5/1/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:08):
Hey, w'erever for the o Ofcome with Love the Boss
Vegas for the Baseball Betting Shoe with myself, Greg Peterson,
now part of the Ason Family Podcasts. We've got an
excellent podcast for you as joining me in segment number two,
we are gonna be joined by one of our good friends,
Jared Smith. He does absolutely amazing work here at the network.
We're gonna be diving in with him to take a
look at what we've all got in terms of the

(00:29):
year feet and nerfy front in baseball. So I know
that he does a great job with that regard. We're
going to be taking a look at just what he's
noticed as far this season in baseball. So the team
say he's a little bit bullisheish Parashan and take a
look at a few games that we've got for Wednesday.
In the final segment, gonna get you guys picks in
analysis on every game on the betting board for this
Baseball Wednesday as we touch them all. If you do
have a question comment segment idea. What I have you

(00:50):
for this podcast. You have one of two bays feel
far those in first one is my twitter slash ex
s timeline at you and under forty one and keep
in mind learns them namy does not matter, so as
per usual, please you send these into the online. By
the way, is find an Apple podcast review if you
rate this podcast five starts and it's very much appreciated
them from there here able fire and whatever you'd like
here on this podcast by that five star review and
not getting any Twitter slash next questions today, But we

(01:12):
had a fun day of baseball on Tuesday. Let's take
a look back at it, try to find some trends
and try to get to know these scenes a little
bit better.

Speaker 3 (01:18):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about. Here is the
rowdy recap.

Speaker 2 (01:22):
It was b gate out there in Arizona. Unfortunately I
have to have this up by midnight Pacific. Right now,
the LA Dodgers are up by a count of two
to one, but absolute calamity for the Arizona Diamondbacks. They
decided to scratch Jordan Montgomery because he had about a
ninety minute delay due to bees. They had Ben Jarvis
be the bulk guy in this one. As they had

(01:43):
an open from Brandon Hughes. He gave you a squirrel
sending Jarvis take out three scrolls. From there, you have
seen Joe mantiply a lot Justin Martinez and a combined
two innings give up two runs. And for the Arizona
Diamondbacks they just have not been able to get anything
going whatsoever. His line and neck, he did not get
scratched due to the Bees. He gave up a solo
run over the course of the five innings. Grady for

(02:03):
Arizona Christian Walker sixth home run season. As I record this,
that's a low form of offense we've gotten, but not
something that you see very often. So I mean, shall
see what happens there. Like I said at the time
of recording, just don't know how that turned out, just
due to the game being delayed so far. But you
know this turned out the Milwaukee Brewers. They take it
to the Tampa Bay Rays a race scene. As I've

(02:23):
lost four other last five games, eight to two. The
final for the Brewers has Tyler Alexander not the start
he was looking for. It gives up three runs over
the course of four innings, but wasn't quite as bad
as our good friend, and Jacob Lopez gives up five
runs to three innings, including home runs, going deep for
the Brewers. William domins his fourth home run season. Brewers
have been one of your top over teams in all baseball.

(02:44):
By the way, as far as the season, the Brewers
have eighteen over so eleven hundreds that actually leads the
big leagues. Meanwhile, Freddy Peralta, he was pretty darn solid
in this one. Gives up two runs over the course
of five and a third inks, including home run to
Ose Siri Siri. How many home runs is that for him?
Two thus far the season and also did have been one.
Rodriguez lend a squirrel setting for the Rays and the
Brewers bullpen was pretty solid in this one. Out of

(03:04):
the Vispiuerrero, I wanted to have her Euribay goodbye for
two squirrel settings. Toby Milner gives you a pairabouts out
of the bullpen, and Thigo Vieira he was able to
give you a squirrel setting as well. Out in Detroit
we had a double dip and for Saint Louis they
get a win by account of two to one. Despite
the fact that Captain Jack Flaherty was absolutely dealing. He
was pulled after ninety three pitches with fourteen strikeouts. He

(03:25):
had given up two it's he legitimately had a shot
at twenty strikeouts in this game. They pull him, and
then from there Jason Fully Andrew Chafin, they both give
you a pairabouts out of the bullpen, scoreless, and then
Shelby Miller he gives up two runs in the ninth hetning.
While Riley Green was the loan form of offense for
the Detroit Tigers, he gets home run number six of
the campaign off of Kyle Gibson, who was very good
in this one. Seven innings the loss. This home run

(03:47):
Matthew Libertor Ryan Helsley. From there they both lend a
squirrel setting. And then in game number two, it was
an offensive explosion for the Detroit Tigers. Eleven is six.
They're able to get a ton against the Cardinals. Cardinals
put up a five spot in the fifth. Looked like
the Tigers were gonna yack away the first five, but
then they were able to get it all back because
they had a trio home runs in this one going
deep for Detroit. He had two home runs for home

(04:09):
runs number two and three of the campaign from when
sile Parez he was able to go deep off of
both Steven Matts along trying Fernandez, and then Giovanna Geagas
gives on up to Riley Green, his second of the
day in his seventh of the campaign. For Fernandez gives
up this home run and one and a third innings
a pair of runs given up in one and two
thirds innings over by Kyle Lachey, but certain and Steven

(04:29):
Matts he got destroyed in this one. Four runs are
undered in three and a third innings. From there, Giovanna
Geagos does not get it out of the bullpen. He
lost four runs off which werened before he had two squalls.
Settings turned by Nick Robertson and for the San Louis
Cardinals pair off home runs up their own as Tyler
Holten gives one up to Alec Pearlson it's second of
the campaign. Meanwhile, Brandon Donovan asserted the season that comes

(04:49):
off of one Matt Manning and not look like Peyton
in this one gives up four runs in four and
two thirds innings. Tyler Holten gives up his home run
in his ending of work. Alex Iido does allow a
run in two innings of work before Alex Lang gets
the final four outs of the game scoreless. As for
the sam Loss Cardinals, they've been one of your better
under teams as far this season. Then overs eighteen hunderds
and two pushes, but not as good as the Seattle Manners.

(05:12):
The Maritors are now having an under rate of north
of seventy five and a half percent three to two.
They pull it off against the Atlanta Braves. For the Braves,
they had a relatively solid startier from Rineldo Lopez. It
gives up three runs off the course of five ning
seed to allow a home run to Are Pelonco his
fourth home run campaign. From there, Jesse Chabaz two squirrel settings,
Aaron Bummer, not a bummer. He is able to supply

(05:33):
a squirrel setting. But for Seattle they have given up
I believe now seventeen earned runs in their flast seventeen
starts between their starters. Luis Castillo seven scoreless in this one.
Ryan Sandon does give up two runs in a third
of an ending, but Andre's Munios five out safe. He's
able to close the door and the Seattle Mariners are
all of a sudden seventeen and thirteen and the Cleveland Guardians.

(05:54):
They have been an interesting team all season long, and
they've been one of your better over teams this season.
They clawed their way back from it eight three to Ozer,
but they are n't able to pull it off in
the end the Astros, they've now won three straight ten
to nine. The Asters get it done. As for Carlos
Cookie Canrasco, it looks to be completely washed. Eight runs
surrendered in four endings, including a pair of home runs.
You had Jonathan Singleton get a second home run season. Meanwhile,

(06:15):
Alex Spragman gets his first sas Victor Karantini. He had
a walkout home run off of Hunter Gaddis, is second
of the campaign. For Gaddis gives up two runs, one
of which was earned in that tenth inning. But PA's Carrasco.
This bullpen was relatively solid for the Guardians. You had
Scott Barlows Tim Aaron both give you a pair of
outside the bullpen scoreless, Nick Sandlin five outs out of
the bullpen scoreless. Kate Smith Emmanuel Class eight both turn

(06:36):
a squirrel setting in for the Guardians. You were able
to get a eight trio home runs in this one.
You had Andre Semenez go deep off of Hunter Brown
his first home run season. Brown gives one up to
Josh Shaylor his selfth home run season, and Stevan Flourrell
off of Rafael Montedo is third run season as Monteto
was more like Monteto. Bowl gives up two runs, including
that home run in two thirds winning, and Hunter Brown

(06:57):
just continues to be a fade. He gives up six
runs five and a third innings from there, Brian Ray,
Ryan Presley, they both are in a squirrel of setting
and Josh Ader bitches the ninth and tenth inning along
an under and run along the way. The White Sox
have now covered five straight run lines, Ladies and gentlemen,
though they do lose once again to the Minnesota Twins
six to five the final in this one. As for
the Minnesota Twins, Simeon Woods Richards was not long for

(07:19):
this game. He gives up two runs, one of which
was earned in three and two thirds innings. Did have
Cody Funderberg give up two runs to two innings and
Cole Sands he Pounds Sayings says he gives up a
home run saloon run in a third of ending as
the White Sox at a bare of bombs in this one.
Ander Ben attende Off of Saints a certain home run season.
Daniel Mendick off of thunderberk his first, but Mike Soroka
not long for this game either. He allows two runs

(07:40):
in four and a third innings. From there, Tanner Banks
allows a run in two thirds of ninning. Jordan leisure
He leisurely gives up two runs in a third of ending.
The dominicque Leone Steven Wilson both provide a scoral of
setting and he had it out of the bullpen Squirrels
out of pre lander Baroa before you added. Michael Kopek
give up a run in his setting of work, so
he takes the l M for the Minuteseta Twins. You

(08:01):
were able to have you on Dodahan come back in
the fold. He was able to end a squirrel of
signing to get his first save of the season. Meanwhile,
you also had Jay Jackson and Cal Theobar combined for
two squirrels settings as the Twins six of thirteen with
men in scoring position to be able to get that
one done. Rangers have not been as great on offense
as far this season, as they wear a season go
They've actually been an half way decent team to the
under thus far, but they get some offense going against

(08:23):
the Washington Nationals seven to one. The final ast McKenzie
Gore allows two runs over the course of five innings
before the bullpen really had things go out of sorts.
Jacob bar and Jordan Weams both allow a run in
and ning of work to Hanna Rainey. He gives up
three runs at the n enning, including a home run
going deep for Texas. You had Laoti Tavaris go to
Pafa Rainy for his first arm run season. Then Weaves
allows a home run to Joe Speth in the second

(08:43):
arm round season. While John Gray was very solid only
three strikeouts but allows one run in eight innings before,
you had a squirrel of setting in the ninth inning
out of Cole Win to be able to salt that
one away. As Washington just not able to do anything
at the plate, and the New York Yankees, much as
the light of the DK hour right a pick not
able to do a lot at the play, the Baltimore
Orioles get the four to two win. Baltimore has been

(09:05):
one of your best over teams in all baseball this season,
but Dean Kramer held down the fort He gives up
two solo runs over the course of his seven innings
of work. Or A Selaria's eighth Holm run season. Austin
Wells his first in Finescer cortest He didn't pitch horribly
in this one, but he does a lot of four
runs at six innings, a lot of shall we say
selfly at balls that just found the right spot. Luke
Weaver from there two scorel of settings. But for Baltimore

(09:27):
they go four of ten with men in scoring position. Meanwhile,
the New York Yankees they went zero of one with
men in scoring position. That turned out to be a
big difference in this one. The Colorado Rocky's got up
five to zero in the Miami Marlins and managed to
lose by account of seven to six. For Colorado, Ryan Feldner,
with actually a relatively saw it certain this one, gives
up three runs over the course of eight innings. But
for the Miami Marlins, this team was down five to

(09:49):
zero going into the ninth inning. They tried to have
Ryan Feltner pull off the complete game. He gives it
up and then he had the bullpend from there not
do their job. Justin Lawrence two runs surrendered in a
third of inning. Jalen Beaks he gives up two runs,
one of which was earned in his enning of work,
and for the Corad Rockies, he had Elis Monteto get
his second home run season. That comes off of Siko Sanchez.

(10:11):
He's not looking great right now. Five runs are undered
in four innings. Bullpen from there did their part though
in the tenth editing ten of Scott Lowns an underd
and run in that ending of work. But you had
Bert Smith, Anthony Bender, Rasmo Ramirez all l the scirrel
Is setting in the Klon Cronin was able to give
you two score of settings as well. Mcansery Royals takety
to the Toronto Blue Jays by count of four to one.
As for Jose Badios, he gives up just two runs

(10:32):
over the course of seven innings. Pitch Well, he gave
up a home run along the way to Michael Massey,
his first home round of the season. But deserve much better.
But col Reagan's on the flip side, he was better.
Nine punchouts, six to two thirds innings, allowns just one run.
James mccarthur a score is signing to get the safe
John Treiber four outside the bullpen. Scurel is sign for
the Blue Jays. He just can't get out of their
own way on offense, and they have played nineteen unders

(10:53):
to twelve overs as far as the season. So has
been a little bit of rough sledding there for the
Blue Jays. Alside Erics wants to give up two runs
at two thirds finning before you had Genesis Cabrera give
you an ad out of the bullpen and Zach Pop.
He made things pop with a squirrel setting of his own.
The New York Metropolitans were able to take down the
Chicago Cubs. This by count of four to two is
for the Cubs. Not a lot doing at the plate.

(11:14):
You had a very nice performance here from Shamanea giving
up just one run over of course of five innings.
Sid walk forward so that I forced him out early.
But that said, you had Ode Lopez give up a
run in anning, but Ada Monavino, Red Garrett, Sean Rey
fully alsopply squirrel setting and DJ turn it up. Stewart
go z pof of Adbert Alsley his fourth home run
season as Avid Asade. Not a lot of length, but
relatively sawid performance, gives up one runing five innings, yanked

(11:37):
after seventy eight pitches. You have to question that as
adber Alsolay gives up three unearned runs hurt by bear
bears out there in the field, while Colton Brewer was
able to give you two squirrel settings. But the Mets,
they find a way to persevere, and they find a
way to be able to get the job done. As
says the Oak within A's back to back money line
winners for them as they take down the Pittsburgh Priors
by count of five to two, and with the A's

(11:58):
being fourteen and seventeen. If you've back come on the
money line in every game as far this season, you've
actually made yourself some nice coin as where the Buckos
Mitch Keller did not have it in this one. Three
runs surrendered in five innings, including a home run given
up to JJ Blaida his second on run campaign, and
then Blade goes zap off of Josh Fleming. First served.
Fleming gives up two runs over the course of two innings.
Police ortiz a scrol Is setting and loan form of

(12:19):
offense here for Pittsburgh was Connor Joe. In the first setting,
he was able to get a home run off of
Alex Wood, his served home runs season as Rolex Wood.
He gives up two runs over the course of four innings,
including that home run, but the bullpen at his back
Lucaser's edge Mason Miller, they both supply a squirrel of
setting and Mitch Spence three scrorel of settings to be
able to get the Ais to the window, and the
San Diego Patter's find their way to the window as well.

(12:41):
Six to four, they're able to take down the Cincinnati
Reds for the Red Legs, paeraform runs in this one
to a fair Child, his first time run. The campaign
off of Vana de la Santos del Santos also gives
one off Taj American Belario as sort of the season
as you Darvish first start back off the Angel List
goes just seventy pitches, but five scrolls from there, Audrey
and Moda hone a lot with dal Los Santos. Both

(13:01):
give up two runs while getting two outside of the bullpen.
For Dela Santos, he gives up a pair of home
runs along the way, but you came at two eight
five outside the bullpen squirrels. Robert Swariz tenth to save
of the season. He's able to spy a squirrel of setting,
as you know. For the Padres, Swarres with ten saves
and they've got fifteen wins, so it's been very good
on that front. And for the Padres, they win this
game despite going just two of sixteen with men and

(13:21):
scoring position at Snick Martinez, just a lot, a lot
of contact in general, five runs, three of which weren't
given up in five minutes, hurt by pair of airs,
including Luke Meley having a cutcher's interference. He had Buck
Farmer from there give up a run and an ending.
But at Samuel Amelia Pagan both supply eight squirrels setting
along the way as well, and he saw the Philadelphia
Phillies take advantage of the Mike troutless La Angels, and

(13:42):
the Angels are going to be without him for perhaps
the rest of the year. Seven to five. The final
not great for the Angels, so they still put up
five runs in this one. They still got a pair
of home runs. Zach netto Luis Rannifo both get their
second home run season for netto go zip off of
Spencer Turnbull gave up just two runs, one of which
was earned or the course of his five and a third,
and then Bope makes a mess of it. You and
your Marte of the Marte Parte gives up the other

(14:04):
home run three runs, two of which earned in two
thirds of an ning, but matter Ose Alvarado, Jeff Hoffman.
They put out the fire. They were able all wine.
To Scrorel setting in for the Philadelphia Phillies, he had
a tree of home runs. Joan Ross, who has known
a little bit more for his glove, he provides a
two out homer two put him up for good. It's
first of the campaign. Kylas Schwarber goes seepoff of Tyler
Anderson his eighth home run season, and Nick calcianis the

(14:26):
second old run season off of Carlos Sevens says. For
the La Angels, they went into the ninth inning with
a lead as Steves has been solid as a closer.
Three runs in two thirds of nighting allowed, including those
two home runs. Dylan Anderson gives up three runs in
six innings, including a bomb of his own. But Z
Carsi had Scrolls setting mat more two thirds of winning
scoreless along with a mere Garrett. Yes, that Amir Garrett
for the La Angels. So their misery just continues out

(14:50):
there in Los Angeles. And the misery for the San
Francisco Giants was real. Four to zero, they get shut
out by the Boston Red Sox, says Cooper. Chriswold was
very good for the Red Sox. Squirrel settings from there
you have Greg Reiser, Brandon Bernardino Peacefield together two squirrel settings,
Zach Kelly justin Slayton. They both supply a squirrel setting
as well. And for San Francisco, Loogan Web got touched

(15:10):
up early in this one three and two third settings
you lost nine nit's three walks, four runs, bothpen from there,
honestly wasn't bad landon rough two ending scoreless. You had
Sean Hedgeway give you four outside the bullpen scoreless, and
then Taylor Rodgers he's able to give you a scorel
of signing as well. So that's been a little bit
less than savory for them. But what is always savory
is taking a look at what we're getting trend wise

(15:31):
in Major League Baseball, and that's up right now. It's
been very much, a shall we say, underseason out there
in Major League Baseball's over the last seven days especially,
we've been seeing a lot of unders forty eight unders,
thirty nine overs, and a few pushes along the way.
And the underdogs, they have been a barkain favorites just
fifty one and forty one on the money line in
the last seven days, and you're looking at the season

(15:51):
overall favorite setting at just fifty seven point nine percent
of the money line, two fifty seven and one to
eighty seven. Meanwhile, if you're looking at the total front
two hundred and twenty five hundreds to two hundred and
five overs with the LA Dodgers game pending, so fifty
two point three percent of games right now trending under.
So that's what we're seeing baseball right now, and that's
what we all got on Tuesday. Now, let's take a
look at Wednesday and yes run no run for setting

(16:12):
props with our good friend Jared spent who does amazing
work here Vson. That's up next right here on the
Baseballbeting Show with myself Greg Peterson. Now, apart from the
Vson Family.

Speaker 1 (16:19):
Podcast breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball,
this is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host
Greg Peterson, remember Bank.

Speaker 2 (16:33):
You love you Las Vegas for the Beats Bubbeting Show
with myself Greg Peterson now part of the Vison Family podcast.
Always great to be drawn by this man as Jared Smith.
He does such excellent work here at the network. But
on top of that, I know that you're able to
catch him on Bally Sports. I know that he does
an amazing job when it comes to his work over
on Fox Sports Radio on the weekends as well. You're
able to find him a little bit of everywhere doing

(16:55):
your fee nerfee work, a little bit of general baseball.
He's been great on the NBA run in so much more,
and you're able to catch them on Twitter, slash xs
at Jared Lee Smith altogether and Jared. It's always a pleasure,
my friend.

Speaker 3 (17:06):
Thank you, Yeah, thanks for having me, Greg.

Speaker 2 (17:07):
Thank you for joining me, Jared and Jared. Now we
finally have about a month or so of data for
some of these things, a little bit more slash less
than thirty games and just some what you've unearthed and
what you've been able to nerd it aus far. What
have been some of the things that you have taken
a look at in terms of yes, run, no run
first ending market and what's been hot slash cold for you?

Speaker 4 (17:27):
Well, I think the new thing I've been betting this
first inning pitches, I think has been intriguing. I think
what I'm learning so far is right now, we're still
in that phase where the pitchers are a little bit
ahead of the hitters. Although the run scoring rate in
the first inning is starting to go up, still sitting
at about less than thirty percent right now.

Speaker 3 (17:45):
So actually it has spiked, I would say over the
last week or so.

Speaker 4 (17:48):
I think as these lineups continue to evolve, we're starting
to see, you know, even teams send down some of
their best players, like even Houston sent down Jose Brady.
So a lot of these lineups are still kind of
figuring out what the best system is, and the managers,
especially at the top, with some of these really.

Speaker 3 (18:04):
Good teams moving guys down who are struggling.

Speaker 4 (18:07):
For example, did we ever expect after the year Corbyn
Carroll had last year he'd be hitting eighth now for Arizona.
So again, these are just little tweaks that we don't
know going into the year how things are gonna start.
We expect Corbyn Carroll will be a top of the
lineup production guy, Jose Berry, former MVP top of the
lineup production guy. And now we've had a month to say,
all right, well that's not who they are anymore, and
now the teams have adjusted, we need to make our

(18:27):
adjustments accordingly.

Speaker 2 (18:29):
Absolutely, I need to think that it is so interesting
to just take a look at someby's in opt offense
is because typically they've been couple with teams that give
up a lot of runs in the first stting. Like
I know you've taken a look at the car Ride
or Rockies quite a bit, and how are you playing them?
Because this team has been getting bailed in the first
heating time and time again. But if you take the
no run first heating in a lot of those games,

(18:50):
we're gonna lose. Because the Fedricks staff gives up a
lot of runs in the first setting.

Speaker 4 (18:53):
It actually gives you a unique advantage, you know, BENMGM.

Speaker 3 (18:56):
I know a lot of other books do this.

Speaker 4 (18:58):
Where you can bet the endo visual teams yes or
no to score in the first inning. I think on
the no side it's more intriguing from a parlay a
couple of them together and create a custom nerfee. I've
seen some very sharp people that specialize in the first
inning market do that before. But the easier way to
play it is just to find the pitchers who stink

(19:18):
and to bet on those respective top or bottom of
the first inning runs to be scored. Usually you get
about plus one eighty for some of those games. Now,
obviously if it's a course field might be a little
bit lowered, not maybe plus one fifty, but you're always
getting significant plus money because it's basically just the derivative
of the nerfee, which is for the most part minus
one ten proposition. Most nights when the total sitting around nine.

Speaker 2 (19:40):
Yep. Absolutely, And I do think that that's such a
good way of being able to take a look at it,
because I don't think that books that have necessarily been
shall we say, able to catch up to how much
a team does slide shoes not score in the first inning.
They treat every single ending as the same, which, like
you were talking about that boiler total of about nine,
you pretty much are given the same odds to be

(20:01):
able to score in the first ending as the second ending,
as a third ending, and being able to take a
look at these plays, how much of advantage do you
think that it does give you because there are some
top lineups that I mean, all the runs come from
the top, and then there are some tops of the
lineup's like we're talking about right now with the Kyle
Ryan Rockies, where well they're not really a whole lot
better than Peter's seven through nine.

Speaker 3 (20:19):
I think the Yankees are the best example of that.

Speaker 4 (20:21):
You're seeing the game totals in Yankees games start to
suffer because of it, Like their lineup's not as deep
as it's been in prior years, but one through four
is about as good as it's gonna get.

Speaker 3 (20:32):
That's a tough thing to do. For a sports book.

Speaker 4 (20:35):
To be able to make a manual adjustment on that
is almost impossible. So what that tells me most nights
is the year feet for the Yankees is a pretty
decent bet. For example, tonight it came tow yards, the
total of the game was nine circa was dealing even
odds for the year feet. This is the Yankees and
the Orioles, I would argue, the two best top of

(20:55):
the lineups in baseball, and you're getting a coin flipped proposition.

Speaker 2 (20:58):
Now.

Speaker 3 (20:59):
Of course, the reason why the eurofee price was what
it was was because the game total was relatively low.

Speaker 4 (21:04):
It was like eight and a half kind of juice
to the over, nine juice to the under. But to me,
you look at a team like New York and Baltimore,
the bottom of those lineups is not the same. So
to price the yur fee kind of in line with
what the total is and just take a derivative of that, like,
that's not correct, Like you have to overcook the yur

(21:24):
fee because of just how much better the tops of
those lineups are. But again, that's something the sportsbooks don't
do because they just take the urfee price, they chop
it up in nine and it's a derivative of the
first inning. Maybe there's a little bit of an edge,
but I don't think as much is baked into that
as needs to be considering just how much better. I mean,
you go look at the bottom of the Yankees lineup,

(21:45):
it is basically triple A guys. So to me, I
think you look at the top and you've got to
really overbake that chip.

Speaker 2 (21:51):
Yeah, Austin Wells is not necessarily beginning.

Speaker 4 (21:54):
Cabrera and even Volpi the leadoff guys, not you know
a guy that's gonna hit three hundred this year.

Speaker 2 (21:59):
Yeah, and Tran Grusher. We had one really nice year
with the Milwaukee Birds, but ever since then not so
great that I will say one through nine of the
Baltimore Orioles has been quite impressive with Yes Cowser number nine,
guy like man. That is a team that does have
quite a bit of balance. And how about if we
do take a look at a little bit of the
American League? He says here it's meant to does great
workover here at Visa. Has you got to be right

(22:19):
here on the Baseball Betting Show because we do have
the series between the Yankees and the Ools. We are
on the topic. It's going to be a very big
game that we're going to be seeing on Wednesday as well.
With right now Corbyn burns a botto mindswum fifty five
favorite against Lee s Eel and the Yankees. But how
do you take a look at this division? Because right
now the Orioles and the Yankees clearly number one and
number two in a division that I see the Tampa

(22:39):
Bay really Rays really fall off the pace, and I
must say, I don't know if they're gonna have saying power,
but the Boston Red Sox have been impressing me a
little bit, especially if they're a eleven five record on
the road.

Speaker 3 (22:49):
The Rays are done.

Speaker 4 (22:50):
Once you get swept by the White Sox, that's it.
You can take it seriously as a team forever after that.
And I know the seasons really long. You're like, Jared,
what are you talking about? They've only played thirty games.
There is no coming back from getting swept by the
White Sox if you can't. And the reason I say
that is on the last day, if you know you're
going into the series about to get swept by the
White Sox and you don't say enough is enough, We're

(23:12):
not taking it anymore, and you don't put a pounding
on that team the third game, that shows me your
intestinal fortitude is weak.

Speaker 3 (23:18):
So Tampa Bay. I would bet every under on Tampa
Bay for the rest of the year.

Speaker 4 (23:22):
Obviously, this is a two team race, Like the Red
Sox are a nice story, but this is a two
team race. I do think the Oriels are better, and
the reason is because they can pitch.

Speaker 3 (23:29):
You know, last year they didn't have Corbyn Burns.

Speaker 4 (23:31):
Now, granted Corbyn Burns hasn't been lights out, but Corbyn
Burns is still Corbyn burns, and I think what it
does is it allows the rest of that rotation to
not feel the pressure of being the ace. Like let
Corbyn feel all that pressure, let him carry the load.
Guys like Kramer and Rodriguez and those guys like just
coast through the year, Irvin, like, just do your job,
eat up five six innings. The bullpen's good enough to

(23:53):
carry them, but really it's the offense it's gonna carry
them this year. I think that's why they're gonna win
one hundred games and they're gonna win that division. So
Baltimore to me is a team that I really no
holes right now. You know, I'd love to see Felix
Rodriguez come back. I mean that takes them.

Speaker 3 (24:06):
To a completely different level.

Speaker 4 (24:08):
But even if he doesn't, I still think Cano and
the rest of that bullpen can can figure out a
way to get enough innings because the rotation is much
deeper this year.

Speaker 2 (24:15):
Yeah, the rotation is much deeper. It looks like John
Means Kyle Brandis should be on their way back relatively
soon as well, and that's going to make a world
of difference for them, And no doubt that's going to
be a great race to be able to take a
look at. But just in terms of teams in general
that you've seen, we're about a month through the season. Now,
what about a few that have been surprises, whether that
be to the positive word than negative, and I think

(24:35):
I know a few teams of the negative. But want
to get your thoughts here, because I do think that
there have been quite a few pleasant and unpleasant surprises
as far the season.

Speaker 4 (24:43):
When you look at Saint Louis, I need more from
them their offense, especially like we can't have them as
one of the worst teams in baseball from a run
scoring perspective. I understand their rotation is not what it
used to be, but at the top of the lineup,
there was no issues to me with that lineup this year,
but they have haven't scored enough runs. They're starting to
pitch a little bit better, actually, so if Saint Louis

(25:04):
figures out their offense, I think that division is wide open.
I mean, let's be honest, the Cubs are not going
to run away with that thing. They've been fantastic get
home this year. But I do think Chicago is due
for a little bit of regression. They're already starting to
see the chinks in the armor. In Milwaukee. They got
lit up by the Yankees over the weekend, and I
think as they continue to stretch that rotation, the Brewers
are going to fall.

Speaker 3 (25:23):
The Reds are right there.

Speaker 4 (25:23):
I honestly think the Reds and the Cardinals still are
decent bets to win the Central if you can get
good prices. I have a little more faith in Saint
Louis than most, but Cincinnati, like going into San Diego,
in winning games, like like winning games and tough locations.
They're above five hundred on the road to start the year,
plus in the run scoring differential. So I think Cincinnati
is a team that really showed you last year how
explosive they can be now if they can do some

(25:45):
of the little things right. I think they've got enough talent.
I mean, because again that division, to me, five hundred
might win that division this year. So I think the
NL Central is going to be really interesting again down
the stretch.

Speaker 2 (25:54):
Yep. Absolutely, And I do think that this Milwaukee Brewers
lineup is doing for a little bit of regression as sure.
It's fed too. Does tremendous work over here at Vison
has showing me on the baseball but Ang's show. But
I mean that's a team I've had to adjust upon
a little bit. Again, I don't think that the Brewers
are going to be like some sort of top five
offense one unsall said and done this year. But I
thought these young guys were gonna stink on ice this year.
And it's very clear that the likes of Blake Perkins,

(26:16):
Bryce Terrain they have really taken some strides forward this season.
And how do you gauge a team like the Brewers.
Where we had high expectations for the pitching, we had
low expectations for the bats, and thus far the offense
has been a pleasant surprise because I think that I'm
in sort of a middle ground approach of not completely
just buying all in on them. But at the same time,
I think that it's fair to say we might have

(26:38):
underrated them coming into the season.

Speaker 3 (26:39):
Yeah, it's possible.

Speaker 4 (26:41):
Again, I let April kind of let sleeping dogs lie
a little bit. And it's actually ironic that today's the
last day of April. I saw Gil Alexander's got a
big ticket on the Cleveland Guardians that have the most wins.

Speaker 3 (26:50):
That's another team I would say that surprised me this month.

Speaker 4 (26:52):
The central divisions are like baked in mediocrity. So when
you have mediocre teams and one of them starts really hot,
it's like gravity, like you just expect it to.

Speaker 3 (27:02):
Come down at some point.

Speaker 4 (27:03):
So, while I am very impressed with what Milwaukee has done,
I would absolutely expect the regression to come at some point.

Speaker 3 (27:10):
We'll see what fangref says.

Speaker 4 (27:11):
Mid season, that's around the time when I look at
the win totals and say, Okay, this.

Speaker 3 (27:14):
Seem's really overachieved.

Speaker 2 (27:16):
Now.

Speaker 4 (27:16):
The second half is when things I think start to turn.

Speaker 3 (27:20):
But I'll be honest.

Speaker 4 (27:21):
I look at Milwaukee now after through the first thirty games,
and I look at them scoring one hundred and forty
two runs, and I'm just like, there's no way that
sustainable with the guys in that lineup. I look to
fade those teams if I can, But I'll be honest,
the full game stuff doesn't interest me as much anymore.

Speaker 2 (27:34):
Greg.

Speaker 3 (27:34):
I'm so invested in the first inning.

Speaker 4 (27:37):
It's hard sometimes to see the forest through the trees
when I'm trying to handicap full teams in full games
and full wins. But when I look at Milwaukee's lineup.
I rarely put them in the earfe category and that
tells me the top of the lineup's not very good.

Speaker 2 (27:47):
William Catrez has been really good. But to your point,
they're also dealing with that injury to Christian Yelich, and yeah,
you don't have Christian Yelich in the one through three spots.

Speaker 4 (27:56):
That does make things, as hostins your clean up guys
tough for me to get behind.

Speaker 2 (28:00):
Actually, you've been able to have a nice little resurgence
this year, but it's a little bit of an all
or nothing hitter as well, which I that's just the
Phillies model. One on one. You look at what Kyle
Scharber has been able to do this season. It's boom
runs and lots of strakeout so that always makes things
a lot of fun. And how about if we do
take a little bit of a look at Wednesday. Now
we are doing this without your feet nerfee prices as

(28:20):
of right now, but is there anything that you are
going to be eyeing for Wednesday, whether that be peras,
I bet that you're gonna be looking a place for
maybe there's just a team or a pitcher that you're
a little bit jury's out on and you want to
see a little bit more from them.

Speaker 4 (28:31):
This Atlanta Seattle series has been really good. Hancock and Sale.
That's a fun matchup tomorrow in the afternoon. The one
thing we like with day baseball, and I know you
love day baseball, Greg, but it always flips the card
for nerfees to me because especially like the San Diego
game that's gonna start at one ten local time in
San Diego, Like, what's the shadow situation going to be?

Speaker 2 (28:51):
Like?

Speaker 3 (28:51):
Anytime you're dealing with day games.

Speaker 4 (28:54):
In the West Coast especially, you always get weird shadows,
Phillies and angels. Same thing too. It's actually a decent
pitching as well. Sandoval hasn't been that great this year.
The nurfy in Seattle Atlanta has been profitable for me.

Speaker 3 (29:06):
This week.

Speaker 4 (29:06):
I think I'll probably take a good look at that
Ashcraft Musgrove in San Diego. That's kind of gas Can City.
That might be a yerofe game. And then our guy
Corbyn burns pitches for the Orils. I mean, listen the
way this game started for the Yankees and the way
last night went.

Speaker 3 (29:19):
I bet the year, Fie.

Speaker 4 (29:20):
I bet a lot of overs in the game, because
I'm like, the Yankees got shut. That's not gonna happen
two days in a row. Kramer looks fantastic and Sodas cortet.
So we're looking at an incredibly low scoring start to
this Yankees Orioles series after what two runs. So eventually
I think the offenses in that series will get going.
Maybe tomorrow you'll get a depressed total with Burns and
Hill on the mount. So maybe a Rofie in that

(29:40):
series on on getaway day might be makes sense.

Speaker 2 (29:43):
And how much you sort of play that zig zag
theory because I do look at that in terms of
Mets versus cub series as well. With the Mets for
last few days, they've went like one of one hundred
million billion with menon scoring position, and you know, look
at that situation. I know that the Mets are hot
and cold, but it's it's like, man, if you just
keep getting these opportunities, eventually they're gonna be able to cashit.

Speaker 4 (30:04):
Agreed, We're at that point now with baseball where if
there's something that is incredibly.

Speaker 3 (30:10):
Outlier to one side against.

Speaker 4 (30:13):
The grain, we're getting close to the point where you
should really start to consider the other side, like a
month of something really unique in baseball is a long time.
The zigzag theory I think for me works better with
Nerfy yurfies than it does with overall, because I just
think it's almost like a field like this isn't very scientific,
but it's almost like a feel thing. Like with Seattle
in Atlanta last night, you're thinking to yourself, well, wait

(30:35):
a minute, Atlanta's lineup is unbelievable. You really want to
lay thirty five cents on a nerfee with them? And yeah,
the feeling was new ballpark. I mean, how many times
does Ronald Acuna go to Seattle and play a baseball
game like it's your first time through a lineup in
a basically brand new ballpark and you're facing a pitcher
you've never really seen before in Bryce Miller. Like that

(30:57):
matters to me more than oh the brain lineups really good.
Kind of a feel thing in that regard. So you
just take it day by day and you just let
some of those situations come to you. But last night
in Atlanta was like the ideal, This is a perfect Nerfy.
Atlanta's a your fee team. I mean Riley and Kunya
and those guys at the Top. But last night they
were the perfect Nerfy team because of the situation.

Speaker 2 (31:19):
Yeah, they were pretty perfect. And what is always perfect
as well is getting you a board journey do such
amazing work here at Visin. I know you're doing a
great job with Live on Theline Fox Sports Radio and
so much more so love to get people to them. No,
it's all on top for you. And how people are
you able to fall on on social media to on
the platforms.

Speaker 4 (31:36):
Yeah, every Saturday morning Fox Sports Radio. It's an absolute blast.
I do that show with a couple of guys that
are just total degenerate when it comes to gambling and
then they know their stuff. And then Live on the
Line too, and doing a lot of work for them
this summer, and that'll continue actually in Chicago in a
couple of weeks in studio And you can watch that
show June eastern nine Pacific on your Ballet Sports or
your local stadium feeds.

Speaker 3 (31:57):
It's also on Yes Network.

Speaker 4 (31:58):
Any of you guys that are on the East coast
there City area, turn on Yes Network every day at
noon you'll see my shining face giving out bets.

Speaker 2 (32:04):
Absolutely get some good Chicago beer while you're out there
as well. Some Phase three, some revolution great breweries out there,
and it's always great to get something brewed up with
Jared Smith, as he does such great work here a
visa and he knows his stuff when it comes to
your fee nurfee when it comes to this great game
of baseball, and always great to be able to get
his insights. So thank thanks to Jared for joining me
on The Baseball Betting Show now part of the VSA

(32:25):
Family podcasts coming in next. It is that time of
the podcast they give you pick and analysis on every
game on the betting board for this Baseball Wednesday as
leave how come on.

Speaker 1 (32:36):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson cover bag.

Speaker 2 (32:45):
You'll let me Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Shoe
with myself Greg Peterson now part of the Vson Family
and podcasts. It is always great to be able to
get Jared Smith aboard. He does such great work here
at the network. He is our your fie nerfee expert.
On top of that, I know that he doesn't absolutely
excellent job. Just taking a look at semeta from markets,
everything from baseball, the NBA, I know that he is

(33:06):
very enveloped into what we're going to be getting on
the grid iron this year as well, so I always
appreciate your hopping a board big thanks him for joining me.
And last segment. Now it is that time the podcast
they give you picks and analysis every game on the
betting board for this Baseball Wednesday, as we touch them all.

Speaker 4 (33:20):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and a total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (33:26):
Do you note that, as per usual, any changes are
made to these plays will be listened up on my
Twitter slash xpeed at you. And forty one we're going
to be going in lost exsertation or this is where
we go with the National League games first, then the
American League games and any injured league games. Als are
going to be at the bottom. That'll keep things all nice, neat,
clean and easy. So without further ado, let's even on
this first game of nine oh one. I know two

(33:48):
on the betting board. You've got the Cincinnati Reds. Yes,
we are into Cincinnati. They're onto the road. They're facing
off against the San Diego Padre, says Joe, who must
grove goes for the Pods and gram Ashcraft goes for
the Reds. Reds find themselves between plus one twenty plus
one twenty two underdogs between minus one thirty to minus
one thirty two, seeing three minus one twenty eight as
your number on the pods, eight to eight and a

(34:08):
half is to total on the and a half hundreds
between minus one ten to a minus one twenty overs,
between even a minus one ten on the eight, the
overs minus one twenty and the unders even semi total
in any point two, and I'd rather have an eight
over rather than an eight and a half under. As
Joe musk Grove has just not been in great for
him thus far this season, I think that he's gonna
round in a form at some point. We saw him
get off to a rough star last season then be

(34:29):
able to pick it up. This one is lingering longer
than what we saw. He sees a go though. But
for Joe musk Grove, three plus runs surrendered in each
out of his last four starts. He gave up four
home runs and then started against the Philadelphia Phillies, and
he's got a six ninety four yar a with fielding
independent that quite frankly is right on par with that,
and he's six fifty nine and give those walks per
nine rate is three point three. It's actually much worse

(34:50):
than that because he's had six hit by pitches, which
that scored differently than walks. Back when I was a kid,
I used to score hit by pitches the same as walks.
I don't understand why baseball doesn't do that. That's a
discussion for another show on another day, though, But I
said it's been a lesson savey start to the season
for him, and then for Grame Ashcraft, He's actually looked
relatively good this far this season. He's got a four

(35:11):
to forty RA. He has given up the deep out
a little bit, but his strikecout numbers our way up
for a Graham Ashcraft for a few years in the league.
He's getting fier than some punchouts for and innings. He's
been able to give you more like eight strikeouts per
nine innings thus far this season. I do see a
little bit of wobbliness in his game, though his fielding
independence is pretty much on par with the four to
forty ERA. Has given up about a home run a
half per Dian innings. But I do think that the

(35:32):
patteris are going to be able to get online with
their bats. It's been a little bit up and down
for them over the first month plus of the season.
As Fernando Tatis Junior, he's been able to supply quite
a bit of boom. He's given you five plus home runs.
He's had a little bit of a tough time moving
the line recently. But Mani Machaut, who has been a
little bit in and out of the fold, he's been
able to come back. He had himself a nice day
yesterday with three plus rbi. And you've got guys that

(35:53):
in general, they're just finding way to be able to
get on base. Osea Zoo car Drixon, Profar Drake Cronaworth,
Will eastcap Yousano owing at least a two sixty five.
They do a solid job drawing walks. They're actually in
the top three in the big leagues with regards to
walk Strawn on a preight bat basis lane season with
having Jackson Merrill to a solid job on that front
as well, and for the since an he Rise, it's
just a really top heavy lineup. If you look at

(36:13):
the lineup that they tried it out there yesterday, they
only had three guys in the lineup that left the
game with a batting average above at two fifteen and
two guys with the batting average above a two thirty
La Daala Cruise, Spencer Steer with Daily Cruise. He has
been incredible this year. Eight plus home runs. He's been
able to give you three eighty five on base. Steer
has been a little bit hot and cold, but he's
able to give you about a three sixty five on
base And I do you recognize that they weren't playing

(36:35):
their eight plus lineup yesterday, but that said Santiago Spenals
Tour at Fairchild Jamiir Candelario, Will Benson, I think a
two fifteen or lower that's an issue. But with the rights,
why I do like about this seam. Their bullpen has
been pretty solid. Sam Moles now back the folds. He's
been able to do a nice job for Nando Cruz.
He two seasons ago at a sub two era. It's
looking like that guy once again this season. Brent Souter
had a little bit of off COVID in Texas, but on

(36:56):
all I like his game and for the San Diego Potters,
he made some nice os season and acquisitions bringing in
Wandy Peralta and Theodela Santos, Yuki Matsue. These all guys
are doing a solid job in the bullpen. Fed Roberts
wore As do a solid job as a closer as well.
He's actually looked better than Josh Ader this far this season,
But to have some question marks with regards to this
Rid's lineup though. I do think that Joel Musgrove, He's
going to be somewhere in the middle of what we've

(37:17):
seen here in the beginning part of the season and
vintage Joel Musgrove. I think that it improves, doesn't improve
all the way. And I do think that Graham Ashcraft
leaves himself a little bit vulnerable. And this is a
daytime game out there in San Diego, balliflies a little
bit better than during the night time. So here at
the eighth that I'm seeing, I'm going to be taking
a look at the over and for the Patres did
set them out of minus one forty eight, I'm going
to be taking them on the money line nine to three,
nine to four on the betting board. The colrad Rockies

(37:39):
that throw the facing up against Emai Me Marlins Roderdi
Munos is on the bump for the Marlins. The Code
Odson goes for the Rockies. These starters were not known
until after the game on Tuesday, So I'm doing this
as this game is off the board. But I've got
my handicap with the Marlins. I'm willing to lay up
to a minus one twenty eight with them, plus one
thirty or higher. Take it a look at the Rockies
and set a twelve an eight point one, so it

(37:59):
or less, I'd like the over eight and a half ryer.
I'm gonna be diving in on the under. You saw
a hair Brain game yesterday where the Colrad Rocky score
five runs in the first setting and then they make
like your buddy at the bar and they do not
close and they lose the game for the Colrad Rockies. Man,
you've got some gas cans in this bullpen. You use
up Justin Lawrence along Jalen Beeks yesterday and Beaks has
been a lot of Victor Vodnik like, two of the

(38:20):
only competent pitchers in this bullpen. Like. It has been
a complete disaster class for the seam. Anthony Molina has
been absolutely terrible. Tyler Kinley has given you absolutely nothing whatsoever.
Jake Byrd as a six era. So these guys have
been rough. And for the Miami Rowlands, they're in the
bomb five of the big leagues terms of Bullpenny Ray
yesterday and he use up quite a few arms after
they did not get the start that they were looking

(38:41):
for themselves. So that said, you've been able to have
a few guys step up for this team to clon Cronin.
Bert Smith are giving you a sub fort era. You've
been able to have Calvin Fouchet be a relatively nice
long guy. But again, you had to use up so
much of that bullpen yesterday after six of Sanchez only
one four innings that they're gonna be taxed as well.
But for the Miami Marlins, you do have Louis Yes
move the line. He's given you about a three fifty

(39:02):
on bas sitting about a three hunderd. You just don't
have a lot of power with the team. Jack Berger
being out due to injury has been really hurting them
and he just expected a lot more on some of
these guys like a Josh Bell, Emmanuel Rivera Christian Beth
and core Tim Anderson all inning a two thirty or lower.
In the case of Beth and Court, he's sitting at
zero thirty. Like I remember the Miami Merlins GM the
dude with the nerdy glasses talking about the track record

(39:24):
of success, like what are we doing here? And then
for the Corade Rockies, they must be run by the
same dude, because man, they have absolutely no power in
their lineup whatsoever. You've had a lot of struggles, so
you do have a few guys are able to move line.
Elisias Brenton, Doyle, Ryan McMahon. These are guys sitting north
of a two ninety. But as we know, the Rockies
typically they hit about forty points the lower away from

(39:45):
home rather than at home. With regards to their average,
You've had a lot of guys just not be able
to live up to their building as now. Brandon Rodgers,
who's given you about a two eighty five on base
all the areas, win Toto, he went Depsrea. He's sitting
around the same. But you've currently got Chris Bryant on
the injury LISTO wasn't doing anything to start with, and
for a Dairy Munos and his first start he was
able to be able to fill a few innings, he's

(40:06):
got a three sixty e arra after it. It's not
overly terrible. I think that he's got a little bit
of upside for the Miami Marlins in comparison to a
lot of these guys, like I mean when they were
starting A J. Puckows is complete at art of calamity.
I think the Munnos has a little bit more upside there.
When he was in the minor leagues for the Braves
and the Washington Nationals last year to post up north
of a five yara, but he was able at the

(40:26):
very least give you a few strikeouts. Now, I will
say in the minor leagues of the season, he's giving
out eight walks per nine innings, so that as you concerned.
But to go to Hudson, I mean last year he
had like five strikeouts of four walks per nine innings
as well. He does nothing but try to induce ground balls,
and it's just a crying shame there. So you've got
two offenses at stink. You've got two starting pitchers. I
have absolutely no confidence and whatsoever. They're both not necessarily

(40:48):
the world's greatest at being able to conserve pitches. So
it's an addressing spot plus one thirty or higher. I'm
gonna be looking at the Rockies minus one twenty eight
or less. We're gonna have the fish and then an
eight or less have like the over eight half or
I we're gonna be diving in on the under. Now
we have by DK network right to pick nine to five,
nine to six on the bank board the chicag Cubs
and throw the phrasing up against the New York Mets.
Oh Ze butto is on the bump for the Mets
showta Imanaga is on the bump for the Cubs, and

(41:10):
the Cubs to find themselves ending between minus one sixteen
and minus one twenty five favorites and between plus one
oh five to plus one ten. It's a number on
the Mets. Seven is the total. The over is between
minus one twenty two and minus one twenty five, understanding
between even at plus one oh five and starting to
see some sevens pop up with more around even money
juice on the over, and my right up is going
to be on the over. Whether you've got a seven

(41:30):
or a seven and a half. I do think that
you're going to be able to get some runs in
this one, as it's a New York Mets team that
they're right around lag average with the guards of runs
per game, but they're a top ten team with of
the guards to the deep ball. Fully recognize that City
Field is very much a pitcher's park, and show down Imanaga.
And you want to talk about a guy that has
announced himself in his first five career starts at the
big league bubble, he's given up just three runs and

(41:52):
three walks in twenty seven and a third incs and
will say he has given up two on runs in
that time span as well. And he's not gone up
against the world's greatest competition though when those is against
the LA Dodgers. He also went up against the Boston
Red Sox also got the colrad Or Rock. He's at
home as well, so it's been a little bit up
and down, but oh no, he has been absolutely amazing. Meanwhile,
for oj Buto, there are signs of regression here with him.

(42:14):
He's got a two eighty six CRA but fielding impendent
is a little bit north of four. It's given up
his two him runs in twenty two innings, but I'm
concerned about the twelve walks in his twenty two innings.
Last two starts, he's had a combined eight walks over
the course of ten innings and has given up six
runs in those two starts. So that is something that
just jump out to me a little bit. Now he
goes up against the Chicago Cubs lineup that is fully

(42:35):
not at one hundred percent. You've got si A suzukiv On,
Cody Bellinger currently deal with injuries on the injured list.
But I do like the way that some of these
young guys have been able to step up for the Cubs.
As You've got a young upside guy named Pete crow Armstrong.
I think that he's like twenty two or twenty three
years old. He's been able to deliver some good at bets.
Miguel Amaia at the catcher spot was relatively saw it
last year as he Nick Madrigal along with Ian half

(42:56):
Christopher Morrell. He's have been guys that have really struggled
thus far this season. I think that they're going to
be able to rye use up Michael Bush. He had
that streak of five home runs in five games about
a week and a half ago. So there's some clearly
some top of the bad and going into yesterday, the
Cubs were a top eight team in the big leagues
with regards runs per game, averaging about five point one
runs per contests. And for the Mets, they've been able
to really right the ship in terms of offense. If

(43:17):
you look at the Baseball Savant numbers, they've been one
of the most unlucky teams with reguards. They're batting average
all season long, as got Pete a. Lonzo's being able
toply eight home runs giving you about a three to
twenty five on base, Brandon Nimmos only hitting a two
h eight, he Francisco Lindor both hitting below a two
ten a lone. DJ Stewart got to expect these guys
to be all pick it up, but he's still been
able to give you about a three to sixty on base.
And then got guys like Jeff McNeil, Brett Bettie, Harrison

(43:40):
bad Or. These are guys there are anting above a
two forty five finding way to be able to move
the line. Now, for the e Mets bullpen has went
much better this year than it was a season ago.
Last year, they were about twenty second in the big
leagues in terms of Bullpenny area Edwin. He has blew
a game a little bit earlier in this series, but
there's no question he's been able to help out this
bullpen so much. But now brooks Wayley being out the fold,
that does affect you a lotle bit shaman and didn't

(44:01):
necessarily give you a lot of length that they're going
to be dealing with a few more tired arms. You've
got Jake Dakman, You've got Rie Garrett who's able to
do a solid job. But if Bo rags up a
lot of walks early, they don't have a lot of arms.
Cbo bank on him for this Cubs bullpen, they have
not been tremendous as well. You've got the Cubs bullpen
that entered into the night on Tuesday about twenty second
in the Big leagues with regards to era. Now, Mark

(44:21):
Laer Junior has been tremendous, but they sell one er
and they did have to use up Edward also lay yesterday.
He's been a little bit touch and go, got a
long guy. And Daniel Palencia has not necessarily been the
world's greatest. You've got Luke Little has really been regressing
as well, so that's a bit of an issue, and
I just am going to be fading showed to at
Imanaga a little bit as well, because I think has
more and more tape gets out on him. I do

(44:42):
think that teams are going to be picking up his sendencies.
I think that part of the reason why he's been
so successful here to start out the years that he
comes over from the d pone Baseball League, got there
in Japan where nobody was able to see him. Now
that they're getting more looks at him, I think that
the runs are going to start to come in by
DK network right to pick is going to be on
the over. And I also did up the Mets as
a minus one well favorite, So getting a plus number
on the Mets gonna be backing them on the line,

(45:03):
am I right up? That is going to be on
this total over nine to seven, nine to eight on
the bank board the Ears and the Diamondbacks. But you'll
see La Dodgers, Yoshinobo Janmoto is on the bump for
the Dodgers. Zach Allen is gonna be going for the
years in the Diamondbacks. Diamondbacks are between a plus one
fifteen to a plus one twenty underdog minus one twenty
five to mince one thirty is your number on the
LA Dodgers n F is a total the overs between
mins one fifteen dow and mice one twenty underds between

(45:25):
even a minus one of five. I will say one
note before I go any further. With Jordan Montgomery getting
scratched on Tuesday, there's a possibility might be going here.
I'd probably set the Diamondbacks about ten to fifteen cents lower.
If it is Jordan Montgomery, that's a little bit of
a wait and see. I would need to see him
actually got the start there, But I said, I do
want to throw that in there before I go any further.

(45:47):
But this is a circumstance where I'm gonna be looking
at the under I it's on my total at an
eight point four. Zach Gallen is the guy that you
want to back at home. You don't want to back
him on the road. For Zach Gallen, since the beginning
of the twenty and twenty three campaign, he's giving up
a lot and a half home run per nine innings.
Is Era's a sub two seventy five. He's able to
give you north of nine strikecouts for nine innings on
the road is er very nearly double, so it is

(46:08):
very big that this start is out there in Arizona.
And for Yamamoto, he's coming off of a really nice
start against you Washington Nationals, and really, aside from that
random start that he had out there in South Korea,
he's been able to do a relatively solid job. If
you take that one on the fold, this guy's been
able to do a nice job. With six earned runs
allowed in his last five stars, he's really not walking guys.
Five walks alloted in the time span and strikeouts per

(46:30):
ninery he is north of eleven. So both of these starters,
and if you get Jordan Montgomery as well, yeah, as well,
these guys have been able to do a rock solid job.
Now I've gotten as on the nam thebacks lineup that's
in the top five of the big leagues with the
guards runs per game. And this despite the fact that
Corbyn Carrol has given you a big, giant nothing Berger
this season, it's been all about Katel, Marte Bordis, scurry Out,
Christian Walker all being able to supply five home runs.

(46:50):
All three of these guys have done a solid job.
We'll be able to above a two sixty with Marty
along Christian Walker. Both of these guys have been able
to fly an Abbates psidest north of a three to sixty. Meanwhile,
for the LEDI, this team has been able to do
a very massiful job of going out there and being
able to produce runs. Now, I will say this about
the ELI Dodgers. You do have a couple guys like
Chris Taylor, James Outman, Kevin Looks at the bottom of

(47:10):
the fold that have not hit but one through six
for this team has been just so amazing. And you've
got a little bit of a young guy in mister
Andy Pages who has been looking relatively good as well.
But I mean Freddy Freeman, Joio Tani, Mookie Bets, Will
Smith all entered into yesterday with at least a four
hundred on base. Otani and Bets have been able to
sply the boom with six plus home runs a piece.
You've been able to have to ask Arnandez to night

(47:30):
job beating north of a two sixty. He's been able
to fly six plus home runs as well. But both
of these teams are league average is slightly below average
in terms of their bullpen. For the Dodgers, I believe
that they entered into yesterday thirt teams in the league
in terms of openning. Right, Evan Phillips has been incredible
for this team. That said, Joe Kelly has not been
so incredible. And then you've got a lot of guys
like Gus Farlin, Alex Vesia that they're not terrible, but

(47:52):
they're really not guys that you want to be trusting
too much in and for the years in the time,
but back they decided to throw a bullpen game yesterday
instead of starting Jordan Montgomery. That really does diminish a
bullpen that has now beeniof A injuries to Luis free Us,
they are currently without Miguel the Castro as well, so
that's a little bit of an issue they have been.
Jarvis has a little bit more of a bull guy.
It was someone I like Joe Mantapli has honestly been

(48:14):
too amazing for this bullpen. It's gotta go, man. It
has been rough. Andrew sel Frank last year with solid
he's off to a rough start this season, but like
Ryan Thompson, what he's able to bring to the table,
So it does make it a little bit of an
interesting circumstance, because I do think that the Diamondbacks are
going to be able to do an okay job. I'll
be able to get to y Yamamoto. But that said,
I would need at least a plus one seventeen to
take sean the Diamondbacks. Right now, I'm seeing a straight

(48:35):
plus one twenty out there. That'll be my bypoint there
and here at an eight and a half semittal at
eight point four. I also like this total under nine
to nine nine ten on the banking board. The Chicago
White Sox playoffs, the Minnesota Twins. Bailey ober goes for
the Twins, and Chris Flexen is on the bump for
the White Sox. The White Sox, all right, pretty size wonderdog.
If any, we're teen plus one sixty two to a
plus one seventy five. Meanwhile, and we're between minus one

(48:56):
ninety minus one ninety eight. That's your number on Minnesota
eight and a half ce total overs between minus one
twenty two mins one twenty five the undreds between even
and plus one oh five. If you're looking to lay
a run half with even as of Twins, you're gonna
be laying minus one twenty on that juice. And that's
what I'm gonna be looking at with the twins of
one to lay up to a minus one twenty eight
there Now for the White Sox, they've actually covered the
run line in each other their last five games. Part

(49:17):
of that is just because of Tampa Bay Rays this year.
They just don't have it. In my opinion, that's something
that I've been trying to account for. And for Bailey
over he had that one just ghastly start against the
cant Silly Royals. He gives up eight runs, he doesn't
even get eight outs. Past said, he's actually been really good.
You take that out of the fold, and he's got
a sub to Era has really been able to get
a rocking and rolling recently with two earned runs of
fierce render and each out his last four starts does

(49:40):
a relatively said job of not giving up a lot
of walks. His walks rate is about two and a
half walks for nine n's well think about nine strikecous
for nine innings. The biggest thing that has hurt him
as a deep bine gets to go up against the
Chicago White Sox lineup that is currently dead last in
the Big leagues in terms of home runs now, I
will say this for the Chicago White Sox, you're at
the very least seeing a pulse out of this offense.
They have now been able to generate at least three
runs at six out of their last seven games, quite

(50:01):
a few of those coming against these very Minnesota Twins. Says,
you've all of a sudden been able to get Tommy
fam going. He's sitting about three fifty and he's become
their best hitter. That's far. Daniel Mendeck has been able
to move the line as well. He still do have
guys though, like Andrew Vaughan, Robbie Grossman, Nikki Lopez, Martine Maldonado.
These are guys who are just absolutely terri about to play.
Gavin Chets has ben relative he saw he's been able

(50:23):
to sply three plus home runs. He's given you about
a three seventy five on base. But for the Twins,
this has been a top ten team in the big
leagues with regards to being able to supply home runs.
They could really really use Royce Less in the fold
ride about now. But Edward Julienne, he's been able to
give you seven home runs. He's starting to get his
on base up to about a three thirty Byron Bucks
and has been able in for a little bit of average,
but Iann he just has not been able to give

(50:44):
you any sort of power whatsoever. Then you've got the
likes of Max Coupler, Carlos Carreo comes back to the
fold out scirloff take at least a two to fifty
e line with Willy Castro and Correo coming back is
big because prior to him going down with an injury,
he was starting to look a little bit more like
the Carlos Kreovold after wonder what you're gonna be able
to get moving forward out of him. But also for
the Minnesota Twins, they just have such a big a
leg up in terms of this bullpen. For the Chicago

(51:05):
White Sox, you've had Jordan Leisure honestly be halfway decent
out there in the bullpen, and they're about twentieth in
the league terms of bullpenny Aray, I just don't really
have a lot of faith in guys like Michael Kopek
and company say they had to use up a lot
of bullpen pieces with Mike Siroca unable to go five
full innings. So this is a very text bullpen as well. Meanwhile,
for the Minnesota Twins, you've been able to have guys
to like Brox Stewart, Cody Funderberg come in be able

(51:27):
to give you a sub three e are the Twins
are number three in terms of bullpenny aray. Even with
you on dad on currently being on the fold, you
get back kil theobark is going to take him a
little bit of time to be able to get his
bearings about him. But I do think that Bally Obert
going to be able to go out there. It's going
to be relatively dominant. And for the Chicago White Sox,
Chris Flexen is just a big giant fee. He's got
a five to eleven era's fielding independent. He's even worse
than that. He's given up four runs a twenty four

(51:48):
and a third innings. It's strike gods per nine rate
is less than six. His walks per nine rate is
right around about three and a half to four. There's
really nothing to like about Chris Flexen, and I do
think that the Twins are able to get to him.
I'm gonna be able to be under just because I
think that the White Sox gonna have a tough time
catching up to Bailey over. So somebody told at some
point seven, I like the under, and I think that
the White Sox run line streak ends I'm gonna be

(52:10):
one to lay a run half with the Twins. Go
long the under nine eleven, nine to twelve on the
Betty Bard the Toronto Blue Jays playoffs the k and
City Royals. That's Lugo goes for the Royals and Chris
Passat as you aline and sinker for Toronto Toronto between
a minus one twenty five minus one thirty five favorite
and between plus one fourteen h plus twenty eighteen as
your number one Kanas City and after the total under
spines one fifteen the over spines one five in for

(52:30):
the Jas one way up to a minus one thirty
with them. It was very encouraging to see Seff Lugo
in his last start be able to get you some
nice strikeouts, says, first few starts of the year, he
was pitching to a lot of contact, and I don't
think it's the worst thing in the world, and said,
if you're getting like five strikeouts for nine Nunnings prior
to that start, like you it's getting that's a little
bit of a concern, and he's still only at about
five point four strikeouts per nine nings. That said, he's

(52:52):
been able to do a lot of soft contact, only
giving up about two walks for nine nineties. But it's
concerning when you see a Bucks sixty sixty RA and
a three forty two fielding to pay. Meanwhile, for Chris Bassett,
he just has been a completely different pitcher when he
has been in Toronto rather than when he has been
pretty much anywhere else as in Toronto ever since he
got to the Blue Jays, his ERA is about two
full points lower when he's at home rather than away

(53:14):
for a moment. And this is including his time with
like the New York Mets, what have you. But if
you just look at his entire career, when he has
pitched out there in Toronto, it's just vastly different than
when he pitches anywhere else. In Toronto, he has been
able to give you an er that is hovering right
around about at three thirty three. He gives you about
nine punchouts for nine and he said does a nice
job keeping the ball in the yard. Throughout his career
in the Rogers Center, he's only been given up about

(53:36):
one home run for nine nings. That's the north one
a half home runs for nine innings when he hits
the road, So that's very, very big in the spot.
And I do think that the Toronto Blue Jays, who
have a bullpen nights in the bottom half of the
Big leagues, that's going to improve. You get back Eric Swanson,
you also get Jordan Romando back, who began the season
on the injured list. Now you still have a few
guys are a little bit less than trustworthy out there
in this bullpen at stive Mesa was so good for

(53:57):
the seam last year. He's posting up a north of
five VRA and when he comes to KANSAEE Royals, I
do think that we're going to see a little bit
of regression with his bullpen as well. Currently they're number
nine in the Big Leagues terms of bullpenning ran and
I really like Matt Seller. He's been able to do
a nice job for this team. But that said, they've
got Jordan Lyles currently on the full, which I don't
know if anythink is the world's worst thing. But that said,
when you've got the likes of Chris Trent and Will Smith,

(54:18):
Nick Anderson, these are veterans that you really don't want
any part of it, especially Will Smith, like man that's
just absolutely rough to say the least says it's been.
John Driver's really stepped up in this bullpen, but they've
had to use him up quite a bit. And for
the Royals, this is a different offense one they're on
the road rather than at home. They're aftering more than
a full run less when they're away from home rather
than when they are at home. But you've got a
lot of guys applying the boot. Me if you have

(54:39):
your top five players with regards to total at bats
at least four home runs as far this season. Now
in the case of Vinie pas Cantino, Mikuel Garcia throwing
there as well Mt. Melendez, they're providing a three eleven
on base or worse than all three guys a two
thirty one banning average words. But Salvador Pariz, Bobby with Junior,
both of these guys hey north of three fifteen. In
the case of Paris, he's been able to give you
seven home runs. Need a little bit more from the

(54:59):
likes of Frasier Hunter Renfro in company. But Royals have
been able to piece meal together a nice offense, and
that's much more of the body could say for the
Toronto Blue Jays. For the Blue Jays, I feel like
there's gonna be some positivity coming in for them, but
I've been saying that for weeks and there really hasn't
been a lot of it. George Bringer, Laiger Junior, or
Boba Shed along with Cavam Biggio. I mean, all these

(55:20):
guys are earning a two thirty or lower in the
case of Lager Or Junior, George Bringer, Boba Shed, all
with three home runs or less. It's Justin Turner and
Dovan Varshow that really is playing the boom. Varshow has
been able to give you six home runs three twenty
five on base just a Turner down for what four
bombs at a three seventy six on base Like these
you guys have been impressive and everyone else has been
just a big giant turn at the plate. And then

(55:40):
for the Kansas City Royals, I do think that you're
going to have Steth Lugo give up a little bit
more contact in general, and I do think that there's
a positivity coming for both of these lineups. So it's
an interesting spot to be in. I did some of
my total at an eight point six. Seeing what we've
got right now on turnsvent e, and if I'm gonna
be looking at the overs, I do think that Lugo
just gives up a little bit too much contact, and
I do think the best set gonna do a little
bit of a better job at home. So you're at

(56:02):
a minus one twenty five or so, I'm going to
be looking at that Blue Jay's money line and going
to be taking a look at this eight and a
half over at thirteen nine fourteen on the banking board.
The Baltimore Oriols play us in New York. Yankee says,
you've got Luis Eel on the bump for the Yankees
and Corbin Burns on the bump for Baltimore. Baltimore is
a minus one fifty four to a minus one sixty
two favorite and three plus one thirty six oh plus
one forty five is your number on the Yankees. Eight

(56:23):
and a half is a turtle over and under anywhere
tween minus one five to a minus one fifteen. And
for the Yankees, I needed at least a plus one
fifty six to be able to take a shot on them.
If you're looking to layer run half in this radio,
you're getting a plus one thirty five right now. With
the Baltimoreols need at least a plus one thirty. So
I'm actually going to be one to lay the run
half with Baltimore. I recognize it's a little bit of
a roll the ice with the way that the Yankees

(56:45):
have been a top eight team. With the guards Seria
Bullpenny or a I and Amilton and Ron Maninaccio being
back after they were so good last season, it's solid.
And then Victor grounds Aalz. They picked him up from
the La Dodgers. He's to be able to do a
nice job holding down the four for the seam as
well and for the Baltimoreos. It's a little bit more
of a role than I when it comes to this
bullpen is now they've got out of the full Craig Kimber,
which that's not gonna make a whole lot of a

(57:05):
lot of people cry, as I know that he's been
dealing with a little bit of an injury. But that' said,
I like you your Cano, Mike Bauman, Andy Kaboom. These
are guys that we're able to come out there they're
able to give you some relatively solid endings. Obama has
been a little bit touch and go as far this season.
But for Baltimore, they got a nice start out of
Dean Kramer, so they've got a relatively rested bullpen and
they're not going to need too much of it in
my opinion. With the way that Corbyn Burns has been

(57:26):
rolling this far the season two fifty five, y has
given up the five home runs at thirty five and
a third innings. That's really the boone knocks I have
on him right now. He's giving up only about two
point one two point two walks ns, He's getting nine
stricouts for nine. Ennings has a lot of three earned
runs or fewer in every one of his starts as
far as the season. And to look on the flip
side for louisse El, I mean the kaya is really
good swinging miss stuff and just really good stuff in general.

(57:49):
That's said, this guy just really needs to be able
to find the strike zone as he's rick the wild
thing Vne two point zero six point nine walks for
nine and Ennings thirteen strikeouts for nine nings four and
a three eighty one field Da've been and he's honestly
gone the results that he deserves. Says he doesn't give
up a lot of contact in general. He just lots
a whole bunch of guys, and that means that the

(58:09):
Yankees bullpen is going to be getting a little bit
tax in. For the Yankees, we've seen some regression after
they scored those thirty runs on Saturday and Sunday against
the Milwaukee Birds, and it is a little bit of
a top heavy lineup. You've got one Soto, it's been amazing.
Go Z up again yesterday. He's belting north of a
four to twenty five on base and it doesn't seem
like Aaron Judge is starting to get a little bit
more online. It's still been a relatively rough season for him,

(58:31):
But in the case of Aaron Judge, a rough season
is being able to play six home runs in north
of three twenty five on base. Anthony Rizzo has come back.
He John Carlo is standing both with five plus home runs.
In the case of sand he's been a little bit
out or nothing, while Rizzo has been able to give
you more round a two to sixty average, but on
the fold awesome wells. Though he went dep yesterday has
been a little bit rough, and Ose Travino has actually
been solid at the catcher spot. But it just doesn't

(58:53):
compare to what you're able to get one through nine
with the Baltimore Oils, where they just literally do not
have a single easy out in the lineup. Among the
guys that have seen at least fifty at pats as
far this season, every one of them has belt at
at least four home runs as far as the season.
That's eight guys in total, and all but two of
these guys are hitting at least a two to ninety.

(59:14):
Like good grief, these guys have absolutely been lighting the
world on fire. You've got Gunnar andersonho is leaning the
way with ten home runs. Everyone else has six home
runs or fewer. But I just one through nine with
this team, everyone is supplying it. You've got so much
depth that they're able to platune for righties versus leftiest
as well. And I do think that with Luis el
he'll probably do a nice job of holding down the
fourth for a few innings, but again that pitchcown gets

(59:37):
jacked up and then from there the Orioles should be
able to take hold on this bullpen. So circumstance where
I'm going to be one to lay the run half
with the Orioles, I was willing to take anything of
a plus one thirty or higher, and I did tell
my tone at eight point three. I do think that
the Yankees scratch across a few runs, but I think
the Corbinger Burns continues to be consistent. Like I said
with the Luis Eal, even though I don't think the
he lends length, I think he's going to be effective.
So I do like this eight and a half under,

(59:57):
and I do like the Orioles on the run mine
laying a run half nine fifteen, nine to sixteen on
the bank board. Houston Astros playoffs to the Cleveland Guardians.
Tristan McKenzie is on the bump for Cleveland, Justin Berlander
goes for Houston. Houston is between minus one sixty five
minus one seventy five. Meanwhile, and three plus one forty
three to plus one fifty five is your number one
Cleveland in apenzee total under his minus one fifteen andy

(01:00:18):
over his minus one o five as willing to take
a plus one thirty seven or higher. On the Cleveland
Guardians Astro is very nearly blew a five run lead yesterday,
and this Asters bullpen is very concerning. They're in the
bottom ten the big leagues in terms of their bullpenny array.
Guardians meanwhile, they're a top three team in the big
leagues in terms of their bullpenny aarray. It really just
sellesn't compare it.

Speaker 3 (01:00:35):
Now.

Speaker 2 (01:00:35):
We'll say that both of these bullpens got quite tax yesterday.
Yesterday goes to extra ending. Except for Tristan McKenzie. It's
been a lesson save a year for him, but does
feel like he's starting to get back to the Tristan
McKenzie that we all know him love. Three earned runs
surrendered or fewer in three out of his last four starts.
He began the year relatively rough, but keep in mind
during the twenty twenty two campaign, the last year he
was fully healthy. He just had a loss here last

(01:00:57):
year fluting up a sub three Arra was giving out
about nine strikeouts two point two walks per nine and Ennings,
so I do like what he was able to bring
to the table there For Cleveland, they had to throw
so many of their bullpen pieces, but really everyone other
than Kate Smith threw less than fourteen pitches yesterday. That
includes your closer in emanual class A. That includes Tim Herron,
who's got to sellbody here, right, so they should be
all get to go there. And for the Easton Asters,

(01:01:19):
they suck a lot of chips in the basket of
Josh Ader and Ryan Presley and Hater. I had to
throw multiple innings yesterday, so he's going to be out
fold And honestly, the world's worst thing is both of
these guys have north of a sixty r A that's
far this season that has been relatively rough. You've honestly
been able to get some relatively solid innings out of
a few unsung heroes for the team, Sean Duban and
someone that I really don't trust him, but Seth Martinez,
Taylor Scott, He's guys been halfway okay. And for Houston,

(01:01:42):
what I really love for this team is the three
main masters, yard On Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, Ozeal Tuove. They
have all been able to give you at least seven
home runs as far this season. Out of these three guys,
all but one of them and mister Jordon Alvarez given
you a north of for four on our mase. All
three guys hitting at least two sixty and Jeremy Pina
he's hitting a three twenty five. He really had a
nice resurgence this season. One through a nine stays Ose Ray,

(01:02:03):
who we're not going to be seeing him anytime soon.
They've all been able to do a nice job but
be able to match. And you've now got Alex Bragman,
who finally got his first home run of the season yesterday.
And for Cleveland, even though they are not necessarily a team,
has completely ripping the cover off the ball. They're much
better than they were a season ago with reguards their
power numbers when they were dead last in the league.
And you've got so many guys like Andre Samenez, Josh Naylor,

(01:02:25):
Stephen Kwan who are supplying a batting arage of at
least three eighty. Naylor has been your main power source
seven runs as far as the season. I know, Say
Ramirez he's allergic to walks, but sitting north of two
fifties being able to do a nice job ripping five
plus bombs for this team. I do think that for
a Houston, they're going to be up against it a
little bit with a guy in j Justin Verlandrew and
his versus starts. He's looked relatively solid, but the fielding

(01:02:46):
independent is more than a point and a half higher
than his era. He's got a sub to era more
on about a three thirty five field independent, And with
the way that Tristan McKenzie has looked much better recently,
still does need to cut down on the walk seventeen
walks in twenty two innings as far this season has
looked a little bit better here recently a combined five
walks in his last two starts. I do think that
the Cleveland Guardians do line quite a bit of solid value.

(01:03:07):
So circumstance we're at a plus one thirty seven or higher.
I'm gonna be looking at the Guardian's money line and
it's on my total at any point eight. I think
that McKenzie is still gonna give up some runs. Like
I said, two very tire bullpens in this one, So
to like the over, and I do like the money
line of Cleveland. Mine's fifteen nine eighteen on the bank board.
The Tampa bay Rays that throw their facey up against
the Milwaukee Burs. Colin Ray says him Pepper Ray to
another start in Zach Eflin hopes to not b flanofa

(01:03:29):
for the Rays. Raysar between minus one fifteen minus one
twenty five favorites between plus one oh five plus one
O eight is your number on the brew Crew. Eight
two eight and a half is the total on the
E and f unders minus one twenty the overs even
on the eight over his minus one fifteen and the
under his minus twenty five. I said the Brewers out
of minus one twenty four, I'm gonna be one to
back them on the money line. The Rays, we're able
to take game number one of the series sakes to

(01:03:50):
scoring one stinking run on Monday. But I mean, that's
just the issue that you've got with the Tampa Bay Rays.
This team is not hitting right now, with Randy Arose
Arena two twenty on base buck forty three batting average
and Andy Diaz Alon of those days Siri both atting
a two to ninety or worse with regards that they're
on base percentge. Guys are honestly able to move the
line outside of that. I'm Ed Rosario, Richie Palasio, Seasak Parades,

(01:04:13):
Ben roach Fit. These are all guys hitting at least
a two ninety but the power numbers just are not
there for this team like they were a season on.
Harold Ramirez has taken a few steps back. Meanwhile, for
the Burs, I do anticipate some regression. The baseball savant
numbers really do back that up. But the young guys
have done a nice job finding way to be able
to get on basis. Got Bryce Terang, Blake Perkins, Joey
Ortiz allowing at least a two to six in the

(01:04:35):
case four ties, about a three eighty five on base
sal Friedlich has done a solid job and be able
to move the line, and I love William Catrev's five
plus home runs four hundred plus on base percentage. You've
had Reese Hoskins be able to give you some nice power,
though he's a little bit of an all or nothing
hitter at this point. And William Thomas has been able
to move the line as well. For the burst, they're
eer to get heightened with that series against the New
York Yankees. But for my money, this is still top

(01:04:56):
five bullpen in the big leagues. You've got Hobie Millner, Elvis,
Pierre Ocho, Piums, all these guys that's supplied to some
thirty five yarra last season. Brian Hudson has been very
good in this bullpen for the Tampa Bay Rays. All
of a sudden they find themselves in the bottoming in
the big leagues in terms of their bullpenny aarra. Pete
Fairbanks currently out of the fold for the team, and
he was really bad when he was actually out there.
You've got Jason Adam along with Garrett Clevengero Bensal, but

(01:05:18):
now you've got Colin Pouchet who's out on the fold.
Phil Meyton has been posting up north of a five yarra.
So you've got a lot of issues with the team.
And for Colin Ray after he last year was a
little bit less than savory. And I will say this
for Colin Ray since he joined the Milwaukee Burds, a
era is about point six points higher when he's at
home rather than away from home. He's looked much better
this season, about a three twenty five yarra. He has

(01:05:40):
given up five home runs in twenty seventy two thirds innings.
His fielding independent does not back up the cra. He's
only getting about seven stakeouts. Berni and Ennings given up
about three Walks, Berni in Ings, but I've liked what
I've seen there, And for zach Eflin, you know that
the command is going to be there. Since joining the
Tampa Bay Race, he's been given up yer than two Walks,
Berni and Ennings. But that said, for zach Eflin, he
has given up five home runs at thirty five and
a third nings in so you can miss off is down.

(01:06:02):
He's only getting about seven a half to eight straightcounts for
nine ennings as far this season, coming off of an
atrocious start against the Chicago White Sacks. And I do
think that the Brewers are gonna be able to catch
up to them, and I think that both of these
guys gonna give up some runs. So I did something
till at eight point seventy here out an eight twenty
eight and a half, I'm gonna be looking at the
over end with the brus I'm gonna be willing to
take them as a plus money underdog. I set up
as he favored of minus one twenty four nine nineteen

(01:06:23):
nine to twenty on the bank board. The sain Lots
Cardinals that throw the facing off against the Detroit Tigers
get to Mata goes for the Tigers in Miles Michaelas
is on the bump for Saint Louis. Saint Louis is
a even money to minus one ten, very slight underdog
and between minus one oh eight two a minus one fifteen.
Seeing is good as a minus one of five. That's
your number one Detroit. Eight and a half is the
total over and under any between minus one five to

(01:06:45):
a minus one fifteen. And with the Tigers, I did
set them out of minus one thirty two. I'm gonna
be one to back them. Get to Mintas had a
really rough start to the season north of a sixty RA,
north of a six field independent the seven home runs
that he has surrendered and is the most out there
in the big leagues by got Miles Michaelis who hasn't
looked a whole lot better. If you look at Miles
michael it's over the last few seasons the fielding independent

(01:07:05):
in the case that he's been getting a little bit unlucky.
Five ninety one e RA fielding independent that's about a
point lower, but it's given up six home runs and
thirty two innings. He does a good job not giving
out a lot of walks. Only about two walks for
nine and Ennings, but he just gets absolutely tattooed, and
he's backed up by a Saint Louis Cardinals unit that
they did have to dive very deep into that bullpen
in game number two with Steven Matz not given the

(01:07:26):
performance that they were looking for. Now, we'll say this
about both of these teams. They're both in the top
ten in the big leagues. With the Guards, they are
a bullpenny array. Georgio Romero has really been able to
pick it up a lot with Matthew Liberator helped things
out for the Cardinals, says, you know that your main
man is going to be Ryan Ellesley, all start closer
from two seasons ago. Ryan Fernandez has been solid in
a long role, but he got used up quite a
bit yesterday as well. But for the Detroit Tigers, what

(01:07:47):
I like about this bullpen, the reason why I favor
them a little bit more than the Cardinals bullpen, is
that it's just so well rounded. With this Tigers bullpen,
you don't really have anyone other than Tyler Holton who's
been posting up in the ray that's north of and
Will vest is the only other guy that has an
ERA that's really above three to one five. Like all
these guys, Alex Faido, Jason Foley, Alex Laying, Joey Wentz,

(01:08:09):
they've all done a nice job being able to hold
down the fourth and for the Detroit Tigers, the offensive
numbers are a little bit less than savory. They're in
the bottom half of the Big leagues in terms of
home runs, runs per game, what have you. But that said,
the team has so been able to give you at
least four runs in ten of their last fourteen games.
Ridley Green along with Marcana, yes, they can of give
you some power. Combined twelve home runs between the two

(01:08:29):
of them, both supplying north of eighty three eighty five
on base. Spencer Turklsen has been miserable. Is you have
to get a home run this season? He's been a
little bit out of the fold last few days. Parker
Meadowsabi baias Cole Keith, Jason Rodgers laying below two hundred
has been rough for the scene. But when jee or
Shall has gotten that pass, he's been able to do
a nice job. Putting back to ball and being on
the injur list has been hurting the Detroit Tigers team

(01:08:49):
a little bit, but Bonduey to persevere yesterday. Meanwhile, for
the San Loos Cardinals, this has been one of the
more miserable teams in terms of being able to put
back to ball themselves. Wilson Terras right now lean the
way Alondo Gorman with four home runs, But for Nolan Gorman,
Lars new Bart, Jordan Walker, Victor Scott, these guys sitting
below a two twenty five has been rough. They're kicking

(01:09:10):
the tires on Brandon Crawford and in small sample size,
not a lot doing there. And for Nolan Ernado, while
he's hitting about it, chief seventy five just went home
run this far the season. On Paul Goldsman, he's starting
to pick it up a little bit, but they're eight
twenty five on base, two home runs. You just see
more of these guys, and I do think the Kenabaa
is gonna be able to keep it rolling against a
Saint Louis Cardinals seem that just in general stop doing

(01:09:30):
a great job being able to generate offense. But both
of these starters have been rough this year as well.
I do think that both of these starters let ups
and runs and these tire bullpens they do get texts
a little bit more in this game as well. Did
somebody told them any point eight. So I'm looking at
the over end with the Detroit Tiger's going to be
taking them on the money line. Made them a minus
one thirty two favorite nine twenty one, nine twenty two
on the bank board. The Oakland A's playoffs to the
Pittsburgh prior it says Quinton Pryce. He goes for the

(01:09:52):
buckos and Ross Stripling is on the bump for Oakland.
Oakland is a very slight underdog any between even money
to plus one oh five. Meanwhile, in between minus one
eleven minus one twenty is your number. On Pittsburgh. It
is all the unders minus one fifteen, the overs minus
one on five, and I set the Oakland A's out
of minus one thirty four. I'm gonna be one to
back them on the money line. For Quinn Prister, I

(01:10:13):
just have not been able to get behind him at all.
He's a three point fifty ERA with a fielding independent
north of five. He has given up so many deep
balls since he's gotten called up to the big leagues.
This six sends into his stint during the twenty and
twenty three campaign as well, giving up north of one
point seven home runs for nine ninety So good news
is he gets to play out there in Oakland. Bad
news is it's not during the night time, but rather

(01:10:35):
during the daytime where it's a little bit more friendly
to hitters. He also gets to go up against an
Oakland a team that quite frankly, just has not been
able to put back to ball thus far this season,
though they were able to put up a five spot
yesterday for Oakland, this team is in the bottom five
of the big leagues in terms of runs per game.
They've honestly been a halfway decent home run team, though
JJ Blaide goes see twice yesterday. You've got Jay Leglairas

(01:10:55):
who's been able to do a really nice shob but
be able to sply the deep ball. He's been able
to give you six some runs. But that said, you
take a look at the guys that were in the
lineup yesterday. You got one guy for the oak and
As that left the game with two to fifty batting average,
and that'd be Tyler Nevin. So that's a little bit
of an issue for the team. As you've got guys
like Nick Allen, Lawrence Butler, Seth Brown, Brent Rooker, therowing

(01:11:16):
their Ryan Noda, all these guys inning a two to
ten or lower. But it's not like the Pittsburgh Priors
are doing a great job with their lineup. You've got
a trio guys Cabrian, Age, Connor, Joe, Brian Reynolds who've
been able to give you Lisa a three fifty on
base and for Joe, he did make things go yesterday
with his third home run in the campaign. But for
the Pittsburgh Priors, they're in the bottom ten the big
leagues with the guards to their home run power as well.

(01:11:37):
Brian Reynolds is the only guy with north of three
home runs thus far the season. O'nel Cruz has not
been able to reach base, about a two ninety one
base out of him. Jack Swiniski Andrew McCutcheon Rowdy tells,
these guys that you thought were gonna be stabilizing forces,
they're all eating below the nose line two hundred as well.
And for the Pittsburgh Priors, what's really been shocking is
how bad their bullpen has been going into the year.
I thought that this was gonna be one of their strength,

(01:11:58):
David Bennar rolled as Chefman both north of a five era,
Ryan Brooki being out of the fold this earth them.
Colin Olderman has legitimately been their best reliever with a
sub to era and for the Oakland A's this team
is in the top ten in the big leagues with
reguards to their Bullpenny Aria, the likes of Danie Meenez,
Thousin Adams, Lucas Hersage. I've been able to give you
some three era so feel like Mason Miller should be
a starter, but he's been tremendous in the ninth inning

(01:12:18):
as well. And then for Ross rippling out about it.
Not a guy that's gonna go out there and it's
going to give you a whole bunch of swings and
missus or anything like that. But his ballpark very much
to some very well, as he has a bit more
of a pitch of contact guy. It's given up toreal
runs in thirty four and a third innings. He's got
a four ninety eighty RA. But if you look at
the fielding of Pennant far better than that. So on
getting about six point six strike cuts Berni and innings.

(01:12:39):
But I do think that he's going to be able
to go out there, hold down the ford and find
a way to be able to get the Oakland a's
a victory in this one. I did set the ace
at of minus one thirty four, gonna be one and
take the plus number on the money line. Did something
I toil at eighty point four, just not I expectations
for price here along with this rough bullpen. And this
is a day game out there in Oakland. So ball's
gonna travel a little bit better. So I like the
over end the money line of Oakland nine twenty three,

(01:12:59):
nine twenty four, and the Benning board the Inlanta Braves,
they thread their facing off against the Seattle Manners as
Emerson Mcock is gonna be going for Seattle. Chris Sales
on the bump for Atlanta. Alana is a favorite of
any between minus one and sixty five dough minus one
seventy five between plus one and forty five. Two plus
one fifty five is your number on Seattle. Seven a
half is a total over an under any vertween minus
one five dough minus one fifteen was well, and take

(01:13:20):
a plus one forty eight or higher on Seattle. So
gonna be one to back them. This Seattle Mariners team
has just been absolutely awesome in terms of their pitching
thus far this season. They entered into yesterday with their
starting pitching I believe, giving up something like seventeen runs
in their last sixteen stars. Like I mean, this team
has just went into inferno mode with that regard, and
for the Inlanta Braves, this is the top offense in

(01:13:42):
the big leagues at the very least it was entering
into the series and first two games of the series
they've been held down. Now do I think that they're
gonna bust out a little bit more? Yes, You've got
the likes of Michael Harris, Jared Kelnick Aussi Alby's of
Marcela Zuna owning above a three hond with Ozuna being
able to supply nine zero runs, but he's really the
one guy on the ross with five plus home runs
as far as the season and line has actually been

(01:14:02):
a little bit down with reguards to de ball. Meanwhile,
for the Seattle Mariners, you've got a few albatross's like
Mitch Garver, Ode Polanco, Dylan Moore, Luke Rayley, guys hitting
a two twenty year lower in the case for Rayley,
he's sitting it to eighteen, but at two thirty two
on base, Matt said, you've got plenty of guys like
Ujo Rodriguez who have been able to find a way
to be able to get on base. Mitch Nager, he
had that nice Grand Slam against the Ears and the

(01:14:23):
Diamondbacks has been a little bit of rough going for him,
but have cow Rawley has been able to give you
seven on runs as well, and Josh Ross four on
one base with a little bit of power. That's been tremendous,
but not as tremendous as this Mariner's bullpen. They are
currently number one in the big leagues with regards to
Bullpenny ray It's not even like it's a whole bunch
of big names or anything like that. Like Tyson Miller,
Gabe Speier. They able to throw on their Cody Bolton,

(01:14:44):
Trent Thornton, these were complete cast offset. They've just made
in a really good bullpen pieces. And for Empison Hancock,
he's really starting to find himself. He had a little
bit of a rough start to begin the season, giving
up and combined eleven runs at his first two starts.
In his last three, though against the Rockies on on
the road, the Diamondbacks, and the Chica Cups. He's given
up a combined five runs, four of which earned in

(01:15:05):
these starts. He does a nice job with regards to
his command. Just like all these Seattle Manners pitchers. He's
giving up fewer than two and a half balks er
nin and Ennings, So you missed stuff just has not
quite been there. But he's still give it up, given
the team four plus strikeouts in each out of his
last four starts as well, going against someone in Chris Sale,
who has always been a nice strikeout artist in his
own right for his career. Well in north of ten
punchouts for Ni and Ennings. But that said, Chris Sale,

(01:15:26):
when he misses his spot, he can get it relatively hard.
In an Atlanta Brais uniform. He's been able to do
a little bit of better job of this they did
eight seas ago with the Boston Red Sox. That said,
he's so been giving up a little bit north of
a home run ber nine and Ennings. You've got an
Inlana Braise Bullpen as well, that has been a little
bit shaky to give up the game on Monday. You've
had a Tyler Mansik not come back from injury very well.

(01:15:46):
Now we'll say you've got like of Joey Mennez Rossi
Iglesias along with Dylan Lee that have supply as up
three era but for sale. Four um runs given up
in thirty two and two thirds ings still getting a
little bit north of nine strikecouts for nine ennings and
to his credit, seven walks have given up in thirty
one to two thirds ends three sixty nine. The era
field independent is much better than that. So I do
think that both of these pitchers gonna be able to

(01:16:08):
do a relatively solid job. But I do think that
we're going to see a little bit of an eruption
year from the n line of Braids lineup. I don't
think that they're going to be held down forever, and
I do think that there's a little bit of regression
with Seattle. But I also think that the Seattle Bats
are going to be able to bust out a little
bit as well. They've been one of the more unlucky
teams on balls in play. So did sell my Totle
at an eight point four. I'm gonna be looking at
the over and with Seattle, won't think this north of
plus one fifty money line price nine twenty five, nine

(01:16:29):
twenty six on the bank board the Philadelphia Phillies that
they're at the facing off against the La Angels. Patrick
Sandival goes for the Halos and Zach Wheeland and Dland
Wheelers on the bump for the Phillies. Phillies to find
themselves any between minus one sixty five minus one seventy
eight favorites any rotween plus one fifty plus one sixty
as your number on the Halos, it is a total
the unders between minus one ten two minus one twenty
the overs any rotweene even and minus one ten. And

(01:16:52):
I originally had the Phillies at a minus one forty
five on the money line. I always willing to go
to minus one sixty eight with the injury to Mike Drout,
so I made a twenty three cent adjustment. And if
you're looking to lay a run a half with the
Philadelphia Phillies, be able to get between even money and
minus one of five. And that's what I'm gonna be
looking at with the Phillies. I'm going to go up
to a minus one oh eight with them. It's a

(01:17:14):
Phillies lineup that is still very rock. So you've had
Alec Bohm, You've had Trey Turner be able to do
a really nice job of just being a move line.
Both of these guys a north of a three twenty five.
And now for the La Angels, this is a bunch
of it's very very powerless figuratively and literally because Mike
Drout he was supplying the team with ten home runs
as far as the season. So that's a little bit
of an issue that I will say. With the Angels,

(01:17:36):
it sounds like they're completely breathed of anyone that's able
to move line. Join Ellen like it's seventh go up
to the big league level. He's not been able to
give you four home runs. He's been able to give
you a little bit of something. Taylor Ward has done
a nice job. He's been able to supply semplus home
runs thus far the season. He's hitting north of a
two at sixty. And then the former Phillies catcher in
Logan O Hoppy, he's been able to give you north
of a three twenty five on base. But you have

(01:17:57):
a lot of guys out there like Brandon Drury, Noh,
Mickey Moniak. He's a guy sitting below you two thirty,
that has been rough. And for the Philadelphia Phillies who've
had Kyle Schwarber, not necessarily for average, but he's now
up to eight on runs as far this season. And
I've got Nick Cassians who's been able to give you
a pair of home runs over the last week or so.
For the Phillies, you also have an issue with his bullpen,
and really for both of these teams, both of these

(01:18:19):
bullpens have been rough. But once you get outside the
month of April and now we're into May, I do
think that there's gonna be a little bit of a
cup for this Philadelphia Phillies bullpen. I have no idea
what it is, but they just always struggle in the
first month of the season. Straight to de Veingez, Greg Risoto,
Osel Barado all posting him nor from five array. That's
been an issue. But like I said, I do think
that there's positivity coming. Meanwhile, the Angels, they entered into

(01:18:41):
yesterday twenty seventh in the Big leagues. In terms of
bullpenny ray, I don't think that there's any positivity coming
for them. You've got so many reclamation projects out there,
like Adam Zimber along with Hunters Strickland. They were kicking
the tires on even an older guy like a mose
C Sierrao. It looks like is the fold they're bringing
in a mirror all like, good grief. This is not great.

(01:19:02):
If you could get to Pat Moore and Carlos sevens.
They're not bad, but it is rough, to say the least.
And what else is rough is taking a look at
Patrick Sanderval trying to hold down the four ascet. He's
done a much better job this year they did a
season ago. A season ago he gave up a bunch
of walks. Really, the only thing that he was doing
was not giving up home runs, and that is a
specialty of Patrick sandaval. He does a nice job. I'll
be able to induce some soft contact. He's given up

(01:19:24):
to just zero point seven home runs per nine ennings
this season. He's got a six Sury three RA. He's
pitch better than that three seventy one fielding independent. I
don't think he's anything amazing, but he's not as bad
as He's six Surrey three era would indicate that said,
he's still giving up about four and a half walks.
Bernie and Nnings said with a bullpen that is just
absolutely ghastly buying him. I'm gonna be willing to back
the Phillies and Zach Wheeling and deal Wheeler as Wheeler

(01:19:44):
has been able to do a nice job, be able
to supply some good length, he's been able to do
a nice job on the road as well. As that's
always been a little bit of an issue for Zach
Wheeler over the last few seasons, he said, an ERA
that has been about a point higher when he's been
away from home rather than when he's been at home.
But he's been very complete this year. Puck ninety three
year his two forty four fielding dependant may leads qualifying
ANL starters with about eleven Serray cuts for nine innings,

(01:20:05):
giving up in his thirty seven and a third innings
just two home runs thus far as the season. So
looking at the Phillies on the run line, willing to
lay the run half up to a minus one to
eight in this time I told at eight point one
here at the eight, also going to be taking a
look at the over nine twenty seven, nine twenty eight
on the bank board. The San Francisco Giants at the
road they're facing up against the Boston Red Sox. As
it is old to be determined who's gonna be on
the bull for San Francisco and Cuttercroftord goes for Boston.

(01:20:27):
I have this as pretty much a bullpen game for
the San Francisco Giants. I marked Ryan Walker as the
starter slash opener. But that said, I think that you're
gonna see him Sean Hegela is probably gonna be a
little bit of a bull guy. It's not gonna chage
too much of Ryan Walker's not the opener and say
you get like Taylor Rodgers or something. As I did
set this line to where I'm going to lay up

(01:20:47):
to a minus one thirty seven on the Red Sox
money line plus one thirty nine or higher. I'm gonna
be taking a look at the San Francisco Giants, and
then in terms of the total nine or less, I'm
looking at the over nine and a half higher. I'm
gonna be taking a look at this total under as four. Crawford,
he really startled in Boston last year, had an ERA.
He's six at home. Meanwhile, his ZRA was a two
fifty five when he was away from home. So I

(01:21:08):
do find that to be very curious. But Crawford has
been absolutely tremendous this year. Thirty three and a third
ending says he had to give up a home run.
He's got thirty four strike cuts in these innings. He's
given up about three bucks per nine innings. And do
I think that there's going to be a regression with
Cutter Crawford, Yes, because trying to maintain a buck thirty
five er that's not necessarily too easy. If you look

(01:21:28):
at the field of independent numbers, he is clocking him more
in the neighborhood of about eight two twenty. So he's
been still very very good with this regard. And for
the San Francisco Giants, this has been a bullpen that
has been an issue, to say the least. For the
San Francisco Giants, Bullpenny ra deadlass in the Big League's
entering into Yesterray, So having a bullpen game with a
Giants bullpen that is less than great, that's been rough.

(01:21:49):
But I do think that we're going to see Cutter
Crawford begin to get tattooed a little bit more. You've
got the likes of Michael CONFORDO, Matt Chapman, Terry O
Strata all being able to supply between four and five
home runs. These guys aren't really moving the lying very much.
All three of those guys in three h four on
base or less. But you've been able to have Lamontway
Junior do a nice shot, providing a four to fifty
on base, been able to get some good at bats
out of Patrick Bailey. He's been able to about it too.

(01:22:09):
Eighty Giants always do good to have a bio platoon
lefties and righties as well. For the Boston Red Sox,
this bovepen has been honestly a pretty nice surprise. Justin
Slayton has become a really good long guy for the same.
Chris Martin along Kenley Janson in the eighth and ninth
tenning pretty solid. You did have Martin yack it up
a little bit on Sunday Night Baseball, but Kenley Johnson,
if you can avoid just the super big spots, he
always comes thrue for you. Meanwhile, for the Boston Red Sox,

(01:22:32):
you've had nine home runs out of Tyler O'Neill as
farthest season. He has been amazing for thirty three on base.
Need a little bit more balance than the Ligne up.
Tristan Kassas deal with an injury with his six hour
runs three forty four on base, that's a little bit
of an issue, and but I think he's really holding
the scene back. You got the legs of Emmanuel Veldez,
Bobby Bell Back, Pablo Reyes, Sadine Rafaela. We're all ending
below the Mendo's line of a two hundred. But Jaron

(01:22:53):
Duran he's been able to give you about a three
forty on base. Masataki Yushida he's up to about a
three fifty on base, not giving you a lot of power,
but it's been able to move the line at the
very least and play San Francisco Giants. I do think
that they're going to be able to get to Cutter
Crawford a little bit in the spot for the Red Sox.
They should be getting Derek Cooper any day now as well.
That's gonna be able to help them out. They tab
a circumstance where I'm gonna be one to lay up
to a minus one thirty seven with the Red Sox,

(01:23:14):
gonna be one to take a plus one thirty nine
or higher. With regards to the San Francisco Giants, and
then is total a nine or less, I'm gonna be
looking at the over a nine and a half or higher.
I'm gonna be taking a look at this total under end.
We wrap things up with nine twenty nine, nine thirty
on the Venning board. It's the Walker Texas Rangers. They're
playing use to the Washington Nationals. As you got Trevor
Williams on the bump for the nights, Andrew Heeney goes

(01:23:35):
for Texas. Texas is back to being a favorite between
minus one fifty six minus one seventy between plus one
forty two to plus one forty five is your number
on the Washington Nationals sign is a total over as
any between minus one twenty to minus one to five,
the unders any between even a minus one fifteen. This stuff,
I told it at nine point three. I'm gonna be
looking at the over. Trevor Williams has been a nice
revelation for the Nationals as far this season. He's posting

(01:23:57):
up to just a two seventy e RA. If you
look at the event numbers, though, you should be very
concerned about those. As for Trevor Williams, he has not
really been getting a lot of swings and miss it's
only about six hals Stright cuss Bryan Kings where he's
really thrived his in twenty six and two thirds, sayings
he's he had to give up a home run this year.
Last year he gave up two point one home runs
for nine. Then he says his career averages one point
three bombs per nine. I do think that this is

(01:24:19):
going to be ticking northward, and I think that's going
to be sooner rather than later. Against the Texas Rangers
lineup that just has not really been able to bust
out the way that they did a season ago, and
I do think that they're going to be able to
get a little bit warm. The seven runs that they
put up yesterday, I do think that that's the sign
of things to come. Why at Langford it took him
a very long time to be able to get a
home run number one, but now he's been able to
find his groove a little bit more. You've got it.

(01:24:40):
Olas Garcio has really carried the team eight plus bombs.
He's able to give you about a three fifty on
base and Nathaniel bow he's been able to hit well
above a threeer doing a good job of the line.
It's been uncharacteristic to look at marcusim and Corey Seeger,
pair of guys are giving you just a three twenty
on base. Honestly, he'supplying a lot of power out of
either of those guys. You know that it's going to
come for them sooner rather than later. And for the
Wash the Nationals, you've got a few guys at the

(01:25:01):
top that were doing a nice job moving the line.
Jesse Winkers provided about a three eighty on base, had
a grand Slam in that series against the Miami Marlins.
C J. Abrams as they will give you six plus
home runs, he's providing about a three to seventy five
on base. But keiberrowiez Eddie Rosario, Joey Gallo, these are
guys hitting a buck fifty or less than Nixon. Zell's
giving you about a two eighty three on base. They're

(01:25:22):
really not supplying a lot of power. Though. For the
Washington and Nationals, what's been nice for them as far
the season, and a big reason why they've been a
little bit of an upstart surprise is that the bullpen
has actually done a nice job of holding down the
fort Now I do think that we're going to see
some regression with Kyle Finnikin. I just never trust that guy,
but so far he's been able to have a relatively
slid year. Jordan Weims is a guy that I've always liked. He,

(01:25:42):
along with Derek laugh have been able to give you
a sub three five yar A. We've got Hunter Harviews
relatively good in this bullpen. Tanner Ainy just does not
look like himself this far this season, but oh in all,
they're doing a relatively solid job there. Meanwhile, you've got
a Texas Rangers team that is more around eighteenth than
the league tips of bullpenning ara a little bit better
than it was like season ago when they were more
like twenty second. You're bringing Kirby Yates, you bring in
David Robertson that's been able to help them out quite

(01:26:04):
a bit. But I do think that as long as
you can keep Jacob Latz out there, that's gonna be
able to help out this bullpen as You've had a
rough start to the season for Ose Laclerk. But on all,
I do think that these guys are taking some strides
of improvement, and the big thing for Andrew Heeney. He
just can't give up the deepall. For Andrew Heeney, He's
always had relatively good swinging miss stuff for his career.
He gives me about ten strikeouts for nine ninees, which

(01:26:25):
is stick down a little bit here in the last
few years. Has been more around about nine strikeouts for
nine nine since joining the Texas Rangers, as a matter
of fact, in a Rangers uniform four forty four year
but about a four to seventy nine field independent giving
up about a home run and a half for nine ninings.
But I do think they're going up against Washington Nationals
not gonna give up as much of the deepall. I
do think that both of these starters gonna give up
quite a bit of contact, and I do think that

(01:26:46):
the Rangers are able to take it to that Nationals
bullpen and bus out of their funk a little bit.
It's say a circumstance where I set the Rangers out
of minus one seventy eight on the money line, if
you're looking at lay a run a half, you're getting
a plus one twenty five. Was willing to take pretty
much anything of a plus one oh five or higher.
So I'm going to be want to lay a run
half with the Texas Rangers, and I'm gonna be taking
a look at the nine over. And that wrap things
up for the Wednesday edition of The Baseball Betting Show,

(01:27:07):
now part of the Vson Family podcast. Big thanks to
Jared Smith of Meson for joining me and last segment.
If you do like hearing from this time podcast Baseball
Betting Show, You're able to subscribe wherever your podcasts Apple Podcasts,
Google Like, Spotify, sitter and tune in. If you have
a question comment segment idea what I have be for
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(01:27:28):
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