5/13/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:08):
Mommer Lee Lou, Welcome to Love you Las Vegas for
the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part
of the Vson Family Podcast. We've gone excellent podcasts for
you as joining me. And segment number two, we're gonna
have Sehn Jansen, a board who does great workover at
Fox Sports Philadelphia, the Gambler. We're gonna be chatting with
him about the National League Eese. We're also gonna be
diving in in terms of what we've all seen thus

(00:29):
far in the Philadelphia Phillies and we're gonna be taking
a look at a few games for Monday as well.
So you're gonna have a great chat with him and
segment number two and then in the final segment, gonna
get you guys picks and analysis on every game on
the betting board for this Baseball Monday as we touch
them all. If you do have a question, comment, segment
idea whatever you for this podcast. You have one of
twoays BF far Thos In first one is my Twitter
subject sideline at you to unders forty one. Keep in

(00:51):
mind lardsm they mean does I'm anders as pre visual
please send us into the timeline. Other ways, bind an Apple
podcast review. If you're rate this podcast, it starts, it's
very much pretty From there, you're able fire and whatever
you'd like here on this podcast via that five star
review did not get in any Twitter slash x questions today.
But we had a great day of baseball on Sunday.
Let's take a look back at it. Tried to find
some runs and try to get to all these seems
a little bit better.

Speaker 3 (01:12):
Games were yesterday. Is Greg buzzing about? Here is the
rowdy recap.

Speaker 2 (01:16):
On Sunday and eight baseball the New York Mets. They
were able to get the job done. They got the
win over the Atlanta Braves by kount of four to three,
as both starting pitchers were able to do a pretty
rock solid job in this one. For Bryce Elder got
into a few jams, but he was able to wiggle
his way out of them with minimal damage as he
gives up seven total hits but gives up just two
earned runs over the course of five and a third innings.

(01:37):
From there, Aaron Bummer and Jesse Schaveaz both end of
Squirrels signing Dilan Lee pair of bouts on the bullpen Squirrels,
but aj Minterer has been acting up a little bity.
Gives up two runs, including the walkoff home run to
Brandon Nimo as Nemo is able to go deep for
a three ninety six foot shot his six home run season.
As Lee, Severino had his bullpend really help him out
as well. He gave up a home run to runs
a total over the course of five and he says

(01:58):
Joe Keelnick, he's able to get his second home run
season from there. He had adamount of Vino give up
a run while getting it out out of the bullpen,
but read Garrett two scorel of settings, Jake Deafan pairabouts
how the bullpen squirrel is sent Edwin Diaz, he's able
to in a Squirrels sending. Certainly we'll be talking a
little bit more about this team. But for the Philadelphia Phillies,
they lose as a sizable favorite against the Miami Marlins,
this by kind of seven to six, says the Miami Marlins,

(02:20):
currently seventeen and a half games out of first place
after this win. As Zach Wheelan and Neelan Wheeler was
not Wheelan and was not dealing. He gives up six
runs over the course of four innings, including a home
run to Josh Bell fifth rom run. Season. From there,
the bullpen was actually very good. They do have Greg
Risoto give up the under and run in the ninth
inning that starts on second base. But that said Orion

(02:41):
kerri King, Spencer Turnbull, Jeff Hoffman at strom, Osel Varado,
all Wendy squirrel is sending in. You did have Amando,
so said, get a nice triple in this one for
the Philadelphia Phillies, says they were able to get to
Braxton Garrett first started the season, gives up five runs
and five and a third innings, including a home run
to Nick Cassiano's fourth arm run season. From there, Andre
Nardi gives up a run while geting us of the
wullpend b Kevin Fauchet, Anthony Bender both on the squirrel setting,

(03:04):
and Tanner Scott two squirrel settings. Says see Marlins, now
your second best over team in all of baseball twenty
five overs to seventeen hunders. But your best over team
in baseball that would be the Milwaukee Brewers. So they
didn't have a lot going on offense. On Sunday, they
fall to the Saint Louis Cardinals by a count four
to three. For Saint Louis, they were able to get
a relatively good start after their manager and Ali mar

(03:25):
Mole get echecked and they gave up three runs at
the first setting. It's Miles Michaelis had that rough first setting,
but as able to get back online. He gives up
just those three runs over the course of six settings
from their Andrew kitchrit Jojoe Romero goodbye for two squirrel
settings and Ryan Helsley squirrel setting and for the San
Louis Cardinals, they win this game despite going two or
fourteen with bend and scory position and Seranny thirteen men

(03:45):
on basis. Paul Goldschman, who's been awful this year, goes
zep for a third home run season. It comes off
of mister Bryce Wilson, who gives up two runs over
the course of the four nitings, including that home run.
From there Jerry Caning, he gives up a run in
twinnings the work out of his piano. He gives up
a run in an enning Hobi Milner at theo Vieira.
They both lend to Squirrel a setting, but not a
lot doing offensively for the Burs. Outside that for a

(04:07):
setting for the Chicago Cubs, they find a way to
be able to get the job done. In the next runnings
five to four, they take down the Pittsburgh Prayers. For
Kyle Hendrickx by far as best start of the season.
He gives up one run over the course of five innings.
That one run a solo home run as Onneo Cruz
gets to some film run season. Then Connor Joe makes
it go off of Adbert Alsley his fifth Holm run season,
a two run shot and if you had the under

(04:28):
in this game, man, this was rough as this game
was two to two going into the tenth inning with
a total of eight and a half. So goods the
prayers there as Alsley gives up two runs, one of
which was earned in his ending of works. Richard Lovelady
gave up a run in a third of nending as well,
but Colton Brewer actor nearers both on the Squirrel setting
and one and two thirds ending scorers for Mark Lader
Junior did the job for the Cubs, who went just

(04:49):
one or twelve men in scoring position, but got a
pair of home runs. He had Christopher Morrell in the
first ending go deep off of Bailey Falter for his
ninth home run season. Then Patrick Wisdom in the tenth
gets to his second home runs season, that coming off
of a role as chatman. Chaman gives up three runs,
one of which was earned in the tenth inning while
getting two outs. Goln Nicholas got the final out of
the game. Louis Ortiz two Squirrels, signings David Bennar a

(05:10):
Squirrel setting him for Bailey Falter. He's looked much better
this year. Gives up that home run to morele but
two runs in total over the course of six innings
are dey get. Now we're gry to pickets, so hopefully
this is a start of a nice run. Nine to two.
The AARs in the Diamondbacks kip the job downe Heady
over in this one, and for the Diamondbacks, all about
that six runs, sixth inning, all with two outsts. For
the Baltimoreal, Sean Kramer honestly didn't pitch horribly up until

(05:33):
that point. Ten strikeouts, he gives up four it s
and he gives up six runs, three of which were earned.
Now many of those were due to his own throwing year,
so have to hold these pitchers accountable for that filled
five and two thirds endings. And then from there, Sino
Perez gives up three runs in a third of inning,
Robert Swarez in a long relief role, three squirrel settings,
and Adlie Rushman was able to go deep off of
Zach Gallen. The sixth um round season for Gallon has

(05:54):
had his struggles on the road, but pretty solid in
this one, giving up two runs over the course of
six innings. From there, Matt Bowman two scorel sting saying
justin Martinez being able to fill a squirrel setting in
all of a sudden for the Years and the Diamondbacks,
after it had been a relatively rough start to the
season for them, may be able to get a little
bit more online. It's a Diamondbacks bunch that has now
went five and two over the course of their last

(06:15):
seven games. You've also been able to have this team
get a little bit warmer recently as well, as you
saw the Houston Astros get the job done against the
Detroit Tigers by a count of nine to three. So
been a bad year. They're still fifteen and twenty five,
but things are starting to iron out a little bit
more for them. Kyle Tucker is league leading thirteenth home
run that comes off of Captain Jack Flarty. Flarity gives
up three runs in six and two third settings, including

(06:36):
that home run from there. Alex Lane gives up four
runs in two thirds of nine. Joey Wentz he came
in out of the bullpen and did not get a
single out while giving up a run. Will Vest one
of two third sittings, allows one run in Spencer Trokosen
way too little, way too late, but he gets his
first home run of the season with the team down
nine to zero. Is first of the campaign that comes
off Seth Martinez after justin Verlander was very good against

(06:58):
his former team seven Squirrel settings and then with Martinez
gives up that home run three runs a total over
the course of two innings. The Boston Red Sox continued
to be the top pitching staff in terms of their
starting pitcher er and they continue to be a team
hitting sixty two percent to the under three to two.
The Boston Red Sox get the job done against Washington
as Bryan Balo first start off the injured list pretty solid.
He gives up two runs over the course of five innings,

(07:19):
didn't allow home run as for the Nancy had Eddie
Wardsario will get his fifth home run season from there.
The bullpen was nail, says Cam Bouger. Along with Kenley Jansen,
Chris Martin, Zach Kelly, they all end a squirrel of
setting it for the Red Sox, they go just one
of thirteen with men and scoring position, but they do
enough to be able to get to make Kenzie Gorey,
who gives up three runs of which will earned over
the course of six innings. Derek Claude, Dell and Floro

(07:40):
both end a squirrel of setting from there. He saw
the New York Yankees, but of a big number on
the Tampa Bay Rays ten to six. Yankees are able
to get it done. As the Yankees have been one
of your better under teams as far the season, but
we're noticing a few more overs from them recently as
goes operay for them. Aaron Judge tenth home run season
off of Tyler Alexander. Alexander gives one up to so
the young guy in Jamia Jones his first home run

(08:03):
of the season. You know, so I had a few
home runs given up by Seann Armstrong as labor Taurus
who has really struggled. He gets his second home run
season and Ose Travino. He's able to go deep twice,
once off of Alexander's third home run season, then once
off of you it has some motor of mirrors. He
gets home run number four of the campaign off of
him for Luisio. Very good start, six squirrels settings bullpen,

(08:23):
made a mess of it from there. Nick Bird, he
gives up a run without getting it out of the bullpen.
Caleb Ferguson, he gives up four runs in two thirds
of nining, including a home run as taking him deep
Ose Siri Sirie. How many home runs does he have
three this season? And you saw Yandy Diaz get a
certain home run in the campaign that comes off of
Ian Hamilton, who gives up this home run and his
hunting of work. But Luke Weaver simmed the tide. He

(08:44):
was able to get five outs out of the bullpen.
Squirrels in for Tyler Alexander. He just had to weird
on this one. Three home runs, six runs a total
given up over the course of seven nightings. Sharon Armstrong
gives up three runs to two thirds before Ratsmo Ramirez
gives up that Solome run in one and a third
nightings some work for him. The Blue Jays have been
struggling with their bats all season long, and they fall
to the Minnesota Twins five to one the final of

(09:06):
the Twins. I believe have now went fourteen and two
in their last sixteen games. They have been white hot,
as Carlos Santana is able to go deep off of
Alec Minoa's seventh film run season third home run for
Satan in the last seven day, says Manoa gives up
that home run, but all three runs that he gave
up in seven hineyes were unearned. He was actually athleteis
and Ernie Clement made two errors out there in the field,

(09:27):
so he should have been out of that ending. From there,
Eric Swanson gives up two runs in an end and
Nate Pearson a scoreless setting, but absolutely nothing doing for
the Blue Jays at the plate. They go oh two
with ennant scoring position as Bailey Ober gives up one
a ten strikecouts and six and a third dying scoreless.
Cole Sands from there gives up a run without getting
it out of the bullpen, but Cody Thunderberg picked it
up one in two thirds a hand scoreless, and Yawn

(09:47):
Dan was able to give you a squirrels setting as well.
You had a lot of scirreless settings as well. From
the Cleveland Guardians seven to zero, they're able to get
the job done against the Chicago White Sox and Volleboo
could have been a pretty ugly sweep ass. Right now,
you're top run line teams of baseball. Actually, the Washington
Nationals turn number one twenty five and fourteen on the
run line, Cleveland's number two at twenty five and sixteen.

(10:07):
And for the Guardians, they were able to get a
pair of home runs as you were able to have.
Andres So Menez go deep off of Mike Soroka. That
his home run number two of the campaign. Then he
had number three of the season for one David Fry
off of Soroca and for Soroca is Roughier, containing five runs,
four of which were earned given up in five and
a third innings. From there, timill a out out of
the bowpen. He gave up two underned runs, hurt by

(10:29):
his own throwing air before brag Keller gives you three
and a third inning scoreless and simply doing nothing new.
And for the Chicago White Sox says logan down and
gives up six hits and six innings, but surrenders no
runs under gadda Samantage's Nick Sandlin from there will give
you a scirrel of setting, and he had quite a
few scirrel of settings out there in San Diego. As
the Patres, they get a four to zero win over

(10:49):
the La Dodgers, second time this year that the Dodgers
got blanked. As for the Dodgers, they go oh a
fourth men and scoring position at walker Bealer, he knowes
not long for this game, gives up three runs at
three and third nings. The potteris were able to take
him deep twice, as if Fernando Tatis Junior get his
eighth home run season, Jake coroner Worth his seventh, and
Gus Farland to give up home run to Xander Bogert's

(11:10):
his third home run. The campaign on all that address
bullpen was relatively solid. Varlin gives up this home run
and it is setting and work, but about Christmas. Two
squirrel settings Alexpecia a squirrels setting in Ryan Yarbroough paarabouts
out of the bullpens scoreless, Well, you dervish, he was
able to have a very nice start. Seventh scoreless settings
gave up just to it's on the way Jandy Peralta
and Robert Swarez. From there come in nay line a

(11:31):
squirrel sunning. The Oakland A's have been team has really
struggled on offense as far as the season. But they
playing over and they fall to the Seattle Mariners by
count of eight to four. Of the Mariners have been
your top underd team in all baseball, but they have
now played seven overs in their last nine games. As
for Oakland, Alex Wood was not long for this game.
Gives up five runs to two innings, only one of

(11:51):
which was earned. You had an air out there in
the field from Matt Schuman that did not help him out.
From there you did have Cale Mielo, though, give up
two on runs three runs a total of the course
of four inning. Says going deep for Seattle off of
Elex Wood, Udio Rodriguez second ord run season, Sebbi Zavala
his first off of Mealer and the Meller gives one
up to Mitch Carver fifth home run season. Before you
have a pair of guys in TJ. McFarlane, a couple

(12:14):
with mister Tyler Ferguson both lend a squirrel of sending
in for Oakland. They got a trio hoh home runs
themselves as going deep off of Luis Cassio. Say bram
total for his fourth armed run season, and he also
had Schumann get his second l run season to be
able to atone a little bit for the air and
he also had home run number ten of the season
from Brent Rooker that comes off of Cody Bolton. Bolton
gives up two runs over the course of an enning

(12:34):
Casio two so long runs and six innings before us
in both Andre's Muno so they both leaned a squirrel
is Senning and he saw quite a few runs out
there in San Francisco with the Giants getting the job
done by on six to five, first time this month
that the Reds had exceeded four runs, but it was
not enough here as Mike Ford was built for tough.
He does get his first arm run season off of
Ryan Walker. He gives up that Solon run and in

(12:57):
signy works Sean Hegela gives up a run in one
two thirds ends after Kyle Erison lovely started here five blocks,
three runs allowed over the course of five innings, but
Gimellia Devolve filled four outside the bullpen, Squirrels, Luke Jackson
a scoreless tenth inning to be able to get this
one to the window on Lamont Way. Junior goeszepoff of one.
Frankie Montos for a second home round season as Montas
did not have it in this one. Five runs, four

(13:18):
of which weren't given up in four and two thirds ends.
Bullpen overall was solid. He did have Emilia began give
up the under and run in the tenth thenning while
getting a pair ofabouts out of the bullpen, but like
to see as Fernando Cruz, Justin Wilson, Alenda, Squirrels, Setting
and Nick Martinez, he was able to get four us
the bullpen scoreless. Can't say Royals, they've been pretty rock
solid here in this West Coast road trip thus far,
and they take down the La Angels this by a

(13:39):
count for to two and the Royals sixty two and
a half percent of their games have gone under the
turtle as far as season as Seth Lugo twelve strikeouts,
giving up one run in eight innings. He was struggling
to get strikeouts going into this one. Very good sign there,
and then James McArthur doesn't lie, he saw him run
in his enny of work. Willie Calhoun gets his first
arm round the campaign as Patrick Sandoval gave up just
a lot of contact in general, phil six innings but

(14:01):
gives up four runs eleven intes in total for the Royals.
They go four of ten with men in scoring position.
He did have hundred strickland Carson former Ormir Garrett. From there,
I'll land a squirrels setting. But you can't see Royals
looking pretty rock solid right now and the Texas Rangers
looking to us a little bit wobbly right now. They
fell to the Colorad Rockies this by a count of
three to one. The Rockies have been all over the
place terms their offense as far as the season, but

(14:23):
Ty Block looked very good in this one. For mister Block.
He blocked the Rangers from a win, giving up just
one run in five innings. Victor Vodnik two scores, and
then Jaalen Beeks Tyler Kinley both on his Squirrels setting.
Their Rockies win this game despite going oh of eight
with men in scoring position as Ezekiel tofar leadoff home
run or home run number four of the season as

(14:43):
the number two hitter of of oza An n Yo,
who honestly didn't pitch bad in this one. He gave
up two runs in six and two thirds secs, including
that home run. Jordan Lantz from there gives up a
run while getting it out of the bullpen, and Jonathan
Ornandez is able to end a squirrel a setting, but
that was enough to be able to get that one
to the window and also being able to get to
the window. Thus far, the season has been under better
says right now, season to day, the under is sitting

(15:05):
at a rate of about fifty two percent three hundred
and five U two hundred and seventy six overs. Meanwhile,
favorites overall this season hitting at fifty eight and a
half percent on the money line. If you're looking at
the last seven days in baseball, we're like fifty seven
a half percent for favorites fifty three and thirty nine,
while overs have been starting to pick it up a
little bit forty five overs to forty four unders over
the last seven days, but over the last thirty days

(15:27):
it is very very much underwhelming. Two hundred and twelve unders,
two hundred and seventy four overs. That's a fifty four
point nine percent rate to the under end favorites in
that time span, hitting you at fifty nine and a
half percent on the money line two thirty nine and
one sixty three. So that's where we're seeing a baseball
right now. And that's what we all got in baseball
on Sunday. Now, let's take a look at the NL
east of Philadelphia, Phillies, and we we're all getting out
money with John Janson to Fox Sports Philadelphia. The Gambler

(15:48):
had some next right here on the Baseball Betting showed
myself Greg Peterson now a bark the Decent Family.

Speaker 1 (15:52):
Das breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (16:05):
Love Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting Show with myself
Greg Peterson now part of the Vison Family podcast. And
it is always great to be joined by this man
as we've got John Jansen a board. He does tremendous
workover at Fox Sports Philadelphia The Gambler. I know that
he also does a few gaming reviews over at RP
Gamer that is based out there in the great stity
of Wisconsin. John doing a great job dialing it up

(16:27):
a little bit of everything from one of the most
interesting sports towns in America. You're able to follow him
on Twitter. Sidehicks at Jay Jansen thirty four altogether and
John oh as much my friend.

Speaker 3 (16:38):
Thank you, Yeah, thanks for having me on. And of
course not just interesting sports town, but interesting baseball team
as well in that town to talk about. So definitely
some good baseball here.

Speaker 2 (16:47):
And let's lead off there as the Philadelphia Phillies were
unable to get the job done on Mother's Day, but
I said, it has been a very good run of
things for them thus far this season, and they don't
lose any ground in the division with the Atlanta Braves
losing as well. But what if you made out of
the start for the Philadelphia Phillies as far as the
season one, where the offense certainly has been rock solid
and pretty much everything except for the bullpen has been

(17:09):
pretty much on point for the seam.

Speaker 3 (17:10):
Yeah, but even a few of the arms for the
bullpen have been really good. Even Matt Strom came in
and has done well. He came in on the Mother's
Day game and pitched very well. Jeff Hoffman has been
very good. The bullpens and numbers aren't there in terms
of VRA overall, but just quality arms. But it's just everything.
I haven't seen this from the Phillies for the past
couple of years, even though they've gone to the World Series,

(17:31):
they've gone to two straight NLCSS. The thing is now
is I mean, I've never seen them click on all
cylinders like this during the regular season. They're getting it
from everywhere. That's why they're winning as many games as
they are. It's contributions from almost every guy in the
lineup now. Even Nick Castianos is getting revved up and
he's starting to heat up as in the month of May.
And then also the starting pitching staff has been great.

(17:52):
Bullpen again, a few of the arms have been really,
really good. I haven't seen this from the Phillies in
quite a long time. Honestly, probably the last time you've
seen this is like twenty eleven for the Phillies. This
is like a next level of baseball that we were
kind of waiting to see from this team in the
regular season. And I mean, all the pieces are there
and all the pieces are really putting it together for them.

Speaker 2 (18:11):
Yep, it certainly has been tremendous. And I will say this,
they're probably gonna need to beat up on the Miami
Marlins moving forward because the Miami Marlins with that win,
they are now seventeen and a half games back in
the division. And something I've touched upon a lot on
this podcast is if you're in the division of the Rockies,
the White Sox, or the Miami Marlins, all teams are

(18:32):
at thirteen plus games back and we're doing this on
May thirteenth, you gotta win those games. In my opinion,
I don't think we've ever seen anything quite like it
with three teams just completely out of it like we're
seeing right now.

Speaker 3 (18:46):
Yeah, and a lot of those teams and those divisions
against those bad teams are certainly taking advantage. You know,
the Phillies dropping one in that series, it would have
been nice to get the sweep. It would have been
nice to especially when you have a Wheeler start, and
Wheeler just really didn't have it on Mother's Day, so
I was to see that, but still won the series. Again,
you want to win almost every game you do against
those teams because as you just mentioned. Those are some

(19:06):
of the most future teams I've seen in a very
long time in baseball. But I think overall the Phillies
are at least doing a good job of winning those series.
They're constantly winning those games. They're getting the most out
of those series because they've played a lot of bad teams.
I will admit it's not been the roughest schedule for them.
It's been pretty easy, but I think for the most part,
they are doing a good job of being able to
consistently beat those teams. They've been dropping a game here

(19:28):
and there, but the consistency certainly has stood out.

Speaker 2 (19:31):
Yep. I mentioned those teams before, and I know that
they were able to get to sweep over the Rockies.
They got to sweep over the White Sox as well.
So on all against those teams, just one loss in
three series. As far as this season, I would say
that's taking care of business. As John Jansen has great
workover at Fox Sports Philadelphia. The Gambler is jowing to
be right here on the Baseball Betting Show, and I
just take a look at the division and if very

(19:52):
much has become a two gam race, I don't think
that this is the world's biggest surprise. But Phillies are
right now two games up on the inline of Raids
after Sunday Night Baseball, and I did feel like this
team was gonna be a little bit more plucky. I
thought that they were going to be able to give
a little bit more charge. But the Nationals are right
there with the New York Mets in nineteen and twenty.
Just what do you make on the division, because I
think at this point any team other than the Atlanta

(20:14):
Braves of the Philadelphia Phillies being up top would be
quite a bit of a surprise. But I do think
that those games against the Mets and the Washington Nationals
might be the difference between who does win this division.

Speaker 3 (20:24):
It's just how those teams end up fairing out towards
the middle and end of the season as they start
into The Phillies don't play the Braves again untill close
to the end of the season, So it's not gonna
be a lot of that. It's gonna be a lot
of you know, as you just said, Mets, Nationals, Marlins,
how those teams fare in those games. So yeah, it'll
be interesting just to see what kind of teams the
Mets and Nationals end up being as the season progresses.
I don't think either team is very good. I imagine

(20:46):
the Mets could be a little bit better. I think
both teams are probably gonna get worse since the season
goes along. So yeah, those games are gonna be there
for the taking, and they just got to consistently win them.
And that's again the impressive part of but the Phillies
is the Braves have been able to do that. The
Braves have done that all year long, last year, all
year long the previous year. I mean, they've been one
of the best most consistent teams in baseball, and that's

(21:06):
because they do end up beating teams like that. The
Phillies have had their problems and had their fair share
of inconsistencies. I feel like this is finally the first
time I think they have reached that level of the Braves,
reached that level of the Dodgers, to where they're getting
so much contribution from so many different areas and have
so much talent in so many different areas. This finally
does have the look of a team that can compete
with the Braves, that can continue to find that consistency

(21:29):
wherever that may be the starting pitching staff could go bad,
but the Phillies lineup can pick them up, the bullpen
can pick them up, and the starting pitching can still
be really good. So it's the first time I feel
like that the Braves and Phillies are about neck and
neck still. If you want to say advantage Braves, I
completely agree, and I think there's a lot of growth
that could be had with the Braves. Some guys, especially

(21:49):
Ron and Acunia, that could be performing a little bit better.
They got to figure out their starting rotation. I think
they will the trade deadline for the Braves after losing
Spencer Schreider. I really feel like this Phillies team. I mean,
we've seen enough of the same size and know the
talent that they have to know that they probably now
when the spot that they're in and with the way
things are going that this this is definitely a team
that's going to compete with the Braves and they can

(22:10):
consistently end up beating the Mets, the Nationals, and the
Marlins and teams in the division the same way the
Braves have for years.

Speaker 2 (22:17):
And how about if we take a look at the
game for Monday, as that is one of those games
against the Mets, Sean and is going to be going
for the Mets. Christopher Sanchez for the Phillies. Bott A
minus went twenty two minus went twenty five is the
number on the Phillies with a total seven and a half.
How do you take a look at this one with
a guy in Christopher Sanchez who his walks are way
up this year, but last year he gave up pretty
much as many home runs as he did walks. And

(22:39):
while the walks are up, the art contact and the
home runs wait out.

Speaker 3 (22:43):
It's just control. A lot of his stuff is, especially
as fastball, he hasn't been able to control. I don't
think Sanchez has been bad. I think they were right
because there were three guys who were looking at the
starting rotation at the end of it. It was Christopher Sanchez,
Tywan Walker, and Specer Turnbull, and they ended up putting
Specer Turnbull into the bullpen. But it wasn't really even
a conversation about Sanchez for most of it. They believe
in the talent, they believe in the stuff, and I

(23:04):
still think that's there. They just got to find a
way to get his control down, especially again with his fastball,
because he's been all over the place with so he
has been walking guys more. I think it's going to
be interesting to see how he goes through the rest
of the season. The good thing against the Mets is
I just think they're a bad baseball team in a
bad lineup, so Sanchez might be able to just kind
of force his way through four or five innings. They
have been using. I think kind of this one in

(23:25):
Tawan Walker Tala Walker starts is one where Spencer Turnbull
can come in in the fourth fifth inning and eat
up a couple of innings after these guys, So we'll
see how Rob Thompson kind of manages that for the
rest of the season and manages that especially for that game.
But yeah, Sanchez does worry me a little bit because
the control is kind of not very good. So this
isn't my favorite game to bet on the Phillies, but

(23:46):
I still would lean them slightly because I don't think
Seal Miney is all that good as well, and the
lineup for the Phillies has just been so so so consistent,
and even against left these they can have a little
bit of trouble. If there's been some guys that are
dealing with some injuries, but Harper's heated up. Nick cassianis
especially is heated up, which is really good to have
a righty bat starting to get going. With Trey Turner
out of the lineup. I think that line has been

(24:06):
consistent enough that I do like the Phillies. It's just
the kind of have to stomach all of these issues
that Christopher Sanchez has right now.

Speaker 2 (24:13):
And the National League is full of they divide between
the halves and they have not says you had six
teams that are above five hundred, obviously the Braves, A, Phillies, Brewers, Cubs, Dodgers,
and Padres. Everyone else is below five hundred, and I
do think that that's going to be an interesting dynamic
because on it I take a look at the National League,
no doubt the Braves and the Phillies are your top contenders,
but the biggest competition to them outside the East, that is,

(24:35):
without a doubt, the Ali Dodgers, and we'll find them
laying just very very big prices in general. Right now
for Monday, we're finding Yashiinobo Yamaboto on the road against
the San Francisco Giants and Jordan Hicks a minus one
eighty five though minus one eighty two favorite, And how
do you take a look at both this game and
the Dodgers moving forward, Because the Dodgers were the team
that was all aboard the hike train coming into the

(24:57):
season with Yamamoto, with Joyotani coming into the fold, and
to this point, I wouldn't say that they've overachieved, But
at the same time, it's hard to say that twenty
seven to fifteen team has underachieved as well. I think
that they're pretty much right as we expected them to be.

Speaker 3 (25:12):
Yeah, they are and doing it with you know, I
think some obvious concerns. Yammoto has been pitching fine, but
it's not exactly what you would think of a guy
with that kind of stuff. And I know it's going
to take some time from the acclimate into the major
league game. You know, a little bit of pitching problems
here and there. You could definitely tell there's some pitching
depth concerns for the Dodgers. But man, they are just
out hitting everybody, and all of it starts with really

(25:33):
Mookie Betts and Shoeotani and sho Heo Tani. The focus
on hitting has done him well because he has been
excellent at the plate this year. It's the lineup for
the Dodgers that really is terrifying for that game. The
whole Jordan Hicks experiment has actually kind of intrigued me,
and San Francisco always is one of those teams that
does something that you go, why would you put a
guy like Jordan Hicks as a starter and is it

(25:56):
going to work? And for the most part, I think
the experiment has. Now the problem is, you know it
can work in some situations, is it going to work
against the Dodgers and work against that lineup? And what
if Hicks gets into a lot of trouble early, you know,
with Mookie Betts starting the things off for them. I'd
love kind of the San Francisco has figured out this
out of the box way to use Jordan Hicks and
it's actually worked the great success, and I would love

(26:18):
to bet on it. The problem is, like all of
that can fall apart really quickly against what is a
pretty daunting Dodgers lineup. So this is one I would
I would love to try the dog, but I just
don't think that the Giants have the lineup to do it.
And I just think Jordan Hicks probably isn't going to
hold up in a game like that.

Speaker 2 (26:34):
Yeah, been with Jordan Hicks, it's been really nice to
see what he's been able to do. But even if
he does lend a good start as well, the Giants
bullpen just has not been great, to say the least
as well. It's John Jansen, who does great workover at
Fox Sports Philadelphia. The Gambler is trying to be right
here on the Baseball Betting Show, And certainly we've touched
upon some of the bigger surprises on what we've all
seen in the National League thus far. But what else

(26:55):
has really shoot out to you in the first six
plus weeks of the season, Because I think the biggest
thing for me is the have nots of the big leagues.
But has it been a team, has there been a
player or anything like that has really caught your attention.

Speaker 3 (27:06):
Mostly, the surprise for me has kind of just been
the two teams at the top of the Central I know,
I probably shouldn't be too surprised by them. I think
there was a little bit of love for Milwaukee. I
think there was some love for Chicago and they might
be middling out a little bit. We're kind of seeing
that in the last couple of weeks. But still the
Central's kind of surprised me a bit because I thought
Pittsburgh and the Reds were gonna put up more of
a fight. The Reds especially, they have looked dreadful. The

(27:28):
lineup has specifically looked bad when I thought they had
some really solid hitters top to bottom of that lineup.
So I've been really surprised that it's not doing that well.
The surprise to see the two teams at the top
and how kind of I can say strong they've looked.
But I gotta admit Milwaukee and Chicago just might be
legit and they'll be fighting for the top spot in
the NL Central. Man, maybe the Reds are going to

(27:49):
give this a really good fight. I actually have a
futures bet on the Reds for the division. But I've
been really surprised how kind of things have played out
in the Central so far.

Speaker 2 (27:57):
Yeah, the Central, in both the National League and the
American I feel like I've been the two most intriguing
divisions at this point and the two most wide open divisions.
And then when it comes to what we've all got
on Monday, We've ran through a few games as far
in the National League, anything else that's catching your attention,
whether it's a game that just in general you want
to take in and observe a little bit more, or
a game that you're going to be betting on.

Speaker 3 (28:18):
Yeah, I think the Cubs certainly intrigue me. Ronaldo Lopez
on the mound for the Braves, but for the Cubs
they have Emnaga, who's going to be on the mountain.
I probably butchered that name. I think everybody's still trying
to figure it out. But he's been great, and so
you know, the Brakes are always going to be a
big favorite, especially get home, and it's not too big
of a favorite. I think I saw them around minus
one forty five, But they're always going to be a
favorite at home. They are always a team that's going

(28:38):
to be favored through most of these. Just with what
that Cubs pitcher has done. Emanaga, what he's done, I
think it's worth kind of tailing betting on if you
want to stick to a first five. I'm sure that
number is going to be much lower and much closer
to even money. I'm sure people are going to want
to be betting him. But he gives Chicago a chance
to win in games, and I think Chicago has been
okay again, not the greatest of teams, but I think
the Braves also very good shows it. They're not bulletproof though,

(29:02):
so I think in a game like this, with the
Cubs having such a great pitcher on the mound, I
do kind of want to take them as a dog
there because I think maybe the Braves are just getting
it still. I have to say too much love because
again they're good, but this isn't like the Juggernaut Braves
scene from last year a couple of years ago. This
is one, at least for the moment, is a bit vulnerable.
So I do like the Cubs in that one.

Speaker 2 (29:24):
And additionally, you've got the Braves coming off of Sunday
Night Baseball having to travel back from New York late
in the night as well. With Ronaldo Lopez being a
minus one forty US favorite, I agree with you. I
think that this has gone a little bit too far
and I'm going to be taking a look at that
plus number as well. And You're always a plus when
it comes to this show. John, you do a tremendous
job over at Fox Sports Philadelphia the Gambler and just

(29:46):
want to give you the floor here, a lot of
good people at home. No, it's all on top for
you and how people are able to fall on on
social media and other platforms.

Speaker 3 (29:52):
Yeah, you can just follow me at Jjdson thirty four.
Check out the podcast The Line Change podcasts have been
starting up as well. You could check that out just
search up the Line Change with John Jansen wherever you
get your podcasts and also on the iHeartRadio app just
search up the Line Change with John Jansen. But yeah,
all of that will be found as well also at
Jay Jansen thirty four on Twitter.

Speaker 2 (30:11):
And John does a tremendous job take you a look
at this great game that we all know. Love of baseball,
so big thanks aam for joining me on the Baseball
Betting Show now part of the Vson Family Podcasts and
coming in next It is that time the podcast and
give you picks and analysis and every game on the
betting board for this Baseball Monday. As we got yourma.

Speaker 1 (30:31):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (30:40):
Every rag to love you Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Chew with myself Greg Peterson now part of the
Vson Family Podcast. It is always a pleasure to be
joined by John Jansen, who does great work over at
Fox Sports Philadelphia. The Gambler taking a look at this
tremendous game. I know that he is doing great work
out there in the city of Philadelphia. Take it a
look at a little bit of everything season of these

(31:00):
seventy six yer is what we're going to be getting
out of the Philadelphia Eagles and so much more. So
big thanks to John for joining me in the last segment.
Now it is that time the podcast. They give you
picks and analysis on every game on the betting board
for this Baseball Monday, as we touch them all.

Speaker 3 (31:14):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and a total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (31:19):
Do you know that, as per usual, any changes are
made to these plays will be listed up on my
Twitter slash x feed at you and under forty one,
and we are going to be going in lost segrestitation
or this is where we go at the national games first,
then the American League games, any inter league games, those
are going to be at the bottom. That'll keep things
all Niceknea, clean and easy. So without further ado, let's
have it on this first game of of nine to one.

(31:40):
I know two on the betting board. The Philadelphia Phillies,
if they'read they're facing up against the New York Mets,
says good this the first. Sanchez is on the bump
for the Phills, Sean Maney is on the bump for
the Mets. Mets find themselves anywhere between plus one oh
five plus one twelve underdogs and between minus one twenty
to mins one twenty five is that number on the
Philly seven half is a total over both at minus
one ten, waiting for this to nudge up by about

(32:03):
five or so since on the Mets I set them
at a plus one thirteen unless if we get something
unfore scene to where the Philadelphia Phillies fall below like
im minus one twelve, I will be on the Mets
here just waiting for a little bit of a better number.
But for sham and A, I've been quite impressed by
what I've seen out of him thus far this season,
and really going back to the back half of last season,

(32:23):
from the All Star break on, he was really able
to do a nice job blocking it down he has
provided since he also break up the twenty twenty three season,
it's up three to five year. A little bit of
concern with the walks. He has been given up about
four point seven four point eight walks per nine nings
as far this season, but all I all has been
able to go out there has been relatively rock solid,
and he's backed up by a bullpen that does rank
in the top five of the big leagues with regards

(32:44):
to eer Now. I know that for the longest time
there was a big fade these seams off of Sunday
and a baseball approach, and I personally had a lot
of success with Ever since they nudged up that start
time to more like seven o'clock the Eastern instead of eight,
I've noticed that these teams coming off of Sunday night baseball,
but much more effective. And for the Mets, even though
they did use up guys like Adam Montavio, Jake Diekman,

(33:06):
Edwin Diaz in the bullpen yesterday, all these guys through
fourteen pitches are less, so they should be relatively good
to go there. And you do have a Philly team
that I think he's going to pick it up with
a bullpen and strom Jeff Hoffman. They've been relatively rock
solid thus far this season, but team is still in
the bottom ten in the big leagues with regards to
Bullpenny Ray. Again, typically for six weeks of the season,
Phillies are rough in that bullpen and then they pick

(33:27):
it up from there. But Christopher Sanchez has been nothing
short of sensational three twenty two era, very comparable fielding independent.
It's getting about eight half straightcouts per nine and nis
now the walks are a little bit of a concern,
with about three point seven walks for nine innings, but
after last year he gave up about one a half
home runs per nine innings, has given up just one
jack in thirty six innings. And the Mets just flying
out or not hitting at City Field right now, they're

(33:49):
everyting about three point five to three point six runs
per game at home compared to five and a half
away from home. I do think that things are going
to iron out a little bit. While City Field is
a little bit more of a pitcher's ballpark, it's not
this big of a pitcher's ballpark, and you do have
a pair of guys and Peter Blonzo Brand and Nimo.
They'll be able to give you fifteen home runs between
the two of them thus far this season. But the
biggest thing is they just seem to find a way

(34:09):
to move the line a little bit more. Nimo, Brett Bady,
Jeff McNeil. These are all guys came between about a
two thirty to a two forty. JD. Martinez since coming
into the fold, he's hitting at two sixty five and
got his first home run on Saturday. But Mett's have
been a little bit rough at the play. But I
do think they're going up against a bullpen of the
Phillies that's gonna help out a little bit. And for
the Phillies, they've done a tremendous job with their Offensekel

(34:31):
Schoreber Brice Harper are both up to nine home runs,
both of these guys moving the line much more recently,
especially with Harper out to a three eighty seven on base.
Alec Bohm alot of Trey Turner at both many of
late to three forty this year, So you have Trey
Turner the fold. Alec Bohm just fills right in and
he's done so very well. And Bryce, it's not he's
seen many more starts. Ever since we have seen the
injury to Trey Turner, they've had to mix around the

(34:52):
infield a little bit more. You've been seeing a little
bit more Amando Sosa, and both of these guys are
raring at two seventy plus. Nicosianis has had a rough season,
but three home runs for him in the last seven
days as well. But I do think that the Mets
gonna be able to do a pretty rock solid job
in that bullpen, being able to get a plus one
ten right now and just need a little bit more there.
Like I said, a plus one thirteen or higher, I'm
going to be in on the Mets, but I do

(35:13):
think that can get a few runs in this game
as well. I have my question marks with that Phillies bullpen,
and for the Mets, I do think that they're going
to come around and see some positivity at home. Somebody
told some point six I'd like the over and at
a plus one fourteen or I I will be taking
a look at the Mets. Nine oh three, nine oh four.
On the banning board, it is the chicag Cubs on
the road facing up against the Atlanta Braves. Says I,
You've got to re know the Lopez on the pump

(35:33):
for the Braves, and Shota in Minaga is on the
bump for the Cubs, and the Cubs do find themselves
as an underdog. Any 'teen plus one twenty and plus
one thirty one and we're tweening minus one thirty seven
to minus one forty five? Is that number on Atlanta?
Seven a half to eight is a total on the
seven a half ourver is minus one fifteen. The under
spinus one oh five. The eight has under juice between
minus one twenty two minus one fifteen, the overs between
even a minus one oh five, and I am going

(35:55):
to be taking shot on The Cubs need at least
a plus one fifteen to get there, and we have
stain League gone there. And for him in Aga, I
don't think that he's going to be able to keep
up in ra that is darned near one. But this
guy has been absolutely supreme. He's giving up one point
one walks for nine and nnies. He's getting north of
nine stray coots ver nine. Ennings has a lot of
just three home runs in forty one and two thirds innings.
One of the best pitchers in terms of fielding Independent

(36:17):
in the league. He leads all qualify Financial League starters
in terms of walks per nine and and on the
flip side, Ronaldo Lopez one fifty three ra He's not
gonna be able to say that. But even though he
has been giving up a little bit north of three
walks for nine innings, oh no, this has been really good.
And I felt like he was misused by the Chicago
White Sox. I feel like they might have punted on
him as the starter a little bit too soon, as

(36:38):
he was utilized on the bullpen last season. But two
runs given up in thirty five innings, He's getting nine
draycots for nin and Ennis. He has been tremendous. And
for the Atlanta Braves, this has been a unit that
has been very good with regards to their offense. So
they're in a little bit of a funk recently, four
runs are fear scored and all but one of their
last I believe now eight games. But you know that
they're gonna bust out of it sooner rather than later.

(37:00):
What really is the surprise is that I've only got
two guys with Rotha four home runs on the team.
Marcel Zuona is carrying them twelve home runs north of
four armed base and then you've got Travis Arnaut three
fifty three on base, five home runs. As far the season,
the other guys are so moving line like, You've got
Austin Riley, Ronaldcuney Junior, Orlando Arcia in between about a
two forty five, two fifty five. You've been able to

(37:20):
get a good average out of Michael Harris, guys like this,
but you just expect a little bit more from this
Braves lineup. Meanwhile, for the Chicott Cubs, now they're getting
to full health. As you get back Cody Bellinger, you
get back ci A Suzuki and Bellinger. Since coming out
the injurless he's had multiple home runs. Christopher Morel was
having a rough start to the season. He's had three
home runs in the last eight days. Michael Bush has

(37:41):
been a little bit up and down since he had
the five home runs in five games sort of thing.
But Patrick Wisom, who's never hit for average, he's correlating
above a three hundred as well. This Cups team has
been one of the best in all of baseball in
terms of being able to generate runs. And I do
think that that is going to be able to carry over.
And for the Atlanta Brays, they didn't have to use
a few bullpen pieces yesterday like they're completely cooked or

(38:01):
anything like that, but they have had to go to
Rossi Iglesias quite a bit over the last few days.
They did have to use up Aaron Bumber for North
with twenty pitches, but that's a guy that you actually
want to use up. Jesse Schavazilmly, even though they went yesterday,
they went for less than fifteen pitches, so should be
all to get there. And for the inlanda Rays, this
is a top eight team in terms of bullpenny aray.
For the Cubs, this is a bottom twelve team in
terms of bullpenny araa as they've been dealing with the

(38:22):
injury to Julian Merriweather, which has hurt them, but does
feel like they're starting to find their footing. Was a
Quass was bad towards being part of the season. Now
that he's back up at the big league blebble, I
think that he's going to be able to supply some
good innings. I like what I've been seeing out of
Victor and Aris. Mark Lighter Junior are both supplying a
sub three era and later about a zero fifty three era.
I do think that for the Cubs they're going to
get a nice start out of him and Aga to

(38:43):
really mitigate that bullpen. I do think that the Cubs
find a way to be able to get to Lopez here,
and I do think that both of these started start
to suffer a haad a bit of regression. So so
m I tell it at eight point one. I like
the over. I like the Cubs at the plus price
on the money line nine to five, nine of six
on the bank board. The Milwaukee Burgers playoffs to the
Pittsburgh prior. Bitch Keller is on the bump for the Buckos.
Colin rays a zipit parade to another start for Milwaukee.

(39:04):
Milwaukee's a minus one thirty four to a minus one
forty two favorite between plus one eighteen plus one twenty
four that number on Pittsburgh between eight and a and
a half and see total on the eighthy over his
minus one twenty y unders even on the eight and
a half under his minus one fifteen. The over is
minus one to five, and I'm going to be one
to lay it with burs set them as a minus
one forty four favor Colin Ray is not getting a
lot of swings and misses right now. He's only getting

(39:25):
about six punch outs for nine nunnings. But unlike last
season where he was giving up quite a bit of
hard contact, he's been able to reduce on the deep
ball a little bit, and he's been able to pitch
much better at home. Last season, he was posting up
an era that was far greater when he was at
home rather than away from him. As far as the season,
he's really been able to sety things as in his
home starts as far as the season, other than that
bad start they had against the New York Yankees, has

(39:47):
been able to do a relatively rock solid job. I
believe that he has out giving up just six earned
runs and his three home starts as far as the
season so has been much more stable when he has
been out there in Milwaukee. Though again the four to
fifty seven fielding depending compared to the three twenty nine hera,
that's a little bit of a concern. And for Mitch Keller,
he's dealt with a velocity dip this season, though it
seems to be coming back to on five plus strikeouts

(40:08):
in each other the last three starts, he's got four
twelve fielding and finding compared to four to forty one ERA.
But he's had his struggles throughout his career against the
Milwaukee Brewers and with the Burs getting back Christian Yelich,
I think that that is absolutely massive, a guy that
had five home runs at his first eleven games of
the season, so that's gonna be of concern for he
a lot of the Pittsburgh Pirates bullpen that's probab league
average in terms of their bullpen, And said for the

(40:30):
Pittsburgh Priors, Dave been our long role to Chapman both
posting up North for forty year as that's rough, and
Hunter Stratt was really looking good for the team to
begin the season. He has went down the toilet bowljo
just a little bit, so that's not something that you
necessarily like. And speaking of how bad Mitch Keller has
been against the Burers by the way, six thirty seven
career ERA and seventh starts, so that's not necessarily too tremendous.

(40:50):
And now you've got William Caturis giving you North thirty
four around me saying I think that's some of these
younger guys like Joey Ortiz. Bryce rang, you're gonna start
to experience a little bit of regression for the Burs. Yes,
but Reee Hoskins looks like the Reee Hoskins of old.
Nine home runs, nothing for a great average, but giving
you a three thirty five on base, and the Burs
have been your top over team in all of baseball. Meanwhile,
for the Pirates, saying the San Louis Cardinals are the

(41:12):
worst teams in the National LEAGA terms run creation. Onyl
Cruz is up to seven home runs, so he's been
able to find it very much so recently now thinking
about it two sixty five. And Connor Jones given you
about a three sixty on base as well. That's been nice.
Brian Reynolds, now he's hitting about it two thirty five.
But just have too many veterans that aren't getting the
job done. Jacksoninisky Rowdy tells Andrew McCutcheon, these were supposed

(41:33):
to be power guys, experienced guys that opted out the team.
Between the three of them seven home runs and allreading
a buck ninety one or less. That is not helping
out the cause for the Burs are currently twelfth in
the Leaga terms and bullpenning are I think that the
bullpen is better than this, and they've been doing it
all without Devin Williams. You've got now Joe Piamps who's
out of the full, but Elvis Pierro, Brian Hudson throwing

(41:53):
their Trevor McGill. These guys have all been pretty rock
solid thus far this season. Tygo Vieira is becoming a
little bit more of a trustworthy guy as well. So
I do think that the Burs go out there get
the job done in this one. I do like the
way that Mitch Keller has been rolling a little bit
more recently. I did sell my total at an eight
point three, but between an eight two and eight and
a half, I'd rather take a eight over rather than
an eight and a half under because Ray is very
much a pitch of contact guy. But I do think

(42:14):
that the Burrs find a way to be able to
get the job done well in the lay up a
minus one forty three with the Burrs on the money line,
and do like that eight over nine oh seven, nine
to eight on the bank board the Ears and Diamondbacks players.
Cincinnai reads, Yes, we are on to Cincinnati, and they're
on to Graham Ashcraft getting the start in one. Jordan
Montgomery's on the bump for Arizona. Arizona between a minus
one thirty five dough mins one forty five favorite and
between plus one twenty zero plus one twenty eight is

(42:36):
your number on Cincinnati. A alf to nine is a
total on the eight and a half over is minus
one twenty five. Under is plus one five on the nine.
The unders mins one twenty in the overs. Even so,
by total an eight point six, pretty much, I've got
mostly eight and a half available to me, and I'd
rather have an eight and a half over. Hopefully we
can get a little bit of better juice that's open
up at a minus one fifteen. So I would say

(42:56):
that if push came to shove, you'd probably almost rather
take nine over at more like even money rather than
a minus one twenty five. I just I, when it
comes to totals, do not lay minus one twenty five whatsoever.
I would rather go up a half a run rather
than lay the minus one twenty five, just because such
few of them actually laying on the number, you're gonna
be losing a bunch of money if you lay the

(43:17):
minus one twenty fives consistently that said, this is a
spot where I'm gonna be taking a look at the
Diamondbacks at a minus one forty seven. Jordan Montgomery had
one bad blow up start in that game against the
li Dodgers where he was pushed back a day due
to the b tola. I had no idea why they
did that, and he came out flat the next day.
If you take that out of the fold, because that
just should not have happened. He has given up a

(43:38):
combined six earned runs over the course of twenty innings.
As far this season, he has been very much pitching
the contact. He's got just sen strikecouts to twenty three innings,
but it's not giving up a lot of walks. He's
keeping the ball in the yard. He's been just fine
in for Graham Ashcraft. His swing and miss stuff is
up this year. He's never really been a guy that
has gotten you more than seven strikeouts for nine innings.
This year he's more around about seven a half strike

(43:58):
cuts er nian innings up a touch over home run
per nine nings, but has greatly reduced on the walks
he's found to about two point five two point six
walks per nine and Nnings have for Ashcraft and his
four starts on the road, he has been great.

Speaker 3 (44:10):
Now.

Speaker 2 (44:11):
Part of it is due to the fact that the
eight runs that he's given up, four of them have
been unearned, but still as went out there all down
the foid opponents, aretting two twenty six off of them
away from home. You have to have some trepidations with
both of these bullpens, though. Both of these bullpens in
the bottom half of the big leagues in terms of VRA.
For the Reds, they got a nice sign of life
when Sam Mole was back in the fold, but now
he's that out the fold, so that's not great. And

(44:32):
then you've got guys like Emilia Gone, Lucas Simms who
have not been great. Alexis cs I've always liked him
as a closer, but he's currently having a rough season.
And for the years in the Diamondbacks, Miguel Castro, Luis Friez,
they're currently on the inter list, so I don't think
that that's necessarily the World's worst saying is Paul Cywild
is back in as a closer for the seam. Bryce
Jarvis can be a relatively good long guy as well.
Because they got a good start out of Zach Allen,

(44:53):
they didn't have to use up a lot of trustworthy
relievers on Sunday and for the ears end, the Diamondbacks
just light out. This is a top seven team in
the Big Leagues with regards to runs per game. And
this is with Corbyn Carroll being miserable this season. Two
home runs and he's sitting at two oh one. But
when has really helped out this team? About Christian Walker
and Cantel Marte. The Marte parte is nine ome runs
at a three forty on base, Walker seven bombs. He's

(45:14):
sitting for a three seventy five terms of his on
base But about the ancillary pieces, guys like Randall Gritchick,
Jock Peterson, Jake McCarthy plays Alexander Owning at least a
two to sixty three for this seam. On the flip side,
you got a Reds lineup that finally exceeded the five
run plateau. It was the first time in the entirety
of the month of May that they exceeded four runs.
Yesterday they still lost, but it was nice to see.

(45:35):
But Ali Dayla Cruz has had to be the entire
team in terms of the lineup, he's got a three
to sixty five on base, nine home runs. A Spencer
this year as a three sixty five on base as well,
but he's sitting just a two forty eight. But then
you get to Jamierican, Malario, Christian and Carnassistra and Santiago
has been Will Benson able to throw on their Nick
Martiniz to her fair child. All these guys are hitting
at two thirteen or lower. It's just a lack of

(45:57):
balance in general. I do think that they're going to
be able to make tag tof of Montgomery. I just
don't think that they do much with it. And I
do think that this is the spot where both of
these bullpens gotta be yacking away a few runs. So,
like I said, if push came to shove between the
eight and a half to a nine, I would rather
take an eight and a half over. Like I said,
if I would be able to get a plus number
on nine over as well, that's something I would take
before an eight and a half out of minus one

(46:19):
twenty five personally, But looking at the over in the
spot now with the years in a nine but back,
some want to lay the money lines out them out
of minus one forty seven nine or nine nine ten
on the banking board. The colride, Rocky's at the red
face off against the slam Diego Padres. But then ne
Vasquez is on the bump for the Padres, and to
go to Hudson goes for Colorado. Colorado a size wonder dog.
Any we're team plus one, somebody had a plus one
eighty five. Meanwhile in between minus one ninety minus twoh

(46:41):
five your number on San Diego eight eight and a
half is the total on the eight overs minus one
fifteen hundreds mivines one of five on the eight and
a half hundreds between minus one twenty two minus one
twenty five overs between even a plus one o five
did somebody total at eight point four? Personally, I would
rather take an eight over rather than an eight and
a half under, because you've got to go to Hudson
on the mountain, and to go to Hudson is just
a terrible pitcher. Like you take a look at Dakota

(47:01):
Hudson right now. Is Zra is about a six or
eighty five fielding independent. Very much in line with that.
He has given up more walks and strikeouts. The lone
thing that Dakota Hudson does semi okay is keep the
ball in the yard. He's always had a home runs
per nine rate that is less than one. But he
doesn't do anything else well. He doesn't miss bats. He
tries to get ground balls, typically unsuccessfully. Like this guy

(47:23):
is just a big give fade at this point. And
for Andy Vasquez, a little bit of an up and
comers look good in his appearances. He has given up
the three home runs and twelve innings as far this season,
but I think pitching in San Diego is going to
be able to do him some good. And keep in
mind in terms of it starts at cors Field, at
Wrigley Field and played against the Toronto Blue Jays, so
he's been able to do a relatively solid job, in

(47:44):
my opinion, holding down the fort Even when he was
with the New York Yankees a season ago. Command was
honestly the world's greatest. But on Ill did a solid
job as a formidable starter, and that's all you need
against the Colrad Rocky team that has been absolutely miserable
in terms of offense. If you take ballpark fact the fold,
if you just look at everything very raw. This has
been darn near the worst offense in all of baseball.

(48:06):
You do have Eliass who's sitting above a threer. Ryan
McMahon has done a solid job moving the line. He's
been able to give the team six plus home runs
thus far this season, and a little bit of credit
where it is to Ezekiel Tovar has found a way
to be able to give you about a two sixty
five average. That said, with the Colrad Rockies right now,
they are generally three point three runs per game on
the road. That is the worst marked you're finding in
the National Lake. Nolan Jones when he's been out there,

(48:27):
has been miserable. I think they's yelled WITHLD a little
bit of an injury. Michael Toglia is right now number
two on the team and home runs actually tied for
number two on the team and home runs at four
and I don't think that he's taken at a bend
in like four weeks. Like it is just really really
bad for this offense. Meanwhile, you've got a San Diego
Patre seam that has been able to do a relatively
rock solid job ever since you've gotten into the fold.

(48:49):
Luisa Rise polisa rise overall for the season dating back
to his time with the Miami Marlins is sitting darnear
three hundred. But I also find it to be very
intriguing when you're finding in terms of her righty versus
left he said, with the San Diego Patres, they are
doing a great job hitting Rightyes, they're hitting in two
seventy one with a three thirty vs. Against lefties, they
have been absolutely miserable as far this season, and fortunately

(49:09):
for them to go Dutson, he's not a lefty end
really for the Cobrade Rockies, who just don't have a
lot of lefties in general, not that it makes too
much of a difference, because these guys are pretty much sink,
especially as this bullpen as in the bottom meeting the
big leagues. In terms of bullpenny ray though, I will
say Victor Bodnik has been able to do a solid
job along with Jaalen Beeks and the bullpen and Beaks.
It's a little bit of a lefty, but guys like
Tyler Kinley, justin Lawrence posting up north of a five

(49:32):
era Anthony Molina being rough, that's not great. And for
the San Diego patters who pick up Yuki Matsui and
Jade Los Santos alone, Pewenty Berolta, all guys they think
are going to get the job done a lot with
Roberts Wrz. For you, bullpen that is right now about
legue average in terms of the ray should be good
enough to play in this one. I do think the
vasquets in that bullpen gives up a few runs, but
just absolutely not a believer here in the kot huts
and had an eight. I'm going to be taking the

(49:52):
leak of the over, and for the patters, I'm gonna
be oneing to lay the run line right now, finding
that at a minus one oh five, I was willing
to lay up to more like eight minus one ten
in this spot. So gonna be one to lay that
run line of the potter's and gonna be taking a
look at the eight over nine to eleven, nine twelve
on the Betty Bore. The ELI Dodgers at the road
face off against the San Francisco Giants. Jordan Nix is
on the bump for the Giants, Yes you, Nobo Yamamoto

(50:13):
is on the bump for the Dodgers. Dodgers between minus
one seventy six minus one eighty two favorites plus one
sixty two plus one sixty eight. That number on the
Giants seven to seven A half is a total on
the seven. The overs between minus one tend to a
minus twenty hundreds between even a minus one ten on
the seven A half under is between minus one ten
to a mis sol twenty two overs between minus one
ten the even money. And I did set this line

(50:34):
at a seven point nine in terms of total. I'm
gonna be taking a look at the over and I'm
gonna take a shot on the Giants. I set them
at a plus one fifty seven. Yamamoto, if you take
that Soul series, start on the fold where he was
in South Korea. He's posted up about it to era.
He has been very solid for the Seam. He's given
up about a home run per nine and he's it
strikeats per nine rate is right around ten. He has

(50:54):
been tremendous. But about what Jordan Neix has been able
to do. The Woxsport nine rate being right around three
is a little bit concer ain. It's got to feel
the Independent above it's two thirty, but he's kept the
ball in the Yark giving up one home run in
forty three innings. He plays in one of the more
ultimate pitchers ballparks that you're gonna find in the big
leagues in San Francisco. Now, you always have to hold
your breadth with the San Francisco Giants bullpen. They are

(51:15):
currently in the bottom five the big leagues turns of
eer but Taylor and Tyler Rodgers are both rock solid.
Could be able to ballist at a little bit of
a tough season, But I think that he's gonna be
able to pick it up as they're closer they get
Luke Jackson back, So I do think the sunny days
are at now with the Dodgers, you always recognize that
you're fading the death star lineup as right now, Shoyo
Tani hitting a three point fifty two with a double

(51:35):
figure amount of homers. It's absolutely insane. Lookie Betts has
slowed down a little bit with regards to home run power,
but he's still giving you north of a four to
forty on base dascar and and is up to eleven
home runs. Really, sans Chris Taylor, Gavin Lux, these guys
are at the bottom of the fold. The eight to
nine spots one through seven is about as dominant as
you've found in a very long time for the Eliot Dodgers. Meanwhile,

(51:57):
for the San Francisco Giants, it does feel like match
you have and it's getting a little bit more online.
He had that Grand Slam on Saturday, so that'll be
able to help them out. You've been able to get
some really good on base percent out of Lamont way
Junior out of four eighty. Need the other guys to
be able to pick it up because you've got one
other player other than Lamont Waite Junior with north of
ninety two a pants as far this season with an
on base percentage as above a three ten. That'd be

(52:18):
Michael Colfordo, who's been solid seven home runs to eighty average.
And I mean for the Giants, see lineup itself has
been able to create some power. Out of their top
five players in terms of that pass, four of them
have at least five home runs, with Ariost out of
being able to give you six bombs, he's sitting about
it two fifty, but also two seventy five on base.
But I do think that they get to Yama Moto
a little bit more. I think that has more tape
becomes available on Yama Mota. On some of these foreign

(52:40):
import pitchers, you're going to be finding offenses having a
little bit more success with them. And I do think
that for Jordan next he's going to experience a little
bit of regression as well. So I do like the
over seb I toel at some point. Nine. That said,
with the San Francisco Giants at a plus one fifty
eight or higher, will take them on the money line
nine thirteen, nine fourteen on the bank board, the Bolt
Memorials place in the Toronto Blue Jays OZ bios on
the bump for the JS and core member Earns is

(53:02):
on the bump for Baltimore. Baltimore between a minus one
sixty two, a minus one seventy two favorite and between
plus one and forty two plus one fifty five then
number on Toronto it is the total the overs between
minus one oh five to a minus one twenty the
under that is any between minus one oh five to
even money and seeing as bad as a minus one
fifteen as well. And for the Blue Jays need at

(53:23):
least a plus one fifty four to take shot, they're
can now offering a plus one fifty five. I'm gonna
be one to dive in here now. For the Blue Jays,
it has been our rough state of affairs for them.
They are in the bottom ten in terms of runs
per game generated. I feel like they might have woken
up a little bit on that Saturday game where they
came back from down seven to one. And for Flag
Girl Junior, at least he's giving you something the four

(53:44):
home runs. Expect a little bit more there, but at
three sixty four on base two seventy five average, he's
not the problem. The problem is, Oh, I don't know,
Boba shit, Aleander Kirk who's been in and on the full,
Cavan Biggio, George Springer, these guys hitting at two five
or less with really not a lot of power. Is
the only guy throw with the four home runs on
the team right now? Sultan varshow about a three to
fifteen on base six pounds for him? He's been able

(54:06):
to do a little bit of something though. You've been
able to get Isaac nairfuloflan Dava Scheer to move the line,
especially Schneider. It's given you a three eighty five on base.
And for the Baltimo Orials, this team has been absolutely
the best team in the Big leagues in terms of
hitting home runs. Each other a top eight players in
terms of that Pats have at least five home runs
as far this season, and each other their top seven
players in terms of that Pats, so everyone with at

(54:27):
least one hundred beats on the roster has at least
six home runs as far as the season. That's just
power that's unmatched by anyone among their top eight home
run hitters. All but two of them, I've been able
to hit at least a two fifty seven. But we
are noticing that Colton Kowlizer is starting to go a
little bit cold. Jordan Westburg seed it up. He's hitting
a three hundred lone Healy Rush when both of these
guys are really doing a nice job of both of
the line and for the Baltimo Orials, this bullpen has

(54:49):
been very solid, but it's a tax bullpen. They had
to be used quite a bit in that series against
the Diamondbacks at eleven inning game to not help them out.
And you now have Albert Swarez is a little bit
of a long guy in the bullpen to be able
to help out a little bit with regards to that workload.
Danny Kloom, you know your cano. These guys have been solid,
Greg Kimberl. If you look at the era, it's not
the world's worst, but only it's hard to have faith there.

(55:10):
And for the Blue Jays currently this is a dead
last bullpen in terms of ERA in the big leagues.
But I do think that it's gonna be able to
prove moving forward. Yeah, Jordan Romano along HEREX wants to
begin the season on the injured list. Zach Popp, he
is helt with injury. He's been able to play a
sub three twenty five Uran. Tim Meza lines year out
a sub two ERA. He's up well north of his
sixth as far this season. I think that we should
see some positivity there. And for Jose Bodios, he's actually

(55:31):
been much better on the road this far this season.
For Mitsobodios, he's got a two eighty five Yarra now field,
your penn is more around at four forty en. He
still has those home in roads. What's heier eighty seven
Homira four to thirty nine road era give it up
five more runs to twenty six and two thirds nings
away from home. But I do think that there should
be some positivity coming from on our contact front, and
I do think that for the Blue Chase, they're gonna
be able to get a little bit to Corbyn Burns here.

(55:53):
It's been given up about one point one five home
runs bur nine innings. Burns even back when he was
with the Brewers, actually pitched worse when he was at
home than we knew he was away from them. Obviously,
Cambden Yards has different ballpark dimensions, but it's ginning about
nine straight cuts for nine and ninnies. I mean the
swings and missus. They're still solid, but they aren't supreme.
And I will say six plus straight cuts in each
out of his last three starts, but it's looked very

(56:13):
hit able recently. Has given up three plus runs in
three out of his last five games. So when those
runs against the Brewers were under runs, I think the
game this big of a plus number of brios is appealing.
So plus one fifty five or ire we're going to
have the Blue Jays on the money line. Did some
my total at a se point six. I do think
that the Jase still gonna have a little bit of
tough time generating offenses, and I do think that both
of these bullpens give a good outing as well. So

(56:34):
I like the under, and I do like the Blue
Jays on the money line nine fifteen nine sixteen on
the bank board, the Tampa Bay Rays, you throw out
the facing up against the Boston Red Sox Cutter Crawford
is on the bump for the Sucks. Zach geflines not
be flent offul for Tampa Bay. It is a total
over and under between minus one of five to one
mins one fifteen mins one fifteen mins one twenty two
is that numbrown Boston even money to plus one o
eight is that number on Tampa Bay, and was willing

(56:56):
to go up to a minus one thirty on Boston.
I'm gonna be taking a look at them on the
money mine counter. Crawford was just so unlucky at home
last season. Last season he added two to fifty seven
roadiarra compared to an ERA of six at home that
has right to fight itself one fifty nine rodire one
ninety homira in eight starts. As far this season, he
has given up two runs in forty six and a
third endings, giving up few of the three walks Er

(57:17):
nine and Ennis He's been very very good just in
all fronts and who was up against someone in Zach
Efln who he's a very SETI Eddy pitcher in the
way that he doesn't give up free passes, just four
walks in forty eight innings. That's actually better than George
Kirby has been thus far this season. But the wif
freight has been a little bit down this far this season.
A big reason why on the already set of four
seventy six the area thus far, he has been giving

(57:38):
up a little bit of our contact. He's given up
about one point six home runs for nine ninety three
seventy five are feely dependent, very comparable due to the
deep balling for the Boston Red Sox. I do think
that they're going to be able to get to him.
With tylern Neal in the middle of full being absolutely
tremendous with nine ol runs three seventy five on base
if you have Raphael Devers Wiler Abrau along with Connor
Wong also giving at least a three to seventy eight

(57:59):
eight in terms of their ambies percent long five home
runs at eighty nine at bats as far this season. Now,
some of the younger guys like Emmanuel Veldez, Pablo Reyes,
Bobby Dolbeck. These guys have been less than tremendous, but
we've seen Jaron Duran step up as well. For the
Tampa Bay Race, it's just been touching going turns the lineup.
Over the last week and a half, we've seen some eruptions,
but Randy arose Rain is scilating a buck fifty eighth.

(58:21):
As far this season, he and Easak Parades combined fifteen
over runs and for Parades he's been fine. He Harold
Riverez a Medor Rosario are leading at least at two
seventy five in the case of Parades, a three eighty
seven on base. Richie Pelasios is providing a foreigner on
base and said, you still have a lot of guys
that they're just not holding up their end of the bargain.
Ben ro Fit at the countcher spot has been solid,
but when you've got Rennie Pinto out there, he's provided

(58:44):
nothing else. And Shelton has been rough and Andy Diaz
is starting to pick it up a little bit. But
also with the Tampa Bay Race, they have the far
worst bullpen than the Boston Red Sox, I can't believe
I'm saying that they're starting to get Pete Fairbanks back
in the full. But that said, Charnon Armstrong, Jason Adam
Dese have had to be your main guy in the bullpen.
Gear Clevenger has been solid as well, but you've seen
guys like Phil Bayton and Verisimo Ramirez in company not

(59:05):
doing the job. As for the Tampa Bay Race, currently
twenty seventh of the big leagues in terms of Bullpenny Ray. Meanwhile,
for the Boston Red Sox, this has been a bullpen
has really stepped up number five in the big leagues
with this regard Justin Slayton, it's been a really good
multi ending guy. Chris Martin last year at a sub
two era, we've seen a little bit of regression there,
rightfully so, but Brandon Bernardino, Greig Wiser, they've been able
to do a really good job with this up three
era as well. And I do think the cutter Crawford

(59:27):
finds a way to get the job done, and I
do think that the Red Sox gonna be able to
get a little bit of contact against the race. I
like the way that the race have picked it up
a little bit with their bats, but I do think
that Flin gives it up along that bullpen. So I
did tell my total at eight point two. I like
the over, and I'm gonna be willing to lay up
to a minus one thirty on that Red Sox money
line nine seventeen nine eighteen on the bank board. The
Walker Texas Rangers do playoffs. The Cleveland Guardian says, the

(59:48):
Guardians are out out there tanner Byby Well, Michael Lorenzo
goes for Texas. Texas is back to being a favorite
between minus one fourteen to a minus one twenty even
money to plus one of six is at number on Cleveland.
Ain't alf is the total over the between minds pointen
to min twenty the unders between even and minus one ten.
I did set the Guardians to where I need at
least a plus one to eight on them, So just
need two more cents on them, and I've seen a

(01:00:11):
few plus one o eights pop up there at a
plus one oh eight or higher. I'm going to be
taking a shot on the Cleveland Guardians. Just really hard
to have a lot of faith of Michael Lorenzen. For Lorenzen,
he doesn't get a lot of whifts. He's been up
with reguards to his walks a little bit thus far
this season, a just in general, it's given up a
lot of our contact. Five home runs surrender in twenty
nine innings, giving up nearly four and ninfe walks Ernie

(01:00:32):
and Ennings been a big giant issue from four to
sixty six. ERA field Independent is even worse than that
Danner Biby. Meanwhile, he's given up about one point two
five home runs per nine and Nnings. The three walks
per nine innings not as the appealing, but he's getting
tense right cuts for nine innings. I feel like he's
pitched a little bit better than what the ERA says.
He's went through a little bit of a rough patch.
Ten runs surrendered in his last two starts against the

(01:00:53):
Tigers and the La Angels. It's a little bit less
than savory. But he is backed up by a bullpen
that ranks in the top five of the big leagues
with regards to e Solvamanuel Class one of the best
closers a year and fine in all baseball on the
depth that you've got with his bullpen, even with Eli Morgan,
James Karen Check guys like this currently out of the fold,
it's still really second to none. Has been able to
get really good addings out of the likes of a

(01:01:13):
Nick Sandlin, Tim Herron Hunter, Gettis Kate Smith while providing
a two forty five yara or better. And for the Rangers,
are a little bit better with their bullpend this season
with David Robertson Kirby Yates coming into the full, but
it was able. Clerk has been rather miserable thus far
the season, a five to forty ear A. I like
what Jordan Lance is able to bring to the table.
And for the Texas Rangers, even though they've been able

(01:01:34):
to win games, the lineup just hasn't been necessarily what
we expected. Marcus Simeon and DoLS s Garcia. He combined
fifteen home runs thus far as the season, with Simeon
hitting about it two eighty five. Gray Seegers starting to
pick it up a little bit for him runs hitting
at two forty, but he's had a little bit of
rough COVID this season though. Really like what I'm seeing
on Jonah him. He's hitting our near three inner. He's
able to give you some good power as well, but

(01:01:55):
it's been a little bit touch and go towards the
bottom part of the lineup, and they have been dealing
with quite a few injuries. For the Guardians, see wells
run dry a little bit in terms of runs ever
since Stephen Kwan has been out of the fold. Now
got Josh Naylor, Jose Ramirez. He combined twenty home runs
as far as the season, and that's a big reason
why the Cleveland Guardians have went from dead stink and
last in the Big Leagues terms of home runs from
a season ago and have been a relatively good power

(01:02:16):
hitting team. Ben Naylor giving you about a three fifty
five on base and for Ramirez, he's dropped in terms
of its on base percentage all the way down to
about a two eighty. You're gonna need that to be
restored a little bit more as he sall have guys
like his Stevan Farrell, Tyler Freeman, bow Naylor hitting a
two hundred or lower. But that has been a nice
welcome sign for the CEMO. Brandon has been able to
move the line along with Andre Semenez, both in the
north of a two forty. So interesting circumstance here. I

(01:02:38):
do think that the Guardians are going to be able
to get to Lorenza and Tanner Biby not a say
in the world's greatest formats. While I do think that
the Rangers stepping up with their lineup, so so might
tell it at any point seven, I'd like the over,
and at a plus one eight or higher, gonna be
looking at that Cleveland money line. Now you have my
DCA over grey to pick nine nineteen nine twenty on
the bank board. The Oakland a's a throwad face off
against the Easton Astros. Spencer Arraghetty is on the buffer.
Houston Roles Stripling goes for Oakland. Oakland is an underdog

(01:03:01):
between plus one fifty to plus one sixty. Meanwhile between
minus one sixty nine to minus one eighty is Edinburgh
and Houston nine is a total under is between minus
one ten to a minus one twenty. The oversentny retween
minus one tend to a minus one twenty and right,
a pick is going to be on this little under.
I did so my total at a eight point three,
So even if this goes down to an eight and
a half, I'm gonna be taking a look at the under.
You've got two turning pitchers in my opinion that are

(01:03:23):
doing for some positivity roster playing. Right now, he leads
the American League and losses with six, but he's pitched
much better than that right now, posting up a five
to forty ear a the fielding Independent that's more around
about a three seventy three send a nice job of
being able to just keep the walks down. He's only
given about two walks per nine inights. It's always been
a pitch of contact guy. He's only getting about six

(01:03:44):
strikeouts per nine innings. That said, in terms of betting
average on balls and play throughout his career, it's been
about a two and eighty five. That's a three fifty
eighth this season. That's just bad luck in general. That
should be able to iron out a little bit more
moving forward, even against the Houston Astros lineup. That I
will say, out of all the problems that the answers
have right now, the top of the lineup, certain he's
not one of them. Or don Ovrez, Oseel two Ve

(01:04:05):
Kyle Tucker have all been able to give you some
plus home runs. As far this season, Alvarez has been
a little bit down in terms of his on base
per sage. Kyle Tucker along with Hoseel two ve though
both give me north of a three to fifty on base.
They're dealing with a little bit of an injury to
Chas McCormick, but that Jeremy pinionating about a three forty
for this team only everyone not named Jose Bray, who
has been pretty solid in terms of this lineup, even

(01:04:25):
guys like Mauricio Dubaum, but they do not provide a
lot of runs support there right now, I've been three
point three runs per contest away from home, that is
the second worst mark in the Big League's this despite
the fact that they're second in the league in terms
of home runs per game on the road. As you've
got Chay Langelaires, Shaye Bangs along with our good friend
Brent Rooker. Both of these guys I've been able to
give you eight plus home runs as far this season.

(01:04:47):
Abraham Toro has been able to do a solid job
though in the lineup it's given you out about a
three to fifty on base. He's been able to supply
four him runs as far the season. But the likes
of a Brad Harris, Lawrence Butler, Max Schuman hitting at
two O five Laura has been a little bit of
an issue. JD. Davis has not really giving you a
wholect lot of anything. And for the Oakland A's, the
team is in the top ten in the Big leagues
terms of bullpenning, Ray got A lot of guys have

(01:05:09):
stepped up and done their part. Lucaser Sich has been
relatively said in this bullpen along with Danny Jimenez. Jimenez
it looks like he's thee for a little bit of
an injury. That said, Michael Kelly, Austin Adams the main closer,
and Mason Miller. These are all guys giving you a
sub three five yarra and they go up against an
answer as bullpen that has not gone the results that
they were looking for out of Ryan Presley. Couple with

(01:05:29):
Josh Shader that both of their fielding independents are about
two points lower than their eras. I do think that
you're going to see both of these guys picking up
a little bit more. For Spencer, Araghedty has not been
a great start this year. I mean the oh and
four record a forty four yari speaks to that. But
field the independent is more than three points lower then
the era's getting ten anaster at Casper nine nings does
need to work on the walks, But really, Sands had

(01:05:49):
started against the New York Yankees' last four IT starts.
He really hasn't pitched at Bett once again. The two
plus walks and all of it starts, that's been a
little bit of an issue. But Raghetty and his five
starts has won up against a top thirteen team in
terms of runs per game and every one of them.
Now he goes down to number twenty two. I think
that that will help him out a little bit. With
the Astros, I did make their money line of minus
one seventy seven. I would need much more than the

(01:06:11):
plus one fifteen that I'm seeing to lay a run
half there. Meanwhile, if you're getting a run half with
the oaklan A's, I would be willing to lay up
to minus one twenty five right now. That's more around
minus one thirty to minus one thirty five. So even
though I don't do it often, it's gonna be one
to lay a chalk your money line with the Astros, says,
I do think that this has a high probability of
being a one run game. We've seen the Houston Astros

(01:06:31):
have their bullpen issues, and we've seen the oaklin As
do a really good job of hanging within one run
of being able to cover the run line. So looking
at a little bit of a chalkier money line on
the Houston Astros, in my right up, that is going
to be on this total under semi tilt at an
eight point three nine twenty one nine twenty two on
the banking board, you can't say rails are on the
road their facing golf against thee Seattle Manners. George Kirby
is on the bump for Seattle. Brady Singer, Hope, sev

(01:06:53):
the Mariners singing the blues for Kansas City. Seven is
the total, the over and the under of both that
minus one ten With the Seattle banners, there any between
minus one forty eight two minus one fifty five, any
were between plus one twenty four to zero plus one
thirty six is your number on Kansas City. Needed at
least a plus one thirty six to take a shot
on the Royals, but we have gone to a plus
one thirty six. I am going to be willing to
take them on the bunny line. Brady Singer was one

(01:07:15):
of the most unlucky pitchers in all of baseball. Last season,
he had a fielding independent that was starting here a
point half better than his ZRA. He has completely been
able to turn that round as far as the season,
and he's probably at this point it starting to be
in doing for a little bit of regression. But had
said two thirty six ERA compared to a three forty
field independent nine punchouts to zero point eight home runs
a lot per nine eggs. That's gone out there and

(01:07:37):
has been very rock solid both at home and on
the road. Going. We canna say Seattle Mariners team that
does rank in the bottom six in the Big Leagues
with regards runs per game. Seattle's picked it up a
little bit more recently in terms of their run creation,
as they were able to get to eight plus runs
to two out their last three games against the Oakland A's.
That said, I still take a look at this lineup
and they need more consistency. Cal Rawley has been the

(01:07:58):
main man in terms of being a the deep ball.
He's been able to fly ten home runs as far
this season. I Nulio Rodriguez is finding way on base.
He's sitting about a two to fifty five, but he's
got just two home runs as far as the season
as well, We've got Mitch Carver or a Polanco, Mitch
Chaneger have all been able to give you at least
five home runs as far this season. Problem with this
is that you got all these guys sitting pretty much
a two fifteen or lower, so you just seed them

(01:08:18):
to be able to find a way to be able
to get on base. And the Mariners have just struck
out a little bit too much this season. Meanwhile, for
George Kirby, his strikeout numbers are up from past years.
He's getting north of nine straightcouts per nine. I thinks
his walks per nine rate is one. He has been
incredible for fifteen ERA fielding competit is more than a
point lower than that. The one thing I will say
with him being so good in terms of his command

(01:08:39):
is that you know that you're gonna get strikes, and
sometimes I do think then that leads to the propensity
to give up a little bit more than a pitcher
that might have a little bit worse command. But that said,
you do have a royal seam that as well has
been everything about a run less per game when they've
been away from him, rather than when they have been
at home. That said, you've got Bobby with Ju and
yourself at our Perez. We've both been able to above
a three hundred Perez the way with aight Olm runs.

(01:09:01):
Bobby with Junior Vini Pascantino both have five home runs
at Pascantino up to about a three thirty. Terms of
the on base, you do need the bottom of the
fold to pick it up though. Nelson Alaska is Kyle
Isabelle m J. Melendez on a renfro of these guys
bringing it two twenty five or less, all with a
three hundred round base or less, and for Velaskas expected
more than two of the runs in his first hundred
plus a pats. This season for the Royals bullpen has
been relatively solid, though you're starting to see a little

(01:09:23):
bit of regression with some of these guys like Matt Sewer,
James mccarthur and company, and I just don't have any
faith what's over and Chris ran along Will Smith, but
John Shriver is someone that I do like and for
the Seattle Manners Sis just yearn in, year out. He's
one of the best bullpens that you're gonna find in
the big leagues. They do have Taylor Socado on the full,
which hurts them, but hovering right around seventh in the league.
Terms of bullpenny arias, you've had a lot of guys
like Tyson Miller, Trent Thornton awesome. Both these guys have

(01:09:47):
come out of absolutely nowhere supplied a sub three to
two year and then you've got Andrew's moon Jos who
was able to do in an shob but be able
to close out the game. But that said, I do
think that the Seattle Manners lineup is going to struggle
a little bit. I think the seven is just a
touch too low. Oh way, so may total is some
point two, so to like the over, but I had
a plus one three six higher looking at the Royals
on the money line, then twenty three and nine twenty
four on the bank board. The Miami Marlins that throw

(01:10:08):
their facing off against the Detroit Tigers, says Matt Manning
is on the bump for the Tigers and six O
Sanchez is on the bump for Miami. Miami's a plus
one forty two ol plus one fifty three underdog between
minus one sixty eight two minus one sixty eight is
your number on Detroit eight to eight and a half
is the total on the eight the overs minus one
fifteen to mice one twenty the under that is anywhere
between even and minus one of five, and on the

(01:10:28):
eight and a half the unders minus one twenty and
the overs even circumstance where I'm gonna be looking at
the Tigers on the run line, I was willing to
take pretty much a plus one ten or better with
regards to that Tuger's run line. You'll find that right
now out of plus one twenty five. So I'm going
to be one to dive in there, as I did.
Set the Tigers more round about a minus onenty eighty
two on the money line for six sous Sanchez. He
came up with such promise you were thinking that this

(01:10:50):
was going to be one of the next big things
in all base but it just really flamed out. He
had a few injuries during like the year to twenty
twenty one, as I need really surface in twenty twenty.
Ever since then has not been able to find it.
They've lent him a few starts. He has not been
able to come through in these starts. Seven to fifty era,
The Fielding Independent packing it up is more around about
a four to eighty eight, but it's game five and

(01:11:11):
a half. Strakecats a three and a half Flox for nine,
and he's just has not really shown me a lot
thus far the season. Meanwhile, for man Manning, he's sortad
of been a little bit up and down. Topsy Turvy
as well. Another one of those prospects that we've always
had high expectations for. But for Manning, the biggest knock
on him has been the strikecout stuff. It's ever really
been there. It's been a little bit better thus far
this season. Seventeen strikecouts in seventeen innings thus far the season.

(01:11:31):
It's a little bit of a small sample size, but
I will say for Manning, he's always been much better
when he has been at home rather than away from home.
For his career, Matt Manning as an ERA that's more
than a full point higher when he is away from
home rather than when he is at home. Though we've
seen a reversal of that as far as the season is.
Loans start away from home five to two thirds innings,
scorels all eight runs, and he's given up this far
the season have been at home. But I do think

(01:11:52):
that he's going to be able to rectify that against
the Miami Marlins team that all they have pretty much
funded on the season. Luis Harias is a guy that
they traded away already, and Brian Dayla Cruz. He's given
you a good effort, aight home runs, he's given you
a three to fifteen on basin. Then you do have
Jah Shislom, Josh Bell, Nick Flash, Gordon. We have all
been able to play five home runs as far this season.
But among these three, the only one that's hitting above

(01:12:12):
a two twenty is Jazz Shislom. And just have guys
like Gordon, who I was mentioning before, Jake Berger, who
I think that he's gonna pick it up a little
bit but has not been the same since the injury,
Nick Fortest, Tim Anderson hate two twenty five or lower.
And for the Miami Marlins, this is also a bottom
seven team in the Big leagues with regards their Bullpenny Ray.
They'd go to Exterra Ennings yesterday, so they're even more attacks.
But just look at these guys like Tanner, Scott, Andrew Nrdi,

(01:12:35):
George Soriano who are so rock solid for them as
season to go, and they have all went down the
Troilet Bowl as far this season. All three of those
guys in Soriano I think get the injured list other
than Tanner Scott are posting up north of ay sixty are.
Scott has actually been picking it up a little bit recently,
so we will not place too much blame at his feet.
And that said, we will place a little bit more
blame at the feet of Anthony Bender, who's got north

(01:12:57):
of a five to five yarra. For the Detroit Tigers,
this is a top in terms of their Bullpenny Ari
had a little bit of ore off COVID yesterday against
the Houston Asterers, but you just take a look at
the depth that you've got in this bullpen. Jason Foley,
Alex Faedo, Alex Lang, these are all guys give you
a sub three three era. Andrew j Fin has been
a little bit up and down, but on all this
bullpen has been able to do a pretty rock solid job.
And for Detroit the lineup has been touch and go,

(01:13:18):
to say the least, but Mark Canna has yes been
able to give you a two thirty five average, but
more like a three fifty on base so he can
remove the line for you. He's been able to give
you six hour runs this far the season. Riley Green
nine bombs about a three seventy on base just seemed
more out of Spencer toorkal Sin he's got one on
the run this far of the season, so he finally
got the goosegg off the board. But you've got that

(01:13:39):
going on along cool Keeth j Rodgers, Baby Bias plowing
a two ten or Lauren bias Man two eight on base.
I just don't see why they're playing him every day
at this point. That said, for the Tigers, there are
much better footing right now than the Miami Marlins, who
have just given up on the season. I did some
my total at an eight point one. I do think
that SHS is going to be giving up his runs
between an eight two and eight and a half. I

(01:14:00):
would drive to have the eight over rather than the
eight and a half under, just because of Miami Marlds
just find a way to make messes out of games.
So I do like the over now for the Tigers.
I'm going to be one to lay that run and
a half on the run line nine twenty five, nine
to twenty six on the big board the Washington Nationals
to throw their facing off against the Chicago White Sox.
Chris Flexing goes for the White Sox. Trevor Williams is
on the bump for Washington. Washington between a minus one

(01:14:20):
twenty three to a minus one thirty favorite plus one
ten two AE plus one fifteen seeing side plus one eighteen.
That number on the outsiders eight and a half is
the total unders finds one twenty eight over is even
seth the Nationals out of minus one thirty four on
the bunny line. So we're starting to get in line
with what the numbers should be in my opinion for
the White Sox, but still going to be one to
take a shot on the Washington Nationals, and I fully

(01:14:41):
expect Trevor Williams to be expecting a little bit of regression.
For Williams, he has not necessarily been getting the world's
greatest amount of strikecouts and has been quite lucky on
balls in play. He's got a one ninety six average
compared to a two to fifty field in the Independent,
but seven a half strikecats the three walks for nine innings,
has yet to give up home run in thirty six
and two thirds secings despite the ball being in play
so much. And for Trevor Williams, throughout his career, he's

(01:15:02):
given up about one point three home runs Berni and Nnings.
Last year, as a matter of fact, he came up
north of two home runs Bernie and Nnings. I think
that he's figured some things out, and I also think
that the balls and play have been very very kind
to him. Meanwhile, for Chris flex and this guy just
not very good. Four twenty nine YRA compared to a
four sixty seven field in dependent. I don't think he's
as bad as a guy that added six to eighty
six e RA last season. That said, is why he's

(01:15:23):
been a pitch of contact guy that doesn't have great
commands six point three strikeouts at three point three walks
Bernie and Nnings. I used to go up against the
Washington Nationals team that they've been a little bit late
in terms of just being able to put the ball
in play. They tried to add a little bit more
power in the offseason when they picked up the likes
of a Jesse Winker throwing their Eddie Rossario and Joey
Yellow and Joey Yellow being on the injury list. I

(01:15:45):
honestly think it's a good thing for the team with
the way that he's been hitting thus far this season.
But other than Jesse Winker, these guys have not run
necessarily worked out. And I will say for Washington aftering
about four point two runs per game away from home
compared to four runs per game at home and being
able to have Cee j A. Brams, Lewis Carcia really
do a nice job for this lineup. For Luis Garcia,
he's been able to hit Darnie or three erred for
the team, not giving you a ton of power, but

(01:16:05):
does a good job with about a three fifty on
base of blaunch Jesse Winker Abrams or around about a
three forty on base with seven home runs. Got a
team that does a nice job swiping bags. Lank Thomas
has been miserable at the plate this season in terms
of average, but Jacob Young can find twenty four soling
bases as far this season, you need key Bearweez guys
like this to be able to pick it up. But
for the entirety of the Chicago White Sox, even though

(01:16:26):
it's been a little bit better here in recent days
with Tommy fam coming up, giving you well north of
a two to fifty batting average, and it's still a
White Sox team that is averaging about three runs per
contest at home. That is by far the worst mark
they're gonna find in the big leagues. Paul the Youngest
been a wile to give you six home runs and
nobody else is north of four bombs as far as
the season. Then have legs of Andrew ben Attendee, Andrew Vaughn,

(01:16:47):
Eloi and men Is, Robbie Grossman and so many others
sitting a two fifteen or lower range. It sounds like
this bullpen has been too amazing. Now, I will say
the bullpen has actually been one of the better I
guess you call it aspects of this team. Drum Leisure
has been able to give you some three five are
John Brebby has not been the world's worse for this
team either, But do this all have guys like Tim
Ill that are just not cutting it. It's been a

(01:17:08):
relatively league average bullpen as far as the season, and
for the Washington Nationals. Surprisingly, the team is in the
upper half of the big leagues with regards to their
bullpenny area. Been able to get some really good production
of the likes of a Hunter Harvey, Dilan Floro, Kyle Finn. Again.
You've had Jordan Weamsbee a little bit up and now,
but I don't know this has been a bullpart pen
that has been able to do their part. I do
think the Trvor Williams is going to start to experience

(01:17:29):
a little bit of regression. But I do think that
the Washington Nationals do a nice job getting the Chris
Flexen and are going to be able to get the
job done. After you saw a nice little bit of
triumph for a few days out of the Chicago White Sox,
I think that they go back to being the bad
White Sox. So circumstance where I'm going to be one
to lay up to him minus one thirty four on
the Stationals money line. And I did sell my total
at eight point too, so I do like the money
line in the spot of the Washington Nationals, and here

(01:17:51):
at the eight and a half, I'm going to be
one to dive in on the under end. We have
things up with at nine twenty seven, nine to twenty
eight on the bangboard. The Seamless Cardinals, they're on the road,
They're facing up against the La Angels. Ose Sodiano is
on the bump for the Halos and Matthew Liberator is
going for the Saint Louis Cardinals. Cardinals right between even
money to minus one of five between minus one oh
nine to minus one fifteen. That number on the Angels

(01:18:12):
after is the total over and under between minus one
of five minus one fifteen. And I did sell my
total where I'm gonna be taking a look at the
under in this spot. I set my total more around
in eight point three. But that said, in terms of
the money line, I'm gonna be one to ride with
the angel So I'm going to go up to a
minus one ten with the Matthew Librator has been a
prospect that I know that the Saint Louis Cardinals have

(01:18:34):
been very bullish about in recent years, and in a
little bit more of a relief rule, he has not
been too bad this far this season. Twenty in a
third innings he's given up just one of them run
though the walks issues two persist. He's been giving up
about three and a half walks bernine Aangso you're able
to say that about Ose Soriana Soriano, it's been giving
up about four and a half walks ber nine nings
as far this season, but it's certainly kept the ball
in the art. Giving up three home runs at thirty

(01:18:55):
three and a third innings, it's right couts for nine rate,
it's right around about nine. And for the same lost Cardinals,
I do think he is going to be hurting Livatories
that because he has been going out of the bullpen
so much this season, he's probably not going to be
able to give you a whole lot of length. And
for the Cardinals, this is a little bit of a
revamped bullpen from a season ago. Like last year, this
seam was pretty atrocious in terms of their bullpen TH's
far this season, they've been more around about leg average

(01:19:18):
fifteenth of the league terms of bullpenny ray. I feel
like picking up Andrew Kittrick from the race was able
to help out quite a bit. Ryan Helsley has been
able to do a rock solid job as well, and
even something like Nick Robertson has been too bad. That said,
for the La Angels, they've been able to find their
footing a little bit more with some of these veteran
pitchers Matt Moore, Carlinos to sevens. They've been really pumping
the Bed and the Angels. This is a bottom ten
team in terms of Bullpenny Ray that's far this season.

(01:19:39):
But Adam Zimber Hunter Strickland, they're both giving you a
sub three year a along with Carson Fomer. I don't
think that that's going to be lasting too much longer,
but at the very least for the La Angels are
able to give you some form of offense despite the
fact that they no longer might trout in the fold.
Taylor Ward has been stuck on seven home runs for
quite some time, but he enjoyed hell both in between.
About a two fifty five to two seventy. Dudel has

(01:20:00):
been setting fire to the range seven home runs. TH's
far this season. You've got still guys like a zach
netto Noah Chanal, guys like this you need a two
forty year lower, but been able to get a little
bit more production from guys like a Logan O Hoppy.
You was able to give you about a three thirty
on base. You've seen quite a few guys be able
to rise of. Cole Tucker, the husband of Vanessa hundreds
has been able to give you a few Okampats as well,

(01:20:21):
and by the same loss Cardinals. These young guys just
have not stepped up at all. And on top of
the young guys not stepping up, we're in that is
Paul Goldschmid, who's hitting up buck ninety seven to three
on runs as far the season. Nolan Arenado, he's moving
the line, he's hitting about a two seventy, but he's
only been able to give you about two home runs
that's far the season. But like a Brandon Crawford, Nolan Gorman,
Jordan Walker, Victor Scott, all these guys are wearing a

(01:20:43):
buck eighty seven or lower. And Scott and Walker both
got sent back down to the minor league level. You've
been able to get great production of Wilson ca Terres
when he's been out. Their problem is he's now on
the injur list and that's your top player in terms
of on base percent and home runs. So you got
a Cardinals team that has very much wounded in terms
of their lineup. I do think that for Ose Soriano,
as a result, he's going to be able to do
a pretty rock solid job in this front. So I

(01:21:05):
did something I told at eight point three here at
the eight and a half. I'm gonna be one to
take a shot on the under end. I do like
the angels on the money line. And that'll wrap things
up for the Monday edition of The Baseball Betting Show,
now part of the VS and family of podcasts. A
big thanks to John Vancid, the Fox Sports Philadelphia The
Gambler for joining me in the last segment. If you
do like fearing from this time podcast The Baseball Betting Show,
You're able to subscribe wherever you your podcasts, Apple Podcasts,
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(01:21:26):
a question comment segment idea, what I have you for
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(01:21:48):
means I'm back to you. Where's get him out?

Speaker 3 (01:21:49):
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