providing about a three thirty seven on base down for him,
but eight home runs. You'll take that all day long,

(01:13:58):
Taylor Ward, he's sitting by ninety six home runs. The
rest of the team, I believe, has a grand total
of seven home runs, and two of them are from
Logan to Hobby, who's been great. He's been able to
give you a three sixty two on base, But got
guys like air Nix, Mickey Moniac, Nate Chanal, Brandon Drury,
Zach Metto. All these guys two twenty five are lower,
and that's not great to say the least. So it's
been a lot OF's home runs for these gentlemen. Meanwhile,

(01:14:20):
for the Cincinnati writes Ellie David Cruz, it does look
like it's coming into his own. He's up to six
home runs. He's been making the root te play a
little bit more. We all know that he's able to
be amazing. Is he able to go out there be
consistent day in and day out. It looks like he's
starting to turn the corner for that three ninety five
on base, That is a big indicator for me on that.
Jake Frayley has been able to give you north of
four arm base. You've been able to get good production

(01:14:41):
as well as Spencer's here hitting above a three three bombs.
Now you've had a couple of struggling bets in their
lineup as well, Johnathanandie, Will Benson, Jami Or Kendelario, Christian
Incarnacio and Strand luing below at two twenty five, not
necessarily providing a ton of power, but certainly due like
Frankie Montas much more than I do like Jose Soriano
in this ordeal is I do think that Montas it's
just going to be able to end a little bit
more length. In general. For Montas coming off pretty much

(01:15:04):
not pitching last season and last few seasons in general,
it's been a little bit rough and he had to
just try to reinvent himself after leaving Oakland because Oakland
is such a good pitcher as ballpark. When you leave Oakland,
you really do take a little bit of a dive.
But right now, for Frankie Montas not honestly getting the
swings and misses that he did early on during his
career about some punchouts for nie and innings, but has
been able to mitigate things a little bit more. He

(01:15:25):
does have a fielding independent that is north of five
because his swinging miss stuff has been down and he
is still giving out quite a few walks. He's been
giving up about four point three walks per nine and
ennings as far this season, which is not ness the
ideal out there in Cincinnati, but he's actually had quite
a bit of success at home. It's been really his
road starts. More specifically that Seattle manners are where he
gave up five runs and went to two innings, and
which was the big issue for him. I do think

(01:15:46):
that he's going to be able to get back online.
I guess an Angels team that, yeah, you've got a
couple of nice star hitters, but at the same time,
the consistency just not there with his unit. So it
is a circumstance where I did something total in the
nine point three. I do think that with the just
top heaviness of both of these lineups, it is going
to cost for a little bit of an under even
if you do get few home runs. I think that
they're going to be able the solo variety. So looking
at the under end, I do like the reds on

(01:16:07):
the money line. Set them more round eight minus one
fifty one. Don't really want to go on the run
line here with them, as you do have a SINCEI
Reds bullpen has been halfway decent, not great, not terrible.
I like Alexis cs as a closer. Fernando Cruz has
been halfway decent as well. I remember two seasons ago
he had a sub one seventy five yarra coming out
of the bullpen. If you do take a look at
the bullpenny ara of de since A Reds as far,

(01:16:28):
it's been hovering right in the neighbor of about twentieth
as far, so not great, not terrible. Would rather stick
with the money line rather than the run line to
go long ten under nine twenty five. Nine twenty six
is going to be in conjecture with nine thirty one
nine thirty two. See Seattle Manners on the road facing
off against Sea Colrideer Rockies. Game number one is going
to feature Gallop Quatroll for the Rockies and George Kirby
on the bump for Seattle. Meanwhile, Rememberson Hancock is going

(01:16:50):
to be going in game number two for Seattle. Peter
Lambert goes for Colorado. So we'll stick with game one first.
This is the Herby versus Quantrill Game and totn's Games
ten and a half over an under, both of mine
as one ten between minus twenty five to minus one
to eighty two is that number on Seattle. Plus one
sixty to plus one seventy that number on the Coyrad Rockies.
And if you're looking to lay a run a half
with Seattle, you're gonna be laying between minus one twenty

(01:17:10):
to minus one twenty five. And it's a little bit
of an interesting circumstance. If we could just get up
about two more pennies at a plus one seventy two,
I would be willing to rock with the Rockies on
the money line, I was only willing to go up
to about a minus one fifteen in terms of laying
a run and a half with the Seattle Manners. So
right now we're waiting to see if we can get
those extra like two or so pennies. And hey, if
we do get to more around about a plus one

(01:17:32):
fifteen plus one twenty or so in getting a run
half with Colrad Rockies, that's something I'd be willing to
entertain as well. But right now most likely looking at
a Rockies run line play because for George Kirby. He
does an amazing job with this command. He's not gonna
walk anyone. But I don't think that that plays very
well on Couris Field, because Couris field is like playing
on the moon. And for George Kirby, he's been getting
a lit up quite a bit. He's got an era

(01:17:54):
that is north of six, despite the fact that he
hasn't sily given up a lot of hard contact. He's
only given up two on runs in twenty to third.
But because he's always in the zone, he's always giving
up contact. The ball is always in play, and that's
not necessarily the world's greatest thing. If you got the
same thing with Cal Quantrell. Though Cal Quantrill five p.
Fifteen seventy ear he is a textbook pitch contact guy.
He has been getting about four and a half strikeouts

(01:18:15):
for nine ennings. He's given up about three walks er
nine as well. But pint Sea starts giving up a
goodbye four runs in twelve innings against the Phillies in
the Ears in the Diamondbacks, but the Diamondbacks start coming
at home. That's actually not too bad. And he got
a Colrade rocky team that they always do a better
job of hitting at home rather than away from home.
You may recall last season they were everything about three
points six five runs per game away from home, or
like five point three five runs per game at home,

(01:18:36):
hitting about forty points higher as a collective when they
were at home. Now you do have a few guys
like Nolan Jones, Aliarius Monteto, you're able to throw in
there when he's out there, Chris Bryan as he's back
injured once again, Alan Treo, he's your guys sitting a
two twenty five or lower. But Ryan mcmannon is hitting
above a three hundred. Of lonth of last dias, you've
been able to get some relatively good production as well
of Ezekiel Tovard three plus home runs, he's been able

(01:18:57):
to give you about a three fifty on basin for Seattle.
They were able to have a nice outburs yesterday. But
the team just frankly, has not been able to hit.
They're in the bottom seven in the big leagues with
reguards to they're both batting average along with their overall
power numbers. You've had Josh Roassid well above three armed.
Mitch Haniger has done a nice job being able to
move the line along Ty France as well. These are
three guys are able to rely upon. But those were
the only three guys in the starting line up yesterday

(01:19:19):
that entered in the game. That we're hitting above about
a two twenty five, like, it's been really rough, Orio Polanco, Launch,
JP Crawford, Bitch Garford, they're all eing below a two hundred.
You've had Uljo Rodriguez start to move the line a
little bit more, but I haven't able to get any
power out of him whatsoever. Now, what I will say
for the Seattle Manners is that they've got a massive

(01:19:39):
advantage in the bullpen as well. You've got the likes
off A Trent Thornton, Taylor, Socado, Gabe Spier have all
been really nice reclamation projects. Bretty Geiss is a guy
that they're looking to remake, and I did think that
they're gonna be able to do that. And for the Rockies,
this is once again a bottom five bullpen out there
in the big League. So Victor Vodnik has actually been
very good for the scene. But if you've got the
legs of Justin Lawrence Tyler, Kim, Anthony Molina or providing

(01:20:02):
north of a five year a Jake Bird, He's not
necessarily a guy that a list is confidence. So in
terms of the money line, I did set this more
run a minus one seventy two, so if we could
get like two more pennies, would be willing to take
a shot on the Rockies on the money line. That's
right now what I'm targeting on this one, and I'm
gonna be taking a look at the over in this
spot as well. I did so my total at eleven
point four, and then in Hancock versus Peter Lambert nine
thirty one, nine thirty two on the card. Only Circa

(01:20:24):
has a number up for this one. Seattle's a minus
one forty three favor plus one thirty one is the
number on Colorado totals eleven over and under both of
minus one ten. If you're looking to lay a run half,
you're able to get a plus one o five. I
was willing to lay up to a minus one of five,
so I'll be taking a shot on Hancock. With Hancocky
is much like George Kirby, only without the swings and missus.
He's only been able to get about six punch outs

(01:20:44):
for nine innings throughout his career, but he only gives
up about two bucks per nine innings as well. And
I just have never been able to get with Peter Lambert.
He always tries to remake himself at the minor league
level line. He will give you like a false sense
of hope. He'll have like two really really good starts
for the Colrad and then he just lays a third.
I mean, it's just uncanny as of what happens with this.

(01:21:05):
As for Peter Lambert, he threw out his career just
as well north of a five RA and the guy
gets barreled up. I wish I could put it any
other way, But for Peter Lambert, throughout his career, he's
just never been able to put it together. He's been
pitching actually more in the bullpen thus far this season,
and it's not worked out bad for him. He's been
a little bit of a long guy. Eleven and two turns.
Enning says, only give it up one Omron. Perhaps this

(01:21:25):
is a little bit more of where he needs to
find his footing, because they gave him a few starts
a season ago five thirty six the Rara much of
the old, same old, same old for him. He was
giving up a right around about three bucks per nine
Ennis his strikeouts per nine rate that was below a
seven a half as well, so very much less than
savory on that front end, with him just not being
backed up by a great bullpen, with the Cowrad Rockies

(01:21:46):
having the offense that they do, I do think that
this is gonna be another high scoring affair. And this
is a case where I do think that both of
these bullpens are going to be very much all hands
on deck, to say the least. So it's a circumstance
where I did somebody toble eleven point seven year at
the eleven I like the over end with the Mariners,
would be willing to take that plus one or five
r online with Hancock, So looking at the Rockies at
a plus one seventy two or higher with Quantrell on

(01:22:06):
the money line in game one, I like both of
these games over but in Game two one to side
with the Mariners on the run line nine twenty seven,
nine to twenty eight on the bank board, the Toronto
Blue Jays a thread their facing up against he slam
Diego pottery says Joe Musgrove goes for the Patres and
Chris Bassett as he look line and secret for Toronto.
Toronto is a underdog plus one ten too plus one seventeen. Meanwhile,
if three minus one twenty three minus one thirty as

(01:22:28):
your number on San Diego agency total over his minds
one fifteen, the under is minus one of five. I'm
gonna be one to take a shot on the over.
I sell my total at eight point three. Chris Bassett
just not the same pitcher what he's away from home
rather than what he is at home. Ever since he
joined the Toronto Blue Jays, he has been very rock
solid when he's been in Toronto a sub two seventy
five era. His command is so much better when he's
at home as well. When he hits the road, he

(01:22:50):
just gets hit up so hard. He's got a MERA
that's nearly two points higher when he's away from home
rather than when he is at home. And and his
two starts away from home thus far this season nine
and third there's allowed nine runs, eight of which were earned.
So not so tremendous. That swing and miss stuff is
down when he's on the road. I don't know, it's
just literally everything for Chris bass that is worse for
him when he's away from home. It's almost undescribable even

(01:23:12):
a command so has been an issue. Meanwhile, for Joe Muskrof,
it has been a lesson savey start to the season.
For m three plus run surrendered and four of its
first five starts of the season is strikeout numbers are
down twenty punchouts in twenty four and to a third
endings the velocity. I haven't noticed a massive dip, but
it does feel like it's down just a touch. And
it's not like either of these guys are backed up

(01:23:33):
by bullpens have been lighting the world on fire. You've
got for the San Diego Potter, it's a few guys
like I like the fact that they bring in on
Ye de los Santos along with Wandi Perolta, but it
did not necessarily get the start that they were hoping
for yesterday out of Randy Masquez. So I mean, say
you've got a little bit of a tax bullpen, you're
probably gonna be looking at guys like Stephen Coliking Company
to try to hold down the fort. Meanwhile, for the
Toronto Blue Jays, say Bigga reinforcements back with Jordan Romano

(01:23:56):
along Derricks Wants in two very big bullpen pieces. They
were on the injured list to begin to see, and
they've come back. But where in the world is Tim Mazagan.
Last year he was tremendous with a buck fifty two era.
He's currently got one north of eight thus far this season.
Genesis Cabrera has been an issue for the Blue Jays
in general. They're a bottom sixteen in the Big leagues
with regards, they're a bullpenny or ay and for the
Blue Jays, they've been able to put back the ball

(01:24:17):
thus far in the series, which you do like to see.
But old in all, it's still very much a struggling
lineup to begin the season, as you still have George
Springer along with Aleander Kerr Kevin Kiermeier inting at two
twenty five or lower. Fliger Junior still providing about a
three sixty two on base, but he's had a tough
time with the guards this average as well. He and
bobach Schet have not necessarily been able to provide what
you're expecting them to. It's been all about Justin Turner.

(01:24:39):
Justin Turner providing north for four armbies pair of home
runs for him thus far the season. But for the
San Diego Patres. I do think that they're going to
find a way to be able to get to bass
head with them having both Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis
Junior still in the full Tatis Junior for postal runs
about a three seventy on base. Manny Pachado has been
able to be four times not a seating for the
world's greatest average about two fifty five, and Xander bow
Guards he had the leadoff spout. It's sitting below the

(01:25:01):
Medo's line of a two hundred, but Louise camp Busano
coming in at the catcher spot being able to give
you norther of two to fifty average has been baked.
Jackson Merrill has been able to hit above a three,
and Austin Kim has been struggling a little bit at
the plate, but he's good with the glove. He's still
giving you about a three forty on base. I do
think that the potteris are going to be able to
have Joe Muscove feel a little bit more at home
with him actually being at home, as a lot of
his struggles have come on the road in recent years

(01:25:23):
as well, so this is a circumstance where I do
like the Potteries on the money line and the Sordel
set them out of minus one fifty four and they
make my total at eight point three. I just want
absolutely no part of Chris pass out on the road.
So looking at the Potteries money line and taking a
look at this total over and we're things up with
nine twenty nine, nine thirty on the bank board. The
Walker Texas Rangers hit throw it face off against the
Atlanta Brays. Darius Vines is on the bump for Atlanta
and Michael Lorenzen goes for Texas. Texas is back to

(01:25:45):
being an underdog of between plus one thirty six to
plus one forty five. Meanwhile between minus one fifty one
minus one sixty two is your number on Atlanta, Dennis
a total, the under is minus one fifteen, the over
his minus one on five. I'm going to be taking
a look at the under I did some by total
at a nine point eight and with regards to the
atline of Braves made them a minus one forty two favorite.
Now that we're seeing a plus one forty five pop up,

(01:26:06):
I'm gonna be taking a look at Texas on the
money line now for Michael Lorenzen do have some trepidations
with him. He has not been a great swinging mess
guy ever since coming into a starter's role. Out of
the bullpenny was not great, but he was okay at
being able to get a few punch outs. But as
a started that's been a little bit of an issue
in the command. It's been getting better as he's been
it would go along as a starter. He had a
nice first start out there for the Texas Rangers. Comes

(01:26:29):
off the injur list and he is able to deliver
five scroll of settings. That was against the Detroit Tigers,
and I came with five walks, so I'll take that
with a little bit more of a grain of self.
But hey, he was able to keep them off the board,
so that's something that you do look for. And for
Darius Fine, small sample size for him as well, wasn't
necessarily the cleanest of performances, giving up four it's three
walks in less than five innings against the US and Astros,

(01:26:50):
but again gave up just one run. I do think
that both of these guys can give you five oky
innings and then turn it over to bullpen set for
the dline of Braves. They've got a little bit of
an edge here, but it's the case where I do
think that both of these at the end of the
day are going to be not great, not terrible. The
Braves entered into Saturday tenth of the league in terms
of bullpenning right Rangers more on twenty second, but Kirby
Yates along David Robertson coming in go down the four

(01:27:11):
is big for them. I like Jordan lace in that
bullpen as well in them. For the Braves, it's been
all about aj Minter having a nice season for this team. Now,
Tyler madzick him since coming out the injured list, just
as open himself. This is not the guy that we
saw a few seasons ago when the Braves were able
to win the World Series. But Rossi Iglesias is still nasty,
Joey Menis has been rock solid and by the Alanta
Braves currently they're in a bit of better form with

(01:27:32):
their offense, mainly because Marcel Azuna has been able to
supply eight home runs while hitting a three fifty. That'll help,
and then got Orlando Arcia Assi Alby sitting above a
three under as well. But on all you just have
one through nine all being very very solid. Jar Kelnick
has may able to give you North of A four
on base as well, but it does feel like Texas
is going to be able to come into their own
sooner rather than later. And keep in mind with Texas,
even thought they were such a good offensive season go,

(01:27:54):
they were like a bottom five team in the American
leag in terms of home runs per game. Away from
them now they were leading the American Leagant home runs
per game at home, but on the road they didn't
necessarily supply as much boom, but just had a lot
of guys in general that found a way to be
able to get on base. Much like as far this season,
you got Corey Seeger, A, Dolas Garcia, Marcus Simeon along
with Josh Smith will have all been able to at
least a two eighty for the seed Lea Dolas Garcia

(01:28:15):
is the lone guy that's been able to give you
North A three home runs. As far as the season,
You're gonna need to get a little bit more towards
a bottle. With fold Y at Langford three fifteen on
base just still has not been able to get that
first home run. Laoti Taveras Travis shan Kowski. I'm not
necessarily been able to provide a tom, but I do
think that's gonna come for them sooner rather than later on.
For Darius Fines, him being in prime time in Sundaynight
Baseball in this sort of spot, I do think that's

(01:28:35):
gonna get to him just a little bit. So I
did somebody toil of the nine to twenty. I do
think that both bullpens do just enough to be able
to keep this little under. So I do like the under,
but being able to get north with a plus one
forty three gonna be looking at the Rangers on the
Bunny line, and that'll wrap things up for the Sunday
edition of The Baseball Betting Show, now part of the
Visa Family podcast. If you do like Fearing from this
time podcast Baseball Betting Show, You're able to subscribe wherever
your podcast Apple Podcasts, Google Play, Spotify, Citter and tendent.

(01:28:58):
If you have a question, comments, think a good idea,
whatever you this podcast. You have fun of two ways
fol fire thought in first one is my Twitter slash
x timeline at gen and under forty one. Keep in mind, Lyricium,
they need this not matter so as per usual, Please
to send these into the timeline and the other ways.
Find an Apple podcast review. If you're read this podcast
five starts, it is very much appreciating them. From there,
you're able to fire and whatever you'd like. You're on
this podcast via that five star review and a big
thanks once again the Tanner Kurnel DraftKings for joining me

(01:29:20):
in the last segment. Coming at to you guys every
single day throughout the baseball season that needs them coming
at once, Get the Mark. Thanks so much forget again.
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