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January 26, 2025 38 mins

Derek Moore previews Apple, Tesla, and Microsoft earnings by looking at the implied moves around earning by the options market. Plus, Bloomberg comes out with a new inflation gauge called The Bacon Egg & Cheese Sandwich index. Later, Derek talks about a new study which shows the percentage of time in recessions by decades. Oh, and reacting to a headline “hedging is for suckers” and why it’s wrong.

 

Zero Hedge article headline “Downside Protection is for Suckers” reaction

Percent of time in recessions

Bacon Egg & Cheese Inflation Index from Bloomberg

Implied volatility on major companies reporting earnings TSLA, MSFT, and AAPL

How to easily calculate the options market implied 1-day 1-standard deviation move

Why implied volatility moves higher pre-earnings

Cost of a options Straddle trade around earnings

Risks of a straddle trade both buying and selling the straddle

 

 

Mentioned in this Episode

 

Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT

 

Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt

 

Derek’s book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag

 

Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

 

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