贸易战会让中国出现重大的经济危机吗？中共的政权会因此受到何种影响？贸易战如果继续升级会不会导致战争的出现？过去这段时间，这场几乎占据了全世界注意力的贸易战，为人们带来了许多未解的问题。
为了回答这些问题，我们邀请到斯坦福大学中国经济与制度研究中心高级研究员许成刚教授，在5月3日做了一场直播答疑，本期节目为直播的精剪版本。
这场直播中，许成钢教授回应了众多听众的担忧，谈到了这场贸易战的起源、当下与对未来的影响，也分享了他对中国政治制度和经济问题的长期观察：为什么会同时存在“两个中国”——一个是DeepSeek 、高铁的中国，一个是失业率高涨和经济低迷的中国——这不是互相矛盾的？欢迎收听本期节目。
文字版全文：https://bit.ly/bmb-149-text
时间轴：
01:30 特朗普为什么要发动贸易战？难道是因为比较笨吗？
12:23 贸易战可能把全球经济拖入衰退的泥潭吗？
17:47 贸易战可能会有哪些走向？
24:09 中共会因此摆脱孤立吗？
26:56 这一次，中国为什么如此强硬？
32:06 中国也能卡其他国家的脖子？
35:35 鼓吹中国成功的人都是不算经济账的
37:41 “一方面技术发达，一方面癌症大发作”
47:33 新质生产力可能将中国的经济带出泥潭吗？
50:26 贸易战是否会触发战争？
54:47 贸易战是压倒骆驼的最后一根稻草
01:03:03 贸易战可能可能倒逼中共改革吗？
01:10:56 中共会在意社会经济的压力与民众情绪吗？
采访征集：在这场贸易战中，不明白播客非常希望听到普通人的声音。如果您的生意、工作受到贸易战的影响，欢迎您给我们来信。在两个政府不惜一切代价打贸易战的时候，我们想知道被当作代价牺牲掉的是什么？欢迎来信至bumingbaipod@gmail.com
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