5/7/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (00:09):
Welcome to Love the Las Vegas for the Baseball Betting
Show with myself, Greg Peterson, now part of the Decent
family of podcasts. We've gotten excellent podcasts for as joining
me in segment number two, we are gonna be getting
one of our good friends to board as we're gonna
have Andrew kay Leon. He does great workover at covers.
We're gonna get a little bit of around the beds
of what we've seen on the Toronto Blue Jays and

(00:30):
he doesn't have too many encouraging words to say that's
a shocker. But that said, we're gonna be chatting about that,
and we're else gonna be taking a look at some
games that we've got for Tuesday. We're else gonna be
chatting with him about the high amount of unders that
we've been seeing over the last few weeks in baseball
as well what he attributes that to. In the final segment,
gonna get you guys, picks and analysis on every game
on the betting board for this Baseball Tuesday, as we

(00:52):
touch them all. If you do have a question comment
segment idea. What have you for this podcast? You do
have one of two ways we have fur thosten. First
one is my Twitter slash x timeline, Ja underd and
forty one keep in mind learns them they mean does
Tom Anders so as very usual, please just send these
into the timeline and the other ways find an Apple
podcast review. If you rate this podcast VI starts it
is very much appreciated. From there, you're able to fire
in whatever you'd like to hear on this podcast via

(01:13):
that five star review and not get in any Twitter slash.
Next questions today, But we did have a fun day
of baseball on Monday. Let's take a look back at it.
Tried to find some runs and try to get to
know these teams a little bit better.

Speaker 3 (01:24):
Games for yesterday is Greg buzzing about. Here is the
rowdy recap.

Speaker 2 (01:28):
The Philadelphia Phillies just continue to roll. They take down
the San Francisco Giants by a count of six to one.
That is a four game sweep for them. And for
the Phillies are twenty five and eleven, which, if I'm
not mistaken, that is the best record out there in
the National League. For the Giants, a drought it out there, Uh,
Pennsylvania native Mason Black, the pride of the Lei Mountain,
Knox and well Philadelphia agree to him very rudely. Five

(01:51):
runs in four and a third innings surrendered by him.
As for Philadelphia, you had a home run off the
battle of Bryce Harper, off of him his eighth home
run season. Then Kyle Schwarber three runs, ninth home run
the campaign. From there, the bullpen wasn't bad. Luke Jackson
along with Eric Miller both filled one and the third inning.
Scrollst Tyler Rodgers. He gives up a home run in
is any of work as well as he gave up.
I believe that home run that we did see to

(02:13):
h Kyle Schwarber, but etzem for Zach Wheelan and DeLand Wheeler.
He was wheeling and he was dealing one under and
run given up in seven innings, eleven strikeouts. That's old
seven eleven. He's always open to making your money. Matt
Strom Orion Kard King from there both give you a scroll.
A setting in from the Giants has been a little
bit of a rough sledding for them to begin the season.
Your top over team in all of baseball might not

(02:34):
be a team that you were expecting, the Tampa Bay Rays.
They take down the Chicago White Sox is by account
of eight to two. As for the White Sox, Mike
Clevenger comes off the Angeles and does not lend any
length whatsoever, four runs, three of which were earned, gives
up four walks in two innings shared Schuster. From there,
in long relief, gives up three runs in his two
and a third innings, including a home run to Johnny
del Luca, his first home run of the campaign. From there, yeah,

(02:58):
at Tander Banks be able to fill two score settings.
Tam Millon gives up an underrun and one in two
thirds innings. But when sucks continue to be said and
Embarras saying, they go to eight and twenty seven on
the season, as he did have Tommy fam get a
second home run season that comes off of Tyler Alexandre,
who only goes four innings, gives up those two runs.
But from there you at Edwin Usatta give you two
squirrels settings and harassed Motor Ramirez three scorelessettings. As a

(03:20):
Tampa Bay race spent a little bit of more off
a go of it for them thus far the season,
but all of a sudden, they've been able to put
together four straight wins, and this team is starting to
put it together a little bit as well. How about
the Minnesota Twins being able to get a three to
one win. They've now won eleven out of their last twelve. Granted,
many of those wins were against the Angel Sandy Chicago
White Sox, but that said, for Luis Cassio gives up

(03:41):
three runs and six and two thirds innings, just the
second start in the last twenty three for a Seattle
mirinerd starter which the starting pitcher gave up more than
two earned runs from there, Trent Thornton one and a
third inning scoreless. Meanwhile, for the Minnesota Twins, Simeon Woods
Richards was very good in this one. Gives up just
one eight and six coorrel of settings. Griffin Jackson's give
up a run in an inning, but yawned on along

(04:02):
call Fieolbar. They both lend to score setting. So the
Twins find a way to be able to get it done.
The Miami Marlins closed in a lot of spots is
right around about like plus two eighty underdogs. They get
up two to zero, but that's where the triumph for
de end six to three. The final line, if you
had the over, you were able to get there. But
all these runs, all nine of them, scored in the
first three innings of the game. As for Miami, this

(04:24):
was not the start that Roderi Munjos was looking for.
He gives up six runs in four and two thirds.
Hings gives up four home runs on his seven It's
going to for the La Dodgers, Fredy Fraeman his third
home runs season Tasker named this is Nights, joey Otani
is leg leading eleventh and James Outman he was out
man a third home run of the season. From there,
you did have the Kwan cronin a long Anthony Maldonado

(04:46):
lend to squirrel setting, Eli Villa Bolos was able to
give you one and the third ending score is as well.
And for the Miami Marlins, he did have Nick Flash
Gordon be able to get his fifth home run season
off of blocker. Belaru made his first starts since the
twenty twenty two campaign. An MLB Mount gives up three
runs over the course of four runnings. From there, Ryan
Yarborough three scrolls, Blake trying Alex Vesia they both leaned

(05:07):
a score of settings, so the big underdog does not
cash there. But for the Oakland, as they were looking
to get back to five hundred, things were looking good
for them after Alex Wood tosses six corol settings, but
the Rangers rally from down two to zero to win
by account of four to two. As for the Rangers,
Corey Seegers, when cold all season long, comes up with
a three run homer in the eighth inning. He started

(05:30):
the campaign off of Lucas Herisage. As for Wood, he
gave up just two hits in a six scoral of settings.
From there, Austin Adams was able to give you a
scrorel of setting. Danny Meniz gives up an underd run
and is ending a work, but Lucas Herisage, who's been
pretty solid season long, gives up three runs in that
homer in his ending of work. Meanwhile, for the Oakland,
a's all of nine with men in scoring position. As
for the Rangers, Andrewhini did his part two runs, one

(05:51):
of which was earned given up in six innings ose
La Clerk, David Robertson, Kirby Yates. From there, they're all
able to toss a squirrel of setting, so a little
bit of heartbreak hotel for the Oakland A's and by
the way, for the Seattle Manners. They're currently by far
your top under team in all of baseball eight overs,
twenty five hundreds and two pushes as far this season.
So you've been seeing them be very underwhelming. But the

(06:13):
team has number two in terms of the unders. They
can't say Royals. They take down the Milwaukee Burgers that
by a count of three to two. As for the
Brewer crew, he had a relatively solid sturdier from Bryce
Wilson one hit and six scorel of settings and then
from there the bullpen he acted away as Jerret Gunning.
He gives up three runs in a third event ending
including home run going deep Michael Massey. A third home

(06:33):
run season. No, it's out of the bullpen from Elvis Pugero,
but he put a trail of met on maze before
Hoby Milner cleaning up the mess. Got five outside of
the bullpen score iss and loan from of offense for
the Burs. Gary Sanchez fourth home run season that comes
off of Cole Reagan's who gives up that home run
two runs a total in six innings. But Nick Anderson,
Chris Rane, they both lend a squirrel setting a piece,
and Will Smith and Ty Duffy they get jiggy with

(06:55):
it naked mine first squirrel of setting as the burs.
So your number two team in terms of overs and
all of me. But I think we're gonna see a
little bit of regression there. Number three is the San
Diego Patters and are do you can now? We're great
to pick what's on the Cubs money line and this
was just a heartbreaker six to three of the finalised
for Justin Steele. He makes his first start since opening Day,

(07:15):
very solid, four and two thirds innings, does not give
up any runs, pulled after sixty eight pitches.

Speaker 4 (07:20):
That was rough.

Speaker 2 (07:21):
And then Richard Lovely he comes in and he gives
up three runs while getting it out of the bullpen.
Danny Palencia gives up three runs in an ending. All
six runs for the Potters do not come out a
home runs. They just kept moving the line in the
sixth inning. And then from there you do have Colton
Brewer come in. He gives you two squirrel settings, Albert
Elsley a squirrel setting, but the Cubs had basis loaded.

(07:42):
No man out in the eighth inning, and they come
up with nothing and they stranded up there in the
seventh inning as well as for the Potters, you'd harvish
a good start as well. Five squirrel settings out of him,
he gets pulled and then the bullpen made a mess
out of this as well, seeing Yell de la Santo
Ski Matsui. They combined for one and two thirds innings.
They give up combined three runs, including a homers going
deep for the Cubs. Young goms his second home round season.

(08:03):
Christopher Morel is eighth. But from there you at one,
don't you guys? Get out of some sticky spots as
Jani Peralta along Jeremiah Strata they coim mine for a
pair of outside of the bullpen squirrels and Robert Suarez five
outs out of the bullpen to be able to get
a save, to be able to pick it up there
the New York Mets. They win by account of four
to three against the Saint Louis Cardinals, who are now
fifteen and twenty and it's been a rough year for

(08:23):
the Cardinals twenty two hundreds, eleven overs and two pushes
on totals as far this season and for the Cardinals,
Kyle Gibson not a bad start. Three runs too, of
which we're earned, given up in six innings, hurt by
a large now part Era out there in the field.
And Andrew Kitchrich does a lot of soul run and
is sending a work. Brandon Nimmo his fourth home round season,
but John King Nick robertson goodbye, first score of sending

(08:44):
Ryan Fernandez, He's able to give you a score of
setting as well. And for the New York Metropolitans, Sean
Manea gives up three runs and six settings, but enough
to be able to get it. Don as the bullpenal
sit down, Jake Deakman, Ada Bonovino, and Edwin Diaz, they're
all able to lend a school of setting, and he
saw plenty of scorels sending lent by the Pittsburgh Pirates
four to one. They take down the La Angels. As

(09:04):
for Mitch Keller, he goes a complete game, gives up
a Soli run along the way going for the La Angels.
It was home run number three of the season for
Zach Netto Tyler Anderson was expecting a little bit of
regression out of him. Gives up four runs, at six
and a third innings, including a home run to ed
al Veraris's fourth orone run campaign. From there, Hunter Strickland
does provide five outside of the bullpen, scoreless but very

(09:24):
interesting for Mitch Keller complete game, just five strikeouts. He
actually goes under his strikeout prop, but he's able to
provide a complete game. I do think that that is
very heartwarming and that's what you'd love to see. And
for the Cleveland Guardians, not a lot of offense, but
just enough to be able to get it done. Two
to one, they take down the Detroit Tigers, and the
Guardians have been your best team on the run line
in all of baseball this season. As a favorite, they

(09:45):
weren't able to cover the minus one and a half,
but still twenty four and eleven is their run line
the record thus far the season, as they do just
enough against Jack Claerty. He gives up two runs in
six innings, including a home run to Ose Ramire's seventh
holm run season. From there, Joey Wentz two scorels settings
and loo offense in this game for Detroit. Game on
the first batter, Riley Green read off home run ninth

(10:05):
home run season that comes off Terrrissey McKenzie. That's all
he'd give up in five innings them from their Nick
s Amblin SimAnt to just they combined for two scorel settings.
Hunter gaddis a manual Class A. They're both able to
lend a Scirrels signing a piece of their own. And
if you're looking at baseball right now, whole bunch of
underds as far this season, you saw just three overs
in Major League Baseball on Monday, And if you're looking

(10:25):
at what we've all gotten over last thirty days in
Major League baseball, it has been very, very much underwhelming.
Two hundred and fourteen hundreds to one n and sixty
five overs. That's a fifty six percent clip to the
under in that timespan, Favorites getting ad right around about
fifty eight point nine percent on the money line two
thirty one and one sixty one. And if you want
to shorten it up a little bit, the last seven days,
favorites have been very good, fifty six and thirty two

(10:47):
out on the money line, sixty three and a half
percent hit right. Meanwhile, the unders they are coming through
forty eight unders to thirty five overs. That's fifty seven
point eight percent to the under and overall for the season,
the under eight is more round fifty three point four
percent to urn sixty eight hundreds, tourn, thirty four overs
and a few pushes along the way, while favorites hitting
out about fifty eight point eight percent three h six

(11:07):
and two fourteen. So that's what we're seeing turn wise
in baseball, and that's what we all got on Monday.
Now let's turn it forward to Tuesday, and let's take
a look at the struggles of the Toronto Blue Jays
with our good friend who is north of the border,
Andrew Kaylee of Covers. He joins me next right here
on the Baseball Betting Shows, myself Greg Peter said, Now,
apart from the decent Kaylee.

Speaker 1 (11:22):
Vodka breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball,
this is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (11:36):
There's all b ball's Vegas with the Baseball Betting Show
with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the VCON family
and podcasts, and it's always great to be joined by
this man is Andrew Gayley. It does an absolutely tremendous
job over our covers taking a look at this great
game of baseball. But it does a great job on
so many different fronts. I know that he's doing amazing
work on the front of the NBA. He does nice

(11:56):
work when it comes to getting set for the college
football season. Out there on the links, he's finding us
some winners there as well. And befa my Twitter slash
cks at covers underscore Klee last name is spelled c
A L e Y. That's also where able to find
his bat flip and pick of the day, which is
where he picks a prop, a side, a total. What
have you on every Toronto Blue Jays game? And Andrew,

(12:18):
it's always great to get you a board.

Speaker 4 (12:19):
Thank you.

Speaker 3 (12:20):
It's always great to be here, Greg. It has not
been always great to be picking Blue Jays picks recently,
but it's always great to be here at talking baseball betting,
that's for sure.

Speaker 2 (12:28):
It's always great to have you a board. And now,
but if we do start there first, since first with
the Toronto Blue Jays, as we saw on Sunday, they
gave Alec Manoa the start and Manoa what he got destroyed,
shock shock, surprise, surprise there, But just what have you
made out of the Toronto Blue Jays as far as
the season a bunch where you thought that the pitching

(12:48):
might struggle a little bit, and the bullpend certainly has.
But I we all thought that the offense, well, it
might not be like top three in the Lake, that'd
be somewhere like above average, and they have an as
far this season.

Speaker 3 (13:01):
It has been, in a word, frustrating. While I'm a
handicapper of them, I'm also a fan, and it has
been frustrating beyond any level of a doubt. They have
been hitting three guys at the top of their order
in George Springer, Lemberger Junior and Bobashet pretty much all season,
and all three of them have an OPS below seven

(13:23):
hundred at this point or runs. They ain't a reasonable
nineteenth in ops, but they just refuse to make adjustments
at this point. It's it's very frustrating to see them
waste more good starting pitching. Jose Burrios. You have varying
opinions on Jose Burrios greg but he has been serviceable
again for them this year. You say Kakuchi is carrying

(13:45):
over that momentum he built in twenty twenty three into
this year. Kevin Gosman is kind of looking like himself
again after a bit of a rocky start. You kind
of never know what you're gonna get with Chris Bassett,
but they have no pitching depth now. They were hoping
Manoa could bounce back and be that guy. But nobody
who has been around this team, at least from an
observation standpoint, was like, we're gonna put Alec Manoa in

(14:08):
this game, and we think he's going to be successful.
Anybody following him knows he had one good start at
Triple A Buffalo. He had been struggling up until that point.
I'll give him credit for the first two and two
thirds innings. He looked okay. He had five strikeouts, his
two seamer was moving pretty well. But when the two seamer,
when he was losing command of that two seemer, then

(14:29):
he'd just be throwing his breaking ball right over the
heart of the plate. And the Washington Nationals, who actually
rank worse than the Blue Jays when it comes to
WADNA runs created plus this year, were absolutely crushing him.
And that's what we've been seeing for the last year
and a half now, and the hitting's not there. I
find it quite hilarious that most Jays fans were hoping
we could get Adulton bar Show breakout, and we've kind

(14:50):
of gotten it. But it's been irrelevant at this point
because the team just is not performing. Like I said,
they refusing to make changes. I think young guys like
David Schneider should be hitting at the top of the order.
They just try something anything, because what they're doing right
now is not working. And this was the fear following
that sweep to the Twins in the wildcard round that

(15:10):
they built this team on pitching, on defense, but that's
not enough. It doesn't matter if you're giving up just
two runs in a series but you're only scoring one,
you're still gonna lose. And they doubled down on that
going into this season. They thought they'd be competitive, and
right now they are minus two forty to miss the playoffs.
I think that might as well be minus ten thousand.
At this point. This team does not look like a

(15:32):
playoff team in any way, shape or form. They're in
last place in arguably the toughest division in baseball. They're
already seven and a half games behind the Baltimore Orioles,
and you look up at the Oriols and you're like, Hey,
this is the team the Blue Jays thought they were
gonna be two three years ago when they started this
little competitive run of theirs, and that's just not the case.
This team is not built for success unless major changes

(15:55):
are made like this is the Toronto Blue Jays. Unfortunately
for those who enjoy watching them.

Speaker 2 (15:59):
Yeah, it has been rough to watch him, to say
the least. And now they have to open up a
series against a Philadelphia Phillies team that has been white hot.
And to your point, as we do have Andrew Cable,
who does great worker back covers joining me right here
on the Baseball Betting Show, i'se Burrio says been much
better on the road than he has been throughout his career.
Biggest knock I've always had on Burrio says, he's always
good at home and he always struggles on the road.

(16:21):
He's really rectified those issues over the last twelve months,
but finds himself here between plus one ten to a
plus one twenty against the Phillies who throw out their
Christopher Sanchez with the total of eight. And do want
to get your thoughts here because even though it's a
relatively low total of eight, and even though we have
been seeing the Philadelphia Phillies really being able to come
alive for the Bats. I do take a look at

(16:42):
this spot, and I do think that we should be
in for a relatively low scoring slog.

Speaker 4 (16:46):
And I just have a tough time.

Speaker 2 (16:47):
Taking over some Blue Jays games when you do have
more of these trustworthy starters out there, because you know
that guys like Barrios you say, Kikuchi will hold down
the ford and you know they're not going to get
a lot of offensive production behind them.

Speaker 3 (16:58):
Yeah, particularly the five inning under is what I had
circled on my notepad here. Like you said, Brios has
been really solid this year, and while some of his
advanced numbers say a regression might be due for him,
he's a real battler. Now. It looks like he goes
out there, he's not gonna blow every single one away,
but when he has his mix of pitches working, he

(17:18):
can obviously be very effective. He's been the Blue Jay's
most effective starter this season. And I know the Lilies
are red hot right now, but he's the guy that
can kind of keep them down at least for a
little while. I worry about the full game total, just
because not only do the Jays the bullpen has been struggling,
John Schneider. I was kind of shocked that he still
has a job this morning, to be honest, Like he

(17:39):
threw Eric Swanson out there again, a guy who has
definitely been struggling, but the bullpen had been pretty rested
at this point, and he still threw him out there,
and he's just wantson for a guys who don't follow me.
He's a guy with a very hard split finger and
it's just not splitting basically, and he can't really control
where it goes too well, and so he's to kind

(18:00):
of place it and it's just batting practice for opposing
teams right now. It's not just Swanton, it seems to
be putting guys in situations where they can't succeed. So
that makes me fearful for a full game under because,
like you said this, Alec Bohm and then Bryce Harper
and all these guys are just playing so well right
now that it's really fun to watch. The Phils are
basically the antithesis of the Blue Jays right now, and

(18:22):
they're a really fun team to watch, and that they're
in the ball really well. So love the first five
inning under. I would lean the full game under as well,
because Toronto just can't score and Sanchez has been a
nice little story for them for the Phillies as well,
So I lean under a full game, but I love
the first five under.

Speaker 2 (18:36):
Yep myself as well. I do think that this is
going to be a lower scoring game. And what do
you make just what we've seen league wide with regards
to the sod Lexander, because I take a look at
this game and I.

Speaker 4 (18:47):
Do like the under.

Speaker 2 (18:47):
And I just noticed it over the last three days
going into Monday, north of fifty six percent of games
have gone under the total end. Even though we've got
some bullpens are a little bit less and trustworthy. It
feels like home runs our way down this year, and
it feels like in general be beginning some very dominant
starting pitching thus far this season.

Speaker 3 (19:04):
Yeah, and it seems like books haven't really adjusted to
this point. I don't know if it's just because we've
seen a bit of a transition away. We had this
era of like tremendous starting pitchers, and I know they're
still around, the Jacob de Grum's and the kayton Kershaws
and Justin Burlanders and all these guys you'd see those
guys trot out there, and you'd happily take it under

(19:25):
seven if you saw it. I can't remember seeing too
many sevens on the board this year, despite the fact
that scoring is down, like even for example, I'm just
scrolling down the board. The lowest total I'm seeing is
an even eight, and that's just an opportunity for underbetters,
I would say right now, especially if you're picking out
the right pitching matchups. So it's an interesting time when
it comes to the betting baseball totals, but there's some

(19:48):
opportunities to be had when it comes to under betting.

Speaker 2 (19:50):
Yeah, there certainly has been a lot of opportunities. Issatre
Kaylee does tremendous worker. Bight Covers is joining to me
right here on the bea small betting showing.

Speaker 4 (19:57):
Creme Day La Creme.

Speaker 2 (19:58):
When it comes the unders, that'd be the Seattle Mariners,
says they have played just hatovers as far this season.
Entering into Monday, it's going to be Emerson Hancock against
Bailey Obram for the Twins. I'm finding them right now
about a minus one forty to a minus one forty
five favorite, And I want to get your thoughts here
because it feels like for Seattle it's just been all
about this great starting pitching where they got two earned

(20:19):
runs of fears rendered it twenty one out of twenty
two starts going into Monday, and I think that there
should be a little bit of regression here. But at
the same time, I feel like the Twins in this
spot as well badly overvalue because it entered into the
back half of that series against the Red Sox on
an eleven game win streak, but most of those wins
were against the La Angels and also against the Chicago
White Sox. As a matter of fact, seven of those

(20:41):
wins were against the Chicago White Sox. And I feel
like as a result of somebody seems playing against the
terrible White Sox and the Angels, that something seems like
the Twins where they might be playing them in a string,
get over valued. And I think that that's the case
right now in this Mariners versus Twins game.

Speaker 3 (20:56):
Yeah, and Dale Central in general, you really have to
when you look at those records, make sure you go
and you check their schedules and you see how many
times they've played the White Sox, because you see a
record like the Twins and you're like, oh, jeez, they're
not in one in their last ten. I'm like, oh,
they played the White Sox seven times. That's a pretty
big variance there in what you can actually determine is
good baseball or not. Like even over he in his

(21:18):
last start he faced the White Sox, he was okay.
He pitched six innings, he gave up four runs, six hits,
only struck out three. And now he's going up against
the Seattle team that's been playing better of late Emerson Hancock.
He's been hit or miss the times he would have
a good blow hot streak there where he pitched three
street quality starts. I don't really know what to think

(21:40):
when it comes to the Mariners offense as well, so
I would lean towards the underdog here just in that sense.
This is two offenses who are unpredictable, I would say,
And with the Mariners playing the tougher schedule of late,
I would lean towards getting the plus money with them.
Look our covers consensus right now, it has only seventeen
percent of betters on them, But I like that price
with them.

Speaker 2 (22:00):
And then I take a look at this spot and
I do think that's interesting as well. It's the Ears
and the Diamondbacks and the Cincinna Reds. And I always
talk about the home and roads with the Jose Burrios,
but we certainly have to be doing that for Zach
Allen as well, a guy that I love backing at home,
guy that I really don't want to be backing on
the road right now. It's Frankie Montas, who I believe
that he had a start or two skip for him

(22:21):
for the Reds. This is right now, total of nine
with the Diamondbacks between minus one twenty two and minus
one twenty five. And we talk about how big of
a disappointment the Blue Jays are. The Diamondbacks made the
World Series last year, but they're below five hundred and again,
just like I talked about with some of these pictures,
for Zach Allen, he's been amazing at home. On the road,
you have not profited if you bet him last yew seasons.

Speaker 3 (22:43):
Yeah, like you said, I actually do like the Diamondbacks
in kind of like a by low situation moving forward
like there to make the playoffs, you can get them
at plus one eighty right now. I know they've got
a little bit of work to do, But like, who
are they really battling for a wild card spot right now?
Like you know, the Phillies and Braves are gonna be
battling in the National League East all season year and

(23:05):
the losers probably going to get one of those spots.
But I don't know outside of that, Like, there's not
too many games that the Diamondbacks have to make up
with teams like the Padres or say like the Cubs
or even the Reds if they start turning things around.
I agree with you here. Montes has been good when
he has pitched, but he's gonna be a little rusty,
I think as well. He only pitched like two thirds

(23:25):
of an inning April twenty first, I believe it was
I expect them to not to force him along to card. Here,
what's been shocking for me has been the play of
the Diamondbacks lineup. Like they have a really really solid
lineup when you look at it on paper one through nine,
but they just haven't really performed yet to this point.
I expect that to turn around at some point, maybe
against a guy who's gonna shake some thrust off. We
talked about a lot of unders, but this might be

(23:45):
a spot where I might lean towards the over here,
even though it's at nine, like you said, down struggling
on the road, Mantas shaking off some rust and like both.

Speaker 2 (23:53):
Lineups, yep, I do as well. I'm with the years
and and I'm in the backs. They've really been able
to hit, despite the fact that Corbyn Carrol has been
miserable start of the season. So that has been fascinating
to take a look at it. Andrew, we do have
all thirty teams in action on Tuesday as we record
this little bit TVD as who the Padres and the
Rangers are going to be throwing out there, But the
rest of the games we've all got set starters and

(24:14):
things of that nature. So I think else you are
taking a look at for Tuesday, whether that be a
bet that you're placing, or just a game in general
that you want to watch.

Speaker 3 (24:22):
So there is one under I definitely saw right away,
and that's between the Red Sox and the Braves. Totals
at nine right now, we've got Cutter Crawford going against
the Raynaldo Lopez. Crawford obviously has been one of the
most shockingly good pictures to start the season. He's got
one five to six through seven starts. He's allowing opponents
to hit just two one against him this year. Obviously,
the Braves are a very good offense, and they come

(24:44):
home after licking their wounds after getting swept by the
Dodgers over the weekend. But Crawford's been really good and
maybe he can take advantage of them in that spot,
maybe being down a little bit. Meanwhile, Lopez, of course,
he goes to the Braves and he starts showing signs
of the guy we saw just brief glimpses of when
he was with the White so all those years. He
has a one to five era with them right now

(25:04):
as opposed to the Braves. This Red Sox lineup, I
look at it and I'm like, eh, there are some
holes in some room with some room for improvement to
be made here. I really like the under nine in
this matchup.

Speaker 4 (25:14):
I do think that that's a solid look.

Speaker 2 (25:16):
As the Braves, just if not at home runs the
way that they have in past years, and certainly when
it comes to this matchup as well, it's been a
possible Red Sox team has been a little bit hot
and cold with their bats as well, so it's gonna
be really interesting to see what we get out there
with the Braves. Sea mat Still is one of the
crem daily crem teams out there in the National League.
And a man that is a complete dominator at being
able to give us just great information does a tremendous

(25:39):
shop taking a look at this port.

Speaker 4 (25:41):
That'd be you, Andrew.

Speaker 2 (25:41):
I know that you're doing tremendous work covert covers on
so many different fronts, so let me get people don't
know it's all and tough for you and how people
are able to follow on on social media and other platforms.

Speaker 3 (25:50):
You can fall along with me at Twitter or x
at covers underscore Klee, that's c a l E. Why
where I post my daily batlooping picks of the day.
As you mentioned, it's been a tough time. Like I said,
foot follow along anyway and lots of MLB player props
every day. At summer, we're getting closer to summer, which
means that it's closer to college football. A lot of
the spring games have happened. Win totals are going to
start to come out, so maybe we'll get a few

(26:11):
plays in that area as well coming up.

Speaker 4 (26:14):
That's what we do like to see as Andrew.

Speaker 2 (26:16):
I know that he's doing an amazing job taking a
look on the front of baseball and so much more,
and it's always great to be able to get him
a board. Big thanks Andrew for joining me on The
Baseball Betting Show now part of the Vson Family Podcasts
and coming next, it is that time of the podcast.

Speaker 4 (26:28):
I give you picked and analysis.

Speaker 2 (26:30):
On every game on the betting board for this Baseball Tuesday,
as we touch them.

Speaker 1 (26:33):
All, breaking down every game every day in Major League Baseball.
This is the Baseball Betting Show. Here is your host,
Greg Peterson.

Speaker 2 (26:46):
Every rank your love you Las Vegas for the Baseball
Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson, now part of the
Vson Family Podcasts. It is always great to be able
to get on our friend Andrew Cayley, who does tremendous
workover I covers taking a look at this great game
of baseball. Know that he he's also doing an amazing
job on the go front. Every single time he joins
this podcast, he lends such good insights. So big thanks

(27:07):
Andrew for joining me in the last segment. Now it
is that time the podcast. I give you picks and
analysis and every game on the betting board. For this
Baseball Tuesdays, we touch them all.

Speaker 3 (27:16):
If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg
has a side and the total on it, so it
is time to touch them all.

Speaker 2 (27:21):
Do you know if that has per usual? Any changes
Cigner made to these plays will be listed up on
my Twitter slash x feed at gender forty one. We're
gonna be going in last exitation or this is where
we go with the national games first, then the American
League games and any inter league games, so those are
at the bottom. That'll keep things all nice, sneak clean
and easy. So without further ado, let's have it on
this first game of nine oh one nine o two

(27:42):
on the card, it is the Cincinnati Reds. Yes, we
are on the Cincinnati They are playing out the Years
and a Diamondbacks. Zach Allen goose for Arizona and one
Frank Montdas is on the bump for the Reds. The
total ons game is nine. The over and under both
at minus one ten. The Reds are anywhre between plus
one oh five plus one eleven underdogs in between twenty
to minus one twenty five is that number on Arizona

(28:02):
and at a plus one o eight or higher. I
was one to take a shot on the Cincinnati Reads.
It's something that I've talked about a lot with Zach Gallon.
He just does not pitch the same way when he
is on the road rather than when he is at home.
If he dated to the start of the twenty twenty
three season, this guy has been absolutely maskful when he's
been in Arizona. In Arizona, he's posting up in er

(28:23):
with about a two twenty five half of home run
per nine innings allowed. He has been great on the
road north of a four point fifty er in this
time span with about one point three five home runs
allowed per nine and ennings like it is truly night
and day when is Er doubles when he's away for
a moment, It's not as if he's backed up by
the world's great At bullpen. We have been noticing guys
like jomantiply stepping up a little bit. Justin Martinez has

(28:46):
been able to do a nice job. Will be able
to hold down the fort as well. But the Cincinnati Reads,
in my opinion, have a little bit of a leg
up in terms of bullpen. Though both of these teams
have been scuffling a little bit. The Diamondbacks twenty third
in the league in terms of bullpenning alright, Scott mcgojus
up and too terrific for the team that's far this season.
They are dealing with guys like Miguel the Castro Luis
Friez currently being out of the fold. Though I do

(29:07):
like what I've seen how more of the longer guys
like a Pryce Jervis Frank Thompson has been relatively said
as well. And then for Cincinnati, regrating Sam All back
the fold that has been big for them and they
might need it because Frankie Montas his last start came
about two to two and a half or so weeks ago.
And when Frankie Montas has been fully healthy, he hasn't
been too bad. He's been able to really be but

(29:27):
not break. His strikeout numbers are down with about six
hals strikeouts per nine innings and he is giving up
about four and a half walks per nine innings. But
that said, four nineteen e RA a fielding independent is
a little bit higher, and he does have to go
up against an Arizona Diamondbacks lineup that has been able
to do a relatively solid job will be able to
put back to ball this despite the fact that Corbyn
Carrel has been absolutely miserable this part of the season.

Speaker 4 (29:47):
One home run hitting at.

Speaker 2 (29:48):
Two oh three, you just expect more there. But if
I had Christian Walker Kittel Marte be able to combined
for thirteen home runs, both of these guys hitting at
least a two to eighty with at least a three
to sixty on base Lord of Scorriel, he's been able
to supply five home runs. He's been in a little
bit of cold streak, but on all he's been able
to give you about a two forty five average. You've
got guys like Blaze Alexander, Jake McCarthy, Jack Peterson, who

(30:09):
I've been able to spy north of a three sixty
on base And for the Arizona Diamondbacks entered into Monday
tied for fifth of the big leagues with the guards
runs per game, and they're putting up about four point
seventy five runs per game when they're away from home. Meanwhile,
for Cincinnati, that's been a little bit of a Feazer
famine lineup that despite the fact that they play a
great American ballpark, which is very much a launching pat
They've actually scored more runs when they've been away from

(30:31):
home rather than at home. It's been very strange we've
seen this last two years. Out of the Meli dal
La Cruz has been carrying the mail for the team
three seventy five on base, eight home runs. Nobody else
on the team has more than four home runs. That
would be Will Benson to long, Spencer Sear and Sirah
has been able to give you about a three to
fifty on base. Jonathan India isn't necessarily hitting for average,
but he's given you a three forty one on base,
but anymore out of guys like Santiago's Peno, christian En

(30:52):
Cardossi on strand Jamie or Kim Delario. Guys like this
are hitting below the Medeo sign of a two hundred,
but really just half. To have my trepidations with Zach
Allen on the road nine, I do think that Frankie Montaz,
with his being his first start in a few weeks,
I do think that he is going to be struggling
a little bit as well. So did somebody told a
nine point one yard of nine looking at the over
and being able to get a plus one o eight

(31:13):
or higher. Gonna be looking at that Red's money line
nine O three, nine to four on the benning board.
The San Diego Potre sit the road, the facing off
against the Chicago Cubs right now. It is to be
determined for the Padres, and Jota Imanaga is going to
be on the bump for the Cubs. I'm thinking we're
gonna get Randy Vasquez here. This was supposed to be
Joe Musgrove starting, but Musgrove got placed on the injured list,
Randy Vasquez got recalled. So that's why, by process of elimination,

(31:35):
I'm going to be going with Randy Vasquez. So if
he doesn't go, it's subject to a little bit of change.
But I wouldn't think that this would change too much.
I set the Cubs on the money line out of
minus one seventy eight, and somebody told where nine or less.
I'm gonna be taking a look at the over a
nine and a half or higher to the under out
there at Wrigley. The wind is not like super duper
bad this time of year. You're getting some fair condition,

(31:55):
So I don't think that the wind is going to
be as big of a factor when it comes to
these games, as you might be seeing a few weeks
from now. But that said, we were noticing the wind
was blowing out just.

Speaker 4 (32:05):
A little bit.

Speaker 2 (32:06):
In terms of the expectations for Wednesday, you might be
having it blowing out to begin the game and then
blowing in to end the game. That is something that
I'm looking out for as well. So the total is
very much subject to change. If that wind is going
to continue to blow out throughout the day, I'm going
to be jacking it up. If the wind going to
a blow in which it looks like it's going to
be from Thursday moving forward, is actually happening earlier than expected,

(32:28):
I'm going to drop it down. But as of right now,
I'm looking at a nine or leslie over a nine
and a half hire to the under. But do note
that there is some subject to change with regards to
the weather conditions. But for Imanaga, this guy has been
absolutely tremendous. He is posting up right now. He sub
one er. He has went out there. He has not
given up any walks whatsoever, four walks at thirty four
and two thirds ottings. He's given up five runs, three

(32:50):
of which we're earned. He's dominating LEFTDC, he's dominating right e's.
He's getting nine Draycotts per nine and nings. This has
just been a masterclass as he has come over from Japan. Meanwhile,
for Randy Gus, he in his big league career has
been able to be serviceable. Like last year in his
couple starts with the Yankees in a two eighty seventy
ra this Seri, he's only made two starts a seventy
to two thirds Yanks. He has given up eight runs,

(33:11):
five of which were earned. He's been very much hurt
by the fielding. But throughout his career he's had a
five twenty nine fielding independent. Not a high strikeout guy
for his career about seven a half punchouts, four point
two bucks Bernie, and he says, give up a little
bit of our contact. Though he does benefit a little
bit from the Chicagos being a bit banged up. Cody
Bellingers he as a Zooki deal with injuries and has
hurt this Cubs team a little bit, but he's still

(33:32):
have been able to get Christopher Morell online. In the
last series, he was able to provide a pair of
home runs. That's big Michael Bush. Ever since he had
that streak where he had five home runs in five games,
he's won a little bit cool, but he, Nico Horner
and Mike Takman, they're all inding at least a two
to sixty And for the Padres, Luisa Rise being able
to come back in the fold that certainly helps out
this team. But for Imanaga, he's a left handed pitcher

(33:53):
and going into the day on Monday, Pottery's warning just
a buck ninety five against lefties. They've been able to
provide a little bit of power, but they have not
lefties to save their lives. You do have jerks from
Profar entering into Monday inning about a three forty four.

Speaker 4 (34:05):
He's been rock solid. And you got Fernando Tatis Junior.

Speaker 2 (34:08):
He has been able to do a nice job, hitting
for a seven home runs, sitting about a two fifty.
But Manny Machano, he got the day off on Monday
for Don Vincelano. So that's something that you want to
watch out for us. I'm Kim Sanders boguards. These are
guys hitting a two twenty year lower and for the
Padres and the Cubs, these are too average below average bullpen.
So I do think that the Padres are going to
pick it up with their bullpen and Ja Deela Santo's
Banti Peralta, Yuki Matsue liked all those acquisitions. Jeremiah Strada,

(34:31):
a former Cub, He's able to give you a little
bit of likenth thing. You might need that because with
our good friend and Randy Vasquez, he just has not
had a lot of success at the big league Bubble Memouf.
For the Cubs, they have been a little bit rough
in the bullpen with missing someone like a Julia Maryweather.
Right now, they still have had Mark Vider Junior be
able to do a solid job holding down the fourth.
Nancy a Monte is a little bit of a roll
the ice, but abart All's lay, even though he's had

(34:53):
a little bit of rough COVID this year, I do
think that he's going to be able to figure it
out moving Ford. I do think that in inn Auga
going to continue to be a dominator against a team
that just is not any lefties. So at a nine
or LUs right now, looking at the over nine a
half higher to the underkeep of mind subject to the
changing conditions, and with Cubs at a plus one, oh
five or higher. I'd be willing to lay a run
and a half. You set them out of minus one
seventy eight on the money line, so need at least

(35:13):
a plus one seventy nine to take shot on the
potters nine to five, nine of six on the bank
board of the New York Mets. That the road the
facing off against the Saint Louis Cardinals, says Miles Michaelis.
Goes for the Cards and ose, buto is on the
bump for the Mets. Totals game is eighty over and
under about at mins one ten. With the Cardinals, they're
between minus one fifteen to minus one twenty five favorites. Meanwhile,
and between plus one oh five two plus one oh
eight is at number on the Mets. So the Mets

(35:35):
out of minus one fourteen, I'm gonna be one to
roll with them on the money line. Fully recognize that,
Miles michaelas, if you look at the field, the independent
numbers are better than his VRA. This guy just gives
up hard contact upon hard contact, though five sixty eighty RA,
he's given up about a home run, and after nine
and soon his credit, he only gives up about a
walk and after nine, but he doesn't get any swings

(35:55):
and misses at all going against someone and mister oz
Bo that you'd like to see him tame down. The
one he's given up a little bit north of four
and a half walks per nine innings, but then straightouts
per nine innings has been very good. Recently he has
given up two runs are fewer, and all but one
of the starts as far as the season as lunk
good length five and two thirds innings are fewer, and
all but one of his starts that alps out of
MAT's bullpen that has honestly been very good entering into

(36:18):
the day on Monday, a top five team in terms
of BULLPENNI ra Jake Deakbon has been a little bit
up and down, but Reid Garrett, Sean Reid Fuley have
come in and they've held down the fort. They bringing
Cole Solzer. He's been a relatively rough go over it
thus far this season, but I still remember a few
years ago with the Oriols in twenty twenty one he
was relatively solid. You've got Edwin Diaz back at the
closer spot and for Saint Louis this has been a

(36:38):
bottle league average bullpen. You got a few guys like
Giovanni Giagos that is not really living up to his billing.
Kylee He's someone that you've got question marks with. But
Andrew Kitchrich, who comes in from the race, he's been
very good. Ryan Elsley is a former All Star that
has been quite solid as far as the season. And
the Cardinals are gonna need every single bit of help
that they can get because Michaelis has not been good
and for the same Lowis Cardinals lineup man has it

(37:00):
been rough. Just say the lead says are currently in
the bottom meet in the big leagues with regards to
runs per game, and the young guys just have not developed.
Brandon Donovan, Evon Aurero, Lars Noopar throwing their Jordan Walker
is currently at the Triple A level. You're able to
go down the list of these guys. They're hitting at
two fifteen or lower. Paul Goldschmid is hitting at two
o eight with two home runs, like no one or

(37:21):
not has moved the line. But he's only giving you
two home runs. He had one guy in that's turning
line up yesterday, Wilson Catres where there are the three
home runs this year and Cauterres has been solid, but
oh no, that's been rough. And for the Bets, this
team is all over the place in terms of their
offense as well as Francisco Lindor along with Pete Alonso
both entered in the day yesterday hitting right around about
a two ten. Both are giving you combined fourteen home runs,
but they're not moving the line consistently. Perhaps Gedy Martinez

(37:43):
coming back in the fold, that'll be all help this
seeing out, but that's that Jeff McNeil, along with Brandon
Nimo Tomas, you know, really the entirety of the catcher spot.
They're not leading at two thirty one or lower, so
that's been a tad bit of an issue. I do
think the B two is going to be able to
come in an old down before. But I do think
that this is exactly what the Met's seed to be
able to get back online going up against Guy Miles.
Michaelis said, it's off a tremendous to say, lease, I

(38:05):
did something I told the d plaint six. I do
think that B two is going to see a little
bit of regression with those walks, so we're gonna have
the over and with the Mets made them the favorite,
so taking plus money on them on the winning line.
Now we get my DK network right up pick this
is nine oh seven, nine to eight on the bank
board the Colrad Rockies they play see San Francisco Giants
as Kyle Arrison is on the bump for the Giants,
and you've got to go to Hudson, who's going to
be going for the Colrad Rockies. The Rockies you find

(38:26):
themselves as underdogs. If anything between plus one thirty to
plus one thirty eight, minus one fifty to minus one
fifty five is that number on San Francisco. If you're
looking to lay a run half by the way, with
the San Francisco Giants are going to be getting that
at a minus one h two and total ons game
is ten and a half over and under both at
minus one ten right up here is going to be
on the over. I fully recognize that this Rocky team
has stunk on ice. On offense, there twenty sixth in

(38:46):
the Big leagues with the Guards runs per game even
at home, they're eventing four point two runs per game
thus far this season. But Kyle Arrison has some very
alarming home and road splits and going up to elevation
after the team had to play an afternoon game Monday.
I don't think that that's necessarily very idealized for Kyle Arrison.
He has been a dominator when he's been in San Francisco,
ten and a half strikeouts, zero point seven home runs

(39:07):
per nine and ennings in at seven career starts, owning
a two ninety seventy ARRA at San Francisco, good numbers
on the road, this goes to a four ninety five
ARRA with seven point four strikeouts and two point five
home runs allowed per nine and innings. Even more alarming
than that, Dakota Hudson and what he's done at home.
He's made three starts as a colrade Rocky at Course
thirteen and a third innings between these three starts with

(39:28):
an eight seventy eighty RA, and this guy just I've
never understood why anyone gives this guy starts. He's getting
five point three strikeouts of five walks per nine and ninnings. Literally,
all Dakota Hudson does is he tries to not give
up home runs if that's his entire game. He doesn't
get strikeouts, he gives up a lot of walks like
I just don't get it with him, and he's backed

(39:48):
up by a bullpen that is absolutely terrible. Really, both
of these teams are in the bottom five of the
big leagues with regards they are a bullpenny ray. With
the San Francisco Giants dritting out there a young rookie
in his first start yesterday and not being able to
get five four innings out of him, that means that
there are bullpens all the more cooked. And for the
Kyrad Rockies, the likes of Justin Lawrence Anthony Molino posting
up in the era that is north of six that's

(40:08):
not too terrific. Victor Rodnick has been relatively saw in it.
And I will say for the Kyrad Rockies, they've always
got demonstrative home and road splits, and they did two
twenty two as a collective. When they are away from home,
more around about a two fifty one. When they are
at home, you've got the likes of Elias Diaz along
with Ryan McMahon hitting north of eight three hundred, Brendan Doyle,
he's maybe will give you about a three twenty five
on base. Not a lot of power of these guys.

(40:28):
Ryan McMahon right now leading the way with five home runs.
But I do think that they're going to be able
to get to the Giants, and I certainly do think
that the Giants get to go to Hudson and Company,
even though they've been a little bit over the place.
You've got Michael Conforto or a Celarro mat Chaman, all
with between four and five home runs as far as
the season, and for Conforto, he jungled Lee, they Ostrado
olling in between about a two forty eight to two
fifty two. Would like to see them draw a few
more walks. None of these guys and north of the

(40:50):
three oh five on base, but got Patrick Bailey with
a three forty five on base, Lamont Way Junior hitting
about a three fifty as well, and with both of
these teams posting up north with a five ERA going
into the day Monday, both of these starters really showing
some bad home en roads. Plus I do think that
you get quite a few runs. And part of the
reason why we see it low run scoring here in
Colorado to begin the season is because we were seeing
some colder conditions and I think that we had.

Speaker 4 (41:11):
A snowhout once as well. So I did say the.

Speaker 2 (41:14):
Giants on the money line at a minus one forty four.
It's a circumstance where I've seen a minus one forty
six out there. If we can get this down a
few more pennies, I'd be willing to roll with them.
Would eat at least plus one forty four to be
able to take a shot on Colorado. And if you're
looking at that run line, by the way, if we
could get the Colrader Rockies more like a minus one ten,
I'd be willing to take a run and a half there.
So a little bit wait and see mode, but I'm
thinking we should be able to get a minus one

(41:35):
forty four minutes all said and done on the Giants.
But write a pick here, as on the over some
I total eleven point two seven at an eleven, i'd
be looking at the over nine nine nine ten on
the benning board. The Miami Marlins, they throw their facing
off against the La Dodgers, says Yoshinobu. Yamamoto is on
the bump for the Dodgers. Edward Cabrera is on the
bump for Miami. It is the total overs mins one fifteen,
the unders minus one of five with the Dodgers being
between minus three dollars and minus street twenty five. Between

(41:57):
plus two sixty and plus two sixty five is your
number on Miami. And if you're looking at the Dodgers
run line price, that is anywhere between minus one forty
two to minus one forty five to lay a run
and a half. And this is a spot where I'm
gonna be wanting to take a shot on the Miami Marlins.
I was willing to take a plus two fifty two
or higher. And for the Miami Marlins, this team is rough.
They are now without Luis Rice Say Brian day La Cruz,

(42:20):
who's been able to give you about five home runs
this season. He's been able to give you sixty five average.
But I believe that he was the only guy in
the starting lineup other than Vaydella Brujon yesterday that was
hitting above a two forty four leaving the game. But
for the Dodgers, they're gonna have their hands full with
Edward Cabrera, who's been able to do a nice job.
I'll be able to get swings and misses over the
last two seasons. Now with Edward Cabrera, he is wild

(42:43):
he last year was giving out about six walks per
nine innings. Has aled it back a little bit this year,
but still has had about four and a half walks
per nine innings. But he's also got thirty strikeouts in
nineteen and a third inks as some of the best
ross stuff that you're gonna find. He has given up
two home runs at nineteen and third inks as far
as season, and he certainly has been not supported very
well out there in the field. He's gotten north of

(43:04):
a five era, but I do think that he has
a chance to be able to sie me in Ellie
Dodgers lineup that one through seven is essentially the death Stars.
Andy Bajas has really been able to step up. He's
being able to give them a little bit more and
than you've obviously got. Will Smith, Freddie Freeman, Rookie Bets, Joyotani,
I'll give you least a three eighty five on base
in the case of Otani's up to eleven bombs. Bookie

(43:25):
Bets has been able to hit the deep ball as
well as he's been able to supply. I believe now
six of them, you've been able to have Max Munsei
be able to come to the forefront for this team
as well. So you just go down the list those
front seven, with Taskernandez also going yard. That's big, but
you do get a little bit of a break with
Gavin Lux, Chris Taylor, James Eltman at the bottom of
the fold. Then for the Lli Dodgers, this is a
bullpen that had to be used up quite a bit.

(43:47):
Yesterday they had only four innings from Walker Beeler, which
you sort of expected that he was not going to
be going deep. For the Dodgers are in the upper
half of the lake in terms of bullpenny are but
guys like Alex Vesia, Gus Farland about Chrismin, they're not
necessarily super lockdown guys. I love what they're getting out
of Evan Phillips, their main closer, but I believe that
he's now the fold, he'sy onfull a little bit of
an injury. And for the Miami Marlins, I do think

(44:09):
that some of these guys that were so good for
them a seeds ago, like George Shoreyano, like Tanner Scott
Andrew Nardi, these guys that posted up a sub three
five yar a, they're gonna be able to pick it
up a little bit as well. For three of these
guys are having a pretty miserable year thus far. I
do think that for the Miami Marlins, they're gonna have
a little bit of a tough time scoring off of Yashinobo.
Yamamoto has been just absolutely tremendous. If you take out

(44:31):
that start in South Korea, he's posting up more like
eight bucks seventy five year. A has not really been
giving up the DEEPA has been able to give you
about eleven punchouts for nine and ennings. But I think
that Edward Cabrera goes out there shoves the relative. We
get start here, so I did something total at a
eighty point three here at the eighth that's opened up
at an eight and a half, I'm gonna be taking
a look at the over. I do think that for
Miami they're gonna be able to get to Yamamoto just

(44:51):
a little bit into that bullpen. And again, I don't
think that the Miami Marlins should be like in a
Pickham game here or anything like that. But getting the
big pus number that we are anything north Hill plus
two point fifty two, I'm gonna be willing to take
a shot on Edward Cabrera. So gonna be taking a
look at the fish on the money line and this
little over nine to eleven, nine to twelve on the
banking board. It's the Texas Rangers on the road facing
off against the Oakland A says, Ross Stripling goes for

(45:14):
the A's. It is old undecided who's gonna be on
the bump for Texas. So this is a game that's
presently off the board, and according to Fangrafts, we're gonna
be getting jack lighter. Now that is completely unconfirmed. I
was just reading the Fangarafts page as to their projection.
But if you do indeed get Jack Lighter against Ross Stripling,
I'd be setting the Rangers as a minus one eighteen favorite,
and I'd be making the total an eight so ader

(45:36):
lust looking at the over eight a half higher to
the under end with the Rangers would be one lay
up to a minus one seventeen there plus one nineteen
or hire. I'd be looking at Oakland. Ross Stripling has
been far from amazing. As a matter of fact, he
got his first big League win, I believe, in a
little bit over a year in his last start. But
you know what, he's able to hold down the Flida
and this ballpark is perfect for him. He's given up
three home runs and forty and a third innings. Has

(45:57):
always been a relative picture of contact guy, and he's
shown that off far this season. He's only getting in
the neighbor at about six six half strikeouts per ni
and Ennings has been giving up a lot of general contact,
but doesn't put guys on cheaply. It's only giving up
about one point nine to two walks per nine. Ennings
going up against the Rangers Bunchet, it does look like
they're finding their offense a little bit more, but it's
been a little bit of a rough run for many
of these guys. Now you've got Wyat Langford on the

(46:19):
injured list, the Lakes of Leoty Deaveres, Evn, Carter Corey
Seeger named below two thirty five entering in this series.
That's an ideal and the struggles for a segre I
have been very, very real thus far this season. Granted,
is still better than the Oakland offense. So they were
efening three runs per game at home before that twenty
runoff pers against Miami Marlins. I do think that they're
going to be coming back to earth and I do

(46:40):
think that that is going to be making their offense
look a little bit more impressive than what it is.
But now you've got Tether Nevin, Abraham Torro both aenning
north of a two seventy A Sterario Ruiz is honestly
one of the best basalos. So you're going to find
in all baseball and been able to get a little
bit of power with Shaye Bangs Lange Layers along the
Brent Rooker both give you a simplus home runs thus
far as the season. But for I do think that

(47:00):
they're gonna be able to find a little bit more
in terms of their bats. And you have seen the
oaklan As start to stumble a little bit with their bullpen.
Yesterday you saw that bullpen give up three earned runs,
four runs in total. Though you saw a lot of
guys that have been pretty impressive Danny Menis, Lucas Sersage.
Now they're up to having north of three five yars,
but they're still below four. You've got a lot of

(47:21):
guys like Kyle Mueller the closer and Mason Miller along
Thomson Adams will be able to supply a sub three
era of their own. And they still outcome the Texas
Rangers who did have to trot it out there, some
more trustworthy relievers like David Robertson Kirby Yates yesterday ableth
to these guys through thirteen plus pitches. So I do
like with Jordan Lantz and Jonathan Ornandez are able to
provide in the bullpen as well. And with Jack Ledder

(47:42):
in his first start against the Detroit Tigers, you got
completely lit up. Was a very good pitcher over at Vanderbilt.
He has been able to show the good swinging miss
stuff at the minor league level. So if he does
indeed get called up for this start, I'd be willing
to set the Rangers out of minus one seventeen or
leass plus one nineteen or more. We'll be looking at
the a's eight or less. I'd be looking at the
over eight and a half or higher to the under
end if you do get a bullpen game, probably relatively

(48:03):
similar numbers. Honestly, I probably set the Rangers as a
very very small slate bigger favorite if you do get
a bullpen game, just because with Jack Leder does a
little need a little bit more seasoning. But that's where
we're looking at there in ATBD spot nine thirteen nine
fourteen on the bank board, the Detroit Tigers sit throat
the facing off against it Cleveland Guardians. Logan Allen goes
for the Guardians and ken To Maida's on the bump

(48:23):
for Detroit. Detroit is a underdog anywhere between plus one
oh five plus one twelve men, while between minus one
eighteen though minus one twenty five is that number on
the Guardians eight and a half is the total over
an under are both of minus one ten and for Detroit,
I did set them as an underdog of plus one
forty seven, so I'm gonna be one to lay with
the Guardians. Ken To Mayda over his last few starts
has looked quite a bit better, but I feel like

(48:45):
this is just a little bit too much respect for
both he and the Detroit Tigers against Cleveland Guardians team
as by far the better offense, and for ken To Maida.

Speaker 4 (48:53):
He's got a five h.

Speaker 2 (48:54):
Two euur a, but his field independent is honestly even
worse at north of a six. He's giving up two
and a half home runs per Nin and Ennis while
only getting seven strikeouts for nine ennings to Mada throughout
his career. He has always been a north of nine strikeouts
per nine enning guy. I have to wonder if there's
some sort of an injury that is lingering right now
because he has not been terrific at being able to
get guys to be able to chase in. That is

(49:15):
a big issue now. The good news for the Detroit
Tigers is that they do back him up with one
of the better bullpens out there in the big leagues. But
you're able to say that for both of these teams.
The Cleveland Guardians enter into the series when the Krem
Dave La Creme bullpens at number two in the big
leagues in terms of VRA, the Detroit Tigers number five
in the league. As for the Cleveland Guardians, they've got,
in my opinion, the better closer in emanueclass A. He

(49:36):
was able to lock it down other than Tyler be
D you I believe has been sent to the minor
league level pretty much all these guys in that bullpen,
Kate Smith when he's been a healthy, Eli Morgan, he's
heasyal with an injury, Nick Sandlin, Hunter Katis, these guys
have all been relatively solid in for Detroit. You've seen
a little bit of a shot we say down fall
with Bill Ves, but like Sevelex Fayeto, Jason Foley, Tyler Holton,

(49:58):
these are guys that have been absolute tremendous for the
Detroit Tigers. But the Tigers offense leads a whole like
a lot of something to be desired. As a matter
of fact, they have scored three runs at fewer now
in each other last four games. Has been able to
get some good production on Rightley Green, he's supplying nine
home runs. He's been able to give you about a
three ninety on base in Markcana, yes, he can to
give you about a three seventy on base as well.

(50:18):
But these guys like Covey, buy as Cole, Keith, Parker, Meadows,
you're able to throw in their Jake Rodgers. They're only
below the mido's line up two hundred. They've dealt with
having in and out of the full g R Shollow
when he's been out there, he's been able to do
a solid job. But I mean for Spencer Turklsen, he's
still stuck on zero home runs with hitting about a
two seventeen. It's been a miserable start to the season

(50:38):
for him. And for the Cleveland Guardians, Stephen Kwand does
a really nice job of setting the table at the top.
He's been able to supply north of a four hundred
base real runs. He's been able to up that power
in the Guardians as a whole, They've been able to
just give you some better power numbers there after thinking
about a home run per game. After last year they
were dead sinking last in the big leagues with regards
to their home run firepower. Now so the likes of

(50:58):
Brian Ruroche, Tyler Freeman throwing their bow Naylor. These are
guys hitting a two ten or lower. But Nayler's brother
and Josh Taylor, boys, he been nailoring the ball. Eight
home runs, He's able to give you a three to
sixty on base and for Ose Ramiers, while the averages down,
he has been able to supply seven home runs thus
far this season. I do think that for the Cleveland Guardians,
they're gonna be able to do a nice job in
the spot as they have been able to just pound

(51:20):
lefties all season long. Against righty's has been a little
bit more of a roll of the dice. But I
think this Righty and Maida gonna be giving up quite
a bit, and I do think that Logan Allen is
going to be able to find himself a little bit
more as well. For Logan Allen, it's been a relatively
rough start to the season for him as well as
Vennis Kent to Maida has been. You've got Logan Allen
who's got a relatively similar era of five eleven. He's
given up seven home runs at thirty seven innings, but

(51:42):
he gives you a little bit more swinging miss He's
been giving out about three bucks per nine innings. But
I do think that Logan Allen gonna be able to
find it a little bit more here. So I'm gonna
be one in La with the Cleveland Guardians, set them
out of minus one forty seven and did something I
told at eight point eight. I do think that both
of these starters gonna struggle a little bit, and I
do think that the Tigers starts picking up just a
touch with their offense. Looking at the other end, the
buddy line of the Guardian sign fifteen nine sixteen on

(52:03):
the bank board the Tampa Bay Race playos to the
Chicago White Sox. Mike Soroka goes for the socks and
Zach Eflin is on the bump for Tampa Bay. Tampa
Bay and between minus two thirty two minus two forty
five favorites between plus two dollars and plus two to
e eleven is your number on the White Sox. Eight
is a total over and under anywhere between minus one
oh eight two minus one twelve, and if you're looking

(52:23):
to lay a running half with the Tampa Bay Race,
you're going to be getting that and between about minus
one twelve to a minus one fifteen, and I'm willing
to go up to a minus one fifteen on this
Rai's runline. Wouldn't want to go any further as the
White Sox are starting to show a little bit more
of a pulse, But I just really don't want any
part of Mike Soroka. And it's so sad because Mike
Soroka a few years ago, prior to all the injuries,

(52:44):
he was looking like a good young prospect in the
Atlanta Braves organization. It was looking like he was going
to be a part of those guys like Max Freedom Company.
Now we're gonna be able to come up and be
able to completely dominate, and none of this series getting
completely dominated six forty eighty r and somehow somebody is
fielding dependent. It is even worse at at six to
seventy three, giving up more walks than he's getting strikeouts

(53:04):
five point one walks the four point three strikeouts per
nine innings while surrounding true home runs per nine nings.
And it feels like the Tampa Bay Rays have finally
busted out of their funk in terms of bats last
three days against the Mets and then Game one against
the Chicago White Sox yesterday, this team has really been
able to put pat De balls. Randy rose Arena has
been pretty miserable this far this season, ending the Lower

(53:25):
Bucks seventy five below a two to seventy five in
terms of his on base, but it feels like he's
starting to heat up. Eastach Parades has been carrying the
team seven home runs as far as the season with
a three to seventy five on base Nandy Ds still
need a little bit more than a two ninety seven
on base, but he's starting to find it. Arrol Ramirez,
Jered cal Breo, Richie Palacios alling at least a two
sixty five that's been making for the race in Ben

(53:46):
Rofez at the catcher spot after he was awful with
the Yankees last season, he's been able to give you
a little bit more as well. And for the Chicago
White Sox, no, you've been able to get a little
bit of an injection of life with Gavin Chets giving
you about a three sixty on base. And also you've
had Tommy fam come up and he's actually been able
to do a nice job but be a reach base
hitting about at two eighty. This is still a lineup

(54:06):
that features all these guys are a two to eleven
or lower. Nicki Lopez, Robbie Grossman, Andrew Vaughn, Andrew Ben attendee,
Dom Fletcher. You're able to throw in their Martin Moldonado,
Lennon Sosa. I mean, it is just a bunch of
guys that are giving you a big, giant nothing burger.
And for the White Sox, they are by far dead
lives in the big leagues in terms of home runs
per game as well. And for the White Sox, what

(54:28):
was really going for them towards the beginning part of
the season is that while their bullpen wasn't amazing, it
wasn't necessarily the world's worst bullpen out there in the league,
and now that has been going downward as well for
the Chicago White Sox. They are now in the bottom
eight in the big leagues in terms of bullpenny. Ray
Jordan Leisure has been able to do relative We saw
a job for this unit, but I he passed that.
You've got Michael Kopek who has been really giving up

(54:49):
the deep ball quite a bit. You have not been
able to get great performances as well out of one
of these guys that they rolled the ice on like
a Dander Bankson company, and well that has been not great,
to say the least. For the Tampa Bay race. This
team has been in the bottom five in the big
leagues with the carts are a bullpenny are as well.
But you do have that feeling that things are starting
to come on there, starting to pitch a little bit

(55:10):
better in that bullpen, with the lakes of Hey, Kevin Kelly,
Jason Adam being able to give you a SOMEB three
Era been able to get some good production as well
recently out of Shohn Armstrong.

Speaker 4 (55:19):
So these are guys that are encouraging.

Speaker 2 (55:21):
You're gonna need to get a bit more though out
of the likes of Manuel Rodriguez, Filmy Town and company.
But for the Chicago White Sox, they really just don't
in soil any sort of fear whatsoever into a starting pitcher.
And for Zach Eflin, pretty Yefflin good at being able
to locate forty one innings in just four walks. As
far this season, he has been giving up a little
bit more contact than he did a season ago. He's
up to about a four to seventeen era field. In

(55:41):
compendit is far lower than that. He's given up about
one point three home runs per nine innings, but all
in all he's been able to hold down the fort
with three runs of fear surrendered in three of his
last four starts. I think that he does a solid
job here against the White Sox, and I do think
that they take it to Mike Soroka. So gonna be
looking to lay the run line of the Rays one
and go up to a mix one fifteen And did
set my toll at any point one? So gonna be
taking a look at that razor online and there's this

(56:03):
total on the eight. Gonna be going over nine seventeen
nineteen on the banking board. The New York Yankees do
playoffs to the Houston asteris Joseph Erlanders on the bump
for the Shows and Luis eel Is on the bump
for the Yankees. Yankees find themselves as favorites any between
minus one sixteen to him minus one twenty three. Meanwhile,
plus one oh six to plus one thirteen is your
number on Houston. Eight is a total overs between minus

(56:24):
one ten two minus one twenty five, the unders any
between minus one ten twelve plus one oh five. And
for the Yankees, I set them at a minus one
fourteen on the money line. If you're looking to lay
a run half with them, you're gonna be find that
number between about a plus one seventy two a plus
one seventy five. And this is a circumstance where if
we can get a little bit north of a plus
one seventy to lay a run half the plus one

(56:44):
seventy five nineteen right now, I'd be looking there much
rather lay about a minus one fourteen minus one thirteen
or so on the money line. But in some former capacy,
I'm gonna be in on the New York Yankees recognized
that the Houston aswers should see a little bit of
positive regression there twelve and twenty two thus far the season,
and for the Houston Asters, they have just been snake
bitting in one on games. You have to feel like

(57:07):
they are not gonna be going one to nine and
one on games for the entirety of the season. One
and four in games that go to extra innings. There
expect to win loss is quite a bit higher than
their twelve and twenty two record as of right now.
But they have to go up against a guy in
the Louisseo who he's the ultimate feaser fam and pitcher,
and that he gives out well north of five walks
for n ennings. As a matter of fact, it's closer
to six walks per ninon innings. But he's got great

(57:28):
wipeout stuff. He's been able to provide eleven punchouts for
nine innings. It's given up just two one runs and
thirty one innings. He's pretty unittable, but he's also hard
to be able to locate even for himself. Meanwhile, for
Justin Berlanders, something nice job holding down the fourth thus
far this season. Four runs for undered in seventeen and
the third ninnings across the three starts I just feel
like we're gonna see this go northward. Though he's got
just thirteen strikeouts to fifteen and third innings, his trand

(57:51):
rate has been very high thus far this season. He's
given up seven walks in those seventeen and a third
innings as well. He is not pitched as well as
his numbers and his name would indicate. In for the
Eastern ASTs, this bullpen has been rough, to say the least. Well,
they have to go up against the number one team
in terms of Bullpenny Ray in the New York Yankees.
As for the Eastern astres, Josh Hater along with Ryan
Presley have been absolutely miserable in the bullpen. As far

(58:13):
as the season, both of these guys rocking north of
a five ra Taylor Scott has honestly been Alan Rafiel Montero, Actually,
you're better bullpen pieces as far Sean Dubit is a
guy that I've absolutely no faith and whatsoever. And for
the New York Yankees likes Ron Benonaccio, Ian Hamilton, these
guys have been rock solid. They pick up Victor Gonsalz
from the Dodgers. He's posting up a sub three year
A Caleb Ferguson. After a rough search to the season,

(58:34):
he's been good. And for the New York Yankees, well,
this is still a little bit of an all or
nothing lineup. Juan Soto has been just tremendous aight om runs.
He's giving you a well north of a four to
twenty on base. Does feel like Aaron Judge is starting
to pick it up a little bit. He's still been
nitting just a two twenty thus far the season, but
he's got a three fifty on base with seven home
runs as far this season. You expect that to go
northward a little bit in I mean right now he's

(58:56):
starting to find it god as well to Cabrera Anthony Volpe,
both right on two fifty. Cool down from the start
of the season, but they're starting to be able to
find their footing and they've been able to contribute in
this lineup, unlike a season going for the Houston Astros.
It's not the lineup that's the issue. And at the
top you've got Kyle Tucker, rose L two ve ardron OVAs,
all between seven and nine home runs. Would like to
see the abates percentage for al of rasby a little

(59:18):
bit higher than a three twenty seven. But in the
case of all Tuve and Kyle Tucker both gave me
North with a three to ninety on base. You need
Alex Bragman to pick it up one home run on
a two h two average. He just always struggles at
the beginning of years. I have no idea what it is.
And for Rose Ray, he's pretty much been relegated out
the fold for the seam, which is not a bad
thing becauseks of John Singleton, Burisio Dubon and company have

(59:38):
been much better at being able to move the line.
But for the Houston Astros, I just feel like Justin
Verlander is doing for a little bit of a rough
go of it. I do think that he's going to
start to give up some runs at for Luiso, the
location is a little bit of an issue. Even if
he doesn't give up a ton of runs, it's a
case where he might knock himself out early with the
locks up. I did something I told at eight point six,
I'm gonna be looking at the over in the spot
and with the Yankees at the current numbers, I'd be

(01:00:00):
looking to layer run half at a plus one seventy five.
Would rather lay more like a minus one twelve, minus
one fourteen or so on the money line. So sway
and see there assume money line or run line, but
we'll be in on the Yankees to go along this
Sotle Over nine nineteen ninet twenty on the big board
the Minnesota Twins playoffs see Seattle Maners. Emerson Hancock is
on the bump for Seattle and Bailey Over is on
the bum for Minnesota. Minnesota just find themselves as a favorite.

(01:00:21):
If any rotween minus one thirty five too minus one
forty two and three plus one twenty plus one twenty
eight is that number on Seattle. Eight is a totally
overs between minus one ten to one mins twenty d
unders any between even and minus one ten and circumstances
where I did set the Mariners and a plus one
o six, I'm gonna be one to take that plus
number for the Seattle Mariners. They've had their starting pitcher
go and give up two earned runs or less in

(01:00:43):
twenty two either the last twenty three stars. Emerson Hancock
probably the least trustworthy all these starters at this point,
but even he has been able to do a very
solid job recently. He's now given up either one or
two runs in each out of his last four starts,
and he did give up four walks in his last
start against the Alanta Braves, but all in all, his
command has been relatively good. He is giving up less

(01:01:05):
than two point eight walks per nine innings. The strike
cuts stuff isn't quite there with him. He's only been
able to get about seven a half strike cuts per
nine innings, but he's been able to do a nice
job holding down the four has given up to two
hour months in his last four starts. He has been
absolutely superb for this bunch and for Seattle, by the way,
in case we were wondering who they've all been playing
up against. They had a series against the Atlanta Braves,
they had a series against the Euston Astro's. Currently they're

(01:01:27):
playing the Twins, so they played some good top flight competition.
And for the Twins out there twenty and fourteen right now,
keep in mind at eleven game win streak that they had.
Seven of those games were against the Chicago White Sox
and they had a series against the La Angels, So
that's something to keep in mind as I feel like
that's really propping up their numbers as of right now
and for the Minnesota Twins, they've been able to get
a little bit more online with reguards of the bats,

(01:01:48):
but self Wright's lewis out the fold Byron Bucks and
is currently dealing with an injury. Fat Alex Kurloff do
a relatively solid job of being able to find a
way on base. He's now been able to hit about
it two thirty five after he was relatively rough to
begin the season. But it's all about Ryan Jeffers along
with Willy katsro Ose Miranda and north of a two
seventy for the team past that you haven't ness so
you've been able to get a lot of production, stands

(01:02:08):
Trevor Larnach. But for Larnach, I need a little bit
more of a sample size here seen forty six at
ass He's mad ab been right around about a three
forty eight with a pair of home runs, which is
very encouraging. But he has been a little bit in
and out of the fold this season, so that's a
bit of an issue. Now, what is for real about
the Minnesota Twins This bullpen they're a tough five team
in the big leagues with the guards there bullpenning the
arra they get you on and on back in the fold.

(01:02:28):
You've got Griffin Jacks Hore I'll call it, Cole Sands,
Cody Funderberg. These guys give you a sub three five yarra.
Problem is, the Seattle Manners have won the best bullpens
in the big leagues as well, and they have just
plucked so many guys out of just being shall we say, irrelevant,
and they've been able to turn them into relatively good relievers.
You've got the legs Off Gabes Fire, Trent Thornton, Tyson Miller,

(01:02:49):
Cody Bolton. All these guys give you a sub two
fifty arra. They've looked at Brett Tay gys from time
to time who's currently out of the fold. He's posted
up a sub three ur a. And then Andres Munos
is one of the best just low away closers that
you're gonna find in the big leagues. Now, for the
Seattle Manners, offense has been a little bit of struggle
for the team. There in the bottom half of the
Big leagues with regards to runs per game. But keep
in mind for Seattle last season actually scored in the

(01:03:12):
top five in terms of runs per game away from home.
They are relatively pedestrian on a theme. That's because Seattle
is very much a pitcher's ballpark. But we're starting to
get guys on bus a little bit more. For the
Simulio Rodriguez needs to provide more in terms of power,
just one on run the start of the season, but
telling about a two fifty five ty France, he's sitting
in that two fifty range as well. And Josh ROAs
three home runs through out the four unred base He's

(01:03:32):
come up very big cal Rawle. You'd like to see
the average be a little bit higher than a two
h six, but he's been able to supply five home
runs at For Oreo Polanco, it's been a relatively miserable
start to the season for him, but despite ending out
buck ninety five, it's been able to give you five
home runs, and if you look at the last fourteen days,
he's been able to get a little bit more online
as well. I do think that for the Seattle managers
are going to be able to get to a guy
in Bailey over If you look at the raw numbers

(01:03:54):
are pretty solid. He's only given up about two walks too,
about nine raycouns Ber nine innings over the last year plus.
You had that one just terrible outing to begin the
season against Kansay Royals, and ever since then he's been
pretty blocked down. He gave up eight runs. I got
four houts in that start. Pass said. He has been
able to do a relatively solid job giving up the
four runs in his life start against the Chicago White Sacks.
But prior to that, I had given up four total

(01:04:15):
runs in his previous four starts, And if you take
that disaster out of the fold, he's pretty much given
up I believe, eight runs over the course of his
last five starts. So he's been able to do a
nice job being able to hold down the four. But
it is a circumstance where I do think that the Mariners,
their pitching is going to be able to get them
to victory in this one. At a plus one oh
seven or higher. Looking at the money line of Seattle
and I did semich Toe at some point nine, I
do think that you get another pitcher's wool. So like

(01:04:36):
the under end, I do like Seattle on the money
line nine twenty one, nine to twenty two on the
banking board. The la Angels that throw the phase off
against the Pittsburgh Priors. Quinn breyster Is on the bump
for the buck Goes and Patrick Sandovals on the bump
for the Halos Angels, and between plus one oh seven
plus one sixteen underdogs, being well between minus one twenty
five to minus one thirty seeing as those minus one seventeen,
that's your number on the Pirates totns game is eight

(01:04:58):
in most spots on the eight over twenty two minus
one thirty two hundreds between even at plus one ten,
seeing an eight and a half at DraftKings over and
under both at minus one ten, and I'm gonna be
willing to go with you over. I did sell my
total at an eight point seven eight. I'm just in
full on fade Quinn priser mode. Any sort of a
plus number was to take for me on the Angel side,
he's set my number out a minus one h two

(01:05:18):
on the Pittsburgh Priorates. But for Pricer, does he give
you reason be excited at the minor league Levele, Yeah,
he's been able to do a relatively solid job in
terms of being able to develop some pitches at the
lower level. I need to see it to believe it.
At the Big League levele as he has gotten three
starts as far this season, posting up a three thirty
one RA, but the fielding independent is a six eighty
nine when he has seventy four ERA at the Big

(01:05:40):
League Bubble a season ago, his fielding dependent was honestly
lower than it is right now. He's getting six right
couts to three point three walks per nine ninetings. He's
given up five home runs at sixteen out a third nineties.
He should be thanking his lucky stars, as his ERA
is not above us six right now. Meanwhile, for Patrick Sandoval,
he's always been good at being able to mitigate card
contact and go figure. He right now is a five

(01:06:01):
ninety one eray he's given up two home runs in
thirty two innings, grinned, and he's given up a lot
of contact in general, though the swing and misseduff even
for Sandoval in his way up, he's been just very
very unlucky on balls in play. Meanwhile, Quinn Preister, in
his very small sample size as far, has been very
fortunate on the balls in play. As for Patrick Sandoval,
three nineteen fielding and tend to go long with a

(01:06:21):
five ninety one era, we should see some positivity coming
for him. As the batting average on balls and play
against Patrick Sandoval right now is a three ninety six.

Speaker 4 (01:06:29):
That's just absolutely incredible.

Speaker 2 (01:06:30):
So yeah, that is going to be coming downward, especially
against the Pittsburgh Pirates team that they've had a tough
time inning all season one. This team is hitting at
two twenty five as a collect If O'Neil Cruz is
starting to get his back together, he's up to five
home runs, hitting about a two forty five as he
Cabrian as Brian Reynolds are all in that neighborhood between
a two forty two to two to fifty average, though
for Hayes and Reynolds both providing north of a three
thirty on base. Connor Joe has been able to give

(01:06:52):
you by a three sixty on base as well. But
like so Browdie Tilla as Jacks Winisky throwing there Andrew McCutcheon,
these guys hitting a two fifteen or lower, that's been
rough at all. Veris it is only in a two
twenty so the Pirates ageste not been able to really
put back to ball thus far the season. And for
the La Angels, as we know they're doing with the
injury to Mike Trout, so that's been relatively rough for them.

(01:07:13):
But Taylor Ward has been able to do a nice
job holding it down for this offense, he's been able
to give you seven home runs. He's hitting about a
two seventy. He's got Willie Kanwoun who's come in. It's
a small sample size, but he's been able to give
you about a three seventy five average. The biggest thing
is these young guns like Mickey Moniac along with Noah's
Chanal zach Netto.

Speaker 4 (01:07:30):
You need to get a little bit more out of
these guys.

Speaker 2 (01:07:32):
As these are all the guys hitting a two forty
year lower, they're not really giving you a lot in
terms of an on base persage. Joanell has been able
to set a little bit of fire to the rain.
And for the La Angels, this bullpen has been rough.
They're currently in the bottom seven in the big leagues
with regards bullpenny or A. They've currently got ose C
Serona on the full, but they've got plenty of reclamation
projects in Emir Garrett Hunters, Strickland, Adam Simber wash up

(01:07:53):
veterans that you don't want in your bullpen though Matt
More Carlos to Sevis have been relatively slid. But for
the Pirates the seam has been well below average with
regards to their Bullpenny Aray as well. We're all the
Shatman David Bennar are post built thinking up north of
a four to seventy five hera. Brian Brooki on the
fold has been earning this seam. You've had Colin Holderman
live up to that name. He's been able to give
you sub three here A I like hunters Strand and

(01:08:13):
what he's able to bring to the table. But that said,
with coinn Price here, I just need to see a
little bit more from him. Recognize that his last two
starts have been solid, but he has been very very
fortunate to not post up north of a five year
and I do think that the Angels get to him.
Mire did something total at eight point seven. I like
the over and I like the Angels on the bunny
line at any sort of a plus number nine twenty three,
nine twenty four on the beinning board, the Toronto Blue
Jay sit the road, their facing off against the Philadelphia Phillies.

(01:08:35):
Cris the first Sanchez is on the bump for the
Phills and oseybody else is on the bump for Toronto,
and Toronto is an underdog between plus one fourteen to
plus one twenty two. Meanwhile, any between minus one twenty
five two A minus one thirty five. So your number
on the Phillies eight to eight and a half is
to total on the A andF over and under both
at minus one ten on the eighth, the overs minus
one fifteen and the under is minus one of five.

(01:08:56):
I did sell my toe at some point eight. I'm
gonna be looking at the under now. Blue Jays just
have not been able to develop any of their young
players into being just fortified strong initners. In general, for
this Toronto Blue Jays team, they're acting about three point
eight runs per game away from home, which is sadly
more than three point five runs per game that they're
averyting at home. The Paul Perk dimensions were supposed to
help out their offense and they've actually hurt them. But

(01:09:17):
for the Toronto Blue Jays, what they've had is ose
Brios be absolutely tremendous as far the season book forty
four y A right now caution here because his fielding
independence aren't before. Burrios, through his career has always had
an ERA about a point higher on the road rather
than at home. But going back to last season, he's
been able to really rectify that. He has been much
more consistent at home rather than away from home. I'm

(01:09:38):
a little bit concerned that he's giving up nearly three
walks per nine and ennings and that he has been
only getting right around about six as straycouts for nine,
But I do like what I've seen those farm For
Christopher Sanchez, I think that he's doing for a little
bit of regression as well. He has been able to
post up about nine straycouts for nine ennings. But after
giving up just one point four walks ber nigh and
ennings they season ago, he's up to about four walks
per nine ennings. And after giving up one point four

(01:09:59):
on runs per nine nings eight season ago, it's giving
up just one this far this season. He's been a
little bit fortunate on the balls in play. Now for
the Blue Jays, who's going to be able to put
the ball in play, to be able to put a
little bit of sweat into the Philadelphia Philly He says,
you've got Delton varshow has been able to play six
on runs about a three twenty five on base. Justin
Turner along with Leger Junior both have four home runs.
Both are giving you nor three forty on base but

(01:10:21):
likes of Boba she George Springer, Aleander Kerr, Cavan Bigio
hitting at two to five or lower.

Speaker 4 (01:10:27):
With no power. This has been absolutely killing this team.

Speaker 2 (01:10:30):
Meanwhile, for the Philadelphia Phillies, there without Tred Turner down
for what, but you've been able to have a really
good production out of Alabama. He's sitting darn near at
three to fifty thus far this season. It's done a
great job moving the line, providing four home runs. Thyas
Forber's up to nine home runs and Bryce Harper's up
to eight thus far this season. Now, these guys are
really starting to get online. So I've had the likes
of Joann Ross when he's out there struggle a little bit,

(01:10:50):
Bryce and Scott saying just a two thirty five, but
he's finding a way to be able to get on base.
So the Phillies lineup seems to be getting their act together.
And both of these teams have been rough in terms
of their bullpen. Two teams are in the bottom six
in the Big leagues with regards Bullpenny Ray and for
the Blue Jays, I do think that they're going to
be able to get better moving forward with Eric Swanson
cup of Jordan Rono being out of the fold, though
I was saying that two weeks ago as well, and

(01:11:11):
it just feels like, as we were alluding to with
Andrew Kayley, there's been a little bit of bullpen misuse
with the team. After a season ago, he had a
very good year from Tim Mayzy, he's been posting up
north of five ra a. So I do look for
them to be able to fortify themselves. And for the
Philadelphia Phillies, it's been a case where this bullpen has
always struggled in the month of April.

Speaker 4 (01:11:29):
Now that we're getting to May, I.

Speaker 2 (01:11:30):
Do think that guys like sar Anthony de minguz ozal Barado,
they're gonna be able to do a little bit of
a better job. I think that Barrios is able to
keep up what he's done to this point. I think
that he's able to lend a relatively get start, and
I do think that the Blue Jays going to continue
to miro mediocrity on offense. So that's so I told
at some point eight I'm looking at the oder both
the Blue Jays plus one fourteen or I are willing
to take that money line with them nine twenty five,
nine twenty six on the bank. More of the Baltimore

(01:11:52):
Orioles at the road the phrase goalf against Washington Nationals.
Trevor Williams is on the boom for the Nationals. Corba
Murtns is on the bump for the Orioless. Find themselves
as pretty much two dollars favorites. Anywhere between minus two
dollars and minus two ten is your number on them.
Plus one seventy five to one plus one eighty five
is at number on Washington. Eight to eight and a
half is the total on the eight of his minus
one twenty dy unders even on the eight and a

(01:12:13):
half under his minus one fifteen over his minus one
o five and willing to lay a run a half
with the Orioles game that any between minus one twenty
two minus one twenty five, and I set the Orioles
out of minus one ninety two on the money line,
but on the run line was willing to go up
to a minus one twenty seven. So I'm gonna be
looking at that Orioles run line. Think part of the
reason why I'm a little bit higher on this Orioles
run line is just because I look at the offensive

(01:12:34):
numbers and I think that they're sustainable, and those offensive
numbers have this team number one in the Big Leagues
with regards to home runs, and I just love the
overall death that you've got with this Orioles team. Each
other top eight hitters in terms of total at bads
this season, So everyone that is seen at least sixty
at bads as far this season, they all have at
least five home runs as far this season, and it's

(01:12:54):
very well spread out. He's got one guy that's leading
the way and Gunner Henderson with ten. All the other
seven editors have between four and five home runs. So
you don't have necessarily one shall we say, su're fired out,
You don't have one guy that really doesn't knock the
ball out of the yard out of the entire nine
that you've got in terms of this lineup, and got
so many guys like Jordan Westberg, Galilee Rushman, Gunner Anderson,

(01:13:15):
Ryan Mountcastle, Colton cows Er, Ryan O'Hearn all giving at
least a three thirty five on base. Like, these guys
are all doing a good job moving line, all but
two of them. I've been able to believe at least
at two seventy thus far this season. Meanwhile, for the
Washington Nationals, they've been offensively challenged a little bit this season.

Speaker 3 (01:13:31):
C J.

Speaker 2 (01:13:31):
Abrams has been tremendous. Seven home runs, he's given you
about a three fifty on base, and Jesse Winker Lewis
Garcia both give you north of three seventy on base.
That's encouraging, But the lakes of Layine Thomas, Joey Vnesa,
Seddi Rosario, he currently injured, Joey Gallo, keip Er Ruiz,
these guys you get two twenty or lower. Has been difficult,
to say the least. For the Washington Nationals. You've had

(01:13:51):
Jordan weims On sedu the world's greatest job in the bullpen.
But all in all, this has been a Washington Nationals
bullpen then has been relatively league average. You're about fifteenth
of the league a bullpen are Derek law Hunter Harvey.
They're giving you a some three five yarra top fin
again always gives me a little bit of pause, but
he's been relatively solid in this bullpen as well. And
for the Baltimore Oriols, the team has really been able
to pick it up with their bullpen as well. Alberts

(01:14:12):
Forz has now becoming a little bit of a long
guy for the team, being able to have unr Cano
along with Danny Klum supply is sub three five Arra
Got Craig Kimberl has been really blowing quite a few stays,
but feels like they haven't been putting him in as
many high leverage spots. They've been looking a little bit
more to Jacob Webb. That's been working out very well.

Speaker 4 (01:14:29):
For them as well.

Speaker 2 (01:14:30):
And I do think that for gerbon Burns he's going
to be able to go out there and dominate once again.
You'll even recall from his sign with the Milwaukee Brewers
over last three seasons he was posting up about a
half a point better with his ERA when he was
away from home rather than when he was at home.
He's been able to be very rock solid here for
the Ools this far of the season. It's giving up
about one point three zero runs per nine ENnies, but
it's only supplying about two walks per n ENnies. He's
getting nine punch outs per nin and Nnies swinging itself

(01:14:53):
has really been up at least five strikeouts and far
the last five starts. I think that he goes out
there and both pass a Washington national team that I
feel like they've had some very good fortune when Trevor
Williams has been out there on the field. For Trevor Williams,
he's actually off to a really nice start. He's posting
up a sub three five era. I do think that
we're going to see quite a bit of regression with
a guy and Williams that has always been a relative

(01:15:13):
bicture contact guy and has been that thus far the season.
He's getting about six point three strike cuts to three
point four walks for nine nings two twenty seventy. Arra
the only independent is only a two ninety because he
has yet to give up a home run as far
as the season, but if you look at what he
did last season, he gave up two one runs for
nine innings. I do think that the Oriols get to
him Wall I'm pretty hard, so I'm going to be
one to lay the run half with the ools and

(01:15:34):
did something Toll on an eight point two so when
at the Oriols on the run line, and I do
like this eight over nine twenty seven nine twenty eight
on the bank board the Atlanta Braves two playouts to
the Boston Red Sox. Cutter Crawford is on the bump
for Boston and Renal the Lopez is on the bump
for the Atlanta Braves. And the Braves to find themselves
as between minus one sixty eight two minus one seventy
five favorites between plus one forty three two plus one

(01:15:55):
fifty five is your number on Boston nine is totally
underds between minus one ten two twenty d oversenty between
even in minus one ten And for the Atlanta Braves,
I did set them as a favorite of minus one
seventy five. If you're looking at a layer run and
a half, I needed at least a plus one of
five to be able to take a stab there. Mostly
seeing between plus one thirteen to a plus one eighteen,
I'm gonna be one to lay the run and a

(01:16:16):
half for Cutter Crawford, he was actually very good on
the road last season. Last season with the Boston Red Sox,
he posted up a sixty r at home and he
posted up on the road a more around two to
sixty five area, which I find to be very, very befuddling.
These splits have come down a little bit this season,
but for Cutter Crawford, he has been very good to
begin the season. He's posting up a sub tow area,
though the fielding dependent is a little bit higher than that.

(01:16:39):
I just to fear that in general, with Cutter Crawford
having given up just one home run that's far this season,
and he's going to run into a Brave team that well,
I think that they're gonna be able to find it
sooner rather than later. In terms of firepower rise for
the Braves as far the season, just thirty two on
runs in thirty two games, with Marcel Zuna being the
main man with ten home runs the only other guy
that has north of three home runs on the scene

(01:16:59):
at Strive. No, you know that these guys are not
going to be sitting down. It's been a rough start
to the season for Matt Olsening just a bluck ninety
seven three home runs after I had fifty a season go.
But even a lot of these guys are struggling a
little bit. Like you've got Orlando Arcio, Michael Harris. These
two guys, they're going at two seventy one. You've been
able to get Ronald Cooney Junior on as He's been
able to give you a three seventy five on base

(01:17:20):
hitting just two home runs. You know that he's gonna
be Albus ser Jery Kilnick has done a nice job
moving the line and for the Boston Red Sox this
offense has been able to come to life a little
bit as well. Tyler O'Neil has been the big reason
why nine home runs with a four hundred on base.
You've got Wyler Obrahuho's been able to do a nice
job at Lon thro File Divers offending right around two ninety.
Both of these guys have a little bit of pop,
with Devers being able to give you four him runs

(01:17:40):
as far this season. Trisicasas being on the shelf has
been a little bit of an issue for the scene.
But Connor wong about mister Wright giving you about a
three forty five average five home runs as far as
the season. But the big thing is you need a
little bit more of the guys like Pablo Reyes, Sadine Rafaela,
Emanuel Valdez, Bobby Dolbeck. These guys are ringing at two
of five or lower ran For both of these teams,
the bullpens have been realtive, sneaky good. Justin Slayton has

(01:18:02):
been amazing for this Red Sox team. Give me a
sub to era. Branden Bernardino has been utilized and as
an opener, he's been able to hold down the force
in relatively good fashion as well. You've got Chris Martinos,
had a little bit of a rocky start to the season,
but he's been able to be a relatively celebrated to
Kenley Jansen who's been able to lock it down this
Red Sox team eighth in the Big Leagues with regards
to bopen era. The Alana Brady is very comparable.

Speaker 4 (01:18:23):
At tenth.

Speaker 2 (01:18:23):
You've got Tyler Mazek, who's really at his struggles to
begin the season, but pass that most of these guys
are doing a nice job. Like Dylan Lee, he's been
able to give you a sub to to seventy five
Era likes of aj Mincher, Pierces Johnson are hovering more
around to three, while a lot Rossioglesis continues to be
a relatively lockdown closer, and I did think they'll run
all the Lopez. He's gonna see a little bit of
regression as well. But he was just badly used by

(01:18:46):
the Chicago White Sox last few seasons. They thought he
was a relief piece. Every single time they that he
was showing flash, it felt like they went away from him.
Has given up to two runs and thirty angs as
far this season. His boxber nine rate is hovering right
around three, but it's given up three runs for free
in every one of his starts. The Atlanta Braves have
really unlocked what he's able to do, and I do
think that he gives a relatively solid start, but I
think that both of these offenses plus out here semi

(01:19:08):
toil at a nine point one. I'm gonna be looking
at the nine over and want to lay a run
half with the Atlanta Braves that I think north of
the plus one oh five. In wrap things up with
nine twenty nine, nine thirty on the bakeboard. The Milwaukee
Burers are on the road, facing off against the Kansay Royal,
says Seth Lugo goes for the Royals. Colin ray So
said pepparray to another start for the Birds and the
Brewers who find themselves as underdogs. Any between plus one
twelve to plus one fifteen. Meanwhile, any between minus one

(01:19:31):
twenty two to minus one thirty five is your number
on Kansas City A and after nine is the total
on the A and AF over between minus one fifteen
to a minus one twenty five hundreds between minus one
oh five to plus one oh five in on the
nine that under his minus one twenty the Overs even
need at least a plus one thirty three to take
a shot on the Brewers. I'm gonna be one to
lay with the cancy Rails. The one concern nine for
Seth Lugo is that he allows many many balls to

(01:19:54):
be in play. But I said for Seth Lugo, he's
done a very nice job of just being able to
hold it down and generally induces a lot of self contact,
as he's got a field independent of the three forty
five compared to his Bucks six ERA, but has given
up just three on runs and forty five innings this season.
Once again, those six point two strikeouts per nine nights
would like to see a little bit more, But he's
facing off against the Milwaukee Burres seem that I think

(01:20:15):
that they are, for one doing for a little bit
of regression with their young guys and how they've been
able to hit thus far this season. I think that
we can all conclude that the Birds were a little
bit underrated with the likes of Blake Perkins alon Bryce
Rank coming into the season. But I don't know if
they're as good as they have shown thus far. Both
of these guys I've been able to give you north
of a three to sixty on base. It's been William
carteris who has been really carrying the team. He and

(01:20:36):
William Thomas a combined eleven home runs for Adamisse. He's
hitting about a two sixty with a three forty five
on base, while carterists north of a four hundred on base.
And good news for the Brewers is that Seth Lugo
is not a left handed pitcher. They have just not
been able to left he's all season long. I have
no idea how, I have no idea why, but it
really lingers back to what we saw last season as well,

(01:20:57):
and many of the bullpen pieces they are out lefties
as well, other than on al Zeip along with Will Smith,
who Will Smith is not honestly the most trosst early
guy in the world. But this has been a Royal
team that has been above average with regards they were bullpenning,
are top twelve team with that regard. With having James
MacArthur hold down the fort end for the Brewers, you've
been able to get some good production of so many
of these guys, Willbi Milner, Elvis Pierro, Joe Piomps. These

(01:21:19):
are guys who will be able to give you a
sub three five YARRE of last two seasons. They're bringing
Kevin Harget from the Reds to be able to four
to five things. I don't know if he's going to
be able to make too much of an impact by
like what I've seen OWT Trevor McGill, he's posting up
a sub one twenty five AR of his own. And
for Colin Ray, his ERA last year was about zero
point seven points lower when he was away from home
rather than when he was at home, and that's lingered

(01:21:41):
into this year two thirty rowdiar three era at home
and he's been able to do a relatively solid job.
I'll be able to clean up some of the walks
given up about three walks per nine Ennings much like
Steth will go a picture contact guy that's only getting
about seven or so strikeouts for Nina and Nnings. So
I do think that we're going to see a little
bit of regression on his end, and he does have
to face off against the Royal team that they have
been royally better when they've been at home rather than

(01:22:02):
away from home and terms their offense. This is a
Royals unit that terms runs per game at home. They
entered into the series everything right around about four point
ninety five runs per game. That's in the top three
in the American League. You've had each other your top
five players with regards to total at pat sitting at
least four home runs as far this season. Though three
of those guys in mikel Garcia, Andy Pascantino, MJ.

Speaker 4 (01:22:21):
Melendez.

Speaker 2 (01:22:22):
I'd like to see them hit a little bit better
than a two thirty six or lower. But Bobby with
juniorrself at Operez twelve home runs between the two of
them both are giving you north of a three seventy
five on base. It's a little bit of an hour
or nothing.

Speaker 4 (01:22:31):
Lineup.

Speaker 2 (01:22:32):
The guys look Adam Frazier, Hunter, renfro At the bottom
the fold, thinking both of the Bendo's line two hundred
and for Nelson Alaskaz, I expected a little bit more
than just two home runs at a two to fifteen average.
I do think that he's going to be able to
pick it up a little bit. But I do think
that in the end the Royals so they find a
way to persevere get the job done. I do like
them on the money line, and did somebody told it
at eight point four? I do think that for the Birds,
we're going to see that lineup start to regards just

(01:22:53):
a little bit. So I'm willing to dive in on
the under, especially with both of these bullpens being as
good as they are, and go with the money lineup
the Royals on a wrappings up for the Tuesday edition
of The Baseball Betting Show now part of the Vson
Family podcast. Big thanks to Andrew Cayley of Covers for
joining me in the line segment. If you do like
fearing from the Time podcast Baseball Betting Show, You're able
to subscribe ever your podcasts, Apple Podcasts, Google Play, Spotify,
Stitch your and tune in. If you have a question

(01:23:14):
comment segment idea. What I have you for this podcast.
You have one of two ways we have for this
in first one is my Twitter slash x timeline at
you and n under forty one. Keep in mind, LEARCM,
they mean it does not matter, so as per usual,
please send these into the timeline. Other ways, find an
Apple podcast review. If you rate this podcast right starts,
it is very much appreciated. From there, you're able fire
in whatever you linked here on this podcast via the
five review and I'm coming at you guys every single

(01:23:35):
day throughout the baseball season.

Speaker 4 (01:23:36):
That means m back to a new once good tomorrow.
Thank you so much for ginning

All Episodes

Episode Transcript

Popular Podcasts

Dateline NBC

Stuff You Should Know

The Nikki Glaser Podcast

.css-15opob5{left:0;position:absolute;top:0.8rem;} All Episodes

.css-14f5ked{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:2;overflow:hidden;}5/7/24-Baseball Betting Show

Episode Transcript

Popular Podcasts

.css-r6mb8g{margin:0;word-break:break-word;display:-webkit-box;-webkit-box-orient:vertical;box-orient:vertical;-webkit-line-clamp:1;overflow:hidden;}Dateline NBC

Stuff You Should Know

The Nikki Glaser Podcast

All Episodes

5/7/24-Baseball Betting Show

Dateline NBC